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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also. All right, here we

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Speaker 2: go from throwing out, so.

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Speaker 3: We're saying it's a cash touchdown.

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Speaker 4: We see most gambles when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 4: go to sin.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible being bank, small bank. I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate combine you want to

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Speaker 3: and we are underway. Welcome into the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 5: We are presented by bet MGM, the King of sports books.

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Speaker 5: It's time for NFL Best Bets for NFL Week sixteen.

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Speaker 5: A little bit of a scrambled bunch this week with

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Speaker 5: the holiday season.

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Speaker 3: Brendan glas Sheen and the host chair. We have three

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Speaker 3: people you're very familiar with the program.

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Speaker 5: We have Anthony Dubundo Uh aka the Cheesehead from last week,

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Speaker 5: aka the weather Man aka the rah Rah Blah Blah,

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Speaker 5: Mike Tomlin, guy Grant Neefer, who's here to dish out

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Speaker 5: some props.

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Speaker 3: We've had Nefer on the program.

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Speaker 5: And the Giffinator, the doctor, mister Nick Giffin joining the

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Speaker 5: show this week.

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Speaker 3: We've got these guys joining us.

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Speaker 5: You can find these guys individually in the free, award

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Speaker 5: winning Action Network app. We are alive and well with

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Speaker 5: holiday travel, getting you ready for the best Bet. You

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Speaker 5: can find the video version of the podcast as well,

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Speaker 5: if you haven't done so already, on the Action Network

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Speaker 5: YouTube page. Once you hit subscribe, give this video alike.

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Speaker 5: We greatly appreciate it, and we also like the five

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Speaker 5: star ratings that you provide wherever you listen to your podcasts, Apple, Spotify,

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Speaker 5: wherever you listen. Don't forget again and follow these guys individually,

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Speaker 5: and you can also find us in the Action Network

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Speaker 5: discord channel. Good dialogue, good back and forth, great way

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Speaker 5: to interact with some of our action folks and the

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Speaker 5: betting community. Something you should check out if you haven't

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Speaker 5: done so already. Now, fellas, all right, we had a

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Speaker 5: good week last week. We had you know, four and five.

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Speaker 5: We had a couple of plus money's hit because of

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Speaker 5: the touchdown bets, so that's good. We're five hundred plus

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Speaker 5: for the year with the look Ahead seventy eight and

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Speaker 5: sixty nine.

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Speaker 3: We will have a look Ahead this week from Dubundo.

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Speaker 5: He's filling in for Brandon as it pertains to the

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Speaker 5: look Ahead spot for week seventeen. But du Bundo, why

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Speaker 5: don't you kick us off for your best bet number?

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Speaker 5: One for Week sixteen in the National Football League.

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Speaker 1: America's Game of the Week UH Sunday afternoon Christmas Eve

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Speaker 1: should be a good one for thirty. The Dallas Cowboys

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Speaker 1: plus one and a half against the Miami Dolphins. And

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Speaker 1: I know that I was against the Dolphins last week

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Speaker 1: and lost in hilarious fashion.

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Speaker 2: It was never competitive, Jets didn't even score.

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Speaker 1: But I still think there are problems with this Miami

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Speaker 1: team and regression coming for this Miami on both sides

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Speaker 1: of the ball. First of all, their defense this season

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Speaker 1: has faced the weakest schedule of opposing offenses in the

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Speaker 1: entire NFL. And when you look at when you know,

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Speaker 1: when the Dolphins have gone up in class against these

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Speaker 1: other top offenses, Philly, who really hasn't even been that

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Speaker 1: good since but has scored thirty one points on them

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Speaker 1: pretty comfortably. The Bills were into the forties against them.

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Speaker 1: Like when they've faced these top offenses, they have struggled

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Speaker 1: to stop them, and they've benefited from a lot of

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Speaker 1: you know, backups and mediocre quarterbacks.

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Speaker 2: They've faced over the course of the season.

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Speaker 1: Now they're dealing with all these offensive line injuries, and

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Speaker 1: I know that they you know, we just watched the

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Speaker 1: Bills run all over Dallas, and I think there is

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Speaker 1: real signal in the fact that the Dallas run defense

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Speaker 1: is a problem. But all of these offensive line injuries

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Speaker 1: for Miami leave them kind of starting half backups, and

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Speaker 1: so I think they're gonna have.

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Speaker 2: A trouble dominating the game.

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Speaker 1: Like the Bills offensive line, which by most metrics from

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Speaker 1: PFF to you know, pass block and run block win rates,

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Speaker 1: is a top three or four a line in Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: So I think Dallas, you know, they'll give a better

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Speaker 1: effort here and it's a better spot for them. And

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Speaker 1: then you know, this Miami defense I'm intrigued by, you know,

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Speaker 1: whether Vic Fangio can kind of copycat the McDermott blueprint

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Speaker 1: from last week and keep two safeties high and make

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Speaker 1: that beat them with their legs and force everything underneath

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Speaker 1: and take away the the big plays. But better weather

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Speaker 1: here for Dallas, not as tough as a road environment,

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Speaker 1: and I just think Dallas is the better team. So

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Speaker 1: I'm catching one and a half on the road in

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Speaker 1: a better spot, and so I'm going to take the

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Speaker 1: Cowboys plus one and a half to win this one.

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Speaker 5: Can't confirm the weather in Florida is quite nice right now.

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Speaker 5: Not quite in Miami, but yes, beautiful weather. So it's

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Speaker 5: not quite the indoor setting that Dallas is comfortable in,

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Speaker 5: but it's better than what they dealt with in Buffalo

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Speaker 5: and that soggy, soggy Buffalo Bills stadium. Let's go to

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Speaker 5: Grant Nefer on the same game a team we just

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Speaker 5: talked about. I should say, in the Buffalo Bills, you're

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Speaker 5: targeting one of their pass catchers.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, so I'm rolling with Dalton Kincaid over twenty eight

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Speaker 6: and a half receiving yards. You can get the same

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Speaker 6: word from twenty eight and a half to thirty one

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Speaker 6: and a half. I honestly like it at all three

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Speaker 6: of them. This is kind of just a volume player.

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Speaker 6: I know Dawson Knox coming back in the lineup is

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Speaker 6: probably going to hinder them a little bit. But Kincaid

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Speaker 6: is still heavily involved in this offense. I know last

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Speaker 6: week he only had two targets zero yards. It's got

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Speaker 6: why this is kind of a by low spot here,

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Speaker 6: but that game was just strange. They decided to run

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Speaker 6: the ball pretty much every single time. Josh Allen only

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Speaker 6: had fifteen passing attempts prior to that week target totals

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Speaker 6: of eight six, seven, six, eleven seven eight. In those weeks,

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Speaker 6: He's been heavily involved every single week. He's going to

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Speaker 6: continua to be heavily involved. The matchup is great here,

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Speaker 6: going up against the Chargers. Chargers allowing the twenty ninth

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Speaker 6: most passing or the third most passing yards rather in

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Speaker 6: the league this season, giving up the sixth most to

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Speaker 6: opposing tight ends. Kinkaid is going to get the volume

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Speaker 6: in the spot. I know that there is a twelve

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Speaker 6: and a half thirteen and a half point spread out here.

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Speaker 6: I know it's potential to blow up, but we've seen

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Speaker 6: the Bills decent amount, regardless of the game script for

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Speaker 6: most of the last few years. So Kinkaid, I'm betting

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Speaker 6: on the volume here. I think he can get there

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Speaker 6: in the first second quarter and this line is probably

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Speaker 6: about five to seven yards too low.

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Speaker 5: Any deficiencies you think in the Chargers, I know the

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Speaker 5: Chargers defense altogether isn't very good. New coach, so they'll

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Speaker 5: have some new running the show there. As far as

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Speaker 5: the defense is concerned, I know they still have got

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Speaker 5: more there running the offense.

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Speaker 3: But is there anything specific about.

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Speaker 5: The Chargers defensively the tight ends that opens the door to.

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Speaker 6: I mean, they're giving up pretty much the same across

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Speaker 6: the board, regardless of position. I think it's slightly worse

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Speaker 6: versus the tight end. New coach could change things. I mean,

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Speaker 6: I don't know how a coach could do any worse

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Speaker 6: right than what's already been done for the Chargers over

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Speaker 6: the last decade. But still like it doesn't matter. They're

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Speaker 6: not a great defense, and Kinkaid's going to get the volume.

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Speaker 6: Tight end, wide, receiver doesn't really matter. They'll move them

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Speaker 6: all around, they'll scheme them, they'll put them out wide,

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Speaker 6: they use them as in pretty much all aspects. So

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Speaker 6: Kinkaid's going to get the volume regardless of the matchup.

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Speaker 6: But this happens to just be a very good matchup.

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Speaker 5: S game kind of reminds me too of when the

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Speaker 5: Bills made the change of offensive coordinator. They ran the

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Speaker 5: ball a lot, but Kincaid was also peppered with targets

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Speaker 5: in that game as well, So just kind of ball control,

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Speaker 5: get the ball out quick and move the chains, move

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Speaker 5: some clock as well. Okay, that is the nightcap of

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Speaker 5: the Saturday two game slate. The earlier game Cincinnati and Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 5: Doctor Nick Giffen has an angle there.

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Speaker 3: What do you got?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, this one, we are gonna go with the over

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Speaker 4: on the total in this game sitting at thirty seven.

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Speaker 4: I like anything thirty seven, thirty six and a half

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Speaker 4: would be amazing if it dropped down to there, But

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Speaker 4: thirty seven is fine, So let's take the over there.

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Speaker 4: This game is a luck over, so it has a

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Speaker 4: luck total of plus five point zero one those are

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Speaker 4: you unfamiliar with luck totals? Anything above plus five after

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Speaker 4: week eleven has a strong signal to the over. Thirty

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Speaker 4: five eighteen and one over the last six years to

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Speaker 4: the over in a handful of years where the under

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Speaker 4: has been hitting at a pretty high rate, that's a

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Speaker 4: pretty strong signal. Sixty five point seven percent to the

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Speaker 4: over five and one this year to the the only

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Speaker 4: loss of unfortunately he was actually in Week twelve, this

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Speaker 4: exact matchup Cincinnati Pittsburgh was a luck over and they

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Speaker 4: went under. But that I think that'll change this time. Look,

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Speaker 4: we've got Mason Rudolph is going to be quarterback for

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Speaker 4: the Pittsburgh Steelers, and if we look at his adjustin

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Speaker 4: net yards per attempt and hat tip to Stucky and

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Speaker 4: Raybond who pointed this out. His is five point one.

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Speaker 4: Kenny Pickett's career AYA adjusted net yards price tempt to

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Speaker 4: say is five point zero, and Mitch Trubisky in his

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Speaker 4: time with the Steers is four point nine. So he's

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Speaker 4: not a downgrade from these guys on average. So I

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Speaker 4: think this is a spot where hopefully books in the

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Speaker 4: public are maybe down on him because eighty eight percent

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Speaker 4: of the money eighty five percent of the money is

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Speaker 4: coming in on the under right now. Also on the

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Speaker 4: flip side, Jake Browning has not been as bad as

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Speaker 4: maybe people thought he was to begin with. He's actually

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Speaker 4: shown he's halfway decent, acceptable backup quarterback. So I think

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Speaker 4: this is a spot where the over absolutely can hit.

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Speaker 4: You know, both these especially Cincinnati defense, I should say,

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Speaker 4: has struggled, and while the Pittsburgh offense has struggled. I

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Speaker 4: don't think Mason Rudolph is a downgrade. We get great

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Speaker 4: weather here for this time of year. It's gonna be

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Speaker 4: almost perfect in this game for weather, so that's not

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Speaker 4: a concern if anything, that will help the over.

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Speaker 5: Uh.

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Speaker 4: So I think this is just a spot where we

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Speaker 4: get to back the over. Uh, when everybody is on

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Speaker 4: the under, and when most of the money has been

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Speaker 4: on the under this year as far as the luck overs,

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Speaker 4: they've hit every single time.

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Speaker 3: I don't know, Dubundo.

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Speaker 5: I'm sensing a raw raw Mike Tomlin spot this week

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Speaker 5: based on these angles. It's not a Pittsburgh play, it's

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Speaker 5: not Pittsburgh plus two, but there is faith in the

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Speaker 5: Pittsburgh side Nasa Rudolf at quarterback.

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Speaker 3: And that leads to next next pick.

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Speaker 4: If I hear Rob raw one more time.

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Speaker 2: Last night last week was ra ra right. They were

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Speaker 2: lost two in a row.

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Speaker 1: They were they were in Indy, desperate Indies, apparently fraudulent

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Speaker 1: and they got smoked. There's no ra ra there, But

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Speaker 1: now it's raw Rob Brandon Anderson thinks it's raw ros

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Speaker 1: so he bet them.

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Speaker 5: But we'll say, all right, let's okay, how about that

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Speaker 5: if they don't win this week, we put the raw

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Speaker 5: rod to bed.

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Speaker 1: Now, because then next week will be a ra ra

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Speaker 1: because tom One has to keep the winning season alive streak.

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Speaker 3: I guess he does have a couple of games to

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Speaker 3: work with that still exactly, So.

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Speaker 2: People are just gonna keep saying it until that's the

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Speaker 2: beauty of it.

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Speaker 3: The raw rod never here, the blah blah. I like

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Speaker 3: the blah blah part. That's good. I love that. I

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Speaker 3: bring it up time to time on the episode here

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Speaker 3: on the podcast, so you ain't know to us no more.

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Speaker 1: Now you know what I mean.

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Speaker 5: Okay, Nick, But Pittsburgh you want points, so you won't

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Speaker 5: mind if Pittsburgh's the want scoring the points.

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Speaker 4: That's right. This is a luck over. So give me

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Speaker 4: a touchdown bet in this game. And this is my

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Speaker 4: favorite touchdown bet of the week. We're gonna go with

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Speaker 4: Pat Fryermouth plus four to seventy for any time touchdown. Look,

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Speaker 4: his longest odds for an anytime touchdown over the past

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Speaker 4: two years has been plus five hundred, and that was

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Speaker 4: in Week eleven. We face the Cleveland Browns, who are

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Speaker 4: one of the best defenses of all time in especially

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Speaker 4: in the past decade or so, so you know that

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Speaker 4: makes sense. But now he's going up against the Cincinnati Bengals,

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Speaker 4: and the Bengals suck versus the tight end. They are

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Speaker 4: absolutely terrible. They're thirty first in defensive DVOA versus the

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Speaker 4: tight end position. But not only that, they allow the

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Speaker 4: fourth most targets per game to the position. So when

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Speaker 4: you add it all up, terrible efficiency and terrible volume,

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Speaker 4: they allow the most yards per game to the tight

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Speaker 4: end position. We talked about it. I'm not downgrading the

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Speaker 4: Steelers offense much, if any, going to Mason Rudolph, but

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Speaker 4: I feel like maybe the books are a little bit

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Speaker 4: and that's why friar miss anytime touchdown odds are so long,

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Speaker 4: which go back to last year. The longest he had

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Speaker 4: was plus three thirty, right for a full year. Last

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Speaker 4: year that came in three games, But this year plus

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Speaker 4: four seventy, which is approaching the longest he's had in

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Speaker 4: the past two years. In a great plus matchup, in

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Speaker 4: a luckover with a quarterback who I think can uh

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Speaker 4: you know, manage the game just as well as the

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Speaker 4: previous two iterations of quarterbacks in this on this team,

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Speaker 4: on the Steelers team. So uh maybe not raw raw Steelers,

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Speaker 4: but I do like some points in this one. So

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Speaker 4: let's go Pat Fryarmouth plus four to seventy for an

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Speaker 4: any time touchdown. I got like around four to one,

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Speaker 4: maybe plus four to ten as fair odds.

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Speaker 5: All right, very good, and that is a that is

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Speaker 5: an appealing number, Like you said, three point thirty was

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Speaker 5: that range last year and now friar Mouth healthy. George

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Speaker 5: Pickens just seemed you can't get going. I know we

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Speaker 5: had a couple of catches early in the game last week,

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Speaker 5: but outside of Deontay Johnson, and then they'll get more

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Speaker 5: and more involved in the passing game too, the short

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Speaker 5: passing game. All right, I like it. And listen, Nick,

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Speaker 5: if it hits, it helps. It doesn't matter about the record. Okay,

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Speaker 5: we're getting the good odds and you're pricing this at

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Speaker 5: fair value. Anthony Dubundo is turning to Christmas Eve night.

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Speaker 5: He's gonna stay up wait for Santa to come down

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Speaker 5: the chimney, watching the Patriots and the Broncos. Dubundo, you're

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Speaker 5: gonna put yourself through this?

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Speaker 3: What do you go?

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Speaker 1: I actually think the Norad Santa tracker would be more

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Speaker 1: exciting in this game, you know, seeing where Santa Claus is.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, look, everybody's talked about just from

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Speaker 1: a narrative perspective, right Denver is, you know, so improved,

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Speaker 1: and they have a chance at the playoffs. New England's

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Speaker 1: having like this worst season of all time. They're gonna

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Speaker 1: fire Belichick, you know, burn it all down. I'm sure

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Speaker 1: you feel that way, Brendan coming into the week in DVOWA,

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Speaker 1: Denver's twenty second New England is twenty seven. Now'll think

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Speaker 1: about that, like just how small the gap is really

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Speaker 1: between these two teams. And the Patriots defense is still

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Speaker 1: number one in the NFL and EPA per rush allowed,

288
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Speaker 1: and I expect Denver to have no success early down

289
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Speaker 1: running the ball to set up their play action on

290
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Speaker 1: later downs. Denver off the script after the you know,

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Speaker 1: scripted portion of the game, really poor, still a bottom

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Speaker 1: eight offense by EPA after the first quarter. And if

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Speaker 1: you look at yards per drive, because we talked about

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Speaker 1: Denver a lot on this show and the Broncos and

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Speaker 1: how much they had this incredible turnover look defensively, like

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Speaker 1: a quarter of opponent's drives were ending with turnovers and

297
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Speaker 1: that was giving them all these short fields. If you

298
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Speaker 1: just look at yards per drive, Denver is twenty seventh

299
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Speaker 1: on defense, they're twenty third on offense. And New England's

300
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Speaker 1: offense is not going to be able to move the

301
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Speaker 1: ball much here either. They have some O line injuries

302
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Speaker 1: Hunter Henry maybe out Ormandre Stevenson as well, Like, it's

303
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Speaker 1: a really rough unit that New England's thrown out there offensively,

304
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Speaker 1: but there's still a top ten offense and yards per

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Speaker 1: drive all out, So this New England defense keeps them

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Speaker 1: in this game. And I think from a net success

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Speaker 1: rate net drive percentage, Denver doesn't really have a huge

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Speaker 1: edge here. So why are they laying six and a

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Speaker 1: half on a total that's crashing? Weather might be bad,

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Speaker 1: there's potential for some snow totals at thirty four and

311
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Speaker 1: a half, I think it might go even lower, So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I like New England six and a half.

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Speaker 2: You could still wait, I haven't actually bet.

314
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Speaker 1: The Patriots yet because I'm hoping and praying a seven pops.

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Speaker 1: I don't know that it will though it seems closer

316
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Speaker 1: to six than seven. But New England plus six and

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Speaker 1: a half official play here for me, and I will

318
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Speaker 1: bet it come Saturday if the line hasn't hit seven yet.

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Speaker 2: So waiting and seeing.

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Speaker 1: But I just really, I know Zapi's been so bad

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Speaker 1: and it's not fun as a bet, but like it's

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Speaker 1: kind of like when Pittsburgh and their awful offense was

323
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Speaker 1: laying you know, it comes to a full touchdown on

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Speaker 1: a really low total.

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Speaker 2: Well, now, it's like Zappi has one good scripted.

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Speaker 1: Drive and all of a sudden, you're you're you're feeling

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Speaker 1: great about your your bet so.

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Speaker 3: And he had he had a handful of those.

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Speaker 5: And I know Nick Giffin, he taught me the hard

330
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Speaker 5: way about why that was a luck over and why

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Speaker 5: the over was the right side when Bailey Zappi lit

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Speaker 5: it up in the first half and the over did

333
00:15:18,520 --> 00:15:19,360
Speaker 5: get there in the first half.

334
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Speaker 4: Yes, actually I love this bet I saw. I'm at

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Speaker 4: the bundo that. First of all, just the road dog

336
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Speaker 4: low total trend hits at such a high rate, and

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Speaker 4: this is a total right now thirty four and a half,

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Speaker 4: so and we're getting six and a half here with

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Speaker 4: New England. I mean, that's that's insane. But if we

340
00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:40,040
Speaker 4: look at Pythagorean win expectation, right so, just based off

341
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Speaker 4: their point differential, you know, Denver should be about a

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Speaker 4: forty percent win team and New England should be about

343
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Speaker 4: a twenty one to twenty two percent win team. But

344
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Speaker 4: that doesn't take into account expected score, which of course

345
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Speaker 4: is what drives our luck rankings, and expected score is

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Speaker 4: something called second order Pythagorean win percentage that actually is

347
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Speaker 4: more predictive than first order. Second order, these teams are

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00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:03,960
Speaker 4: a lot closer, and then third orders when you schedule

349
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Speaker 4: adjust that and schedule adjusted Pythagorean win percentage expected Pythagorean

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Speaker 4: win percentage. Here these teams are pretty close. Denver's it

351
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Speaker 4: like thirty eight percent, in New England's at like thirty

352
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Speaker 4: two percent. So I love this spot. I think this

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Speaker 4: is a spot where we absolutely have to take New England.

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Speaker 4: Excuse me, take New England plus six and a half.

355
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Speaker 5: But this does not qualify as a luck over, right,

356
00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:27,360
Speaker 5: this would not fit the criteria.

357
00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:30,520
Speaker 4: Not a luck over, not a luck rankings matchup. But

358
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Speaker 4: New England is the unluckier of the two teams in

359
00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:37,080
Speaker 4: this game. It was really close to being a luck matchup. Actually,

360
00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:40,600
Speaker 4: it's a luck difference of twenty three again with New

361
00:16:40,600 --> 00:16:43,240
Speaker 4: England being and we say twenty four and above is significant.

362
00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:46,120
Speaker 4: We also say thirty percent luck gapper more significant this

363
00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:48,080
Speaker 4: time of year, it's twenty three point six percent, so

364
00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:50,600
Speaker 4: not quite there, But this is like so close to

365
00:16:50,680 --> 00:16:52,760
Speaker 4: being a luckover. Then you add on all those other factors.

366
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Speaker 4: I like New England as well.

367
00:16:54,520 --> 00:16:56,040
Speaker 2: It may not be a luckover, but it may be

368
00:16:56,080 --> 00:16:56,560
Speaker 2: a snover.

369
00:16:57,240 --> 00:16:57,680
Speaker 4: That's true.

370
00:16:58,120 --> 00:17:01,240
Speaker 2: The term that Stucky has coined there is the chance

371
00:17:01,280 --> 00:17:03,280
Speaker 2: of snowfall. That's a stecky term I can get on

372
00:17:03,320 --> 00:17:04,760
Speaker 2: board with. Yeah, I love snowvers.

373
00:17:04,760 --> 00:17:07,000
Speaker 1: So this total may crash colosh at a game time

374
00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:10,160
Speaker 1: if you see snow because people assume that helps defense.

375
00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:13,080
Speaker 1: But yeah, but it actually helps offense, you know, being

376
00:17:13,240 --> 00:17:16,359
Speaker 1: less reactive. It's not going to be windy snowfall round

377
00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:18,000
Speaker 1: one inch according to the report.

378
00:17:18,040 --> 00:17:19,320
Speaker 2: Now, I haven't gove deep into it.

379
00:17:19,280 --> 00:17:20,639
Speaker 1: Because I didn't bet the total in the game, but

380
00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:23,600
Speaker 1: if it gets down to like thirty two, like thirty one,

381
00:17:24,720 --> 00:17:24,879
Speaker 1: then I.

382
00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:26,159
Speaker 2: Would bet the over, but I don't. I don't know

383
00:17:26,160 --> 00:17:27,000
Speaker 2: that it'll get that low.

384
00:17:27,480 --> 00:17:30,000
Speaker 5: No fear of snow when you have two dome teams

385
00:17:30,000 --> 00:17:33,280
Speaker 5: facing each other, Vikings and Lions, great need for has

386
00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:34,960
Speaker 5: an angle two angles on these games.

387
00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:35,800
Speaker 3: Why don't you go back to back?

388
00:17:35,840 --> 00:17:35,959
Speaker 6: Right?

389
00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:36,560
Speaker 3: What you got?

390
00:17:37,040 --> 00:17:40,119
Speaker 6: So the first one is Nick Mullens over two hundred

391
00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:42,320
Speaker 6: and fifty nine point five passing yards. I know that

392
00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:46,359
Speaker 6: seems like a high number for a guy that probably

393
00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:50,200
Speaker 6: is not a true NFL starter caliber quarterback, but I

394
00:17:50,280 --> 00:17:52,680
Speaker 6: mean just put up three hundred last week. They're playing

395
00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:55,320
Speaker 6: in a dome, which is a really big thing here. Mullens,

396
00:17:55,480 --> 00:18:01,159
Speaker 6: his receiving core is potentially the best league. I mean, Addison, Efferson, Hawkinson,

397
00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:05,000
Speaker 6: he has just fantastic receivers. They're still going to pass

398
00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:07,040
Speaker 6: a decent amount. The game script is pre solid with

399
00:18:07,119 --> 00:18:09,680
Speaker 6: them being a three point underdog. That was higher would

400
00:18:09,720 --> 00:18:12,119
Speaker 6: be better, but they're still going to throw the ball

401
00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:15,119
Speaker 6: a lot. Detroit their pass defense is worse than the

402
00:18:15,240 --> 00:18:19,280
Speaker 6: rush defense, and their pass defense might be a little overrated.

403
00:18:19,640 --> 00:18:21,880
Speaker 6: They've been worse in recent weeks. I think they've given

404
00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:24,920
Speaker 6: up twenty eight plus points in five out of the

405
00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:29,560
Speaker 6: last six weeks. They're ranked fourteenth in most passing yards

406
00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:33,320
Speaker 6: allowed per game on the season, and they faced to

407
00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:37,119
Speaker 6: top twelve passing offensive while they faced seven bottom twelve

408
00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:39,600
Speaker 6: pass offenses, and that includes some of the worst of

409
00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:43,480
Speaker 6: the worst, like Carolina Atlanta like they've had a very

410
00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:47,359
Speaker 6: easy schedule when it comes to pass offenses. Playing in

411
00:18:47,400 --> 00:18:49,880
Speaker 6: a dome. They're giving up more points in a dome

412
00:18:49,920 --> 00:18:51,840
Speaker 6: since beginning last season. Last season, I think they were

413
00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:54,280
Speaker 6: top of the league and giving up points in a

414
00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:56,440
Speaker 6: dome this season, it's a little bit different, but that's

415
00:18:56,440 --> 00:19:00,000
Speaker 6: because of the difference in matchups. It's been drastically easy

416
00:19:00,119 --> 00:19:04,040
Speaker 6: year at home facing teams like Atlanta, Carolina, Las Vegas,

417
00:19:04,320 --> 00:19:07,640
Speaker 6: Green Bay, Denver Like, they've had a very easy schedule

418
00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:10,320
Speaker 6: at home this season, So the numbers are a little

419
00:19:10,320 --> 00:19:13,840
Speaker 6: bit more skewed, but it's basically entirely justified based on

420
00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:18,560
Speaker 6: the matchups. But Nick Mullen's great receiving cores, solid game

421
00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:23,800
Speaker 6: script here, actually a solid above average matchup, and everything

422
00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:25,920
Speaker 6: kind of just points towards the over there, and which

423
00:19:25,920 --> 00:19:28,639
Speaker 6: is why I like the over on this game. But

424
00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:31,520
Speaker 6: my other pick is actually going to be Detroit over

425
00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:34,479
Speaker 6: twenty four and a half points. They've hit this at

426
00:19:34,520 --> 00:19:37,119
Speaker 6: a massive clip. I think seven out of the last

427
00:19:37,320 --> 00:19:40,359
Speaker 6: eight games, six out of the last seven games last season,

428
00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:43,000
Speaker 6: they averaged thirty three points at home, and it was

429
00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:45,639
Speaker 6: slightly lower in dome games because earlier on this season

430
00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:48,400
Speaker 6: they weren't quite the same team. They faced Dallas over

431
00:19:48,440 --> 00:19:50,640
Speaker 6: in Dallas and I think they only put up six points,

432
00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:52,880
Speaker 6: and they had one other matchup where they weren't great.

433
00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:56,280
Speaker 6: But this season in a dome, averaging over thirty points

434
00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:59,640
Speaker 6: per game by a decent amount They're two road dome

435
00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:02,760
Speaker 6: games against New Orleans put up thirty three points and

436
00:20:02,800 --> 00:20:05,960
Speaker 6: against the Chargers put up forty one points. Jared Goff

437
00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:10,000
Speaker 6: last three season has been averaging about thirty twenty five

438
00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:13,639
Speaker 6: to thirty more passing yards per game in a dome.

439
00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:16,840
Speaker 6: They are the best home team at scoring over the

440
00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:19,480
Speaker 6: last two seasons, and when you factor in all domes,

441
00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:23,720
Speaker 6: they're still the best scoring team. They've just been absolutely

442
00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:26,560
Speaker 6: unreal good in domes at putting up points, and they

443
00:20:26,680 --> 00:20:29,400
Speaker 6: still allow a bunch of points. We've seen so many

444
00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:34,439
Speaker 6: fifty sixty seventy point games with the Detroit playing in

445
00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:36,280
Speaker 6: a dome. I think this is going to be a

446
00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:40,560
Speaker 6: just complete shootout here. I think the overhits. I think

447
00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:43,240
Speaker 6: the Detroit overhits. I like that one a little bit better,

448
00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:45,280
Speaker 6: especially you can get it twenty four and a half.

449
00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:47,480
Speaker 6: Everything points towards an over here.

450
00:20:48,040 --> 00:20:51,159
Speaker 5: Okay, very good total right now forty six and a

451
00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:53,960
Speaker 5: half for Detroit and Minnesota.

452
00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:57,479
Speaker 7: The Action Network podcast is presented by Bett MGM. Use

453
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Speaker 7: bonus code Action when signing up to get up to

454
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Speaker 7: your first bet loses for new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

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Speaker 7: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia.

457
00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:15,320
Speaker 2: And Wyoming.

458
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:18,080
Speaker 3: Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one or older.

459
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Speaker 3: Gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler. We'll turn our

460
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Speaker 3: attention now.

461
00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:24,880
Speaker 5: The final two picks feature the game of the weekend,

462
00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:28,520
Speaker 5: I think most of a degree Christmas Night, Baltimore visiting

463
00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:31,400
Speaker 5: San Francisco, the two favorites in their respective conferences.

464
00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:34,560
Speaker 3: Nick Giffen playing a side, What do you have?

465
00:21:34,960 --> 00:21:38,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna take Baltimore plus five and a half

466
00:21:38,560 --> 00:21:41,639
Speaker 4: here against the San Francisco forty nine ers. I know

467
00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:43,760
Speaker 4: it scares a lot of people to go against this

468
00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:46,680
Speaker 4: forty nine ers team right now. That is just absolutely crushing.

469
00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:52,200
Speaker 4: But Baltimore almost just as good. If we looked again.

470
00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:56,000
Speaker 4: I mentioned pythagre and expectation, second order, third order, all

471
00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:58,399
Speaker 4: that Mathew stuff. You don't need to know all the

472
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:00,840
Speaker 4: Matthew stuff, but the Matthew stuff says that these two

473
00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:05,359
Speaker 4: teams are pretty close. In third order pytha agrean expected

474
00:22:05,520 --> 00:22:09,159
Speaker 4: win percentage again we're schedule adjusting, looking at expected scores

475
00:22:09,200 --> 00:22:12,280
Speaker 4: instead of actual scores, but even just actual scores, right,

476
00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:16,119
Speaker 4: In terms of differential, yeah, San Francisco has a higher

477
00:22:16,680 --> 00:22:19,439
Speaker 4: differential in terms of points four minus points against, but

478
00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:22,680
Speaker 4: they also play in overall higher scoring games, so that

479
00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:25,959
Speaker 4: matters more, uh or that matters, which is why they

480
00:22:26,000 --> 00:22:29,320
Speaker 4: have a higher differential. So essentially these two teams, if

481
00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:32,159
Speaker 4: you adjust for the scoring volume in the game, have

482
00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:35,960
Speaker 4: pretty much similar expectation there. Now, yes, San Francisco did

483
00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:38,639
Speaker 4: play three of those games without Trent Williams, you know,

484
00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:41,800
Speaker 4: no Deebo Samuel at certain points, so you have to

485
00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:45,560
Speaker 4: adjust for that. But in aggregate, San Francisco is you know,

486
00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:48,840
Speaker 4: probably a point and a half, two points better, even

487
00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:50,920
Speaker 4: three points better, but then maybe a point and a

488
00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:53,119
Speaker 4: half for home field. I cannot get to five and

489
00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:57,439
Speaker 4: a half here overall for San Francisco. I think, you know,

490
00:22:57,600 --> 00:23:02,480
Speaker 4: four is kind of key number here, So I would

491
00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 4: take anything four and a half or longer. On the

492
00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:08,240
Speaker 4: Baltimore Ravens here, I mean, this is a team that, yeah,

493
00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:10,920
Speaker 4: they've you know, gone through a few different running backs.

494
00:23:10,720 --> 00:23:14,600
Speaker 4: It sucks that they've had a ton of injuries there,

495
00:23:14,640 --> 00:23:20,080
Speaker 4: but overall, what matters most is your quarterback and your defense,

496
00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:22,080
Speaker 4: and this is a team that is very strong at

497
00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:24,919
Speaker 4: both positions. Here, I think they'll be able to limit

498
00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:27,760
Speaker 4: you know, Rock Party has had an amazing season, but

499
00:23:27,760 --> 00:23:29,480
Speaker 4: I think they'll be able to limit Rock Purty a

500
00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:33,000
Speaker 4: little bit. And their offense is high powered enough that

501
00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:35,040
Speaker 4: they'll be able to score points and keep it close

502
00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:38,560
Speaker 4: here with San Francisco. So I think anything four and

503
00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:42,000
Speaker 4: a half or longer I would take it and run

504
00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:43,000
Speaker 4: with the Ravens.

505
00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:43,520
Speaker 3: Here to bundo.

506
00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:45,719
Speaker 5: You know this, running backs don't really matter unless you're

507
00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:48,719
Speaker 5: Christian McCaffrey or like you're one of those handful of dudes,

508
00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:51,480
Speaker 5: but you have an angle here too, du bundo to

509
00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:52,000
Speaker 5: take us home.

510
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:54,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, Like over forty six and a half, I think

511
00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:57,960
Speaker 1: the Jaguars offense really did move the ball better than

512
00:23:58,040 --> 00:24:00,080
Speaker 1: even I thought. And I bet the over last Sunday,

513
00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:01,760
Speaker 1: you know, I talked about it. I said the weather

514
00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:04,159
Speaker 1: won't be that bad, the totals too low. Game, of

515
00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:07,280
Speaker 1: course went under, but Jacksonville had five trips past the

516
00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:10,840
Speaker 1: forty that led to zero points, two miss field goals,

517
00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:12,879
Speaker 1: to the first in the red zone, and to the

518
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:15,040
Speaker 1: first half that touchdown to Ridley, which I thought he

519
00:24:15,080 --> 00:24:17,920
Speaker 1: clearly caught, but apparently Terry McAuley did too, but the

520
00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:18,600
Speaker 1: officials did not.

521
00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:21,320
Speaker 2: They had five and a half yards to play.

522
00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:25,200
Speaker 1: And that's a very one dimensional Jaguars offense with Trevor

523
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:28,200
Speaker 1: Lawrence who got concustom mid game playing on a bad ankle,

524
00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:31,600
Speaker 1: with one good receiver. This San Francisco offense, I think,

525
00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:33,159
Speaker 1: is going to move the ball very well against an

526
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:34,560
Speaker 1: overrated Baltimore secondary.

527
00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:37,000
Speaker 2: Look at what we've seen San.

528
00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:39,600
Speaker 1: Francisco do to what we thought were good defenses this season,

529
00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:43,880
Speaker 1: completely shredding them with the Loan exception of Cleveland. You know,

530
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:45,600
Speaker 1: they have moved the ball up and down the field

531
00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:48,000
Speaker 1: on teams like Dallas and even Philly. You know, obviously

532
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:50,560
Speaker 1: we know they're not that good anymore, but this San

533
00:24:50,600 --> 00:24:54,199
Speaker 1: Francisco offense has scored twenty seven points in every game

534
00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 1: where everybody's been healthy all season, and dating back to

535
00:24:57,080 --> 00:24:59,680
Speaker 1: last season, same thing is true since Party took over.

536
00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:02,160
Speaker 1: I know they have some offensive line issues, but look,

537
00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:04,040
Speaker 1: he's such a good process or he makes up for it.

538
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:06,440
Speaker 1: And regardless of what you think of his MVP candidacy,

539
00:25:06,800 --> 00:25:08,120
Speaker 1: this offense is operating at.

540
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:09,919
Speaker 2: An elite, elite level, and it's going to.

541
00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:13,159
Speaker 1: Force Baltimore to play a little faster than they want to. Right,

542
00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:15,560
Speaker 1: Baltimore's played with a lot of leads this year, They've

543
00:25:15,560 --> 00:25:16,399
Speaker 1: played very slow.

544
00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:18,080
Speaker 2: As a result of that, They're.

545
00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:20,159
Speaker 1: Gonna have to play a little bit faster. And I

546
00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:22,879
Speaker 1: do think they'll have success running the ball. I mean,

547
00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:25,440
Speaker 1: San Francisco gave up seven point eight yards per rush

548
00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:28,520
Speaker 1: to Arizona last week. You can run on this Niner front,

549
00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:30,760
Speaker 1: and I think that the Ravens will find success on

550
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:32,840
Speaker 1: the ground. Lamar will do his thing and get a

551
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:36,199
Speaker 1: couple explosives. Stanley looks like he's gonna play. So I

552
00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:38,000
Speaker 1: love this over at forty six and a half. And

553
00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:40,639
Speaker 1: I just really think that the market is overvaluing this

554
00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:42,879
Speaker 1: Ravens defense and this Niners defense.

555
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:44,879
Speaker 2: I took Arizona with the points last week.

556
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:47,080
Speaker 1: Didn't get home on that either, but like they were

557
00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:48,800
Speaker 1: moving the ball up and down the field at will.

558
00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:51,359
Speaker 1: It's just that I think San Francisco's offense will finish

559
00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:53,560
Speaker 1: off the drives that Jacksonville could not last week.

560
00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:55,359
Speaker 2: So over forty six and a half for me.

561
00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:55,840
Speaker 3: Right.

562
00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:57,720
Speaker 5: The Cardinals too, They kicked a bunch of field goals

563
00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:00,320
Speaker 5: in that game against San Francisco. I just couldn't quite

564
00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:04,359
Speaker 5: get to the sticks alrighty in place of Brandon Anderson's

565
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:08,199
Speaker 5: look ahead, Dubundo speaking of those Arizona Cardinals, and he

566
00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:10,280
Speaker 5: threw a little big in there on the Eagles. Ye

567
00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:12,720
Speaker 5: may mix that in there, du Bundo. Very quietly, I

568
00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 5: caught that you're going to take Brandon slot this week

569
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:17,600
Speaker 5: and give us a look ahead for a week number seventeen.

570
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:18,399
Speaker 2: Yeah.

571
00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:21,760
Speaker 1: So the Eagles play against Tommy DeVito and the Giants

572
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:25,960
Speaker 1: on Christmas Day in the afternoon. They are twelve point favorites.

573
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:27,800
Speaker 1: I do expect them to win that game. It will

574
00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:30,840
Speaker 1: be very interesting to see, you know, how much they

575
00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:32,840
Speaker 1: win it by, because they should win with margin. This

576
00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 1: is like the classic get right spot at home against

577
00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:36,120
Speaker 1: an overmatched.

578
00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:38,159
Speaker 2: Quarterback, you know, right the ship.

579
00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:40,600
Speaker 1: Ben so Lack wrote a really good piece about the

580
00:26:40,600 --> 00:26:42,439
Speaker 1: Eagles offense that's up right now with the Ringer, and

581
00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:44,919
Speaker 1: it kind of gets into the things that I've been

582
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:46,520
Speaker 1: seeing in the concerns that I've had, which is that

583
00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:47,639
Speaker 1: they're just not as explosive.

584
00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:49,360
Speaker 2: They're not as good in the running game.

585
00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:51,280
Speaker 1: This year, Hurts as a runner has been a problem,

586
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:53,800
Speaker 1: and they have not been as explosive, and I think

587
00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:55,119
Speaker 1: that's going to be a problem for them to get

588
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:58,960
Speaker 1: margin against a combatant and very effective, really offense in Arizona.

589
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:01,440
Speaker 1: Next week Arizona comes to the length, they're catching ten.

590
00:27:01,840 --> 00:27:03,560
Speaker 1: I like Arizona plus ten on the look ahead.

591
00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:05,360
Speaker 2: I think this offense, since.

592
00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:07,280
Speaker 1: Kyler has come back, has shown a lot of life

593
00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:10,320
Speaker 1: five and a half yards per play against the Texans

594
00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:13,040
Speaker 1: and a loss they I just talked about seven point

595
00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:15,520
Speaker 1: eight yards per rush against San Francisco and the Eagles

596
00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:18,879
Speaker 1: run defense has very quietly tapered off. San Francisco had

597
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:21,040
Speaker 1: a ton of success running on them, Dallas got what

598
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:23,520
Speaker 1: they wanted on the ground, and even last week's Seattle

599
00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:25,959
Speaker 1: on Monday Night, ken Walker was really effective. So this

600
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:28,360
Speaker 1: run defense, this defensive line has not been as good.

601
00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:30,639
Speaker 1: So I think Arizona gets enough points up on the

602
00:27:30,680 --> 00:27:34,440
Speaker 1: board to overcome their defensive flaws. And like I said,

603
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:36,960
Speaker 1: the Eagles are just not explosive. They have not been

604
00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:39,440
Speaker 1: good with leads, putting teams away like they were last year.

605
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:41,800
Speaker 1: They've only had two wins by double didits all year

606
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:44,439
Speaker 1: Miami Tampa Bay. They've won a lot of close games,

607
00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:48,199
Speaker 1: even in games against overmatch teams like New England or

608
00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:50,840
Speaker 1: Washington both times, so I just don't really trust them

609
00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:51,359
Speaker 1: to get margin.

610
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:53,080
Speaker 2: So give me Arizona plus ten.

611
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:57,640
Speaker 5: I would add two. Matt Patricia against the mobile quarterback. Well,

612
00:27:57,680 --> 00:27:59,480
Speaker 5: first of all, he wasn't great against Drew Locke, but

613
00:27:59,600 --> 00:28:02,120
Speaker 5: dating to his time with the Patriots, the rocket scientist

614
00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:07,520
Speaker 5: that became Bill Belichick's defensive coordinator, Bill Patricia constantly struggle

615
00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:10,160
Speaker 5: against the mobile quarterback. And you let Drew lockroll out

616
00:28:10,320 --> 00:28:12,480
Speaker 5: and make throws on the run. What's Kyler Mary gonna do?

617
00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:17,560
Speaker 5: So I would agree getting the double digits against Philadelphia.

618
00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:19,920
Speaker 5: All right, gents, thanks for being here, Thanks for making

619
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:22,359
Speaker 5: it happen. We keep this show rolling week by week.

620
00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:24,280
Speaker 5: That is going to do it. Here in the Action

621
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:27,520
Speaker 5: Network podcast for our NFL Week sixteen Best Bets episode,

622
00:28:27,520 --> 00:28:30,000
Speaker 5: we are presented by our friends at bet MGM, the

623
00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:32,840
Speaker 5: King of sports books. Again, don't forget to download the

624
00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:35,280
Speaker 5: free award winning Action Network app to see all of

625
00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:38,160
Speaker 5: these guys picks our other contributors at Action Network. For

626
00:28:38,200 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 5: the NFL slate, check out the Action Network discord. As

627
00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:44,160
Speaker 5: I said, you're on YouTube, subscribe like the video We

628
00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:44,840
Speaker 5: appreciate you.

629
00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:46,720
Speaker 3: We'll be back on Friday morning.

630
00:28:46,760 --> 00:28:50,280
Speaker 5: Best of luck this weekend, Merry Christmas, Happy Hanukah, enjoy

631
00:28:50,320 --> 00:28:53,520
Speaker 5: your holiday. For Dubundo, Nick Giffin grant me for brinding

632
00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:56,640
Speaker 5: glass sheet. Thanks for listening to the Action Network podcast

633
00:28:56,760 --> 00:28:57,920
Speaker 5: presented by bet MGM.

634
00:28:58,400 --> 00:28:59,080
Speaker 3: See you next week.

635
00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:19,120
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

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00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:21,920
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