1 00:00:10,440 --> 00:00:12,360 Speaker 1: And once again, we're back. Welcome in. It is the 2 00:00:12,440 --> 00:00:15,960 Speaker 1: Late Kick Extra podcast. It's election weeks, so our schedule has 3 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 1: been a little bit off. If I had one of 4 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 1: you reach out in the emails and dms, I had 5 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 1: about ten thousand of you reach out and say hey, buddy, 6 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:27,280 Speaker 1: kind of bangle the microphone there, Hello, Hello, Tuesday no pod? 7 00:00:27,320 --> 00:00:30,240 Speaker 1: Wednesday no pod? What in the world's happening? Are you alive? Hello? 8 00:00:30,320 --> 00:00:33,239 Speaker 1: Are you okay? Yeah, we're fine. We just had the 9 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:35,519 Speaker 1: staff take Tuesday off for election Day. I don't know 10 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:38,280 Speaker 1: if you've been paying attention. Wednesday was pretty dramatic too. 11 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:40,560 Speaker 1: I've been down in Columbus. I drove all the way 12 00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:43,600 Speaker 1: down because yours truly was not responsible enough to vote early, 13 00:00:44,000 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 1: so I had to make the twelve hour round trip 14 00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:48,920 Speaker 1: to do my civic duty, which I did. Met some 15 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 1: of you in line at the polling station in Little 16 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:54,120 Speaker 1: Forts and Georgia by the way, so it was good 17 00:00:54,160 --> 00:00:56,600 Speaker 1: to meet you guys. But the bottom line is a 18 00:00:56,680 --> 00:00:59,320 Speaker 1: stone called Steve Austin would say, we're back. Thank you 19 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 1: so much for the fun five star reviews. We're well 20 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 1: over eight hundred now. Please if you haven't already dropped 21 00:01:03,640 --> 00:01:06,520 Speaker 1: us one of those, subscribe to the podcast, share it 22 00:01:06,560 --> 00:01:08,640 Speaker 1: out there, tell your friends, tell your family, tell your 23 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:11,040 Speaker 1: aunts and uncles, and get us to one thousand and 24 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:13,160 Speaker 1: five star reviews. I don't know what's going to happen. 25 00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:15,440 Speaker 1: I just assume the universe is going to provide a really, 26 00:01:15,480 --> 00:01:18,800 Speaker 1: really big, spectacular celebration if and when we get to 27 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:20,959 Speaker 1: one thousand and five star reviews. So here's what I 28 00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:24,399 Speaker 1: wanted to do this morning, because as we speak and 29 00:01:24,400 --> 00:01:26,840 Speaker 1: as you listen to this, I'm probably driving back to 30 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:30,520 Speaker 1: Nashville for Latekick Live later tonight. As you listen on Thursday, 31 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 1: and we didn't have our normal Tuesday show, I'm going 32 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 1: to change the format of the Late Kick Extra pod 33 00:01:36,160 --> 00:01:38,600 Speaker 1: for just this morning. Normally it's Q and A. But 34 00:01:38,640 --> 00:01:40,760 Speaker 1: what I want to do here is, since we didn't 35 00:01:40,800 --> 00:01:43,680 Speaker 1: already get the game predictions out, I wanted to offer 36 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:47,680 Speaker 1: up the game predictions for Clemson, Notre Dame and Georgia Florida. 37 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:49,520 Speaker 1: And what you're going to hear is what you normally 38 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:51,960 Speaker 1: would have heard on the Tuesday night show. We didn't 39 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 1: have it. So the individual videos are on the twenty 40 00:01:53,840 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 1: four to seven Sports YouTube channel. Now subscribe if you 41 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 1: haven't already, but a lot of you prefer the podcast method, 42 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:00,400 Speaker 1: So we're going to start it with the clemb Notre 43 00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:02,600 Speaker 1: Dame preview, and then I'm gonna give you the Georgia 44 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 1: Florida preview, and then if you tune in too late 45 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 1: Kick Live later tonight, we're gonna kind of do a 46 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 1: follow up and also do a deeper dive on some 47 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:10,840 Speaker 1: more games. So you know, we kind of got a 48 00:02:10,840 --> 00:02:13,080 Speaker 1: truncated timetable this week, as I say, cause of the election, 49 00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:15,320 Speaker 1: but we're trying to get every game preview that we 50 00:02:15,440 --> 00:02:18,080 Speaker 1: normally would get in in there. Now. I don't know 51 00:02:18,120 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 1: what the audio is about to sound like. I know 52 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 1: that the Wizard's there behind the curtain. Jordan Tani, whoever 53 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:24,839 Speaker 1: in the world produces this, they're gonna make it sound 54 00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 1: as good as possible. But what you're gonna hear are 55 00:02:27,080 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 1: You're gonna hear pieces of audio throughout this podcast this 56 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:32,760 Speaker 1: morning or this afternoon when you're listening that were recorded 57 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 1: at like three different times. So I don't know if 58 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 1: I had a cough in one of them, I don't 59 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:39,600 Speaker 1: know if I just eaten, I may have hiccups going 60 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 1: on in another one. I may have just woken up 61 00:02:41,280 --> 00:02:43,800 Speaker 1: for a third one, but just rest assured it is me. 62 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:47,160 Speaker 1: I'm on the same microphone. I cannot be held responsible 63 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:49,040 Speaker 1: for how different I sound. Just know I am not 64 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 1: inebriated for any of this. These are my coherent thoughts 65 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 1: on the upcoming game. So without further ado, let's kick 66 00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:59,359 Speaker 1: it off with Clemson at Notre Dame. Take it away, Josh, 67 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 1: Big game in South Bend, Indiana, Saturday night. Been waiting 68 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:05,679 Speaker 1: for this one ever since that ACC twenty twenty only 69 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:09,760 Speaker 1: schedule was released. Clemson on the road a six point 70 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:12,519 Speaker 1: favorite currently as it sits in Vegas against the Notre 71 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:14,760 Speaker 1: Dame fighting Irish. We've got a lot to get to here. 72 00:03:14,840 --> 00:03:18,400 Speaker 1: It's another shot for Brian Kelly. Think about this, Think 73 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:20,600 Speaker 1: about the narrative that surrounds Notre Dame. Some of it 74 00:03:20,639 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 1: I disagree with. By the way, I'll give you the 75 00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:25,320 Speaker 1: portion I disagree with in a second. The portion I 76 00:03:25,360 --> 00:03:27,680 Speaker 1: do agree with, I think is kind of principle. It's 77 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:29,799 Speaker 1: kind of common sense. Notre Dame has been a good, 78 00:03:29,800 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 1: solid program, but they haven't been able to get over 79 00:03:32,280 --> 00:03:35,400 Speaker 1: the hump of beating one of the game's elite. Therefore, 80 00:03:35,480 --> 00:03:38,200 Speaker 1: they've got to be resigned to second tier. Well, that's 81 00:03:38,240 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 1: not the worst thing in the world, because what I 82 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:42,040 Speaker 1: get to now that I disagree with that people say 83 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 1: about Notre Dame a lot is oh, they're overrated. They're 84 00:03:44,400 --> 00:03:47,800 Speaker 1: so overrated. And I take a deep breath there because 85 00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:51,840 Speaker 1: I wonder by whose ratings, by whose metrics? And I 86 00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:54,440 Speaker 1: always ask, and they say, well, they can't beat Alabama, Well, 87 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:56,680 Speaker 1: no one's rating them out of Alabama. Well they can't 88 00:03:56,680 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 1: beat Clemson, Well who's got them out at Clemson? By 89 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:00,720 Speaker 1: the way, they get a shot this weekend. But be 90 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:03,360 Speaker 1: that as it may, even if they lose Saturday, who's 91 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 1: rating them ahead of Clemson? Who's rating them ahead of 92 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:07,800 Speaker 1: Ohio State. I don't see anyone doing that. So if 93 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 1: you find someone who's telling me Notre Dame is the 94 00:04:09,800 --> 00:04:11,440 Speaker 1: second best team in the country, yeah, I may go 95 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 1: along with you. But from what I can tell, people 96 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 1: like me and others look at that top tier and say, yeah, 97 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:19,400 Speaker 1: those teams are Those programs may be on a different 98 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 1: level outside of that when you get to the second tier. 99 00:04:23,520 --> 00:04:25,719 Speaker 1: I don't know very many programs or teams that are 100 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 1: ahead of Notre Dame right now. So it's a really 101 00:04:27,640 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 1: good shot. Nevertheless, for Brian Kelly's Saturday, even without Trevor Lawrence, 102 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:35,960 Speaker 1: I think one of the more underappreciated aspects of this 103 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 1: if Notre Dame were to win, would be what it 104 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:40,840 Speaker 1: does for the perception of Brian Kelly. Now. I know 105 00:04:40,880 --> 00:04:42,920 Speaker 1: you maybe have some outliers who say, well, he couldn't 106 00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:46,280 Speaker 1: beat someone with their number one quarterback. Whatever, you could argue, 107 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:48,719 Speaker 1: Clemson still has a quarterback edge in this game Saturday. 108 00:04:48,720 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 1: We'll get into that in just a second. How much 109 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:53,760 Speaker 1: weight does the result of this game carry? That's the 110 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:57,799 Speaker 1: question we won't really have answered Clemson wins if Clemson loses, 111 00:04:57,960 --> 00:05:00,520 Speaker 1: still pronouncing that Z for some reason. If Clemson loses, 112 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:04,359 Speaker 1: I am of the opinion that if they were to 113 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:05,880 Speaker 1: take care of business the rest of the way with 114 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:08,719 Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence back, and if they lose a close game Saturday, 115 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:10,440 Speaker 1: tough to see Notre Dame blowing them out. So if 116 00:05:10,440 --> 00:05:13,040 Speaker 1: they win a close game Saturday, I'm of the opinion, 117 00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 1: whether I would agree with it or not, that the 118 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:18,360 Speaker 1: committee is still going to give them strong, strong consideration, 119 00:05:18,440 --> 00:05:20,880 Speaker 1: and the committee the reason I think that would probably 120 00:05:20,920 --> 00:05:22,960 Speaker 1: do something that I don't think a committee has any 121 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:25,719 Speaker 1: business doing, which is guessing how a game would have 122 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:28,080 Speaker 1: gone if a player would have played. So let's get 123 00:05:28,080 --> 00:05:30,320 Speaker 1: into this biggest question. We always go this route when 124 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:33,480 Speaker 1: we're looking potentially at an upset, we ask can the 125 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 1: upset happen? Of course, Notre Dame could beat Clemson, So 126 00:05:36,120 --> 00:05:38,479 Speaker 1: how would that happen? That's our formula, that's how we 127 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:41,720 Speaker 1: do our game breakdowns. Well, it's obvious to me if 128 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:43,919 Speaker 1: you're Brian Kelly, I mean, you got to make someone 129 00:05:43,960 --> 00:05:47,359 Speaker 1: not named Travis Etn beat you. They are capable of it, 130 00:05:47,480 --> 00:05:50,200 Speaker 1: but you let the chips fall where they may know 131 00:05:50,320 --> 00:05:52,680 Speaker 1: you tip your cap if they do it at that point, 132 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:55,120 Speaker 1: But you got to make someone else beat you. Etn. 133 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:57,760 Speaker 1: I think you could argue is the most important college 134 00:05:57,800 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 1: football player in America Saturday. You could make arguments for 135 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:03,680 Speaker 1: Uyangala lay as we mute the computer here, you could 136 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:05,920 Speaker 1: make arguments for a number of other people. Listen, I'm 137 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:08,440 Speaker 1: telling you The reason why I say Atn not just 138 00:06:08,480 --> 00:06:11,359 Speaker 1: in this game, but maybe in the entire country, is 139 00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:13,840 Speaker 1: because this is a big game. It's going to have 140 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:15,960 Speaker 1: a ripple effect throughout the entire country. And he's the 141 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: best football player on the field. Saturday. How many touches 142 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:21,480 Speaker 1: versus how many targets? I guess how many targets may 143 00:06:21,480 --> 00:06:24,000 Speaker 1: even be the better question. How many targets would he get? 144 00:06:24,080 --> 00:06:27,039 Speaker 1: If you were to talk to Clemson folks, people who 145 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:29,679 Speaker 1: cover the program, fans, those of you who watch every game, 146 00:06:29,960 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 1: how many touches would you expect etn in a big 147 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:36,039 Speaker 1: game for Notre Dame. I think you would float somewhere 148 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:40,640 Speaker 1: between like the eighteen to twenty four touch range. And 149 00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:44,840 Speaker 1: that's big time. That's talking rushing and receiving. So I wonder, 150 00:06:45,279 --> 00:06:46,800 Speaker 1: I mean, it's not going to be on the low end. 151 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:49,240 Speaker 1: I wonder how much on the high end that could 152 00:06:49,279 --> 00:06:51,560 Speaker 1: skew Last week? I mean, he bailed them out, and 153 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:53,520 Speaker 1: he's bailed them out before. He had eighty four rushing 154 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:55,240 Speaker 1: yards I think one hundred and thirty five or one 155 00:06:55,320 --> 00:06:58,840 Speaker 1: hundred and forty through the air against Boston College. You 156 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:02,560 Speaker 1: could see some kind of scenario, especially if Notre Dame 157 00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:04,400 Speaker 1: does a pretty good job against a Mauri Rodgers. You 158 00:07:04,440 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 1: could see a scenario where you're watching the game midway 159 00:07:06,640 --> 00:07:09,720 Speaker 1: through the third quarter, it's tight, it's twenty to seventeen 160 00:07:09,800 --> 00:07:12,920 Speaker 1: either way, and you're saying, man, best running back on 161 00:07:12,960 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 1: this field is ETN. Best receiver on this field is ETN. 162 00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:19,280 Speaker 1: You could say that's kind of football player he is. 163 00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:22,720 Speaker 1: How having said that, though this Notre Dame defense is 164 00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 1: very good, and we have seen many many times like 165 00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 1: if you want to commit to stopping the run, you 166 00:07:28,440 --> 00:07:30,080 Speaker 1: can limit a running back, what do you do it 167 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 1: at the expense of That's the reason you don't see 168 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 1: it done a whole lot, at least to that degree. 169 00:07:34,520 --> 00:07:37,320 Speaker 1: But maybe the equations different with clark Lee when he 170 00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:39,880 Speaker 1: looks at this Clemson offense because of what I'm about 171 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 1: to get into, which is my biggest concern with Clemson 172 00:07:43,000 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 1: in this game, and maybe kind of moving forward, I 173 00:07:46,480 --> 00:07:48,960 Speaker 1: think a lot's going to be made, rightfully so about 174 00:07:49,080 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 1: dj Uyangalile getting his first start, and you're gonna hear 175 00:07:52,720 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 1: true freshman quarterback inexperienced on the road. You're gonna hear 176 00:07:56,360 --> 00:07:59,000 Speaker 1: a lot of this stuff kind of hyperbolically thrown around. 177 00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:01,360 Speaker 1: And it's not that it's not True's true, but it 178 00:08:01,360 --> 00:08:04,800 Speaker 1: doesn't really have such a granular, tangible impact on a 179 00:08:04,840 --> 00:08:08,600 Speaker 1: game as specifics. So what specifically are we talking about there? 180 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 1: Because true freshman win games all the time. Senior quarterbacks 181 00:08:11,840 --> 00:08:13,360 Speaker 1: lose games all the time. So what are we talking 182 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 1: about here, Well, I'll give you my concern with Clemson. 183 00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:18,600 Speaker 1: If they were to have the bailout theory in play 184 00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:21,160 Speaker 1: and bailout pieces in play, it'd be a little bit 185 00:08:21,240 --> 00:08:23,400 Speaker 1: less of a concern. And that would be basically a 186 00:08:23,440 --> 00:08:25,480 Speaker 1: receiver corp the likes of which Clemson's had over the 187 00:08:25,480 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 1: past four or five years. Well, they don't have that there. 188 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:31,640 Speaker 1: And the bailout is third and nine, third and twelve, 189 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:34,199 Speaker 1: a critical amount of third and lungs where you can 190 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:36,600 Speaker 1: afford and you know, as an offensive play caller or 191 00:08:36,640 --> 00:08:39,840 Speaker 1: as a quarterback in improv settings, you know you can 192 00:08:39,880 --> 00:08:42,480 Speaker 1: afford to either call a play or make a throw 193 00:08:42,960 --> 00:08:47,120 Speaker 1: where it's in normal conditions, a not even a fifty 194 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:49,800 Speaker 1: to fifty like a thirty seventy ball. But yet your 195 00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:52,520 Speaker 1: talented receivers turn it into a seventy thirty eighty twenty 196 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:55,439 Speaker 1: proposition on your m And it's not necessarily something that 197 00:08:55,480 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 1: you would draw up on a grease board. It's not 198 00:08:57,280 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 1: something you would ever go to a clinic and coach 199 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 1: kids to do at the pee wee or high school level. 200 00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:03,520 Speaker 1: But yet you know, because of the talent you have 201 00:09:03,760 --> 00:09:05,320 Speaker 1: unique to you, it comes and you can get away 202 00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 1: with it. They don't have that right now. Now, what 203 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:11,120 Speaker 1: does that mean. It could mean that it doesn't matter. 204 00:09:11,160 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 1: Could mean Uyagi Laalay is just that good and he 205 00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:15,240 Speaker 1: wins a game. But I'm gonna tell you right now, 206 00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:18,040 Speaker 1: in order to win that game, And this is what 207 00:09:18,120 --> 00:09:21,680 Speaker 1: concerns me. This is where the inexperience and the true 208 00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:24,880 Speaker 1: freshman and seeing an experienced veteran defense that's really good 209 00:09:24,920 --> 00:09:28,360 Speaker 1: against Notre Dame. Here's where all it hyperbolic stuff really 210 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:32,040 Speaker 1: rubber meets the road on and that is the accuracy 211 00:09:32,080 --> 00:09:34,600 Speaker 1: and the poise that it's gonna take under pressure. And 212 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:36,880 Speaker 1: really I'm not so much worried about the pressure. I'm 213 00:09:36,880 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 1: worried about the poison accuracy. He's gonna have to fit 214 00:09:39,440 --> 00:09:42,160 Speaker 1: it in windows. He's gonna have to hit receivers and stride, 215 00:09:42,160 --> 00:09:43,920 Speaker 1: and he's gonna have to do it consistently. All it 216 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:46,000 Speaker 1: takes is one or two batted balls in the air 217 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:48,280 Speaker 1: to fall in the arms of the defender, and that 218 00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:51,800 Speaker 1: could swing a game like this. So if the bailout 219 00:09:51,800 --> 00:09:54,360 Speaker 1: options aren't there to the degree they normally aren't, I 220 00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:56,679 Speaker 1: don't believe they will be. And if you've done at 221 00:09:56,760 --> 00:09:59,880 Speaker 1: least somewhat of a decent job of limiting traves et 222 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:02,840 Speaker 1: and you're getting Clemson into a critical amount of third 223 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:05,200 Speaker 1: and longs, that's a really big deal for Notre Dame. 224 00:10:05,240 --> 00:10:09,160 Speaker 1: That's where you're looking to, if not steal possessions, flip 225 00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:11,320 Speaker 1: field position. And this is one of those games where 226 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:14,120 Speaker 1: it's actually gonna matter, by the way, the other aspect 227 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 1: when we go Notre Dame offensively, everything that could be 228 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:20,840 Speaker 1: said about Ian Book has been said. It's their ground 229 00:10:20,840 --> 00:10:22,439 Speaker 1: game that's gonna have to win it for him. And 230 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:25,079 Speaker 1: I don't think Clemson has seen a legitimate run offense. 231 00:10:25,160 --> 00:10:27,800 Speaker 1: But I always stop short because there's a big gap 232 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:31,679 Speaker 1: between saying you haven't faced something and you can't deal 233 00:10:31,720 --> 00:10:34,960 Speaker 1: with that thing. Like if the Patriots were to play 234 00:10:35,440 --> 00:10:37,720 Speaker 1: in I'm in Columbus, Georgia right now. I'm in Harris 235 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:40,080 Speaker 1: County right now. So if the New England Patriots are 236 00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:43,480 Speaker 1: the Chiefs, let's say the Chiefs were to descend into 237 00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 1: Harris County Peewee Football League tomorrow, Well, they wouldn't have 238 00:10:47,960 --> 00:10:50,040 Speaker 1: faced an NFL team. They'll go the host schedule. They 239 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:52,160 Speaker 1: wouldn't have faced an NFL team. It wouldn't mean they're 240 00:10:52,160 --> 00:10:54,720 Speaker 1: incapable of playing against NFL teams. They just wouldn't have 241 00:10:54,760 --> 00:10:57,800 Speaker 1: faced them. So Clemson may not have faced a legitimate 242 00:10:57,880 --> 00:11:00,280 Speaker 1: rushing attack. For all we know, they're equipped to deal 243 00:11:00,320 --> 00:11:02,720 Speaker 1: with it. But I sure do want to find out. 244 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:05,160 Speaker 1: And I think if for Tommy rees sure do you 245 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:09,200 Speaker 1: want to find out. One of the biggest potential opportunities 246 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:11,880 Speaker 1: Saturday is for Tommy Reeve, who won't even play it down. 247 00:11:11,960 --> 00:11:14,480 Speaker 1: He's the offensive coordinator for Notre Dame, and you're talking 248 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:17,679 Speaker 1: about a perceived mismatch him versus Brenton Venables, who's been 249 00:11:17,679 --> 00:11:21,040 Speaker 1: around for one hundred years and is widely regarded, including 250 00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:23,680 Speaker 1: in this circle, as the best defensive coordinator in the country. 251 00:11:24,360 --> 00:11:26,080 Speaker 1: Think about what you could do here if you're notre 252 00:11:26,160 --> 00:11:27,760 Speaker 1: name with the run game. Think about what you could 253 00:11:27,920 --> 00:11:30,880 Speaker 1: do if you're just staying on schedule. Okay, I'm not 254 00:11:30,920 --> 00:11:33,760 Speaker 1: asking Tommy. I'm not asking Ian Book and Tommy Reese 255 00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 1: to dial up being Book to have the game of 256 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:38,079 Speaker 1: his life. I'm just asking for him to make enough throws. 257 00:11:38,400 --> 00:11:40,679 Speaker 1: Screen game I think will be very effective here if 258 00:11:40,720 --> 00:11:42,800 Speaker 1: there is a portion of this offense that is But 259 00:11:43,280 --> 00:11:47,559 Speaker 1: staying on schedule. And that doesn't mean tilting the field 260 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:50,079 Speaker 1: heavily in your favor. I mean the difference between maybe 261 00:11:50,080 --> 00:11:53,840 Speaker 1: going eight of fourteen on third down versus five of fourteen. 262 00:11:54,040 --> 00:11:55,600 Speaker 1: That's the kind of difference in this game. You're not 263 00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:58,400 Speaker 1: looking at some wild swing. You're probably not getting to 264 00:11:58,440 --> 00:12:00,760 Speaker 1: the fourth quarter saying, oh my god, goodness, Notre Dame 265 00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:02,719 Speaker 1: has done something I could never have envisioned in a 266 00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:07,200 Speaker 1: hundred lifetimes. Just little incremental differences and various portions of 267 00:12:07,240 --> 00:12:09,160 Speaker 1: this box score could make the difference. And the other 268 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:11,319 Speaker 1: difference as we work around to the game capsule and 269 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:15,679 Speaker 1: prediction here uncomfortability. That's the key. How many areas can 270 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:17,880 Speaker 1: you make them feel that one of them would be 271 00:12:17,920 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 1: what I just talked about if Notre Dame is able 272 00:12:20,200 --> 00:12:23,680 Speaker 1: early on to start controlling the line of scrimmage, which 273 00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:25,960 Speaker 1: they have the offensive line to do. And there could 274 00:12:25,960 --> 00:12:29,080 Speaker 1: be some vulnerabilities in that Clemson defense that maybe have 275 00:12:29,160 --> 00:12:31,000 Speaker 1: been on display if you have picked through the film 276 00:12:31,000 --> 00:12:33,320 Speaker 1: with a fine tooth comb. But since they haven't lost 277 00:12:33,360 --> 00:12:35,679 Speaker 1: a game, no one's really focused on. They got a 278 00:12:35,679 --> 00:12:39,160 Speaker 1: lot of talent, it's young in their front. I don't 279 00:12:39,280 --> 00:12:41,920 Speaker 1: know that necessarily you're going to stress their secondary either way. 280 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:44,240 Speaker 1: But maybe you find some mismatches there at tight end, 281 00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:47,640 Speaker 1: for example, and it's just a few extra move the chain, 282 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:50,720 Speaker 1: new set of downs type deals where you could flip 283 00:12:50,720 --> 00:12:53,760 Speaker 1: that field position, You could flip time of possession. Some 284 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:57,480 Speaker 1: people value it more than others. But total plays. How 285 00:12:57,600 --> 00:13:00,480 Speaker 1: uncomfortable can you make Clemson when you're miss away through 286 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:03,000 Speaker 1: the third quarter. What if you've run fifty plays to 287 00:13:03,000 --> 00:13:05,559 Speaker 1: their thirty one. What if time of possession is two 288 00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:08,320 Speaker 1: to one? What if they realize? Here's why top is 289 00:13:08,320 --> 00:13:10,840 Speaker 1: important to me, because it's it's kind of synonymous with 290 00:13:10,920 --> 00:13:13,560 Speaker 1: limiting the opponent's possessions in a lot of cases in 291 00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:15,480 Speaker 1: a game like this, This is not a game where 292 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:18,040 Speaker 1: you know Clemson is probably scoring a lot in three 293 00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:20,760 Speaker 1: play drives. LSU used to do that last year, like 294 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:23,320 Speaker 1: they would have time of possession against them, total plays 295 00:13:23,320 --> 00:13:25,520 Speaker 1: against them. It didn't matter because they were so explosive. 296 00:13:25,640 --> 00:13:28,080 Speaker 1: I don't think Clemson's offense is gonna be as explosive here, 297 00:13:28,640 --> 00:13:31,160 Speaker 1: So I think those kind of factors matter, all right, No, Colins, 298 00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:33,439 Speaker 1: let's dial up the capsule here and let's show you 299 00:13:33,520 --> 00:13:35,960 Speaker 1: what Vegas thinks let's show you what we think. Again. 300 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:39,000 Speaker 1: We generate our own in house line, and we simulate 301 00:13:39,040 --> 00:13:41,760 Speaker 1: the games ourselves, independent of Vegas and anything else. We 302 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:44,520 Speaker 1: like to show ours versus Vegas. So Vegas currently the 303 00:13:44,520 --> 00:13:47,640 Speaker 1: line there Clemson minus six. We have it kind of 304 00:13:47,800 --> 00:13:50,400 Speaker 1: a little bit shorter than that. We've got Clemson minus five, 305 00:13:51,400 --> 00:13:53,640 Speaker 1: and I think I'm gonna roll. I do this sometimes 306 00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:56,400 Speaker 1: in principle, I think I'm gonna roll right with our model. 307 00:13:56,679 --> 00:13:58,439 Speaker 1: So what I'm gonna do is, I'm gonna take Clemson 308 00:13:58,480 --> 00:14:01,960 Speaker 1: to win. But the cause our model is shorter than 309 00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:04,640 Speaker 1: the Vegas number, and I don't really have a strong 310 00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:08,920 Speaker 1: feel either way on principle alone, I'm gonna take Clemson 311 00:14:08,920 --> 00:14:11,280 Speaker 1: to win, but I'm gonna take Notre Dame plus the six. 312 00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:14,240 Speaker 1: Understanding all the while, this is not me telling you 313 00:14:14,280 --> 00:14:16,559 Speaker 1: I'm betting this game. This is certainly not me telling 314 00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:18,760 Speaker 1: you to bet the game. When I don't have a 315 00:14:18,760 --> 00:14:21,640 Speaker 1: strong feel, I default to our model, no matter if 316 00:14:21,680 --> 00:14:24,040 Speaker 1: it's a one point gap that I'm trying to hit. 317 00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:26,880 Speaker 1: So Clemson minus six and we're gonna take Notre Dame 318 00:14:27,080 --> 00:14:30,200 Speaker 1: plus six, So we're gonna take Clemson went outright, Irish 319 00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:32,480 Speaker 1: plus the points. Looking really forward to this game though. 320 00:14:33,600 --> 00:14:36,239 Speaker 1: All right, thanks Josh. Really good stuff there, really insightful. 321 00:14:36,360 --> 00:14:38,880 Speaker 1: I love your style, and we hope to come back 322 00:14:38,920 --> 00:14:40,480 Speaker 1: to you in just a couple of seconds. In fact, 323 00:14:40,720 --> 00:14:43,040 Speaker 1: I'm looking at our rundown here, and we plan on 324 00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:45,920 Speaker 1: doing that. If you thought the Clemson Notre Dame preview 325 00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:48,440 Speaker 1: was good chock full of information, or if you didn't, 326 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:51,480 Speaker 1: hopefully we hit our stride in the Georgia Florida preview. Hey, 327 00:14:51,520 --> 00:14:53,640 Speaker 1: there's a lot of good stuff here. It's juicy. I 328 00:14:53,680 --> 00:14:55,800 Speaker 1: don't care if you don't even care about football. There's 329 00:14:55,880 --> 00:14:59,080 Speaker 1: just a lot of flat out mid afternoons soap opera 330 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:01,520 Speaker 1: type drama coming up in this Georgia Florida game, and 331 00:15:01,560 --> 00:15:04,640 Speaker 1: we're going to talk about it right after this. All right, 332 00:15:04,720 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 1: let's crank this thing up. Here is our Georgia Florida preview. 333 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:11,800 Speaker 1: All right, it's the game in Jacksonville, the neutral side Affair, 334 00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:15,600 Speaker 1: allegedly Neutral Florida. Georgia, Georgia, Florida. I don't know which 335 00:15:15,640 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 1: team you want me to say first. Typically I just 336 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:20,280 Speaker 1: go with the visiting team first, but whatever, here's what 337 00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:22,480 Speaker 1: I do know. It's a big game. We've been looking 338 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 1: forward to it all year. Georgia three point favorite as 339 00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:28,880 Speaker 1: of this very moment, Saturday, three thirty Eastern time kickoff 340 00:15:28,920 --> 00:15:31,560 Speaker 1: on CBS, as is usually the case. And let me 341 00:15:31,640 --> 00:15:33,600 Speaker 1: just do something. I'm gonna here we go. Hope you 342 00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:35,280 Speaker 1: heard that. I'm gonna set the pen down. And I 343 00:15:35,400 --> 00:15:38,440 Speaker 1: just want to explain for those of you who are 344 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:41,560 Speaker 1: neutral observers. Maybe you're a Wyoming Cowboys fan and you 345 00:15:41,640 --> 00:15:43,880 Speaker 1: just kind of watch for fun way out there in Wyoming. 346 00:15:43,880 --> 00:15:46,200 Speaker 1: And by the way, credit you for choosing Wyoming to 347 00:15:46,280 --> 00:15:49,480 Speaker 1: live in places like a screen saver. Here's the dynamic 348 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:53,360 Speaker 1: or dynamics that are in play here. It is extremely 349 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:56,080 Speaker 1: tense in the Georgia Florida rivalry every year, but it 350 00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:58,280 Speaker 1: is even more so right now. Let me give you 351 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:00,520 Speaker 1: the Georgia perspective and then I'll give you the Flora perspective. 352 00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:04,760 Speaker 1: The Georgia perspective is this, they view themselves as superior 353 00:16:04,800 --> 00:16:08,280 Speaker 1: to Florida. They think that having to talk about Florida 354 00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:11,160 Speaker 1: challenging them, that's beneath them. There's only one hurdle remaining 355 00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:13,800 Speaker 1: for Georgia. It is Alabama the college football Playoff, the 356 00:16:13,880 --> 00:16:16,640 Speaker 1: national Championship. This is kind of a linear progression, and 357 00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:18,880 Speaker 1: it's not a year and a year reset. They don't 358 00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:20,480 Speaker 1: just try and beat Florida then okay, we'll try and 359 00:16:20,480 --> 00:16:22,840 Speaker 1: beat them again next year. They want to have put 360 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:25,920 Speaker 1: them in their rear view mirror. Here's the problem. There's 361 00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 1: a dude plan at quarterback by the name of Justin 362 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:30,280 Speaker 1: Fields who used to be at Georgia. He's not and 363 00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:32,440 Speaker 1: that's not a big deal as long as your quarterbacks 364 00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:35,160 Speaker 1: who were behind him succeed. But they haven't. And so 365 00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:37,760 Speaker 1: right now, in year five of the Kirby Smart era, 366 00:16:38,640 --> 00:16:41,160 Speaker 1: they have a mess at quarterback. Let's just call it 367 00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:43,240 Speaker 1: what it is. And they're fortunate Stets and Bennett's there 368 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:44,720 Speaker 1: because he wasn't there. I don't know what in the 369 00:16:44,760 --> 00:16:47,680 Speaker 1: world they'd be doing right now, but that is giving 370 00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:51,720 Speaker 1: Florida a window here. And there is a big recruiting 371 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:55,600 Speaker 1: advantage for Georgia currently in this rivalry and against most people. 372 00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:58,360 Speaker 1: But Mullen has not kept up with Kirby and recruiting 373 00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:01,120 Speaker 1: this year. There are no office I was talking to 374 00:17:01,120 --> 00:17:04,600 Speaker 1: Steve Wolfong the other day about this. On Field results 375 00:17:04,640 --> 00:17:07,440 Speaker 1: will matter in the twenty twenty college football season more 376 00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:10,240 Speaker 1: so than any other season because you don't get to 377 00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:12,400 Speaker 1: go to campus, you don't get to take in the environment, 378 00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:14,080 Speaker 1: you don't get all the things you'd normally get to 379 00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:17,320 Speaker 1: measure a university, so you're just watching the games. This 380 00:17:17,320 --> 00:17:19,639 Speaker 1: would be such a big statement. Georgia don't want that 381 00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:22,000 Speaker 1: to happen. This would also give them two losses by 382 00:17:22,000 --> 00:17:24,159 Speaker 1: mid November in a year where they think they may 383 00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:26,200 Speaker 1: have their best defense ever under Smart and I would 384 00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:28,720 Speaker 1: agree with them. So it's just it's not something they 385 00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:32,080 Speaker 1: want to discuss. As for Florida, it's kind of the opposite. 386 00:17:32,119 --> 00:17:34,479 Speaker 1: They've been building towards this and now the moment is here. 387 00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:36,320 Speaker 1: It's not two or three years down the road anymore. 388 00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:39,879 Speaker 1: They got the advantage at quarterback. They're comparable enough roster wise, 389 00:17:39,880 --> 00:17:42,879 Speaker 1: and by comparable, I mean they're in the arena of competition. 390 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:44,879 Speaker 1: It's not one of those deals where oh, we couldn't 391 00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:47,160 Speaker 1: compete with them. It's they're in the arena of competition. 392 00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:51,840 Speaker 1: And also Georgia's banged up. Georgia at quarterback, Like I said, 393 00:17:51,840 --> 00:17:54,080 Speaker 1: it's kind of a mess. This is their opportunity and 394 00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:56,800 Speaker 1: they're very excited about it, but quickly if they were 395 00:17:56,800 --> 00:17:59,280 Speaker 1: to lose it, shifts to what we talked about in 396 00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:02,840 Speaker 1: the preseason. It's not now when it's so great. For 397 00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:04,680 Speaker 1: those of you who like got myself, I just kind 398 00:18:04,680 --> 00:18:06,679 Speaker 1: of get there, sit there and watch it, and you 399 00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:08,560 Speaker 1: do too. It's kind of great. Hey, let me ask 400 00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:11,240 Speaker 1: you a questions we dive into the preview. Georgia fans 401 00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:13,159 Speaker 1: Florida fans, you can answer this as well. Does it 402 00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:15,760 Speaker 1: feel to you like the role of the aggressor has shifted? 403 00:18:15,960 --> 00:18:18,040 Speaker 1: Because every year I go to this game, by the way, 404 00:18:18,040 --> 00:18:20,440 Speaker 1: in a normal year, so every year, I'm on the sideline, 405 00:18:20,480 --> 00:18:23,040 Speaker 1: and every year leading up to that week, during the 406 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:25,639 Speaker 1: game week, I talk about Georgia, I talk about Florida, 407 00:18:25,680 --> 00:18:28,400 Speaker 1: and it's always Georgia being the aggressor, and you're talking 408 00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:30,760 Speaker 1: about everything that has to go right for Florida to win. 409 00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:33,600 Speaker 1: And it always felt to me like Florida was on 410 00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:36,520 Speaker 1: their heels a little bit in this game. It doesn't 411 00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:38,680 Speaker 1: feel that way leading up to the game. Now we'll 412 00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:41,800 Speaker 1: see what the game itself feels like. I want to 413 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:44,679 Speaker 1: do something in this video that a lot of people 414 00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:45,879 Speaker 1: are doing, but I want to do it in a 415 00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:48,719 Speaker 1: different way. I'm not going to talk about stetson Bennett 416 00:18:48,760 --> 00:18:50,760 Speaker 1: versus Kyle Trask. I think it's pretty lazy. They're never 417 00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:52,639 Speaker 1: on the field at the same time. But even if 418 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:55,479 Speaker 1: you're doing a quarterback comparison, I'm not thinking about it 419 00:18:55,520 --> 00:18:57,720 Speaker 1: like that. It's kind of an apples to oranges because 420 00:18:57,800 --> 00:18:59,920 Speaker 1: Kyle Trask has to face a different defense than step 421 00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:02,800 Speaker 1: and Bennett does. Here's the question, and it's the same 422 00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:05,120 Speaker 1: question that we asked, kind of in a different way, 423 00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:07,320 Speaker 1: but it's the same question we ask in the Georgia 424 00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:12,800 Speaker 1: Alabama game. Who will Kyle Trask be? It's kind of 425 00:19:12,800 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 1: like who will Mac Jones be? Because when you face 426 00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:20,199 Speaker 1: a defense like Georgia, they meet and surpass the freeze 427 00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:22,000 Speaker 1: point that we talk about all the time. So the 428 00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:25,240 Speaker 1: question is not are they going to somewhat limit your production? 429 00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:28,120 Speaker 1: But will your production fall off a cliff or will 430 00:19:28,119 --> 00:19:30,159 Speaker 1: it just be throttled back a bit? And that's the 431 00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:33,400 Speaker 1: question to ask about Kyle Trask. Will Kyle Trask still 432 00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:36,040 Speaker 1: put up let's say, eighty percent, eighty five percent of 433 00:19:36,040 --> 00:19:39,040 Speaker 1: what you would normally expect from him statistically relative to 434 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:41,080 Speaker 1: when he plays an average team, or will it fall 435 00:19:41,119 --> 00:19:43,159 Speaker 1: off to like forty percent? Will will you turn on 436 00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:44,480 Speaker 1: the TV in the middle of the third quarter and 437 00:19:44,560 --> 00:19:47,680 Speaker 1: Kyle Trask has one hundred and nine passing yards two interceptions, 438 00:19:47,720 --> 00:19:50,320 Speaker 1: Like that's the kind of disaster that you want to avoid. 439 00:19:50,600 --> 00:19:53,760 Speaker 1: Now in the Alabama game, the answer to who will 440 00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:56,879 Speaker 1: Mac Jones be with Georgia on the field was he 441 00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:59,360 Speaker 1: was a stud? And why was he a stud? Well, 442 00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:01,720 Speaker 1: you know about Ja Waddell, you know about DeVante Smith, 443 00:20:01,800 --> 00:20:06,600 Speaker 1: you know about their receivers. But elite pass protection and 444 00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:09,520 Speaker 1: an elite running back and elite run blocking. There's a 445 00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:12,880 Speaker 1: lot of elite on Alabama. It allowed them to maintain balance, 446 00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:15,600 Speaker 1: or at least the illusion of balance. And I define balance, 447 00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:17,440 Speaker 1: as I've told you many times differently than most people. 448 00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:19,320 Speaker 1: It's not stats. It's as long as they believe you'll 449 00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,600 Speaker 1: run it or pass it on any down, boom, you're balanced. 450 00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:25,720 Speaker 1: Georgia had to absolutely honor the run on every down, 451 00:20:25,760 --> 00:20:27,600 Speaker 1: even as Alabama was bombing away on him. And that 452 00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 1: was with both of their starting safeties. Now they'll be 453 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,800 Speaker 1: without one. That was with Jordan Davis healthy. Now they'll 454 00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:34,920 Speaker 1: be without him, which brings me to my next point. 455 00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:38,280 Speaker 1: Jordan Davis is there. I think their most important defensive 456 00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:40,679 Speaker 1: guy up front. He is an interior clogger, but he 457 00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:42,639 Speaker 1: also gets a lot of pressure. He can collapse a 458 00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:44,840 Speaker 1: pocket on you and it looks like he'll be out 459 00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:49,240 Speaker 1: for Georgia. And that's with Richard LeCount, their starting safety 460 00:20:49,320 --> 00:20:51,040 Speaker 1: on the back end out too. A lot of other 461 00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:52,760 Speaker 1: guys banged up, but those are the two main ones. 462 00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:55,440 Speaker 1: What does the potential loss of Jordan Davis here mean. 463 00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:59,080 Speaker 1: I do not believe Dan Mullen will ever abandon the 464 00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:02,200 Speaker 1: run in this game. They're rushing numbers. Florida's rushing numbers 465 00:21:02,240 --> 00:21:06,440 Speaker 1: aren't overly impressive this year, but it's got a little 466 00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:09,000 Speaker 1: bit of that LSU flavor to it from last year, 467 00:21:09,040 --> 00:21:11,199 Speaker 1: where in principle, now I'm not comparing them, but in 468 00:21:11,280 --> 00:21:14,320 Speaker 1: principle LSU's rushing numbers didn't light the world on fire 469 00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:16,200 Speaker 1: last year, but yet you knew it was always there. 470 00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:18,879 Speaker 1: It's just that they were a passing offense. Well, Florida 471 00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:20,800 Speaker 1: is a passing offense. But I'll tell you what Mullen 472 00:21:20,840 --> 00:21:24,040 Speaker 1: would love. He would drool at the idea of being 473 00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:26,080 Speaker 1: able to do what Alabama was able to do and 474 00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:29,639 Speaker 1: maintain at least the illusion of balance in this game. 475 00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:32,600 Speaker 1: When you've got a back end of a defense potentially 476 00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:35,440 Speaker 1: a little off kilter with one of the premier safeties 477 00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:38,160 Speaker 1: in the country out for the game, and you're missing 478 00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:42,320 Speaker 1: the biggest interior presence on the opposing defense, and you 479 00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:44,320 Speaker 1: can keep them off balance and keep them guessing with 480 00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:47,560 Speaker 1: pass run, pass run, run, pass pass run. That kind 481 00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:50,159 Speaker 1: of stuff is stuff that wins you ball games, and 482 00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:52,240 Speaker 1: in these big games. In Missouri it may not matter, 483 00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:53,960 Speaker 1: but in these big games it's going to really matter 484 00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:58,320 Speaker 1: for Florida. Balance would be everything for Florida to be 485 00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:00,600 Speaker 1: able to maintain George is not going to have Georgia, 486 00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:02,239 Speaker 1: you know, good and well, will be two to two 487 00:22:02,280 --> 00:22:05,240 Speaker 1: and a half to run run to pass ratio. I 488 00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:07,040 Speaker 1: don't think I said that right, but you get it. 489 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:08,399 Speaker 1: They're gonna run the ball a whole lot more than 490 00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:11,200 Speaker 1: they're going to pass it. You could be the inverse, 491 00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:14,199 Speaker 1: but instead you could still maintain the illusion of balance. 492 00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:17,720 Speaker 1: George's gotta grab something in this game early. You could 493 00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:19,840 Speaker 1: call it momentum. You could just call it the outright lead. 494 00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:22,399 Speaker 1: They got to grab something early. They can't play on 495 00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:25,800 Speaker 1: their heels. Florida could be staggered early and still win 496 00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:28,160 Speaker 1: this game. I don't know that Georgia can be staggered 497 00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:30,439 Speaker 1: early and still win the game, only because that requires 498 00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:33,320 Speaker 1: the come from behind element that I just don't think 499 00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:36,760 Speaker 1: they have the idea of playing catch up for Florida 500 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:40,000 Speaker 1: against Georgia. It's certainly not comfortable, but I don't think 501 00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:42,800 Speaker 1: it's terrifying because you don't expect Georgia to pull away 502 00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:44,600 Speaker 1: from you without you giving them a lot of help, 503 00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:46,640 Speaker 1: and you trust your offense to be able to play 504 00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:48,879 Speaker 1: catch up. If you, as a Georgia fan, were to 505 00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:50,600 Speaker 1: turn this game on and it was fourteen to three 506 00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:54,439 Speaker 1: Florida early, what would you think? I mean, remember how 507 00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:57,080 Speaker 1: Kirby Smart felt it necessary to manage the Kentucky game 508 00:22:57,160 --> 00:23:00,560 Speaker 1: last week when the opposite was the score. Just think 509 00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:03,960 Speaker 1: about the Alabama game is another good example. Once you 510 00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:06,479 Speaker 1: were put in come from behind mode, as it turns out, 511 00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:10,080 Speaker 1: it was over. I look at the way that Florida 512 00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:12,640 Speaker 1: could go about this and if they grab an early lead. 513 00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:15,560 Speaker 1: To be honest with you, and I've watched every snap 514 00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:17,879 Speaker 1: of every Georgia game, I'm not sure how they go 515 00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:21,280 Speaker 1: about it. The way they avoid that, obviously, is their 516 00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:23,439 Speaker 1: offensive line has to play out of this world, and 517 00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:25,320 Speaker 1: what their offensive line has to do. Even with Kyrie 518 00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:28,600 Speaker 1: Campbell back and them holding Missouri, them being Florida holding 519 00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:31,440 Speaker 1: Missouri to I think forty yards on like twenty three 520 00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:34,679 Speaker 1: carries last week. They have to prove which they are. 521 00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:37,359 Speaker 1: They're a different class than Missouri, and they have to 522 00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:40,800 Speaker 1: make it matter. It doesn't matter what people call you 523 00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:42,800 Speaker 1: in a Mott draft or a preview magazine. You have 524 00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:45,920 Speaker 1: to take over the game, and you have to continue 525 00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:48,159 Speaker 1: to own the line of scrimmage. Get a surge and 526 00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:51,399 Speaker 1: make it possible to lean on some mere White and 527 00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:53,800 Speaker 1: that stable of running backs and make it possible to 528 00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:56,240 Speaker 1: just rely on the screen game and a few quarterback 529 00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:58,160 Speaker 1: runs and not have to throw the ball twenty yards 530 00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:00,320 Speaker 1: down the field to catch up. If you can do that, 531 00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:02,600 Speaker 1: it doesn't matter what your run pass ratio is. It 532 00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:04,400 Speaker 1: could be seven to one run to pass. You could 533 00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:06,800 Speaker 1: look like a service academy. If you keep moving the 534 00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:08,760 Speaker 1: football down the field and keeping it away from Kyle 535 00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:11,800 Speaker 1: Trask and Dan Mullin, that's all that really matters. So 536 00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:13,399 Speaker 1: I've talked about this game a lot. We did an 537 00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:15,439 Speaker 1: early thoughts on this game too. Let me show you 538 00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:17,800 Speaker 1: what our model thinks, and let's talk about what Vegas thinks, Colin, 539 00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:20,600 Speaker 1: let's roll the game capsule here. We told you we 540 00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:22,119 Speaker 1: made this our best bet of the week, and we 541 00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:23,800 Speaker 1: got it at four and a half. Well, Vegas now 542 00:24:23,840 --> 00:24:26,919 Speaker 1: has Georgia as a three point favorite. We think the 543 00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:30,119 Speaker 1: wrong team is favored. This is taking all injuries into account, 544 00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:33,120 Speaker 1: all suspensions into account. We have Florida as a one 545 00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:36,080 Speaker 1: point favorite. So our model actually likes Florida to win 546 00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:39,320 Speaker 1: the game. Out right, I'm rolling with our model. I'm 547 00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:41,479 Speaker 1: taking Florida to win the game. We got them at 548 00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:43,800 Speaker 1: plus four for our early best bet. I would also 549 00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:46,520 Speaker 1: obviously take them at plus three. That's how we see 550 00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:48,840 Speaker 1: this game going. But I'll tell you what I mean, 551 00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:51,320 Speaker 1: been wrong before, I'll be wrong again. Either way, Here's 552 00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:53,840 Speaker 1: what I can guarantee you in this game. Our Sunday 553 00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:57,080 Speaker 1: Night show will be can't miss as a result of 554 00:24:57,119 --> 00:24:59,159 Speaker 1: the outcome in this one. Really looking forward to it. 555 00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:02,800 Speaker 1: All Right, So there you go. Those are our game 556 00:25:02,840 --> 00:25:06,400 Speaker 1: previews Clemson Notre Dame. We're taking Clemson to win, Notre 557 00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:08,840 Speaker 1: Dame to cover. As I explain, no real feel, so 558 00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:11,520 Speaker 1: it's just a principal play there, certainly not advising it. 559 00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:14,320 Speaker 1: As for the Georgia Florida game, taking Florida to cover, 560 00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:17,320 Speaker 1: taking Florida to win outright, and that is one of 561 00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:20,080 Speaker 1: our five best bets on the Rama Noodle Express this week, 562 00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:22,040 Speaker 1: and a lot of you have been riding that Rama 563 00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:25,280 Speaker 1: Noodle Express to the tune of sixty point five percent 564 00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:28,880 Speaker 1: against the spread so far this year, and we look 565 00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:32,000 Speaker 1: to continue that strong trend this coming weekend. In fact, 566 00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:35,159 Speaker 1: I'll give out the final plays, probably the final plays. 567 00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 1: You never know. Sometimes I give them out on Twitter afterwards, 568 00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:39,680 Speaker 1: but I'll give out the final plays as they stand 569 00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:41,919 Speaker 1: right now tonight on Late Kick Live. Make sure you 570 00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:43,639 Speaker 1: tune in for that and make sure you're following me 571 00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:45,480 Speaker 1: on Twitter, cause I do give out a lot of 572 00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:48,000 Speaker 1: late picks. Sometimes we get information here at the old 573 00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:51,159 Speaker 1: twenty four to seven sports headquarters before the public gets it. 574 00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:53,800 Speaker 1: And why in the world wouldn't we leverage that for 575 00:25:53,840 --> 00:25:56,359 Speaker 1: our financial gain? Hey, I mean, we wouldn't be trying 576 00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:59,080 Speaker 1: if we weren't doing that. So at Late Kick, Josh 577 00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:01,680 Speaker 1: is where you want to following me on Twitter? All right, 578 00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:03,880 Speaker 1: We'll do the normal Q and A format starting again 579 00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:06,360 Speaker 1: next week, So have no fear. I've got your questions. 580 00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:08,960 Speaker 1: I see them. I'm actually looking at them right now. 581 00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:11,199 Speaker 1: I will aggregate them and we will start hitting them 582 00:26:11,200 --> 00:26:13,920 Speaker 1: again Tuesday. Until then, though, for Tani and Jordan on 583 00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:16,359 Speaker 1: the podcast editing side of things, I'm Josh paid. Have 584 00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:18,119 Speaker 1: a great rest of your day and God bless