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Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child

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Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador

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Speaker 1: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with

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Speaker 1: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just

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Speaker 1: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President

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Speaker 1: Donald J.

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Speaker 2: Trump's leadership.

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Speaker 1: I'm Christy nom the United States Secretary of Homeland Security.

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Speaker 1: Under President Trump, attempted illegal border crossings are at the

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Speaker 1: lowest levels ever recorded, and over one hundred thousand illegal

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Speaker 1: aliens have been arrested. If you are here illegally, your

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Speaker 1: next you will be fined nearly one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned,

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Speaker 1: and deported.

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Speaker 2: You will never return.

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Speaker 1: But if you register using our CBP home app and

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Speaker 1: leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.

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Speaker 2: Do what's right. Leave now.

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Speaker 1: Under President Trump, America's laws, border and families will be protected.

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Speaker 3: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security.

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Speaker 4: When is a clear signal that the recession is over

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Speaker 4: and the stock market should see a bull market or

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Speaker 4: stock will turn bull when's the recession going to be

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Speaker 4: when's the signal for the recession that is over, and

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Speaker 4: what's the signal that we're going to see bull market.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, that's a great question.

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Speaker 6: Number One, when the Federal Reserve stops hiking rates. So

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Speaker 6: even if they pause, that's not a good enough reason.

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Speaker 6: They have to stop raising rates. Number two, whenever that

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Speaker 6: yield curve stops inverting. So everyone, I want everyone to

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Speaker 6: put in chat in real time to do the homework.

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Speaker 6: What is the most important yield curve in the bond

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Speaker 6: market to measure if we have a recession?

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Speaker 5: Because I want to make this more interactive this year.

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Speaker 6: And if you pair two of them together, that's why

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Speaker 6: I say, if you trade stop some bonds together, I

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Speaker 6: talked about it on episode seventy, you will know exactly

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Speaker 6: where the market is going. The funny part is now,

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Speaker 6: when the yeld curve inverted this time, the bond market

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Speaker 6: fell apart with it at the same time, which normally

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Speaker 6: does not happen, Which leads me to the lessons that

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Speaker 6: you have to always do on research and do in

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Speaker 6: any conventional wisdom does not work when there's a black

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Speaker 6: swan of it, So you have to be prepared. Like

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Speaker 6: even indexes, if all indexes fail at one time and

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Speaker 6: the entire by market Feil and texted, what what you

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Speaker 6: do you have to.

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Speaker 5: Prepare for the worst case scenario?

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Speaker 6: For me, I was short all three and I would

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Speaker 6: never open up my TV and meriitrate and look at

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Speaker 6: my long term until the carnage was over right, But

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Speaker 6: your curve inverting interest rates, and then once again, I'm

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Speaker 6: keeping my eyes peeled to see when China will boom.

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Speaker 6: I know they're reclassifying some of the COVID deaths to

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Speaker 6: kind of play with the numbers. But if I see

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Speaker 6: like k Webb and Ali Baba start to go up

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Speaker 6: and we have a monster's run for like a quarter

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Speaker 6: or two and I don't know that the recession is over,

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Speaker 6: maybe we will have a short lived recession because there's

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Speaker 6: some politics behind the scenes that are stopping them from announcement.

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Speaker 6: Maybe it will be short lived. But the FED has

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Speaker 6: to stop raising interest rates and that yeal curve has

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Speaker 6: to stop inverting, and then we'll be clear.

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Speaker 7: We spoke and if you're not familiar with the language

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Speaker 7: of inverted yeal curves and bond markets. When we sat

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Speaker 7: down with Steve Lisman maybe two or three months ago,

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Speaker 7: I mean he gave absolute masterclass exactly how that works.

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Speaker 7: But when we spoke to one of the things he

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Speaker 7: said about when they were going to stop raising rates,

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Speaker 7: and everybody had estimated that March would be the time

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Speaker 7: and it'll probably get up to about four point nine percent,

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Speaker 7: And now I think they've changed that maybe at maybe

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Speaker 7: five point two five and a quarter percent. So we'll

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Speaker 7: see within this first quarter if that is true, and

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Speaker 7: indeed we will see uh into the raising of the rates.

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Speaker 4: So all right, So should people be buying stocks right now? Yes,

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Speaker 4: they should be buying stocks to tech two first, buying

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Speaker 4: that funds for those who do. And I've said it before,

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Speaker 4: Indexes are an all star team. They put the best

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Speaker 4: companies on the planet inside of one basket set and

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Speaker 4: forget it.

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Speaker 5: What I don't want us to.

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Speaker 6: Do this year is over analyzed and not take enough action,

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Speaker 6: because if the net worth isn't increasing year over year,

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Speaker 6: the share count isn't increasing year over year, all the information.

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Speaker 5: In the war does not mean anything.

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Speaker 6: Now we are back to bullyball in the market. Like

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Speaker 6: how it was nineteen ninety four, ninety five, ninety six,

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Speaker 6: ninety nine, one five seven O eight, twenty thirteen to

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Speaker 6: twenty fourteen, the companies that are really great are amazing,

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Speaker 6: and the ones that are in the middle of the

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Speaker 6: road or just floundering around are getting destroyed. You can

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Speaker 6: only invest in quality, and we see inflation. And for

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Speaker 6: the favorite book on investing money, Master the Game, please

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Speaker 6: go read it. I know it's stick, but man, it's

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Speaker 6: tons of gyms in there. During every ten or fifteen

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Speaker 6: year period, you to have an increase in inflation. You

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Speaker 6: cannot outrun inflation, even from our entrepreneurs. Yes, you can

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Speaker 6: make a lot of money for a five or ten

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Speaker 6: year period, but at some point you're going to have

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Speaker 6: to learn how to replicate yourself. And one of the

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Speaker 6: best things that entrepreneurs can do is to put their

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Speaker 6: capital from their business into companies that are better than them,

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Speaker 6: ran by better management, so you can then not have

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Speaker 6: to hire as many people. And if you don't invest,

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Speaker 6: inflation is going to continue to creep up and kick

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Speaker 6: your ass on.

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Speaker 5: The back end. Earners, what's up?

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Speaker 8: You ever walk into a small business and everything just

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Speaker 8: works like the checkout is fast, the receipts are digital,

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Speaker 8: tipping is a breeze, and you're out the door before

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Speaker 8: the line even builds. Odds are they're using Square. We

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Speaker 8: love supporting businesses that run on Square because it just

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Speaker 8: feels seamless. Whether it's a local coffee shop, a vendor

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Speaker 8: at a pop up market, or even one of our

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Speaker 8: merch partners, Square makes it easy for them to take payments,

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Speaker 8: manage inventory, and run their business with confidence, all from

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Speaker 8: once simple system. If you're a business owner or even

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Speaker 8: just thinking about launching something soon, Square is hands down

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Speaker 8: one of the best tools out there to help you start, run,

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Speaker 8: and grow. It's not just about payments, it's about giving

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Speaker 8: you time back so you can focus on what matters

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Speaker 8: most ready. To see how Square can transform your business,

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Speaker 8: visit Square dot com backslash go backslash eyl to learn

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Speaker 8: more that Square dot com backslash, go backslash eyl. Don't wait,

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Speaker 8: don't hesitate. Let Square handle the back end so you

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Speaker 8: can keep pushing your vision forward. This episode is brought

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Speaker 8: to you by P and C Bank. A lot of

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Speaker 8: people think podcasts about work are boring, and sure, they

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Speaker 8: definitely can be, but understanding a professionals routine shows us

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Speaker 8: how they achieve their success little by little, day after day.

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Speaker 5: It's like banking with P and C Bank.

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Speaker 8: It might seem boring to save, plan and make calculated

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Speaker 8: decisions with your bank.

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Speaker 5: But keeping your money.

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Speaker 8: Boring is what helps you live or more happily fulfilled life.

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Speaker 8: P and C Bank Brilliantly Boring since eighteen sixty five.

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Speaker 8: Brilliantly Boring since eighteen sixty five is a service mark

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Speaker 8: of the PNC Financial Service Group, Inc. P and C

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Speaker 8: Bank National Association Member FDIC.

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Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child

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Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador

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Speaker 1: accused of murdering a Texas. Man of Venezuelan charged with

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Speaker 1: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just

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Speaker 1: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President

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Speaker 1: Donald J.

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Speaker 2: Trump's leadership. I'm Christy nom the.

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Speaker 1: United States Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted

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Speaker 1: illegal border crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded,

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Speaker 1: and over one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested.

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Speaker 1: If you are here illegally, your next you will be

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Speaker 1: fined nearly one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported.

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Speaker 2: You will never return.

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Speaker 1: But if you register using our CBP home app and

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Speaker 1: leave now. You could be allowed to return legally. Do

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Speaker 1: what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump America's laws, border

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Speaker 1: and families will.

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Speaker 3: Be protected sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security.

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Speaker 6: So if inflation continues to be six seven eight percent

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Speaker 6: and you're going to get ten to twelve percent out

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Speaker 6: of an index fund at the prices in which I'll call,

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Speaker 6: you have to have your money working for you. Please

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Speaker 6: put it in a chat. The job of your money

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Speaker 6: is to have your money working for you, to make

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Speaker 6: you more money.

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Speaker 5: Babies.

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Speaker 4: So people should be currently investing, even though the stock

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Speaker 4: market is probably going to go down.

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Speaker 6: It's just invest time to buy. Everyone wants to buy

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Speaker 6: it at the top, and that's the wrong time to buy.

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Speaker 4: Invest in invest in index funds for a long term.

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Speaker 4: Should they be investing in ETFs if they're quality, If

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Speaker 4: they're quality, I'm Vanguard biased, but.

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Speaker 5: It's QQQ a quality ETF. Yes. But you're gonna have

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Speaker 5: more drawt on with QQQ.

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Speaker 4: Yes, because it's tech heavy, tech heavy. Yes, it's xl

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Speaker 4: Y equality ETF.

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Speaker 6: Yes, But I don't like a lot of the the

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Speaker 6: spiders are. Okay, I like Vanguard just because of how

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Speaker 6: much control they have in the market.

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Speaker 5: Like's if I can ask you, like, what you invest

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Speaker 5: in the let me keep it clean.

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Speaker 6: If you can invest in some of the founding families

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Speaker 6: and founding companies of the United States of America, what

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Speaker 6: you do so everyone who usually says yes, If so,

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Speaker 6: then I would focus on Vanguard. The spiders are good,

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Speaker 6: XL Y solid. But I'm v O O V T

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Speaker 6: I v G T, which is the tech index. That's

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Speaker 6: all you need. Sometimes we make this so complicated it

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Speaker 6: doesn't have to be. And of course, when you're in

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Speaker 6: the middle of the storm, it feels like sunshine is

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Speaker 6: never going to come when it's raining on you like crazy.

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Speaker 6: But for those of us that have been through two

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Speaker 6: thousand and seven and eight, and if you missed any

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Speaker 6: other crashes before, then two years later you're always like, damn,

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Speaker 6: I should have put everything into the market. It's scary

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Speaker 6: while it's happening, but yes, you should invest in the

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Speaker 6: long term minimum minimum five year old.

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Speaker 4: And even when you when you're down, put more money,

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Speaker 4: dollar costs down, dollar costs down. If you're down twenty

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Speaker 4: percent on your portfolio on the S and P five hundred,

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Speaker 4: put more in and then you will be down maybe

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Speaker 4: ten percent, fifteen percent, with the whole idea is to

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Speaker 4: hold it for a long period of time.

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Speaker 5: Thirty years ideally. And then also too, if you're bond

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Speaker 5: at the right prices, you shouldn't be down that much.

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Speaker 6: There can be some bleeding, but if you're waiting for

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Speaker 6: the right prices, especially like these decade level kind of

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Speaker 6: loads that we've had, you shouldn't been down forty fifty

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Speaker 6: twenty five percent. But nonetheless, the number of shares plus

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Speaker 6: the length of time invested, it's going to give you

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Speaker 6: a lot more freedom. And I know it's scary, and

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Speaker 6: I know some days you don't want to look at

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Speaker 6: your portfolio, but this is the one thing I want

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Speaker 6: to tell every entrepreneur and everyone that wants to be rich.

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Speaker 6: The person that sticks to the plan the longest usually

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Speaker 6: wins the most. Everyone can have a hot you know,

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Speaker 6: year or hot three months. And this is why, I mean,

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Speaker 6: we've ben talked about it behind the scenes that even

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Speaker 6: with the show, like I never laid based on whatever

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Speaker 6: the topic was. I always went based off principle because

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Speaker 6: that was the case. Like last year would have been

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Speaker 6: all about NFTs and crypto in the year before that

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Speaker 6: would have been all options, Like when you go study

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Speaker 6: the entire history of an asset class, private equity is

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Speaker 6: going to get banged up this year pretty bad. But

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Speaker 6: if you invest in private equity and host some quality

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Speaker 6: companies SpaceX like and you go to for a few years,

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Speaker 6: you'll be a Okay. This is a game that goes

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Speaker 6: to those the patient and that can hold for half

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Speaker 6: a decade or a decade or longer.

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Speaker 5: And it's not fun.

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Speaker 6: But when you get freedom and you're able to provide

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Speaker 6: for your family without thinking about it, it is a

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Speaker 6: hell of a feeling. Please everyone put in chat. I'm

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Speaker 6: here for the long term to get rich. We can't

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Speaker 6: talk about generational wealth. And we're scared to hold for

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Speaker 6: four or five years. It's impossible. It is impossible, all right.

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Speaker 4: My graduate from my school being forced back drop drop, Mike,

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Speaker 4: drop back drop.

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Speaker 1: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child

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Speaker 1: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from Al Salvador

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Speaker 1: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with

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Speaker 1: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just

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Speaker 1: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President

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Speaker 1: Donald J.

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Speaker 2: Trump's leadership. I'm Christy Noman, the.

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Speaker 1: United States Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted

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Speaker 1: illegal border crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded,

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Speaker 1: and over one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested.

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Speaker 1: If you are here illegally, your next you will be

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Speaker 1: fine nearly one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned and.

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Speaker 2: Deported, you will never return.

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Speaker 1: But if you register using our CBP home app and

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Speaker 1: leave now, you could be allowed to return legally.

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Speaker 2: Do what's right. Leave now.

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Speaker 1: Under President Trump, America's laws, border and families will be protected.

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Speaker 3: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security,