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Speaker 1: What's going on everybody?

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Speaker 2: Scott Bogman here for Betting Pros to give you my

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Speaker 2: favorite picks and props for Week one of the college

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Speaker 2: football season. Week zero is over. We went one and

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Speaker 2: two on the straights, three and three on the props. There,

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Speaker 2: but much more action obviously in Week one. To get

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Speaker 2: to before we get to it, or remind you, guys,

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Speaker 2: if you are looking to up your game in sports betting,

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Speaker 2: join our exclusive sports betting discord community at bettingpros dot

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Speaker 2: com slash chat. Not only can you connect with expert

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Speaker 2: handicappers who provide free picks for NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL

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Speaker 2: player props, live betting, and more, but now you can

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Speaker 2: also participate in our weekly community picks. Cast your vote,

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Speaker 2: see how your pick stack up against the experts, and

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Speaker 2: track your success. Do it today check it out over

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Speaker 2: at Bettingpros dot com slash chat.

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Speaker 1: All right, Week one bets.

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Speaker 2: You've heard some of these, most of them probably on

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Speaker 2: the other shows this week, but let's start with Auburn

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Speaker 2: minus two at Baylor.

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Speaker 1: This is one you haven't heard.

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Speaker 2: I also like the in this game at fifty eight,

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Speaker 2: and when we break this game down, I know a

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Speaker 2: lot of people are on the Baylor side. Baylor is

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Speaker 2: at home, and I get that. For me, the reason

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Speaker 2: that I like Auburn in this game is because I

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Speaker 2: think Auburn is a team that was about a quarterback

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Speaker 2: away last year. Right, You've heard that expression in the

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Speaker 2: NFL a lot. Just this team was incredibly efficient last year,

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Speaker 2: you know, outside of some problems. Now, the problems were

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Speaker 2: pretty big, right. The problems were that they could not

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Speaker 2: score the ball in the red zone. There one hundred

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Speaker 2: and fifth in red zone scoring and they were well

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Speaker 2: worse than that. I believe one hundred and nineteenth in

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Speaker 2: turnover March, and they were minus nine for the season.

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Speaker 2: They didn't score when they had the opportunity, and they

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Speaker 2: turned the ball over at awful times. That's from quarterback play,

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Speaker 2: from some bad, bad quarterback play. You know the other things,

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Speaker 2: bad luck, bad bounces, breaks, whatever. But I think with

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Speaker 2: a team like Auburn, Auburn still is, you know, recruited well,

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Speaker 2: they have a lot of superstars on the squad, still

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Speaker 2: a high level SEC team. Now that they have Jackson Arnold,

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Speaker 2: they're transferring over from Baylor, getting the offensive line that

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Speaker 2: he never had at Oklahoma. I think that Baylor is

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Speaker 2: going to Excuse me, Auburn is going to look very

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Speaker 2: good in this game at Baylor. Baylor's offense is no

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Speaker 2: Joe right. They're a little more lopslight sided. I think

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Speaker 2: they're better on offense, they're not quite as good on defense.

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Speaker 1: You know, maybe their improvements made this year. It's Week one.

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Speaker 2: This is a tight game. Tight games have tight margins,

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Speaker 2: tight lines. One play could bounce one way or the other.

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Speaker 2: If you don't like the line on it, you don't

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Speaker 2: like the side. I also like the over because both

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Speaker 2: these offenses are pretty strong. Right now, it's fifty eight

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Speaker 2: and a half is the total. The line is Auburn

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Speaker 2: minus two. I've seen it going to two and a half.

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Speaker 2: I would not take it if it got to three.

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Speaker 2: I think this game is tight, but two and a half,

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Speaker 2: I think Auburn can win by a field goal or

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Speaker 2: more so, I like the Tigers in that one. Let's

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Speaker 2: go to use at UCLA. We're gonna go under fifty

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Speaker 2: one and a half in this game. And I know

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Speaker 2: a lot of people are betting the over in this game,

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Speaker 2: and I understand, right. Utah last year is a team,

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Speaker 2: another team that was probably very much a quarterback away

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Speaker 2: and they get Devin Dampier that you transfer from Tulane,

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Speaker 2: very good quarterback, and improve that offense a lot, and

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Speaker 2: the defense is already very very strong. Ucla also had

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Speaker 2: issues at quarterback last year. They get Nico Imala Yava

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Speaker 2: from Tennessee. I really like this edition. Obviously there was

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Speaker 2: some drama he got into camp late, blah blah. So

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Speaker 2: it's not the under that I like, because you know,

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Speaker 2: I'm not being a contrarion here. What I think is

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Speaker 2: lost in the sauce a little bit is pace of play.

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Speaker 2: Utah last year was one hundred and twenty eighth and

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Speaker 2: UCLA was one hundred and twenty ninth. I might have

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Speaker 2: that reverse, but they were both bottom of the barrel,

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Speaker 2: scraping the bottom of the barrel, which means the clock

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Speaker 2: burns more between plays and there's just fewer plays in

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Speaker 2: a game you have a low pace. So, yes, we

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Speaker 2: got quarterback editions in this game should be a very

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Speaker 2: fun one, but we also have a very strong defense

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Speaker 2: in Utah. I think UCLA's defense might still be ahead

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Speaker 2: of their where their offense is Week one. I do

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Speaker 2: think their offense is going to improve, but I just

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Speaker 2: I think for Week one, we have a lot of penalties,

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Speaker 2: a lot of mistakes. It's at team's back as well.

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Speaker 2: I think there's probably gonna be a decent amount of unders.

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Speaker 2: And that's what I really like. Let's go to the

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Speaker 2: next game here. This one might be my favorite game

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Speaker 2: of the week. Arizona mina seventeen and a half versus Hawaii,

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Speaker 2: and it's because of what we saw from Hawaii last week. Yes,

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Speaker 2: they did win the game. It was a fun game

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Speaker 2: to watch. It had great storylines. We saw Alado, the quarterback,

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Speaker 2: gutting it out with this clearly gimping and ankle injury,

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Speaker 2: and then the kicker from Japan who learned how to

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Speaker 2: kick on YouTube nailing a game winner. I mean, what

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Speaker 2: an awesome appearance from Hawaii in week zero. But now

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Speaker 2: they got to travel all the way to Tucson, right,

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Speaker 2: Just a big trip going to Hawaii from anywhere, right,

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Speaker 2: which is why Hawaii always has a pretty good home

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Speaker 2: and field advantage.

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Speaker 1: But their roster is not good.

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Speaker 2: They held the ball for less than twenty four minutes

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Speaker 2: in that game. I don't think Arizona's very good for

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Speaker 2: the Power four, right, but I do think that they

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Speaker 2: are way way way better than Hawaii. Also, this game

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Speaker 2: is gonna be ninety four degrees a kickoff. According to

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Speaker 2: the forecast, it's gonna be hot. It's Arizona in August,

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Speaker 2: so it's gonna be very, very hot if that defense

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Speaker 2: is on the field that long again, or maybe even worse,

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Speaker 2: because while again Arizona's not good, they're way better than Stanford.

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Speaker 1: Right.

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Speaker 2: I just think Hawaii on the road, in the heat,

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Speaker 2: all the travel, letdown, spot, banged up quarterback, low time

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Speaker 2: of possession. I have zero faith that Hawaii pulls out

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Speaker 2: this game or makes it close. I think Arizona rolls

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Speaker 2: in this one, even though they're missing their best player

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Speaker 2: from last year. McMillan, being, you know, one of the

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Speaker 2: top draft picks in the NFL, I'm gonna lay a

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Speaker 2: lot of points here. These are my two biggest points

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Speaker 2: spreads that I'm laying Arizona. It's a seventeen and a

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Speaker 2: half AND's gonna we're gonna go Indiana minus twenty three

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Speaker 2: and a half versus Old Dominion, And look, I'm not

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Speaker 2: gonna I didn't forget that Old Dominion snuck up on

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Speaker 2: South Carolina in the opener of last year. I didn't

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Speaker 2: forget that, like I understand that that is a point.

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Speaker 2: Ricky Ronnie had those guys ready to go. Coach Sig,

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Speaker 2: I mean, seven of the eleven wins that they had

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Speaker 2: last year were more than twenty four points. This spread

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Speaker 2: right now is twenty three and a half. It might

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Speaker 2: balloon up on Friday twenty four and a half. We'll see.

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Speaker 1: I I don't really care.

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Speaker 2: I just think I think Indiana is a much much,

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Speaker 2: much better team than Old Dominion. I think they're very

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Speaker 2: disciplined as well. Coach Sig always uh you know, has

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Speaker 2: preached that his team ranked first and all those official

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Speaker 2: and c metrics and PFF grades and all that stuff

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Speaker 2: from last year. They and you know, obviously you lose

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Speaker 2: Kurtish Wark, but they brought him in Dozing from Cal

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Speaker 2: great quarterback option, one of the top you know, draft

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Speaker 2: picks on a lot of mock boards and all that stuff.

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Speaker 2: He's after like that top group right now, and he

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Speaker 2: has a room to improve. They have a lot of

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Speaker 2: returning production. They're in the thirties and returning production on

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Speaker 2: both sides of the ball, and brought in good transfers

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Speaker 2: on both sides of the ball as well. I just

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Speaker 2: think they're a much much stronger team going into Week one,

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Speaker 2: and you know, look, week one, we just don't know

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Speaker 2: a lot. I have more bets on here than I

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Speaker 2: thought I was going to have, but it's Week one.

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Speaker 2: Things are new. Were learning a lot of things about

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Speaker 2: these teams. So that's why I like some of these

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Speaker 2: lopsided games. I think maybe we're not giving some of

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Speaker 2: these favorites enough points. Let's lay Kentucky minus nine and

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Speaker 2: a half for Toledo. I don't like this as much

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Speaker 2: as I liked it earlier when it was seven and

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Speaker 2: a half. Eight and a half, but nine and a

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Speaker 2: half I think is still pretty good. Like Toledo's a

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Speaker 2: good team, They're a good MAC team. They're the first

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Speaker 2: roster strength in the MAC. But Kentucky maybe a bottom

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Speaker 2: feeder in the SEC, but that does not make them

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Speaker 2: a bottom feeder nationally by any stretch of the imagination.

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Speaker 2: And they're eight to no against the MAC under Mark Stoops.

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Speaker 2: So I just don't see this. I don't see this

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Speaker 2: game being as close as some people are making it.

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Speaker 2: And our boy Seth Wilcock, he loves Toledo. I think

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Speaker 2: he has a ticket for them to win. The MAC

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Speaker 2: and you know, we don't typically disagree that much, but

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Speaker 2: he's on He's on the Toledo side. Toledo's a good

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Speaker 2: team in Kentucky had some embarrassing games last year. They

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Speaker 2: had one of the worst performances I've ever seen my

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Speaker 2: life in a college team last year when they played

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Speaker 2: South Carolina.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if they were all hungover or what.

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Speaker 2: That game was early in the morning, and they got

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Speaker 2: absolutely massacred by South Carolina. And then they show up

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Speaker 2: against Georgia, which is just so strange.

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Speaker 1: You know, this team was.

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Speaker 2: Very bipolar last year. Zak Calzata is coming in from

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Speaker 2: Incarnate Word. Yes he burned out a couple times before,

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Speaker 2: but he went Incarnate Word got some confidence. I think

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Speaker 2: they're gonna roll in this game. They need this game

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Speaker 2: too if they want to make a bowl game. There's

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Speaker 2: not many wins on their SEC schedule. They got to

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Speaker 2: get to six. I counted it up yesterday. I think

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Speaker 2: there's four there for sure. They're gonna have to win

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Speaker 2: two wildcards, and I counted this as a for sure.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if it's for sure, but I do

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Speaker 2: think they should win this game going away. If they

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Speaker 2: played the best of their ability, and it's Week one.

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Speaker 2: Maybe they don't so, but I'm laying the points that

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Speaker 2: I'm taking the Wildcats Alabama minus thirteen and a half

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Speaker 2: at FSU. That's kind of browbeat into this one. Like FSU,

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Speaker 2: their roster strength is good, but they just do not

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Speaker 2: match up well here right bringing in a new OC

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Speaker 2: bringing Tommy Castillanos. Like Castellanos, I'm used to knick Castalanos Castianos,

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Speaker 2: but I just they're gonna run the ball a lot

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Speaker 2: and Alabama has traditionally been a team that you can

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Speaker 2: cannot run the ball on. And I don't think they're

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Speaker 2: gonna have a lot of success. They are at home,

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Speaker 2: should be it should be an interesting game, but what

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Speaker 2: is Florida's they gonna be? Right, I don't think they're

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Speaker 2: gonna be that much better. They're not gonna be They're

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Speaker 2: not gonna be good enough to beat this team to

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Speaker 2: lose by less than fourteen points to Alabama. I think

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Speaker 2: Tommy Castillanos Castellanos is going to have some issues especially

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Speaker 2: after you know, Terrell made the point on the Wednesday show.

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Speaker 2: He opened his mouth, he gave them bolton board material

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Speaker 2: at the ACC Media Day, not a smart decision to

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Speaker 2: make young man. So I would love to see him

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Speaker 2: pull it off and you know, in an upset and

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Speaker 2: we would be It'd be the opposite way app in

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Speaker 2: Florida State last year, right, they lose to Georgia Tech

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Speaker 2: and Ireland. This year, if they beat Alabama, would be

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Speaker 2: the absolute opposite. I don't see it happening. I think

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Speaker 2: Alabama's passing game, in their offensive efficiency is going to

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Speaker 2: be better.

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Speaker 1: Right, it was a little static with Milroe. He was very, very.

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Speaker 2: Athletic, unbelievably good and possesses all the tools to be

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Speaker 2: a great quarterback. I think he just needed reps. I

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Speaker 2: don't know that he had enough to be starting for

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Speaker 2: Alabama last year, which is kind of crazy when in

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Speaker 2: the NFL Draft to the Seattle Seahawks. So yeah, I

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Speaker 2: just think Ty Sampson's going to come in here and

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Speaker 2: make this team better passing team. You know, obviously they

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Speaker 2: ran a lot last year. It's just going to look different.

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Speaker 2: But got to get Ryan Williams ball a bunch. I

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Speaker 2: think they're going to be able to do that. And

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Speaker 2: I think Alabama roles no no pun intended. Let's go

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Speaker 2: to Tennessee minus thirteen and a half for Syracuse.

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Speaker 3: This is.

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Speaker 2: Absolutely about the fact that Syracuse lost way, way, way

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Speaker 2: too much to I feel like, be very competitive in

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Speaker 2: this game. Yes, Tennessee did lose Nico Yamalaiava, you know,

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Speaker 2: late in the process.

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Speaker 1: He was their quarterback.

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Speaker 2: But they brought in a guy and Joey Aguilar that

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Speaker 2: started a ton of games and has a pretty good

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Speaker 2: track record coming over from app State, and now he

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Speaker 2: has SEC level weapons, so I think he's gonna be

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Speaker 2: pretty strong. Syracuse is one of those teams that can

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Speaker 2: bowl up in the ACC and look good every once

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Speaker 2: in a while, but then they go right back down

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Speaker 2: to obscurity, and I think we might be seeing that,

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Speaker 2: Like Steve Angeli had a good drive for Notre Dame

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Speaker 2: when Ray Leonard got hurt at the end of that half.

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Speaker 2: You know, I'm not saying it's an impossibility for Syracuse

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Speaker 2: to be good enough to win a Bowl or you know,

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Speaker 2: maybe a little bit better than that, but I don't

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Speaker 2: think it's gonna happen week one, not against Tennessee on

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Speaker 2: the road. I just think that this team is going

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Speaker 2: to need a little bit of time to build because

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Speaker 2: you lose, you know, you lose your quarterback, you lose

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Speaker 2: you're starting running back, you lose your number one wide receiver,

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Speaker 2: you lose your tight end in Gadsden, right, like, the

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Speaker 2: biggest pieces of what made this team a success last

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Speaker 2: year are gone. So I just don't have a lot

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Speaker 2: of faith in Syracuse. And I don't you know, I

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Speaker 2: think Tennessee is pretty middling for an SEC team, but

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Speaker 2: I think they're way way better than Syracuse. So I'll

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Speaker 2: lay the points and I'll take the volunteers last one

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Speaker 2: the two lane minus four and a half versus Northwestern,

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Speaker 2: And I know this one has bet the opposite a

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Speaker 2: lot of people taking Northwestern. They brought in Preston Stone,

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Speaker 2: so it should be much better. At quarterback. Roster's strength

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Speaker 2: is pretty even. Obviously Northwestern is a power forward team,

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Speaker 2: but they have they're about twenty spots below tu lane.

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Speaker 2: But you know, Tulane losing Tempire brought in Chake retz Laugh,

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Speaker 2: who got another guy late in the process, right, And

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Speaker 2: that's I think that's why we're getting this Northwestern kick

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Speaker 2: is because rets Laugh showed up way late in the process.

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Speaker 2: Should be the quarterback here for Tulane. He has a

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Speaker 2: lot of experience at BYU. He obviously broke a school

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Speaker 2: rule and that is why he is no longer at BYU.

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Speaker 2: So but Tulane gives him a good opportunity. And Northwestern,

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Speaker 2: I don't know, they're just they're a perennial bottom feeder

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Speaker 2: in the power for you know, very high education school

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Speaker 2: football is lacking a little bit. There.

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Speaker 1: I got some props for you too.

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Speaker 2: But before we go there, if you would like to

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Speaker 2: track all of your wagers in one place, check out

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Speaker 2: the Betting Pros Picktracker. It syncs up your sportsbook to

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Speaker 2: tell you which picks hit and which miss. Plus, it

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Speaker 2: gives you a live look at what public at what

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Speaker 2: the public is doing, so you can use real time

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Speaker 2: tracking to determine which plays to make and which to fade.

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Speaker 2: Track your picks today with the Betting Pros Picktracker at

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Speaker 2: Bettingpros dot com, slash tracking on the Betting Pros app.

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Speaker 2: All right, I got three at each position for you,

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Speaker 2: so nine total here. My running back ones are all touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: but my first propovers We're gonna go right back to

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Speaker 2: Joey Aguilard. This is a low total that they have

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Speaker 2: on him, two hundred and thirteen and a half passing

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Speaker 2: yard Toledos secondary is good. It is pretty good, but

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Speaker 2: that is a low number for a Tennessee team, specifically

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Speaker 2: if the defense just stomps a MAC team into oblivion here.

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Speaker 2: I mean this is a very good defense. They are

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Speaker 2: replacing some pieces on the line. Obviously, Pierce Norman lot

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Speaker 2: gone in the NFL draft, but I think he can

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Speaker 2: fly over this. I told you I hate Hawaii. Two

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Speaker 2: hundred and sixty two and a half passing yards for Fefida.

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Speaker 2: I mean, the guy started a million games at Arizona,

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Speaker 2: so I just have no faith in Hawaii whatsoever. I

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Speaker 2: think FAFIDA can sail over that pretty quick. And Carson

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Speaker 2: Beck over half an interception versus Notre Dame. We got

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Speaker 2: our one last week as well. Let's go back to

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Speaker 2: the interception. Well, and just I mean Notre Dame's defense

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Speaker 2: is so strong, I think Carson Beck could easily throw

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Speaker 2: a pick. Running back touchdowns, here we go, Nick Singleton

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Speaker 2: over half a rushing touchdown, Jonah Coleman, Justice Hayes. These

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Speaker 2: are three lead backs that are all definitely going to

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Speaker 2: get a touchdown against some weak opponents. I just I

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Speaker 2: think these are the most likely running backs to score.

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Speaker 2: I tripled it up in a parlay, so that's how

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Speaker 2: I would do it. Wide receivers, let's go Josh Cameron,

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Speaker 2: the Baylor wide out over fifty five and a half

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Speaker 2: receiving yards versus Auburn.

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Speaker 1: This is your number one wide receiver.

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Speaker 2: I think Auburn is going to win this game, so

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Speaker 2: I think Baylor's gonna have to play catch up at

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Speaker 2: some point and pass the ball a decent amount at

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Speaker 2: Josh Cameron should be their number one Texas A and

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Speaker 2: M wide receiver. Yes, I'm a long Horns fan, but

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Speaker 2: I'll bet on an Aggie Casey conceptionon comes over from

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Speaker 2: NC State this year over fifty one and a half

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Speaker 2: receiving yards versus UTSA, so lower level opponent. I think

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Speaker 2: Conception can easily go over that. And Nick Harbor, who

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Speaker 2: now becomes a number one in South Carolina Leonora's sellers.

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Speaker 2: They're playing vo Text's. You know, that's a good matchup.

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Speaker 2: That's gonna be a fun game to watch. We're gonna

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Speaker 2: go over twenty four and a half on the longest

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Speaker 2: reception for him, and he hit this in three of

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Speaker 2: the last four games he played. And if you know

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Speaker 2: anything about Nick Harbor. He's a Feldman freak six' five

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Speaker 2: gigantic you, KNOW dk metcalf clone with more. Speed he

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Speaker 2: is going to be a lot of fun to watch

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Speaker 2: with sellers this, year AND i, think you, know in

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Speaker 2: the opening, WEEK i think they're going to rely on

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Speaker 2: him a decent. Amount he should be the number one

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Speaker 2: one receiver, Here so let's go with him to catch

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Speaker 2: a big one over twenty four and a half and

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Speaker 2: that is going to be it for. ME i appreciate

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Speaker 2: you guys, listening love. It if you, know follow me

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Speaker 2: or fade, ME i understand. It we will be back

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Speaker 2: next week to give you our results and some more

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Speaker 2: picks and props for week. Two so good luck And

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Speaker 2: i'll see you guys In take it, easy.

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Speaker 1: Everybody thanks for listening to The Betting pros.

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