WEBVTT - Wild Card Weekend: Nick's Picks

0:00:00.440 --> 0:00:02.800
<v Speaker 1>If your football team had one option in their playbook,

0:00:03.000 --> 0:00:05.800
<v Speaker 1>the results probably wouldn't be great. The same could be

0:00:05.840 --> 0:00:09.440
<v Speaker 1>said for your investments. Cibo index options like SPX and

0:00:09.600 --> 0:00:12.920
<v Speaker 1>xsp can help expand your investing strategies with cash settlement

0:00:13.080 --> 0:00:15.840
<v Speaker 1>and potential tax advantages. If you're ready for a more

0:00:15.920 --> 0:00:19.160
<v Speaker 1>dynamic game plan, head to Better with Options dot Com.

0:00:19.280 --> 0:00:22.880
<v Speaker 1>Cebo life is better with options, Your investments.

0:00:22.440 --> 0:00:23.119
<v Speaker 2>Could be too.

0:00:23.520 --> 0:00:26.159
<v Speaker 1>There are risks associated with CBO company products. Review the

0:00:26.160 --> 0:00:51.920
<v Speaker 1>disclosures and disclaimers at CBO dot com slash us Underscore disclaimers.

0:00:42.840 --> 0:00:43.280
<v Speaker 3>Welcome.

0:00:43.280 --> 0:00:47.919
<v Speaker 2>In episode one seventeen, What's Right with Nick Wright, our

0:00:47.960 --> 0:00:54.560
<v Speaker 2>wild card weekend gambling show, the weekend that we reset

0:00:54.840 --> 0:00:58.320
<v Speaker 2>the record back to zero, we look back on how

0:00:58.360 --> 0:01:05.000
<v Speaker 2>we did, and first we must recap week eighteen, where

0:01:06.959 --> 0:01:11.680
<v Speaker 2>you know, sometimes I've got to say demanse I even

0:01:11.720 --> 0:01:17.120
<v Speaker 2>impressed myself. The goal, as always is to be profitable.

0:01:18.360 --> 0:01:23.600
<v Speaker 2>The underlying goal is always to not make this whole

0:01:23.640 --> 0:01:27.520
<v Speaker 2>thing look ridiculous. And going into the final week of

0:01:27.520 --> 0:01:29.720
<v Speaker 2>the season, we were six games under five hundred, and

0:01:29.760 --> 0:01:34.640
<v Speaker 2>we had a chance of looking ridiculous, and so you know,

0:01:34.800 --> 0:01:37.880
<v Speaker 2>I took a big risk. I went against a lot

0:01:37.880 --> 0:01:40.959
<v Speaker 2>of my principles, and we said we're going to bet

0:01:41.440 --> 0:01:44.400
<v Speaker 2>every game on the board, with the caveat of the

0:01:44.400 --> 0:01:48.400
<v Speaker 2>Bills and the Bengals because when we were recording last

0:01:48.440 --> 0:01:51.640
<v Speaker 2>week's show, we didn't yet know if they were going

0:01:51.720 --> 0:01:55.040
<v Speaker 2>to be replaying their game. We did, so we left

0:01:55.040 --> 0:01:58.760
<v Speaker 2>that out. So we had fourteen games, so we needed

0:01:58.760 --> 0:02:02.919
<v Speaker 2>to go ten and four to finish at five hundred.

0:02:03.680 --> 0:02:07.560
<v Speaker 2>We needed to go eleven and three, seventy eight percent

0:02:07.600 --> 0:02:13.000
<v Speaker 2>against the spread. Almost impossible to finish above five hundred.

0:02:14.200 --> 0:02:18.040
<v Speaker 2>Blue Duck Media team who produces this podcast and YouTube show,

0:02:19.320 --> 0:02:24.040
<v Speaker 2>show us last week's results, ten and four. All that's

0:02:24.080 --> 0:02:27.800
<v Speaker 2>eleven and three. Oh my goodness, gracious, that's the first

0:02:27.880 --> 0:02:32.840
<v Speaker 2>seven games. That's six and one. We can go through them.

0:02:33.200 --> 0:02:35.560
<v Speaker 2>Kansasity might have sign and have at Vegas. Never at

0:02:35.560 --> 0:02:39.960
<v Speaker 2>out Atlanta minus four against Tampa. That one. Confused Old

0:02:40.040 --> 0:02:42.560
<v Speaker 2>Demonse came down the next morning. He was like, I

0:02:42.560 --> 0:02:44.400
<v Speaker 2>don't get this line at all. I was like, eh,

0:02:44.440 --> 0:02:46.680
<v Speaker 2>I don't think Tampa's gonna play their starters that long.

0:02:46.919 --> 0:02:49.280
<v Speaker 2>Tampa jumped out seven to nothing. It's like, I don't

0:02:49.320 --> 0:02:52.600
<v Speaker 2>worry about it. Took the starters out Atlanta covers Miami.

0:02:53.000 --> 0:02:57.080
<v Speaker 2>We got them plus one against the Jets. That line

0:02:57.160 --> 0:03:00.799
<v Speaker 2>moved all the way to miamiree three and a half,

0:03:00.919 --> 0:03:03.560
<v Speaker 2>but that would have covered anyway thanks to a safety

0:03:03.600 --> 0:03:05.640
<v Speaker 2>on the final play of the game. If you had

0:03:05.639 --> 0:03:08.359
<v Speaker 2>the Jets plus three and a half, Oh my goodness, gracious,

0:03:08.720 --> 0:03:13.040
<v Speaker 2>Jacksonville minus six against Tennessee didn't cover Minnesota minus seven

0:03:13.040 --> 0:03:15.079
<v Speaker 2>and a half against Chicago. We told you Chicago was

0:03:15.120 --> 0:03:17.639
<v Speaker 2>trying to win. Get the number one pick is how

0:03:17.680 --> 0:03:20.799
<v Speaker 2>could they? How could they compete Carolina plus three and

0:03:20.840 --> 0:03:24.079
<v Speaker 2>a half against New Orleans. I honestly don't know who

0:03:24.120 --> 0:03:26.280
<v Speaker 2>won that game. I just know it was ten to seven,

0:03:26.480 --> 0:03:30.480
<v Speaker 2>and no the Carolina one Donald was terrible. They won anyway,

0:03:30.520 --> 0:03:33.120
<v Speaker 2>ten to seven. Donald's quarterback rating in that game was

0:03:33.160 --> 0:03:36.160
<v Speaker 2>two point eight two point eight, and they won. For

0:03:36.200 --> 0:03:38.760
<v Speaker 2>the record, I like to remind people of this, you

0:03:38.800 --> 0:03:41.720
<v Speaker 2>get a quarterback rating of thirty nine point six for

0:03:41.960 --> 0:03:46.040
<v Speaker 2>spiking the football. His was two point eight. Pittsburgh minus

0:03:46.040 --> 0:03:48.240
<v Speaker 2>two and a half against Cleveland. We knew Tomlin in

0:03:48.280 --> 0:03:51.520
<v Speaker 2>a must win situation against the Browns, he was gonna

0:03:51.520 --> 0:03:54.000
<v Speaker 2>show up. So that's six and one. Show us the

0:03:54.040 --> 0:03:57.520
<v Speaker 2>next seven picks. If you would please. Indy minus two

0:03:57.560 --> 0:04:00.760
<v Speaker 2>and a half against Houston. That's a loser. That's a

0:04:00.800 --> 0:04:03.760
<v Speaker 2>loser because they converted a fourth and twelve and then

0:04:03.800 --> 0:04:05.680
<v Speaker 2>a fourth and twenty to get in the end zone,

0:04:05.800 --> 0:04:08.760
<v Speaker 2>or that would have been a winner. Giants plus fourteen

0:04:08.800 --> 0:04:12.320
<v Speaker 2>against Philly. They lost by six on side kick at

0:04:12.320 --> 0:04:13.920
<v Speaker 2>the end of the game. Where the lose bys eight,

0:04:13.960 --> 0:04:16.560
<v Speaker 2>I'm not sure six eight, seven, doesn't matter. They covered

0:04:16.839 --> 0:04:20.000
<v Speaker 2>Dallas minus seven and a half against Washington. We were

0:04:20.000 --> 0:04:22.279
<v Speaker 2>on the wrong side of that one. That was a laugher.

0:04:22.440 --> 0:04:26.920
<v Speaker 2>Who's twenty six to six Washington? They covered by twenty

0:04:26.920 --> 0:04:28.839
<v Speaker 2>seven and a half points. Doesn't matter. Just one loss.

0:04:28.960 --> 0:04:31.360
<v Speaker 2>Denver minus two and a half against the Chargers. How

0:04:31.440 --> 0:04:34.040
<v Speaker 2>right were we about this one? We said, we think

0:04:34.080 --> 0:04:36.920
<v Speaker 2>Denver can win outright because the Chargers are gonna play

0:04:36.920 --> 0:04:40.039
<v Speaker 2>their backups. The Chargers because there are a bunch of dopes,

0:04:40.200 --> 0:04:42.960
<v Speaker 2>played their starters almost the whole way. Denver won out

0:04:43.040 --> 0:04:46.719
<v Speaker 2>right anyway. San Francisco minus fourteen against Arizona. We said

0:04:46.720 --> 0:04:49.839
<v Speaker 2>they're gonna annihilate the Cardinals. First play of the game,

0:04:50.279 --> 0:04:53.080
<v Speaker 2>Cardinals trick play touchdown. Oh my god, they're up seven

0:04:53.080 --> 0:04:56.000
<v Speaker 2>to nothing. Doesn't matter. They rolled them Rams plus six

0:04:56.080 --> 0:04:58.279
<v Speaker 2>and a half against Seattle. That game goes to overtime,

0:04:58.480 --> 0:05:00.960
<v Speaker 2>Detroit plus five and a half against Screen Bay they

0:05:01.320 --> 0:05:04.599
<v Speaker 2>win outright. That puts our record on the year to

0:05:04.839 --> 0:05:10.320
<v Speaker 2>fifty forty eight and two. Now, because we're fair on this,

0:05:11.120 --> 0:05:15.279
<v Speaker 2>was that profitable not when you incorporate the VIG right,

0:05:15.600 --> 0:05:18.920
<v Speaker 2>we would have won fifty units, we would have lost.

0:05:19.120 --> 0:05:21.720
<v Speaker 2>Let me do the mask the year fifty two point

0:05:21.800 --> 0:05:23.920
<v Speaker 2>eight units because you got to do the ten percent

0:05:23.960 --> 0:05:29.000
<v Speaker 2>on your losses. So down two point eight units technically

0:05:29.080 --> 0:05:31.720
<v Speaker 2>with the VIG but given the fact that we bet

0:05:31.760 --> 0:05:35.839
<v Speaker 2>these things on Thursday, we don't have full information, finishing

0:05:35.839 --> 0:05:39.120
<v Speaker 2>about five hundred is sensational. One last thing is we're

0:05:39.120 --> 0:05:41.520
<v Speaker 2>about to get to our season wraps and then we'll

0:05:41.560 --> 0:05:45.160
<v Speaker 2>get to the shows. I've got a because to be fair,

0:05:45.279 --> 0:05:47.200
<v Speaker 2>we had been updating this throughout the year, and I'll

0:05:47.240 --> 0:05:50.880
<v Speaker 2>do it much more quickly this time. Go through our

0:05:51.200 --> 0:05:55.360
<v Speaker 2>preseason bets. Baltimore we had over ten and a half.

0:05:55.760 --> 0:05:59.279
<v Speaker 2>They finished at ten. That's a shame. The Lamar injury

0:05:59.360 --> 0:06:02.720
<v Speaker 2>really hurt us. So that's a loss. Indy over nine

0:06:02.720 --> 0:06:06.640
<v Speaker 2>and a half, not even close. That's a loss Jacksonville

0:06:07.040 --> 0:06:10.440
<v Speaker 2>over six and a half winner, Kansas City over ten

0:06:10.480 --> 0:06:14.760
<v Speaker 2>and a half winner, New England under eight and a half. Oh,

0:06:14.839 --> 0:06:16.760
<v Speaker 2>they came through in the end for US in a

0:06:16.800 --> 0:06:20.920
<v Speaker 2>big way winner Giants under seven and a half loser,

0:06:20.960 --> 0:06:23.920
<v Speaker 2>so we're three and three. San Francisco over nine and

0:06:23.960 --> 0:06:27.920
<v Speaker 2>a half strong over winner by a mile. Tampa Bay.

0:06:28.080 --> 0:06:30.440
<v Speaker 2>Our single favorite bet of the year was the Tampa

0:06:30.440 --> 0:06:34.120
<v Speaker 2>Bay under eleven and a half. They won eight games,

0:06:34.200 --> 0:06:38.200
<v Speaker 2>so that's five and three in our preseason win total bets.

0:06:38.360 --> 0:06:42.040
<v Speaker 2>We feel good about that. Make miss playoff bets Cleveland

0:06:42.040 --> 0:06:45.839
<v Speaker 2>miss Playoffs winner, Denver miss Playoffs winner, New England MISSUS

0:06:45.880 --> 0:06:50.280
<v Speaker 2>Playoffs winner. Denver was plus money. Cleveland, New England were

0:06:50.279 --> 0:06:56.800
<v Speaker 2>minus money. Our two make miss playoffs parlays, we were

0:06:56.880 --> 0:06:59.800
<v Speaker 2>close on this one. Minus one oh five was the

0:07:00.040 --> 0:07:04.960
<v Speaker 2>action on New England, Atlanta, the Jets, and Seattle to

0:07:05.040 --> 0:07:07.480
<v Speaker 2>miss the playoffs. Seattle got in, so that's a loser.

0:07:08.360 --> 0:07:11.560
<v Speaker 2>Kansas City, Baltimore, Indie, and San Francisco to all make

0:07:11.600 --> 0:07:14.320
<v Speaker 2>the playoffs. That was plus four forty. That's a loser.

0:07:14.640 --> 0:07:16.520
<v Speaker 2>So we on the make miss playoff bets, we had

0:07:16.560 --> 0:07:20.880
<v Speaker 2>two losers, three winners. That's profitable, and by our season

0:07:20.920 --> 0:07:23.680
<v Speaker 2>long bet Kansas City and San Francisco to be in

0:07:23.720 --> 0:07:26.680
<v Speaker 2>the super Bowl. At fifty to one, it's still a lot.

0:07:27.000 --> 0:07:30.040
<v Speaker 2>So five and three in season win totals profitable, three

0:07:30.080 --> 0:07:33.760
<v Speaker 2>and two and make miss playoff bets profitable, very profitable

0:07:33.800 --> 0:07:35.680
<v Speaker 2>because we had plus money on a couple of them.

0:07:35.720 --> 0:07:37.400
<v Speaker 2>And we'll see in the fifty to one. So our

0:07:37.440 --> 0:07:41.000
<v Speaker 2>preseason bets were profitable. Our regular season finished above five

0:07:41.080 --> 0:07:43.760
<v Speaker 2>hundred and now demans, sorry that you haven't been able

0:07:43.800 --> 0:07:45.520
<v Speaker 2>to talk yet, but I'm so excited before we get

0:07:45.560 --> 0:07:47.200
<v Speaker 2>to these picks. What are we doing here?

0:07:47.240 --> 0:07:49.640
<v Speaker 3>Eleven and three? So, like how Spotify has this like

0:07:49.720 --> 0:07:51.440
<v Speaker 3>wrap thing where it does little recap.

0:07:51.720 --> 0:07:54.880
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, subscribe to this pot on Spotify and iTunes and everywhere.

0:07:54.880 --> 0:07:55.280
<v Speaker 2>Go ahead.

0:07:55.360 --> 0:07:58.360
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, they did a little seasonal recap for you, a

0:07:58.400 --> 0:08:01.120
<v Speaker 3>little rap version by the producer in La let me see.

0:08:01.400 --> 0:08:03.880
<v Speaker 3>Uh So, first off, we've got to know for showing.

0:08:04.440 --> 0:08:05.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, for showing it right there.

0:08:05.480 --> 0:08:09.080
<v Speaker 3>Phographics all right, So best picks. We got Divisional Games

0:08:09.160 --> 0:08:13.520
<v Speaker 3>twenty seven two. Oh, hold on, let's let's let's let's kill.

0:08:13.520 --> 0:08:17.320
<v Speaker 2>Marinate in this because this is you know why that

0:08:17.400 --> 0:08:19.880
<v Speaker 2>Divisional Games twenty seven and twelve means something to me.

0:08:20.800 --> 0:08:23.120
<v Speaker 2>Let's talk about this playoff weekend for just a moment.

0:08:23.720 --> 0:08:29.920
<v Speaker 2>Miami Buffalo is a divisional game, Cincinnati Baltimore is a

0:08:30.360 --> 0:08:35.559
<v Speaker 2>divisional game. Seattle San Francisco is a divisional game. So

0:08:35.679 --> 0:08:38.439
<v Speaker 2>three of our six games this weekend our divisional games.

0:08:38.559 --> 0:08:42.360
<v Speaker 2>And twenty seven and twelve what's that? Twenty times two

0:08:42.360 --> 0:08:48.040
<v Speaker 2>point five? So fifty four? So we're at sixty nine

0:08:48.160 --> 0:08:51.720
<v Speaker 2>percent against the spread and divisional games. I did that,

0:08:51.720 --> 0:08:56.000
<v Speaker 2>MATHO was like, Patrick Mahomes, what's that? Oh, it's completion percentage?

0:08:56.520 --> 0:08:57.080
<v Speaker 2>What do you mean?

0:08:57.480 --> 0:08:59.800
<v Speaker 3>Actually, guess Patrick Mahomes is a little bit higher.

0:08:59.800 --> 0:09:02.560
<v Speaker 2>No, sixty nine percent almost exactly right. What's twenty seven

0:09:02.600 --> 0:09:03.079
<v Speaker 2>over the division?

0:09:03.280 --> 0:09:03.520
<v Speaker 4>Oh?

0:09:03.600 --> 0:09:08.160
<v Speaker 2>My god, that's the what percentage is that? DeMont? Sixty

0:09:08.240 --> 0:09:08.920
<v Speaker 2>nine point two?

0:09:09.080 --> 0:09:09.520
<v Speaker 3>Got that?

0:09:10.200 --> 0:09:11.880
<v Speaker 2>I like when I do stuff like that. Twenty seven

0:09:11.920 --> 0:09:13.440
<v Speaker 2>and twelve, six nine percent? What's next?

0:09:13.840 --> 0:09:17.800
<v Speaker 3>So next we got road dogs twenty five fourteen and one.

0:09:17.960 --> 0:09:21.160
<v Speaker 2>So road dogs again, we can do sixty two and

0:09:21.200 --> 0:09:25.880
<v Speaker 2>a half percent against the spread twenty five plus fourteen

0:09:26.000 --> 0:09:28.600
<v Speaker 2>plus one sport. Yeah, sixty two and a half percent,

0:09:28.640 --> 0:09:32.880
<v Speaker 2>all right, so road dogs we like? Yeah, divisional games

0:09:32.920 --> 0:09:35.000
<v Speaker 2>we like keep that in mind for our six picks. That,

0:09:35.040 --> 0:09:36.280
<v Speaker 2>by the way, I should have said, is the top

0:09:36.280 --> 0:09:38.880
<v Speaker 2>of the show. We're picking every playoff game. We have

0:09:38.960 --> 0:09:42.840
<v Speaker 2>a lifelong dream of going undefeated in the playoffs. They

0:09:42.840 --> 0:09:45.240
<v Speaker 2>made it harder. You still only have to get eleven games,

0:09:45.320 --> 0:09:47.600
<v Speaker 2>right now, you have to get thirteen games, right because

0:09:47.600 --> 0:09:50.160
<v Speaker 2>they added the teams. By the way, fun fact for

0:09:50.240 --> 0:09:54.480
<v Speaker 2>anybody out there, no matter the format, Uh, any single

0:09:54.520 --> 0:09:57.120
<v Speaker 2>elimination tournament, I don't care if it's the NCAA tournament,

0:09:57.120 --> 0:09:59.959
<v Speaker 2>I don't care it's the playoffs, any single elimination tournament.

0:10:00.280 --> 0:10:03.240
<v Speaker 2>Now you can quickly figure out how many games are

0:10:03.280 --> 0:10:05.640
<v Speaker 2>going to be played in the whole tournament. However many

0:10:05.640 --> 0:10:08.640
<v Speaker 2>teams are in it minus one, because everybody's got to

0:10:08.720 --> 0:10:11.120
<v Speaker 2>lose at least once except for the champion. So a

0:10:11.200 --> 0:10:13.800
<v Speaker 2>sixty eight team in Cuba Field, you know how many

0:10:13.800 --> 0:10:16.920
<v Speaker 2>games there are? Sixty seven? A fourteen team NFL playoffs,

0:10:16.960 --> 0:10:19.360
<v Speaker 2>any games there are thirteen? All right, go ahead, next

0:10:19.920 --> 0:10:26.520
<v Speaker 2>fading victor undefeated. Oh that's unfair, Vic rallied VIC was

0:10:27.040 --> 0:10:29.839
<v Speaker 2>you know? Yeah, show Vic, it's unfair. I wouldn't let

0:10:29.880 --> 0:10:32.400
<v Speaker 2>them put that on there. You had a you you

0:10:32.440 --> 0:10:35.680
<v Speaker 2>know you were I think you were sandbagging us vic

0:10:35.960 --> 0:10:37.960
<v Speaker 2>Vic's you know, first weekend, I think it was zero

0:10:38.000 --> 0:10:40.640
<v Speaker 2>for five, but then he rallied, so that's no problem,

0:10:40.679 --> 0:10:40.959
<v Speaker 2>all right.

0:10:41.000 --> 0:10:43.800
<v Speaker 3>Next the same game parlay plus thirty two K.

0:10:44.040 --> 0:10:47.520
<v Speaker 2>That was the highlight of the gambling season. Yeah, and

0:10:47.520 --> 0:10:50.120
<v Speaker 2>and that moment sharing that bet with you in your

0:10:50.160 --> 0:10:53.280
<v Speaker 2>reaction huge bet. Yeah, the I mean that's exactly what

0:10:53.280 --> 0:10:53.880
<v Speaker 2>it was.

0:10:53.640 --> 0:10:53.800
<v Speaker 3>It was.

0:10:53.920 --> 0:10:56.000
<v Speaker 2>It was eight hundred bucks of forty to one, all right.

0:10:56.080 --> 0:10:59.520
<v Speaker 3>Next betting NFC East teams, you were nine and two.

0:11:00.640 --> 0:11:02.840
<v Speaker 2>All right. So those are my top picks. I feel

0:11:02.840 --> 0:11:06.680
<v Speaker 2>like the opposite's coming on the old Spotify raft ripoff

0:11:06.679 --> 0:11:07.880
<v Speaker 2>we're doing here, what's next?

0:11:08.160 --> 0:11:11.000
<v Speaker 3>Worst picks coming in at number one is one in

0:11:11.160 --> 0:11:12.720
<v Speaker 3>seven versus the Jags.

0:11:13.120 --> 0:11:16.160
<v Speaker 2>Well, so here's the thing. Here's the question that I

0:11:16.160 --> 0:11:20.800
<v Speaker 2>would have here and the well one and seven involving

0:11:20.800 --> 0:11:24.320
<v Speaker 2>the Jags, And I don't know about this crying the

0:11:24.520 --> 0:11:27.760
<v Speaker 2>graphic they have of me. Yes, I was bad picking

0:11:27.840 --> 0:11:33.040
<v Speaker 2>the Jags singularly, but overall, I think I'm the rightest

0:11:33.040 --> 0:11:35.679
<v Speaker 2>man in America about the Jacks. Before the year, I

0:11:35.720 --> 0:11:38.720
<v Speaker 2>said they could win the division. I bet them to

0:11:38.760 --> 0:11:41.319
<v Speaker 2>make the playoffs, and I bet them to win nine games.

0:11:41.320 --> 0:11:42.680
<v Speaker 2>That's right, right, all along?

0:11:42.840 --> 0:11:43.120
<v Speaker 3>All right?

0:11:43.160 --> 0:11:43.720
<v Speaker 2>What's next?

0:11:44.120 --> 0:11:45.320
<v Speaker 3>Why?

0:11:45.400 --> 0:11:48.960
<v Speaker 2>Okay, shut up? Yeah, you know what I've decided, by

0:11:49.000 --> 0:11:52.640
<v Speaker 2>the way, I'm not doing that anymore. I'm not doing anymore.

0:11:53.679 --> 0:11:56.440
<v Speaker 2>It's like picking your amongst your chouldren, like you have

0:11:56.480 --> 0:11:58.440
<v Speaker 2>to pick a favorite, You're gonna get it wrong. All

0:11:58.480 --> 0:12:01.240
<v Speaker 2>my picks are I love them all. I was bad

0:12:01.320 --> 0:12:03.680
<v Speaker 2>on my locks on TV, I was bad on the

0:12:03.760 --> 0:12:07.920
<v Speaker 2>right move on this podcast. They're all the picks are

0:12:07.960 --> 0:12:10.360
<v Speaker 2>equal value to me. I'm not doing that anymore. Next.

0:12:10.440 --> 0:12:17.000
<v Speaker 3>Okay, twelve and eighteen for home favorites. Okay, twenty twenty

0:12:17.080 --> 0:12:18.880
<v Speaker 3>eight and two in early windows.

0:12:19.080 --> 0:12:22.920
<v Speaker 2>All right, I don't you know what that that's meaningless

0:12:22.920 --> 0:12:27.040
<v Speaker 2>to the early window thing. I just think that's random.

0:12:28.480 --> 0:12:31.160
<v Speaker 2>If I'm twenty twenty eight and two in early windows

0:12:31.600 --> 0:12:34.880
<v Speaker 2>and I finished the year forty forty eight and two overall,

0:12:35.080 --> 0:12:37.880
<v Speaker 2>I guess that means I'm thirty and twenty in the

0:12:38.040 --> 0:12:41.160
<v Speaker 2>non one o'clock window, which is I guess maybe noteworthy,

0:12:41.280 --> 0:12:44.000
<v Speaker 2>but I'm not sure. And what is this final bullet point?

0:12:44.000 --> 0:12:46.360
<v Speaker 3>Wait, eighteen and ten in the late window.

0:12:46.400 --> 0:12:49.840
<v Speaker 2>Oh no, confusing, No, no, no, because I finished, I'd

0:12:49.840 --> 0:12:53.240
<v Speaker 2>be twenty twenty eight and two in the early games

0:12:53.520 --> 0:12:55.800
<v Speaker 2>and oh, copy so what I'm saying, So that would

0:12:55.800 --> 0:12:58.640
<v Speaker 2>be thirty and twenty in the late games.

0:12:58.640 --> 0:13:00.760
<v Speaker 3>You know, honestly, guys, I thought when we put early

0:13:00.800 --> 0:13:03.360
<v Speaker 3>windows we were talking about like games where we bet

0:13:03.400 --> 0:13:05.640
<v Speaker 3>early in the line of value increased or something.

0:13:05.760 --> 0:13:08.640
<v Speaker 2>Oh no, no, I think they mean the one.

0:13:08.559 --> 0:13:14.960
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yeah, oh and seventeen when claiming it smells it's

0:13:15.000 --> 0:13:19.280
<v Speaker 3>not that funny. Oh in seventeen when claiming it smells

0:13:19.320 --> 0:13:22.480
<v Speaker 3>like five and oh, that is that funny.

0:13:22.679 --> 0:13:23.520
<v Speaker 2>It's not that funny.

0:13:23.600 --> 0:13:24.880
<v Speaker 3>That's freaking hilarious.

0:13:24.960 --> 0:13:27.719
<v Speaker 2>It's not that funny. I didn't have any five and

0:13:27.800 --> 0:13:31.920
<v Speaker 2>oh weeks. Okay, this was not the but you know what,

0:13:32.400 --> 0:13:34.480
<v Speaker 2>maybe that means I'm having six in a week this week.

0:13:34.559 --> 0:13:36.560
<v Speaker 2>That's first of all. Second of all, I had no

0:13:36.640 --> 0:13:39.920
<v Speaker 2>oh in five weeks. They just cancel each other out.

0:13:40.200 --> 0:13:43.360
<v Speaker 2>Wait what, Yeah, I didn't have an O five, Matt,

0:13:43.400 --> 0:13:45.760
<v Speaker 2>correct us if I'm wrong. There's no way I had.

0:13:46.240 --> 0:13:47.320
<v Speaker 3>You had one and four?

0:13:47.640 --> 0:13:49.360
<v Speaker 2>No, I had a couple. I think I might add

0:13:49.360 --> 0:13:50.320
<v Speaker 2>two to one in fours.

0:13:51.320 --> 0:13:51.679
<v Speaker 3>I don't know.

0:13:51.960 --> 0:13:55.560
<v Speaker 2>No, oh and five, oh and five? You gotta contemplate

0:13:55.600 --> 0:13:59.280
<v Speaker 2>retirement with the If you flip a coin, the odds

0:13:59.280 --> 0:14:01.439
<v Speaker 2>of getting it wrong five straight times is one in

0:14:01.559 --> 0:14:03.559
<v Speaker 2>thirty two. I'm not going on five.

0:14:03.640 --> 0:14:05.199
<v Speaker 3>Are we throwing shots at Vic right now?

0:14:05.559 --> 0:14:08.600
<v Speaker 2>I told you Vic was sandbagging Vic. Vic was wanting

0:14:08.679 --> 0:14:11.200
<v Speaker 2>us off his scent. He didn't want us to follow

0:14:11.240 --> 0:14:13.720
<v Speaker 2>his bets. Vic. I'm with you. They're being rude to you,

0:14:14.000 --> 0:14:15.959
<v Speaker 2>and I don't think it's nice. All right, we got

0:14:16.000 --> 0:14:16.440
<v Speaker 2>more of these?

0:14:16.640 --> 0:14:20.200
<v Speaker 3>Uh yeah? So we got clairvoyant here like Jacksonville better

0:14:20.240 --> 0:14:21.600
<v Speaker 3>in London games one and.

0:14:21.560 --> 0:14:25.040
<v Speaker 2>Oh oh, undefeated in London games. I like that, okay?

0:14:25.400 --> 0:14:27.840
<v Speaker 3>And which one was it was? It was the Seattle game?

0:14:28.600 --> 0:14:32.920
<v Speaker 2>No Seattle, No, that was Germany, okay, Oh, Seattle, London,

0:14:32.960 --> 0:14:39.000
<v Speaker 2>Tampa Bay was Germany in Minnesota, New Orleans, London, Minnesota. Now,

0:14:39.160 --> 0:14:41.560
<v Speaker 2>so I might have been two to zero betting in

0:14:41.880 --> 0:14:43.240
<v Speaker 2>European games. I'm not sure.

0:14:43.280 --> 0:14:43.480
<v Speaker 5>I know.

0:14:43.520 --> 0:14:45.520
<v Speaker 2>I got Germany right one and oh in London, and

0:14:45.600 --> 0:14:47.280
<v Speaker 2>you're in London. Go ahead, next.

0:14:47.360 --> 0:14:50.200
<v Speaker 3>Five and one betting games involving Nathaniel Hackett.

0:14:50.280 --> 0:14:52.800
<v Speaker 2>You gotta love that one, yeah, I mean I told

0:14:52.880 --> 0:14:55.840
<v Speaker 2>you guys, we lost our opportunity. Now he's gone forever.

0:14:56.600 --> 0:14:58.480
<v Speaker 2>But it was a wonderful I mean, it was a

0:14:58.480 --> 0:14:59.680
<v Speaker 2>wonderful moment in time.

0:14:59.720 --> 0:15:03.080
<v Speaker 3>Next uh for uh yeah, four and O betting on

0:15:03.160 --> 0:15:03.800
<v Speaker 3>Tom Brady.

0:15:05.120 --> 0:15:08.800
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's okay, that's noteworthy because he's another one coming up. Yep,

0:15:09.800 --> 0:15:13.600
<v Speaker 2>six oh to one. Beating on LA teams, betting betting

0:15:13.640 --> 0:15:16.040
<v Speaker 2>on LA teams. Okay, all right, no noteworthy, all right,

0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:17.880
<v Speaker 2>last one because I didn't realize how long we were

0:15:17.880 --> 0:15:18.680
<v Speaker 2>going to go ahead.

0:15:18.400 --> 0:15:21.520
<v Speaker 3>Blind spots betting on AFC cell teams two and twelve.

0:15:21.720 --> 0:15:24.240
<v Speaker 2>A lot of that's the Jacks. A lot of that

0:15:24.280 --> 0:15:27.840
<v Speaker 2>involves the Jacks, all right, go ahead betting against uh,

0:15:28.280 --> 0:15:31.720
<v Speaker 2>betting against top against the spread teams. So the best

0:15:31.720 --> 0:15:34.280
<v Speaker 2>teams against the spread this year were the Giants, the

0:15:34.320 --> 0:15:39.000
<v Speaker 2>Bengals in Detroit, So that means their record against the spread. Yeah,

0:15:39.080 --> 0:15:39.880
<v Speaker 2>they go ahead.

0:15:39.880 --> 0:15:43.120
<v Speaker 3>Sorry, yeah, and I'm aware I was I heard something

0:15:43.160 --> 0:15:45.160
<v Speaker 3>about the AFC selth in my ear.

0:15:45.760 --> 0:15:51.880
<v Speaker 2>Okay, but yea chatting against against the best the spread, Yeah, sure,

0:15:51.920 --> 0:15:55.520
<v Speaker 2>I'm owen ten. But Mike Tomlin's more historic, not so

0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:56.240
<v Speaker 2>much this year.

0:15:56.320 --> 0:15:59.800
<v Speaker 3>All right, go ahead, Uh you never uh you never

0:15:59.800 --> 0:16:03.280
<v Speaker 3>took big spreads over seven. But we're seven to two.

0:16:03.280 --> 0:16:07.119
<v Speaker 2>When you did see, I like that a lot because

0:16:07.320 --> 0:16:11.360
<v Speaker 2>I think it's smart that I didn't regularly pick huge favorites.

0:16:12.240 --> 0:16:15.240
<v Speaker 2>But when I did pick a huge favorite, it was

0:16:15.320 --> 0:16:18.280
<v Speaker 2>because I zeroed in on it and liked it a lot,

0:16:18.320 --> 0:16:21.720
<v Speaker 2>like San Francisco last week, all right, and then lastly.

0:16:21.560 --> 0:16:23.400
<v Speaker 3>No bets on Buffalo all season.

0:16:23.480 --> 0:16:26.320
<v Speaker 2>All right. That is a blind That is a blind spot.

0:16:26.680 --> 0:16:29.200
<v Speaker 2>That's not so much a coward as much as it

0:16:29.320 --> 0:16:34.640
<v Speaker 2>is I tend to root against Buffalo, and I put

0:16:35.320 --> 0:16:39.280
<v Speaker 2>my rooting interest ahead of my monetary interest. I didn't

0:16:39.320 --> 0:16:42.480
<v Speaker 2>want to be in a spot where I had to

0:16:42.560 --> 0:16:44.880
<v Speaker 2>root for the Bills. So I do agree that is

0:16:44.920 --> 0:16:47.760
<v Speaker 2>a blind spot. I don't think it's a cowardly to

0:16:47.800 --> 0:16:50.160
<v Speaker 2>not bet on the Bills. I think it was purely

0:16:50.240 --> 0:16:54.840
<v Speaker 2>that I knewst the Bills. I bet against the Bills

0:16:54.840 --> 0:16:57.360
<v Speaker 2>a lot, which is the and they're uh, you know,

0:16:57.400 --> 0:16:59.760
<v Speaker 2>and there they've been an excellent team this year. Okay,

0:17:00.320 --> 0:17:04.040
<v Speaker 2>that's a great recap. It's a great job by our crew,

0:17:05.000 --> 0:17:07.199
<v Speaker 2>and now we have good context for these picks. Well,

0:17:07.240 --> 0:17:10.440
<v Speaker 2>we're gonna we're gonna give you the two Saturday games. First,

0:17:11.080 --> 0:17:15.000
<v Speaker 2>first game of the week, San Francisco is laying nine

0:17:15.040 --> 0:17:19.239
<v Speaker 2>and a half against Seattle. San Francisco is gonna win

0:17:19.280 --> 0:17:23.840
<v Speaker 2>this game by at least fourteen points, likely by seventeen points.

0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:27.720
<v Speaker 2>I will lay the nine and a half. Now, it

0:17:27.800 --> 0:17:32.240
<v Speaker 2>should be noted prior to this season, Pete Carroll was

0:17:32.280 --> 0:17:34.760
<v Speaker 2>eight and two against Shanahan. There's a weird thing in

0:17:34.800 --> 0:17:42.360
<v Speaker 2>the NFC West where Shanahan owns McVeigh. McVeigh owns Carol,

0:17:42.840 --> 0:17:47.520
<v Speaker 2>and Carol owned Shanahan, and then everybody owns the Cardinals.

0:17:47.640 --> 0:17:50.679
<v Speaker 2>The Cardinals are just the odd man out there. But

0:17:50.920 --> 0:17:54.720
<v Speaker 2>the Niners traditionally have beat up on the Rams. Since

0:17:54.760 --> 0:17:56.960
<v Speaker 2>these coach have all been together, the Rams have beat

0:17:57.040 --> 0:18:00.000
<v Speaker 2>up on Seattle, and Seattle's beat up on San Francis

0:18:00.160 --> 0:18:03.440
<v Speaker 2>go this year. Seattle's zero to two against San Francisco.

0:18:03.920 --> 0:18:08.400
<v Speaker 2>That is an incredibly young defense in Seattle San Francisco.

0:18:08.480 --> 0:18:11.600
<v Speaker 2>While they have a young quarterback, they are so hard

0:18:11.640 --> 0:18:16.920
<v Speaker 2>to defend because of how intricate and nuanced their run

0:18:16.960 --> 0:18:20.560
<v Speaker 2>game is. Young defenders in particular are going to struggle

0:18:20.600 --> 0:18:24.640
<v Speaker 2>against that Gino. As much as I appreciate what he's

0:18:24.680 --> 0:18:28.359
<v Speaker 2>done this year, Gino didn't exactly finish the season with

0:18:28.480 --> 0:18:32.560
<v Speaker 2>a flurry and Gino going against this San Francisco defense

0:18:33.440 --> 0:18:36.840
<v Speaker 2>on the road I think is a recipe for disaster.

0:18:37.560 --> 0:18:39.760
<v Speaker 2>I think Seattle. I mean, if you've listened to Pete

0:18:39.760 --> 0:18:42.520
<v Speaker 2>Carrol all week, he just keeps calling the Niners juggernauts.

0:18:42.720 --> 0:18:46.199
<v Speaker 2>You know, unfortunately we're playing them. They're so good. I

0:18:46.240 --> 0:18:48.320
<v Speaker 2>know he's just saying that, he's saying something different to

0:18:48.359 --> 0:18:52.760
<v Speaker 2>his team, but he also knows it's true. Seattle is

0:18:53.000 --> 0:18:57.119
<v Speaker 2>in a spot where it's cool they made the playoffs.

0:18:57.400 --> 0:18:59.960
<v Speaker 2>They probably would be going into the offseason with more

0:19:00.080 --> 0:19:04.720
<v Speaker 2>momentum had Green Bay beaten Detroit, because then it's like, hey,

0:19:05.280 --> 0:19:07.440
<v Speaker 2>we won our last game, we finished nine and eight.

0:19:07.520 --> 0:19:09.840
<v Speaker 2>We and then you get to going on a high note.

0:19:10.080 --> 0:19:15.159
<v Speaker 2>I think San Francisco absolutely rolls them. Also, I'm not

0:19:15.200 --> 0:19:18.479
<v Speaker 2>sure I'm doing any teasers this weekend, but a seven

0:19:18.560 --> 0:19:22.800
<v Speaker 2>point San Francisco teaser teasing them down to minus two

0:19:22.880 --> 0:19:25.119
<v Speaker 2>and a half so you get them through the seven

0:19:25.359 --> 0:19:29.520
<v Speaker 2>and the three feels like an absolute must tea. If

0:19:29.600 --> 0:19:32.679
<v Speaker 2>you're going to tease this weekend, that is a must

0:19:32.720 --> 0:19:36.560
<v Speaker 2>include leg to San Francisco minus two and a half.

0:19:36.840 --> 0:19:39.639
<v Speaker 2>So I like the Niners laying a big number. I

0:19:39.760 --> 0:19:42.439
<v Speaker 2>never lay big numbers. But as you said earlier, what

0:19:42.520 --> 0:19:44.600
<v Speaker 2>did you say, I'm seven and two when laying a

0:19:44.600 --> 0:19:48.600
<v Speaker 2>big number and I'm twenty seven and twelve in divisional games.

0:19:48.880 --> 0:19:50.400
<v Speaker 2>This checks both those boxes.

0:19:50.440 --> 0:19:52.959
<v Speaker 3>Go ahead. So first off, I got a little question,

0:19:53.720 --> 0:19:56.080
<v Speaker 3>do you think do you think you know what it's

0:19:56.080 --> 0:19:58.480
<v Speaker 3>gonna have above seventeen rushing yards? Since he's gonna be

0:19:58.520 --> 0:20:01.960
<v Speaker 3>running around a lot of scarce. Thought about adding that

0:20:01.960 --> 0:20:07.119
<v Speaker 3>in one of my parlays last night. Under I wanted

0:20:07.160 --> 0:20:07.879
<v Speaker 3>to take the under.

0:20:09.640 --> 0:20:14.040
<v Speaker 2>That's a tough one. I gotta tell you you've never

0:20:14.840 --> 0:20:18.880
<v Speaker 2>I I don't have a strong feel on it. Gino's

0:20:18.920 --> 0:20:23.600
<v Speaker 2>not all that fast. I would air to the side

0:20:23.600 --> 0:20:26.520
<v Speaker 2>of the over there, but I would. I've given you

0:20:26.680 --> 0:20:31.439
<v Speaker 2>terrible parlay advice this year. You've also never dealt with

0:20:31.600 --> 0:20:33.800
<v Speaker 2>and this want to play here because Seattle's not gonna

0:20:33.800 --> 0:20:39.520
<v Speaker 2>win the single worst part. Anytime you're doing a quarterback

0:20:39.600 --> 0:20:44.239
<v Speaker 2>rushing prop you need to It is scary to do

0:20:44.440 --> 0:20:49.000
<v Speaker 2>on a team you think is gonna win because the

0:20:49.119 --> 0:20:51.400
<v Speaker 2>kneel downs at the end of the game count as

0:20:51.440 --> 0:20:58.840
<v Speaker 2>negative rushing yards, and famously in the Super Bowl, well

0:20:58.880 --> 0:21:02.159
<v Speaker 2>correct because they're not gonna but that's what I'm saying. Famously,

0:21:02.640 --> 0:21:07.840
<v Speaker 2>in the Chiefs Niners Super Bowl, Mahomes hit his rushing

0:21:07.880 --> 0:21:11.520
<v Speaker 2>over by seven yards and then at the end of

0:21:11.560 --> 0:21:16.560
<v Speaker 2>the game took three knees, but they weren't regular knees

0:21:16.960 --> 0:21:21.640
<v Speaker 2>because they needed to also burn like seven seconds, so

0:21:21.680 --> 0:21:25.080
<v Speaker 2>he backed up three steps on each one and lost

0:21:25.200 --> 0:21:30.200
<v Speaker 2>three yards three yards, three yards and went from over

0:21:30.320 --> 0:21:34.240
<v Speaker 2>by seven to under by two in the Super Bowl,

0:21:35.400 --> 0:21:37.959
<v Speaker 2>where that's a huge prop bet, and his ended up

0:21:37.960 --> 0:21:41.240
<v Speaker 2>going under. So that the good thing on quarterback passing

0:21:41.320 --> 0:21:43.360
<v Speaker 2>yards also averages five.

0:21:43.160 --> 0:21:45.080
<v Speaker 3>And a half yards.

0:21:45.800 --> 0:21:51.240
<v Speaker 2>Oh, that's about right. The the good thing about quarterback

0:21:51.320 --> 0:21:56.800
<v Speaker 2>prop passing props is it's very, very hard to get

0:21:56.880 --> 0:22:00.200
<v Speaker 2>negative passing yards. You can, you throw a screen pass,

0:22:00.560 --> 0:22:02.920
<v Speaker 2>you get tackled for a loss, but you're not gonna

0:22:02.920 --> 0:22:04.359
<v Speaker 2>go negative huge, right.

0:22:04.280 --> 0:22:06.680
<v Speaker 3>Probably most of your net and it's like fifteen yards

0:22:06.680 --> 0:22:08.400
<v Speaker 3>throughout a game if.

0:22:08.200 --> 0:22:14.960
<v Speaker 2>That, if that, and you can't. They in college football

0:22:15.680 --> 0:22:20.200
<v Speaker 2>sacks count against your passing yards, at least for team

0:22:20.280 --> 0:22:22.959
<v Speaker 2>passing yards, so like so I don't know if they

0:22:22.960 --> 0:22:25.199
<v Speaker 2>do for individual players, but if you get sacked for

0:22:25.280 --> 0:22:28.199
<v Speaker 2>ten yards, it counts as negative ten passing yards. Uh,

0:22:28.560 --> 0:22:31.440
<v Speaker 2>that doesn't happen in the NFL, all right, Uh, go ahead.

0:22:31.600 --> 0:22:34.680
<v Speaker 2>San Francisco is on a ten game winning streak right now,

0:22:34.960 --> 0:22:38.000
<v Speaker 2>and teams on a ten game ten game win streak

0:22:38.240 --> 0:22:42.880
<v Speaker 2>are two thirteen against the spread in their first playoff game. Yeah,

0:22:42.920 --> 0:22:47.080
<v Speaker 2>I get that. That usually means those teams are over

0:22:47.280 --> 0:22:51.520
<v Speaker 2>valued because of the Brock Purty factor. I think the

0:22:51.600 --> 0:22:54.840
<v Speaker 2>Niners are still undervalue. I think the people are still

0:22:54.880 --> 0:22:57.120
<v Speaker 2>treating it like it's a rookie quarterback in his first

0:22:57.119 --> 0:23:02.040
<v Speaker 2>playoff game. But that team is quarter back independent, so

0:23:02.080 --> 0:23:05.679
<v Speaker 2>I'm not worried about that. All right. Next game, guys,

0:23:07.280 --> 0:23:10.879
<v Speaker 2>it's the Jags in a playoff game at home, and

0:23:10.920 --> 0:23:14.520
<v Speaker 2>I'm getting points. What the do you think I'm gonna

0:23:14.520 --> 0:23:18.760
<v Speaker 2>do here? Jack? How dare you.

0:23:18.720 --> 0:23:20.880
<v Speaker 3>Against the Jags?

0:23:21.359 --> 0:23:26.280
<v Speaker 2>Plus two and a half against the Chargers. Mike Williams

0:23:26.960 --> 0:23:29.600
<v Speaker 2>banged up for the Chargers because Staley's a dope, and

0:23:29.640 --> 0:23:32.080
<v Speaker 2>played him in that whole game until he had to

0:23:32.080 --> 0:23:35.800
<v Speaker 2>be carted off the field as back injury. He didn't

0:23:35.880 --> 0:23:41.040
<v Speaker 2>practice Wednesday. We'll see if he practices Thursday. We're recording

0:23:41.080 --> 0:23:44.840
<v Speaker 2>this before that's release. On the West Coast, they're at

0:23:44.880 --> 0:23:49.440
<v Speaker 2>home Trevor. How about this for a fact? Is humble?

0:23:49.560 --> 0:23:51.200
<v Speaker 2>You know how I always bring up Trevor's high school

0:23:51.200 --> 0:23:55.480
<v Speaker 2>and college career. Yeah, all right, Tomanse. NFL games are

0:23:55.480 --> 0:23:58.600
<v Speaker 2>on Sunday. Winter college football games typically what.

0:23:58.640 --> 0:24:00.480
<v Speaker 3>Day of the weekly Saturday, Saturday.

0:24:01.600 --> 0:24:05.639
<v Speaker 2>Trevor played three years of college football. In high school,

0:24:05.680 --> 0:24:09.000
<v Speaker 2>playoff games are off and on Saturday. The regular season

0:24:09.040 --> 0:24:10.439
<v Speaker 2>games in high school are on Friday.

0:24:12.560 --> 0:24:15.080
<v Speaker 3>I'm gonna say that he's used to playing on Saturday.

0:24:14.720 --> 0:24:18.520
<v Speaker 2>So I'm gonna say he's never lost on Saturday in

0:24:18.600 --> 0:24:23.600
<v Speaker 2>his football career, high school, college, pro. Look it up, America.

0:24:23.880 --> 0:24:29.000
<v Speaker 2>Trevor Lawrence undefeated on Saturdays. That's impressive for a guy

0:24:29.080 --> 0:24:32.440
<v Speaker 2>played three years of big time college football. He went

0:24:32.480 --> 0:24:34.879
<v Speaker 2>forty eight and two or thirty eight and two or something.

0:24:35.119 --> 0:24:38.880
<v Speaker 2>In college. He only lost twice, and those two losses

0:24:39.240 --> 0:24:41.679
<v Speaker 2>were in a playoff scenario where they were not being

0:24:41.720 --> 0:24:45.320
<v Speaker 2>played on Saturday. Also, going back to college, Trevor Lawrence

0:24:45.359 --> 0:24:48.520
<v Speaker 2>the year they won the national championship, had one bad

0:24:48.600 --> 0:24:51.920
<v Speaker 2>game when he was a starter. That was the ACC

0:24:52.160 --> 0:24:56.760
<v Speaker 2>championship game to get into the playoffs, and then don'll playoff.

0:24:56.800 --> 0:25:02.200
<v Speaker 2>He was excellent. Jags, Titans it was not the ACC

0:25:02.480 --> 0:25:06.000
<v Speaker 2>championship game. It was the de facto a FC South

0:25:06.080 --> 0:25:09.400
<v Speaker 2>championship game. He didn't play that great, But now he's

0:25:09.440 --> 0:25:13.159
<v Speaker 2>into the playoffs, he's gonna be awesome. Staley's gonna make

0:25:13.200 --> 0:25:17.240
<v Speaker 2>some head scratching mistakes, the Jags getting points. They're gonna

0:25:17.240 --> 0:25:20.600
<v Speaker 2>win out right. They're at home, Boocket, what's the problem?

0:25:20.720 --> 0:25:22.920
<v Speaker 3>All right? So the problem is, I mean, you're obviously

0:25:22.960 --> 0:25:25.359
<v Speaker 3>one and seven betting with the Jags, but okay, clearly

0:25:25.400 --> 0:25:27.800
<v Speaker 3>you don't care about that when the Jags allow more

0:25:27.840 --> 0:25:31.360
<v Speaker 3>than fourteen points. Though, Trevor Lawrence is six and twenty two.

0:25:31.400 --> 0:25:33.720
<v Speaker 3>But I'm assuming since it's Saturday, this doesn't really matter.

0:25:33.800 --> 0:25:38.240
<v Speaker 2>Well, no, it's not because it's Saturday. It's his thing.

0:25:38.280 --> 0:25:40.080
<v Speaker 2>How could he be six and twenty two when this

0:25:40.160 --> 0:25:43.360
<v Speaker 2>is his rookie year and they don't play twenty eight games?

0:25:44.359 --> 0:25:48.240
<v Speaker 2>Uh so I'm not I'm not factoring in anything that

0:25:48.280 --> 0:25:50.399
<v Speaker 2>happened last year. I will tell you something that happened

0:25:50.400 --> 0:25:53.600
<v Speaker 2>this year. The Jags played the Chargers and the Jags

0:25:53.640 --> 0:25:57.480
<v Speaker 2>won thirty eight to ten. Thirty eight to ten. The

0:25:57.640 --> 0:26:02.240
<v Speaker 2>Jags are winning out right. Trevor is coming to Arrowhead

0:26:02.800 --> 0:26:06.640
<v Speaker 2>with it. It's gonna be mahomes Trevor with a trip

0:26:06.680 --> 0:26:09.840
<v Speaker 2>to the AFC Championship game on the line book. It

0:26:10.680 --> 0:26:13.639
<v Speaker 2>that is happening, unless, of course, either the Bills or

0:26:13.640 --> 0:26:15.439
<v Speaker 2>the Bengals get upset, then he won't get to come

0:26:15.440 --> 0:26:17.520
<v Speaker 2>to Arrowhead because they receive. So I'm not worried.

0:26:17.560 --> 0:26:19.760
<v Speaker 3>How are you feeling if Trevor Lawrence goes and beats

0:26:19.760 --> 0:26:20.240
<v Speaker 3>the Chiefs?

0:26:21.359 --> 0:26:24.240
<v Speaker 2>It's literally the only scenario where where the Chiefs win.

0:26:24.280 --> 0:26:27.520
<v Speaker 2>I'm fine what people on television fans are gonna mock

0:26:27.640 --> 0:26:31.120
<v Speaker 2>me because the guy that I am the biggest national

0:26:31.119 --> 0:26:35.119
<v Speaker 2>advocate of beat my team. No, it's the only scenario

0:26:35.680 --> 0:26:37.879
<v Speaker 2>where the Chiefs don't win the Super Bowl where I

0:26:38.000 --> 0:26:41.560
<v Speaker 2>still win. So I'm fine with it. We got four

0:26:41.600 --> 0:26:43.400
<v Speaker 2>more games to pick. We're gonna take a quick break,

0:26:43.400 --> 0:26:46.520
<v Speaker 2>come right back. What's Right? Wild Card Weekend Gambling Show.

0:26:53.760 --> 0:26:56.560
<v Speaker 4>This episode is brought to you by Unstoppable. Discover the

0:26:56.600 --> 0:26:59.919
<v Speaker 4>inspiring true story about Anthony Roblasts, who defined every expectation

0:27:00.080 --> 0:27:02.920
<v Speaker 4>to become a national wrestling champion, and Unstoppable, a new

0:27:02.960 --> 0:27:06.520
<v Speaker 4>original movie from Amazon, MGM Studios and director William Goldenberg,

0:27:06.640 --> 0:27:09.800
<v Speaker 4>evoking the excitement and camaraderie of classic sports dramas and

0:27:09.840 --> 0:27:13.240
<v Speaker 4>thrilling wrestling matches. Unstoppable features an all star ensemble cast

0:27:13.320 --> 0:27:16.840
<v Speaker 4>including Jerrell Jerome, Jennifer Lopez, Don Cheatle, Michael Tania, and

0:27:16.840 --> 0:27:21.080
<v Speaker 4>Bobby Canavalli. Watch Unstoppable now exclusively on Amazon Prime Video.

0:27:22.480 --> 0:27:24.960
<v Speaker 2>All right, welcome back. In episode one seventeen our wild

0:27:25.000 --> 0:27:27.960
<v Speaker 2>Card weekend gambling show. We already gave you Jacks plus

0:27:28.000 --> 0:27:30.359
<v Speaker 2>two and a half and the Niners minus nine and

0:27:30.359 --> 0:27:35.520
<v Speaker 2>a half. All Right, we have two Sunday games that

0:27:35.680 --> 0:27:39.840
<v Speaker 2>we don't as we record this Thursday morning, definitively know

0:27:39.920 --> 0:27:43.800
<v Speaker 2>who the quarterback is. Okay, I obviously don't love that,

0:27:44.280 --> 0:27:48.719
<v Speaker 2>but we're gonna keep doing these picks as scheduled and

0:27:48.760 --> 0:27:51.920
<v Speaker 2>we'll deal with it. The first one is Miami at Buffalo.

0:27:52.359 --> 0:27:56.520
<v Speaker 2>Miami is getting thirteen and a half points. I believe

0:27:57.280 --> 0:28:03.080
<v Speaker 2>Teddy Bridgewater is gonna play. If Sky Thompson plays, I'm bleeped. Okay,

0:28:03.200 --> 0:28:06.840
<v Speaker 2>I'm just gonna flatly say it. If Teddy plays, this

0:28:06.920 --> 0:28:11.960
<v Speaker 2>line will go back closer to eleven. Miami has played

0:28:12.000 --> 0:28:16.600
<v Speaker 2>Buffalo incredibly close both times all year. It's the third

0:28:17.119 --> 0:28:21.760
<v Speaker 2>matchup Miami has shown that they can deal with the cold,

0:28:21.920 --> 0:28:24.359
<v Speaker 2>as they did when they almost Miami was up twenty

0:28:24.440 --> 0:28:29.600
<v Speaker 2>nine to twenty one in that game a few weeks ago. Furthermore,

0:28:30.800 --> 0:28:34.840
<v Speaker 2>I think it's now okay to say this. I hope

0:28:34.840 --> 0:28:38.320
<v Speaker 2>it doesn't come across as two as insensitive. Now that

0:28:38.400 --> 0:28:42.280
<v Speaker 2>we know Damar's healthy, I think he'll probably be at

0:28:42.320 --> 0:28:48.160
<v Speaker 2>this game we can talk about. I think the actual

0:28:48.200 --> 0:28:52.360
<v Speaker 2>impact of not having Deamar Hamlin the football player for

0:28:52.480 --> 0:28:55.720
<v Speaker 2>a game like this so tomorrow was their backup safety

0:28:56.360 --> 0:29:00.760
<v Speaker 2>stepped in valiantly for their all pro safety. Now they're

0:29:00.800 --> 0:29:07.040
<v Speaker 2>on their third string safety against Tyreek Kill and Jalen Waddle. Furthermore,

0:29:08.320 --> 0:29:14.360
<v Speaker 2>if a team can ever look somewhat unimpressive, scoring thirty

0:29:14.440 --> 0:29:18.640
<v Speaker 2>five against the Patriots, I feel like that was Buffalo

0:29:18.680 --> 0:29:22.800
<v Speaker 2>this weekend. In this one regard to Manse, they had

0:29:22.880 --> 0:29:26.320
<v Speaker 2>two kick return touchdowns. They're only five in the league

0:29:26.320 --> 0:29:29.240
<v Speaker 2>all year. They had two, So that's not happening again.

0:29:29.320 --> 0:29:33.000
<v Speaker 2>It was a beautiful human and football moment. I don't

0:29:33.000 --> 0:29:37.280
<v Speaker 2>think that's happening again. Mac Jones looked like a real

0:29:37.360 --> 0:29:41.920
<v Speaker 2>quarterback against this Buffalo defense. Teddy is better than Mac Jones. Now.

0:29:41.920 --> 0:29:45.040
<v Speaker 2>He also threw three picks. I am not picking Miami

0:29:45.120 --> 0:29:49.280
<v Speaker 2>to win the football game, obviously. However, thirteen and a

0:29:49.320 --> 0:29:54.080
<v Speaker 2>half points for a divisional rematch when Miami won one

0:29:54.400 --> 0:29:57.080
<v Speaker 2>and had a fourth quarter lead in the second is

0:29:57.280 --> 0:30:01.200
<v Speaker 2>way too many points. I am taking Miami plus thirteen

0:30:01.240 --> 0:30:01.680
<v Speaker 2>and a half.

0:30:02.040 --> 0:30:05.040
<v Speaker 3>So this bet actually hits two year blind spots, first

0:30:05.040 --> 0:30:08.360
<v Speaker 3>of all, betting buffalo and betting on a big favorite.

0:30:08.080 --> 0:30:13.320
<v Speaker 2>Okay, but also hits two of my strongest points, road dogs.

0:30:13.320 --> 0:30:16.520
<v Speaker 2>I'm twenty five and fourteen divisional games. I'm twenty seven

0:30:16.560 --> 0:30:20.080
<v Speaker 2>and twelve. There's a road dog in a divisional rematch.

0:30:20.680 --> 0:30:22.840
<v Speaker 2>I just think thirteen and a half is too many points.

0:30:23.040 --> 0:30:27.360
<v Speaker 2>I again, if Skyler Thompson is playing, this thing, probably

0:30:28.400 --> 0:30:31.160
<v Speaker 2>is fourteen and a half, and I lose value on

0:30:31.200 --> 0:30:34.200
<v Speaker 2>a point. I think Teddy's gonna play. I think Miami

0:30:34.320 --> 0:30:39.200
<v Speaker 2>is going to at the very least be in it

0:30:39.320 --> 0:30:42.400
<v Speaker 2>for a back door cover. They could be down twenty

0:30:42.600 --> 0:30:46.400
<v Speaker 2>in the fourth quarter and I could still be alive.

0:30:46.640 --> 0:30:48.240
<v Speaker 2>I'll take the plus thirteen and a half.

0:30:48.360 --> 0:30:50.840
<v Speaker 3>Double digit underdogs are three and eleven against the spread

0:30:50.840 --> 0:30:52.440
<v Speaker 3>and playoffs since twenty eleven.

0:30:56.440 --> 0:31:02.120
<v Speaker 2>Okay, okay, I'm taking Miami plus thirteen and a half.

0:31:02.120 --> 0:31:06.720
<v Speaker 2>You're not talking me out of it. Minnesota minus three

0:31:07.000 --> 0:31:13.160
<v Speaker 2>against the Giants. I think people have gone a touch.

0:31:12.960 --> 0:31:16.719
<v Speaker 5>Too far on the Vikings in the negative way. Okay,

0:31:17.720 --> 0:31:21.160
<v Speaker 5>so you wasn't a talk What do you mean, No,

0:31:21.240 --> 0:31:23.920
<v Speaker 5>go ahead? I mean, I feel like you've never been

0:31:24.520 --> 0:31:25.280
<v Speaker 5>very high on them.

0:31:25.360 --> 0:31:25.520
<v Speaker 3>I'm not.

0:31:26.040 --> 0:31:27.080
<v Speaker 2>I'm not high on the bike.

0:31:27.200 --> 0:31:28.800
<v Speaker 3>Season, even when they were really rolling.

0:31:29.200 --> 0:31:34.760
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, agreed. And I think because I have such a

0:31:35.280 --> 0:31:40.360
<v Speaker 2>valuable trusted voice in the marketplace that my Vikings pessimism

0:31:40.800 --> 0:31:46.280
<v Speaker 2>has infiltrated the marketplace, and now they're slightly undervalued. I

0:31:46.360 --> 0:31:52.320
<v Speaker 2>think Minnesota in this spot should be a four point favorite.

0:31:52.560 --> 0:31:56.160
<v Speaker 2>There are three point favorites. They're at home up, they

0:31:56.280 --> 0:32:02.880
<v Speaker 2>objectively have the better quarterback, they objectively have the scariest

0:32:02.880 --> 0:32:06.680
<v Speaker 2>player in the game in Justin Jefferson, and their biggest

0:32:06.720 --> 0:32:10.720
<v Speaker 2>weakness is their past defense. And the Giants don't like

0:32:10.760 --> 0:32:15.800
<v Speaker 2>to pass the football. Do I think Daniel Jones is

0:32:15.880 --> 0:32:19.160
<v Speaker 2>going on the road and getting a playoff win? I

0:32:19.280 --> 0:32:22.160
<v Speaker 2>don't do. I think the Vikings are a contender. No,

0:32:23.280 --> 0:32:26.880
<v Speaker 2>do I think that they should be a four point favorite.

0:32:26.920 --> 0:32:27.520
<v Speaker 3>At least.

0:32:28.120 --> 0:32:32.680
<v Speaker 2>I do. Minnesota minus three possibly a push, But the

0:32:32.680 --> 0:32:34.719
<v Speaker 2>line is where it is is our pick? What's up?

0:32:34.920 --> 0:32:37.240
<v Speaker 3>A little bit of a change of a change of heart?

0:32:37.640 --> 0:32:40.880
<v Speaker 3>Why you took this exact same match up earlier at

0:32:40.880 --> 0:32:42.680
<v Speaker 3>plus four on the Giants.

0:32:42.400 --> 0:32:43.400
<v Speaker 2>When they played earlier.

0:32:43.520 --> 0:32:45.360
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yeah, and you say that they have like the

0:32:45.400 --> 0:32:46.680
<v Speaker 3>better quarterback and everything.

0:32:46.760 --> 0:32:51.800
<v Speaker 2>Okay, I took the Giants plus four Minnesota one by three.

0:32:51.880 --> 0:32:54.240
<v Speaker 2>It's a big point, isn't it. I took the Giants

0:32:54.400 --> 0:32:57.360
<v Speaker 2>getting four. The Vikings won on a sixty one yard

0:32:57.360 --> 0:33:00.480
<v Speaker 2>field goal at the gun. Cash my bet I done.

0:33:00.760 --> 0:33:04.200
<v Speaker 2>If that spot was minus or plus three, that would

0:33:04.200 --> 0:33:07.120
<v Speaker 2>have just been a push. That's a big point. It's

0:33:07.160 --> 0:33:07.760
<v Speaker 2>a big point.

0:33:07.960 --> 0:33:11.240
<v Speaker 3>Qub's making their first NFL playoffs start of going seventeen

0:33:11.440 --> 0:33:13.240
<v Speaker 3>thirty six and one against the spread.

0:33:13.560 --> 0:33:16.959
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and listen, I'm obviously on Brock Purty making his

0:33:17.040 --> 0:33:22.560
<v Speaker 2>first playoff start, but I'm against Daniel Jones making his. Okay,

0:33:22.600 --> 0:33:28.360
<v Speaker 2>this game is I almost shouldn't pick this game because

0:33:28.800 --> 0:33:32.440
<v Speaker 2>it's Baltimore plus eight and a half at Cincinnati. If

0:33:32.720 --> 0:33:37.880
<v Speaker 2>if Lamar plays, it'll be plus four. If Snoop Hountley plays,

0:33:38.160 --> 0:33:42.360
<v Speaker 2>it'll be plus seven. If Anthony Brown plays, who played

0:33:42.400 --> 0:33:46.560
<v Speaker 2>this team last week, it'll probably move to ten. I am.

0:33:47.240 --> 0:33:52.479
<v Speaker 2>I believe that there is an outside chance Lamar plays

0:33:53.240 --> 0:33:57.000
<v Speaker 2>and if not, Snoop Puntley's gonna play go ahead.

0:33:57.040 --> 0:33:58.880
<v Speaker 3>I'm just kind of it's gonna be kind of this.

0:33:59.280 --> 0:34:02.239
<v Speaker 3>I just thought of it. Oh, this guy, like, what

0:34:02.280 --> 0:34:04.040
<v Speaker 3>if that guy watches the podcast?

0:34:04.400 --> 0:34:05.600
<v Speaker 2>Which guy Anthony Brown?

0:34:06.680 --> 0:34:06.840
<v Speaker 3>Him?

0:34:07.480 --> 0:34:10.840
<v Speaker 2>Anthony Brown listen. I enjoyed watching New Oregon. He didn't

0:34:10.880 --> 0:34:13.879
<v Speaker 2>expect to be starting a playoff game either. He knows

0:34:13.960 --> 0:34:17.080
<v Speaker 2>it's true. And if you are watching the podcast, Anthony

0:34:17.320 --> 0:34:21.080
<v Speaker 2>getting the playbook, buddy, we got you plus eight and

0:34:21.120 --> 0:34:28.319
<v Speaker 2>a half. Here's the thing. So sincint Joe Burrow has

0:34:28.360 --> 0:34:31.960
<v Speaker 2>struggled against one defense this year more than any other,

0:34:32.640 --> 0:34:35.520
<v Speaker 2>the Ravens. He threw for two hundred and fifteen yards,

0:34:35.719 --> 0:34:38.320
<v Speaker 2>then two hundred and seventeen yards. He has one touchdown.

0:34:38.360 --> 0:34:41.120
<v Speaker 2>He has one turnover. In their two matchups, Baltimore won

0:34:41.160 --> 0:34:44.640
<v Speaker 2>the first one, Cincinnati won the second one this past weekend,

0:34:45.000 --> 0:34:46.560
<v Speaker 2>in a game they should have been able to blow

0:34:46.600 --> 0:34:48.439
<v Speaker 2>him out. They didn't quite. They blew him out early

0:34:48.480 --> 0:34:51.920
<v Speaker 2>and then Baltimore kind of clawed back. Additionally, Lyell Collins,

0:34:51.920 --> 0:34:55.040
<v Speaker 2>the Bengals right tackle, is out and Alex Kappa their

0:34:55.120 --> 0:34:59.160
<v Speaker 2>right guard is probably out. That Baltimore defense has been

0:34:59.320 --> 0:35:05.680
<v Speaker 2>sensation absolutely sensational, particularly since getting Roquan Smith. So even

0:35:05.880 --> 0:35:09.319
<v Speaker 2>if the quarterback is as big of a discrepancy as

0:35:09.320 --> 0:35:12.799
<v Speaker 2>you're ever gonna get in the postseason, other than Mahomes

0:35:12.880 --> 0:35:16.960
<v Speaker 2>versus the decaying Ben Roethlisberger in the first round last year,

0:35:18.080 --> 0:35:22.320
<v Speaker 2>Burrow versus Huntley, or Burrow versus Anthony Demonte's buddy Anthony Brown,

0:35:23.520 --> 0:35:26.440
<v Speaker 2>Baltimore is gonna run the ball, play great defense. That

0:35:26.600 --> 0:35:30.879
<v Speaker 2>is too many points for a divisional rematch with an

0:35:30.920 --> 0:35:34.399
<v Speaker 2>excellent coach and an excellent defense, all take the plus

0:35:34.440 --> 0:35:35.120
<v Speaker 2>eight and a half.

0:35:35.080 --> 0:35:36.680
<v Speaker 3>Even not knowing who the quarterback is.

0:35:37.040 --> 0:35:39.680
<v Speaker 2>Well, I gotta you say that, but no matter what

0:35:39.800 --> 0:35:41.840
<v Speaker 2>side I pick, I gotta I don't know who the

0:35:41.880 --> 0:35:47.040
<v Speaker 2>quarterback is. Yeah, obviously I would maybe wait, I'll I

0:35:47.160 --> 0:35:49.160
<v Speaker 2>one of my one of the guys at my poker

0:35:49.200 --> 0:35:51.920
<v Speaker 2>game got so mad at me, so I was playing.

0:35:51.920 --> 0:35:54.360
<v Speaker 2>I played poker twice this week, Monday and Wednesday. So

0:35:54.560 --> 0:35:59.400
<v Speaker 2>Monday I got there and this guy's like, hey, I

0:35:59.440 --> 0:36:02.800
<v Speaker 2>want to put a huge bet in on the Bengals.

0:36:03.440 --> 0:36:05.439
<v Speaker 2>Should I wait or do it? Now? They were six

0:36:05.480 --> 0:36:08.479
<v Speaker 2>and a half and I was like, I think Lamar

0:36:08.600 --> 0:36:12.200
<v Speaker 2>is gonna play, and the line moves to four. He's

0:36:12.239 --> 0:36:15.319
<v Speaker 2>like really, I'm like, yeah, I think he is. He's like, okay,

0:36:15.360 --> 0:36:17.960
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna wait. I think this guy's gonna bet like

0:36:18.080 --> 0:36:21.920
<v Speaker 2>twenty thousand dollars in the game. And then I got

0:36:21.960 --> 0:36:25.800
<v Speaker 2>there yesterday in the line and.

0:36:25.680 --> 0:36:26.880
<v Speaker 3>He was heated.

0:36:27.440 --> 0:36:31.160
<v Speaker 2>He was big. Mad's like what the half man? I'm like,

0:36:31.840 --> 0:36:34.000
<v Speaker 2>you know, sorry, I don't know what to tell you.

0:36:34.360 --> 0:36:36.520
<v Speaker 3>I mean, it's not the same game.

0:36:36.560 --> 0:36:41.160
<v Speaker 2>Partly, No, he waited to bet. He wanted to bet Cincinnati,

0:36:41.920 --> 0:36:44.200
<v Speaker 2>and he he could have got him at minus six

0:36:44.280 --> 0:36:47.399
<v Speaker 2>and a half, and on my advice, waited and now

0:36:47.400 --> 0:36:50.319
<v Speaker 2>they're month this last game. No, no, no, the game

0:36:50.400 --> 0:36:52.960
<v Speaker 2>coming up. Listen. He wanted to bet on this weekend's

0:36:52.960 --> 0:36:56.960
<v Speaker 2>game on Cincinnati. Cincinnati was a six and a half

0:36:57.000 --> 0:36:59.040
<v Speaker 2>point favorite, so he would only have to lay six

0:36:59.080 --> 0:37:00.799
<v Speaker 2>and a half. I told him to wait. They are

0:37:00.840 --> 0:37:02.880
<v Speaker 2>now an eight and a half point favorite, so he

0:37:02.920 --> 0:37:05.120
<v Speaker 2>has to lay eight and a half. So he's upset

0:37:05.120 --> 0:37:11.319
<v Speaker 2>with me. All right. Lastly, I mean we've been you know,

0:37:12.800 --> 0:37:17.719
<v Speaker 2>throttling towards this point all year. Tom Brady getting the

0:37:17.760 --> 0:37:20.440
<v Speaker 2>best draw possible and all of a sudden showing up

0:37:20.480 --> 0:37:24.759
<v Speaker 2>in the conference championship game Tampa Bay plus two and

0:37:24.800 --> 0:37:27.799
<v Speaker 2>a half against Dallas. I think they went out right.

0:37:28.320 --> 0:37:30.879
<v Speaker 2>I did get this at plus three early in the week,

0:37:30.920 --> 0:37:32.640
<v Speaker 2>and I got this on the money line early in

0:37:32.680 --> 0:37:35.640
<v Speaker 2>the week. The Cowboys are coming off their worst game

0:37:35.680 --> 0:37:38.400
<v Speaker 2>of the year. Tampa Bay. Brady said, it is the

0:37:38.480 --> 0:37:41.279
<v Speaker 2>healthiest they've been all year. They might have Ryan Jensen back,

0:37:41.320 --> 0:37:43.799
<v Speaker 2>their Pro Bowl center who's been out all year. The

0:37:43.920 --> 0:37:49.560
<v Speaker 2>secondary's healthier, They're at home. This is a game that

0:37:49.600 --> 0:37:54.000
<v Speaker 2>the Tom Brady flatly wins, and we start having a

0:37:54.040 --> 0:37:58.480
<v Speaker 2>real conversation about Dak Prescott and about Mike McCarthy. The

0:37:58.960 --> 0:38:01.440
<v Speaker 2>Bucks can't run the I don't think they'll need to.

0:38:01.920 --> 0:38:05.920
<v Speaker 2>The Brady and Evans combo will work. And also I

0:38:06.000 --> 0:38:08.840
<v Speaker 2>pointed this out on TV after Jason Garrett said on

0:38:08.840 --> 0:38:15.760
<v Speaker 2>Sunday Night Football, the Cowboys on turf on grass splits

0:38:16.200 --> 0:38:23.120
<v Speaker 2>are unbelievable. On turf they are eleven and one, scoring

0:38:23.200 --> 0:38:29.160
<v Speaker 2>twenty seven a game and allowing eighteen a game. On grass,

0:38:29.480 --> 0:38:33.080
<v Speaker 2>they are one in four, scoring twenty a game and

0:38:33.160 --> 0:38:36.879
<v Speaker 2>allowing twenty eight a game. So the offense gets worse

0:38:36.960 --> 0:38:40.360
<v Speaker 2>by a touchdown. The defense gets worse by ten points

0:38:40.480 --> 0:38:44.480
<v Speaker 2>when you go from turf to grass. Tampa Bay is grass.

0:38:44.640 --> 0:38:48.120
<v Speaker 2>And by the way, the cowboys one loss on turf

0:38:48.560 --> 0:38:53.360
<v Speaker 2>all year was against Tampa Bay Week one, nineteen to three.

0:38:53.560 --> 0:38:56.920
<v Speaker 2>Tampa wins. Mike McCarthy's on the hot seat for Sean Payton.

0:38:57.239 --> 0:38:59.960
<v Speaker 2>Who's real questions about? Is Dak Prescott just Kirk cat

0:39:00.320 --> 0:39:02.960
<v Speaker 2>with better with Mattress commercials.

0:39:03.239 --> 0:39:05.879
<v Speaker 3>I like Tampa here, all right, So obviously your four

0:39:05.880 --> 0:39:08.920
<v Speaker 3>and oh bet with Tom Brady, so I'm messing with it,

0:39:09.080 --> 0:39:11.600
<v Speaker 3>yet say something else. Brady has failed to cover as

0:39:11.640 --> 0:39:14.399
<v Speaker 3>a home dog only twice in his career, against Peyton

0:39:14.480 --> 0:39:17.400
<v Speaker 3>Manning in two thousand and five and Joe Burrow this season.

0:39:17.400 --> 0:39:20.719
<v Speaker 2>All right, I think that last stat is a little misleading,

0:39:21.000 --> 0:39:23.320
<v Speaker 2>because I bet Tom Brady hasn't been a home dog

0:39:23.800 --> 0:39:27.440
<v Speaker 2>more than seven or eight times over the last fifteen years.

0:39:27.760 --> 0:39:30.760
<v Speaker 2>His Brady teams at home would not be underdogs very often.

0:39:31.280 --> 0:39:33.719
<v Speaker 2>I love Tampa here. We talked a lot about this

0:39:33.880 --> 0:39:37.120
<v Speaker 2>game in the Thursday Live show, and we've talked a

0:39:37.120 --> 0:39:39.000
<v Speaker 2>lot about it on TV, so I don't need to

0:39:39.000 --> 0:39:40.920
<v Speaker 2>get into it further. But Tampa plus two and a

0:39:40.960 --> 0:39:44.880
<v Speaker 2>half is our pick. We've got some we might have

0:39:44.920 --> 0:39:47.960
<v Speaker 2>some exotics. We definitely have an offer. We'll do all

0:39:48.000 --> 0:39:51.799
<v Speaker 2>that as we wrap the Gambling Show next, What's right?

0:39:55.920 --> 0:39:59.240
<v Speaker 2>All right? Welcome back? In final segment, Wildcard Weekend Gambling Show,

0:39:59.680 --> 0:40:03.960
<v Speaker 2>quick recap of our six picks. San Francisco laying nine

0:40:04.000 --> 0:40:06.160
<v Speaker 2>and a half, the Jags getting two and a half,

0:40:06.200 --> 0:40:12.200
<v Speaker 2>Miami getting thirteen and a half, Minnesota laying three, Baltimore

0:40:12.239 --> 0:40:16.000
<v Speaker 2>plus six and a half, and Tampa plus two and

0:40:16.000 --> 0:40:20.879
<v Speaker 2>a half, Baltimore plus eight and a half. I don't

0:40:20.880 --> 0:40:23.400
<v Speaker 2>know what I said, sorry about that. We have a

0:40:24.960 --> 0:40:27.440
<v Speaker 2>we we don't have a lock this week because we're

0:40:27.480 --> 0:40:30.120
<v Speaker 2>not doing locks anymore. I've decided we're done with locks.

0:40:30.520 --> 0:40:32.920
<v Speaker 2>With all our picks, we love them equally, we're not

0:40:33.000 --> 0:40:37.560
<v Speaker 2>doing locks. We do, however, have a couple exotics for you.

0:40:38.840 --> 0:40:42.680
<v Speaker 2>So you guys demand say, you guys have a teaser

0:40:42.680 --> 0:40:45.279
<v Speaker 2>that I think you want to suggest to me, but

0:40:45.400 --> 0:40:46.480
<v Speaker 2>that's go ahead.

0:40:46.239 --> 0:40:48.840
<v Speaker 3>And the seven point tease of the Bengals, Bills, Bucks,

0:40:48.840 --> 0:40:49.400
<v Speaker 3>and Niners.

0:40:49.600 --> 0:40:51.960
<v Speaker 2>Okay, so teasing the Bengals, that would be teasing the

0:40:51.960 --> 0:40:54.800
<v Speaker 2>Bengals to a point and a half, Teasing the Bills

0:40:54.840 --> 0:40:57.879
<v Speaker 2>down to six and a half, teasing the Bucks up

0:40:57.920 --> 0:41:01.040
<v Speaker 2>to nine and a half and teasing the Niners down

0:41:01.080 --> 0:41:03.760
<v Speaker 2>to two and a half. That's not a terrible teaser.

0:41:03.760 --> 0:41:07.480
<v Speaker 2>I'm not gonna I'm not gonna lie. There's actually going

0:41:07.560 --> 0:41:12.200
<v Speaker 2>across key numbers. But it's a four team teaser. I'm

0:41:12.239 --> 0:41:15.960
<v Speaker 2>gonna stay away from that one. I'm not You're not no,

0:41:17.160 --> 0:41:17.880
<v Speaker 2>you're in on it.

0:41:18.719 --> 0:41:19.399
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:41:19.520 --> 0:41:21.640
<v Speaker 2>That makes me a little nervous for you, buddy. It

0:41:21.680 --> 0:41:25.319
<v Speaker 2>also means we're gonna be have conflicting rooting interests on

0:41:25.400 --> 0:41:29.279
<v Speaker 2>some of this stuff, which I never enjoy watching. You know,

0:41:29.640 --> 0:41:32.680
<v Speaker 2>let don't put it in just yet. Okay, let's discuss.

0:41:32.840 --> 0:41:35.640
<v Speaker 2>Just don't put it in just yet. Here's the teaser.

0:41:35.719 --> 0:41:41.280
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna make a two team, seven point Saturday teaser.

0:41:42.239 --> 0:41:45.759
<v Speaker 2>We are teasing the Niners down to two and a

0:41:45.800 --> 0:41:48.640
<v Speaker 2>half from nine and a half, and we are teasing

0:41:48.680 --> 0:41:52.279
<v Speaker 2>the Jags up from two and a half to nine

0:41:52.280 --> 0:41:57.040
<v Speaker 2>and a half. So the key numbers of three, four, six, seven, eight,

0:41:57.280 --> 0:42:01.239
<v Speaker 2>all of it, we are coming through them in both directions.

0:42:01.560 --> 0:42:03.799
<v Speaker 2>The Niners have to win by a field goal. The

0:42:03.920 --> 0:42:06.919
<v Speaker 2>Jags just either have to win or lose by less

0:42:06.920 --> 0:42:12.160
<v Speaker 2>than ten that's the teaser we're doing. Also full transparency,

0:42:13.160 --> 0:42:17.680
<v Speaker 2>I did not get good line value on any of this, however,

0:42:18.360 --> 0:42:20.040
<v Speaker 2>and you know how I know I didn't get good

0:42:20.080 --> 0:42:24.000
<v Speaker 2>line value. Right now, my cash out option is for

0:42:24.160 --> 0:42:28.320
<v Speaker 2>half of my original stake, which kind of sucks considering

0:42:28.360 --> 0:42:30.799
<v Speaker 2>the fact none of these games have kicked off.

0:42:31.280 --> 0:42:35.000
<v Speaker 3>But that always happens, so I get bad line value

0:42:35.040 --> 0:42:35.600
<v Speaker 3>all the time.

0:42:35.680 --> 0:42:39.440
<v Speaker 2>Man, it's the worst. So I Monday morning put this

0:42:39.560 --> 0:42:44.960
<v Speaker 2>bet in of my six picks this weekend, the Niners

0:42:45.040 --> 0:42:48.080
<v Speaker 2>minus ten, so I lost a half point of line value,

0:42:48.480 --> 0:42:51.400
<v Speaker 2>the Dolphins plus eleven so I lost two and a

0:42:51.440 --> 0:42:54.840
<v Speaker 2>half points of line value, the Jags on the money line,

0:42:55.640 --> 0:42:59.239
<v Speaker 2>Tampa on the money line Baltimore plus six and a

0:42:59.280 --> 0:43:02.880
<v Speaker 2>half lost two key points of line value, and the

0:43:02.960 --> 0:43:07.920
<v Speaker 2>Vikings minus three. That is sixty three to one. So

0:43:07.960 --> 0:43:12.440
<v Speaker 2>though the Jags to win, the Bucks to win, the

0:43:12.560 --> 0:43:17.920
<v Speaker 2>Dolphins and Ravens, Vikings and Niners to all cover, that's

0:43:18.040 --> 0:43:21.359
<v Speaker 2>my parlay. I have actually placed. What's the offer from

0:43:21.400 --> 0:43:22.799
<v Speaker 2>you guys before we wrap it up?

0:43:23.320 --> 0:43:26.560
<v Speaker 3>Okay, this week's offer is the Jags money line or

0:43:26.640 --> 0:43:29.839
<v Speaker 3>plus four fourteen Wait, yeah, plus one fourteen, Trevor over

0:43:29.840 --> 0:43:33.760
<v Speaker 3>two hundred and forty eight passing yards San Francisco minus

0:43:33.760 --> 0:43:37.719
<v Speaker 3>sixteen and a half as a plus one ninety six

0:43:37.880 --> 0:43:41.520
<v Speaker 3>all this combined for uh plus what do you call that?

0:43:41.719 --> 0:43:44.200
<v Speaker 3>Eleven eleven to one? No? Eleven to one? Sorry?

0:43:44.880 --> 0:43:49.400
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, be eleven to one plus eleven two hundred and

0:43:49.400 --> 0:43:51.480
<v Speaker 2>forty eight point five to be exactly two hundred and

0:43:51.560 --> 0:44:00.359
<v Speaker 2>forty nine passing yards. Demase, I'm taking that offer. Are

0:44:00.360 --> 0:44:06.680
<v Speaker 2>gonna blow out the Seahawks. The Jacks are obviously gonna win.

0:44:07.000 --> 0:44:11.080
<v Speaker 2>I'm a little nervous on the Trevor over because this

0:44:11.239 --> 0:44:14.080
<v Speaker 2>might be a big Travis etn game. But Trevor in

0:44:14.120 --> 0:44:16.879
<v Speaker 2>his first playoff game, is gonna play well, especially after

0:44:16.920 --> 0:44:20.400
<v Speaker 2>being shaky against the Titans. Eleven to one, we accept

0:44:20.400 --> 0:44:21.399
<v Speaker 2>that offer. What's up?

0:44:21.440 --> 0:44:24.279
<v Speaker 3>I gotta admit, man, I'm gonna take this offer. I've

0:44:24.280 --> 0:44:26.160
<v Speaker 3>never even taken the offer, and I'm the one always

0:44:26.160 --> 0:44:28.520
<v Speaker 3>giving it out. I'm never taking it once. And it's

0:44:28.560 --> 0:44:29.240
<v Speaker 3>like it's.

0:44:29.120 --> 0:44:32.200
<v Speaker 2>Hit a few times. It's hit a few times. Our

0:44:32.239 --> 0:44:35.680
<v Speaker 2>offers have been good. We haven't really done a lot

0:44:35.719 --> 0:44:38.320
<v Speaker 2>with it, talked about it much because we're a serious

0:44:38.360 --> 0:44:41.840
<v Speaker 2>operation and these are all wackied. Twelve to one twenty

0:44:41.880 --> 0:44:45.560
<v Speaker 2>to one long shots. But yeah, playoff weekend. We're in

0:44:45.640 --> 0:44:48.080
<v Speaker 2>on it, all right. We will see you guys on Monday.

0:44:48.800 --> 0:44:54.040
<v Speaker 2>Demonte real quick. Do you smell that smell?

0:44:54.160 --> 0:44:54.920
<v Speaker 3>Oh? In eighteen?

0:44:55.200 --> 0:44:56.360
<v Speaker 2>Do you know? Do you do?

0:44:56.400 --> 0:44:56.799
<v Speaker 3>You do?

0:44:56.840 --> 0:44:59.439
<v Speaker 2>You know what that smells like? Smells like what six?

0:44:59.480 --> 0:45:03.000
<v Speaker 2>And zero? Smells like six and smells like six and

0:45:03.040 --> 0:45:07.080
<v Speaker 2>oh and will be more than halfway or almost halfway

0:45:07.600 --> 0:45:10.360
<v Speaker 2>to our thirteen and oh dream yeah, so at least

0:45:10.400 --> 0:45:12.319
<v Speaker 2>if you do, if you don't end up going six

0:45:12.360 --> 0:45:15.400
<v Speaker 2>and oh, you will be zero and one for times

0:45:15.400 --> 0:45:18.200
<v Speaker 2>that you said smells like six and oh it's different.

0:45:18.600 --> 0:45:21.520
<v Speaker 2>It's usually it's five, and oh, now it's it's six

0:45:21.600 --> 0:45:23.960
<v Speaker 2>and oh, smells like six and oh. We'll see you

0:45:23.960 --> 0:45:37.480
<v Speaker 2>guys Monday. What's right, ye