1 00:00:02,000 --> 00:00:06,840 Speaker 1: Welcome to the solid verbal. I'll that for me. I'm 2 00:00:06,880 --> 00:00:09,640 Speaker 1: a man, I'm forty. I've heard so many players say, well, 3 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:10,600 Speaker 1: I want to be happy. 4 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:12,040 Speaker 2: You want to be happy for a day? 5 00:00:12,480 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 1: Edith State is that? 6 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 3: Whoo? 7 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:17,320 Speaker 1: Whoam and Dan and Tie. 8 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 2: Dan, rubertste welcome back. How does it feel to not 9 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 2: have to do a. 10 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:25,280 Speaker 1: Preview on the side side. I'm under the impression today 11 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:31,200 Speaker 1: is our pet League Extensive twenty twenty five and future 12 00:00:31,240 --> 00:00:34,360 Speaker 1: Cast twenty twenty six league preview. And then you were like, 13 00:00:34,440 --> 00:00:37,600 Speaker 1: I have so many very specific Coalgate thoughts, and I 14 00:00:37,640 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 1: was like, TI, great, this is your forum. So I 15 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: don't feel great. I'm still hammering. 16 00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:45,640 Speaker 4: Well, look, it's funny you mentioned the pat League. I 17 00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:48,480 Speaker 4: was putting together a PET League lightning round for Week 18 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:51,120 Speaker 4: one last night. I started putting the Week one dot, 19 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 4: not Week zero, but the week one DOC. And there 20 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 4: are seven PAT League teams that are going to be 21 00:00:56,760 --> 00:01:00,080 Speaker 4: in action, some of them playing teams like Boston College 22 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 4: and Air Force and Bowling Green and NIU. So there's 23 00:01:03,920 --> 00:01:06,400 Speaker 4: gonna be some opportunity here for the PAT League to show. 24 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:09,120 Speaker 1: Out, and then we have what the Pat League. Ivy's 25 00:01:09,240 --> 00:01:11,840 Speaker 1: right that there's like that week two, Week three, some 26 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:14,520 Speaker 1: week four, right, because they don't play huge schedules. It's 27 00:01:14,520 --> 00:01:18,440 Speaker 1: a smaller conference, I believe. So they have that annual 28 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:22,560 Speaker 1: the matchup selection. That's great by me as well. I 29 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:25,040 Speaker 1: can't wait. I am so excited for pat League football 30 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:26,120 Speaker 1: tie who isn't? 31 00:01:26,240 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 2: Who isn't? Well, welcome back in trust ever baller. I 32 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:31,319 Speaker 2: am tyeez Dan. This is the solid verbal. 33 00:01:31,440 --> 00:01:34,520 Speaker 4: Hit follow, hit, subscribe, if you do nothing else, if 34 00:01:34,560 --> 00:01:38,480 Speaker 4: you really like the show, leave a rating, leave a review. 35 00:01:38,520 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 4: All that stuff goes a long way towards helping people 36 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:43,399 Speaker 4: find the show. This is like the prime time for 37 00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:45,679 Speaker 4: that right now, as we build to the season, people 38 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:46,480 Speaker 4: are starting. 39 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 2: To pop their heads up out of their little groundhog hole. 40 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 1: That league to open up a show in mid August. 41 00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, realize this good reason is on the horizon. 42 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:59,560 Speaker 4: Here we are gonna get you, hopefully a little bit 43 00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 4: more in tune for what's ahead. We've got Brett Ciancia 44 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:06,360 Speaker 4: from Pick six previews, Who's Gonna Stop by? Brett is 45 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:08,720 Speaker 4: down the road from me. I had him on one 46 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:11,399 Speaker 4: of our Patreon shows a year ago. I'm glad we're 47 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:14,680 Speaker 4: able to make this now more of a wider thing. 48 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 4: We're gonna have everybody listening to Brett. He does again. 49 00:02:18,240 --> 00:02:21,200 Speaker 4: Pick six Previews does an awesome job covering all of 50 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:24,520 Speaker 4: the power for in his preview publication, which you can 51 00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:26,720 Speaker 4: go out and check out at pick sixpreviews dot Com. 52 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:30,200 Speaker 4: Want to talk to him about some of the second 53 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 4: guessing maybe that has gone on since he put his 54 00:02:33,680 --> 00:02:37,360 Speaker 4: previews together. On our end, since we put our previews together, 55 00:02:37,400 --> 00:02:40,520 Speaker 4: I've got a handful of teams. Maybe I know better, 56 00:02:40,600 --> 00:02:43,400 Speaker 4: maybe I don't. Maybe I'm just a human like the 57 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:47,120 Speaker 4: rest of us, and having some self doubt creep in 58 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:49,520 Speaker 4: with some of the projections that I put out there. 59 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 4: But I want to see if Brett's in a similar spot, 60 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:54,320 Speaker 4: maybe where he's wizened up a little bit here Over 61 00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 4: the course of time. 62 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 1: It's a fascinating time and people who do this preview 63 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:01,720 Speaker 1: thing for a living, guys like Brett or Bill c 64 00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 1: or you know, whoever's putting together all the different magazines. 65 00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 1: It's it's a lot of juggling, and it's a lot 66 00:03:09,440 --> 00:03:14,119 Speaker 1: of not guessing, but diving into areas you didn't necessarily 67 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:16,960 Speaker 1: have to do. Looking at a running back from New Mexico, 68 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:20,160 Speaker 1: looking at a safety from UTEP trying to gauge how 69 00:03:20,160 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 1: to project forward what they've accomplished and what their potential 70 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:27,359 Speaker 1: may be as their sophomores and juniors into now starting 71 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:30,720 Speaker 1: for sc or Oklahoma State or something like that. And 72 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 1: so it's fascinating, but I really do appreciate the work 73 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 1: that these guys do. We all second guess our preview 74 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 1: picks and lack thereof, and you know, in you know, 75 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 1: I'm already having the conversations with Jody with an eye, 76 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:48,120 Speaker 1: my beautiful bride of She's like, so are you watching 77 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 1: games that week zero? Like how many of those games 78 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 1: are like super important? And then like is there a 79 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:56,960 Speaker 1: Friday night that we could potentially go out for a 80 00:03:57,040 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 1: date because and like so I'm looking through schedules to say, like, Okay, 81 00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:04,120 Speaker 1: here's how I can navigate my human life with my 82 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 1: college football. 83 00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:06,520 Speaker 2: You can't do it on Friday of week one. 84 00:04:07,040 --> 00:04:10,280 Speaker 4: It just forget it. Friday a week one is actually 85 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 4: pretty loaded. I was looking at this again yesterday. I 86 00:04:12,400 --> 00:04:13,280 Speaker 4: was just putting this together. 87 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:15,880 Speaker 2: Auburn at Baylor, Georgia Tech at Colorado. 88 00:04:16,560 --> 00:04:20,760 Speaker 4: Those are two biggies at eight pm concurrently, and there 89 00:04:20,800 --> 00:04:22,159 Speaker 4: are some other ones that I think we will be 90 00:04:22,200 --> 00:04:25,200 Speaker 4: interested in. But those two in particular on Friday night, 91 00:04:25,240 --> 00:04:27,039 Speaker 4: and the same is true on Thursday. There are games 92 00:04:27,040 --> 00:04:29,640 Speaker 4: on Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and of course Monday. The 93 00:04:29,640 --> 00:04:32,880 Speaker 4: first week, first full week of the college football season. 94 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:35,039 Speaker 4: So get it in now, yeah, now, to get it 95 00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 4: in like week two is a little bit more breathing. 96 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 1: You didn't mean for that to be graphic, Tie, but 97 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 1: it could be to. 98 00:04:42,279 --> 00:04:46,600 Speaker 2: Be go on your dates. Now get that in now, guys, fellas, 99 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:47,279 Speaker 2: get it in. 100 00:04:47,920 --> 00:04:51,240 Speaker 1: I did notice, by the way, flip side Jody with 101 00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 1: and I did ask. She was like, is there a 102 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:57,360 Speaker 1: particularly like great Friday to have people over to watch football? 103 00:04:57,640 --> 00:05:00,960 Speaker 1: Because she signed me up to host like school dads 104 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 1: for like dad events, because there's like these social events 105 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:08,160 Speaker 1: to like watch football on like a fun Friday night. 106 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 1: So I looked at the Friday night schedule November fourteenth, Tie, 107 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:15,720 Speaker 1: is I believe Louisville, Clemson and Oregon Minnesota Like it's 108 00:05:15,720 --> 00:05:18,919 Speaker 1: a high quality Friday night of football. So there is 109 00:05:18,960 --> 00:05:21,039 Speaker 1: that to look forward to as well well. As we 110 00:05:21,080 --> 00:05:23,279 Speaker 1: get a little bit closer to this. And for those 111 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:26,680 Speaker 1: new listeners who aren't familiar with our deal, we will 112 00:05:26,760 --> 00:05:30,320 Speaker 1: keep you up to date on which windows are the 113 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:35,279 Speaker 1: most important, how to build your schedules around this coming 114 00:05:35,800 --> 00:05:38,400 Speaker 1: college football fall when you need to get it in, 115 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:42,960 Speaker 1: as ty Hildemrant, oh God likes to say, I love that. 116 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 2: Time October dot com. 117 00:05:45,440 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 1: Now you better not edit that out time. No, that'll stay. 118 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 2: I'll keep that in. 119 00:05:49,200 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 1: I'm just okay enough when to get it in by 120 00:05:52,600 --> 00:05:54,839 Speaker 1: Tiele brand Well on. 121 00:05:54,720 --> 00:06:00,320 Speaker 4: That note, awkward transition. If you'd like to constant made 122 00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:06,360 Speaker 4: this podcast subscription pros pro over here yea, and support 123 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:09,719 Speaker 4: what Dan and I do. We are an independent entity. 124 00:06:09,800 --> 00:06:11,720 Speaker 4: The best way that you can support what we do 125 00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:15,000 Speaker 4: is by going out to verballers dot com. Sign up 126 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:17,679 Speaker 4: for a Patreon tier. You can get the episodes without 127 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:20,200 Speaker 4: the ads, get the bonus episodes that we do. I'm 128 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:22,200 Speaker 4: about to spin up Run the Board, which is our 129 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:25,360 Speaker 4: week to week and season long pick them game where 130 00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:27,839 Speaker 4: we give out weekly prizes. That's available to the folks 131 00:06:27,880 --> 00:06:30,640 Speaker 4: that are on one of the certified or premium tiers. 132 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:32,680 Speaker 4: So go check that out at verballers dot com. The 133 00:06:32,760 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 4: other thing that I would add then I'll shut up 134 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:37,159 Speaker 4: and we'll get to our interview. If you do, go 135 00:06:37,200 --> 00:06:39,600 Speaker 4: to overballers dot com. I've got the link out there now. 136 00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:43,479 Speaker 4: I did it earlier than I expected. The preseason Verballer 137 00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:46,680 Speaker 4: Top twelve pole is now open for business. You don't 138 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:48,039 Speaker 4: have to be on a paid tier for this. You 139 00:06:48,120 --> 00:06:50,839 Speaker 4: just if you sign up as a paid member or 140 00:06:50,880 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 4: as a free member. Just build an account, go to 141 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 4: verballers dot com. You will have access to that pole. 142 00:06:58,360 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 4: We just want to get as many people as we 143 00:06:59,760 --> 00:07:02,479 Speaker 4: can to vote in the thing. Like you see preseason 144 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 4: polls that are dropping left and right. Now we have 145 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:08,120 Speaker 4: our own. It's only a top twelve, but blew it 146 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:10,080 Speaker 4: out this year. You have one hundred and thirty six 147 00:07:10,160 --> 00:07:12,120 Speaker 4: teams to pick from. If we want to be complete, 148 00:07:12,360 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 4: you pick your favorite twelve, you rank them in order. 149 00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:17,840 Speaker 4: I'll put together the results of that poll on an 150 00:07:17,920 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 4: upcoming episode before we get to week zero. So go 151 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:22,200 Speaker 4: and check that out again. It's v R B A 152 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:24,080 Speaker 4: L L e r s dot com. 153 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:26,520 Speaker 1: Take the power back, get your vote in. 154 00:07:26,880 --> 00:07:30,720 Speaker 4: Yeah, all right, Dan, As you know, as you say, often, 155 00:07:32,280 --> 00:07:34,040 Speaker 4: all the greats are from PA, are they not. 156 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:36,960 Speaker 1: It's true, it seems to be true. 157 00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:40,080 Speaker 4: I'm the outlier, but yeah, joining us from the mean 158 00:07:40,240 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 4: streets of Chester County. About an hour or so south 159 00:07:43,320 --> 00:07:46,880 Speaker 4: of me. Very pleased to welcome Brett siancea back to 160 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:49,800 Speaker 4: the solid veribals. Sir, welcome back. 161 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 1: How are you. 162 00:07:51,040 --> 00:07:53,440 Speaker 3: Hey, Tyan Dan? Thanks for having me on. Yeh, the 163 00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:54,600 Speaker 3: mean streets of Chester County. 164 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 2: I like that. 165 00:07:55,640 --> 00:07:58,120 Speaker 3: Moving over to Delaware County in a week so oh, 166 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:00,720 Speaker 3: you know, staying in the area, but now a full 167 00:08:00,720 --> 00:08:04,280 Speaker 3: blown Delco guy. But yeah, thanks for having me on. 168 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 3: I can't wait to break down this season with you guys. 169 00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:08,000 Speaker 3: Congrats on all that you've built. 170 00:08:08,040 --> 00:08:08,200 Speaker 1: You know. 171 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:10,600 Speaker 3: I like to reference you guys as the godfathers of 172 00:08:10,600 --> 00:08:14,000 Speaker 3: college football podcasting because you guys were first. But you know, 173 00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 3: you're funny, you're insightful, you kept it going for over 174 00:08:16,440 --> 00:08:16,920 Speaker 3: a decade. 175 00:08:16,960 --> 00:08:19,120 Speaker 2: So pleasure to be back on with you guys. Dan. 176 00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:21,480 Speaker 4: We just bring them on for the Delco and the compliments. 177 00:08:21,640 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 4: The Delco and the compliments not only the first. As 178 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:27,560 Speaker 4: the world eventually crumbles with the smoldering heat of the sun, 179 00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:31,920 Speaker 4: we will be the last ones still broadcasting questioning a 180 00:08:31,960 --> 00:08:34,600 Speaker 4: decision by Wazoo to go for it on fourth and 181 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:36,599 Speaker 4: nine like that's you know, this is what we do. 182 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:40,320 Speaker 4: Well before we dive in, Brett for people who maybe 183 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 4: aren't familiar with your work. Can you give us like 184 00:08:42,160 --> 00:08:45,160 Speaker 4: the thirty second elevator pitch on Pick six and what 185 00:08:45,200 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 4: you do what you have been doing since twenty twelve. 186 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:48,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, thanks well. 187 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:51,960 Speaker 3: I launched Pick six Previews in twenty twelve College Football 188 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:55,440 Speaker 3: Preview Company, and then in twenty nineteen, I launched my 189 00:08:55,440 --> 00:08:56,960 Speaker 3: first hard copy magazine. 190 00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:58,920 Speaker 2: So it's like the ones you see on newsstands. 191 00:08:59,000 --> 00:09:00,920 Speaker 3: But they claim to face is that over the last 192 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:03,200 Speaker 3: ten years, in the last five years, I've been great, 193 00:09:03,200 --> 00:09:04,920 Speaker 3: the most accurate predictor in the country. 194 00:09:05,400 --> 00:09:06,400 Speaker 2: That's stats in dot com. 195 00:09:06,440 --> 00:09:09,760 Speaker 3: They go in great all the publications based on conference predictions, 196 00:09:09,760 --> 00:09:10,880 Speaker 3: and I've got the title. 197 00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:12,559 Speaker 2: I say, if they're keeping score, I want to win. 198 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:15,240 Speaker 3: So I got the ten year and the five year titles, 199 00:09:15,800 --> 00:09:19,160 Speaker 3: became a Heisman voter, All American voter, and yeah, just 200 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:20,280 Speaker 3: really excited to break it down. 201 00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:21,440 Speaker 2: It's a one man show. 202 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:25,120 Speaker 3: So I do all sixty eight teams, you know, my graphics, 203 00:09:25,160 --> 00:09:27,080 Speaker 3: my advanced stats, but then all the writing too, So 204 00:09:27,400 --> 00:09:30,000 Speaker 3: I try and strike a balance numbers in writing and 205 00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:32,480 Speaker 3: give you really a full narrative of each program. You know, 206 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:37,160 Speaker 3: no acronyms, no abbreviations, no jargon. It's straightforward, it's digestible, 207 00:09:37,440 --> 00:09:39,040 Speaker 3: actionable advice for the season. 208 00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:41,480 Speaker 4: I was going to ask if you've considered adding more acronyms. 209 00:09:41,520 --> 00:09:43,000 Speaker 4: We don't need to go there. Do they give you 210 00:09:43,040 --> 00:09:45,920 Speaker 4: a belt or anything to like commemorate the championship? I 211 00:09:45,920 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 4: would love Yeah, I would love some hardware. Nothing yet, 212 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:51,559 Speaker 4: just a little black and white grid that shows the standings. 213 00:09:51,559 --> 00:09:54,600 Speaker 3: It's really boring. It doesn't make for good tweets. But yeah, 214 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:56,719 Speaker 3: i'd love a trophy or something to rep here. 215 00:09:57,160 --> 00:10:00,560 Speaker 1: An actual crystal ball, I think is the yeah worthwhile 216 00:10:00,640 --> 00:10:01,079 Speaker 1: gift here? 217 00:10:01,200 --> 00:10:04,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, okay, yeah, just resurrect the old BCS trophy, the 218 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:05,160 Speaker 3: old trick football there. 219 00:10:05,160 --> 00:10:05,880 Speaker 2: We could use that. 220 00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 3: I mean, it's the logo, it's the Pick six logo 221 00:10:08,760 --> 00:10:09,720 Speaker 3: namesake right there. 222 00:10:09,920 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 1: That's true. 223 00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 4: If you had the opportunity to bring back the BCS Brett, 224 00:10:13,000 --> 00:10:14,880 Speaker 4: would you absolutely? 225 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:16,880 Speaker 2: I would, and I would tweak it a little bit. 226 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:19,600 Speaker 3: So here's the thing. I love the four team number. 227 00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:21,199 Speaker 3: I love the number of four teams. I think that's 228 00:10:21,200 --> 00:10:24,440 Speaker 3: perfect for college football. But maybe the selection processes what 229 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:26,600 Speaker 3: people were hung up about. You know, with a committee 230 00:10:26,640 --> 00:10:29,880 Speaker 3: behind closed doors, it's secretive. All these guys are connected 231 00:10:29,880 --> 00:10:32,439 Speaker 3: to conferences and schools. So if you could pair maybe 232 00:10:32,480 --> 00:10:35,800 Speaker 3: some kind of objective BCS formula something like that with 233 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 3: a four team structure, that's my ideal. I've been fighting 234 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:41,480 Speaker 3: for that for years. I was in the minority crowd. 235 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:44,280 Speaker 3: Everyone wanted expansion. Now I think it's gone a bit 236 00:10:44,320 --> 00:10:46,160 Speaker 3: too far with the expansion and people are trying to 237 00:10:46,200 --> 00:10:48,439 Speaker 3: go back in time. It's not going back. I mean, 238 00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:51,000 Speaker 3: the TV money's out there, it's over. But I would 239 00:10:51,040 --> 00:10:53,920 Speaker 3: like to keep that a smaller cost season bracket and 240 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 3: make those Saturdays in the fall even more important like 241 00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:58,120 Speaker 3: they were when I got really into college football. 242 00:10:58,520 --> 00:10:59,960 Speaker 2: Oh man, he's singing your language. 243 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:02,840 Speaker 1: I mean it's everything to I mean, I think I'm 244 00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:06,959 Speaker 1: a six guy just because I like having a little 245 00:11:07,040 --> 00:11:10,120 Speaker 1: bit of inclusion in you know, a Mountain West champion 246 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:13,480 Speaker 1: or you know, the American Champion. I like that element 247 00:11:13,559 --> 00:11:16,600 Speaker 1: to it. And I don't know at this point, like 248 00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:19,160 Speaker 1: you can argue till you're blue in the face, but like, hey, 249 00:11:19,160 --> 00:11:21,680 Speaker 1: we've got four power conferences in this moment, we have 250 00:11:21,760 --> 00:11:25,760 Speaker 1: four Power conference champions, a G four to five team 251 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:29,480 Speaker 1: and Notre Dame and or or somebody else getting that 252 00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:32,800 Speaker 1: at large. It's great by me. I don't know, Yeah, 253 00:11:32,920 --> 00:11:33,640 Speaker 1: it seems I would. 254 00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:35,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, I would take that in the second. 255 00:11:35,800 --> 00:11:38,200 Speaker 3: And it's funny when you see these coaches and media 256 00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:41,240 Speaker 3: days talking about expansion. I think Eli Drinkwitz was calling 257 00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:44,079 Speaker 3: for a thirty team bracket, and they say things like, oh, 258 00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:46,560 Speaker 3: we want to prove ourselves on the field, you know, 259 00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:49,520 Speaker 3: give us access to a championship on the field. 260 00:11:49,720 --> 00:11:51,680 Speaker 2: My thing is that's called November. You know what I'm saying. 261 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:52,600 Speaker 2: You already have that. 262 00:11:52,840 --> 00:11:55,920 Speaker 3: The games are on campus like everyone loves and their 263 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:58,240 Speaker 3: elimination games. So yeah, I think we already have a 264 00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:00,959 Speaker 3: playoff structure built into the sea and it's not as 265 00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:03,439 Speaker 3: black and white. And I know pro sports fans love 266 00:12:03,480 --> 00:12:05,640 Speaker 3: a very black and white structure of how to make 267 00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:07,800 Speaker 3: a playoff. But we've already had that built into the 268 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:10,160 Speaker 3: regular season. So that's what drew me to college football 269 00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:13,679 Speaker 3: originally was really the chase of perfection. Maybe one loss 270 00:12:13,679 --> 00:12:15,680 Speaker 3: and you still make it if you're lucky. But this 271 00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:17,920 Speaker 3: like nine and three talk and eight and four, I 272 00:12:17,960 --> 00:12:20,200 Speaker 3: saw reference this year to make a playoff. I don't know, 273 00:12:20,240 --> 00:12:22,199 Speaker 3: it's going away from what we love about college football. 274 00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:25,040 Speaker 4: Man, if we had a thirty team bracket, Dan, we 275 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:27,880 Speaker 4: would need the divorce lawyer on speed dial. Absolutely, we 276 00:12:27,920 --> 00:12:30,679 Speaker 4: would if that came to fruition. Good hell, look all right, 277 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:33,200 Speaker 4: let me bring it back here to the reason that 278 00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:37,120 Speaker 4: we brought you on, Brett. We've said this many times 279 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:40,720 Speaker 4: over on this show. This is ultimately a show about honesty. 280 00:12:41,600 --> 00:12:45,760 Speaker 4: So as we've been recording our previews since what the 281 00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:47,840 Speaker 4: end of June, Dan, I mean, we've been doing this 282 00:12:47,880 --> 00:12:50,240 Speaker 4: forever now it feels that way, Brett. You've been doing 283 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:51,880 Speaker 4: it for the better part of the year. I'm sure 284 00:12:52,760 --> 00:12:55,720 Speaker 4: there is like this very human emotion that creeps in 285 00:12:55,880 --> 00:12:58,959 Speaker 4: when you spend so much time forming opinions on this, 286 00:12:59,080 --> 00:13:02,240 Speaker 4: on anything, which is you start the second guess yourself. 287 00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:06,080 Speaker 4: So today is the moment for us to maybe call 288 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:09,000 Speaker 4: out some of those things. Now that we've perhaps put 289 00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:12,360 Speaker 4: some distance between ourselves and the takes. Where has that 290 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:15,400 Speaker 4: doubt crept in? Where have we started to have some 291 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:18,280 Speaker 4: of those second thoughts? Why don't we start here, Brett? 292 00:13:18,840 --> 00:13:21,600 Speaker 4: Since you are the guest of honor, where have you 293 00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:25,480 Speaker 4: gotten the most pushback from readers of Pick six previews? 294 00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:28,600 Speaker 3: Well, every year there's a couple of these teams that 295 00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:30,720 Speaker 3: come up and the fan bases get really upset at me. 296 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:33,080 Speaker 2: And the team this year is Illinois. 297 00:13:33,240 --> 00:13:35,559 Speaker 3: Okay, oh, team that had a special season last year, 298 00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:38,080 Speaker 3: ten wins near Brett Bielima, I thought heck of a 299 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:40,480 Speaker 3: coaching job by him, and they grinded out a lot 300 00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:44,040 Speaker 3: of close wins. One score wins over Nebraska over Rutgers 301 00:13:44,640 --> 00:13:47,920 Speaker 3: Northwestern was closed Purdue fifty to forty nine. They barely 302 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:50,400 Speaker 3: survived that one. All to say, it was a great season, 303 00:13:50,720 --> 00:13:53,280 Speaker 3: but in my advanced numbers that doesn't project forward. They 304 00:13:53,280 --> 00:13:55,960 Speaker 3: were ranked thirty fifth of my Game Greater formula last year, 305 00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:58,679 Speaker 3: nowhere near a top ten. Not really the stat profile 306 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:01,080 Speaker 3: you look for in a top ten teams. So you know, 307 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:03,120 Speaker 3: I try and separate the two. You know, great season 308 00:14:03,160 --> 00:14:05,840 Speaker 3: last year, but forward looking to twenty twenty five, I 309 00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:08,120 Speaker 3: just don't see it. I know they return the bulk 310 00:14:08,160 --> 00:14:10,440 Speaker 3: of their roster, but I mean, I think that roster 311 00:14:10,480 --> 00:14:12,800 Speaker 3: has already hit it ceiling last year. So I came 312 00:14:12,840 --> 00:14:15,240 Speaker 3: in selling Illinois hard. I've got the ninth in the 313 00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:18,720 Speaker 3: Big Ten alone, thirty second nationally, and you saw the 314 00:14:18,720 --> 00:14:20,920 Speaker 3: coaches pull in the AP had them twelve. So of 315 00:14:20,960 --> 00:14:23,400 Speaker 3: course you're going to get pushback from people in Champagne. 316 00:14:23,560 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 3: Not many friends over there this year. That's one of them. 317 00:14:26,880 --> 00:14:29,240 Speaker 1: They're not celebrating you at Papa Dell's. 318 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:32,960 Speaker 3: Okay nah, Yeah, that's probably the biggest pushback this year. 319 00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:36,720 Speaker 3: And other ones, smaller cases like SMU. I'm really selling 320 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:40,520 Speaker 3: what else ye at Georgia maybe not picking them, but 321 00:14:41,160 --> 00:14:43,960 Speaker 3: we'll get into Georgia for the second guessing hunches part 322 00:14:43,960 --> 00:14:46,800 Speaker 3: of this. I'm starting to worry about that one. But yeah, 323 00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 3: Illinois and South Carolina I'm fading too this year. You 324 00:14:50,080 --> 00:14:53,240 Speaker 3: know again special season last year. I love Leonora Sellers. 325 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:55,720 Speaker 3: He's absolutely electric to watch. But when you look at 326 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:58,760 Speaker 3: the recruiting profiles in this conference, I mean they're barely 327 00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:01,360 Speaker 3: keeping up with the Joneses, like eleventh within the conference 328 00:15:01,360 --> 00:15:04,520 Speaker 3: in recruiting, so everyone else gets stronger, they're kind of 329 00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:06,480 Speaker 3: staying the same. I think they take a step back 330 00:15:06,520 --> 00:15:08,600 Speaker 3: in the win column. So those are two that are 331 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 3: in the ap that I'm selling. 332 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:12,440 Speaker 1: What is game Grader? You don't need to tell me 333 00:15:12,520 --> 00:15:15,240 Speaker 1: the exact formula, but like, what does it look at 334 00:15:15,600 --> 00:15:19,760 Speaker 1: when you are evaluating a team's performances from last year? 335 00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:22,960 Speaker 1: And where can game grader say? You know what they 336 00:15:23,040 --> 00:15:25,760 Speaker 1: the record wasn't there, but the way they performed was 337 00:15:25,800 --> 00:15:27,520 Speaker 1: actually interesting projecting forward. 338 00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:30,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely, Well, you know, I do all sixty eight 339 00:15:30,680 --> 00:15:33,480 Speaker 3: teams and that's across four conferences. So I needed a 340 00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:36,440 Speaker 3: way to numerically be able to grade these teams against 341 00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:39,120 Speaker 3: each other, you know, a middle tier acc versus a 342 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:41,720 Speaker 3: big twelve that never play each other, no common opponents. 343 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 3: So I designed this formula and basically what it is. 344 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:46,800 Speaker 3: It takes all the key stats of a game, you know, 345 00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:50,560 Speaker 3: the yardage margins, the per play, explosive plays, I mean, 346 00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:53,400 Speaker 3: a bunch of other proprietary stuff, gets it down to 347 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:56,280 Speaker 3: one number, and then I adjusted for the opponent's strength too, 348 00:15:56,320 --> 00:15:58,600 Speaker 3: because you know, blowing out Rice is not the same 349 00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:01,560 Speaker 3: as blowing out Alabama. So all the key stats of 350 00:16:01,600 --> 00:16:03,840 Speaker 3: a game and then opponent adjusted to get to a 351 00:16:03,920 --> 00:16:06,760 Speaker 3: number basically a game grade. And then over the course 352 00:16:06,800 --> 00:16:10,360 Speaker 3: of twelve games, fifteen games, five seasons, I can start 353 00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:13,120 Speaker 3: to see a trend using the game Greater formula. So 354 00:16:13,400 --> 00:16:17,360 Speaker 3: it's become really effective at predicting games and also upcoming seasons. 355 00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:19,360 Speaker 2: So that's really the key number. I have a couple 356 00:16:19,440 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 2: other advanced stats in the. 357 00:16:20,400 --> 00:16:22,680 Speaker 3: Book that you can see and it's all visually appealing, 358 00:16:22,720 --> 00:16:24,640 Speaker 3: you know, it's not like it's not like Calculus. 359 00:16:24,720 --> 00:16:25,480 Speaker 2: You can see it. 360 00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:28,920 Speaker 3: It's color coded and make it very accessible. But that's 361 00:16:28,960 --> 00:16:30,280 Speaker 3: the gist of the game grader. 362 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:39,400 Speaker 4: So one of my big second guessing slash. I don't 363 00:16:39,440 --> 00:16:42,720 Speaker 4: know what I'm trying to say. I'm doubting myself on Miami. Okay, 364 00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:47,040 Speaker 4: so we did our acc preview. I guess back at 365 00:16:47,080 --> 00:16:50,360 Speaker 4: the early part of July, at the time that I 366 00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:54,000 Speaker 4: went through the canes, I came away feeling very pessimistic. 367 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:56,560 Speaker 4: And then I looked around to see what everybody else 368 00:16:56,600 --> 00:16:58,040 Speaker 4: was saying, because at the point that Dan and I 369 00:16:58,080 --> 00:17:01,160 Speaker 4: were recording, nobody else had really put out preview content. 370 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:03,920 Speaker 4: You know, I had them down as an eight and 371 00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:06,480 Speaker 4: four team. The comments that I have gotten have made 372 00:17:06,480 --> 00:17:11,040 Speaker 4: me feel pretty crazy about that. My reasoning for it 373 00:17:11,080 --> 00:17:13,720 Speaker 4: is that I look at the offense and I say 374 00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:15,840 Speaker 4: it has to look different because there's no cam Ward. 375 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:18,680 Speaker 4: Carson Beck versus cam Ward, those are two very very 376 00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:21,520 Speaker 4: different players. They have a good line, which we know 377 00:17:21,600 --> 00:17:24,679 Speaker 4: that crystal Ball prefers. They're going to want to run it. 378 00:17:25,520 --> 00:17:27,440 Speaker 4: I just think the pace is going to be slower. 379 00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:32,040 Speaker 4: I see situations up and down this schedule where maybe 380 00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:34,680 Speaker 4: the offense gets stuck in the mud against a better 381 00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:37,680 Speaker 4: defensive front, they can't be as effective on the ground. 382 00:17:37,760 --> 00:17:40,879 Speaker 4: They are less proven out wide this season, and I 383 00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:43,359 Speaker 4: could see there being a little bit more resistance perhaps 384 00:17:43,359 --> 00:17:46,000 Speaker 4: than meets the eye. Now you can imagine what the 385 00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:49,399 Speaker 4: comments have been in response to that. Right, there is 386 00:17:49,600 --> 00:17:54,920 Speaker 4: a I think decent enough backfield. Granted maybe not as proven, 387 00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:58,120 Speaker 4: but certainly there are guys back there that I think 388 00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:00,960 Speaker 4: you can trust, especially behind a line life this the 389 00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:03,199 Speaker 4: guys that they do have out wide, It's not like 390 00:18:03,240 --> 00:18:06,760 Speaker 4: these are no name caliber receivers, and obviously Carson Beck 391 00:18:06,800 --> 00:18:09,399 Speaker 4: has played at a very high level. You compliment that 392 00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:12,160 Speaker 4: with the defense that I do believe will be improved, 393 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:16,119 Speaker 4: I'm basically making a case against myself here. Okay, So 394 00:18:16,280 --> 00:18:18,399 Speaker 4: Miami is one of those teams, and especially as a 395 00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:21,199 Speaker 4: Notre Dame fan, Miami is one of those teams that 396 00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:24,600 Speaker 4: I have really grappled with since doing that preview, and 397 00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:27,720 Speaker 4: if anything, I think I am more inclined to give 398 00:18:27,760 --> 00:18:29,800 Speaker 4: them more benefit of the doubt than I did. 399 00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:32,639 Speaker 2: You know a month ago, Dan, when we did these shows. 400 00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:35,879 Speaker 3: Well, with Miami, I'm coming at it from the other angle. Actually, 401 00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:38,320 Speaker 3: I might have sold them too much at the beginning. 402 00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:40,400 Speaker 3: I had them really in a dead heat with Clemson. 403 00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:42,800 Speaker 3: I really consider Miami to win the whole conference outright, 404 00:18:42,800 --> 00:18:44,960 Speaker 3: And that's how high I was on them. I scaled 405 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,600 Speaker 3: it back before I published. So we're kind of meeting 406 00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:49,760 Speaker 3: in the middle here. I was really high on Miami, 407 00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:51,320 Speaker 3: and I'm kind of selling them a little bit more. 408 00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:55,240 Speaker 3: Here's some questions that Miami has is you know, last 409 00:18:55,320 --> 00:18:57,280 Speaker 3: year we talked about how close they were to the playoff, 410 00:18:57,320 --> 00:18:59,120 Speaker 3: and they blew that big lead against Syracuse. 411 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:00,000 Speaker 2: They were up twenty one nine. 412 00:19:00,119 --> 00:19:02,480 Speaker 3: Then they blew the game against Georgia Tech. But a 413 00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:05,119 Speaker 3: lot of people stop the discussion there. You got to 414 00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 3: ticket further. They should have lost to Virginia Tech. There 415 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:11,560 Speaker 3: was that questionable fifteen minute long review in that walk 416 00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:14,720 Speaker 3: off hail Mary pass that could have flipped col was 417 00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:16,480 Speaker 3: up thirty five to ten on him on a late 418 00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:18,320 Speaker 3: Friday night, and a lot of people went to bed 419 00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:21,680 Speaker 3: thinking that was a blowout loss, and Miami rallied miraculously 420 00:19:21,720 --> 00:19:23,840 Speaker 3: to come back. So while we can say that they 421 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:25,720 Speaker 3: should have been in the playoff, you could also say 422 00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:27,320 Speaker 3: they could have or should have been eight and four 423 00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:29,960 Speaker 3: on the other side of the coins. So with that 424 00:19:30,080 --> 00:19:32,760 Speaker 3: starting point, Yeah, Carson Beck's a big question for me. 425 00:19:33,320 --> 00:19:36,200 Speaker 3: I was down in Tuscaloosa to see Georgia versus Alabama 426 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:39,200 Speaker 3: last year and it was night and day. First half, 427 00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:42,120 Speaker 3: Carson Becky threw three picks. He was seeing ghosts. They 428 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:43,200 Speaker 3: fell behind big time. 429 00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:45,800 Speaker 2: Second half. It was like a Heisman candidate. So he's 430 00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:48,399 Speaker 2: hot and cold. And then the defense. 431 00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:50,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, you're right that if they slow the pace down 432 00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:53,040 Speaker 3: on offense, that puts more of a burden on the defense. 433 00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:55,520 Speaker 3: They have to be sharper than last year. And you're 434 00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:58,040 Speaker 3: going with a coordinator change with Corey Heatherman coming in 435 00:19:58,040 --> 00:20:01,320 Speaker 3: from Minnesota. They hit the port really hard. You wonder 436 00:20:01,359 --> 00:20:04,240 Speaker 3: about those two variables, if that clicks or not. So yeah, 437 00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:06,560 Speaker 3: I mean, like I said, from the other direction, I 438 00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:09,280 Speaker 3: started really high on Miami and I'm fading it back 439 00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:11,080 Speaker 3: to kind of meet you in the middle here. 440 00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:13,160 Speaker 4: Dan, do you have a team that or a couple 441 00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:15,880 Speaker 4: teams that you have looked at as you know, your 442 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:18,639 Speaker 4: second guess in yourself. Now, in hindsight, it's not that 443 00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:21,800 Speaker 4: I'm second guessing per se. It's like I planted a 444 00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:25,480 Speaker 4: flag about Miszoo on our SEC preview, in large part 445 00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:27,720 Speaker 4: because of the schedule, in large part because they've been 446 00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:32,159 Speaker 4: quietly and consistently at least pretty good these past few years. 447 00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:36,160 Speaker 4: It seems they've lost some dumb games. There's just there's 448 00:20:36,240 --> 00:20:39,720 Speaker 4: so many transfers on this defense, even transfers who came 449 00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:42,240 Speaker 4: in last year and this year and are going to 450 00:20:42,280 --> 00:20:45,479 Speaker 4: be rotating in Couple that with bo Pribula, couple that 451 00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:48,400 Speaker 4: with an offense that took a step back in terms 452 00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:49,800 Speaker 4: of explosion last season. 453 00:20:50,320 --> 00:20:53,720 Speaker 1: I understand. I can visualize why Miszoo would be very 454 00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:58,880 Speaker 1: good this year regardless of schedule. But SEC is just tough, man. 455 00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:01,879 Speaker 1: The SEC is just like an average SEC team is 456 00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:05,159 Speaker 1: still any given week going to be very tough. And 457 00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:07,800 Speaker 1: so Miszoo has the capability to win a bunch of games, 458 00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:10,320 Speaker 1: but they still have the capability of you know, looking 459 00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:12,520 Speaker 1: like what they did against Texas A and M last year. 460 00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:15,080 Speaker 1: And I know, obviously Brady Cook had injury issues last year, 461 00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:17,200 Speaker 1: but that's the big one. They feel like they could 462 00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:21,920 Speaker 1: swing anywhere between you know, seven and five, ten and two, 463 00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:26,360 Speaker 1: six and six, Like there's a lot of varied outcomes 464 00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:29,040 Speaker 1: to me on this missoo schedule. Does that make any sense? Brett? 465 00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:33,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, And you know, talking about Illinois fans, Missouri fans 466 00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:35,160 Speaker 3: are all up in my comments too, because I did 467 00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:37,320 Speaker 3: not have them in the preseason top twenty five and 468 00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:40,119 Speaker 3: caught a lot of flak for that as well. I 469 00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:42,080 Speaker 3: agree with you with some of those concerns. I mean 470 00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:44,919 Speaker 3: the quarterback transition. Brady Cook, I mean he was a 471 00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:47,359 Speaker 3: Warrior last year. There was the game I think it 472 00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:50,000 Speaker 3: was Auburn one of those games. He was injured, went 473 00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:52,360 Speaker 3: to the hospital in the middle of the game, had 474 00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:54,840 Speaker 3: whatever procedure done, came back in the fourth quarter and 475 00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:55,840 Speaker 3: led the game winning drive. 476 00:21:55,880 --> 00:21:59,879 Speaker 2: I mean, absolute warrior. So yeah, you switch over to both. 477 00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:02,480 Speaker 3: Bulah, you got a little bit of play at Penn State, 478 00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:05,800 Speaker 3: but a three star recruit, it's unproven. And really what 479 00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:08,080 Speaker 3: made Missouri special the last couple of years was their 480 00:22:08,119 --> 00:22:10,919 Speaker 3: receiver corps, Luther Burden being the headliner. I mean, it 481 00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:13,720 Speaker 3: was five stars at a program that never really had 482 00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:16,879 Speaker 3: five stars. So you take away your quarterback and the 483 00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:19,600 Speaker 3: best position room, the receiver room, and it's a lot 484 00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:22,600 Speaker 3: of questions for me. So I've ended up fading Missouri too. 485 00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:25,000 Speaker 3: I had them twelfth in the SEC. You're right, it's 486 00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:26,880 Speaker 3: just such a competitive league. I mean, you know, who 487 00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:29,280 Speaker 3: are you going to put them above? In South Carolina 488 00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:32,479 Speaker 3: They're they're a legit top twenty five team, and Florida 489 00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:34,679 Speaker 3: and Oklahoma or Veteran and so it's just such a 490 00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:37,199 Speaker 3: deep league. I had to put somebody twelfth and put 491 00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:38,040 Speaker 3: Missouri down there. 492 00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:41,360 Speaker 4: My theory on MISSOO this year, Brett, is because of, 493 00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:44,439 Speaker 4: as you elluded, the receiver room and some of the 494 00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:48,760 Speaker 4: changes there. Because of Perbulah's skill set, which you know, 495 00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:51,600 Speaker 4: I feel like I saw enough of to understand what 496 00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:53,960 Speaker 4: he's all about in his limited action at Penn State. 497 00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:56,840 Speaker 4: It feels like they need to bring this offense more 498 00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,960 Speaker 4: into balance, if nothing more, run the ball a lot 499 00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:02,440 Speaker 4: more than we saw last season. Does that seem like 500 00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:05,360 Speaker 4: attracks what you've been previewing for MISSOO this year. 501 00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:07,920 Speaker 3: Well, think back two years ago. They had Cody Schrader. 502 00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:10,680 Speaker 3: This was a guy, a walk on Division two type guy, 503 00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:12,720 Speaker 3: a grinder, and he went for a ton of yards. 504 00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:15,880 Speaker 3: I think he got all first team All SEC. Last 505 00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:17,680 Speaker 3: year they didn't have that, so they were really the 506 00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:19,959 Speaker 3: pass heavy. The receiver room was the key feature. 507 00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:21,119 Speaker 2: They might go back to that. 508 00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:22,800 Speaker 3: Like you said, the run game, they brought in a guy, 509 00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:25,720 Speaker 3: a mad hardy from I think Louisiana. Monroe had a 510 00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:28,440 Speaker 3: ton of yards a lot after contact. He was getting 511 00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:30,040 Speaker 3: some ashton Gent comparisons. 512 00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:31,960 Speaker 2: So love to hear that. 513 00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:34,840 Speaker 3: If you're a Missouri fan, maybe get behind a big 514 00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,480 Speaker 3: offensive line and run the ball a bit more. So. Yeah, 515 00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:39,720 Speaker 3: that was one of the All Transfer You know, it's funny, 516 00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:42,120 Speaker 3: I have an All American team and All SEC team, 517 00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:45,280 Speaker 3: now an All transfer team because there's so much player. 518 00:23:45,040 --> 00:23:46,720 Speaker 2: Move you have to you have no choice, right. 519 00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:49,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely, he got the All Transfer spot in the 520 00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:51,800 Speaker 3: SEC running back, so they got a good one there. 521 00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:56,280 Speaker 1: I'm curious because this isn't really a gambling angle, but 522 00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:59,159 Speaker 1: it just in terms of like who you should invest 523 00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:03,400 Speaker 1: interest in early on in the season. And I asked 524 00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:06,040 Speaker 1: this because one of my pet this. I guess it's 525 00:24:06,040 --> 00:24:08,879 Speaker 1: an acronym, right, but my QFB, my quest for boring 526 00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:12,679 Speaker 1: a lot of teams could simply be so much better 527 00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:15,959 Speaker 1: if they took care of boring things more often, right that, 528 00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:19,320 Speaker 1: like stay ahead of the sticks a little bit more often, 529 00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:22,840 Speaker 1: tackle a guy to make it fourth and two instead 530 00:24:22,840 --> 00:24:26,360 Speaker 1: of you know, fourth in inches, like they're just little things. 531 00:24:26,800 --> 00:24:30,520 Speaker 1: Who could who are your beneficiaries? When you look at 532 00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:32,920 Speaker 1: the teams that you've looked at this year across these 533 00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:35,800 Speaker 1: conferences that like, man, if they took care of such 534 00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:39,240 Speaker 1: boring things just a little bit more often, it seems 535 00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:41,040 Speaker 1: like it would make a world of difference. 536 00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:44,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, I've got two for you. One from the SEC 537 00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:46,960 Speaker 3: would be Auburn. And this is a team that in 538 00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:49,159 Speaker 3: my advanced stats which look at you know, the offense 539 00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:52,080 Speaker 3: and defense, their performances top twenty both sides of the 540 00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:55,080 Speaker 3: ball last year on offense and defense. Okay, how'd they go? 541 00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:57,800 Speaker 3: Five and seven? You look at it. It was the 542 00:24:57,840 --> 00:25:00,600 Speaker 3: worst field goal kicking in the country deadline. I think 543 00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:03,320 Speaker 3: it was like under fifty percent make. It was unbelievable. 544 00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:06,680 Speaker 3: Leaving all those points on the field. And then five 545 00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:10,600 Speaker 3: turnovers in a couple games, five turnovers against Cal five 546 00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:12,680 Speaker 3: turnovers another loss they had. So when you look back 547 00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:15,320 Speaker 3: at it, five and seven, but probably four of those 548 00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:18,639 Speaker 3: could have flipped the wins conservatively for them, flipped the 549 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:20,120 Speaker 3: wins if they would have taken care of the ball 550 00:25:20,160 --> 00:25:22,600 Speaker 3: a bit and then made some chip shot field goals. 551 00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:24,959 Speaker 3: That's it. That's all that had to change. So on 552 00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:27,200 Speaker 3: top of that, they had a great recruiting class, another 553 00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:30,320 Speaker 3: round of transfers. The receiver room is absolutely loaded. I 554 00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:33,200 Speaker 3: think that my number two receiver group outside of Columbus. 555 00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:36,080 Speaker 3: And then they bring in a five star Jackson Arnold, 556 00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:38,199 Speaker 3: who I know he struggled to Oklahoma. I think there 557 00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:40,720 Speaker 3: were other problems there last year on offense. So a 558 00:25:40,760 --> 00:25:44,119 Speaker 3: second year SEC starter there with Arnold. So yeah, Auburn, 559 00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:45,480 Speaker 3: I think it's going to take a lot of steps 560 00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:47,360 Speaker 3: forward if they could just kick some field goals and 561 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:51,359 Speaker 3: not turn the ball over five times. Similar to Nebraska 562 00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:52,040 Speaker 3: from the Big Ten. 563 00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:52,760 Speaker 2: This is a team. 564 00:25:52,800 --> 00:25:54,920 Speaker 3: If you watch them, they're shooting themselves in the foot 565 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:57,880 Speaker 3: every game, every year for like a decade. I mean 566 00:25:58,200 --> 00:25:59,480 Speaker 3: I put a stat out there in the book a 567 00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:02,800 Speaker 3: couple years go, the turnover margin the last five years, 568 00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:05,080 Speaker 3: the last ten years, even going back to like the 569 00:26:05,119 --> 00:26:07,560 Speaker 3: Frank Solich era, they're dead last in America. 570 00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:09,280 Speaker 2: I don't know what the curse is out there. 571 00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:12,760 Speaker 3: You know, maybe by winning that ninety seven national title, 572 00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:14,480 Speaker 3: they just they sold their soul to the devil or 573 00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:18,399 Speaker 3: something crazy. Because the turnover look is unbelievable. So you 574 00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:20,480 Speaker 3: wonder is this the year that they finally get it 575 00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:23,320 Speaker 3: back on their side. I don't know, but they've gone 576 00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:25,840 Speaker 3: under their win total for ten straight years from Vegas. 577 00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:27,960 Speaker 3: Something's got to click there. So if they can just 578 00:26:28,000 --> 00:26:30,600 Speaker 3: take care of the football and get some better special 579 00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:33,920 Speaker 3: teams play. You know, they had a negative yardage punt 580 00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:35,720 Speaker 3: a couple of years ago. It's the stuff that doesn't 581 00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:38,960 Speaker 3: happen to other programs. It's all in Nebraska special teams. 582 00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:40,520 Speaker 2: And they clean that up. They should be eight and 583 00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:41,639 Speaker 2: four in that area. 584 00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:47,040 Speaker 1: I'm curious as for your your game grader, who from 585 00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:51,760 Speaker 1: last season had a record that wasn't necessarily indicative of 586 00:26:52,040 --> 00:26:56,239 Speaker 1: quality and that you are using that to sort of, 587 00:26:56,440 --> 00:26:59,520 Speaker 1: you know, extrapolate and push forward. Like, guys, this team 588 00:26:59,560 --> 00:27:02,880 Speaker 1: was actually pretty good last year. They couldn't get it done. 589 00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:05,720 Speaker 1: Maybe they weren't boring enough and so in I guess 590 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:08,800 Speaker 1: that's the Auburn case. But like this team, Yeah they 591 00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:10,680 Speaker 1: went four and eight, but like they go nine to three, 592 00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:14,840 Speaker 1: no problem this year. Do you have any candidates for that? Yeah? 593 00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:16,600 Speaker 3: Well, on the negative side, I already hit on it 594 00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:19,480 Speaker 3: with Illinois. I think that was you know, ten and three. 595 00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:21,280 Speaker 3: That was not your typical ten win team if you 596 00:27:21,280 --> 00:27:24,199 Speaker 3: look at it statistically, the optimist angle, I would go 597 00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:26,680 Speaker 3: with USC, and I'm scared of saying this. I mean 598 00:27:26,720 --> 00:27:30,119 Speaker 3: talking about second guessing and hunching or hunches. I'm a 599 00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:32,720 Speaker 3: little worried about doing this. But USC they were seven 600 00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:34,919 Speaker 3: and five last year. I think all five are one 601 00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:37,280 Speaker 3: score losses. They were really close in a lot of games, 602 00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:39,280 Speaker 3: a lot of late leads in the fourth quarter that 603 00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:42,480 Speaker 3: were blown, and you wonder, I mean, you know that 604 00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:45,159 Speaker 3: projects four better. So in terms of game grader, they 605 00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:47,440 Speaker 3: were fifteenth in the country last year in game greater, 606 00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:50,800 Speaker 3: but seven and five overall, so something doesn't match up there. 607 00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:53,280 Speaker 3: I think they were better than the record showed. And 608 00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:55,520 Speaker 3: then when you project forward to twenty twenty five, again, 609 00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:58,040 Speaker 3: one of the biggest spenders in this nil market, you 610 00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:00,320 Speaker 3: know how expensive it is to go get these top trains. 611 00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:02,359 Speaker 2: I think they were number one or number two in 612 00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:05,679 Speaker 2: the Big ten and spending for that. So they're pumping 613 00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:06,159 Speaker 2: the roster. 614 00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:10,159 Speaker 3: Second year quarterback with Jade Mayava, second year coordinator on 615 00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:13,000 Speaker 3: defense with Danton Lynn. So I think they were better 616 00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:15,040 Speaker 3: than the record showed. I don't know who's going to 617 00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:17,200 Speaker 3: claim fourth place in this big ten. It's wide open. 618 00:28:17,320 --> 00:28:19,840 Speaker 3: I see a distinct three, but then I don't know 619 00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:21,640 Speaker 3: who to put it forth. I mean, I actually ended 620 00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:24,880 Speaker 3: up tying USC in Michigan. Both kind of have one 621 00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:26,960 Speaker 3: side of the ball figured out and they're working on 622 00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:29,800 Speaker 3: the other half. But I think USC is a candidate 623 00:28:29,840 --> 00:28:31,680 Speaker 3: for better than the record showed last year. 624 00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:32,439 Speaker 2: Should improve. 625 00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:35,800 Speaker 4: So I've got USC on my list. With respect to 626 00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:40,680 Speaker 4: second guessing. Second guessing YouTube commenters got after. 627 00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:43,760 Speaker 1: You time, Well, they did, they did, they did. 628 00:28:43,840 --> 00:28:45,960 Speaker 2: Listen, I'm a human. Two. 629 00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:48,280 Speaker 4: I have to be real with the for baller hood. 630 00:28:49,040 --> 00:28:50,840 Speaker 4: I made a comment that I think this team is 631 00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:53,640 Speaker 4: worse this year, and I caught a lot of flak 632 00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:56,200 Speaker 4: for that. I think the defense will be better because 633 00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:58,200 Speaker 4: I believe in Dan Lynn. I think he's the real deal. 634 00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:00,400 Speaker 4: I believe in the receivers. I think they've got an 635 00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:03,960 Speaker 4: incredible tandem to wide receivers. I'm really not sure about 636 00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:04,440 Speaker 4: the rest of it. 637 00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:04,840 Speaker 2: Brett. 638 00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:08,080 Speaker 4: You know, and I take your point, and you probably 639 00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:10,600 Speaker 4: know better than I with respect to you know who 640 00:29:10,640 --> 00:29:12,600 Speaker 4: they're bringing in and how that fits in from a 641 00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:15,360 Speaker 4: personnel standpoint, given the packages they want to run and 642 00:29:15,400 --> 00:29:17,240 Speaker 4: the schemes that are at play and all that. But 643 00:29:18,080 --> 00:29:21,560 Speaker 4: I guess maybe what I am speaking more to is 644 00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:25,360 Speaker 4: some uncertainty around Mayava, who I think is a great 645 00:29:25,400 --> 00:29:28,240 Speaker 4: athlete and a lot of fun to watch, but has 646 00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:30,640 Speaker 4: to definitely sand over some of those rougher edges in 647 00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:32,520 Speaker 4: his game if they want to take that next step. 648 00:29:33,240 --> 00:29:35,440 Speaker 4: I am a little bit spooked by the fact that 649 00:29:36,520 --> 00:29:39,480 Speaker 4: they are reaching out to smaller schools to plug holes 650 00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:42,640 Speaker 4: maybe along the line, maybe in the backfield. That might 651 00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:46,000 Speaker 4: not be fair because as we talked about with Oregon, 652 00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:52,240 Speaker 4: they're all world left tackle. Literally a world is from Nevada, right, 653 00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:55,200 Speaker 4: So it's not fair maybe to look down on smaller 654 00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:56,920 Speaker 4: schools the way that I think I did when I 655 00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:59,719 Speaker 4: talked about USC, But that creeps me out a little bit. 656 00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:03,680 Speaker 4: USC be better than that, not having to go down 657 00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:06,120 Speaker 4: a level to bring guys up to plug those holes. 658 00:30:06,840 --> 00:30:08,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, there's some valid critiques here. 659 00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:10,360 Speaker 3: That's why again I was torn about who to even 660 00:30:10,360 --> 00:30:13,280 Speaker 3: put fourth place with my Ava. I don't know, is 661 00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:16,360 Speaker 3: he really a Lincoln Riley quarterback? Is he a five 662 00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:18,320 Speaker 3: star Blue Chipper? Is going to go in the first 663 00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:19,760 Speaker 3: round and push for a Heisman? 664 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:22,160 Speaker 2: I don't know. I think that's still an uncertainty, But 665 00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:23,240 Speaker 2: do they need that? 666 00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:26,000 Speaker 4: I guess the counterpoint would be, we've seen that from 667 00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:28,640 Speaker 4: Lincoln Riley teams before and that's sort of his calling card. 668 00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:31,360 Speaker 4: But if there is enough talent out there, and if 669 00:30:31,400 --> 00:30:33,920 Speaker 4: the defense does take a step forward, do they need 670 00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:35,400 Speaker 4: Mayava to be a Heisman candidate? 671 00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:38,680 Speaker 2: Well, okay, I think at receiver, I agree that they're stacked. 672 00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:40,360 Speaker 3: I mean, they have a couple of Blue Chippers in there, 673 00:30:40,440 --> 00:30:44,040 Speaker 3: Makai Lemon, Jacobe Land. They actually stole Utah's number one 674 00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:46,560 Speaker 3: receiver after springball, you know, witting him, goes out, he 675 00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:49,120 Speaker 3: calls Zacharias Williams, he's our number one. We're going to 676 00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:51,200 Speaker 3: build the offense around him. Then he leaves the next 677 00:30:51,280 --> 00:30:53,640 Speaker 3: day for USC. So I think they're set at receiver. 678 00:30:54,040 --> 00:30:55,880 Speaker 3: But I'll agree with you there at running back and 679 00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:58,400 Speaker 3: offensive line. Running back gad to go to the juco level. 680 00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:01,880 Speaker 3: And then at the offensive line. Yeah, they got Syracuse's 681 00:31:01,960 --> 00:31:05,160 Speaker 3: center Reid, and then a couple other transfers that were 682 00:31:05,200 --> 00:31:07,360 Speaker 3: not former Blue Chippers. They were like two star, three 683 00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:09,840 Speaker 3: star guys from high school. So you wouldn't really expect 684 00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:12,520 Speaker 3: that from USC, you know. And I just want Lincoln 685 00:31:12,600 --> 00:31:15,120 Speaker 3: Riley to win enough this year to survive to be 686 00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:17,520 Speaker 3: able to then coach the twenty twenty six recruiting class 687 00:31:17,520 --> 00:31:19,080 Speaker 3: because I don't know if you saw, I know, really 688 00:31:19,120 --> 00:31:21,440 Speaker 3: early in that cycle, but number one in the country 689 00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:25,480 Speaker 3: recruiting ranking next year hopefully they hopefully they hold on 690 00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:27,240 Speaker 3: to that and finish in the top five and maybe 691 00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:29,160 Speaker 3: that could be a turning point for the whole program. 692 00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:31,320 Speaker 2: But they got to do enough to get to that point. 693 00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:33,480 Speaker 3: I don't think any USC fan would have signed up 694 00:31:33,520 --> 00:31:35,880 Speaker 3: for seven and five and losing in the Las Vegas 695 00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:37,880 Speaker 3: Bowl by year three, So they got to get it 696 00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:40,400 Speaker 3: turned around. And there's definitely some valid critiques there on 697 00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:41,600 Speaker 3: the offensive line running back. 698 00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:43,840 Speaker 1: They did win the Vegas Bowl, to be clear, they 699 00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:46,000 Speaker 1: did come back and win that Vegas Bawl at the 700 00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:48,240 Speaker 1: w Yeah, yeah, they came back and beat A and M. 701 00:31:48,240 --> 00:31:49,320 Speaker 1: But yeah, point taken. 702 00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:52,160 Speaker 4: The other team that I feel I might have been 703 00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:55,440 Speaker 4: too harshawn was Arizona. And this is not to say 704 00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:57,360 Speaker 4: that Arizona is going to make some dark horse run 705 00:31:57,360 --> 00:31:57,960 Speaker 4: at the Big twelve. 706 00:31:58,000 --> 00:31:59,240 Speaker 2: I'm not saying. 707 00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:02,360 Speaker 4: That, but I do think that there is at least 708 00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:05,760 Speaker 4: a little bit more structure now with how Brent Brennan 709 00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:06,640 Speaker 4: is running the system. 710 00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:06,800 Speaker 2: Like. 711 00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:09,960 Speaker 4: One thing that became apparent to me after doing our 712 00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:13,400 Speaker 4: preview was that Noah Fafida was kind of on his 713 00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:15,880 Speaker 4: own last year. They didn't have a dedicated quarterback coach. 714 00:32:15,960 --> 00:32:18,400 Speaker 4: This year, you know, regardless of how we feel about 715 00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:21,440 Speaker 4: Seth Daggy, there is definitely a little bit more attention 716 00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:24,360 Speaker 4: on Noah Fafeda, on trying to give him structure and 717 00:32:24,400 --> 00:32:26,960 Speaker 4: trying to move things forward. It sounds more broadly like 718 00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:29,800 Speaker 4: Brent Brennan tried to run Arizona the way he ran 719 00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:33,320 Speaker 4: San Jose State, and they're very different programs. So I 720 00:32:33,320 --> 00:32:35,720 Speaker 4: think I discounted maybe the structure that he's put in 721 00:32:35,760 --> 00:32:38,720 Speaker 4: place now, and I discounted the fact that there could 722 00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:42,080 Speaker 4: be some sort of second year coach boost that, you know, 723 00:32:42,560 --> 00:32:44,280 Speaker 4: maybe in the haze of the middle of the night 724 00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:46,160 Speaker 4: when I'm putting all the stuff together, I didn't quite 725 00:32:46,200 --> 00:32:49,120 Speaker 4: see for the Cats. Again, they're not going ten and two, 726 00:32:49,680 --> 00:32:51,360 Speaker 4: But I think I might have been a little too 727 00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:54,720 Speaker 4: low on them, given the fact that perhaps there has 728 00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:57,800 Speaker 4: been some change going on behind the scenes with Arizona. 729 00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:00,000 Speaker 3: I've got them projected towards the bottom of a conference 730 00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:02,400 Speaker 3: but to your point, you know, all throughout my magazine, 731 00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:04,200 Speaker 3: my book, on the radio, I'm always talking about that 732 00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:07,400 Speaker 3: second year bonus. I mean I brought up with USC coordinator, 733 00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:11,320 Speaker 3: bonus quarterback, bonus head coach. So I did also overlook 734 00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:13,320 Speaker 3: that with Arizona. I really gave them no benefit of 735 00:33:13,320 --> 00:33:15,720 Speaker 3: the doubt. They're having a second year bonus with Brent Brennan. 736 00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:17,960 Speaker 3: Who knows, maybe they do get some you know, catch 737 00:33:18,000 --> 00:33:21,120 Speaker 3: some fire. The pessimist angle would be they keep losing 738 00:33:21,120 --> 00:33:23,400 Speaker 3: their best players to the portal, a lot of them 739 00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:26,440 Speaker 3: going north to Seattle to follow their old coach, Jed Fish. 740 00:33:26,440 --> 00:33:28,240 Speaker 3: He took a good round of them the first time 741 00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:30,840 Speaker 3: in twenty twenty four, and then another round this year. 742 00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:34,480 Speaker 3: I mean Jonah Coleman, they're running back, Jacob Manu, they're 743 00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:38,000 Speaker 3: all conference linebacker both, they're all conference corners with Price 744 00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:40,800 Speaker 3: Sock and Tacario Davis. It just seems like a one 745 00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:43,760 Speaker 3: way portal from Tucson up to Seattle. 746 00:33:43,800 --> 00:33:44,640 Speaker 2: So that worries me. 747 00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:47,080 Speaker 3: And I don't think they backfilled enough, you know, all right, 748 00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:49,520 Speaker 3: so you lose your starters and your stars to Seattle. 749 00:33:49,840 --> 00:33:51,800 Speaker 3: In Washington, did they bring anybody in? 750 00:33:51,840 --> 00:33:53,720 Speaker 2: And that's where I'm starting to worry with Arizona. 751 00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:56,400 Speaker 3: So yeah, again, I don't see them competing for a 752 00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:58,680 Speaker 3: Bowl or anything, but maybe they do get a bonus 753 00:33:58,680 --> 00:33:59,400 Speaker 3: their second year. 754 00:34:00,200 --> 00:34:02,400 Speaker 4: Do you have any teams that you're second guessing now 755 00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:04,040 Speaker 4: that you've put the publication out. 756 00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:07,120 Speaker 3: Well, at the top of the SEC, I know that, 757 00:34:07,360 --> 00:34:09,399 Speaker 3: you know. I like to dig into the random teams too, 758 00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:10,680 Speaker 3: but I mean sometimes the teams at. 759 00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:11,479 Speaker 2: The top you got to cover. 760 00:34:11,560 --> 00:34:15,920 Speaker 3: And with Texas, Bama, Georgia, this trio, I really like Alabama. 761 00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:19,120 Speaker 3: I have them playing in Atlanta in the SEC title game. 762 00:34:19,440 --> 00:34:21,360 Speaker 3: I like what they brought back. I like their coordinator, 763 00:34:21,440 --> 00:34:24,480 Speaker 3: change everything. So Bama I'm set on. It's this Texas 764 00:34:24,520 --> 00:34:26,759 Speaker 3: Georgia debate that I'm kind of flipping on. All of 765 00:34:26,800 --> 00:34:29,480 Speaker 3: a sudden, I put Texas to win the conference. I 766 00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:32,120 Speaker 3: had them above Georgia and I penciled them in up there, 767 00:34:32,120 --> 00:34:34,440 Speaker 3: and now I'm starting to wonder, did we overseell Georgia. 768 00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:36,520 Speaker 3: I mean, this is a team that's been kind of 769 00:34:36,680 --> 00:34:39,920 Speaker 3: a mini dynasty recently. But what caught my eye was 770 00:34:39,920 --> 00:34:42,560 Speaker 3: I was building out what I call my advanced rosters. Basically, 771 00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:45,160 Speaker 3: it's a too deep where I color code a all 772 00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:47,480 Speaker 3: where they a four star, a five star if they 773 00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:50,480 Speaker 3: were a transfer where they come from where they all conference. Anyway, 774 00:34:50,560 --> 00:34:53,840 Speaker 3: like a visual too deep. And I'm going through Georgia 775 00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:56,280 Speaker 3: and there's eleven five stars on the defense alone. 776 00:34:56,320 --> 00:34:57,520 Speaker 2: I mean, that's unbelievable. 777 00:34:57,640 --> 00:34:59,360 Speaker 3: I don't even think there's eleven five stars in the 778 00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:02,000 Speaker 3: whole AC year, the Big twelve combined. It's like the 779 00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:05,200 Speaker 3: talent that has stockpiled at Georgia, especially on their defense. 780 00:35:05,560 --> 00:35:08,200 Speaker 3: I think I might have overlooked right in the preview magazine. 781 00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:11,080 Speaker 3: So I do have them fifth nationally, but maybe they 782 00:35:11,120 --> 00:35:14,160 Speaker 3: should be one of those teams playing in Atlanta because 783 00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:16,520 Speaker 3: Texas has their concerns too. You know, I penciled in 784 00:35:16,560 --> 00:35:18,560 Speaker 3: Texas to win it. A lot of people did, and 785 00:35:18,600 --> 00:35:21,239 Speaker 3: maybe without really thinking too deeply on it. They lose 786 00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:24,520 Speaker 3: four offensive line starters, they lose five NFL draft picks 787 00:35:24,520 --> 00:35:27,480 Speaker 3: off the defense, they lose a Thorpe winner, which JEDB. 788 00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:27,880 Speaker 2: Barron. 789 00:35:29,280 --> 00:35:31,759 Speaker 3: They're resetting in a lot of spots, So maybe we 790 00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:33,480 Speaker 3: were too quick to just put Texas there at the 791 00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:35,960 Speaker 3: top team that lost to Georgia twice last year, by 792 00:35:36,000 --> 00:35:38,920 Speaker 3: the way, So that's one I'm starting to regret, and 793 00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:40,640 Speaker 3: I have to see in all those blue chips on 794 00:35:40,680 --> 00:35:42,799 Speaker 3: paper starting to worry about Georgia. 795 00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:46,439 Speaker 1: When you look around the sport right now. Actually, let's 796 00:35:46,600 --> 00:35:49,000 Speaker 1: I want to drill down to the Big Twelve. The 797 00:35:49,080 --> 00:35:52,360 Speaker 1: Big Twelve had a champion who was picked to finish 798 00:35:52,440 --> 00:35:55,759 Speaker 1: in last place last season. You mentioned the rosters that 799 00:35:55,840 --> 00:35:58,879 Speaker 1: have four stars and five stars or all conference transfers. 800 00:35:59,200 --> 00:36:01,680 Speaker 1: The Big Twelve doesn't recruit in the way that the 801 00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:04,520 Speaker 1: SEC and Big Ten do. It's incredibly entertaining, it's high 802 00:36:04,560 --> 00:36:08,640 Speaker 1: quality football. How do you sort out a conference that 803 00:36:09,120 --> 00:36:14,080 Speaker 1: each team has very specific flaws, nobody truly separates themselves, 804 00:36:14,160 --> 00:36:18,240 Speaker 1: or no three teams truly separate themselves from a recruiting standpoint? 805 00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:22,000 Speaker 1: How do you evaluate a conference like that and sort 806 00:36:22,040 --> 00:36:23,640 Speaker 1: out teams addor near the top. 807 00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:27,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, well, it's my fourteenth year doing Pick six previews. 808 00:36:27,080 --> 00:36:29,040 Speaker 3: I think this is the most wide open conference of 809 00:36:29,080 --> 00:36:32,240 Speaker 3: them all over fourteen years, and it's just it's crazy. 810 00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:34,440 Speaker 3: So the coaches did a poll at Media Days and 811 00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:37,719 Speaker 3: they picked Kansas State versus Iowa State as their championship game. 812 00:36:38,040 --> 00:36:40,120 Speaker 3: And I looked and I have them sixth and seventh 813 00:36:40,160 --> 00:36:42,520 Speaker 3: in the Big Twelve. So out both of the outside 814 00:36:42,560 --> 00:36:44,680 Speaker 3: my top five. That's how wide open it is. You 815 00:36:44,680 --> 00:36:46,680 Speaker 3: could argue seven or eight teams to win this thing, 816 00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:49,240 Speaker 3: and they each have the little thirty second elevator pitch, 817 00:36:49,960 --> 00:36:53,480 Speaker 3: like you said, pros and cons for both. With Arizona State, 818 00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:56,120 Speaker 3: that's where I ultimately went with. And you know it 819 00:36:56,200 --> 00:36:57,840 Speaker 3: might be some chalk, but you look it back at 820 00:36:57,920 --> 00:37:00,680 Speaker 3: last year advanced stats wise, they were. They were a 821 00:37:00,719 --> 00:37:04,080 Speaker 3: real conference champion. They bring back twenty starters. I know 822 00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:06,560 Speaker 3: they lose Camp Scataboo, the do it all running back, 823 00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:09,240 Speaker 3: but really everybody's back. You got a first round draft 824 00:37:09,239 --> 00:37:12,560 Speaker 3: grade at quarterback a lot to like from Arizona State. 825 00:37:12,680 --> 00:37:14,799 Speaker 2: So that was my pick. But then from there, I mean, 826 00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:16,200 Speaker 2: Texas Tech is a mystery. 827 00:37:16,239 --> 00:37:19,040 Speaker 3: They bring in all this this oil money funding and 828 00:37:19,080 --> 00:37:22,000 Speaker 3: they signed the top transfer class in the country, twelve 829 00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:23,680 Speaker 3: Blue Chippers a Texas Tech they sign. 830 00:37:23,760 --> 00:37:25,600 Speaker 2: That's more than the rest of the conference combined. 831 00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:29,600 Speaker 3: So that's your talent. Play Kennet Jel, Kennet Jell quick enough, 832 00:37:29,600 --> 00:37:32,239 Speaker 3: that's the deal. But I had that have them strong 833 00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:34,720 Speaker 3: enough to play Arizona State in the conference title game, 834 00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:37,440 Speaker 3: and then real quickly, I mean Baylor, you could argue them. 835 00:37:37,480 --> 00:37:39,879 Speaker 3: They they call fire over the second half of the year, 836 00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:42,840 Speaker 3: won seven straight. They bring back pretty much the whole roster. 837 00:37:43,520 --> 00:37:46,319 Speaker 3: Ken Dave Randa works some magic on defense he has 838 00:37:46,320 --> 00:37:49,719 Speaker 3: in the past. That's his forte Utah, you know they're 839 00:37:49,760 --> 00:37:53,640 Speaker 3: reloading on offense, bringing in a whole new scheme. Devin 840 00:37:53,719 --> 00:37:56,840 Speaker 3: dan Pire electric to watch. He's very elusive in the pocket. 841 00:37:57,520 --> 00:38:00,239 Speaker 3: Should get some stable quarterback play that's been missing due 842 00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:02,560 Speaker 3: to injury at Utah for so long. So those are 843 00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:05,920 Speaker 3: my top four. TCU is a wildcard. I like Kansas 844 00:38:05,920 --> 00:38:08,120 Speaker 3: State and Iowa State as well. But again, you could 845 00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:10,879 Speaker 3: pick one out of eight teams to win this thing, 846 00:38:10,960 --> 00:38:14,080 Speaker 3: and it's fascinating. So you don't have a top ten team, 847 00:38:14,360 --> 00:38:16,400 Speaker 3: a lot of top forty, a lot of top twenty 848 00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:18,640 Speaker 3: five caliber, so it makes for great football. 849 00:38:18,680 --> 00:38:19,840 Speaker 2: I love watching this conference. 850 00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:23,759 Speaker 4: To what end do you take talent into account when 851 00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:27,600 Speaker 4: you're putting together projection projections, putting together previews, because you 852 00:38:27,600 --> 00:38:30,759 Speaker 4: know it certainly has a place. Not everybody hits, I know, 853 00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:33,479 Speaker 4: but latter friend Bud has the blue Chip ratio, which 854 00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:36,880 Speaker 4: has been sort of like a staple metric in college 855 00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:40,759 Speaker 4: football circles for a good while. Now, but like, how 856 00:38:40,760 --> 00:38:45,280 Speaker 4: do you incorporate that into whatever calculations you are running 857 00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:45,759 Speaker 4: on your end. 858 00:38:46,800 --> 00:38:49,359 Speaker 3: Yeah, well, it's important, It's very important. I would say 859 00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:52,440 Speaker 3: recruiting and talent acquisition. That's really the backbone of a program. 860 00:38:52,560 --> 00:38:54,880 Speaker 3: And if you want to win national titles or win conferences, 861 00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:57,200 Speaker 3: you have to have great recruiting. That's the starting point, 862 00:38:57,400 --> 00:39:00,600 Speaker 3: or nowadays great transfer activity. Look at old Men, look 863 00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:03,280 Speaker 3: at Texas Tech, that kind of thing. So it's definitely 864 00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:05,160 Speaker 3: a starting point. But I don't end there. I think 865 00:39:05,160 --> 00:39:07,239 Speaker 3: a lot of a lot of people like to put 866 00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:09,759 Speaker 3: way too much emphasis on just the recruiting. I think 867 00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:11,560 Speaker 3: you need to have schemes that work, You need to 868 00:39:11,600 --> 00:39:15,520 Speaker 3: have stability with the coaching staff. Nowadays it's roster retention, 869 00:39:15,760 --> 00:39:18,400 Speaker 3: not just recruiting, but can you keep the recruits on campus. 870 00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:22,239 Speaker 3: Talk to head coaches, talk to coordinators about recruiting and transfers, 871 00:39:22,560 --> 00:39:25,399 Speaker 3: and they start out with the day after the season. 872 00:39:25,440 --> 00:39:28,320 Speaker 3: They're recruiting their own players. They're recruiting their own starters, 873 00:39:28,520 --> 00:39:32,280 Speaker 3: re recruiting them to stay on campus. So the retention 874 00:39:32,400 --> 00:39:34,880 Speaker 3: game has become a new facet of college football. 875 00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:36,520 Speaker 2: So I think recruiting is important. 876 00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:40,000 Speaker 3: It's the starting point, but then schemes that work retention, 877 00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:42,600 Speaker 3: and then you got to got to go player develop 878 00:39:42,600 --> 00:39:45,000 Speaker 3: and all that. So I'd say it's crucial, but not 879 00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:47,600 Speaker 3: the only piece, and it definitely factors in, but there's 880 00:39:47,600 --> 00:39:48,359 Speaker 3: a lot more to it. 881 00:39:49,239 --> 00:39:51,920 Speaker 2: Do you like have to redo your preview eight times? 882 00:39:52,520 --> 00:39:53,600 Speaker 2: Like when do you start this? 883 00:39:54,120 --> 00:39:57,759 Speaker 4: And I mean seriously, because we have so much activity 884 00:39:57,800 --> 00:39:59,960 Speaker 4: that goes on even in the spring window. I mean, 885 00:40:01,200 --> 00:40:03,520 Speaker 4: I don't need to know the whole process, but how 886 00:40:03,560 --> 00:40:07,160 Speaker 4: often are you redoing some of these team previews because 887 00:40:07,200 --> 00:40:10,800 Speaker 4: of late action in the portal or just otherwise? 888 00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:15,000 Speaker 2: College football is so fluid. I'm calling it the retslof test. 889 00:40:15,160 --> 00:40:17,800 Speaker 3: And it was whether your magazine and preview was able 890 00:40:17,800 --> 00:40:19,520 Speaker 3: to get that in there, and mine, I think was 891 00:40:19,560 --> 00:40:21,520 Speaker 3: the only one to have it in of course, with 892 00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:25,480 Speaker 3: the BYU starting quarterback Jake Rhetslof leaving campus mid July, 893 00:40:26,280 --> 00:40:28,640 Speaker 3: all the magazines had already been printed and they got them, 894 00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:30,759 Speaker 3: you know, on the all Big twelve team and got 895 00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:33,320 Speaker 3: BYU in the top ten. And I end up catching 896 00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:36,400 Speaker 3: that the day before I published the twenty twenty five editions, so. 897 00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:37,520 Speaker 2: I have him out of there. 898 00:40:37,520 --> 00:40:39,600 Speaker 3: I have bear Bachmeyer the New four Star as their 899 00:40:39,640 --> 00:40:43,160 Speaker 3: starting quarterback, and so that was a you know, I'm 900 00:40:43,239 --> 00:40:45,440 Speaker 3: later in the game than others, but that's it's a 901 00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:47,000 Speaker 3: pro and acon I mean, I use it to my 902 00:40:47,040 --> 00:40:49,480 Speaker 3: advantage to try and be up to date. But it's 903 00:40:49,480 --> 00:40:51,400 Speaker 3: such a long process. I think back to when I 904 00:40:51,480 --> 00:40:54,040 Speaker 3: launched US in twenty twelve. It was very simple. In 905 00:40:54,080 --> 00:40:56,279 Speaker 3: twenty twelve. Think back, you had a BCS, you had 906 00:40:56,320 --> 00:40:58,680 Speaker 3: something called the Big East. It was a simpler time, 907 00:40:59,120 --> 00:41:00,799 Speaker 3: and what you would do you would just have your 908 00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:03,920 Speaker 3: recruiting rankings, your returning starters, and that's it. Maybe a 909 00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:06,040 Speaker 3: couple guys that went pro early, but that was pretty 910 00:41:06,120 --> 00:41:09,160 Speaker 3: much the formula nowadays. To answer your question, I mean, 911 00:41:09,200 --> 00:41:12,640 Speaker 3: it's kind of a writing in March, a rewriting in April, 912 00:41:12,840 --> 00:41:15,520 Speaker 3: and then a final writing in July. There are the 913 00:41:15,560 --> 00:41:19,320 Speaker 3: transfer portal windows in December and April the post spring window. 914 00:41:19,800 --> 00:41:21,440 Speaker 3: But there are times where I have to throw out 915 00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:23,759 Speaker 3: the entire draft. I mean, I think about Colorado a 916 00:41:23,800 --> 00:41:26,640 Speaker 3: couple of years back. I wrote their team three of 917 00:41:26,680 --> 00:41:28,680 Speaker 3: you up. I thought it was great in April, and 918 00:41:28,719 --> 00:41:30,440 Speaker 3: then again I had to just throw the whole thing 919 00:41:30,520 --> 00:41:32,640 Speaker 3: in the trash and just start over because like seventy 920 00:41:32,680 --> 00:41:36,560 Speaker 3: players transferred out, So it's way more at its it's 921 00:41:36,640 --> 00:41:39,600 Speaker 3: complicated if by you know, tenfold, but I do think 922 00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:40,960 Speaker 3: you know to spend. 923 00:41:41,000 --> 00:41:42,520 Speaker 2: I think it makes for a better product. 924 00:41:42,560 --> 00:41:44,319 Speaker 3: I think it makes for a more valuable resource to 925 00:41:44,360 --> 00:41:47,200 Speaker 3: the reader because it's hard to follow not only your 926 00:41:47,200 --> 00:41:49,960 Speaker 3: own team, but your opponent's teams, your teams and your conference. 927 00:41:50,360 --> 00:41:53,000 Speaker 3: So once August hits, people were like, you know, who's 928 00:41:53,040 --> 00:41:54,880 Speaker 3: even on my roster? Who are these players? So with 929 00:41:54,960 --> 00:41:57,520 Speaker 3: the preview magazine here you can go through it. It's 930 00:41:57,600 --> 00:41:59,719 Speaker 3: very readable. You can see who left, who's coming in, 931 00:42:00,040 --> 00:42:01,880 Speaker 3: which ones matter? You know, you can just say that 932 00:42:01,880 --> 00:42:04,719 Speaker 3: they have ten transfers, are they good players, how they 933 00:42:04,760 --> 00:42:07,640 Speaker 3: do with their last school, how are they greated as transfers. 934 00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:10,400 Speaker 3: So it's complicated things a lot, but I think that 935 00:42:10,440 --> 00:42:11,960 Speaker 3: makes for a more valuable product here. 936 00:42:12,440 --> 00:42:14,799 Speaker 4: So with respect to the game grader that I know 937 00:42:14,880 --> 00:42:17,240 Speaker 4: Dan asked about, and you've mentioned a couple times over here, 938 00:42:17,880 --> 00:42:21,600 Speaker 4: you said that it has predictive qualities, what are those 939 00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:26,120 Speaker 4: qualities with respect to Week one in twenty twenty five. 940 00:42:26,239 --> 00:42:28,279 Speaker 4: Because it's a loaded slate, there are a bunch of 941 00:42:28,360 --> 00:42:31,759 Speaker 4: ranked matchups. I think the headliners. The obvious headliner at 942 00:42:31,840 --> 00:42:35,560 Speaker 4: least on the first Saturday is Texas at Ohio State. 943 00:42:35,600 --> 00:42:37,239 Speaker 4: But we got a bunch of these games now. So 944 00:42:37,840 --> 00:42:40,120 Speaker 4: as you are looking forward, because I know you do 945 00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:44,120 Speaker 4: work in season as well, what are your numbers saying 946 00:42:44,200 --> 00:42:47,640 Speaker 4: about what this slate looks like in Week one? 947 00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:49,480 Speaker 2: Where is your eye drawn? Yeah? 948 00:42:49,520 --> 00:42:51,800 Speaker 3: Well even with Week zero, I like that Farmer Gedden 949 00:42:51,880 --> 00:42:55,000 Speaker 3: game that Kansas State Iowa State. I like Kansas State 950 00:42:55,040 --> 00:42:57,160 Speaker 3: minus two and a half there or minus three wherever 951 00:42:57,200 --> 00:42:59,799 Speaker 3: you get at a field goal spread neutral sites, so 952 00:43:00,120 --> 00:43:02,920 Speaker 3: throw the home field advantage out. But I think Kansas 953 00:43:02,960 --> 00:43:05,080 Speaker 3: State's a more proven product this year. I know Iowa 954 00:43:05,120 --> 00:43:07,160 Speaker 3: State was picked by many, picked by the coaches in 955 00:43:07,200 --> 00:43:09,440 Speaker 3: the conference to win it. I just don't see if 956 00:43:09,520 --> 00:43:12,160 Speaker 3: Iowa State they lose a lot from that defense. They're 957 00:43:12,200 --> 00:43:14,600 Speaker 3: a team that win, they're veteran, they're very strong, but 958 00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:16,200 Speaker 3: I think they're kind of going through a little bit 959 00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:19,400 Speaker 3: of a transition. The receivers are gone, a couple of 960 00:43:19,400 --> 00:43:21,800 Speaker 3: pieces from the offensive line, a lot of the defense gone. 961 00:43:21,920 --> 00:43:24,000 Speaker 3: So I like Kansas State there in the Week zero 962 00:43:24,200 --> 00:43:28,200 Speaker 3: kickoff game. Some other ones from Week one, Nebraska minus 963 00:43:28,239 --> 00:43:31,120 Speaker 3: six and a half, against Cincinnati. I think Nebraska took 964 00:43:31,120 --> 00:43:33,319 Speaker 3: a lot of steps forward here on their offensive line 965 00:43:33,360 --> 00:43:36,160 Speaker 3: and their receivers from the transfer portal, trying to give 966 00:43:36,160 --> 00:43:39,120 Speaker 3: their five star Dylan Royola more people around him. I 967 00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:42,000 Speaker 3: think last year it was a pretty broken offense. I 968 00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:44,239 Speaker 3: know he flashed at times, but again, an eighteen year 969 00:43:44,239 --> 00:43:46,520 Speaker 3: old true freshman, I think in his second season, with 970 00:43:46,640 --> 00:43:49,840 Speaker 3: proven offensive line starters, with proven number one receivers, I 971 00:43:49,840 --> 00:43:51,719 Speaker 3: think you're going to see a better Nebraska here in 972 00:43:51,800 --> 00:43:54,239 Speaker 3: rules third year. So I like Nebraska to cover that 973 00:43:54,280 --> 00:43:57,600 Speaker 3: touchdown one more. I'll give you a here Utah Ucla. 974 00:43:57,680 --> 00:44:00,040 Speaker 3: I saw that spread came in in a touchdown. I 975 00:44:00,040 --> 00:44:02,120 Speaker 3: think Utah is going to destroy Ucla. I mean they're 976 00:44:02,120 --> 00:44:05,239 Speaker 3: the more physical team. Ucla is a team that we 977 00:44:05,600 --> 00:44:08,560 Speaker 3: talked about with Arizona, how their starters are getting poached 978 00:44:08,560 --> 00:44:11,600 Speaker 3: by other programs. Same with UCLA. And I know they 979 00:44:11,600 --> 00:44:14,280 Speaker 3: have the headliner with Nico that kind of is the 980 00:44:14,360 --> 00:44:17,359 Speaker 3: exception to the rule, but otherwise this roster was carved up. 981 00:44:17,680 --> 00:44:20,560 Speaker 3: So I see Utah going in there and smacking them. 982 00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:23,480 Speaker 3: So I'll go with Utah minus a touchdown there in 983 00:44:23,520 --> 00:44:26,000 Speaker 3: the opener, but yeah, plenty of plenty of angles, and 984 00:44:26,239 --> 00:44:28,120 Speaker 3: that's the beauty of I'm starting pick six. 985 00:44:27,960 --> 00:44:29,640 Speaker 2: Plus this year. Yeah, yeah, I was gonna ask you 986 00:44:29,640 --> 00:44:30,600 Speaker 2: about the season feature. 987 00:44:30,680 --> 00:44:34,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, so all the information from the magazine, but updated weekly, 988 00:44:34,280 --> 00:44:36,800 Speaker 3: all my game greater, all my advanced stats, even a 989 00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:39,160 Speaker 3: little bit more of that against the spread trend a. 990 00:44:39,080 --> 00:44:40,920 Speaker 2: Little, you know, leaning into that angle a little. 991 00:44:40,719 --> 00:44:42,960 Speaker 3: Bit more for those kind of listeners and readers. So 992 00:44:43,400 --> 00:44:45,799 Speaker 3: all that situational splits you look for is in there, 993 00:44:45,840 --> 00:44:47,120 Speaker 3: pixel cool. 994 00:44:47,440 --> 00:44:50,439 Speaker 4: I wanted to ask you real quick about Texas Ohio State, 995 00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:52,600 Speaker 4: because I know Dan and I have had a little 996 00:44:52,600 --> 00:44:54,879 Speaker 4: bit of back and forth over this one. I made 997 00:44:54,880 --> 00:44:57,160 Speaker 4: a comment somewhere along the way, and I forget where 998 00:44:57,200 --> 00:45:00,800 Speaker 4: exactly that I think Texas is the I think Texas 999 00:45:00,800 --> 00:45:05,120 Speaker 4: has definitely beating Ohio State. Of course, you talking definitely's 1000 00:45:05,719 --> 00:45:08,160 Speaker 4: when you're speaking in July, and a lot is subject 1001 00:45:08,239 --> 00:45:10,880 Speaker 4: to change, including some of this self doubt that inevitably 1002 00:45:10,960 --> 00:45:11,600 Speaker 4: is going to creep in. 1003 00:45:11,640 --> 00:45:12,560 Speaker 2: But I still believe that. 1004 00:45:12,800 --> 00:45:14,879 Speaker 4: I still think because Ohio State is so much new, 1005 00:45:15,040 --> 00:45:17,640 Speaker 4: they're obviously still going to be loaded look at the roster, 1006 00:45:17,920 --> 00:45:22,080 Speaker 4: but I think given enough back on the Texas side, 1007 00:45:22,120 --> 00:45:25,920 Speaker 4: they are probably eager to get this rematch with Ohio State, 1008 00:45:26,600 --> 00:45:28,399 Speaker 4: maybe get a little bit better in some of those 1009 00:45:28,400 --> 00:45:30,960 Speaker 4: short yardist situations that I know you alluded to Brett 1010 00:45:30,960 --> 00:45:33,440 Speaker 4: in your preview magazine with arch Manning and some of 1011 00:45:33,480 --> 00:45:36,320 Speaker 4: his mobility. Do you have a lean in that game? 1012 00:45:37,800 --> 00:45:39,960 Speaker 3: Well, yeah, I mean I have Texas number two in 1013 00:45:40,000 --> 00:45:42,160 Speaker 3: the country. I have Ohio State number three, and they're 1014 00:45:42,160 --> 00:45:45,080 Speaker 3: pretty much even with the game being in Columbus, I'm 1015 00:45:45,080 --> 00:45:47,120 Speaker 3: going to go with a higher state here. Play game 1016 00:45:47,440 --> 00:45:49,600 Speaker 3: really tough to forecast too, because, like you said, so 1017 00:45:49,680 --> 00:45:52,759 Speaker 3: much turnover on both rosters. I put Texas early in 1018 00:45:52,800 --> 00:45:55,840 Speaker 3: our show on my category of second guessing and worrying 1019 00:45:55,880 --> 00:45:58,680 Speaker 3: about just because all the roster transition they had, I know, 1020 00:45:58,719 --> 00:46:00,839 Speaker 3: we talk about that with Ohio State. Eight they sent 1021 00:46:00,880 --> 00:46:04,400 Speaker 3: to a record number of NFL draft picks away from Columbus, 1022 00:46:04,400 --> 00:46:07,359 Speaker 3: I think fourteen of them. But so they have questions too. 1023 00:46:07,400 --> 00:46:10,080 Speaker 3: But then yeah, Texas, same deal. So I'm gonna lean 1024 00:46:10,120 --> 00:46:12,600 Speaker 3: with Ohio State. And here's why I like their offensive 1025 00:46:12,600 --> 00:46:16,799 Speaker 3: line against Texas's d line and the deal with Ohio State. 1026 00:46:16,800 --> 00:46:18,799 Speaker 3: It was such a long season along playoff run. They 1027 00:46:18,840 --> 00:46:21,480 Speaker 3: had a lot of injuries on their offensive line, which 1028 00:46:21,719 --> 00:46:23,600 Speaker 3: you know, hurt at the moment, but now you've got 1029 00:46:23,600 --> 00:46:25,800 Speaker 3: a lot of younger guys ahead of schedule with reps 1030 00:46:25,800 --> 00:46:27,000 Speaker 3: and starts and experience. 1031 00:46:27,320 --> 00:46:29,640 Speaker 2: So actually their offensive line is pretty proven. I like 1032 00:46:29,680 --> 00:46:30,399 Speaker 2: what they have there. 1033 00:46:30,760 --> 00:46:33,080 Speaker 3: They're going up against a Texas front that loses several 1034 00:46:33,120 --> 00:46:35,799 Speaker 3: starters and had the backfill from the portal a lot. 1035 00:46:35,880 --> 00:46:38,200 Speaker 3: I think three out of four starters are portal guys. 1036 00:46:38,400 --> 00:46:40,480 Speaker 3: A lot of the two deep is now from the portal. 1037 00:46:40,280 --> 00:46:40,920 Speaker 2: And that can hit. 1038 00:46:41,000 --> 00:46:42,640 Speaker 3: That could be great. But in week one, I think 1039 00:46:42,640 --> 00:46:45,520 Speaker 3: you're going to catch them. So arch Manning's first big 1040 00:46:45,560 --> 00:46:47,279 Speaker 3: start on the road a hostel. 1041 00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:48,480 Speaker 2: You know it's gonna be at noon. 1042 00:46:48,520 --> 00:46:50,680 Speaker 3: I was going to say primetime it it should be 1043 00:46:50,760 --> 00:46:54,000 Speaker 3: play unbelievable Number one versus number three is going to 1044 00:46:54,040 --> 00:46:54,480 Speaker 3: be at noon. 1045 00:46:54,560 --> 00:46:57,760 Speaker 2: But that's our era now with big, big TV money. 1046 00:46:57,880 --> 00:46:59,200 Speaker 2: But no, I like Ohio State here. 1047 00:46:59,239 --> 00:47:01,359 Speaker 3: I think they're, if it's possible to say, the more 1048 00:47:01,400 --> 00:47:04,080 Speaker 3: proven products still despite losing fourteen drafted. 1049 00:47:04,200 --> 00:47:07,120 Speaker 4: Wow, okay, we got another one dan another guys. Yeah 1050 00:47:07,239 --> 00:47:08,920 Speaker 4: State yeuh okay. 1051 00:47:08,960 --> 00:47:12,279 Speaker 1: So you talk about Texas and Ohio State both you know, 1052 00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:15,759 Speaker 1: filling holes with transfers and working out for both of 1053 00:47:15,800 --> 00:47:18,839 Speaker 1: these teams obviously swimming league for Ohio State last year, 1054 00:47:19,280 --> 00:47:22,000 Speaker 1: you have new coaches. You have recent new coaches not 1055 00:47:22,120 --> 00:47:27,480 Speaker 1: plugging holes but building entire rosters, bringing in fifteen basketball 1056 00:47:27,520 --> 00:47:30,120 Speaker 1: teams worth of guys. Right that there's forty seven new guys, 1057 00:47:30,160 --> 00:47:34,520 Speaker 1: fifty three new guys, sixty one new guys. On one level, 1058 00:47:34,840 --> 00:47:37,960 Speaker 1: how do you evaluate how that team is going to be? 1059 00:47:38,080 --> 00:47:42,120 Speaker 1: Are you putting just everything on coaching history and schedule, 1060 00:47:42,400 --> 00:47:44,920 Speaker 1: not knowing how anybody's going to gel and how anybody 1061 00:47:44,920 --> 00:47:49,440 Speaker 1: fits into whatever system? Or do you just throw your 1062 00:47:49,440 --> 00:47:53,280 Speaker 1: hands up and say, like, we'll talk about it October eleventh. 1063 00:47:54,520 --> 00:47:55,279 Speaker 2: A little bit of both. 1064 00:47:55,320 --> 00:47:57,399 Speaker 3: I'd say, I mean two examples that come to mind. 1065 00:47:57,440 --> 00:48:00,399 Speaker 3: You got Purdue going through a massive roster and over 1066 00:48:00,440 --> 00:48:04,319 Speaker 3: coaching change after their terrible season last year, the worst 1067 00:48:04,320 --> 00:48:06,279 Speaker 3: team in the country per my numbers last year. 1068 00:48:06,960 --> 00:48:07,799 Speaker 2: I mean, you look at it. 1069 00:48:07,800 --> 00:48:10,680 Speaker 3: The transfer portal was what twenty produced starters out of 1070 00:48:10,680 --> 00:48:12,200 Speaker 3: there going to different schools. 1071 00:48:11,800 --> 00:48:13,520 Speaker 2: So total rebuild. 1072 00:48:13,560 --> 00:48:15,319 Speaker 3: I think in these situations what you try and do 1073 00:48:15,400 --> 00:48:17,920 Speaker 3: is you got to go position by position, got to 1074 00:48:17,960 --> 00:48:20,320 Speaker 3: dig in. There's no easy way out of this discussion. 1075 00:48:20,400 --> 00:48:23,359 Speaker 3: So I looked at every transfer coming in where'd they 1076 00:48:23,360 --> 00:48:25,640 Speaker 3: come from? Where they all conference guys at the lower 1077 00:48:25,640 --> 00:48:29,239 Speaker 3: tier where they former blue chip recruits. Just go room 1078 00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:31,279 Speaker 3: by room and then also look at the coaching and 1079 00:48:31,280 --> 00:48:34,000 Speaker 3: their history. So with Purdue with Barry otom he's actually 1080 00:48:34,000 --> 00:48:36,759 Speaker 3: gone through a similar scenario At UNLV two years ago. 1081 00:48:37,320 --> 00:48:39,920 Speaker 3: He took over UNLV, they were terrible. He went through 1082 00:48:39,960 --> 00:48:42,360 Speaker 3: a massive roster overhaul and got them to the Mountain 1083 00:48:42,400 --> 00:48:44,959 Speaker 3: West title game twice in a row. So a guy 1084 00:48:45,000 --> 00:48:47,400 Speaker 3: that's done it before, albeit at the Mountain West and 1085 00:48:47,400 --> 00:48:49,600 Speaker 3: not the Big Ten. But you want somebody that's gone 1086 00:48:49,640 --> 00:48:53,279 Speaker 3: through such a transition. So maybe tough in twenty twenty five, 1087 00:48:53,320 --> 00:48:54,600 Speaker 3: but could be the right guy. 1088 00:48:54,440 --> 00:48:56,280 Speaker 2: Going forward, intermediate, long term. 1089 00:48:56,560 --> 00:48:58,160 Speaker 3: The other one, and I'm actually proud of us that 1090 00:48:58,239 --> 00:49:01,120 Speaker 3: we went forty minutes without talking about it. The UNC 1091 00:49:01,280 --> 00:49:04,440 Speaker 3: hire of Bill Bilichick and one of the storylines of 1092 00:49:04,480 --> 00:49:07,640 Speaker 3: twenty twenty five. I heard they're gonna be bringing the 1093 00:49:07,760 --> 00:49:10,200 Speaker 3: entire ESPN campus down a Chapel Hill. They're gonna just 1094 00:49:10,360 --> 00:49:13,440 Speaker 3: set up shot there for the next three months. But no, 1095 00:49:13,560 --> 00:49:15,720 Speaker 3: I think a similar deal. They're bringing in like sixty 1096 00:49:15,719 --> 00:49:18,399 Speaker 3: five new players, And again I had to just dig 1097 00:49:18,400 --> 00:49:21,360 Speaker 3: in position by position and I think they're They're proven 1098 00:49:21,400 --> 00:49:23,920 Speaker 3: at some spots, you know, and in their secondary they 1099 00:49:23,920 --> 00:49:26,239 Speaker 3: have several guys that were former starters at you know, 1100 00:49:26,280 --> 00:49:27,399 Speaker 3: the power for or. 1101 00:49:27,320 --> 00:49:28,360 Speaker 2: The Group of five level. 1102 00:49:29,000 --> 00:49:32,399 Speaker 3: At quarterback, they're trying to get their quarterback injury back 1103 00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:36,160 Speaker 3: from injury with Johnson, but they signed Gio Lopez, an 1104 00:49:36,239 --> 00:49:39,239 Speaker 3: All Sun Belt guy, a true freshman player from South Alabama, 1105 00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:42,120 Speaker 3: dual threat kid. So long story short, I mean it's 1106 00:49:42,120 --> 00:49:44,240 Speaker 3: a little bit uncertain with the UNC you gotta trust 1107 00:49:44,280 --> 00:49:47,040 Speaker 3: their coaching and in the ACC you're gonna have a 1108 00:49:47,040 --> 00:49:49,600 Speaker 3: lot of one score games, and who better to trust 1109 00:49:49,600 --> 00:49:52,960 Speaker 3: than a Bilichick off or Bilichick team. You feel like 1110 00:49:53,040 --> 00:49:55,120 Speaker 3: the the keys of the game, they're going to be 1111 00:49:55,120 --> 00:49:58,840 Speaker 3: good at, you know, the situational staff, procedure, penalties, like 1112 00:49:58,840 --> 00:50:00,840 Speaker 3: they're going to be clean. I think so that might 1113 00:50:00,920 --> 00:50:02,920 Speaker 3: flip a cup of one score games their way. But 1114 00:50:03,040 --> 00:50:05,120 Speaker 3: it's a total crapshit with some of these rosters. 1115 00:50:05,480 --> 00:50:07,640 Speaker 1: Fair enough, one of the more fascinating teams. And I 1116 00:50:07,719 --> 00:50:10,840 Speaker 1: am a biased Oregon human here, but the Oregon Ducks 1117 00:50:11,040 --> 00:50:13,000 Speaker 1: win the Big Ten. They go thirteen and oh last 1118 00:50:13,000 --> 00:50:16,000 Speaker 1: season they're in the regular season. We've talked about the 1119 00:50:16,040 --> 00:50:18,319 Speaker 1: SEC champ in Georgia. We've talked about the Big twelve 1120 00:50:18,400 --> 00:50:21,560 Speaker 1: champ in Arizona State. Oregon seems to be on like 1121 00:50:21,719 --> 00:50:24,600 Speaker 1: three clear paths and we kind of have to decide 1122 00:50:24,640 --> 00:50:27,319 Speaker 1: how we feel about each one. One is that we're 1123 00:50:27,320 --> 00:50:30,000 Speaker 1: maybe under selling how good they were last year and 1124 00:50:30,040 --> 00:50:33,080 Speaker 1: how many quality pieces are back, and they're perhaps not 1125 00:50:33,080 --> 00:50:35,359 Speaker 1: getting the attention that Ohio State and Penn State are. 1126 00:50:35,719 --> 00:50:38,160 Speaker 1: Having beaten both of those teams during the regular season 1127 00:50:38,239 --> 00:50:40,080 Speaker 1: last year, we don't need to talk about the Rose Bowl. 1128 00:50:40,080 --> 00:50:43,160 Speaker 1: That's a conversation that nobody wants to have, nobody needs 1129 00:50:43,200 --> 00:50:48,520 Speaker 1: to reflect on. Two is that they're properly seen as 1130 00:50:48,880 --> 00:50:52,200 Speaker 1: a competitive team near the top, but had to replace 1131 00:50:52,239 --> 00:50:55,319 Speaker 1: an offensive line, a quarterback, key pieces in the secondary 1132 00:50:55,640 --> 00:50:59,759 Speaker 1: and defensive line, and that's a lot or three that 1133 00:51:00,200 --> 00:51:03,160 Speaker 1: they're due for a down year and there's a reckoning 1134 00:51:03,200 --> 00:51:06,719 Speaker 1: coming because there are too many questions and so you 1135 00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:10,080 Speaker 1: obviously have them pretty high in your Big ten tier. 1136 00:51:11,560 --> 00:51:14,440 Speaker 1: Where do you think, with the benefit of now a 1137 00:51:14,480 --> 00:51:17,440 Speaker 1: little bit more time and you know, hearing stories about camp, like, 1138 00:51:17,719 --> 00:51:20,799 Speaker 1: where do you stand same place? How do you feel 1139 00:51:20,840 --> 00:51:22,000 Speaker 1: about those three paths? 1140 00:51:22,280 --> 00:51:23,960 Speaker 3: I might have to give you a fourth I was 1141 00:51:24,000 --> 00:51:26,160 Speaker 3: on the radio up in Portland and they were asking 1142 00:51:26,160 --> 00:51:29,480 Speaker 3: me about Oregon, and I told them, Hey, Oregon's might 1143 00:51:29,520 --> 00:51:32,120 Speaker 3: pick to win the national championship. And I paused way 1144 00:51:32,120 --> 00:51:34,799 Speaker 3: too long, and I go in twenty twenty six, I 1145 00:51:34,800 --> 00:51:36,239 Speaker 3: think that, and I put that in the book too 1146 00:51:36,280 --> 00:51:38,680 Speaker 3: as my preview for next year. But I think they're 1147 00:51:38,680 --> 00:51:42,400 Speaker 3: building an absolute machine in Eugene. I mean, it's unbelievable, undeniable, 1148 00:51:42,400 --> 00:51:45,239 Speaker 3: the amount of talent that they're stockpiling. Dan Lanning has 1149 00:51:45,239 --> 00:51:48,840 Speaker 3: really elevated this recruiting thing to a new level. I 1150 00:51:48,880 --> 00:51:50,719 Speaker 3: look at it this way. You know, twenty four to 1151 00:51:50,719 --> 00:51:52,720 Speaker 3: seven sports and on three. It's a lot of quantity 1152 00:51:52,760 --> 00:51:55,200 Speaker 3: for their recruiting rankings. But if you look at it 1153 00:51:55,239 --> 00:51:57,800 Speaker 3: at per player, if you just do the sheer average, 1154 00:51:58,200 --> 00:52:00,560 Speaker 3: Organ was number one in the country the high school 1155 00:52:00,600 --> 00:52:02,760 Speaker 3: ranks last year, and the number one in the country 1156 00:52:02,760 --> 00:52:05,879 Speaker 3: from the transfer portal last year per player. So it's 1157 00:52:05,960 --> 00:52:07,399 Speaker 3: undeniable what's going on up there. 1158 00:52:07,400 --> 00:52:08,080 Speaker 2: But here's the thing. 1159 00:52:08,120 --> 00:52:11,680 Speaker 3: They're very young, so it's all about what playoff structure 1160 00:52:11,680 --> 00:52:13,920 Speaker 3: we're in. I think last year leaves a confusing legacy. 1161 00:52:13,960 --> 00:52:16,279 Speaker 3: You know, thirteen to zero, number one, the clear only 1162 00:52:16,360 --> 00:52:19,160 Speaker 3: undefeated team in one hundred and thirty years of college football. 1163 00:52:19,200 --> 00:52:20,920 Speaker 3: That team's either playing in a Rose Bowl for a 1164 00:52:21,000 --> 00:52:23,520 Speaker 3: national title, or they're in the BCS title game, and 1165 00:52:23,560 --> 00:52:26,560 Speaker 3: that could have been their first title in school history. Instead, 1166 00:52:26,560 --> 00:52:28,879 Speaker 3: they're thrown back into this big bracket and they run 1167 00:52:28,880 --> 00:52:31,120 Speaker 3: into a machine a rematch Ohio State spot. 1168 00:52:31,480 --> 00:52:32,600 Speaker 2: So I say that not. 1169 00:52:32,520 --> 00:52:35,040 Speaker 3: To bring up bad memories for you, but fine, I 1170 00:52:35,080 --> 00:52:37,520 Speaker 3: say that because now it flips to an advantage for Oregon, 1171 00:52:37,560 --> 00:52:39,640 Speaker 3: because in the old structure, I don't. 1172 00:52:39,520 --> 00:52:40,640 Speaker 2: See this team going undefeated. 1173 00:52:40,680 --> 00:52:42,920 Speaker 3: I don't see twenty twenty five Oregon going twelve to 1174 00:52:43,040 --> 00:52:45,879 Speaker 3: zero and making a one versus two BCS title game. 1175 00:52:46,200 --> 00:52:48,399 Speaker 3: I do see maybe a ten to two, a very 1176 00:52:48,440 --> 00:52:50,719 Speaker 3: younger team that is growing up. They probably lose that 1177 00:52:50,760 --> 00:52:53,760 Speaker 3: white out spot, maybe drop another one as a young team. 1178 00:52:54,120 --> 00:52:57,320 Speaker 3: But by the time December rolls around, in January rolls around, 1179 00:52:57,560 --> 00:52:59,480 Speaker 3: now they're not a young team anymore. They're now a 1180 00:52:59,560 --> 00:53:02,680 Speaker 3: veteran team stockpiled with five star recruits that could be 1181 00:53:02,760 --> 00:53:05,759 Speaker 3: rounding into form in a big bracket. So it's a 1182 00:53:05,800 --> 00:53:09,200 Speaker 3: confusing legacy they lead behind and enter twenty twenty five with. 1183 00:53:09,320 --> 00:53:10,840 Speaker 3: But I think they're one of the most talented in 1184 00:53:10,840 --> 00:53:13,080 Speaker 3: the country. It's one of the youngest, so I think 1185 00:53:13,280 --> 00:53:15,799 Speaker 3: come late twenty twenty five, but definitely twenty six. 1186 00:53:15,960 --> 00:53:18,480 Speaker 2: They're a national title contender. There you go, Dan, got 1187 00:53:18,480 --> 00:53:19,040 Speaker 2: to wait a year. 1188 00:53:20,680 --> 00:53:22,120 Speaker 1: I think that's what you thought you were gonna have 1189 00:53:22,120 --> 00:53:24,560 Speaker 1: to wait a year for Notre Dame, right, Notre Dame 1190 00:53:24,640 --> 00:53:26,600 Speaker 1: was everything was pointing to twenty twenty five, and they 1191 00:53:26,640 --> 00:53:28,040 Speaker 1: do it a year early. They get to that game. 1192 00:53:28,120 --> 00:53:30,200 Speaker 4: Well, okay, so let me ask about that before we 1193 00:53:30,239 --> 00:53:32,759 Speaker 4: wrap up here. Clearly I have a rooting interest in 1194 00:53:32,800 --> 00:53:36,440 Speaker 4: Notre Dame. By all accounts, the quarterback battle is neck 1195 00:53:36,480 --> 00:53:39,440 Speaker 4: and neck, much to my surprise, much as the surprise 1196 00:53:39,520 --> 00:53:42,439 Speaker 4: of Benny. It seems like this is a legitimate neck 1197 00:53:42,440 --> 00:53:43,040 Speaker 4: and neck race. 1198 00:53:43,080 --> 00:53:43,279 Speaker 2: Here. 1199 00:53:43,760 --> 00:53:47,440 Speaker 4: Does that alter your thinking at all, Brett? Depending on 1200 00:53:47,440 --> 00:53:49,200 Speaker 4: who gets the job, different skill sets. 1201 00:53:49,480 --> 00:53:49,760 Speaker 1: CJ. 1202 00:53:49,880 --> 00:53:52,400 Speaker 4: Carr much more of you know, the drop back passer, 1203 00:53:52,520 --> 00:53:55,040 Speaker 4: good mobility, but he's not necessarily going to be a runner. 1204 00:53:55,120 --> 00:53:58,600 Speaker 4: Kenny Minshee. I think they basically called the same offense 1205 00:53:58,640 --> 00:54:01,760 Speaker 4: regardless of who's the quarterback. But Kenny Minsche is definitely 1206 00:54:01,760 --> 00:54:03,239 Speaker 4: more mobile. You can put them on the run, you 1207 00:54:03,280 --> 00:54:05,120 Speaker 4: can do a little bit more with him. Does that 1208 00:54:05,200 --> 00:54:07,959 Speaker 4: alter your thinking, maybe just with respect to Week one, 1209 00:54:08,719 --> 00:54:10,759 Speaker 4: how you view Notre Dame depending on who they end 1210 00:54:10,840 --> 00:54:12,080 Speaker 4: up picking at quarterback. 1211 00:54:13,160 --> 00:54:15,080 Speaker 3: In fact, I could even spin it as a positive. 1212 00:54:15,680 --> 00:54:17,480 Speaker 3: You know, it all depends on who we're talking about, 1213 00:54:17,480 --> 00:54:19,560 Speaker 3: because you have a five star with CJ. Carr and 1214 00:54:19,640 --> 00:54:22,120 Speaker 3: another top one hundred recruit and Kenny Minshee. These are 1215 00:54:22,400 --> 00:54:25,520 Speaker 3: blue chippers. They were, you know, heavily recruited by everybody. 1216 00:54:25,680 --> 00:54:27,520 Speaker 3: So if they're competing neck and neck, I think you 1217 00:54:27,560 --> 00:54:30,000 Speaker 3: have two really good quarterbacks. If one of the people 1218 00:54:30,000 --> 00:54:32,239 Speaker 3: in the situation was a walk on or a two 1219 00:54:32,280 --> 00:54:35,600 Speaker 3: star or like a former Mac player or something, and 1220 00:54:35,640 --> 00:54:37,799 Speaker 3: their neck and neck with CJ. Car then that might 1221 00:54:38,040 --> 00:54:40,080 Speaker 3: be calls for concern. But I think you have two 1222 00:54:40,160 --> 00:54:42,680 Speaker 3: legit quarterbacks. Like you said, maybe different styles. Maybe you 1223 00:54:42,719 --> 00:54:46,239 Speaker 3: can use Minshi's legs in certain situations. If anything, you 1224 00:54:46,280 --> 00:54:48,359 Speaker 3: can can confuse your Week one opponent with who you're 1225 00:54:48,400 --> 00:54:50,600 Speaker 3: gonna play. They've got to prep for both guys, So 1226 00:54:50,880 --> 00:54:51,640 Speaker 3: I'm viewing that. 1227 00:54:51,560 --> 00:54:52,280 Speaker 2: As a positive. 1228 00:54:52,640 --> 00:54:54,960 Speaker 3: And yeah, speaking of your two teams, I wonder if 1229 00:54:54,960 --> 00:54:57,279 Speaker 3: we're going to see I call it the solid verb 1230 00:54:57,320 --> 00:54:59,759 Speaker 3: Bowl Oregon versus Notre Dame in the back of a game. 1231 00:54:59,760 --> 00:55:02,520 Speaker 2: There, We're ready, We're ready, were waiting for it. Yeah, 1232 00:55:02,719 --> 00:55:03,560 Speaker 2: it hasn't happened yet. 1233 00:55:03,880 --> 00:55:05,719 Speaker 3: You had to deal with an awkward one with Notre 1234 00:55:05,800 --> 00:55:08,960 Speaker 3: Dame Penn State, being a Pennsylvanian, probably surrounded by staters 1235 00:55:08,960 --> 00:55:10,200 Speaker 3: that had to be tough last year. 1236 00:55:10,280 --> 00:55:12,400 Speaker 4: Well, and as an alum, you know, it was like 1237 00:55:12,680 --> 00:55:15,640 Speaker 4: it was yeah, I mean it was. We did a 1238 00:55:15,680 --> 00:55:18,799 Speaker 4: stream for it, and in hindsight I said to Dan, 1239 00:55:18,840 --> 00:55:20,560 Speaker 4: I'm like, I shouldn't We shouldn't have done that stream. 1240 00:55:21,160 --> 00:55:24,919 Speaker 4: It really left me in a very conflicted state because, yeah, 1241 00:55:24,920 --> 00:55:26,680 Speaker 4: these are the two teams that are rooted for, and 1242 00:55:27,080 --> 00:55:28,719 Speaker 4: you know, one I've cheered for a little bit longer, 1243 00:55:28,760 --> 00:55:30,280 Speaker 4: the other I graduated from the school. 1244 00:55:30,400 --> 00:55:32,919 Speaker 1: Let's be clear. As soon as that game kicked off, 1245 00:55:32,920 --> 00:55:34,960 Speaker 1: he was like, Notre Dame, baby, let's do this. He 1246 00:55:35,160 --> 00:55:40,560 Speaker 1: was not conflicted when between the sidelines. He was all 1247 00:55:40,600 --> 00:55:42,840 Speaker 1: irish all the time. So it wasn't like, oh, that 1248 00:55:42,920 --> 00:55:46,880 Speaker 1: was a good play, but now I feel no, no, Immediately. 1249 00:55:46,360 --> 00:55:49,239 Speaker 4: It took like three minutes. It took three minutes for 1250 00:55:49,320 --> 00:55:52,040 Speaker 4: like the primal instincts to kick in and then yeah, 1251 00:55:52,400 --> 00:55:53,759 Speaker 4: it was a lot of rooting for I. 1252 00:55:53,680 --> 00:55:56,200 Speaker 1: Feel like on that opening kickoff somebody was a good 1253 00:55:56,200 --> 00:55:58,480 Speaker 1: tackle from Notre Dame or something. Maybe I'm making that up. 1254 00:55:58,560 --> 00:56:00,719 Speaker 1: And he was like, yeah, baby, here we go. 1255 00:56:00,920 --> 00:56:03,120 Speaker 3: Well, hey, the college football fan that runs deep, you 1256 00:56:03,160 --> 00:56:05,320 Speaker 3: can't just turn that off, you know you can't. 1257 00:56:05,520 --> 00:56:05,960 Speaker 2: You can't. 1258 00:56:06,000 --> 00:56:08,560 Speaker 4: Man, All right, Look his name's Brett Siancia. You can 1259 00:56:08,600 --> 00:56:12,439 Speaker 4: find him out at Pick six Previews. Tell the find 1260 00:56:12,480 --> 00:56:14,520 Speaker 4: people where to go, what they can find when they 1261 00:56:14,600 --> 00:56:16,680 Speaker 4: get there, and what you've got going on this season. 1262 00:56:17,239 --> 00:56:19,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, well, thanks so much for having me second annual 1263 00:56:19,360 --> 00:56:19,960 Speaker 3: previews show. 1264 00:56:20,000 --> 00:56:22,480 Speaker 2: I really appreciate it. They can't wait to see what 1265 00:56:22,520 --> 00:56:23,319 Speaker 2: you guys do this fall. 1266 00:56:23,360 --> 00:56:26,360 Speaker 3: And yeah it's Pick Sixpreviews dot Com, Pick six Previews 1267 00:56:26,400 --> 00:56:29,319 Speaker 3: on Twitter, the annual season preview magazine. We have the 1268 00:56:29,360 --> 00:56:32,520 Speaker 3: digital version and the hard copy magazine. It's spiral bound. 1269 00:56:32,680 --> 00:56:34,759 Speaker 3: People are loving the spiral binding. I mean, it's such 1270 00:56:34,760 --> 00:56:37,080 Speaker 3: a simp I got it right here. Look, Brett, send 1271 00:56:37,120 --> 00:56:37,400 Speaker 3: it to me. 1272 00:56:37,480 --> 00:56:39,799 Speaker 4: I forgot to thank you via text message, so thank 1273 00:56:39,840 --> 00:56:42,399 Speaker 4: you for sending this up to me. But yes, it's 1274 00:56:42,400 --> 00:56:44,160 Speaker 4: a nice little lot quick reference. Guyd you do a 1275 00:56:44,200 --> 00:56:45,120 Speaker 4: great job with it. 1276 00:56:45,120 --> 00:56:45,560 Speaker 1: It's great. 1277 00:56:45,560 --> 00:56:47,759 Speaker 3: Well, thank you so much. Yeah, it's on there, we 1278 00:56:47,840 --> 00:56:50,640 Speaker 3: got sample teams. You can take ties testimonial right there, 1279 00:56:50,680 --> 00:56:53,120 Speaker 3: that's all I need. And then on there, yeah, you'll 1280 00:56:53,120 --> 00:56:55,719 Speaker 3: see samples. If you buy the hard copy, you get 1281 00:56:55,760 --> 00:56:57,960 Speaker 3: the digital as well. Just for those three days that 1282 00:56:58,000 --> 00:57:01,000 Speaker 3: it's in USPS shipping, you have access right away. And 1283 00:57:01,000 --> 00:57:02,879 Speaker 3: then also take a look at Pick six plus. It's 1284 00:57:02,880 --> 00:57:05,799 Speaker 3: our in season feature. All the advanced stats you like, 1285 00:57:05,840 --> 00:57:08,200 Speaker 3: all the against the spread, the situational splits. 1286 00:57:08,400 --> 00:57:10,120 Speaker 2: You know, how's a team as a favorite? How are 1287 00:57:10,120 --> 00:57:10,680 Speaker 2: they off a buy? 1288 00:57:10,800 --> 00:57:13,319 Speaker 3: All that kind of stuff, updated every Tuesday in your 1289 00:57:13,320 --> 00:57:15,360 Speaker 3: email inbox Pick six plus. 1290 00:57:15,440 --> 00:57:16,240 Speaker 2: Go check that out. 1291 00:57:16,280 --> 00:57:17,960 Speaker 3: So thanks so much for having me, guys, I mean, 1292 00:57:17,960 --> 00:57:20,400 Speaker 3: always a great convo. My favorite spot of the year 1293 00:57:20,400 --> 00:57:21,320 Speaker 3: for preseason talks. 1294 00:57:21,600 --> 00:57:23,800 Speaker 4: Thank you well, we appreciate it. We will do it 1295 00:57:23,840 --> 00:57:26,800 Speaker 4: again sometime very soon. Again, check out Brett's work at 1296 00:57:26,800 --> 00:57:31,520 Speaker 4: Pick sixpreviews dot com. All right again, check them out. 1297 00:57:31,560 --> 00:57:35,120 Speaker 4: Brett Siancia Pick six Previews. I got it here in 1298 00:57:35,160 --> 00:57:37,280 Speaker 4: front of me, right, where am I do it? Here 1299 00:57:37,280 --> 00:57:38,120 Speaker 4: we go, I got. 1300 00:57:37,920 --> 00:57:39,800 Speaker 1: It out in front of me, beautiful. 1301 00:57:39,960 --> 00:57:41,640 Speaker 2: I showed it when Brett was on the screen. I'll 1302 00:57:41,640 --> 00:57:42,360 Speaker 2: show it again now. 1303 00:57:42,400 --> 00:57:44,960 Speaker 4: I've been using this as my quick reference guide as 1304 00:57:44,960 --> 00:57:48,560 Speaker 4: I go through these teams. It's a perfect compliment to 1305 00:57:49,400 --> 00:57:51,080 Speaker 4: much of the other work that has gone in on 1306 00:57:51,120 --> 00:57:53,240 Speaker 4: this end to try and figure out who is who 1307 00:57:54,080 --> 00:57:55,680 Speaker 4: in this coming year of college football. 1308 00:57:55,680 --> 00:57:58,280 Speaker 1: So we appreciate Brett's time. He says, no acronyms, but 1309 00:57:58,320 --> 00:58:00,920 Speaker 1: it's bft tie. It's built toilets. 1310 00:58:01,360 --> 00:58:04,320 Speaker 2: It's so great and we mean that not as a pejorative, 1311 00:58:04,360 --> 00:58:04,880 Speaker 2: by the way. 1312 00:58:04,800 --> 00:58:08,880 Speaker 1: One hundred percent compliment that you can sit down with 1313 00:58:08,920 --> 00:58:11,760 Speaker 1: it when you're already sitting doing something else, taking care 1314 00:58:11,800 --> 00:58:16,040 Speaker 1: of your business, and just bang out the Houston preview, right, 1315 00:58:16,240 --> 00:58:20,040 Speaker 1: just like figure out how you feel about West Virginia 1316 00:58:20,240 --> 00:58:24,920 Speaker 1: or Ohio State or Washington Like it's great, great toilet fodder, 1317 00:58:25,080 --> 00:58:26,440 Speaker 1: perfect compliment from me. 1318 00:58:26,960 --> 00:58:29,520 Speaker 4: Love it all right, Well, big thanks again to Brett. 1319 00:58:29,640 --> 00:58:31,560 Speaker 4: Please go and check out his work. It does an 1320 00:58:31,600 --> 00:58:35,520 Speaker 4: awesome job. On our next episode, we're going to be 1321 00:58:35,560 --> 00:58:38,240 Speaker 4: doing our official prediction. 1322 00:58:37,960 --> 00:58:41,680 Speaker 1: Stan for the season Big picture. Big Picture. 1323 00:58:41,760 --> 00:58:44,040 Speaker 4: So if you go back and listen to the conference previews, 1324 00:58:44,840 --> 00:58:47,520 Speaker 4: we obviously gave some voice to who we think is 1325 00:58:47,600 --> 00:58:50,400 Speaker 4: winning each of these conferences, but we did not do 1326 00:58:50,440 --> 00:58:53,600 Speaker 4: a playoff prediction. You need to do that we'll talk 1327 00:58:53,600 --> 00:58:57,440 Speaker 4: about our brackets. I think if it's cool with you, 1328 00:58:57,520 --> 00:58:59,919 Speaker 4: we should bundle in some fantasy things as well. 1329 00:59:00,360 --> 00:59:03,240 Speaker 1: One percent like it could be kind of a long show, 1330 00:59:03,320 --> 00:59:06,280 Speaker 1: and so we'll do spill over fantasy things for the 1331 00:59:06,320 --> 00:59:10,360 Speaker 1: fine people at Verballers dot com. That's v er there. 1332 00:59:10,360 --> 00:59:13,960 Speaker 1: It is b a l l ers dot com to 1333 00:59:14,000 --> 00:59:16,200 Speaker 1: support the show directly if you enjoy what we do. 1334 00:59:16,280 --> 00:59:19,120 Speaker 1: So yeah, fantasy things and official predictions next week. 1335 00:59:19,440 --> 00:59:25,920 Speaker 4: And we got a uh smattering of suggestions of predictions 1336 00:59:25,960 --> 00:59:28,040 Speaker 4: from the verballerhood that you're gonna be able to hear. 1337 00:59:28,640 --> 00:59:32,280 Speaker 4: This will drop on Sunday, so a lot to come. 1338 00:59:32,320 --> 00:59:35,360 Speaker 4: We're excited about it. The season, as I like to say, 1339 00:59:35,400 --> 00:59:37,960 Speaker 4: is getting awfully big in the window. Keep it right here, 1340 00:59:38,040 --> 00:59:40,240 Speaker 4: hit follow or subscribes that you don't miss any of 1341 00:59:40,280 --> 00:59:43,440 Speaker 4: those episodes. Correct for that guy over there, my good 1342 00:59:43,440 --> 00:59:46,680 Speaker 4: friend Dan Rubinstein, for myself, Tie Hildebrand, thank you as 1343 00:59:46,800 --> 00:59:48,240 Speaker 4: always for stopping on by. 1344 00:59:48,880 --> 00:59:51,560 Speaker 2: Hope to see you again soon. We'll talk to you 1345 00:59:51,600 --> 00:59:52,080 Speaker 2: on Sunday. 1346 00:59:52,120 --> 00:59:53,560 Speaker 1: Stay solved, peace,