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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Monday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me across all of

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Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk A Matt, and we are here.

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Speaker 1: This is the definition of playing hurt. Okay, So if

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Speaker 1: this is a bit quicker than normal, if this doesn't

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Speaker 1: look or sound like I normally do it at the

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Speaker 1: energy level is a bit down. I'm pale as a

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Speaker 1: ghost as you can see. Okay, surgery went well. Everything

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Speaker 1: is on pace. We're recovering, We're trying to get back

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Speaker 1: to where we need to get to. It's going to

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Speaker 1: be a long process. And so you know, I'm back

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Speaker 1: here doing the juice and well, hopefully things will keep

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Speaker 1: going in the right direction. We'll get better and better

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Speaker 1: and better each day. We'll get better each day, we'll

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Speaker 1: get easier. But yeah, surgery is not fun. Recovering from

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Speaker 1: surgery is not fun. So but the good news is

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Speaker 1: that everything is going as it's supposed to and well

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Speaker 1: for the most part. The betting has gone pretty well

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Speaker 1: as well. This is from Saturday and Sunday. This is

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Speaker 1: a lot. There may be something in here that I

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Speaker 1: don't have accounted for, but we got. We middled the

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Speaker 1: Iowa Iowa State game. That was awesome. The Kansas over

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Speaker 1: was easy. Michigan got throttled. We lost that. The charger

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Speaker 1: from Thursday to Sunday teaser hit the Jets was the

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Speaker 1: worst bet on the board since he one but did

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Speaker 1: not cover. The Raiders one outright gent came in with

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Speaker 1: anytime touchdown. So by those nine bets, we went six

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Speaker 1: and three on those bets on Saturday and Sunday. I'm

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Speaker 1: sure that there's some things in there. The Michigan to

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Speaker 1: go undefeated bet and missed, so it's a six and four.

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Speaker 1: I'm sure there's something else in there, a prop Betye

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Speaker 1: hit or something that we don't have. We did pretty

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Speaker 1: well while I was off, so I'm glad that I

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Speaker 1: was able to do that. I was glad I was

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Speaker 1: able to give you guys plays that I liked, and

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Speaker 1: we came in with a pretty good mark for the weekend.

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Speaker 1: So you know, if you're gonna look at this as

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Speaker 1: a look ahead to the start of football, it's not.

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Speaker 1: It's not a horrible start to football for us. We'll

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Speaker 1: we'll take it when you get when we're profitable, we'll

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Speaker 1: take it. And I don't think they've updated let me

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Speaker 1: see something. I was hoping they would have done this,

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Speaker 1: but I'm gonna guess they haven't updated yet the units

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Speaker 1: on and they have not. Wow, we are one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight,

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Speaker 1: nine days behind. Okay, I'll do my best to get

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Speaker 1: on our friends who tracked this to get our record

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Speaker 1: to be accurate, because we haven't accounted for nine days

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Speaker 1: worth of tracking for the Daily Juice, so I'm not sure.

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Speaker 1: Right now it says we're up twenty eight and a

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Speaker 1: half units. I think we're up more than that for

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Speaker 1: the year for twenty twenty five. So we will get

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Speaker 1: on that and we will fix that. But you know,

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Speaker 1: that's what happens when things get a little crazy with

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Speaker 1: football the start of football. Everyone's getting pulled in fifteen

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Speaker 1: in one hundred called one eighty and eight admit it.

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Speaker 1: in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: and Virginia. Okay, so we did well yesterday. It's a

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Speaker 1: standalone game here tonight on Monday Night, the Vikings are

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Speaker 1: on the road against the Bears. This number opened up

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Speaker 1: with the Bears being the favorite, which is a little

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Speaker 1: bit surprising. It has flipped to the Vikings now being

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Speaker 1: the favorite, the Vikings laying one and a half. This

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Speaker 1: could be one of those games that comes right down

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Speaker 1: to the wire, but I'm not going to play around

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Speaker 1: with it. Okay to me, I think JJ McCarthy and

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Speaker 1: Kevin O'Connell have a better surrounding cast than what Caleb

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Speaker 1: Williams has with his first year head coach in Ben Johnson.

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Speaker 1: We saw what the Lions offense looked like yesterday and

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Speaker 1: it was not impressive. They really struggled without Ben Johnson.

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Speaker 1: So now you have an offense that is going to

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Speaker 1: be in prime time for its debut. There are weapons

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Speaker 1: for this Bears receiving corps. Absolutely, there's weapons for the

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Speaker 1: tight end. They should be able to run the football,

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Speaker 1: Caleb should be able to move the football as well.

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Speaker 1: But the Vikings defense is pretty darn good. And everybody

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Speaker 1: said this Vikings team last year was totally overrated. But

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Speaker 1: Kevin O'Connell likes JJ McCarthy, and he let Sam Darnold

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Speaker 1: wall because he loves JJ McCarthy, and he thinks this

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Speaker 1: is about JJ McCarthy and what he can do with

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Speaker 1: this roster. The Vikings are too deep, there's too much talent.

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Speaker 1: It's not December. If this was Soldier Field in December,

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Speaker 1: I would say, okay, take the Bears. But this is

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Speaker 1: a Dome team playing in September. And while I know

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Speaker 1: the Lions had a tough time at Lambeau yesterday, I

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Speaker 1: don't think the Vikings are going to have much a

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Speaker 1: problem much of a problem with the weather here on

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Speaker 1: Monday night, there's no win to talk about, there's no

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Speaker 1: rain to talk about. This is just a nice fall

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Speaker 1: day in the Midwest, and I think the Vikings are

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Speaker 1: going to be able to move the football and score

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Speaker 1: on this Bears defense. I just don't thin the Bears

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Speaker 1: are good enough yet to win this football game. I'm

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Speaker 1: not going to play around with the points, though, I

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Speaker 1: think it's easier just to bet money line Vikings on

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Speaker 1: the money line. We're laying that at minus and you

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Speaker 1: can shop around and find that. But Mins one point

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Speaker 1: fifteen is when I grabbed Vikings money line at minus

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Speaker 1: one fifteen. Now, have you guys gone and checked out

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Speaker 1: cheat sheet, the prop bet analyzer, and all the things

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Speaker 1: we use for the NFL and the NBA coming up

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Speaker 1: If you do have it, make sure you've upgraded to

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Speaker 1: the new version of the Betting pros app. Now for

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Speaker 1: the props using the prop bet cheat sheet, the one

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet play that the prop bet cheat

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Speaker 1: sheet likes a lot five star play is JJ McCarthy

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Speaker 1: to go under eighteen and a half yards rushing. And

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Speaker 1: I think there's a lot of logic to this. This

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Speaker 1: is a sixty seven percent cover probability, it's a twenty

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Speaker 1: six percent plus expected value five star rated. Why well,

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Speaker 1: JJ is not going to look to run all that much.

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Speaker 1: It's his first game playing after the injury, and I

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Speaker 1: don't think the team's going to want him to try

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Speaker 1: to go and pick up first downs with his legs.

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Speaker 1: He can he can run, he can move, but picking

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Speaker 1: up four or five yards here and there, it's fine.

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Speaker 1: He's the prop number is set at eighteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: The projection is eleven and a half for JJ McCarthy

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Speaker 1: for rush numbers, And I think it's just a logical

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Speaker 1: play to say bet the under. Now, I've been betting

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Speaker 1: full units while I was gone. I bet full units

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to do that here tonight, just because

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Speaker 1: I think we went like two and two the prop

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Speaker 1: bet cheat she needs more information, It needs more data

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Speaker 1: to get really accurate for the bets. So I'm going

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Speaker 1: to go back to just betting it to win a

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Speaker 1: half a unit, but I'm going to follow the prop

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Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet, and I'm gonna go with JJ McCarthy

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Speaker 1: under eighteen and a half yards rushing here, and it's

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Speaker 1: pretty it's not bad mine one fifteen. The price not

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Speaker 1: horrible to do that. So to bet that to win

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Speaker 1: a half a unit McCarthy under eighteen and a half

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Speaker 1: yard rushing and on the same level take the half

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Speaker 1: a unit. We don't leave half units behind obviously, and

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Speaker 1: I think it's worth the shot to go JJ McCarthy

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Speaker 1: over one and a half. Passing touchdowns, Kevin O'Connell is

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Speaker 1: a quarterback whisperer. He's got a ridiculous receiving core that

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Speaker 1: he's passing to. It got a secondary for the Bears

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Speaker 1: that's notorious for giving up big plays. Why not it's

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Speaker 1: plus money at plus one o nine. You might be

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Speaker 1: able to get a better price, better plus price than

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Speaker 1: me on this. Let's take the half unit. Go JJ

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Speaker 1: McCarthy to throw over one and a half touchdown tosses

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Speaker 1: at plus one oh nine for a half a unit.

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Speaker 1: So we're going JJ McCarthy under eighteen and a half

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Speaker 1: yards rushing and JJ McCarthy over one and a half

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Speaker 1: yard touch touchdown passes here for a half a unit

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Speaker 1: to win a half a unit along with the Vikings

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Speaker 1: on the money line. Now, one baseball play that I

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Speaker 1: want to make for us here today, and that's because

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Speaker 1: it's Kintana Day. On the road. Jose Kintana for the

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Speaker 1: Brewers seven and one with a two point five to

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Speaker 1: seven ERA on the road opposing batting average of two

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Speaker 1: thirty six up against the Rangers, where the Brewers have

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Speaker 1: not faced the Rangers as of yet, but on the

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Speaker 1: road we've just seen Kintana be so good. He did

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Speaker 1: lose the team lost his last road start three to two,

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Speaker 1: but it wasn't his fault. He went six and a third,

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Speaker 1: give it one earned run. He beat the Braves, he

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Speaker 1: beat the Gnats, he beat the Dodgers. He'd beat a

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Speaker 1: loss to the Mets three to two back on the

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Speaker 1: third of July, went five and a third, three earned

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Speaker 1: runs given up there but he's been tremendous on the road.

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Speaker 1: The team has won three games in a row, and

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Speaker 1: the Brewers are facing a lefty who is a young pitcher,

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Speaker 1: reliever slash starter, Jacob Latz. We know what the Brewers

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Speaker 1: do to left handed pitching. They lead Major League Baseball

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Speaker 1: and hits off of left handed pitching. They are currently

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Speaker 1: third in RBIs, behind the Red Sox and the Yankees

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Speaker 1: off left handed pitching. They currently have the third best

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Speaker 1: batting average, behind the trit Tigers and the Blue Jays

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Speaker 1: off left handed pitching. They have an on base percentage

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Speaker 1: that is third in Major League Baseball. Their slugging is

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Speaker 1: not great, but they're on base percentage plus slugging is

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Speaker 1: top ten in Major League Baseball. They just hit lefties.

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Speaker 1: Give me this Brewers team with Quintana on the mound

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Speaker 1: against Jacob Latz winning three games in a row. I'm

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Speaker 1: going money line. Let's go money line. Keep rolling with

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Speaker 1: the Brewers. They've been so profitable for us, They've made

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Speaker 1: us so much money. I bet them yesterday. They won

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Speaker 1: yesterday going away against the against the Pirates. They dominated

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh. Let's keep it rolling here with the

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Speaker 1: Brewers on the money line for one point twenty five

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Speaker 1: units four bets for us going on a Monday Vikings

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Speaker 1: money line, am I is one fifteen JJ McCarthy under

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Speaker 1: eighteen and a half rot yards rushing JJ McCarthy over

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Speaker 1: one and a half touchdown passes and the Brewers on

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Speaker 1: the money line to beat the Rangers here today. If

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Speaker 1: the Rangers win, that helps our Rangers. Bet. I don't

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Speaker 1: think they get to eighty five and a half wins,

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Speaker 1: but over eighty five and a half wins. But you know,

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Speaker 1: the Rangers win, that's good for us. The Brewers win,

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Speaker 1: we win some money and already so good stuff. Thank

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Speaker 1: you for watching this podcast, Thank you for being a

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Speaker 1: part of this community. Hopefully each day I get stronger

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Speaker 1: and get better at this. Again, bear with me if

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Speaker 1: I'm not not sounding the same way I'm supposed to

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Speaker 1: as I normally do. My name is Matt Parolt. You

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Speaker 1: guys can follow me across all my socials at sports

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Speaker 1: Doc Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice