1 00:00:02,680 --> 00:00:05,200 Speaker 1: Welcome back to a numbers game with Ryan Kerdusky. Thank 2 00:00:05,200 --> 00:00:09,400 Speaker 1: you again for being here another episode. And I have 3 00:00:09,880 --> 00:00:13,720 Speaker 1: been receiving tons of emails, text messages, tweets, and it's 4 00:00:13,760 --> 00:00:17,160 Speaker 1: all about the same exact thing. What the hell happened 5 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 1: in New York City. So for those of you who 6 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 1: do not know, which I'm sure everyone does, but I'll 7 00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:25,759 Speaker 1: recap him Former Governor Andrew Cuomo, who has been the 8 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 1: favorite to win the Democratic nomination for Mayor of New 9 00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 1: York City for a while now. He only announced three 10 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 1: months ago, but he has been a de facto Canada 11 00:00:34,159 --> 00:00:36,159 Speaker 1: in the race for well over a year and was 12 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 1: assumed to be the leading contender. He lost to an 13 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:45,200 Speaker 1: upstart assemblyman named Zorn mom Donnie, probably the furthest left 14 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:48,960 Speaker 1: wing candidate nominated by a major party in any major city. Yeah, 15 00:00:48,960 --> 00:00:52,480 Speaker 1: he's further left of the mayor of Chicago, Los Angeles, 16 00:00:52,600 --> 00:00:56,360 Speaker 1: washingty C. He's probably even to the left of the 17 00:00:56,400 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 1: mayor of Boston, which is pretty hard because she is 18 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 1: a flat out comedy not of actual comedy. But she's 19 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 1: very far green energy all the rest of it, He's 20 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 1: still left of her. Drew Cuomo ultimately received three hundred 21 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 1: and sixty two thousand votes to Mandani's four hundred and 22 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:16,639 Speaker 1: thirty two thousand was forty three point five to thirty 23 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 1: six point five percent, is a seven point loss now 24 00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:22,240 Speaker 1: because of ranked choice voting. It's this way that New 25 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:26,360 Speaker 1: York counts their votes, which is absolutely incredibly stupid. They 26 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:29,480 Speaker 1: do this in the primary. We won't Mendanmi won't have 27 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:32,360 Speaker 1: not officially won for a couple of days, probably until 28 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:35,480 Speaker 1: Monday is my guest or Friday, but he is the 29 00:01:35,480 --> 00:01:38,400 Speaker 1: de facto candidate. Cuomo Head calls him to concede the election. 30 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:41,640 Speaker 1: He is a vocal supporter of defunding the police. He 31 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:43,919 Speaker 1: wants to arrest bb net and Yahoo if he visits 32 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:46,760 Speaker 1: New York City. He wants to end the specialized schools 33 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 1: for gifted and talented students. He wants to raise taxes 34 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:52,680 Speaker 1: to make public buildings green at the cost of three 35 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 1: point two seven billion dollars to tax pre payers. He 36 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:58,880 Speaker 1: wants to freeze rents. He wants to have government controlled 37 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:02,200 Speaker 1: grocery stores. He also opposes New York City working with 38 00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:05,320 Speaker 1: ice officers to port criminal aliens who can make crimes. 39 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:10,040 Speaker 1: This shouldn't be shocking. It is AOC with testicles. He 40 00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 1: is to the left of every other candidate in the 41 00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:16,560 Speaker 1: race and the city at home at large. There was 42 00:02:16,639 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 1: one canonam Paperboy Love. He might have been to the 43 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 1: left of Mandanni, but I don't really I didn't really 44 00:02:21,760 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 1: read up too much on him anyway. One of the 45 00:02:25,040 --> 00:02:28,160 Speaker 1: smartest comments I saw about this election came from Gavin 46 00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:30,600 Speaker 1: Wax He's the former president of the New York Young Republicans. 47 00:02:30,600 --> 00:02:32,880 Speaker 1: He's unknown for a very long time, and he said 48 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 1: on Twitter calling Mandanni a socialist and anti Israel on 49 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:39,080 Speaker 1: repeat didn't hurt him, It helped him with those attacking 50 00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 1: convinced no one politics is already incredibly radicalized locally and nationally. 51 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 1: Either offer a radical counter or accept the defeat with 52 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:52,360 Speaker 1: a boiler played talking point in sloganeering. I agree with 53 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:55,799 Speaker 1: what Gavin said, because that's what truth man. Donnie's message 54 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 1: as insane as it was to everyone with an IQ 55 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:02,239 Speaker 1: above you know room temperature, which is a New York 56 00:03:02,240 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 1: one hundred degrees, So with anyone with an IQ above 57 00:03:05,080 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 1: one hundred, it seems like it's crazy. But to people 58 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:14,360 Speaker 1: who are of the left persuasion are still in the 59 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:19,720 Speaker 1: Democratic Party, that was the dreams and possibilities, realized what 60 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 1: he was saying was was speaking to their values, that 61 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 1: they could sit there and reach for the stars, that 62 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:30,239 Speaker 1: they could make New York this progressive state, this progressive city, 63 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:33,120 Speaker 1: which it's really more of an establishment Democrats city always 64 00:03:33,160 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 1: has been not really that much of a progressive city. 65 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:41,280 Speaker 1: And he really reached to wealthy voters, wealthy, high income, 66 00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:46,600 Speaker 1: high college degree holding voters who want to make believe 67 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 1: that they are standing up for the working class even 68 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:52,080 Speaker 1: though the policies that they advanced are punishing them. Because 69 00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 1: while the right may may look at Mendonia's and kind 70 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:57,080 Speaker 1: of Jihatas, which was like the stupidest hot take I 71 00:03:57,080 --> 00:03:59,680 Speaker 1: saw from a bunch of right wingers on Twitter, the 72 00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:02,680 Speaker 1: truth is he's just a cultural Marxist. He just views 73 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 1: society in the lens of identity and those who use 74 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:08,240 Speaker 1: identity as a tool to bring Marxism. This is no 75 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:11,760 Speaker 1: different than Chavez used race and economic anxiety to flip 76 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:15,160 Speaker 1: Venezuela and once he did democratically one time. That's all 77 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:19,320 Speaker 1: he needed Cuomo's message that the election was about you 78 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 1: owe me. Because of Andrew Cuomo, I'm the NEPO baby 79 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:25,000 Speaker 1: who moved across the political spectrum while I was governor 80 00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:27,720 Speaker 1: and had to resign a disgrace. It was really about him, 81 00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:29,560 Speaker 1: and he was like, I can write these ships. I 82 00:04:29,680 --> 00:04:33,160 Speaker 1: can make everything calm and easy and make people want 83 00:04:33,200 --> 00:04:36,480 Speaker 1: to stay in New York at a slow pace. The decline. 84 00:04:36,720 --> 00:04:39,280 Speaker 1: I'm going to manage the decline of New York was 85 00:04:39,360 --> 00:04:43,320 Speaker 1: essentially Cuomo's message. It was his message as governor too. Men. 86 00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 1: Donnie's message is about creating a progressive paradise in the 87 00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:51,840 Speaker 1: largest city in America. It has much more appeal than 88 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:55,760 Speaker 1: managed a client. That's the difference between a lot of 89 00:04:55,800 --> 00:05:00,040 Speaker 1: neo liberalists and nationalists on the right and progressive on 90 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:02,279 Speaker 1: the left. And he wasn't the only one who lost 91 00:05:02,279 --> 00:05:06,520 Speaker 1: New York City yesterday. Former Congressman, former my former congressman, 92 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:09,039 Speaker 1: the first person I ever voted for. He was running 93 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 1: unopposed when I voted for him, But was Anthony Wiener. 94 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 1: He lost the city council seat when he ran because 95 00:05:14,400 --> 00:05:16,160 Speaker 1: he was running on this message over I'm going to 96 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:19,240 Speaker 1: come back, and New Yorker said, no, we've seen this 97 00:05:19,279 --> 00:05:21,240 Speaker 1: movie before and we're kind of done with it. And 98 00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:25,640 Speaker 1: Wiener was a very far left ten years ago, thirteen 99 00:05:25,680 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: years ago when he had to resign in disgrace, or 100 00:05:27,680 --> 00:05:31,200 Speaker 1: fourteen years ago now, but he was The left has 101 00:05:31,320 --> 00:05:33,840 Speaker 1: moved so far left that Wiener is then considered a 102 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 1: more moderate voice in the Democratic Party now. And Cuoma 103 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:39,000 Speaker 1: was a right winger, which is insane because he did 104 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:43,240 Speaker 1: the endless the cash bail people living in most parts 105 00:05:43,279 --> 00:05:48,680 Speaker 1: of Manhattan, but especially the areas around the highly educated places, 106 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:51,880 Speaker 1: like the people not necessarily in Manhattan, but off of Manhattan, 107 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 1: those who never I don't know, couldn't afford the ten 108 00:05:54,440 --> 00:05:56,320 Speaker 1: thousand dollars month rens, so they settled for the five 109 00:05:56,320 --> 00:05:58,719 Speaker 1: thousand dollars month ronds. A lot of them living off 110 00:05:58,760 --> 00:06:02,479 Speaker 1: their parents. By the way, they're only passing through New York. 111 00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:05,000 Speaker 1: They're going to settle here like they settle in a 112 00:06:05,040 --> 00:06:08,040 Speaker 1: number of cities in their life. They're very progressive, they're 113 00:06:08,160 --> 00:06:10,960 Speaker 1: very high educated. They vote often, they vote early, they 114 00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:13,560 Speaker 1: vote frequently, and they vote to the left. And New 115 00:06:13,640 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 1: York City is become a sponge for those kinds of people. 116 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:21,480 Speaker 1: New York City. If you have blue hair and thirty 117 00:06:21,480 --> 00:06:23,359 Speaker 1: six genders and you don't know if you like a 118 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 1: boy or girl, you are a boy or girl, Why 119 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:28,240 Speaker 1: would you stay in Long Island for why would you 120 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 1: stay in most parts of Connecticut or Kentucky or Ohio. 121 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:34,600 Speaker 1: You don't have to. You can come to New York, 122 00:06:34,760 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 1: especially to these areas of high progressive activism, and find 123 00:06:39,360 --> 00:06:42,800 Speaker 1: a home. And maybe they won't stay there, but they 124 00:06:42,880 --> 00:06:45,000 Speaker 1: come to New York with this dream that New York 125 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:48,159 Speaker 1: is still the New York I was born and raised into, 126 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 1: like the New York is this twenty four hour city 127 00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:54,200 Speaker 1: full of energetic artists when it's not. I mean it 128 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:56,120 Speaker 1: was for a very long time, but it's not. It's 129 00:06:56,160 --> 00:06:58,080 Speaker 1: all corporate now and it's not a twenty four hour 130 00:06:58,120 --> 00:07:02,080 Speaker 1: city anymore. Artists aren't breaking any ground. It's not particularly 131 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:04,320 Speaker 1: edgy like it used to be. And that's just my opinion. 132 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:08,799 Speaker 1: But it's still the best city in America. But they're 133 00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:11,320 Speaker 1: passing through it and changing it. And as go New 134 00:07:11,440 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 1: York will go the rest of the country. I heard 135 00:07:13,160 --> 00:07:16,600 Speaker 1: this big thing. Let just New York burn. The entire 136 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:21,640 Speaker 1: Democratic leadership is in New York City. Chuck Schumer, Haakim Jeffries, 137 00:07:22,120 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 1: all of these people, Jerry Nadler, all of these people 138 00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:28,760 Speaker 1: are in New York and they are looking at an 139 00:07:28,840 --> 00:07:33,440 Speaker 1: electorate that is mad and insane, and they have to 140 00:07:33,520 --> 00:07:36,720 Speaker 1: sit there and do something in order not to get 141 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:41,360 Speaker 1: primary in order to move to that insane left. That's 142 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 1: where they're going to be running to. So you can't 143 00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 1: just say screw it. New Yorkers deserve what they get. 144 00:07:47,480 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 1: San Francisco had that appeal and eventually elected this unknown 145 00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 1: wman named Nancy Pelosi, who happened to be the third 146 00:07:53,760 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 1: most powerful person in the country or third line for 147 00:07:55,960 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 1: the presidency and most powerful person the House of Presentatives 148 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:01,960 Speaker 1: for six years and fundamentally changed all of America. You 149 00:08:02,000 --> 00:08:04,600 Speaker 1: can't just sit there and say, oh, screw them whatever. 150 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:10,360 Speaker 1: The people who lived away from Manhattan, those who depend 151 00:08:10,400 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 1: on the police, who work as police officers or in 152 00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:16,160 Speaker 1: the social services, who depend on social services, who were 153 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:19,280 Speaker 1: less educated and made not a college degree so you're 154 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:23,400 Speaker 1: not a post doctorate. They did not vote for Mendani, 155 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:26,200 Speaker 1: but they didn't vote as much. I want to get 156 00:08:26,240 --> 00:08:30,080 Speaker 1: into the numbers so you can understand this sponge effect 157 00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:35,080 Speaker 1: of these highly progressive left wing voters in this very 158 00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:39,360 Speaker 1: small geographic area, how it changed the entire city. So 159 00:08:39,400 --> 00:08:42,880 Speaker 1: if you look at the area around Manhattan, on the 160 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:46,000 Speaker 1: Brooklyn and Queen's side. There's a bunch of neighborhoods. New 161 00:08:46,080 --> 00:08:48,960 Speaker 1: York is broken up when they do elections by assembly district. 162 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:51,280 Speaker 1: Assembly is the state house, right, we call it assembly 163 00:08:51,280 --> 00:08:54,839 Speaker 1: instead of state House. Whatever. The state Assembly districts. There 164 00:08:54,880 --> 00:08:59,440 Speaker 1: are sixty five Assembly districts in New York City. There 165 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:04,560 Speaker 1: are ten that border Manhattan, thirty eighty, thirty four, thirty six, 166 00:09:04,640 --> 00:09:07,199 Speaker 1: thirty seven, forty six, fifty to fifty one, fifty two, 167 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:09,480 Speaker 1: fifty three, fifty six, and fifty seven. If you're playing 168 00:09:09,520 --> 00:09:11,240 Speaker 1: at home, those are numbers you want to look at. 169 00:09:11,960 --> 00:09:18,320 Speaker 1: Was ten districts gave Mendani one hundred and thirty five thousand, 170 00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:21,880 Speaker 1: six hundred and twenty four votes out of the four 171 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:25,720 Speaker 1: hundred and thirty two thousand he received. A third of 172 00:09:25,960 --> 00:09:29,880 Speaker 1: all of his votes came from these ten Assembly districts, 173 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:33,640 Speaker 1: which represent about fifteen percent of all the Assembly seats 174 00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:38,440 Speaker 1: in New York, So one in three voters came from 175 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:42,720 Speaker 1: only about fifteen percent of the entire geographic makeup and 176 00:09:42,800 --> 00:09:47,320 Speaker 1: population makeup of New York City. Cuomo, on the other hand, 177 00:09:47,360 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 1: he received about twelve percent of his total vote from 178 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:54,480 Speaker 1: this exact area. He didn't underperform that much relative to 179 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 1: the rest of the rest of the city, I mean 180 00:09:57,360 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 1: matching it over. He underperformed, but it wasn't like wasn't 181 00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:04,360 Speaker 1: It wasn't he couldn't get one percent, you know what 182 00:10:04,360 --> 00:10:07,319 Speaker 1: I mean, He didn't get zero. He just did underperform. 183 00:10:07,360 --> 00:10:09,320 Speaker 1: But it didn't matter because he balanced it out in 184 00:10:09,360 --> 00:10:12,880 Speaker 1: these other areas further away from Manhattan, and he did 185 00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:16,360 Speaker 1: very well in some precincts, like in the Orthodox Jewish areas, 186 00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:21,880 Speaker 1: but that didn't matter because the vote total was incredibly 187 00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:25,520 Speaker 1: different of where they were voting. A story of Queens 188 00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:29,200 Speaker 1: which is one neighborhood, right, It's one little neighborhood in 189 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:35,079 Speaker 1: that area, in that region, it had more voters than 190 00:10:35,400 --> 00:10:40,440 Speaker 1: all the other working white class or middle class, white 191 00:10:40,520 --> 00:10:46,840 Speaker 1: majority areas of Queen's County combined. So like Middle Village 192 00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:49,079 Speaker 1: that's the area I was born and raised in, had 193 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:53,479 Speaker 1: twenty two hundred votes. Howard Beach, all very prominent italighborhood, 194 00:10:53,520 --> 00:10:57,400 Speaker 1: had sixteen hundred votes. White Stone another it's very Asian 195 00:10:57,440 --> 00:11:01,800 Speaker 1: and white mixed neighborhood twenty three hundred vot votes. Storia 196 00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:06,239 Speaker 1: this Beacon and progressivesm these voters that made AOC a congressman, 197 00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:09,400 Speaker 1: these voters that give the far left all their seats. 198 00:11:09,880 --> 00:11:14,480 Speaker 1: They had twenty five thousand votes. That's more than the 199 00:11:14,520 --> 00:11:18,520 Speaker 1: Borough Park, Brooklyn area Orthodox shoes. Everyone was excited they 200 00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:21,520 Speaker 1: were going to vote. They had eight thousand votes. This 201 00:11:21,640 --> 00:11:26,040 Speaker 1: progressive area had twenty three times as many. They had 202 00:11:26,120 --> 00:11:28,800 Speaker 1: more voters in that area than in the working class 203 00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:31,800 Speaker 1: black neighborhood, which has tons of voters. It's not the 204 00:11:31,800 --> 00:11:36,439 Speaker 1: people weren't there. They didn't vote, They just didn't show 205 00:11:36,520 --> 00:11:40,640 Speaker 1: up and vote. And I think it's important to realize 206 00:11:40,679 --> 00:11:43,200 Speaker 1: where now the New York Times of this whole entire 207 00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:45,960 Speaker 1: chart about what races broke up with it. It's very 208 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:51,640 Speaker 1: stupid because highly educated voter, white voters live in areas 209 00:11:51,679 --> 00:11:54,360 Speaker 1: that might be majority black, but it's like fifty percent black, 210 00:11:54,679 --> 00:11:57,760 Speaker 1: twenty five percent white. But if you count the turnout, 211 00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:00,000 Speaker 1: it's actually a higher percent white and lower percent Pole. 212 00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:02,199 Speaker 1: So I don't want to do it by race when 213 00:12:02,200 --> 00:12:04,040 Speaker 1: it comes to that, except if you look at the 214 00:12:04,160 --> 00:12:07,040 Speaker 1: super majority areas like the Dominican part of the Bronx 215 00:12:07,040 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 1: which is essentially all Dominican, or the Black area of Queens, 216 00:12:09,960 --> 00:12:13,000 Speaker 1: which is all black. If you look at economics stuff 217 00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:18,280 Speaker 1: you look at finances, the wealthiest districts in the city 218 00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:21,960 Speaker 1: broke for Cuomo about two hundred f two thousand more. 219 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:25,560 Speaker 1: That's Upperlyside, Upper West Side, everything else aside from that 220 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:28,079 Speaker 1: in the one hundred thousand, one hundred and fifty hundred 221 00:12:28,080 --> 00:12:32,959 Speaker 1: and ten hundred and thirteen thousand range, they voted for Mendani. 222 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:37,240 Speaker 1: Areas that had an income and at average income of 223 00:12:37,280 --> 00:12:40,080 Speaker 1: one hundred and seventeen thousand, six hundred dollars a year 224 00:12:40,200 --> 00:12:44,200 Speaker 1: or greater voted for Mendani by forty two point five 225 00:12:44,280 --> 00:12:48,200 Speaker 1: to twenty nine point three. Those of middle income, which 226 00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:50,920 Speaker 1: was sixty three thousand to one hundred and seventeen thousand 227 00:12:50,960 --> 00:12:53,199 Speaker 1: dollars income. This is from the New York Times. Sixty 228 00:12:53,240 --> 00:12:55,760 Speaker 1: three thousand to one hundred and seventeen thousand income voted 229 00:12:55,760 --> 00:12:59,720 Speaker 1: for Mindani by ten points. It was working class areas 230 00:12:59,760 --> 00:13:04,200 Speaker 1: that he gave Quamo thirteen point margin fifty two thirty seven. 231 00:13:04,760 --> 00:13:07,880 Speaker 1: A report from the Economists said that Quamo support was 232 00:13:07,880 --> 00:13:11,360 Speaker 1: the very rich and the very poor, and it was 233 00:13:11,440 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 1: Mendanni's support that were above living wage, college degree holders, 234 00:13:17,040 --> 00:13:21,520 Speaker 1: people who didn't own homes, transient people, millennial people, right, 235 00:13:21,960 --> 00:13:26,280 Speaker 1: That's who gave Cuomo his support. Cuomo did very well 236 00:13:26,320 --> 00:13:31,320 Speaker 1: in very white areas, very black areas, very Hispanic areas. 237 00:13:32,400 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 1: Mendanni did well in very mixed areas, areas where transients 238 00:13:36,360 --> 00:13:41,120 Speaker 1: have moved and displaced people and intergenerational people. There was 239 00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:43,839 Speaker 1: a huge support from the Asian community, which surprised me 240 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:46,360 Speaker 1: given that he's opposed to specialized schools and the number 241 00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:49,520 Speaker 1: one issue. But you had progressive state senators and state 242 00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:53,319 Speaker 1: legislators in New York City campaigning for Mendani. You had 243 00:13:53,320 --> 00:13:55,760 Speaker 1: a huge turnt among the Muslim population, which is not 244 00:13:55,800 --> 00:13:58,720 Speaker 1: a huge population in New York, but it's there. It 245 00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:02,400 Speaker 1: is there, and in some areas, in the Latino areas, 246 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:05,079 Speaker 1: he did very very well. He did very very well. 247 00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:08,880 Speaker 1: Among some places, people were kind of either making this 248 00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:12,439 Speaker 1: analogy that it was all rich white people or it 249 00:14:12,520 --> 00:14:16,240 Speaker 1: was all immigrants. That's not true. It's just not true. 250 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:20,400 Speaker 1: It's kind of a little bit of both. It was 251 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:26,479 Speaker 1: a lot of affluent millennial my generation, unfortunately white transient 252 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:32,520 Speaker 1: people who lived outside of Manhattan between Borough, between bay Ridge, 253 00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:37,360 Speaker 1: Brooklyn and Astoria, Queens. But there were also huge pockets 254 00:14:37,400 --> 00:14:41,840 Speaker 1: of recent immigrants that also supported Mendanni. It wasn't one 255 00:14:42,080 --> 00:14:45,760 Speaker 1: or the other. It was ancestral New Yorkers. People have 256 00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:49,880 Speaker 1: been there, multi generational New Yorkers in communities like the 257 00:14:49,880 --> 00:14:54,360 Speaker 1: one I grew up in that voted for Cuomo. It 258 00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:56,800 Speaker 1: was completely one side of that voted for Cuomo, people 259 00:14:56,800 --> 00:15:00,200 Speaker 1: who have been there forever. Now, I explained before were 260 00:15:00,280 --> 00:15:05,400 Speaker 1: about the working class issue. Here's where Cuomo had issues. 261 00:15:06,760 --> 00:15:12,240 Speaker 1: Working class voters are not as monolithically Democrat in New 262 00:15:12,400 --> 00:15:14,840 Speaker 1: York City as they used to be. Remember, New York 263 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:19,040 Speaker 1: City is a nine to one Democratic city, but among 264 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:23,840 Speaker 1: newly registered voters, it's close to one to one. From 265 00:15:23,880 --> 00:15:27,200 Speaker 1: twenty twenty four to twenty twenty five, New York City 266 00:15:27,200 --> 00:15:31,720 Speaker 1: added sixty eight thousand new active registered Democrats and fifty 267 00:15:31,840 --> 00:15:36,240 Speaker 1: seven thousand new active Republicans. Right, but it's not even 268 00:15:36,280 --> 00:15:39,120 Speaker 1: across the city. So Staten Islands, which obviously is the 269 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:41,240 Speaker 1: reddest part of New York City and one of the 270 00:15:41,280 --> 00:15:44,600 Speaker 1: reddest parts of the state, they added almost six thousand 271 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:48,880 Speaker 1: new registered Republicans. From twenty twenty four to twenty twenty five, 272 00:15:49,480 --> 00:15:54,320 Speaker 1: they added ninety four new Democrats. In the Bronx, Republicans 273 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:59,400 Speaker 1: added eleven thousand and five new Republicans active Republicans Democrats 274 00:15:59,480 --> 00:16:02,760 Speaker 1: only had less than nineteen hundred Democrats one eight hundred 275 00:16:02,760 --> 00:16:06,560 Speaker 1: and ninety five. That's nine thousand more new Republicans in 276 00:16:06,640 --> 00:16:11,800 Speaker 1: the Bronx than Democrats. The bluest part of the city, 277 00:16:12,040 --> 00:16:14,560 Speaker 1: the most working part class part of the city, Queens 278 00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:18,280 Speaker 1: eighteen thousand, six hundred and forty three new Republicans, ten 279 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:22,000 Speaker 1: thousand new Democrats, eight thousand more Republicans and Democrats in Queens. 280 00:16:22,840 --> 00:16:25,680 Speaker 1: So where do all these Democrats come from? These new Democrats, 281 00:16:25,720 --> 00:16:30,160 Speaker 1: these new progressors. Manhattan and Brooklyn, those two boroughs, twenty 282 00:16:30,200 --> 00:16:34,000 Speaker 1: two thousand new Republicans, fifty five thousand new Democrats. So 283 00:16:34,160 --> 00:16:38,240 Speaker 1: a party that is set in its ways or a 284 00:16:38,240 --> 00:16:42,800 Speaker 1: candidate that's set in its ways of winning traditional New Yorkers. One, 285 00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:44,880 Speaker 1: a lot of them have been outpriced out of the city. 286 00:16:44,920 --> 00:16:47,760 Speaker 1: But two, they're not as Democrat as they used to be. 287 00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 1: And that's why Andrew Cuomo's campaign had issues. It was 288 00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:57,080 Speaker 1: a larger coalition of people. But they're not all Democrats anymore. 289 00:16:57,120 --> 00:17:00,400 Speaker 1: The Democratic Party had left them behind, and the ones left, 290 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:05,040 Speaker 1: even in Staten Island, are the most progressive ones. These 291 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:08,920 Speaker 1: pockets of where Democrats are living and where these progressives 292 00:17:08,960 --> 00:17:14,359 Speaker 1: are active in Astoria, in Williamsburg, in Bay Ridge. These 293 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:17,480 Speaker 1: Democratic areas that are that are left, even in the 294 00:17:17,560 --> 00:17:22,920 Speaker 1: working class areas, are becoming more extreme because Centrists are 295 00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:26,160 Speaker 1: leaving to either become Republicans or Independents are not feeling 296 00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:30,639 Speaker 1: compelled to go vote, especially for Andrew Cuomo, who was 297 00:17:30,680 --> 00:17:35,320 Speaker 1: not a great governor. Resigned in disgrace. Whether it was 298 00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:38,000 Speaker 1: accurate his accusations or not, but it was resigned in disgrace, 299 00:17:38,800 --> 00:17:41,040 Speaker 1: and that most of the party had turned its back on. 300 00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:43,800 Speaker 1: And by the way, in twenty twenty five, as a Democrat, 301 00:17:43,840 --> 00:17:46,399 Speaker 1: was running as a straight white man, which does not 302 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:50,760 Speaker 1: win you points. And I want fellow Republicans to hear 303 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:53,760 Speaker 1: what I'm about to say. I know that we're gonna 304 00:17:53,760 --> 00:17:55,920 Speaker 1: have a very honest moment. What I want to say. 305 00:17:56,680 --> 00:18:01,000 Speaker 1: We spend the last decade laughing and mocking and battling 306 00:18:01,119 --> 00:18:05,920 Speaker 1: Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer and Barack Obama and Joe Biden, 307 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:10,040 Speaker 1: and we are going to miss them compare to what 308 00:18:10,280 --> 00:18:14,119 Speaker 1: is coming. They are what is coming out of the 309 00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:17,959 Speaker 1: Democratic Party now. Out of the elements that are left 310 00:18:18,440 --> 00:18:23,119 Speaker 1: in this Democratic Party are whack a doodle duel. And 311 00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:27,400 Speaker 1: I know a lot of older Republicans, boomer Republicans say oh, 312 00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:30,000 Speaker 1: they'll grow up when they pay taxes. These people are 313 00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:32,880 Speaker 1: in their forty some of them, they're never growing up. 314 00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:36,520 Speaker 1: This is their world and they intend to change it 315 00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:40,280 Speaker 1: to make every part of the country look and act 316 00:18:40,640 --> 00:18:43,760 Speaker 1: like them. They are crazy and they are coming out 317 00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:48,359 Speaker 1: in full force. And then Donnie like AOC is just 318 00:18:48,600 --> 00:18:52,080 Speaker 1: the beginning of what we're going to see. I want 319 00:18:52,119 --> 00:18:54,960 Speaker 1: to talk to if there's any chance of a Republican 320 00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 1: winning this mayor's race. I want to talk to if 321 00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:00,640 Speaker 1: there's any chance for an upset and if there's anything 322 00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:03,960 Speaker 1: that we can learn ahead of the midterms coming out 323 00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:10,080 Speaker 1: of this New York City mayoral election. So stay tuned. Okay, 324 00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:12,720 Speaker 1: So do the Republicans have a shot in hell in 325 00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:15,520 Speaker 1: November winning New York City. First of all, let me 326 00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:18,280 Speaker 1: explain the race. There was a rank choice voting in 327 00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:20,480 Speaker 1: the primary. There is not ranked choice voting in the general. 328 00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:22,800 Speaker 1: Whoever as the most votes wins, and it is a 329 00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:26,879 Speaker 1: five way race. New York State has very confusing election 330 00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:30,240 Speaker 1: laws that allow candidates to run under multiple parties. It's 331 00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:33,560 Speaker 1: called a Wilson vacoulaw so it allows candidates to create 332 00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:36,880 Speaker 1: their own parties, and Andrew Cuomo did so. Governor Cuomo 333 00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:40,360 Speaker 1: is on the ballot in November despite losing the Democratic primary. 334 00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:42,879 Speaker 1: He's under a party called the Fight and Deliver Party, 335 00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:46,159 Speaker 1: Andani will be under the Democrat Party and likely the 336 00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:50,440 Speaker 1: Working Families Party. Former US attorney and former registered Democrat 337 00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:53,639 Speaker 1: Jim Walden will be running as an independent. Current Mayor 338 00:19:53,840 --> 00:19:56,240 Speaker 1: Eric Adams will also be running as an independent, and 339 00:19:56,400 --> 00:19:58,800 Speaker 1: radio host and founder of the Guardian Angel Curtis Lee 340 00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:00,720 Speaker 1: will will be running as a rept Republican and the 341 00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:04,719 Speaker 1: Conservative Party candidate Sliwa ran in twenty twenty one and 342 00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:07,840 Speaker 1: received slightly less than twenty eight percent of the vote, 343 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:10,639 Speaker 1: which is actually even worse than Trump did in thirty percent. 344 00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:13,920 Speaker 1: President Trump has substantially increased the support in New York 345 00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:17,080 Speaker 1: City every time he's run for office. Now, I want 346 00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:19,760 Speaker 1: to talk about the Trump of it all, right, because 347 00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:22,359 Speaker 1: a lot of diehard Trump voters believe if you just 348 00:20:22,440 --> 00:20:25,800 Speaker 1: run a Trump light candidate anywhere, you'll win, right. So, 349 00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:29,280 Speaker 1: twenty sixteen, Trump received four hundred and ninety four thousand 350 00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:32,720 Speaker 1: votes in New York City, about eighteen percent total of 351 00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:36,040 Speaker 1: the vote. I was one of them. In twenty twenty 352 00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:39,360 Speaker 1: he got six hundred and ninety one thousand votes, which 353 00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:41,880 Speaker 1: is twenty three percent. Once again, I was one of them. 354 00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:44,919 Speaker 1: And in twenty twenty four he received seven hundred and 355 00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:48,600 Speaker 1: eighty six thousand votes, or thirty percent of the vote. 356 00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:50,879 Speaker 1: I was one of them again too, if anyone's wondering, 357 00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:53,720 Speaker 1: but from four hundred and ninety four thousand to seven 358 00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:56,560 Speaker 1: hundred and eighty six thousand is a substantial gain over 359 00:20:56,640 --> 00:21:00,399 Speaker 1: twelve years. And actually the last number, one hundred and 360 00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:03,359 Speaker 1: eighty six thousand is more than Eric Adams received in 361 00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:07,720 Speaker 1: twenty twenty one. For Curtius Lee what to win, which 362 00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:09,760 Speaker 1: is very unlikely and I'm not going to sugarcoat it, 363 00:21:09,800 --> 00:21:13,840 Speaker 1: but a perfect storm would have to occur. Eric Adams, 364 00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:18,200 Speaker 1: Andrew Cuomo, and Jim Walden would have to take votes 365 00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:21,320 Speaker 1: from Mendannie a long Democrats who don't agree with it 366 00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:24,160 Speaker 1: either his personality or they can't vote for a socialist, 367 00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:27,840 Speaker 1: but they would also never vote for a Republican. I'm 368 00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:30,760 Speaker 1: talking about voters in the upper West and upper east Side, 369 00:21:30,960 --> 00:21:34,359 Speaker 1: the heavily Dominican areas of the Bronx, the Black areas, 370 00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:37,479 Speaker 1: of Brooklyn and Queens areas that will never vote for 371 00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:41,240 Speaker 1: a Republican unless they're Michael Bloomberg, but they will never 372 00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:44,400 Speaker 1: vote for a Republican. And Emerson Pole, which turned out 373 00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:46,600 Speaker 1: to be correct in this primary election, found that only 374 00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:49,159 Speaker 1: thirty five percent of New Yorker's right now are committed 375 00:21:49,200 --> 00:21:52,400 Speaker 1: to voting for Mendanni, twenty one percent are saying they'll 376 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:55,080 Speaker 1: vote for Adams or Walden Cuomo was not included on 377 00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:57,960 Speaker 1: this list. Sixteen percent of their voting for sliwa and 378 00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:01,600 Speaker 1: twenty seven percent are undecided. Democrats would have to be 379 00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:04,199 Speaker 1: committed to the idea that it is more important to 380 00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:07,600 Speaker 1: stop their brand from being destroyed by Mandani, who will 381 00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:11,000 Speaker 1: be the face of the Democratic Party, then worried about 382 00:22:11,080 --> 00:22:14,200 Speaker 1: Sliwah serving one term, and they have to be committed 383 00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:18,560 Speaker 1: to trying to siphon off votes from Democrats. Everyone's sitting 384 00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:20,439 Speaker 1: there and asking me, can Curtis drop out? Can we 385 00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:23,440 Speaker 1: all endorse Eric Adams or vice versa? No, their names 386 00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:26,440 Speaker 1: will be on the ballot. You also don't want in 387 00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:31,480 Speaker 1: Eric Adams to drop out because there are voters that 388 00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:33,720 Speaker 1: will vote for Eric Adams but not for Curtis Leewa 389 00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:36,920 Speaker 1: and vice versa. And but also Curtis's name was on 390 00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:38,760 Speaker 1: the ballot. No matter what, no one's going to be 391 00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:40,800 Speaker 1: able to drop out together their name off of the ballot. 392 00:22:40,800 --> 00:22:44,280 Speaker 1: It is on the ballot. Slieba would have to run 393 00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:48,960 Speaker 1: a competent campaign where he gets an increased percentage of 394 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:51,160 Speaker 1: the Trump vote out In twenty twenty one, he got 395 00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:54,800 Speaker 1: forty five percent of Trump votes that came out of 396 00:22:54,840 --> 00:22:57,240 Speaker 1: the twenty twenty election in New York. This time, he'd 397 00:22:57,240 --> 00:23:00,280 Speaker 1: have to get closer to sixty percent, which is one 398 00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:04,399 Speaker 1: hundred and sixty thousand more New Yorkers that voted for 399 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,040 Speaker 1: Trump but had not voted for him in the last election. 400 00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:13,119 Speaker 1: And Democrats. The Walden Adams Cuomo coalition would have to 401 00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:17,399 Speaker 1: take about three hundred thousand Democrats with them in November, 402 00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:20,960 Speaker 1: which is no easy task. It's not like that's baked 403 00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:24,840 Speaker 1: in the cake. Is it possible? Anything is possible? Is 404 00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:29,040 Speaker 1: it likely? No? But can it happened? Yes? Some people 405 00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:31,760 Speaker 1: are asking online, like, you know, why did we pick 406 00:23:31,800 --> 00:23:34,439 Speaker 1: Curtis Leewall? Why did Republicans pick a candidate that's not 407 00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:36,600 Speaker 1: that strong? I mean Curtis. I like Curtis. I've met 408 00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:39,919 Speaker 1: him many times, perfectly nice person, but why didn't they 409 00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:42,840 Speaker 1: choose a stronger candidate. There was a story in the 410 00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:47,720 Speaker 1: New York Sun about I mean, Cuomo was not officially running, 411 00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:50,119 Speaker 1: but was all but officially running for a very long time, 412 00:23:50,760 --> 00:23:52,760 Speaker 1: and he was running on the idea of being a 413 00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:57,040 Speaker 1: stable force, especially for business and for police. So a 414 00:23:57,040 --> 00:24:03,240 Speaker 1: lot of Republicans who were considering running didn't want to 415 00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:07,000 Speaker 1: face Cuomo. The idea of Cuomo losing seemed insane. They 416 00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:08,959 Speaker 1: were like, this is not gonna happen. And Sliwa had 417 00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:12,639 Speaker 1: spent so much time energizing the base of the Republican Party. 418 00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:16,119 Speaker 1: He's been campaigning since twenty twenty one, so by the 419 00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:19,080 Speaker 1: time anyone looked around, Sleewa had it in the bag. 420 00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:24,240 Speaker 1: And they were and these moderate Republicans who with money 421 00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:27,719 Speaker 1: were betting on Cuomo. They were saying that this is 422 00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:29,920 Speaker 1: why would I have a Kamakazi fight if I can't 423 00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:32,639 Speaker 1: win the primary likely and Cuomo with a nominee that 424 00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:34,600 Speaker 1: I'll just stick with Cuomo. And I'm going to tell 425 00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:37,720 Speaker 1: my audience something I've never told anyone this. I got 426 00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:42,480 Speaker 1: a call. I want to say it was warm outside, 427 00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:46,080 Speaker 1: so I want to say it was Uh. It was 428 00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:51,040 Speaker 1: probably last late last summer, probably late last summer, and 429 00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 1: I got a call from a former New York Yankee, 430 00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:56,760 Speaker 1: a multi time World Series winning New York Yankee from 431 00:24:56,760 --> 00:24:59,960 Speaker 1: the nineties, one of the legacy Yankees, part of the dynasty, 432 00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:02,760 Speaker 1: and he was interested in running for mayor. And we 433 00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:06,360 Speaker 1: had a whole conversation about what it would take, how 434 00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:10,480 Speaker 1: to beat Sliwa, how to do this race, How he 435 00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:12,399 Speaker 1: would you know, how much money he would have to invest, 436 00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:15,359 Speaker 1: the coalition he would have to build, because it's not 437 00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:18,360 Speaker 1: legitially any coalition, it's not the Bloomberg Coalition. Those coalitions 438 00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:21,080 Speaker 1: don't exist anymore. It's a new coalition. How would he 439 00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:23,959 Speaker 1: have to do that? And he ultimately decided against that. 440 00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:28,760 Speaker 1: And I was completely honest. I told him exactly, very frankly, 441 00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:31,960 Speaker 1: this is what you'd have to do in order to 442 00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:34,960 Speaker 1: run an effective campaign. And he just decided against it. 443 00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:37,400 Speaker 1: And I'd say, you st else I've never told anyone. 444 00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:39,320 Speaker 1: I was asked to run for the New York City 445 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:42,080 Speaker 1: Council this year by the bye with the GOP. They 446 00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:44,359 Speaker 1: asked me many, many, many times to run for a 447 00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:47,720 Speaker 1: New York City Council seat, a competitive one that I 448 00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:50,280 Speaker 1: think if I ran, I would win. I'm not. I 449 00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:51,680 Speaker 1: think I could have won this one at it, but 450 00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:53,440 Speaker 1: I would have to give up everything, and I wasn't. 451 00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:55,240 Speaker 1: I mean, I would give not just the podcast, but 452 00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:57,760 Speaker 1: my pack and everything would have to be given up 453 00:25:57,840 --> 00:25:59,639 Speaker 1: because you can't hold any other jobs by being in 454 00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:02,320 Speaker 1: the city besides being the city council. And I worked 455 00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:04,000 Speaker 1: so hard to build it that I wasn't willing to 456 00:26:04,080 --> 00:26:06,119 Speaker 1: at this moment in my life give everything up to 457 00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:09,240 Speaker 1: run for office. So that's why, you know, that's why 458 00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:11,080 Speaker 1: I wasn' pick. That's why he wasn't picked either. But 459 00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:14,359 Speaker 1: the cards were built and decked there for quite some 460 00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:18,800 Speaker 1: time for Curtis Leewa, and people were so convinced about 461 00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:21,199 Speaker 1: Andrew Cuomo that they didn't go along with it. So 462 00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:23,240 Speaker 1: what does this mean for the general election? Now? Listen, 463 00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:29,040 Speaker 1: there are absolutely parts of the Democratic base that the 464 00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:37,080 Speaker 1: party doesn't understand. Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries and the 465 00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:39,520 Speaker 1: rest of the coalition of the governing class of the 466 00:26:39,520 --> 00:26:44,440 Speaker 1: Democratic Party, they don't understand that there's a very vocal 467 00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:48,280 Speaker 1: and loud and strong part of their base in major 468 00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:52,640 Speaker 1: cities that reject core values of this country that truly 469 00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:55,119 Speaker 1: hate Jewish Americans, not just the state of Israel, but 470 00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:59,280 Speaker 1: hate the idea of Jews that really want socialism and 471 00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:02,560 Speaker 1: support for menality and race based identity politics infuse in 472 00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:06,040 Speaker 1: every area of our country. And the face of that 473 00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:09,800 Speaker 1: movement Mendannie if he is, if he wins in November. 474 00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:11,359 Speaker 1: If you think they were able to raise money off 475 00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:14,400 Speaker 1: of AOC, you have no idea what they'll be able 476 00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:17,080 Speaker 1: to raise off Mendonni. Because at least AOC was good 477 00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:19,639 Speaker 1: looking and enough people felt, you know, even though she 478 00:27:19,720 --> 00:27:21,719 Speaker 1: was they felt that she was either dumb or crazy 479 00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:23,919 Speaker 1: or whatnot, but there was a certain appeal to her 480 00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:26,639 Speaker 1: among people. That is not true of Mendannie whatsoever. And 481 00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:30,120 Speaker 1: he will and he is radical, and he will absolutely 482 00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:35,159 Speaker 1: be a fundraising magnet for Republicans. But on its face, 483 00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:38,359 Speaker 1: right on its face, what could this tell us about 484 00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:42,400 Speaker 1: the general election? It says that Democrats are really in trouble. 485 00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:47,960 Speaker 1: They really have to worry about this rising coalition of 486 00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:51,800 Speaker 1: their party because they're going to take on establishment figure 487 00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:54,520 Speaker 1: after established figure until he knock them all out or 488 00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:57,639 Speaker 1: they retire, and they're going to be the craziest people 489 00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:00,919 Speaker 1: they you know, forget about compromise a few issues. It 490 00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:04,600 Speaker 1: will be all out war at all times. Partisan hacker 491 00:28:04,800 --> 00:28:10,080 Speaker 1: to the maximum. Does it say about Republicans on its face, No, 492 00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:12,720 Speaker 1: I mean not really doesn't say that. This means it's 493 00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:15,400 Speaker 1: gonna you know, Republicans are going to win or Democrats 494 00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:18,040 Speaker 1: are gonna lose or whatever, because remember when Obama was president, 495 00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:21,639 Speaker 1: Republicans won mayorships in New York. When you know Democrats 496 00:28:21,640 --> 00:28:24,000 Speaker 1: won mayorships, Trump won. It doesn't mean one thing or 497 00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:27,520 Speaker 1: the other. But there is that educational divide that we 498 00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:30,320 Speaker 1: saw in this election that you should absorb for yourself. 499 00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:34,520 Speaker 1: Remember I said Quama won a lot of a bigger portion. 500 00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:38,520 Speaker 1: Couoma actually won more assembly districts than Mandani did. He 501 00:28:38,600 --> 00:28:43,479 Speaker 1: won a bigger physical region of New York. But this 502 00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:49,320 Speaker 1: ultra hyper educated progressive people, they just showed up like 503 00:28:49,640 --> 00:28:50,880 Speaker 1: you know, they were going to get one of those 504 00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:54,040 Speaker 1: free cars from Oprah Winfrey. They showed up in full 505 00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:57,360 Speaker 1: force like you've never seen before. And they couldn't compete 506 00:28:57,400 --> 00:29:01,160 Speaker 1: with that because they had. The Democrats that quota support 507 00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:05,320 Speaker 1: was counting on were lower educated, they did not vote 508 00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:08,280 Speaker 1: as often. Education is tied a lot with voting habits. 509 00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:12,520 Speaker 1: We are a party now that is really built on 510 00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:15,720 Speaker 1: its back of the working class and the less educated, 511 00:29:15,760 --> 00:29:19,480 Speaker 1: and going into this election, no matter if Trump is 512 00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:23,520 Speaker 1: victorious in Iran and as all of these successes, it 513 00:29:23,560 --> 00:29:26,920 Speaker 1: doesn't matter unless we can get these people to show 514 00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:31,480 Speaker 1: up and yes, show up early and vote early. It's 515 00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:36,040 Speaker 1: so important for Mandanni. This election was decided before election 516 00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:38,880 Speaker 1: day because he got so many early votes out. I 517 00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:40,640 Speaker 1: thought there would be a big spike for election day 518 00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:44,320 Speaker 1: for Quota, but there wasn't. Republicans are the party of 519 00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:48,120 Speaker 1: the working class, increasingly the party of blue collar people 520 00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:51,520 Speaker 1: of multiple races and ethnicities. We have to do the 521 00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:53,880 Speaker 1: job of getting these people to show up and vote 522 00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:56,680 Speaker 1: a next November or we're gonna lose a lot of seats. 523 00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:58,800 Speaker 1: We're gonna lose a lot of seats we should be 524 00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:02,200 Speaker 1: winning that. That's really the lesson to take home is 525 00:30:02,240 --> 00:30:08,040 Speaker 1: the educational splintering of our country and why Cuomo lost 526 00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:11,320 Speaker 1: was because non college educated people or those with just 527 00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:14,520 Speaker 1: a bachelor's or justice associates, do not vote as frequently 528 00:30:14,840 --> 00:30:18,480 Speaker 1: as those with the postgraduate There's less of them, but 529 00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:21,960 Speaker 1: they vote more frequently. And if you allow that to happen, 530 00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:24,240 Speaker 1: you are allowing yourself to be governed by the minority. 531 00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:27,440 Speaker 1: That's my segment for that. You know, we're going to 532 00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:29,320 Speaker 1: look around and we're going to say, how do we 533 00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:31,520 Speaker 1: lose all these seats if we don't wise up to 534 00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:35,520 Speaker 1: that fact now and organize now. And you know, I 535 00:30:35,560 --> 00:30:37,760 Speaker 1: hope there is some way in which the stars align 536 00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:41,880 Speaker 1: and courteously what can be elected mayor over Mandani despite 537 00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:44,720 Speaker 1: being very good for Republican fundraisers. Now, I want to 538 00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:47,560 Speaker 1: get see the ask Me Anything segment of this show. 539 00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:49,479 Speaker 1: This is the part that you guys send me emails, 540 00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:51,440 Speaker 1: but literally anything I will try to answer. I'll do 541 00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:53,520 Speaker 1: the research for you. I love these emails. I read 542 00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:55,360 Speaker 1: every one of them, and those that I don't answer 543 00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:58,640 Speaker 1: on the podcast I try to respond to individually. So 544 00:30:58,680 --> 00:30:59,920 Speaker 1: you can email me, by the way, be part of 545 00:30:59,920 --> 00:31:03,840 Speaker 1: the segment. Ryan at Numbers Game podcast dot comsploral Ryan 546 00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:07,760 Speaker 1: at Numbers Game podcast dot com. Okay, this message comes 547 00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:11,960 Speaker 1: from Frank Leski. He says, Ryan, I am a longtime 548 00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:16,800 Speaker 1: fan and ossidious follower, have a but much higher vocabulary 549 00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:19,720 Speaker 1: than me. Frank, I remember a few months back you 550 00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:21,800 Speaker 1: talked about how if Democrats lost the Muslim vote in 551 00:31:21,840 --> 00:31:24,200 Speaker 1: the Midwest, the Israel issue would cease to be a 552 00:31:24,200 --> 00:31:27,240 Speaker 1: bipartisan issue, something I think absolutely sounds correct to me. 553 00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:30,080 Speaker 1: Has there been any data on this recently since twenty 554 00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:32,560 Speaker 1: twenty four election leading up to the twenty twenty six midterms? 555 00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:35,040 Speaker 1: Also a suggestion let us know any podcasts or shows 556 00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:37,120 Speaker 1: you're going to be on, and finally, are there any 557 00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:40,640 Speaker 1: podcasts that you love and would recommend? Thank you so much. Okay, 558 00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:42,920 Speaker 1: thank you for this wonderful email. I don't listen to 559 00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:44,680 Speaker 1: a lot of political podcasts. I've listened to a lot 560 00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:47,040 Speaker 1: of history podcasts and some comedy podcasts. I don't know 561 00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:50,400 Speaker 1: if you're into history podcasts. Usually what happens I get 562 00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:54,040 Speaker 1: into a thing and like I just I am completely 563 00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:56,560 Speaker 1: immersed in it, where I will listen to seven podcasts 564 00:31:56,600 --> 00:31:58,680 Speaker 1: on the same exact issue to see if I can spot, 565 00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:01,880 Speaker 1: you know, in accuracies are things I didn't know? So like, 566 00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:05,360 Speaker 1: this is so weird. Last month, May thirtieth was the 567 00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:07,280 Speaker 1: feast day of Saint Joan of Arc. I am a 568 00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:11,320 Speaker 1: practicing Catholic. I listened to, you know, fourteen hours of 569 00:32:11,360 --> 00:32:14,920 Speaker 1: Joan of Arc podcast. I'm not joking. I was completely 570 00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:18,040 Speaker 1: obsessed and engulfed, and I can't even tell you which 571 00:32:18,080 --> 00:32:20,479 Speaker 1: ones I listened to, because I listened to basically anyone 572 00:32:20,520 --> 00:32:22,840 Speaker 1: that had that in the title. Was I was trying 573 00:32:22,840 --> 00:32:25,320 Speaker 1: to listen to to absorb it. I don't have an 574 00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:27,920 Speaker 1: obsession right now. I'm actually just listening to an audio 575 00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:30,840 Speaker 1: book on the life of Woody Allen by Woody Allen, 576 00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:33,680 Speaker 1: which is actually really fascinating over the Mia Farroh stuff 577 00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:36,160 Speaker 1: because I never really heard his side of the story before, 578 00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:38,960 Speaker 1: and I kind of agree with him. Anyway. As far 579 00:32:39,040 --> 00:32:41,280 Speaker 1: as what shows I'm doing, I've just did Tommy Laarn 580 00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:43,160 Speaker 1: show that was great this past week. I put them 581 00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:45,240 Speaker 1: on my Instagram, which I'm not really great at because 582 00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,520 Speaker 1: I don't share a lot on social media outside of 583 00:32:47,560 --> 00:32:49,680 Speaker 1: just my ramblings on Twitter. But you can go to 584 00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:52,240 Speaker 1: Ryan Gurdusky on Instagram and I post my clips there 585 00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:54,240 Speaker 1: and check them out, and I'll try to do a 586 00:32:54,280 --> 00:32:56,520 Speaker 1: good job. If I got a big interview coming up, 587 00:32:56,880 --> 00:33:00,360 Speaker 1: I'm supposed to do Magan Kelly this week, and I 588 00:33:00,400 --> 00:33:03,160 Speaker 1: am supposed to do Will cow Majority. I don't know 589 00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:05,400 Speaker 1: what times or anything like that, but I'm supposed to 590 00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:08,600 Speaker 1: do those two shows. Okay, Now, what he was referring 591 00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:11,480 Speaker 1: to about the Muslim voat, which is the really part 592 00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:14,680 Speaker 1: of the question. What I said. I think I was 593 00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:18,160 Speaker 1: on CNN when I said this, that because the Muslim 594 00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:22,840 Speaker 1: boat was just a strong constituency in Michigan, that if 595 00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:29,000 Speaker 1: Trump won Michigan because of the Muslim vote, especially on 596 00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:32,640 Speaker 1: the Dearborn area, Democrats would see it as a warning 597 00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:35,680 Speaker 1: sign and say we have to move and just appeal 598 00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:37,760 Speaker 1: to just give up on the Jewish vote and just 599 00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:43,120 Speaker 1: appeal to Muslims as a voting block. That did happen. 600 00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:45,920 Speaker 1: Trump did win Michigan, and he won not completely just 601 00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:47,720 Speaker 1: because of the Muslim vote, but he won a huge 602 00:33:47,800 --> 00:33:49,200 Speaker 1: chunk of the Muslim voate. I think he might have 603 00:33:49,240 --> 00:33:53,480 Speaker 1: won the majority in some parts of Michigan. So that 604 00:33:55,000 --> 00:33:57,320 Speaker 1: prediction I had happened that he would do that. That 605 00:33:57,360 --> 00:34:00,680 Speaker 1: did happen. Has there been any polling on it? No. 606 00:34:01,080 --> 00:34:04,120 Speaker 1: I went through it and I just scrambling looking for 607 00:34:04,200 --> 00:34:07,320 Speaker 1: any polling data, but there's not a lot. There's no 608 00:34:07,320 --> 00:34:10,000 Speaker 1: nominees for the major parties in twenty twenty six, there 609 00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:12,680 Speaker 1: wouldn't be a lot of public polling data on it. 610 00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:15,120 Speaker 1: And there's not good cross tips on how the Muslim 611 00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:19,200 Speaker 1: Boat particularly feels about Trump right now, especially with the 612 00:34:19,200 --> 00:34:21,640 Speaker 1: Israel War things. So I couldn't really find anything, but 613 00:34:22,440 --> 00:34:23,760 Speaker 1: I will go back to the beginning of the show. 614 00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:28,040 Speaker 1: Look at Mandani. Mandanni wants to arrest Bee being Nanyaho. 615 00:34:28,480 --> 00:34:33,040 Speaker 1: Look at AOC, Look at all these Democrats. This is 616 00:34:33,200 --> 00:34:37,960 Speaker 1: definitely a shot a lens into the future. This is 617 00:34:38,160 --> 00:34:40,920 Speaker 1: what they're going to be about. There will be no nuance. 618 00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:45,840 Speaker 1: New York City has a ton of Jewish voters. It 619 00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:49,000 Speaker 1: is a ton of Jewish voters. It did not matter 620 00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:54,480 Speaker 1: the man who stands for worldwide in Fada one, I 621 00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:57,040 Speaker 1: think that they have made it clear because it's not 622 00:34:57,120 --> 00:35:01,080 Speaker 1: just the Muslims's progressives who also joined in that effort, 623 00:35:01,440 --> 00:35:04,480 Speaker 1: but it is. It is that. And also remember it's 624 00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:07,120 Speaker 1: not just Muslims in the Midwest. There's three hundred and 625 00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:09,520 Speaker 1: twenty one thousand Muslims in Michigan, but there's two hundred 626 00:35:09,520 --> 00:35:12,560 Speaker 1: and seventy thousand in Virginia, and seventy thousand in Georgia 627 00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:15,799 Speaker 1: and one hundred thousand in Arizona. And I think it 628 00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:19,240 Speaker 1: was Pew research pu out the trajectories within the next decade, 629 00:35:19,400 --> 00:35:21,960 Speaker 1: within the next ten years, probably less than that we 630 00:35:22,000 --> 00:35:24,040 Speaker 1: will for the very first time have more Muslims in 631 00:35:24,040 --> 00:35:27,000 Speaker 1: America then we have Jews, and they will live in 632 00:35:27,040 --> 00:35:30,680 Speaker 1: more important states. Jews are highly concentrated in a handful 633 00:35:30,680 --> 00:35:32,560 Speaker 1: of states, the most important being Pennsylvania, and then I 634 00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:34,720 Speaker 1: guess Florida, but Floria is no longer a swing state. 635 00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:39,080 Speaker 1: So Pennsylvania Muslim population is very high, and it's concentrated 636 00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:42,359 Speaker 1: in Georgia and Michigan and Minnesota, and there's a lot 637 00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:44,480 Speaker 1: in Arizona. There's a lot in Virginia. There's a lot 638 00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:48,960 Speaker 1: of Nevada. That's the swing states. Governor Abbott is bringing 639 00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:53,280 Speaker 1: them by the boat loads to Texas. So if Texas 640 00:35:53,320 --> 00:35:55,400 Speaker 1: ever becomes a swing state, yeah, they'll matter a ton. 641 00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:58,800 Speaker 1: So there's no polling yet doesn't mean that they won't 642 00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:02,800 Speaker 1: be polling. I think that the signs are very obvious 643 00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:05,200 Speaker 1: that that is how the party is headed. And you'll 644 00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:07,520 Speaker 1: have like the peep foota juge of the world still 645 00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:13,440 Speaker 1: trying to be very nuanced about the Israel issue for Democrats. 646 00:36:13,440 --> 00:36:15,560 Speaker 1: But then you will have a hardcore progressive who will 647 00:36:15,560 --> 00:36:18,919 Speaker 1: be like no fit global and fada all the way. 648 00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:21,839 Speaker 1: Who knows if they'll win, but they'll have a very 649 00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:25,000 Speaker 1: very strong base to work with and we just saw 650 00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:27,799 Speaker 1: it in New York City. That's my podcast for this 651 00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:31,360 Speaker 1: Thursday's episode. Stay tuned and check out Monday's episode. Actually, 652 00:36:31,400 --> 00:36:33,920 Speaker 1: listeners gaming the idea for the episode, so I'm responding 653 00:36:33,960 --> 00:36:35,520 Speaker 1: to This is why I love getting these emails. I 654 00:36:35,680 --> 00:36:37,760 Speaker 1: not only respond to them. Sometimes I make whole episodes, 655 00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:39,799 Speaker 1: but then we have a special guest to talk about 656 00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:42,440 Speaker 1: an issue that listeners asked me enough times about that 657 00:36:42,440 --> 00:36:44,879 Speaker 1: I said, let's make a whole episode. So please check 658 00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:46,759 Speaker 1: us out on Monday. Like and follow us on the 659 00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:49,520 Speaker 1: iHeartRadio app Apple podcast where big at your podcast, throw 660 00:36:49,600 --> 00:36:51,120 Speaker 1: us a five star. I check out and see how 661 00:36:51,160 --> 00:36:53,160 Speaker 1: my stars are doing, and I would love to get 662 00:36:53,160 --> 00:36:55,319 Speaker 1: one from you. It would really really help. So thanks 663 00:36:55,360 --> 00:36:58,319 Speaker 1: again for listening. I'll see you Monday.