1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,440 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast. All Right, here 2 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:05,960 Speaker 1: we go. 3 00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 2: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, Horny Cody five 4 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:22,960 Speaker 2: fifty and the Kick as Black College Football. Laura stund 5 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, please stumbled and bumble the lateral turn 6 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 2: a car on the inside, Gus Ladna caap it off 7 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 2: the field to night. 8 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 1: It's not the size of the dog in the fight, 9 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:44,479 Speaker 1: it's the size of the fight. 10 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 3: In the dog. 11 00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:49,879 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast is the 12 00:00:49,880 --> 00:00:51,920 Speaker 1: Group of five d time on my caliberys joined by 13 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:54,800 Speaker 1: Mike Ianello. We're here to give you all the goods 14 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:57,560 Speaker 1: on the Group of five, go through our best bets, 15 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:01,000 Speaker 1: the G five High five, and our underdog money line parlay. 16 00:01:01,760 --> 00:01:04,680 Speaker 1: Last week was pretty eventful for college football, at least 17 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 1: for this podcast. Trent Dilfer got torpedoed by Navy, and 18 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:11,480 Speaker 1: I want to start there, just for a second. I 19 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:14,040 Speaker 1: think probably the best comparison that I can give on 20 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:16,479 Speaker 1: two ends of the spectrum for how I feel about 21 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:19,840 Speaker 1: coaches with an NFL background, either having played there or 22 00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:22,720 Speaker 1: coached in the NFL moving down to college. On one end, 23 00:01:22,800 --> 00:01:25,679 Speaker 1: if you have Trent Dilfer, who basically thumbs his nose 24 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:28,399 Speaker 1: at college. It's not a big deal. Even last year 25 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 1: when he played against Georgia, he's like, oh, you know, 26 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 1: Bowers didn't impress me that much. I was around Hall 27 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:34,880 Speaker 1: of Fame talent. Blah blah blah blah blah. He's getting 28 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: crushed at the college level. I think he's short for 29 00:01:37,160 --> 00:01:39,520 Speaker 1: that job. I think UAB would be wise to cut 30 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 1: ties with him. But on the other side, he got 31 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien at Boston College, and admittedly personality wise he's 32 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:48,280 Speaker 1: not my cup of tea. But Mann does that guy 33 00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 1: love that job. He's been doing the media tour. They're 34 00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:54,960 Speaker 1: already competitive in the ACC with him. There's a clear 35 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:57,920 Speaker 1: upgrade in terms of the coaching top to bottom. And 36 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:02,080 Speaker 1: he's just somebody who just oozed enthusiasm for the college game. 37 00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 1: And this is the same guy I know as someone 38 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 1: who saved the Penn State program. It can't be overstated 39 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:09,639 Speaker 1: how important his years and Happy Valley where if they're 40 00:02:09,639 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 1: going to bring a statue back, they should bring a 41 00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien statue and put it on campus. That to 42 00:02:13,880 --> 00:02:16,639 Speaker 1: me is what you should be doing if you're not 43 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:19,360 Speaker 1: just a mercenary coaching at the very highest level of 44 00:02:19,360 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 1: the sport for a ton of money, like a Jimbo Fisher. 45 00:02:21,600 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 1: If it's a passion project. If you're going to a 46 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:26,240 Speaker 1: G five school or a second tier power for school, 47 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:28,519 Speaker 1: you should be a Bill o'brent. You shouldn't be a Trentilver. 48 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 1: What are your thoughts there on UAB imploding and potentially 49 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:33,120 Speaker 1: getting a new coach. 50 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:35,280 Speaker 4: Yeah, obviously I was on. 51 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:37,440 Speaker 5: I mean I I faded both of those two coaches 52 00:02:37,480 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 5: and they both need of them covered so that it 53 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:40,760 Speaker 5: was perfect. Yeah, obviously, you know, I love the O'Brien. 54 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 5: Everything he did to Penn State, he was great. I mean, 55 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:45,919 Speaker 5: he took that job when really nobody wanted it, and 56 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:49,400 Speaker 5: what he did to kind of persevere and rally the 57 00:02:49,440 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 5: crowd and rally the fans and the players, just that you. 58 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 4: Know, you can make all the jokes you want. 59 00:02:53,880 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 5: Him getting Hackenberg to stay, like Hackenberg was awesome at 60 00:02:56,639 --> 00:02:59,079 Speaker 5: Penn State, especially that for those first couple of years. 61 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 1: When they could protect them for sure, like. 62 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 5: Him getting Hackenbert to stay, him bringing in the like 63 00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:07,320 Speaker 5: you know, the Alan Robinson to stay. I mean, you forget, 64 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:09,480 Speaker 5: like this was before the portal in the NCAA basically 65 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:12,520 Speaker 5: invented the transfer portal and said, come pick all all 66 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:14,799 Speaker 5: of our players, and he kept most of them there. 67 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 5: So yeah, I love Bill O'Brien. I think he's done 68 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:19,360 Speaker 5: an amazing job. And I mean he's so proud of 69 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:21,800 Speaker 5: for Boston College, like you know, North andover guy like 70 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:24,799 Speaker 5: from that area. Obviously the Patriots tie, So yeah, I 71 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:26,320 Speaker 5: love everything about what he's doing. 72 00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:27,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, I love I love guys like that. 73 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 1: Now, people tune in for positivity, but specifically G five positivity. 74 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 1: So let's transition to our G five Heroes of the 75 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:35,400 Speaker 1: Week from the. 76 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 4: Week that was. 77 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 1: Every single week. We could just give it to Ashton GenZ, 78 00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:53,880 Speaker 1: that's not what you're here for. 79 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 5: Although hold on, hold on, hold on, hold on, hold on, 80 00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 5: I'm going to give it to a gent Oh plot 81 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:00,680 Speaker 5: twists because we do this like breeze though. 82 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:02,560 Speaker 4: We do this like breeze over with him thing. 83 00:04:02,600 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 5: Each week we just say yeah, Ashton Genty and no, no, no, 84 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:09,080 Speaker 5: Ashton Genty is the G five here of the week 85 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:10,760 Speaker 5: because I want to talk about him just for a second, 86 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:12,000 Speaker 5: because I don't want to breeze over him like we 87 00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:17,240 Speaker 5: usually do. That game was unbelievable two hundred and fifty 88 00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:21,520 Speaker 5: nine yards four touchdowns. He had two hundred and thirty 89 00:04:21,560 --> 00:04:28,239 Speaker 5: four yards after contact. My man had seventeen misstackles forced 90 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:30,360 Speaker 5: in one game against the power. 91 00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:32,599 Speaker 4: Of five teen seveneen. 92 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:34,919 Speaker 5: If you watch his four touchdown runs, if you have 93 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:37,760 Speaker 5: ve didn't step play, pull them up on YouTube. He 94 00:04:37,839 --> 00:04:40,719 Speaker 5: broke five tackles on every touchdown run. Like I'm not 95 00:04:40,800 --> 00:04:44,360 Speaker 5: even exaggerating five. He is now at eight hundred and 96 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 5: forty five yards and thirteen touchdowns in four games. He's 97 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 5: avering two hundred eleven yards per game. Only forty four 98 00:04:52,560 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 5: teams in the country have more rushing yards this season 99 00:04:56,480 --> 00:05:01,280 Speaker 5: than genty. Only fourteen teams fourteen and have scored more 100 00:05:01,360 --> 00:05:05,680 Speaker 5: rushing touchdowns as a team than genty has on the year. 101 00:05:06,200 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 5: This man is a freak. We have been saying since 102 00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:11,560 Speaker 5: the preseason. He is going to New York. No, no, no, 103 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 5: He's going to win the Heisman. 104 00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:13,600 Speaker 1: Caliberies. 105 00:05:14,440 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 5: He is the best player in the country. Milroe, Genty Hunter, 106 00:05:18,960 --> 00:05:21,839 Speaker 5: that is the three going to New York. Ashton Jenny's 107 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:23,599 Speaker 5: gonna win the Heisman. He's gonna be the first running 108 00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 5: back drafted in the NFL draft. He might be a 109 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:30,320 Speaker 5: first round pick. He is so good it's scary. 110 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:33,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I agree with you everything that you said. 111 00:05:33,680 --> 00:05:36,719 Speaker 1: I think if you took vintage Emmett Smith and then 112 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 1: sprinkled a little NFL blitz dust on him, that's kind 113 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:42,799 Speaker 1: of the comp where it's like a little bit compact, 114 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:46,920 Speaker 1: really difficult to tackle. But that explosion is outside of 115 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:49,200 Speaker 1: the Emmett Smith comparison. I think that's where he's in 116 00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:51,240 Speaker 1: basically territory of his own. 117 00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 5: And you look at you know, it's a voting award, 118 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:55,440 Speaker 5: it's a narrative award. You already see the narrative building 119 00:05:55,480 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 5: for Travis Hunter, and I don't agree with it. And 120 00:05:57,120 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 5: we talked about statement games and obviously Milrou had the 121 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:00,920 Speaker 5: one against Georgia, but that was really in the year. 122 00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:02,680 Speaker 5: He's gonna have to have another one later in the year, 123 00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 5: probably in the SEC Championship game. 124 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:06,320 Speaker 4: Hunters gonna have to keep doing what he's doing. 125 00:06:06,320 --> 00:06:08,760 Speaker 5: He's gonna have to have you know, they're gonna have 126 00:06:08,800 --> 00:06:11,479 Speaker 5: to be in the Big twelve title race. You think about, 127 00:06:11,480 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 5: like you know, Shoe Heeo Tani, the sexiness of saying 128 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 5: fifty to fifty season secures him in the MVP. 129 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 4: No doubt. 130 00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 5: I do think because he's a G five guy, and 131 00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:23,360 Speaker 5: because he's not gonna play anyone on national TV the 132 00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:26,240 Speaker 5: rest of the year, I think he's got to break 133 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:30,800 Speaker 5: Barry Sanders record to win the Heisman, and I think 134 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:33,480 Speaker 5: he might, so I think that's kind of the bar 135 00:06:33,600 --> 00:06:38,800 Speaker 5: where like if that headline breaking Barry Sanders all time record, 136 00:06:39,320 --> 00:06:41,160 Speaker 5: I think is enough. I don't think he needs the 137 00:06:41,920 --> 00:06:44,440 Speaker 5: game or the big stage or the moment. I think 138 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:48,120 Speaker 5: that's the moment is if he breaks Barry's record, he 139 00:06:48,160 --> 00:06:48,960 Speaker 5: can win the Heisman. 140 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:52,400 Speaker 1: I mean, unfortunately, but I think this gets sattled on 141 00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:54,960 Speaker 1: quarterbacks as well. This is a special year. This is 142 00:06:54,960 --> 00:06:56,520 Speaker 1: the first year of the twelve team playoff. If he 143 00:06:56,640 --> 00:06:59,320 Speaker 1: leads them to a playoff bid on top of all 144 00:06:59,320 --> 00:07:02,239 Speaker 1: of these stats, I think some combination of either getting 145 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:04,840 Speaker 1: really close or breaking the record, but it has to 146 00:07:04,920 --> 00:07:07,640 Speaker 1: go along with them getting the bid out of the 147 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:09,400 Speaker 1: G five, and if they do so, he'll deserve it. 148 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:11,960 Speaker 1: So this is something that we can continue to discuss 149 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:15,240 Speaker 1: moving forward. But I think Jens has just been He's 150 00:07:15,280 --> 00:07:17,160 Speaker 1: become a point in television just on his own. If 151 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:19,200 Speaker 1: anyone's not staying up late to watch him, you need to. 152 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: I'm going to go in a slightly different direction. For 153 00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:25,040 Speaker 1: my G five hero, I'm going to go with the 154 00:07:25,160 --> 00:07:29,640 Speaker 1: Hajj Mahal. Hajj Malik Williams UNLV's quarterback. He walked in, 155 00:07:30,080 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 1: he battled for the starting job, he didn't get it. 156 00:07:32,280 --> 00:07:34,840 Speaker 1: He was patient, he didn't transfer out, he didn't complain, 157 00:07:35,200 --> 00:07:38,679 Speaker 1: and it's clear that his teammates love him, particularly Ricky White. 158 00:07:38,760 --> 00:07:40,560 Speaker 1: He was there to throw some love on him as 159 00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:42,800 Speaker 1: soon as he was named the starter when Sluca had 160 00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:46,240 Speaker 1: his whole catastrophe play out on social media. And what 161 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 1: does he do. He throws it to Ricky ten times 162 00:07:49,040 --> 00:07:51,640 Speaker 1: for one hundred and twenty seven yards and two scores. Overall, 163 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:53,920 Speaker 1: the Hajj Mahal one hundred and eighty two passing one 164 00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:57,080 Speaker 1: hundred and nineteen rushing four total touchdowns. This team can 165 00:07:57,120 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 1: now win the moundin West Conference because they are not 166 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:03,520 Speaker 1: tied to one quarterback, you know, pulling rapids out of 167 00:08:03,520 --> 00:08:06,080 Speaker 1: his hat. Because his team ball, their offensive line is amazing. 168 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:08,560 Speaker 1: It's unlocking all the potential of the go go. They 169 00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:11,360 Speaker 1: can crash the college football playoff. And it's it's all 170 00:08:11,360 --> 00:08:13,360 Speaker 1: because Hajj is so dangerous with the football and he 171 00:08:13,400 --> 00:08:16,680 Speaker 1: makes all the right decisions, the UNLV Boise game that's 172 00:08:16,720 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 1: on the horizon. Who baby that has G five Game 173 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:20,920 Speaker 1: of the Year written all over it? What do you 174 00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: think about HAJJ Molieue Williams. 175 00:08:22,880 --> 00:08:25,080 Speaker 5: Yeah, so I wanted to make three declarations at the top. 176 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:29,840 Speaker 5: Number one, Yukon is a wagon. Number two the Army 177 00:08:29,920 --> 00:08:33,720 Speaker 5: Navy over is dead because these teams are both tanks 178 00:08:33,760 --> 00:08:36,720 Speaker 5: and well they're both in the playoffs question And number three, 179 00:08:37,160 --> 00:08:39,200 Speaker 5: I'm all in on you and OV because I've been 180 00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:41,160 Speaker 5: that I have not been on the bandwagon with you. 181 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:43,720 Speaker 5: I've been hesitating, and it's because I did not believe 182 00:08:43,720 --> 00:08:48,040 Speaker 5: in Sluga. He can't pass, he couldn't pass tense, couldn't 183 00:08:48,080 --> 00:08:52,080 Speaker 5: pass ball. Their ceiling, I think is so much higher than. 184 00:08:51,920 --> 00:08:52,960 Speaker 4: It was now. 185 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:55,679 Speaker 5: I'm all in on Williams. I used to make fun 186 00:08:55,720 --> 00:08:57,840 Speaker 5: of you for slurp and for Sluk all year, but 187 00:08:57,920 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 5: now we are horned up for HODJ Moleague're all in 188 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 5: on the Revels. I think their ceiling is so much 189 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:06,840 Speaker 5: higher now. I'm now officially on the bandwagon alongside you 190 00:09:08,280 --> 00:09:08,719 Speaker 5: on too. 191 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:12,800 Speaker 1: Week number six. Here Nevada at San Jose State is 192 00:09:12,800 --> 00:09:14,880 Speaker 1: where I'm starting for my best bet. I'm laying the 193 00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:19,240 Speaker 1: six with the Spartan talking about a team that the 194 00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:21,600 Speaker 1: country has been sleeping on. We've been pointing out these 195 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 1: wagons before they get out of the station. How about 196 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 1: San Jose State Spread and shred sign. That's the name 197 00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:30,360 Speaker 1: of their offense Under Craig Stutsman, They're oc. He has 198 00:09:30,400 --> 00:09:34,160 Speaker 1: made this offense relevance in short order, which is incredible 199 00:09:34,320 --> 00:09:37,400 Speaker 1: because everyone assumed ken Neamazzalolo is going to come in. 200 00:09:37,440 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 1: Are they going to run the triple? Are they going 201 00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:41,480 Speaker 1: to run some kind of version of the option? Nope? 202 00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:44,280 Speaker 1: He goes with this guy with an air raid background, 203 00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:47,480 Speaker 1: and Emmett Brown has exploded as a quarterback. He's averaging 204 00:09:47,520 --> 00:09:49,920 Speaker 1: over three to twenty per game through the air, thirteen 205 00:09:49,920 --> 00:09:52,640 Speaker 1: to four touchdown to interception ratio. Nick Nash, as the 206 00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:55,240 Speaker 1: kids would like to say, is him. This guy leads 207 00:09:55,240 --> 00:09:59,120 Speaker 1: the nation in receptions and receiving touchdowns. Super dynamic up 208 00:09:59,160 --> 00:10:02,760 Speaker 1: and down. Now, even though I am laying the points here, 209 00:10:02,840 --> 00:10:05,240 Speaker 1: I do want to point out that we and most 210 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:08,480 Speaker 1: of the college football public were off on Nevada. This 211 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 1: is not a year zero situation. They got a huge 212 00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 1: boost in the power rankings after almost upsetting SMU and 213 00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:17,440 Speaker 1: the opener, and it's been deserved because they continue to 214 00:10:17,440 --> 00:10:19,240 Speaker 1: play really well against the past. They shut down that 215 00:10:19,240 --> 00:10:22,000 Speaker 1: Georgia Southern passing game. And a big reason for their 216 00:10:22,040 --> 00:10:24,480 Speaker 1: success as well has been how good they've been in 217 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:27,559 Speaker 1: the red zone. Their top twenty five in touchdown percentage allowed. 218 00:10:27,960 --> 00:10:30,120 Speaker 1: But the other side of this is that San Jose 219 00:10:30,200 --> 00:10:32,319 Speaker 1: State when they get in the red zone, they score touchdowns. 220 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:35,120 Speaker 1: They have sixteen trips, they got twelve tds there. And 221 00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:38,760 Speaker 1: San Jose State's defense if you set aside that Wazoo performance, 222 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:40,520 Speaker 1: and you know what, Wazoo's going to do that to 223 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:42,679 Speaker 1: a lot of teams this year, they've been pretty good 224 00:10:42,679 --> 00:10:44,679 Speaker 1: on defense. I kind of like what the Spartans have 225 00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:47,720 Speaker 1: when they're playing, you know, work in progress kind of offenses. 226 00:10:47,760 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 1: I think that's clearly what the Wolfpack have here. They 227 00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:53,199 Speaker 1: also had an extra week to prepare offensively. I love 228 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:55,440 Speaker 1: where they are. I'm hoping that the extra seasoning, the 229 00:10:55,440 --> 00:10:57,839 Speaker 1: extra film time, they can you know, put this wolf 230 00:10:57,840 --> 00:11:00,480 Speaker 1: Pack offense in a box a little bit. It's under 231 00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:02,000 Speaker 1: key number. I'm going to grab it. I think it's 232 00:11:02,040 --> 00:11:04,040 Speaker 1: going to be on the move when people dig into 233 00:11:04,080 --> 00:11:06,520 Speaker 1: this matchup further later in the week. I think everything 234 00:11:06,559 --> 00:11:09,160 Speaker 1: points to s JSU. What are your thoughts on niamount 235 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:11,960 Speaker 1: to Lolo in a spot as a favorite. They're undefeated 236 00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:14,360 Speaker 1: against the spread thus far the season. Did they keep 237 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:15,040 Speaker 1: that train rolling? 238 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:17,959 Speaker 5: Yeah, first time on the year. We have the same 239 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:20,280 Speaker 5: exact pick. We've we've kind of double dipped in the 240 00:11:20,600 --> 00:11:23,080 Speaker 5: spread money line picks a few times, which has worked 241 00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:25,439 Speaker 5: pretty by the way, and it's funny. We've actually swept 242 00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:26,800 Speaker 5: our best bets two weeks in a row. Well, this 243 00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:29,280 Speaker 5: week we are going to sweep our go over. Yes, 244 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:30,720 Speaker 5: this is also my best bet. 245 00:11:30,760 --> 00:11:31,200 Speaker 4: You mentioned it. 246 00:11:31,240 --> 00:11:33,040 Speaker 5: There was a lot of questions on this team coming 247 00:11:33,040 --> 00:11:35,560 Speaker 5: into the air with you know, Nea Montalolo not running 248 00:11:35,600 --> 00:11:39,440 Speaker 5: the triple option anymore, the huge you know, switch to 249 00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:42,520 Speaker 5: the spread and shred with with Craig Stutsman, and yeah, EMMITTT. 250 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:45,520 Speaker 5: Brown is just thriving in this offense. You mentioned Nick 251 00:11:45,640 --> 00:11:49,920 Speaker 5: Nash just an absolute stud. Nick Nash, We forget this 252 00:11:50,040 --> 00:11:53,320 Speaker 5: kid has been with San Jose State since twenty nineteen. 253 00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:56,400 Speaker 5: He was a quarterback for their first three seasons. He 254 00:11:56,520 --> 00:11:59,920 Speaker 5: was their starting quarterback for most of twenty twenty one switches. 255 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:02,959 Speaker 5: That's a wide receiver now leads the country and catches also, 256 00:12:03,000 --> 00:12:05,360 Speaker 5: don't let him overshadow that. You know, two years ago 257 00:12:05,400 --> 00:12:08,320 Speaker 5: we were talking about Justin Lockhart as this team's best receiver. 258 00:12:08,440 --> 00:12:11,200 Speaker 5: He's still there. He's very good. He's averaging like eighty 259 00:12:11,280 --> 00:12:15,120 Speaker 5: yards game something like that. They have two capable tight ends. Obviously, 260 00:12:15,120 --> 00:12:17,720 Speaker 5: this this is a pass first team. But Floyd Chalk 261 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:20,120 Speaker 5: is coming off a very very good game against Washington 262 00:12:20,120 --> 00:12:23,240 Speaker 5: State is kind of his breakout performances, and the Spartans 263 00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:25,280 Speaker 5: put up fifty points in that game, really five hundred 264 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:27,199 Speaker 5: yards offense. They averaged six and a half yards to 265 00:12:27,320 --> 00:12:29,800 Speaker 5: play in each of the last two games you mentioned it. 266 00:12:30,120 --> 00:12:32,880 Speaker 5: They got shredded by this defense. But bye week to 267 00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:35,400 Speaker 5: kind of regroup, figure out how to stop this. This 268 00:12:35,640 --> 00:12:39,440 Speaker 5: Nevada offense that's very one dimensional. They can't really throw 269 00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:42,400 Speaker 5: the ball. They beat in Eastern Washington. 270 00:12:42,080 --> 00:12:43,080 Speaker 4: And Troy by two. 271 00:12:43,520 --> 00:12:46,040 Speaker 5: This team is seventy eighth in defensive success rate, and 272 00:12:46,440 --> 00:12:48,480 Speaker 5: this will be the best passing attack Nevada sees by 273 00:12:48,480 --> 00:12:50,679 Speaker 5: a mile. And I think if San Jose State gets 274 00:12:50,760 --> 00:12:53,960 Speaker 5: a lead, they were just built to pull away with 275 00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:57,280 Speaker 5: this fast paced passing offense and Nevada is not built 276 00:12:57,280 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 5: to come back and you know, get in the back door. 277 00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:00,800 Speaker 5: Like I said, I'm not afraid of Lewis in this 278 00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:03,679 Speaker 5: passing game. And yeah, the Spartans got shredded by Washington 279 00:13:03,760 --> 00:13:06,560 Speaker 5: State on the ground especially, but before that, they held 280 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:09,080 Speaker 5: air Force to one hundred and forty three yards on 281 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:12,720 Speaker 5: forty six carries, Kennesaw to sixty four yards on thirty 282 00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:15,520 Speaker 5: nine carries. So they basically faced two triple option teams 283 00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:17,760 Speaker 5: and really shut down the run. So I think that 284 00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:20,120 Speaker 5: was just a bad performance last week or two weeks ago. 285 00:13:20,160 --> 00:13:22,160 Speaker 5: I think they bounced back. I think the Spartans pull 286 00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:23,000 Speaker 5: away big year. 287 00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:23,480 Speaker 1: I'm with you. 288 00:13:23,520 --> 00:13:24,679 Speaker 4: I think it's just a very good team. 289 00:13:25,280 --> 00:13:28,240 Speaker 1: I think we're the beneficiaries as well of them not 290 00:13:28,400 --> 00:13:31,280 Speaker 1: beating Wazoo out right, because I think the secret would 291 00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:33,320 Speaker 1: be out on them. They'd be getting more national love, 292 00:13:33,480 --> 00:13:35,440 Speaker 1: they'd be in that conversation is at a three horse 293 00:13:35,559 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 1: race between Boys and un LD and the Spartans to 294 00:13:38,280 --> 00:13:40,360 Speaker 1: win the Mountain West Conference. But instead they're kind of 295 00:13:40,440 --> 00:13:42,520 Speaker 1: hiding in the weeds here. So I think that's what's 296 00:13:42,600 --> 00:13:45,160 Speaker 1: keeping this number under the the number of seven. 297 00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:47,080 Speaker 5: And they're also like one of those teams again, that's 298 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:49,400 Speaker 5: it's still kind of really in the year where you know, 299 00:13:49,480 --> 00:13:52,200 Speaker 5: they were kind of projected middle of the Mountain West, 300 00:13:52,480 --> 00:13:55,080 Speaker 5: just honestly because there were so many questions about them. 301 00:13:55,880 --> 00:13:57,679 Speaker 5: And I think they're kind of creeping their way up 302 00:13:57,679 --> 00:14:00,240 Speaker 5: into the top tier and people haven't really realized that 303 00:14:00,360 --> 00:14:03,240 Speaker 5: yet because they haven't really played anybody, But I think 304 00:14:03,240 --> 00:14:04,440 Speaker 5: they're kind of going to be up there. 305 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:07,679 Speaker 3: If you've ever thought about becoming an Action Pro subscriber, 306 00:14:07,880 --> 00:14:10,880 Speaker 3: now is the best time to sign up. 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After a very tight efficient one 320 00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:07,400 Speaker 1: pick best bet here in week six. 321 00:15:07,600 --> 00:15:11,800 Speaker 2: The G five High five should be high five high five. 322 00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 1: I'm going to go I have three picks here this week, 323 00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:17,600 Speaker 1: so I'm going to get it started with a total. 324 00:15:17,880 --> 00:15:18,880 Speaker 4: You can take one of mine again. 325 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:22,160 Speaker 1: I mean, let's see, let's see if the mind meld continues. 326 00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:26,160 Speaker 1: Over sixty one and a half. South Alabama Arkansas State. 327 00:15:26,640 --> 00:15:29,720 Speaker 1: Jalen Rayner bounce back game book it. They put out 328 00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:32,320 Speaker 1: their depth chart. He is the number one quarterback, and 329 00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:35,280 Speaker 1: this South Alabama defense still has massive issues. Don't be 330 00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:38,200 Speaker 1: fooled by that performance against app State. So there's something 331 00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:39,880 Speaker 1: weird going on with app State. Let's see if they 332 00:15:39,880 --> 00:15:41,600 Speaker 1: can shake out of it in the second half of 333 00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:44,360 Speaker 1: the year. But if you watch that game there there 334 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:47,040 Speaker 1: was elements that they were just off on their timing, 335 00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:50,120 Speaker 1: quarterback play, offensive line. South Alabama is not that good 336 00:15:50,160 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 1: on defense. I'm just going to put that out there. 337 00:15:51,800 --> 00:15:54,520 Speaker 1: They remain bottom twenty in points per opportunity to allow, 338 00:15:54,600 --> 00:15:57,640 Speaker 1: bottom ten in passing success rate. On defense, they don't 339 00:15:57,640 --> 00:15:59,440 Speaker 1: have much of a pass rush and they're one hundred 340 00:15:59,480 --> 00:16:03,120 Speaker 1: and thirty and tackling per PFF. So when Arkansas State 341 00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:05,600 Speaker 1: gets their playmakers, of which they had many in space, 342 00:16:05,640 --> 00:16:08,320 Speaker 1: they're going to break tackles and seven ten yard plays 343 00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:10,600 Speaker 1: are going to turn into thirty forty yard plays. This 344 00:16:10,760 --> 00:16:13,520 Speaker 1: is the Bilo spot on Arkansas State. They just played 345 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:16,240 Speaker 1: two of the defenses, both on the road in Michigan 346 00:16:16,240 --> 00:16:18,360 Speaker 1: and Iowa State. Things are only going to go up 347 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 1: for Jalen Rainer and this offense against Central Arkansas and Tulsa, 348 00:16:22,320 --> 00:16:24,160 Speaker 1: he acounted for six hundred and ninety four yards and 349 00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 1: five total touchdowns. That's the Rainer I'm expecting to show 350 00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:29,040 Speaker 1: up in this game. That's who we're going to get 351 00:16:29,120 --> 00:16:31,320 Speaker 1: and sixty one and a half. For my projections, it's 352 00:16:31,360 --> 00:16:34,080 Speaker 1: off by a full touchdown. Now. The only fly in 353 00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 1: the ointment here is that I'm expecting South Alabama's Jamal 354 00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:39,800 Speaker 1: Pritchett not to play. He's in the concussion protocol. It's 355 00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:41,720 Speaker 1: very unlikely that he's going to get a go, But 356 00:16:41,760 --> 00:16:44,520 Speaker 1: I still got go. Lopez and I have freshman All 357 00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:48,120 Speaker 1: American fluff bothwell as well. I mean the fact that 358 00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:51,400 Speaker 1: he is both that good that early and has a 359 00:16:51,480 --> 00:16:54,800 Speaker 1: name like Fluff. I mean, it's you're tying our hands here. 360 00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:56,440 Speaker 1: Of course we're going to be all in on a 361 00:16:56,440 --> 00:16:58,600 Speaker 1: player like that. We need to alert the public on 362 00:16:58,640 --> 00:17:01,000 Speaker 1: how good he's been this years and eight yards per Kerry. 363 00:17:01,000 --> 00:17:04,159 Speaker 1: He's got six touchdowns already, so they are multi dimensional offensively, 364 00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:06,879 Speaker 1: it's not just Geo playing hero ball over sixty one 365 00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:08,600 Speaker 1: and a half. My first pick year of the Chief 366 00:17:08,600 --> 00:17:09,160 Speaker 1: five five five. 367 00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:12,000 Speaker 5: This is one of those games where we hope when 368 00:17:12,040 --> 00:17:15,320 Speaker 5: you listen to us, you know you're like, oh, that 369 00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:16,760 Speaker 5: handicap makes sense. 370 00:17:17,080 --> 00:17:18,080 Speaker 4: I'm gonna tail it. 371 00:17:18,800 --> 00:17:20,560 Speaker 5: This is one of those bets where even if you 372 00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:23,879 Speaker 5: don't think Calvary's you don't trust his numbers or what 373 00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:26,679 Speaker 5: he's saying, that's just because it's gonna be fun. This 374 00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:29,040 Speaker 5: is just going to be a fun game to have 375 00:17:29,119 --> 00:17:31,200 Speaker 5: an over in because Geo Lopez is going to throw 376 00:17:31,200 --> 00:17:33,920 Speaker 5: three touchdowns and probably a pick six, and you're gonna 377 00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:37,440 Speaker 5: have crazy on both sides. I love this pick strictly 378 00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:40,000 Speaker 5: for the entertainment value it's going to provide having it 379 00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:42,399 Speaker 5: in your pocket and watching this game. All right. For 380 00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:46,120 Speaker 5: my first pick, I'm going to Thursday night I'm taking 381 00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:49,040 Speaker 5: Sam Houston minus ten against you tap. Let me eat 382 00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:50,480 Speaker 5: this out of the way. I know this is a 383 00:17:50,560 --> 00:17:53,080 Speaker 5: terrible spot. This is a terrible spot for Sam Houston. 384 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:57,720 Speaker 5: They are coming off a huge comeback win against Texas State. 385 00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:00,520 Speaker 5: Your beloved bobs are dead now they have shot rest 386 00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:04,280 Speaker 5: playing a UTEP team down the road coming off a bye. 387 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:07,000 Speaker 5: So I acknowledge this might be a stupid pick, but 388 00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:08,760 Speaker 5: I think that's baked in the line here because this 389 00:18:08,840 --> 00:18:10,840 Speaker 5: line is ten, and I think if this is, you know, 390 00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:16,000 Speaker 5: same circumstances on a Saturday, both teams played the previous week, 391 00:18:16,080 --> 00:18:19,880 Speaker 5: this is fourteen, So I think the situation's baked into this. 392 00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:21,280 Speaker 4: Line, which is why I'm not scared away. 393 00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:24,159 Speaker 5: I've been really impressed with Sam Houston team that I 394 00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:26,080 Speaker 5: was not very high on coming into the year. They 395 00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:28,679 Speaker 5: lost to Central Florida in the bounce House, understandable. They 396 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:31,640 Speaker 5: smoked Rice, Hawaii, and New Mexico State before a big 397 00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:34,639 Speaker 5: upset win over Texas State last week. Derek Katz went 398 00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:37,560 Speaker 5: down twenty two to nothing quickly, and they were down 399 00:18:37,600 --> 00:18:39,400 Speaker 5: thirty nine to twenty one in the third quarter before 400 00:18:39,440 --> 00:18:42,040 Speaker 5: scoring the final nineteen points the game. When you feel 401 00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:44,840 Speaker 5: goal with six seconds left, just shattered calibres It's heart 402 00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:47,320 Speaker 5: and while Hunter Watson stills a little up and down 403 00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:49,160 Speaker 5: as a passer, he had one hundred and five yards 404 00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:52,479 Speaker 5: and two touchdowns rushing. Jayden Ducker had three touchdowns rushing. 405 00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:56,080 Speaker 5: This offense is averaging thirty points per game five point 406 00:18:56,080 --> 00:18:58,600 Speaker 5: three yards per play. They have over two hundred and 407 00:18:58,600 --> 00:19:01,119 Speaker 5: fifty yards and five yards per carry in each of 408 00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:04,080 Speaker 5: the last three games. Sam Houston, and what they've done 409 00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:07,440 Speaker 5: well is they've just been very good on third downs, 410 00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:09,440 Speaker 5: very good on fourth downs, and very good in the 411 00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:11,200 Speaker 5: red zone. And that's what it takes two win games. 412 00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:13,000 Speaker 5: They just move the ball, they go for an on 413 00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:14,800 Speaker 5: third and fourth downs, they convert it, they keep the 414 00:19:14,880 --> 00:19:17,560 Speaker 5: chains moving and they score and then Utip. 415 00:19:17,280 --> 00:19:19,199 Speaker 4: Doesn't do anything well. This team is terrible. 416 00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:22,280 Speaker 5: They're one hundred and thirteenth in offensive success rate one 417 00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:26,439 Speaker 5: hundred and six and defensive success rate. Skyler Lockerer has 418 00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:28,720 Speaker 5: been terrible. He had three touchdowns, four picks. 419 00:19:29,080 --> 00:19:29,640 Speaker 4: Get him out. 420 00:19:29,720 --> 00:19:30,320 Speaker 5: He's benched. 421 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:33,120 Speaker 4: Cayden McConnell's coming in look. 422 00:19:33,200 --> 00:19:35,840 Speaker 5: McConnell played pretty well in relief last week against a 423 00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:39,720 Speaker 5: bad Colorado State team, but Sam Houston's biggest defense. The 424 00:19:39,800 --> 00:19:42,840 Speaker 5: biggest weakness has been their run defense, and Utip can't 425 00:19:42,880 --> 00:19:46,320 Speaker 5: run the ball, so they have just Utip has three 426 00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:49,880 Speaker 5: hundred and nineteen total rushing yards all season. They're two 427 00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:52,480 Speaker 5: point seven yards for carry, ranks one hundred and twenty 428 00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:55,760 Speaker 5: third in the country. I expect the Bearcats to run 429 00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:58,280 Speaker 5: the ball all game, and while Watson is the most 430 00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:02,080 Speaker 5: efficient quarterback, this team does rank top twenty in explosiveness, 431 00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:04,480 Speaker 5: so it should be able to put up enough big plays. 432 00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:06,680 Speaker 5: And you look at what they've done in the past 433 00:20:06,720 --> 00:20:09,040 Speaker 5: Sam Houston's four and one against the spread. This season, 434 00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:11,760 Speaker 5: they are four to zero against the spread against other 435 00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:15,320 Speaker 5: G five teams and against the three teams that they're 436 00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:20,359 Speaker 5: better then, they smoked them thirty four to fourteen thirty one, thirteen, thirty. 437 00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:20,680 Speaker 4: One, eleven. 438 00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:23,000 Speaker 5: And all three of those teams were better than U tap. 439 00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:27,840 Speaker 5: So take the better team, not the better spot. Yeah. 440 00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:30,160 Speaker 1: When I looked at it, I thought to myself, can 441 00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:32,960 Speaker 1: I put on the hazmat suit and get down into 442 00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:36,240 Speaker 1: the absolute worst trash that you've ever seen and pick 443 00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:39,720 Speaker 1: you tap for the second time this month. Couldn't do it. 444 00:20:39,920 --> 00:20:42,359 Speaker 1: So I wish you the best of luck there. I 445 00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:46,679 Speaker 1: think the argument is solid in that the number, it 446 00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:48,960 Speaker 1: seems like it's already baked in the you know, the 447 00:20:49,480 --> 00:20:53,600 Speaker 1: the letdown situation, coming back shocking a team that really 448 00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:55,959 Speaker 1: could make your season, you know, in state team that 449 00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:58,840 Speaker 1: you certainly up against in terms of recruiting battles and 450 00:20:58,840 --> 00:21:00,720 Speaker 1: everything else that goes into it, and why it was 451 00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:04,040 Speaker 1: important to beat Texas State. So perhaps they come out 452 00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:06,000 Speaker 1: a little sluggish in the first half, but they are 453 00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:08,960 Speaker 1: a class like clost better than this team. 454 00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:11,520 Speaker 5: Most power ratings have this like fourteen to fifteen, so 455 00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:15,400 Speaker 5: you're kind of getting that. Okay, four points for up coming. 456 00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:19,840 Speaker 1: Off of buy I mentioned app State earlier. I have 457 00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:23,320 Speaker 1: to do it. Three points against this Marshall team, second 458 00:21:23,359 --> 00:21:26,520 Speaker 1: straight week, taken three. Last week it was with Western 459 00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:29,560 Speaker 1: Michigan heartbreaker in the fourth quarter where they give up 460 00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 1: the game winning touchdown in a tie game in the 461 00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:33,760 Speaker 1: fourth quarter they don't cover. I'm going back to the well, 462 00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:35,960 Speaker 1: I'm taking the nears plus three, trying to catch the 463 00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:38,560 Speaker 1: falling knife here on the Mountaineers, so to speak, This 464 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:42,439 Speaker 1: defense is indefensible from a numbers perspective outside of the 465 00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:45,280 Speaker 1: top one hundred in just about any category. You care about. 466 00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,440 Speaker 1: But a big part of that was getting roasted by 467 00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:51,720 Speaker 1: Clemson and South Alabama in a game that fully got 468 00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:53,920 Speaker 1: away from them, and they just look like they threw 469 00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:57,439 Speaker 1: in the towel. One of the top fifteen offenses in 470 00:21:57,480 --> 00:21:59,560 Speaker 1: the country right now when you look at South Alabama, 471 00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:02,120 Speaker 1: so I d Stanley Clempson is a juggernaut moving closer 472 00:22:02,240 --> 00:22:04,840 Speaker 1: to top ten levels. But from a G five perspective, 473 00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:06,960 Speaker 1: South Alabama is an offense to be feared and to 474 00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:10,520 Speaker 1: be respected. So them going nuts on app State, It's 475 00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:12,640 Speaker 1: not that I'm feeling good about it, but at least 476 00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:15,800 Speaker 1: I can understand. Marshall is not an elite G five offense. 477 00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:18,720 Speaker 1: They're built around the big play from AJ Turner. When 478 00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:20,439 Speaker 1: they get it, they can score some points. They can 479 00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:22,600 Speaker 1: get in the twenties, maybe get close to thirty points, 480 00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:24,919 Speaker 1: get a little frisky there. But if they can just 481 00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:28,359 Speaker 1: bottle up this one guy and basically put it on 482 00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:30,720 Speaker 1: the Marshall coaching staff to dream up some things in 483 00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:32,879 Speaker 1: the passing game to beat him, I feel pretty good 484 00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:35,160 Speaker 1: about it. And then if they hold them there, let's 485 00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:38,120 Speaker 1: say twenty four points, can the app State offense wake up? 486 00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:40,800 Speaker 1: I'm betting Joey Aguilar can get it done, and I 487 00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:43,440 Speaker 1: think that it's somewhere inside of him. To think back 488 00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:45,560 Speaker 1: on last season, it was a bad start for the 489 00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:48,520 Speaker 1: whole offense. He didn't necessarily hit the ground running either. 490 00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:50,400 Speaker 1: And this was a team that was three and four 491 00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:52,240 Speaker 1: last year and then they won six of their last 492 00:22:52,280 --> 00:22:55,639 Speaker 1: seven in this very series. Last year, app State won 493 00:22:55,800 --> 00:22:58,520 Speaker 1: thirty one to nineteen over Marshall. Joey went for two 494 00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:01,720 Speaker 1: hundred and seventy three total yards, three scores. So it's there. 495 00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:04,320 Speaker 1: If I'm the app State coaching staff, I'm putting that 496 00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:06,960 Speaker 1: tape on, trying to remind them that they're not as 497 00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:09,520 Speaker 1: bad as the stats and the record would say. And 498 00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:12,480 Speaker 1: a reminder Charles Toff remains allows you home favorite. I 499 00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:15,159 Speaker 1: know he covered last week against Western. That moves them 500 00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:17,199 Speaker 1: all the way up to five and ten against the 501 00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:19,840 Speaker 1: spread as a home favorite. Since he took over in Huntington, 502 00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:22,800 Speaker 1: I'm going back again. Maybe I'm a glutton for punishment. 503 00:23:22,840 --> 00:23:24,639 Speaker 1: Maybe I didn't learn my lesson, but it's got to 504 00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:25,720 Speaker 1: be app State in the spot. 505 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:26,920 Speaker 4: Yeah. 506 00:23:26,920 --> 00:23:29,480 Speaker 5: When I go through the card, I also kind of 507 00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:30,879 Speaker 5: try to guess what I think you're going to take, 508 00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 5: especially for like, you know, so we don't have crossover 509 00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:36,560 Speaker 5: usually I don't for sure this is going to be 510 00:23:36,600 --> 00:23:39,359 Speaker 5: your G five underdog, your money line underdog. To be 511 00:23:39,359 --> 00:23:40,200 Speaker 5: honest with you, so. 512 00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:42,360 Speaker 1: I feel that we may have the same money line 513 00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:43,960 Speaker 1: underdog this week, but we'll see. 514 00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:49,320 Speaker 4: What was that? All right, We're taking it. 515 00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:50,920 Speaker 5: This is, by the way, more of a reason to 516 00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:52,800 Speaker 5: take the over is because we're both getting gross. 517 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:55,480 Speaker 4: This week is another hold of your nose one. Guys 518 00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:56,679 Speaker 4: are so gross. 519 00:23:56,960 --> 00:24:00,400 Speaker 5: Give me Miami Ohio plus seven against Telee Know you're 520 00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:02,720 Speaker 5: making a face. Is that agree face or a gross face? 521 00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:05,119 Speaker 1: That's an agree that would like like I said, I 522 00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:07,080 Speaker 1: put on the hazmat suit, I get down there in 523 00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:09,479 Speaker 1: the chemical waste, and I take the RedHawks bus the points. 524 00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:12,120 Speaker 5: Maybe I'm stuck on last season, but this Miami team 525 00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:14,800 Speaker 5: cannot be as bad as they have looked. They lost 526 00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:18,480 Speaker 5: to Northwestern Cincinnati Notre Dame, and then they struggled to 527 00:24:18,520 --> 00:24:20,720 Speaker 5: beat U mass But the defense still looked good in 528 00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:23,040 Speaker 5: that game, and they've looked at most of the year. 529 00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:24,520 Speaker 5: To be honest, all those games are kind of little 530 00:24:24,520 --> 00:24:26,880 Speaker 5: scoring and they continue to use their you know, their 531 00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:30,520 Speaker 5: bend don't break approach lighting teams move the ball a 532 00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:33,280 Speaker 5: little easier than i'd like, but with these but then 533 00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:36,320 Speaker 5: they rank seventh at preventing big plays and twenty third 534 00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:39,600 Speaker 5: at preventing finishing drives. They've allowed just twenty two points 535 00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:41,520 Speaker 5: per game. They have yet to allow more than twenty 536 00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:43,880 Speaker 5: eight in a game. The offense has run the ball 537 00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:46,360 Speaker 5: fine with key On Mosey. They just he's averaging six 538 00:24:46,400 --> 00:24:48,440 Speaker 5: point two yards per carry. They just they don't give 539 00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:50,399 Speaker 5: him the ball enough, so that's kind of frustrating. And 540 00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:54,200 Speaker 5: then Brick Gabverts looked terrible. He has three touchdowns six 541 00:24:54,280 --> 00:24:58,920 Speaker 5: interceptions after throwing just five all last season. So he's 542 00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:01,080 Speaker 5: not really a guy we've seen. He's been there what 543 00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:03,800 Speaker 5: six years. I mean, granted he's only played half the season, 544 00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:07,040 Speaker 5: so three years by that math, but he's never really 545 00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:09,479 Speaker 5: been a guy who's been turnover prone in the past, 546 00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:11,560 Speaker 5: So I wouldn't I would kind of expect him to 547 00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:14,040 Speaker 5: calm that down a little bit. His four point four 548 00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:17,160 Speaker 5: percent turnover worthy throw rate is way higher than any 549 00:25:17,200 --> 00:25:20,240 Speaker 5: previous year, so I kind of expect Gabrick to settle 550 00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:22,200 Speaker 5: down a little bit, and that's been the biggest issue 551 00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:25,280 Speaker 5: with Miami. And then Toledo also played you mass they 552 00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:27,280 Speaker 5: were outgained by more than one hundred yards. They beat 553 00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:31,080 Speaker 5: Mississippi State, who's terrible. They lost to Western Kentucky in 554 00:25:31,080 --> 00:25:34,920 Speaker 5: their last outing. And again there's another team the only 555 00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:36,640 Speaker 5: AS station. There is another team coming off of bye. 556 00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:38,520 Speaker 5: So I'm two for two and stupid plays here. But 557 00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:41,520 Speaker 5: these teams play each other every year, so they're pretty 558 00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:43,520 Speaker 5: familiar with each other. So it's like, I don't think 559 00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:45,200 Speaker 5: the extra week's repair is going to help that much. 560 00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:48,520 Speaker 5: They already know each other inside and out. Yes, Tyker 561 00:25:48,520 --> 00:25:51,959 Speaker 5: Gleeson has been fantastic this year, eleven touchdowns. 562 00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:52,000 Speaker 4: Two picks. 563 00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:55,439 Speaker 5: The wide receiver room is excellent, but Toledo has not 564 00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:57,359 Speaker 5: really run the ball all that well. And I still 565 00:25:57,400 --> 00:26:00,760 Speaker 5: trust Miami Ohio's pass defense. They've yet to allow more 566 00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:03,600 Speaker 5: than one hundred and ninety passing yards ball season. So 567 00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:06,200 Speaker 5: I'm kind of down on both these teams. I don't 568 00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:07,480 Speaker 5: think any of these teams. 569 00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:07,800 Speaker 4: Will win the MAC. 570 00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:10,680 Speaker 5: I think both have clearly taken a step back from 571 00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:13,879 Speaker 5: last season, and I just I expect the RedHawks to 572 00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:16,280 Speaker 5: kind of settle in here to conference, play, slow the 573 00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:17,800 Speaker 5: game down, do what they do. They're going to slow 574 00:26:17,800 --> 00:26:19,480 Speaker 5: the game down. They're going to rely on their defense, 575 00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,359 Speaker 5: and if Gabert can just kind of calm down protect 576 00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:24,880 Speaker 5: the football, I think this would be a close game late. 577 00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:28,040 Speaker 4: So give me the points with the RedHawks. 578 00:26:28,560 --> 00:26:30,440 Speaker 1: I mean to aid your point. You said that Tucker 579 00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:33,919 Speaker 1: Gleason's been fantastic this year. Yes, until he wasn't and 580 00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:36,160 Speaker 1: he threw away the Western game, which is the Tucker 581 00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:38,639 Speaker 1: Gleason experience. He's either going to play lights out and 582 00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:40,400 Speaker 1: this game will be a laugher and they win by 583 00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:43,919 Speaker 1: twenty eight points, or he could throw two interceptions and 584 00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:46,399 Speaker 1: keep Miami in the game, playing that you know, slow 585 00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:49,080 Speaker 1: it down mucket up kind of style that has you know, 586 00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:51,240 Speaker 1: made them famous in recent years, at least from a 587 00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:53,600 Speaker 1: betting perspective. So I'm kind of with you there. 588 00:26:54,040 --> 00:26:55,960 Speaker 5: Give me a Jack Salapak pick six here. 589 00:26:57,000 --> 00:26:58,560 Speaker 1: I'm going to end up the g five to high 590 00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:00,679 Speaker 1: five lay in a big number with a team that 591 00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:02,640 Speaker 1: I know you don't like aello, so hear me out. 592 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:06,120 Speaker 1: Jacksonville State lay in fourteen and a half at Kennesaw State. 593 00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:09,320 Speaker 1: The game Cocks were left for dead after blowout losses 594 00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:11,919 Speaker 1: to Coastal, which was just one of the worst performances 595 00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:14,000 Speaker 1: of Week one in the entire country and then Louisville, 596 00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:16,320 Speaker 1: which we can forgive them for. But in the last 597 00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:19,560 Speaker 1: two games they've scored eighty one points and ran up 598 00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:22,199 Speaker 1: nine hundred and thirty two yards of total offense. I 599 00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:25,040 Speaker 1: touted Tyler Huff in the offseason. I said, this is 600 00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:27,720 Speaker 1: going to be the guy for this program. He's been 601 00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:30,760 Speaker 1: that guy. He's thirty second nationally in QBR. He's a 602 00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:33,920 Speaker 1: true dual threat, averaging eighty six rushing yards per game 603 00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:36,639 Speaker 1: in the games that he started. So he runs this 604 00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:40,160 Speaker 1: rich Rod offense exactly how it should be run, where 605 00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:42,119 Speaker 1: he is dynamic and a threat to the defense in 606 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:45,399 Speaker 1: multiple ways. On every single snap. Kennesaw is going to 607 00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:47,120 Speaker 1: try to play keep away what we know about kind 608 00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:49,639 Speaker 1: of saw. They're essentially service academy football. They play at 609 00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:52,720 Speaker 1: a snails pace, but they've been really lousy on third down, 610 00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:55,280 Speaker 1: which is a death knell to a team that wants 611 00:27:55,320 --> 00:27:57,440 Speaker 1: to put together those nine to ten play drives to 612 00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:00,400 Speaker 1: take seven or eight minutes, the ninety ninth in third 613 00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:03,520 Speaker 1: down percentage conversions, and when they do go on fourth down, 614 00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:05,639 Speaker 1: they go a lot. So they've already gone for it 615 00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:08,480 Speaker 1: eleven times in four games, which is a top ten 616 00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:12,120 Speaker 1: rate in terms of fourth down attempts per game nationally, 617 00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:14,680 Speaker 1: and they've only converted about fifty five percent of those. 618 00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:17,919 Speaker 1: So there's opportunities on the table to get turnovers on downs, 619 00:28:18,080 --> 00:28:19,600 Speaker 1: to get their punter on the field and get the 620 00:28:19,600 --> 00:28:22,480 Speaker 1: ball back to a hot Jacksonville State offense. Now, it's 621 00:28:22,480 --> 00:28:24,840 Speaker 1: a short week for Kennasaw, but Jacksonville State is coming 622 00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:27,440 Speaker 1: off a bye and that is one of those little 623 00:28:27,520 --> 00:28:30,159 Speaker 1: dings that go off on my spreadsheet. Rich Rod is 624 00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:32,439 Speaker 1: a coach to bet and to ride with when he 625 00:28:32,440 --> 00:28:35,480 Speaker 1: has extra time, when he has arrest advantage. Since taking 626 00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:38,720 Speaker 1: over Jacksonville State in twenty twenty two seven to two 627 00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:40,360 Speaker 1: against the spread, I think he makes it eight and 628 00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:42,360 Speaker 1: two here. I'll lay the fourteen and a half. Don't 629 00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:42,880 Speaker 1: mind the hook. 630 00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:45,960 Speaker 5: Yeah, I only ay Jacksonville State because they were like 631 00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:47,680 Speaker 5: my first bet of the year against totally I lost 632 00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:48,520 Speaker 5: by one hundred. 633 00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:49,520 Speaker 4: I don't hate it. 634 00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:53,040 Speaker 5: Though, because Kennasall State is just hutrid. I think of 635 00:28:53,120 --> 00:28:54,720 Speaker 5: the worst thing in the country by far. Them and 636 00:28:54,800 --> 00:28:56,520 Speaker 5: ken State should play just to see who it is. 637 00:28:56,880 --> 00:28:59,680 Speaker 5: And you calling Ganesaw a service academy like is insulting 638 00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:01,760 Speaker 5: to our beloved service Academy is the way I mean 639 00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:04,600 Speaker 5: the Coast Guard. Maybe, but they are not playing the 640 00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:07,000 Speaker 5: same score as Army and Navy this year because those 641 00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:11,760 Speaker 5: team teams would just destroy Nisaw. 642 00:29:12,520 --> 00:29:12,680 Speaker 1: Yeah. 643 00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:16,000 Speaker 5: I don't need it, just because Cannasaw is really really bad. 644 00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:18,320 Speaker 1: I have a feeling down on my plumes. 645 00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:21,320 Speaker 4: I can feel it all the way down on my plums. 646 00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:22,280 Speaker 1: That we are on the same money line. 647 00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:24,240 Speaker 4: Let me go first. I get to go first. 648 00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:26,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, you get to go first in our money line. 649 00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:28,280 Speaker 1: Underdog parlay of Week six? 650 00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:34,080 Speaker 4: Where is mine? 651 00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:29,880 Speaker 2: Oh? 652 00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:35,800 Speaker 4: Where is mine? 653 00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:35,040 Speaker 1: Oh? 654 00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:39,680 Speaker 5: I'm finally taking a team coming off the buy instead 655 00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:42,480 Speaker 5: of the other way around. Give me why? Bows up 656 00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:43,560 Speaker 5: against Yes? 657 00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:46,640 Speaker 1: What we're both on the bows? Can you believe it? 658 00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:50,520 Speaker 4: Yes, rainbows all around. Look. 659 00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:54,080 Speaker 5: HWI laid an a against Sam Houston. But they were 660 00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:56,400 Speaker 5: able to get right against Northern Iowa last week before 661 00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:58,959 Speaker 5: the bye, putting up five hundred and twenty eight yards 662 00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:01,640 Speaker 5: seven point nine yards play share your through it all 663 00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:04,240 Speaker 5: over the place. They ran the ball effectively. Now they 664 00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:06,320 Speaker 5: have some confidence. They had a buy to kind of, 665 00:30:06,360 --> 00:30:08,600 Speaker 5: you know, keep things moving. And San Diego State has 666 00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:11,400 Speaker 5: dropped three straight They just blew a lead and lost 667 00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:14,360 Speaker 5: on a game winning field goal against Central Michigan. The 668 00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:17,640 Speaker 5: Assets are in a complete rebuild. They're not even high aget. 669 00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:19,920 Speaker 5: They're starting a true freshman quarterback to try to build 670 00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:22,360 Speaker 5: for the future. They rank one hundred and eighteenth in 671 00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:25,800 Speaker 5: offensive success rate one hundred and seventh on defense. Like 672 00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:28,400 Speaker 5: I said, true freshman who is basically just the game manager. 673 00:30:28,640 --> 00:30:31,160 Speaker 5: He's averaging less than one hundred and ninety passing yards 674 00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:34,920 Speaker 5: per game. Rainbow Warriors have a top twenty passing defense 675 00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:37,560 Speaker 5: this year. They are going to hound him all game, 676 00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:40,600 Speaker 5: and San Diego State's entire offense has just been the 677 00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:44,040 Speaker 5: Marquez Cooper Show. And like I said, Hawaii's had two 678 00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:46,600 Speaker 5: weeks to develop a game plan to take away one player, 679 00:30:47,080 --> 00:30:49,360 Speaker 5: and I trust them to do it. I like the 680 00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:53,080 Speaker 5: Rainbow Warriors to continue building confidence on offense, and I 681 00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:56,600 Speaker 5: think they are the much better team here. Bose, I 682 00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:57,680 Speaker 5: think it's like the fourth time. 683 00:30:57,560 --> 00:30:58,440 Speaker 4: Like bet why this year? 684 00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:01,240 Speaker 5: But Bose up, how can we parlay the same team? 685 00:31:01,240 --> 00:31:02,640 Speaker 5: I don't know what we're gonna do it. It'll just bet 686 00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:05,520 Speaker 5: them twice on the money line. Two units Hawaii money line. 687 00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:08,880 Speaker 1: Calbary's go The only reason this number is close and 688 00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:11,240 Speaker 1: that we're getting plus money on it is Timmy Chang's 689 00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:14,800 Speaker 1: track record as a road dog one and eleven straight up. 690 00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:17,840 Speaker 1: But as we know, he walked into a year sub zero. 691 00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:21,480 Speaker 1: It was an absolute tire fire. He needed to fix 692 00:31:21,560 --> 00:31:23,959 Speaker 1: so much before he get them headed in the right direction, 693 00:31:24,360 --> 00:31:27,440 Speaker 1: rowing in the same direction as a team. So I'm 694 00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:30,680 Speaker 1: in on this Hawaii team. They almost upset UCLA. Yes, 695 00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:34,120 Speaker 1: they got handled by Sam Houston, but in very quick order, 696 00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:36,280 Speaker 1: we now know that the Bearcats look like an eight 697 00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:39,600 Speaker 1: or nine win team out of CUSA. Who doesn't look good? 698 00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:42,360 Speaker 1: You mentioned it, San Diego State bottom ten and havoc 699 00:31:42,400 --> 00:31:45,160 Speaker 1: allowed success rate points per opportune the one hundred and 700 00:31:45,160 --> 00:31:49,160 Speaker 1: twenty seventh and passing success rate. This offense, as our 701 00:31:49,320 --> 00:31:52,280 Speaker 1: beloved producer Matt Mitchell likes to sprinkle all over the 702 00:31:52,360 --> 00:31:56,000 Speaker 1: BBOC episodes, this offense is going nowhere fast. 703 00:31:58,040 --> 00:32:00,880 Speaker 5: You are about to enter a world unlike any you've 704 00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:05,000 Speaker 5: ever seen before, where the beautiful, the brutal, and the 705 00:32:05,040 --> 00:32:06,400 Speaker 5: brave all need. 706 00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:23,880 Speaker 1: I like to play with tempo, but they're just not 707 00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:27,240 Speaker 1: very good. They scored exactly zero points in the second 708 00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:30,320 Speaker 1: half against Central Michigan. They've scored thirty one points in 709 00:32:30,360 --> 00:32:33,840 Speaker 1: total across the last three games, and that Aztec game 710 00:32:33,880 --> 00:32:36,480 Speaker 1: against the Chipewas, they were plus three in the turnover 711 00:32:36,520 --> 00:32:39,680 Speaker 1: battle and they still couldn't win. So that's with everything 712 00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:42,640 Speaker 1: going right for STSU. As I mentioned getting shut out 713 00:32:42,640 --> 00:32:45,840 Speaker 1: in the second half by a Chippewas defense, that's all 714 00:32:45,880 --> 00:32:49,560 Speaker 1: I need to know. Because this Hawaii linebacking corps, the 715 00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:51,960 Speaker 1: lions Den, they're gonna be on the prowl in this game. 716 00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:54,320 Speaker 1: They're going to focus in on Cooper and they're going 717 00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:58,280 Speaker 1: to stop them because anything else offensively. You look at 718 00:32:58,320 --> 00:33:01,320 Speaker 1: the advanced stats for STSU, they're bleed out on the sheet. 719 00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:04,040 Speaker 1: It's red everywhere. So I don't think we even need 720 00:33:04,120 --> 00:33:05,880 Speaker 1: to go further into this other than the fact that 721 00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:09,000 Speaker 1: if you want a little bit of positivity to go 722 00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:12,280 Speaker 1: up against that San Diego State negativity, Hawaii is twenty 723 00:33:12,280 --> 00:33:14,840 Speaker 1: first in HAVOC. So it's not as though I need 724 00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:17,000 Speaker 1: them to play their best game of the season out 725 00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:20,240 Speaker 1: of nowhere. They're forty six in defensive success rate. It's 726 00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:23,120 Speaker 1: already there. I think when you're picturing it's the break 727 00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:26,000 Speaker 1: glass in case of emergency late night run and shoot 728 00:33:26,000 --> 00:33:28,400 Speaker 1: Hawaii offense where they score sixty points and they give 729 00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:31,240 Speaker 1: up fifty seven. That is not this Hawaii team. I 730 00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:33,680 Speaker 1: think they're in the right spot to play a really 731 00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:37,000 Speaker 1: nice game, probably hold San Diego State seventeen twenty points. 732 00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:39,480 Speaker 1: And then Braden Shager, he got right against Northern Iowa. 733 00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:41,640 Speaker 1: You mentioned it. He went thirty five for forty three, 734 00:33:41,880 --> 00:33:45,080 Speaker 1: three seventy four through the air, four touchdowns. Just protect 735 00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:47,520 Speaker 1: the football, for the love of God. Do not turn 736 00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:49,920 Speaker 1: the ball over the way that you have at times 737 00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:52,320 Speaker 1: in your career. If they win the turnover battle, they're 738 00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:53,640 Speaker 1: going to win this one. I think they could win 739 00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:55,760 Speaker 1: it a going away because San Diego State is not 740 00:33:56,640 --> 00:33:59,400 Speaker 1: right for this season. It is future project. 741 00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:01,800 Speaker 5: Well, you said, the San Diego State went out in 742 00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:04,680 Speaker 5: the transfer portal and took aj Duffy. 743 00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:07,040 Speaker 4: A former four star recruit from Florida. 744 00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:09,200 Speaker 5: State at quarterback, and they went to spring practice and 745 00:34:09,239 --> 00:34:10,920 Speaker 5: Sean Lewis took a look at this roster and took 746 00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:14,000 Speaker 5: a loias team and said, we are not going to compete, 747 00:34:14,080 --> 00:34:16,400 Speaker 5: and he decided to start Danny O'Neal and build for 748 00:34:16,440 --> 00:34:19,080 Speaker 5: the future a true freshman. They're not even hiding the 749 00:34:19,120 --> 00:34:22,560 Speaker 5: fact that they are rebuilding essentially not tanking, but they 750 00:34:22,800 --> 00:34:24,880 Speaker 5: don't care about this year. Otherwise they'd be playing a 751 00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:27,240 Speaker 5: four star recruit in Florida State. They're playing a true freshman, 752 00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:29,080 Speaker 5: letting him take his lump, so they're ready to go 753 00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:31,640 Speaker 5: next year in the year after that. They're not even 754 00:34:31,719 --> 00:34:33,239 Speaker 5: hiding the fact that they're not trying to win this year. 755 00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:35,600 Speaker 5: They're building for the future, which I don't hate, especially 756 00:34:35,680 --> 00:34:38,719 Speaker 5: for this team. So, like Brees said, we're all in 757 00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:41,320 Speaker 5: on Hawaii. If you're someone who looks forward to the 758 00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:43,719 Speaker 5: moneyline parlay, especially because we've had luck and last week 759 00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:46,440 Speaker 5: got screwed with App State, I would say just throw 760 00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:49,120 Speaker 5: two units on Hawaii money line or do the Hawaii 761 00:34:49,160 --> 00:34:50,759 Speaker 5: App State parlay. I thought Breeze are going to do 762 00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:52,680 Speaker 5: it anyway for taking them three. I like App State 763 00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:54,640 Speaker 5: as well, So if you really want to do a 764 00:34:54,680 --> 00:34:57,239 Speaker 5: money line parlay, unless Breeze objects, I would say do 765 00:34:57,320 --> 00:34:59,879 Speaker 5: the Hawaii App State one. Let's just throw two units 766 00:34:59,880 --> 00:35:01,480 Speaker 5: on the bows and I'll have a good time, all. 767 00:35:01,520 --> 00:35:04,080 Speaker 1: Right, give me give me to for Mike Iinello on 768 00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:06,120 Speaker 1: Mike Calabreys has been the group of five deep dive 769 00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:08,400 Speaker 1: under the Big bets on Campus banner. Thank you so 770 00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:10,919 Speaker 1: much for listening into our picks here in week six. 771 00:35:11,120 --> 00:35:13,839 Speaker 1: If you're looking for more college football content, don't worry, 772 00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:15,759 Speaker 1: we have you covered both here on the podcast and 773 00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:19,600 Speaker 1: over at our YouTube channel that's BBOC. Go ahead and 774 00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:22,520 Speaker 1: subscribe there and like and comments. We're going to throw 775 00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:24,759 Speaker 1: out some freebies in terms of merch, as well as 776 00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:27,839 Speaker 1: ten dollars free parlays for five star reviews. Colin Stuck 777 00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:29,520 Speaker 1: will be back later in the week with their full 778 00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:32,720 Speaker 1: coverage of everything top to bottom, top twenty five matchups, 779 00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:35,000 Speaker 1: all the way down to the trash. And then on Saturday, 780 00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:39,040 Speaker 1: Brett McMurphy joins Colin Stuck, myself and Johnny Manziel to 781 00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:41,040 Speaker 1: do a live show where you get you prepared for 782 00:35:41,120 --> 00:35:44,840 Speaker 1: the Saturday that is to come and all the final 783 00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:48,960 Speaker 1: pieces injury news, line movements, everything that you need to 784 00:35:48,960 --> 00:35:51,279 Speaker 1: be able to finish your Saturday in black. All right, 785 00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:52,840 Speaker 1: that's it for us. Thank you so much for listening. 786 00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:53,799 Speaker 1: We'll catch you next week. 787 00:36:08,360 --> 00:36:11,839 Speaker 5: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 788 00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:15,080 Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 789 00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:17,960 Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 790 00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:18,840 Speaker 1: hundred gambler