1 00:00:14,040 --> 00:00:16,880 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome? Into a Monday 2 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. Will be Matt 3 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: Parat at Sports Doc Matt to follow me on Twitter. 4 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 1: This podcast being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot com. 5 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:26,800 Speaker 1: You guys can go to oma Steaks dot com right 6 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 1: now thirty dollars off a qualifying order with the promo 7 00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:35,440 Speaker 1: code juice for Father's Day. 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This is always fun when things are rolling. 18 00:01:09,760 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 1: We went three and one yesterday, up one point nine 19 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:13,640 Speaker 1: seven units. 20 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:14,400 Speaker 2: We're up. 21 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:17,200 Speaker 1: We were up over six point five units. I believe 22 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:20,480 Speaker 1: the math is for the week that's really good. And 23 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:23,120 Speaker 1: when you're cooking and things are going well. You want 24 00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:25,839 Speaker 1: things to continue. I am sort of one of those 25 00:01:25,880 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 1: pessimistic tips people, and I keep on going, all right, 26 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:29,399 Speaker 1: this is great. 27 00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:31,880 Speaker 2: When does the bottom fall out? 28 00:01:32,400 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 1: Like the bottom is going to fall out at some point, 29 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 1: just because the bottom always falls out. So you know, 30 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 1: we are sitting here nearly up double digits the NBA. Now, 31 00:01:43,000 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 1: we did well yesterday with two bets cashing. We were 32 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:49,320 Speaker 1: up two units on the full unit bets yesterday, so 33 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:52,640 Speaker 1: now we're approaching, you know, up seventeen units or so 34 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:55,840 Speaker 1: in the NBA props go one and one again, so 35 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 1: we're consistently going one in one NBA player props markets. 36 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:02,000 Speaker 1: I think we're nineteen and nine now, so it's you know, 37 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 1: we're a little bit down under zero point seven on that. 38 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 1: But you know, the full unit bets have been very good. 39 00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:11,040 Speaker 1: So he played well in the first quarter. My you know, 40 00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 1: Miami got a little cold in the second quarter, and 41 00:02:13,919 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 1: then they were absolutely ridiculous in the fourth quarter. They 42 00:02:16,720 --> 00:02:19,360 Speaker 1: win the game outright, Look, I still think Dever wins 43 00:02:19,400 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 1: the series. Okay, can they shoot? Can Miami shoot over 44 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:26,760 Speaker 1: sixty percent in the fourth quarter? How many times can 45 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 1: they do that they are the biggest make or miss team. 46 00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:33,640 Speaker 1: We want to talk about why Miami won. They didn't miss. 47 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:36,360 Speaker 1: They hit everything. When you hit everything, I don't care 48 00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:38,799 Speaker 1: what a defense you're playing. You're gonna win the most 49 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 1: games when you're shooting over sixty percent in the fourth quarters. 50 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:44,800 Speaker 1: What Miami did it wasn't I mean, Jimmy Butler again 51 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 1: wasn't really a big factor. It was everybody else. So 52 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:50,919 Speaker 1: when you bomb it from three and fifty percent from 53 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:52,600 Speaker 1: behind the arc, you're gonna win a lot of games 54 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,720 Speaker 1: in the NBA can win games period. That's basketball. So 55 00:02:55,760 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 1: how many times can Miami do that? It's going to 56 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 1: be the question for this series. If they shoot like 57 00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 1: that in the fourth quarter, Miami is going to win 58 00:03:02,639 --> 00:03:05,119 Speaker 1: this series. I don't think they're going to. I think 59 00:03:05,120 --> 00:03:08,280 Speaker 1: Michael Malow will make the adjustments. But last night kind 60 00:03:08,280 --> 00:03:11,600 Speaker 1: of a predictable outcome. Plus three, plus eight and a half, 61 00:03:11,639 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 1: both those bets come in. I thought Denver would win. 62 00:03:14,200 --> 00:03:16,840 Speaker 1: I was wrong about that. I took an in game 63 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 1: pick them on Denver. I missed on that, but I 64 00:03:19,320 --> 00:03:21,800 Speaker 1: got plus four and a half. Got lucky with that. 65 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:25,560 Speaker 1: I'm losing my three, So pretty good game. Overall, one 66 00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:27,639 Speaker 1: on one on the props for me three and one overall. 67 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:31,520 Speaker 1: But then we haven't even factored in the Marlins win. 68 00:03:31,680 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 1: We haven't factored in that. We are now eleven and five, 69 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:40,400 Speaker 1: eleven and five up five point three units fading the 70 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:44,120 Speaker 1: A's blindly they were up. The A's were up five 71 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:46,760 Speaker 1: to one. Yesterday, I thought that was dead. They lost 72 00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 1: seven to five. Marlin's won today we have the Pirates 73 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 1: at plus money. Again, doesn't matter who's starting, doesn't matter 74 00:03:55,600 --> 00:03:59,360 Speaker 1: who's playing. We're just blindly betting it. At some point 75 00:03:59,440 --> 00:04:01,800 Speaker 1: it's going to with us. We're getting to the part 76 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:03,400 Speaker 1: of the schedule where I was kind of like, I 77 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:06,520 Speaker 1: don't know, but over sixteen times betting this, we're eleven 78 00:04:06,520 --> 00:04:07,080 Speaker 1: and five. 79 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:09,240 Speaker 2: This is incredible. 80 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:13,040 Speaker 1: So that number of being up over six point five 81 00:04:13,160 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 1: units last week does not include all the number of 82 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:19,600 Speaker 1: times we hit with the fading the ace, so that 83 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:21,760 Speaker 1: number is not even. I mean, we've had a very 84 00:04:21,800 --> 00:04:25,080 Speaker 1: good couple of weeks here with the Daily Juice, So 85 00:04:25,120 --> 00:04:27,239 Speaker 1: I appreciate you guys hanging out. I appreciate you guys 86 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 1: being here. It's been a lot of fun to be 87 00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 1: in the Discord channel. It's been a lot of fun 88 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:32,920 Speaker 1: each and every week here for the last three weeks. 89 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:35,919 Speaker 1: So what are we doing on a Monday. There's an 90 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:37,719 Speaker 1: argument going on, by the way, is when does the 91 00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 1: week begin. The week begins on Monday. 92 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:44,279 Speaker 2: Okay. I'm not a very you know somebody who's very. 93 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:46,800 Speaker 1: Religious, but the Sunday ending of the week is what 94 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:49,960 Speaker 1: I've always believed. Okay, Sunday's the end. It's not the 95 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:51,680 Speaker 1: beginning of the week. It's the end of the week. 96 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:53,680 Speaker 1: It's the day of rest. So Sunday is when we 97 00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:56,600 Speaker 1: end the week. Sorry if that bothers you, That's how 98 00:04:56,600 --> 00:05:00,600 Speaker 1: I do it. Okay, Monday, Monday morning, get up, go 99 00:05:00,640 --> 00:05:03,120 Speaker 1: to work. Start the work week on a Monday. Start 100 00:05:03,160 --> 00:05:06,360 Speaker 1: the week in general five days Monday to Friday, Saturday, 101 00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:09,360 Speaker 1: Sunday on the weekend we started going into a Monday. 102 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 1: So this is a new week for us here on 103 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:18,039 Speaker 1: a Monday. Obviously, Pirates run line not official because I 104 00:05:18,080 --> 00:05:21,440 Speaker 1: can't trust it, but I'm betting it. Okay, you know 105 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 1: it's plus money. It's one unit down on Pirates run 106 00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 1: line against the A's today. But I do have another 107 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:30,320 Speaker 1: baseball bet for today, and it's an early game, so 108 00:05:30,839 --> 00:05:32,760 Speaker 1: take note of this the Red Sox and the Rays 109 00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 1: are playing an early game. Red Sox are starting Brian Bellow. 110 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:40,599 Speaker 1: Now mcclanahan's going eight and one. McClanahan, he's phenomenal. 111 00:05:40,640 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 2: Okay. 112 00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:44,920 Speaker 1: Brian Bellow in the month of May for the Boston 113 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 1: Red Sox has a two point sixty seven ERA. He's 114 00:05:48,520 --> 00:05:51,719 Speaker 1: three and two opposing betting average of two forty three, 115 00:05:52,480 --> 00:05:55,800 Speaker 1: eight earned runs so far given up in five starts. 116 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:58,600 Speaker 1: He's been good. The Red Sox defense is embarrassing. They 117 00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:01,080 Speaker 1: give up a Little league home run yesterday to the race. 118 00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 1: Hopefully the Red Sox played decent defense here. 119 00:06:04,560 --> 00:06:04,880 Speaker 2: Okay. 120 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:10,280 Speaker 1: So the totals nine first five is four and a half. 121 00:06:10,880 --> 00:06:14,520 Speaker 1: I'm a little concerned about the bullpens. Okay, it's an 122 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:20,000 Speaker 1: earlier game. Bello's been pretty good. The total is four 123 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:22,279 Speaker 1: and a half for the first five. 124 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 2: Okay. 125 00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:26,919 Speaker 1: Bello has been over his last five starts one earned run, 126 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:28,920 Speaker 1: two one, two and two. 127 00:06:29,080 --> 00:06:30,359 Speaker 2: He's been very good. 128 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:33,320 Speaker 1: It's been good at home last time, starting up against 129 00:06:33,320 --> 00:06:36,599 Speaker 1: the Reds again when four innings, one earned run. He 130 00:06:36,600 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 1: doesn't go very deep into games, Okay, So I don't 131 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:42,200 Speaker 1: want to go and bet the under nine, knowing what 132 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:45,960 Speaker 1: might happen with the bullpens go with you know. The 133 00:06:45,960 --> 00:06:47,919 Speaker 1: Red Sox scored a bunch of runs against Seattle, but 134 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:51,760 Speaker 1: he went five innings at home. One earned run against Seattle. 135 00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:55,720 Speaker 1: Against Toronto, five innings, two earned runs, okay, but two 136 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:58,479 Speaker 1: four runs were given up because the defense was the problem. 137 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:02,840 Speaker 1: Hopefully Brian Bellow get some defense behind him because Sea 138 00:07:02,960 --> 00:07:06,279 Speaker 1: mcclanahan's just been absolutely tremendous for the race and they 139 00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:08,920 Speaker 1: actually let him go a little bit. Five and two 140 00:07:08,960 --> 00:07:12,440 Speaker 1: thirds last time out, inning, two earned runs last time 141 00:07:12,440 --> 00:07:16,280 Speaker 1: against Toronto. Seven innings, one earned run, Milwaukee seven innings, 142 00:07:16,320 --> 00:07:19,000 Speaker 1: no earned runs. The Yankees touched him up a little bit. 143 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 1: Four innings for four runs. Baltimore six innings, no earn runs, 144 00:07:24,960 --> 00:07:29,520 Speaker 1: under four and a half runs first five, early game, 145 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:32,160 Speaker 1: first game of the day in Major League Baseball. We're 146 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 1: taking Red Sox raise under a little bit of a count. 147 00:07:35,400 --> 00:07:36,840 Speaker 1: I mean, the Red Sox are the number one teams, 148 00:07:36,840 --> 00:07:39,400 Speaker 1: are the over in baseball right now at home, so 149 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 1: it's a little scary. I get it kind of going 150 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:44,400 Speaker 1: against myself here, but Sea McClanahan eight and one with 151 00:07:44,440 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 1: the two point zero seven ERA. Don't think the Boston 152 00:07:47,280 --> 00:07:48,800 Speaker 1: Ers like score more than a run off him in 153 00:07:48,840 --> 00:07:53,040 Speaker 1: the first five. Hopefully Bello holds it together one point 154 00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 1: one four minus one fourteen under you get Fandul by 155 00:07:57,000 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 1: the way, under four and a half runs first five, 156 00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 1: red Sox and the race. Now hockey. Okay, so most 157 00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:08,920 Speaker 1: of you are now are fading, by the way, are 158 00:08:08,920 --> 00:08:11,240 Speaker 1: fading the a's so like you know, it's basically I'm 159 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:13,200 Speaker 1: giving you two bets in baseball, but here are two 160 00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:17,000 Speaker 1: bets in hockey. I think the Panthers are gonna win 161 00:08:17,080 --> 00:08:20,920 Speaker 1: Game two. It's plus one twenty four here in Vegas 162 00:08:20,960 --> 00:08:23,200 Speaker 1: for the Panthers to win Game two. Much like the 163 00:08:23,240 --> 00:08:25,840 Speaker 1: Heat bounced back in one Game two, I think the 164 00:08:25,880 --> 00:08:28,120 Speaker 1: Panthers are gonna bounce back and win game two. 165 00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:29,160 Speaker 2: Here is why. 166 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:31,880 Speaker 1: I think the Panthers needed to play a game to 167 00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 1: get under their belt. Okay, that game got away for 168 00:08:34,720 --> 00:08:36,680 Speaker 1: them in the third period. It was close, it was 169 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 1: two to two in the third and then it just 170 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:40,959 Speaker 1: kind of everything went away. And I think Lebrovsky will 171 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 1: be much better tonight. 172 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:42,440 Speaker 2: I do. 173 00:08:42,679 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 1: I don't think you're gonna see the same rustiness. I 174 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:47,120 Speaker 1: think he'll be sharp. I think he'll be better. I 175 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:49,599 Speaker 1: think he'll I don't know. I think Hill could have 176 00:08:49,640 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 1: given up a couple of goals here in the game. 177 00:08:52,280 --> 00:08:54,480 Speaker 1: I do think the under is a good play, but 178 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:58,439 Speaker 1: I'm a little concerned that if Vegas. I'm a little 179 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:00,839 Speaker 1: concerned about the total. Okay, I'm just Vegas could give 180 00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:02,920 Speaker 1: out a bunch of goals. We saw it in the 181 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:06,680 Speaker 1: earlier series, like against the Oilers, where Vegas won five 182 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:09,839 Speaker 1: to one, and then here came the Oilers. They swung 183 00:09:09,880 --> 00:09:13,319 Speaker 1: back and they won five to one. Vegas won big, 184 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:16,320 Speaker 1: five to two. I'm concerned that, like here, maybe the 185 00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:19,320 Speaker 1: Florida Panthers win five to two and they win going away. 186 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:21,480 Speaker 1: So I'm a little concerned about betting the under five 187 00:09:21,520 --> 00:09:23,680 Speaker 1: and a half. I still think this has the potential 188 00:09:23,720 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 1: potential to be an over series, but I'm betting Panthers 189 00:09:27,800 --> 00:09:31,600 Speaker 1: money lined one point sorry one plus one twenty four 190 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:34,880 Speaker 1: for one unit. Florida even up the Semley Cup Finals 191 00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:38,800 Speaker 1: at one game the piece and first period, I'm going 192 00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:41,640 Speaker 1: with the under. We bet the over in game one, 193 00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:46,280 Speaker 1: I'm betting the under. In Game two, Vegas scored. Vegas 194 00:09:46,440 --> 00:09:49,000 Speaker 1: won the game, scored late in the second period in 195 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:52,199 Speaker 1: the first period for the second goal they won the game. 196 00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:54,280 Speaker 2: I think it's one nothing at best. 197 00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:57,120 Speaker 1: In fact, I wouldn't be shocked if it's zero zero 198 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 1: after the first period between these two teams. I think 199 00:10:00,920 --> 00:10:03,480 Speaker 1: both teams are going to be much better defensively here 200 00:10:03,559 --> 00:10:04,920 Speaker 1: early in this game. 201 00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:07,319 Speaker 2: I think they will settle into the series a little bit. 202 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:11,320 Speaker 1: It's miss one ten, one point one units down, under 203 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:14,760 Speaker 1: one and a half goals first period, Vegas and the 204 00:10:14,800 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 1: Florida Panthers. Okay, so three bets officially going here today 205 00:10:19,520 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 1: on a Monday. Red Sox raise under four and a 206 00:10:22,320 --> 00:10:25,319 Speaker 1: half runs in the first five, under one and a 207 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:28,840 Speaker 1: half goals Vegas and Florida here in the first period 208 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:32,520 Speaker 1: at mis one ten and Panthers money line at plus 209 00:10:32,600 --> 00:10:36,840 Speaker 1: one twenty four. Not a huge day, I think, not 210 00:10:36,920 --> 00:10:38,920 Speaker 1: a ton in action. But it's a Monday. Let's not 211 00:10:38,960 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 1: get off to to you know, too crazy of a start. 212 00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:44,840 Speaker 1: Let's just have a nice, easy, casual fun Monday. Watching 213 00:10:44,920 --> 00:10:48,000 Speaker 1: the game, Game two of the Stanley Cup Finals mis 214 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:50,120 Speaker 1: map Parol. Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. 215 00:10:50,160 --> 00:10:52,600 Speaker 1: Each and every morning, it is the Deli Juice Podcast, 216 00:10:52,720 --> 00:11:06,760 Speaker 1: always being brought to you by Omaha Stakes dot Com.