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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Benning Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 2: I hope everyone had.

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Speaker 1: A fantastic Labor Day and week one of the CFB season.

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Speaker 2: We'll certainly chat all about that tonight.

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Speaker 1: However, as the season rolls on, we have Week two

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Speaker 1: to look forward to with our early picks.

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Speaker 2: In line movement predictions.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, still licking my wounds a

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Speaker 1: little bit. Great start to the week three and zero

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Speaker 1: turned out pretty sour thanks to some of the blue

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Speaker 1: bloods not coming through for the kid. I am joined

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Speaker 1: by a man though, who I believe had a pretty

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Speaker 1: up weekend despite his Texas Longhorns losing. That is the

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Speaker 1: never better Scott Bogman. Boggs, how are you?

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Speaker 2: How are you? As we shift gears into Week two action?

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Speaker 3: My friend Yeah, obviously Saturday was not very happy with

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Speaker 3: my Longhorns results. Disgusting game offensively, penalties in the very

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Speaker 3: worst times. Defense look good and really like the hype

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Speaker 3: the all off season was Arch and Arch is the

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Speaker 3: reason why the long Runs lost that game. So that

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Speaker 3: was a tough one to swallow. But I mean Texas

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Speaker 3: can still in the SEC still really good team once

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Speaker 3: Arch gets rolling. You know, you have to play the

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Speaker 3: defending national champions. Week one on the road is a

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Speaker 3: tough test. But that was awful. But look my picks

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Speaker 3: were five and four, my props for six and three,

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Speaker 3: My leans were four and four. My Wednesday picks were

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Speaker 3: two and one. Yeah, I didn't get my favorite bet

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Speaker 3: that Indiana game. That Indiana game is like the exact

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Speaker 3: you know process over results that we want. Yeah, because

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Speaker 3: it was two big plays by Oldminion, one bad play

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Speaker 3: by Indiana. I could have been thirty four zip, but

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Speaker 3: we'll get into that when we get there. It's just

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Speaker 3: I'm still it still chaps me. But I got there,

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Speaker 3: So that was fun.

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Speaker 2: There you go.

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Speaker 1: All right, Well, today's program does look like this will

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Speaker 1: recap week one and all the action that came with it,

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Speaker 1: and then we'll break down the early picks and line

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Speaker 1: movement predictions four week twos, Top ten biggest games on

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Speaker 1: the slate. As always, shout to everyone who's back with us,

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Speaker 1: either on the bank crro's YouTube channel or the audio feed.

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Speaker 1: We really appreciate you hanging out with us. The easiest

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Speaker 1: free way to support us. Give this video a thumbs

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Speaker 1: up If you enjoy this type of content. Also make

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Speaker 1: sure if you're new, you should be subscribing so you

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Speaker 1: don't miss a moment of college football betting content coming

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Speaker 1: for you this season. Let's go ahead and look back

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Speaker 1: at what was a fantastic Week one. On Thursday, we

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Speaker 1: had South Florida beat number twenty five Boise State thirty

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Speaker 1: four to seven, and then support coaching decisions push Georgia

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Speaker 1: Tech pass Colorado twenty seven to twenty. On Friday, Ohio State,

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Speaker 1: as you mentioned, they defend the Shoe fourteen to seven

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Speaker 1: against the Texas Longhorns. Florida State upsets number eight Alabama

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Speaker 1: thirty one seventeen, maybe the shocker of the entire season

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Speaker 1: thus far. Number nine LSU surgis late past Clemson seventeen

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Speaker 1: to ten. Number four Tennessee still looks like they have

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Speaker 1: it with a new quarterback at play forty five twenty

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Speaker 1: six over the Orange and then South Carolina on Sunday

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Speaker 1: they got it going twenty four eleven over VA Tech

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Speaker 1: and Miami they take down the Irish twenty seven twenty four.

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Speaker 1: So bog before I get your full reaction to the Slate,

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Speaker 1: who were your biggest risers and followers when it comes

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Speaker 1: to the betting markets moving forward.

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Speaker 3: Of Florida State. I mean, Florida State looked so good. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: this is this is a thing that concerned me. And

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Speaker 3: then you were on it, Terrell Is on it. I

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Speaker 3: was like, I'm being a coward. Alabama is definitely gonna

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Speaker 3: beat the crap out of Florida State. We we kind

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Speaker 3: of forgot about the revenge that Florida State wanted for

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Speaker 3: being pushed out of the playoff by Alabama a couple

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Speaker 3: of years ago, right, like that was motivating, and we

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Speaker 3: talked about, you know, the change in offensive coordinator for

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Speaker 3: Alabama two with Ryan Grubb coming over. It's a new system,

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Speaker 3: a new quarterback. We should have respected roster strength, I

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Speaker 3: think a little bit more, because, yes, while Florida State

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Speaker 3: is down and they were two and ten last year,

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Speaker 3: the perennial great roster, right, kids always want to go

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Speaker 3: to Florida State and play there. And you know now

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Speaker 3: that they have a quarterback who backed up all that

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Speaker 3: smack talk in Tommy Castiano's that was a boy. That

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Speaker 3: was a fun game to watch if you didn't put

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Speaker 3: too much money. I didn't put too much on it,

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Speaker 3: so it was kind of a funny game. To me,

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Speaker 3: but I know you were not having a good time, seth.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean shout out to the Florida State

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Speaker 1: fans man. They showed up in spades. I know that

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Speaker 1: stadium has been having some renovations over the past few seasons,

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Speaker 1: so they been able to fill it up. But it

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Speaker 1: seems like the crowd really got to a young Ty

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Speaker 1: Simpson there for Alabama. I liked what I saw at

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Speaker 1: a high as far as like pocket awareness, right, but

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Speaker 1: he was just a little bit late, especially when trying

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Speaker 1: to throw over the middle. It felt like, and you know,

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Speaker 1: there's some rumors coming out now that a lot of

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Speaker 1: things were you know, maybe not super cleaned up at

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Speaker 1: the night before at the Alabama hotel, and maybe that

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Speaker 1: led some of the lethargic gameplay we saw from the

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Speaker 1: defenders in that one. So tough all around kids, Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's always tough and you don't want to bury anyone.

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Speaker 1: A couple other my risers and followers that I put

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Speaker 1: out here on socials earlier today, Bogs Virginia. I thought

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Speaker 1: they looked great. Beat the guitar out of Coast, We'll

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Speaker 1: talk about.

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Speaker 3: That looked real bad too. I think that's a little call,

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Speaker 3: may little call and B. But yeah, Virginia definitely looks.

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Speaker 2: Improved Utah Utah looked awso.

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Speaker 3: Baby, how do they not searched immediately the favorite for

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Speaker 3: the Big twelve? I mean they are, they have to

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Speaker 3: be right now, I means up there, so I think

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Speaker 3: about very good. But everything that Drell said was correct

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Speaker 3: about Utah. And you know, I missed the under on

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Speaker 3: that game by a point and a half. I did

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Speaker 3: not think that Utah was going to be that good offensively.

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Speaker 3: I thought defensively they'd be good. I thought a new

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Speaker 3: quarterback mayb would take a little bit with another P

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Speaker 3: four defense and UCLA, but nope, UCLA was not an

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Speaker 3: issue for Utah at all.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and speaking of the Big twelve, man Kansas State

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Speaker 1: just narrowly surviving a major upset to an FCS team.

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Speaker 3: So North Dakota's a really really good Yes, they are

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Speaker 3: now I'll say this. Iowa State played another really good

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Speaker 3: FCS team and beat the Brakes off, so I would

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Speaker 3: say definitely a better team than Kansas State right now,

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Speaker 3: specifically without Dylan Edwards. We'll see if he's back soon. Here.

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Speaker 1: Any final thoughts, any final touts, any victory laps and

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Speaker 1: he you know, would have been could have bins for you,

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Speaker 1: bogs for me, like shout out to the Buffalo Bulls

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Speaker 1: and the Gophers on Thursday night that they couldn't score

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Speaker 1: any points.

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Speaker 2: That was great.

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Speaker 1: And then Deon Sanders man, I mean, what a story Like.

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Speaker 1: I don't think everyone knew how much he was going

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Speaker 1: through this offseason.

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Speaker 3: With an enormous amount.

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Speaker 1: Yes, I mean, so I'm so happy he's back, but

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Speaker 1: definitely some really bad blunders to walk out of that

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Speaker 1: game with two timeouts in your back pocket. After Haines

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Speaker 1: King just keeps going down the field scoring with his legs.

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Speaker 1: They didn't have much other offense there, lost their top I.

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Speaker 2: Mean, what was with these top wide receivers going down too?

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Speaker 1: We had Antonio Williams, we had Malik Rutherford going down

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Speaker 1: before they even got touched.

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Speaker 2: Fell lot like Dylan Edwards there in week one.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I mean, you know, just when you get

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Speaker 3: out there and you start giving everything, you've got hamstrings,

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Speaker 3: old injuries, get back out, plus you know, get all

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Speaker 3: the equipment on. It's still really hot right now, so yeah,

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Speaker 3: there's conditioning things going on for everybody, and injuries happened.

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Speaker 3: But I mean the Uh, Trell and I were dming

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Speaker 3: during that game because you were you were out. You're like,

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna watch it later, don't send me messages. So

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Speaker 3: it was Trell and I and uh, your boy, your

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Speaker 3: boy Haines King had that fumbled snap and uh, and

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Speaker 3: Trell started giving me garbage. He was like, he was like,

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Speaker 3: your boy Haines King looks shaky, and I'm like, that's

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Speaker 3: Seth's guy, right, And then at the end of the game,

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Speaker 3: I was like, I'm pretty sure we're all Haines King

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Speaker 3: guys now. So, uh, he was outstanding in that game. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: that was that one. Was a lot of fun and

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Speaker 3: nice back and forth game. South Florida looks so good.

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Speaker 3: I think it's a little trappy. This week we're going

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Speaker 3: to talk about that game.

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Speaker 2: We'll talk about it.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, there's a lot of takeaways from Week one

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Speaker 3: and they're not complete. We're not done being surprised yet.

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Speaker 3: And I think if there's anything that you've learned, anyone

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Speaker 3: has learned from a Week one, and you'll learn it

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Speaker 3: every year if you don't know it, last year was

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Speaker 3: last year. This year is a completely new year. Ignore

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Speaker 3: last year. And that's those trends. If you followed the

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Speaker 3: trend to Brian Kelly losing openers, you lost that game, yeah.

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Speaker 1: You know, or Alabama winning every opener since what two

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Speaker 1: thousand and one or something crazy.

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Speaker 3: So lots of busted trends, and this is why.

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Speaker 1: We say, you know, it's always good to try to

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Speaker 1: go in a little conservatively. We grow as our betting

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Speaker 1: cards do throughout the season. We talked about that in

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Speaker 1: the Strategies episode. However, it is tough right because we're

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Speaker 1: staring down down the barrel. We haven't been able to

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Speaker 1: bet college football live action in month, so got it.

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Speaker 3: It's a trigger finger. That's all understandable.

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Speaker 2: Yep, yep.

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Speaker 1: So it's growing, right, that's part of the process. Let's

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Speaker 1: go ahead, though, bogs. Let's turn the page here to

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Speaker 1: our Week two early picks and line movement predictions. And

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Speaker 1: please keep in mind everyone that these odds and rankings

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Speaker 1: are courtesy as of Monday, so if something changes by

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Speaker 1: the time this hits the wire, just kind of keep

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Speaker 1: that in mind that we're trying to be as most

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Speaker 1: up to date as we can. And let's start right

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Speaker 1: there in the noonslate where the Baylor Bears they hope

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Speaker 1: to get back on track Saturday, when they are two

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Speaker 1: and a half to three and a half point underdogs

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Speaker 1: to the sixteenth ranked SMU Mustangs. Baylor coming off that

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Speaker 1: thirty eight to twenty four loss to Auburn at home

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Speaker 1: in Week one, but they did have the third most

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Speaker 1: returning production in the country coming back, including Sawyer robertson

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Speaker 1: six straight wins to end the regular season last year

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Speaker 1: as well, So so much hope for this Baylor program. SMU,

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Speaker 1: on the other hand, they have eight starters returning from

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Speaker 1: their surprise CFP run last year, including quarterback Kevin Jennings,

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Speaker 1: but they mostly have a pretty new defense that allowed

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Speaker 1: East Texas A and M.

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Speaker 2: That is a school.

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Speaker 1: I did check Bogs three hundred and fifty one total

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Speaker 1: yards a one fourth down conversion rate on three attempts

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Speaker 1: as well. So after opening at six and a half,

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Speaker 1: where do you think this line is heading for two

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Speaker 1: teams who failed to cover it in Week one and

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Speaker 1: have not met in nearly ten years.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's already from what I looked yesterday on Sunday,

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Speaker 3: it is already down half a point towards Baylor, So

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Speaker 3: I think money might flow towards Baylor. I think it's

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Speaker 3: going to be pretty stuck in this two and a

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Speaker 3: half to three and a half range. Though Baylor struggled

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Speaker 3: to stop the run, and I know SMU's defense did

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Speaker 3: not look the same either. But Baylor struggled to stop

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Speaker 3: the run. They allowed three hundred and seven rushing yards

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Speaker 3: to Auburn right and they had a major defensive lineman,

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Speaker 3: Jackie Marshall, go down with a high ankle sprain early.

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Speaker 3: So SMU last season ran at a fifty three percent pace.

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Speaker 3: Kevin Jennings doesn't rely on his legs nearly as much

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Speaker 3: as Jackson Arnold, but he can pull it down and

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Speaker 3: run with it whenever whenever he needs to. I think

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Speaker 3: the real difference here in this game to me is

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Speaker 3: the SMUO line versus the Baylor defensive line. We saw

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Speaker 3: the Barrel defensive line not be able to stop anything

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Speaker 3: that Auburn through at them. You know, they are a

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Speaker 3: good team. I think they you know, a couple bounces

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Speaker 3: go their way, they could win this game. That's why

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Speaker 3: this line is very close. But I just see what

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Speaker 3: Jackson Arnold did to them last week. I know Kevin

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Speaker 3: Jennings can do a lot of the same I think

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Speaker 3: I'm going to take SMU and lay the points here.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's keep it moving.

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Speaker 1: But first I did want to remind everyone that you

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Speaker 1: can track line movement in real time with the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros app. Download the free Betting Pros app for iOS

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Speaker 1: find winning trends and profitable opportunities. Get a seven day

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Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash apps, using the code juice and

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00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:13,600
Speaker 1: activating your trial on the upgrade screen. The Syhawk Trophy

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Speaker 1: is backup for grabs at noon on Saturday, as the

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Speaker 1: Iowa Hawkeys will travel to Aims to battle the twenty

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Speaker 1: second ranked Iowa State Cyclones. The Hawkeys failed to cover

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Speaker 1: against Albany in the opener, but they did get the

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Speaker 1: thirty four to seven win.

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Speaker 2: Kind of impressive considering it.

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Speaker 1: Was South Dakota State transfer Mark Gronowski as the quarterback

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Speaker 1: in his first start as a Hawkey. They're also replacing

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Speaker 1: running back Caleb Johnson and six starters on that defense.

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Speaker 1: Iowa State, meanwhile, they come in just absolutely hot out

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Speaker 1: of the gates here this year. Covered in two straight games.

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Speaker 1: They beat Kansas State in Dublin in Week zero as

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Speaker 1: three and a half point dogs, and then they beat

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Speaker 1: up on South Dakota State fifty five to seven. They

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Speaker 1: were only sixteen half point favorites. I thought about maybe

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Speaker 1: laying that, but you know, we kind of talked to

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Speaker 1: I think it most maybe even off camera with Trell

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Speaker 1: that sometimes coming back there from Dublin, you know, sometimes

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Speaker 1: there's gonna be trapped games. But Iowa State they kept

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Speaker 1: it clean.

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Speaker 2: Man. They won this game last year.

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Speaker 1: But this is a rivalry Bogman that we know bounces

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Speaker 1: back and forth, back and forth. Four straight seasons of

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Speaker 1: that usually pretty low scoring affair. And the total tells

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Speaker 1: you that as well. So Iowa State is a three

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Speaker 1: and a half to three point favorite. Do you think

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Speaker 1: that remains the same by kickoff?

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Speaker 3: Man, Yeah, I think that's probably gonna be about where

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Speaker 3: it lands. I don't think, you know, maybe get out

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Speaker 3: to four, four and a half, but I don't that's.

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Speaker 2: Usually don't see it with this game.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, this is going to be a tight game.

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Speaker 3: To me. I think the total has already moved down

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Speaker 3: a point. I'm trying to get that as quickly as

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Speaker 3: I can. I kind of like Iowa State, and if

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Speaker 3: you're gonna take a team in this game, I mean,

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Speaker 3: if you want Iowa, fine take the points. But if

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Speaker 3: you want Iowa State, just take the money line. That's

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Speaker 3: what I would say. Just take them the win straight up.

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Speaker 3: There's weird bounces in this game. This game is just

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Speaker 3: always defensive. I feel like as well, you know, Iowa

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Speaker 3: unders haven't been the the track star that they used

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Speaker 3: to be. But I think for this game, I think

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Speaker 3: this is a game that I like the under. I'm

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Speaker 3: going to lean towards Iowa State on the money line

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Speaker 3: and leaning towards the under right now. I did see

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Speaker 3: some people calling for the over, so maybe we'll get

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Speaker 3: an investment in the over here and we can get

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Speaker 3: it to balloon up. But it has already come down

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Speaker 3: one point, and the betting right now very still too early, right,

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Speaker 3: but it's heavy on the under. So if you want

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Speaker 3: the under, you may need to get it now. But

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Speaker 3: I don't know. I do think that because of the

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Speaker 3: trend of Iowa hitting some overs recently, that's going to

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Speaker 3: go back up. But if Mark Gronowski's gonna be eight

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Speaker 3: for fifteen with less than fifty yards against Albany, I,

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Speaker 3: you know it has to improve against Ioa State because

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Speaker 3: that's just miserable. But how much better I think. I

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Speaker 3: think Iowa he doesn't score a lot, but I think

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Speaker 3: their defense is still strong, so I think this is

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Speaker 3: just a low scoring, muddy, gross game.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I might be looking like Iowa State maybe for

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Speaker 1: like a team total over or something, or in Iowa

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Speaker 1: under Like I do agree with you. I think Iowa

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Speaker 1: State should win this game, but it's just something I

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Speaker 1: don't feel confident enough I think to get invested with

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Speaker 1: right now. But we'll kind of see how the week

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Speaker 1: shakes out for us and goes along. But I definitely

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Speaker 1: do like potentially getting invested somehow, maybe in a team total.

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Speaker 1: Staying in that noonslate though, we do have the number

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Speaker 1: twelve Illinois fighting Aliini traveling to face the Duke Blue

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Speaker 1: Devils under the direction of triggerman Luke Altmeyer.

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Speaker 2: Illinois.

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Speaker 1: They finished ten and three last season, fifth in the

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Speaker 1: Big ten, and they've returned sixteen starters, that is the

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Speaker 1: second most in the Power for They also covered in

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Speaker 1: four straight to end last season. They covered in Week

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Speaker 1: one again against Western Illinois, winning fifty two to three. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 1: Manny Diaz He took the reins for Duke last year,

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Speaker 1: coming over from State, leading them to a nine to

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Speaker 1: four record, seventh in the ACC. Darien Mensa he is

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Speaker 1: now taking over from Alik Murphy, who transferred Mensa coming

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Speaker 1: in from Tulane, joining eleven returning starters. They failed to

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Speaker 1: cover the spread against Elon, but they.

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Speaker 2: Did cruise to the over in that one.

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Speaker 1: So Boggs the I opened as one and a half

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Speaker 1: point favorites that has since moved to a two and

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Speaker 1: a half three point line. Does that continue to move

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Speaker 1: in that direction you think this week?

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Speaker 3: I think it should, and I just I do like

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Speaker 3: Duke this year. I think when Duke gets a good quarterback,

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Speaker 3: they're a good team. And I do think Darian Mensa

340
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Speaker 3: is a good quarterback. I think he's going to do

341
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Speaker 3: strong things for this Duke offense, more than Malik Murphy

342
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Speaker 3: did for this Yes, I agree, but this is a

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Speaker 3: too tall of attest, too soon into his reign here

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Speaker 3: at Duke. So you know you mentioned about the starter's

345
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Speaker 3: fourth and total returning production, fourth on offense, tenth on

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Speaker 3: defense for Illinois, And what I really didn't like from

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Speaker 3: that I saw from Duke in that game against Elon

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Speaker 3: where you mentioned they did not cover. They gave up

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Speaker 3: one hundred and sixty three rushing yards. Oh wow to Elon, Right,

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Speaker 3: what is Illinois gonna put up on this Duke defense?

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Speaker 3: If they're gonna play like that against Elon? I think

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Speaker 3: Illinois is going to possess the ball of bunch. They

353
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Speaker 3: have a strong defense. I think if they get on

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Speaker 3: a lead, it's going to be hard for men's that

355
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Speaker 3: have come back on them. So to me, this is Illinois.

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Speaker 3: I also kind of like the under. I think, you know,

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Speaker 3: Illinois is a team that plays for the slow pace.

358
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Speaker 3: They run a bunch. I think they're going to control

359
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Speaker 3: the clock. So I'm big on Illinois in the under

360
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Speaker 3: this week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think if I had to make a play

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Speaker 1: on this game, it would be the under. And for me, Bogs, like,

363
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Speaker 1: would you suggest getting on Illinois now while we still

364
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Speaker 1: have a ticket that's less than a field goal out there? I?

365
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Speaker 3: Yeah, if you could get it right right now, and

366
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Speaker 3: it's less than a field goal, I would do it immediately.

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Speaker 1: All right, Well, we have an SEC clash in Lexington

368
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Speaker 1: at three point thirty with the nonumber twenty one Ole

369
00:18:00,840 --> 00:18:04,640
Speaker 1: miss Rebels on the road against Kentucky Lane Kiffin's ReBs.

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Speaker 1: They finished ten and three last season, fifth in the SEC,

371
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Speaker 1: but gone our Jackson, Dart Walter, Nolan, Trey Harris, Trey Amos,

372
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Speaker 1: among some others as well, so we now. Sophomore quarterback

373
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Speaker 1: Austin Simmons, highly touted coming into this one, made his

374
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Speaker 1: starting debut in Week one, winning and covering against Georgia

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Speaker 1: State sixty three to seven.

376
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Speaker 2: Kentucky.

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Speaker 1: Meanwhile, they got their season jump started with a twenty

378
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Speaker 1: four to sixteen win against Toledo, but left the back

379
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Speaker 1: do were open baby, for those pesky Brockets.

380
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Speaker 2: It's alright, it's alright.

381
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Speaker 4: We were on the opposite sides of that game, so

382
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Speaker 4: I understand the Rockets actually outgained the Wildcats as well,

383
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Speaker 4: and despite big days from Dante Dowdell and Seth McGowan,

384
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Speaker 4: the running backs from Kentucky, they were kind of banged

385
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Speaker 4: up coming into that one, so was surprised to see

386
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Speaker 4: them run as well as they did.

387
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Speaker 2: But big Zach Calzada just ten.

388
00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:00,679
Speaker 1: Of twenty three eighty five yards and a pick in

389
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Speaker 1: his return to FBS football. This spread open to nine

390
00:19:04,080 --> 00:19:06,800
Speaker 1: and a half points, and it has grown to ten

391
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Speaker 1: ten and a half.

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Speaker 2: At most places as well.

393
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Speaker 1: So Boggs, do you think this continues to move and

394
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Speaker 1: get wide open here?

395
00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:13,639
Speaker 2: For ole Miss?

396
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Speaker 3: First of all, I just want to shout out to

397
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Speaker 3: you being on Toledo. I got it leon and a

398
00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:25,159
Speaker 3: half early and that safety host me And whose fault

399
00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:27,719
Speaker 3: was that? It was Zach Calzatta's fault. It wasn't the

400
00:19:27,760 --> 00:19:30,719
Speaker 3: defense's fault, which is why I was betting on this team.

401
00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:33,760
Speaker 3: I thought, Eh, cals Lotta is good enough. Like I

402
00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:36,399
Speaker 3: was like, this, dude's gonna put up you know, twenty

403
00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:41,359
Speaker 3: four to thirty points something like that. That's gonna be fine. Nope, miserable. Uh.

404
00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:44,240
Speaker 3: We need to be able to separate the overlook games

405
00:19:44,280 --> 00:19:45,919
Speaker 3: in the games that Kentucky will show up for.

406
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Speaker 1: Right.

407
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Speaker 3: This is something that has been a problem. So they

408
00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:54,520
Speaker 3: clearly overlooked Toledo for ole Miss. But that being said,

409
00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:58,159
Speaker 3: that offense under Calzatta looked so bad. The defense was

410
00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:01,399
Speaker 3: strong enough to win the game, but they will have

411
00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:04,119
Speaker 3: to do the heavy lifting now. Ole Miss has a

412
00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:06,200
Speaker 3: lot of changes as you mentioned ninety fifth and total

413
00:20:06,280 --> 00:20:09,919
Speaker 3: returning production, but they still have a roster strength inside

414
00:20:09,920 --> 00:20:13,720
Speaker 3: the top thirty right and under Lane Kiffin. They lost

415
00:20:13,760 --> 00:20:17,520
Speaker 3: to Kentucky last year at home. Remember that game. So

416
00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:20,800
Speaker 3: every game that Lane Kiffin has coached at ole Miss

417
00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:23,560
Speaker 3: where they played Kentucky, has been a tight one. But

418
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:26,960
Speaker 3: this game, look, I'm gonna buck that trend right. Ole

419
00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:31,159
Speaker 3: Miss should stomp Kentucky into the ground. This is not

420
00:20:31,280 --> 00:20:33,960
Speaker 3: a very good team. Calzada was ten to twenty three.

421
00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:36,560
Speaker 3: They got twenty six percent of their yards on that

422
00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:39,600
Speaker 3: doubtle touchdown run of seventy nine yards. None of the

423
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:43,560
Speaker 3: trends should matter for this one. I think I'm just

424
00:20:44,080 --> 00:20:46,640
Speaker 3: When Lane Kiffin was a OC for Bama, they did

425
00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:50,320
Speaker 3: smack down Kentucky, so he's beat Kentucky bad in his

426
00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:53,960
Speaker 3: coaching career, just not as the head coach of ole Miss.

427
00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:56,360
Speaker 3: I think this is the year. I do not believe

428
00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:58,600
Speaker 3: in this Kentucky team at all. They are at home.

429
00:20:59,359 --> 00:21:02,840
Speaker 3: The trend say that you should like Kentucky. I watched

430
00:21:02,880 --> 00:21:05,520
Speaker 3: Kentucky play last week and I do not like anything

431
00:21:05,560 --> 00:21:08,520
Speaker 3: about them. The defense is okay, but that offense is

432
00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:11,280
Speaker 3: so far behind. I just don't think it's gonna keep

433
00:21:11,320 --> 00:21:11,920
Speaker 3: him in this game.

434
00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:14,480
Speaker 1: Even with all the SEC bias that was on the

435
00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:17,800
Speaker 1: SEC network coverage of that game, It's still like Kentucky

436
00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:20,480
Speaker 1: is still pretty mid for me though, Bogs Like I

437
00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:23,199
Speaker 1: do want to go with Old Miss here, but I

438
00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:26,320
Speaker 1: just have the same memory of last year's upset. Right,

439
00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:29,600
Speaker 1: fifteen and a half point Dogs in Oxford. I think

440
00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:31,560
Speaker 1: the best play in this game, and talk me out

441
00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:34,240
Speaker 1: of it, maybe the under fifty two and a half

442
00:21:34,320 --> 00:21:35,280
Speaker 1: right now, I think.

443
00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:37,920
Speaker 3: That's still money that Old Miss will put up because

444
00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:40,680
Speaker 3: they don't. They don't come off the gas. Right.

445
00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:43,040
Speaker 1: You make a good point, But like you got to

446
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:45,600
Speaker 1: keep in mind too, the last two matchups between these

447
00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:49,959
Speaker 1: two averages thirty nine points, and those games had Jackson

448
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:52,560
Speaker 1: Dart in him. One of them also quit Shaw Judkins

449
00:21:52,640 --> 00:21:55,440
Speaker 1: was in the backfield with Dart. So there are a

450
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:58,000
Speaker 1: few things I will give Kentucky credit for last week.

451
00:21:58,080 --> 00:22:01,800
Speaker 1: One Kroger Field, that place was rocking, man, that place

452
00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:04,400
Speaker 1: was rocking. You could see it getting it Toledo's way

453
00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:08,400
Speaker 1: early on. There also, their defense was forcing turnovers. That's

454
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:10,840
Speaker 1: how Kentucky got on the board very quickly. Right off

455
00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:13,119
Speaker 1: the rip is Toledo turn it over? Plus they can

456
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:15,760
Speaker 1: run the ball man. Those running backs were getting after it.

457
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:19,480
Speaker 1: So I liked some sheed clock here potentially, And while

458
00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:22,720
Speaker 1: I do think Austin Simmons is a promising young quarterback,

459
00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:25,280
Speaker 1: how many times last week did we see for these

460
00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:28,240
Speaker 1: ranked teams with young quarterbacks get off to slow start.

461
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:30,399
Speaker 1: So maybe in a first half under is potentially in

462
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:32,280
Speaker 1: play for me, But I definitely think I'm gonna go

463
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,680
Speaker 1: under on the total. But there is always the risk

464
00:22:34,720 --> 00:22:37,040
Speaker 1: that Lane likes to do what Lane likes to do,

465
00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:39,840
Speaker 1: whether that's on his Twitter account, whether that's on the field.

466
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:41,400
Speaker 1: We see it week in and week out.

467
00:22:41,840 --> 00:22:43,600
Speaker 3: It would also make a lot of sense for Zach

468
00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:46,360
Speaker 3: Calzada to screw me back to back to this right

469
00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:49,439
Speaker 3: like week one and week two, to get me exactly

470
00:22:49,520 --> 00:22:51,760
Speaker 3: both sides of it, picking for him and against him.

471
00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:53,640
Speaker 3: So that would make a lot of sense as well.

472
00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:56,040
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, Well do you want to track all

473
00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:58,560
Speaker 1: your wagers in one place? Well, check out the betting

474
00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:02,120
Speaker 1: pros pick trackers up with your sportsbooks to tally which

475
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:04,960
Speaker 1: picks are hitting and which picks are missing. Plus, it

476
00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:07,119
Speaker 1: gives you a live look at what the public is doing,

477
00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:10,000
Speaker 1: so you can use real time tracking to determine which

478
00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:13,040
Speaker 1: play to make and which to fate. Track your picks

479
00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:17,200
Speaker 1: today with the Betting Prospicktracker at bettingpros dot com, slash

480
00:23:17,359 --> 00:23:22,560
Speaker 1: tracking or on the Betting Pros app. Another cross conference

481
00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:25,879
Speaker 1: clash comes into the three point thirty slate, with the

482
00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:29,879
Speaker 1: Kansas Jayhawks traveling to Columbia to take on the Missouri Tigers.

483
00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:33,480
Speaker 1: After a pretty disappointing five and seven season for Lance

484
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:36,760
Speaker 1: Leipold's group Rock Chalk, They're off to a hot Tunoh

485
00:23:36,800 --> 00:23:39,920
Speaker 1: start one on one ats, winning thirty one to seventeen

486
00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:42,600
Speaker 1: against Fresno in Week zero and then forty six to

487
00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:45,879
Speaker 1: seven against Wagner in Week one. Of course, they are

488
00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:49,680
Speaker 1: led still by dual threat quarterback Jalen Daniels and Missouri.

489
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:51,800
Speaker 2: They're coming off a ten to three season fourth in

490
00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:52,480
Speaker 2: the SEC.

491
00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:56,040
Speaker 1: However, I'd say that was a pretty disappointing result given

492
00:23:56,080 --> 00:23:58,720
Speaker 1: they were a preseason top five ranked team last year.

493
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:02,520
Speaker 1: The defense there turning eight starters, the offense has five back,

494
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:05,120
Speaker 1: but they are saying goodbye to their two top rushers,

495
00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:07,800
Speaker 1: veteran quarterback Brady Cook, who's banged up a lot of

496
00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:11,119
Speaker 1: last season, and then second round NFL draft pick Luther Burden.

497
00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:13,680
Speaker 1: The third they would go into the portal, they got

498
00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:17,720
Speaker 1: Penn State transfer Bo Privola and crossport athlete Sam Horn,

499
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:20,840
Speaker 1: who was drafted by the Dodgers in this year's MLB draft.

500
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:23,680
Speaker 2: It was supposed to be a competition, however.

501
00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:26,959
Speaker 1: Privola got the start, looked great against Central Arkansas, completed

502
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 1: eighty two percent of his passes two hundred and eighty

503
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:31,960
Speaker 1: one yards two touchdowns, and then added another two touchdowns

504
00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:34,760
Speaker 1: on the ground sixty five yards as well. If you

505
00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:37,760
Speaker 1: like Miszoo, you can get them from anywhere between a

506
00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:40,960
Speaker 1: six and a six and a half point favorite. This

507
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:43,760
Speaker 1: was right around the five and a half mark this morning, though,

508
00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:44,840
Speaker 1: So Boggs.

509
00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:46,600
Speaker 2: Do we continue to see money come in on the

510
00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:47,920
Speaker 2: Tigers this week? You think?

511
00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 3: I kind of think so. I think when you think

512
00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:55,880
Speaker 3: Kansas versus the SEC, right, I think the main thing

513
00:24:56,000 --> 00:25:00,160
Speaker 3: is just the names, right, Missouri's and SEC school. By

514
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:02,120
Speaker 3: the way, the roster strength kind of bears that out

515
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:06,080
Speaker 3: as well. It's eighteen for Missouri to sixty while for Kansas.

516
00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:09,640
Speaker 3: So Missouri just a really good squad that hasn't really

517
00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:13,240
Speaker 3: put it together recently. I like your boy, bo. Prebula

518
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:15,800
Speaker 3: looked really good last week, feeling in for Sam Horn.

519
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:17,800
Speaker 3: I think Sam Horne was supposed to start that game,

520
00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:20,280
Speaker 3: got hurt or sick or something. Before the game, I

521
00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:24,960
Speaker 3: didn't play. My Missouri buddy was very, very excited about Prebula.

522
00:25:26,040 --> 00:25:29,200
Speaker 3: I drafted Zolors in a CFF league, so I'm excited

523
00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:32,640
Speaker 3: about him too. But you know, I think this defense

524
00:25:32,680 --> 00:25:36,520
Speaker 3: the top ten in defensive returning production. They're at home,

525
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:39,840
Speaker 3: they have the much higher ross rating. Kansas like this

526
00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:42,800
Speaker 3: one might be close. I think in the first half, right,

527
00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:46,080
Speaker 3: Kansas has already played two games, they've ironed out some

528
00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:50,720
Speaker 3: of the issues already, and Missouri's only played one game

529
00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:53,200
Speaker 3: against a much much weaker opponent. It's two weaker opponents

530
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:56,800
Speaker 3: for Kansas, of course too. But I just I think

531
00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:59,399
Speaker 3: this is a I'm gonna lean Missouri in this game.

532
00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:03,479
Speaker 3: I'll lean the over for the game, maybe the first

533
00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:07,560
Speaker 3: half under I don't know. I really don't love this game.

534
00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:11,480
Speaker 3: If I'm picking anything, it's Missouri. But this is also

535
00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 3: the Border War. This is a throw the you know,

536
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:17,560
Speaker 3: in the first time we're getting it since twenty eleven, Right,

537
00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:20,359
Speaker 3: so emotions are gonna be high for both these teams

538
00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:24,160
Speaker 3: going into Week two. It's not my favorite game. I'll

539
00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:27,919
Speaker 3: pick Missouri. I'll lean Missouri in the over. Don't like

540
00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:28,720
Speaker 3: it very much.

541
00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:30,280
Speaker 1: Though, when I think if you want the Tigers, you

542
00:26:30,320 --> 00:26:32,240
Speaker 1: have to get in now, right, I feel like that's

543
00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:33,440
Speaker 1: probably what we're looking at.

544
00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:35,360
Speaker 2: It's probably gonna as probably wait.

545
00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:38,679
Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, all right, and what a treat we have

546
00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:42,000
Speaker 1: here in Gainesville where with the fifteenth ranked Florida Gators,

547
00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:44,160
Speaker 1: they're laying sixteen and a half to eighteen a half

548
00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:47,800
Speaker 1: points on the South Florida Bulls. South Florida they rolled

549
00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:50,720
Speaker 1: over a top twenty five ranked team in Boise State

550
00:26:51,080 --> 00:26:54,760
Speaker 1: in Week one, winning thirty four to seven. With Byron Brown,

551
00:26:55,000 --> 00:26:57,120
Speaker 1: he was back under center. He looked great, he ran

552
00:26:57,200 --> 00:27:00,360
Speaker 1: for two touchdowns, had this offense and averaging.

553
00:27:00,119 --> 00:27:01,760
Speaker 2: Over seven yards a clip.

554
00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:04,720
Speaker 1: And after a long second half where they covered eight

555
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:07,080
Speaker 1: of their last nine games, I feel like the hype

556
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:08,480
Speaker 1: for the Florida Gayors.

557
00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:09,879
Speaker 2: Is just really really beginning.

558
00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:13,320
Speaker 1: And they're led, of course by sophomore quarterback Heights Bean

559
00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:17,600
Speaker 1: hopeful DJ Lagway health was kind of the major concern

560
00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:20,120
Speaker 1: for him coming into the season. Wasn't always out there

561
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:22,280
Speaker 1: in spring, didn't play in the spring game at one

562
00:27:22,320 --> 00:27:24,880
Speaker 1: hundred percent, but he looked fine and Florida's fifty five

563
00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:28,080
Speaker 1: to zero win over l Iu I mean talk about

564
00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:31,159
Speaker 1: some bad Week one matchups, man, Lu? I mean that

565
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:34,480
Speaker 1: is you're scraping the ball on the barrel there, so

566
00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:36,920
Speaker 1: you can't really take much from it other than Lagway

567
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:40,160
Speaker 1: looked healthy. Bogs and these two scoals. They've met twice

568
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:43,639
Speaker 1: since twenty twenty. In twenty twenty two thirty one twenty

569
00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:46,119
Speaker 1: eight Florida that was a twenty six point spread that

570
00:27:46,160 --> 00:27:49,080
Speaker 1: they obviously didn't cover, and then twenty twenty one forty

571
00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:51,000
Speaker 1: two to twenty Florida, again twenty eight and a half

572
00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:53,040
Speaker 1: point spread that they did not cover. So what do

573
00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:56,000
Speaker 1: you think here, man, Like, giving a USF track record

574
00:27:56,040 --> 00:27:59,400
Speaker 1: in this matchup and their big Week one, will there

575
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,879
Speaker 1: be some money coming in on them or can we

576
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:03,480
Speaker 1: maybe wait for a longer number.

577
00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:06,879
Speaker 3: Look, this is a leaddown spot for USF, is it not?

578
00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:11,679
Speaker 3: You beat your main contender for the G six playoff

579
00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:15,080
Speaker 3: spot in Boise State Week one and you beat them down.

580
00:28:15,320 --> 00:28:18,280
Speaker 2: You embarrassed rank by the time we get to Tuesday

581
00:28:18,320 --> 00:28:19,600
Speaker 2: or Wednesday could be.

582
00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:23,000
Speaker 3: So they looked so good. Byron Brown had the two

583
00:28:23,000 --> 00:28:26,400
Speaker 3: big rushing touchdowns. He didn't turn the ball over, they

584
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:29,200
Speaker 3: had the balls. He fake punt? What a fake punt? Oh?

585
00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:31,639
Speaker 3: That was great? Did you hear Golish talking about it?

586
00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:36,360
Speaker 3: He said, Look, we just knew our incoming backup quarterback

587
00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:38,920
Speaker 3: was kind of skinny white guy like the rest of

588
00:28:38,960 --> 00:28:42,280
Speaker 3: the punters, so we assume maybe no one would notice

589
00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:45,280
Speaker 3: him go in there, and nobody did, including me. I

590
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:47,600
Speaker 3: was like, what is happening here? Uh?

591
00:28:47,760 --> 00:28:51,560
Speaker 2: Changed the whole game open momentum? Fully did it?

592
00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:53,520
Speaker 3: Really did? And then we talked about how Goalish is

593
00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:55,120
Speaker 3: so good in the third quarter, and you saw that

594
00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 3: whole second half it was all usf It was not closed.

595
00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:01,120
Speaker 3: So Golish is a very very good co This also

596
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 3: might be a look ahead spot for Florida. You see

597
00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:05,800
Speaker 3: who they're going on the road against the following week

598
00:29:05,840 --> 00:29:11,360
Speaker 3: here le su yep the Tigers. Tigers look like a

599
00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:16,040
Speaker 3: national contender. The Gators look like a national contender. With

600
00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:18,520
Speaker 3: lagway back, they got a top twenty five returning production

601
00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:21,960
Speaker 3: on both sides of the ball Levinton total returning production

602
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:24,880
Speaker 3: for Florida here, I think the number on the game

603
00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:27,920
Speaker 3: is correct, But I think the play in this game

604
00:29:28,000 --> 00:29:32,480
Speaker 3: is the under. USF shouldn't have those explosive big plays.

605
00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:34,320
Speaker 3: I don't think you're gonna see a lot of those,

606
00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:36,280
Speaker 3: you know. I think everybody's gonna be ready for their

607
00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:38,520
Speaker 3: fake punt now, right, Yeah, So I don't think you

608
00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:42,880
Speaker 3: can unleash that twice you burned it. And I think

609
00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:45,280
Speaker 3: that Florida, once they get on a lead, they're gonna

610
00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:48,120
Speaker 3: want to lean on it and play vanilla. You don't

611
00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:50,400
Speaker 3: want to, like, open up your playbook and show LSU

612
00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 3: a bunch of stuff that you can do for next week.

613
00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:55,520
Speaker 3: You played Long Island. So if you can beat South

614
00:29:55,560 --> 00:29:57,840
Speaker 3: Florida without using some of the you know, your trick

615
00:29:57,880 --> 00:29:59,320
Speaker 3: of your play some of the stuff you've been working

616
00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:01,880
Speaker 3: on the offseason, you can save that for next week.

617
00:30:01,880 --> 00:30:04,479
Speaker 3: I think they get pretty conservative and boring in the

618
00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:06,840
Speaker 3: second half if they're leaning on a lead. So my

619
00:30:06,880 --> 00:30:08,680
Speaker 3: favorite play of the week I think is going to

620
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:10,840
Speaker 3: be the under in this game. Fifty four and a half.

621
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:13,360
Speaker 3: So I just think that I like that USF is

622
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:14,800
Speaker 3: not gonna be able to do what they did against

623
00:30:14,840 --> 00:30:17,880
Speaker 3: Boise State against the Florida defense, and I think once

624
00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:20,880
Speaker 3: Florida gets the lead, they're gonna kind of ratchet it down.

625
00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:23,920
Speaker 3: So under in this game it's my favorite play.

626
00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:26,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, And honestly, I really like the running backs that

627
00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:29,920
Speaker 1: Florida was deploying this past week and late into the

628
00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:32,200
Speaker 1: season last year that they had coming back here. So

629
00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:34,960
Speaker 1: with that and that defense in mind, I think the

630
00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:36,600
Speaker 1: under might be a good play. Fifty four and a

631
00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:38,440
Speaker 1: half does feel like a big number of their bugs,

632
00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:41,160
Speaker 1: so like that that might be something I'm tailing you

633
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:44,200
Speaker 1: on the Week two headliner, though it is the fourteenth

634
00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:47,360
Speaker 1: ranked Michigan Wolverines. They're heading to Norman as a four

635
00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:49,320
Speaker 1: and a half to five and a half point dog

636
00:30:49,800 --> 00:30:53,920
Speaker 1: to the eighteenth ranked Oklahoma Sooners. Michigan was really really

637
00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:57,120
Speaker 1: hard to trust last season, finished eight and five straight

638
00:30:57,200 --> 00:30:58,760
Speaker 1: up six and seven ats.

639
00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:00,760
Speaker 2: Though five star.

640
00:31:00,600 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 1: Recruit number one overall player in the twenty twenty five class,

641
00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:05,520
Speaker 1: Bryce Underwood, we know that he is going to be

642
00:31:05,520 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 1: the starter once again. He got the Week one start

643
00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 1: over Fresno transfer Mikey Keane, which I think was somewhat

644
00:31:11,480 --> 00:31:14,880
Speaker 1: surprising to some folks around the industry and Michigan. They

645
00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:18,840
Speaker 1: also brought in Alabama transfer Justice Haynes in the backfield,

646
00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:21,240
Speaker 1: who went for one hundred and fifty nine yards three touchdowns,

647
00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:24,240
Speaker 1: and last week's home opener against New Mexico where they

648
00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:26,640
Speaker 1: did not cover though winning thirty four to seventeen. I

649
00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:28,320
Speaker 1: think you were on that Justice Haynes.

650
00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:30,960
Speaker 2: Anytime touchdown, right, I think it was on your yuard. Okay, yep.

651
00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:35,200
Speaker 1: And meanwhile, Oklahoma they reloaded this offseason as well. They

652
00:31:35,280 --> 00:31:37,800
Speaker 1: finished six and seven straight up, had that big upset

653
00:31:37,800 --> 00:31:41,120
Speaker 1: winner over Alabama last year, finished thirteenth in the SEC.

654
00:31:41,280 --> 00:31:43,760
Speaker 1: Though they go out they bring all five their starting

655
00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:46,440
Speaker 1: offensive lineman back. They have a new group of wide

656
00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:50,600
Speaker 1: receivers for Wazoo transfer quarterback John Mattier, who led the

657
00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 1: nation in touchdowns responsible for forty four last season. Boggs,

658
00:31:55,200 --> 00:32:00,640
Speaker 1: We've seen this line move tremendously since opening cruisers already, Yeah,

659
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:02,960
Speaker 1: since it opened closer to two and a half points.

660
00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:06,400
Speaker 1: So does it continue that way or do things maybe

661
00:32:06,400 --> 00:32:10,440
Speaker 1: you swing back when money comes in on Big Blue.

662
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:15,960
Speaker 3: I think the thought process is, Look, Oklahoma was pretty

663
00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:18,560
Speaker 3: good last year. They fixed the old line, They fixed

664
00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:21,840
Speaker 3: the quarterback problem. They're good. I think that's the thought.

665
00:32:22,280 --> 00:32:26,560
Speaker 3: I don't believe that. I don't Maybe that's the case,

666
00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:30,320
Speaker 3: but you know, who knows. They have not been tested.

667
00:32:30,400 --> 00:32:33,320
Speaker 3: So such an interesting game. Both teams were way way

668
00:32:33,360 --> 00:32:35,160
Speaker 3: worse on offense than they should have been last year.

669
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:38,160
Speaker 3: Michigan got Underwood. The offense looked much better against New Mexico.

670
00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:42,560
Speaker 3: Oklahoma looked really really good against a decent FCS team

671
00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:45,800
Speaker 3: in Illinois State under new QB dra Mattier. They had

672
00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:48,480
Speaker 3: shade under five hundred yards. They only allowed one hundred

673
00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:52,000
Speaker 3: and fifty one yards, So they look good. And you know,

674
00:32:52,360 --> 00:32:54,600
Speaker 3: better to look good than bad, even if it's against

675
00:32:54,600 --> 00:32:57,640
Speaker 3: some bad opponent. But right, I dug in a little

676
00:32:57,640 --> 00:33:01,479
Speaker 3: deeper on the grades for the ou lineman. This is

677
00:33:01,600 --> 00:33:04,920
Speaker 3: an offensive line that is just so much better in

678
00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:09,520
Speaker 3: pass blocking that it is run blocking interesting. And you know,

679
00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:12,160
Speaker 3: if you can't run the ball against a team like Michigan,

680
00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:14,320
Speaker 3: are you gonna be able to pass? This defensive line

681
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:18,160
Speaker 3: is still very very very good for Michigan, and this

682
00:33:18,280 --> 00:33:21,880
Speaker 3: offensive line they mixed around three pieces. They brought in

683
00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:24,120
Speaker 3: Sexton to play left tackle. He's been hurt. They got

684
00:33:24,120 --> 00:33:28,800
Speaker 3: a true freshman playing right tackle right now, if everything clicks, oh,

685
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:31,440
Speaker 3: you should smack Michigan. They're at home and all that.

686
00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:34,080
Speaker 3: But I'm just not sure that all of these issues

687
00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:36,520
Speaker 3: that we saw last year on the old line are

688
00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:40,240
Speaker 3: fixed for Oklahoma quite yet. So I'm gonna let this

689
00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:44,480
Speaker 3: sit and when it gets up to maybe six and

690
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:47,240
Speaker 3: a half, if it can get over seven, I'm gonna

691
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:49,520
Speaker 3: take Michigan. I'm also gonna take the under because I

692
00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:52,760
Speaker 3: think that, you know, Michigan is also starting a true

693
00:33:52,800 --> 00:33:57,640
Speaker 3: freshman quarterback against a very very good Oklahoma defensive hostyle

694
00:33:57,720 --> 00:34:01,680
Speaker 3: environment too, in a hostile environment exactly, so I don't

695
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:03,440
Speaker 3: think Michigan's going to have a lot on offense. But

696
00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:07,280
Speaker 3: I'm not sure that Oklahoma is fixed just because you know,

697
00:34:07,360 --> 00:34:10,360
Speaker 3: they played Illinois State and beat the brakes off of

698
00:34:10,400 --> 00:34:13,560
Speaker 3: it right one, So this is a true test. This

699
00:34:13,680 --> 00:34:17,640
Speaker 3: is a very very good defensive line still. So yeah,

700
00:34:17,880 --> 00:34:19,799
Speaker 3: I'm going to lean towards the under in Michigan. I

701
00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:22,040
Speaker 3: just want to see how big this can get before

702
00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:23,760
Speaker 3: I put money on Michigan.

703
00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:26,680
Speaker 2: Do you have any info on where the money's coming

704
00:34:26,760 --> 00:34:29,399
Speaker 2: in on on the total, because I think you if

705
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:31,600
Speaker 2: you can wait on the over, it's on. It's on

706
00:34:31,719 --> 00:34:32,120
Speaker 2: the over.

707
00:34:32,719 --> 00:34:35,640
Speaker 3: It's on the over right now, Well it was ten

708
00:34:35,680 --> 00:34:36,200
Speaker 3: minutes ago.

709
00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:38,600
Speaker 1: I guarant there's going to be a boost for this game,

710
00:34:39,040 --> 00:34:41,359
Speaker 1: either on fandor or Draftking. So like there's a point

711
00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:43,719
Speaker 1: you could even tease this under up, right, Like you

712
00:34:43,719 --> 00:34:45,640
Speaker 1: could probably get it to like fifty to fifty one,

713
00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:48,440
Speaker 1: fifty two maybe, So yeah, I have a little bit

714
00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:50,640
Speaker 1: of patience there, but I love the Unders this week.

715
00:34:50,719 --> 00:34:50,839
Speaker 3: Man.

716
00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:53,279
Speaker 2: Hopefully we're not a week week A lot.

717
00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:55,640
Speaker 3: Of defense in Week one too, Like we know that

718
00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:57,680
Speaker 3: the defenses are ahead of the offenses right now.

719
00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:02,400
Speaker 1: So another enticing match in primetime is the Vanderbilt Commodores,

720
00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:05,440
Speaker 1: who are making the trip to Blacksburg, where they're one

721
00:35:05,480 --> 00:35:08,120
Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs to the Virginia Tech Hokies.

722
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:09,240
Speaker 2: The Built.

723
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:12,480
Speaker 1: Man. They're coming off their first winning season since twenty thirteen.

724
00:35:12,600 --> 00:35:13,680
Speaker 2: What a ride it was, man.

725
00:35:13,680 --> 00:35:17,560
Speaker 1: They're bringing back fourteen starters, quarterback too Pavia, running back

726
00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:21,880
Speaker 1: Cedric Alexander, top wide receiver Junior Shirrett, and then also

727
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:24,239
Speaker 1: maybe the top tight end in the country. If you're

728
00:35:24,239 --> 00:35:26,800
Speaker 1: playing Dynasty, if you're playing DEVI, you probably know the

729
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:30,600
Speaker 1: name Eli Stowers. He's great. He was excellent in Week

730
00:35:30,680 --> 00:35:32,480
Speaker 1: one as well. Plus they have eight players on the

731
00:35:32,520 --> 00:35:35,560
Speaker 1: defensive side. Coming back to they did finish nine to

732
00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:39,040
Speaker 1: four ats last season. Plus they won and covered against

733
00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:42,480
Speaker 1: Charleston Southern in Week one forty five to three. We've

734
00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:45,719
Speaker 1: talked about Virginia Tech already this season. Somewhat of a

735
00:35:45,760 --> 00:35:49,160
Speaker 1: disappointing year in twenty twenty four after pretty lofty expectations.

736
00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:50,680
Speaker 1: A lot of people had them as a dark horse

737
00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:54,480
Speaker 1: in the ACC last year. They fell short of those expectations.

738
00:35:54,480 --> 00:35:56,400
Speaker 1: I would say yet again in Week one they failed

739
00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:58,520
Speaker 1: to cover the nine and a half point line at

740
00:35:58,560 --> 00:36:01,720
Speaker 1: South Carolina on Sunday. Still like we can give credit

741
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:04,400
Speaker 1: where credits due, man, Like Kyron Drones, they played it

742
00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:07,400
Speaker 1: pretty well. They ke it tight until that punt return

743
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:10,040
Speaker 1: touchdown that kind of sprung this game open for him,

744
00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:13,720
Speaker 1: So Boggs, this line is continued to shrink since open.

745
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:15,440
Speaker 1: So do you think it it's gonna get to a

746
00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:16,360
Speaker 1: pick him eventually?

747
00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:19,879
Speaker 3: Oh God, I hope. So I want Votech in this game?

748
00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:20,680
Speaker 2: You do so?

749
00:36:21,080 --> 00:36:24,040
Speaker 3: Yes, of course I do. Two reasons. Number one, I

750
00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:26,360
Speaker 3: think Votech's a better team. Number Two, I get to

751
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:29,799
Speaker 3: Trolltterrell it's a Wednesday. I love this so uh this

752
00:36:29,840 --> 00:36:32,000
Speaker 3: is one of my favorite parts. But I really like

753
00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:34,440
Speaker 3: what I saw from Votech on defense in that game

754
00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:36,799
Speaker 3: against South Carolina. Right, yeah, it was the one big

755
00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:40,120
Speaker 3: explosive play by Nick Harbor and the punt return. Really

756
00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:43,759
Speaker 3: other than that, they held Sellers in Company to three

757
00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:45,880
Speaker 3: hundred and twenty eight total yards, They had four sacks.

758
00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:48,719
Speaker 3: They dominated time of possession in that game thirty four

759
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:51,360
Speaker 3: h nine to twenty five point fifty one. Now, you know,

760
00:36:51,640 --> 00:36:54,040
Speaker 3: one big play a punt return touchdown, So of course

761
00:36:54,080 --> 00:36:56,160
Speaker 3: maybe Votech's gonna have a little more, but that's a

762
00:36:56,200 --> 00:36:59,040
Speaker 3: pretty big difference. They forced eight penalties and they only

763
00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:03,600
Speaker 3: had four against South Carolina. So Vanderbilt is a much

764
00:37:03,600 --> 00:37:07,319
Speaker 3: better team than they have traditionally been, right, and they

765
00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:10,560
Speaker 3: definitely are in this game. This is a very, very

766
00:37:10,560 --> 00:37:13,000
Speaker 3: slight point spread. I don't think that this is going

767
00:37:13,080 --> 00:37:15,759
Speaker 3: to be a walk in the park for Virginia Tech.

768
00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:18,879
Speaker 3: Vandy can bow up and beat a lot of teams here.

769
00:37:19,320 --> 00:37:22,879
Speaker 3: But I like vaw Tech. But I the under too,

770
00:37:23,080 --> 00:37:25,320
Speaker 3: I think is in play here as well. It's forty

771
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:29,160
Speaker 3: seven and a half. Money is trending towards the over

772
00:37:30,160 --> 00:37:33,120
Speaker 3: tickets are on the under though, lots of tickets on

773
00:37:33,160 --> 00:37:37,480
Speaker 3: the under, so probably one big bet towards the over. Maybe.

774
00:37:37,800 --> 00:37:40,479
Speaker 3: But Vandy played one of the slowest paces last year,

775
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:44,120
Speaker 3: was so much on offense, and va Tech was very

776
00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:48,000
Speaker 3: middling in pace. Vandy was twelfth in rush percentage last year.

777
00:37:48,080 --> 00:37:51,040
Speaker 3: Vaughtech was thirty first in rush play percentage last year.

778
00:37:51,120 --> 00:37:54,440
Speaker 3: So lots of running, lots of bleeding the clock, lots

779
00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:58,319
Speaker 3: of defense in this game. So safest play to me,

780
00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:02,360
Speaker 3: and I'll already play it the under. But I also

781
00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:04,640
Speaker 3: like faw Tech in this game, and I like that

782
00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:07,360
Speaker 3: it's trending towards Vandy. Vandy is a good team, but

783
00:38:07,960 --> 00:38:10,719
Speaker 3: beat von Tech at home. I think vo Tech's pretty

784
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:13,200
Speaker 3: strong on defense. This year, we'll see bet.

785
00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:15,920
Speaker 2: The total Bogman. He's back baby on the unders. Give

786
00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:16,439
Speaker 2: it to him.

787
00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:20,240
Speaker 1: Another matchup in this window that I just find absolutely fascinating, man,

788
00:38:20,560 --> 00:38:23,399
Speaker 1: is the eleventh ranked Arizona State sun Devils. They're gonna

789
00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:26,600
Speaker 1: be going up against the Mississippi State Bulldogs in Starksville.

790
00:38:27,000 --> 00:38:29,239
Speaker 1: And what a great run it was last year under

791
00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:33,279
Speaker 1: Kenny Dillingham, who had an eleven three record. Last year,

792
00:38:33,320 --> 00:38:35,799
Speaker 1: they won the Big twelve championship in their first year

793
00:38:35,840 --> 00:38:38,520
Speaker 1: in the conference, projected to get last, and they earned

794
00:38:38,640 --> 00:38:42,200
Speaker 1: themselves a spot in the CFP. They retain a power

795
00:38:42,239 --> 00:38:46,840
Speaker 1: for high seventeen starters Bogman, including arguably the best quarterback

796
00:38:46,880 --> 00:38:49,120
Speaker 1: and wide receiver duo in the country, was on full

797
00:38:49,160 --> 00:38:53,600
Speaker 1: displaying Week one. Sam Levitt Shordan Tyson man for offensive linemen,

798
00:38:53,800 --> 00:38:57,680
Speaker 1: ten defensive starters as well, and there were some highlight

799
00:38:57,719 --> 00:39:00,879
Speaker 1: reels in that game. Against Northern Arizona in Week one,

800
00:39:01,280 --> 00:39:04,000
Speaker 1: Sam Levitt took off and scrambled dash pass to everyone,

801
00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:06,240
Speaker 1: proved he is that dole threat guy, and then Jordan

802
00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:11,040
Speaker 1: Tyson with some amazing grabs as well. However, Arizona State

803
00:39:11,080 --> 00:39:12,280
Speaker 1: they still failed to cover.

804
00:39:12,120 --> 00:39:12,520
Speaker 2: In that game.

805
00:39:12,560 --> 00:39:15,799
Speaker 1: They won thirty eight to nineteen. Mississippi State, though, on

806
00:39:15,840 --> 00:39:19,120
Speaker 1: the other hand, this was a team dumpster fire, absolute

807
00:39:19,120 --> 00:39:21,440
Speaker 1: ball in the barrel in the SEC zero to eight

808
00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:23,440
Speaker 1: and SEC played two and ten overall.

809
00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:24,799
Speaker 2: We talked about him last week.

810
00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:28,200
Speaker 1: They lost to Toledo, got blown out in Starksville, but

811
00:39:28,320 --> 00:39:31,560
Speaker 1: they brought in a new slate of talent here to

812
00:39:31,719 --> 00:39:36,120
Speaker 1: join their eleven starters, including returning quarterback Blake Shapin, and

813
00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:38,520
Speaker 1: you know I'll say it right now. One of my

814
00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:43,040
Speaker 1: favorite players right now in college football running back Fluff Bothwell.

815
00:39:43,560 --> 00:39:45,399
Speaker 1: He's coming off a season where he had over eight

816
00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:49,040
Speaker 1: hundred yards thirteen touchdowns at South Alabama as a true freshman.

817
00:39:49,200 --> 00:39:50,799
Speaker 1: You don't see those numbers a lot, even at a

818
00:39:50,800 --> 00:39:54,160
Speaker 1: G five school for a true freshman there. And he's

819
00:39:54,239 --> 00:39:57,319
Speaker 1: joining incumbent starter Javon Booth, who had over seven hundred

820
00:39:57,320 --> 00:39:59,160
Speaker 1: and fifty yards of his own last season as well.

821
00:39:59,200 --> 00:40:01,600
Speaker 1: So a great back field kind of reminds me of

822
00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:04,680
Speaker 1: a light version of what you know, Ohio State's running

823
00:40:04,680 --> 00:40:07,000
Speaker 1: out what Penn State's running out right now as well.

824
00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:10,200
Speaker 1: The Bulldogs won and covered against Southern Miss in Week one.

825
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:12,920
Speaker 1: They looked really good doing it. But with the fluidity

826
00:40:13,080 --> 00:40:15,800
Speaker 1: in the market here, Bogman, you can now get Arizona

827
00:40:15,840 --> 00:40:18,399
Speaker 1: State under a touchdown six and a half or Mississippi

828
00:40:18,400 --> 00:40:19,520
Speaker 1: State over a touchdown.

829
00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:21,640
Speaker 2: Do you think that remains the case this week, that

830
00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:22,800
Speaker 2: there's options for betters.

831
00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:25,839
Speaker 3: I think so. I do think the Mississippi State gets

832
00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:27,799
Speaker 3: a lot of disrespect because they're not very good for

833
00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:30,680
Speaker 3: the SEC. But as you mentioned, that roster is still

834
00:40:30,680 --> 00:40:33,600
Speaker 3: pretty good right like for the country, maybe not for

835
00:40:33,640 --> 00:40:37,319
Speaker 3: the SEC. But I really don't like this game, and

836
00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:39,080
Speaker 3: you know that because I didn't pick it. When I

837
00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:40,600
Speaker 3: sent you the games, I felt like we.

838
00:40:40,600 --> 00:40:42,560
Speaker 1: Had to talk about it because it feels you're such

839
00:40:42,600 --> 00:40:44,960
Speaker 1: a good game though, I mean, you are a great matchup.

840
00:40:45,520 --> 00:40:46,960
Speaker 3: I didn't want to pick it because I don't want

841
00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:48,279
Speaker 3: to pick it, you know what I mean. I don't

842
00:40:48,320 --> 00:40:50,560
Speaker 3: like this game. But this was a close game last

843
00:40:50,600 --> 00:40:53,359
Speaker 3: year in Tempe, so it really could go either way.

844
00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:56,239
Speaker 3: I do think that Arizona State is a different team

845
00:40:57,120 --> 00:41:01,320
Speaker 3: now obviously this year than last year, but way different

846
00:41:01,360 --> 00:41:04,160
Speaker 3: from what were early in the season last year to

847
00:41:04,360 --> 00:41:07,080
Speaker 3: going to the playoff, and you know, Sam Levitt taking

848
00:41:07,160 --> 00:41:10,719
Speaker 3: a step and Tyson taking a step and the year difference,

849
00:41:10,880 --> 00:41:13,600
Speaker 3: I think, you know, the roster strength is still close.

850
00:41:13,640 --> 00:41:16,399
Speaker 3: Is twenty three for ASU was thirty four for Mississippi State,

851
00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:21,680
Speaker 3: but ASU returns almost the entire secondary, their first in

852
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:25,520
Speaker 3: defensive returning production from last year. You saw my boy

853
00:41:25,600 --> 00:41:29,120
Speaker 3: Anthony Cooper get that tip pick that seventh years seniors,

854
00:41:29,120 --> 00:41:32,399
Speaker 3: My buddy steps on. Good player, good defensive lineman, big

855
00:41:32,480 --> 00:41:36,000
Speaker 3: kid too. Levitt was a little sporadic in that first

856
00:41:36,000 --> 00:41:38,840
Speaker 3: game of the year, but the new weapon at running

857
00:41:38,840 --> 00:41:41,520
Speaker 3: back Tyson Brown. The Welsh text me and said, this

858
00:41:41,560 --> 00:41:44,680
Speaker 3: guy is Debo. He looks like Debo run and catch,

859
00:41:45,080 --> 00:41:48,319
Speaker 3: very very different than Cam Skap, but very good. And

860
00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:51,160
Speaker 3: they mixed in Kanye Judo and a couple other backs there.

861
00:41:51,239 --> 00:41:54,520
Speaker 3: Jordan Tyson looks like a first round pick already game

862
00:41:54,560 --> 00:41:58,560
Speaker 3: against nau So but two touchdowns. He looked great and healthy.

863
00:41:58,680 --> 00:42:01,239
Speaker 3: Mississippi State put the boots to Southern Missing week one,

864
00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:03,080
Speaker 3: which there are a couple of people picking some other

865
00:42:03,160 --> 00:42:06,560
Speaker 3: missed to upset them, so, you know, not me.

866
00:42:06,600 --> 00:42:09,120
Speaker 2: But they don't know. They don't know Fluffy.

867
00:42:10,000 --> 00:42:13,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, but there there's a possibility for them to rise

868
00:42:13,040 --> 00:42:15,840
Speaker 3: out of the cellar in the SEC. I was probably

869
00:42:15,880 --> 00:42:18,200
Speaker 3: one of those people not giving Mississippi State enough credit

870
00:42:18,480 --> 00:42:21,440
Speaker 3: coming into the year. All being said, I'll lean towards

871
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:24,560
Speaker 3: ASU and the over, but I'm not gonna have a

872
00:42:24,560 --> 00:42:26,040
Speaker 3: bet in this game. I don't think this is gonna

873
00:42:26,040 --> 00:42:30,080
Speaker 3: be pretty close. And I can feel the Mississippi State

874
00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:33,320
Speaker 3: be coming from you. Seth. Is this are you gonna

875
00:42:33,320 --> 00:42:35,839
Speaker 3: break your cowboy out for Starkville this week? Man?

876
00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:39,560
Speaker 1: I was so tempted to, like old Seth would just

877
00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:41,880
Speaker 1: immediately bet the favorite here under a touchdown if I

878
00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:43,960
Speaker 1: could get him right. I see the ranked team. I

879
00:42:44,000 --> 00:42:47,480
Speaker 1: know Arizona State, I know Levitt, I know Tyson. It's

880
00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:51,359
Speaker 1: big names out there. But my heart wants to tell me, hey, look, look,

881
00:42:51,400 --> 00:42:54,080
Speaker 1: maybe we do go to Mississippi State. I just laid

882
00:42:54,120 --> 00:42:56,560
Speaker 1: out the case for like. They have interesting pieces here.

883
00:42:56,920 --> 00:42:59,759
Speaker 1: The quarterback play is getting better, the running backs are

884
00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:02,600
Speaker 1: really good here as well, and that defense is still

885
00:43:02,600 --> 00:43:05,279
Speaker 1: an SEC defense and I don't think we can overlook that.

886
00:43:05,440 --> 00:43:07,560
Speaker 2: So I'm not gonna have a play on this yet.

887
00:43:07,920 --> 00:43:10,680
Speaker 1: I'm gonna wait this out, see maybe what happens here,

888
00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:13,279
Speaker 1: do a little more research, dig back into some of

889
00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:15,560
Speaker 1: these trends here, and maybe I'll come back with something

890
00:43:15,560 --> 00:43:18,600
Speaker 1: on our later week show with Terrell on the Picks

891
00:43:18,600 --> 00:43:21,200
Speaker 1: and Predictions. But I do like it, man, I'm definitely

892
00:43:21,239 --> 00:43:23,160
Speaker 1: gonna be watching this because I love both these guys

893
00:43:23,280 --> 00:43:25,919
Speaker 1: and so many good players interesting for them.

894
00:43:25,960 --> 00:43:27,600
Speaker 2: So let's go ahead, though, Bogs.

895
00:43:27,640 --> 00:43:29,919
Speaker 1: Let's round out the show with an acc matchup between

896
00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:33,839
Speaker 1: the Virginia Cavaliers and the North Carolina Wolfpack. Both are

897
00:43:33,840 --> 00:43:38,040
Speaker 1: coming off very pedestrian seasons. Virginia is missing a bowl

898
00:43:38,080 --> 00:43:40,520
Speaker 1: game for the first time in a long time. In

899
00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:43,319
Speaker 1: twenty twenty four, that definitely stung for them in NC State,

900
00:43:43,360 --> 00:43:46,200
Speaker 1: they just barely got into the bowl game's territory with

901
00:43:46,280 --> 00:43:49,480
Speaker 1: six wins, So Virginia they're returning nine starters. They did

902
00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:52,759
Speaker 1: move on from Anthony Calandra at quarterback. They're bringing in

903
00:43:52,800 --> 00:43:56,160
Speaker 1: North Texas signal caller Chandler Morris, who led the American

904
00:43:56,200 --> 00:43:59,400
Speaker 1: Conference last year in both passing yards and passing touchdowns

905
00:43:59,440 --> 00:44:02,360
Speaker 1: thirty one of them. The Calves they put the throttle

906
00:44:02,440 --> 00:44:06,120
Speaker 1: down on Coastal Carolina and the opener they won forty

907
00:44:06,120 --> 00:44:08,960
Speaker 1: eight to seven as just a seventeen point favor as well,

908
00:44:09,080 --> 00:44:11,279
Speaker 1: so definitely had had the books caught off guard a

909
00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:13,719
Speaker 1: little bit there. Four and fifty total yards for them

910
00:44:13,880 --> 00:44:16,520
Speaker 1: held Coastal three point eight yards per place. So it

911
00:44:16,560 --> 00:44:18,879
Speaker 1: wasn't just the offense, but their defense showed up too,

912
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:21,480
Speaker 1: and it was another dog fight for the wolf Pack

913
00:44:21,480 --> 00:44:23,880
Speaker 1: at home in week one and against ECU. It always is,

914
00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:26,920
Speaker 1: right like, that's one of those games where if I

915
00:44:26,920 --> 00:44:28,920
Speaker 1: would have thought about it a little harder, nineteen and

916
00:44:28,920 --> 00:44:30,880
Speaker 1: a half points spread in that game feels wild. I

917
00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:34,279
Speaker 1: don't care if Holt Naylors isn't there anymore? For ECU?

918
00:44:34,480 --> 00:44:37,640
Speaker 1: Like NC State, they're returning just six starters. That does

919
00:44:37,680 --> 00:44:40,920
Speaker 1: include quarterbacks CJ. Bailey, who, in my opinion, is a

920
00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:44,480
Speaker 1: little bit overrated. NC State they won this matchup the

921
00:44:44,520 --> 00:44:47,000
Speaker 1: two times they've played it since twenty twenty. They've gone

922
00:44:47,040 --> 00:44:50,160
Speaker 1: one in one ats in that span. Three points feels

923
00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:52,480
Speaker 1: like way too many for Virginia for me here man,

924
00:44:53,200 --> 00:44:55,600
Speaker 1: maybe we could get a better number later in the week, though,

925
00:44:55,840 --> 00:44:57,839
Speaker 1: Do you feel that way too, or do you think

926
00:44:58,160 --> 00:45:00,000
Speaker 1: some action will come in on the calves.

927
00:45:00,680 --> 00:45:02,799
Speaker 3: I think there's no way to know right now because

928
00:45:02,880 --> 00:45:06,280
Speaker 3: Chandler Morris hurt his shoulder in that game against Coastal

929
00:45:06,440 --> 00:45:11,200
Speaker 3: and he's gonna play. But what is his percentage? Chat

930
00:45:11,360 --> 00:45:14,880
Speaker 3: right like? Is he seventy five? Is he eighties? He ninety?

931
00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:16,879
Speaker 2: I was thinking they said he could have came back

932
00:45:16,880 --> 00:45:18,000
Speaker 2: in if he really needed to.

933
00:45:18,360 --> 00:45:22,600
Speaker 3: They probably did. What I heard was we are hopeful

934
00:45:22,640 --> 00:45:26,520
Speaker 3: for next week, very hopeful. So ringing between the lines

935
00:45:26,600 --> 00:45:29,880
Speaker 3: means he's gonna play to me right the shoulder injury.

936
00:45:29,880 --> 00:45:32,920
Speaker 3: Though NC State's defense is very good. You know what

937
00:45:32,960 --> 00:45:35,040
Speaker 3: the roster strength is on these teams, forty seven and

938
00:45:35,080 --> 00:45:38,879
Speaker 3: forty eight Wow, it is a true coin flip game.

939
00:45:39,200 --> 00:45:43,759
Speaker 3: So nc stayed at home minus three. You know what

940
00:45:43,840 --> 00:45:46,480
Speaker 3: this game is to me? This is this week's TCU

941
00:45:46,520 --> 00:45:50,680
Speaker 3: North Carolina. That's what it is. I am hard pass,

942
00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:53,600
Speaker 3: don't want to touch it, don't have a good pull

943
00:45:53,840 --> 00:45:57,080
Speaker 3: one way or the other. Roster strengths are so close,

944
00:45:57,120 --> 00:46:00,160
Speaker 3: the quarterback is questionable, probably going to play. Let's just

945
00:46:00,200 --> 00:46:03,439
Speaker 3: call them ninety percent. They're on the road though, right.

946
00:46:03,640 --> 00:46:07,239
Speaker 3: I think Virginia could be a better team, but maybe

947
00:46:07,320 --> 00:46:11,440
Speaker 3: NC State just wasn't so great Week one. So with

948
00:46:11,520 --> 00:46:14,560
Speaker 3: the teams being this close, this point spread being so close,

949
00:46:15,560 --> 00:46:17,440
Speaker 3: I mean I would rather get in on the total

950
00:46:17,520 --> 00:46:19,960
Speaker 3: and I'd probably take the under. That's what I would

951
00:46:20,000 --> 00:46:23,080
Speaker 3: do again. Yeah another under, Yeah, that's that would be

952
00:46:23,120 --> 00:46:27,480
Speaker 3: my lean. But this game one way or the underwell,

953
00:46:27,600 --> 00:46:30,319
Speaker 3: I mean, you know, early numbers are usually too high.

954
00:46:30,480 --> 00:46:34,400
Speaker 1: So hey, no, I get it, man, I totally get it.

955
00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:36,880
Speaker 1: It's hard for me to take anything away from what

956
00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:39,240
Speaker 1: NC State did in that opener, just because that game's

957
00:46:39,320 --> 00:46:42,960
Speaker 1: always shippy against the Pirates, man, right, Like every single season,

958
00:46:43,040 --> 00:46:45,200
Speaker 1: it's always a barn burner down to the end of it.

959
00:46:45,280 --> 00:46:48,160
Speaker 1: So I don't really have much analysis on NC State.

960
00:46:48,200 --> 00:46:51,280
Speaker 1: But Virginia, dude, like Coastal was solid in the Sunbelt

961
00:46:51,360 --> 00:46:53,359
Speaker 1: last year, Like they weren't a great team, but they

962
00:46:53,360 --> 00:46:56,160
Speaker 1: were a Bowl qualifying team and they didn't even have

963
00:46:56,200 --> 00:46:59,799
Speaker 1: a chance in Week one, So I mean, it wasn't in,

964
00:47:00,280 --> 00:47:03,000
Speaker 1: it wasn't on that turf. But at the same time, man,

965
00:47:03,160 --> 00:47:05,080
Speaker 1: I really like what Virginia has been doing. I think

966
00:47:05,120 --> 00:47:08,360
Speaker 1: they've added some really good depth through the portal to

967
00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:09,520
Speaker 1: help them in that too deep.

968
00:47:09,560 --> 00:47:12,279
Speaker 2: I think they have the talented offense too.

969
00:47:12,320 --> 00:47:15,000
Speaker 1: I mean Exavier Brown last year as they're starting running

970
00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:16,920
Speaker 1: back and he had eight touches.

971
00:47:17,719 --> 00:47:20,040
Speaker 2: He's just one of the three running backs they have.

972
00:47:20,120 --> 00:47:22,000
Speaker 1: So I think if Morris is up for this, I

973
00:47:22,040 --> 00:47:24,799
Speaker 1: will be down potentially on the Virginia money line and

974
00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:26,000
Speaker 1: if not, just on the spread.

975
00:47:27,160 --> 00:47:29,520
Speaker 2: So all right, well that's gonna do it for us.

976
00:47:29,560 --> 00:47:32,320
Speaker 1: On this Early Picks episode of the Betting Pros College

977
00:47:32,360 --> 00:47:35,040
Speaker 1: Football Show still to come later this week and every

978
00:47:35,040 --> 00:47:38,160
Speaker 1: week right here on Betting Pros Are Picks and Prediction Show,

979
00:47:38,200 --> 00:47:40,759
Speaker 1: Trell Furman Junior will join us for that and then

980
00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:43,680
Speaker 1: Bog's Best Bets that comes out usually on Fridays, and

981
00:47:43,719 --> 00:47:45,600
Speaker 1: then our Parlay picks as well, which has been a

982
00:47:45,640 --> 00:47:46,120
Speaker 1: lot of fun.

983
00:47:46,320 --> 00:47:48,640
Speaker 2: Not super successful yet, but we're gonna keep swinging because

984
00:47:48,640 --> 00:47:49,479
Speaker 2: that's what we do here.

985
00:47:49,840 --> 00:47:51,960
Speaker 1: Let us go down in the comments below your favorite

986
00:47:52,000 --> 00:47:54,839
Speaker 1: early week two picks, and while you're here, make sure

987
00:47:54,840 --> 00:47:58,040
Speaker 1: you're smashing that like button and subscribing to the channel.

988
00:47:58,120 --> 00:48:01,239
Speaker 1: If you're new for Scott Bogman, Seth Wilcock, take care

989
00:48:01,239 --> 00:48:02,480
Speaker 1: of y'all.

990
00:48:02,520 --> 00:48:05,120
Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

991
00:48:05,200 --> 00:48:07,560
Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

992
00:48:07,560 --> 00:48:10,960
Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

993
00:48:11,239 --> 00:48:13,880
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994
00:48:14,000 --> 00:48:17,640
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995
00:48:17,680 --> 00:48:20,320
Speaker 5: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros