WEBVTT - Mother's Day Has Become More Than Just Flowers

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney alongside

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<v Speaker 1>my co host Matt Miller. Every business day we bring

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<v Speaker 1>you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along

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<v Speaker 1>with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets podcast

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<v Speaker 1>called Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. Now ourminder to all

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<v Speaker 1>of our listeners. Sunday is Mother's Day. Typically, I'm sure

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<v Speaker 1>you would send flowers, but you also might send gourmet

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<v Speaker 1>foods and gift baskets. In fact, Flowers dot Com Incorporated

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<v Speaker 1>has made more money from the latter than the former

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<v Speaker 1>in recent time. Springing Chris McCann right now. He's the

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<v Speaker 1>president and CEO. UM. Chris talked to us first about

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<v Speaker 1>the product mix. Um, I've got to guess you sell

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<v Speaker 1>more flowers on Sunday than any other day of the year,

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<v Speaker 1>but you sell a lot more than that. Sure, thanks

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<v Speaker 1>thanks for having us. It's just such a crepet week

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<v Speaker 1>on a mother is all around the world. It's just

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<v Speaker 1>such an important role that they play. And you're right,

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<v Speaker 1>Flowers in a traditional way to say thank you, in

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<v Speaker 1>a way to say happy Mother's Day. But as we've

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<v Speaker 1>branched out, gourmet foods from Harry and David h charcolate

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<v Speaker 1>covered berries from Shari's Berries, or our newest brand, personalization

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<v Speaker 1>Mall is just doing great this holidays. People are uploading

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<v Speaker 1>photos to us. We're putting it in a picture frame

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<v Speaker 1>for them, personalizing the message on the frames, sending it

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<v Speaker 1>to their recipients. Mother's Day has become much more than

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<v Speaker 1>just flowers. And as a company whose mission is to

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<v Speaker 1>help our customers express, connect and celebrate, we're just so

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<v Speaker 1>well positioned for that. So, Chris, give us a sense

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<v Speaker 1>of how your business was impacted by the pandemic and

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<v Speaker 1>maybe how you think your business is going to uh

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<v Speaker 1>kind of kind of come out of this pandemic. But

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<v Speaker 1>we've been very fortunate really that, you know, to all

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<v Speaker 1>the troubles that we've had, you know, in our personal

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<v Speaker 1>lives and even the challenges that we faced in the business,

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<v Speaker 1>we were very fortunate that we were in front of

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<v Speaker 1>two major shifts that took place during the pandemic, the

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<v Speaker 1>tectonic shift from offline sales to online sales, and as

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<v Speaker 1>an e commerce platform that's built for growth, we're right

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<v Speaker 1>in front of that trend. The other one is I

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<v Speaker 1>think we've all learned through this time relationships are so important,

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<v Speaker 1>the need to stay connected to needs for human beings

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<v Speaker 1>to express themselves, and that's who we are as a company.

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<v Speaker 1>So we had good momentum going into the pandemic, good

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<v Speaker 1>growth momentum that was accelerated significantly, just as the pandemic

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<v Speaker 1>accelerated change in every area of life. So the year later,

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<v Speaker 1>just over a year later, we're a much bigger, better,

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<v Speaker 1>stronger company than we ever were. In fact, we got

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<v Speaker 1>guided for double digit growth this quarter on top of

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<v Speaker 1>phenomenal same quarter last year, and based on what we see,

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<v Speaker 1>we see double digit growth going forward into our next

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<v Speaker 1>fiscal year as well. How do you compete in um,

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<v Speaker 1>the age of the Internet. You know, you've got competitors

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<v Speaker 1>who are dropping vowels from their names, and you've still

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<v Speaker 1>got kind of an old school phone number in front

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<v Speaker 1>of yours. Um, what do you do to take on

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<v Speaker 1>the kids in Silicon Valley? Well, I think, first of all,

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<v Speaker 1>misspelling a brand name is is not as not the

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<v Speaker 1>smartest thing to do to makes people try and figure

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<v Speaker 1>out how do you spell that? Again? And over the

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<v Speaker 1>years we've built such great brand recognition, such great brand

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<v Speaker 1>attributes behind the one Flowers. The younger generation doesn't even

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<v Speaker 1>realize that it actually was ones a phone number. Still

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<v Speaker 1>is and we still get some cold volume there, but

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<v Speaker 1>the vast majority of our business comes online on the

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<v Speaker 1>e commerce channels. And that's why I say, over the

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<v Speaker 1>years we've gone from this one Flower shop to this

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<v Speaker 1>platform for expressions, connections and celebrations with all star lineup

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<v Speaker 1>of brands and Harry and David personalization, mall Sharry's Berries,

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<v Speaker 1>Flowers of course, and just constantly expanding the products and

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<v Speaker 1>services we offer our customers to help them have better

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<v Speaker 1>relationships in their lives. But what what kind of what

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<v Speaker 1>kind of tech operation have you got going there? Because

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<v Speaker 1>I noticed, I mean, it's always been the case when

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<v Speaker 1>I put in flowers on Google, you pop up first.

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<v Speaker 1>So you've got the search a search engine optimization down. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>do you have a group of kids working out of

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<v Speaker 1>Syosset on the internet? How's this going on? How's this

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<v Speaker 1>going down? We had a group of wonderful people actually

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<v Speaker 1>all over the country and frank quite frankly all over

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<v Speaker 1>the world on our technology team, and we we we

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<v Speaker 1>just made a major migration this past year or two

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<v Speaker 1>into a whole new platform. It's a headless commerce platform

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<v Speaker 1>built on pw A technology. It resides in the clouds,

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<v Speaker 1>so it gives us a significantly enhanced flexibility and scalability.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh and so it's tremendous capabilities there. But then it

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<v Speaker 1>really comes down to the people. And as you say

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<v Speaker 1>and Seo, we have some great people as young ladies Sarah,

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<v Speaker 1>that does it h job heading that unit for us.

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<v Speaker 1>But all about digital marketing, we've grown up as a

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<v Speaker 1>digital marketing company, so we have great expertise and that's

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<v Speaker 1>one of the things that brings that we bring to

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<v Speaker 1>the table for some of the acquisitions that we've done.

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<v Speaker 1>And in the past two years, we've taken Sherry's Berries,

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<v Speaker 1>which was a bankrupt company and it has now been

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<v Speaker 1>been a rowing success since we plugged it into our platform.

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<v Speaker 1>And then most recently during the pandemic this August, we

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<v Speaker 1>made our largest acquisition ever, Personalization Mall, and since moving

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<v Speaker 1>that into our platform, last quarter of the holiday season,

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<v Speaker 1>team ball grew for us. So so wheels are turning well.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, Chris, thanks so much for joining us. We

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<v Speaker 1>always appreciate chatting with you. Getting uh the latest on

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<v Speaker 1>the gift at giving a business and nobody does it

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<v Speaker 1>better than the good folks at one Flowers dot Com.

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<v Speaker 1>Christma can't see Flowers dot Com Incorporated giving us his

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<v Speaker 1>thoughts as we head in to Mother's Day weekend. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>stocks are down and the broader indexes um, but not

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<v Speaker 1>as bad in the big indexes as they are in

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<v Speaker 1>small caps. That's bringing Dave Wilson right now for a

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<v Speaker 1>look at what's going on um with the smaller cap companies. Dave,

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<v Speaker 1>They've got that right, Matt. Smaller companies, bigger declines. That's

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<v Speaker 1>part of the story of the day. The Russell two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand index now lower by one point four percent, while

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<v Speaker 1>the SMP five hundred is only down two tenths of

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<v Speaker 1>a percent. Now the steepest drop in the Russell belongs

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<v Speaker 1>to James River Group Holdings. The ticker their j R

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<v Speaker 1>v R. The insurer has lost more than thirty two

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<v Speaker 1>percent after raising a hundred and seventy five million dollars

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<v Speaker 1>in a share sale that amounted to a fifteen per

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<v Speaker 1>and a half percent steak. Regis ticker RGS is down

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<v Speaker 1>about twenty six and a half percent. The hair salon

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<v Speaker 1>owner and franchise are posts the wider loss and lower

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<v Speaker 1>revenue for the fiscal third quarter than Analystic spected in

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Survey, and US concrete ticker u SCR is down

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<v Speaker 1>twenty three First quarter revenue fell more than analysts predicted,

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<v Speaker 1>as a winter storm in Texas her demand now. The

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<v Speaker 1>biggest gain Russell belongs to Avid Technology. The ticker a

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<v Speaker 1>v i D, the maker of audio and video editing software,

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<v Speaker 1>is up twenty one percent after reporting first quarter results

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<v Speaker 1>that surpassed projections, and the Quidity Services ticker l q

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<v Speaker 1>DT is up nineteen and a half percent. UH, the

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<v Speaker 1>online marketplace for surplus goods, had fiscal second quarter results

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<v Speaker 1>that beat estimates. Bloomberk Stocks editor Dave Wilson, thank you

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<v Speaker 1>so much. We appreciate that small cap report. Let's take

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<v Speaker 1>a look now at the high yield business. We do

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<v Speaker 1>that today with Emmanuel Hayes. He's a senior portfolio manager

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<v Speaker 1>at Melan. Manuel, thanks so much for joining us here.

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<v Speaker 1>We've seen in the equity markets really since September, kind

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<v Speaker 1>of a rotation trade away from some of the big

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<v Speaker 1>high tech growth names into some more cyclical names, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>even from a smaller cap kind of banking on this reopening.

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<v Speaker 1>Are we seeing something similar in the high yield market

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<v Speaker 1>as well? Hi, thank you for having me pleasure to

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<v Speaker 1>be here. The short after is yes, we're seeing something

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<v Speaker 1>very similar in the broader high old market. Where As

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<v Speaker 1>the COVID impacted everybody in March and in April, we

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<v Speaker 1>started seeing a lot of sectors get impacted from a

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<v Speaker 1>spread perspective, as a widened indie cyclical sectors think of

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<v Speaker 1>leisures and airline transportation, more consumer cyclical sectors. And then

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<v Speaker 1>as things started stabilizing and there's more optimism built into

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<v Speaker 1>the vaccine rollouts, we're starting to see those trades performed

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<v Speaker 1>really well. And so that's been very much in line

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<v Speaker 1>with what we're seeing in the equity markets. But we're

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<v Speaker 1>also seeing interesting other dynamics take place in high old.

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<v Speaker 1>It's very exciting time. We're seeing a lot of companies

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<v Speaker 1>being downgraded from investment grade. We're also seeing a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of companies getting upgraded back into the investment grade market,

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<v Speaker 1>providing nice tailwind performance on both sides. Very interesting time

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<v Speaker 1>in the higold market right now, and a ton of

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<v Speaker 1>issuance right manual we see we saw a record issuance

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<v Speaker 1>last year four or billion dollars in total, and this

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<v Speaker 1>year in the first quarter we had a hundred forty

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<v Speaker 1>billion dollars in issue and so does that mean one

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<v Speaker 1>is going to be another record year? All expectations is

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<v Speaker 1>that this issuance pace will continue. A lot of issuance

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<v Speaker 1>was built into last year after companies were in survival mode. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>with rates continuing to be as low as they are,

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<v Speaker 1>you are seeing companies being more opportunistic, looking to refinance

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<v Speaker 1>their debt, bring down their interest expense, clean up the

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<v Speaker 1>balance sheet issues that maybe they were encountering last year.

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<v Speaker 1>So we are seeing record level of issuance. And with

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<v Speaker 1>issue wance, there is a concession that takes place. So

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<v Speaker 1>when issuers kind of the market, they do provide, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>several bits to a hundred bits of concession just to

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<v Speaker 1>entice investors to participate, and that provides a nice performance

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<v Speaker 1>pop if you are able to do it in a

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<v Speaker 1>very diversive light way across a lot of these bonds

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<v Speaker 1>that are issued, hey man, will give us a sense

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<v Speaker 1>of credit quality out there. We're again this pandemic. We're

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<v Speaker 1>month fourteen here roughly. We do obviously see some really

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<v Speaker 1>good light at the end of the tunnel here and

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of parts of the economy already you know

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<v Speaker 1>out of that tunnel. If if you will talk to

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<v Speaker 1>us about the credit quality you've seen in your portfolio

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<v Speaker 1>over the over the last fourteen months. Yeah, after the

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<v Speaker 1>pandemic hit, we saw this huge amount of downgrades to

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<v Speaker 1>take place. So a lot of bonds that were rated

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<v Speaker 1>shoup will be were downgraded over two billion across twenty

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<v Speaker 1>five companies. So naturally, what was the lowest part of

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<v Speaker 1>the investment grade market migrated down into the high old market.

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<v Speaker 1>And with that means now the high market for intensive

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<v Speaker 1>purposes is higher quality, meaning more double BE rated securities.

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<v Speaker 1>And so you saw the broad high old market naturally

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<v Speaker 1>increases double BE exposure. Just around half of the overall

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<v Speaker 1>explosion high old is now rated double B and that's

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<v Speaker 1>good for the overall credit quality of the company's, the

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<v Speaker 1>overall market landscape and high old. And what we see

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<v Speaker 1>is that segment, that little cohort of double B rated

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<v Speaker 1>bonds that were downgraded, it's actually a very very strong performer.

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<v Speaker 1>What happens with these bonds as they get migrated, they

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<v Speaker 1>get forsold by a lot of investment grade holders, index ers,

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<v Speaker 1>active managers, insurance companies, and so when they enter the

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<v Speaker 1>high old market, not only is the higher quality, but

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<v Speaker 1>you see these bonds come in at these discounts basis

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<v Speaker 1>points from our analysis, and that shouldn't be the case.

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<v Speaker 1>But because there is a inefficient bifurcated corporate market, high

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<v Speaker 1>old investors are excited. They come in, they get these

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<v Speaker 1>cheap bonds, high quality, large camp names, and they get

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<v Speaker 1>out of its steep discount and then they harvest that premium.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a great time to be a hiled manager, as

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<v Speaker 1>you just are here sitting on the side taking advantage

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<v Speaker 1>of this opportunity. That is truly fascinating insight. Manuel, thanks

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<v Speaker 1>so much for joining us. Manuel Hayes, their senior portfolio

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<v Speaker 1>manager at Melon, talking to us about the fallen angels,

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<v Speaker 1>getting them at a discount on the way in and

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<v Speaker 1>then making money obviously on the way back out. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>when the pandemic hit, the lockdowns went into place, and

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<v Speaker 1>daily lives as we knew them were greatly disrupted, and

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<v Speaker 1>that includes going to your dentist, going towards your local

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<v Speaker 1>doctor for you know, annual checkups for example, that all

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<v Speaker 1>all was disrupted. Now as we come out on the

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<v Speaker 1>other side, what's that Are we going to go back

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<v Speaker 1>to a normal behavior? Let's check in with Stanley Berman.

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<v Speaker 1>He's a chairman and chief executive officer of Henry Shine.

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<v Speaker 1>Henry Shin is a worldwide distributor of medical and dental supplies,

0:13:12.800 --> 0:13:16.360
<v Speaker 1>including vaccines, pharmaceuticals, financial services, and equipment. It is a

0:13:16.440 --> 0:13:19.559
<v Speaker 1>publicly traded UH stock. Stanley, thanks so much for joining

0:13:19.600 --> 0:13:23.440
<v Speaker 1>us here. When do you think and to what degree

0:13:23.480 --> 0:13:25.200
<v Speaker 1>do you think we will go back to kind of

0:13:25.200 --> 0:13:28.360
<v Speaker 1>pre pandemic levels in terms of going to our dentists,

0:13:28.400 --> 0:13:30.920
<v Speaker 1>hopefully every six months, going to our doctor for that

0:13:31.000 --> 0:13:33.840
<v Speaker 1>annual check up. What are you hearing from the doctor's

0:13:33.840 --> 0:13:37.160
<v Speaker 1>offices that you guys interact with. Thank you, Paul Matte

0:13:37.160 --> 0:13:41.360
<v Speaker 1>for your interview today. Very very good question. Actually, the

0:13:41.440 --> 0:13:47.120
<v Speaker 1>data is quite uh, it's really good and it's reassuring

0:13:47.880 --> 0:13:50.920
<v Speaker 1>the lay. About two weeks ago, the American Dental Association

0:13:50.960 --> 0:13:55.840
<v Speaker 1>reported that to the population are returning to the dentist,

0:13:56.360 --> 0:14:01.320
<v Speaker 1>and that's up from about sixty sixty or seventy six

0:14:01.360 --> 0:14:04.000
<v Speaker 1>months ago. And we expect the public to be going

0:14:04.040 --> 0:14:06.320
<v Speaker 1>back to the dentist in full swing within a few months.

0:14:07.760 --> 0:14:11.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm excited to go back to the dentist myself. Good

0:14:11.520 --> 0:14:15.400
<v Speaker 1>for you. Um, your r hygiene test and your regular

0:14:15.480 --> 0:14:18.880
<v Speaker 1>visits are really important because there's a direct correlation between

0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:21.400
<v Speaker 1>good oral care and good health care. Well, tell me

0:14:21.440 --> 0:14:24.400
<v Speaker 1>about it. And I'm getting older, you know, so I

0:14:24.880 --> 0:14:26.800
<v Speaker 1>I want to keep these teeth. I don't need to

0:14:26.840 --> 0:14:30.920
<v Speaker 1>trade them in for any plastic dentures. But um, what

0:14:30.920 --> 0:14:33.600
<v Speaker 1>what what kind of gear are you selling the most of?

0:14:33.680 --> 0:14:37.280
<v Speaker 1>Because I imagine you did incredibly well with PPE obviously,

0:14:37.400 --> 0:14:41.200
<v Speaker 1>but that's got a kind of taper off. Um, what's

0:14:41.960 --> 0:14:44.320
<v Speaker 1>what's what's in the what's in the future for you?

0:14:44.440 --> 0:14:46.600
<v Speaker 1>Rather than you know, during the pandemic? What are you?

0:14:46.640 --> 0:14:49.160
<v Speaker 1>What are you selling in in the reopening? Right? So,

0:14:49.200 --> 0:14:53.080
<v Speaker 1>of course pre E has been important. Rapid point of

0:14:53.160 --> 0:14:57.960
<v Speaker 1>care tests are very very important physician officers, some dental officers,

0:14:58.000 --> 0:15:02.080
<v Speaker 1>but the big area has been in digital dentistry, in

0:15:02.120 --> 0:15:05.080
<v Speaker 1>other words, a scan of the mouth rather than using

0:15:05.080 --> 0:15:10.960
<v Speaker 1>an impression material and to take an impression and using

0:15:11.000 --> 0:15:15.600
<v Speaker 1>that to mill a crown or bridge share side. So

0:15:15.640 --> 0:15:20.320
<v Speaker 1>it's one visit to the dentist to replace crown or

0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:23.080
<v Speaker 1>put in a new crown or a place or put

0:15:23.080 --> 0:15:27.240
<v Speaker 1>in a new bridge. All right, So one of the

0:15:27.400 --> 0:15:31.560
<v Speaker 1>issues is telehealth, virtual care. They've really come to the

0:15:31.600 --> 0:15:35.560
<v Speaker 1>fore here during this pandemic. How's that impacted your business?

0:15:35.680 --> 0:15:39.920
<v Speaker 1>Am I gonna make fewer visits to the doctor's office? Um?

0:15:40.080 --> 0:15:44.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure you're gonna make a significantly fewer visits,

0:15:44.360 --> 0:15:46.920
<v Speaker 1>but I think your business will be more productive because

0:15:46.960 --> 0:15:49.200
<v Speaker 1>the practitioner will be ready for you when you arrive.

0:15:49.960 --> 0:15:52.400
<v Speaker 1>Telehealth has gone up in a significant way. We of

0:15:52.400 --> 0:15:55.920
<v Speaker 1>course offer telehealth systems to our customers, but I think

0:15:55.960 --> 0:15:59.960
<v Speaker 1>the visit will be much more productive as the practitioner

0:16:00.000 --> 0:16:02.360
<v Speaker 1>will be ready for you, the staff will be ready,

0:16:02.400 --> 0:16:05.960
<v Speaker 1>and I think this hybrid health care system will be very,

0:16:06.080 --> 0:16:11.680
<v Speaker 1>very effectivating increasing the quality of health in this country.

0:16:12.440 --> 0:16:16.960
<v Speaker 1>In terms of vaccines, Um, are people coming in? You

0:16:16.960 --> 0:16:19.680
<v Speaker 1>think to the dentisty get vaccine? And then uh can

0:16:19.720 --> 0:16:22.040
<v Speaker 1>they can they do that? Can? Can the dental hygiene

0:16:22.040 --> 0:16:24.280
<v Speaker 1>has give you a vaccine? Well, I think we've done

0:16:24.280 --> 0:16:27.600
<v Speaker 1>a terrific job in rolling out the first phase of

0:16:27.800 --> 0:16:31.920
<v Speaker 1>a vaccination. A lot of people have the vaccination, but

0:16:32.360 --> 0:16:37.160
<v Speaker 1>we have a challenge. It's relatively stalled. There's vaccine hesitancy,

0:16:37.240 --> 0:16:41.600
<v Speaker 1>and only our physicians in the United States are offering

0:16:41.720 --> 0:16:45.240
<v Speaker 1>vaccines and a small amount of dentists. This is because

0:16:45.240 --> 0:16:48.600
<v Speaker 1>the system is not yet geared up to providing office

0:16:48.640 --> 0:16:53.840
<v Speaker 1>space practitioners with vaccines. The majority of Americans, of course,

0:16:53.880 --> 0:16:59.240
<v Speaker 1>received their fluid traditional flu vaccine, their other vaccines. In fact,

0:16:59.520 --> 0:17:03.040
<v Speaker 1>almost many percent from an office space practitioner who's very

0:17:03.080 --> 0:17:06.919
<v Speaker 1>much trusted. And we are advocating for the greater allocation

0:17:06.960 --> 0:17:13.359
<v Speaker 1>of vaccine to be provided to office space dentists and physicians. So, Stanley,

0:17:13.400 --> 0:17:15.320
<v Speaker 1>that kind of goes to the issue here of you know,

0:17:15.840 --> 0:17:18.560
<v Speaker 1>hesitancy of the vaccine. Here, what do you what would

0:17:18.560 --> 0:17:23.040
<v Speaker 1>you like to see in terms of programs to address

0:17:23.240 --> 0:17:25.679
<v Speaker 1>vaccine hesanity, because it's not just for the COVID vaccine.

0:17:25.720 --> 0:17:27.920
<v Speaker 1>We've had you know, anti vaxxers for lack of a

0:17:27.960 --> 0:17:31.439
<v Speaker 1>better term, um you know, you know throughout the country

0:17:31.440 --> 0:17:34.040
<v Speaker 1>about different vaccines. But how do we overcome that? I

0:17:34.080 --> 0:17:38.679
<v Speaker 1>think the number one priority is to put the physicians

0:17:38.720 --> 0:17:43.680
<v Speaker 1>and the dentists in the driver's seat on vaccine education.

0:17:44.640 --> 0:17:49.080
<v Speaker 1>Physicians and Dennis are in every community, multiple practitioners in

0:17:49.160 --> 0:17:53.760
<v Speaker 1>every community, and we need to engage the office space

0:17:54.240 --> 0:17:59.000
<v Speaker 1>trusted dentists and physician in educating the public on the

0:17:59.040 --> 0:18:02.560
<v Speaker 1>importance of ACT means. We need to allocate vaccines, the

0:18:02.640 --> 0:18:06.000
<v Speaker 1>COVID vaccines to these office space practitioners, and we need

0:18:06.040 --> 0:18:07.880
<v Speaker 1>to do it quickly and make it easy for them

0:18:07.920 --> 0:18:11.399
<v Speaker 1>to have access to these vaccines. Right now, it's not easy,

0:18:11.480 --> 0:18:14.520
<v Speaker 1>a lot of paperwork for the practitioners. Yet they can

0:18:14.640 --> 0:18:17.680
<v Speaker 1>easily obtain other kinds of vaccines. We need to make

0:18:17.760 --> 0:18:23.119
<v Speaker 1>the COVID vaccine easily accessible to offer space practitioners. Standing

0:18:23.160 --> 0:18:26.560
<v Speaker 1>away from maybe away from your business and and thinking

0:18:26.600 --> 0:18:31.800
<v Speaker 1>more about the health and welfare of mankind. How concerned

0:18:31.840 --> 0:18:34.880
<v Speaker 1>are you about what we're seeing in India and what

0:18:34.920 --> 0:18:37.520
<v Speaker 1>we could soon see? You know, we could see similar

0:18:38.119 --> 0:18:43.040
<v Speaker 1>problems spikes in Africa in South America. Um, what do

0:18:43.119 --> 0:18:45.600
<v Speaker 1>you think needs to be done about that? I'm very,

0:18:45.720 --> 0:18:49.320
<v Speaker 1>very concerned for two reasons. There's a morality issue and

0:18:49.320 --> 0:18:53.200
<v Speaker 1>there's also the issue of ensuring that our own safety

0:18:53.280 --> 0:18:59.320
<v Speaker 1>is protected. Excuse me vaccines. Sorry, the viruses do not

0:19:00.200 --> 0:19:04.639
<v Speaker 1>have passports. You cannot be kept out through visas. We

0:19:04.720 --> 0:19:07.880
<v Speaker 1>need to make sure that the entire world has access

0:19:07.920 --> 0:19:12.520
<v Speaker 1>to P P and E quality that we know works tests,

0:19:13.520 --> 0:19:17.600
<v Speaker 1>rapid tests for COVID and the vaccine, and I'm fearful

0:19:17.840 --> 0:19:21.040
<v Speaker 1>that the wealthier countries in the world are keeping these

0:19:21.040 --> 0:19:26.000
<v Speaker 1>products for ourselves. Yes, it's not moral, but from a

0:19:26.080 --> 0:19:29.520
<v Speaker 1>practical point of view, if we don't provide these products

0:19:29.520 --> 0:19:34.000
<v Speaker 1>to the whole world, this virus will not be contained.

0:19:36.359 --> 0:19:38.960
<v Speaker 1>All right, Stanley, thanks so much for joining us. I

0:19:38.960 --> 0:19:41.800
<v Speaker 1>think really important to get your take on this and

0:19:41.840 --> 0:19:45.920
<v Speaker 1>also obviously great to hear about the business. At Henry Shine,

0:19:46.040 --> 0:19:49.920
<v Speaker 1>Stanley Bergman is the chairman and chief executive officer, and

0:19:50.000 --> 0:19:53.960
<v Speaker 1>he has been incredibly active, written a letter um to

0:19:54.800 --> 0:19:59.359
<v Speaker 1>Congress about why this issue can't be overlooked in the

0:19:59.680 --> 0:20:06.840
<v Speaker 1>direct consequences in terms of vaccine acceptance. This is Bloomberg.

0:20:10.640 --> 0:20:13.000
<v Speaker 1>Let's get now to Mark Barry Bow. He joins us

0:20:13.040 --> 0:20:17.399
<v Speaker 1>from Jennison Associates, the fundamental equity and fixed income business

0:20:17.400 --> 0:20:22.240
<v Speaker 1>a P JIM and he is their head of Global Equity. Mark,

0:20:22.640 --> 0:20:25.359
<v Speaker 1>we've seen this big rotation and we've been talking about

0:20:25.400 --> 0:20:27.680
<v Speaker 1>it for months and months now, but you don't think

0:20:27.680 --> 0:20:32.520
<v Speaker 1>investors should make major changes to their portfolios during market rotations,

0:20:32.560 --> 0:20:36.680
<v Speaker 1>instead focusing on investing for the longer term. How long

0:20:36.800 --> 0:20:40.239
<v Speaker 1>term are you thinking, well, you know, we're typically going

0:20:40.280 --> 0:20:43.919
<v Speaker 1>to look out um, you know, the next three years. Uh,

0:20:44.240 --> 0:20:49.159
<v Speaker 1>just in terms of secular trends. And you know, obviously

0:20:49.880 --> 0:20:52.600
<v Speaker 1>rotations can be painful, particularly if you're a growth investor

0:20:52.640 --> 0:20:55.760
<v Speaker 1>in this environment. But actually there's some really good stock

0:20:55.880 --> 0:20:58.960
<v Speaker 1>setting up here we think, going into the second half

0:20:59.000 --> 0:21:03.120
<v Speaker 1>of the year and into two. So it's it's very

0:21:03.200 --> 0:21:06.000
<v Speaker 1>a little unusual to say that a good economy is

0:21:06.040 --> 0:21:10.280
<v Speaker 1>bad for tech, because um, that would be the first

0:21:10.320 --> 0:21:13.040
<v Speaker 1>cycle we've ever had were good economies bad for tech.

0:21:13.359 --> 0:21:16.160
<v Speaker 1>Good economy is good for tech. So I think it's

0:21:16.160 --> 0:21:18.479
<v Speaker 1>a little bit overdone. So you don't think this rotation

0:21:18.520 --> 0:21:21.320
<v Speaker 1>is going to stick, is basically what you're saying. No,

0:21:21.520 --> 0:21:23.959
<v Speaker 1>I think once you as you're working through earnings, we're

0:21:23.960 --> 0:21:27.760
<v Speaker 1>seeing some amazing prints at a big companies like Apple

0:21:27.920 --> 0:21:33.240
<v Speaker 1>or Amazon, Google, Tesla, etcetera. And um, you know Mercado

0:21:33.320 --> 0:21:38.120
<v Speaker 1>Libre last night out of Latin America, and uh, these

0:21:38.200 --> 0:21:43.160
<v Speaker 1>leading companies are building major platforms that that are going

0:21:43.240 --> 0:21:45.800
<v Speaker 1>to you know, thrive for years to come, we think.

0:21:46.440 --> 0:21:50.159
<v Speaker 1>And so I think once the cyclical kind of you know,

0:21:50.320 --> 0:21:55.040
<v Speaker 1>rallied you know, reaches its crescendo as it were, because

0:21:55.080 --> 0:21:57.760
<v Speaker 1>there is nothing secular about it. It's just a cyclical

0:21:57.800 --> 0:22:01.200
<v Speaker 1>bounce off the bottom. Uh, it's going to be. Investors

0:22:01.200 --> 0:22:03.600
<v Speaker 1>are just gonna win with companies that are that are

0:22:03.760 --> 0:22:07.280
<v Speaker 1>gaining market share and creating goods and services that people

0:22:07.359 --> 0:22:10.320
<v Speaker 1>really like. And I think, you know, you're just back

0:22:10.320 --> 0:22:15.840
<v Speaker 1>to basic fundamentals instead of just macro trading. So how

0:22:15.880 --> 0:22:19.040
<v Speaker 1>do you generate alpha in with the strategy like that

0:22:19.119 --> 0:22:21.760
<v Speaker 1>mark in the in the context of not really going

0:22:21.800 --> 0:22:24.560
<v Speaker 1>to where the puck is going? Uh? And and over

0:22:24.600 --> 0:22:26.560
<v Speaker 1>the last you know, kind of nine months, ten months,

0:22:26.560 --> 0:22:28.520
<v Speaker 1>it's been some of those cyclical trade maybe even some

0:22:28.600 --> 0:22:33.240
<v Speaker 1>of the small caps as well. Yeah, no, you know,

0:22:33.359 --> 0:22:37.280
<v Speaker 1>we've of course over the last year. Uh. As long

0:22:37.320 --> 0:22:41.399
<v Speaker 1>as you're in the right names, you can consistently generate alpha.

0:22:41.440 --> 0:22:45.679
<v Speaker 1>Of course, if if the whole cluster sells off as

0:22:45.720 --> 0:22:48.120
<v Speaker 1>it did in March, you know, obviously in one month,

0:22:48.160 --> 0:22:51.719
<v Speaker 1>it's tough. So what we try to do is not

0:22:51.920 --> 0:22:54.760
<v Speaker 1>let all the short term movement get in the way

0:22:55.400 --> 0:23:00.480
<v Speaker 1>of evaluating how big can a specific company become, how

0:23:00.560 --> 0:23:05.360
<v Speaker 1>dominant in its particular niche, how important is that company

0:23:05.440 --> 0:23:08.920
<v Speaker 1>to a local market, And if you approach it from

0:23:08.960 --> 0:23:11.120
<v Speaker 1>that perspective, you tend to get some really good long

0:23:11.200 --> 0:23:15.199
<v Speaker 1>term investments that pay off. Um, although every one of

0:23:15.240 --> 0:23:17.800
<v Speaker 1>them periodically is going to take a breather, right, because

0:23:18.080 --> 0:23:21.440
<v Speaker 1>sometimes they'll get ahead of themselves as stocks. But you know,

0:23:21.480 --> 0:23:25.320
<v Speaker 1>if you look at Amazon, for example, it's kind of stunning. Uh,

0:23:25.840 --> 0:23:30.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, they just reported revenue growth on a multi

0:23:30.359 --> 0:23:36.199
<v Speaker 1>hundred billion dollar revenue base and um, you know, you

0:23:36.280 --> 0:23:39.040
<v Speaker 1>just don't find scale like that generally in the market.

0:23:39.760 --> 0:23:42.440
<v Speaker 1>So their revenues in the first quarter, we're up forty

0:23:43.160 --> 0:23:46.040
<v Speaker 1>year every year, the stocks only up thirty nine percent

0:23:46.200 --> 0:23:49.040
<v Speaker 1>year over year. So there seems to be a disconnect.

0:23:49.440 --> 0:23:52.680
<v Speaker 1>It's not not not extended. It makes sense you can't

0:23:52.720 --> 0:23:55.439
<v Speaker 1>go more compelling. It makes sense that you can't go

0:23:55.520 --> 0:23:58.320
<v Speaker 1>wrong there with the with the big fan companies. I mean,

0:23:58.359 --> 0:24:03.960
<v Speaker 1>Amazon is just a killer. But what do you like blow, um,

0:24:04.000 --> 0:24:07.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, trillion dollar valuations? What do you like in

0:24:07.480 --> 0:24:18.120
<v Speaker 1>terms of sectors other than Amazon? Apple? Um, you know, Tesla, Google? Sure? Well,

0:24:18.160 --> 0:24:20.560
<v Speaker 1>you know it's what's really interesting, Okay, if you if

0:24:20.560 --> 0:24:22.480
<v Speaker 1>you take a step back and you say, what, what's

0:24:22.520 --> 0:24:28.000
<v Speaker 1>the most important trend that's out there today that's shaping

0:24:28.600 --> 0:24:34.879
<v Speaker 1>new business formation? Shaping the industry structure, and it's this

0:24:35.000 --> 0:24:39.560
<v Speaker 1>digital transformation of the consumer. It's this direct to consumer

0:24:39.680 --> 0:24:42.600
<v Speaker 1>business model. So it doesn't matter if you're really powerful

0:24:42.480 --> 0:24:48.639
<v Speaker 1>brand like Louis Lutan or Nike. UM, you need to

0:24:49.640 --> 0:24:53.119
<v Speaker 1>um go direct to consumer. You need that relationship, and

0:24:53.200 --> 0:24:55.520
<v Speaker 1>you either do it through your own private store base

0:24:55.720 --> 0:24:58.760
<v Speaker 1>or your own website that you control so you can

0:24:58.800 --> 0:25:04.359
<v Speaker 1>monitor inventory pricing, um uh and control your own destiny.

0:25:04.600 --> 0:25:09.359
<v Speaker 1>So what we see in that movement is both um

0:25:09.520 --> 0:25:13.120
<v Speaker 1>early days of directed consumer sales like an e commerce

0:25:13.119 --> 0:25:16.359
<v Speaker 1>in Latin America where it's very underpenetrated. So that's like

0:25:16.440 --> 0:25:21.240
<v Speaker 1>Mercado Libre I mean just ironically reported last night sales

0:25:21.320 --> 0:25:26.440
<v Speaker 1>up a hundred fifty constant currency Brazil, Mexico, Argentina. They're

0:25:26.480 --> 0:25:28.919
<v Speaker 1>big markets, all of triple digit I mean, just an

0:25:28.920 --> 0:25:34.040
<v Speaker 1>amazing company. UM. And of course they're building digital payments

0:25:34.080 --> 0:25:38.679
<v Speaker 1>platform as well to grease the skids of commerce in

0:25:38.800 --> 0:25:41.760
<v Speaker 1>markets where people don't have credit cards or there is

0:25:41.840 --> 0:25:44.960
<v Speaker 1>low penetration, and so you have, you know, look to

0:25:45.000 --> 0:25:48.400
<v Speaker 1>emerging markets for these next markets. We got We've got

0:25:48.400 --> 0:25:50.280
<v Speaker 1>to leave it there just because of time, but we

0:25:50.320 --> 0:25:52.639
<v Speaker 1>really appreciate you taking time Mark Barry bow Head, a

0:25:52.640 --> 0:25:56.320
<v Speaker 1>global equity Jennison Associates. Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg

0:25:56.359 --> 0:25:59.760
<v Speaker 1>Markets podcast. You can subscribe and listen to interviews the

0:26:00.040 --> 0:26:04.639
<v Speaker 1>full podcasts, or whatever podcast platform you prefer. I'm Matt Miller.

0:26:04.920 --> 0:26:08.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm on Twitter at Matt Miller three. Pet On Fall

0:26:08.800 --> 0:26:11.720
<v Speaker 1>Sweeney I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast,

0:26:11.760 --> 0:26:14.240
<v Speaker 1>you can always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio