1 00:00:00,480 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 1: All right, this is the Doug Gottlieb Show. Here in 2 00:00:07,480 --> 00:00:09,560 Speaker 1: the Bonus with Doug Gottlieb. 3 00:00:10,440 --> 00:00:13,960 Speaker 2: Doug Gottlieb Show in the Bonus Fox Sports Radio, iHeartRadio app. 4 00:00:13,960 --> 00:00:14,600 Speaker 3: Hey, welcome in. 5 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 2: Oh, how are you? What's going on? How's your day? 6 00:00:27,600 --> 00:00:29,720 Speaker 2: This is the Doug Gottlieb Show. It's Fox Sports Radio, 7 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:30,639 Speaker 2: iHeartRadio app. 8 00:00:30,680 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 3: Welcome in. 9 00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 2: He's the proprietor of the K four ratings dot Com index. Right, 10 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:38,440 Speaker 2: you can also find it on social media as well. 11 00:00:38,440 --> 00:00:40,639 Speaker 2: He's Kelly Ford. He joins us now as we get 12 00:00:40,720 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 2: you ready for a huge they're all huge college football weekend. 13 00:00:44,159 --> 00:00:50,960 Speaker 2: And Kelly's predictive analysis. It doesn't just give you you 14 00:00:51,000 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 2: know who's gonna win who's it's again more in terms 15 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 2: of ratios, and a lot of it is also watchability. So, Kelly, 16 00:00:58,280 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 2: what's the most watchable game this week? 17 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:04,119 Speaker 4: Yeah, Doug, there's this weekend that I've got my eyes 18 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:07,640 Speaker 4: on in the SCC, of course, a lot of big games, 19 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:11,280 Speaker 4: a lot of playoff contenders, maybe some elimination games. Oklahoma 20 00:01:11,360 --> 00:01:13,840 Speaker 4: at Tennessee is a game that I think is going 21 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:15,640 Speaker 4: to be very good and scores very highly on the 22 00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 4: Watchability score chart. From zero to ten. And then Vanderbilt 23 00:01:19,560 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 4: at Texas. That's another one. You know, Vanderbilt one of 24 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 4: the surprise teams of the season in the positive direction. 25 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:27,720 Speaker 4: Texas may be a surprise team for many and the negative. 26 00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 4: So those are two games that certainly out of the SCC, 27 00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 4: I think are very intriguing and will go a long 28 00:01:32,680 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 4: way and determining, you know, with how many in which 29 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:37,880 Speaker 4: SEC teams find themselves in the playoff at the end 30 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 4: of the year. 31 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:43,199 Speaker 2: Yeah, let's let's get to Oklahoma and Tennessee. Vegas thinks 32 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:46,680 Speaker 2: Tennessee is a three point favorite. Vegas thinks it's fairly 33 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:49,240 Speaker 2: high scoring game fifty five is it's not crazy, but 34 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 2: fifty five is the total is What does your predictive 35 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:55,360 Speaker 2: analysis think? 36 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think that's that's just about right, Doug, and 37 00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:01,040 Speaker 4: I would lean Tennessee ever slightly. There's not a lot 38 00:02:01,080 --> 00:02:02,920 Speaker 4: of value in that line. Based on my model, I 39 00:02:02,960 --> 00:02:06,360 Speaker 4: have a sixty one percent win expectancy for the balls 40 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:10,080 Speaker 4: in this one. And yeah, I mean high scoring is 41 00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 4: right because you look at the Tennessee offense and they're 42 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:16,560 Speaker 4: number three on that side of the ball in my model. 43 00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:20,280 Speaker 4: But the Oklahoma defense is top five as well, So 44 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:23,520 Speaker 4: this is a very intriguing kind of strength on strength 45 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 4: matchup for me, Doug. If you look at the other side, 46 00:02:26,160 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 4: it's very similar again. Oklahoma number thirty nine on offense, 47 00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:32,160 Speaker 4: Tennessee number forty three on defense. The difference in this 48 00:02:32,240 --> 00:02:34,960 Speaker 4: game for me is essentially the home field advantage. I mean, 49 00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:37,920 Speaker 4: the fact that it's in Knoxville is just about what 50 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:39,880 Speaker 4: we've gotten the difference here. You look at how these 51 00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:42,919 Speaker 4: teams are playing coming into this game. Tennessee was upgraded 52 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 4: slightly by the model after a win on the road 53 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:49,079 Speaker 4: to Kentucky last week. Oklahoma was downgraded following their home 54 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 4: loss to Ole Miss. So maybe trending in slightly opposite 55 00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:55,600 Speaker 4: directions based on the most recent result we just saw. 56 00:02:55,919 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 4: Both of these teams are off next week, so there's 57 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:01,840 Speaker 4: no look ahead here. Each have two losses already. I 58 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 4: think the loser of this game can can probably say 59 00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:07,720 Speaker 4: we do not have a chance to make the Conggwall playoff. 60 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:09,519 Speaker 4: We saw nine and three teams from the SEC left 61 00:03:09,560 --> 00:03:11,640 Speaker 4: out a year ago, so both of these teams know 62 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 4: to keep their playoff hopes alive, they've got to get 63 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:16,840 Speaker 4: this one. Oklahoma has the more daunting task moving forward 64 00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:19,240 Speaker 4: with their remaining schedule. So Tennessee, you get this one. 65 00:03:19,280 --> 00:03:21,679 Speaker 4: You feel pretty good about your chances here down the 66 00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:22,600 Speaker 4: stretch in November. 67 00:03:23,480 --> 00:03:26,440 Speaker 2: Okay, Vanderbilt, you mentioned how they're one of the surprise 68 00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:30,519 Speaker 2: teams of the SEC with Diego Pavias as their quarterback. 69 00:03:30,560 --> 00:03:34,839 Speaker 2: They beat Missouri at home, they've you know, their road 70 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:38,320 Speaker 2: winds are Virginia Tech and South Carolina lost to Alabama 71 00:03:38,360 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 2: on the road. Now they go to Texas and tick 72 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 2: on the Horns and look, I'd agree with you that 73 00:03:44,600 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 2: they struggled at Kentucky and had to have another huge comeback. 74 00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 2: Two straight overtime wins, this one at Mississippi State. But 75 00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:54,800 Speaker 2: everyone's different when they come back home. They haven't played 76 00:03:54,800 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 2: at home since Sam Houston. Right, what do you think 77 00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:00,600 Speaker 2: of Texas or was the computer think of Texas on Vanny? 78 00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:04,360 Speaker 4: Yeah, the model has Texas by by just more than 79 00:04:04,400 --> 00:04:06,720 Speaker 4: one touchdown in this game. It's just barely a multi 80 00:04:06,760 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 4: score spread for me. Seventy two percent win expectancy for 81 00:04:10,560 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 4: the Longhorns. You mentioned it, two straight overtime wins, and 82 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:17,400 Speaker 4: the model has not looked kindly upon Texas for that. 83 00:04:17,480 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 4: It's that longers have been downgraded nearly three points in 84 00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:22,760 Speaker 4: the last two weeks. That's number one hundred and twenty 85 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:25,080 Speaker 4: four out of one hundred and thirty six FBS team. 86 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:27,320 Speaker 4: So the last two weeks have not been good, but 87 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:30,080 Speaker 4: it's the still a very talented team, in particular on 88 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:32,280 Speaker 4: the defensive side of the ball, and that's going to 89 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 4: be important here. It's the top five unit for the 90 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 4: Texas defense because the Vanderbilt offense, led by Diego Pavia, 91 00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:40,400 Speaker 4: is a top ten unit on that side. So I 92 00:04:40,440 --> 00:04:42,480 Speaker 4: do think Texas or the model has Texas as a 93 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 4: slightly more talented team and it is a strength on 94 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:48,080 Speaker 4: strength with that Texas v and the Vanderbilt Oh but 95 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:51,599 Speaker 4: again it's in Austin. You do expect Texas to start 96 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:54,040 Speaker 4: turning things around. With regard to their performances. They look 97 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 4: great back in Week seven at the Red River Shootout 98 00:04:56,960 --> 00:04:59,960 Speaker 4: against Oklahoma. Haven't looked as good since, but they've continued 99 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:03,280 Speaker 4: to pick up wins. Vanderbilt, for me, is one of 100 00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:06,359 Speaker 4: the best stories of the season. Nobody has more wins 101 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:09,320 Speaker 4: relative to expectation through this stage of the season than 102 00:05:09,360 --> 00:05:12,159 Speaker 4: the Commodores, and they're also top ten in terms of 103 00:05:12,320 --> 00:05:15,400 Speaker 4: upgrades in the Model since the preseason. Right now, the 104 00:05:15,440 --> 00:05:19,159 Speaker 4: model vieus Vanderbilt as ten points better than they did 105 00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:21,479 Speaker 4: than the Model did in the preseason, so this is 106 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 4: very intriguing. Of course, Vanderbilt only has the one loss 107 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:26,640 Speaker 4: so far, so they can afford to lose this game 108 00:05:26,839 --> 00:05:29,159 Speaker 4: and keep their college football playoff hopes alive, which is 109 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:32,719 Speaker 4: crazy to say about a Vanderbilt team in November. Texas 110 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:36,159 Speaker 4: knows that a third loss. Again, we thought last year Alabama, 111 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:39,479 Speaker 4: South Carolina, Ole Miss, all these really good and talented 112 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:42,480 Speaker 4: at SDC teams that third loss is what kept them out. 113 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:45,000 Speaker 4: So Texas knows they've got to get this one, especially 114 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 4: when you consider in two weeks, Doug they go on 115 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:50,440 Speaker 4: the road and play the Bulldogs and Aspens Georgia. 116 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:51,320 Speaker 3: No question about it. 117 00:05:51,320 --> 00:05:53,920 Speaker 2: I have to win this game, especially being played at 118 00:05:53,960 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 2: home against Vanderbilt. Who who would have thought? I do 119 00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:00,440 Speaker 2: have one more sec one you talked about Jorde. They're 120 00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:03,360 Speaker 2: taking on Florida. It is the cocktail party. I'm actually 121 00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:06,480 Speaker 2: surprised though that the considering the coaching change, Florida is 122 00:06:06,520 --> 00:06:08,680 Speaker 2: only a seven and a half point dog. What's the 123 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:09,240 Speaker 2: model say? 124 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:10,360 Speaker 3: Yeah? 125 00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:12,839 Speaker 4: I think that's about it. Does I've got the model. 126 00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:15,159 Speaker 4: The model has Georgia as just more than a seven 127 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:17,119 Speaker 4: and a half one favorite. There's a seventy seven percent 128 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:20,000 Speaker 4: win expectancy, so it would lean with the dogs here 129 00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:22,920 Speaker 4: against the spread. Both of these teams were off last week, 130 00:06:22,960 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 4: as they always are coming into this cocktail party. But 131 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:27,200 Speaker 4: so if you look at the you know, how did 132 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:29,600 Speaker 4: they play the week prior to that, Georgia of course 133 00:06:29,600 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 4: to come back win at home against Old miss You 134 00:06:31,600 --> 00:06:35,120 Speaker 4: look at Florida hanging on there and beating Mississippi State 135 00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:38,240 Speaker 4: in the swamp. So not a lot separate these two 136 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:40,800 Speaker 4: in terms of their current form. If you look at 137 00:06:40,839 --> 00:06:42,800 Speaker 4: the season as a whole, of course, Florida has been, 138 00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:44,760 Speaker 4: you know, a little bit worse than the model expected 139 00:06:44,800 --> 00:06:47,160 Speaker 4: coming into this year, but there's still a talented team, 140 00:06:47,440 --> 00:06:49,719 Speaker 4: still top twenty five in the predicted model, a top 141 00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:52,440 Speaker 4: twenty five defense. It's the offense that has not been 142 00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:55,400 Speaker 4: good enough. But the Georgia defense this year is not 143 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:58,760 Speaker 4: what we've become accustomed to under Kirby Smart. That is, 144 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:01,040 Speaker 4: the weaker of the two units that athens, so Georgia 145 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:02,640 Speaker 4: the top ten power of the team with the top 146 00:07:02,640 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 4: fifteen offense, the defense is merely top twenty five by 147 00:07:06,160 --> 00:07:08,360 Speaker 4: most program standards, that would be pretty good, not by 148 00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:11,040 Speaker 4: the Georgia standard of recent years. So both of these 149 00:07:11,040 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 4: teams have underachieved a little bit to this point of 150 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:16,000 Speaker 4: the season. But Georgia still has just a one in 151 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:19,000 Speaker 4: the lost column. Dougner the seventy four percent chance that 152 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:22,000 Speaker 4: the Dogs get to ten or more regular season wins, 153 00:07:22,200 --> 00:07:24,760 Speaker 4: that should certainly be enough to put them in that 154 00:07:24,800 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 4: conversation and into the collegewall playoff. You would think, so 155 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:29,800 Speaker 4: this is an important game. I don't think the Dogs 156 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:31,360 Speaker 4: are going to be looking ahead here. They go on 157 00:07:31,360 --> 00:07:33,720 Speaker 4: the road to Mississippi State next week before Texas comes 158 00:07:33,720 --> 00:07:36,480 Speaker 4: to town as I mentioned before, and then don't sleep 159 00:07:36,520 --> 00:07:38,560 Speaker 4: on the end that final game of the regular season 160 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:41,200 Speaker 4: for Georgia too. It's the Friday game at Georgia Tech. 161 00:07:41,240 --> 00:07:43,720 Speaker 4: We remember the eight overtime thriller a year ago. Georgia 162 00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:46,320 Speaker 4: Tech undefeated this year, so Georgia still has some in 163 00:07:46,320 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 4: front of them. But I don't think they're going to 164 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:50,600 Speaker 4: overlook Florida. It's a massive rivalry and I expect Kirby 165 00:07:50,640 --> 00:07:51,640 Speaker 4: Smart to have them ready to. 166 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:59,080 Speaker 2: Play still life for sc and maybe maybe Nebraska, maybe 167 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 2: because they got Iowa at the end of the year, 168 00:08:00,960 --> 00:08:04,720 Speaker 2: maybe still life for the College Fwall playoff, and Matt 169 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:08,480 Speaker 2: Rules just signed extension, so he's not leaving. Nebraska is 170 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:09,920 Speaker 2: a six and a half point dog out at home 171 00:08:09,920 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 2: against SC totals fifty eight and a half. 172 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:12,880 Speaker 3: What's the model saying? 173 00:08:14,120 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, the model has this right around there. Again, we're 174 00:08:17,080 --> 00:08:18,800 Speaker 4: very close to Vegas this week. On all of these 175 00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 4: big games, I have USC with a sixty nine percent 176 00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:26,400 Speaker 4: win expectancy. In this game, USC still by my model, 177 00:08:26,440 --> 00:08:29,440 Speaker 4: has the number one offense in the entire country. Again, 178 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:31,600 Speaker 4: this has become a staple under Lincoln Riley, whether that 179 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:35,240 Speaker 4: is at Oklahoma or USC. You expect Heisman Trophy winners, 180 00:08:35,280 --> 00:08:38,880 Speaker 4: you expect explosive offenses, and this year is no different. 181 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:42,000 Speaker 4: The defense is better than we've seen under Lincoln Riley 182 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:44,320 Speaker 4: in the past that either stop their number fifty four 183 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:47,559 Speaker 4: on that side of the ball. Nebraska is more balanced, 184 00:08:47,640 --> 00:08:50,440 Speaker 4: but not quite to either extreme there. It's the defense 185 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:53,200 Speaker 4: for Nebraska that I like, but certainly would think that 186 00:08:53,200 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 4: the USC offense, even going on the road in this game, 187 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:59,160 Speaker 4: is going to have too much firepower. So I do 188 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:01,840 Speaker 4: like USC to this one. I got an eleven percent 189 00:09:01,960 --> 00:09:05,079 Speaker 4: chance that USC gets to ten regular season wins. You 190 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 4: would think at ten and two Big Ten team that 191 00:09:07,040 --> 00:09:09,120 Speaker 4: should be good enough for a spot in the Coas 192 00:09:09,160 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 4: Football Playoff. And then for Nebraska there's a three percent 193 00:09:12,440 --> 00:09:15,600 Speaker 4: chance that the Huskers win out. So it's an uphill 194 00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 4: battle certainly for each of them to get to the 195 00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:20,200 Speaker 4: playoff at this stage. But I like USC's positioning and 196 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:23,000 Speaker 4: I like them in this game as well. Again, behind 197 00:09:23,040 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 4: this offense, I'm just not sure Nebraska is gonna be 198 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:26,720 Speaker 4: able to score enough points to keep up. 199 00:09:27,240 --> 00:09:30,719 Speaker 2: All right, let's go to the Big twelve. Cincinnati is 200 00:09:30,720 --> 00:09:32,440 Speaker 2: a team that I don't know how much people pay 201 00:09:32,480 --> 00:09:35,559 Speaker 2: attention to obviouls say, lost early heartbreak kerch to Nebraska, 202 00:09:35,840 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 2: that's going back to August. Since then, they've they've run 203 00:09:38,400 --> 00:09:41,560 Speaker 2: the table right, wins over Iowa State, granted at home, 204 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:46,440 Speaker 2: close win against Kansas on the road, just be Baylor 205 00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:49,439 Speaker 2: forty one to twenty. Now they travel to Utah and 206 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:51,880 Speaker 2: the Utes were a team that I think everybody was 207 00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:53,679 Speaker 2: all in on trying to make the College ball playoff. 208 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 2: Tech beat them at home and then they lost that 209 00:09:56,160 --> 00:10:00,200 Speaker 2: thriller to BYU. What does the model say about this 210 00:10:00,320 --> 00:10:03,200 Speaker 2: huge game where Utah again, Vegas thinks Utah is a 211 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:04,640 Speaker 2: ten point favorite. 212 00:10:05,000 --> 00:10:07,360 Speaker 3: Is does the model agree with that? Yeah? 213 00:10:07,440 --> 00:10:11,080 Speaker 4: And Uyu and Texas Tech. Right now, the model views 214 00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 4: those two teams as the most likely to make it 215 00:10:12,840 --> 00:10:14,520 Speaker 4: to Arlington. But we have to keep in mind they 216 00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:17,160 Speaker 4: play each other, not this weekend, but next. And so 217 00:10:17,280 --> 00:10:19,280 Speaker 4: you look at number three and number four and I 218 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:22,080 Speaker 4: projected Big twelve standings and you get these two teams, 219 00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:25,520 Speaker 4: Cincinnati and Utah, and yes, the Model is in alignment 220 00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:28,400 Speaker 4: with Vegas once again. Here it's an eighty two percent 221 00:10:28,440 --> 00:10:31,319 Speaker 4: win expectancy for the youth. You know, Rice Ecles, that's 222 00:10:31,360 --> 00:10:33,360 Speaker 4: a really tough place to play. I know Texas TEK 223 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:35,079 Speaker 4: went in there in week four and got a pretty 224 00:10:35,120 --> 00:10:37,480 Speaker 4: resounding win, and that surprised a lot of people, including 225 00:10:37,480 --> 00:10:40,520 Speaker 4: myself and the Model. But you saw from a power 226 00:10:40,600 --> 00:10:43,800 Speaker 4: rating standpoint, this team is much better than their record 227 00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:46,280 Speaker 4: of six and two would indicate their top ten in 228 00:10:46,360 --> 00:10:49,520 Speaker 4: the model. The number eight defense, the number twenty offense 229 00:10:49,760 --> 00:10:52,600 Speaker 4: special teams has been not what we expect out of Utah. 230 00:10:52,640 --> 00:10:54,559 Speaker 4: It's been pretty disappointing this year. And you put that 231 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:57,319 Speaker 4: around to Cincinnati. That might be the best part about 232 00:10:57,320 --> 00:10:59,760 Speaker 4: the bearcatt units is their offer or this US is 233 00:10:59,760 --> 00:11:02,320 Speaker 4: their teams. They are top ten in that phase of 234 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:05,079 Speaker 4: the game by my model. I love this offense though 235 00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:07,880 Speaker 4: from Cincinnati. Their top fifteen, and you're right, they are 236 00:11:07,920 --> 00:11:11,480 Speaker 4: not getting a lot of notoriety or respect, I would say, 237 00:11:11,920 --> 00:11:14,360 Speaker 4: in the polls or from the national media the talking heads. 238 00:11:14,520 --> 00:11:17,600 Speaker 4: I have Cincinnati number eighteen in my most deserving rankings 239 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:19,560 Speaker 4: this week, and certainly a win on the road at 240 00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:21,960 Speaker 4: Utah would catapul them way up. I mean, I think 241 00:11:21,960 --> 00:11:24,560 Speaker 4: they'd be in the top ten of my resume based 242 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:26,560 Speaker 4: metric if they go on the road and get this 243 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:29,800 Speaker 4: win here. But the model is not expecting that Cincinnati's 244 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:32,160 Speaker 4: got a twenty percent chance to finish with at least 245 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:35,080 Speaker 4: ten regular season wins. Utah, even though they already have 246 00:11:35,160 --> 00:11:38,080 Speaker 4: two losses, has a forty three percent chance to reach 247 00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:39,800 Speaker 4: that bench mark. I think ten and two is what 248 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:42,040 Speaker 4: you're going to need to be out of the big 249 00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:44,520 Speaker 4: twelve to put yourself in that at large conversation. And 250 00:11:44,559 --> 00:11:46,760 Speaker 4: who knows how the race for Arlington shakes out for 251 00:11:46,800 --> 00:11:49,520 Speaker 4: these two. But yet I like you Thaw in this game. 252 00:11:49,640 --> 00:11:51,680 Speaker 4: I think the defense is really solid, and the fact 253 00:11:51,679 --> 00:11:54,480 Speaker 4: that they're playing in Salt Lake. Could be could be 254 00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:57,080 Speaker 4: the difference there? The youth much better than their six 255 00:11:57,120 --> 00:11:59,560 Speaker 4: and two record would indicate, at least from the model perspective. 256 00:12:00,480 --> 00:12:02,600 Speaker 3: Kelly, you're the best man. Really appreciate joining us. Thanks 257 00:12:02,600 --> 00:12:03,880 Speaker 3: for being our guesst the Fox Sports Radio. 258 00:12:04,559 --> 00:12:05,960 Speaker 4: Thank you, Doug. I appreciate it well, talk you too. 259 00:12:06,040 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 1: Be sure to catch live editions of The Doug Gottlieb 260 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:11,880 Speaker 1: Show weekdays at three pm Eastern noon Pacific on Fox 261 00:12:11,920 --> 00:12:14,719 Speaker 1: Sports Radio in the iHeartRadio. 262 00:12:13,920 --> 00:12:18,920 Speaker 3: App Let's Get to the Fox Says, and now. 263 00:12:21,440 --> 00:12:23,840 Speaker 2: Every day at this time in the Buddus Podcast, play 264 00:12:23,880 --> 00:12:25,920 Speaker 2: for your previous portion of Fox Sports Radio Fox Sports 265 00:12:25,960 --> 00:12:29,120 Speaker 2: One Show. Uh we call it what does the Fox Say? 266 00:12:29,160 --> 00:12:31,040 Speaker 2: Here's Colin Cowhert talk about the Dodgers. 267 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:34,760 Speaker 5: I've seen great golfers collapse in majors. I've seen great 268 00:12:34,840 --> 00:12:37,360 Speaker 5: hitters in a world series go belly up. I saw 269 00:12:37,480 --> 00:12:41,680 Speaker 5: Lebron freeze literally freeze against Dallas in the NBA Finals. 270 00:12:41,760 --> 00:12:45,120 Speaker 5: Lebron James. So, I mean Rory McElroy is shooting one 271 00:12:45,200 --> 00:12:48,800 Speaker 5: over Sunday at the Masters, two bogie's in a double. Uh, 272 00:12:49,160 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 5: that's not because he forgot how to golf. I think 273 00:12:51,520 --> 00:12:53,719 Speaker 5: that a little bit of this is the Dodgers came 274 00:12:53,720 --> 00:12:57,400 Speaker 5: in as a favorite, and there is there is so 275 00:12:57,559 --> 00:13:00,920 Speaker 5: much media now, there are so many blat forms, you 276 00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:04,040 Speaker 5: can't avoid it. So the Dodgers are obviously sitting around 277 00:13:04,040 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 5: waiting for the game, seeing stuff, and I think a 278 00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:07,920 Speaker 5: bit of it's in their head. Never forget this. The 279 00:13:07,960 --> 00:13:11,120 Speaker 5: Dodgers over under was one hundred and three in Vegas. 280 00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:13,560 Speaker 5: We looked up this morning that Jays was seventy eight 281 00:13:13,559 --> 00:13:16,640 Speaker 5: and a half. So one team is coming into this 282 00:13:16,679 --> 00:13:20,959 Speaker 5: World Series seventy eight and a half wins. I think 283 00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:24,400 Speaker 5: a lot of what the Dodgers are facing to hit 284 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:28,719 Speaker 5: this poorly. A guy that was in single lay to 285 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:32,280 Speaker 5: start the season, I mean, looks like Verlander in his 286 00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:35,320 Speaker 5: prime against you. I'm not saying the kid's not excellent, 287 00:13:36,200 --> 00:13:38,920 Speaker 5: He's not Verlander in his prime. Some of this is 288 00:13:38,960 --> 00:13:40,479 Speaker 5: it in the Dodger's head. 289 00:13:41,400 --> 00:13:44,559 Speaker 2: I don't think there's any question that pressure bust pipes, 290 00:13:44,760 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 2: and that you know the top four. You can toggle 291 00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:50,440 Speaker 2: the lineup all you want, but when you're you know, 292 00:13:50,480 --> 00:13:53,599 Speaker 2: one of fifteen yesterday with your top four hitters, you 293 00:13:54,120 --> 00:13:57,719 Speaker 2: got no shot, you know, and their pitching spin outstanding. 294 00:14:00,600 --> 00:14:04,280 Speaker 2: But this if you've watched the Dodgers all season long, 295 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:06,400 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna sit here and tell you I have 296 00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:10,319 Speaker 2: Jason Stewart has. He's told you, and the numbers told you. 297 00:14:10,760 --> 00:14:12,920 Speaker 2: This is actually more of who they've been. They've gone 298 00:14:12,960 --> 00:14:18,120 Speaker 2: through these droughts before. The other part to it, and 299 00:14:18,160 --> 00:14:20,760 Speaker 2: we I saw Freddy Freeman said this last night, is 300 00:14:21,040 --> 00:14:22,600 Speaker 2: they have been in this position. You go back to 301 00:14:22,680 --> 00:14:25,720 Speaker 2: last year against the San Diego Padres where their backers 302 00:14:25,720 --> 00:14:26,880 Speaker 2: are against the wall and they produced. 303 00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:28,200 Speaker 3: Now they're gonna have to on the road. 304 00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 6: Here's Dana want to I want to interrupt, Doug, go ahead. 305 00:14:32,480 --> 00:14:36,280 Speaker 6: I just need a reminder. So cow heard before the 306 00:14:36,320 --> 00:14:38,880 Speaker 6: postseason said that he's got the Mariners and the Brewers 307 00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:41,960 Speaker 6: in the World Series. Then when it came to the 308 00:14:42,320 --> 00:14:44,760 Speaker 6: World Series, they said he had the Dodgers and six. 309 00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:49,680 Speaker 6: And then after Game three he said this about the 310 00:14:49,680 --> 00:14:50,360 Speaker 6: Blue Jays. 311 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:53,920 Speaker 5: You lose on the road in eighteen and exhaust your bullpen. 312 00:14:54,760 --> 00:14:58,480 Speaker 5: I just it felt backbreaking to me when Freddy Freeman 313 00:14:58,560 --> 00:15:01,280 Speaker 5: hit that thing out. It felt bad breaking. I don't 314 00:15:01,320 --> 00:15:06,560 Speaker 5: know if the Blue Jays have anything left. 315 00:15:08,160 --> 00:15:10,840 Speaker 3: It's funny, very funny. 316 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:15,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, again, this is the issue with listening 317 00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:18,480 Speaker 2: to Colin is that he will contradict himself from day 318 00:15:18,520 --> 00:15:22,320 Speaker 2: to day, sometimes segment to segment. But I also think 319 00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:25,200 Speaker 2: you're doing that thing that hockey fan does where you're like, 320 00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 2: you never talk about our sport, then when you do 321 00:15:27,040 --> 00:15:30,880 Speaker 2: talk about our sport, you don't talk about our sport perfectly. 322 00:15:31,840 --> 00:15:33,960 Speaker 2: That that would be that would be my that would 323 00:15:33,960 --> 00:15:34,960 Speaker 2: be my only pushback. 324 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:38,840 Speaker 6: I mean it just it goes against all my broadcast 325 00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:43,520 Speaker 6: sensibilities that you predict things every day and then when 326 00:15:43,560 --> 00:15:46,960 Speaker 6: you're here's the thing. It's like when you do prediction radio. 327 00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:50,280 Speaker 6: You could do that if you think that works, but 328 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:53,320 Speaker 6: then nobody holds you accountable. So I feel the need 329 00:15:53,680 --> 00:15:56,120 Speaker 6: in my capacity to hold somebody accountable. If you're going 330 00:15:56,160 --> 00:15:58,560 Speaker 6: to do predictions. 331 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:00,520 Speaker 3: That's fair. 332 00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:06,720 Speaker 2: That's that's totally holding them accountables is completely into totally fair. 333 00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:11,360 Speaker 3: I just think it's funny. I mean, we could do it. 334 00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:11,760 Speaker 3: We should. 335 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:13,840 Speaker 2: We should have this a running We could have this 336 00:16:13,880 --> 00:16:17,240 Speaker 2: as a running gig and and people would enjoy it. 337 00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:20,520 Speaker 2: And again, you and I who both think Colin's awesome, 338 00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:23,520 Speaker 2: and one of the things that's collins us about is 339 00:16:23,640 --> 00:16:26,240 Speaker 2: he can have a bad take, and he doesn't dwell 340 00:16:26,240 --> 00:16:28,480 Speaker 2: on it. He just moves on to the next one, 341 00:16:28,560 --> 00:16:31,800 Speaker 2: sometimes contradicting the first one. Here's Dan Patrick talking about 342 00:16:31,840 --> 00:16:35,240 Speaker 2: Blad Guerrero's Lad Junior's postseason. 343 00:16:35,040 --> 00:16:40,240 Speaker 7: World Series MVP Blad Guerrero. You know, Vlad signed that contract, 344 00:16:40,520 --> 00:16:44,320 Speaker 7: and people at the time wondered, was he giving the 345 00:16:44,360 --> 00:16:46,080 Speaker 7: Blue Jays a little bit of a discount? Now, I 346 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:48,920 Speaker 7: think he signed a five hundred million dollar contract. But 347 00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:52,480 Speaker 7: let's say he was going to be ready for a 348 00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:57,000 Speaker 7: contract extension after this World Series. Now, all of a sudden, 349 00:16:57,040 --> 00:16:59,880 Speaker 7: he's probably saying, yeah, I kind of like that otanium, 350 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:05,280 Speaker 7: you know, at least six hundred million dollars. But Vlad 351 00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:09,120 Speaker 7: Guerrero has been unbelievable, like these numbers are. He's got 352 00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:14,240 Speaker 7: twenty six twenty seven hits, second most in a single postseason, 353 00:17:15,880 --> 00:17:19,320 Speaker 7: although Randy A. Rose Aina had twenty nine hits in 354 00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:23,800 Speaker 7: that twenty twenty postseason in twenty games. But he's been incredible. 355 00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:27,200 Speaker 7: So one for three twenty seven hits, he's been walked 356 00:17:27,480 --> 00:17:30,560 Speaker 7: twelve times, got hit by a pitch. The only other 357 00:17:30,600 --> 00:17:34,480 Speaker 7: player in baseball history to reach base more times in 358 00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:38,640 Speaker 7: a single postseason, Barry bonds in two thousand and two. 359 00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:41,520 Speaker 3: That is crazy. 360 00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:43,560 Speaker 2: It should be pointed out they play more games now 361 00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:46,240 Speaker 2: than they played back then, Right, we're talking about cross numbers. 362 00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 2: But that's the thing, Like so much of the takeaway 363 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:53,280 Speaker 2: is so negative, rightfully so on the Dodgers, and heck 364 00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:55,439 Speaker 2: even Showey he has the one game, but outside the 365 00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:58,439 Speaker 2: one game he doesn't hit. Some of it should be 366 00:17:58,440 --> 00:18:00,760 Speaker 2: spent paying attention to just how all some black girl 367 00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:04,320 Speaker 2: junior is I mean here in the same amount of 368 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:08,240 Speaker 2: pressure in the same exact series he's been dominant. Here's 369 00:18:08,280 --> 00:18:11,199 Speaker 2: Brady Quinn talking about the Louisiana governor saying the next 370 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:13,280 Speaker 2: coaching Howard LSU will not be made by the school's 371 00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:14,000 Speaker 2: athletic director. 372 00:18:14,600 --> 00:18:18,080 Speaker 8: Was it Ronald Reagan and Eli who said, I'm the 373 00:18:18,200 --> 00:18:20,480 Speaker 8: nine to most terrifying words like I'm from the government, 374 00:18:20,520 --> 00:18:22,040 Speaker 8: I'm here to help, Like when. 375 00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:22,840 Speaker 6: Has that ever worked? 376 00:18:23,359 --> 00:18:26,840 Speaker 8: Like he wants to get Trump involved, Like what what 377 00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:29,760 Speaker 8: are you talking about? Like this this is the sort 378 00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:33,200 Speaker 8: of like overreach from people who and we talked about 379 00:18:33,240 --> 00:18:35,639 Speaker 8: this with like NFL owners, like they didn't make their 380 00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:38,920 Speaker 8: money that way, and they start dipping into the football 381 00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:41,320 Speaker 8: realm and football minds like, no, no, Now, I'm a 382 00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:43,800 Speaker 8: part of the hiring process. Well, how's that worked out 383 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:46,239 Speaker 8: for some of those guys. They hire the guy, they 384 00:18:46,240 --> 00:18:48,520 Speaker 8: fire him, They hire the guy, they fire him. I 385 00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:50,760 Speaker 8: mean they just go through this cycle over and over 386 00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:55,200 Speaker 8: and over again. Look, if he wants to discredit Scott Woodward, 387 00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:58,320 Speaker 8: like I get that, and it almost makes the case 388 00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:01,000 Speaker 8: that why is he still what a director? Lsu but 389 00:19:01,520 --> 00:19:06,200 Speaker 8: he's him getting involved in this is like going to 390 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:10,080 Speaker 8: be a disaster and it it just it oozes of 391 00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:14,680 Speaker 8: just everyone trying to find a way to politically position themselves, 392 00:19:15,280 --> 00:19:18,080 Speaker 8: you know, for their own personal desires. Like he can 393 00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:20,679 Speaker 8: say whatever he wants, but this is about trying to 394 00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:23,080 Speaker 8: make him look good for the next time he's up 395 00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:26,080 Speaker 8: for reelection. That's usually how this works. 396 00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:30,800 Speaker 2: I don't think it has anything to do with Trump. Again, 397 00:19:31,040 --> 00:19:37,000 Speaker 2: that's either either Brady didn't hear this the SoundBite itself, 398 00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:41,800 Speaker 2: or cause it actually was not If you listen to 399 00:19:41,840 --> 00:19:45,760 Speaker 2: the can we can we play it? Actually hear Sam? 400 00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:48,879 Speaker 2: If you listen to the cut, it was actually sarcastic. 401 00:19:49,040 --> 00:19:54,560 Speaker 2: I would rather have Donald Trump picket, basically saying like 402 00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:59,320 Speaker 2: Donald Trump doesn't know fucking anything, and I'd still rather 403 00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:03,800 Speaker 2: have him picket then the actual sitting athletic director at LSU. 404 00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:04,800 Speaker 3: And here's why. 405 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:13,000 Speaker 2: So it wasn't yeah so anyway, but yes he nails 406 00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:15,520 Speaker 2: the second part, which is, if you're not going to 407 00:20:15,560 --> 00:20:20,439 Speaker 2: have your ethletic director pick the football coach, what is 408 00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:21,639 Speaker 2: the ethnic director going to do? 409 00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:27,399 Speaker 3: That's a great, great question. That's where the Fox is. 410 00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:29,600 Speaker 5: Say. 411 00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:32,240 Speaker 1: Be sure to catch live editions of The Doug Gottlieb 412 00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:35,840 Speaker 1: Show weekdays at three pm Eastern noon Pacific on Fox 413 00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:38,160 Speaker 1: Sports Radio and the iHeartRadio app. 414 00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:43,159 Speaker 3: Let's find out who what is annoying? Jason Stewart. 415 00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:47,920 Speaker 1: And now it's your annoying. 416 00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:57,080 Speaker 6: Hey, trey Ya Savitch pitched an incredible game against a 417 00:20:57,160 --> 00:21:03,399 Speaker 6: defeated cast of billion dollar players, and he was asked 418 00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:04,480 Speaker 6: this question after the game. 419 00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:07,360 Speaker 9: At any point when you walk out the game starting, 420 00:21:07,600 --> 00:21:10,399 Speaker 9: do you ever allow yourself to think, Hey, they're fifty 421 00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:13,240 Speaker 9: two thousand people here, I'm pitching the show at Hoo Tani. 422 00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:16,119 Speaker 9: Seven months ago, I was pitching the three hundred fans 423 00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:17,159 Speaker 9: in front of me in Jupiter. 424 00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:23,080 Speaker 8: Yeah, it's crazy world, Crazy world. Hollywood couldn't have made 425 00:21:23,080 --> 00:21:26,199 Speaker 8: it this good. So just being a part of this 426 00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:27,920 Speaker 8: I'm just very blessed. 427 00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:31,920 Speaker 6: I guarantee Hollywood could do this script. I really do. 428 00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:36,520 Speaker 6: People need to remember that they did a movie about 429 00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:41,479 Speaker 6: a snail winning the Indianapolis five hundred. I think they 430 00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:43,879 Speaker 6: could do a movie about a kid who started the 431 00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:47,119 Speaker 6: season in a ball and then pitch really good against 432 00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:51,240 Speaker 6: a real shitty offense. So yeah, no, I just I 433 00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:53,840 Speaker 6: always take issue to, you know, people who invoke the 434 00:21:54,040 --> 00:21:57,720 Speaker 6: screenwriters in Hollywood and don't give them enough credit. 435 00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:01,639 Speaker 3: Your money. 436 00:22:02,520 --> 00:22:06,320 Speaker 2: Uh do you think how many of our podcast listeners 437 00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:08,080 Speaker 2: understand the sarcasm in your voice? 438 00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:11,479 Speaker 6: Well, they should. I mean I I've gone to this, 439 00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:14,160 Speaker 6: uh the same content many times. They should be very 440 00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:16,560 Speaker 6: familiar with that. In fact, every time they see somebody 441 00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:20,280 Speaker 6: say that, I mean screenwriters, they'd get left out of 442 00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:22,560 Speaker 6: the room that I think that they should think of 443 00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:26,960 Speaker 6: this podcast. But so you are a coach and you've 444 00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:29,800 Speaker 6: seen this many times. I have an issue with my 445 00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:30,520 Speaker 6: bad guy. 446 00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:32,040 Speaker 3: Oh my bad. 447 00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 6: Here's here's a in your situation and correct me if 448 00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:39,560 Speaker 6: I'm wrong with the technology about the technical stuff. Here 449 00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:44,080 Speaker 6: is if if your say, your say, your guard makes 450 00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:46,520 Speaker 6: a pass out of balance because he thought his teammate 451 00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:49,160 Speaker 6: was going to cut towards the sideline. His teammate cut 452 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:53,840 Speaker 6: towards the basket. In that situation, when your guard says, 453 00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:57,600 Speaker 6: my bad, that is appropriate because he his gesture is 454 00:22:58,040 --> 00:23:00,680 Speaker 6: telling his teammate, and he's telling the coach, and he's 455 00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:04,240 Speaker 6: telling the fans and everyone on TV, my bad. It 456 00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:06,359 Speaker 6: wasn't his fault for making the wrong cut. That was 457 00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:10,560 Speaker 6: my bad. Like that's appropriate, that's accountable. That's a great situation. 458 00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:16,320 Speaker 6: Mookie Bets turns a routine double playground ball into a 459 00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:19,160 Speaker 6: barely force out last night. In other words, he took 460 00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:21,119 Speaker 6: a hard ground ball from Dante Bichette, who has a 461 00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:23,639 Speaker 6: broken knee. He goes, all he has got to do 462 00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:25,800 Speaker 6: is toss it to second. It's a double play, and 463 00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:27,760 Speaker 6: he throws it in the shitter. He just throws it 464 00:23:27,800 --> 00:23:30,080 Speaker 6: in the shitter. Tommy Edmund had to make a scoop 465 00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:33,520 Speaker 6: play to salvage one out, and Mookie Bets does the 466 00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:35,480 Speaker 6: chest my bad, My bad. 467 00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:35,720 Speaker 3: Man. 468 00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:39,560 Speaker 6: It's like everybody in watching at home and everybody in 469 00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:42,679 Speaker 6: the stadium says, of course, it was your bad. Like 470 00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:45,600 Speaker 6: that's not the time to say my bad when everybody 471 00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:47,959 Speaker 6: knows it's your fault, So you don't you're not going 472 00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:50,000 Speaker 6: to take credit for being accountable in that one. 473 00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:56,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, no question. The my bad thing actually drives most 474 00:23:57,040 --> 00:24:00,359 Speaker 2: most coaches crazy, to be totally honest with you, just 475 00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:05,840 Speaker 2: absolutely completely nuts, right, completely and totally nuts because you're like, 476 00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 2: of course it's your bad you know, my bad Yeah, 477 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:11,040 Speaker 2: we know it's your bad, dude. 478 00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:18,520 Speaker 6: So that's it my bad guy and Hollywood screen scriptwriter discouragement, ooh. 479 00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:21,480 Speaker 2: My bad guy, my my bad guy. And and look, 480 00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:24,800 Speaker 2: this comes from the fact that we've we've all said, hey, 481 00:24:24,840 --> 00:24:28,600 Speaker 2: Mookie Bets changing the shortstop in you know, high pressured 482 00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:32,440 Speaker 2: playing for the Dodgers here major League Baseball. He's been great, 483 00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:35,760 Speaker 2: but shut the fuck up with the my bad stuff. 484 00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:38,439 Speaker 2: Everybody annoysed the ship out of everybody. When we know 485 00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:41,480 Speaker 2: it's your bad, do better, or don't make the mistake 486 00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:42,080 Speaker 2: to begin. 487 00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:44,040 Speaker 6: With, Yeah, don't do it again again. 488 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:49,399 Speaker 1: Why are we doing this. 489 00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:58,359 Speaker 6: Because we can, Doug, this is a special edition because 490 00:24:58,400 --> 00:25:02,080 Speaker 6: we can. It's a flashback. I said this on the 491 00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:06,960 Speaker 6: twentieth of October. And in the industry, we have a 492 00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:09,720 Speaker 6: term for this. When you do flashbacks, it's called harp 493 00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:12,480 Speaker 6: it up, Sammy. They've been doing this from the beginning 494 00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:18,679 Speaker 6: of Radio harp It Up, Sammy, he committed what I 495 00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:23,840 Speaker 6: would call a columnist malpractice cool after Game three of 496 00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:28,919 Speaker 6: the NLCS, the headline the Dodgers are going to be 497 00:25:29,640 --> 00:25:35,679 Speaker 6: the best postseason team ever. I cannot imagine a columnist 498 00:25:35,800 --> 00:25:41,120 Speaker 6: in Philly or Boston or New York writing that column 499 00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:44,320 Speaker 6: at that time. I think you owe it to you 500 00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:48,560 Speaker 6: to your readers, which are the Dodger fan base, and 501 00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:51,080 Speaker 6: you owe it to the team you're covering to not 502 00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:55,440 Speaker 6: jinx the fucking living shit out of your team. Write 503 00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:58,600 Speaker 6: this column afterwards, tell us why it was the greatest 504 00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:03,800 Speaker 6: postseason of all time. After the postseason, but this was cringey. 505 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:07,840 Speaker 6: I don't know what's going on with Bill, but columnist 506 00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:13,399 Speaker 6: malpractice to jinx the team you're following and covering for 507 00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:17,000 Speaker 6: your fan base. I want to draw your attention to 508 00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:20,080 Speaker 6: a scene in the movie Bull Durham my favorite sports 509 00:26:20,119 --> 00:26:23,840 Speaker 6: movie of all time. Uh, crash Davis is giving advice 510 00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:29,720 Speaker 6: to Nuke LaRouche and then crash Davis asked him about 511 00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:35,359 Speaker 6: his romantic fling with Annie, who played by Susan Sarandon, 512 00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:36,160 Speaker 6: and it goes like. 513 00:26:36,080 --> 00:26:38,800 Speaker 3: This, She's getting pretty steemed. 514 00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:43,960 Speaker 9: Actually, because I'm still rechanneling my sexual interview. I'm figuring 515 00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:45,879 Speaker 9: I'm just gonna cave in and sleep with her, you know, 516 00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:47,560 Speaker 9: to calm her down. 517 00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:49,920 Speaker 3: Are you out of your mind? 518 00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:53,159 Speaker 2: Are you out of your mind talking about one thing 519 00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:56,320 Speaker 2: you give in now you might start losing hum. 520 00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:03,520 Speaker 3: Never fuck with a winning street. 521 00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:07,240 Speaker 6: So, especially in baseball, superstition is a kind of built 522 00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:11,480 Speaker 6: into the sport, into the game. Bill Poshki should know that, 523 00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:16,080 Speaker 6: and to quote Crash Davis. 524 00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:17,560 Speaker 3: Never fuck where there was a winning street. 525 00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:21,520 Speaker 2: Why can we play for you? Because we can. That's 526 00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:23,639 Speaker 2: it for the end of the Bonus podcast. Check out the 527 00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:26,080 Speaker 2: radio show every day three to five Eastern Tel Too Pacific, 528 00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:27,600 Speaker 2: Fox Sports Radio, iHeartRadio app. 529 00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:28,320 Speaker 3: I'm Doug Gottlieb.