1
00:00:04,840 --> 00:00:09,960
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the Podcast. I am Chad, moment

2
00:00:10,000 --> 00:00:15,800
Speaker 1: of the Action Network. This is the podcast with my

3
00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:18,800
Speaker 1: good friend Bookmaker at the Orleans and all the boy

4
00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:23,040
Speaker 1: gaming books in the state of Nevada and elsewhere. Soon

5
00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:26,599
Speaker 1: to be Bookmaker to the world. Mr Bob Scucci, Hey Chad,

6
00:00:26,640 --> 00:00:29,319
Speaker 1: what's going on? My brother? I was getting into the

7
00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:32,519
Speaker 1: groove man that music. I love that music. I honestly

8
00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:34,199
Speaker 1: feel like and this is connecting to the theme from

9
00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:36,720
Speaker 1: last week. I feel like I'm in sort of a

10
00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:41,960
Speaker 1: very cool movie starring George Clooney and Brad Pitt and

11
00:00:42,120 --> 00:00:46,640
Speaker 1: directed by Steven Soderberg and um. It reminds me that

12
00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:49,760
Speaker 1: last week when we did the podcast. And for those

13
00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:53,040
Speaker 1: of who are new, this is the Favorites podcast. Bob

14
00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:55,000
Speaker 1: Scucci and I will talk about all the games on

15
00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:57,640
Speaker 1: the board and we will examine where the wise guys

16
00:00:57,640 --> 00:00:59,680
Speaker 1: are putting their money. Those are the professional betters, will

17
00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:02,160
Speaker 1: exam and where the markets are moving, all that kind

18
00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:05,320
Speaker 1: of good stuff. The other shows on the Favorites Network.

19
00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:09,960
Speaker 1: On Monday's You Get Me, former NFL player Jeff Schwartz,

20
00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:13,080
Speaker 1: former MLB All Star Paula Duca setting up the week

21
00:01:13,160 --> 00:01:15,839
Speaker 1: with our favorite bets. Looking ahead to Saturday and Sunday

22
00:01:15,840 --> 00:01:17,959
Speaker 1: we do in nine team Parley, and then on Fridays

23
00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:21,240
Speaker 1: you'll get me and my Action Network brother, black Jack Fletcher,

24
00:01:21,959 --> 00:01:24,200
Speaker 1: trying to choose five games that we like for the

25
00:01:24,240 --> 00:01:29,480
Speaker 1: Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest so we can win million dollars. Scooch.

26
00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:33,520
Speaker 1: When we spoke last week, the power was out at

27
00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:36,240
Speaker 1: the Orleans and I was pretty sure it was a heist.

28
00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:38,640
Speaker 1: Can you confirm for people, yes or no? Was it

29
00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:41,320
Speaker 1: a heist? It was not a heist. Power was out

30
00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:43,160
Speaker 1: for a long time. It was not a hoist though.

31
00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:46,679
Speaker 1: Security was working overtime making sure that that. How did it?

32
00:01:47,280 --> 00:01:50,440
Speaker 1: Where do you like? The power goes out? What happens

33
00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:53,680
Speaker 1: to the money? It gets protected? Like you guys just

34
00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:56,280
Speaker 1: have a fay links of security guards who are like

35
00:01:56,400 --> 00:01:59,840
Speaker 1: in front of the money. Yes, literally, so we we

36
00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:04,080
Speaker 1: had somebody just standing in front of the sports book

37
00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:07,080
Speaker 1: the entire time. Uh. Same thing with the other areas

38
00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:09,240
Speaker 1: of the gaming areas. Some of them get locked up,

39
00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:12,359
Speaker 1: the chips get covered up and uh you know there's

40
00:02:12,360 --> 00:02:14,840
Speaker 1: a lock and key. So all the all the chips

41
00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:17,680
Speaker 1: at the blackjack and crap table and roulette tables get

42
00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:22,960
Speaker 1: get locked up. Uh, and then the cashier's cage same thing,

43
00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:25,520
Speaker 1: just like the sports book gets kind of locked up

44
00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:29,960
Speaker 1: there and get security outside there. So it's a whole drill.

45
00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:32,120
Speaker 1: I like it. So like when it's all over, does

46
00:02:32,160 --> 00:02:34,840
Speaker 1: the money get recounted or just you just assume that

47
00:02:34,880 --> 00:02:37,960
Speaker 1: everything's there. It depends on the area. But do you

48
00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:40,519
Speaker 1: assume everything everything is there? Because there I mean there's

49
00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:44,000
Speaker 1: backup generators, So so the power is out. I mean,

50
00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:47,640
Speaker 1: even if it gets goes black entirely for like a second,

51
00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:50,840
Speaker 1: the backup generators come on. So then there's always areas.

52
00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:54,839
Speaker 1: I mean, it's never completely black, but there's areas that

53
00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:58,519
Speaker 1: maybe doesn't they we don't get network connectivity, which affects

54
00:02:58,560 --> 00:03:01,640
Speaker 1: a lot of the computers thing like that, So we

55
00:03:01,720 --> 00:03:04,480
Speaker 1: have a lot of redundancy, meaning when the power goes

56
00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:07,480
Speaker 1: out one area, use use power from another area to

57
00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:10,880
Speaker 1: try and get the essentials going. I think we're all

58
00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:15,960
Speaker 1: familiar with what redundancies are. Well, maybe they're not out there,

59
00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:20,919
Speaker 1: you know, I feel like yes or no. Three things

60
00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:24,600
Speaker 1: before you retire from the gaming industry, and you've been

61
00:03:24,600 --> 00:03:27,240
Speaker 1: in the gaming industry now for probably like I don't know,

62
00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:31,160
Speaker 1: almost thirty years, maybe even longer. You would like to

63
00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:33,880
Speaker 1: be in a casino when there is a heist. You

64
00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:39,600
Speaker 1: would like to uh be in a casino when what

65
00:03:39,720 --> 00:03:45,240
Speaker 1: else is sort of catastrophic yet not scary. I don't

66
00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:46,680
Speaker 1: know that I want to be in the casino door

67
00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:49,000
Speaker 1: in the heist. I wouldn't mind being in a movie

68
00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:52,520
Speaker 1: about a casino being hoisted. I don't know if I

69
00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:54,880
Speaker 1: actually want to be in it. I really, I guess

70
00:03:54,880 --> 00:03:57,880
Speaker 1: that's fair. Speaking of heist, I feel like I was

71
00:03:58,000 --> 00:04:01,040
Speaker 1: fleeced last weekend, Scooch, How did you guys? Do we

72
00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:03,880
Speaker 1: did fairly well? I mean two or three games carry

73
00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:05,760
Speaker 1: the whole weekend for us. There was a lot of

74
00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:08,560
Speaker 1: games we lost, but the games we won were pretty big.

75
00:04:08,800 --> 00:04:11,240
Speaker 1: Let me thank you won. What were the big games

76
00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:12,720
Speaker 1: that you won last week? And hold on, I'm gonna

77
00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:15,080
Speaker 1: look at the Action Network gap right now. You want

78
00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:18,880
Speaker 1: a lot of money on Tampa Bay for sure? That

79
00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:23,919
Speaker 1: was the biggest and then uh, I think, yeah, I

80
00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:25,560
Speaker 1: think that was your big game. I think that's where

81
00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:29,080
Speaker 1: you nailed it. Hmm. What else? The other big games

82
00:04:29,120 --> 00:04:32,120
Speaker 1: for us was Sunday Night game the Bears in the

83
00:04:32,160 --> 00:04:36,279
Speaker 1: pack um it would have been great if the Bears

84
00:04:36,320 --> 00:04:38,760
Speaker 1: held on to win the game out right, uh, to

85
00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:42,719
Speaker 1: kill some teasers and money line parlays, but getting the

86
00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:46,359
Speaker 1: cover was was pretty good for the house. Uh. A

87
00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:49,560
Speaker 1: couple of other games were bad for straight bets. The

88
00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:52,239
Speaker 1: wise guys kind of beat us up, but the general

89
00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:55,279
Speaker 1: public uh kind of went down. So a game like

90
00:04:55,320 --> 00:04:58,680
Speaker 1: the Steelers and the Browns, where the public were all

91
00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:02,919
Speaker 1: over the Pittsburgh Steelers even at the opening numbers of

92
00:05:02,960 --> 00:05:05,960
Speaker 1: six and five and a half, the Wise guys roll

93
00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:07,960
Speaker 1: over the Browns and that line got bent down to

94
00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:11,159
Speaker 1: the Steelers minus three by game time. So we lost

95
00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:13,320
Speaker 1: a lot of straight pet money to the sharp guys.

96
00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:15,720
Speaker 1: But it was a big game for for Parley's and

97
00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:18,880
Speaker 1: a big game for the house. And another game that

98
00:05:19,040 --> 00:05:25,159
Speaker 1: kind of similar to that was the Texans and the Patriots, uh,

99
00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:27,960
Speaker 1: but kind of opposite where the straight pet money went

100
00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:32,200
Speaker 1: down but the Parley money won. That's the game. There

101
00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:35,120
Speaker 1: were two games that it made me so sick to

102
00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:39,800
Speaker 1: my stomach that on Sunday afternoon, it's coming down to

103
00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:45,080
Speaker 1: the wire, I'm watching Red Zone and I am standing

104
00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:48,640
Speaker 1: in front of the television like two ft away and

105
00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:52,600
Speaker 1: I am in sort of an athletic stance in ready position,

106
00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:55,920
Speaker 1: like my knees are bent, my hands are on my knees.

107
00:05:56,920 --> 00:06:00,640
Speaker 1: I'm watching the Giants game so closely as if I'm

108
00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:04,760
Speaker 1: inside the football, and my eleven year old comes in

109
00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:07,039
Speaker 1: and he just looks at me, and he's like, what

110
00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:09,960
Speaker 1: is wrong with you? And I'm trying to explain to

111
00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:13,599
Speaker 1: him why I feel so sick to my stomach in

112
00:06:13,640 --> 00:06:18,160
Speaker 1: that moment, and how how like I remember from last

113
00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:21,239
Speaker 1: season what a bad feeling it is on red Zone

114
00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:23,599
Speaker 1: when they go to a game break and come back

115
00:06:24,000 --> 00:06:27,080
Speaker 1: and they're showing your game, and like it's almost never

116
00:06:27,160 --> 00:06:29,280
Speaker 1: a good thing when they're showing your game. It's like

117
00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:32,320
Speaker 1: it's like if the opponent has the ball and they're

118
00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:35,200
Speaker 1: showing your game, you feel like it's inevitably a touchdown.

119
00:06:35,200 --> 00:06:36,760
Speaker 1: And if your team has the ball and they're showing

120
00:06:36,760 --> 00:06:41,200
Speaker 1: the game, it's inevitably a turnover. And that's kind of

121
00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:44,560
Speaker 1: what I felt like for the Giants. Yeah, there was,

122
00:06:44,800 --> 00:06:48,760
Speaker 1: And I agree, And there's certain games that you're watching

123
00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:52,440
Speaker 1: and you're really into. And for me, I'm at work

124
00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:57,640
Speaker 1: and I'll have somebody coming into my office talking about

125
00:06:57,640 --> 00:07:01,520
Speaker 1: a particular situation, whether it's about guests, or about some comps,

126
00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:04,800
Speaker 1: or about some rooms where something's not working correctly, and

127
00:07:04,800 --> 00:07:07,920
Speaker 1: they're asking me a question, and as I'm about to answer,

128
00:07:08,040 --> 00:07:11,000
Speaker 1: I see an interception return for a touchdown, and the

129
00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:14,040
Speaker 1: expression on my face I just can't hide. But the

130
00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:16,600
Speaker 1: person that's asking me a question doesn't see that. I

131
00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:20,840
Speaker 1: don't always have the sound, so so they just see

132
00:07:20,880 --> 00:07:23,600
Speaker 1: my face kind of explode, and they're they're thinking it's

133
00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:26,560
Speaker 1: because of what they just told me that I have

134
00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:28,440
Speaker 1: to just tell no, no, no, relax, it's not you,

135
00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:31,080
Speaker 1: it's this game. Sorry. I get it. I get it.

136
00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:33,440
Speaker 1: Do you think you'll ever get sick of sweating it? Like?

137
00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:36,520
Speaker 1: I love the feeling so much, and I hate the

138
00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:41,720
Speaker 1: feeling so much, and it feels like obviously, I spend

139
00:07:41,760 --> 00:07:44,440
Speaker 1: most of my time when I'm betting on college football

140
00:07:44,440 --> 00:07:47,840
Speaker 1: in the NFL, and you know, I don't bet much baseball,

141
00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:51,760
Speaker 1: so and I'll bet a decent amount of NBA UM

142
00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:56,760
Speaker 1: more recently, you know, But like I sort of feel

143
00:07:56,800 --> 00:07:59,040
Speaker 1: like I'm out of practice a little bit. I'm out

144
00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:03,160
Speaker 1: of practice of feeling queasy. Yeah. Yeah, I I never

145
00:08:03,200 --> 00:08:05,800
Speaker 1: get you know, it's second nature. I don't even think

146
00:08:05,800 --> 00:08:08,800
Speaker 1: about it. Anymore. It just happens. And whether I want

147
00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:11,000
Speaker 1: to sweat the games or don't want to sweat the games,

148
00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:14,720
Speaker 1: it just feels like I just automatically am even if

149
00:08:14,760 --> 00:08:18,080
Speaker 1: I'm not watching the game. I'm watching it the scores

150
00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:20,840
Speaker 1: on the on the phone or wherever wherever I am,

151
00:08:21,000 --> 00:08:23,440
Speaker 1: or if I have it on a live game cast

152
00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:28,440
Speaker 1: on a PC. But I'm constantly just watching the scoring

153
00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:31,800
Speaker 1: if not watching the actual games. So I don't know.

154
00:08:31,880 --> 00:08:34,440
Speaker 1: It has nothing to do with wanting to or not anymore.

155
00:08:34,640 --> 00:08:36,520
Speaker 1: I will tell you you know, I work at the

156
00:08:36,520 --> 00:08:38,240
Speaker 1: Action Network, as you may or may not know, and

157
00:08:38,280 --> 00:08:41,960
Speaker 1: we have this new feature on our app, win Probability,

158
00:08:42,160 --> 00:08:44,840
Speaker 1: So it measures the probability that your bet is going

159
00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:48,160
Speaker 1: to cash or not cash, and it changes in real

160
00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:52,520
Speaker 1: time with every practically every play on the field and

161
00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:55,319
Speaker 1: every series that happens on the field. And so I

162
00:08:55,360 --> 00:09:00,199
Speaker 1: spend all Sunday just checking this thing as if it

163
00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:03,920
Speaker 1: is my e KG, like and like as as if

164
00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:07,520
Speaker 1: my my breath is connected to it um and it

165
00:09:07,640 --> 00:09:11,679
Speaker 1: is exhausting. I love that. Yeah, so we have you know,

166
00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:15,160
Speaker 1: we have live in game betting on our VOYD be

167
00:09:15,280 --> 00:09:21,240
Speaker 1: Connected Sports app as well on every every on every game,

168
00:09:21,520 --> 00:09:25,280
Speaker 1: and I'm doing the same thing where it's it's it's

169
00:09:25,360 --> 00:09:29,120
Speaker 1: robo scooch, it's it's booking the games. It's automatic on

170
00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:32,720
Speaker 1: every play, every interception, and you know, the betting gets

171
00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:36,400
Speaker 1: suspended and then the new price appears. Um, And I've

172
00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:38,600
Speaker 1: got to be honest with you, I've got to get

173
00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:41,960
Speaker 1: used to this because it runs contrary to kind of

174
00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:44,480
Speaker 1: some of the booking that we've done over the last

175
00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:47,720
Speaker 1: twenty five years. And I'll give you an example. When

176
00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:51,760
Speaker 1: a sharp guy bets a number word, we typically move

177
00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:54,400
Speaker 1: that number in that direction so that the next guy

178
00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:59,200
Speaker 1: lays an unfavorable number after him. Right, But with this,

179
00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,920
Speaker 1: somebody can lay minus four and a half for the limit,

180
00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:07,040
Speaker 1: and the next price that appears maybe minus four or

181
00:10:07,080 --> 00:10:09,400
Speaker 1: minus three and a half. Because now it just depends

182
00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:11,839
Speaker 1: on how the game is going in right, really doesn't

183
00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:14,840
Speaker 1: have anything to do not it doesn't have as much

184
00:10:14,880 --> 00:10:16,760
Speaker 1: to do with the money coming in as it does

185
00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:20,400
Speaker 1: just a game situation now and it changes on every play.

186
00:10:20,440 --> 00:10:22,920
Speaker 1: It's crazy, I agree with you. And it's uh. It's

187
00:10:23,440 --> 00:10:26,000
Speaker 1: going to only get more radical as supports betting becomes

188
00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:29,480
Speaker 1: more prominent in more places and more states around the country. Uh.

189
00:10:30,600 --> 00:10:33,240
Speaker 1: Speaking of wise guys, I was one of those who

190
00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:35,480
Speaker 1: was on the Texans at plus six and a half.

191
00:10:35,920 --> 00:10:39,240
Speaker 1: You pointed out in our scoot roulette, which we will

192
00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:40,800
Speaker 1: discuss later in the show, when we were going to

193
00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:43,560
Speaker 1: make our gun to your head picks, the picks that

194
00:10:43,600 --> 00:10:46,840
Speaker 1: we have to make, the picks that we are we

195
00:10:46,880 --> 00:10:50,800
Speaker 1: are betting our lives on. Um. I had the Texans,

196
00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:56,080
Speaker 1: you had the Bears. Kudos to you, my bookmaking friend. Uh,

197
00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:59,360
Speaker 1: I'm crushed. You reminded me that you never make any

198
00:10:59,360 --> 00:11:02,559
Speaker 1: money betting to Bill Belichick. And yet it's time to

199
00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:05,800
Speaker 1: get to the games because I am so frea contempted

200
00:11:05,880 --> 00:11:09,600
Speaker 1: by the Jaguars as two point underdogs. So let me

201
00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:12,760
Speaker 1: ask you this, Bob Scucci, as we ease our way in,

202
00:11:13,240 --> 00:11:19,000
Speaker 1: as we do a smooth, molefulous transition from the preamble

203
00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:23,040
Speaker 1: to the main event, that's the first game to talk about. Okay, Yeah,

204
00:11:23,040 --> 00:11:25,920
Speaker 1: that's the that's the big match rematch from from last year,

205
00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:29,040
Speaker 1: the big game. Uh. And like you said, you do,

206
00:11:29,080 --> 00:11:32,439
Speaker 1: you don't make a living betton against New England. And

207
00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:35,240
Speaker 1: this is one of those situations where, uh, we know

208
00:11:35,320 --> 00:11:37,240
Speaker 1: we're gonna get a lot of parlay money on New

209
00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:39,800
Speaker 1: England a short road favorite, any short road favorite, we

210
00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:43,400
Speaker 1: usually we typically get more more money on that short

211
00:11:43,480 --> 00:11:48,240
Speaker 1: road favorite. Uh. In this matchup, though, I will say

212
00:11:48,280 --> 00:11:52,520
Speaker 1: that the public does believe in this Jacksonville team. So

213
00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:56,760
Speaker 1: just looking at the at the ticket account, it's definitely

214
00:11:56,800 --> 00:11:59,480
Speaker 1: skewed towards the Patriots, just not as much as I

215
00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:02,560
Speaker 1: thought it would be. Uh, it's about four to one,

216
00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:04,840
Speaker 1: and I thought it would be somewhere in the neighborhood

217
00:12:04,880 --> 00:12:07,520
Speaker 1: of seven or eight to one. But we're still gonna

218
00:12:07,600 --> 00:12:10,480
Speaker 1: end up needing the Jaguars in this There's not enough

219
00:12:10,800 --> 00:12:13,000
Speaker 1: in the point spread. If the point spread was three,

220
00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:15,680
Speaker 1: that that that extra point that gets you to the

221
00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:18,400
Speaker 1: field goal would would be the kind of deciding factor

222
00:12:18,440 --> 00:12:21,360
Speaker 1: for for the public to want to take the Jags

223
00:12:21,360 --> 00:12:24,199
Speaker 1: in this one. But I don't think the Jaguars were

224
00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:28,880
Speaker 1: impressive enough against the Giants to warrant going basically at

225
00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:33,960
Speaker 1: a pick up game against the Patriots. So, UM, We're

226
00:12:34,040 --> 00:12:35,760
Speaker 1: we're careful in this one. We don't want to go

227
00:12:35,960 --> 00:12:37,520
Speaker 1: too high. We don't want to give him the three

228
00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:40,520
Speaker 1: on the Jaguars, but I have a feeling will be

229
00:12:40,559 --> 00:12:43,760
Speaker 1: at three by game time. I have already bet the

230
00:12:43,880 --> 00:12:46,040
Speaker 1: Jaguars and plus two. You think I made a mistake,

231
00:12:46,120 --> 00:12:48,560
Speaker 1: You think I pulled the trigger too early. I do.

232
00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:51,280
Speaker 1: I don't think it's coming down. I can't. I can't

233
00:12:51,280 --> 00:12:56,120
Speaker 1: see the sharp guys betting this turning the game around.

234
00:12:56,559 --> 00:12:59,520
Speaker 1: Barring an injury. Uh, the only injury right now is

235
00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:02,640
Speaker 1: is for and that's for the for Jacksonville then, and

236
00:13:02,720 --> 00:13:07,199
Speaker 1: he's listed as questionable right now. So if if anything, um,

237
00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:09,720
Speaker 1: you know, if we know that he's out, if anything,

238
00:13:09,760 --> 00:13:14,160
Speaker 1: the line goes up even more. But I just see

239
00:13:14,200 --> 00:13:16,559
Speaker 1: the public driving this number up to at least two

240
00:13:16,600 --> 00:13:19,080
Speaker 1: and a half and by game time maybe three. The

241
00:13:19,120 --> 00:13:22,400
Speaker 1: Patriots are so frustrating because they blow every axiom out

242
00:13:22,400 --> 00:13:25,680
Speaker 1: of the water. Right, you are not supposed to bet

243
00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:29,120
Speaker 1: on short road favorites. That is just that that is

244
00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:32,600
Speaker 1: historically losing proposition. And that's there's a couple of games

245
00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:35,160
Speaker 1: this weekend that screw me up because I'm thinking about

246
00:13:35,160 --> 00:13:39,199
Speaker 1: that percentage and for some reason, betting the first couple

247
00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:42,079
Speaker 1: of weeks is so freaking hard, man, Like you just

248
00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:46,600
Speaker 1: don't know these teams, and so um, I've already gone

249
00:13:46,640 --> 00:13:48,840
Speaker 1: in on the Jacks and now you're just making me

250
00:13:48,840 --> 00:13:52,840
Speaker 1: feel bad about it. Um, is that going to be

251
00:13:52,840 --> 00:13:56,920
Speaker 1: your scrutual epic? You can't, you can't talk about it yet,

252
00:13:57,080 --> 00:14:01,600
Speaker 1: not anymore. Yeah, Um, They're is just not enough value there,

253
00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:05,200
Speaker 1: you know, one point two points. Yeah, it's a it's

254
00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:07,840
Speaker 1: a home dog, but it's not a significant enough home

255
00:14:07,880 --> 00:14:10,400
Speaker 1: dog that that getting to that extra point is really

256
00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:12,520
Speaker 1: the difference. I feel like pulling a Tommy Boy, you know,

257
00:14:12,559 --> 00:14:14,120
Speaker 1: like in the movie Tommy Boy where he just starts

258
00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:21,200
Speaker 1: banging his head and pulling his hair. Gosh, so stupid. Yeah, yeah,

259
00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:25,040
Speaker 1: right now I've done I've done that all right. The

260
00:14:25,080 --> 00:14:27,760
Speaker 1: next game I want to talk about is the Los

261
00:14:27,760 --> 00:14:31,800
Speaker 1: Angeles Rams are hosting the Arizona Cardinals. Very interesting game

262
00:14:31,840 --> 00:14:35,960
Speaker 1: to me, Scooch. I have bet already the Arizona Cardinals

263
00:14:36,120 --> 00:14:41,760
Speaker 1: as thirteen point underdogs in this game. I feel like

264
00:14:41,920 --> 00:14:45,000
Speaker 1: in the Action Network power rankings this game, the delta

265
00:14:45,080 --> 00:14:47,920
Speaker 1: between where we think the spread should be and where

266
00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:53,600
Speaker 1: it is is about three three and a half points. Um,

267
00:14:53,640 --> 00:14:56,880
Speaker 1: it's way inflated. Because the Rams just kicked the crap

268
00:14:56,920 --> 00:15:01,720
Speaker 1: out of the Raiders and the Cardinals were so thoroughly destroyed.

269
00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:03,880
Speaker 1: I don't think you're ever going to get a better

270
00:15:03,960 --> 00:15:06,920
Speaker 1: value on the Cardinals than you are this weekend. It

271
00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:09,200
Speaker 1: still scares me, but this is where like you just

272
00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:11,120
Speaker 1: don't know anything the first couple of weeks. Right, So

273
00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:14,280
Speaker 1: I'm gonna play. I'm gonna play the value. I'm gonna

274
00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:17,200
Speaker 1: play where I know bookmakers are trying to make me

275
00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:20,840
Speaker 1: pay a higher price. Yeah, that's exactly right. I mean

276
00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:23,560
Speaker 1: what I do is I make the lines for the

277
00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:27,520
Speaker 1: following week's games before Sunday's games, and then just from there.

278
00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:30,560
Speaker 1: So this this line was about ten prior to both

279
00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:35,920
Speaker 1: of the games on Sunday. So the Rams performance Monday

280
00:15:36,000 --> 00:15:40,000
Speaker 1: night and then the Cardinals performance or lack of a

281
00:15:40,080 --> 00:15:44,040
Speaker 1: performance adjusted both lines by by a point and a half,

282
00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:46,560
Speaker 1: maybe close to two points. You don't want to take

283
00:15:46,600 --> 00:15:48,400
Speaker 1: too much out of the first week, I mean that

284
00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:50,600
Speaker 1: that's kind of the key. Is how much really to

285
00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:53,120
Speaker 1: adjust off of week one and week two? There's so

286
00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:57,640
Speaker 1: many factors you have to start wondering. The teams that

287
00:15:57,680 --> 00:15:59,960
Speaker 1: didn't play a lot of their starters during the preseas

288
00:16:00,200 --> 00:16:02,560
Speaker 1: and rested a lot of their players, how many games

289
00:16:02,560 --> 00:16:05,240
Speaker 1: does it take them to get into their prime form? Uh.

290
00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:07,440
Speaker 1: The teams that maybe have a lot of players that

291
00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:10,480
Speaker 1: are a little older. Uh, do they wear themselves out

292
00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:13,080
Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter because they're not in the best

293
00:16:13,080 --> 00:16:15,640
Speaker 1: of condition yet, or I mean, there's so many, so

294
00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:18,000
Speaker 1: many different factors that you don't want to over adjust

295
00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:20,880
Speaker 1: off of one performance, even if it's a really bad

296
00:16:20,960 --> 00:16:23,120
Speaker 1: for performance, because then you get in a situation where

297
00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:26,560
Speaker 1: you're you're just bouncing back and forth these huge points wings.

298
00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:29,160
Speaker 1: So we we tend to be slow with the adjustments.

299
00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:31,480
Speaker 1: But this is a case where the one team was

300
00:16:31,520 --> 00:16:34,640
Speaker 1: adjusted higher and one lower, So you do have that big,

301
00:16:34,920 --> 00:16:37,960
Speaker 1: uh difference. And I see this line coming down. I

302
00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:40,800
Speaker 1: I see this line. Actually, most of the wise guys

303
00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:43,240
Speaker 1: will take a double digit underdog regardless of who the

304
00:16:43,280 --> 00:16:46,400
Speaker 1: team is, but I think in this one you will see, uh,

305
00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:48,520
Speaker 1: this line coming down a little bit. So why did

306
00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:52,560
Speaker 1: you overadjust? Why not just sort of public marketing, basically,

307
00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:54,600
Speaker 1: because we want to attract that money. I want to

308
00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:56,600
Speaker 1: be in a situation like I was with the Steelers

309
00:16:56,600 --> 00:16:59,200
Speaker 1: and the Browns. I know the public was on the Steelers,

310
00:16:59,480 --> 00:17:01,800
Speaker 1: so we had acted some straight pet money on the Browns.

311
00:17:02,080 --> 00:17:04,640
Speaker 1: Sometimes you win those games, sometimes you lose in terms

312
00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:07,040
Speaker 1: of the straight bets, But I don't mind being on

313
00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:09,320
Speaker 1: the same side as the straight bets as long as

314
00:17:09,320 --> 00:17:12,520
Speaker 1: they don't overcome the amount of parlays. That the amount

315
00:17:12,520 --> 00:17:14,400
Speaker 1: of money that's on the parlays. So in other words,

316
00:17:14,440 --> 00:17:16,760
Speaker 1: I don't mind taking a lot of Cardinal money to

317
00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:19,119
Speaker 1: offset all the public money I'm going to get on

318
00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:21,280
Speaker 1: the Rams and parlays. I just don't want to take

319
00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:25,160
Speaker 1: more on the Cardinals than I take on the Rams parlays.

320
00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:26,959
Speaker 1: But do you think the Cardinals are going to be

321
00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:29,160
Speaker 1: a side that anyone in the public takes. There's gonna

322
00:17:29,160 --> 00:17:33,000
Speaker 1: be all wise guy money. It's all it's all wise guys. No, No,

323
00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:35,439
Speaker 1: no one in the public. I don't know, no if

324
00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:37,280
Speaker 1: anyone that's in the room and any of the sports

325
00:17:37,320 --> 00:17:39,560
Speaker 1: books here that's coming in saying, yeah, the Cardinals are

326
00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:42,399
Speaker 1: just going to beat the Rams or you know, because

327
00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:44,360
Speaker 1: that's the first thing they do is they say can

328
00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:46,600
Speaker 1: the can the team win outright? And then they look

329
00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:48,479
Speaker 1: at the points bread and said, okay, well maybe they

330
00:17:48,480 --> 00:17:50,679
Speaker 1: can cover the points, but they want a team that

331
00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:52,440
Speaker 1: can at least have a shot to win the game.

332
00:17:52,720 --> 00:17:54,959
Speaker 1: And then if you're getting the points, then then that's

333
00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:57,080
Speaker 1: a bonus. That's really the only time I see the

334
00:17:57,119 --> 00:18:00,800
Speaker 1: public betting on underdogs. That's why the public generally just

335
00:18:00,840 --> 00:18:03,119
Speaker 1: bets on the favorites because they know they're going to

336
00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:05,560
Speaker 1: win the game. Go ahead, I want you to finish.

337
00:18:05,600 --> 00:18:07,080
Speaker 1: I was cutting you go ahead? No, go ahead, come

338
00:18:07,320 --> 00:18:12,960
Speaker 1: you go ahead. I'm just saying that's why the public

339
00:18:13,080 --> 00:18:22,040
Speaker 1: loves because what are we on a delay? There? I

340
00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:27,640
Speaker 1: was just growing with you. Okay, al right, next game,

341
00:18:27,680 --> 00:18:32,159
Speaker 1: here we go my beloved Cincinnati Bengals, who totally covered

342
00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:34,399
Speaker 1: for me against the Colts. That was a game that

343
00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:38,879
Speaker 1: I desperately needed, and they are currently That game is

344
00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:43,280
Speaker 1: pick against Baltimore. So the money while the uh, the

345
00:18:43,720 --> 00:18:45,720
Speaker 1: looking at the action app here, the betting tickets have

346
00:18:45,800 --> 00:18:48,080
Speaker 1: come in on the Ravens, but it looks like the

347
00:18:48,080 --> 00:18:52,840
Speaker 1: wise guy money has come in on the Cincinnati Bengals

348
00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:55,679
Speaker 1: because that line has moved in their direction exactly. Now,

349
00:18:55,760 --> 00:18:58,280
Speaker 1: this is another game that the Bengals probably would have

350
00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:02,320
Speaker 1: been a little bit bigger of a short favorite prior

351
00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:06,320
Speaker 1: to both Sunday's performances. The Bengals got the win, but uh,

352
00:19:06,520 --> 00:19:08,920
Speaker 1: they didn't look great in that win. I think too

353
00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:13,560
Speaker 1: long eighty yard fumble recoveries for touchdowns was really the

354
00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:16,080
Speaker 1: difference in that game that the Colts were able to

355
00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:19,959
Speaker 1: move the ball. The Bengals defense didn't look stellar. Uh,

356
00:19:20,400 --> 00:19:23,280
Speaker 1: Dalton didn't look great. Yeah, they got the win, but

357
00:19:23,359 --> 00:19:26,000
Speaker 1: you know it was against the Colts have a solid wind,

358
00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:29,800
Speaker 1: but not enough to really uh persuade a lot of

359
00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:34,119
Speaker 1: the public that they're gonna now beat the Ravens. So, uh,

360
00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:36,479
Speaker 1: this is the public is all over the Ravens in

361
00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:38,439
Speaker 1: this one. And we did adjust a little bit, and

362
00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:40,719
Speaker 1: we're actually at the Ravens minus one. So I know

363
00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:43,560
Speaker 1: that there are picks out there, but uh, we have

364
00:19:43,840 --> 00:19:46,880
Speaker 1: maybe a little bit more uh money and parlays than

365
00:19:47,000 --> 00:19:50,439
Speaker 1: than other places. We're at the Ravens minus one. So

366
00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:53,800
Speaker 1: what would you do in this situation? I I like

367
00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:57,159
Speaker 1: the Ravens here, I I really am not. Uh, I

368
00:19:57,160 --> 00:20:00,640
Speaker 1: didn't see I know it was hard to really determine

369
00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:04,000
Speaker 1: how good Baltimore looked because they were playing a really

370
00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:08,760
Speaker 1: bad Bill's team. But I was high on this Ravens

371
00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:12,199
Speaker 1: team coming into the season, not real high, but I

372
00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:14,800
Speaker 1: just I think they were gonna be just quite a

373
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:18,440
Speaker 1: bit better than last year. So um, and I don't

374
00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:22,800
Speaker 1: see the Bengals as a team that's improving from last year.

375
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:28,560
Speaker 1: This next game is so hard, so hard. I mean, boy,

376
00:20:28,600 --> 00:20:32,240
Speaker 1: you couldn't get two teams that look more opposite unless

377
00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:34,959
Speaker 1: you were betting the Rams and the Cardinals. Kansas City

378
00:20:35,040 --> 00:20:39,800
Speaker 1: and Pittsburgh. Kansas City's visiting Pittsburgh. Ton of tickets coming

379
00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:42,880
Speaker 1: in on Kansas City and not surprising. Uh, they are

380
00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:48,480
Speaker 1: five point underdogs against the Steelers at home. This is

381
00:20:48,520 --> 00:20:51,480
Speaker 1: the same thing to me. This is like the same philosophy.

382
00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:54,720
Speaker 1: Like you had one team that looked so bad in

383
00:20:54,800 --> 00:20:57,520
Speaker 1: week one and one team that looked like world beaters

384
00:20:57,560 --> 00:21:00,439
Speaker 1: in week one against the team everybody thought was going

385
00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:02,560
Speaker 1: to be the best team in the Chargers and one

386
00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:06,320
Speaker 1: of the better teams and the Chargers. It's like you

387
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:13,360
Speaker 1: almost have to bet the Steelers just because of the regression. Yeah.

388
00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:16,600
Speaker 1: This so yeah. We talked about it a little bit

389
00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:18,840
Speaker 1: in the last couple of weeks that I feel like

390
00:21:18,880 --> 00:21:21,880
Speaker 1: the Steelers there were probably not going to be as

391
00:21:21,880 --> 00:21:24,159
Speaker 1: good as as most people fought this year, and the

392
00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:26,000
Speaker 1: ten and a half games seemed like an awful lot

393
00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:29,040
Speaker 1: in terms of the over under for them to overcome.

394
00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:31,920
Speaker 1: I really did like I was high on the Chiefs.

395
00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:33,840
Speaker 1: If you remember last week, I was really high on

396
00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:38,680
Speaker 1: this team. Uh, we have a great, great staff, coaching staff.

397
00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:42,560
Speaker 1: And Uh the question mark was how Mahomes was gonna play?

398
00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:45,280
Speaker 1: So he answered that that question for me. Last week

399
00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:48,919
Speaker 1: I like them again. Uh this week I was I

400
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:52,639
Speaker 1: thought five is that that dead number? Uh. We were

401
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:54,760
Speaker 1: debating on whether to open five and a half and

402
00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:57,359
Speaker 1: four and a half, and we really don't like opening five,

403
00:21:57,400 --> 00:22:00,440
Speaker 1: so I opened five. Uh minus ol five is where

404
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:03,080
Speaker 1: I'm at now. So we're making them lay minus one

405
00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:05,919
Speaker 1: fifteen on Kansas City. But I'm I'm real close to

406
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:08,800
Speaker 1: going down to four and a half. I think it

407
00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 1: just took one week. The public was not on the

408
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,119
Speaker 1: Chiefs last week. We actually needed the Chiefs. But I

409
00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:15,960
Speaker 1: think the public's all over the Chiefs this week. And

410
00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:19,320
Speaker 1: so the fact that I'm not getting early Steelers money

411
00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:22,200
Speaker 1: now tells me that the line is gonna go one

412
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:24,480
Speaker 1: way and it's gonna be down. So that tells me

413
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:27,840
Speaker 1: that I want nothing to do with the Chiefs right now.

414
00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:32,119
Speaker 1: Maybe by Sunday, let's say, how loo can this go? Hello?

415
00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:37,679
Speaker 1: Can you go? You know how you might like the Steelers? Yeah?

416
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:40,080
Speaker 1: Maybe if it got to like I don't know, you

417
00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:42,040
Speaker 1: keep taking money if it gets to four, gets to

418
00:22:42,080 --> 00:22:44,400
Speaker 1: three and a half. Actually, I wouldn't like the Steelers

419
00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:47,080
Speaker 1: unless it got to three. And here's a game. I

420
00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:49,000
Speaker 1: know the Steelers kind of laid an egg there in

421
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:52,160
Speaker 1: the second half of that game. I wouldn't put too

422
00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:56,000
Speaker 1: much into that game. Again, you're trying not to over

423
00:22:56,200 --> 00:22:58,600
Speaker 1: just on the on the first couple of weeks. I mean,

424
00:22:59,040 --> 00:23:01,320
Speaker 1: there was a driving rain in that game. There was

425
00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:05,159
Speaker 1: all the distractions with Levy on Bell being in, being out. Uh.

426
00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:09,959
Speaker 1: I just I think coming back this week, I do

427
00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:12,000
Speaker 1: think they bounced back. You're not going to see two

428
00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:16,160
Speaker 1: real bad performances in a row. So if it gets lower,

429
00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:19,520
Speaker 1: I might go with the Steelers. That might be against you. Yeah, yeah, no,

430
00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:21,520
Speaker 1: And I want to really have a side, so you

431
00:23:21,520 --> 00:23:24,080
Speaker 1: wouldn't be against me. But I'm just kind of making

432
00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:26,040
Speaker 1: a case for both sides here, Scooch. I have to

433
00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:30,520
Speaker 1: be against somebody. It's how I live. I live for

434
00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:34,640
Speaker 1: for adversary of the relationships and conflict. Yeah, if you're

435
00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:41,959
Speaker 1: not with me, you're against me. Get on fucking board, Scooch. Okay, alright,

436
00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:46,480
Speaker 1: Indianapolis Colts at the Washington Redskins. The Washington Redskins who

437
00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:50,040
Speaker 1: beat up on the hapless Arizona Cardinals. Are that I've

438
00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:53,960
Speaker 1: already bet to cover a two touchdown spread. Are six

439
00:23:54,359 --> 00:24:00,199
Speaker 1: point favorites against the Colts. Yeah, and and here again

440
00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 1: just the case I kind of made with the Colts

441
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:04,240
Speaker 1: in that game against the Bengals. They were able to

442
00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:07,600
Speaker 1: move the ball. It was Andrew Luck's first game out

443
00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:12,080
Speaker 1: in a while. I I don't think he played that bad.

444
00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:14,960
Speaker 1: I think he looked okay. So I think there's this

445
00:24:15,080 --> 00:24:17,160
Speaker 1: is a lot of points where we're taking into account

446
00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:20,359
Speaker 1: how good the Redskins looked. So we're taken into account

447
00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:22,720
Speaker 1: the public who we think they're gonna come in on.

448
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:25,119
Speaker 1: So that's why this line is as high as it is.

449
00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:27,359
Speaker 1: But it's a little it's a little inflated. And I

450
00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:29,280
Speaker 1: think the Colts plus the five and a half is

451
00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:33,280
Speaker 1: the play here. I do too. The thing that worries

452
00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:38,200
Speaker 1: me is the Colts defense is just so bad, like

453
00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 1: it's dreadful. And look, Andrew Luck was amazing and I

454
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:45,679
Speaker 1: definitely was so nervous when he had the ball at

455
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,200
Speaker 1: the end then they were going to drive and score

456
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:50,679
Speaker 1: a touchdown. I didn't think the Bengals will be able

457
00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:53,600
Speaker 1: to stop him like he looked amazing and so um

458
00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:55,720
Speaker 1: he looked like Andrew Luck. You know, you forget how

459
00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:59,639
Speaker 1: sort of Clutchy really was. Um, I don't know. I

460
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:03,080
Speaker 1: didn't wach enough of the Redskins Cardinals game to know, like,

461
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:05,320
Speaker 1: how did the Redskins win that game? What did they

462
00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:09,639
Speaker 1: do that the Cardinals were so bad at that the

463
00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:12,480
Speaker 1: Cults might be better at. That sort of gives people

464
00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:15,320
Speaker 1: the wrong perception. Yeah, and I and I will agree

465
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:18,520
Speaker 1: with you even as not. I wasn't impressed with the

466
00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 1: Bengals offense against the Colts, but the Colts defense did

467
00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:24,080
Speaker 1: look pretty bad and that that does concern me a

468
00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:28,160
Speaker 1: little bit. Um, I think was more of Washington's defense

469
00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:32,520
Speaker 1: against Arizona and Arizona's lack of offense that kind of

470
00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:36,120
Speaker 1: struck me more so than you know, thinking that Washington

471
00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:40,040
Speaker 1: is just explosive on offense. You didn't really help me there,

472
00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:43,280
Speaker 1: not at all. You didn't give me the you know

473
00:25:43,320 --> 00:25:47,000
Speaker 1: what you did there. You rejected the premise of the question.

474
00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:50,359
Speaker 1: I asked you a very specific question, what did the

475
00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:53,560
Speaker 1: car what did the Redskins do to win that game?

476
00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:58,919
Speaker 1: And uh, what you told me was that, Um, the

477
00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:01,840
Speaker 1: Colts defense defense isn't very good, and that the Cardinals

478
00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:05,800
Speaker 1: weren't very good. Well, that's what Washington did to beat Arizona.

479
00:26:05,960 --> 00:26:09,679
Speaker 1: They their defense, their defense was was good. Arizona's defense

480
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:16,280
Speaker 1: offense was terrible. That listen, that is the kind of

481
00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:21,200
Speaker 1: insight that has so many people downloaded this podcast. They

482
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:25,320
Speaker 1: can't get that commentary. You can't get that anywhere. You

483
00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:27,360
Speaker 1: can only get that if you're talking to the bookmaker

484
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:31,200
Speaker 1: to the world, Bob Scucci. How's your business still still growing?

485
00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:33,600
Speaker 1: Still flying? Have you open any more sports books in

486
00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:37,160
Speaker 1: any more states? Not yet. We're working on it, closer,

487
00:26:37,560 --> 00:26:39,639
Speaker 1: working on it. You want to do a deal right

488
00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:42,760
Speaker 1: now in the podcast? What kind of deal? I don't know.

489
00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:46,239
Speaker 1: Let's figure something out. All right, all right, I can

490
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:50,360
Speaker 1: open it. I can open a sports book for you. Okay,

491
00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:56,399
Speaker 1: I believe you can. You're pretty sharp, you said, alright,

492
00:26:56,520 --> 00:27:01,080
Speaker 1: Philadelphia is visiting Tampa Bay. Oh boy, this is a

493
00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:03,400
Speaker 1: great number to talk about what this would have been

494
00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:07,000
Speaker 1: before the games were played on Sunday. This game would

495
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:12,160
Speaker 1: have been six six. Yeah, that's exactly what we made

496
00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:16,320
Speaker 1: six Lescano. Yeah, he was going to remember him, he was.

497
00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:20,879
Speaker 1: I liked him. Now it's three. Yeah, And here's what

498
00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:23,040
Speaker 1: I think before you get into it, before we get

499
00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:26,080
Speaker 1: into it with your the Eagles are good and the

500
00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:31,440
Speaker 1: Bucks are terrible. Analysis, here's my feeling. You're gonna get

501
00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:35,440
Speaker 1: a craploaded action on the Eagles, and this is gonna

502
00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:38,480
Speaker 1: be one of those games where the Bucks are a

503
00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:42,639
Speaker 1: short home dog and it's going to be the action

504
00:27:42,760 --> 00:27:44,879
Speaker 1: coming in the Eagles, and I am going to be

505
00:27:45,040 --> 00:27:49,560
Speaker 1: forced forced to choose the Bucks based on all the

506
00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:55,359
Speaker 1: action coming in on the Eagles. That's what's going to happen. Yeah. Yeah,

507
00:27:55,720 --> 00:27:59,240
Speaker 1: the public is not. It's it's incredible that that Nick

508
00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:01,720
Speaker 1: Foles in the Thills can go on and win a

509
00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:05,320
Speaker 1: Super Bowl, come back the next year, and still the

510
00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:09,520
Speaker 1: public is just not completely sold. They would love to

511
00:28:09,520 --> 00:28:12,479
Speaker 1: see Carson Wentz back in the game. They they're just

512
00:28:12,840 --> 00:28:15,919
Speaker 1: knowing that Nick Foles is the quarterback just doesn't completely

513
00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:20,200
Speaker 1: uh convince them. So I don't think it's gonna be Eagles.

514
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:24,040
Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be probably double. I think, in

515
00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:26,600
Speaker 1: other words, just like a two to one ratio of

516
00:28:26,720 --> 00:28:29,800
Speaker 1: bets on the Eagles to the Buccaneers before the Buccaneers

517
00:28:29,800 --> 00:28:31,880
Speaker 1: beat the Saints. I think you're right, it probably would

518
00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:35,080
Speaker 1: have been a five to one ratio. But uh, people

519
00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:40,040
Speaker 1: remember what they've seen most recently, and the Buccaneers really

520
00:28:40,080 --> 00:28:44,360
Speaker 1: looked good. Their offense look good. Uh, they played, they

521
00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:46,840
Speaker 1: beat a team that most people thought, we're gonna go

522
00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:51,000
Speaker 1: deep into the playoffs if not win the NFC, and uh,

523
00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:53,120
Speaker 1: and that's gonna stick in a lot of the public's mind.

524
00:28:53,120 --> 00:28:56,400
Speaker 1: The the Sharp guys will probably be on the Eagles,

525
00:28:56,560 --> 00:28:58,440
Speaker 1: which is rare that they'd be on a favorite. But

526
00:28:58,560 --> 00:29:01,280
Speaker 1: I agree with you because is there's more value in

527
00:29:01,320 --> 00:29:04,880
Speaker 1: the number. If a week ago you could have, uh,

528
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:06,640
Speaker 1: you know, you would have had to lay minus six

529
00:29:06,720 --> 00:29:10,280
Speaker 1: and now you're only laying minus three. Um, I think

530
00:29:10,280 --> 00:29:14,160
Speaker 1: the Sharp guys will probably lay this number right now

531
00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:18,200
Speaker 1: according to the Action Network app, about the bets are

532
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:24,720
Speaker 1: on the Eagles how much? Okay, I'm I'm seeing probably

533
00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:27,760
Speaker 1: about a two and a half to one ratio Eagles

534
00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:30,280
Speaker 1: to Buccaneers. Maybe we need to get the BOYD Gaming

535
00:29:30,320 --> 00:29:33,240
Speaker 1: properties into the Action Network app so we can track

536
00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:35,880
Speaker 1: those lines specifically. That's the deal you and I ought

537
00:29:35,880 --> 00:29:38,520
Speaker 1: to do. Say you're already trying to open another sports book,

538
00:29:38,600 --> 00:29:41,040
Speaker 1: look at that. Gonna work on that after the show.

539
00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:45,800
Speaker 1: After the show, why don't you connect me to your people,

540
00:29:46,840 --> 00:29:49,680
Speaker 1: and I'll connect you to my people, and they can

541
00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:53,480
Speaker 1: have a preliminary conversation. They can send fifteen to sixteen

542
00:29:53,560 --> 00:29:57,360
Speaker 1: emails and eventually, uh tie it back together with me

543
00:29:57,440 --> 00:30:02,320
Speaker 1: needing to talk to you. Okay, that sounds about right,

544
00:30:02,480 --> 00:30:05,560
Speaker 1: And by the time we get to January, you and

545
00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:10,040
Speaker 1: I will be uh having a conversation about how we're

546
00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:14,760
Speaker 1: going to try to paper this deal for next football season. Wow. Boy,

547
00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:17,680
Speaker 1: that mine's always spending, isn't it, When we could just

548
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:21,240
Speaker 1: paper this deal right now and let's just do it.

549
00:30:21,320 --> 00:30:23,640
Speaker 1: Let's just get the deal done, alright. Alright, So here's

550
00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:25,760
Speaker 1: the thing. I'm gonna have to bet on Tampa. No,

551
00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:28,040
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do it. I'm gonna avoid this game.

552
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:32,520
Speaker 1: Forget that I said that. Wow, second guest in yourself,

553
00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:35,640
Speaker 1: that's not that doesn't sound like a wise guy. I'm

554
00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:39,120
Speaker 1: lacking a little bit of confidence, right, Yeah, you're just

555
00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:44,120
Speaker 1: flip flopping. Well, the week one like just screwed the

556
00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:47,280
Speaker 1: funk out of me. Like I'm not even kidding like

557
00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:51,520
Speaker 1: those freaking Giants, those freaking Texans, the Titans. Are you

558
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:57,920
Speaker 1: kidding me? The Titans? No? No, no. Also, and I've

559
00:30:57,920 --> 00:30:59,880
Speaker 1: said this before. I said this with with Schwartz and

560
00:31:00,040 --> 00:31:05,120
Speaker 1: Laduca on the Favorites that we aired on Monday. Um,

561
00:31:05,160 --> 00:31:08,120
Speaker 1: this roughing the passer penalty is going to give me

562
00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:12,240
Speaker 1: a heart attack. Yeah, a full scale heart attack. It

563
00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:15,320
Speaker 1: is gonna cost people so much money this year. So

564
00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:18,720
Speaker 1: many drives are going to be extended because some defensive

565
00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 1: lineman throws all of his body weight onto a quarterback.

566
00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:24,240
Speaker 1: How are you supposed to stop yourself? This is the

567
00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:29,360
Speaker 1: stupidest rule in the history of rules. It's been getting

568
00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:32,000
Speaker 1: worse and worse every year. You know, you can't hit

569
00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:34,040
Speaker 1: him high. Then you can't hit him low and take

570
00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:37,640
Speaker 1: him out his legs in front, and you can't, you know,

571
00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:40,720
Speaker 1: lead with the helmet, you can't. You basically can't touch

572
00:31:40,800 --> 00:31:43,800
Speaker 1: him anymore. But now, if you're rushing the passer and

573
00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:47,280
Speaker 1: your momentum carries you into it, I mean, it's a flag.

574
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:50,960
Speaker 1: So now you have to somehow stop your momentum. Uh.

575
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:53,200
Speaker 1: You know, I've seen guys like throwing up their hands

576
00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:55,360
Speaker 1: knowing that, hey, there's gonna be a collision here. I

577
00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:59,360
Speaker 1: can't stop myself, but so so the only answer is

578
00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:01,720
Speaker 1: to just slow down the rush, which means you're going

579
00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:03,680
Speaker 1: to give him more time in the pocket, and there's

580
00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:07,320
Speaker 1: gonna be like you said, uh, scoring tribes extended and

581
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:10,000
Speaker 1: and more scoring and and so we're gonna see these

582
00:32:10,040 --> 00:32:13,600
Speaker 1: these totals go go higher and higher. You can't even

583
00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:19,280
Speaker 1: hit him with the hind no anywhere just and then, uh,

584
00:32:19,360 --> 00:32:21,200
Speaker 1: you know, if you're driving him to the ground, I

585
00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:23,520
Speaker 1: mean let you gotta let up. And you can't swing,

586
00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:27,120
Speaker 1: and you can't you can't do anything with them. The

587
00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:29,320
Speaker 1: New York Jets are now three point favorites over the

588
00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:32,680
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins. What are you doing? What are you doing?

589
00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:38,760
Speaker 1: So you already saw the money coming in on the Dolphins. Huh, Jesus,

590
00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:43,000
Speaker 1: you are you know, gusking to get beaten on that game.

591
00:32:44,120 --> 00:32:46,520
Speaker 1: So three, I think three is a solid number. We

592
00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:48,960
Speaker 1: know the wise as are gonna take the three which

593
00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:53,360
Speaker 1: they already have. And uh again the public season remembers

594
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:56,080
Speaker 1: what they see, they've seen last and uh they saw

595
00:32:56,120 --> 00:33:00,080
Speaker 1: the Jets beat beat the Lions. I agree with the

596
00:33:00,320 --> 00:33:02,400
Speaker 1: I think I think we made this a little too high.

597
00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:04,680
Speaker 1: We're gonna be quick to move it. So the liability

598
00:33:04,680 --> 00:33:08,600
Speaker 1: we already have now on the Dolphins, Uh, we're not

599
00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:11,320
Speaker 1: going to double down on it. We're just gonna, uh,

600
00:33:11,320 --> 00:33:14,240
Speaker 1: we're gonna move this very quickly. It'll probably close Jets

601
00:33:14,800 --> 00:33:17,560
Speaker 1: Jets one and a half. Jeff Jets too, might even

602
00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:20,480
Speaker 1: move it right now. To be honest with you, line change,

603
00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:24,600
Speaker 1: line change, line change, we're going to two and a half.

604
00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:26,320
Speaker 1: You know, we have new producers of the podcast. They

605
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:30,840
Speaker 1: don't know that when there's a line move on the podcast,

606
00:33:30,960 --> 00:33:33,680
Speaker 1: we we celebrate it like it's a big deal. It's

607
00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:36,680
Speaker 1: like news has happened. They're looking at me like like

608
00:33:36,720 --> 00:33:38,880
Speaker 1: I don't know what I'm talking about it, but like

609
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:42,520
Speaker 1: Scoochs just changed a line, Like we need to celebrate this,

610
00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:47,240
Speaker 1: We need to acknowledge that, like real, something real happened

611
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:52,520
Speaker 1: on this podcast. Just now. Another justification for the line change.

612
00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:55,680
Speaker 1: When we when we lose on a team the previous

613
00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:59,480
Speaker 1: week and and feel like the line was not it

614
00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:01,960
Speaker 1: was a little soft line, then will make an adjustment.

615
00:34:02,040 --> 00:34:05,440
Speaker 1: So the Dolphins last week, even though it was a

616
00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:08,879
Speaker 1: nine hour game or whatever it was from that weather delay. Uh,

617
00:34:08,920 --> 00:34:10,600
Speaker 1: we were on the wrong side of that one. So

618
00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:12,960
Speaker 1: we're not We're not going to get me twice on it.

619
00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:17,319
Speaker 1: I do want to make one change. Yeah, I've I've

620
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:22,520
Speaker 1: railed on the Southeastern teams and they're uh their uniforms. Yeah,

621
00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:26,440
Speaker 1: I love the Titans new helmets, really love them. I

622
00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:30,400
Speaker 1: love that, like deep navy blue color. I could go

623
00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:34,120
Speaker 1: for that. I'm not sure which teams I've seen that

624
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:37,080
Speaker 1: have the kind of crevices in the helmets. I kind

625
00:34:37,080 --> 00:34:39,279
Speaker 1: of like that. Look. They're more like a have you

626
00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:41,640
Speaker 1: seen these? They're not smooth helmets? Is that? Is that

627
00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:45,640
Speaker 1: all the teams now wearing those kind of helmets that

628
00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:48,799
Speaker 1: are not exactly smooth? Have you you know what I'm

629
00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:51,600
Speaker 1: talking about? Or am I just Lou the producer is

630
00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:53,120
Speaker 1: not in his head he knows what you're talking about.

631
00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:55,480
Speaker 1: I have no idea what you're talking about. Yeah, they're

632
00:34:55,520 --> 00:34:58,480
Speaker 1: kind of they're kind of cool. They look like kind

633
00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:02,799
Speaker 1: of a new type of war war game video game

634
00:35:02,880 --> 00:35:04,880
Speaker 1: that they're that they have on their They're kind of

635
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:07,879
Speaker 1: new new look. I like it because football needs more

636
00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:12,640
Speaker 1: references to violence. Uh. The Los Angeles Chargers are seven

637
00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:15,560
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites over the Buffalo Bills. Um

638
00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:19,560
Speaker 1: hard not a like this is gonna be one of

639
00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:24,280
Speaker 1: those games, hud. So here's what I'm Here's what I'm saying.

640
00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:32,719
Speaker 1: Like game, huge, huge, road favorite. Huge. What do I

641
00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:35,239
Speaker 1: do about this? I'm gonna have to bet the Buffalo Bills.

642
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:39,120
Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to bet the Buffalo Bills as seven

643
00:35:39,160 --> 00:35:43,280
Speaker 1: and a half point home underdogs against the Los Angeles Chargers.

644
00:35:44,560 --> 00:35:46,720
Speaker 1: Are you getting that money? Are you getting that money?

645
00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:49,080
Speaker 1: Are you getting that money? In the Bills? I am.

646
00:35:49,160 --> 00:35:51,640
Speaker 1: I'm at seven and a half and uh and they're

647
00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:54,000
Speaker 1: taking the plus seven and a half and they can

648
00:35:54,040 --> 00:36:00,360
Speaker 1: take it all day long because is probably concerned privative.

649
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:03,160
Speaker 1: I mean, it's just a bet against the Bills for

650
00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:06,960
Speaker 1: the public. There's absolutely no way the public and they're

651
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:09,680
Speaker 1: not even sure which quarterback they're gonna get. We talked

652
00:36:09,680 --> 00:36:13,279
Speaker 1: a little bit about Peterman last week. He left right

653
00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:16,000
Speaker 1: off from from last year with the with the five

654
00:36:16,040 --> 00:36:18,919
Speaker 1: interceptions that I mean that that was bad. And so

655
00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:23,000
Speaker 1: to bring in a rookie quarterback again, you know, for

656
00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:26,760
Speaker 1: for this game, Um, the Charges still have a good defense.

657
00:36:27,560 --> 00:36:30,279
Speaker 1: You you know, they played a tough team. You can't

658
00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:32,480
Speaker 1: just say that they lost last week and so they're

659
00:36:32,480 --> 00:36:34,040
Speaker 1: not as good as you thought they were. That the

660
00:36:34,120 --> 00:36:36,280
Speaker 1: Chargers still a good team. It's a lot of points

661
00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:39,480
Speaker 1: to lay on the on the road, but I think

662
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:42,520
Speaker 1: I'll just take all the bills money here. Maybe I'll

663
00:36:42,520 --> 00:36:46,719
Speaker 1: pass on that game. Okay, all right, do you have

664
00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:48,560
Speaker 1: Tennessee Houston on the border? Is not on the board

665
00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:50,839
Speaker 1: right now because we don't know about Mary, We don't

666
00:36:50,840 --> 00:36:55,239
Speaker 1: know about Mariota. We don't know about DeShawn Watson. Uh,

667
00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:57,360
Speaker 1: I mean both of them. It could be one two

668
00:36:57,520 --> 00:36:59,880
Speaker 1: or either of them, so we we need more information.

669
00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:04,759
Speaker 1: Pass Carolina Atlanta. Atlanta is a five and a half

670
00:37:04,760 --> 00:37:10,200
Speaker 1: point favorite, but um, they've had some injuries and I

671
00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:13,920
Speaker 1: feel like, why did you make the line the way

672
00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:16,560
Speaker 1: it is? And who's betting which way? This was a real,

673
00:37:16,880 --> 00:37:22,120
Speaker 1: real tough one because we have Atlanta rated pretty high. Uh.

674
00:37:22,200 --> 00:37:25,480
Speaker 1: And then we adjusted them slightly after after game one,

675
00:37:25,520 --> 00:37:29,080
Speaker 1: but but after their first game, but but not much.

676
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:34,279
Speaker 1: And Carolina, Uh, their defense looked looked great. We made

677
00:37:34,400 --> 00:37:37,319
Speaker 1: a slight adjustment on Carolina. I think we're a little

678
00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:39,080
Speaker 1: I thought we were going to be high when I

679
00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:42,640
Speaker 1: when I hung this number. Uh at uh we hung

680
00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:44,160
Speaker 1: it at four and a half. I thought we were

681
00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:47,280
Speaker 1: going to be high, and it turns out there laying

682
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:49,120
Speaker 1: the four and a half. We just as since we

683
00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:51,560
Speaker 1: started the podcast, we've moved it to five and a

684
00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:55,080
Speaker 1: half and I see some six is popping out. So

685
00:37:55,840 --> 00:37:58,520
Speaker 1: there's some money coming in on Atlanta right now, which

686
00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:01,879
Speaker 1: surprises me a little bit. I'm very surprised by that.

687
00:38:03,360 --> 00:38:05,880
Speaker 1: Uh you know, unless there's an injury with the Panthers

688
00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:08,680
Speaker 1: that I'm I mean, I know, uh Luke Keickley kind

689
00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:11,359
Speaker 1: of went down with uh you know, either his shin

690
00:38:11,520 --> 00:38:14,000
Speaker 1: or his leg or his knee. I don't have any

691
00:38:14,000 --> 00:38:17,160
Speaker 1: new information on him, but unless somebody knows of something

692
00:38:17,200 --> 00:38:20,640
Speaker 1: that that we don't. But they're they're in the last hour,

693
00:38:20,760 --> 00:38:23,560
Speaker 1: there's been some heavy money on Atlanta. Hold on, I'm

694
00:38:23,560 --> 00:38:25,520
Speaker 1: getting a note from the producer and it looks like

695
00:38:25,560 --> 00:38:32,720
Speaker 1: he's telling me to buy Meta Muesl. So I'm not sure. Oh,

696
00:38:32,760 --> 00:38:36,600
Speaker 1: Greg Olsen is out. Yeah, but Dion Jones, a linebacker

697
00:38:36,640 --> 00:38:40,480
Speaker 1: for the Falcons, is out. So that, uh, I mean,

698
00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:42,920
Speaker 1: I can't I don't see that being enough to to

699
00:38:43,040 --> 00:38:45,839
Speaker 1: drive the line up to six. I don't either, And

700
00:38:45,880 --> 00:38:48,080
Speaker 1: we're getting more. We might even go to six as

701
00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:50,960
Speaker 1: as we speak. Should we do it? Let's do it?

702
00:38:52,080 --> 00:38:56,400
Speaker 1: Here we go. So let's like, I can't give an

703
00:38:56,400 --> 00:38:57,960
Speaker 1: opinion on that game. I can't give a side on

704
00:38:58,040 --> 00:39:00,200
Speaker 1: that game. I don't think either of a seer real Anda,

705
00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:02,800
Speaker 1: you've got dead numbers. You're moving into a live number

706
00:39:03,160 --> 00:39:05,400
Speaker 1: with teams that like, we don't have a real handle

707
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:09,040
Speaker 1: on yet. I favor the Panthers here. I I kind

708
00:39:09,080 --> 00:39:13,439
Speaker 1: of like taking I wouldn't mind taking the plus six. Yeah,

709
00:39:13,880 --> 00:39:17,560
Speaker 1: minde that down, alright. New Orleans Saints the team I

710
00:39:17,600 --> 00:39:21,359
Speaker 1: have a super Bowl ticket on, which was uncomfortable on Sunday.

711
00:39:21,600 --> 00:39:25,799
Speaker 1: Uh minus nine over the Brownies. Yeah, I think they

712
00:39:25,840 --> 00:39:29,480
Speaker 1: bounced back. This game scares me and I'm I'm gonna

713
00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:32,200
Speaker 1: be high on them. Uh. I still look at the

714
00:39:32,239 --> 00:39:35,759
Speaker 1: first three quarters of that brown Steelers game and uh

715
00:39:35,800 --> 00:39:38,799
Speaker 1: I started thinking, boy, when am I ever gonna learn

716
00:39:38,800 --> 00:39:41,200
Speaker 1: about these this Brown's team. But then they surprised me

717
00:39:41,239 --> 00:39:44,960
Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter. So but I don't think they

718
00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:47,799
Speaker 1: get as lucky again. Um, it's a Saints team that's

719
00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:52,439
Speaker 1: not gonna lose a second game. Uh So I think

720
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:54,080
Speaker 1: the Saints has roll them in this one. So we

721
00:39:54,200 --> 00:39:56,560
Speaker 1: wanted to be on the high side. The public agrees

722
00:39:56,640 --> 00:39:58,880
Speaker 1: with me. Uh this is another game that's going to

723
00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:01,840
Speaker 1: be probably close to eight twenty, you know, maybe eighty,

724
00:40:02,760 --> 00:40:05,879
Speaker 1: maybe seventy twenty. I don't know, but it's it's definitely uh,

725
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:10,960
Speaker 1: you know you need to have it. You can't be seven.

726
00:40:13,120 --> 00:40:15,960
Speaker 1: I want to I want to bet at your bookmaking

727
00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:19,319
Speaker 1: shop because clearly the math isn't working. Do you know

728
00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:21,760
Speaker 1: what I'm looking at. I'm looking at there's seven hundred

729
00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:24,400
Speaker 1: and twenty tickets to a hundred and ninety tickets, So

730
00:40:24,440 --> 00:40:27,960
Speaker 1: I'm looking at seven and ninety right now. So I'm

731
00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:30,920
Speaker 1: looking So that's what I saw, the seven and the two,

732
00:40:31,040 --> 00:40:34,760
Speaker 1: and I'm thinking the seventy. So it happened sometimes pretty

733
00:40:34,800 --> 00:40:36,520
Speaker 1: high total to you set it at forty seven and

734
00:40:36,560 --> 00:40:39,799
Speaker 1: a half. We're fifty now, wow, I was gonna say,

735
00:40:39,800 --> 00:40:46,200
Speaker 1: and now it's wowser. You're basically expecting the Saints to

736
00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:49,560
Speaker 1: put up a fifty Burgero by themselves. Yeah, and we're

737
00:40:49,600 --> 00:40:53,960
Speaker 1: and the Saints defense, I mean, Ryan Fitzpatrick just lit

738
00:40:54,040 --> 00:40:56,400
Speaker 1: them up. And the Browns were able to move the

739
00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:59,520
Speaker 1: ball at least on on the Pittsburgh Steelers. So even

740
00:40:59,520 --> 00:41:02,440
Speaker 1: though the Saints can can put up forty and fifty,

741
00:41:02,480 --> 00:41:04,640
Speaker 1: I think the Browns can probably put up seventeen to

742
00:41:04,719 --> 00:41:08,520
Speaker 1: twenty on on the Saints. If you had to bet

743
00:41:08,560 --> 00:41:11,600
Speaker 1: this game would you bet the Saints. Yeah, at that

744
00:41:11,640 --> 00:41:15,120
Speaker 1: big of a number. Yeah, I wouldn't. I wouldn't take

745
00:41:15,160 --> 00:41:19,040
Speaker 1: the Browns here Minnesota, Green Bay? Can you post this game?

746
00:41:20,760 --> 00:41:23,480
Speaker 1: So we still have to we still have to wait

747
00:41:23,520 --> 00:41:27,160
Speaker 1: on this one. But it's gonna be it's gonna be

748
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:31,040
Speaker 1: right around one and a half on on Green Bay. Um,

749
00:41:31,080 --> 00:41:34,080
Speaker 1: you know unless Rogers is absolutely if he's definitely out,

750
00:41:34,160 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 1: then Green then Minnesota is going to be about a

751
00:41:37,000 --> 00:41:41,359
Speaker 1: three and a half four point favorite. Wow, he's worth

752
00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:44,160
Speaker 1: about five six points. I think six and a half

753
00:41:44,160 --> 00:41:47,640
Speaker 1: to seven. I think you're underrating him. It's still they're

754
00:41:47,640 --> 00:41:50,479
Speaker 1: still on the road. They're still four and a half.

755
00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:53,399
Speaker 1: We might open. We have to wait. We have to wait,

756
00:41:53,400 --> 00:41:57,200
Speaker 1: to say Scooch, listen to me. Yeah, I'm telling you

757
00:41:57,280 --> 00:41:59,520
Speaker 1: right now, Aaron Rodgers with six and a half to

758
00:41:59,560 --> 00:42:02,359
Speaker 1: seven to the point spread, if you post this game

759
00:42:02,360 --> 00:42:04,680
Speaker 1: at three, you're going to get bet up to four

760
00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:07,799
Speaker 1: and a half or five so fast you will not

761
00:42:07,960 --> 00:42:10,719
Speaker 1: know what hit you. You will be so sad, you

762
00:42:10,760 --> 00:42:13,759
Speaker 1: will be What do you say? I thought I said

763
00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:16,359
Speaker 1: four and a half? Five? Did I say three? Well,

764
00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:18,359
Speaker 1: you said you said the equivalent of what was gonna

765
00:42:18,400 --> 00:42:24,680
Speaker 1: be five points? Okay, dude, all right, all right, believe

766
00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:26,000
Speaker 1: you and me. If you need me to come down

767
00:42:26,040 --> 00:42:29,120
Speaker 1: there and do the percentages and set the book for you, Okay,

768
00:42:29,239 --> 00:42:31,680
Speaker 1: well you can do it all. I don't. I don't

769
00:42:31,719 --> 00:42:33,160
Speaker 1: really want to talk about this game because we can't

770
00:42:33,160 --> 00:42:37,440
Speaker 1: say anything yet. Okay, alright, San Francisco Detroit. San Francisco

771
00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:39,560
Speaker 1: is a five and a half point favorite. This game

772
00:42:39,640 --> 00:42:42,160
Speaker 1: was opened at three. I'm assuming that opener was before

773
00:42:42,160 --> 00:42:46,360
Speaker 1: the Week one games ended. Um, the Lions looked awful.

774
00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:48,720
Speaker 1: A little bit of the bloom is off the rows

775
00:42:49,200 --> 00:42:54,839
Speaker 1: on the Niners. Tell me about your methodology here. Uh, well,

776
00:42:54,880 --> 00:42:56,840
Speaker 1: we weren't real high on the Niners going in. We

777
00:42:56,920 --> 00:42:58,640
Speaker 1: kind of thought that they were going to be a

778
00:42:58,680 --> 00:43:02,719
Speaker 1: little overrated going into going into Week one. I was

779
00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:04,919
Speaker 1: kind of hoping we were wrong, because it turned out

780
00:43:05,480 --> 00:43:09,600
Speaker 1: we needed them pretty big against the Vikings. Um. A

781
00:43:09,600 --> 00:43:11,920
Speaker 1: couple of just a couple of plays was the difference

782
00:43:11,960 --> 00:43:15,000
Speaker 1: in that game. So I don't. I don't think the

783
00:43:14,000 --> 00:43:17,880
Speaker 1: uh the forty Niners played a bad game. Uh, not

784
00:43:18,080 --> 00:43:20,080
Speaker 1: enough to really adjust it too much. I think the

785
00:43:20,080 --> 00:43:23,799
Speaker 1: adjustments all had to come on the Detroit Lions side. Um,

786
00:43:24,200 --> 00:43:27,160
Speaker 1: and uh, you know, we still don't know what to

787
00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:30,840
Speaker 1: make of the coaching with with Matt Patricia, and there's

788
00:43:31,600 --> 00:43:33,640
Speaker 1: you know, not a whole lot to take that was

789
00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:37,400
Speaker 1: positive from that game against the Jets. So we're just

790
00:43:37,400 --> 00:43:40,600
Speaker 1: trying to anticipate a lot of public money coming in

791
00:43:40,719 --> 00:43:44,400
Speaker 1: and what number do we think we'll drive the sharp

792
00:43:44,440 --> 00:43:47,160
Speaker 1: guys to take the Lions in this one? And it

793
00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:52,040
Speaker 1: doesn't seem like five and a half is high enough here. Um,

794
00:43:52,280 --> 00:43:54,400
Speaker 1: the public is on this game at a rate of

795
00:43:54,480 --> 00:43:59,160
Speaker 1: about four to one, you know, watching the red zone.

796
00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:01,440
Speaker 1: It seemed like every time they went to this game,

797
00:44:02,239 --> 00:44:05,919
Speaker 1: Jimmy g had the ball and an opportunity to keep

798
00:44:05,920 --> 00:44:08,040
Speaker 1: his team in the game. And it wasn't until the

799
00:44:08,160 --> 00:44:09,840
Speaker 1: very end that they were just out of it. But

800
00:44:09,880 --> 00:44:12,799
Speaker 1: that was astonishing, like they were getting dominated in that

801
00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:15,719
Speaker 1: game and yet he kept it close enough. He threw

802
00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:17,800
Speaker 1: a lot of picks and so you know, that's a

803
00:44:17,800 --> 00:44:20,440
Speaker 1: big reason why they lost. But I was also impressed

804
00:44:20,480 --> 00:44:23,719
Speaker 1: that it just seemed like he was making some good

805
00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:25,799
Speaker 1: throws that kept them in that game, and that was

806
00:44:25,960 --> 00:44:28,360
Speaker 1: he was. Yeah, there was one pick six where the

807
00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:31,200
Speaker 1: receiver fell or maybe it wasn't a pick six, but

808
00:44:31,200 --> 00:44:33,279
Speaker 1: it was close enough to the goal line where but

809
00:44:33,719 --> 00:44:36,040
Speaker 1: it was he couldn't pin that one on him. He

810
00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:38,359
Speaker 1: threw it to where it needed to be thrown, then

811
00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:40,880
Speaker 1: the receiver fell, and then there was the fumble by

812
00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:43,040
Speaker 1: the forty niners on the one yard line as they're

813
00:44:43,080 --> 00:44:46,279
Speaker 1: going into to score a touchdown. Uh so, so some

814
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:49,160
Speaker 1: real big swings. There was one play they had the

815
00:44:49,239 --> 00:44:52,319
Speaker 1: receiver wide open and went on his fingertips. He would

816
00:44:52,320 --> 00:44:55,359
Speaker 1: have been easy touchdown and he wasn't able to pull

817
00:44:55,360 --> 00:44:58,080
Speaker 1: it in. And the very next play I think was

818
00:44:58,120 --> 00:44:59,839
Speaker 1: the pick six, So there was like a four team

819
00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:03,359
Speaker 1: points swing on that just within two plays. So, um,

820
00:45:03,640 --> 00:45:07,480
Speaker 1: the team is about right about where we we thought

821
00:45:07,480 --> 00:45:09,399
Speaker 1: they should be. We're not going to just too much.

822
00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:12,880
Speaker 1: Uh this Lions team though, And I thought it was interesting.

823
00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:16,239
Speaker 1: I think seven new coaches first year coaches, and all

824
00:45:16,280 --> 00:45:19,600
Speaker 1: seven lost their first game. Oh and seven with the

825
00:45:20,000 --> 00:45:28,759
Speaker 1: new coaches. So or according to your math, okay, I

826
00:45:28,880 --> 00:45:33,080
Speaker 1: deserve that one. I got there fast, you did, Yeah,

827
00:45:33,160 --> 00:45:36,319
Speaker 1: go ahead, well listen, but the analysis you just gave

828
00:45:36,360 --> 00:45:38,279
Speaker 1: a spot on. That's what makes betting so hard, right

829
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:40,919
Speaker 1: because people will look at the box score and see

830
00:45:40,960 --> 00:45:43,120
Speaker 1: that they lost to the Vikings and that they were

831
00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:45,239
Speaker 1: losing the whole game. They won't know that they were

832
00:45:45,280 --> 00:45:48,560
Speaker 1: like four key plays that were the difference between them

833
00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:52,680
Speaker 1: keeping the considerably closer being ahead. And so to me,

834
00:45:52,760 --> 00:45:56,160
Speaker 1: I look at that line and think, oh, maybe the

835
00:45:56,239 --> 00:45:58,000
Speaker 1: Niners might be the right side at a dead number

836
00:45:58,040 --> 00:45:59,399
Speaker 1: of five and a half, and I should probably try

837
00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:01,080
Speaker 1: to get it if I liked them a little bit.

838
00:46:01,200 --> 00:46:03,600
Speaker 1: Because the Lions, there was no escaping it. Like there

839
00:46:03,680 --> 00:46:06,719
Speaker 1: is no hidden box score, that box score stat that

840
00:46:06,719 --> 00:46:08,200
Speaker 1: can tell me the lines were any better than what

841
00:46:08,239 --> 00:46:11,880
Speaker 1: they were. They were just awful, correct. Yeah, there was

842
00:46:11,920 --> 00:46:14,400
Speaker 1: nothing to take from them from that game that was positive.

843
00:46:14,840 --> 00:46:16,920
Speaker 1: All right, we're wrapping it up here. We got three

844
00:46:16,920 --> 00:46:20,040
Speaker 1: more games Denver before we get a Scooterrough at Denver

845
00:46:20,120 --> 00:46:23,560
Speaker 1: five and a half point favorites over the Raiders. Uh,

846
00:46:23,680 --> 00:46:25,640
Speaker 1: Denver disappointed me. I thought they should have put the

847
00:46:25,680 --> 00:46:28,080
Speaker 1: Seahawks away so many times, and they just let them

848
00:46:28,400 --> 00:46:30,600
Speaker 1: let them hang around. Their defense was not nearly as

849
00:46:30,600 --> 00:46:33,279
Speaker 1: good as I thought they would be. Yeah, same here

850
00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:37,200
Speaker 1: and uh in case Keenum wasn't as sharp as uh,

851
00:46:37,400 --> 00:46:40,160
Speaker 1: not that we had like some real high expectations of him.

852
00:46:40,200 --> 00:46:43,799
Speaker 1: But he didn't look great either. Uh. We we talked

853
00:46:43,840 --> 00:46:45,719
Speaker 1: about it before that there was some sharp money on

854
00:46:45,760 --> 00:46:49,000
Speaker 1: the Broncos going into the season, and we're trying to

855
00:46:49,040 --> 00:46:51,960
Speaker 1: decipher what everyone was, what those guys were seeing that

856
00:46:52,000 --> 00:46:54,480
Speaker 1: we weren't necessarily seeing, so we we tried to be

857
00:46:54,520 --> 00:46:57,279
Speaker 1: a little high on them. We certainly did not need

858
00:46:57,360 --> 00:47:02,200
Speaker 1: Denver in that game last week, so a little disappointing there,

859
00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:06,479
Speaker 1: But so we tried to be high on the game

860
00:47:06,520 --> 00:47:11,160
Speaker 1: against the Raiders here. And you know, the line was

861
00:47:11,280 --> 00:47:15,200
Speaker 1: probably gonna be about Denver three and a half four

862
00:47:15,239 --> 00:47:19,480
Speaker 1: point favorite um before before last week's game, so we

863
00:47:19,520 --> 00:47:21,920
Speaker 1: thought five and a half was kind of inflated when

864
00:47:21,960 --> 00:47:24,520
Speaker 1: we hung it. But the first couple of bets out

865
00:47:24,520 --> 00:47:28,520
Speaker 1: of the gate, we're on Denver, So I'm sorry, we're

866
00:47:28,560 --> 00:47:31,480
Speaker 1: on the Raiders. The first couple of bets were at

867
00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:34,280
Speaker 1: plus five and a half on the Raiders, which surprised

868
00:47:34,320 --> 00:47:37,799
Speaker 1: me a little bit. Um. I thought that we'd uh.

869
00:47:38,120 --> 00:47:40,719
Speaker 1: I thought we'd see more Broncos money here. So the

870
00:47:41,120 --> 00:47:44,080
Speaker 1: ticket account is dead even and the money's on the Raiders.

871
00:47:44,080 --> 00:47:47,520
Speaker 1: So I guess that first half uh that the Raiders

872
00:47:47,520 --> 00:47:50,799
Speaker 1: played against the Rams was impressive enough, uh for for

873
00:47:51,040 --> 00:47:54,120
Speaker 1: to make the betters believe that they're the right side here.

874
00:47:55,160 --> 00:47:57,640
Speaker 1: We got two prime time games. One of them is

875
00:47:57,640 --> 00:47:59,880
Speaker 1: the New York Giants plus three against the Dallas Cowboys.

876
00:48:00,480 --> 00:48:04,440
Speaker 1: People with any knowledge at all are gonna bet those

877
00:48:04,440 --> 00:48:11,279
Speaker 1: Giants like they need them for their lungs. Scooch. Yeah. Uh,

878
00:48:11,440 --> 00:48:17,000
Speaker 1: Cowboys were horrendous. Yeah, they did not look good. Um,

879
00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:20,839
Speaker 1: they didn't look good at all. This is I mean

880
00:48:21,560 --> 00:48:26,440
Speaker 1: a matchup like this primetime Giants and Dallas almost always

881
00:48:26,480 --> 00:48:29,440
Speaker 1: you're going to see some equal amount of bets on

882
00:48:29,480 --> 00:48:33,719
Speaker 1: both these teams. Uh. So we're slightly heavy on on

883
00:48:33,800 --> 00:48:36,919
Speaker 1: the Giants, uh in terms of ticket account but we're

884
00:48:37,120 --> 00:48:40,040
Speaker 1: really heavy. This is probably the most bet game in

885
00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:42,920
Speaker 1: terms of the wise guys. As I'm looking at this,

886
00:48:43,040 --> 00:48:46,600
Speaker 1: it's probably a toss up between the Dolphins and the Giants.

887
00:48:46,960 --> 00:48:49,680
Speaker 1: And if you remember, I just moved the Dolphins during

888
00:48:49,719 --> 00:48:53,040
Speaker 1: the podcast here, so uh, the Giants might be the

889
00:48:53,080 --> 00:48:55,600
Speaker 1: next one to fall. Uh. We like to hang a

890
00:48:55,680 --> 00:48:57,680
Speaker 1: solid number and not move on and off of three

891
00:48:57,719 --> 00:49:01,080
Speaker 1: two much, especially this early in the week. Um, but

892
00:49:01,360 --> 00:49:03,920
Speaker 1: there's enough sharp money here on the Giants to to

893
00:49:03,840 --> 00:49:06,480
Speaker 1: to make me want to move this to two and

894
00:49:06,560 --> 00:49:10,399
Speaker 1: a half. Um, the Giants didn't play. You know, there's

895
00:49:10,440 --> 00:49:12,759
Speaker 1: a lot of mistakes in that game against the Jaguars.

896
00:49:12,800 --> 00:49:14,839
Speaker 1: And if you believe that the Jaguars are good enough

897
00:49:14,840 --> 00:49:17,719
Speaker 1: now to beat New England, then uh, it wasn't that

898
00:49:17,800 --> 00:49:20,279
Speaker 1: bad of a loss. Uh. For for the Giants, they're

899
00:49:20,320 --> 00:49:22,520
Speaker 1: dealing with a new coaching staff, and we talked about

900
00:49:22,560 --> 00:49:27,160
Speaker 1: them new offensive line, kind of a whole revamped offense.

901
00:49:27,239 --> 00:49:31,279
Speaker 1: But Uh, anytime Giants and Cowboys play, it's usually a

902
00:49:31,320 --> 00:49:34,400
Speaker 1: tight game. Though. Yeah, And honestly, that's what I was thinking,

903
00:49:34,440 --> 00:49:38,520
Speaker 1: Like the Jaguars were just their defense was amazing. Um.

904
00:49:38,600 --> 00:49:41,920
Speaker 1: And the Giants they did pretty well, considerable. They scored

905
00:49:41,920 --> 00:49:45,440
Speaker 1: fifteen points against a really great defense. Um, and they

906
00:49:45,480 --> 00:49:47,400
Speaker 1: had a couple of bad drops, so they could have

907
00:49:47,440 --> 00:49:50,120
Speaker 1: been even better, right, Whereas the Cowboys didn't do anything

908
00:49:50,160 --> 00:49:51,840
Speaker 1: against the defense that I don't think it is news

909
00:49:51,880 --> 00:49:54,560
Speaker 1: get as the Jags. Um, if it weren't such cliche,

910
00:49:54,600 --> 00:49:56,200
Speaker 1: I'd be all in on the Giants right now. But

911
00:49:56,280 --> 00:49:58,040
Speaker 1: I've done that once before, and I need to find

912
00:49:58,040 --> 00:50:01,880
Speaker 1: a new a new tune to play. Uh. The Chicago

913
00:50:01,920 --> 00:50:05,880
Speaker 1: Bears on Monday night, Um, they are coming off a

914
00:50:05,920 --> 00:50:09,080
Speaker 1: heartbreaking loss. They're playing the Seattle Seahawks. There three and

915
00:50:09,080 --> 00:50:17,080
Speaker 1: a half point favorites, and who are the wise guys

916
00:50:17,080 --> 00:50:20,480
Speaker 1: are right now? Uh, they're on Seattle and we uh,

917
00:50:20,600 --> 00:50:24,080
Speaker 1: we've gone down to three actually actually three minus twenty

918
00:50:24,200 --> 00:50:27,239
Speaker 1: on the Bears. And here's another game that was made

919
00:50:27,239 --> 00:50:30,800
Speaker 1: an adjustment on on both sides, quite an adjustment on

920
00:50:30,840 --> 00:50:33,200
Speaker 1: the Bears. Most of that was with the Khalil mac

921
00:50:33,480 --> 00:50:36,040
Speaker 1: Uh the addition of Khalil Mack and he really lived

922
00:50:36,080 --> 00:50:39,959
Speaker 1: up to every expectation in that game against the Green

923
00:50:40,000 --> 00:50:42,960
Speaker 1: Bay Packers. Um the public now that you know, they

924
00:50:43,960 --> 00:50:46,239
Speaker 1: saw that game and they're on the Bears in this

925
00:50:46,280 --> 00:50:52,400
Speaker 1: one minus three on a primetime game. But uh, I

926
00:50:53,080 --> 00:50:55,560
Speaker 1: don't know, you don't What impressed me the most about

927
00:50:55,680 --> 00:51:00,279
Speaker 1: the Bears is after they lost the lead and wanted

928
00:51:00,320 --> 00:51:03,879
Speaker 1: to see miss Drabinsky and how he responded. This guy

929
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:08,919
Speaker 1: didn't fold. You know, the defense gave up um all

930
00:51:08,920 --> 00:51:11,680
Speaker 1: those points in the fourth quarter with with Aaron Rodgers

931
00:51:11,680 --> 00:51:13,920
Speaker 1: on one leg. So there's really no excuse for that.

932
00:51:14,280 --> 00:51:15,920
Speaker 1: You don't know how much just a tribute to the

933
00:51:15,960 --> 00:51:19,200
Speaker 1: greatness of Aaron Rodgers or how much just to the

934
00:51:19,680 --> 00:51:22,640
Speaker 1: collapse of the Bears defense there. But I think I

935
00:51:22,680 --> 00:51:25,279
Speaker 1: was really most impressed with No matter what situation, mits

936
00:51:25,360 --> 00:51:28,759
Speaker 1: Drabinsky came in, he didn't make a bad play, he

937
00:51:28,800 --> 00:51:32,319
Speaker 1: didn't lose his composure. He looked like he was just

938
00:51:32,360 --> 00:51:35,120
Speaker 1: ready to lead the team right back down. So that

939
00:51:35,400 --> 00:51:38,160
Speaker 1: impressed me. That impressed me quite a bit. Um So

940
00:51:38,760 --> 00:51:42,120
Speaker 1: I could understand the public wanting to bet the Bears

941
00:51:42,120 --> 00:51:45,279
Speaker 1: in this one, but the sharps are on Seattle. I

942
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:47,840
Speaker 1: was convinced, as a Bears fan that when they were losing,

943
00:51:49,520 --> 00:51:51,480
Speaker 1: that the game was going to end on a pick

944
00:51:51,560 --> 00:51:54,680
Speaker 1: six and they weren't even gonna cover. That's what I

945
00:51:54,719 --> 00:51:57,480
Speaker 1: texted my body. I'm like, not only is this a

946
00:51:57,520 --> 00:52:00,440
Speaker 1: devastating loss, but this will be a devastating us for

947
00:52:00,520 --> 00:52:03,680
Speaker 1: me personally. So when they didn't, when they just covered,

948
00:52:03,680 --> 00:52:09,800
Speaker 1: I took it as a wine. Well that's something that's funny.

949
00:52:09,800 --> 00:52:14,200
Speaker 1: How you watch games now? Is it amazing? Yeah? All right, Scooch,

950
00:52:14,239 --> 00:52:21,040
Speaker 1: we gotta play some Scooch roulette. Let's go you one.

951
00:52:21,160 --> 00:52:24,799
Speaker 1: Last week you had the Chicago Bears speaking of I

952
00:52:24,920 --> 00:52:27,759
Speaker 1: had the Houston Texans not speaking of them at all.

953
00:52:28,440 --> 00:52:34,239
Speaker 1: So let's roll. Let's roll them bones. Why why don't

954
00:52:34,280 --> 00:52:37,440
Speaker 1: you go first? Arizona Cardinals plus thirteen versus the Los

955
00:52:37,520 --> 00:52:44,919
Speaker 1: Angeles Rams. Go Panthers plus six against the Falcons. Yep,

956
00:52:45,440 --> 00:52:47,759
Speaker 1: here we go. That's a bold Stallion pick right there.

957
00:52:48,080 --> 00:52:49,759
Speaker 1: Yeah it is. What do you think of my pick?

958
00:52:50,320 --> 00:52:52,040
Speaker 1: I like it. I think that line is gonna come down.

959
00:52:52,080 --> 00:52:53,600
Speaker 1: I think you got a good number. There, got the

960
00:52:53,600 --> 00:52:57,239
Speaker 1: best number. That's all you can dom right there, get

961
00:52:57,239 --> 00:53:01,200
Speaker 1: the best of the number. I like it. Scooch, You're

962
00:53:01,239 --> 00:53:05,160
Speaker 1: my friend. You're my friend. Glad we can connect for

963
00:53:05,239 --> 00:53:12,719
Speaker 1: this time. You're my favorite, You're my favorite person. You're

964
00:53:12,760 --> 00:53:16,640
Speaker 1: my person. All right, buddy, I'm glad we got your

965
00:53:16,680 --> 00:53:18,520
Speaker 1: comrads working, so we'll talk to you a get don't

966
00:53:18,520 --> 00:53:21,160
Speaker 1: turn it off. I won't. I'll leave it on. Everybody

967
00:53:21,160 --> 00:53:23,799
Speaker 1: should listen to the favorites. We have another show coming

968
00:53:23,880 --> 00:53:26,279
Speaker 1: up on Friday, Me and Blackjack will make our five

969
00:53:26,280 --> 00:53:29,640
Speaker 1: picks for the Westgate Super Contest. Tune in Monday, where

970
00:53:29,680 --> 00:53:32,560
Speaker 1: Jeff Schwartz, Paul Duke and I set the week up

971
00:53:32,600 --> 00:53:43,320
Speaker 1: with our favorite bets for the following weekend. Download rate, subscribe, unsubscribe, redownload, resubscribe, review.

972
00:53:43,600 --> 00:53:45,239
Speaker 1: This has been the favorite time. Chat Nolman from the

973
00:53:45,239 --> 00:53:46,359
Speaker 1: Action Network. Thank you