1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:14,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. The single best idea 2 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 1: is a newsflow has been and on this Friday is extraordinary. 3 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:24,320 Speaker 1: At any given point you look at, say the Bloomberg 4 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 1: launch pad, which is a layout of equities, bonds, currencies 5 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 1: and commodities and blinking at a high rate of speed 6 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 1: as the market reacts to all this newsflow. You find 7 00:00:34,159 --> 00:00:37,440 Speaker 1: one statistic, But you can't do that. You have to 8 00:00:37,479 --> 00:00:41,960 Speaker 1: look at two, three, four five statistics and synthesize in 9 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:46,840 Speaker 1: the correlations or lack of correlations. So when I say, 10 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:49,680 Speaker 1: oils edging up ninety one ready to print ninety two 11 00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:53,479 Speaker 1: up twenty six percent off of the friday before the 12 00:00:53,520 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: beginning of the war, that's just one statistic. How did 13 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 1: that do against fixed income bonds a ten year yield? 14 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:04,679 Speaker 1: How did that do against the stock market? Did the 15 00:01:04,720 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 1: stock market bounce off oil? Did the stock market bounce 16 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 1: off currency? With a blended dollar index? Getting right back 17 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:16,200 Speaker 1: to that strong dollar era, all those people certain of 18 00:01:16,240 --> 00:01:20,679 Speaker 1: week dollar really having a difficult week. Then all of 19 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:25,960 Speaker 1: this market comes back to market talk, comes back to economics. 20 00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 1: We had Claudias samwe Us today New Century Advisors. She 21 00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 1: saw a job's report that moved away from the optimism 22 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 1: of thirty one days ago. 23 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:39,440 Speaker 2: Clearly, these numbers from February are not in like you know, 24 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:42,760 Speaker 2: checking the box on signs of stabilization in the labor market, right, 25 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:44,920 Speaker 2: we're losing jobs and I don't ready ticked up. This 26 00:01:45,080 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 2: is not a good sign. This actually sits pretty consistently, 27 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:52,000 Speaker 2: especially the last three months, with what we saw all 28 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:55,560 Speaker 2: of last year. The US economy last year created almost 29 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:59,160 Speaker 2: no jobs on net right, and at the same time 30 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 2: because zuomer spending increased, business investment incre GDP rose for 31 00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 2: the year on on trend right. It may we can 32 00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:10,359 Speaker 2: talk about concentration, we can talk about what sectors it's in, 33 00:02:10,720 --> 00:02:13,960 Speaker 2: but we have already been for a year in a 34 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 2: jobless expansion. So unfortunately, what the February data, with this 35 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:23,360 Speaker 2: latest labor market data suggests is the still where we're at. 36 00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:26,840 Speaker 1: Claudia some new century advised. There's a lot of good 37 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:30,920 Speaker 1: voices today and wonderful set of conversations John Ferro and 38 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 1: Michael McKee having good conversations with Governor Waller, with President 39 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:39,520 Speaker 1: Gouldsby of the Booth School Chicago, and of course John 40 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:42,600 Speaker 1: Ferroll speaking with Kevin Hasse to the White House trying 41 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:47,079 Speaker 1: to glean forward here with oil again, butterstup against ninety two. 42 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 1: We spoke to Eric Vanastron of Lizard. Let's listen, the 43 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:54,520 Speaker 1: market is trying to look through it. Even though these 44 00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:56,960 Speaker 1: oil price moves look big, the stock market moves this 45 00:02:57,000 --> 00:03:00,360 Speaker 1: week feel painful in the grand scheme of things. US 46 00:03:00,360 --> 00:03:02,000 Speaker 1: equities are just at the bottom of the range they've 47 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 1: been since October. Oil still off its heights from since 48 00:03:05,480 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: the since the Ukrainian invasion. But I think that that 49 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:13,519 Speaker 1: relative sanguinity, that relative calm is out of line with 50 00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:16,120 Speaker 1: the level of fundamental risks in the backdrop here. And 51 00:03:16,160 --> 00:03:19,000 Speaker 1: that's why I think paying close attention to traffic in 52 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 1: the Gulf is going to be very important. Eric Phenostrian 53 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 1: with us. Don't forget Bloomberg this weekend. They have a 54 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 1: full schedule on Saturday. On Sunday beginning at seven am. 55 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 1: On podcasts, We're out at Apple, We're out at Spotify, 56 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 1: at YouTube podcasts. Its single best idea