WEBVTT - Why TikTok May Prefer A Weaker U.S. Partner: Howard Yu

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, along

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<v Speaker 1>with my co host of Bonnie Quinn. Every business day

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<v Speaker 1>we bring you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts,

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<v Speaker 1>along with essential market moving news. Kind the Bloomberg Markets

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast on Apple podcast or wherever you listen to podcasts,

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<v Speaker 1>and on Bloomberg dot com. So it's been an interesting morning.

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<v Speaker 1>We've been talking a lot about various deals out there,

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<v Speaker 1>from the Verizon deal to the TikTok deal slash arrangement.

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<v Speaker 1>For somebody who you know can tell us a lot

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<v Speaker 1>more about it. Now, let's go to Los Angewitz, London,

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<v Speaker 1>Howard You, who is lego Professor of Management and Innovation

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<v Speaker 1>at I m d Business School. So the story is

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<v Speaker 1>that Oracle edged out Microsoft in negotiating for the US

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<v Speaker 1>operations of China owned TikTok, which is the subsidiary of

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<v Speaker 1>by Dance. But Professor You explain to us exactly what

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<v Speaker 1>kind of a quote unquote deal this is. Well, it

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<v Speaker 1>remained slightly unclear how that technical partnership is gonna be

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<v Speaker 1>with Urticle and TikTok. What has been clear right now

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<v Speaker 1>is Microsoft historically or over the past few days, we're

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<v Speaker 1>thinking about acquiring tech talk and make it safe for

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<v Speaker 1>US user, and possibly they need to open the algal

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<v Speaker 1>or the software code and make it much more transparent

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<v Speaker 1>going forward. And in the end it's bike Dance. The

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<v Speaker 1>owner of TikTok said no to Microsoft, and in a

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<v Speaker 1>way that the technical partnership is probably keeping whatever algal

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<v Speaker 1>behind will stay intact and trying to appease to government

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<v Speaker 1>at the same time. So, professor, what was the political

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<v Speaker 1>overhang of this deal or the political influence of this

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<v Speaker 1>deal from your perspective, I mean, this is a big

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<v Speaker 1>major development in the sense that for the first time

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<v Speaker 1>government are really adding on acting on an ad hot basis.

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<v Speaker 1>So starting from the Trum administration, all of these executive orders,

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<v Speaker 1>there is no industry saltation, there is no independent inquiry

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<v Speaker 1>per se. And then after all the Chinese government at

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<v Speaker 1>the same time we're basically saying, you know, by Dance,

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<v Speaker 1>you cannot export any software code in the name of

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<v Speaker 1>you know, national security. On the ramification is the following

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<v Speaker 1>that business is find it really really difficult going forward

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<v Speaker 1>to plan ahead, whether it's long term R and D

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<v Speaker 1>or product sales and marketing. Given all of these becomes

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<v Speaker 1>much more of an ad hot basis in your estimation,

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<v Speaker 1>is Oracle the right kind of company to be doing this?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean in the ideal world. This is kind of

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<v Speaker 1>strange because if you think about Oracle is historically it

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<v Speaker 1>is really a B two B company. They sells database services.

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<v Speaker 1>It doesn't really have a large B to C market

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<v Speaker 1>as a result, to know how that they have would

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<v Speaker 1>be arguably much less than Microsoft, where is running xboxes

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<v Speaker 1>or this game, And of course the B two C

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<v Speaker 1>market is huge and sort of the technical ability around

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<v Speaker 1>AI is also amazing too. However, if you're thinking about

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<v Speaker 1>tech talk, probably one of the biggest worry is once

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<v Speaker 1>they've gone through the deal potentially go through, would they

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<v Speaker 1>completely lose their independence. From that angle than Oracle potentially

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<v Speaker 1>becomes much more attractive. That's smaller than know How around

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<v Speaker 1>B two SEA market is much less, and quite frankly,

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<v Speaker 1>they are not very strong in building our goal. So

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<v Speaker 1>from that angle, it's not too surprising that techtok would

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<v Speaker 1>actually prefer a weaker partner in this case Oracle. So

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<v Speaker 1>do you think this deal this arrangement? I guess it's

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<v Speaker 1>probably the better way to term it. Do you think

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<v Speaker 1>this will actually work, Will it go through and we'll

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<v Speaker 1>actually do what it's supposed to do? You think, I

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<v Speaker 1>mean over the long run, um is probably simply a

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<v Speaker 1>cosmetic touch. Um. I mean both administration where it's Beijing

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<v Speaker 1>and and and the US government is most worry oh,

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<v Speaker 1>using this as a excuse of threatening national security. So

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<v Speaker 1>what the business executive right now is trying to come

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<v Speaker 1>up with a mixed shift solution to a piece on

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<v Speaker 1>both sides. But I think going forward, what really have

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<v Speaker 1>highlight is organization can no longer pick side despite the

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<v Speaker 1>tou politics between China and US. If you're any multinational

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<v Speaker 1>particular here in Europe, when I'm talking to executives, they

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<v Speaker 1>really cannot afford to pick side and ignore one market

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<v Speaker 1>versus the other. Um. So that would cause tremendous termoil

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<v Speaker 1>in the business community as all eyes are watching how

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<v Speaker 1>TikTok is trying to find for itself. Yeah, it's really interesting.

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<v Speaker 1>Can you put a value on the USA sets of TikTok, professor? Right?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean right now they're talking about fifty billion dollar right.

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<v Speaker 1>It really comes down to depending on how the US

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<v Speaker 1>acquirer can really leverage both of the user base on

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<v Speaker 1>what is remaining as you can back engineers and our goal.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, at first I thought Walmart and Microsoft

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<v Speaker 1>bid is interesting because it potentially TikTok can be a

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<v Speaker 1>very interesting e commerce platform to rejuvenate Walmart e commerce.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's a direct symergy that you could put the

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<v Speaker 1>tag price on and fifty billion dollars kind of okay.

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<v Speaker 1>Now for you know Oracle, then I'm not too certain

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<v Speaker 1>what kind of price they would eventually agree a point

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<v Speaker 1>because again without the software algorithm being sold potentially, and

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<v Speaker 1>if Oracles simply a technical partner for distribution itself, then

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<v Speaker 1>the payback becomes much less tenuous in a way. But

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<v Speaker 1>maybe they are motivated by other factors as well. Maybe

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<v Speaker 1>they want to tell a new story to Wall Street,

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<v Speaker 1>or who knows, maybe there's political motivation in stepping in

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<v Speaker 1>and making sure that it goes through UM. But from

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<v Speaker 1>a commercial aspect, fifty billion dollar without some directs in

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<v Speaker 1>g on e commerce for instance, will sound a little crazy.

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<v Speaker 1>So Professor, just thirty seconds left, get your thoughts on

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<v Speaker 1>what some people are talking about is a technology cold

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<v Speaker 1>war between China and I mean, the Internet is totally

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<v Speaker 1>fractured these days. I think what business executive around the

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<v Speaker 1>world we have to understand right now, we're stepping into

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<v Speaker 1>a bipolar world. Right. You have the U S system,

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<v Speaker 1>the China system, the European zone as well, and in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of GDP size, all three are important, and yet

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<v Speaker 1>they conform very different norm very different regulation. So the

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<v Speaker 1>idea you can be one product and spread around the

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<v Speaker 1>world and conquer the world is totally over going forward.

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<v Speaker 1>Decentralization's priority. Conforming to local regulation is second, and the

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<v Speaker 1>third is the customer insight would be very different as

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<v Speaker 1>the Internet world continued to fracture. So I think this

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<v Speaker 1>is one of the key dynamics that executive must prepared

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<v Speaker 1>themselves going forward. How are you? Thank you so much

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<v Speaker 1>for joining us. How would you as the LEGO Professor

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<v Speaker 1>of Management and Innovation I am the business school based

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<v Speaker 1>in Switzerland. And Vonnie, it just seems that there is

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<v Speaker 1>a growing kind of cold war when it comes to

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<v Speaker 1>technology out there. Well, I imagine it's the type of

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<v Speaker 1>thing that we'll see the they'll drawn back upon within

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<v Speaker 1>the next few months. I mean, we already know the

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<v Speaker 1>Steve Milution is going to come to some kind of

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<v Speaker 1>a decision this week on this particular affair of the

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<v Speaker 1>Oragle TikTok affair. And you know, we just don't know

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<v Speaker 1>enough details yet. Yeah, exactly right. Not sure the structure here.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Markets with Paul Sweeney and Bonny Quinn

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<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio. Merger Monday is back. And it's not

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<v Speaker 1>just TikTok. We also have another big tech deal chip

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<v Speaker 1>giant in video forty billion dollar deal for SoftBank's ARM unit.

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<v Speaker 1>That's a UK based business. Let's get some color on

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<v Speaker 1>that huge deal. We can do that with On and

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<v Speaker 1>Triny Vaston, senior semiconductor and hardware analysts for Bloomberg Intelligence,

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<v Speaker 1>so on, And first of all, give us to your

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<v Speaker 1>foot view of this deal for video. Yeah, hey, Paul,

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<v Speaker 1>good morning money. This is a fantastic deal for video. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>So you're expanding your ecosystem from being a graphics provider

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<v Speaker 1>for um PC, video gamers and m AI engines if

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<v Speaker 1>you made for the data center, and you're expanding it

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<v Speaker 1>to an ecosystem that powers all of um the world's smartphones,

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<v Speaker 1>all of the world's tablets, all of the world's network devices.

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<v Speaker 1>So dramatic expansion of the ecosystem. Um difference between in

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<v Speaker 1>video and ARM is that in video predominantly monetizes directly

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<v Speaker 1>through chips it makes UM, and AR monetizes predominantly through

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<v Speaker 1>intellectual basic building blocks that it makes UM, which are

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<v Speaker 1>used by multiple chip makers, some of whom are in

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<v Speaker 1>video competitors, and and so it creates a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>of a sticky wicket from a regulatory perspective. But financially

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<v Speaker 1>it's great for in video and greatful ARM as well

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<v Speaker 1>because they get a R and D boost UM as

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<v Speaker 1>a result of the deal. What does it mean for

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<v Speaker 1>soft Bank? Was this telegraphed in anyway? Yeah? For soft Bank,

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<v Speaker 1>I would imagine that this raises cash, although the cash

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<v Speaker 1>component of it is much smaller than we had initially

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<v Speaker 1>estimated UM. So it helps them sort of going private

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<v Speaker 1>ambitions are amplified a little bit UM when the deal closes.

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<v Speaker 1>They'll get more in video stock, they'll get more cash,

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<v Speaker 1>they can buy back more of their own stock, etcetera.

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<v Speaker 1>And it further is their ambitions. They've held in video

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<v Speaker 1>stock before, so it's not like the Vidio asset is

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<v Speaker 1>an unknown quantity for softmak alright on it. So your

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<v Speaker 1>technical analysis of the regulatory is a sticky wicked. I

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<v Speaker 1>bet if I spoke to January, who does it for

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<v Speaker 1>a living antitrust animals for Bloomberg Intelligence, would she tell

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<v Speaker 1>me they have a very steep antitrust curve to climb. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean you can see that by the fact that

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<v Speaker 1>you need regulatory clearance US, UK, Europe and China, and

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<v Speaker 1>even without the um so the US China friction that

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<v Speaker 1>is currently ongoing, this would dramatically expand the market. You

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<v Speaker 1>have a sort of a neutral player being acquired by

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<v Speaker 1>a customer slash competitor. How will they keep the entity separate?

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<v Speaker 1>Um They would obviously have to promise their process in

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<v Speaker 1>writing that in video will not interfere with ARMS licensing model.

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<v Speaker 1>But the fact that ARMS intellectual property will be first

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<v Speaker 1>known to Invidio, the roadmaps will be first um uh,

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<v Speaker 1>Invidia will have first access to it. That sort of

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<v Speaker 1>creates an advantage for Nvidia that potentially none of its

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<v Speaker 1>others peers, customers, competitors, etcetera. Have. So Jen is probably

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<v Speaker 1>going to tell you the same thing that it is

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<v Speaker 1>a sticky wicket. Yeah, I mean, ARMS customers are Apple

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<v Speaker 1>and Intel. You know, they're the hugest customers in the world.

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<v Speaker 1>ARM will become a US firm if this all goes through,

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<v Speaker 1>how would that impact our relationship with China, given the

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<v Speaker 1>China still controls ARMED China. Yeah, so that's a very

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<v Speaker 1>good question, Monnie. And it was asked on the on

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<v Speaker 1>the recent merger call that Nvidia and ARM had. The

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<v Speaker 1>claim is that the intellectual property origination is still based

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<v Speaker 1>out of Cambridge and are in Video intends to keep

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<v Speaker 1>that asset as is and the intellectual property tomasow as is.

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<v Speaker 1>So technically it's even though ARM becomes owned by an

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<v Speaker 1>American company, the intellectual property origination is out of the UK.

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<v Speaker 1>So technically, according to them anyway, it doesn't come under

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<v Speaker 1>the purvey of the regulators in a more stringent manner.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, that's going to be a hard, um hard

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<v Speaker 1>piece of thing to convince the US regulators that some

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<v Speaker 1>how they should not be involved in in that piece

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<v Speaker 1>of the pipe because in Video is now the owner

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<v Speaker 1>of that asset. So I think that adds to the

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<v Speaker 1>complexity of this. And then we haven't talked about it,

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<v Speaker 1>but China um Is has used M and a um

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<v Speaker 1>sort of extended out the M and a um um

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<v Speaker 1>a deal regulation for for extend periods of time they

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<v Speaker 1>scuttle the Quacom n XP deal, if you remember, so

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<v Speaker 1>they could use this as a as an example showcase

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<v Speaker 1>to show, Okay, this is how you mess with me,

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<v Speaker 1>this is how I repay you. UM. So that could

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<v Speaker 1>be one part of it. The second part of it

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<v Speaker 1>is also a lot of arms They could squeeze out

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<v Speaker 1>arm licensing deals UM in the in China as a

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<v Speaker 1>result of this, make sure that they have access to

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<v Speaker 1>ARM I P because they're trying to build up their

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<v Speaker 1>semiconductor industry. So a lot of complexity is involved. I think, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>the eighteen months is definitely needed, UM and the regulatory

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<v Speaker 1>part is definitely the stickiest wicket here on a Triny Boston,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. We appreciate that. A big, big

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<v Speaker 1>deal in the space here. The question is when we

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<v Speaker 1>see some more deals of ANNIE. But very interesting on

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<v Speaker 1>a Triny Boston, senior tech analysts for Bloomberg Intelligence giving

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<v Speaker 1>us the breakdown on this NVIDEO deal for armed forty

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<v Speaker 1>billion dollars short of face some repertory uh roadblocks I

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<v Speaker 1>think on many countries ANNIE, that's for sure. But I'll

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<v Speaker 1>tell you something. Investors are obviously very hopeful about this

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<v Speaker 1>because in Video's talk is of seven percent, which is

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<v Speaker 1>quite the move upwards, and it's holding onto those gains

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<v Speaker 1>where we saw Oracle, for example, earlier on make huge

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<v Speaker 1>gains and not hold onto them. Meantime, Jeffries has boosted

0:13:42.400 --> 0:13:45.600
<v Speaker 1>the price targets to six d and eighty dollars from

0:13:45.640 --> 0:13:47.720
<v Speaker 1>five hundred and seventy. And don't forget, we're at five

0:13:47.760 --> 0:13:50.840
<v Speaker 1>twenty now, so that's a full one sixty dollars higher

0:13:50.840 --> 0:13:54.400
<v Speaker 1>than we are now for Nvideo. Based on this extraordinary

0:13:54.400 --> 0:13:59.440
<v Speaker 1>deal flow coming out of the market today, well as

0:13:59.440 --> 0:14:03.400
<v Speaker 1>we saw the number of deals announced today this morning

0:14:03.440 --> 0:14:07.360
<v Speaker 1>over the weekend. Technology remains at the forefront of investors

0:14:07.559 --> 0:14:12.599
<v Speaker 1>perspective that includes such new and exploding technologies as blockchain.

0:14:13.120 --> 0:14:16.040
<v Speaker 1>Get more color on that. We are welcome. We welcome

0:14:16.120 --> 0:14:19.400
<v Speaker 1>Doug Barthwick, chief marketing officer and head of business development

0:14:19.440 --> 0:14:22.680
<v Speaker 1>for a company I n X based in New York City. Doug,

0:14:22.680 --> 0:14:24.760
<v Speaker 1>thanks so much for joining us here. Let's start off

0:14:24.800 --> 0:14:26.720
<v Speaker 1>with just you telling us, give us a good sense

0:14:26.760 --> 0:14:30.720
<v Speaker 1>of what I n X is, what you guys are doing. Sure, so,

0:14:30.920 --> 0:14:32.720
<v Speaker 1>I n X is a company that we set up

0:14:32.760 --> 0:14:35.800
<v Speaker 1>a couple of years ago and it's got two different areas.

0:14:36.280 --> 0:14:39.040
<v Speaker 1>One is for a platform for the trading of cryptocurrency

0:14:39.160 --> 0:14:40.880
<v Speaker 1>and the other one is a platform for the trading

0:14:40.880 --> 0:14:44.280
<v Speaker 1>of security tokens. Now you may not be familiar with

0:14:44.360 --> 0:14:47.160
<v Speaker 1>security tokens, but if you think about something like Nike

0:14:47.240 --> 0:14:50.440
<v Speaker 1>stock trading twenty four hours a day in a digital environment,

0:14:50.800 --> 0:14:53.720
<v Speaker 1>that's what a security token is. And it's our belief

0:14:53.800 --> 0:14:56.960
<v Speaker 1>that in the near future all equities will end up

0:14:57.000 --> 0:14:59.960
<v Speaker 1>going on the blockchain and going digital because of the efficiency.

0:15:00.000 --> 0:15:02.600
<v Speaker 1>So you can find with that. And so we created

0:15:02.840 --> 0:15:05.720
<v Speaker 1>an exchange for trading of digital securities and at the

0:15:05.760 --> 0:15:09.280
<v Speaker 1>same time created a digital security that for the first

0:15:09.280 --> 0:15:11.960
<v Speaker 1>time as an F one registered with the SEC And

0:15:12.000 --> 0:15:13.920
<v Speaker 1>I encourage your listeners to go look at it because

0:15:13.960 --> 0:15:16.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to talk about some things and that F

0:15:16.440 --> 0:15:18.520
<v Speaker 1>one is the first one that's ever been done. It's

0:15:18.560 --> 0:15:21.440
<v Speaker 1>on the blockchain. But also this is the first I

0:15:21.560 --> 0:15:23.800
<v Speaker 1>p O and the U S history that accepts at

0:15:23.840 --> 0:15:26.600
<v Speaker 1>the I p O Bitcoin, Ether and U s dc

0:15:26.920 --> 0:15:29.440
<v Speaker 1>or or are stable coins, so first time you can

0:15:29.480 --> 0:15:32.520
<v Speaker 1>accept cryptocurrencies, and the I p O is currently ongoing.

0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:37.200
<v Speaker 1>So Doug explained to us how this is different from competition.

0:15:37.400 --> 0:15:40.120
<v Speaker 1>I believe the wink of as Twins did something like

0:15:40.160 --> 0:15:42.600
<v Speaker 1>this before. Am I right? I could be wrong? Well,

0:15:42.640 --> 0:15:44.600
<v Speaker 1>you are correct, and the wink of as Twins have

0:15:44.800 --> 0:15:47.560
<v Speaker 1>one exchange and Gemini. I think that's the one you're discussing,

0:15:48.040 --> 0:15:51.240
<v Speaker 1>and certainly you know you can trade current cryptocurrencies on that,

0:15:51.440 --> 0:15:54.640
<v Speaker 1>but in terms of security tokens, that's not something that

0:15:54.680 --> 0:15:57.200
<v Speaker 1>they offer right now. And security tokens come under a

0:15:57.320 --> 0:16:01.000
<v Speaker 1>very different regulator than does let's say, cryptocurrency cryptocurrencies come

0:16:01.080 --> 0:16:05.600
<v Speaker 1>under States MT licenses or money transmitter licenses, whereas security

0:16:05.600 --> 0:16:08.720
<v Speaker 1>tokens come under the SEC. And so you know, it's

0:16:08.720 --> 0:16:11.440
<v Speaker 1>a very big step for essentially it's not debt, it's

0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:14.080
<v Speaker 1>not equity, it's a security token or a digital assets

0:16:14.200 --> 0:16:16.800
<v Speaker 1>and that's what we've one come up with, and then

0:16:16.840 --> 0:16:20.520
<v Speaker 1>two we're creating the exchange to trade it. So do

0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:23.560
<v Speaker 1>you have exchanges up and running now trading securities or

0:16:23.560 --> 0:16:27.200
<v Speaker 1>trading assets right now? We do not know. And so this,

0:16:27.200 --> 0:16:29.520
<v Speaker 1>this this raise that we're doing right now is to

0:16:29.880 --> 0:16:33.000
<v Speaker 1>get them on board in terms of getting to market.

0:16:33.240 --> 0:16:35.800
<v Speaker 1>Now we've built them, they're ready to go, but we

0:16:35.880 --> 0:16:38.080
<v Speaker 1>need to raise capital in order to go out and

0:16:38.080 --> 0:16:40.000
<v Speaker 1>get some of the licenses that we're looking for. So

0:16:40.040 --> 0:16:43.000
<v Speaker 1>today we could trade with the US, but we're not

0:16:43.040 --> 0:16:44.960
<v Speaker 1>turning it on yet until we've finished with the I

0:16:45.040 --> 0:16:48.680
<v Speaker 1>p O. Dog. Who are the typical investors in an

0:16:48.720 --> 0:16:52.840
<v Speaker 1>IPO like this, Well, the typical investors are are twofold one.

0:16:52.880 --> 0:16:55.720
<v Speaker 1>You've got the folks that are already understand the crypto environment.

0:16:55.760 --> 0:16:57.440
<v Speaker 1>So that's you know, the folks that are holding bitcoin

0:16:57.560 --> 0:17:00.280
<v Speaker 1>theoryum that that go on and on about it, and

0:17:00.320 --> 0:17:02.720
<v Speaker 1>that's probably about point two percent of the population. Now

0:17:02.760 --> 0:17:04.960
<v Speaker 1>they see what we do as being putting handcuffs on

0:17:05.000 --> 0:17:07.840
<v Speaker 1>securities because our security for the first time has k

0:17:08.040 --> 0:17:10.119
<v Speaker 1>y C and a m L built into it do

0:17:10.280 --> 0:17:12.840
<v Speaker 1>what's called a smart contract. That means you can't tell

0:17:13.000 --> 0:17:15.040
<v Speaker 1>take an I n X token and sell it to

0:17:15.080 --> 0:17:18.080
<v Speaker 1>someone else unless they've already gone through KYC. So this

0:17:18.160 --> 0:17:20.159
<v Speaker 1>is like, you know, a huge, big change now for

0:17:20.240 --> 0:17:24.440
<v Speaker 1>securities markets. So that's of the population they're very interested

0:17:24.480 --> 0:17:27.160
<v Speaker 1>in because this is a giant leap forward for securities markets.

0:17:27.520 --> 0:17:29.280
<v Speaker 1>Not only you know, can you do an I P O,

0:17:29.640 --> 0:17:31.320
<v Speaker 1>but you can also do it you can accept different

0:17:31.320 --> 0:17:33.720
<v Speaker 1>crypts of currencies, but you can also do it whereby

0:17:33.760 --> 0:17:35.760
<v Speaker 1>you could list in many many countries at once with

0:17:35.800 --> 0:17:38.360
<v Speaker 1>the security token just through a couple of lines of code,

0:17:38.400 --> 0:17:41.600
<v Speaker 1>as opposed to tens of millions of dollars of legal fees.

0:17:42.160 --> 0:17:44.600
<v Speaker 1>And so you know, we're really making a big change.

0:17:44.640 --> 0:17:47.080
<v Speaker 1>But also think about this. You know Nike trading twenty

0:17:47.080 --> 0:17:50.600
<v Speaker 1>four hours a day, that would be fantastic. And millennials today,

0:17:50.880 --> 0:17:52.800
<v Speaker 1>of their top five holdings, one of them is g

0:17:52.960 --> 0:17:55.919
<v Speaker 1>BTC or Gray Scale Bitcoin Trust and that means that

0:17:55.960 --> 0:17:59.360
<v Speaker 1>you know that the millennial generation has a great interest

0:17:59.440 --> 0:18:02.399
<v Speaker 1>in digital and yet they don't understand why their dads

0:18:02.480 --> 0:18:04.600
<v Speaker 1>or their moms look at news at four o'clock on

0:18:04.640 --> 0:18:07.000
<v Speaker 1>a Friday, a bad news on an equity and they say,

0:18:07.000 --> 0:18:08.600
<v Speaker 1>don't worry, we'll get out of it at nine thirty

0:18:08.640 --> 0:18:10.679
<v Speaker 1>in the morning on the Monday. That just doesn't make

0:18:10.720 --> 0:18:12.920
<v Speaker 1>any sense to them. And this is the Amazon generation

0:18:12.960 --> 0:18:14.680
<v Speaker 1>that wants to be able to do things right now,

0:18:15.320 --> 0:18:17.920
<v Speaker 1>and so we've created a product for folks to trade

0:18:17.960 --> 0:18:22.480
<v Speaker 1>equities immediately, twenty four hours a day. What's the regulatory framework?

0:18:22.520 --> 0:18:26.240
<v Speaker 1>What's the SEC saying? For example, Well, the SEC is

0:18:26.280 --> 0:18:28.080
<v Speaker 1>who have we've been talking to for two and a

0:18:28.119 --> 0:18:30.440
<v Speaker 1>half years. We've spent over nine hundred and fifty days

0:18:30.520 --> 0:18:32.720
<v Speaker 1>creating the F one that can be found on the

0:18:32.800 --> 0:18:35.960
<v Speaker 1>Edgar database, and then then then there it's shows transparency

0:18:36.000 --> 0:18:38.920
<v Speaker 1>into a field that traditionally no one's ever had transparency.

0:18:39.280 --> 0:18:41.120
<v Speaker 1>I think when you think about crypto and you think

0:18:41.160 --> 0:18:43.879
<v Speaker 1>about exchanges, you know they're all privately owned, most of

0:18:43.880 --> 0:18:46.720
<v Speaker 1>them are held off shore. There certainly isn't transparency. What

0:18:46.840 --> 0:18:49.080
<v Speaker 1>we're trying to do is raise money through a community

0:18:49.280 --> 0:18:51.440
<v Speaker 1>and build a community. When someone comes in and buys

0:18:51.480 --> 0:18:54.000
<v Speaker 1>the token, we see that as being a potential user

0:18:54.040 --> 0:18:56.800
<v Speaker 1>of our platform as well. So I mean I think

0:18:56.800 --> 0:19:00.360
<v Speaker 1>that's a good run up. Yeah, it's so interesting. I mean,

0:19:01.040 --> 0:19:03.600
<v Speaker 1>if you know nothing about the blockchain and you know

0:19:03.680 --> 0:19:08.120
<v Speaker 1>nothing about cryptocurrencies, would you still advise somebody like that

0:19:08.240 --> 0:19:10.840
<v Speaker 1>to put, you know, give this a go. Well, I

0:19:10.840 --> 0:19:12.720
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't advise anyone to give it a go. I think

0:19:12.720 --> 0:19:14.119
<v Speaker 1>that they should look at the F one that the

0:19:14.119 --> 0:19:17.400
<v Speaker 1>ad your database. But if you do believe that everything,

0:19:17.600 --> 0:19:21.480
<v Speaker 1>whether it's equities, whether it's fixed income, whether it's commodities,

0:19:21.480 --> 0:19:23.560
<v Speaker 1>are going to move onto the blockchain, and we already

0:19:23.560 --> 0:19:25.560
<v Speaker 1>know that China's and talks to do that with their

0:19:25.560 --> 0:19:27.639
<v Speaker 1>currency that europs and talks to do that that the

0:19:27.720 --> 0:19:30.719
<v Speaker 1>US is discussing a digital dollar. So if currencies are

0:19:30.720 --> 0:19:33.639
<v Speaker 1>going to move on the blockchain, and given that regulators

0:19:33.680 --> 0:19:35.320
<v Speaker 1>of love K y C and they like to know

0:19:35.359 --> 0:19:37.440
<v Speaker 1>who owns what where, and they like to be able

0:19:37.480 --> 0:19:40.080
<v Speaker 1>to make sure that bad actors don't own things, then

0:19:40.119 --> 0:19:42.199
<v Speaker 1>I think you can be pretty sure that equities are

0:19:42.200 --> 0:19:44.320
<v Speaker 1>going to move onto the blockchain as well. And we're

0:19:44.359 --> 0:19:48.280
<v Speaker 1>the first. Well dog, thank you for coming on and

0:19:48.480 --> 0:19:51.639
<v Speaker 1>giving us the the explanation about all of this, and

0:19:51.680 --> 0:19:53.480
<v Speaker 1>I do hope you come back and explain to us

0:19:53.480 --> 0:19:57.159
<v Speaker 1>more what's going on as we progress. It seems like

0:19:57.320 --> 0:19:59.560
<v Speaker 1>the blockchain and come to currencies have been around a while,

0:19:59.680 --> 0:20:03.280
<v Speaker 1>but I'm certainly no more educated than I was before.

0:20:03.480 --> 0:20:05.680
<v Speaker 1>I have to re educate myself every couple of years

0:20:05.680 --> 0:20:07.480
<v Speaker 1>on all of this because the change is so fast

0:20:07.520 --> 0:20:08.600
<v Speaker 1>and it does seem to be a bit of a

0:20:08.680 --> 0:20:11.360
<v Speaker 1>land crab as well. So really interesting to follow Dug

0:20:11.400 --> 0:20:13.440
<v Speaker 1>Boarth with because chief marketing officer and head of business

0:20:13.480 --> 0:20:18.320
<v Speaker 1>development at i n X well a good start to

0:20:18.480 --> 0:20:21.679
<v Speaker 1>the week from the equity market's perspective, lead in large

0:20:21.760 --> 0:20:24.600
<v Speaker 1>part by sixty nine billion dollars worth of M and

0:20:24.680 --> 0:20:28.240
<v Speaker 1>A announced bringing Merger Monday back to the markets, back

0:20:28.280 --> 0:20:30.199
<v Speaker 1>to the four to get a sense of kind of

0:20:30.240 --> 0:20:32.200
<v Speaker 1>how we think about all this M and A in

0:20:32.200 --> 0:20:35.119
<v Speaker 1>the context of where we are with the markets. We

0:20:35.200 --> 0:20:40.120
<v Speaker 1>welcome Peter Kenny, father of Kenny's Commentary and Strategic Board Solutions. Uh, Peter,

0:20:40.160 --> 0:20:43.240
<v Speaker 1>thanks so much for joining us here. Well, Merger Monday

0:20:43.280 --> 0:20:45.639
<v Speaker 1>is back with a vengeance that pushes the pandemic at

0:20:45.720 --> 0:20:47.440
<v Speaker 1>least a little bit off the front page, at least

0:20:47.480 --> 0:20:50.720
<v Speaker 1>for a moment here. What do you make of this

0:20:50.800 --> 0:20:52.639
<v Speaker 1>spade of deals that we're seeing today? What does it

0:20:52.680 --> 0:20:56.159
<v Speaker 1>mean for the market from your perspective? Well, thanks for

0:20:56.200 --> 0:20:59.239
<v Speaker 1>having me um. First of all, the timing couldn't be

0:20:59.240 --> 0:21:02.480
<v Speaker 1>better because if you look at the Nastack, SMP and

0:21:02.560 --> 0:21:05.359
<v Speaker 1>the Dow all closed last week at or close to

0:21:05.400 --> 0:21:09.280
<v Speaker 1>their fifty day moving averages, which which means basically there

0:21:09.320 --> 0:21:13.320
<v Speaker 1>was effectively a retest of that low that was established

0:21:13.440 --> 0:21:17.520
<v Speaker 1>on Monday of last week. So this is really really

0:21:17.560 --> 0:21:19.960
<v Speaker 1>up Tuesday of West week. This is really welcome news.

0:21:20.119 --> 0:21:22.800
<v Speaker 1>It's great. I love the fact that it's big names

0:21:22.840 --> 0:21:27.520
<v Speaker 1>like Oracles, saft Bank, the vaccine stories and really really important,

0:21:27.520 --> 0:21:30.760
<v Speaker 1>and that's lifting the market. It really is coming at

0:21:30.800 --> 0:21:32.720
<v Speaker 1>a great time because in the note that I wrote

0:21:32.720 --> 0:21:36.320
<v Speaker 1>and put out the street this morning, um my concern

0:21:36.440 --> 0:21:40.000
<v Speaker 1>was that with all the indexities industries really resting on

0:21:40.040 --> 0:21:42.520
<v Speaker 1>a fifty day and without any news out there that

0:21:42.560 --> 0:21:45.680
<v Speaker 1>I could you know, shake a stick at, it seems

0:21:45.760 --> 0:21:47.399
<v Speaker 1>to me or it seemed to me as though there

0:21:47.440 --> 0:21:50.320
<v Speaker 1>was going to be continued weakness and potentially a drop

0:21:50.320 --> 0:21:53.280
<v Speaker 1>all of the fifty day for all three Well, does

0:21:53.280 --> 0:21:58.680
<v Speaker 1>the Oracle news signals that the China standoff might get

0:21:58.720 --> 0:22:02.240
<v Speaker 1>sort of eased if you like, because it's it's a

0:22:02.280 --> 0:22:04.320
<v Speaker 1>major deal. This was one of the ways that the

0:22:04.320 --> 0:22:09.560
<v Speaker 1>Trump administration was going after China in a very practical manner. Yes, absolutely, Bonny,

0:22:09.960 --> 0:22:14.240
<v Speaker 1>this was actually a very significant deal on several fronts.

0:22:14.320 --> 0:22:17.119
<v Speaker 1>First of all, you know, of course, there's a political

0:22:17.840 --> 0:22:20.000
<v Speaker 1>basis for a lot of what's going on here, and

0:22:20.040 --> 0:22:23.600
<v Speaker 1>there's a nationalist security concern. But this is a way

0:22:23.640 --> 0:22:26.800
<v Speaker 1>out that I don't think anybody was really looking at,

0:22:26.880 --> 0:22:29.440
<v Speaker 1>and frankly, I don't think anybody was really talking about Oracle,

0:22:29.560 --> 0:22:34.439
<v Speaker 1>So um, it is a way forward that saves space

0:22:34.600 --> 0:22:39.760
<v Speaker 1>and allows for a constructive exit from where we currently stand,

0:22:39.800 --> 0:22:45.240
<v Speaker 1>which was very, very I think it was tense. Frankly,

0:22:45.240 --> 0:22:48.960
<v Speaker 1>it was tense, so Peter. Typically, when a CEO and

0:22:48.960 --> 0:22:52.320
<v Speaker 1>a board decided to go forth with a large acquisition,

0:22:52.359 --> 0:22:55.600
<v Speaker 1>it signals their confidence in not only their business model

0:22:55.640 --> 0:23:00.000
<v Speaker 1>and the acquired business model, but also the economy, geopolitics,

0:23:00.040 --> 0:23:02.359
<v Speaker 1>all those things are confident to put that kind of

0:23:02.400 --> 0:23:05.440
<v Speaker 1>capital to work. I'm not sure I see that confidence

0:23:05.440 --> 0:23:06.760
<v Speaker 1>out there is I look at some of the economic

0:23:06.760 --> 0:23:10.320
<v Speaker 1>indicators and the still uncertain nature of the path of

0:23:10.359 --> 0:23:14.639
<v Speaker 1>this pandemic. Oh I, I could not agree with you

0:23:14.720 --> 0:23:18.160
<v Speaker 1>more wholeheartedly, Paul. I mean, well, you have an awful

0:23:18.200 --> 0:23:20.160
<v Speaker 1>lot on our plate here. This was a one off,

0:23:20.200 --> 0:23:23.400
<v Speaker 1>this deal with Oracle and TikTok, this is a one off.

0:23:23.440 --> 0:23:25.679
<v Speaker 1>This is not speaking to a broader picture other than

0:23:25.720 --> 0:23:28.639
<v Speaker 1>what Vonnie really intimated. That is that this is a

0:23:28.640 --> 0:23:30.399
<v Speaker 1>graceful exit out of something that could have been a

0:23:30.400 --> 0:23:36.400
<v Speaker 1>significantly larger conflict. So the deal is important and it's welcome,

0:23:36.440 --> 0:23:40.480
<v Speaker 1>but it's a one off. The broader landscape in terms

0:23:40.480 --> 0:23:45.960
<v Speaker 1>of trade, global growth, domestic our, domestic economy, there's an

0:23:46.000 --> 0:23:48.359
<v Speaker 1>awful lot on the table that is that's going to

0:23:48.440 --> 0:23:50.680
<v Speaker 1>be an act as a headwind from here on to

0:23:50.840 --> 0:23:54.320
<v Speaker 1>the end of the year, and of course throwing presidential politics,

0:23:54.359 --> 0:23:57.119
<v Speaker 1>I mean, the biggest variable of all time. Right, what

0:23:57.200 --> 0:24:02.480
<v Speaker 1>are you telling your clients about the election, Peter um,

0:24:02.680 --> 0:24:08.640
<v Speaker 1>head your bets, Um, just manage risk. Polls are very

0:24:08.720 --> 0:24:13.880
<v Speaker 1>very close. Um. I think that it's regardless of who

0:24:14.000 --> 0:24:17.600
<v Speaker 1>is elected, the aftermaths of the election is going to

0:24:17.720 --> 0:24:22.200
<v Speaker 1>test the nerves of the average American because I think

0:24:22.240 --> 0:24:28.840
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be an awfully um difficult um social

0:24:29.440 --> 0:24:31.840
<v Speaker 1>economic scene on the streets. I mean, if if what

0:24:31.880 --> 0:24:34.320
<v Speaker 1>we've been living through over the last month as any indication,

0:24:35.200 --> 0:24:36.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm afraid it's not going to get a whole lot

0:24:37.280 --> 0:24:40.560
<v Speaker 1>better even with the resolution of the presidential elections. How

0:24:40.560 --> 0:24:44.080
<v Speaker 1>would you suggest hedging that kind of uncertainty, which is

0:24:44.280 --> 0:24:47.040
<v Speaker 1>we haven't really seen that much in our past history.

0:24:47.840 --> 0:24:50.760
<v Speaker 1>So if you're in high growth names, if you're in

0:24:51.040 --> 0:24:54.000
<v Speaker 1>names that have really driven this rally and your today

0:24:54.080 --> 0:24:57.840
<v Speaker 1>performance by the NANATAK which is far outstripped the SMP

0:24:57.920 --> 0:25:01.000
<v Speaker 1>and the Dad Johns industrial level act on those names

0:25:02.160 --> 0:25:06.360
<v Speaker 1>looking to be in names that have not really provided

0:25:06.440 --> 0:25:11.800
<v Speaker 1>much of the growth story impetus, but have provided consistent dividends. Um,

0:25:11.840 --> 0:25:14.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, batting down the hatches, reduce your risk exposure.

0:25:14.960 --> 0:25:18.879
<v Speaker 1>There's nothing wrong with metals, there's nothing wrong with alternatives,

0:25:18.920 --> 0:25:23.600
<v Speaker 1>but keep your eye on those aspects of your portfolio

0:25:23.760 --> 0:25:29.080
<v Speaker 1>that tend to drift drift in parabolic waves. Um. They're

0:25:29.119 --> 0:25:31.680
<v Speaker 1>great for traders, but they're not great for the everyday

0:25:31.720 --> 0:25:35.920
<v Speaker 1>investor on nine Street. So just batting down the hatches. Yeah,

0:25:35.960 --> 0:25:38.600
<v Speaker 1>it's amazing, you know, batten down the hatches. And at

0:25:38.600 --> 0:25:42.240
<v Speaker 1>the same time, there's not much you can do, you know,

0:25:42.600 --> 0:25:45.720
<v Speaker 1>hedge wise, right, Peter, I mean that's right, it's all.

0:25:45.800 --> 0:25:50.159
<v Speaker 1>It's all in equities right now. You the whole story

0:25:50.240 --> 0:25:52.840
<v Speaker 1>right now for investors exequities. If you look at bonds,

0:25:53.040 --> 0:25:55.960
<v Speaker 1>there's no yield. If you look at the global macro story,

0:25:56.240 --> 0:25:58.760
<v Speaker 1>there's very little. I mean you're getting negative yields and

0:25:58.960 --> 0:26:02.119
<v Speaker 1>much of Europe. Um, there's really no place to go.

0:26:02.320 --> 0:26:07.520
<v Speaker 1>Any argument for just holding onto some cash, Peter, holding

0:26:07.480 --> 0:26:09.960
<v Speaker 1>on the cash, hold on their precious metals. Have a

0:26:10.000 --> 0:26:13.679
<v Speaker 1>defensive posture and your portfolio, look for dividends, and just

0:26:13.840 --> 0:26:15.960
<v Speaker 1>make sure that the exposures that you do have going

0:26:16.000 --> 0:26:19.000
<v Speaker 1>into the president this whole election is covered either through

0:26:19.040 --> 0:26:23.160
<v Speaker 1>options or by just simply reducing your exposure. Yeah, Peter,

0:26:23.359 --> 0:26:25.920
<v Speaker 1>thank you. Always eliminating to speak with you. Peter Kenny

0:26:26.000 --> 0:26:29.560
<v Speaker 1>is founder of Strategic Board Solutions and of course also

0:26:29.760 --> 0:26:34.159
<v Speaker 1>brings out some excellent commentary daily and weekly on the

0:26:34.200 --> 0:26:37.280
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street Beat if you like. And he's been a

0:26:37.280 --> 0:26:38.600
<v Speaker 1>member of the New York Stock has changed for the

0:26:38.640 --> 0:26:42.639
<v Speaker 1>last twenty years and lots more than that. So, Paul,

0:26:42.680 --> 0:26:45.040
<v Speaker 1>if we weren't expecting to come into a tape that

0:26:45.160 --> 0:26:47.359
<v Speaker 1>was nicely in the green, but here we have at

0:26:47.359 --> 0:26:49.760
<v Speaker 1>the Sea up one and three wards of percent, the

0:26:49.840 --> 0:26:54.359
<v Speaker 1>Nastack up two point three percent this Monday morning. Thanks

0:26:54.400 --> 0:26:57.520
<v Speaker 1>for listening to the Boomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe

0:26:57.560 --> 0:27:00.520
<v Speaker 1>and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts or or whatever

0:27:00.520 --> 0:27:03.639
<v Speaker 1>a podcast platform you prefer. I'm Bonnie Quinn. I'm on

0:27:03.680 --> 0:27:06.240
<v Speaker 1>Twitter at Bonnie Quinn, and I'm Paul Sweeney. I'm on

0:27:06.240 --> 0:27:09.199
<v Speaker 1>Twitter at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast, you can always

0:27:09.200 --> 0:27:11.080
<v Speaker 1>catch us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio.