1 00:00:01,200 --> 00:00:07,160 Speaker 1: The volume The Colin Cowherd Podcast, brought to you by 2 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:09,720 Speaker 1: Fan Duel. It's never been easier to play fantasy on 3 00:00:09,800 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: Fan Duel. Whether you love basketball, golf, soccer, or any 4 00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 1: fantasy sport, there is a contest for every fan. Fan 5 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:29,720 Speaker 1: Duel more ways to win. Hi, everybody, welcome in. It's 6 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 1: the Friday Morning Colin Coward Podcast. Fake questions, real answers. 7 00:00:33,960 --> 00:00:36,720 Speaker 1: Then we get to Chad Milman. These are things I 8 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:39,279 Speaker 1: want to talk about and don't want to wait for 9 00:00:39,320 --> 00:00:41,920 Speaker 1: you to ask me the questions, fake questions, real answers. 10 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 1: Dear Colin ob j sim of the Rams, even though 11 00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:48,400 Speaker 1: reports say the Packers were his preferred destination and he 12 00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:51,760 Speaker 1: didn't think they were all in as the Rams. What 13 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 1: do you think happened here? Well? I was told two 14 00:00:54,120 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 1: days ago the Packers did make an offer, but it 15 00:00:56,640 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 1: wasn't an aggressive offer. But I think the Packers wanted 16 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:05,160 Speaker 1: to cover their butt. Aaron Rodgers sees OBJ flourishing with 17 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:08,320 Speaker 1: another team. The Packers can say, Aaron, we made a 18 00:01:08,400 --> 00:01:11,840 Speaker 1: run at him. Packer fans and media critical of OBJ 19 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:15,520 Speaker 1: flourishing somewhere else. Hey, we made a run at him. 20 00:01:16,360 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 1: I think that's part of it. I was told the 21 00:01:18,560 --> 00:01:21,759 Speaker 1: Packers did not make an aggressive move to get him. 22 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:24,520 Speaker 1: I'm not saying that's a bad thing. I'm not criticizing 23 00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 1: the Packers. I don't think he is close to a 24 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:29,840 Speaker 1: number one ride receiver. He's brittle. He had a case 25 00:01:29,840 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 1: of the drops in Cleveland. I also think he likes La. 26 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:35,240 Speaker 1: He's got a house here. He's close to Lebron James 27 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 1: and his crew, and I think there's a lot of 28 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:41,280 Speaker 1: people that believe OBJ will end up working on some 29 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:46,959 Speaker 1: outside of football shows and productions with Lebron James. They're friends, 30 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:50,920 Speaker 1: and Lebron's friends are friends with OBJ. But Green Bay 31 00:01:50,960 --> 00:01:53,520 Speaker 1: once again fails to land a big free agent. They're 32 00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 1: going to protect themselves so they don't get ripped by 33 00:01:55,640 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 1: the media, fans or Aaron Rodgers. Hey we made a run. 34 00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:01,400 Speaker 1: Hey can you blame him? He owns a house in LA. 35 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:04,560 Speaker 1: That's an easy sell to the fans and eron, Dear 36 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 1: Colin cam Newton to the Panthers. You seem to think 37 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:09,359 Speaker 1: this could be the start of some big changes in Carolina, 38 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 1: don't you. Well. I think it's something interesting to discuss. 39 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:17,120 Speaker 1: Nick Saban's first year in the NFL hit a winning record. 40 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 1: Then the quarterback situation went sideways. Even Nick Saban couldn't win, 41 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:28,320 Speaker 1: bailed Alabama, Brian Flores reasonably viable at quarterback with Ryan Fitzpatrick. 42 00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:33,639 Speaker 1: First year, the rebuild looks good. Quarterback goes sideways. Brian 43 00:02:33,680 --> 00:02:37,079 Speaker 1: Flores looks like he can't coach. Y'all get it right. 44 00:02:37,200 --> 00:02:40,520 Speaker 1: You can't win in this league if you're not settled 45 00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 1: at quarterback. Bill Belichick best coach of all time, Brady Leaves. 46 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 1: They get Cam Newton late in a pandemic, sub five 47 00:02:47,960 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 1: hundred record. All I am saying, with Matt Rule, he 48 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 1: would be coach of the Panthers, the number one choice 49 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:59,240 Speaker 1: for Florida, LSU and USC. Okay, he took over Temple, 50 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:01,440 Speaker 1: they went to ten to six and six, then ten 51 00:03:01,480 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 1: and four. He went to Baylor one and eleven seven, 52 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:08,320 Speaker 1: six to eleven and three, master's degree in educational psychology. 53 00:03:08,639 --> 00:03:10,520 Speaker 1: I don't know what that means exactly, but I have 54 00:03:10,520 --> 00:03:14,280 Speaker 1: a feeling he's good at handling students. So this is 55 00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:18,360 Speaker 1: a very impatient owner. I think Matt Rule understands the NFL. 56 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 1: The quarterback situation right now for the Panthers is an 57 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:25,800 Speaker 1: absolute mess. I can tell you this USC will call 58 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:31,240 Speaker 1: on Matt rule. They will absolutely. I've been told make 59 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:34,240 Speaker 1: a run at Matt rule. It may be an hour run, 60 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 1: but they'll make a run. Dear Colin, people are angry. 61 00:03:38,160 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers only got fined about fourteen thousand for violating 62 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:45,839 Speaker 1: COVID protocols. Why aren't you as angry as everybody else? Well, 63 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: first of all, I'm not as angry as everybody else, 64 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:52,600 Speaker 1: that's your first answer. Secondly, timing matters. So last year, 65 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 1: at this time, the NFL went after the Saints and 66 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:59,000 Speaker 1: Raiders and took away a draft pick, although both appealed 67 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:01,640 Speaker 1: and got the pickback. But let's be honest about it. 68 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 1: This time last year, we didn't have a vaccine. Stadiums 69 00:04:05,160 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 1: were either empty or had limited capacity. We were still 70 00:04:08,680 --> 00:04:12,119 Speaker 1: learning to live in a pandemic. We were moving games regularly. 71 00:04:12,520 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 1: Now you've got eighty thousand people next to each other, 72 00:04:14,960 --> 00:04:19,320 Speaker 1: seventy two percent of America's vaccinated, to ninety five of 73 00:04:19,560 --> 00:04:22,560 Speaker 1: locker rooms are vaccinated. Got to be honest about this. 74 00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:27,920 Speaker 1: A year ago, leagues were much harsher on their penalties. 75 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:33,400 Speaker 1: This year, you find Aaron Rodgers fourteen thousand, You find 76 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:37,000 Speaker 1: the Packers three hundred grand I'm not saying you should 77 00:04:37,080 --> 00:04:41,320 Speaker 1: walk around as an unvaccinated player, not wearing a mask 78 00:04:41,440 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 1: at the podium, but a lot of what we're seeing 79 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:47,680 Speaker 1: in this country now, when you consider the vaccination and 80 00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:52,320 Speaker 1: booster rate, feels a little cosmetic. And I don't think 81 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:55,559 Speaker 1: the league wants to spend a lot of time looking 82 00:04:55,640 --> 00:05:00,159 Speaker 1: at security cameras inside the Packers organization and counting the 83 00:05:00,160 --> 00:05:06,159 Speaker 1: opportunities they have to fine Aaron Rodgers. Listen, he missed 84 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 1: a game, he lost a sponsorship, many feel he was 85 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:14,800 Speaker 1: publicly humiliated. He paid fourteen thousand dollars in fines. That's 86 00:05:14,800 --> 00:05:17,160 Speaker 1: a lot more than the average parking ticket, and the 87 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:21,040 Speaker 1: Packers got a three hundred thousand dollar fine. That feels 88 00:05:21,080 --> 00:05:24,520 Speaker 1: reasonable to me. Let's be honest, the league was in 89 00:05:24,560 --> 00:05:29,320 Speaker 1: a completely different situation a year ago than they are today. 90 00:05:30,680 --> 00:05:33,039 Speaker 1: Dear Colin, When people say they think Cincinnati should make 91 00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:35,920 Speaker 1: the college football Playoff, is it because they genuinely think 92 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:39,320 Speaker 1: Cincinnati can win a title or is there some deeper 93 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:44,279 Speaker 1: psychological reason behind it? Wow, what a thoughtful question. Listen, 94 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:47,080 Speaker 1: No sane person think Cincinnati is going to beat Georgia 95 00:05:47,160 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 1: or Alabama. People just don't like the four teams system, 96 00:05:51,520 --> 00:05:54,159 Speaker 1: because then they have to accept the harsh truth that 97 00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 1: only four programs can win a title. And let's be honest, 98 00:05:57,440 --> 00:06:00,960 Speaker 1: the rotation in the last several years has been Alabama, Clemson, 99 00:06:01,279 --> 00:06:04,440 Speaker 1: Georgia and Ohio State. It's the same reason people vote 100 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 1: for a Green Party. They don't really believe their candidates 101 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:10,400 Speaker 1: going to be the Republican or a Democrat. They don't 102 00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:13,239 Speaker 1: like to accept that only two parties stand a chance, 103 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:16,760 Speaker 1: and it bothers them because they don't feel there's a 104 00:06:16,800 --> 00:06:20,080 Speaker 1: party paying attention to their needs. And that's the truth. 105 00:06:21,120 --> 00:06:26,040 Speaker 1: We all know Alabama and Georgia would clobber Cincinnati. Vegas 106 00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:28,920 Speaker 1: knows it, You know it, I know it. But what 107 00:06:28,960 --> 00:06:34,200 Speaker 1: people don't like is the current system, the lobsided nature 108 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:37,280 Speaker 1: of it, and the fact that we all know will 109 00:06:37,320 --> 00:06:42,680 Speaker 1: probably have to watch another SEC team get crowned. Dear Colin, 110 00:06:42,760 --> 00:06:46,560 Speaker 1: there's a saying that's become popular in recent years, cancel 111 00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:50,680 Speaker 1: culture or go woke, go broke. What do you make 112 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 1: of these? Well, thanks for asking. A lot of these 113 00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:58,000 Speaker 1: sayings don't make a ton of sense to me, because, 114 00:06:58,960 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 1: for instance, the cancer culture, Ben Shapiro, Bill Maher, Tucker Carlson, 115 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:10,440 Speaker 1: Ben Shapiro and culture. They're some of the strongest voices 116 00:07:10,440 --> 00:07:15,480 Speaker 1: in politics, and their ratings and book sales and Q 117 00:07:15,760 --> 00:07:18,800 Speaker 1: ratings have gone up. They're certainly not being canceled, and 118 00:07:18,880 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 1: they're wildly outspoken and often harsh critics of politicians, our president, 119 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 1: directions of our current culture. As far as woke broke, 120 00:07:31,200 --> 00:07:33,920 Speaker 1: here's all I know. I went and looked up Forbes 121 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:37,560 Speaker 1: richest cities in the United States. Number one was San Jose, 122 00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:41,360 Speaker 1: Santa Clara, Two was San Francisco Berkeley, three was DC, 123 00:07:42,160 --> 00:07:46,680 Speaker 1: four was Bridgeport Stamford, Norwalk, Connecticut. Five was Boston, six 124 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:50,720 Speaker 1: was Seattle, seven was Napa, nine was Santa Cruz, and 125 00:07:50,760 --> 00:07:54,120 Speaker 1: ten was Boulder, Colorado. Now I don't know about thousand 126 00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:57,760 Speaker 1: oaks California that could be conservative, but I think nine 127 00:07:57,800 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 1: of ten are left to extremely left. It seems to 128 00:08:03,520 --> 00:08:08,840 Speaker 1: me the people going broke are in small, right leaning 129 00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 1: rural towns. Instead of go woke, you go broke. I'd say, 130 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:18,200 Speaker 1: if you go all right, budgets get tight. Wokeness is 131 00:08:18,200 --> 00:08:21,080 Speaker 1: a business and somewhat are you a smart business move? 132 00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:24,160 Speaker 1: A lot of businesses might be going woke because they 133 00:08:24,200 --> 00:08:26,400 Speaker 1: do believe in it, But let's face it, they also 134 00:08:26,480 --> 00:08:31,000 Speaker 1: know they're targeting customers who will like that message. Many 135 00:08:31,000 --> 00:08:34,319 Speaker 1: people say Colin Kaepernize is woke, will Nike signed him 136 00:08:34,400 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 1: and at Stock reached them all time high. But if 137 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:41,360 Speaker 1: you tell me that woke is broke, then why are 138 00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:45,199 Speaker 1: nine of the ten richest cities in America as left 139 00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:49,520 Speaker 1: leaning as almost any cities in the country. Boulder, DC, 140 00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 1: San Jose, Berkeley, Seattle, Santa Cruz. Folks, if you are 141 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:03,200 Speaker 1: tied to technology, and most of those cities are, you 142 00:09:03,280 --> 00:09:08,760 Speaker 1: are getting really rich and inaffordable for the average American. 143 00:09:09,160 --> 00:09:13,600 Speaker 1: Silicon Valley has always leaned far left. The counties and 144 00:09:13,640 --> 00:09:21,840 Speaker 1: the cities struggling are overwhelmingly rural and right leaning. All Right, 145 00:09:21,880 --> 00:09:26,720 Speaker 1: my buddy Chad Millman every Friday, Chief Content Officer, Action Network. Okay, 146 00:09:26,800 --> 00:09:29,200 Speaker 1: let's start with this. This is an interesting one. I 147 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:31,800 Speaker 1: don't know how I feel about it. I want your interpretation. 148 00:09:32,440 --> 00:09:34,800 Speaker 1: So there are teams in this league, and it's often 149 00:09:34,800 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 1: teams with young quarterbacks who I think are harder to 150 00:09:37,840 --> 00:09:40,520 Speaker 1: evaluate because they're a different team today than six weeks 151 00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:42,839 Speaker 1: ago and will be a different team in six weeks 152 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:46,079 Speaker 1: than today. Chargers are one of those. I think Minnesota 153 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:48,160 Speaker 1: plus two and a half is to play with the Chargers. 154 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:52,960 Speaker 1: That's my takeaway. Kirk Cousins tends to be productive. This 155 00:09:53,040 --> 00:09:55,600 Speaker 1: is a team that's been in games with excellent teams 156 00:09:56,800 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 1: and just situationally loses those games. What worries me about 157 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:07,360 Speaker 1: betting against the Chargers is that I believe they beat 158 00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:10,560 Speaker 1: Philadelphia last week, they wouldn't have beaten them a month 159 00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 1: ago and would beat them more severely a month from now, 160 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:17,120 Speaker 1: because I think Herbert and an offensive line are getting 161 00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:20,760 Speaker 1: better and better quickly. But I do think Minnesota is 162 00:10:20,760 --> 00:10:29,800 Speaker 1: the play here. Sharper square, it's sharp. The line has 163 00:10:29,840 --> 00:10:32,839 Speaker 1: actually moved from two and a half to three and 164 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:36,960 Speaker 1: a half. Two very specific reasons for that, having nothing 165 00:10:37,040 --> 00:10:44,920 Speaker 1: to do with the handicap itself. That's because there have 166 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:47,640 Speaker 1: been some COVID positives. There was a COVID positive on 167 00:10:47,679 --> 00:10:52,240 Speaker 1: the Vikings, so I think there is some There is 168 00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:55,280 Speaker 1: some hedging against There just might be more players that 169 00:10:55,600 --> 00:10:58,200 Speaker 1: test positive over the next few days. That impacts the 170 00:10:58,320 --> 00:11:03,559 Speaker 1: roster and also cook situation right. There's been reports the 171 00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:10,240 Speaker 1: past couple of days about domestic violence, his girlfriend saying 172 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:14,520 Speaker 1: about him, him saying about his girlfriend, so there's just 173 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:17,880 Speaker 1: some questions about what the roster is going to look 174 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:20,720 Speaker 1: like on Sunday. But if you were handed kepping this 175 00:11:20,800 --> 00:11:23,120 Speaker 1: game on Monday before any of this news came out, 176 00:11:23,880 --> 00:11:28,640 Speaker 1: this is a sort of old school versus new school debate, 177 00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:31,199 Speaker 1: and you'd be on the side of the new school sharps. 178 00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:34,360 Speaker 1: In that old schools guys will say, the only stat 179 00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:38,160 Speaker 1: that matters is in the W column, and in that respect, 180 00:11:38,240 --> 00:11:41,280 Speaker 1: the Vikings have fewer than the Chargers. The new schools 181 00:11:41,280 --> 00:11:44,840 Speaker 1: guys will say everything points to the Minnesota Vikings being 182 00:11:44,880 --> 00:11:48,280 Speaker 1: the better team except the wind column. Right, They've just 183 00:11:48,320 --> 00:11:52,000 Speaker 1: had really, really really bad luck while the Chargers started. 184 00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:55,599 Speaker 1: And when I say bad luck, I mean that's provable 185 00:11:55,679 --> 00:11:58,560 Speaker 1: bad luck. Right, things have gone wrong in games that 186 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:02,720 Speaker 1: aren't things you can define through stats. It's through sort 187 00:12:02,720 --> 00:12:05,720 Speaker 1: of flukey plays. Where the Chargers, they started out the 188 00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:08,720 Speaker 1: season gamebusters on third down conversions and fourth down conversions, 189 00:12:08,760 --> 00:12:11,080 Speaker 1: and we all said there's going to be regression. We 190 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:13,240 Speaker 1: set it before the Ravens game. They got killed by 191 00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:15,400 Speaker 1: the Ravens and you haven't seen them get back to 192 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:20,640 Speaker 1: that level since then. So that's why the Vikings are 193 00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 1: the right side. But the line has moved against them 194 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:27,960 Speaker 1: because of the personnel issues. My favorite bet of the 195 00:12:27,960 --> 00:12:31,680 Speaker 1: week maybe Brown's plus two against the Patriots. These two 196 00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:35,640 Speaker 1: teams have somewhat similar identities. They would prefer to run 197 00:12:35,679 --> 00:12:41,160 Speaker 1: the ball, limit their quarterback, win time of possession. They 198 00:12:41,160 --> 00:12:44,679 Speaker 1: play very good defense. The difference is Baker's averaging almost 199 00:12:44,679 --> 00:12:47,800 Speaker 1: thirteen yards per completion tops in the league. There is 200 00:12:47,840 --> 00:12:51,080 Speaker 1: an over the top component with Cleveland that New England 201 00:12:51,120 --> 00:12:55,360 Speaker 1: doesn't have. I also think, and I really believe this, 202 00:12:55,640 --> 00:12:59,000 Speaker 1: I think Baker's a better quarterback without the pressure of OBJ. 203 00:12:59,240 --> 00:13:03,120 Speaker 1: It sounds ridicult, but I thought Dak was better immediately 204 00:13:03,200 --> 00:13:06,360 Speaker 1: when Dez left the locker room, even though Dez was 205 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:09,440 Speaker 1: a touchdown machine. I think Cleveland has a much better 206 00:13:09,520 --> 00:13:12,560 Speaker 1: team with an over the top dimension New England doesn't have. 207 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:16,080 Speaker 1: I think the Patriots are a little overvalued because Darnald 208 00:13:16,440 --> 00:13:20,240 Speaker 1: injured against Belichick. That's always going to go Bill's side. 209 00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:22,760 Speaker 1: I'm going to take the Browns plus the points sharper 210 00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:26,960 Speaker 1: square sharp. The only thing I would say here is 211 00:13:26,960 --> 00:13:29,559 Speaker 1: you can afford to wait. Like the line opened it 212 00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:33,199 Speaker 1: at one, it's been bed up to two, it's at 213 00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:35,160 Speaker 1: two and a half. I think it might get to 214 00:13:35,280 --> 00:13:38,280 Speaker 1: three because the public is all over the Patriots. They 215 00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:42,120 Speaker 1: love the Patriots for everything you just said, way overvalued. 216 00:13:42,440 --> 00:13:44,720 Speaker 1: And I agree with you about Baker Mayfield and OBJ, 217 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:47,480 Speaker 1: and the stats back it up. Forget about opinion. He 218 00:13:47,559 --> 00:13:51,000 Speaker 1: averages a yard more per pass attempt, and he averages 219 00:13:51,080 --> 00:13:54,320 Speaker 1: his completion percentage is about five or six points higher 220 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:58,040 Speaker 1: without OBJ when he's not on the field. When OBJ 221 00:13:58,200 --> 00:13:59,640 Speaker 1: is on the field, and he speaks to a lot 222 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:01,880 Speaker 1: of this that you know you like to talk about 223 00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:06,120 Speaker 1: with Baker, and which is he's not a quarterback who 224 00:14:06,120 --> 00:14:09,600 Speaker 1: can sort of improvise, right. He needs receivers to do 225 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:12,240 Speaker 1: what they are supposed to do. He goes through his 226 00:14:12,280 --> 00:14:15,080 Speaker 1: progressions very well, and OBJ is a guy who improvised, 227 00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:16,800 Speaker 1: and so when he's not doing what he's supposed to 228 00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:19,560 Speaker 1: be doing, it puts Baker in a jam. Right. And 229 00:14:19,800 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 1: the both top running backs right now for the Patriots 230 00:14:24,560 --> 00:14:27,600 Speaker 1: are in the concussion protocols. We don't know if they'll play. 231 00:14:27,760 --> 00:14:30,040 Speaker 1: And while we know there's no Kareem Hunt and no 232 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:33,760 Speaker 1: Nick Chubb, we know that the Browns. It's similar like 233 00:14:33,800 --> 00:14:35,720 Speaker 1: what the Broncos used to do and what the forty 234 00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:38,000 Speaker 1: nine ers have proven they're able to do. They've got 235 00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:41,640 Speaker 1: a system that allows for running backs to compete on 236 00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:44,040 Speaker 1: a Sunday. It might not be Nick Chubb with his 237 00:14:44,120 --> 00:14:45,960 Speaker 1: skill set, but you're going to get a running back 238 00:14:45,960 --> 00:14:48,360 Speaker 1: who does well against the Pat's defense that is still 239 00:14:48,400 --> 00:14:50,280 Speaker 1: in the the middle of the pack against the run. And 240 00:14:50,280 --> 00:14:53,120 Speaker 1: then the key things here about pressure, right, Baker and 241 00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:56,600 Speaker 1: mac Jones are both bad against pressure. The Browns can 242 00:14:56,640 --> 00:14:59,840 Speaker 1: get pressure, the Patriots cannot get pressure. And we saw 243 00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 1: mac Jones last week. They won that game against the 244 00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:04,920 Speaker 1: Panther's team that a lot of people liked as four 245 00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:08,280 Speaker 1: point underdogs, not because of mac Jones. They want it 246 00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:11,400 Speaker 1: because Sam Darnold stinks. And so you're right and that 247 00:15:11,440 --> 00:15:14,160 Speaker 1: people are looking the final score overvaluing the Patriots, not 248 00:15:14,200 --> 00:15:20,600 Speaker 1: looking at the underlying metrics. Browns at the sharp side high. 249 00:15:20,640 --> 00:15:23,960 Speaker 1: It's the herd for FanDuel Monday night football matchup Rams Niners. 250 00:15:24,280 --> 00:15:27,320 Speaker 1: Rams are minus four. I'd probably take the Niners plus four. 251 00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:31,600 Speaker 1: It's a divisional matchup. It's perhaps Garoppolo's last start. He's 252 00:15:31,640 --> 00:15:35,400 Speaker 1: fighting for his job in this matchup. Kyle Shanahan has 253 00:15:35,400 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 1: had Sean mcvay's number. I do think the Rams were embarrassed. 254 00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:42,120 Speaker 1: I would not be surprised if the Rams won and covered. 255 00:15:42,560 --> 00:15:45,800 Speaker 1: But listen, same game parlays. There's a lot of different 256 00:15:45,800 --> 00:15:47,960 Speaker 1: things you can go here. I would probably take the 257 00:15:48,080 --> 00:15:50,080 Speaker 1: forty nine ers and the under because I don't think 258 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 1: the forty nine ers can win a shoot out, and 259 00:15:51,680 --> 00:15:53,240 Speaker 1: I think the forty nine ers know they can't want 260 00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:56,880 Speaker 1: to shootout. Listen. FanDuel sports Books the best, easy to use, 261 00:15:56,920 --> 00:15:59,000 Speaker 1: safe and secure, and you can win one hundred and 262 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:02,600 Speaker 1: fifty bucks and a five dollar bet. 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Or go to one one hundred gamble dot 280 00:16:47,800 --> 00:16:49,640 Speaker 1: in West Virginia or called one eight hundred next step 281 00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:52,080 Speaker 1: or text next step to five three three four two Arizona. 282 00:16:56,040 --> 00:16:59,360 Speaker 1: I like the Lions plus eight at the Steelers, Lions 283 00:16:59,440 --> 00:17:01,720 Speaker 1: extra time time Steelers on a short week, but it's 284 00:17:01,760 --> 00:17:05,280 Speaker 1: more than that. Jared Goff's completion percentage take a look, everybody, 285 00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:10,080 Speaker 1: It's like sixty seven, sixty eight percent. Jared Goff's passer rating. 286 00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:14,760 Speaker 1: He's had multiple over ninety, somewhere in the ninety five 287 00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:18,199 Speaker 1: range in many of his starts. Jared Goff is not 288 00:17:18,280 --> 00:17:24,159 Speaker 1: an elite quarterback, but he's also better at throwing a 289 00:17:24,240 --> 00:17:27,840 Speaker 1: football that I think people view him. I think people 290 00:17:27,920 --> 00:17:30,720 Speaker 1: view him as a complete stiff. And he's really not 291 00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:33,280 Speaker 1: He's not going to win a lot of games with 292 00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:36,560 Speaker 1: this roster. I'm not looking for a win here. Eight 293 00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:40,440 Speaker 1: points for a Steeler offense that literally if you look 294 00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:44,800 Speaker 1: at the big Bend numbers on air yards per attempt, 295 00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:49,160 Speaker 1: and this is not a dim or a week receiving 296 00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:51,320 Speaker 1: cort There's some talent here on this offense. They have 297 00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:54,400 Speaker 1: a star rookie tight end, they have a very nice 298 00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:57,240 Speaker 1: rookie running back. They have a couple of really productive 299 00:17:57,240 --> 00:18:01,080 Speaker 1: wide receivers. This is a poorly quarter back team. I 300 00:18:01,119 --> 00:18:04,679 Speaker 1: think Detroit plus eight is the sharp side. Your thoughts 301 00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:09,600 Speaker 1: love it, one hundred percent the sharp side in this game. 302 00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:12,480 Speaker 1: It is too many points for a Steelers offense that 303 00:18:12,680 --> 00:18:17,160 Speaker 1: is just not very good in any way, and they 304 00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:20,960 Speaker 1: have proven it again and again and again. Roethlisberger just 305 00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:23,520 Speaker 1: is not a very good quarterback. I like that the 306 00:18:23,560 --> 00:18:26,760 Speaker 1: Lions offensive line is getting a little bit healthier, and 307 00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:29,719 Speaker 1: it was an offensive line that was probably the strength 308 00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:32,359 Speaker 1: of the team before the season began and some injuries 309 00:18:32,440 --> 00:18:35,159 Speaker 1: started to pile up. But this is really about what 310 00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:38,520 Speaker 1: you said, which is it's just too many points. And 311 00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 1: the game opened at nine, got that down to eight 312 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:43,440 Speaker 1: and a half got that down to eight. That tells 313 00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:45,880 Speaker 1: you that the money that the wise guys are coming 314 00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:49,320 Speaker 1: in on the Lions here. What's really interesting is it's 315 00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:52,439 Speaker 1: just too many points for the Steelers to have to 316 00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:55,600 Speaker 1: score against the Lions team where we make fun of 317 00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:58,640 Speaker 1: Dan Campbell for you know, we're going to keep fighting, 318 00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:01,640 Speaker 1: we're gonna bite the kneecaps and whatever, but he truly 319 00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:04,359 Speaker 1: has his team playing like that. And they're wild cards. 320 00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:09,520 Speaker 1: They're a dangerous cornered animal. Right They've had two weeks off. 321 00:19:09,560 --> 00:19:11,600 Speaker 1: They will do anything, They will pull out anything. They 322 00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:15,600 Speaker 1: have nothing to lose because they've lost everything. I would 323 00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:19,040 Speaker 1: not want to be betting on the Steelers with the 324 00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:21,919 Speaker 1: Lions having the opportunity to backdoor this game in the 325 00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:25,720 Speaker 1: last three minutes. All Right, I've been going once a 326 00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:27,919 Speaker 1: week with a big favorite. I'm two and one on 327 00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:31,919 Speaker 1: big favorites. So the one big favorite that interests me 328 00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:35,160 Speaker 1: is the Cardinals minus ten and a half hosting the Panthers, 329 00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:37,959 Speaker 1: who are an absolute tire fire at quarterback. But it's 330 00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:42,440 Speaker 1: more than that. Is that what we learned with Colt 331 00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:48,800 Speaker 1: McCoy from the play calling from Cliff Kingsbury, they didn't 332 00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:52,119 Speaker 1: really alter the playbook. They coached much more aggressively with 333 00:19:52,200 --> 00:19:54,640 Speaker 1: a backup quarterback on the road than the Niners did 334 00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:58,840 Speaker 1: with Jimmy Garoppolo at home. Is that Colt McCoy, though 335 00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:03,679 Speaker 1: fundamentally limit did, is athletically a little bit like Kyler 336 00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:07,879 Speaker 1: Small moves around well. Now, Kayler's a much better athlete 337 00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:10,520 Speaker 1: with a much bigger arm. But they can run most 338 00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:13,720 Speaker 1: of their offense with Colt McCoy, and we saw that 339 00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:18,359 Speaker 1: with confidence against the Niners. This is a really bad 340 00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:23,760 Speaker 1: offensive front that will be starting a backup. These blowouts 341 00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:26,080 Speaker 1: are covering more and more. If I had to roll 342 00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,679 Speaker 1: the dice, I'd take the Cardinals as a big fave. 343 00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:32,000 Speaker 1: They're all sort of division battling the Rams. This is 344 00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:36,159 Speaker 1: not a team that's going to overlook anybody. Probably a square, 345 00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:39,000 Speaker 1: but I like it. Yeah, you're a square. You're one 346 00:20:39,040 --> 00:20:41,560 Speaker 1: hundred percent of square. I'm surprised you didn't say the Cowboys, 347 00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:44,040 Speaker 1: because if you were betting a big favorite, I would 348 00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:46,040 Speaker 1: want to bet on the Cowboys this week as a 349 00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:50,040 Speaker 1: big favorite versus the Panther's in the Cards. There's a 350 00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:55,040 Speaker 1: lot of this thing is like blasting signals that says 351 00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:59,800 Speaker 1: the Panther's a plus ten and a half. Here's a stat. Okay, 352 00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:04,160 Speaker 1: the Cardinals have fumbled the most in the NFL this year. 353 00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:10,080 Speaker 1: They've also lost the second fewest fumbles in the NFL. Meanwhile, 354 00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:14,159 Speaker 1: opponents are fumbling the second most against the Cardinals and 355 00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:19,159 Speaker 1: they're losing the most fumbles against the Cardinals. What that 356 00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:22,760 Speaker 1: is telling us is that there is a massive amount 357 00:21:22,800 --> 00:21:26,440 Speaker 1: of lucky bounces going the Cardinals way. And we talked 358 00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:28,840 Speaker 1: about this last week, right with the Broncos and the Cowboys. 359 00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:30,399 Speaker 1: You're like, what do you think of the Broncos and 360 00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:32,720 Speaker 1: the Cowboys? And I'm like, I don't love the game. 361 00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:34,320 Speaker 1: If I had to bet it, I'd bet on the 362 00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:37,159 Speaker 1: Broncos because there's a regression coming and the Cowboys have 363 00:21:37,240 --> 00:21:40,639 Speaker 1: been living on defense by turnovers. The Cardinals are living 364 00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:44,920 Speaker 1: on defense on turnovers. Their rush game. Their rush defense 365 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:47,399 Speaker 1: is thirty first in the league from the yards per 366 00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:52,280 Speaker 1: rush basis. What do we know Carolina is going to do? 367 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:54,600 Speaker 1: We know they're going to run the ball. We know 368 00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:57,920 Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey is back. Matt Rule has said we are 369 00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:02,200 Speaker 1: going to run the ball. Kyler mllnutt might not play. 370 00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:06,240 Speaker 1: DeAndre Hopkins might not play. AJ Green might not play. 371 00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:09,800 Speaker 1: The Carolina Panthers secondary is really becoming one of the 372 00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:13,399 Speaker 1: better secondaries in the NFL. And if you look at 373 00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:15,200 Speaker 1: go let's go back to the Fumbels for a second. 374 00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:18,560 Speaker 1: When the Cardinals beat the Niners last week, it's because 375 00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:20,600 Speaker 1: the Niners kept fumbling early in the game. When the 376 00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:22,880 Speaker 1: Cardinals beat up on the Browns and that surprising game 377 00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:25,280 Speaker 1: earlier in the year, the Browns kept fumbling early in 378 00:22:25,280 --> 00:22:29,600 Speaker 1: the game. This Cardinals team, you can find nobody who says, oh, yeah, 379 00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:31,840 Speaker 1: this is a dominant team. This is the team we 380 00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:33,280 Speaker 1: think is going to go to the super Bowl. They 381 00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:36,560 Speaker 1: are what dominant teams have been in the past. Nobody 382 00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:39,840 Speaker 1: says that. They say they've got good metrics and they've 383 00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:43,679 Speaker 1: had really really good luck. I would take the Saints 384 00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:47,840 Speaker 1: plus three at the Titans. Now that sounds crazy, but 385 00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:50,080 Speaker 1: this is going to be a very very low scoring 386 00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:55,440 Speaker 1: football game with two very very good pass rushes to 387 00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:59,399 Speaker 1: excellent defenses. Like right now, the Titans defense is we 388 00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:02,359 Speaker 1: bring full, we don't blitz, we mix up man in 389 00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:05,800 Speaker 1: zone on the back end, and it's very effective. I 390 00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:08,320 Speaker 1: think this is an ugly game. I think the Saints 391 00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:10,240 Speaker 1: have been a team that you don't quite know what 392 00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:14,040 Speaker 1: you're getting, and they were completely outplayed by Atlanta. Disregard 393 00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:18,360 Speaker 1: the score, they were absolutely outplayed by Atlanta. The Titans 394 00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:22,080 Speaker 1: come off a wildly dramatic win, feeling themselves a little bit. 395 00:23:22,520 --> 00:23:25,800 Speaker 1: Saints plus three feels like the play to me, Yeah, 396 00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:28,600 Speaker 1: I love this one. This is completely sharp, so sharp 397 00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:32,120 Speaker 1: in fact, that it's moved from Saints plus three two 398 00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:35,160 Speaker 1: Saints plus two and a half. Full disclosure, I still 399 00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:38,160 Speaker 1: bet it at Saints plus two and a half. This 400 00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:44,159 Speaker 1: you talked about overreaction earlier. This is the overreaction game 401 00:23:44,520 --> 00:23:47,399 Speaker 1: of the week, and like I'm looking at the numbers 402 00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:49,560 Speaker 1: right now and Action Network dot Com, I can see 403 00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:55,440 Speaker 1: the bets completely coming in on the Titans, and yet 404 00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:57,760 Speaker 1: the line moved in the direction of the Saints. It's 405 00:23:57,800 --> 00:24:00,119 Speaker 1: called the reverse line move. That tells you that the 406 00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:03,520 Speaker 1: professional betters are coming in on the Saints. Total over reaction, 407 00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:06,679 Speaker 1: and it's because, look, the Titans had a flukey win 408 00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:10,600 Speaker 1: against the Colts. The Titans did not look impressive against 409 00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:14,720 Speaker 1: the Rams. Matthew Stafford just looked bad against the Titans. 410 00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:20,320 Speaker 1: And this is where, like the underlying metrics really get 411 00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:25,560 Speaker 1: interesting DVOA very fancy way of saying this is how 412 00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:29,760 Speaker 1: teams are judged based on their effectiveness effectiveness on each 413 00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:34,400 Speaker 1: play against the league average. So overall, Titans are fourteenth 414 00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:39,000 Speaker 1: and DVOA Saints are eighth. On offense, they're both middle 415 00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:42,639 Speaker 1: of the pack sixteenth and seventeen respectively. On defense, Titans 416 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:45,960 Speaker 1: are tenth Saints are third. You could argue the Saints 417 00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,639 Speaker 1: have the best defense in the NFL right now, and 418 00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:51,000 Speaker 1: the Titans rush defense is at the bottom of the league, 419 00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:55,679 Speaker 1: so you can expect more Taysom hill more run packages, 420 00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:59,280 Speaker 1: an elite offensive line that can protect Trevor Simeon on 421 00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:02,240 Speaker 1: short passes where he's effective against a not very good 422 00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:05,240 Speaker 1: past defense. And then you've got Sean Payton, who I 423 00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:07,840 Speaker 1: think as a coaching dge over Mike Rabow second most 424 00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:11,080 Speaker 1: profitable coach against the spread since two thousand and three. 425 00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:15,400 Speaker 1: Coming off of a loss, alright, two games one, I'm 426 00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:17,439 Speaker 1: not going to bet, but I have a feel for it, 427 00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:19,240 Speaker 1: but I don't like the number. And then you give 428 00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:21,680 Speaker 1: me your game of the week, which I haven't talked about. 429 00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:24,560 Speaker 1: I think Green Bay matches up brilliantly with Seattle. I 430 00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:27,920 Speaker 1: think Seattle's number one issue is a playmaking safety who 431 00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:32,280 Speaker 1: can't cover in space, Jamal Adams and bad corners. I 432 00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:35,159 Speaker 1: think Aaron Rodgers is one of the few quarterbacks in 433 00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:37,520 Speaker 1: the league that could be in on zoom meetings, not 434 00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:40,560 Speaker 1: practice and be fine. I think green Bay matches up 435 00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:43,760 Speaker 1: very well with Seattle. Now. I will say Russell Wilson 436 00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:47,159 Speaker 1: has been a very good road quarterback. And Russell Wilson 437 00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:50,479 Speaker 1: remember when Drew Brees got hurt, came back and looked 438 00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:54,439 Speaker 1: better and had a stronger arm. Russell just got a 439 00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:58,760 Speaker 1: month sabbatical in the middle of the season. So part 440 00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:01,440 Speaker 1: of me thinks Russell Will's coming back here was so 441 00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:04,120 Speaker 1: much energy and they're going to go on a roll 442 00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:06,680 Speaker 1: now against the green Bay team that's had a noisy week. 443 00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:10,720 Speaker 1: But man, I love the way green Bay's offense matches 444 00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:15,160 Speaker 1: up with Seattle. What's the sharp side? The sharp side 445 00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:18,080 Speaker 1: is Seattle plus three and a half, and the line 446 00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:20,800 Speaker 1: has been moving down. It was at five, it got 447 00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:22,479 Speaker 1: down to four and a half, then it got down 448 00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:26,280 Speaker 1: to four. Now it's at three and a half. I 449 00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:29,280 Speaker 1: think there's a lot a large sentiment that likes Russell 450 00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:31,960 Speaker 1: Wilson coming back for what you said, and that he's 451 00:26:32,000 --> 00:26:34,840 Speaker 1: just not a quarterback who gets blown out in any 452 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:39,000 Speaker 1: game like this where Green Bay's defense has been overperforming 453 00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:43,800 Speaker 1: against the stats that they've had throughout the year, So 454 00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:46,679 Speaker 1: there's a little bit of a regression coming there. A 455 00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:48,800 Speaker 1: big factor is Aaron Rodgers. You say he can work 456 00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:51,920 Speaker 1: on his couch watch film do whatever. We've seen in 457 00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:54,679 Speaker 1: the past, Like, we don't know how athletes react to 458 00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:59,840 Speaker 1: COVID yet. And while Aaron Rodgers is certainly a critical thing, 459 00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:03,640 Speaker 1: or is his body going to be as different as 460 00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:07,159 Speaker 1: his mind when he comes back from COVID. Cam Newton 461 00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:10,240 Speaker 1: did not perform well. Coming back from COVID literally takes 462 00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:13,240 Speaker 1: your breath away. Lamar Jackson had a hard time coming 463 00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:16,040 Speaker 1: back from COVID. We looked in the NBA. Jason Tatum 464 00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:18,120 Speaker 1: when he had COVID last year, had a hard time 465 00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:23,280 Speaker 1: recovering for the Celtics. It impacts your lungs. So I 466 00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:25,879 Speaker 1: am not convinced that if Aaron Rodgers is back that 467 00:27:26,000 --> 00:27:28,399 Speaker 1: he's going to be at peak level even if he 468 00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:32,760 Speaker 1: is on the field. So for me, Russell Wilson coming back, 469 00:27:33,080 --> 00:27:36,239 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers questionable to coming back. But after an ill 470 00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:39,960 Speaker 1: list that was really unpredictable. I like the Seahawks, and 471 00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:41,879 Speaker 1: so do the wise guys. All right, give me the 472 00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:45,120 Speaker 1: game I haven't talked about you're interested in. There's so 473 00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:47,960 Speaker 1: many by the way, a little bit the Cowboys. I 474 00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:51,880 Speaker 1: love them in this spot at minus eight against the Falcons. 475 00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:55,240 Speaker 1: I think it's a get right game for the Cowboys. 476 00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:57,199 Speaker 1: I think there's too much of a reaction to the 477 00:27:57,280 --> 00:27:59,760 Speaker 1: Falcons beating the Saints. The Falcons are just not that 478 00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:02,800 Speaker 1: good of a team. What they will do offensively plays 479 00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:06,560 Speaker 1: to the strengths of the Cowboys opportunistic defense. But the 480 00:28:06,600 --> 00:28:10,240 Speaker 1: game that's getting a lot of conversation, a lot of conversation, 481 00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:14,440 Speaker 1: let's hear it. Niners. Oh no, I like the Niners 482 00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:16,800 Speaker 1: plus four. I do. All right, Well, we did talk 483 00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:18,920 Speaker 1: about it, so I'm telling you this is this is 484 00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:20,280 Speaker 1: the one that's on the board for me that we 485 00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:23,800 Speaker 1: didn't talk about. This game. Most gamest most wise guys 486 00:28:24,160 --> 00:28:27,199 Speaker 1: have this game power rated at Niners minus one. So 487 00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:29,200 Speaker 1: you're getting like five to five and a half points 488 00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:32,199 Speaker 1: of value on a Niners team that is continuing to 489 00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:35,400 Speaker 1: get healthy and is just flukey right. They lost last 490 00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:40,480 Speaker 1: week because they had so many freaking turnovers. So when 491 00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:43,360 Speaker 1: we do sharp calls on the Favorites podcast, this was 492 00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:46,320 Speaker 1: the game all the Wise guys talked about between Tuesday 493 00:28:46,320 --> 00:28:48,760 Speaker 1: and Thursday. They're like, we love the Niners, we love 494 00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:50,680 Speaker 1: the Niners. It was the game that was getting bet 495 00:28:50,680 --> 00:28:54,520 Speaker 1: the most on Sunday night when lines first open. So 496 00:28:54,880 --> 00:28:57,040 Speaker 1: a lot of conversation in the wisegay community about the 497 00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:59,760 Speaker 1: Niners plus four. Well, you know the other thing. Shanahan's 498 00:28:59,800 --> 00:29:03,280 Speaker 1: had mcmay's number a little obj nowt of the Rams. 499 00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:06,120 Speaker 1: I wonder if they just waste time putting in packages 500 00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:08,680 Speaker 1: a couple of days this week. I honestly think about that. 501 00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:11,000 Speaker 1: You could see it, right, You could totally see like 502 00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:13,560 Speaker 1: they're over excited for their new toy. How are we 503 00:29:13,560 --> 00:29:15,040 Speaker 1: going to take in the charge of it. We're going 504 00:29:15,080 --> 00:29:17,480 Speaker 1: to be the ones who are smarter than everybody else. 505 00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:21,840 Speaker 1: How much talent have you seen in your life in media? 506 00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:26,760 Speaker 1: Now running a media operation. Oh, this guy's so good. 507 00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:29,160 Speaker 1: Nobody else knows how to manage him. I can figure 508 00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:32,400 Speaker 1: it out. Doesn't really work out like that. People are 509 00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:35,560 Speaker 1: who they are. Bill Belichick is the only person in 510 00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:39,080 Speaker 1: history who's been able to bring malcontent talent and turn 511 00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:41,400 Speaker 1: it into something that works within a framework of the team. 512 00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:44,400 Speaker 1: And it's because he had Tom Brady. Matthew Stafford is 513 00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:47,600 Speaker 1: not Tom Brady. I would be shocked if OBJ turns 514 00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:50,400 Speaker 1: into the long term Hall of Famer because he's on 515 00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:52,959 Speaker 1: the Rams. All right, Milman, have a great weekend. This 516 00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:55,200 Speaker 1: is good stuff. I learned a lot today. Thanks Buddy. Well, 517 00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:58,200 Speaker 1: I'll be here to help, so yeah, all right, everybody, 518 00:29:58,280 --> 00:30:01,000 Speaker 1: Chad Milman. Go to our YouTube page, Instagram, rate review, 519 00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:19,520 Speaker 1: subscribe at the Volume Sports Enjoy the Volume