Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child
Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador
Speaker 1: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with
Speaker 1: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just
Speaker 1: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President
Speaker 1: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy nom the United States
Speaker 1: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border
Speaker 1: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over
Speaker 1: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you
Speaker 1: are here illegally, your next you will be fined nearly
Speaker 1: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will
Speaker 1: never return. But if you register using our CBP home
Speaker 1: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.
Speaker 1: Do what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws,
Speaker 1: border and families will be protected.
Speaker 2: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security.
Speaker 3: The month of September was one of the roughest in
Speaker 3: recent years. Do you believe the fourth quarter will be
Speaker 3: better for the market.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 5: Historically, whenever we've had bad Decembers, we normally have positive
Speaker 5: returns for the fourth quarter. Also, to September is really
Speaker 5: important because of the fiscal year climate. So I think
Speaker 5: we'll start to see a lot more buying in October.
Speaker 5: I think we'll be fine, especially like amongst the Magnificent seven,
Speaker 5: we'll be fine. A lot of stocks came down to
Speaker 5: lows where relatively I would like them, Like if Apple
Speaker 5: got to one sixty two, I would want to buy
Speaker 5: in there. It's currently a one seventy three, and it
Speaker 5: hit a high in July of one ninety eight. So
Speaker 5: every time we have a September we average between two
Speaker 5: to seven percent for the fourth quarter. So unless this
Speaker 5: ua W strike remains, I'm still interested to see when
Speaker 5: people have to start paying back loans on a student
Speaker 5: loan side, how much of an impact that will have.
Speaker 5: The government shut down will have that big of an impact.
Speaker 5: But the biggest thing is if the Fed will keep rates.
Speaker 5: If they announced they won't raise rates for the rest
Speaker 5: of the year, definitively, I think that that will ease
Speaker 5: a little bit of the pressure, and then the stock
Speaker 5: market will be hey, okay going into the fourth quarter.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 6: Historically, when people ask why, I always look at what
Speaker 6: is history tellers, and historically the fourth quarter has been
Speaker 6: the money quarter, the trading right, So if we look
Speaker 6: at over the past forty to fifty years, the NASTACK
Speaker 6: on average that the best month to trading has been well,
Speaker 6: January is the best month with the average growth of
Speaker 6: two and a half percent. November is the second with
Speaker 6: one point eight percent growth, and December is third with
Speaker 6: one point seven that's the NASSAT. So I mean, you
Speaker 6: would think, all right, that makes sense, But let's look
Speaker 6: at other indexes. So the sm P, I'm going off
Speaker 6: my almanac when I'm talking about history. For the s
Speaker 6: and P, the number one month to invest in is
Speaker 6: November with an average return of one point seven So
Speaker 6: that's a broader look inside the market over five hundred companies.
Speaker 4: Second is April and third is December.
Speaker 6: So you got two months inside of the fourth quarter
Speaker 6: for both the SMP and the NASTAK, and then the
Speaker 6: dal Jones the best month to trade in April. Second
Speaker 6: is November with the average return of one point seven percent.
Speaker 6: December is third with one point six And so across
Speaker 6: the Dow, the SMP and the NASTAC, two of the
Speaker 6: three months inside of the quarter are the best on
Speaker 6: record to trade in.
Speaker 4: So la fourth quarter be better?
Speaker 6: Yeah, because we're right now and October kind of ends
Speaker 6: it that that historical worst six months months to trade
Speaker 6: in September being the worst. October been kind of shaky
Speaker 6: over the past ten or fifteen years. But we're headed
Speaker 6: toward the best time of the year if you're trading, and.
Speaker 4: The Christmas rally has been coming a lot earlier this year.
Speaker 5: Normally toward going into Christmas, stock market usually has a rally.
Speaker 5: Hedge funds are taking on clients, so the existing clients
Speaker 5: that you have, you can't really recruit a bunch of
Speaker 5: new clients if you're dell a bunch of money. So
Speaker 5: and I say, I think last year when we did
Speaker 5: Hulu at Madison Square, the first and fourth quarter are
Speaker 5: the best months to trade.
Speaker 4: It would be best to sit out the third anyway.
Speaker 5: And by this time, if you're going to according to
Speaker 5: your trading plan, you shall only have a few more
Speaker 5: trades up until November.
Speaker 4: Anyway, and you should be able to close out the
Speaker 4: year very strong. So the Bookie.
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Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child
Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador
Speaker 1: accused of murdering a Texas. Man of Venezuelan charged with
Speaker 1: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just
Speaker 1: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President
Speaker 1: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy Noman, the United States
Speaker 1: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border
Speaker 1: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over
Speaker 1: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you
Speaker 1: are here illegally, your next you will be fined nearly
Speaker 1: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned and deported, you will
Speaker 1: never return. But if you register using our CBP home
Speaker 1: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.
Speaker 1: Do what's right, leave now. Under President Trump America's laws,
Speaker 1: border and families will be protected.
Speaker 2: Sponsored by the United States de Markement of Homeland Security
Speaker 2: and so like.
Speaker 5: Trading, the first hour and the last hour is ideal
Speaker 5: for trading, but on a quarterly cycle trading the first
Speaker 5: quarter and fourth quarter are ideal, and this is a
Speaker 5: great time to pick up shares to roll into the
Speaker 5: next year as well.
Speaker 4: It's also simple. It's also simple, all seasonal, all history. Yep.
Speaker 3: Okay, So the VIX rolls fifty in the last ten days.
Speaker 3: What key levels do we need to know and what
Speaker 3: do we need to keep our eyes on and better
Speaker 3: have gains in the marketing? What is the VIX again
Speaker 3: for people that aren't familiar with the vics.
Speaker 5: Yeah, the volatility index is a measure of what the
Speaker 5: volatility is doing in the market or how choppy the
Speaker 5: market can be. So if the VIX gets down to
Speaker 5: twelve dollars and forty six cent, chaos is on the way,
Speaker 5: so the VIX does the opposite up our market. So
Speaker 5: the lower the VIX gets, its usually a sign that
Speaker 5: the marketers that are high and about the crash. And
Speaker 5: if we get to nineteen eighty eight, that means that
Speaker 5: stocks are going to boom. So if a VIX has
Speaker 5: a high, there's usually a low end for the stock market,
Speaker 5: and the stock market is going to go up. And
Speaker 5: vixes at a low it means stocks are going to
Speaker 5: come down. So, for example, if you go back to COVID,
Speaker 5: the vix got to eighty five bucks, every stock on
Speaker 5: earth was at as low I know, right, And now
Speaker 5: from twenty twenty through earlier this month we got to
Speaker 5: a lower fourteen or excuse me, twelve and a half.
Speaker 4: Have some change.
Speaker 5: So if you go back to nineteen eighty seven, vixers
Speaker 5: at one hundred and seventy two dollars and seventy nine cent,
Speaker 5: it was all hell on earth. Ever since then, the
Speaker 5: market has never hit that same volatility score again. So
Speaker 5: when the VIX is high, it is then time to buy.
Speaker 5: I'm channeling my inner nineteen keys, the keys. You've been
Speaker 5: in the studio a lot lately to hear what you're
Speaker 5: working on. So if the vixers that are high and
Speaker 5: the stock market is time to buy.
Speaker 6: Right, because that means that the prices are lower than
Speaker 6: they usually are.
Speaker 2: So is there a number?
Speaker 6: Is there a number inside the vix and I remember
Speaker 6: during during COVID, we were watching that number and we
Speaker 6: were like, if it gets to that thirty five to
Speaker 6: forty range, we could traind high. Is there a number
Speaker 6: that you look at to say, all right, did there's
Speaker 6: some some cause for alarm?
Speaker 4: Yeah, thirty four dollars and eighty cent.
Speaker 5: So if it gets there and we're so far off
Speaker 5: from that now, and even though every week there isn't
Speaker 5: like uaw, Hollywood ended the strike, but now musicians are
Speaker 5: quietly talking about do they need to strike?
Speaker 4: What you guys do?
Speaker 5: I mean because if a fan is having to stream
Speaker 5: your album twenty times a day for you to make
Speaker 5: twenty five dollars off a fan, that's insane. But the
Speaker 5: market has remain relatively calm. This is one of the
Speaker 5: calmest environments. Like September was bloody, but overall the crypto
Speaker 5: market has been positive. Stock market it has been prop positive.
Speaker 5: We haven't seen that much volatility. But yeah, if he
Speaker 5: gets to the thirty four to thirty four eighty spot.
Speaker 5: That's when I'll have a little bit of concern in trepidation.
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean that would be a great correlation if
Speaker 6: people would look at pull up the VICS and you
Speaker 6: can type it in as you ticket VIX and just
Speaker 6: look at what it did for the last month. Even
Speaker 6: with all the volatility or the pullback in the market,
Speaker 6: VICS never got above twenty facts, right, So that should
Speaker 6: tell you this some stability happen here.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child
Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador
Speaker 1: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with
Speaker 1: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just
Speaker 1: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President
Speaker 1: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christine Noman, the United States
Speaker 1: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border
Speaker 1: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over
Speaker 1: one one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If
Speaker 1: you are here illegally, your next you will be fine
Speaker 1: Nearly one thousand dollars a day. Imprisoned and deported, you
Speaker 1: will never return. But if you register using our CBP
Speaker 1: home app and leave now, you could be allowed to
Speaker 1: return legally. Do what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump
Speaker 1: America's laws, border and families will be protected.
Speaker 2: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security,