Speaker 1: Welcome back to a numbers game with Ryan Kerdusky. Thank
Speaker 1: you again for being here another episode. And I have
Speaker 1: been receiving tons of emails, text messages, tweets, and it's
Speaker 1: all about the same exact thing. What the hell happened
Speaker 1: in New York City. So for those of you who
Speaker 1: do not know, which I'm sure everyone does, but I'll
Speaker 1: recap him Former Governor Andrew Cuomo, who has been the
Speaker 1: favorite to win the Democratic nomination for Mayor of New
Speaker 1: York City for a while now. He only announced three
Speaker 1: months ago, but he has been a de facto Canada
Speaker 1: in the race for well over a year and was
Speaker 1: assumed to be the leading contender. He lost to an
Speaker 1: upstart assemblyman named Zorn mom Donnie, probably the furthest left
Speaker 1: wing candidate nominated by a major party in any major city. Yeah,
Speaker 1: he's further left of the mayor of Chicago, Los Angeles,
Speaker 1: washingty C. He's probably even to the left of the
Speaker 1: mayor of Boston, which is pretty hard because she is
Speaker 1: a flat out comedy not of actual comedy. But she's
Speaker 1: very far green energy all the rest of it, He's
Speaker 1: still left of her. Drew Cuomo ultimately received three hundred
Speaker 1: and sixty two thousand votes to Mandani's four hundred and
Speaker 1: thirty two thousand was forty three point five to thirty
Speaker 1: six point five percent, is a seven point loss now
Speaker 1: because of ranked choice voting. It's this way that New
Speaker 1: York counts their votes, which is absolutely incredibly stupid. They
Speaker 1: do this in the primary. We won't Mendanmi won't have
Speaker 1: not officially won for a couple of days, probably until
Speaker 1: Monday is my guest or Friday, but he is the
Speaker 1: de facto candidate. Cuomo Head calls him to concede the election.
Speaker 1: He is a vocal supporter of defunding the police. He
Speaker 1: wants to arrest bb net and Yahoo if he visits
Speaker 1: New York City. He wants to end the specialized schools
Speaker 1: for gifted and talented students. He wants to raise taxes
Speaker 1: to make public buildings green at the cost of three
Speaker 1: point two seven billion dollars to tax pre payers. He
Speaker 1: wants to freeze rents. He wants to have government controlled
Speaker 1: grocery stores. He also opposes New York City working with
Speaker 1: ice officers to port criminal aliens who can make crimes.
Speaker 1: This shouldn't be shocking. It is AOC with testicles. He
Speaker 1: is to the left of every other candidate in the
Speaker 1: race and the city at home at large. There was
Speaker 1: one canonam Paperboy Love. He might have been to the
Speaker 1: left of Mandanni, but I don't really I didn't really
Speaker 1: read up too much on him anyway. One of the
Speaker 1: smartest comments I saw about this election came from Gavin
Speaker 1: Wax He's the former president of the New York Young Republicans.
Speaker 1: He's unknown for a very long time, and he said
Speaker 1: on Twitter calling Mandanni a socialist and anti Israel on
Speaker 1: repeat didn't hurt him, It helped him with those attacking
Speaker 1: convinced no one politics is already incredibly radicalized locally and nationally.
Speaker 1: Either offer a radical counter or accept the defeat with
Speaker 1: a boiler played talking point in sloganeering. I agree with
Speaker 1: what Gavin said, because that's what truth man. Donnie's message
Speaker 1: as insane as it was to everyone with an IQ
Speaker 1: above you know room temperature, which is a New York
Speaker 1: one hundred degrees, So with anyone with an IQ above
Speaker 1: one hundred, it seems like it's crazy. But to people
Speaker 1: who are of the left persuasion are still in the
Speaker 1: Democratic Party, that was the dreams and possibilities, realized what
Speaker 1: he was saying was was speaking to their values, that
Speaker 1: they could sit there and reach for the stars, that
Speaker 1: they could make New York this progressive state, this progressive city,
Speaker 1: which it's really more of an establishment Democrats city always
Speaker 1: has been not really that much of a progressive city.
Speaker 1: And he really reached to wealthy voters, wealthy, high income,
Speaker 1: high college degree holding voters who want to make believe
Speaker 1: that they are standing up for the working class even
Speaker 1: though the policies that they advanced are punishing them. Because
Speaker 1: while the right may may look at Mendonia's and kind
Speaker 1: of Jihatas, which was like the stupidest hot take I
Speaker 1: saw from a bunch of right wingers on Twitter, the
Speaker 1: truth is he's just a cultural Marxist. He just views
Speaker 1: society in the lens of identity and those who use
Speaker 1: identity as a tool to bring Marxism. This is no
Speaker 1: different than Chavez used race and economic anxiety to flip
Speaker 1: Venezuela and once he did democratically one time. That's all
Speaker 1: he needed Cuomo's message that the election was about you
Speaker 1: owe me. Because of Andrew Cuomo, I'm the NEPO baby
Speaker 1: who moved across the political spectrum while I was governor
Speaker 1: and had to resign a disgrace. It was really about him,
Speaker 1: and he was like, I can write these ships. I
Speaker 1: can make everything calm and easy and make people want
Speaker 1: to stay in New York at a slow pace. The decline.
Speaker 1: I'm going to manage the decline of New York was
Speaker 1: essentially Cuomo's message. It was his message as governor too. Men.
Speaker 1: Donnie's message is about creating a progressive paradise in the
Speaker 1: largest city in America. It has much more appeal than
Speaker 1: managed a client. That's the difference between a lot of
Speaker 1: neo liberalists and nationalists on the right and progressive on
Speaker 1: the left. And he wasn't the only one who lost
Speaker 1: New York City yesterday. Former Congressman, former my former congressman,
Speaker 1: the first person I ever voted for. He was running
Speaker 1: unopposed when I voted for him, But was Anthony Wiener.
Speaker 1: He lost the city council seat when he ran because
Speaker 1: he was running on this message over I'm going to
Speaker 1: come back, and New Yorker said, no, we've seen this
Speaker 1: movie before and we're kind of done with it. And
Speaker 1: Wiener was a very far left ten years ago, thirteen
Speaker 1: years ago when he had to resign in disgrace, or
Speaker 1: fourteen years ago now, but he was The left has
Speaker 1: moved so far left that Wiener is then considered a
Speaker 1: more moderate voice in the Democratic Party now. And Cuoma
Speaker 1: was a right winger, which is insane because he did
Speaker 1: the endless the cash bail people living in most parts
Speaker 1: of Manhattan, but especially the areas around the highly educated places,
Speaker 1: like the people not necessarily in Manhattan, but off of Manhattan,
Speaker 1: those who never I don't know, couldn't afford the ten
Speaker 1: thousand dollars month rens, so they settled for the five
Speaker 1: thousand dollars month ronds. A lot of them living off
Speaker 1: their parents. By the way, they're only passing through New York.
Speaker 1: They're going to settle here like they settle in a
Speaker 1: number of cities in their life. They're very progressive, they're
Speaker 1: very high educated. They vote often, they vote early, they
Speaker 1: vote frequently, and they vote to the left. And New
Speaker 1: York City is become a sponge for those kinds of people.
Speaker 1: New York City. If you have blue hair and thirty
Speaker 1: six genders and you don't know if you like a
Speaker 1: boy or girl, you are a boy or girl, Why
Speaker 1: would you stay in Long Island for why would you
Speaker 1: stay in most parts of Connecticut or Kentucky or Ohio.
Speaker 1: You don't have to. You can come to New York,
Speaker 1: especially to these areas of high progressive activism, and find
Speaker 1: a home. And maybe they won't stay there, but they
Speaker 1: come to New York with this dream that New York
Speaker 1: is still the New York I was born and raised into,
Speaker 1: like the New York is this twenty four hour city
Speaker 1: full of energetic artists when it's not. I mean it
Speaker 1: was for a very long time, but it's not. It's
Speaker 1: all corporate now and it's not a twenty four hour
Speaker 1: city anymore. Artists aren't breaking any ground. It's not particularly
Speaker 1: edgy like it used to be. And that's just my opinion.
Speaker 1: But it's still the best city in America. But they're
Speaker 1: passing through it and changing it. And as go New
Speaker 1: York will go the rest of the country. I heard
Speaker 1: this big thing. Let just New York burn. The entire
Speaker 1: Democratic leadership is in New York City. Chuck Schumer, Haakim Jeffries,
Speaker 1: all of these people, Jerry Nadler, all of these people
Speaker 1: are in New York and they are looking at an
Speaker 1: electorate that is mad and insane, and they have to
Speaker 1: sit there and do something in order not to get
Speaker 1: primary in order to move to that insane left. That's
Speaker 1: where they're going to be running to. So you can't
Speaker 1: just say screw it. New Yorkers deserve what they get.
Speaker 1: San Francisco had that appeal and eventually elected this unknown
Speaker 1: wman named Nancy Pelosi, who happened to be the third
Speaker 1: most powerful person in the country or third line for
Speaker 1: the presidency and most powerful person the House of Presentatives
Speaker 1: for six years and fundamentally changed all of America. You
Speaker 1: can't just sit there and say, oh, screw them whatever.
Speaker 1: The people who lived away from Manhattan, those who depend
Speaker 1: on the police, who work as police officers or in
Speaker 1: the social services, who depend on social services, who were
Speaker 1: less educated and made not a college degree so you're
Speaker 1: not a post doctorate. They did not vote for Mendani,
Speaker 1: but they didn't vote as much. I want to get
Speaker 1: into the numbers so you can understand this sponge effect
Speaker 1: of these highly progressive left wing voters in this very
Speaker 1: small geographic area, how it changed the entire city. So
Speaker 1: if you look at the area around Manhattan, on the
Speaker 1: Brooklyn and Queen's side. There's a bunch of neighborhoods. New
Speaker 1: York is broken up when they do elections by assembly district.
Speaker 1: Assembly is the state house, right, we call it assembly
Speaker 1: instead of state House. Whatever. The state Assembly districts. There
Speaker 1: are sixty five Assembly districts in New York City. There
Speaker 1: are ten that border Manhattan, thirty eighty, thirty four, thirty six,
Speaker 1: thirty seven, forty six, fifty to fifty one, fifty two,
Speaker 1: fifty three, fifty six, and fifty seven. If you're playing
Speaker 1: at home, those are numbers you want to look at.
Speaker 1: Was ten districts gave Mendani one hundred and thirty five thousand,
Speaker 1: six hundred and twenty four votes out of the four
Speaker 1: hundred and thirty two thousand he received. A third of
Speaker 1: all of his votes came from these ten Assembly districts,
Speaker 1: which represent about fifteen percent of all the Assembly seats
Speaker 1: in New York, So one in three voters came from
Speaker 1: only about fifteen percent of the entire geographic makeup and
Speaker 1: population makeup of New York City. Cuomo, on the other hand,
Speaker 1: he received about twelve percent of his total vote from
Speaker 1: this exact area. He didn't underperform that much relative to
Speaker 1: the rest of the rest of the city, I mean
Speaker 1: matching it over. He underperformed, but it wasn't like wasn't
Speaker 1: It wasn't he couldn't get one percent, you know what
Speaker 1: I mean, He didn't get zero. He just did underperform.
Speaker 1: But it didn't matter because he balanced it out in
Speaker 1: these other areas further away from Manhattan, and he did
Speaker 1: very well in some precincts, like in the Orthodox Jewish areas,
Speaker 1: but that didn't matter because the vote total was incredibly
Speaker 1: different of where they were voting. A story of Queens
Speaker 1: which is one neighborhood, right, It's one little neighborhood in
Speaker 1: that area, in that region, it had more voters than
Speaker 1: all the other working white class or middle class, white
Speaker 1: majority areas of Queen's County combined. So like Middle Village
Speaker 1: that's the area I was born and raised in, had
Speaker 1: twenty two hundred votes. Howard Beach, all very prominent italighborhood,
Speaker 1: had sixteen hundred votes. White Stone another it's very Asian
Speaker 1: and white mixed neighborhood twenty three hundred vot votes. Storia
Speaker 1: this Beacon and progressivesm these voters that made AOC a congressman,
Speaker 1: these voters that give the far left all their seats.
Speaker 1: They had twenty five thousand votes. That's more than the
Speaker 1: Borough Park, Brooklyn area Orthodox shoes. Everyone was excited they
Speaker 1: were going to vote. They had eight thousand votes. This
Speaker 1: progressive area had twenty three times as many. They had
Speaker 1: more voters in that area than in the working class
Speaker 1: black neighborhood, which has tons of voters. It's not the
Speaker 1: people weren't there. They didn't vote, They just didn't show
Speaker 1: up and vote. And I think it's important to realize
Speaker 1: where now the New York Times of this whole entire
Speaker 1: chart about what races broke up with it. It's very
Speaker 1: stupid because highly educated voter, white voters live in areas
Speaker 1: that might be majority black, but it's like fifty percent black,
Speaker 1: twenty five percent white. But if you count the turnout,
Speaker 1: it's actually a higher percent white and lower percent Pole.
Speaker 1: So I don't want to do it by race when
Speaker 1: it comes to that, except if you look at the
Speaker 1: super majority areas like the Dominican part of the Bronx
Speaker 1: which is essentially all Dominican, or the Black area of Queens,
Speaker 1: which is all black. If you look at economics stuff
Speaker 1: you look at finances, the wealthiest districts in the city
Speaker 1: broke for Cuomo about two hundred f two thousand more.
Speaker 1: That's Upperlyside, Upper West Side, everything else aside from that
Speaker 1: in the one hundred thousand, one hundred and fifty hundred
Speaker 1: and ten hundred and thirteen thousand range, they voted for Mendani.
Speaker 1: Areas that had an income and at average income of
Speaker 1: one hundred and seventeen thousand, six hundred dollars a year
Speaker 1: or greater voted for Mendani by forty two point five
Speaker 1: to twenty nine point three. Those of middle income, which
Speaker 1: was sixty three thousand to one hundred and seventeen thousand
Speaker 1: dollars income. This is from the New York Times. Sixty
Speaker 1: three thousand to one hundred and seventeen thousand income voted
Speaker 1: for Mindani by ten points. It was working class areas
Speaker 1: that he gave Quamo thirteen point margin fifty two thirty seven.
Speaker 1: A report from the Economists said that Quamo support was
Speaker 1: the very rich and the very poor, and it was
Speaker 1: Mendanni's support that were above living wage, college degree holders,
Speaker 1: people who didn't own homes, transient people, millennial people, right,
Speaker 1: That's who gave Cuomo his support. Cuomo did very well
Speaker 1: in very white areas, very black areas, very Hispanic areas.
Speaker 1: Mendanni did well in very mixed areas, areas where transients
Speaker 1: have moved and displaced people and intergenerational people. There was
Speaker 1: a huge support from the Asian community, which surprised me
Speaker 1: given that he's opposed to specialized schools and the number
Speaker 1: one issue. But you had progressive state senators and state
Speaker 1: legislators in New York City campaigning for Mendani. You had
Speaker 1: a huge turnt among the Muslim population, which is not
Speaker 1: a huge population in New York, but it's there. It
Speaker 1: is there, and in some areas, in the Latino areas,
Speaker 1: he did very very well. He did very very well.
Speaker 1: Among some places, people were kind of either making this
Speaker 1: analogy that it was all rich white people or it
Speaker 1: was all immigrants. That's not true. It's just not true.
Speaker 1: It's kind of a little bit of both. It was
Speaker 1: a lot of affluent millennial my generation, unfortunately white transient
Speaker 1: people who lived outside of Manhattan between Borough, between bay Ridge,
Speaker 1: Brooklyn and Astoria, Queens. But there were also huge pockets
Speaker 1: of recent immigrants that also supported Mendanni. It wasn't one
Speaker 1: or the other. It was ancestral New Yorkers. People have
Speaker 1: been there, multi generational New Yorkers in communities like the
Speaker 1: one I grew up in that voted for Cuomo. It
Speaker 1: was completely one side of that voted for Cuomo, people
Speaker 1: who have been there forever. Now, I explained before were
Speaker 1: about the working class issue. Here's where Cuomo had issues.
Speaker 1: Working class voters are not as monolithically Democrat in New
Speaker 1: York City as they used to be. Remember, New York
Speaker 1: City is a nine to one Democratic city, but among
Speaker 1: newly registered voters, it's close to one to one. From
Speaker 1: twenty twenty four to twenty twenty five, New York City
Speaker 1: added sixty eight thousand new active registered Democrats and fifty
Speaker 1: seven thousand new active Republicans. Right, but it's not even
Speaker 1: across the city. So Staten Islands, which obviously is the
Speaker 1: reddest part of New York City and one of the
Speaker 1: reddest parts of the state, they added almost six thousand
Speaker 1: new registered Republicans. From twenty twenty four to twenty twenty five,
Speaker 1: they added ninety four new Democrats. In the Bronx, Republicans
Speaker 1: added eleven thousand and five new Republicans active Republicans Democrats
Speaker 1: only had less than nineteen hundred Democrats one eight hundred
Speaker 1: and ninety five. That's nine thousand more new Republicans in
Speaker 1: the Bronx than Democrats. The bluest part of the city,
Speaker 1: the most working part class part of the city, Queens
Speaker 1: eighteen thousand, six hundred and forty three new Republicans, ten
Speaker 1: thousand new Democrats, eight thousand more Republicans and Democrats in Queens.
Speaker 1: So where do all these Democrats come from? These new Democrats,
Speaker 1: these new progressors. Manhattan and Brooklyn, those two boroughs, twenty
Speaker 1: two thousand new Republicans, fifty five thousand new Democrats. So
Speaker 1: a party that is set in its ways or a
Speaker 1: candidate that's set in its ways of winning traditional New Yorkers. One,
Speaker 1: a lot of them have been outpriced out of the city.
Speaker 1: But two, they're not as Democrat as they used to be.
Speaker 1: And that's why Andrew Cuomo's campaign had issues. It was
Speaker 1: a larger coalition of people. But they're not all Democrats anymore.
Speaker 1: The Democratic Party had left them behind, and the ones left,
Speaker 1: even in Staten Island, are the most progressive ones. These
Speaker 1: pockets of where Democrats are living and where these progressives
Speaker 1: are active in Astoria, in Williamsburg, in Bay Ridge. These
Speaker 1: Democratic areas that are that are left, even in the
Speaker 1: working class areas, are becoming more extreme because Centrists are
Speaker 1: leaving to either become Republicans or Independents are not feeling
Speaker 1: compelled to go vote, especially for Andrew Cuomo, who was
Speaker 1: not a great governor. Resigned in disgrace. Whether it was
Speaker 1: accurate his accusations or not, but it was resigned in disgrace,
Speaker 1: and that most of the party had turned its back on.
Speaker 1: And by the way, in twenty twenty five, as a Democrat,
Speaker 1: was running as a straight white man, which does not
Speaker 1: win you points. And I want fellow Republicans to hear
Speaker 1: what I'm about to say. I know that we're gonna
Speaker 1: have a very honest moment. What I want to say.
Speaker 1: We spend the last decade laughing and mocking and battling
Speaker 1: Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer and Barack Obama and Joe Biden,
Speaker 1: and we are going to miss them compare to what
Speaker 1: is coming. They are what is coming out of the
Speaker 1: Democratic Party now. Out of the elements that are left
Speaker 1: in this Democratic Party are whack a doodle duel. And
Speaker 1: I know a lot of older Republicans, boomer Republicans say oh,
Speaker 1: they'll grow up when they pay taxes. These people are
Speaker 1: in their forty some of them, they're never growing up.
Speaker 1: This is their world and they intend to change it
Speaker 1: to make every part of the country look and act
Speaker 1: like them. They are crazy and they are coming out
Speaker 1: in full force. And then Donnie like AOC is just
Speaker 1: the beginning of what we're going to see. I want
Speaker 1: to talk to if there's any chance of a Republican
Speaker 1: winning this mayor's race. I want to talk to if
Speaker 1: there's any chance for an upset and if there's anything
Speaker 1: that we can learn ahead of the midterms coming out
Speaker 1: of this New York City mayoral election. So stay tuned. Okay,
Speaker 1: So do the Republicans have a shot in hell in
Speaker 1: November winning New York City. First of all, let me
Speaker 1: explain the race. There was a rank choice voting in
Speaker 1: the primary. There is not ranked choice voting in the general.
Speaker 1: Whoever as the most votes wins, and it is a
Speaker 1: five way race. New York State has very confusing election
Speaker 1: laws that allow candidates to run under multiple parties. It's
Speaker 1: called a Wilson vacoulaw so it allows candidates to create
Speaker 1: their own parties, and Andrew Cuomo did so. Governor Cuomo
Speaker 1: is on the ballot in November despite losing the Democratic primary.
Speaker 1: He's under a party called the Fight and Deliver Party,
Speaker 1: Andani will be under the Democrat Party and likely the
Speaker 1: Working Families Party. Former US attorney and former registered Democrat
Speaker 1: Jim Walden will be running as an independent. Current Mayor
Speaker 1: Eric Adams will also be running as an independent, and
Speaker 1: radio host and founder of the Guardian Angel Curtis Lee
Speaker 1: will will be running as a rept Republican and the
Speaker 1: Conservative Party candidate Sliwa ran in twenty twenty one and
Speaker 1: received slightly less than twenty eight percent of the vote,
Speaker 1: which is actually even worse than Trump did in thirty percent.
Speaker 1: President Trump has substantially increased the support in New York
Speaker 1: City every time he's run for office. Now, I want
Speaker 1: to talk about the Trump of it all, right, because
Speaker 1: a lot of diehard Trump voters believe if you just
Speaker 1: run a Trump light candidate anywhere, you'll win, right. So,
Speaker 1: twenty sixteen, Trump received four hundred and ninety four thousand
Speaker 1: votes in New York City, about eighteen percent total of
Speaker 1: the vote. I was one of them. In twenty twenty
Speaker 1: he got six hundred and ninety one thousand votes, which
Speaker 1: is twenty three percent. Once again, I was one of them.
Speaker 1: And in twenty twenty four he received seven hundred and
Speaker 1: eighty six thousand votes, or thirty percent of the vote.
Speaker 1: I was one of them again too, if anyone's wondering,
Speaker 1: but from four hundred and ninety four thousand to seven
Speaker 1: hundred and eighty six thousand is a substantial gain over
Speaker 1: twelve years. And actually the last number, one hundred and
Speaker 1: eighty six thousand is more than Eric Adams received in
Speaker 1: twenty twenty one. For Curtius Lee what to win, which
Speaker 1: is very unlikely and I'm not going to sugarcoat it,
Speaker 1: but a perfect storm would have to occur. Eric Adams,
Speaker 1: Andrew Cuomo, and Jim Walden would have to take votes
Speaker 1: from Mendannie a long Democrats who don't agree with it
Speaker 1: either his personality or they can't vote for a socialist,
Speaker 1: but they would also never vote for a Republican. I'm
Speaker 1: talking about voters in the upper West and upper east Side,
Speaker 1: the heavily Dominican areas of the Bronx, the Black areas,
Speaker 1: of Brooklyn and Queens areas that will never vote for
Speaker 1: a Republican unless they're Michael Bloomberg, but they will never
Speaker 1: vote for a Republican. And Emerson Pole, which turned out
Speaker 1: to be correct in this primary election, found that only
Speaker 1: thirty five percent of New Yorker's right now are committed
Speaker 1: to voting for Mendanni, twenty one percent are saying they'll
Speaker 1: vote for Adams or Walden Cuomo was not included on
Speaker 1: this list. Sixteen percent of their voting for sliwa and
Speaker 1: twenty seven percent are undecided. Democrats would have to be
Speaker 1: committed to the idea that it is more important to
Speaker 1: stop their brand from being destroyed by Mandani, who will
Speaker 1: be the face of the Democratic Party, then worried about
Speaker 1: Sliwah serving one term, and they have to be committed
Speaker 1: to trying to siphon off votes from Democrats. Everyone's sitting
Speaker 1: there and asking me, can Curtis drop out? Can we
Speaker 1: all endorse Eric Adams or vice versa? No, their names
Speaker 1: will be on the ballot. You also don't want in
Speaker 1: Eric Adams to drop out because there are voters that
Speaker 1: will vote for Eric Adams but not for Curtis Leewa
Speaker 1: and vice versa. And but also Curtis's name was on
Speaker 1: the ballot. No matter what, no one's going to be
Speaker 1: able to drop out together their name off of the ballot.
Speaker 1: It is on the ballot. Slieba would have to run
Speaker 1: a competent campaign where he gets an increased percentage of
Speaker 1: the Trump vote out In twenty twenty one, he got
Speaker 1: forty five percent of Trump votes that came out of
Speaker 1: the twenty twenty election in New York. This time, he'd
Speaker 1: have to get closer to sixty percent, which is one
Speaker 1: hundred and sixty thousand more New Yorkers that voted for
Speaker 1: Trump but had not voted for him in the last election.
Speaker 1: And Democrats. The Walden Adams Cuomo coalition would have to
Speaker 1: take about three hundred thousand Democrats with them in November,
Speaker 1: which is no easy task. It's not like that's baked
Speaker 1: in the cake. Is it possible? Anything is possible? Is
Speaker 1: it likely? No? But can it happened? Yes? Some people
Speaker 1: are asking online, like, you know, why did we pick
Speaker 1: Curtis Leewall? Why did Republicans pick a candidate that's not
Speaker 1: that strong? I mean Curtis. I like Curtis. I've met
Speaker 1: him many times, perfectly nice person, but why didn't they
Speaker 1: choose a stronger candidate. There was a story in the
Speaker 1: New York Sun about I mean, Cuomo was not officially running,
Speaker 1: but was all but officially running for a very long time,
Speaker 1: and he was running on the idea of being a
Speaker 1: stable force, especially for business and for police. So a
Speaker 1: lot of Republicans who were considering running didn't want to
Speaker 1: face Cuomo. The idea of Cuomo losing seemed insane. They
Speaker 1: were like, this is not gonna happen. And Sliwa had
Speaker 1: spent so much time energizing the base of the Republican Party.
Speaker 1: He's been campaigning since twenty twenty one, so by the
Speaker 1: time anyone looked around, Sleewa had it in the bag.
Speaker 1: And they were and these moderate Republicans who with money
Speaker 1: were betting on Cuomo. They were saying that this is
Speaker 1: why would I have a Kamakazi fight if I can't
Speaker 1: win the primary likely and Cuomo with a nominee that
Speaker 1: I'll just stick with Cuomo. And I'm going to tell
Speaker 1: my audience something I've never told anyone this. I got
Speaker 1: a call. I want to say it was warm outside,
Speaker 1: so I want to say it was Uh. It was
Speaker 1: probably last late last summer, probably late last summer, and
Speaker 1: I got a call from a former New York Yankee,
Speaker 1: a multi time World Series winning New York Yankee from
Speaker 1: the nineties, one of the legacy Yankees, part of the dynasty,
Speaker 1: and he was interested in running for mayor. And we
Speaker 1: had a whole conversation about what it would take, how
Speaker 1: to beat Sliwa, how to do this race, How he
Speaker 1: would you know, how much money he would have to invest,
Speaker 1: the coalition he would have to build, because it's not
Speaker 1: legitially any coalition, it's not the Bloomberg Coalition. Those coalitions
Speaker 1: don't exist anymore. It's a new coalition. How would he
Speaker 1: have to do that? And he ultimately decided against that.
Speaker 1: And I was completely honest. I told him exactly, very frankly,
Speaker 1: this is what you'd have to do in order to
Speaker 1: run an effective campaign. And he just decided against it.
Speaker 1: And I'd say, you st else I've never told anyone.
Speaker 1: I was asked to run for the New York City
Speaker 1: Council this year by the bye with the GOP. They
Speaker 1: asked me many, many, many times to run for a
Speaker 1: New York City Council seat, a competitive one that I
Speaker 1: think if I ran, I would win. I'm not. I
Speaker 1: think I could have won this one at it, but
Speaker 1: I would have to give up everything, and I wasn't.
Speaker 1: I mean, I would give not just the podcast, but
Speaker 1: my pack and everything would have to be given up
Speaker 1: because you can't hold any other jobs by being in
Speaker 1: the city besides being the city council. And I worked
Speaker 1: so hard to build it that I wasn't willing to
Speaker 1: at this moment in my life give everything up to
Speaker 1: run for office. So that's why, you know, that's why
Speaker 1: I wasn' pick. That's why he wasn't picked either. But
Speaker 1: the cards were built and decked there for quite some
Speaker 1: time for Curtis Leewa, and people were so convinced about
Speaker 1: Andrew Cuomo that they didn't go along with it. So
Speaker 1: what does this mean for the general election? Now? Listen,
Speaker 1: there are absolutely parts of the Democratic base that the
Speaker 1: party doesn't understand. Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries and the
Speaker 1: rest of the coalition of the governing class of the
Speaker 1: Democratic Party, they don't understand that there's a very vocal
Speaker 1: and loud and strong part of their base in major
Speaker 1: cities that reject core values of this country that truly
Speaker 1: hate Jewish Americans, not just the state of Israel, but
Speaker 1: hate the idea of Jews that really want socialism and
Speaker 1: support for menality and race based identity politics infuse in
Speaker 1: every area of our country. And the face of that
Speaker 1: movement Mendannie if he is, if he wins in November.
Speaker 1: If you think they were able to raise money off
Speaker 1: of AOC, you have no idea what they'll be able
Speaker 1: to raise off Mendonni. Because at least AOC was good
Speaker 1: looking and enough people felt, you know, even though she
Speaker 1: was they felt that she was either dumb or crazy
Speaker 1: or whatnot, but there was a certain appeal to her
Speaker 1: among people. That is not true of Mendannie whatsoever. And
Speaker 1: he will and he is radical, and he will absolutely
Speaker 1: be a fundraising magnet for Republicans. But on its face,
Speaker 1: right on its face, what could this tell us about
Speaker 1: the general election? It says that Democrats are really in trouble.
Speaker 1: They really have to worry about this rising coalition of
Speaker 1: their party because they're going to take on establishment figure
Speaker 1: after established figure until he knock them all out or
Speaker 1: they retire, and they're going to be the craziest people
Speaker 1: they you know, forget about compromise a few issues. It
Speaker 1: will be all out war at all times. Partisan hacker
Speaker 1: to the maximum. Does it say about Republicans on its face, No,
Speaker 1: I mean not really doesn't say that. This means it's
Speaker 1: gonna you know, Republicans are going to win or Democrats
Speaker 1: are gonna lose or whatever, because remember when Obama was president,
Speaker 1: Republicans won mayorships in New York. When you know Democrats
Speaker 1: won mayorships, Trump won. It doesn't mean one thing or
Speaker 1: the other. But there is that educational divide that we
Speaker 1: saw in this election that you should absorb for yourself.
Speaker 1: Remember I said Quama won a lot of a bigger portion.
Speaker 1: Couoma actually won more assembly districts than Mandani did. He
Speaker 1: won a bigger physical region of New York. But this
Speaker 1: ultra hyper educated progressive people, they just showed up like
Speaker 1: you know, they were going to get one of those
Speaker 1: free cars from Oprah Winfrey. They showed up in full
Speaker 1: force like you've never seen before. And they couldn't compete
Speaker 1: with that because they had. The Democrats that quota support
Speaker 1: was counting on were lower educated, they did not vote
Speaker 1: as often. Education is tied a lot with voting habits.
Speaker 1: We are a party now that is really built on
Speaker 1: its back of the working class and the less educated,
Speaker 1: and going into this election, no matter if Trump is
Speaker 1: victorious in Iran and as all of these successes, it
Speaker 1: doesn't matter unless we can get these people to show
Speaker 1: up and yes, show up early and vote early. It's
Speaker 1: so important for Mandanni. This election was decided before election
Speaker 1: day because he got so many early votes out. I
Speaker 1: thought there would be a big spike for election day
Speaker 1: for Quota, but there wasn't. Republicans are the party of
Speaker 1: the working class, increasingly the party of blue collar people
Speaker 1: of multiple races and ethnicities. We have to do the
Speaker 1: job of getting these people to show up and vote
Speaker 1: a next November or we're gonna lose a lot of seats.
Speaker 1: We're gonna lose a lot of seats we should be
Speaker 1: winning that. That's really the lesson to take home is
Speaker 1: the educational splintering of our country and why Cuomo lost
Speaker 1: was because non college educated people or those with just
Speaker 1: a bachelor's or justice associates, do not vote as frequently
Speaker 1: as those with the postgraduate There's less of them, but
Speaker 1: they vote more frequently. And if you allow that to happen,
Speaker 1: you are allowing yourself to be governed by the minority.
Speaker 1: That's my segment for that. You know, we're going to
Speaker 1: look around and we're going to say, how do we
Speaker 1: lose all these seats if we don't wise up to
Speaker 1: that fact now and organize now. And you know, I
Speaker 1: hope there is some way in which the stars align
Speaker 1: and courteously what can be elected mayor over Mandani despite
Speaker 1: being very good for Republican fundraisers. Now, I want to
Speaker 1: get see the ask Me Anything segment of this show.
Speaker 1: This is the part that you guys send me emails,
Speaker 1: but literally anything I will try to answer. I'll do
Speaker 1: the research for you. I love these emails. I read
Speaker 1: every one of them, and those that I don't answer
Speaker 1: on the podcast I try to respond to individually. So
Speaker 1: you can email me, by the way, be part of
Speaker 1: the segment. Ryan at Numbers Game podcast dot comsploral Ryan
Speaker 1: at Numbers Game podcast dot com. Okay, this message comes
Speaker 1: from Frank Leski. He says, Ryan, I am a longtime
Speaker 1: fan and ossidious follower, have a but much higher vocabulary
Speaker 1: than me. Frank, I remember a few months back you
Speaker 1: talked about how if Democrats lost the Muslim vote in
Speaker 1: the Midwest, the Israel issue would cease to be a
Speaker 1: bipartisan issue, something I think absolutely sounds correct to me.
Speaker 1: Has there been any data on this recently since twenty
Speaker 1: twenty four election leading up to the twenty twenty six midterms?
Speaker 1: Also a suggestion let us know any podcasts or shows
Speaker 1: you're going to be on, and finally, are there any
Speaker 1: podcasts that you love and would recommend? Thank you so much. Okay,
Speaker 1: thank you for this wonderful email. I don't listen to
Speaker 1: a lot of political podcasts. I've listened to a lot
Speaker 1: of history podcasts and some comedy podcasts. I don't know
Speaker 1: if you're into history podcasts. Usually what happens I get
Speaker 1: into a thing and like I just I am completely
Speaker 1: immersed in it, where I will listen to seven podcasts
Speaker 1: on the same exact issue to see if I can spot,
Speaker 1: you know, in accuracies are things I didn't know? So like,
Speaker 1: this is so weird. Last month, May thirtieth was the
Speaker 1: feast day of Saint Joan of Arc. I am a
Speaker 1: practicing Catholic. I listened to, you know, fourteen hours of
Speaker 1: Joan of Arc podcast. I'm not joking. I was completely
Speaker 1: obsessed and engulfed, and I can't even tell you which
Speaker 1: ones I listened to, because I listened to basically anyone
Speaker 1: that had that in the title. Was I was trying
Speaker 1: to listen to to absorb it. I don't have an
Speaker 1: obsession right now. I'm actually just listening to an audio
Speaker 1: book on the life of Woody Allen by Woody Allen,
Speaker 1: which is actually really fascinating over the Mia Farroh stuff
Speaker 1: because I never really heard his side of the story before,
Speaker 1: and I kind of agree with him. Anyway. As far
Speaker 1: as what shows I'm doing, I've just did Tommy Laarn
Speaker 1: show that was great this past week. I put them
Speaker 1: on my Instagram, which I'm not really great at because
Speaker 1: I don't share a lot on social media outside of
Speaker 1: just my ramblings on Twitter. But you can go to
Speaker 1: Ryan Gurdusky on Instagram and I post my clips there
Speaker 1: and check them out, and I'll try to do a
Speaker 1: good job. If I got a big interview coming up,
Speaker 1: I'm supposed to do Magan Kelly this week, and I
Speaker 1: am supposed to do Will cow Majority. I don't know
Speaker 1: what times or anything like that, but I'm supposed to
Speaker 1: do those two shows. Okay, Now, what he was referring
Speaker 1: to about the Muslim voat, which is the really part
Speaker 1: of the question. What I said. I think I was
Speaker 1: on CNN when I said this, that because the Muslim
Speaker 1: boat was just a strong constituency in Michigan, that if
Speaker 1: Trump won Michigan because of the Muslim vote, especially on
Speaker 1: the Dearborn area, Democrats would see it as a warning
Speaker 1: sign and say we have to move and just appeal
Speaker 1: to just give up on the Jewish vote and just
Speaker 1: appeal to Muslims as a voting block. That did happen.
Speaker 1: Trump did win Michigan, and he won not completely just
Speaker 1: because of the Muslim vote, but he won a huge
Speaker 1: chunk of the Muslim voate. I think he might have
Speaker 1: won the majority in some parts of Michigan. So that
Speaker 1: prediction I had happened that he would do that. That
Speaker 1: did happen. Has there been any polling on it? No.
Speaker 1: I went through it and I just scrambling looking for
Speaker 1: any polling data, but there's not a lot. There's no
Speaker 1: nominees for the major parties in twenty twenty six, there
Speaker 1: wouldn't be a lot of public polling data on it.
Speaker 1: And there's not good cross tips on how the Muslim
Speaker 1: Boat particularly feels about Trump right now, especially with the
Speaker 1: Israel War things. So I couldn't really find anything, but
Speaker 1: I will go back to the beginning of the show.
Speaker 1: Look at Mandani. Mandanni wants to arrest Bee being Nanyaho.
Speaker 1: Look at AOC, Look at all these Democrats. This is
Speaker 1: definitely a shot a lens into the future. This is
Speaker 1: what they're going to be about. There will be no nuance.
Speaker 1: New York City has a ton of Jewish voters. It
Speaker 1: is a ton of Jewish voters. It did not matter
Speaker 1: the man who stands for worldwide in Fada one, I
Speaker 1: think that they have made it clear because it's not
Speaker 1: just the Muslims's progressives who also joined in that effort,
Speaker 1: but it is. It is that. And also remember it's
Speaker 1: not just Muslims in the Midwest. There's three hundred and
Speaker 1: twenty one thousand Muslims in Michigan, but there's two hundred
Speaker 1: and seventy thousand in Virginia, and seventy thousand in Georgia
Speaker 1: and one hundred thousand in Arizona. And I think it
Speaker 1: was Pew research pu out the trajectories within the next decade,
Speaker 1: within the next ten years, probably less than that we
Speaker 1: will for the very first time have more Muslims in
Speaker 1: America then we have Jews, and they will live in
Speaker 1: more important states. Jews are highly concentrated in a handful
Speaker 1: of states, the most important being Pennsylvania, and then I
Speaker 1: guess Florida, but Floria is no longer a swing state.
Speaker 1: So Pennsylvania Muslim population is very high, and it's concentrated
Speaker 1: in Georgia and Michigan and Minnesota, and there's a lot
Speaker 1: in Arizona. There's a lot in Virginia. There's a lot
Speaker 1: of Nevada. That's the swing states. Governor Abbott is bringing
Speaker 1: them by the boat loads to Texas. So if Texas
Speaker 1: ever becomes a swing state, yeah, they'll matter a ton.
Speaker 1: So there's no polling yet doesn't mean that they won't
Speaker 1: be polling. I think that the signs are very obvious
Speaker 1: that that is how the party is headed. And you'll
Speaker 1: have like the peep foota juge of the world still
Speaker 1: trying to be very nuanced about the Israel issue for Democrats.
Speaker 1: But then you will have a hardcore progressive who will
Speaker 1: be like no fit global and fada all the way.
Speaker 1: Who knows if they'll win, but they'll have a very
Speaker 1: very strong base to work with and we just saw
Speaker 1: it in New York City. That's my podcast for this
Speaker 1: Thursday's episode. Stay tuned and check out Monday's episode. Actually,
Speaker 1: listeners gaming the idea for the episode, so I'm responding
Speaker 1: to This is why I love getting these emails. I
Speaker 1: not only respond to them. Sometimes I make whole episodes,
Speaker 1: but then we have a special guest to talk about
Speaker 1: an issue that listeners asked me enough times about that
Speaker 1: I said, let's make a whole episode. So please check
Speaker 1: us out on Monday. Like and follow us on the
Speaker 1: iHeartRadio app Apple podcast where big at your podcast, throw
Speaker 1: us a five star. I check out and see how
Speaker 1: my stars are doing, and I would love to get
Speaker 1: one from you. It would really really help. So thanks
Speaker 1: again for listening. I'll see you Monday.