1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:04,040 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney alongside 2 00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:06,920 Speaker 1: my co host Matt Miller. Every business day we bring 3 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along 4 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 1: with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets podcast 5 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:18,479 Speaker 1: called Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and 6 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:22,400 Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. Now ourminder to all 7 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:26,840 Speaker 1: of our listeners. Sunday is Mother's Day. Typically, I'm sure 8 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 1: you would send flowers, but you also might send gourmet 9 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:36,959 Speaker 1: foods and gift baskets. In fact, Flowers dot Com Incorporated 10 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 1: has made more money from the latter than the former 11 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:42,640 Speaker 1: in recent time. Springing Chris McCann right now. He's the 12 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:47,520 Speaker 1: president and CEO. UM. Chris talked to us first about 13 00:00:47,560 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 1: the product mix. Um, I've got to guess you sell 14 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:53,560 Speaker 1: more flowers on Sunday than any other day of the year, 15 00:00:54,000 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 1: but you sell a lot more than that. Sure, thanks 16 00:00:57,040 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 1: thanks for having us. It's just such a crepet week 17 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:01,600 Speaker 1: on a mother is all around the world. It's just 18 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:04,360 Speaker 1: such an important role that they play. And you're right, 19 00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 1: Flowers in a traditional way to say thank you, in 20 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:09,480 Speaker 1: a way to say happy Mother's Day. But as we've 21 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:13,160 Speaker 1: branched out, gourmet foods from Harry and David h charcolate 22 00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:18,000 Speaker 1: covered berries from Shari's Berries, or our newest brand, personalization 23 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:21,680 Speaker 1: Mall is just doing great this holidays. People are uploading 24 00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:24,200 Speaker 1: photos to us. We're putting it in a picture frame 25 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:27,200 Speaker 1: for them, personalizing the message on the frames, sending it 26 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 1: to their recipients. Mother's Day has become much more than 27 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 1: just flowers. And as a company whose mission is to 28 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:37,320 Speaker 1: help our customers express, connect and celebrate, we're just so 29 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 1: well positioned for that. So, Chris, give us a sense 30 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 1: of how your business was impacted by the pandemic and 31 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: maybe how you think your business is going to uh 32 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 1: kind of kind of come out of this pandemic. But 33 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 1: we've been very fortunate really that, you know, to all 34 00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:58,200 Speaker 1: the troubles that we've had, you know, in our personal 35 00:01:58,240 --> 00:02:00,640 Speaker 1: lives and even the challenges that we faced in the business, 36 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: we were very fortunate that we were in front of 37 00:02:04,040 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 1: two major shifts that took place during the pandemic, the 38 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 1: tectonic shift from offline sales to online sales, and as 39 00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:14,680 Speaker 1: an e commerce platform that's built for growth, we're right 40 00:02:14,720 --> 00:02:17,000 Speaker 1: in front of that trend. The other one is I 41 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 1: think we've all learned through this time relationships are so important, 42 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:23,760 Speaker 1: the need to stay connected to needs for human beings 43 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:27,520 Speaker 1: to express themselves, and that's who we are as a company. 44 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:30,359 Speaker 1: So we had good momentum going into the pandemic, good 45 00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:34,679 Speaker 1: growth momentum that was accelerated significantly, just as the pandemic 46 00:02:34,720 --> 00:02:39,080 Speaker 1: accelerated change in every area of life. So the year later, 47 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:41,920 Speaker 1: just over a year later, we're a much bigger, better, 48 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 1: stronger company than we ever were. In fact, we got 49 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 1: guided for double digit growth this quarter on top of 50 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 1: phenomenal same quarter last year, and based on what we see, 51 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:56,079 Speaker 1: we see double digit growth going forward into our next 52 00:02:56,080 --> 00:03:00,919 Speaker 1: fiscal year as well. How do you compete in um, 53 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 1: the age of the Internet. You know, you've got competitors 54 00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:07,200 Speaker 1: who are dropping vowels from their names, and you've still 55 00:03:07,280 --> 00:03:09,679 Speaker 1: got kind of an old school phone number in front 56 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:12,360 Speaker 1: of yours. Um, what do you do to take on 57 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 1: the kids in Silicon Valley? Well, I think, first of all, 58 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:18,639 Speaker 1: misspelling a brand name is is not as not the 59 00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:20,800 Speaker 1: smartest thing to do to makes people try and figure 60 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 1: out how do you spell that? Again? And over the 61 00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:27,079 Speaker 1: years we've built such great brand recognition, such great brand 62 00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:31,040 Speaker 1: attributes behind the one Flowers. The younger generation doesn't even 63 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:34,240 Speaker 1: realize that it actually was ones a phone number. Still 64 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 1: is and we still get some cold volume there, but 65 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:40,640 Speaker 1: the vast majority of our business comes online on the 66 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:43,160 Speaker 1: e commerce channels. And that's why I say, over the 67 00:03:43,240 --> 00:03:45,920 Speaker 1: years we've gone from this one Flower shop to this 68 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 1: platform for expressions, connections and celebrations with all star lineup 69 00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 1: of brands and Harry and David personalization, mall Sharry's Berries, 70 00:03:56,280 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 1: Flowers of course, and just constantly expanding the products and 71 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:03,640 Speaker 1: services we offer our customers to help them have better 72 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:06,200 Speaker 1: relationships in their lives. But what what kind of what 73 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 1: kind of tech operation have you got going there? Because 74 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:11,240 Speaker 1: I noticed, I mean, it's always been the case when 75 00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:13,920 Speaker 1: I put in flowers on Google, you pop up first. 76 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:20,039 Speaker 1: So you've got the search a search engine optimization down. Um, 77 00:04:20,080 --> 00:04:22,480 Speaker 1: do you have a group of kids working out of 78 00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:25,599 Speaker 1: Syosset on the internet? How's this going on? How's this 79 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:28,920 Speaker 1: going down? We had a group of wonderful people actually 80 00:04:29,000 --> 00:04:31,560 Speaker 1: all over the country and frank quite frankly all over 81 00:04:31,600 --> 00:04:34,800 Speaker 1: the world on our technology team, and we we we 82 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 1: just made a major migration this past year or two 83 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:41,920 Speaker 1: into a whole new platform. It's a headless commerce platform 84 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:45,480 Speaker 1: built on pw A technology. It resides in the clouds, 85 00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:50,000 Speaker 1: so it gives us a significantly enhanced flexibility and scalability. 86 00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:53,520 Speaker 1: Uh and so it's tremendous capabilities there. But then it 87 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:55,560 Speaker 1: really comes down to the people. And as you say 88 00:04:55,839 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 1: and Seo, we have some great people as young ladies Sarah, 89 00:04:59,440 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 1: that does it h job heading that unit for us. 90 00:05:02,279 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 1: But all about digital marketing, we've grown up as a 91 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:08,360 Speaker 1: digital marketing company, so we have great expertise and that's 92 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:10,120 Speaker 1: one of the things that brings that we bring to 93 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 1: the table for some of the acquisitions that we've done. 94 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:15,880 Speaker 1: And in the past two years, we've taken Sherry's Berries, 95 00:05:15,920 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 1: which was a bankrupt company and it has now been 96 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:22,360 Speaker 1: been a rowing success since we plugged it into our platform. 97 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 1: And then most recently during the pandemic this August, we 98 00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 1: made our largest acquisition ever, Personalization Mall, and since moving 99 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:34,160 Speaker 1: that into our platform, last quarter of the holiday season, 100 00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:38,479 Speaker 1: team ball grew for us. So so wheels are turning well. 101 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:40,840 Speaker 1: All right, Chris, thanks so much for joining us. We 102 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 1: always appreciate chatting with you. Getting uh the latest on 103 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 1: the gift at giving a business and nobody does it 104 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:48,920 Speaker 1: better than the good folks at one Flowers dot Com. 105 00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:52,960 Speaker 1: Christma can't see Flowers dot Com Incorporated giving us his 106 00:05:53,040 --> 00:06:00,160 Speaker 1: thoughts as we head in to Mother's Day weekend. Now, 107 00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:04,720 Speaker 1: stocks are down and the broader indexes um, but not 108 00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:07,839 Speaker 1: as bad in the big indexes as they are in 109 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:10,599 Speaker 1: small caps. That's bringing Dave Wilson right now for a 110 00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:14,080 Speaker 1: look at what's going on um with the smaller cap companies. Dave, 111 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: They've got that right, Matt. Smaller companies, bigger declines. That's 112 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:20,800 Speaker 1: part of the story of the day. The Russell two 113 00:06:20,839 --> 00:06:25,440 Speaker 1: thousand index now lower by one point four percent, while 114 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:28,880 Speaker 1: the SMP five hundred is only down two tenths of 115 00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:32,599 Speaker 1: a percent. Now the steepest drop in the Russell belongs 116 00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 1: to James River Group Holdings. The ticker their j R 117 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:40,119 Speaker 1: v R. The insurer has lost more than thirty two 118 00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:43,560 Speaker 1: percent after raising a hundred and seventy five million dollars 119 00:06:43,560 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 1: in a share sale that amounted to a fifteen per 120 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:51,160 Speaker 1: and a half percent steak. Regis ticker RGS is down 121 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:54,120 Speaker 1: about twenty six and a half percent. The hair salon 122 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:57,239 Speaker 1: owner and franchise are posts the wider loss and lower 123 00:06:57,279 --> 00:07:00,599 Speaker 1: revenue for the fiscal third quarter than Analystic spected in 124 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Survey, and US concrete ticker u SCR is down 125 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:09,400 Speaker 1: twenty three First quarter revenue fell more than analysts predicted, 126 00:07:09,520 --> 00:07:13,640 Speaker 1: as a winter storm in Texas her demand now. The 127 00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:17,000 Speaker 1: biggest gain Russell belongs to Avid Technology. The ticker a 128 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:21,480 Speaker 1: v i D, the maker of audio and video editing software, 129 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:25,320 Speaker 1: is up twenty one percent after reporting first quarter results 130 00:07:25,360 --> 00:07:28,880 Speaker 1: that surpassed projections, and the Quidity Services ticker l q 131 00:07:29,200 --> 00:07:33,080 Speaker 1: DT is up nineteen and a half percent. UH, the 132 00:07:33,160 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 1: online marketplace for surplus goods, had fiscal second quarter results 133 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:42,520 Speaker 1: that beat estimates. Bloomberk Stocks editor Dave Wilson, thank you 134 00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:45,400 Speaker 1: so much. We appreciate that small cap report. Let's take 135 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:48,280 Speaker 1: a look now at the high yield business. We do 136 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:51,120 Speaker 1: that today with Emmanuel Hayes. He's a senior portfolio manager 137 00:07:51,160 --> 00:07:53,640 Speaker 1: at Melan. Manuel, thanks so much for joining us here. 138 00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 1: We've seen in the equity markets really since September, kind 139 00:07:57,040 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 1: of a rotation trade away from some of the big 140 00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:02,680 Speaker 1: high tech growth names into some more cyclical names, maybe 141 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:05,680 Speaker 1: even from a smaller cap kind of banking on this reopening. 142 00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:09,119 Speaker 1: Are we seeing something similar in the high yield market 143 00:08:09,160 --> 00:08:14,720 Speaker 1: as well? Hi, thank you for having me pleasure to 144 00:08:14,720 --> 00:08:18,480 Speaker 1: be here. The short after is yes, we're seeing something 145 00:08:18,560 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 1: very similar in the broader high old market. Where As 146 00:08:22,320 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 1: the COVID impacted everybody in March and in April, we 147 00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:32,120 Speaker 1: started seeing a lot of sectors get impacted from a 148 00:08:32,160 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 1: spread perspective, as a widened indie cyclical sectors think of 149 00:08:36,360 --> 00:08:41,560 Speaker 1: leisures and airline transportation, more consumer cyclical sectors. And then 150 00:08:41,640 --> 00:08:45,400 Speaker 1: as things started stabilizing and there's more optimism built into 151 00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:49,000 Speaker 1: the vaccine rollouts, we're starting to see those trades performed 152 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:53,000 Speaker 1: really well. And so that's been very much in line 153 00:08:53,040 --> 00:08:55,559 Speaker 1: with what we're seeing in the equity markets. But we're 154 00:08:55,559 --> 00:08:58,680 Speaker 1: also seeing interesting other dynamics take place in high old. 155 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:01,720 Speaker 1: It's very exciting time. We're seeing a lot of companies 156 00:09:01,800 --> 00:09:05,000 Speaker 1: being downgraded from investment grade. We're also seeing a lot 157 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:08,200 Speaker 1: of companies getting upgraded back into the investment grade market, 158 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:14,840 Speaker 1: providing nice tailwind performance on both sides. Very interesting time 159 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:17,800 Speaker 1: in the higold market right now, and a ton of 160 00:09:17,920 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 1: issuance right manual we see we saw a record issuance 161 00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:25,400 Speaker 1: last year four or billion dollars in total, and this 162 00:09:25,480 --> 00:09:27,560 Speaker 1: year in the first quarter we had a hundred forty 163 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:31,440 Speaker 1: billion dollars in issue and so does that mean one 164 00:09:31,520 --> 00:09:36,520 Speaker 1: is going to be another record year? All expectations is 165 00:09:36,559 --> 00:09:40,680 Speaker 1: that this issuance pace will continue. A lot of issuance 166 00:09:40,840 --> 00:09:45,720 Speaker 1: was built into last year after companies were in survival mode. Now, 167 00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 1: with rates continuing to be as low as they are, 168 00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:53,160 Speaker 1: you are seeing companies being more opportunistic, looking to refinance 169 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:55,960 Speaker 1: their debt, bring down their interest expense, clean up the 170 00:09:56,040 --> 00:09:59,880 Speaker 1: balance sheet issues that maybe they were encountering last year. 171 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:03,280 Speaker 1: So we are seeing record level of issuance. And with 172 00:10:03,440 --> 00:10:06,600 Speaker 1: issue wance, there is a concession that takes place. So 173 00:10:06,760 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 1: when issuers kind of the market, they do provide, you know, 174 00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:13,160 Speaker 1: several bits to a hundred bits of concession just to 175 00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:18,360 Speaker 1: entice investors to participate, and that provides a nice performance 176 00:10:19,040 --> 00:10:20,960 Speaker 1: pop if you are able to do it in a 177 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:23,320 Speaker 1: very diversive light way across a lot of these bonds 178 00:10:23,320 --> 00:10:26,199 Speaker 1: that are issued, hey man, will give us a sense 179 00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:29,959 Speaker 1: of credit quality out there. We're again this pandemic. We're 180 00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:34,319 Speaker 1: month fourteen here roughly. We do obviously see some really 181 00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:36,080 Speaker 1: good light at the end of the tunnel here and 182 00:10:36,080 --> 00:10:38,280 Speaker 1: a lot of parts of the economy already you know 183 00:10:38,320 --> 00:10:41,000 Speaker 1: out of that tunnel. If if you will talk to 184 00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:43,239 Speaker 1: us about the credit quality you've seen in your portfolio 185 00:10:43,280 --> 00:10:47,640 Speaker 1: over the over the last fourteen months. Yeah, after the 186 00:10:47,720 --> 00:10:51,120 Speaker 1: pandemic hit, we saw this huge amount of downgrades to 187 00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 1: take place. So a lot of bonds that were rated 188 00:10:53,559 --> 00:10:57,120 Speaker 1: shoup will be were downgraded over two billion across twenty 189 00:10:57,160 --> 00:11:00,760 Speaker 1: five companies. So naturally, what was the lowest part of 190 00:11:00,760 --> 00:11:04,600 Speaker 1: the investment grade market migrated down into the high old market. 191 00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:09,000 Speaker 1: And with that means now the high market for intensive 192 00:11:09,000 --> 00:11:13,760 Speaker 1: purposes is higher quality, meaning more double BE rated securities. 193 00:11:14,320 --> 00:11:17,360 Speaker 1: And so you saw the broad high old market naturally 194 00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:21,160 Speaker 1: increases double BE exposure. Just around half of the overall 195 00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:24,440 Speaker 1: explosion high old is now rated double B and that's 196 00:11:24,440 --> 00:11:28,079 Speaker 1: good for the overall credit quality of the company's, the 197 00:11:28,160 --> 00:11:32,200 Speaker 1: overall market landscape and high old. And what we see 198 00:11:32,280 --> 00:11:35,800 Speaker 1: is that segment, that little cohort of double B rated 199 00:11:35,840 --> 00:11:40,439 Speaker 1: bonds that were downgraded, it's actually a very very strong performer. 200 00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:43,760 Speaker 1: What happens with these bonds as they get migrated, they 201 00:11:43,800 --> 00:11:48,439 Speaker 1: get forsold by a lot of investment grade holders, index ers, 202 00:11:48,600 --> 00:11:51,720 Speaker 1: active managers, insurance companies, and so when they enter the 203 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 1: high old market, not only is the higher quality, but 204 00:11:54,600 --> 00:11:59,439 Speaker 1: you see these bonds come in at these discounts basis 205 00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:02,760 Speaker 1: points from our analysis, and that shouldn't be the case. 206 00:12:02,840 --> 00:12:08,560 Speaker 1: But because there is a inefficient bifurcated corporate market, high 207 00:12:08,559 --> 00:12:11,040 Speaker 1: old investors are excited. They come in, they get these 208 00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:14,760 Speaker 1: cheap bonds, high quality, large camp names, and they get 209 00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:17,800 Speaker 1: out of its steep discount and then they harvest that premium. 210 00:12:18,480 --> 00:12:20,960 Speaker 1: It's a great time to be a hiled manager, as 211 00:12:21,000 --> 00:12:23,720 Speaker 1: you just are here sitting on the side taking advantage 212 00:12:23,720 --> 00:12:29,320 Speaker 1: of this opportunity. That is truly fascinating insight. Manuel, thanks 213 00:12:29,320 --> 00:12:32,640 Speaker 1: so much for joining us. Manuel Hayes, their senior portfolio 214 00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:36,560 Speaker 1: manager at Melon, talking to us about the fallen angels, 215 00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:39,200 Speaker 1: getting them at a discount on the way in and 216 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:44,679 Speaker 1: then making money obviously on the way back out. Well, 217 00:12:44,720 --> 00:12:48,000 Speaker 1: when the pandemic hit, the lockdowns went into place, and 218 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:51,600 Speaker 1: daily lives as we knew them were greatly disrupted, and 219 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:56,680 Speaker 1: that includes going to your dentist, going towards your local 220 00:12:56,880 --> 00:13:00,000 Speaker 1: doctor for you know, annual checkups for example, that all 221 00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:01,839 Speaker 1: all was disrupted. Now as we come out on the 222 00:13:01,880 --> 00:13:03,800 Speaker 1: other side, what's that Are we going to go back 223 00:13:03,800 --> 00:13:06,920 Speaker 1: to a normal behavior? Let's check in with Stanley Berman. 224 00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:09,280 Speaker 1: He's a chairman and chief executive officer of Henry Shine. 225 00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:12,760 Speaker 1: Henry Shin is a worldwide distributor of medical and dental supplies, 226 00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:16,360 Speaker 1: including vaccines, pharmaceuticals, financial services, and equipment. It is a 227 00:13:16,440 --> 00:13:19,559 Speaker 1: publicly traded UH stock. Stanley, thanks so much for joining 228 00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:23,440 Speaker 1: us here. When do you think and to what degree 229 00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:25,200 Speaker 1: do you think we will go back to kind of 230 00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:28,360 Speaker 1: pre pandemic levels in terms of going to our dentists, 231 00:13:28,400 --> 00:13:30,920 Speaker 1: hopefully every six months, going to our doctor for that 232 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:33,840 Speaker 1: annual check up. What are you hearing from the doctor's 233 00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:37,160 Speaker 1: offices that you guys interact with. Thank you, Paul Matte 234 00:13:37,160 --> 00:13:41,360 Speaker 1: for your interview today. Very very good question. Actually, the 235 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:47,120 Speaker 1: data is quite uh, it's really good and it's reassuring 236 00:13:47,880 --> 00:13:50,920 Speaker 1: the lay. About two weeks ago, the American Dental Association 237 00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:55,840 Speaker 1: reported that to the population are returning to the dentist, 238 00:13:56,360 --> 00:14:01,320 Speaker 1: and that's up from about sixty sixty or seventy six 239 00:14:01,360 --> 00:14:04,000 Speaker 1: months ago. And we expect the public to be going 240 00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:06,320 Speaker 1: back to the dentist in full swing within a few months. 241 00:14:07,760 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 1: I'm excited to go back to the dentist myself. Good 242 00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:15,400 Speaker 1: for you. Um, your r hygiene test and your regular 243 00:14:15,480 --> 00:14:18,880 Speaker 1: visits are really important because there's a direct correlation between 244 00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:21,400 Speaker 1: good oral care and good health care. Well, tell me 245 00:14:21,440 --> 00:14:24,400 Speaker 1: about it. And I'm getting older, you know, so I 246 00:14:24,880 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 1: I want to keep these teeth. I don't need to 247 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:30,920 Speaker 1: trade them in for any plastic dentures. But um, what 248 00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:33,600 Speaker 1: what what kind of gear are you selling the most of? 249 00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:37,280 Speaker 1: Because I imagine you did incredibly well with PPE obviously, 250 00:14:37,400 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 1: but that's got a kind of taper off. Um, what's 251 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:44,320 Speaker 1: what's what's in the what's in the future for you? 252 00:14:44,440 --> 00:14:46,600 Speaker 1: Rather than you know, during the pandemic? What are you? 253 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:49,160 Speaker 1: What are you selling in in the reopening? Right? So, 254 00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:53,080 Speaker 1: of course pre E has been important. Rapid point of 255 00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:57,960 Speaker 1: care tests are very very important physician officers, some dental officers, 256 00:14:58,000 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 1: but the big area has been in digital dentistry, in 257 00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:05,080 Speaker 1: other words, a scan of the mouth rather than using 258 00:15:05,080 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 1: an impression material and to take an impression and using 259 00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:15,600 Speaker 1: that to mill a crown or bridge share side. So 260 00:15:15,640 --> 00:15:20,320 Speaker 1: it's one visit to the dentist to replace crown or 261 00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:23,080 Speaker 1: put in a new crown or a place or put 262 00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:27,240 Speaker 1: in a new bridge. All right, So one of the 263 00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:31,560 Speaker 1: issues is telehealth, virtual care. They've really come to the 264 00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:35,560 Speaker 1: fore here during this pandemic. How's that impacted your business? 265 00:15:35,680 --> 00:15:39,920 Speaker 1: Am I gonna make fewer visits to the doctor's office? Um? 266 00:15:40,080 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 1: I'm not sure you're gonna make a significantly fewer visits, 267 00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:46,920 Speaker 1: but I think your business will be more productive because 268 00:15:46,960 --> 00:15:49,200 Speaker 1: the practitioner will be ready for you when you arrive. 269 00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:52,400 Speaker 1: Telehealth has gone up in a significant way. We of 270 00:15:52,400 --> 00:15:55,920 Speaker 1: course offer telehealth systems to our customers, but I think 271 00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 1: the visit will be much more productive as the practitioner 272 00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:02,360 Speaker 1: will be ready for you, the staff will be ready, 273 00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:05,960 Speaker 1: and I think this hybrid health care system will be very, 274 00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:11,680 Speaker 1: very effectivating increasing the quality of health in this country. 275 00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:16,960 Speaker 1: In terms of vaccines, Um, are people coming in? You 276 00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:19,680 Speaker 1: think to the dentisty get vaccine? And then uh can 277 00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 1: they can they do that? Can? Can the dental hygiene 278 00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:24,280 Speaker 1: has give you a vaccine? Well, I think we've done 279 00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:27,600 Speaker 1: a terrific job in rolling out the first phase of 280 00:16:27,800 --> 00:16:31,920 Speaker 1: a vaccination. A lot of people have the vaccination, but 281 00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:37,160 Speaker 1: we have a challenge. It's relatively stalled. There's vaccine hesitancy, 282 00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 1: and only our physicians in the United States are offering 283 00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:45,240 Speaker 1: vaccines and a small amount of dentists. This is because 284 00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:48,600 Speaker 1: the system is not yet geared up to providing office 285 00:16:48,640 --> 00:16:53,840 Speaker 1: space practitioners with vaccines. The majority of Americans, of course, 286 00:16:53,880 --> 00:16:59,240 Speaker 1: received their fluid traditional flu vaccine, their other vaccines. In fact, 287 00:16:59,520 --> 00:17:03,040 Speaker 1: almost many percent from an office space practitioner who's very 288 00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:06,919 Speaker 1: much trusted. And we are advocating for the greater allocation 289 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:13,359 Speaker 1: of vaccine to be provided to office space dentists and physicians. So, Stanley, 290 00:17:13,400 --> 00:17:15,320 Speaker 1: that kind of goes to the issue here of you know, 291 00:17:15,840 --> 00:17:18,560 Speaker 1: hesitancy of the vaccine. Here, what do you what would 292 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:23,040 Speaker 1: you like to see in terms of programs to address 293 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:25,679 Speaker 1: vaccine hesanity, because it's not just for the COVID vaccine. 294 00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:27,920 Speaker 1: We've had you know, anti vaxxers for lack of a 295 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:31,439 Speaker 1: better term, um you know, you know throughout the country 296 00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:34,040 Speaker 1: about different vaccines. But how do we overcome that? I 297 00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:38,679 Speaker 1: think the number one priority is to put the physicians 298 00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:43,680 Speaker 1: and the dentists in the driver's seat on vaccine education. 299 00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:49,080 Speaker 1: Physicians and Dennis are in every community, multiple practitioners in 300 00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:53,760 Speaker 1: every community, and we need to engage the office space 301 00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:59,000 Speaker 1: trusted dentists and physician in educating the public on the 302 00:17:59,040 --> 00:18:02,560 Speaker 1: importance of ACT means. We need to allocate vaccines, the 303 00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:06,000 Speaker 1: COVID vaccines to these office space practitioners, and we need 304 00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:07,880 Speaker 1: to do it quickly and make it easy for them 305 00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:11,399 Speaker 1: to have access to these vaccines. Right now, it's not easy, 306 00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:14,520 Speaker 1: a lot of paperwork for the practitioners. Yet they can 307 00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:17,680 Speaker 1: easily obtain other kinds of vaccines. We need to make 308 00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:23,119 Speaker 1: the COVID vaccine easily accessible to offer space practitioners. Standing 309 00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:26,560 Speaker 1: away from maybe away from your business and and thinking 310 00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:31,800 Speaker 1: more about the health and welfare of mankind. How concerned 311 00:18:31,840 --> 00:18:34,880 Speaker 1: are you about what we're seeing in India and what 312 00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:37,520 Speaker 1: we could soon see? You know, we could see similar 313 00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:43,040 Speaker 1: problems spikes in Africa in South America. Um, what do 314 00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:45,600 Speaker 1: you think needs to be done about that? I'm very, 315 00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:49,320 Speaker 1: very concerned for two reasons. There's a morality issue and 316 00:18:49,320 --> 00:18:53,200 Speaker 1: there's also the issue of ensuring that our own safety 317 00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:59,320 Speaker 1: is protected. Excuse me vaccines. Sorry, the viruses do not 318 00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:04,639 Speaker 1: have passports. You cannot be kept out through visas. We 319 00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:07,880 Speaker 1: need to make sure that the entire world has access 320 00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:12,520 Speaker 1: to P P and E quality that we know works tests, 321 00:19:13,520 --> 00:19:17,600 Speaker 1: rapid tests for COVID and the vaccine, and I'm fearful 322 00:19:17,840 --> 00:19:21,040 Speaker 1: that the wealthier countries in the world are keeping these 323 00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:26,000 Speaker 1: products for ourselves. Yes, it's not moral, but from a 324 00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:29,520 Speaker 1: practical point of view, if we don't provide these products 325 00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:34,000 Speaker 1: to the whole world, this virus will not be contained. 326 00:19:36,359 --> 00:19:38,960 Speaker 1: All right, Stanley, thanks so much for joining us. I 327 00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:41,800 Speaker 1: think really important to get your take on this and 328 00:19:41,840 --> 00:19:45,920 Speaker 1: also obviously great to hear about the business. At Henry Shine, 329 00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:49,920 Speaker 1: Stanley Bergman is the chairman and chief executive officer, and 330 00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:53,960 Speaker 1: he has been incredibly active, written a letter um to 331 00:19:54,800 --> 00:19:59,359 Speaker 1: Congress about why this issue can't be overlooked in the 332 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:06,840 Speaker 1: direct consequences in terms of vaccine acceptance. This is Bloomberg. 333 00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:13,000 Speaker 1: Let's get now to Mark Barry Bow. He joins us 334 00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:17,399 Speaker 1: from Jennison Associates, the fundamental equity and fixed income business 335 00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:22,240 Speaker 1: a P JIM and he is their head of Global Equity. Mark, 336 00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:25,359 Speaker 1: we've seen this big rotation and we've been talking about 337 00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:27,680 Speaker 1: it for months and months now, but you don't think 338 00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:32,520 Speaker 1: investors should make major changes to their portfolios during market rotations, 339 00:20:32,560 --> 00:20:36,680 Speaker 1: instead focusing on investing for the longer term. How long 340 00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:40,239 Speaker 1: term are you thinking, well, you know, we're typically going 341 00:20:40,280 --> 00:20:43,919 Speaker 1: to look out um, you know, the next three years. Uh, 342 00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:49,159 Speaker 1: just in terms of secular trends. And you know, obviously 343 00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:52,600 Speaker 1: rotations can be painful, particularly if you're a growth investor 344 00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:55,760 Speaker 1: in this environment. But actually there's some really good stock 345 00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,960 Speaker 1: setting up here we think, going into the second half 346 00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:03,120 Speaker 1: of the year and into two. So it's it's very 347 00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:06,000 Speaker 1: a little unusual to say that a good economy is 348 00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:10,280 Speaker 1: bad for tech, because um, that would be the first 349 00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:13,040 Speaker 1: cycle we've ever had were good economies bad for tech. 350 00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:16,160 Speaker 1: Good economy is good for tech. So I think it's 351 00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:18,479 Speaker 1: a little bit overdone. So you don't think this rotation 352 00:21:18,520 --> 00:21:21,320 Speaker 1: is going to stick, is basically what you're saying. No, 353 00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:23,959 Speaker 1: I think once you as you're working through earnings, we're 354 00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:27,760 Speaker 1: seeing some amazing prints at a big companies like Apple 355 00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 1: or Amazon, Google, Tesla, etcetera. And um, you know Mercado 356 00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:38,120 Speaker 1: Libre last night out of Latin America, and uh, these 357 00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:43,160 Speaker 1: leading companies are building major platforms that that are going 358 00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:45,800 Speaker 1: to you know, thrive for years to come, we think. 359 00:21:46,440 --> 00:21:50,159 Speaker 1: And so I think once the cyclical kind of you know, 360 00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:55,040 Speaker 1: rallied you know, reaches its crescendo as it were, because 361 00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 1: there is nothing secular about it. It's just a cyclical 362 00:21:57,800 --> 00:22:01,200 Speaker 1: bounce off the bottom. Uh, it's going to be. Investors 363 00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:03,600 Speaker 1: are just gonna win with companies that are that are 364 00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:07,280 Speaker 1: gaining market share and creating goods and services that people 365 00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:10,320 Speaker 1: really like. And I think, you know, you're just back 366 00:22:10,320 --> 00:22:15,840 Speaker 1: to basic fundamentals instead of just macro trading. So how 367 00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:19,040 Speaker 1: do you generate alpha in with the strategy like that 368 00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:21,760 Speaker 1: mark in the in the context of not really going 369 00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:24,560 Speaker 1: to where the puck is going? Uh? And and over 370 00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:26,560 Speaker 1: the last you know, kind of nine months, ten months, 371 00:22:26,560 --> 00:22:28,520 Speaker 1: it's been some of those cyclical trade maybe even some 372 00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:33,240 Speaker 1: of the small caps as well. Yeah, no, you know, 373 00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:37,280 Speaker 1: we've of course over the last year. Uh. As long 374 00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:41,399 Speaker 1: as you're in the right names, you can consistently generate alpha. 375 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:45,679 Speaker 1: Of course, if if the whole cluster sells off as 376 00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:48,120 Speaker 1: it did in March, you know, obviously in one month, 377 00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:51,719 Speaker 1: it's tough. So what we try to do is not 378 00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:54,760 Speaker 1: let all the short term movement get in the way 379 00:22:55,400 --> 00:23:00,480 Speaker 1: of evaluating how big can a specific company become, how 380 00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:05,360 Speaker 1: dominant in its particular niche, how important is that company 381 00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:08,920 Speaker 1: to a local market, And if you approach it from 382 00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:11,120 Speaker 1: that perspective, you tend to get some really good long 383 00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:15,199 Speaker 1: term investments that pay off. Um, although every one of 384 00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:17,800 Speaker 1: them periodically is going to take a breather, right, because 385 00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:21,440 Speaker 1: sometimes they'll get ahead of themselves as stocks. But you know, 386 00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:25,320 Speaker 1: if you look at Amazon, for example, it's kind of stunning. Uh, 387 00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:30,280 Speaker 1: you know, they just reported revenue growth on a multi 388 00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:36,199 Speaker 1: hundred billion dollar revenue base and um, you know, you 389 00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:39,040 Speaker 1: just don't find scale like that generally in the market. 390 00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:42,440 Speaker 1: So their revenues in the first quarter, we're up forty 391 00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:46,040 Speaker 1: year every year, the stocks only up thirty nine percent 392 00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:49,040 Speaker 1: year over year. So there seems to be a disconnect. 393 00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:52,680 Speaker 1: It's not not not extended. It makes sense you can't 394 00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:55,439 Speaker 1: go more compelling. It makes sense that you can't go 395 00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:58,320 Speaker 1: wrong there with the with the big fan companies. I mean, 396 00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:03,960 Speaker 1: Amazon is just a killer. But what do you like blow, um, 397 00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:07,359 Speaker 1: you know, trillion dollar valuations? What do you like in 398 00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:18,120 Speaker 1: terms of sectors other than Amazon? Apple? Um, you know, Tesla, Google? Sure? Well, 399 00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:20,560 Speaker 1: you know it's what's really interesting, Okay, if you if 400 00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:22,480 Speaker 1: you take a step back and you say, what, what's 401 00:24:22,520 --> 00:24:28,000 Speaker 1: the most important trend that's out there today that's shaping 402 00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:34,879 Speaker 1: new business formation? Shaping the industry structure, and it's this 403 00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:39,560 Speaker 1: digital transformation of the consumer. It's this direct to consumer 404 00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:42,600 Speaker 1: business model. So it doesn't matter if you're really powerful 405 00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:48,639 Speaker 1: brand like Louis Lutan or Nike. UM, you need to 406 00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:53,119 Speaker 1: um go direct to consumer. You need that relationship, and 407 00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:55,520 Speaker 1: you either do it through your own private store base 408 00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:58,760 Speaker 1: or your own website that you control so you can 409 00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:04,359 Speaker 1: monitor inventory pricing, um uh and control your own destiny. 410 00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:09,359 Speaker 1: So what we see in that movement is both um 411 00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:13,120 Speaker 1: early days of directed consumer sales like an e commerce 412 00:25:13,119 --> 00:25:16,359 Speaker 1: in Latin America where it's very underpenetrated. So that's like 413 00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:21,240 Speaker 1: Mercado Libre I mean just ironically reported last night sales 414 00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:26,440 Speaker 1: up a hundred fifty constant currency Brazil, Mexico, Argentina. They're 415 00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:28,919 Speaker 1: big markets, all of triple digit I mean, just an 416 00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:34,040 Speaker 1: amazing company. UM. And of course they're building digital payments 417 00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:38,679 Speaker 1: platform as well to grease the skids of commerce in 418 00:25:38,800 --> 00:25:41,760 Speaker 1: markets where people don't have credit cards or there is 419 00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:44,960 Speaker 1: low penetration, and so you have, you know, look to 420 00:25:45,000 --> 00:25:48,400 Speaker 1: emerging markets for these next markets. We got We've got 421 00:25:48,400 --> 00:25:50,280 Speaker 1: to leave it there just because of time, but we 422 00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:52,639 Speaker 1: really appreciate you taking time Mark Barry bow Head, a 423 00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:56,320 Speaker 1: global equity Jennison Associates. Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg 424 00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:59,760 Speaker 1: Markets podcast. You can subscribe and listen to interviews the 425 00:26:00,040 --> 00:26:04,639 Speaker 1: full podcasts, or whatever podcast platform you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. 426 00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:08,760 Speaker 1: I'm on Twitter at Matt Miller three. Pet On Fall 427 00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:11,720 Speaker 1: Sweeney I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast, 428 00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:14,240 Speaker 1: you can always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio