1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:02,800 Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game. 2 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:05,440 Speaker 2: Do us proud read enough? 3 00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:07,480 Speaker 1: There were running again? 4 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:18,520 Speaker 2: So smoothe so sweet, slipid sixteen just glorious execution. Guys, 5 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:21,760 Speaker 2: all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort four thousand 6 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:22,520 Speaker 2: percent of the time. 7 00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 1: How shot with that shop with mind? Good buddy, and. 8 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 2: That's why you see your beautiful tiers. 9 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:32,280 Speaker 1: Look at his movements, the most dangerous amount of the planet. 10 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:36,200 Speaker 2: Nobody picks them. 11 00:00:35,680 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 1: Shut up, I'm trying. 12 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 2: The love is left too, the wide eyed. 13 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 1: Drilled fibus how old Earth? 14 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 2: Pick that happens? 15 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:55,200 Speaker 1: Hellory one and welcome back to Wondergold, the Soccer Benny 16 00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:57,880 Speaker 1: Podcast from the Action Network, presented you by Bettree sixty five. 17 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:00,120 Speaker 1: This is our second of two season preview episod, so 18 00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 1: it's a little bit shorter on this one. We're just 19 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 1: going to look at the rest of Europe, give out 20 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 1: some futures that we like in Syria a La Liga, 21 00:01:06,240 --> 00:01:10,160 Speaker 1: Bundesliga league, you know the drill. By Now, if you 22 00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 1: haven't listened to our Premier League preview with Sam Ingram, 23 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 1: who's gonna be joining us for every match week for 24 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:17,480 Speaker 1: the Premier League for the season, be sure to do 25 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:21,480 Speaker 1: that we give out a notebook's worth of bets for 26 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 1: this one, though, we're going to focus on the other 27 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:29,560 Speaker 1: of the five major European leagues. We'll start VJAY with 28 00:01:29,840 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 1: the Bundesliga, where Bayern Munich is a minus two hundred 29 00:01:34,480 --> 00:01:37,679 Speaker 1: favorite to win it, Leverkusen, who won it last year 30 00:01:38,040 --> 00:01:40,200 Speaker 1: in a shock r plus two fifty. Then it's Stortman 31 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 1: at ten to one, Leipzig twelve to one, Stuttgart forty, 32 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 1: Frankfurt claude Bach in the triple digits, and that's where 33 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 1: things just kind of get there's no reason really to 34 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 1: get that deep beyond there anything you like here in 35 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 1: Germany in terms of futures, I have a couple or 36 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:02,280 Speaker 1: one that I that I like, but I'll let you 37 00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 1: go first. 38 00:02:02,880 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, let's talk title first, because this is the lowest 39 00:02:05,320 --> 00:02:08,000 Speaker 2: that Byron has been in I think maybe two decades 40 00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:13,239 Speaker 2: in terms two to actually win it. And listen, we 41 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:15,880 Speaker 2: talked about Leverkusen a lot last season. They had so 42 00:02:15,960 --> 00:02:19,320 Speaker 2: many late winners, so much positive happened to them to 43 00:02:19,400 --> 00:02:22,440 Speaker 2: almost pull off in an invincible season. They did pull 44 00:02:22,440 --> 00:02:24,800 Speaker 2: off an invincible season obviously in the Bundesliga, so being 45 00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:29,279 Speaker 2: able to repeat that I don't think it's very plausible, 46 00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:33,120 Speaker 2: but I think that, you know, purely just looking at 47 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:35,880 Speaker 2: a talent level, I think Byron is obviously superior to 48 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:43,400 Speaker 2: Leverkusen tactical wise. I'm very very skeptical of Vincent Company, 49 00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:47,440 Speaker 2: very very skeptical. As we saw in the Premier League 50 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:49,680 Speaker 2: last season with Burnley. I get that he didn't have 51 00:02:49,720 --> 00:02:51,720 Speaker 2: a good enough squad to play his system and I 52 00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 2: think a lot of people are gonna make arguments to that, 53 00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:56,680 Speaker 2: but he is somebody that resists change a lot, and 54 00:02:56,720 --> 00:03:00,720 Speaker 2: he's very very stern in what his tactics that he 55 00:03:00,760 --> 00:03:03,360 Speaker 2: wants to do, and that might not matter against, you know, 56 00:03:03,400 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 2: when they play teams in the bottom half of the 57 00:03:05,200 --> 00:03:09,239 Speaker 2: table at the Bundesliga. But what Shabi Alonzo showed at 58 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:13,079 Speaker 2: Leverkusen is that, quite frankly, in my opinion, outside of 59 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:15,840 Speaker 2: Pep Guardiola, he's the best tactical manager in the world, 60 00:03:16,160 --> 00:03:20,560 Speaker 2: and navigating the Bundesliga and as well as navigating Europa 61 00:03:20,639 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 2: League last season, he showed that he is very capable 62 00:03:24,480 --> 00:03:27,280 Speaker 2: of having a squad that has a lot of depth 63 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 2: and being able to you know, be successful with that. 64 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:37,240 Speaker 2: There were really many key losses for Leverkusen in the summer. 65 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:39,720 Speaker 2: You know, we thought that they they might lose for 66 00:03:39,800 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 2: him Prong, like they might lose a couple other key guys. 67 00:03:42,560 --> 00:03:46,360 Speaker 2: But instead they bring Alexi Garcia from Gerona, who was 68 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:48,440 Speaker 2: one of their most important players, and somebody who can 69 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:52,080 Speaker 2: solidify their midfield, give them more depth. So I think 70 00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:55,520 Speaker 2: there is an argument to be made that not saying 71 00:03:55,520 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 2: that Byron shouldn't be the favorite, that maybe this should 72 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:01,680 Speaker 2: be a little closer than the odds suggest. But I'm 73 00:04:01,680 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 2: not going to play lever couson at plus two to fifty. 74 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:07,360 Speaker 2: I think the better bet right now. And listen, I 75 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:08,920 Speaker 2: get that they're due for like a little bit of 76 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 2: negative aggresion. They're not going to get as lucky as 77 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 2: they did before. But I think the best bet on 78 00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 2: them is minus one twenty five win it without Byron. 79 00:04:17,520 --> 00:04:22,440 Speaker 2: I believe comparatively them to Leipzig, who just lost Danny 80 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 2: Almo to Dortmund who's transitioning to Nuri Saheen as a manager, 81 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 2: I think that from underlying data perspective, they were far 82 00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:35,599 Speaker 2: far superior than those two teams last season, and other 83 00:04:35,640 --> 00:04:37,720 Speaker 2: than stutt Guard, I don't really see a team Gay 84 00:04:37,760 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 2: crashing what seems to be the solidified top four right now, 85 00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:44,800 Speaker 2: so I think minus one twenty five is kind of short, 86 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:47,480 Speaker 2: probably should be close for minus one fifty minus one 87 00:04:47,560 --> 00:04:49,920 Speaker 2: seventy five, so I think Leverkusen. You know, the one 88 00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:51,800 Speaker 2: thing that I've kind of learned over the last few 89 00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:54,160 Speaker 2: years of doing this job is like, yes, there are 90 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 2: teams that are due for negative aggression, but also really 91 00:04:56,920 --> 00:05:00,880 Speaker 2: really good stute tacticle teams will always over their expected 92 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:03,240 Speaker 2: metrics and will always still be able to maintain the 93 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:05,880 Speaker 2: levels that they had the season prior, and Shabi Alonso 94 00:05:06,320 --> 00:05:08,920 Speaker 2: definitely has that with Leverkust in the season. The other 95 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 2: bet that I like in terms of relegation in the 96 00:05:11,680 --> 00:05:16,159 Speaker 2: Bundesliga Holstein Kiel, who was a newly promoted team plus 97 00:05:16,200 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 2: one ten to be relegated. The one thing that I've 98 00:05:18,560 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 2: also learned from doing this from a long time is 99 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:23,160 Speaker 2: if you have bad underlying metrics in the second division, 100 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:25,040 Speaker 2: it's not going to bode well for you when you 101 00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 2: come up and play against the best teams. Only a 102 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:30,880 Speaker 2: plus seven point one expected gole differential for Holstein Kiel 103 00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 2: in the Second Division of Germany last season. In terms 104 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:37,760 Speaker 2: of talent level pertransfer market dot Com, only a thirty 105 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 2: two million total squad value. That's the lowest in the 106 00:05:40,080 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 2: Bundesliga this season. Tactically, they are a Virstaal team in possession. 107 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 2: They will play in transition, which is a good thing. 108 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 2: You know, teams are coming up who hold a lot 109 00:05:48,120 --> 00:05:51,240 Speaker 2: of possession tend to not do as well. They like 110 00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:53,279 Speaker 2: to press high, which everybody does in Bundesliga, so that 111 00:05:53,279 --> 00:05:55,680 Speaker 2: doesn't really matter. But having a squad of this low 112 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:58,000 Speaker 2: of talent level and bad expected metrics, it's the same 113 00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 2: thing that happened to Darmstadt last season, so I think 114 00:06:01,000 --> 00:06:03,800 Speaker 2: Holstein Kiel could be in a very similar vein. So 115 00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:06,120 Speaker 2: those are the two bets I like for the Bundesliga. 116 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:10,080 Speaker 2: I also don't hate Stuttgart. I have plus money to 117 00:06:10,120 --> 00:06:12,000 Speaker 2: finish in the top four. You know, it just came 118 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:14,840 Speaker 2: out a day ago that Denis Undov that they've reached 119 00:06:14,920 --> 00:06:17,320 Speaker 2: agree with Brighton that he's going to be their main striker, 120 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:19,240 Speaker 2: which is a really good thing because I know gi 121 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:24,200 Speaker 2: Rossi left for Dortmund, but Undov had around a point 122 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 2: eight actually per ninet even scoring rate. He's like a 123 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:29,000 Speaker 2: really good striker that they kind of need. They did 124 00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:31,719 Speaker 2: lose two key defensive guys that they need to replace, 125 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 2: and obviously navigating the Champions League is a little bit tough, 126 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:37,000 Speaker 2: but comparatively to what Dortmann and Leipzig are right now, 127 00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:39,839 Speaker 2: I'm not sure the gap between Stuttgart, who had better 128 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:43,240 Speaker 2: expected metrics than both those teams last season, is really 129 00:06:43,240 --> 00:06:45,120 Speaker 2: as wise as the odds of suggesting. So if there's 130 00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 2: three bets for you, stute Gart top four, Holstein Kiel 131 00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:51,520 Speaker 2: to be relegated and Leverkusen went without Bayern minus one 132 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:52,239 Speaker 2: twenty five. 133 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:56,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's really hard to find too much here to 134 00:06:56,400 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 1: get into like long chop fwive. The one player I'm 135 00:06:59,200 --> 00:07:02,360 Speaker 1: a little interested in is Musiala in the Golden Boot race, 136 00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:04,680 Speaker 1: and he'd have to make a huge jump. And you're 137 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:07,479 Speaker 1: basically betting that Harry Kane isn't fit to play a 138 00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:12,240 Speaker 1: full season, and I don't know, uh if you will 139 00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:15,280 Speaker 1: be like it's he's getting up there, they're they've they're 140 00:07:15,280 --> 00:07:17,960 Speaker 1: playing across Europe. He just played the Euros he wasn't 141 00:07:18,760 --> 00:07:20,840 Speaker 1: fit and firing for that he was coming off after 142 00:07:20,880 --> 00:07:23,680 Speaker 1: sixty minutes, so they'll probably manage him quite a bit. 143 00:07:23,760 --> 00:07:26,960 Speaker 1: But still like You're you're asking a pretty pretty big 144 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: jump from uh Musiala, who I just think is about 145 00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:34,160 Speaker 1: to have his like biggest year. He's about to really 146 00:07:34,200 --> 00:07:39,520 Speaker 1: just like breakout. So I fifty to one. It's not 147 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:41,280 Speaker 1: like the best bet, but it's something that I wanted 148 00:07:41,280 --> 00:07:44,040 Speaker 1: to come up with for a long shot. I mean, 149 00:07:44,040 --> 00:07:45,520 Speaker 1: if you want to go a little bit higher up, 150 00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:49,160 Speaker 1: I think Benjamin Chesh go for for Leipzig is also interesting, 151 00:07:49,160 --> 00:07:49,840 Speaker 1: and yeah he did. 152 00:07:50,880 --> 00:07:53,600 Speaker 2: He's interesting. Him and Openda up top. The Golden Boot 153 00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 2: race is like interesting because if you just look at this, 154 00:07:55,440 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 2: like just purely look at the odds, it's just all 155 00:07:57,480 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 2: guys from Tortman, Bayern, Leverkusa right, like, there's nothing. So 156 00:08:01,840 --> 00:08:05,720 Speaker 2: Undov has not been posted yet on those I would 157 00:08:05,760 --> 00:08:09,720 Speaker 2: be interested to see his number because again last season 158 00:08:09,920 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 2: point excuse me, point six y five act cheaper ninety 159 00:08:12,560 --> 00:08:15,760 Speaker 2: minutes scoring rates, scored eighteen goals in only twenty three 160 00:08:15,760 --> 00:08:18,920 Speaker 2: point two nineties. So he is somebody that I would 161 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:21,560 Speaker 2: be very very interested in in terms of who can 162 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:24,400 Speaker 2: match carry Harry Kane's production in case Harry Kane maybe, 163 00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 2: like you said, miss some time due to injury. If 164 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:29,680 Speaker 2: I had to pick one guy. Yeah, it would be uh, 165 00:08:29,760 --> 00:08:31,840 Speaker 2: you know Chesko, who's who set to make that leap? 166 00:08:31,880 --> 00:08:33,760 Speaker 2: And then undav would be another one that I would 167 00:08:33,800 --> 00:08:35,760 Speaker 2: I would look at for Golden Boot once he gets posted. 168 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 2: Probably anything. It would he would need to probably be 169 00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:40,080 Speaker 2: thirty five to one or longer for me to be 170 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:43,320 Speaker 2: interested in it. But you know there's a couple for you. 171 00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:48,480 Speaker 1: La Liga up next. Real Madrid is odds on. They 172 00:08:48,480 --> 00:08:51,200 Speaker 1: are prohibitive minus two fifty favorite. You might have heard 173 00:08:51,679 --> 00:08:57,559 Speaker 1: that Killian Mbappe is now there they are. I the thing. 174 00:08:57,640 --> 00:09:00,199 Speaker 1: Here's the thing, Like I think the market's over to 175 00:09:00,240 --> 00:09:04,120 Speaker 1: those kind of situations. But with Madrid and their manager 176 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:07,560 Speaker 1: Carlo Ancelotti, who's just proven to be just an expert 177 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:09,640 Speaker 1: at managing these kind of super teams, Like there's just 178 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:11,760 Speaker 1: nobody you'd rather have in charge of a team with 179 00:09:11,960 --> 00:09:17,160 Speaker 1: Imbappe and Bellingham et cetera, Benny Junior than Ancilatti. So 180 00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:19,240 Speaker 1: it's hard to go against them. But if you are, 181 00:09:19,320 --> 00:09:21,880 Speaker 1: you're looking at Barcelona plus three fifty, I'd let it go. 182 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:24,439 Speaker 1: Madrid is ten to one, Gerona's twenty to one. We 183 00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:27,400 Speaker 1: also get out is twenty five to one. Alet it 184 00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:30,640 Speaker 1: Bill Boo is twenty five to one as well, and 185 00:09:31,000 --> 00:09:33,960 Speaker 1: Real Batis is forty to one. No real reason to 186 00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:37,600 Speaker 1: get further than that. Anything you see here, Bjay in Spain, 187 00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:43,400 Speaker 1: it's really hard to go against Real Madrid. And if 188 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:47,400 Speaker 1: you are, you're looking at Barcelona. Yeah, who is not 189 00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 1: at a long enough price with hanse Flick in charge. 190 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:53,760 Speaker 1: But yeah, so what do you think. 191 00:09:53,880 --> 00:09:56,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, with hanse Flick in charge, I don't We saw 192 00:09:56,880 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 2: we saw him at Byron and what we saw was 193 00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:02,240 Speaker 2: is that he's way way way and even with the 194 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:05,400 Speaker 2: German national team, is that he's just way too aggressive 195 00:10:05,440 --> 00:10:07,680 Speaker 2: out of possession with what he likes to do. You know, 196 00:10:07,760 --> 00:10:11,080 Speaker 2: the high line man the man marking, which you know 197 00:10:11,559 --> 00:10:13,960 Speaker 2: in this type of league can work. But you know 198 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:15,560 Speaker 2: you're also going to face a lot of teams that 199 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:17,760 Speaker 2: like to play in transition and play balls over the top. 200 00:10:17,920 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 2: So I think there's a little bit of question marks 201 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:23,920 Speaker 2: surrounding Barcelona. Obviously. The financial situation as well, we don't know. 202 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:27,600 Speaker 2: You know, if something happens to the mill of season, 203 00:10:27,640 --> 00:10:29,840 Speaker 2: they have to sell off players. Hopefully that's not the case. 204 00:10:29,920 --> 00:10:32,680 Speaker 2: But for me, you know, if you wanted to bet 205 00:10:32,720 --> 00:10:36,000 Speaker 2: somebody to gatecrash, I think Athletico Madrid has a decent 206 00:10:36,000 --> 00:10:39,280 Speaker 2: shot at ten to one. With the summer signings they made, 207 00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:42,480 Speaker 2: Landor Maud coming in from rial Celciadada, Lean Alvarez from 208 00:10:42,520 --> 00:10:46,920 Speaker 2: Manchester City, Alexander sorlof from Via Real. Those are really 209 00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:51,000 Speaker 2: really good signings in good business from Athletico Madrid, who 210 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 2: can kind of, I think now close the gap between 211 00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:56,960 Speaker 2: them and Barcelona. But really the bet that I like 212 00:10:57,000 --> 00:10:59,520 Speaker 2: for Atthletiko Madrid, it's kind of similar to Leverkusen win 213 00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 2: or without Byron and Real Madrid. Athletico Madrid is minus 214 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:05,600 Speaker 2: one twenty five. Outside of the team I'm about to 215 00:11:05,600 --> 00:11:07,680 Speaker 2: talk about next, I don't think that there's any team 216 00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:10,440 Speaker 2: that can even come close to Athletico Madrid in terms 217 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:13,000 Speaker 2: of this market. Like I said, the signings that they made, 218 00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:16,000 Speaker 2: the underlying metrics that they had last season very clearly 219 00:11:16,080 --> 00:11:18,680 Speaker 2: the third best team in terms of expected gold differential. 220 00:11:18,960 --> 00:11:22,359 Speaker 2: Nobody really came close to them, even Girona, who drastically 221 00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 2: overperformed last season and is gonna see some regression now 222 00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 2: that dolf Bic and Alexi Garcia are gone and have 223 00:11:28,600 --> 00:11:31,480 Speaker 2: to navigate the Champions League as well. I think Athletico 224 00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:36,880 Speaker 2: Madrid is in the best possible position to really challenge 225 00:11:36,920 --> 00:11:42,280 Speaker 2: both Barcelona and Real Madrid and and easily finish it 226 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:44,720 Speaker 2: would be in third place or maybe even second. The 227 00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:48,839 Speaker 2: other bet that I like Athletic bill Bao plus one 228 00:11:48,880 --> 00:11:52,000 Speaker 2: eighty seven for top four. Like I already mentioned, with 229 00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:55,400 Speaker 2: Jerona losing two of their key players, Associadad is just 230 00:11:55,840 --> 00:11:58,040 Speaker 2: falling apart at the seams right now, it seems with 231 00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:01,040 Speaker 2: len or mad leaving, No look like Zumands can be 232 00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:04,199 Speaker 2: leaving for Liverpool, Moreno might be leaving for Arsenal and 233 00:12:04,440 --> 00:12:06,480 Speaker 2: Sociate Dad's not really standing in the way of letting 234 00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:09,400 Speaker 2: all those players go. That's the spine of your team, 235 00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:12,040 Speaker 2: which is just gone and you have really nothing left. 236 00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:14,560 Speaker 2: And if you look at all the other teams, I 237 00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 2: don't think there's really a team that matched bill Bao 238 00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:20,080 Speaker 2: in terms of their underlying metrics. The Williams brothers don't 239 00:12:20,080 --> 00:12:23,320 Speaker 2: seem to be going anywhere right now. Should be the 240 00:12:23,320 --> 00:12:26,520 Speaker 2: same attack for Athletic Billboo, same manager. We know that 241 00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:28,280 Speaker 2: this is one of the best out of possession teams 242 00:12:28,280 --> 00:12:30,960 Speaker 2: in La Liga. So over the course of the season, 243 00:12:32,000 --> 00:12:34,480 Speaker 2: I mean, I think bill Bao is in probably the 244 00:12:34,520 --> 00:12:37,520 Speaker 2: best position of anybody near the top half of the table, 245 00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:41,000 Speaker 2: so at plus one eighty seven, I don't really agree 246 00:12:41,040 --> 00:12:43,560 Speaker 2: with them being the same price as both Sharona and 247 00:12:43,640 --> 00:12:46,480 Speaker 2: Rial Socidad given what those two teams have lost, so 248 00:12:47,160 --> 00:12:49,880 Speaker 2: I like them for top four. Relegation is not that 249 00:12:49,960 --> 00:12:52,920 Speaker 2: fun in La Liga. The clear and obvious team to 250 00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:55,560 Speaker 2: be relegated would be Los Palma, who i'd worst expect 251 00:12:55,559 --> 00:12:58,440 Speaker 2: a goal differential of anybody in La Liga last season, 252 00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:01,440 Speaker 2: but they're the favorite to be relegated, so that's not 253 00:13:01,520 --> 00:13:04,880 Speaker 2: so fun. So for me it would be those two 254 00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:10,000 Speaker 2: would be my favorite bets. Also, I'm just gonna say 255 00:13:10,080 --> 00:13:13,280 Speaker 2: Vinnie Junior tend to one for Golden boot is. Yeah, 256 00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:16,320 Speaker 2: it's kind of interesting to me. I don't think that, 257 00:13:17,679 --> 00:13:20,080 Speaker 2: you know, Mbope should be the obvious favorite. He'll score 258 00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:22,360 Speaker 2: a ton of goals, but all three of those guys 259 00:13:22,440 --> 00:13:24,880 Speaker 2: him and you know Rodrigo as well, they're going to 260 00:13:24,880 --> 00:13:27,320 Speaker 2: get their opportunities and they're going to get their shots. 261 00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:31,679 Speaker 2: So and if teams decide to you know, uh keenan 262 00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:34,439 Speaker 2: Mbappe like, well, that leaves a lot of space out 263 00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:36,520 Speaker 2: wide for them to him and both him and Rodrigo 264 00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:38,800 Speaker 2: to get in one v ones and Vinny Junior put 265 00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:41,560 Speaker 2: up really good numbers last year, so I don't hate 266 00:13:41,559 --> 00:13:42,440 Speaker 2: that at ten to one either. 267 00:13:42,440 --> 00:13:45,120 Speaker 1: For Golden Boot, yeah, I think that the golden boot 268 00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:47,200 Speaker 1: market in La League is actually a really good way 269 00:13:47,240 --> 00:13:50,199 Speaker 1: to find value because of how much Imboppe is sucking up. 270 00:13:50,440 --> 00:13:53,040 Speaker 1: He's minus won seventy five to win it, but he's 271 00:13:53,080 --> 00:13:56,640 Speaker 1: gonna have to share the spoils. Vinnie Junior, Bellingham scored 272 00:13:56,880 --> 00:14:01,239 Speaker 1: close to twenty last year in the in La Liga Rodrigo. 273 00:14:01,400 --> 00:14:04,199 Speaker 1: There's just too much talent here, so it's yeah, and 274 00:14:04,320 --> 00:14:06,360 Speaker 1: Bope is the most likely guy to win it, but 275 00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:09,600 Speaker 1: the total number of goals like there's a cap on 276 00:14:09,640 --> 00:14:13,080 Speaker 1: it because of what he'll have to spread around. And 277 00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:17,640 Speaker 1: then Robert Lewandowski's a second favorite and he's old. He 278 00:14:17,679 --> 00:14:19,960 Speaker 1: got to nineteen last year, that's the same as Bellingham. 279 00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:23,280 Speaker 1: He finished third behind dov Pick and sore Loth, so 280 00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:25,680 Speaker 1: I think sore Loth at sixteen to one is interesting. 281 00:14:26,160 --> 00:14:28,640 Speaker 1: I actually don't hate Nico Williams at fifty to one. 282 00:14:28,920 --> 00:14:31,360 Speaker 1: Whether he moves to Barcelona or not, I don't think 283 00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:34,280 Speaker 1: he's going to, but he like Mucila, he'd have to 284 00:14:34,280 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 1: take a pretty big jump. The other guy that I 285 00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 1: think is absolutely worth betting in this market at forty 286 00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:44,760 Speaker 1: to one is Anchwin Grasman. He scored sixteen last year 287 00:14:44,800 --> 00:14:46,720 Speaker 1: for at Letty, but he's part of the furniture there 288 00:14:47,080 --> 00:14:49,280 Speaker 1: and if he gets to twenty five goals, would anybody 289 00:14:49,280 --> 00:14:51,960 Speaker 1: be surprised? I know, I don't think so, And I 290 00:14:51,960 --> 00:14:53,720 Speaker 1: think that's the number that you're looking at, Like if 291 00:14:53,760 --> 00:14:55,960 Speaker 1: you can get twenty, if you get get to twenty, 292 00:14:56,040 --> 00:14:57,800 Speaker 1: year going to be in the race given how things 293 00:14:57,800 --> 00:15:00,560 Speaker 1: are going to be spread out the top here. 294 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:03,240 Speaker 2: Yeah. One thing I will also mention in terms of 295 00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:07,160 Speaker 2: shots per ninety nobody had more than Rapena last year's 296 00:15:07,640 --> 00:15:09,280 Speaker 2: which is kind of interesting. But then again you're like, 297 00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:10,840 Speaker 2: he also starts on the right and that's where you 298 00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:13,040 Speaker 2: all starts. So yeah, he also a question like, all right, 299 00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:14,560 Speaker 2: is he actually gonna be able to get, you know, 300 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:19,720 Speaker 2: the the necessary amount of production out there. Another one 301 00:15:19,760 --> 00:15:22,320 Speaker 2: for top assists I think is Ek Gundagan is another 302 00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:25,640 Speaker 2: one who was close to being at the top of 303 00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:28,760 Speaker 2: La Liga in terms of expected assists. You know, he's 304 00:15:28,760 --> 00:15:31,280 Speaker 2: in the double digits in terms of odds, so he's 305 00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 2: kind of interesting. You might it doesn't look like he's 306 00:15:33,320 --> 00:15:36,120 Speaker 2: going to leave Barcelona. He just signed Danny Almo though, 307 00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:38,600 Speaker 2: so it's like, all right, now does he play over him? 308 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:42,040 Speaker 2: So Barcelona, I it's kind of a mess if we're 309 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 2: being honest, like in terms of actually betting anybody on Barcelona, 310 00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:47,240 Speaker 2: because I don't really know who's gonna play. If I'm 311 00:15:47,240 --> 00:15:49,360 Speaker 2: being honest now, I had to hope that Gundigan with 312 00:15:49,440 --> 00:15:51,840 Speaker 2: his German connection with Hansei Flick, would actually play. But 313 00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:53,920 Speaker 2: then you bring in Almo, who's been playing in the 314 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:56,680 Speaker 2: Bundesliga forever. It's like, it's just kind of hard to see, 315 00:15:57,360 --> 00:15:58,800 Speaker 2: you know, who plays and who doesn't. 316 00:16:00,680 --> 00:16:05,400 Speaker 1: Okay, let's go into Syria. Ah, Inter MI sixty seven 317 00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:08,360 Speaker 1: to do it again. You've is second favorites plus three 318 00:16:08,400 --> 00:16:11,640 Speaker 1: fifty Mila and seven to one. Napoli under Antonio Kante 319 00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:13,480 Speaker 1: also right there at seven to one out of lamp 320 00:16:13,520 --> 00:16:15,920 Speaker 1: A twenty two to one. Roma is twenty eight to one. 321 00:16:16,000 --> 00:16:18,000 Speaker 1: I thought that a lot of land though maybe it 322 00:16:18,040 --> 00:16:21,800 Speaker 1: was a little interesting. But Scamaka is hurt now, Yeah, 323 00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:24,120 Speaker 1: takes a little bit of bite off of them. What 324 00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:26,359 Speaker 1: do you think here? Is it just straightforward? 325 00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:31,400 Speaker 2: Yeah? In a sense, you know, I think Inter is 326 00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:34,280 Speaker 2: deserving to be the favorites. They obviously have have have 327 00:16:34,360 --> 00:16:36,360 Speaker 2: won this league. I believe two of the last three years. 328 00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:39,760 Speaker 2: They obviously, like we've talked about, I think enters a 329 00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:42,000 Speaker 2: way more interesting team to bet the Champions League than 330 00:16:42,040 --> 00:16:44,040 Speaker 2: to bet in Syria A right now, in terms of 331 00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:46,520 Speaker 2: their price, we know they're one of the best out 332 00:16:46,520 --> 00:16:48,720 Speaker 2: of possession teams in the world. They're very good tournament 333 00:16:48,760 --> 00:16:50,960 Speaker 2: team and they've been very good in Syria for a 334 00:16:50,960 --> 00:16:54,560 Speaker 2: long time. If anybody was going to gate crash them, 335 00:16:55,120 --> 00:16:57,600 Speaker 2: I think Juventus is super interesting. I don't know if 336 00:16:57,640 --> 00:17:00,480 Speaker 2: I want to pay plus one plus three fifty on them. Honestly, 337 00:17:00,520 --> 00:17:03,320 Speaker 2: that's a really really short price. With Yago Manta coming over, 338 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:07,840 Speaker 2: we saw how good his in possession stuff was at Bologna. 339 00:17:07,920 --> 00:17:10,840 Speaker 2: In terms of build up, he's kind of remade the 340 00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:13,679 Speaker 2: squad a little bit, you know. He brought in Douglas Luiz, 341 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:17,040 Speaker 2: who's like a really really good player to play his system. 342 00:17:17,760 --> 00:17:20,360 Speaker 2: Kooper Menners looks like might be coming over from Adelanta 343 00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:22,680 Speaker 2: to Juventus as well. So like they've done a lot 344 00:17:22,720 --> 00:17:25,840 Speaker 2: of really good business this summer. That makes me think 345 00:17:25,920 --> 00:17:28,160 Speaker 2: that they can now have reached the level of Inter. 346 00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:30,400 Speaker 2: I just need to see it first before I can 347 00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:32,679 Speaker 2: actually pay meal plus three fifty. So I think the 348 00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:35,960 Speaker 2: better bet with Juventus is plus one seventy five winner 349 00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:38,640 Speaker 2: without Inter, because I think that there is very clearly 350 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:41,320 Speaker 2: from a talent perspective that they are better than the 351 00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:43,360 Speaker 2: rest of the field, and from a tax heile perspective 352 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:45,640 Speaker 2: now are better than the rest of the field. Now 353 00:17:45,680 --> 00:17:48,359 Speaker 2: that Allegra has gone, we know that this was one 354 00:17:48,359 --> 00:17:51,240 Speaker 2: of the best defensive teams Madas Bologna was really really 355 00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:53,399 Speaker 2: good defensively as well playing in a low block, so 356 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:55,240 Speaker 2: that's not really going to change for Juventus. There's still 357 00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:58,359 Speaker 2: going to be a very very good low block defensive team. 358 00:17:58,840 --> 00:18:00,960 Speaker 2: So I think plus one seventy five is a decent 359 00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:04,440 Speaker 2: price on Juventus to be the winner. Essentially finished in 360 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:08,040 Speaker 2: second place behind Inter. The other couple bets that I 361 00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:11,400 Speaker 2: like Roma top four at two to one top Francisco 362 00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:13,879 Speaker 2: Tati did a really good job towards the end of 363 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:16,880 Speaker 2: last season with Roma, kind of transitioned them from Maurinho. 364 00:18:17,240 --> 00:18:20,719 Speaker 2: Kept the same good defensive quality structures, but turned them 365 00:18:20,760 --> 00:18:22,760 Speaker 2: into a team that can control matches more, which is 366 00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:25,200 Speaker 2: really good in Syria A when you're facing a ton 367 00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:27,200 Speaker 2: of teams that aren't really going to press you at all, 368 00:18:27,680 --> 00:18:29,439 Speaker 2: especially teams in the bottom half of the table. You 369 00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:31,800 Speaker 2: want to be able to control matches. So I think 370 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:33,520 Speaker 2: that's a good thing and it leads Roma into a 371 00:18:34,800 --> 00:18:37,960 Speaker 2: better place. The business they've done as well, bring in 372 00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:42,080 Speaker 2: Dobic Mateya Soule like they've made their attack a lot, 373 00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:46,119 Speaker 2: a lot, a lot better. So I think that Roma 374 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:48,879 Speaker 2: two to one is if you're looking at somebody in 375 00:18:48,880 --> 00:18:51,439 Speaker 2: that pack to finish in the top four, which Syria 376 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:54,040 Speaker 2: a top four is going to be a really, really 377 00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:56,439 Speaker 2: heated race this season. I think Roma is in a 378 00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:58,960 Speaker 2: well positioned there at two to one, and for relegation 379 00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:02,320 Speaker 2: a little bit long shot here Manza ten to one 380 00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:06,800 Speaker 2: to be relegated. Palladino their manager, who has been innovative 381 00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:11,920 Speaker 2: in terms of molding Manza into this team that is 382 00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:14,439 Speaker 2: able to control possession, is able to build out of 383 00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:17,159 Speaker 2: the back, and is able to be successful with it. 384 00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:21,399 Speaker 2: He is now at Fiorentina. Alessandro Nesta is now the manager. 385 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:24,800 Speaker 2: He's never managed in Syria. He's only been managing in 386 00:19:24,840 --> 00:19:28,240 Speaker 2: the lower levels of Italian football, and I'm not so 387 00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:30,560 Speaker 2: sure that he's the right manager for this team that 388 00:19:31,280 --> 00:19:38,560 Speaker 2: severely severely underperformed last season. Last season minus sixteen point 389 00:19:38,560 --> 00:19:43,720 Speaker 2: one expected gold differential from Manza, they just sold their goalkeeper. 390 00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:50,080 Speaker 2: Excuse me, I'm gonna butcher this name. I apologize dig Gregario, 391 00:19:50,160 --> 00:19:56,200 Speaker 2: who is now I believe over with Juventus. Manza again 392 00:19:56,320 --> 00:19:59,679 Speaker 2: third worst expected gold differential in Syria A last season. 393 00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:02,480 Speaker 2: Their goalkeeper was a big part of that. He had 394 00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:04,800 Speaker 2: one of the best post shot XG plus minuses in 395 00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:07,359 Speaker 2: the league at plus ten point four last year, so 396 00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:12,160 Speaker 2: they haven't really replaced him either. So I think that 397 00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:18,119 Speaker 2: Monza has real potential to creator here. And you know, 398 00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:20,800 Speaker 2: they're also thirty three to one to finish bottom, which 399 00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:24,640 Speaker 2: I don't hate that price either. So and you know 400 00:20:24,880 --> 00:20:29,000 Speaker 2: the three teams that are coming up. What people may 401 00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:31,400 Speaker 2: not know is that the barrier to entry to SIRII 402 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:34,040 Speaker 2: is about as low as any of the top five leagues, 403 00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:36,000 Speaker 2: like It's very easy to get in and stay up, 404 00:20:36,040 --> 00:20:37,919 Speaker 2: as opposed to like the Premier League or even the 405 00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,840 Speaker 2: Bundesliga for that matter. So the three teams that are 406 00:20:40,840 --> 00:20:45,400 Speaker 2: coming up have money, they're able to spend it. Ces 407 00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:47,800 Speaker 2: Faberga is also going to be managing COMO this years, 408 00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:50,680 Speaker 2: which which will be a lot of fun. I think 409 00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:55,320 Speaker 2: Manza has real potential here to to creator, so I 410 00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 2: like them to be relegated at ten to one. 411 00:20:57,640 --> 00:21:00,280 Speaker 1: All right, we'll wrap up with a league. But before 412 00:21:00,280 --> 00:21:02,320 Speaker 1: we get to that, a reminder that wonder goal is 413 00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:04,640 Speaker 1: proudly presented by Bet three sixty five, and Bet three 414 00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:06,880 Speaker 1: sixty five doesn't do ordinary. That's why you get more 415 00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:09,160 Speaker 1: boosts with them than anyone else. Every day they power 416 00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:10,879 Speaker 1: up the odds on hundreds of bets to give you 417 00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:13,200 Speaker 1: a chance to win more. Bet three sixty five boost 418 00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:16,000 Speaker 1: specific markets your winnings and even parlays, and they don't 419 00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:18,280 Speaker 1: stop there. Keep an eye out for their biggest and 420 00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:21,200 Speaker 1: best odds with the incredible super boost, check out the 421 00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:23,360 Speaker 1: boos and see why it's never ordinary. At Bet three 422 00:21:23,359 --> 00:21:25,560 Speaker 1: sixty five. You must be twenty one or older and 423 00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:29,960 Speaker 1: president in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, New Jersey, Ohio, 424 00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:33,480 Speaker 1: North Carolina, Virginia, or eighteen and older in Kentucky. If 425 00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:36,240 Speaker 1: you or anyone you know has a gambling problem wants helped, 426 00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:38,720 Speaker 1: please call one eight hundred gambler or one eight hundred 427 00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:43,480 Speaker 1: bets off in Iowa terms. Conditions and restrictions apply and 428 00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:46,439 Speaker 1: BAPA is gone, but PSG is still a prohibitive favorite 429 00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:50,120 Speaker 1: to win it minus three three four Marseille twelve to one, 430 00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:54,919 Speaker 1: Monaco fourteen to one, Lil sixteen to one, lons Is 431 00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:58,119 Speaker 1: eighteen to one, Leon twenty to one, Niece twenty eight 432 00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:02,640 Speaker 1: to one, Ren thirty three. As Dad depress is fifty 433 00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:06,280 Speaker 1: to one. We'll turn it over to you. Is there 434 00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:10,880 Speaker 1: any chance that anyone can steal this one for PSG? 435 00:22:11,680 --> 00:22:17,399 Speaker 2: Maybe Deserbe, maybe he's back, he's with Marseille now. The 436 00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:19,720 Speaker 2: problem is is, you know, coming into this market, before 437 00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:22,359 Speaker 2: even looking at the markets, you know, Marseille was a 438 00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:26,000 Speaker 2: team that severely underperformed last season, had the second best 439 00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:30,480 Speaker 2: expected goal differential in league GUN when they were under Gettuso, 440 00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:33,800 Speaker 2: who is a very similar manager to that of Deserbe 441 00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:37,080 Speaker 2: in terms of controlling possession, being aggressive out of possession, 442 00:22:37,080 --> 00:22:42,280 Speaker 2: with depressing Marseille was actually really really good. But obviously 443 00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:44,800 Speaker 2: bad results got him fired and he's obviously a very 444 00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:48,160 Speaker 2: divisive character. So when bad results are happening, and you know, 445 00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:51,400 Speaker 2: Marseille is a club that is the second biggest club 446 00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:55,919 Speaker 2: in France, it's you know, let's just say, fireworks is 447 00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:57,840 Speaker 2: the is what it comes to mind with Marseille and 448 00:22:57,840 --> 00:23:02,120 Speaker 2: their fans and what happened with their managers. So Deservey 449 00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:04,640 Speaker 2: could be like a folk hero there or he could 450 00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:07,119 Speaker 2: be out of there in midway through the season. Who's 451 00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:09,639 Speaker 2: to say. But they're the second favorites and they're deserving 452 00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:10,840 Speaker 2: to be so it's kind of hard to bet on 453 00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:14,840 Speaker 2: a second favorite here for me. After Marseille, there's just 454 00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:18,320 Speaker 2: like this pack of teams that you can't really separate 455 00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:21,520 Speaker 2: much from. They all had around kind of the similar 456 00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:25,240 Speaker 2: you know, underlying metrics last season. But the one team 457 00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:27,760 Speaker 2: that kind of like is Lons. They're plus three fifty 458 00:23:27,800 --> 00:23:30,040 Speaker 2: to finish in the top three. Again in France, you 459 00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:32,159 Speaker 2: have to finish in the top three to qualify. If 460 00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:33,919 Speaker 2: the Champions League a third spot, you have to go 461 00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:38,000 Speaker 2: through qualification. But in any case, I think Lonz is 462 00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:40,600 Speaker 2: a decent chance will still form a RAMS manager. Is 463 00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:42,880 Speaker 2: now their manager. Things kind of got stale under Frantic Haas, 464 00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:45,639 Speaker 2: who's now at Nice. What we know about still is 465 00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:48,679 Speaker 2: that he from a tackle perspective, especially managing in France, 466 00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:51,080 Speaker 2: is that he is really really really good. You know, 467 00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:53,639 Speaker 2: he's the one who turned Florian Balligan into that great 468 00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:55,679 Speaker 2: season when he was on loan at Reems. He has 469 00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:59,240 Speaker 2: a similar striker in Elie Wahi now who didn't perform 470 00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:02,640 Speaker 2: well last season coming over a high priced from Montpellier, 471 00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:05,040 Speaker 2: but he'll have a really good striker. He has really 472 00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 2: solid center back pairing. He's a really good goalkeeper in 473 00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:10,000 Speaker 2: Bryce Samba, and he can turn his team and be 474 00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:11,960 Speaker 2: very versatile whether they want to build out of the 475 00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:14,760 Speaker 2: back end possession or be a team that plays in transition. 476 00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:16,440 Speaker 2: You know, Lonz last season was just kind of a 477 00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:18,879 Speaker 2: team that played in transition, that just sent in a 478 00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:20,359 Speaker 2: bunch of crosses and that was kind of it, and 479 00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:22,240 Speaker 2: they were kind of successful with that for many years. 480 00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:25,439 Speaker 2: But to get into the top three and to be 481 00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:27,640 Speaker 2: sustainable up there at least, you need to be able 482 00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:29,320 Speaker 2: to control matches and you need to be able to 483 00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:32,200 Speaker 2: be versatile in terms of your tactics. So I think 484 00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:35,200 Speaker 2: Lons at plus three fifty. Again, all these teams from 485 00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:40,680 Speaker 2: Nice to ren to from Leone, all of them kind 486 00:24:40,680 --> 00:24:43,840 Speaker 2: of just had the same expected metrics and even looking 487 00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:46,040 Speaker 2: at you know, transfer market dot Com, like all of 488 00:24:46,040 --> 00:24:48,800 Speaker 2: these things, including Monaco, all just kind of have this 489 00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:51,879 Speaker 2: similar total squad value, so it's kind of just picking 490 00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:54,000 Speaker 2: somebody out of the pack, and Lons is near the 491 00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:55,639 Speaker 2: bottom in terms of the odds there, so I kind 492 00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:58,200 Speaker 2: of like them at plus three fifty In terms of relegation. 493 00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:00,040 Speaker 2: I don't really want to tie up my mind on 494 00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:02,639 Speaker 2: something of plus three seventy five for the entire season, 495 00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:05,720 Speaker 2: but if you want to on Jais, who comes up 496 00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:10,000 Speaker 2: from the second division, had really bad underlying metrics there, 497 00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:12,040 Speaker 2: has the lowest squad value of anybody in league on 498 00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:16,360 Speaker 2: so in terms of relegation, they're the favorite, and they're 499 00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:18,199 Speaker 2: deserving to be and maybe they should be closer to 500 00:25:18,240 --> 00:25:20,760 Speaker 2: minus money. So if you want something with France, So 501 00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:23,359 Speaker 2: those are my two bets Lons plus three fifty and 502 00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:28,639 Speaker 2: lean on Jairs plus one point thirty seven to be relegated. 503 00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:31,640 Speaker 1: All right, that sets us up for the season to come. 504 00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:33,480 Speaker 1: We already did a deep dive of the Premier League. 505 00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:36,159 Speaker 1: Now you've got some bets, but cross Siria a La Liga, 506 00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:39,840 Speaker 1: Bundesliga League. Oh and of course we'll be back later 507 00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:41,760 Speaker 1: in the week to do our match week one preview 508 00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:44,560 Speaker 1: for the Premier League. So another season about to get 509 00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:46,200 Speaker 1: out the way here at Wonder goal presented by Bet 510 00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:49,560 Speaker 1: three sixty five for PJ. I'm Michael bets of luck 511 00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:52,040 Speaker 1: with all your futures for this coming season. 512 00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:03,639 Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 513 00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:06,480 Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 514 00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:09,600 Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler