1
00:00:17,360 --> 00:00:22,279
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites Podcast. I am Chad Millman of

2
00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:25,079
Speaker 1: the Action Network. This is the Wednesday edition of the

3
00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:29,440
Speaker 1: Favorite Podcast, which means joining me from his Italian palace

4
00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:35,880
Speaker 1: in Las Vegas, Nevada bookmaker to the ever increasing world,

5
00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:38,840
Speaker 1: but certainly for the Orleans and all the Boyd gaming

6
00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:43,200
Speaker 1: books in the state of Nevada and Mississippi. Mr Bob

7
00:00:43,479 --> 00:00:46,640
Speaker 1: SCOOCHI Scooch, How are you, buddy? I'm good. How are

8
00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:49,360
Speaker 1: you doing? I'm good. We have a very special treat

9
00:00:49,400 --> 00:00:50,600
Speaker 1: for you. We got a lot to get to today.

10
00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:52,120
Speaker 1: We're gonna go through every game and see what the

11
00:00:52,120 --> 00:00:54,200
Speaker 1: markets are doing, and see how the lines are moving,

12
00:00:54,240 --> 00:00:55,840
Speaker 1: and what the wise guys are saying, and what the

13
00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:58,600
Speaker 1: joes are saying. We're gonna talk about Scoot row Lett

14
00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:00,280
Speaker 1: at the end of the show. We're gonna make are

15
00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:04,520
Speaker 1: very special uh picks that we do not guarantee, but

16
00:01:04,560 --> 00:01:09,679
Speaker 1: we're sure gonna win before all of that happens. You

17
00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:12,360
Speaker 1: know how you used to have some theme music and

18
00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:16,960
Speaker 1: then it went away, and we have two new choices

19
00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:19,319
Speaker 1: for theme music, And as we did when we used

20
00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:21,400
Speaker 1: to be behind the bats at ESPN, when we had

21
00:01:21,400 --> 00:01:27,039
Speaker 1: a very popular podcast, at ESPN called Behind the Bets. Um,

22
00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:30,000
Speaker 1: we once played all the theme music and let people vote.

23
00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:33,800
Speaker 1: And so we're gonna play two options and then we're

24
00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:36,080
Speaker 1: gonna post him on the interweb and then we're gonna

25
00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:38,959
Speaker 1: let people vote on the options. All right, and you

26
00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:42,200
Speaker 1: can have your say too. I do recall that, Um,

27
00:01:42,360 --> 00:01:47,720
Speaker 1: when we did this at ESPN, people voted. Ultimately I

28
00:01:47,800 --> 00:01:49,400
Speaker 1: decided they were all wrong, and I chose the one

29
00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:53,120
Speaker 1: I wanted. Yeah, yeah, I remember that. That was fun.

30
00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:57,240
Speaker 1: Actually that was a good time, right. Um. Also, I

31
00:01:57,320 --> 00:02:00,240
Speaker 1: have asked the world of Twitter to send me some questions,

32
00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:03,440
Speaker 1: so we're getting some of those in and uh, we're

33
00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:07,120
Speaker 1: gonna do all that. But first let's hear your theme

34
00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:36,920
Speaker 1: music option one please. I call that the rock opera option.

35
00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:40,480
Speaker 1: It's funny because that's exactly what I was thinking. Yeah,

36
00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:45,760
Speaker 1: I get a Freddie Mercury vibe. I feel it's um,

37
00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:49,560
Speaker 1: big and bold and it's the kind of thing that

38
00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:55,000
Speaker 1: people come out to in movies about drugs, um, all

39
00:02:55,040 --> 00:02:59,280
Speaker 1: that kind of stuff. So that's that's number one. I

40
00:02:59,400 --> 00:03:20,400
Speaker 1: like it. I like it. Let's your number two? That

41
00:03:20,600 --> 00:03:24,760
Speaker 1: is great? What what makes you laugh about that? Because

42
00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:28,440
Speaker 1: it was so I mean big. I mean it was

43
00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:33,440
Speaker 1: like the build up. It is a massive build up. Now.

44
00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:35,920
Speaker 1: The key is what I remember also is we need

45
00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:41,160
Speaker 1: to get like some scooch is ums and millmanisms sort

46
00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:43,680
Speaker 1: of laying into this. So it has sort of a

47
00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:46,960
Speaker 1: bigger feel, right Like, it's got to have some sayings

48
00:03:47,040 --> 00:03:48,440
Speaker 1: that you say, and then the music has got to

49
00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:51,600
Speaker 1: come in and come out and undulate and peak and

50
00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:54,720
Speaker 1: valley and all those things that sort of make it

51
00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:57,760
Speaker 1: feel special and big and introduce you, uh in the

52
00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:01,560
Speaker 1: way you've become accustomed to being introduced is sort of

53
00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:06,160
Speaker 1: you know, royalty. I can picture you with a red cape,

54
00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:10,360
Speaker 1: with a red cape and a crown. Oh my god,

55
00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:16,640
Speaker 1: all right, what did you like better? I like the

56
00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:22,360
Speaker 1: second one. The first one was a little eighties ish.

57
00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:26,320
Speaker 1: The second one was I don't know, like two thousand

58
00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:29,280
Speaker 1: one Space Odyssey. I like him both a lot. We're

59
00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:32,320
Speaker 1: gonna put those online. Go check him out, Go check

60
00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:35,080
Speaker 1: him out at the Favorites podcast. They'll be posted. Uh,

61
00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:37,800
Speaker 1: we'll ask for your votes. You can also tweet at

62
00:04:37,880 --> 00:04:41,800
Speaker 1: me and give me your choices. Um, but call. The

63
00:04:41,839 --> 00:04:45,680
Speaker 1: first one is called Rock Opera. The second one is

64
00:04:45,680 --> 00:04:53,120
Speaker 1: going to be called Boom tastic. Okay, okay, sounds good.

65
00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:56,120
Speaker 1: What do you think of that? All right, we are

66
00:04:56,160 --> 00:04:59,240
Speaker 1: ready to roll. So there you know, not now next time,

67
00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:00,960
Speaker 1: next time we go, we'll have some team music and

68
00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:05,560
Speaker 1: that's what you deserve. Hey scooch, how do things go

69
00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:08,600
Speaker 1: for you last weekend? Because I was on the Jags

70
00:05:08,680 --> 00:05:10,880
Speaker 1: at plus two, I wish I had taken them in

71
00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:13,640
Speaker 1: scoopture that I did not. I took the Cardinals, he

72
00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:17,320
Speaker 1: took the Panthers. We both lost. But generally I feel

73
00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:20,440
Speaker 1: like you probably did okay last weekend. We we did

74
00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:23,240
Speaker 1: really well last weekend. Um, if we could bottle that

75
00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:26,000
Speaker 1: up and use it again a couple more NFL weekends,

76
00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:29,520
Speaker 1: that'd be fine with me. We had a lot of

77
00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:33,640
Speaker 1: a lot of underdogs. The big ones, UM, the Buccaneers

78
00:05:34,000 --> 00:05:36,160
Speaker 1: again two weeks in a row. The Buccaneers, we were

79
00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:39,600
Speaker 1: pretty big. Even though the straight bets were on the UH,

80
00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:42,600
Speaker 1: the the Eagles, it was still still a big game.

81
00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:47,280
Speaker 1: UH the Browns again was another big one for us.

82
00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:50,320
Speaker 1: I think the biggest of the day was the Lions,

83
00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:53,159
Speaker 1: and we got the back door cover against the forty

84
00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:55,800
Speaker 1: Niners that turned in. That was one of the later games,

85
00:05:55,800 --> 00:06:01,080
Speaker 1: and it turned into just a monster. Um, so that

86
00:06:01,160 --> 00:06:04,560
Speaker 1: was another big one for us. The ones that we lost, Um,

87
00:06:04,720 --> 00:06:07,039
Speaker 1: we lost that Bills game, we lost the Rams game.

88
00:06:07,080 --> 00:06:10,880
Speaker 1: Those were the two big losers for us. But overall,

89
00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:14,040
Speaker 1: way more underdogs than favorites, and that's always good with us.

90
00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:21,119
Speaker 1: How are we supposed to account for the Bucks being

91
00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:27,480
Speaker 1: are the Rams being huge favorites over the Cardinals and dominating,

92
00:06:28,200 --> 00:06:32,440
Speaker 1: and the Bills being huge dogs at home against the

93
00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:37,599
Speaker 1: Chargers and getting dominated. Now the Vikings open up against

94
00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:39,840
Speaker 1: the Bills a sixteen and a half point favorites. All

95
00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:43,200
Speaker 1: this stuff is going on as regular betters, as people

96
00:06:43,240 --> 00:06:46,080
Speaker 1: who follow this forever. When you see big numbers, you

97
00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:50,440
Speaker 1: see big road favorite numbers, like are we supposed to

98
00:06:50,440 --> 00:06:53,159
Speaker 1: recalibrate already? What are thinking is when we see teams

99
00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:57,200
Speaker 1: this bad? I think when we see teams like that,

100
00:06:57,320 --> 00:07:00,680
Speaker 1: like the Bills, then right away everyone's talking about last

101
00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:05,080
Speaker 1: year's Browns. You know, after they wanted to see as

102
00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:07,240
Speaker 1: bad as they looked in week one, they wanted to

103
00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:09,360
Speaker 1: see if they could rebound a little bit in week

104
00:07:09,400 --> 00:07:11,680
Speaker 1: two or if they are just truly that bad. But

105
00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:14,840
Speaker 1: after the second game, I think the consensus among the

106
00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:18,200
Speaker 1: general public is that they're as bad as last year

107
00:07:18,200 --> 00:07:20,800
Speaker 1: as Browns were. I know it's an early sample, but

108
00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:23,560
Speaker 1: in terms of the betting and going up against a

109
00:07:23,600 --> 00:07:26,120
Speaker 1: real good team, I don't think we can set this

110
00:07:26,200 --> 00:07:30,760
Speaker 1: line high enough. So, um, sixteen and a half, I'm

111
00:07:30,800 --> 00:07:33,680
Speaker 1: probably gonna go to seventeen here real shortly, and uh

112
00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:37,080
Speaker 1: we're still gonna end up needing needing the Bills again. Um.

113
00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:39,160
Speaker 1: I know it's early in the year, but certain teams,

114
00:07:39,200 --> 00:07:40,880
Speaker 1: I think you can get a pretty good feel of

115
00:07:40,960 --> 00:07:43,560
Speaker 1: just how bad they are. And that's and this is

116
00:07:43,600 --> 00:07:48,240
Speaker 1: one of them. They are bad and there's no signs

117
00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:51,400
Speaker 1: of it. Yeah, there's just no nothing that you can

118
00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:54,160
Speaker 1: look at in the game to give you any sense

119
00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:57,840
Speaker 1: of encouragement. Uh. You know that they have no quarterback

120
00:07:57,880 --> 00:08:00,440
Speaker 1: they've got I mean they're they're relying on a rookie

121
00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:04,480
Speaker 1: with with zero experience. Uh. They they've got nothing to

122
00:08:04,680 --> 00:08:07,800
Speaker 1: kind of fall back on. No running game, no defense.

123
00:08:07,840 --> 00:08:12,640
Speaker 1: It's it's really it's it's tough to watch. Here's a

124
00:08:12,720 --> 00:08:16,880
Speaker 1: question from at bow underscore Jenks, J A and X.

125
00:08:17,360 --> 00:08:19,520
Speaker 1: When is the best time to get bets down early

126
00:08:19,800 --> 00:08:22,840
Speaker 1: late middle week? Uh? Does depend depend on if you

127
00:08:22,840 --> 00:08:27,240
Speaker 1: were the dog or the favorite. Um. That's that's the question.

128
00:08:27,560 --> 00:08:30,760
Speaker 1: Two questions. We're giving bow two questions. Yeah, so there's

129
00:08:30,800 --> 00:08:32,800
Speaker 1: two schools on that. If you kind of have an

130
00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:34,640
Speaker 1: idea of where the line is going to go, then

131
00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:37,720
Speaker 1: it's best to bet early in the week. You know,

132
00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:39,760
Speaker 1: if you if you think you're gonna bet a favorite,

133
00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:41,600
Speaker 1: and you think the favorite is going to open up

134
00:08:41,640 --> 00:08:45,040
Speaker 1: low and and and get much higher turned during the

135
00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:47,839
Speaker 1: last part of the week, then you bet early. The

136
00:08:47,880 --> 00:08:51,520
Speaker 1: reason most professional better is bet late. Two reasons. They

137
00:08:51,520 --> 00:08:54,040
Speaker 1: don't want anyone following their plays. And then the second

138
00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:57,400
Speaker 1: reason is your information is always more accurate with regards

139
00:08:57,440 --> 00:09:01,080
Speaker 1: to UH personnel. So generally I would say the late

140
00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:05,640
Speaker 1: move is the correct move. The late move is the

141
00:09:05,679 --> 00:09:08,640
Speaker 1: correct move. UH. That's a scooch is um that we

142
00:09:08,760 --> 00:09:13,120
Speaker 1: can add to your intro. I would also say, as

143
00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:16,679
Speaker 1: a millmanism that we can add to the intro. You've

144
00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:19,640
Speaker 1: got to get the best of the number, bo Jenks.

145
00:09:20,640 --> 00:09:24,080
Speaker 1: Scooch is right. You really got to understand which way

146
00:09:24,080 --> 00:09:26,280
Speaker 1: the point spread is going to go. You want to

147
00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:29,120
Speaker 1: beat the closing number. That's that's what you want to do.

148
00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:31,440
Speaker 1: Because even if you beat the closing number and you lose.

149
00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:34,440
Speaker 1: That kind of says that your philosophy was right and

150
00:09:34,480 --> 00:09:36,440
Speaker 1: in the long run, and we all want to be

151
00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:39,600
Speaker 1: long term betters here in the long run, then if

152
00:09:39,640 --> 00:09:42,880
Speaker 1: you beat the closing number, then you tend to have

153
00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:45,720
Speaker 1: a positive r O. I would you say that's accurate, Scooch?

154
00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:49,360
Speaker 1: I was definitely sure. Yeah. I mean that's kind of

155
00:09:49,360 --> 00:09:51,520
Speaker 1: what we do on the other side of the counter

156
00:09:51,679 --> 00:09:53,760
Speaker 1: is trying to get people to lay the worst of

157
00:09:53,800 --> 00:09:56,920
Speaker 1: it and then hopefully in the long run, these tiny

158
00:09:56,960 --> 00:09:59,560
Speaker 1: percentages add add up to you know, maybe a half

159
00:09:59,559 --> 00:10:02,240
Speaker 1: a percent higher hold percentage at the end of the year,

160
00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:09,599
Speaker 1: and that's big. That's huge, It's massive for you guys. Um,

161
00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:11,840
Speaker 1: there's a game that will get to that. I was

162
00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:13,360
Speaker 1: gonna say, there's a game that we're gonna get to

163
00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:16,120
Speaker 1: on the board that almost everybody knew the line was

164
00:10:16,120 --> 00:10:18,120
Speaker 1: going to come down. So when we get to it,

165
00:10:18,160 --> 00:10:21,319
Speaker 1: that will be a pretty good example of betting that

166
00:10:21,400 --> 00:10:24,120
Speaker 1: game as early as you could have. Well, you know what,

167
00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:25,880
Speaker 1: let's get to the games, because I do think that

168
00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:28,680
Speaker 1: I have so many questions honestly about like power rating

169
00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:31,440
Speaker 1: teams right now, and I think it'd be more valuable

170
00:10:31,480 --> 00:10:33,320
Speaker 1: just to do it because in almost every case you

171
00:10:33,360 --> 00:10:35,920
Speaker 1: can talk about how you need to adjust teams and

172
00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:38,160
Speaker 1: sort of how the first two weeks have impacted you

173
00:10:38,160 --> 00:10:39,600
Speaker 1: because a lot of teams I think are different than

174
00:10:39,640 --> 00:10:41,840
Speaker 1: what you thought. So I want to get right into

175
00:10:41,880 --> 00:10:44,319
Speaker 1: the Browns and the Jets. And this is a great example,

176
00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:47,720
Speaker 1: like the game opened three and a half, currently at three,

177
00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:50,280
Speaker 1: even though you have the majority of the bets and

178
00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:51,920
Speaker 1: the majority of the money. I'm looking at the Action

179
00:10:51,920 --> 00:10:54,480
Speaker 1: Network app. I work at the Action Network. Scooches on

180
00:10:54,520 --> 00:10:58,280
Speaker 1: an Action Network podcast. We are the Action Network. Um

181
00:10:58,320 --> 00:11:02,400
Speaker 1: about the bets coming in on the Cleveland Browns. The

182
00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:04,840
Speaker 1: line has moved in the opposite direction. That is called

183
00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:08,040
Speaker 1: the reverse line move. That means the wise guys are

184
00:11:08,040 --> 00:11:11,040
Speaker 1: probably on the Jets. Uh, it's currently a plus three.

185
00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:15,120
Speaker 1: Give me your thoughts on what's going on there. Well,

186
00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:18,520
Speaker 1: the Browns to two games that uh we needed them big.

187
00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:22,400
Speaker 1: They covered for us. Uh. We tried to not adjust

188
00:11:22,480 --> 00:11:25,400
Speaker 1: too much off of either team, but uh, the Browns

189
00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:29,280
Speaker 1: are one of the teams that we kind of adjusted upwards. Um,

190
00:11:29,360 --> 00:11:31,720
Speaker 1: the Jets, we wanted to we want to see how

191
00:11:31,760 --> 00:11:35,160
Speaker 1: they did against the Dolphins because we we didn't want

192
00:11:35,160 --> 00:11:37,400
Speaker 1: to take to read too much into their first game

193
00:11:37,520 --> 00:11:40,840
Speaker 1: with a with a rookie quarterback as good as Sam Donald. Look,

194
00:11:40,880 --> 00:11:43,160
Speaker 1: we know that anytime you have a rookie back there,

195
00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:46,120
Speaker 1: he's prone to make uh mistakes as we've seen like

196
00:11:46,160 --> 00:11:50,160
Speaker 1: in this first play play of the season. But uh,

197
00:11:51,280 --> 00:11:54,120
Speaker 1: we just we'd rather see some Jets money on this one,

198
00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:57,520
Speaker 1: and um we did early. But now it's like you said,

199
00:11:57,559 --> 00:12:00,480
Speaker 1: it's come back on the Browns and I'm asidant to

200
00:12:00,520 --> 00:12:02,480
Speaker 1: go back to three and a half. I hate bouncing

201
00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:05,360
Speaker 1: back and four three and a half to three, So

202
00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:07,760
Speaker 1: I'm kind of just, uh, I'm gonna stay at three

203
00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:09,880
Speaker 1: minus twenty on the Browns for as long as I can,

204
00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:12,760
Speaker 1: and uh, we'll probably end up needing the Jets point

205
00:12:12,800 --> 00:12:15,560
Speaker 1: when all of a a sudden, done, why did you want

206
00:12:15,640 --> 00:12:20,160
Speaker 1: Jets money? I do. I do think that you're gonna

207
00:12:20,200 --> 00:12:22,920
Speaker 1: see too many people just took too much into that

208
00:12:22,960 --> 00:12:26,120
Speaker 1: first game with the Jets, and and uh, their their

209
00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:29,520
Speaker 1: expectations were really high. I saw them come back down

210
00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:34,200
Speaker 1: to reality last week, whereas I'm seeing the Browns improving

211
00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:38,800
Speaker 1: in a lot of areas that uh, um, I think

212
00:12:38,800 --> 00:12:42,079
Speaker 1: this Browns team is going to surprise a lot of people. UM,

213
00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:47,880
Speaker 1: and I'm I'm always wary about a rookie quarterback as

214
00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:51,400
Speaker 1: good as he looks. Uh, They're just they can just

215
00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:53,320
Speaker 1: turn on a dime and just cost you the game.

216
00:12:53,400 --> 00:12:58,720
Speaker 1: And UM, I'd rather go into this game, UM needing

217
00:12:58,720 --> 00:13:01,120
Speaker 1: the Browns if if I could, I'm not sure if

218
00:13:01,120 --> 00:13:03,960
Speaker 1: I can. Well, how much of you had to adjust

219
00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:05,840
Speaker 1: the Browns right now? Tell me about your thoughts on

220
00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:07,200
Speaker 1: the Browns. I know you said you don't want to

221
00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:09,560
Speaker 1: over adjust, but you've also seen them play. You like

222
00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:11,680
Speaker 1: what they've done. They're one of those teams that I

223
00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:13,920
Speaker 1: had to ask about, like, how do you manage the

224
00:13:13,920 --> 00:13:17,560
Speaker 1: Browns right now? Yeah, we we moved them up a

225
00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:20,280
Speaker 1: little bit off of that first week, and we moved

226
00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:22,559
Speaker 1: them up even more than the second way. I think

227
00:13:22,600 --> 00:13:26,600
Speaker 1: actually this uh um week two that they actually looked

228
00:13:26,720 --> 00:13:30,240
Speaker 1: uh a lot more impressive than uh than week one,

229
00:13:30,880 --> 00:13:34,640
Speaker 1: and uh even even though they again just you know,

230
00:13:34,679 --> 00:13:38,560
Speaker 1: gave up UH a game that they probably should have won.

231
00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:41,760
Speaker 1: But UH, I think they looked a lot more impressive

232
00:13:41,800 --> 00:13:44,439
Speaker 1: in that game. UM, So we did. We did adjust

233
00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:47,719
Speaker 1: them up. Whereas the Jets, we really haven't adjusted them

234
00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:51,920
Speaker 1: too much. I do remember in the podcast. Last week,

235
00:13:53,559 --> 00:13:55,240
Speaker 1: you had the Jets is three playing favorites, and I

236
00:13:55,280 --> 00:13:57,520
Speaker 1: said to you, what are you thinking? And immediately you

237
00:13:57,559 --> 00:14:00,680
Speaker 1: were like, yeah, that was a mistake. Yeah, And we

238
00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:02,920
Speaker 1: went right to two and a half. And actually that

239
00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:05,440
Speaker 1: turned out to be a pretty good, uh game for

240
00:14:05,520 --> 00:14:08,600
Speaker 1: us because even at two and a half, everyone was

241
00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:10,360
Speaker 1: on the Jets almost had a two to one clip,

242
00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:12,480
Speaker 1: so that that was actually a real good game for us.

243
00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:15,400
Speaker 1: I was. I was surprised, especially on the parlay card,

244
00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:18,120
Speaker 1: how many people had the Jets on the parlay card.

245
00:14:18,720 --> 00:14:21,240
Speaker 1: I am too, But that's a that is the Monday

246
00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:25,040
Speaker 1: night football effect, right it is. You know, that's what

247
00:14:25,080 --> 00:14:28,240
Speaker 1: you see. I mean, especially when they look impressive and everything,

248
00:14:28,280 --> 00:14:30,280
Speaker 1: but you know, the short week and a and a

249
00:14:30,360 --> 00:14:34,000
Speaker 1: rookie quarterback, it's it's a lot to overcome, all right.

250
00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:37,720
Speaker 1: The Carolina Panthers a three point favorites over the Cincinnati Bengals.

251
00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:42,200
Speaker 1: I've been on the Bengals for two weeks in a row. Uh,

252
00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:45,440
Speaker 1: I still feel like you're probably not giving them enough

253
00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:47,600
Speaker 1: respect here. I know you've basically made this a neutral

254
00:14:47,720 --> 00:14:51,200
Speaker 1: you know, a Carolina it's you know, as low as

255
00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:52,960
Speaker 1: you can go, you're basically saying these teams are even

256
00:14:52,960 --> 00:14:56,200
Speaker 1: on a neutral field. Bengals are the better team here

257
00:14:56,680 --> 00:14:59,640
Speaker 1: that they are and uh, and I'm actually gonna move

258
00:14:59,680 --> 00:15:03,080
Speaker 1: this where three even money and I'm gonna go to

259
00:15:03,080 --> 00:15:07,440
Speaker 1: two and a half on this right now, and right now,

260
00:15:07,520 --> 00:15:11,880
Speaker 1: that's gonna be a line change. Yep, two teams that

261
00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:15,080
Speaker 1: we've adjusted. I agree with you on the Bengals. We

262
00:15:15,080 --> 00:15:18,480
Speaker 1: weren't real high on the Bengals going into the first game. Uh.

263
00:15:18,520 --> 00:15:22,240
Speaker 1: We adjusted them slightly, but then adjusted them again. Uh

264
00:15:22,440 --> 00:15:25,280
Speaker 1: last week and so to two weeks in a row

265
00:15:25,280 --> 00:15:28,840
Speaker 1: where we adjusted the Bengals upwards, and I didn't adjust

266
00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:33,360
Speaker 1: the Panthers after week one. Um, after the Cowboys game,

267
00:15:33,400 --> 00:15:36,960
Speaker 1: I actually thought the Panthers were, uh gonna do a

268
00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:39,760
Speaker 1: lot better. Obviously last week against the Falcons that was

269
00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:42,840
Speaker 1: the Scooter Roulet pic, getting six points, they end up

270
00:15:42,880 --> 00:15:46,680
Speaker 1: losing by seven. Uh, they did not, So two weeks

271
00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:49,480
Speaker 1: in a row, they didn't look overly impressive, and uh

272
00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:53,000
Speaker 1: we did adjust them downwards. And I think the Bengals

273
00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:55,160
Speaker 1: are the better team here. You you mentioned the three

274
00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:58,680
Speaker 1: points only accounts for a home field advantage, so that

275
00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:00,480
Speaker 1: that tells you to minus two and a half the

276
00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:02,520
Speaker 1: Bengals should be like a half a point favorite on

277
00:16:02,520 --> 00:16:08,040
Speaker 1: a on a neutral field. You moved it? Did you

278
00:16:08,080 --> 00:16:16,560
Speaker 1: move it? I moved it. You moved it from your house? Right, yeah, yeah,

279
00:16:16,640 --> 00:16:19,240
Speaker 1: Why are you laughing at that? That's truth? Yeah it is.

280
00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:25,120
Speaker 1: I don't know why it's it's it's surprising though, like

281
00:16:25,400 --> 00:16:28,520
Speaker 1: it's just cool. That's the day and age we live.

282
00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:35,000
Speaker 1: You are a powerful bookmaker, possibly the most powerful bookmaker

283
00:16:35,800 --> 00:16:41,120
Speaker 1: in the state of Nevada and Mississippi, two hotbeds, and

284
00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:44,480
Speaker 1: you are making the moves from your house while recording

285
00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:48,000
Speaker 1: a podcast. This is true. I think I'm more impressed

286
00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:50,520
Speaker 1: with you than you are. You are I don't know.

287
00:16:50,600 --> 00:16:54,120
Speaker 1: I do this all the time, all the time. I

288
00:16:54,160 --> 00:16:55,600
Speaker 1: do a lot of I got a lot of podcasts,

289
00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:57,360
Speaker 1: and I got a lot of moves. I gotta make

290
00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:01,840
Speaker 1: exactly New Orland Saints plus three on the road at

291
00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:04,920
Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons. Boy, get a lot of this is

292
00:17:04,960 --> 00:17:07,440
Speaker 1: this is an interesting game. This is interesting to me. Right.

293
00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:10,359
Speaker 1: There is a massive split here. The majority of the

294
00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:12,639
Speaker 1: bets are coming in and the Falcons. The majority of

295
00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:15,080
Speaker 1: the money is coming in in the Saints. That tells

296
00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:18,199
Speaker 1: me the public is on the Falcons and the professionals

297
00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:22,920
Speaker 1: are on the Saints. Yeah. So yeah, that's that's accurate.

298
00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:25,359
Speaker 1: And this was a really tough line to make because

299
00:17:25,359 --> 00:17:28,840
Speaker 1: we know, uh what the right number should be. And

300
00:17:29,200 --> 00:17:32,040
Speaker 1: if you if we had made this line prior to

301
00:17:32,119 --> 00:17:35,600
Speaker 1: the season started starting, Uh, we would have made it

302
00:17:35,600 --> 00:17:38,000
Speaker 1: two and a right around two two and a half.

303
00:17:38,119 --> 00:17:40,199
Speaker 1: It would have gone up to three immediately, and we

304
00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:44,800
Speaker 1: would have sat at three. But having seen how well

305
00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:49,840
Speaker 1: the Falcons played and how poorly the Saints looked, Uh,

306
00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:51,560
Speaker 1: we know that the public is going to be all

307
00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:53,480
Speaker 1: over this one. So we knew it was gonna be

308
00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:55,919
Speaker 1: when they saw three, that they were going to be

309
00:17:56,000 --> 00:17:59,800
Speaker 1: all over it. Um, So we tried to account for

310
00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:01,920
Speaker 1: that and open as high as we thought we could

311
00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:04,560
Speaker 1: at three and a half. And the wise guys took

312
00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:06,959
Speaker 1: the three and a half instantly, And now the public

313
00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:09,440
Speaker 1: is all over the over the Falcons at minus three.

314
00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:11,920
Speaker 1: So another game where we don't want to bounce back

315
00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:14,800
Speaker 1: and forth. Uh, we'll just ride it out at three

316
00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:16,640
Speaker 1: knowing that the public is going to be all over

317
00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:19,440
Speaker 1: the Falcons. And we're definitely going into this game knowing

318
00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:22,600
Speaker 1: that we're gonna need the Saints plus three. I like

319
00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:26,480
Speaker 1: that game. You know, you know, it sets up there's

320
00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:29,879
Speaker 1: a lot of games this week that set up for

321
00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:32,920
Speaker 1: a surprise. In other words, a team that looked really

322
00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:36,879
Speaker 1: bad in the first two games getting only a couple

323
00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:40,720
Speaker 1: of points. I feel like there's gonna be some surprises

324
00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:42,960
Speaker 1: with two or three teams that looked bad two weeks

325
00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:45,040
Speaker 1: in a row that they're going to come out and

326
00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:48,560
Speaker 1: look really good in Week three. And you know, part

327
00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:50,159
Speaker 1: of it is what we talked about is, you know,

328
00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:53,120
Speaker 1: not getting a lot of reps in preseason, and especially

329
00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:55,760
Speaker 1: that some of the teams that uh maybe get have

330
00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:58,160
Speaker 1: some aging players. It takes them a couple of weeks

331
00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:01,240
Speaker 1: to really hit full stride. And so I think we're

332
00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:05,160
Speaker 1: going to see some surprises this week. The SAT this

333
00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:09,199
Speaker 1: this is a this is a must win game for

334
00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:12,520
Speaker 1: both of these teams. Divisional games early in the season

335
00:19:12,560 --> 00:19:14,400
Speaker 1: to say that, but I believe it a divisional game.

336
00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:18,720
Speaker 1: Each of these teams needs to define who they are. Yeah,

337
00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:20,560
Speaker 1: it's a tough and I mean it's a tough division.

338
00:19:20,760 --> 00:19:23,200
Speaker 1: They can't they can't afford to lose the games in

339
00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:27,680
Speaker 1: division like this. I mean, uh, three teams come out

340
00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:29,680
Speaker 1: of came out of this division, went to the playoffs

341
00:19:29,800 --> 00:19:33,560
Speaker 1: last year, and uh, it's a it's a tough, tough division.

342
00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:37,280
Speaker 1: Three teams went to the playoffs. None of them were

343
00:19:37,280 --> 00:19:40,720
Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are now leading the division

344
00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:43,320
Speaker 1: at two and oh and have beaten the Saints and

345
00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:51,680
Speaker 1: the world champions. That, my friends, is why gambling sucks, right.

346
00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:57,040
Speaker 1: I know, it's it's crazy. There's just no reason for

347
00:19:57,119 --> 00:19:59,880
Speaker 1: that to be true. Um, but then you get Ryan

348
00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:01,639
Speaker 1: it's magic, and all of a sudden, the world is

349
00:20:01,680 --> 00:20:05,760
Speaker 1: the world orders upside down Denver at Baltimore, the Broncos

350
00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:10,879
Speaker 1: are five point underdogs. I know these are teams that

351
00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:15,479
Speaker 1: are really popular. From the betting perspective, this to me

352
00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:17,919
Speaker 1: feels like a corner TV game. I don't think it's

353
00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:20,159
Speaker 1: gonna get a ton of action. I think it's going

354
00:20:20,200 --> 00:20:22,480
Speaker 1: to be straight down Main Street. In terms of the split,

355
00:20:22,520 --> 00:20:25,120
Speaker 1: I don't think wise guys are gonna like anything. Uh

356
00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:27,120
Speaker 1: it's hard to judge the public, Like they're not gonna

357
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:29,960
Speaker 1: go to Baltimore of five points. I don't know. Man,

358
00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:33,800
Speaker 1: talk me out of this. Tell me, well, well, the

359
00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:36,680
Speaker 1: public had been on Baltimore, but they're they're not gonna

360
00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:39,000
Speaker 1: be on him in this one lane lane five, I thought,

361
00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:42,320
Speaker 1: I'm actually surprised. We took a couple of wise Guy

362
00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:44,359
Speaker 1: plays at plus five and a half, we went down,

363
00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:46,720
Speaker 1: We went down to five on this one. I didn't

364
00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:49,920
Speaker 1: think would get much much action at all on it. Um,

365
00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:52,720
Speaker 1: but we did get some pretty big sharp action on

366
00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:56,600
Speaker 1: the Broncos. So, um, we may we we may not

367
00:20:56,880 --> 00:20:59,000
Speaker 1: need the end up needing the Ravens in this one.

368
00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 1: You got sharp action. Do you think that plus five

369
00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:05,439
Speaker 1: and a half? Yeah? That and I can't. I can't.

370
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:08,199
Speaker 1: It really surprised me. That's all I can say is

371
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:12,679
Speaker 1: that it did. It surprised me. Did it disappoint you

372
00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:17,880
Speaker 1: a little bit? I was hoping that they would actually, uh,

373
00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:21,840
Speaker 1: you know, lay a big number. Um, but uh, you know,

374
00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:25,080
Speaker 1: five is really and obviously it's a dead number. So

375
00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:28,639
Speaker 1: there's not there's not much you know, I can I

376
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:30,159
Speaker 1: can go to four and a half. I can go

377
00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:31,880
Speaker 1: back to five and a half and not really worry

378
00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:34,879
Speaker 1: about it. Fall and five too much. Um, but I

379
00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:37,240
Speaker 1: think you hit the nail on the head. It's gonna

380
00:21:37,240 --> 00:21:39,080
Speaker 1: be a corner TV game. There's not gonna be much

381
00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:41,239
Speaker 1: interest in it. The public used to be on the

382
00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:43,120
Speaker 1: Broncos every week they used to be a much more

383
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:45,960
Speaker 1: public team. Um, but that's when they had a higher

384
00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:49,240
Speaker 1: profile quarterbacks that I don't think Kingdom has made anyone

385
00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:54,320
Speaker 1: a believer yet, certainly not me. I mean they are

386
00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:58,000
Speaker 1: they won both their games and uh, um they are,

387
00:21:58,080 --> 00:22:01,040
Speaker 1: they are two and oh, but they just haven't really

388
00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:04,240
Speaker 1: drawn as much um support as you as you would

389
00:22:04,280 --> 00:22:07,320
Speaker 1: imagine a Broncos team would. Yeah, that is like if

390
00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:08,960
Speaker 1: you if you were if you went up to someone

391
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:11,040
Speaker 1: and said, name all the two and oh teams in

392
00:22:11,080 --> 00:22:13,280
Speaker 1: the NFL, the Broncos are the one that would get forgotten,

393
00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:16,280
Speaker 1: I really think. So you look at him saying, oh,

394
00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:20,160
Speaker 1: yeah they are yeah, yeah, the Bengals would get forgotten.

395
00:22:20,520 --> 00:22:24,280
Speaker 1: The Broncos would get forgotten, the Bucks would not. Um.

396
00:22:24,320 --> 00:22:27,399
Speaker 1: If someone said to you, are the Packers undefeated? Uh

397
00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 1: and untied? Are they to know? You would say of course,

398
00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:32,400
Speaker 1: Like if you don't know anything, like you know, you'd

399
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:35,240
Speaker 1: be thinking like, of course the Packers are undefeated. You

400
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:36,919
Speaker 1: would not say, of course the Bucks are, or the

401
00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:40,800
Speaker 1: Bay or the Bengals are the Broncos are Miami or

402
00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:42,639
Speaker 1: Miami is another two and o team that kind of

403
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:48,440
Speaker 1: might get forgotten a little. But seriously, the Bengals, the Broncos, Miami,

404
00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:51,840
Speaker 1: the Bucks. Are you kidding me? If you would say

405
00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:53,240
Speaker 1: if you would have said Miami is going to be

406
00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:55,960
Speaker 1: in first place after two weeks, I mean you would

407
00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:59,199
Speaker 1: have gotten some side eyed Look. Yeah, what are you

408
00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:02,280
Speaker 1: supposed to do with a gambler in this situation? I

409
00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:05,399
Speaker 1: don't trust any of these teams yet, but like the

410
00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:08,440
Speaker 1: but the truth is, the Bangals have looked amazing. Their

411
00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:12,040
Speaker 1: defense is really good. The Dolphins have looked really good.

412
00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:15,560
Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill has not sort of missed a step, so

413
00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:18,000
Speaker 1: to speak, since he came back from that knee injury. Like,

414
00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:25,440
Speaker 1: these are good teams. Yeah? Yeah, who have you power

415
00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:30,360
Speaker 1: rated and adjusted the most in uh in these first

416
00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:36,000
Speaker 1: few weeks? Buccaneers? Yeah, the next game is Tennessee in Jacksonville?

417
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:38,679
Speaker 1: Do you have a line up for this game? We

418
00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:42,000
Speaker 1: don't know. Um, you know, at one point we're looking

419
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:45,680
Speaker 1: at U six and a half seven on Jacksonville. But

420
00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:49,760
Speaker 1: uh with I mean Marcus Mariotta questionable, Leonard for Net questionable.

421
00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:52,760
Speaker 1: So too many unknowns here yet. I will tell you

422
00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:58,840
Speaker 1: that at Fantasy s D one asked Jaguars Titans how

423
00:23:58,880 --> 00:24:01,080
Speaker 1: big of a letdown spot for the Jags last week

424
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:04,800
Speaker 1: was their Super Bowl. Do you feel like, once you

425
00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:08,359
Speaker 1: post a line, will let down be in play? Will it?

426
00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 1: Will you factor that into the points? Bread? You know,

427
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:15,600
Speaker 1: if they were playing another team besides Tennessee, maybe, But uh,

428
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:18,040
Speaker 1: I don't think as a a six and a half

429
00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:21,320
Speaker 1: point favor, I don't think there's a letdown factor here. Okay,

430
00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:25,239
Speaker 1: it's fair fair to ask. Uh, let's see this is

431
00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:28,720
Speaker 1: oh we talked about it a little bit. Minnesota Vikings

432
00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:31,600
Speaker 1: sixteen and a half play a favorite over the Buffalo Bills.

433
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:34,280
Speaker 1: They're getting all the money, they're getting all the bets.

434
00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:38,199
Speaker 1: Have the wise guys played this at all? Uh No,

435
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:43,680
Speaker 1: they really haven't. Everything's all just Parley money and uh

436
00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:47,040
Speaker 1: kind of recreational bettors lay in the sixteen. Um, I

437
00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:49,560
Speaker 1: would imagine if we went to seventeen there we might

438
00:24:49,600 --> 00:24:54,320
Speaker 1: get a couple of bites. Um there's not too many

439
00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:56,760
Speaker 1: seven teams out there. I'm not sure if too many

440
00:24:56,800 --> 00:25:00,760
Speaker 1: other places have it, But um, I probably wouldn't hurt

441
00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:03,240
Speaker 1: us to go to seventeen. In the next couple of days,

442
00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:05,320
Speaker 1: I might want to take a take, take a couple

443
00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:08,199
Speaker 1: of bets, But uh, I think seventeen once we go,

444
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:11,119
Speaker 1: there will be uh, we'll be solid at seventeen. Do

445
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:13,080
Speaker 1: you think the wise guys will come in at seventeen

446
00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:16,320
Speaker 1: at plus seventeen? Yeah, I mean, but the fact that

447
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:19,040
Speaker 1: they haven't taken sixteen and a half means that they

448
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:21,879
Speaker 1: want they want no part of the Bills. And the

449
00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:24,680
Speaker 1: only reason they would take seventeen is maybe they laid

450
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:28,439
Speaker 1: a real short number. Um, maybe early on or some

451
00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:31,960
Speaker 1: some sports books that take action two or three weeks

452
00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:35,320
Speaker 1: in advance on certain games, because this line would have been,

453
00:25:35,560 --> 00:25:37,480
Speaker 1: you know, somewhere in the neighborhood of the Vikings, you know,

454
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:39,680
Speaker 1: eight and a half or nine if you'd have made

455
00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:42,840
Speaker 1: the line, uh, you know, three weeks ago. So the

456
00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:45,720
Speaker 1: people that are taking seventeen might be middling or something

457
00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:48,240
Speaker 1: like that. The Bills are gonna be one of those

458
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:51,959
Speaker 1: teams that when they play the Patriots, what is that

459
00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:55,639
Speaker 1: line going to be? Well, not much higher. I mean,

460
00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:58,520
Speaker 1: the Vikings are right there on par with the Patriots,

461
00:25:58,520 --> 00:26:02,200
Speaker 1: So um, it's gonna be about seventeen as well. Yeah,

462
00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:03,679
Speaker 1: but you're gonna have to bump that line up a

463
00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:05,720
Speaker 1: little bit because the Patriots still gets somewhere from our

464
00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:08,760
Speaker 1: money than the Vikings. They are the most public of

465
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:10,080
Speaker 1: public teams. I don't want to tell you how to

466
00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:11,639
Speaker 1: do your job. I don't want to tell your business,

467
00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:16,440
Speaker 1: but you are anyway, that's what I do. Some people

468
00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:19,320
Speaker 1: would I would say that's me being a leader. Other

469
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:22,760
Speaker 1: people would say that's me being annoying a little bit.

470
00:26:23,320 --> 00:26:25,560
Speaker 1: Where do you stand on that? I stand a little

471
00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:28,000
Speaker 1: favor of the annoying a little bit. I had a

472
00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:31,240
Speaker 1: call today where one of the guys who works at

473
00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:37,199
Speaker 1: the Action Network, he said, I believe the quote was

474
00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:40,280
Speaker 1: someone was giving me a compliment about something. I believe

475
00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:42,440
Speaker 1: I had predicted that, like I think the world series

476
00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:44,399
Speaker 1: could be the Astros and the Braves. And it was

477
00:26:44,440 --> 00:26:46,760
Speaker 1: Paul Duca and he was complimenting me on that. And

478
00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:48,680
Speaker 1: he's like, wow, you might have been spot on when

479
00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:50,119
Speaker 1: that was at thirty five two one, you could have

480
00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:55,280
Speaker 1: had that. And Uh, one of the guys who works

481
00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:58,040
Speaker 1: at Action Network who sort of oversees our day to

482
00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:05,119
Speaker 1: day editorial, Um, he is disgusted by me, and UH

483
00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:08,520
Speaker 1: does not like when anyone compliments me. And when I

484
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:11,760
Speaker 1: was getting complimented, and I of course took that in

485
00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:16,199
Speaker 1: the humble, uh, the way that I take compliments and

486
00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:18,919
Speaker 1: sort of just brushed it off and was like, you know,

487
00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:21,960
Speaker 1: you know, sometimes I yet one right, blind squirrel finds

488
00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:24,800
Speaker 1: and that kind of thing, because of course that's my attitude.

489
00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:32,400
Speaker 1: We know, I'm kidding. Um. His response was, I can't

490
00:27:32,400 --> 00:27:36,760
Speaker 1: say anything right now because it would probably get me fired.

491
00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:40,119
Speaker 1: That's how much she wanted to That's how much he

492
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:43,680
Speaker 1: wanted to rip me. That's how much. That's pretty strong. Yeah,

493
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:48,600
Speaker 1: that's big. That's good, right, That's the kind of that

494
00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:58,120
Speaker 1: is the kind of passion I can invite. Yeah. Wow, Yeah.

495
00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:01,280
Speaker 1: Does anyone ever listen Jake Ever said, as Jake Ever

496
00:28:01,320 --> 00:28:04,560
Speaker 1: said to you, I can't even comment because would get

497
00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:08,520
Speaker 1: me fired. No, he's never said that, not to my face.

498
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:10,679
Speaker 1: He might say, I'm gonna have to ask him. He

499
00:28:10,760 --> 00:28:13,760
Speaker 1: might say it when when I'm not out of the office.

500
00:28:14,080 --> 00:28:15,399
Speaker 1: Do you know what that makes me think? Then you're

501
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:21,679
Speaker 1: not trying hard enough. You're not showing how much you care, scooch.

502
00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:23,680
Speaker 1: Let's move on to the Chiefs minus five and a

503
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:28,000
Speaker 1: half against the San Francisco forty niners five and a half?

504
00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:31,879
Speaker 1: Where just where is it five and a half? Uh?

505
00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:33,880
Speaker 1: I don't know where is it? Where is it not? Five?

506
00:28:34,640 --> 00:28:36,280
Speaker 1: Six and a half, six and a half. I'm sorry,

507
00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:40,959
Speaker 1: I'm at seven. I'm at seven on the game. Wow seven,

508
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:44,600
Speaker 1: and it's all this this game. Let me let me

509
00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:47,280
Speaker 1: just make sure before I say that. Yeah, yeah, this

510
00:28:47,360 --> 00:28:51,120
Speaker 1: game has the biggest disparity of any other game on

511
00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:54,560
Speaker 1: the board. More in other words, more tickets. It's at

512
00:28:54,600 --> 00:28:59,120
Speaker 1: a ten to one clip right now with us tend

513
00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:01,200
Speaker 1: to tend take down the Chiefs to every one on

514
00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:03,920
Speaker 1: the forty niners. And we opened six and a half.

515
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:05,800
Speaker 1: We took a couple of big bets at minus six

516
00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:08,560
Speaker 1: and a half, we went to seven even money, and

517
00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:12,720
Speaker 1: now we're at seven minus oh five, so all Chiefs

518
00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:17,120
Speaker 1: and and we adjusted the Chiefs, I mean we we

519
00:29:17,120 --> 00:29:18,920
Speaker 1: we liked the Chiefs, and we talked a little bit

520
00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:22,360
Speaker 1: about them last week, and I really felt I wasn't

521
00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:26,240
Speaker 1: surprised at all, uh that they beat the Steelers. Um.

522
00:29:26,360 --> 00:29:29,320
Speaker 1: We talked about him last week and the last couple

523
00:29:29,320 --> 00:29:33,720
Speaker 1: of weeks. UM, But uh, I didn't expect it to

524
00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:35,800
Speaker 1: go as high as seven. I don't know about the

525
00:29:35,880 --> 00:29:37,600
Speaker 1: Chiefs and minus seven. Would you say that they're the

526
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:44,040
Speaker 1: team you adjusted for the second most after the Bucks? Yeah, Well,

527
00:29:44,120 --> 00:29:47,600
Speaker 1: I'm let me see, let me look at it. Uh,

528
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:49,960
Speaker 1: you know, we had them rated pretty high, you know

529
00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:55,000
Speaker 1: to begin with, so um, we really we really adjusted

530
00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 1: them after week week one, but we didn't adjust them

531
00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:02,040
Speaker 1: too much after a week two because we already have them,

532
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 1: uh pretty well adjusted. But uh, but we have them

533
00:30:05,800 --> 00:30:08,800
Speaker 1: ranked ranked pretty high. So uh they're they're among the

534
00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:12,400
Speaker 1: top teams that we have ranked. I'm in this crazy

535
00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:18,320
Speaker 1: fun uh NFL season long betting pool with three other

536
00:30:18,360 --> 00:30:24,280
Speaker 1: friends and there's a decent sized buy in, and you

537
00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:27,520
Speaker 1: each get to choose eight teams to win the super Bowl,

538
00:30:28,120 --> 00:30:30,560
Speaker 1: and whichever one of those teams wins, you win the

539
00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:33,120
Speaker 1: whole pot. And it's like a snake draft. So like

540
00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:36,240
Speaker 1: someone goes first, second, third, fourth, and then that fourth

541
00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:39,600
Speaker 1: person goes fifth, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera. So with the first pick,

542
00:30:39,720 --> 00:30:42,720
Speaker 1: I took the Green Bay Packers, and then I took

543
00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:45,480
Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Steelers. The third pick I wanted to take,

544
00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:49,600
Speaker 1: I had like the eleven tick. I wanted to take

545
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:53,720
Speaker 1: the Chiefs, and um, someone offered me a trade. They said,

546
00:30:53,760 --> 00:30:58,240
Speaker 1: I will give you my pick later in the draft,

547
00:30:58,640 --> 00:31:01,880
Speaker 1: like right after yours, if you give me yours. And

548
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:04,200
Speaker 1: so then I was going to have like, instead of

549
00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:07,160
Speaker 1: having the eleventh pick, I was going to have like

550
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:11,360
Speaker 1: five picks thirteen through nineteen. And I did the calculations.

551
00:31:11,360 --> 00:31:13,280
Speaker 1: I had like six teams I still liked, and the

552
00:31:13,320 --> 00:31:14,760
Speaker 1: Chiefs were one of them, but they were Chiefs were

553
00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:16,480
Speaker 1: the one I wanted the most, and I took the

554
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:19,000
Speaker 1: shot that like, the Chiefs would be there one pick later.

555
00:31:20,080 --> 00:31:24,360
Speaker 1: This person came in and took the Chiefs. Killed me

556
00:31:24,560 --> 00:31:26,440
Speaker 1: because now every time I see them winning, I'm like,

557
00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:29,840
Speaker 1: I could have had the Chiefs in this pool and

558
00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:35,440
Speaker 1: made a huge, huge mistake, huge mistake. I think. I

559
00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:38,560
Speaker 1: think after that, I think I went with the Broncos

560
00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:40,760
Speaker 1: and then like the Giants. I can't even remember, Like

561
00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:44,480
Speaker 1: my head was spinning because like I was so throttled

562
00:31:44,520 --> 00:31:45,920
Speaker 1: by the fact that I wasn't gonna get the Chiefs

563
00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:52,160
Speaker 1: because my my I just mismanaged my draft. Yeah no, Giants, Wow,

564
00:31:52,720 --> 00:31:55,880
Speaker 1: you were until It's not a good not a good

565
00:31:55,880 --> 00:32:00,840
Speaker 1: move for me. The Indianapolis Colts. I liked, liked this game.

566
00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:04,040
Speaker 1: I don't like it anymore. This game opened at six

567
00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:06,280
Speaker 1: and a half. Now it's at six. Where are you at?

568
00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:11,120
Speaker 1: We're at six on the game. We bounced back and

569
00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:13,000
Speaker 1: forth a couple of times six six and a half,

570
00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:17,080
Speaker 1: still waiting. Uh, you know, Jed Gies is doubtful for

571
00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:21,040
Speaker 1: the Eagles, but we're waiting to see if if WinCE

572
00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:22,960
Speaker 1: Is is going to be the starter in this one.

573
00:32:23,360 --> 00:32:26,959
Speaker 1: He's been upgraded to probable and it's not gonna make

574
00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:31,400
Speaker 1: a huge, huge difference in the line, but uh, public

575
00:32:31,440 --> 00:32:34,680
Speaker 1: perception may make sway. So if he if he's in,

576
00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:36,400
Speaker 1: well we'll go back to six and a half and

577
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:40,920
Speaker 1: maybe even seven even money. But again here, uh you know,

578
00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 1: we probably have the cult ranked a little higher than

579
00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:48,720
Speaker 1: the general public thinks. Uh. The that first game against

580
00:32:48,800 --> 00:32:52,360
Speaker 1: the Bengals, now that we both admit that the Bengals

581
00:32:52,400 --> 00:32:55,240
Speaker 1: really are a good team. Uh, that loss against the

582
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:58,920
Speaker 1: Bengal doesn't look like a bad loss for for Indianapolis. Um,

583
00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:02,200
Speaker 1: I think they can keep this game close. Uh, Philadelphia

584
00:33:02,280 --> 00:33:05,320
Speaker 1: show that they could be very vulnerable. So I think

585
00:33:05,320 --> 00:33:07,840
Speaker 1: that's a lot of points in this one. I do too.

586
00:33:08,360 --> 00:33:14,240
Speaker 1: I love the I love the Colts in this game. Uh.

587
00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:20,440
Speaker 1: I love the Colts even if Carson Wentz is playing. Yeah, yeah,

588
00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:23,239
Speaker 1: I do too. I mean this is this is one

589
00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:25,760
Speaker 1: of those games that I was talking about earlier that

590
00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:28,880
Speaker 1: that would surprise a lot of people that you know,

591
00:33:28,920 --> 00:33:30,640
Speaker 1: they would talk about it the day after and say,

592
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:33,200
Speaker 1: I never saw it coming, but I wouldn't be surprised

593
00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:39,480
Speaker 1: if the Colts win this game. Miami three point favorite

594
00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:42,880
Speaker 1: over the Oakland Raiders. Right now, that number has moved down.

595
00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:48,600
Speaker 1: Money coming in on the Dolphins. I'm sorry the Uh yeah,

596
00:33:48,640 --> 00:33:53,040
Speaker 1: both the money and the UM tickets are coming in

597
00:33:53,200 --> 00:33:55,880
Speaker 1: on the Dolphins. I mean, you're not why why is

598
00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:58,160
Speaker 1: the line moving? They're coming in on the Raiders. We

599
00:33:58,200 --> 00:34:00,680
Speaker 1: have we have money coming in on the Raiders. That's

600
00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:02,840
Speaker 1: what I thought. Yeah, I'm looking at this around. You

601
00:34:02,840 --> 00:34:04,360
Speaker 1: have money coming in the Raiders. That's why the line

602
00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:07,240
Speaker 1: has moved. That's why I was confessed. Yeah, so we've

603
00:34:07,360 --> 00:34:12,520
Speaker 1: we why they think it's surprised. This one surprises me too.

604
00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:15,840
Speaker 1: I said, we have the Dolphins, you know, ranked pretty high.

605
00:34:16,120 --> 00:34:19,120
Speaker 1: Uh at last week, you know, looking at that line

606
00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:21,560
Speaker 1: against the Jets, we knew that that line was wrong.

607
00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:24,279
Speaker 1: Looking at this one, I felt like this line was right.

608
00:34:24,520 --> 00:34:27,960
Speaker 1: I I fought three and a half on the UM.

609
00:34:28,160 --> 00:34:30,120
Speaker 1: Three and a half on the Dolphins was the right number.

610
00:34:30,160 --> 00:34:34,040
Speaker 1: The professional betters, though, feel otherwise they just came in

611
00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:39,000
Speaker 1: they just hammered the Raiders. Uh, down to down to three. Um,

612
00:34:39,680 --> 00:34:43,520
Speaker 1: the public is still on the Raiders at probably about

613
00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:46,879
Speaker 1: a one and a half to one ratio. Not overwhelming,

614
00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:51,560
Speaker 1: but uh, it's nothing. Nothing I saw in both Raiders games,

615
00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:54,200
Speaker 1: Uh would would make me want to, uh, you know,

616
00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:57,719
Speaker 1: adjust them to where I would want to bet them

617
00:34:57,719 --> 00:35:01,000
Speaker 1: over the Dolphins in this one. So, UM, I think

618
00:35:01,040 --> 00:35:04,759
Speaker 1: we're okay needing the Dolphins. I don't understand this, Like,

619
00:35:05,239 --> 00:35:08,120
Speaker 1: the Raiders are terrible. The Raiders are giving up six

620
00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:12,080
Speaker 1: yards per play on defense. What could they possibly be

621
00:35:12,200 --> 00:35:15,600
Speaker 1: seeing that makes them think that the Raiders are the

622
00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:17,839
Speaker 1: right side in that game? The Dolphins are giving up

623
00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:21,000
Speaker 1: five point four yards to play on defense, like they're

624
00:35:21,000 --> 00:35:24,000
Speaker 1: a better team all the way around. Yeah, I mean

625
00:35:24,040 --> 00:35:27,520
Speaker 1: the Raiders played. It's funny. They look like they played

626
00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:31,319
Speaker 1: two games where they played the first half and they

627
00:35:31,360 --> 00:35:34,120
Speaker 1: looked actually pretty good in both first halfs and they

628
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:36,960
Speaker 1: looked horrible in both games in both second halves. So

629
00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:40,040
Speaker 1: maybe it's a matter of adjustments, or maybe it's a

630
00:35:40,040 --> 00:35:43,680
Speaker 1: matter of groot and not making adjustments at halftime. But

631
00:35:43,680 --> 00:35:46,279
Speaker 1: but two weeks in a row, Uh, they look like

632
00:35:46,320 --> 00:35:48,439
Speaker 1: two different teams in the first half and second half.

633
00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:53,719
Speaker 1: It's weird. Man, I'm walking away from that game. It's

634
00:35:53,760 --> 00:35:56,640
Speaker 1: not about that game then doesn't pass the sniff test,

635
00:35:56,719 --> 00:35:58,920
Speaker 1: you know what I'm saying. I'd have to take the

636
00:35:58,960 --> 00:36:01,279
Speaker 1: Dolphins in that one. If you made me, if you

637
00:36:01,360 --> 00:36:03,360
Speaker 1: made me bet that one, well at the end of

638
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:04,960
Speaker 1: the show, I do make you bet, so we'll see

639
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:08,479
Speaker 1: what happens. I was teeing it up. Yeah, New York

640
00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:11,279
Speaker 1: Giants Houston Texans. Is it possible for neither team to

641
00:36:11,320 --> 00:36:15,600
Speaker 1: cover in this game? Because uh, the numbers moved to

642
00:36:15,600 --> 00:36:19,120
Speaker 1: to to Texans minus six. It opened at three. UM.

643
00:36:19,280 --> 00:36:21,239
Speaker 1: I have been on both of these teams the first

644
00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:25,080
Speaker 1: two weeks and been burned both weeks. I obviously have

645
00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:27,680
Speaker 1: the Giants in one super Bowl pool. I have a

646
00:36:27,760 --> 00:36:31,200
Speaker 1: futures ticket on the Texans for the Super Bowl. UM.

647
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:34,000
Speaker 1: I don't know what to do. I don't know what

648
00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:37,960
Speaker 1: to do. Like the Giants were, we were really really

649
00:36:38,040 --> 00:36:41,240
Speaker 1: high on this team going going into the season, and

650
00:36:41,280 --> 00:36:43,520
Speaker 1: we gave them a pass on the first week loss

651
00:36:43,560 --> 00:36:46,960
Speaker 1: against Jacksonville because we know Jacksonville really is a good team,

652
00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:49,400
Speaker 1: and so that loss didn't look as bad. The Giants

653
00:36:49,600 --> 00:36:52,120
Speaker 1: had a couple of chances to to actually win that game.

654
00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:55,960
Speaker 1: So it wasn't a terrible loss against Jacksonville, but to

655
00:36:56,120 --> 00:36:59,120
Speaker 1: follow it up with just laying just an egg against

656
00:36:59,160 --> 00:37:03,160
Speaker 1: the cow Boys, they just looked Actually, both teams didn't

657
00:37:03,160 --> 00:37:06,080
Speaker 1: look look really sharp, but but the Giants did not

658
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:08,319
Speaker 1: look good at all. We we were forced to just

659
00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:12,520
Speaker 1: make the adjustment on them, uh reluctantly, because we were

660
00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:14,600
Speaker 1: really high on them going into the season, as we're

661
00:37:14,600 --> 00:37:17,520
Speaker 1: a lot of people. But uh, again, here's maybe a

662
00:37:17,520 --> 00:37:19,839
Speaker 1: team that needs just a few more games under their

663
00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:22,120
Speaker 1: belt to to start jelling as a team, you know,

664
00:37:22,200 --> 00:37:27,279
Speaker 1: working with a new coaching staff, new offense, new new schemes. Uh,

665
00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:29,879
Speaker 1: maybe it just takes a few few games. But uh,

666
00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:32,440
Speaker 1: the public doesn't have the patience for that. So uh,

667
00:37:32,840 --> 00:37:35,480
Speaker 1: this this will be one of the games very few

668
00:37:35,480 --> 00:37:37,400
Speaker 1: people bet on. It's one of the least bet games

669
00:37:37,400 --> 00:37:40,160
Speaker 1: on the board right now. Expectations were too high for

670
00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:43,359
Speaker 1: both of these teams, and now people who bet them,

671
00:37:43,360 --> 00:37:47,719
Speaker 1: such as I, are reaping what they sewed. Yeah, there

672
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:49,839
Speaker 1: was a big move. There was a big move on

673
00:37:50,080 --> 00:37:53,839
Speaker 1: the Texans last week right before game time. Um, this

674
00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:57,400
Speaker 1: big better from the from the Midwest that that comes

675
00:37:57,440 --> 00:38:00,400
Speaker 1: out four or five times a year and bread some

676
00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:04,600
Speaker 1: money around a lot of the big properties. Uh. He

677
00:38:04,719 --> 00:38:07,560
Speaker 1: came in on the Houston Texans right before game time

678
00:38:07,560 --> 00:38:11,160
Speaker 1: against Tennessee and drove that line up to up to

679
00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:14,759
Speaker 1: three and uh. But but outside of that, I just

680
00:38:14,800 --> 00:38:16,680
Speaker 1: wanted to bring that up because it was kind of

681
00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:19,440
Speaker 1: odd that, uh, somebody would like the Texans as as

682
00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:25,839
Speaker 1: much as as much as that syndicate. No, no, no,

683
00:38:26,239 --> 00:38:28,799
Speaker 1: he's kind of a well known, well known better that

684
00:38:28,840 --> 00:38:33,520
Speaker 1: comes in and uh, BET's really big, but he's he's

685
00:38:33,560 --> 00:38:36,400
Speaker 1: not a professional better, but his plays are pretty sharp.

686
00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:38,960
Speaker 1: You know. He wins more often than he loses, and

687
00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:42,759
Speaker 1: he does it sporadically. So when when this money came in,

688
00:38:42,800 --> 00:38:45,960
Speaker 1: the line moved, it just jumped and uh and it

689
00:38:46,160 --> 00:38:48,759
Speaker 1: unfortunately for him it lost, and fortunately for the lot

690
00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:50,879
Speaker 1: of a lot of the books, it won. How much

691
00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:55,840
Speaker 1: would I have to bet to move a line me personally?

692
00:38:56,239 --> 00:38:58,560
Speaker 1: What would you have to bet? How much? You know?

693
00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:00,680
Speaker 1: How much money? You know? What I know? You know?

694
00:39:00,719 --> 00:39:03,120
Speaker 1: I don't know anybody, you know, I barely know anything.

695
00:39:03,800 --> 00:39:09,359
Speaker 1: Um so, but yet I tend to win more than

696
00:39:09,400 --> 00:39:11,880
Speaker 1: I lose, and I tend to know the markets, and

697
00:39:11,920 --> 00:39:14,440
Speaker 1: I tend to have a pretty good read on what

698
00:39:14,600 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 1: the best of the line is and where the opportunities

699
00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:20,239
Speaker 1: might be. So how much do I have to bet

700
00:39:20,280 --> 00:39:25,279
Speaker 1: to move the line? Anything less than twenty? Unless it's

701
00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:29,040
Speaker 1: I wouldn't move it on less than twenty, I would

702
00:39:29,080 --> 00:39:31,799
Speaker 1: have to bet more than That's how little respect you

703
00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:35,960
Speaker 1: have for me? Bet more than twenty dollars on the

704
00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:38,160
Speaker 1: NFL if you bet a total, if you bet, if

705
00:39:38,160 --> 00:39:40,120
Speaker 1: you if you bet a couple of thousand on a total,

706
00:39:40,160 --> 00:39:45,440
Speaker 1: I'd move it. What is what is the least amount

707
00:39:45,600 --> 00:39:49,480
Speaker 1: someone needs to bet? Who is really sharp? Like the

708
00:39:49,560 --> 00:39:52,680
Speaker 1: sharpest guy you know comes in, Yeah, I moved on

709
00:39:52,719 --> 00:39:55,600
Speaker 1: a thousand dollars. You moved on a thousand dollars. Yeah.

710
00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:58,000
Speaker 1: I mean when when there's certain people that I do

711
00:39:58,080 --> 00:40:02,120
Speaker 1: know that when they bet, I move it, regardless of

712
00:40:02,200 --> 00:40:04,760
Speaker 1: I mean when they bet, if they just bet a thousand,

713
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:06,440
Speaker 1: I move it. I'm not going to be one of

714
00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:10,600
Speaker 1: those people unless you're betting for someone else. I don't know,

715
00:40:13,400 --> 00:40:15,200
Speaker 1: you know, I saw. I take that back. Here here's

716
00:40:15,200 --> 00:40:18,719
Speaker 1: the deal. If there's if if we're the only let's

717
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:20,359
Speaker 1: say we're at five and a half on a game,

718
00:40:20,440 --> 00:40:22,400
Speaker 1: and everyone in town is at four and a half

719
00:40:22,960 --> 00:40:26,440
Speaker 1: and you come in and you bet six thousand dollars

720
00:40:26,440 --> 00:40:29,440
Speaker 1: at plus five and a half, I'd move it. But

721
00:40:30,120 --> 00:40:32,879
Speaker 1: if everybody was at three on a game and we

722
00:40:32,880 --> 00:40:36,360
Speaker 1: were at three and you laid minus three for ten thousand,

723
00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:43,319
Speaker 1: I wouldn't move it. I don't want your charity. Okay.

724
00:40:44,200 --> 00:40:46,200
Speaker 1: The way you said it was like, here's the way

725
00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:48,840
Speaker 1: you said it was like, here's what I'm gonna do.

726
00:40:48,920 --> 00:40:52,040
Speaker 1: Here's what I mean, here's what I'm gonna do for you.

727
00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:56,719
Speaker 1: Here's here's the offer I'm going to give you. If

728
00:40:56,880 --> 00:41:00,000
Speaker 1: you want to put six times down in a game

729
00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:02,880
Speaker 1: game when our number is way off, I'll move the

730
00:41:02,960 --> 00:41:06,799
Speaker 1: number for you. I would do that basically what you

731
00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:09,400
Speaker 1: just said to me, You patmian Head, you patam and

732
00:41:09,480 --> 00:41:12,200
Speaker 1: they had You're like you're cute. Let's move on, all right.

733
00:41:12,880 --> 00:41:16,759
Speaker 1: Washington Redskins are currently three point three point underdogs at

734
00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:20,680
Speaker 1: home against the Packers. I don't know, ma'am, I don't know.

735
00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:24,040
Speaker 1: This feels like I might have to side with the

736
00:41:24,040 --> 00:41:27,120
Speaker 1: Redskins on this. They are creeping into that. Too much money,

737
00:41:27,160 --> 00:41:31,560
Speaker 1: too many tickets, too many publics on the Packers on

738
00:41:31,680 --> 00:41:35,000
Speaker 1: a road favorite. Yeah, and and the public is so

739
00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:38,320
Speaker 1: fickle because the public just loves the packers, loves the packers,

740
00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:41,239
Speaker 1: and until the packers, you know, disappoint him a couple

741
00:41:41,239 --> 00:41:43,839
Speaker 1: of times, and then all of a sudden, they don't

742
00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:47,800
Speaker 1: love the Packers anymore, and now they love the Redskins. Uh.

743
00:41:48,520 --> 00:41:51,000
Speaker 1: The sharp guys were on this one. We opened three

744
00:41:51,040 --> 00:41:55,799
Speaker 1: flat and they took plus three um blade minus one

745
00:41:55,880 --> 00:41:59,960
Speaker 1: ten for substantial amount. We moved it to minus three

746
00:42:00,160 --> 00:42:03,320
Speaker 1: even money and uh so, but the ticket account is

747
00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:08,279
Speaker 1: about five to one Packers to Redskins, so still still

748
00:42:08,440 --> 00:42:11,120
Speaker 1: a larger ticket account, but the big money is on

749
00:42:11,160 --> 00:42:14,040
Speaker 1: the Redskins. So just like the sharp guy you are,

750
00:42:14,120 --> 00:42:17,480
Speaker 1: you're right with them on this one. I'm gonna put

751
00:42:18,360 --> 00:42:25,000
Speaker 1: on the Redskins and then I'll move it. You'll move

752
00:42:25,040 --> 00:42:30,160
Speaker 1: it to to place two and a half. Yeah, yeah, um,

753
00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:33,839
Speaker 1: all right? Uh what did I want to say? Oh?

754
00:42:33,960 --> 00:42:36,880
Speaker 1: The charges in the Rams. Yeah, this is actually the

755
00:42:36,880 --> 00:42:39,680
Speaker 1: most interesting game on the board. We have more money

756
00:42:39,840 --> 00:42:43,040
Speaker 1: on this game than any other game, and most of

757
00:42:43,040 --> 00:42:46,000
Speaker 1: it's most of its wise guy money. Two different camps

758
00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:50,200
Speaker 1: of of of people that were betting the Rams early

759
00:42:50,280 --> 00:42:54,480
Speaker 1: on Sunday night, and then the the chart the Chargers

760
00:42:54,920 --> 00:43:00,239
Speaker 1: early on Monday morning. And the odd thing about this that,

761
00:43:00,440 --> 00:43:03,959
Speaker 1: you know, the one question mark here is is Todd Gurley. Uh,

762
00:43:04,000 --> 00:43:07,319
Speaker 1: and he's still uh, he's still listed as as questionable.

763
00:43:08,160 --> 00:43:12,720
Speaker 1: But the money on the Rams came in when Gurley

764
00:43:12,800 --> 00:43:16,800
Speaker 1: was listed as questionable, and then when he was upgraded

765
00:43:16,880 --> 00:43:19,960
Speaker 1: to probable, that's when the Chargers money came in. So

766
00:43:20,120 --> 00:43:23,160
Speaker 1: just the opposite of what you would imagine. But uh,

767
00:43:23,680 --> 00:43:27,960
Speaker 1: just heavily bet game. Um. We've been at minus seven

768
00:43:28,200 --> 00:43:31,080
Speaker 1: most of the time, although we did take a few

769
00:43:31,120 --> 00:43:35,720
Speaker 1: bets at uh, um minus six and a half, just briefly,

770
00:43:35,760 --> 00:43:38,800
Speaker 1: but most of the bets rep minus seven and plus seven.

771
00:43:39,920 --> 00:43:44,319
Speaker 1: Why do you it's interesting that they're on both sides. Yeah. Now,

772
00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:46,759
Speaker 1: the public obviously is just all one way on this one.

773
00:43:46,800 --> 00:43:48,920
Speaker 1: The Rams at this I mean, we're gonna end up

774
00:43:49,200 --> 00:43:51,479
Speaker 1: needing the charges on this one. But I'm just trying

775
00:43:51,480 --> 00:43:55,360
Speaker 1: to trying to figure out who the people on the

776
00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:58,879
Speaker 1: Chargers were on this one that uh, you know, maybe

777
00:43:58,920 --> 00:44:00,920
Speaker 1: they just felt that when we were at seven, there

778
00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:02,400
Speaker 1: was a few six and a halfs and they were

779
00:44:02,440 --> 00:44:06,080
Speaker 1: shopping for a number. Um. But by game day, Um,

780
00:44:06,239 --> 00:44:08,959
Speaker 1: I mean, you're guaranteed to get at least a plus seven,

781
00:44:09,000 --> 00:44:13,640
Speaker 1: if not higher. Well, I know who it is. Who's that?

782
00:44:14,160 --> 00:44:20,840
Speaker 1: I can't tell you? Oh all right, the Chicago Bears

783
00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:24,080
Speaker 1: five point favorites over the Arizona Cardinals. This game has

784
00:44:24,120 --> 00:44:26,520
Speaker 1: already moved up to It opened at five, now it's

785
00:44:26,560 --> 00:44:30,080
Speaker 1: at six. A lot of money coming in on the Bears. Um,

786
00:44:30,840 --> 00:44:35,320
Speaker 1: a lot of tickets coming in. Money is about even. Yeah, yeah,

787
00:44:35,360 --> 00:44:37,880
Speaker 1: this is one of the games. I wouldn't be surprised

788
00:44:37,920 --> 00:44:40,640
Speaker 1: if if Arizona kept this one close. I mean there,

789
00:44:40,880 --> 00:44:46,359
Speaker 1: they obviously looked horrible last week. Uh, but they're at home.

790
00:44:46,600 --> 00:44:49,080
Speaker 1: The Bears are on a on a short week, they're

791
00:44:49,160 --> 00:44:53,440
Speaker 1: laying six points on the road. Um. The Bears were

792
00:44:53,480 --> 00:44:57,000
Speaker 1: another team that were made a big adjustment, uh from

793
00:44:57,040 --> 00:44:58,959
Speaker 1: the beginning of the year. But that was mainly because

794
00:44:59,000 --> 00:45:01,640
Speaker 1: of the Khalil Mactree. So he was a difference maker

795
00:45:01,680 --> 00:45:06,600
Speaker 1: there obviously. But but this line is really a lot

796
00:45:06,680 --> 00:45:08,399
Speaker 1: higher than it would have been a couple of weeks ago.

797
00:45:08,920 --> 00:45:11,280
Speaker 1: So if there's any value at all, it's in the Cardinals.

798
00:45:11,320 --> 00:45:13,440
Speaker 1: But you've got to have a lot of intestinal fortitude

799
00:45:13,440 --> 00:45:18,120
Speaker 1: to put your money up on them. Seriously, Like, this

800
00:45:18,160 --> 00:45:20,120
Speaker 1: is a spot where of course I would bet the Bears.

801
00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:22,600
Speaker 1: I mean I bet bet the packer a bit that

802
00:45:23,280 --> 00:45:25,479
Speaker 1: bet the car bet the Packers in this one. Yeah,

803
00:45:25,520 --> 00:45:28,120
Speaker 1: I definitely bet. That's how sharp I am. Screwched and

804
00:45:28,160 --> 00:45:30,080
Speaker 1: you would you would let me lay, You would let

805
00:45:30,080 --> 00:45:33,280
Speaker 1: me put them on this and not move the line.

806
00:45:34,040 --> 00:45:39,160
Speaker 1: Scooch give forty four please, you know that's what I

807
00:45:39,200 --> 00:45:43,480
Speaker 1: would say. Um the uh, it's gonna be one of

808
00:45:43,480 --> 00:45:45,719
Speaker 1: tho scenarios. You're gonna get into the right You're gonna

809
00:45:45,760 --> 00:45:48,680
Speaker 1: have a huge road favorite getting eight percent of the action,

810
00:45:49,160 --> 00:45:51,440
Speaker 1: and the Cardinals are going to be the right side

811
00:45:51,800 --> 00:45:54,120
Speaker 1: and I'm not going to be able to do it. Yeah,

812
00:45:54,200 --> 00:45:56,440
Speaker 1: it's it's it's it's the right side to do it.

813
00:45:56,520 --> 00:45:59,239
Speaker 1: And that's why. And that's a difference when you talk

814
00:45:59,280 --> 00:46:02,759
Speaker 1: about the distinction between professional betters and just kind of

815
00:46:02,960 --> 00:46:06,920
Speaker 1: amateur recreational betters. Professional betters don't blink an eye when

816
00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:09,000
Speaker 1: they get to a situation like this. If the number

817
00:46:09,040 --> 00:46:11,400
Speaker 1: says to bet it, they bet it. They don't. Sometimes

818
00:46:11,400 --> 00:46:13,560
Speaker 1: they don't even watch it. They don't bat an eye

819
00:46:14,040 --> 00:46:16,440
Speaker 1: and uh. But you know, the people who kind of

820
00:46:16,480 --> 00:46:19,000
Speaker 1: watch want to watch a game and and have some

821
00:46:19,040 --> 00:46:21,680
Speaker 1: action on it. That's tough for them to bet make

822
00:46:21,719 --> 00:46:25,359
Speaker 1: that kind of wager. Well, now I feel like you're

823
00:46:25,440 --> 00:46:27,520
Speaker 1: challenging me and saying, if you were a professional, if

824
00:46:27,560 --> 00:46:32,800
Speaker 1: you had yeah, if you had the stones yeah. Uh huh,

825
00:46:32,800 --> 00:46:35,960
Speaker 1: well maybe I will scooch you, maybe I will yeah

826
00:46:36,000 --> 00:46:41,080
Speaker 1: maybe Seattle and Dallas, boy, it's uh what is it

827
00:46:41,120 --> 00:46:44,960
Speaker 1: like at one point game right now? Yep? And hardly

828
00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:48,080
Speaker 1: any money either side on this one. Uh the ticket

829
00:46:48,080 --> 00:46:51,680
Speaker 1: account is dead even, I mean dead even. Uh so

830
00:46:51,760 --> 00:46:55,360
Speaker 1: that the betting public is divided in half. And uh

831
00:46:55,719 --> 00:47:00,279
Speaker 1: not much I mean to too disappointing teams to teams that. Um,

832
00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:03,040
Speaker 1: I wouldn't say people were expecting a whole lot from

833
00:47:03,040 --> 00:47:05,440
Speaker 1: this year, but they were certainly expecting a lot more

834
00:47:05,440 --> 00:47:08,919
Speaker 1: than they got from first two games from from both teams. Uh,

835
00:47:09,360 --> 00:47:13,680
Speaker 1: Dallas got to win, Uh you know, looked okay but

836
00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:18,080
Speaker 1: not great. Um. Seattle on the other hand, Uh, this

837
00:47:18,160 --> 00:47:22,040
Speaker 1: is a rebuilding year. I mean they've got three guys

838
00:47:22,719 --> 00:47:24,520
Speaker 1: on that team that were part of the Super Bowl

839
00:47:24,560 --> 00:47:26,719
Speaker 1: team just a few years ago. That's it on that

840
00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:30,520
Speaker 1: on that whole team. So, um, they're they're rebuilding and

841
00:47:30,840 --> 00:47:34,200
Speaker 1: uh you know, there there wasn't a whole lot to

842
00:47:34,719 --> 00:47:38,480
Speaker 1: take from from Monday Nights game. That's really encouraging with him.

843
00:47:38,520 --> 00:47:41,040
Speaker 1: Here's what's interesting. If you had told me two years

844
00:47:41,080 --> 00:47:44,360
Speaker 1: ago that the Cowboys and the Seahawks, no joke, they

845
00:47:44,360 --> 00:47:46,439
Speaker 1: are the least bed game on the board right now

846
00:47:47,160 --> 00:47:52,600
Speaker 1: by several thousand bets, Like every game has four to

847
00:47:52,840 --> 00:47:57,279
Speaker 1: five times more bets than this game does. And that's

848
00:47:57,320 --> 00:48:01,839
Speaker 1: astonishing to me, it really is. I mean, how how

849
00:48:02,160 --> 00:48:05,640
Speaker 1: different teams kind of go through cycles. You know during

850
00:48:05,640 --> 00:48:07,719
Speaker 1: that same time period. If you said the Charges in

851
00:48:07,760 --> 00:48:11,000
Speaker 1: the Rams were the most heavily back game, uh, they

852
00:48:11,000 --> 00:48:13,239
Speaker 1: would have been equally as surprised as you saying the

853
00:48:13,280 --> 00:48:16,560
Speaker 1: Cowboys and Seahawks was the least back game. So uh,

854
00:48:16,640 --> 00:48:19,279
Speaker 1: that's just hoew the difference a couple of years makes

855
00:48:19,320 --> 00:48:23,560
Speaker 1: and a few personnel changes. Um, but I mean having

856
00:48:23,560 --> 00:48:26,080
Speaker 1: said that, I mean it's still one of the profile

857
00:48:26,160 --> 00:48:28,960
Speaker 1: games that the afternoon games. There's only three games, so

858
00:48:29,400 --> 00:48:31,680
Speaker 1: they may get more attention than if it was stuck

859
00:48:31,680 --> 00:48:34,360
Speaker 1: in there with nine other games in the morning show.

860
00:48:35,000 --> 00:48:38,200
Speaker 1: But um uh right, and right now, just not a

861
00:48:38,200 --> 00:48:41,839
Speaker 1: whole lot of action. That's life in the NFL. As

862
00:48:41,840 --> 00:48:45,839
Speaker 1: they say, Scooge Yep, another one. I mean the New

863
00:48:45,880 --> 00:48:49,600
Speaker 1: England Patriots getting eighty eight percent of the action, eighty

864
00:48:49,680 --> 00:48:51,600
Speaker 1: nine percent of the money. They are six and a

865
00:48:51,640 --> 00:48:54,440
Speaker 1: half point favorites on the lines, which means, uh, that

866
00:48:54,480 --> 00:48:56,480
Speaker 1: line open at seven. So the wise guys have come

867
00:48:56,520 --> 00:49:03,439
Speaker 1: in on Detroit. Um, what do you tell me? Yeah,

868
00:49:03,480 --> 00:49:05,680
Speaker 1: I want to keep this high. I mean it's a

869
00:49:05,840 --> 00:49:09,799
Speaker 1: it's the Sunday night game. So the the amount of

870
00:49:09,800 --> 00:49:11,840
Speaker 1: action we're gonna get it is gonna be double triple

871
00:49:12,360 --> 00:49:14,440
Speaker 1: what we get on the other games. The liability is

872
00:49:14,440 --> 00:49:19,480
Speaker 1: gonna be big. You mentioned it's Patriots. I wouldn't mind

873
00:49:19,480 --> 00:49:22,000
Speaker 1: taking some more Lions money. I just don't want to

874
00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:24,759
Speaker 1: be I was hoping to get more at plus six

875
00:49:24,760 --> 00:49:25,960
Speaker 1: and a half. I don't want to have to go

876
00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:30,279
Speaker 1: to seven every time I want Lions money. UM. But uh,

877
00:49:31,200 --> 00:49:33,080
Speaker 1: it looks like that's going to be the case. Uh,

878
00:49:33,400 --> 00:49:35,399
Speaker 1: every time we want some more Lions money, we may

879
00:49:35,719 --> 00:49:39,719
Speaker 1: have to just jump back and forth to to seven. Um.

880
00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:44,160
Speaker 1: But the public doesn't want any part of the Lions.

881
00:49:44,480 --> 00:49:48,719
Speaker 1: And even though the Patriots uh lost last week, you

882
00:49:48,800 --> 00:49:50,800
Speaker 1: know that they're going to be coming in on them

883
00:49:50,840 --> 00:49:56,000
Speaker 1: this week. Geez, Louise, I'm trying to be a professional

884
00:49:56,040 --> 00:50:00,520
Speaker 1: here and take the Lions. I mean, this is another game. Yeah,

885
00:50:00,560 --> 00:50:02,360
Speaker 1: it's it's another game. If you're getting six and a

886
00:50:02,400 --> 00:50:05,359
Speaker 1: half points at home, Um, you're supposed to just take

887
00:50:05,360 --> 00:50:10,840
Speaker 1: it automatically. I mean yeah, yeah, you just can't watch

888
00:50:10,840 --> 00:50:14,160
Speaker 1: it though, No, I gotta hold your nose. And how

889
00:50:14,160 --> 00:50:16,160
Speaker 1: many times are you talking about how many times the

890
00:50:16,400 --> 00:50:19,080
Speaker 1: Patriots have have beaten you when you bet against him?

891
00:50:19,120 --> 00:50:21,520
Speaker 1: But how many times are the Patriots lost two in

892
00:50:21,560 --> 00:50:24,880
Speaker 1: a row? Um? You know at some point, you know,

893
00:50:24,960 --> 00:50:27,080
Speaker 1: the Brady is getting a lot older, so you can't

894
00:50:27,200 --> 00:50:30,000
Speaker 1: kind of compare them to the Brady of yesteryears. But

895
00:50:30,239 --> 00:50:34,839
Speaker 1: uh uh, coming off of a loss. You hate betting

896
00:50:34,840 --> 00:50:43,000
Speaker 1: against the Patriots, right, hate it? This is a great one.

897
00:50:43,239 --> 00:50:45,080
Speaker 1: This is the This is how you end the podcast.

898
00:50:45,800 --> 00:50:49,479
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers minus two at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers open

899
00:50:49,560 --> 00:50:52,080
Speaker 1: to two. Now it's a one and a half. Money's

900
00:50:52,080 --> 00:50:55,640
Speaker 1: coming in and the steaming in on the box? Steamen,

901
00:50:56,680 --> 00:51:03,000
Speaker 1: Yeah Steamen really beamon So yeah, how much of you?

902
00:51:03,239 --> 00:51:05,280
Speaker 1: How much have you changed the rating on the Bucks?

903
00:51:06,320 --> 00:51:10,160
Speaker 1: They leap frogged eight teams, uh from where we had

904
00:51:10,200 --> 00:51:15,200
Speaker 1: on the power rankings? Yeah, yeah, um, and they're right there.

905
00:51:15,239 --> 00:51:18,960
Speaker 1: I mean there it was a huge difference. I mean

906
00:51:19,239 --> 00:51:22,080
Speaker 1: just with the rating we had at the beginning of

907
00:51:22,080 --> 00:51:25,120
Speaker 1: the year. We had two ratings, one with Winston and

908
00:51:25,160 --> 00:51:28,719
Speaker 1: one with UH Fitzpatrick, and the rating with Fitzpatrick was

909
00:51:29,040 --> 00:51:31,920
Speaker 1: was lower than with Jamis Winston. So we had to

910
00:51:31,960 --> 00:51:36,279
Speaker 1: make some quick adjustments, UM and UH. And now they're

911
00:51:37,160 --> 00:51:39,920
Speaker 1: higher with than if Jamie Winston were to come back

912
00:51:40,600 --> 00:51:43,040
Speaker 1: next week, the line would actually be lower than with

913
00:51:43,239 --> 00:51:49,040
Speaker 1: him out. So UM, it's uh, yeah, we've made some

914
00:51:49,120 --> 00:51:51,600
Speaker 1: We've made some big adjustments. And then on the other side,

915
00:51:51,600 --> 00:51:55,320
Speaker 1: we had to make some adjustment on the Steelers after

916
00:51:55,600 --> 00:51:58,759
Speaker 1: after last week, not a big adjustment, so I won't

917
00:51:58,760 --> 00:52:02,279
Speaker 1: say even though the Steelers UH didn't play well for

918
00:52:02,320 --> 00:52:05,000
Speaker 1: the last two weeks, last week wasn't as big of

919
00:52:05,000 --> 00:52:07,839
Speaker 1: a surprise as Week one. Week one was the week

920
00:52:07,840 --> 00:52:12,080
Speaker 1: where we felt that they uh really just didn't play well. UM.

921
00:52:12,239 --> 00:52:14,280
Speaker 1: Last week we just felt they were going up against

922
00:52:14,400 --> 00:52:16,600
Speaker 1: a good team in the Chief, so we didn't adjust

923
00:52:16,640 --> 00:52:19,640
Speaker 1: them that much. So all the adjustment came on the Buccaneers.

924
00:52:19,640 --> 00:52:22,839
Speaker 1: But this line was gonna be four and a half

925
00:52:22,880 --> 00:52:25,520
Speaker 1: to five and a half UH if you made the

926
00:52:25,560 --> 00:52:29,600
Speaker 1: line two weeks ago, so we thought opening three, we

927
00:52:29,719 --> 00:52:31,279
Speaker 1: knew that all the money was going to come in

928
00:52:31,280 --> 00:52:34,240
Speaker 1: on the Buccaneers from the public. UH just didn't realize

929
00:52:34,239 --> 00:52:37,000
Speaker 1: just how much though, So it wasn't a big surprise.

930
00:52:37,719 --> 00:52:41,759
Speaker 1: We we opened UH three plus a nickel, which means

931
00:52:41,760 --> 00:52:44,920
Speaker 1: we wanted somebody that was betting the Buccaneers to lay

932
00:52:44,960 --> 00:52:48,279
Speaker 1: minus one if they were taking the three points, which

933
00:52:48,320 --> 00:52:50,520
Speaker 1: they did, went down to two and a half, and

934
00:52:50,560 --> 00:52:52,399
Speaker 1: then quickly moved from two and a half to one

935
00:52:52,400 --> 00:52:55,680
Speaker 1: and a half, and now we're at one. And right now,

936
00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:58,600
Speaker 1: when you're in that nebulous area of plus one one

937
00:52:58,640 --> 00:53:02,160
Speaker 1: side or the other side, we can move. You know,

938
00:53:02,360 --> 00:53:05,000
Speaker 1: I can move the Steelers minus one to the Buccaneers

939
00:53:05,040 --> 00:53:08,319
Speaker 1: minus one in one bet. We may skip the pickum move.

940
00:53:08,400 --> 00:53:11,799
Speaker 1: We don't have to move in one point increments. So

941
00:53:12,160 --> 00:53:14,239
Speaker 1: this is an area where you may see a lot

942
00:53:14,280 --> 00:53:17,160
Speaker 1: of line movement. And I wouldn't be surprised if you

943
00:53:17,280 --> 00:53:22,200
Speaker 1: if the Buccaneers end up a small favorite. If I

944
00:53:22,239 --> 00:53:24,680
Speaker 1: came in and bet twenty dollars in this game on

945
00:53:25,760 --> 00:53:29,480
Speaker 1: the Steelers, would you move on the box? Would you

946
00:53:29,520 --> 00:53:35,640
Speaker 1: move them to minus two? I wouldn't move to minus two.

947
00:53:35,800 --> 00:53:37,279
Speaker 1: Right now, the bucks are plus one, so have you

948
00:53:37,320 --> 00:53:39,759
Speaker 1: bet twenty thousand on them? I'd move them probably to

949
00:53:39,840 --> 00:53:45,200
Speaker 1: minus one. What if I bet a hundred thousand, I

950
00:53:45,320 --> 00:53:50,399
Speaker 1: just don't move it to minus one two. I can't

951
00:53:50,400 --> 00:53:53,040
Speaker 1: move it to minus two because then if somebody, if

952
00:53:53,120 --> 00:53:55,400
Speaker 1: if somebody bets the other side for a hundred thousand,

953
00:53:55,440 --> 00:53:58,720
Speaker 1: and then it falls Buccaneers minus win by one point,

954
00:53:58,760 --> 00:54:01,680
Speaker 1: we lose everything. So no, do you know it's not

955
00:54:01,960 --> 00:54:06,799
Speaker 1: it's gonna bet the other side. Well again, that's probably

956
00:54:06,840 --> 00:54:08,799
Speaker 1: why I wouldn't move it, because it would be a

957
00:54:08,800 --> 00:54:10,840
Speaker 1: good move for you to bet the other side. You

958
00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:14,319
Speaker 1: only lose ten thousand, and you have a shot to

959
00:54:14,320 --> 00:54:23,680
Speaker 1: win both more more. I'd have to shot to win more. Exactly.

960
00:54:26,280 --> 00:54:28,360
Speaker 1: I would like a line of credit at the Orleans

961
00:54:28,400 --> 00:54:33,879
Speaker 1: for five dollars? Please can you facilitate that? I can

962
00:54:33,960 --> 00:54:36,640
Speaker 1: lead you to the credit department and then they can

963
00:54:36,680 --> 00:54:40,760
Speaker 1: facilitate it. They're gonna have to check your background and uh,

964
00:54:41,000 --> 00:54:43,759
Speaker 1: look at some they need some collateral. You need something

965
00:54:43,760 --> 00:54:46,520
Speaker 1: to put up. Don't they know who I am? Don't

966
00:54:46,520 --> 00:54:51,040
Speaker 1: they listen to the podcast? What is there? I slapped down?

967
00:54:51,400 --> 00:54:55,640
Speaker 1: I would slap down and iPhone and say you want

968
00:54:55,680 --> 00:54:58,920
Speaker 1: to do a background check, listen to this and that's it.

969
00:54:59,200 --> 00:55:03,000
Speaker 1: That's what I would do. Wow, that works. And they

970
00:55:03,000 --> 00:55:05,960
Speaker 1: would say, they would say how much money can we

971
00:55:06,000 --> 00:55:12,560
Speaker 1: give you? Mr? Milman? Yeah, they would just open up

972
00:55:12,600 --> 00:55:16,040
Speaker 1: the vault. Are you disgusted with me? Do you want

973
00:55:16,040 --> 00:55:18,120
Speaker 1: to say something? Now? I can possibly get you fired?

974
00:55:19,880 --> 00:55:22,960
Speaker 1: All right? Scared? Guess what time it is? Scooch Roulette.

975
00:55:29,000 --> 00:55:41,440
Speaker 1: No one's gonna like this one. But the Steelers. Oh wow, yeah, wow,

976
00:55:43,719 --> 00:55:48,239
Speaker 1: Steelers over the Steelers I have If I'm saying I

977
00:55:48,280 --> 00:55:50,440
Speaker 1: made him like three and a half and it was

978
00:55:50,480 --> 00:55:53,640
Speaker 1: gonna make them even higher? How can I not? How

979
00:55:53,680 --> 00:56:02,279
Speaker 1: can I not lay one? I like the Indianapolis Colts. Yeah, yeah,

980
00:56:02,760 --> 00:56:07,640
Speaker 1: straight up on the money line. Now, I'll take the

981
00:56:07,640 --> 00:56:12,520
Speaker 1: mont I'll take the points. That's what we're doing with

982
00:56:12,560 --> 00:56:16,359
Speaker 1: though you're taking the Steelers, I'm taking the Colts. This

983
00:56:17,680 --> 00:56:22,680
Speaker 1: has been the Favorites podcast. I am Chad Moleman of

984
00:56:22,680 --> 00:56:26,280
Speaker 1: the Action Network. He is Bob Scucci of the Your Leans.

985
00:56:26,840 --> 00:56:30,640
Speaker 1: You can listen to the podcast. You can download the podcast.

986
00:56:30,680 --> 00:56:33,880
Speaker 1: You you can subscribe, you can rate, you can review.

987
00:56:34,400 --> 00:56:38,319
Speaker 1: Listen to our next episode. On Friday, Me and Blackjack

988
00:56:38,360 --> 00:56:40,759
Speaker 1: are gonna go at each other trying to come up

989
00:56:40,760 --> 00:56:43,760
Speaker 1: with five games that we love to win one point

990
00:56:43,840 --> 00:56:47,640
Speaker 1: four a million dollars in the Super Contest. Thank you

991
00:56:47,719 --> 00:56:50,279
Speaker 1: for listening. Until next time,