WEBVTT - Tech's Golden Era and Musk's SEC Troubles

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<v Speaker 1>From Marhart where Innovation, Money and Power Collie in Silicon

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<v Speaker 1>Vallet NBN. This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hyde and

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<v Speaker 1>Ed Ludlow.

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<v Speaker 2>And Caroline Heine Bloomberg's world headquarters in New York and

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<v Speaker 2>Amid Lovelow in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 3>This is Bloomberg Technology coming up.

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<v Speaker 2>It has been the year for Nvidio Ali stocks and

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<v Speaker 2>lofty valuations mean more than as like one hundred and

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<v Speaker 2>nets is sept for his best year in over a decade.

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<v Speaker 2>Can Tech continue its golden earer going into twenty twenty four?

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<v Speaker 3>Plus it's a must for Musk. A San Francisco federal

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<v Speaker 3>judge has signaled that Elon Musk must testify in the

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<v Speaker 3>SEC Twitter stock pro We're gonna have all the details.

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<v Speaker 2>And the outlook for electric vehicles isn't quite as bright

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<v Speaker 2>as it was six months ago, and the US might

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<v Speaker 2>be to blaze. And we talk about how GM four

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<v Speaker 2>and Tesla contribute to the EV sales setback.

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<v Speaker 3>So we're gonna have a big focus in this show

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<v Speaker 3>today on electric vehicles and the outlook for next year

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<v Speaker 3>because it's changing. This is Friday session. Tesla's higher half

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<v Speaker 3>a percentage point the other names in the red. GM

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<v Speaker 3>is cutting thirteen hundred workers across two factories in Michigan.

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<v Speaker 3>But what all of these stocks have in common were

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<v Speaker 3>the top three at least, is that they're all on

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<v Speaker 3>track for six straight weeks of weekly gains. In GM's case,

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<v Speaker 3>that's the best run of weekly gains going back to

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<v Speaker 3>December twenty fourteen. I bring that up because there's been

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<v Speaker 3>so much negative news, all the data about revised outlooks

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<v Speaker 3>for next year, Cruise, the autonomous driving unit of GM

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<v Speaker 3>being in trouble, Tesla's autopilot probe, and the Recoll Soft

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<v Speaker 3>recall and software update this week. But if you extrapolate

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<v Speaker 3>out these ev stocks have been on a tear at

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<v Speaker 3>the same time as the S and P five hundred

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<v Speaker 3>and Nasdaq one hundred are on their longest and best

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<v Speaker 3>streaks in a decade. Then there's in Video. I think

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<v Speaker 3>in Video is still the big focus for this mark.

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<v Speaker 3>The gain is more than two hundred and thirty percent

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<v Speaker 3>year to date. The news in Friday session was a

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<v Speaker 3>block trade of more than a billion dollars on the

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<v Speaker 3>stop that traded at a pretty lofty level. Seems to

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<v Speaker 3>be having an impact on the market, But again two

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<v Speaker 3>hundred and thirty six percent gain year to date. It

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<v Speaker 3>has been a big contributing factor to the rally that

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<v Speaker 3>we've seen in the Nasdaq one hundred and the S

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<v Speaker 3>and P five hundred. And the question is, well, what

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<v Speaker 3>happens if Nvidia just stops in its momentum halts? Would it?

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<v Speaker 4>Should it?

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<v Speaker 2>Nancy Kurtin is the person to be asking, Global COO

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<v Speaker 2>of Ulti tenam and Global. A lot of money under management,

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of working through what has been decades of

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<v Speaker 2>whether we see money and exuberance into tech or not.

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<v Speaker 2>From your perspective, are the valuations of a name like

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<v Speaker 2>in video rational at this moment?

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<v Speaker 1>Look, Caroline, they certainly discount a lot, that's for sure,

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<v Speaker 1>at more than thirty times earnings on average. And I

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<v Speaker 1>think one of the things we're seeing now is competition

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<v Speaker 1>to in video. You know, a copy has an eighty

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<v Speaker 1>five percent monopoly, saw their profits go up seven times

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<v Speaker 1>in a year, and is facing a trillion dollar market opportunity.

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<v Speaker 1>We should expect competition, and so far, I think when

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<v Speaker 1>we look at what Intel an AMD have brought to

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<v Speaker 1>the table from a hardware perspective, it looks pleasing. But

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<v Speaker 1>Nvidia has quite a competitive mode in terms of Kuda

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<v Speaker 1>software developer tools, etc. So you know, there is a

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<v Speaker 1>lot to go for in jen Ai. And don't be

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<v Speaker 1>don't be so quick to do work to put down these.

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<v Speaker 3>Valuations, Nancy. We have covered that competition so deeply on

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<v Speaker 3>the program in the last two weeks, starting with amdsm

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<v Speaker 3>I three hundred X. I was there on the ground

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<v Speaker 3>with Lisa Sue twenty four hours ago. You have Intel

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<v Speaker 3>talking about GUDI three. What is the investment strategy. Do

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<v Speaker 3>you just pick one of those names go with it

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<v Speaker 3>or do you need to have all three in the portfolio.

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<v Speaker 1>Look, I think you're going to have to see how

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<v Speaker 1>this evolves. Remember, neither of these chips are available at

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<v Speaker 1>the moment, So if you're a company building a Genai application,

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<v Speaker 1>it's still h one hundred, it's still the Nvidia chip.

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<v Speaker 1>And by the way, Nvidia is not going to stand

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<v Speaker 1>still here. You know they've got things on the horizon,

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<v Speaker 1>a very aggressive product launch as we head into twenty

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<v Speaker 1>four and twenty five. You know B one hundred aka Blackwell,

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, let's not write off the Nvidia dvantage.

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<v Speaker 1>But as I said, their software ecosystem, Kuda in particular

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<v Speaker 1>is super powerful for in video, moving.

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<v Speaker 2>Away from pats, the picks and the shovels the chips

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<v Speaker 2>to actually who are building the models, who's applying the

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<v Speaker 2>models most efficiently. It's been all about Microsoft ascend degree

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<v Speaker 2>and starting to be alphabet Do you think we need

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<v Speaker 2>to broaden our perspective there as well? How it's starting

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<v Speaker 2>to see Generator AI and PATA business models.

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<v Speaker 1>Do you know? I think there was a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>criticism of Gemini, which course was Google's launch around two

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<v Speaker 1>weeks ago, around latency issues, etc. Okay, put that aside.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it misses the point. What we saw with

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<v Speaker 1>Google was multimodal. I mean that interaction had inference, it

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<v Speaker 1>had text, it had image, it had translation, it had

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<v Speaker 1>coding all at once. So I think it gives you

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<v Speaker 1>a future image of where this jenai is going. As

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<v Speaker 1>you watch that silly thing with the guitar and the duck,

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<v Speaker 1>do see it? If you haven't seen it, you know

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<v Speaker 1>you need to think about the applications and financial services

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<v Speaker 1>in healthcare, in the industrial sector. This is absolutely huge.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know I reckon as I was watching it, Caroline,

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<v Speaker 1>that you know maybe twenty six, twenty seven, maybe twenty eight.

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<v Speaker 1>We're going to look at the mouse, the keyboard. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know what are those things like as in history,

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<v Speaker 1>prehistoric stuff, right, because you're going to be able to

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<v Speaker 1>interact with the computer in a completely different way and

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<v Speaker 1>the coding language is going to be English, So lots

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<v Speaker 1>of interesting implications.

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<v Speaker 3>Nancy, We're thoroughly enjoying this conversation. One of the things

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<v Speaker 3>I was so interested about you is earlier in your

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<v Speaker 3>career you ran venture capital desks private equity desks, and

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<v Speaker 3>I wonder if that changes your approach as a CIO

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<v Speaker 3>when you look across public equities. Are you kind of

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<v Speaker 3>conscious of what's happening upstream in some of the earliest

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<v Speaker 3>stage companies who might benefit from what Caroline I call

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<v Speaker 3>the picks and shovels, Right, the H one hundred's underpinning

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<v Speaker 3>the work in the R and D.

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<v Speaker 1>You know absolutely. So you know, we have investments in

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<v Speaker 1>both public and private markets, and on the private side,

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<v Speaker 1>I want to share with you a snippet one of

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<v Speaker 1>our private equity managers, so now we're talking about buyout

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<v Speaker 1>reports that every single one of their companies is using

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<v Speaker 1>Jenai in some form and they are seeing productivity enhancements

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<v Speaker 1>of thirty to forty percent. That's huge, okay, and that's

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<v Speaker 1>in private equity buyout and the venture side. Our managers

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<v Speaker 1>are reporting enormously interesting applications, disruptive business models, horizontal u

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<v Speaker 1>U of Genai, vertical uses of Jenai. So there is

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<v Speaker 1>so much more to come here. We're aware of what's

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<v Speaker 1>going on with the infrastructure layer, as you mentioned, but

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<v Speaker 1>once we get past that twenty four and into twenty five,

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<v Speaker 1>expect a whole host of disruptive business models and more importantly,

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<v Speaker 1>business applications. We're going to go to work and this

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<v Speaker 1>will be embedded in business processes, and we're still early

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<v Speaker 1>in that journey so far this year.

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<v Speaker 2>So, boy, when you're thinking about allocating and as global

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<v Speaker 2>CIO of what is sixty seven million dollars worth of money,

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<v Speaker 2>where do you go private versus public? Where do you

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<v Speaker 2>think the valuations and more sustainable? Where has the pain

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<v Speaker 2>been felt? Necessarily?

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<v Speaker 4>So already?

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<v Speaker 1>So, first of all, everything we do is customized to clients,

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<v Speaker 1>and so it has to meet their return, their risk,

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<v Speaker 1>their liquidity preference. Because obviously private equity and venture capital

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<v Speaker 1>come with the longer term time horizon, so it has

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<v Speaker 1>to be appropriate to client circumstance. But having said that,

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<v Speaker 1>we do recommend for those clients that it's appropriate to

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<v Speaker 1>have their foot in both the public and the private markets.

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<v Speaker 1>Remember the public markets today in the United States, thirty

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<v Speaker 1>percent of the index is seven companies, pretty concentrated, pretty

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<v Speaker 1>highly correlated to those seven stocks, etc. Although we think

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<v Speaker 1>the other four hundred and ninety three represent some good

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<v Speaker 1>value here. But nonetheless you're able to play a whole

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<v Speaker 1>host of different parts of the economy, different parts of companies,

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<v Speaker 1>disruptive companies, core businesses. Remember there's forty thousand so called

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<v Speaker 1>private companies in the States today. What do we have

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<v Speaker 1>fifteen hundred public companies? So you can see you're not

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<v Speaker 1>really accessing the full part of the economy. So again,

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<v Speaker 1>for clients where it's appropriate, we do look like both

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<v Speaker 1>public and private markets. Then we do believe that the

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<v Speaker 1>long term return from private equity, buyout, growth and venture

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<v Speaker 1>can be quite substantial.

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<v Speaker 4>Do you come back. It's been great to have you on, Nancy.

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<v Speaker 4>Thank you so much.

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<v Speaker 2>Nasi keasan human global we thank her. I mean, while

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<v Speaker 2>coming up elon Musk's potential AI dominance, We're gonna stick

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<v Speaker 2>on the AI theme and talk about excess grock how

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<v Speaker 2>might overtake chatchipt This is blameleog technology.

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<v Speaker 4>So Elon Musk's.

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<v Speaker 2>Groc Ai platform might actually be a pretty major contender

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<v Speaker 2>in the battle for chatbot dominance.

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<v Speaker 4>Remerg Seth Biingman joins us.

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<v Speaker 2>Now to explain what is perhaps it's outperformance in an

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<v Speaker 2>area of real time news.

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<v Speaker 4>How's it going?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, that's right. I think that when this thing first launched,

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<v Speaker 5>no one wanted to take it seriously. I mean a

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<v Speaker 5>lot of the promotion around this was that it was irreverent, profane.

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<v Speaker 5>If you looked on the Twitter account they set up

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<v Speaker 5>for its highlighted post, it was mostly making bad jokes

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<v Speaker 5>about how babies are born. But when we I rolled

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<v Speaker 5>out more broadly this week to anyone willing to pay

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<v Speaker 5>sixteen dollars to X for a premium account, which is

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<v Speaker 5>certainly a limiting factor for how big it'll get, and

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<v Speaker 5>when we looked at it, we saw a quite good

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<v Speaker 5>for a real time news. It has access to Twitter's

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<v Speaker 5>real time pipeline of digga, and Twitter has I should

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<v Speaker 5>keep saying, X has cracked down and access to that

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<v Speaker 5>data for other companies, So it's kind of unique at

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<v Speaker 5>this point. It's when we asked the summarize whether the

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<v Speaker 5>climate debates in Dubai or looking at Opening Eyes data

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<v Speaker 5>licensing partnerships, we saw that it was more accurate up

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<v Speaker 5>full time than chatchy bt mborn.

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<v Speaker 3>So sef I asked a very basic question on grok

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<v Speaker 3>this morning, who am I? Who is Ed Ludlow, and

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<v Speaker 3>GROC does have a more contemporaneous, up to date answer

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<v Speaker 3>than chat GPT, and chat GPT basically said, my data

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<v Speaker 3>is relevant as of jan twenty twenty two. Make sure

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<v Speaker 3>you actually go and check an original source. But it

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<v Speaker 3>doesn't get it all right, because when I asked it

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<v Speaker 3>to tell me about Bloomberg Technology, it told me that

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<v Speaker 3>Emily Chang, dear friend by the way, is still the

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<v Speaker 3>host along with Corey Johnson. That's pretty out of date.

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<v Speaker 3>The point is this is about the how recent the

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<v Speaker 3>data it was trained on is right.

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<v Speaker 5>That's right, kicking myself from not asking it who ed lewis,

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<v Speaker 5>but I'm glad that you got to that question. I

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<v Speaker 5>think the important thing to keep in mind here at

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<v Speaker 5>a higher level, is that there's a real arms where

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<v Speaker 5>he's going on right now, not just for how chadbods

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<v Speaker 5>perform day to day, but how they can access and

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<v Speaker 5>answer questions in real time. It's so central to Google

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<v Speaker 5>and to Microsoft in particular to build a surface real

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<v Speaker 5>time information. And what we're seeing is like, if you're

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<v Speaker 5>built on top of a social media platform, you have

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<v Speaker 5>a better shot at that. The flip side, as you're

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<v Speaker 5>pointing to, is that they're surfacing content from tweets and

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<v Speaker 5>accounts that may not be as authoritive of So that's

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<v Speaker 5>the problem.

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<v Speaker 3>Seth Figmun, who leads our AI coverages editor And as

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<v Speaker 3>we saw in that clip, Lindy Akarinho actually replied to

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<v Speaker 3>my post saying rock for the win, but then she

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<v Speaker 3>didn't see the post where it gave the wrong answer.

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<v Speaker 3>We keep guying Bloomberg. Seth Figmann, thank you so much. Okay.

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<v Speaker 3>Another story in Elon Musk's world, a San Francisco judge

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<v Speaker 3>has signaled that Musk must testify about his Twitter stock

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<v Speaker 3>purchases ahead of the company buy out last year. This

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<v Speaker 3>is part of an SEC investigation in joining us now

0:12:00.040 --> 0:12:03.360
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg's Austin Weinstein in Washington. The judge is basically saying,

0:12:03.679 --> 0:12:08.120
<v Speaker 3>if you two can't sort out getting together and talking

0:12:08.400 --> 0:12:09.719
<v Speaker 3>then I will intervene.

0:12:11.200 --> 0:12:14.959
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, the judge made it pretty clear that she seemed

0:12:15.040 --> 0:12:16.880
<v Speaker 6>that to be in the position that she was going

0:12:16.920 --> 0:12:19.079
<v Speaker 6>to a way in favor of the SEC here in

0:12:19.200 --> 0:12:22.640
<v Speaker 6>enforcing their subpoena. It's very rare for the SEC to

0:12:23.040 --> 0:12:25.160
<v Speaker 6>get a no show on it subpoena like Elan did

0:12:25.200 --> 0:12:27.400
<v Speaker 6>earlier this year. It's very rare for them to sue

0:12:28.120 --> 0:12:29.160
<v Speaker 6>to enforce that subpoena.

0:12:29.200 --> 0:12:31.359
<v Speaker 4>And it's even more rare for the SEC.

0:12:31.320 --> 0:12:34.320
<v Speaker 6>To lose in court on a bid to enforce a subpoena.

0:12:35.280 --> 0:12:38.360
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so chances perhaps old on his side for this.

0:12:38.600 --> 0:12:40.959
<v Speaker 2>He does feel though that he's already answered an awful

0:12:40.960 --> 0:12:43.720
<v Speaker 2>lot of questions, not once, but twice. Is there any

0:12:43.800 --> 0:12:47.000
<v Speaker 2>sort of well context to this where we've seen people

0:12:47.080 --> 0:12:48.600
<v Speaker 2>have to come in and give evidence time and time

0:12:48.600 --> 0:12:51.800
<v Speaker 2>and time again, there's a lot of.

0:12:51.760 --> 0:12:56.280
<v Speaker 6>Situations when in an SEC investigation they ask more questions

0:12:56.760 --> 0:12:59.160
<v Speaker 6>the facts of this investigation, which is one of a

0:12:59.280 --> 0:13:04.280
<v Speaker 6>number into Elon Musk's companies go back to his purchase

0:13:04.320 --> 0:13:06.600
<v Speaker 6>of Twitter, when he bought up a large stake when

0:13:06.640 --> 0:13:09.320
<v Speaker 6>the company was pot private, and so they interviewed him

0:13:09.400 --> 0:13:11.800
<v Speaker 6>close to his purchase of Twitter and then earlier this year,

0:13:11.840 --> 0:13:14.840
<v Speaker 6>they did their investigation, they talked to a whole lot

0:13:14.840 --> 0:13:16.600
<v Speaker 6>of people, and they wanted to come back to Elon

0:13:16.679 --> 0:13:19.400
<v Speaker 6>and say, hey, we have some more questions. Let's sit

0:13:19.480 --> 0:13:22.559
<v Speaker 6>down and have a conversation and get your testimony here.

0:13:23.080 --> 0:13:28.000
<v Speaker 6>And basically the SEC said that he played you know,

0:13:28.120 --> 0:13:30.600
<v Speaker 6>catch me if you can, and tried to play fast

0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:32.640
<v Speaker 6>and loose with the location and then move the date,

0:13:32.760 --> 0:13:34.840
<v Speaker 6>and the SEC just kind of got sick of it.

0:13:35.160 --> 0:13:37.840
<v Speaker 6>But it's fairly normal for them to go back to

0:13:38.360 --> 0:13:40.920
<v Speaker 6>what they would think is a key witness, you know,

0:13:41.040 --> 0:13:43.920
<v Speaker 6>the CEO, the guy who bought the company eventually and

0:13:43.960 --> 0:13:46.120
<v Speaker 6>asked some more questions after doing that investigation.

0:13:46.640 --> 0:13:50.120
<v Speaker 2>I meanwhile, Musk currently feeling in it's harassment by the SEC.

0:13:50.320 --> 0:13:53.200
<v Speaker 4>According to a filing, Austin weisteeing.

0:13:52.800 --> 0:13:55.480
<v Speaker 2>Me thank you so much for the background on order.

0:13:55.360 --> 0:14:06.320
<v Speaker 3>That time for talking tech and first up in the

0:14:06.320 --> 0:14:10.800
<v Speaker 3>news crew. Trim, an ai startup founded by LA founder

0:14:10.840 --> 0:14:15.240
<v Speaker 3>babvish Agorole, has launched India's first multi lingual LM, which

0:14:15.240 --> 0:14:19.480
<v Speaker 3>can generate text in ten Indian languages. The startup is

0:14:19.520 --> 0:14:22.720
<v Speaker 3>also developing data centers and aims to create servers and

0:14:22.800 --> 0:14:27.120
<v Speaker 3>supercomputers for an AI ecosystem, and Google is changing its

0:14:27.160 --> 0:14:29.920
<v Speaker 3>maps tools so that the company no longer has access

0:14:30.200 --> 0:14:34.840
<v Speaker 3>to users individual location histories. This effectively cuts off its

0:14:34.880 --> 0:14:38.240
<v Speaker 3>ability to respond to law enforcement warrants that ask for

0:14:38.360 --> 0:14:42.520
<v Speaker 3>data on everyone who is in the vicinity of a crime. Plus,

0:14:42.520 --> 0:14:46.120
<v Speaker 3>an examination of FDA records shows the administration is doing

0:14:46.200 --> 0:14:50.080
<v Speaker 3>little to cut down on misleading drug claims on social media,

0:14:50.160 --> 0:14:54.320
<v Speaker 3>despite having the power to oversee prescription drug marketing. For decades,

0:14:54.480 --> 0:14:58.920
<v Speaker 3>the FDA has regulated advertising on television, radio, and in magazines.

0:14:59.160 --> 0:15:01.680
<v Speaker 3>It released guideline into social media in twenty fourteen, but

0:15:01.840 --> 0:15:06.320
<v Speaker 3>since then it's done little to regulate influence influencers sorry,

0:15:06.360 --> 0:15:08.560
<v Speaker 3>who may or may not have had direct ties to

0:15:08.640 --> 0:15:09.840
<v Speaker 3>those manufacturers.

0:15:09.840 --> 0:15:12.120
<v Speaker 2>Caroline, Yeah, that's an interesting one, and we want to

0:15:12.120 --> 0:15:14.520
<v Speaker 2>broaden that sort of a conversation and think about how

0:15:14.520 --> 0:15:17.080
<v Speaker 2>the FTC is tackling it, because it's actually issued a

0:15:17.080 --> 0:15:21.240
<v Speaker 2>warning and some letters to beverage companies and influencers on

0:15:21.280 --> 0:15:24.720
<v Speaker 2>potential violations of the FDC Act in their social posts

0:15:24.720 --> 0:15:28.440
<v Speaker 2>on Instagram and TikTok, where they aren't is accused adequately

0:15:28.440 --> 0:15:31.720
<v Speaker 2>disclosing their payment by the industry and as they promote

0:15:31.720 --> 0:15:35.040
<v Speaker 2>the safety of in particular artificial sweetener or the consumption

0:15:35.120 --> 0:15:38.240
<v Speaker 2>of sugar containing products for example, joining us to discuss

0:15:38.280 --> 0:15:41.120
<v Speaker 2>all of this and what regulation could in fact becoming

0:15:41.160 --> 0:15:44.040
<v Speaker 2>their way when it comes to AI and influencing is

0:15:44.080 --> 0:15:46.120
<v Speaker 2>Mary Angel is just the former Director of the Revision

0:15:46.120 --> 0:15:49.000
<v Speaker 2>of Advertising Practices at the FTC, currently serving as a

0:15:49.040 --> 0:15:52.000
<v Speaker 2>Senior Vice president for the Policy actuble B. That's PBB

0:15:52.280 --> 0:15:53.440
<v Speaker 2>National Programs.

0:15:53.960 --> 0:15:54.280
<v Speaker 4>Mary.

0:15:54.640 --> 0:15:57.840
<v Speaker 2>It's a really interesting one. What weren't influencers doing because

0:15:57.840 --> 0:16:01.000
<v Speaker 2>they seem to be saying hashtag ad or sponsor, But

0:16:01.320 --> 0:16:03.040
<v Speaker 2>is that not enough in this context?

0:16:04.560 --> 0:16:07.040
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, it's really interesting that the FTC was saying here

0:16:07.200 --> 0:16:09.160
<v Speaker 7>that it wasn't enough even if you had a big

0:16:09.240 --> 0:16:13.080
<v Speaker 7>bald ad or sponsored disclaim around your post, because it

0:16:13.120 --> 0:16:15.880
<v Speaker 7>wasn't clear in this case who the sponsor was. Now,

0:16:15.920 --> 0:16:19.200
<v Speaker 7>typically a brand product will appear in a post, so

0:16:19.280 --> 0:16:19.560
<v Speaker 7>you know.

0:16:19.480 --> 0:16:19.960
<v Speaker 4>Who it is.

0:16:20.040 --> 0:16:23.000
<v Speaker 7>But in this case they were talking about sugar artificial

0:16:23.040 --> 0:16:26.000
<v Speaker 7>sweeteners as pertame, and the FDC said, look, consumers don't

0:16:26.000 --> 0:16:27.400
<v Speaker 7>know who the sponsor is, so you've got.

0:16:27.320 --> 0:16:31.160
<v Speaker 2>To say who that is, Okay, So more disclosure and

0:16:31.240 --> 0:16:34.640
<v Speaker 2>ultimately whether a beverage company is behind your post and

0:16:35.160 --> 0:16:39.160
<v Speaker 2>what's led you to do the posting. How ultimately is

0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:41.960
<v Speaker 2>the FTC and others able to keep a track of this,

0:16:42.160 --> 0:16:43.880
<v Speaker 2>How are we going to be monitoring? Is it up

0:16:43.880 --> 0:16:46.880
<v Speaker 2>to individual consumers to be saying that this influencer hasn't

0:16:46.920 --> 0:16:49.760
<v Speaker 2>been clear and or are they going to adopt uses

0:16:49.760 --> 0:16:52.640
<v Speaker 2>of AI for this sort of program.

0:16:53.200 --> 0:16:57.360
<v Speaker 7>That's a good question. I could see the FTC adapting

0:16:57.400 --> 0:17:00.920
<v Speaker 7>AI to kind of scour a social media for a post.

0:17:01.000 --> 0:17:03.560
<v Speaker 1>But typically absolutely.

0:17:03.160 --> 0:17:06.000
<v Speaker 7>The FTC will pay attention if consumers are complaining at

0:17:06.000 --> 0:17:07.000
<v Speaker 7>their aren't disclosures.

0:17:07.680 --> 0:17:09.600
<v Speaker 4>A lot of times it'll be a.

0:17:09.560 --> 0:17:11.480
<v Speaker 7>Media report, and I think in this case it was

0:17:11.520 --> 0:17:14.800
<v Speaker 7>the Washington Post did a report on how these influencers

0:17:14.840 --> 0:17:16.119
<v Speaker 7>were not properly disclosing.

0:17:17.000 --> 0:17:21.840
<v Speaker 2>What ends up being the stick in this particular example,

0:17:21.920 --> 0:17:24.560
<v Speaker 2>as it finds, is it what does the FTC end

0:17:24.640 --> 0:17:25.200
<v Speaker 2>up exerting.

0:17:26.560 --> 0:17:30.359
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, So in this case, the FTC sent warning letters

0:17:30.400 --> 0:17:33.080
<v Speaker 7>to all these influencers and to the American Beverage Association

0:17:33.160 --> 0:17:36.399
<v Speaker 7>and Canadian Sugar Institute and said here, look, this is

0:17:36.400 --> 0:17:38.040
<v Speaker 7>what you should be doing, here's what you didn't do

0:17:38.119 --> 0:17:41.080
<v Speaker 7>it right and put and gave them notice of a

0:17:41.119 --> 0:17:44.159
<v Speaker 7>penalty they're a penalty offense authority, which means that the

0:17:44.240 --> 0:17:47.760
<v Speaker 7>FTC would have the ability to find or impose civil

0:17:47.760 --> 0:17:50.560
<v Speaker 7>penalties if there are future violations, and say.

0:17:50.640 --> 0:17:53.159
<v Speaker 2>I'm the corporate coming to you who you know. They

0:17:53.160 --> 0:17:56.320
<v Speaker 2>haven't always got the most fine detailed control over an influencer.

0:17:56.440 --> 0:17:58.240
<v Speaker 4>How they meant to ensure.

0:17:57.960 --> 0:18:00.360
<v Speaker 2>That the way in which their messaging is going out

0:18:00.359 --> 0:18:02.760
<v Speaker 2>and the influences they used to work with are abiding

0:18:02.800 --> 0:18:04.280
<v Speaker 2>by new FTC regulation.

0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:07.639
<v Speaker 7>So there are three things they should do. First is

0:18:07.680 --> 0:18:10.440
<v Speaker 7>they should have written policies, and the policy should be

0:18:10.480 --> 0:18:11.280
<v Speaker 7>pretty detailed.

0:18:11.560 --> 0:18:12.520
<v Speaker 4>Don't just say.

0:18:12.760 --> 0:18:16.840
<v Speaker 7>Comply with the FTC's endorsement guides. Say that, but also

0:18:17.119 --> 0:18:22.240
<v Speaker 7>highlight the important provisions that are important for influencers, like

0:18:22.359 --> 0:18:25.480
<v Speaker 7>clear and conspicuous disclosures and explain what that means, things

0:18:25.520 --> 0:18:28.919
<v Speaker 7>like don't rely on platform disclosures. And then second, have

0:18:29.040 --> 0:18:33.399
<v Speaker 7>an active monitoring program periodically review what your influencers are

0:18:33.400 --> 0:18:36.520
<v Speaker 7>posting to make sure that they're doing it right. And then, third,

0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:39.639
<v Speaker 7>if they're not doing it right, warn them, and then

0:18:39.720 --> 0:18:43.000
<v Speaker 7>ultimately don't use them anymore if they insist upon posting

0:18:43.040 --> 0:18:44.480
<v Speaker 7>without doing proper disclosures.

0:18:45.119 --> 0:18:48.720
<v Speaker 2>Meanwhile, of course, the FTC has been busy, to say

0:18:48.720 --> 0:18:51.280
<v Speaker 2>the least, and they are trying to wrap their hands

0:18:51.320 --> 0:18:55.720
<v Speaker 2>around ultimately relationships between for example, well Open AI and

0:18:55.800 --> 0:18:58.000
<v Speaker 2>Microsoft and the way in which consumers are going to

0:18:58.040 --> 0:18:59.720
<v Speaker 2>be protected in this new age.

0:18:59.440 --> 0:19:00.960
<v Speaker 4>Of official intelligence.

0:19:01.080 --> 0:19:02.880
<v Speaker 2>How have you been looking at that as a new

0:19:02.960 --> 0:19:04.320
<v Speaker 2>area of focus and concern?

0:19:06.119 --> 0:19:10.040
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, so absolutely there's an opportunity here for responsible businesses

0:19:10.480 --> 0:19:13.440
<v Speaker 7>to get ahead of regulation and come together and to

0:19:13.480 --> 0:19:17.240
<v Speaker 7>exercise independent industry self regulation. And what I mean by

0:19:17.280 --> 0:19:22.600
<v Speaker 7>that is to establish clear standards with monitoring and public

0:19:22.640 --> 0:19:26.920
<v Speaker 7>reporting and to comply with those standards. Industry has a

0:19:26.960 --> 0:19:29.879
<v Speaker 7>good idea of what the government is looking for right now.

0:19:30.040 --> 0:19:32.199
<v Speaker 7>It's going to take some time for there to be

0:19:32.320 --> 0:19:36.160
<v Speaker 7>legislation or regulation, and there's a real opportunity for businesses

0:19:36.200 --> 0:19:40.760
<v Speaker 7>to show leadership by engaging in robust industry self regulation

0:19:40.920 --> 0:19:43.920
<v Speaker 7>with accountability. And there's got to be a third party

0:19:44.359 --> 0:19:48.280
<v Speaker 7>to hold them accountable to complying with their standards. We

0:19:48.320 --> 0:19:50.720
<v Speaker 7>don't want companies to grade their own homework, so we

0:19:50.760 --> 0:19:52.879
<v Speaker 7>need a third party to oversee compliance.

0:19:52.920 --> 0:19:56.159
<v Speaker 2>And is that what BBB National Programs ends up being

0:19:56.280 --> 0:19:59.520
<v Speaker 2>or where at the moment have companies turned to for

0:19:59.640 --> 0:20:02.680
<v Speaker 2>this sort of compliance ahead of regulation becoming formal.

0:20:03.760 --> 0:20:06.880
<v Speaker 7>Absolutely so BBB National Programs. We are a nonprofit that

0:20:07.160 --> 0:20:11.639
<v Speaker 7>promotes marketplace trust by providing those sorts of independent, third

0:20:11.680 --> 0:20:15.960
<v Speaker 7>party self regulatory and accountability programs in all sorts of

0:20:15.960 --> 0:20:20.760
<v Speaker 7>different industries, advertising privacy and Earlier this year we release

0:20:20.880 --> 0:20:24.080
<v Speaker 7>Principles and Protocols for the ethical use of AI in

0:20:24.200 --> 0:20:27.159
<v Speaker 7>hiring and recruiting. We worked with about a dozen and

0:20:27.240 --> 0:20:31.040
<v Speaker 7>a half large employers to come up with principles for

0:20:31.119 --> 0:20:35.320
<v Speaker 7>here is how to use AI ethically to mitigate bias

0:20:35.520 --> 0:20:39.400
<v Speaker 7>and to actually promote inclusion in the workforce. Knowing that

0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:42.720
<v Speaker 7>eventually government may regulate there, but there's lots of companies

0:20:42.760 --> 0:20:45.040
<v Speaker 7>can and should be doing even before that time.

0:20:45.240 --> 0:20:48.760
<v Speaker 2>And look New York already in many ways regulating yes,

0:20:48.880 --> 0:20:50.680
<v Speaker 2>AIS applied to the world of work.

0:20:50.720 --> 0:20:52.399
<v Speaker 4>We thank you so much, Mary angel.

0:20:52.520 --> 0:20:55.520
<v Speaker 2>Gait to have you BBB National Programs, of course, formerly

0:20:55.760 --> 0:20:57.480
<v Speaker 2>at the FTC itself at what if you.

0:20:57.520 --> 0:20:59.960
<v Speaker 3>Got that's that one hundreds taken It's year today gay

0:21:00.520 --> 0:21:03.840
<v Speaker 3>beyond fifty percent now at fifty two percent for the year.

0:21:04.119 --> 0:21:06.840
<v Speaker 3>There are so many superlatives. This is the eighth street

0:21:07.560 --> 0:21:10.320
<v Speaker 3>straight week of weekly gains on the NASDAQ one hundred

0:21:10.600 --> 0:21:12.679
<v Speaker 3>longest street of weekly gains going back to July of

0:21:12.680 --> 0:21:14.679
<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty one. The S and P five hundred, of

0:21:14.680 --> 0:21:18.440
<v Speaker 3>course also outperforming. Lots of moves into the technology sector,

0:21:18.440 --> 0:21:20.719
<v Speaker 3>and as we discussed earlier in the show, there are

0:21:20.720 --> 0:21:23.200
<v Speaker 3>a few names that are driving that, in video being one.

0:21:23.440 --> 0:21:25.960
<v Speaker 3>What's interesting is that some of the moves in some

0:21:26.040 --> 0:21:28.199
<v Speaker 3>corners of the technology sector, if you want to call it,

0:21:28.240 --> 0:21:30.280
<v Speaker 3>that are at odds with the news flow, and that's

0:21:30.280 --> 0:21:33.560
<v Speaker 3>why we're looking so closely at the EV makers. Many

0:21:33.600 --> 0:21:36.320
<v Speaker 3>of the legacy OEMs GM and Ford, for example, but

0:21:36.359 --> 0:21:39.359
<v Speaker 3>also Tesla, are on track for their sixth straight week

0:21:39.400 --> 0:21:42.040
<v Speaker 3>of weekly gains. In GM's case, that's the best run

0:21:42.080 --> 0:21:45.040
<v Speaker 3>of weekly gains going back to December twenty fourteen. But

0:21:45.080 --> 0:21:47.680
<v Speaker 3>the news flow has been so negative. Think about GM

0:21:47.720 --> 0:21:51.360
<v Speaker 3>overnight cutting thirteen hundred jobs across two plants in Michigan,

0:21:51.400 --> 0:21:54.639
<v Speaker 3>some of those relating to evs in the Orion plant,

0:21:54.680 --> 0:21:57.359
<v Speaker 3>for example, Chevy Bolt was due to be the place

0:21:57.400 --> 0:22:00.840
<v Speaker 3>where the electric pickups are coming twenty twenty five. Tesla

0:22:01.160 --> 0:22:04.520
<v Speaker 3>the autopilot recoll soft recall and date a software update

0:22:04.560 --> 0:22:08.080
<v Speaker 3>this week. Not really any slowing down of the mentum

0:22:08.160 --> 0:22:11.040
<v Speaker 3>behind these names. It's interesting. And then there's the outlook

0:22:11.080 --> 0:22:13.400
<v Speaker 3>for this next year which doesn't look as bright.

0:22:13.720 --> 0:22:15.880
<v Speaker 2>It doesn't And let's dig into some of the outlooks

0:22:15.880 --> 0:22:19.480
<v Speaker 2>that were getting from our own internal analysis, because we're right,

0:22:19.560 --> 0:22:22.160
<v Speaker 2>the EV outlook is just not where it was six

0:22:22.200 --> 0:22:24.480
<v Speaker 2>months ago, and the US seems to be largely to

0:22:24.520 --> 0:22:28.280
<v Speaker 2>blame that. There's this overarching takeaway from Lumberg, Neeslitus Electricied

0:22:28.320 --> 0:22:32.040
<v Speaker 2>Transport market outlook. It's got three companies in particular that

0:22:32.080 --> 0:22:35.840
<v Speaker 2>are worth bearing in mind for much of the culpability.

0:22:35.680 --> 0:22:37.920
<v Speaker 4>GM for Tesla.

0:22:38.040 --> 0:22:40.440
<v Speaker 2>Let's dig into really what statistics are telling us Plumes

0:22:40.440 --> 0:22:42.680
<v Speaker 2>Cragatrudell is staying late for us in London to talk

0:22:42.720 --> 0:22:46.560
<v Speaker 2>it through, and why it's under the exuberance dialing back

0:22:46.560 --> 0:22:48.320
<v Speaker 2>in how much demand there is for EV's.

0:22:49.320 --> 0:22:51.639
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I think this is a very different case for

0:22:51.720 --> 0:22:54.200
<v Speaker 8>these three companies where you can sort of put GM

0:22:54.240 --> 0:22:57.159
<v Speaker 8>and Forward together in that you know, in BNF's words,

0:22:57.200 --> 0:22:59.840
<v Speaker 8>they're lacking in ambition, and I think I would add

0:22:59.880 --> 0:23:02.800
<v Speaker 8>to that sort of lacking an execution. They are sort

0:23:02.840 --> 0:23:06.520
<v Speaker 8>of dialing back their ambitions because they you know, set

0:23:06.520 --> 0:23:10.560
<v Speaker 8>these really you know ambitious targets for EV sales that

0:23:10.720 --> 0:23:13.240
<v Speaker 8>just have not come to pass, and I think there's

0:23:13.320 --> 0:23:16.080
<v Speaker 8>there's been some you know, sort of self inflicted wounds

0:23:16.080 --> 0:23:19.320
<v Speaker 8>here and mistakes that they've made. With GM struggling to

0:23:19.520 --> 0:23:22.640
<v Speaker 8>ramp up the ultium platform that was going to underpin

0:23:22.720 --> 0:23:25.800
<v Speaker 8>its new evs Ford, I think, you know, kind of

0:23:25.840 --> 0:23:28.320
<v Speaker 8>cut some corners maybe with the F one fifty Lightning

0:23:28.440 --> 0:23:30.840
<v Speaker 8>to try and get that to market quickly. And then

0:23:30.840 --> 0:23:33.080
<v Speaker 8>you have a very different story with Tesla, where they've

0:23:33.119 --> 0:23:36.000
<v Speaker 8>been kind of you know, carrying the water for the

0:23:36.040 --> 0:23:39.080
<v Speaker 8>industry in the US, at least in terms of, you know,

0:23:39.240 --> 0:23:44.080
<v Speaker 8>really dominating that market from an EV perspective. We're at

0:23:44.080 --> 0:23:46.760
<v Speaker 8>a point now where they just have not refreshed the

0:23:46.840 --> 0:23:49.480
<v Speaker 8>lineup enough to where, you know, the Model Y has

0:23:49.520 --> 0:23:52.520
<v Speaker 8>been out since twenty twenty, the Model three since you know,

0:23:52.560 --> 0:23:56.560
<v Speaker 8>twenty seventeen eighteen, and the cyber truck is just not

0:23:56.640 --> 0:23:59.120
<v Speaker 8>going to be a high volume model for them anytime soon.

0:23:59.280 --> 0:24:01.840
<v Speaker 8>So where is the growth going to come from? When you've,

0:24:02.160 --> 0:24:05.560
<v Speaker 8>you know, for years, really has some impressive sales of

0:24:05.600 --> 0:24:07.480
<v Speaker 8>these models, but they're starting to show their age a

0:24:07.520 --> 0:24:07.960
<v Speaker 8>little bit.

0:24:09.400 --> 0:24:12.760
<v Speaker 3>I think what's so interesting is you have to think

0:24:12.800 --> 0:24:15.320
<v Speaker 3>globally about this. So let's dig into that idea that

0:24:15.359 --> 0:24:18.760
<v Speaker 3>the US is largely responsible for the revision because there

0:24:18.760 --> 0:24:21.359
<v Speaker 3>are markets around the world Europe, China where the data

0:24:21.400 --> 0:24:24.520
<v Speaker 3>shows a different picture. Just give us the top line,

0:24:24.600 --> 0:24:26.920
<v Speaker 3>What should we expect for the EV market in twenty

0:24:26.960 --> 0:24:28.320
<v Speaker 3>twenty four globally?

0:24:29.400 --> 0:24:33.200
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I think BNF is still dialing back globally as well.

0:24:33.240 --> 0:24:35.760
<v Speaker 8>As we've talked about, you know, the US is where

0:24:35.800 --> 0:24:39.000
<v Speaker 8>the sort of you know, brun of of the reductions

0:24:39.000 --> 0:24:41.480
<v Speaker 8>are coming from. But you are seeing a little bit

0:24:41.480 --> 0:24:43.960
<v Speaker 8>of dialing back here in Europe. I think that's partly

0:24:44.080 --> 0:24:47.280
<v Speaker 8>to do with the fact that you know, vw A,

0:24:47.400 --> 0:24:49.960
<v Speaker 8>in a sort of similar fashion to GM and FORD

0:24:50.240 --> 0:24:52.840
<v Speaker 8>are having some execution issues. I think it's more so

0:24:52.960 --> 0:24:56.560
<v Speaker 8>related to their software in their evs as opposed to

0:24:56.560 --> 0:25:00.879
<v Speaker 8>the evs themselves having you know, problems with battery and whatnot.

0:25:01.520 --> 0:25:04.480
<v Speaker 8>But you've seen some you know pulling back of production

0:25:04.600 --> 0:25:09.520
<v Speaker 8>plans for a VW I think in China, even it's

0:25:09.560 --> 0:25:12.879
<v Speaker 8>a market that has you know, absolutely dominated on the

0:25:12.880 --> 0:25:17.120
<v Speaker 8>global stage, some concerns about the sort of overall strength

0:25:17.160 --> 0:25:21.639
<v Speaker 8>of the economy in China are whack thereof that, you know,

0:25:21.680 --> 0:25:23.800
<v Speaker 8>maybe is putting a bit of a damper on the

0:25:23.840 --> 0:25:26.680
<v Speaker 8>outlook for twenty twenty four, and that's causing BNF to

0:25:26.680 --> 0:25:28.679
<v Speaker 8>get a little bit more conservative in terms of how

0:25:28.720 --> 0:25:30.000
<v Speaker 8>they're thinking about next year.

0:25:30.640 --> 0:25:32.439
<v Speaker 3>It is Friday. Let's end it on a happy note

0:25:32.480 --> 0:25:34.359
<v Speaker 3>and point out that in the chart we just showed,

0:25:34.680 --> 0:25:38.520
<v Speaker 3>BNF also expects the first five million unit quarter to

0:25:38.600 --> 0:25:40.639
<v Speaker 3>come by the end of twenty twenty four. There is

0:25:40.680 --> 0:25:44.080
<v Speaker 3>some hope. Craig Bloombo's Craig Drudel, our Global Auto's editor

0:25:44.080 --> 0:25:46.040
<v Speaker 3>out of London, thank you so much. There's more to

0:25:46.080 --> 0:25:48.840
<v Speaker 3>talk about. Let's keep a conversation going with Michelle Kreb's

0:25:48.840 --> 0:25:52.760
<v Speaker 3>executive analyst at Cox Automotive, which also just published it's

0:25:52.800 --> 0:25:56.040
<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty four Auto and EV forecast today. You heard

0:25:56.080 --> 0:25:59.760
<v Speaker 3>the Bloomberg n EF forecast. Explain to us your forecast

0:26:00.119 --> 0:26:00.760
<v Speaker 3>for next year.

0:26:01.400 --> 0:26:04.400
<v Speaker 9>Well, I think our forecast is that we've gone from

0:26:04.400 --> 0:26:10.320
<v Speaker 9>this really rosy forecast, probably overly ambitious, to reality and

0:26:10.600 --> 0:26:14.240
<v Speaker 9>look for a bigger picture. We don't anticipate overall car

0:26:14.359 --> 0:26:16.520
<v Speaker 9>sales in the US to go up all that much,

0:26:16.640 --> 0:26:20.520
<v Speaker 9>maybe two hundred thousand units next year. So yet We

0:26:20.600 --> 0:26:25.520
<v Speaker 9>still anticipate that the EV market will increase. We think

0:26:25.520 --> 0:26:28.919
<v Speaker 9>it'll maybe be around ten percent of the total market.

0:26:28.960 --> 0:26:31.440
<v Speaker 9>It was like eight percent this year, but you know,

0:26:31.520 --> 0:26:36.359
<v Speaker 9>it's an overall market that's kind of stabilizing. To the

0:26:36.400 --> 0:26:38.359
<v Speaker 9>other thing is you know, we're going to have to

0:26:38.400 --> 0:26:42.000
<v Speaker 9>start really trying to sell evs, not just expect people

0:26:42.080 --> 0:26:43.000
<v Speaker 9>to order them.

0:26:43.240 --> 0:26:47.320
<v Speaker 2>And therefore give us your expertise on like a marketing advice.

0:26:47.400 --> 0:26:49.879
<v Speaker 2>Now to these companies, is it about getting over the

0:26:49.960 --> 0:26:53.080
<v Speaker 2>worry that ultimately you're not gonna be able to find

0:26:53.480 --> 0:26:55.359
<v Speaker 2>the charging unit when you need it, not gonna be

0:26:55.400 --> 0:26:57.159
<v Speaker 2>able to make the miles that you want, or are

0:26:57.160 --> 0:26:59.080
<v Speaker 2>we over that as a consumer? Is it more about

0:26:59.160 --> 0:27:02.480
<v Speaker 2>price point, about just not really seeing the urgency of

0:27:02.520 --> 0:27:03.160
<v Speaker 2>switching to EV.

0:27:03.800 --> 0:27:06.399
<v Speaker 9>We are not over any of that. You know, we

0:27:07.040 --> 0:27:09.200
<v Speaker 9>still do not have The US is a lot bigger

0:27:09.240 --> 0:27:11.919
<v Speaker 9>than some of the smaller European nations, and so we

0:27:12.040 --> 0:27:17.439
<v Speaker 9>do not have this expansive EV charging infrastructure. It's growing,

0:27:17.760 --> 0:27:22.440
<v Speaker 9>and it's it's stronger in certain places than it is others.

0:27:22.520 --> 0:27:25.560
<v Speaker 9>So that still is a huge concern and that has

0:27:25.560 --> 0:27:28.080
<v Speaker 9>to be overcome if we're going to have massive EV adoption.

0:27:28.440 --> 0:27:31.440
<v Speaker 9>Price is an issue, although we are seeing some very

0:27:31.520 --> 0:27:35.800
<v Speaker 9>nice incentives on EV's so that then there will be

0:27:35.800 --> 0:27:38.879
<v Speaker 9>more discounting. About a year ago they were ten thousand,

0:27:38.920 --> 0:27:41.480
<v Speaker 9>the average was ten thousand dollars more than it is now,

0:27:41.560 --> 0:27:44.560
<v Speaker 9>So we will see more price competition and we will

0:27:44.560 --> 0:27:48.359
<v Speaker 9>see less expensive evs coming into the market, so that

0:27:48.400 --> 0:27:51.600
<v Speaker 9>should help too. But we're now going to the mainstream buyer,

0:27:51.680 --> 0:27:57.119
<v Speaker 9>and that's going to take more education, more handholding to

0:27:58.119 --> 0:27:59.560
<v Speaker 9>convince people to buy evs.

0:28:00.680 --> 0:28:03.600
<v Speaker 3>Michelle, wo'd be grateful for your reaction to two recent

0:28:03.680 --> 0:28:07.360
<v Speaker 3>and important pieces of news. The first was Ford cutting

0:28:07.359 --> 0:28:10.159
<v Speaker 3>in half its planned production for the F one to

0:28:10.160 --> 0:28:12.760
<v Speaker 3>fifty Lightning in twenty twenty four to a run rate

0:28:12.800 --> 0:28:15.520
<v Speaker 3>of about sixteen hundred units a week from thirty two hundred,

0:28:15.880 --> 0:28:19.399
<v Speaker 3>and then overnight GM cutting thirteen hundred jobs, nine hundred

0:28:19.400 --> 0:28:22.680
<v Speaker 3>and forty five at Oryan where they make for now

0:28:22.760 --> 0:28:25.320
<v Speaker 3>the Chevy Bolt, and then twenty twenty five plan to

0:28:25.320 --> 0:28:27.760
<v Speaker 3>make the pickup. What does that tell you.

0:28:28.720 --> 0:28:31.639
<v Speaker 9>Well, first of all, on the very different stories on

0:28:31.680 --> 0:28:34.199
<v Speaker 9>General Motors, we knew this was going to happen. They

0:28:34.240 --> 0:28:36.640
<v Speaker 9>announced some time ago they were going to end production

0:28:36.880 --> 0:28:41.080
<v Speaker 9>of the Chevrolet Bolt we call it the Orion plant

0:28:41.120 --> 0:28:48.240
<v Speaker 9>here and that endsize. That's okay, it ends next week.

0:28:49.000 --> 0:28:53.080
<v Speaker 9>And then they were going to immediately start retooling for

0:28:53.200 --> 0:28:57.440
<v Speaker 9>the electric pickup trucks, but they have postponed that a

0:28:57.440 --> 0:29:00.840
<v Speaker 9>little bit, so they've pushed that more back into the future.

0:29:01.800 --> 0:29:05.959
<v Speaker 9>And then there was there are they're eliminating the Chevrolet Camaro,

0:29:06.320 --> 0:29:08.680
<v Speaker 9>which may come back in some different forms. So we

0:29:08.800 --> 0:29:14.680
<v Speaker 9>knew those the Ford lightning plant. They had expanded that plant,

0:29:14.760 --> 0:29:19.000
<v Speaker 9>probably got a little too ambitious on their expectations, and

0:29:19.080 --> 0:29:23.720
<v Speaker 9>as Craig said, some execution problems and so they've had

0:29:23.760 --> 0:29:28.320
<v Speaker 9>to scale back. They've got mounting inventory of the lightning

0:29:29.400 --> 0:29:30.160
<v Speaker 9>just fascinating.

0:29:30.200 --> 0:29:32.400
<v Speaker 2>We're always so grateful when we get your decades of

0:29:32.440 --> 0:29:33.920
<v Speaker 2>experience and expertise, Michelle.

0:29:33.920 --> 0:29:34.600
<v Speaker 4>We thank you for it.

0:29:34.680 --> 0:29:38.920
<v Speaker 2>Michellekrab's executive analysts at Cox Automotive, have a wonderful weekend.

0:29:48.040 --> 0:29:51.120
<v Speaker 3>Pair VC, a pre seed and C stage venture capital

0:29:51.160 --> 0:29:54.600
<v Speaker 3>firm based in Menlo Park, is opening per studio set

0:29:54.680 --> 0:29:58.120
<v Speaker 3>for thirty thousand square foot space in San Francisco. There

0:29:58.160 --> 0:29:59.880
<v Speaker 3>will serve as a home for tech founders in a

0:30:00.040 --> 0:30:03.880
<v Speaker 3>spiring entrepreneurs Pedgeman knows that CO founder and founding managing

0:30:03.880 --> 0:30:06.920
<v Speaker 3>partner of PAIRBC is with me here on Satin San Francisco.

0:30:07.200 --> 0:30:10.360
<v Speaker 3>This is a big commitment, imagine a big financial commitment

0:30:10.960 --> 0:30:16.160
<v Speaker 3>to a space that can be home to they're not

0:30:16.200 --> 0:30:18.560
<v Speaker 3>even founders because in some cases haven't even started a

0:30:18.560 --> 0:30:21.200
<v Speaker 3>company yet. Why you do that, Yes, that's true.

0:30:21.200 --> 0:30:23.440
<v Speaker 10>So, as you mentioned, it's a thirty thousand square foot

0:30:23.520 --> 0:30:26.160
<v Speaker 10>state of the art office here. It's a brand new building,

0:30:27.440 --> 0:30:30.440
<v Speaker 10>two hundred and twenty five desks and over twenty conference rooms.

0:30:30.520 --> 0:30:35.080
<v Speaker 10>We're going to host speaker cities, workshops, social events, hackatons,

0:30:35.080 --> 0:30:37.640
<v Speaker 10>and really a platform profounders to learn and grow. But

0:30:37.720 --> 0:30:40.800
<v Speaker 10>this has been always a strategy for us. In fact,

0:30:41.080 --> 0:30:44.600
<v Speaker 10>our very first office, which we opened in twenty thirteen,

0:30:45.120 --> 0:30:48.520
<v Speaker 10>was at home two thousand steps away from Stanford University,

0:30:48.600 --> 0:30:51.240
<v Speaker 10>so we hosted many students there and the event on

0:30:51.360 --> 0:30:55.480
<v Speaker 10>and build many startups, including a few multi billion dollars companies.

0:30:55.480 --> 0:30:57.880
<v Speaker 10>So it's a core strategy for us, and I think

0:30:58.760 --> 0:31:00.840
<v Speaker 10>I'm at the heart of starf option. It's easy to

0:31:00.880 --> 0:31:04.719
<v Speaker 10>see that buildings are empty in San Francisco, but I

0:31:04.720 --> 0:31:07.680
<v Speaker 10>think quite a bit opposite. I actually think startup becausism

0:31:07.800 --> 0:31:09.600
<v Speaker 10>is boiling especially at early stage.

0:31:09.640 --> 0:31:12.680
<v Speaker 3>Well, it's a classic Silicon Valley and indeed classic San

0:31:12.680 --> 0:31:15.160
<v Speaker 3>Francisco story, Right, you only need go down to Hayes

0:31:15.280 --> 0:31:17.840
<v Speaker 3>Valley and see the laptops that people are working on

0:31:17.880 --> 0:31:20.280
<v Speaker 3>together in a coffee shop. But you also have some

0:31:20.320 --> 0:31:23.120
<v Speaker 3>selfish motivation, right, which is that if you have this

0:31:23.280 --> 0:31:25.920
<v Speaker 3>large body of people through your doors, you get right

0:31:25.960 --> 0:31:27.640
<v Speaker 3>of first refusal to invest in them.

0:31:27.840 --> 0:31:30.560
<v Speaker 10>I completely agree. I think we want to see founders

0:31:30.600 --> 0:31:32.840
<v Speaker 10>before anybody else, and we want to be the first

0:31:32.840 --> 0:31:36.320
<v Speaker 10>investor before friends and family around. So we're gonna and

0:31:36.360 --> 0:31:38.320
<v Speaker 10>actually you won't believe that how many calls we got

0:31:38.360 --> 0:31:41.560
<v Speaker 10>from incredible entrepreneurs. They want to be at the office soon,

0:31:41.600 --> 0:31:43.120
<v Speaker 10>so we are very excited about it.

0:31:43.640 --> 0:31:47.320
<v Speaker 2>What's interesting is you're supporting them with boot camps for example.

0:31:47.320 --> 0:31:50.040
<v Speaker 2>You've also got a female founder circle. How are you

0:31:50.320 --> 0:31:53.320
<v Speaker 2>laying the groundwork to ensure that we see diversity among

0:31:53.360 --> 0:31:55.280
<v Speaker 2>those that are building these businesses at this time?

0:31:56.160 --> 0:31:59.240
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, as I mentioned, it's very important for us diversity.

0:31:59.360 --> 0:32:02.560
<v Speaker 10>One of our program female founder Circles. In fact, every

0:32:02.640 --> 0:32:06.880
<v Speaker 10>year we select eighty two hundred top female engineers who

0:32:06.880 --> 0:32:10.080
<v Speaker 10>are leaving big tech companies academia startups and wants to

0:32:10.160 --> 0:32:14.240
<v Speaker 10>start a startup and it's a free program for fifteen weeks.

0:32:14.560 --> 0:32:17.760
<v Speaker 10>Same concept. We give him office, we give them access

0:32:18.000 --> 0:32:22.400
<v Speaker 10>to our team, we bring speakers, workshops, and hopefully we

0:32:22.440 --> 0:32:24.080
<v Speaker 10>can invest in these companies.

0:32:24.160 --> 0:32:24.880
<v Speaker 4>And that's the key.

0:32:24.920 --> 0:32:26.760
<v Speaker 10>Is like when you build a community, you have to

0:32:26.800 --> 0:32:31.560
<v Speaker 10>give before you get, and we always provide many resources

0:32:31.600 --> 0:32:34.240
<v Speaker 10>before we even start, and we build that trust throughout

0:32:34.280 --> 0:32:35.720
<v Speaker 10>the months that we're working with them.

0:32:36.080 --> 0:32:38.120
<v Speaker 2>And maybe it's why, of course you've become some of

0:32:38.160 --> 0:32:41.080
<v Speaker 2>the top investors in straor Dash and drop Box and

0:32:41.120 --> 0:32:43.240
<v Speaker 2>some of the other success stories that companies eventually go

0:32:43.240 --> 0:32:43.640
<v Speaker 2>in public.

0:32:43.680 --> 0:32:44.560
<v Speaker 4>I'm interested pagerement.

0:32:44.880 --> 0:32:47.600
<v Speaker 2>You're saying you're trying to attract talent that is leaving

0:32:48.400 --> 0:32:52.120
<v Speaker 2>well working in engineering for some of the big tech companies.

0:32:52.120 --> 0:32:54.200
<v Speaker 2>How many people are still leaving? How many people do

0:32:54.280 --> 0:32:55.880
<v Speaker 2>still want to go and build things at this moment.

0:32:56.640 --> 0:33:00.680
<v Speaker 10>You know, I've never seen startups ecosystem as vibrant us today.

0:33:00.960 --> 0:33:03.480
<v Speaker 10>You know, you can hear news about growth stage companies

0:33:03.600 --> 0:33:09.520
<v Speaker 10>and public market, but I actually think the recent development

0:33:09.560 --> 0:33:13.080
<v Speaker 10>in jen Ai is just allowing entrepreneurs to build product

0:33:13.160 --> 0:33:17.040
<v Speaker 10>faster and get quicker feedback from the companies. So I

0:33:17.040 --> 0:33:20.400
<v Speaker 10>think the product cycle is it's a lot faster than before.

0:33:20.960 --> 0:33:23.840
<v Speaker 10>And I actually see people are coming back to San

0:33:23.880 --> 0:33:27.400
<v Speaker 10>Francisco from New York, Austin and Los Angeles. Nobody wants

0:33:27.440 --> 0:33:31.560
<v Speaker 10>to miss the AI revolution. I won't be surprised in

0:33:31.720 --> 0:33:36.200
<v Speaker 10>the next wave of public companies in tech there are

0:33:36.280 --> 0:33:39.320
<v Speaker 10>less than five to seven years old and versus today

0:33:39.360 --> 0:33:40.760
<v Speaker 10>you see ten to twenty years old.

0:33:41.040 --> 0:33:41.200
<v Speaker 6>You know.

0:33:41.440 --> 0:33:43.760
<v Speaker 10>I see some of the companies that they're reached twenty

0:33:43.800 --> 0:33:45.280
<v Speaker 10>million dollars revenue.

0:33:44.840 --> 0:33:45.880
<v Speaker 4>In less than six months.

0:33:45.960 --> 0:33:48.920
<v Speaker 10>It's just the mind buggling that how fast companies can

0:33:48.960 --> 0:33:51.080
<v Speaker 10>grow today. At the same time, obviously there's a lot

0:33:51.080 --> 0:33:54.600
<v Speaker 10>of high pron AI So that's a separate conversation and.

0:33:54.800 --> 0:33:56.360
<v Speaker 4>Is Satay, we have to get you back for it.

0:33:56.440 --> 0:33:59.080
<v Speaker 2>But kind of music to some of those LPs is

0:33:59.320 --> 0:34:01.960
<v Speaker 2>certainly some of those bankers is as well. If we

0:34:01.960 --> 0:34:04.040
<v Speaker 2>start to see younger IPOs, we thank you. Pressure and

0:34:04.040 --> 0:34:05.520
<v Speaker 2>knows that, and he's of course co founder and founding

0:34:05.560 --> 0:34:07.200
<v Speaker 2>managing partner of peir VC.

0:34:07.880 --> 0:34:08.239
<v Speaker 4>Thank you.

0:34:08.440 --> 0:34:11.640
<v Speaker 2>Let's talk about the X Prize Foundation, ed nonprofit that

0:34:11.680 --> 0:34:14.319
<v Speaker 2>fund scientific research, says it will award to get this

0:34:14.320 --> 0:34:17.520
<v Speaker 2>one hundred and one million dollars to anti aging research.

0:34:17.800 --> 0:34:19.759
<v Speaker 2>It's a topic that is often dismissed as some sort

0:34:19.800 --> 0:34:22.200
<v Speaker 2>of unrealistic quest for the fountain of youth. But the

0:34:22.239 --> 0:34:24.480
<v Speaker 2>award is the largest in the history of the foundation.

0:34:24.840 --> 0:34:27.720
<v Speaker 2>I'm please to welcome Peter Diamandis to the show, founder

0:34:27.760 --> 0:34:29.319
<v Speaker 2>of X Prize and the author of the new book

0:34:29.320 --> 0:34:33.040
<v Speaker 2>called Longevity, exploring of course, the practices around longevity and

0:34:33.040 --> 0:34:36.040
<v Speaker 2>the tech and therapeutics trends around vitality and health span.

0:34:36.360 --> 0:34:39.480
<v Speaker 2>You join us now and Peter talk to us about

0:34:39.520 --> 0:34:42.239
<v Speaker 2>this isn't just some quest to forever be young or

0:34:42.280 --> 0:34:45.239
<v Speaker 2>feel young, but this is actually also an economic reality

0:34:45.320 --> 0:34:47.959
<v Speaker 2>that the pressure of aging is becoming gargantuan.

0:34:48.880 --> 0:34:55.280
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, Caroline, aging is hitting our economy as people growing older.

0:34:55.480 --> 0:34:59.400
<v Speaker 11>The challenges While we've extended our lifespan, we've not extended

0:34:59.400 --> 0:35:02.279
<v Speaker 11>our health span, and so unfortunately the last ten to

0:35:02.360 --> 0:35:04.759
<v Speaker 11>fifteen years of people's lives can be expensive. It can

0:35:04.800 --> 0:35:08.560
<v Speaker 11>be a drain on family. This isn't only the largest

0:35:08.800 --> 0:35:11.839
<v Speaker 11>X Prize ever, and we've X Prize, we've rolled out

0:35:11.880 --> 0:35:15.960
<v Speaker 11>four hundred million dollars in incentive competitions, right, not awarding

0:35:16.000 --> 0:35:20.000
<v Speaker 11>something that was done years ago asking teams to achieve

0:35:20.120 --> 0:35:22.440
<v Speaker 11>a goal and the first person to achieve it wins.

0:35:22.440 --> 0:35:24.919
<v Speaker 11>It's the largest prize ever in human history, one hundred

0:35:24.960 --> 0:35:29.480
<v Speaker 11>and one million dollars, funded by some incredible benefactors, Evolution

0:35:30.800 --> 0:35:35.560
<v Speaker 11>in Chip Wilson. It is asking teams to reverse the

0:35:35.640 --> 0:35:39.080
<v Speaker 11>ravages of aging. So the team that wins this has

0:35:39.120 --> 0:35:43.319
<v Speaker 11>to demonstrate a therapeutic that, when delivered within one year,

0:35:43.719 --> 0:35:48.399
<v Speaker 11>can give you your muscular strength, your cognitive clarity, and your

0:35:48.520 --> 0:35:51.520
<v Speaker 11>immune function that you had at least ten years ago

0:35:51.800 --> 0:35:53.760
<v Speaker 11>and as many as twenty years ago. We're trying to

0:35:53.800 --> 0:35:57.000
<v Speaker 11>restore function, so those last twenty years of life are

0:35:57.080 --> 0:36:00.239
<v Speaker 11>at your peak capability. I for one, think can go

0:36:00.280 --> 0:36:02.680
<v Speaker 11>a lot further, but you know, we're setting a target

0:36:02.680 --> 0:36:04.360
<v Speaker 11>we think is audacious but achievable.

0:36:05.960 --> 0:36:09.640
<v Speaker 3>Pete in the X Prize is history. Which winner do

0:36:09.680 --> 0:36:12.360
<v Speaker 3>you think has had the biggest impact on a specific

0:36:12.400 --> 0:36:15.000
<v Speaker 3>piece of technology or a whole industry?

0:36:15.640 --> 0:36:19.480
<v Speaker 11>Well, that's that's a great question. So we've launched, like

0:36:19.480 --> 0:36:22.320
<v Speaker 11>I said, four hundred million dollars in competitions. Our first one,

0:36:22.440 --> 0:36:24.360
<v Speaker 11>you know, nearest and dearest to my heart, was the

0:36:24.440 --> 0:36:27.440
<v Speaker 11>ten million dollar I'm sorry X Prize for Spaceflight is

0:36:27.480 --> 0:36:31.279
<v Speaker 11>a ten million dollar competition. Yeah, and it really lit

0:36:31.360 --> 0:36:33.120
<v Speaker 11>the fuse. I mean, I'm a nine year old kid

0:36:33.120 --> 0:36:35.000
<v Speaker 11>who wants to travel to space and I want to

0:36:35.040 --> 0:36:37.560
<v Speaker 11>live longer, healthier, so I can go and get to

0:36:37.600 --> 0:36:39.919
<v Speaker 11>the Moon, get to Mars, get to the asteroid belt,

0:36:39.920 --> 0:36:43.440
<v Speaker 11>wherever it might be. But it changed the rules and

0:36:43.480 --> 0:36:47.200
<v Speaker 11>regulations for spaceflight. It brought capital, and it ignited you

0:36:47.239 --> 0:36:49.480
<v Speaker 11>know what is now, you know, a multi hundred billion

0:36:49.480 --> 0:36:53.719
<v Speaker 11>dollar industry. But we've had X prizes for reinventing how

0:36:53.760 --> 0:36:56.400
<v Speaker 11>we teach kids in the middle of Africa, for pulling

0:36:56.600 --> 0:36:59.120
<v Speaker 11>I had a one hundred million dollar X Prize that

0:36:59.520 --> 0:37:02.200
<v Speaker 11>got el to fund in twenty twenty one for pulling

0:37:02.200 --> 0:37:05.200
<v Speaker 11>gigatons of carbon out of the atmosphere. We just launched

0:37:05.239 --> 0:37:09.000
<v Speaker 11>an X prize about nine months ago for wildfires right

0:37:09.040 --> 0:37:11.200
<v Speaker 11>here in California. We got all these wildfires, but it's

0:37:11.239 --> 0:37:14.160
<v Speaker 11>insane that we fight these fires the same way we

0:37:14.239 --> 0:37:18.400
<v Speaker 11>did twenty fifty years ago. This is an X prize

0:37:18.440 --> 0:37:22.279
<v Speaker 11>asking teams detective fire at ignition and put it out

0:37:22.280 --> 0:37:24.000
<v Speaker 11>within ten minutes autonomously.

0:37:24.440 --> 0:37:24.600
<v Speaker 6>Right.

0:37:24.600 --> 0:37:27.719
<v Speaker 11>So this way we're looking for audacious, achievable goals and

0:37:27.840 --> 0:37:31.480
<v Speaker 11>for me, there's no bigger gift than twenty years of

0:37:31.520 --> 0:37:34.520
<v Speaker 11>additional health you can give somebody. It's the biggest business market.

0:37:35.560 --> 0:37:38.320
<v Speaker 3>Peter I was there in New Mexico when Richard Brentson

0:37:38.400 --> 0:37:41.479
<v Speaker 3>went up on VSS unity. But think about the time

0:37:41.560 --> 0:37:43.960
<v Speaker 3>it took to get there from when the initial prize

0:37:44.080 --> 0:37:47.480
<v Speaker 3>was issued. Do you see credicles have come up? But

0:37:47.560 --> 0:37:51.760
<v Speaker 3>the pace of commercialization is the question? Right? Your opinion

0:37:51.760 --> 0:37:52.000
<v Speaker 3>on that?

0:37:52.160 --> 0:37:56.839
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, yeah, no, it's listen. We unfortunately we say our

0:37:56.880 --> 0:38:00.160
<v Speaker 11>work begins when the prize gets won, because you then,

0:38:00.360 --> 0:38:04.560
<v Speaker 11>when someone's demonstrating a minimally viable product, how you turn

0:38:04.600 --> 0:38:06.959
<v Speaker 11>it into an industry. And it's taken the better part

0:38:07.000 --> 0:38:11.640
<v Speaker 11>of twenty years to get commercial spaceflight going. And so yeah,

0:38:11.840 --> 0:38:14.520
<v Speaker 11>it's really but something's different now. The reason we're doing

0:38:14.560 --> 0:38:16.880
<v Speaker 11>this one hundred and one million dollar health Span Prize

0:38:17.080 --> 0:38:22.920
<v Speaker 11>now is that smaller teams using generative AI, using CRISPER,

0:38:23.040 --> 0:38:26.240
<v Speaker 11>using gene therapies, using cellular medicine, the ability of small

0:38:26.320 --> 0:38:29.239
<v Speaker 11>teams to do things that only largest government programs and

0:38:29.360 --> 0:38:33.520
<v Speaker 11>largest corporations could do before. So we announced this in Riad,

0:38:33.719 --> 0:38:36.480
<v Speaker 11>Saudi two weeks ago. We have one hundred and fifty

0:38:36.480 --> 0:38:41.200
<v Speaker 11>teams competing thus far, My goal is we'll get north

0:38:41.239 --> 0:38:43.400
<v Speaker 11>of five hundred teams or maybe one thousand teams.

0:38:44.480 --> 0:38:47.399
<v Speaker 4>And it's where from.

0:38:47.440 --> 0:38:49.560
<v Speaker 2>What's interesting is you say you announced this in the

0:38:49.560 --> 0:38:51.920
<v Speaker 2>Middle East. Can you tell us we've only gone a

0:38:51.920 --> 0:38:54.720
<v Speaker 2>minute left? But where you're seeing some of the most talent,

0:38:54.760 --> 0:38:58.239
<v Speaker 2>when you're seeing really the hunger to fix this problem.

0:38:58.080 --> 0:39:00.200
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, we're seeing it. It's around the world, right. We

0:39:00.239 --> 0:39:04.640
<v Speaker 11>will typically get competitors from fifty countries around the world,

0:39:04.920 --> 0:39:09.040
<v Speaker 11>sixty seventy eighty. And this competition is showing us where

0:39:09.080 --> 0:39:11.320
<v Speaker 11>we're going to be in the next seven or eight years.

0:39:11.320 --> 0:39:13.399
<v Speaker 11>And people need to realize there are things you can

0:39:13.440 --> 0:39:17.480
<v Speaker 11>do right now to keep yourself healthy and young until

0:39:17.520 --> 0:39:18.080
<v Speaker 11>you get there.

0:39:18.200 --> 0:39:18.359
<v Speaker 6>Right.

0:39:18.440 --> 0:39:21.560
<v Speaker 11>So that's the reason I wrote my book longeb to

0:39:21.600 --> 0:39:24.000
<v Speaker 11>your Practical Playbook. It's also the reason you know I

0:39:24.040 --> 0:39:26.360
<v Speaker 11>started a company called Fountain Life, and these are the

0:39:26.400 --> 0:39:30.759
<v Speaker 11>most advanced diagnostic companies in the world, right, the most

0:39:30.760 --> 0:39:32.879
<v Speaker 11>advanced therapeutic So you can go now and find out

0:39:32.920 --> 0:39:35.719
<v Speaker 11>is there anything going on inside your body you need

0:39:35.760 --> 0:39:38.279
<v Speaker 11>to know about because you can do something about it.

0:39:38.320 --> 0:39:40.920
<v Speaker 11>People need to look our bodies are amazingly good at

0:39:41.000 --> 0:39:41.960
<v Speaker 11>hiding disease.

0:39:42.280 --> 0:39:45.360
<v Speaker 2>Well, said ex post founder. Great to have you, Peter DMan,

0:39:45.440 --> 0:39:48.000
<v Speaker 2>as we thank you for other time. Meanwhile, that does

0:39:48.080 --> 0:39:49.520
<v Speaker 2>it for this edition of Bloomberg.

0:39:49.120 --> 0:39:52.680
<v Speaker 3>Technology Recap, a big Friday and a busy week on

0:39:52.719 --> 0:39:55.920
<v Speaker 3>the podcast from San Francisco and New York City. This

0:39:56.040 --> 0:39:57.239
<v Speaker 3>is Bloomberg Technology