1
00:00:11,000 --> 00:00:14,200
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Monday morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast.

2
00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:17,000
Speaker 1: I'm your host, Matt Paroltire off of Bettingpros dot com.

3
00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:21,720
Speaker 1: This podcast being brought to you by bet MGM. Okay,

4
00:00:21,880 --> 00:00:25,520
Speaker 1: it's a Monday, Thank goodness, because I do not want

5
00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:28,520
Speaker 1: to go back to last week. What a weekend, man.

6
00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:32,600
Speaker 1: And you know, somebody pointed out to me over the

7
00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:35,120
Speaker 1: weekend and they said that, hey, do you know that

8
00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:37,240
Speaker 1: you haven't gotten a day yet where you've gone over

9
00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:40,760
Speaker 1: on your picks? And so I acknowledged it, and I

10
00:00:40,800 --> 00:00:43,319
Speaker 1: actually talked a bit about that, and wouldn't you know it,

11
00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:46,879
Speaker 1: the very first time I go zero to three is

12
00:00:46,920 --> 00:00:49,479
Speaker 1: the time that I go ahead and talk about it.

13
00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:52,559
Speaker 1: And that's just my own dumb fault for mentioning it.

14
00:00:52,720 --> 00:00:55,040
Speaker 1: And you know, I'm not very superstitious, but I am

15
00:00:55,080 --> 00:00:58,920
Speaker 1: a little superstitious, and that really stunk. So we'll get

16
00:00:58,960 --> 00:01:01,280
Speaker 1: to the weekend as to what happened and the four

17
00:01:01,400 --> 00:01:04,800
Speaker 1: bad beats I had, including two of the most horrific

18
00:01:04,880 --> 00:01:07,200
Speaker 1: ones in the NBA yesterday that I just want to

19
00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:10,200
Speaker 1: throw up about. But Lee Sterling of Paramount Sports is

20
00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:12,759
Speaker 1: our guest. Lee and I have been talking sports, gambling,

21
00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:15,240
Speaker 1: for a very long time. The first person I ever

22
00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:19,080
Speaker 1: interviewed on my radio show back in Huntsville, Alabama, was

23
00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:22,280
Speaker 1: Lee Sterling in the year two thousand when I first moved.

24
00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:24,880
Speaker 1: It was my first year of covering college football in

25
00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:27,440
Speaker 1: the SEC. And Lee is one of the guys who's

26
00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:30,440
Speaker 1: been around for a really long time. He's seen the industry.

27
00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:33,560
Speaker 1: He covers college football really well, makes a lot of

28
00:01:33,600 --> 00:01:37,280
Speaker 1: money betting on college football. He's a handicapper. He's also

29
00:01:37,319 --> 00:01:40,240
Speaker 1: someone who is a professional sports better. So he's going

30
00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:42,200
Speaker 1: to be our guest coming up here in a little bit,

31
00:01:42,360 --> 00:01:45,720
Speaker 1: Lee Sterling of Paramount Sports. Okay, to the picks today.

32
00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:48,400
Speaker 1: We've got two in hockey in one in baseball. I

33
00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:52,280
Speaker 1: am not betting basketball today because well it's just too awful.

34
00:01:52,400 --> 00:01:55,200
Speaker 1: What happened over the weekend was just too awful. So

35
00:01:55,240 --> 00:01:59,400
Speaker 1: we played the over for Portland and the Lakers. We

36
00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:02,240
Speaker 1: talked about that yesterday, right that layup that could have

37
00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:04,520
Speaker 1: been hit, it was a three, would have gotten as

38
00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:08,160
Speaker 1: a push, instead turns into a last second layup. That

39
00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:12,400
Speaker 1: layup to twenty four. We played over to twenty five.

40
00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:15,960
Speaker 1: That stunk. Then we got a really bad loss with

41
00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:18,760
Speaker 1: the Red Sox and their bullpen blowing two leads in

42
00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:20,560
Speaker 1: the eighth and the tenth inning.

43
00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:21,480
Speaker 2: Which is just awful.

44
00:02:21,720 --> 00:02:24,360
Speaker 1: But those were nothing compared to what I was in

45
00:02:24,400 --> 00:02:29,280
Speaker 1: store for today when the Boston Celtics, as eight point favorites,

46
00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:34,800
Speaker 1: had a chance to win and cover quite easily, and

47
00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:38,560
Speaker 1: they simply just threw up all of themselves going down

48
00:02:38,560 --> 00:02:40,320
Speaker 1: the last minute or two. And I don't blame them.

49
00:02:40,360 --> 00:02:41,959
Speaker 1: The game was over. But this is why I said

50
00:02:42,000 --> 00:02:44,280
Speaker 1: on the podcast yesterday. It was minus eight and I

51
00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:46,920
Speaker 1: was really nervous. I was scared of the pick because

52
00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:51,040
Speaker 1: of exactly what happened. Now, if you bet Boston minus

53
00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:54,280
Speaker 1: seven and a half, if you bet Boston minus six

54
00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:56,960
Speaker 1: and a half, if you bet Boston minus five and

55
00:02:56,960 --> 00:03:00,600
Speaker 1: a half, all of those things did not hit. After

56
00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:04,720
Speaker 1: Joelle ebiid Jack's up a last second three that meant nothing,

57
00:03:05,200 --> 00:03:07,880
Speaker 1: but he hit it. He hit it when the Celtics

58
00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:10,800
Speaker 1: were up by seven and the lead. The margin of

59
00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:15,120
Speaker 1: victory is four, so Boston does not cover the minus eight.

60
00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:20,160
Speaker 1: But that was just a kind of bad beat, the

61
00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:23,840
Speaker 1: crushing of bad beats. The Scott van Pelt ESPN you

62
00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:27,560
Speaker 1: must show listen TV. Bad beat was what happened at

63
00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:30,720
Speaker 1: the end of the Utah Jazz game against the Denver Nuggets.

64
00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:33,880
Speaker 1: When the game was over. The game was over. It

65
00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:36,360
Speaker 1: was a three and a half point line, and I

66
00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:39,000
Speaker 1: tweeted with two minutes to go in the game. You

67
00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:41,400
Speaker 1: can go to my Twitter account at Sports Talk Matt

68
00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:45,120
Speaker 1: and you will see this tweet. I say, why do

69
00:03:45,240 --> 00:03:48,680
Speaker 1: I feel like a last second three point shot is

70
00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:51,840
Speaker 1: going to cost me this minus three and a half?

71
00:03:52,320 --> 00:03:55,240
Speaker 1: And that is exactly what happened when Jamal Murray shot

72
00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:59,080
Speaker 1: a worthless three. Game's over doesn't matter, but hey, I

73
00:03:59,120 --> 00:04:02,120
Speaker 1: appreciate the effort. I am all four playing to the buzzer.

74
00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:04,440
Speaker 1: I don't like it when teams dribble out the clock.

75
00:04:04,760 --> 00:04:07,840
Speaker 1: Take the shot. If you make it, fine, I get burned.

76
00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:10,720
Speaker 1: He made it. Him and Donovan Mitchell went tat for

77
00:04:10,800 --> 00:04:13,000
Speaker 1: tat back and forth. It was incredible to watch those

78
00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:15,880
Speaker 1: guys fifty points, forty five points. First time in history

79
00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:18,440
Speaker 1: two players have more than forty five points on a

80
00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:23,680
Speaker 1: single playoff game on opposite teams. Incredible, incredible performance both

81
00:04:23,720 --> 00:04:26,039
Speaker 1: those guys. But we had it three and a half

82
00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:30,880
Speaker 1: margin winds up being two awful, horrendous, bad beat. It

83
00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:34,520
Speaker 1: goes from five to two. So if you were on

84
00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:38,839
Speaker 1: either side of those, man, those are just coin flip games.

85
00:04:38,839 --> 00:04:42,560
Speaker 1: And it's why betting on basketball is so crazy. I

86
00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:46,080
Speaker 1: have not had basketball beats like that since the NCAA tournament.

87
00:04:46,320 --> 00:04:49,240
Speaker 1: That meant, that felt like a tournament game where you've

88
00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:52,680
Speaker 1: got end of game situations and you're counting it down

89
00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:55,960
Speaker 1: and you're watching every foul and every foul shot, and

90
00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:59,400
Speaker 1: you're going, all right, Donovan Mitchell, if you had minus three,

91
00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:01,840
Speaker 1: do Mitchell had not missed a free throw in that

92
00:05:02,160 --> 00:05:06,560
Speaker 1: entire series, and Donovan Mitchell missed a free throw right

93
00:05:06,600 --> 00:05:08,800
Speaker 1: before that that would have gotten you a push if

94
00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:10,400
Speaker 1: you were at three. No, I had it at three

95
00:05:10,440 --> 00:05:12,560
Speaker 1: and a half. But if you had it at three,

96
00:05:12,600 --> 00:05:15,760
Speaker 1: that one free throw cost you the ability to absorb

97
00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:18,279
Speaker 1: that three point shot and get a push out of

98
00:05:18,279 --> 00:05:20,920
Speaker 1: it at least. Instead, it's a beat and a loss

99
00:05:20,960 --> 00:05:24,520
Speaker 1: for you as well. So my first zero in three day,

100
00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:28,279
Speaker 1: my first time in the Daily Jews not getting a

101
00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:32,080
Speaker 1: pick correct, and it hurts because, man, we end up

102
00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:35,360
Speaker 1: the week fifteen and fourteen losing week. In Week one

103
00:05:35,400 --> 00:05:38,040
Speaker 1: of August, it's a winning week and we wound up

104
00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:40,920
Speaker 1: in plus money thanks to the plus one seventy five

105
00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:43,919
Speaker 1: we got with the Vancouver Canucks winning their series, but

106
00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:47,640
Speaker 1: we had Vancouver to score at least a goal, at

107
00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:50,560
Speaker 1: least one goal in their game against the Vegas gold Knights.

108
00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:55,520
Speaker 1: Vegas scored five goals. We had that game completely perfectly handicapped.

109
00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:59,920
Speaker 1: Five goals, Vancouver couldn't score one. I thought Vegas would win.

110
00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:02,360
Speaker 1: I thought Vegas would win four to three. I didn't

111
00:06:02,360 --> 00:06:05,839
Speaker 1: think that they would win five nothing. And unfortunately for us,

112
00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:09,320
Speaker 1: basically the entire last ten minutes was just like figure

113
00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:11,840
Speaker 1: skating and free skate and who cares because they weren't

114
00:06:11,880 --> 00:06:14,279
Speaker 1: really playing because the game was over. They were controlled.

115
00:06:14,279 --> 00:06:16,680
Speaker 1: I mean, they pulled a goalie. I mean, just a

116
00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:20,600
Speaker 1: brutal just a bad game for us. But hey, if

117
00:06:20,600 --> 00:06:22,960
Speaker 1: you bet Vegas on the puck line, congratulations, that's a

118
00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:25,560
Speaker 1: big play. Vegas is a much better hockey team, and

119
00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:29,760
Speaker 1: I mean a much better hockey team then the Vancouver Canucks,

120
00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:32,280
Speaker 1: and that series will not go very long. And look,

121
00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:35,159
Speaker 1: Vegas very well could be playing back in the Stanley

122
00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:38,159
Speaker 1: Cup with the way they're playing, and all that controversy

123
00:06:38,520 --> 00:06:41,520
Speaker 1: may may have galvanized the team and the agent from

124
00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:44,200
Speaker 1: Marc Andre Flurry tweeting out that picture may have helped,

125
00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:48,240
Speaker 1: because look what happened. I mean, when you do that

126
00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:51,880
Speaker 1: and Roberin Lerner goes in and he shuts out Vancouver,

127
00:06:52,560 --> 00:06:54,920
Speaker 1: that's a pretty big move right there for a guy

128
00:06:54,960 --> 00:06:57,359
Speaker 1: who was supposedly, you know, not the right guy in

129
00:06:57,440 --> 00:06:59,839
Speaker 1: goal in goal for the Vegas gold Knights according to

130
00:06:59,880 --> 00:07:02,880
Speaker 1: the agent. So before we get to our picks, let

131
00:07:02,920 --> 00:07:05,400
Speaker 1: me tell you about what this cool offer is from

132
00:07:05,400 --> 00:07:09,320
Speaker 1: bet mgm for tonight's Lakers and Portland Trailblazers games. So,

133
00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:11,480
Speaker 1: if you want to bet one dollar on this game,

134
00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:15,480
Speaker 1: new users, go and download the bet mgm app or

135
00:07:15,520 --> 00:07:19,240
Speaker 1: go to betmgm dot com. The promo code is Juice

136
00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:23,200
Speaker 1: one hundred. Okay, juice one hundred. For the promo code,

137
00:07:23,240 --> 00:07:25,680
Speaker 1: you're gonna get one hundred dollars in free wagers if

138
00:07:25,720 --> 00:07:27,920
Speaker 1: a three pointer is hit. If you bet on the

139
00:07:27,960 --> 00:07:32,000
Speaker 1: Portland Trailblazers or the LA Lakers, one three pointer goes

140
00:07:32,040 --> 00:07:34,920
Speaker 1: down in that game coming up tonight, and you will

141
00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:38,560
Speaker 1: win one hundred dollars thanks to bet mgm. Very easy,

142
00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:44,000
Speaker 1: very simple. New users only. You must be in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana,

143
00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:48,760
Speaker 1: or West Virginia. But betmgm dot com. Bet on Portland

144
00:07:48,960 --> 00:07:52,160
Speaker 1: or the Lakers one dollar. One dollar bet wins one

145
00:07:52,200 --> 00:07:54,880
Speaker 1: hundred dollars of a three pointer is made tonight in

146
00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:58,360
Speaker 1: that playoff game. Go to betmgm dot com for terms

147
00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:00,520
Speaker 1: and conditions. You must be twenty one years older and

148
00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:04,160
Speaker 1: physically located in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, or West Virginia.

149
00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:08,360
Speaker 1: Please gamble responsibly. Gambling problems called one eight hundred, five

150
00:08:08,440 --> 00:08:11,120
Speaker 1: to two to two forty seven hundred or one hundred

151
00:08:11,120 --> 00:08:13,920
Speaker 1: gambler in New Jersey, in West Virginia or one one

152
00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:17,800
Speaker 1: hundred with it. Use the bonus code juice one one

153
00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:21,760
Speaker 1: hundred to the picks two in the NHL one in baseball.

154
00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:25,720
Speaker 1: I am not going anywhere near in the NBA, but

155
00:08:26,000 --> 00:08:29,640
Speaker 1: our conversation with least durling of paramount sports after we

156
00:08:29,760 --> 00:08:32,960
Speaker 1: get to our picks. Okay, let's start in the NHL

157
00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:36,200
Speaker 1: game one of the best of seven series between the

158
00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:40,720
Speaker 1: New York Islanders and the Philadelphia Flyers. We have already

159
00:08:40,760 --> 00:08:44,040
Speaker 1: bet this at plus one ten on the Islanders to

160
00:08:44,160 --> 00:08:48,800
Speaker 1: win this series. However, when you look at these two goaltenders,

161
00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:55,720
Speaker 1: it's Varlamov versus Heart in net four. Varlamov fifteen goals

162
00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:59,640
Speaker 1: in nine games for Heart thirteen goals in eight games.

163
00:09:00,440 --> 00:09:04,079
Speaker 1: First period under I was making money on the Islanders

164
00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:06,040
Speaker 1: doing this. I'm gonna go back here. We need to

165
00:09:06,040 --> 00:09:08,200
Speaker 1: get some wins here. It's a little expensive minus one

166
00:09:08,240 --> 00:09:11,320
Speaker 1: to fifty, but I'm gonna lay it under one and

167
00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:14,600
Speaker 1: a half goals in the first period here of Game

168
00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:17,559
Speaker 1: one of this series. I think both these teams are

169
00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:19,240
Speaker 1: gonna want to feed each other out a little bit,

170
00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:22,240
Speaker 1: and I'll expect a ton of offense in this game

171
00:09:22,720 --> 00:09:28,520
Speaker 1: first period under minus one fifty Islanders Flyers. Let's get

172
00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:31,920
Speaker 1: some defense going early. Let's get these guys hitting, Let's

173
00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:35,280
Speaker 1: get these guys playing solid defense, and let's not get

174
00:09:35,600 --> 00:09:37,800
Speaker 1: a one to one score scares the heck out of me.

175
00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:39,880
Speaker 1: I don't think either team's up to nothing, but a

176
00:09:39,920 --> 00:09:42,240
Speaker 1: one to one score definitely does scare me. But we're

177
00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:44,440
Speaker 1: gonna take the under one and a half goals in

178
00:09:44,520 --> 00:09:48,760
Speaker 1: the first period at minus one fifty play number two.

179
00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:52,400
Speaker 1: We're not going to overthink this one too much. The

180
00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:56,280
Speaker 1: Colorado Avalanche, they've made us money on three overs in

181
00:09:56,320 --> 00:09:59,679
Speaker 1: a row. Here, they didn't score as much as the

182
00:09:59,760 --> 00:10:03,080
Speaker 1: Dell the Star scored in game one. Here is game two.

183
00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:07,200
Speaker 1: It's the Avalanche in the Stars. Eight goals got scored

184
00:10:07,240 --> 00:10:10,520
Speaker 1: in the first game. I think this is an overplay

185
00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:13,600
Speaker 1: again here over five and a half goals. I don't

186
00:10:13,640 --> 00:10:16,319
Speaker 1: think the goaltending's great. I think the offenses are really potent.

187
00:10:16,600 --> 00:10:19,760
Speaker 1: The Avalanche can score. We know Dallas can score. We

188
00:10:19,840 --> 00:10:23,319
Speaker 1: played the over in game one. It came in easily. Well,

189
00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:25,480
Speaker 1: let's go back to the well, let's play the over

190
00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:28,840
Speaker 1: again until it doesn't hit. Let's just keep on playing

191
00:10:28,840 --> 00:10:33,720
Speaker 1: the over for the Avalanche, over over over three straight games.

192
00:10:33,920 --> 00:10:36,319
Speaker 1: Let's play it again five and a half the over

193
00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:40,160
Speaker 1: minus one to ten here in the NHL for the

194
00:10:40,280 --> 00:10:44,080
Speaker 1: Dallas Stars and the Colorado Avalanche. Our third played here

195
00:10:44,160 --> 00:10:47,080
Speaker 1: on the long Form edition on a Monday, Let's go

196
00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:49,679
Speaker 1: to baseball. Let's look at the Rangers and look at

197
00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:52,840
Speaker 1: the Athletics. Jesus Lozardo going to the hill two and

198
00:10:52,880 --> 00:10:56,520
Speaker 1: zero with a three point sixty seven ERA prospect in

199
00:10:56,559 --> 00:10:59,720
Speaker 1: the conversation with Rookie of the Year has had a great,

200
00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:02,720
Speaker 1: great start to the year, facing off against lance Lynn

201
00:11:03,040 --> 00:11:05,120
Speaker 1: three to zero with a one point three to seven

202
00:11:05,240 --> 00:11:09,280
Speaker 1: e RA. Lance Lynn started against Oakland on August the fourth.

203
00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:11,640
Speaker 1: He allowed one run on three hits and six and

204
00:11:11,720 --> 00:11:15,840
Speaker 1: one thirds innings. He had seven ks. Okay, his career

205
00:11:15,960 --> 00:11:18,440
Speaker 1: ERA against the A's a little high at four point

206
00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:21,800
Speaker 1: sixty seven. But Lozardo has been very, very good, and

207
00:11:21,840 --> 00:11:25,280
Speaker 1: the offense for Texas is horrible. Texas is third to

208
00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:28,760
Speaker 1: last in baseball in run scored, they're fourth to last

209
00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:31,680
Speaker 1: in hits, and they're fourth to last in home runs.

210
00:11:32,000 --> 00:11:35,120
Speaker 1: They don't score, all right, they don't score. I was

211
00:11:35,160 --> 00:11:38,640
Speaker 1: tempted to play the first five under here, but it's

212
00:11:38,679 --> 00:11:41,040
Speaker 1: four and a half, and I'm a little concerned because

213
00:11:41,080 --> 00:11:44,559
Speaker 1: the A's offense is pretty good. There are seventh in runs,

214
00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:47,520
Speaker 1: there's seventh in home runs. I'm a little scared of

215
00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:48,839
Speaker 1: they get a big inning and then all of a

216
00:11:48,880 --> 00:11:51,320
Speaker 1: sudden we get torched, and you know, they score five

217
00:11:51,400 --> 00:11:54,200
Speaker 1: runs and maybe it's like a six to nothing shutout.

218
00:11:54,679 --> 00:11:57,360
Speaker 1: Eight and a half is the run total. We're gonna

219
00:11:57,360 --> 00:12:01,160
Speaker 1: play the under here, the under for the A's and

220
00:12:01,240 --> 00:12:03,880
Speaker 1: the Rangers. The A's are very good. I don't hate

221
00:12:03,880 --> 00:12:05,800
Speaker 1: to play for the run. The A's on a run

222
00:12:05,920 --> 00:12:08,600
Speaker 1: line here, but I'm just gonna take the minus one ten.

223
00:12:09,320 --> 00:12:12,520
Speaker 1: Oakland versus Texas i'na play the under eight and a

224
00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:15,520
Speaker 1: half runs with Lozardo and Lynn on the mound for

225
00:12:15,559 --> 00:12:18,680
Speaker 1: either of these two teams. This game in Texas in Arlington.

226
00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:21,559
Speaker 1: Runs really haven't been scored much in that ballpark either,

227
00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:24,320
Speaker 1: but under eight and a half runs for the A's

228
00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:27,000
Speaker 1: and the Rangers. So so recap before we get to

229
00:12:27,080 --> 00:12:31,280
Speaker 1: Lease Sterling of Paramount Sports. First period under Islanders flyers

230
00:12:31,360 --> 00:12:35,000
Speaker 1: minus one fifty over five and a half goals, Avalanche

231
00:12:35,000 --> 00:12:38,040
Speaker 1: in the Stars at mins one ten in the under

232
00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:41,199
Speaker 1: for Oakland and Texas eight and a half runs at

233
00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:44,160
Speaker 1: minus one ten. Our guest today on the long form

234
00:12:44,280 --> 00:12:46,360
Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice podcast, brought to you by

235
00:12:46,400 --> 00:12:50,320
Speaker 1: Bett MGM, is Lee Sterling of Paramount Sports. He might

236
00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:55,320
Speaker 1: be the most interviewed man in the country during football season.

237
00:12:55,760 --> 00:12:59,440
Speaker 1: As a sports handicapper. Lee has long since built up

238
00:12:59,440 --> 00:13:01,920
Speaker 1: relationship he has talked a lot about. He isn't pay

239
00:13:01,960 --> 00:13:04,360
Speaker 1: to be on radio shows, he just is invited to

240
00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:08,440
Speaker 1: be on radio shows. He's extremely well spoken, he's extremely

241
00:13:08,480 --> 00:13:11,200
Speaker 1: good at breaking down football games, and he's a guy

242
00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:13,040
Speaker 1: who's been around it for a very long time. The

243
00:13:13,040 --> 00:13:16,280
Speaker 1: first ever on air conversation I've ever had with someone

244
00:13:16,520 --> 00:13:19,480
Speaker 1: on sports gambling. I was a youngster twenty years ago

245
00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:23,160
Speaker 1: working in Huntsville, Alabama, was with Lee Sterling of Paramount Sports.

246
00:13:23,440 --> 00:13:25,920
Speaker 1: He and I go way back, and it was great

247
00:13:26,000 --> 00:13:28,360
Speaker 1: to get him to sit down with him and have

248
00:13:28,400 --> 00:13:32,520
Speaker 1: a conversation over the internet about sports gambling and a

249
00:13:32,559 --> 00:13:35,560
Speaker 1: lot on college football. If you like college football, you're

250
00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:37,920
Speaker 1: gonna like this conversation at least Sterling and I had

251
00:13:37,960 --> 00:13:41,520
Speaker 1: here for our long form edition on the Dely Juice Podcast.

252
00:13:41,640 --> 00:13:44,040
Speaker 1: Here's Lie Stirling all right joining us now here on

253
00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:46,679
Speaker 1: the Deally Juice Podcast presented by bet MGM. Is a

254
00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:49,320
Speaker 1: guy that I have known for a long time. I

255
00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:51,760
Speaker 1: think I've spent more time on the radio speaking to

256
00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:54,640
Speaker 1: this guy about sports gambling than any other person in

257
00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:57,240
Speaker 1: the industry. And that's not saying that's not a lie. Here,

258
00:13:57,520 --> 00:14:00,640
Speaker 1: going back to my times in Alabama in two thousand,

259
00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:02,720
Speaker 1: was the first time that I spoke to this guy.

260
00:14:02,880 --> 00:14:05,079
Speaker 1: Lee Sterling of Paramount Sports is joining us here on

261
00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:07,040
Speaker 1: the Daily Joe. So, Lee, how are you my friend?

262
00:14:07,640 --> 00:14:11,640
Speaker 2: Okay? Crazy times?

263
00:14:11,800 --> 00:14:15,120
Speaker 3: You know, you know we're spend a lot more time

264
00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:18,920
Speaker 3: at home, people working out of the house. You you

265
00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:23,600
Speaker 3: got your garter running around. I see sometimes erupting some

266
00:14:23,680 --> 00:14:27,280
Speaker 3: of the some of the radio shows and podcasts, but

267
00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:31,320
Speaker 3: just everyone's just trying to make the best of it.

268
00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:34,880
Speaker 1: Absolutely. So for those people who might not know your

269
00:14:34,920 --> 00:14:37,160
Speaker 1: background and how long you've been in this industry, You've

270
00:14:37,160 --> 00:14:39,800
Speaker 1: been around sports gambling for a very long time. When

271
00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:43,640
Speaker 1: did you start, what brought you into sports gambling, and

272
00:14:43,800 --> 00:14:45,360
Speaker 1: just what's your backstory?

273
00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:50,800
Speaker 2: Okay, good story. So my twenty played grew up.

274
00:14:50,920 --> 00:14:55,160
Speaker 3: My father was a gunnis and cooking youth leagues and

275
00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:57,720
Speaker 3: actually coaching in high school for years, so.

276
00:14:59,160 --> 00:15:00,359
Speaker 2: Offensive g.

277
00:15:01,720 --> 00:15:03,840
Speaker 3: Didn't know anything when he started when I was six

278
00:15:03,960 --> 00:15:07,680
Speaker 3: years old and read books. I'll never forget one time.

279
00:15:09,160 --> 00:15:11,440
Speaker 3: Since we're going on a trip, it's okay, where we're going.

280
00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:13,680
Speaker 3: We're going to San Diego. You haven't heard this one.

281
00:15:14,400 --> 00:15:18,320
Speaker 2: And we went to.

282
00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:22,840
Speaker 3: Listen to Sid Gilman speaking, former head coach for the

283
00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:27,560
Speaker 3: San Diego Chargers and one of the innovators of spreading

284
00:15:27,640 --> 00:15:31,080
Speaker 3: people out using three and four wide receivers really before

285
00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:36,560
Speaker 3: anyone else did. And my dad heard his heard his conference.

286
00:15:36,600 --> 00:15:40,200
Speaker 3: He spoke to maybe seventy eight people, and my dad's

287
00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:42,280
Speaker 3: taking notes at the time and no computers.

288
00:15:42,280 --> 00:15:48,120
Speaker 2: This is nineteen seventy three, I think, and you know,

289
00:15:48,280 --> 00:15:50,960
Speaker 2: days of John Hadel and.

290
00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:58,720
Speaker 3: Lanceollworth and Dickey Post and Keith Lincoln and Gary Garrison and.

291
00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:00,200
Speaker 2: So it turned out a couple of mats there. I

292
00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:01,120
Speaker 2: don't remember who's that.

293
00:16:01,240 --> 00:16:03,800
Speaker 3: He was there, but afterwards my dad went up and

294
00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:07,280
Speaker 3: started talking to him and since you want to go out,

295
00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:11,080
Speaker 3: and had dinner afterwards, spoke all day and I go out.

296
00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:14,440
Speaker 3: So it's me and my father and Sid Gilman and

297
00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:18,400
Speaker 3: the diagramming plays and talking football at.

298
00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:19,640
Speaker 2: Ten thirty eleven o'clock at night.

299
00:16:20,560 --> 00:16:23,520
Speaker 3: And that's what first got me into, you know, the

300
00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:27,320
Speaker 3: x's and o's of the game and understanding used to

301
00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:31,400
Speaker 3: be back in the day. I could tell a cornerback

302
00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:33,360
Speaker 3: if it was man demand, you know, if you lined

303
00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:34,560
Speaker 3: up on the inside shoulder.

304
00:16:34,560 --> 00:16:37,520
Speaker 2: A lot of times it was that simple. It wasn't

305
00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:43,000
Speaker 2: in some blitz of shit. And ended up my dad

306
00:16:43,080 --> 00:16:47,960
Speaker 2: was a better and he you know, he studied it

307
00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:50,160
Speaker 2: and we usually did well.

308
00:16:50,600 --> 00:16:52,680
Speaker 3: I think there was one year, after two three weeks

309
00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:53,880
Speaker 3: he lost and that was it for the.

310
00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:54,440
Speaker 2: Rest of the year.

311
00:16:55,200 --> 00:17:00,120
Speaker 3: Very very conservative at Dennis, you know, and then then

312
00:17:00,400 --> 00:17:04,240
Speaker 3: went to college, played high school college football school called

313
00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:05,320
Speaker 3: south West Texas State.

314
00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:07,679
Speaker 2: We won the SCS championship in eighty one when I

315
00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:09,120
Speaker 2: was there and.

316
00:17:08,960 --> 00:17:12,800
Speaker 3: Then was managing leads and shopping centers and had two

317
00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:16,600
Speaker 3: went back for a wedding, had two gentlemen who were

318
00:17:16,600 --> 00:17:18,840
Speaker 3: atturning brothers in mine at University of Texas where I

319
00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:21,359
Speaker 3: transferred to, and they wanted me to come on and

320
00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:23,679
Speaker 3: break down and talk about the games.

321
00:17:24,080 --> 00:17:26,520
Speaker 2: Said okay, and I gave out two picks.

322
00:17:26,560 --> 00:17:29,760
Speaker 3: You know, the woman's in US, two women's in Saint Louis,

323
00:17:29,800 --> 00:17:34,400
Speaker 3: and then well, I think I went four to one

324
00:17:34,400 --> 00:17:35,920
Speaker 3: on one show five and on the other.

325
00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:39,119
Speaker 2: And they're like, people, you don't need to get in

326
00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:40,639
Speaker 2: touch with it. They want to sign up for or

327
00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:43,240
Speaker 2: picks and didn't have another. They're like, well you got

328
00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:45,720
Speaker 2: to get them and did.

329
00:17:45,560 --> 00:17:49,360
Speaker 3: It on a trial basis the first year, and well,

330
00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:53,119
Speaker 3: I'll still work. And then in the off season I decided,

331
00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:54,760
Speaker 3: you know what, are gonna give the shopping ons come

332
00:17:54,800 --> 00:17:56,160
Speaker 3: back to this, and.

333
00:17:56,160 --> 00:18:00,000
Speaker 2: I sent up twelve cassette tapes in nineteen.

334
00:18:01,119 --> 00:18:06,920
Speaker 3: Ninety three, Wow, twelve case that takes ten of the twelve.

335
00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:10,400
Speaker 2: The different radio stations decided to take my show and

336
00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:12,200
Speaker 2: that was it was off.

337
00:18:13,480 --> 00:18:17,640
Speaker 1: How much did your connection with me to the brick?

338
00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:20,640
Speaker 1: And how did you find your way to meet him?

339
00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:24,000
Speaker 1: Because I think the best majority of people across the country,

340
00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:26,040
Speaker 1: at least I think that's where I heard you for

341
00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:27,920
Speaker 1: the first time. I'm not sure exactly what the first

342
00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:29,480
Speaker 1: time I heard you where I reached out you back

343
00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:31,840
Speaker 1: in two thousand to start coming on my radio show.

344
00:18:31,840 --> 00:18:35,640
Speaker 1: But when did you first find that connection? And how

345
00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:37,959
Speaker 1: big was that for you to grow, you know, as

346
00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:39,040
Speaker 1: a voice in the industry.

347
00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:42,080
Speaker 2: Okay, I don't know. I did not know JT.

348
00:18:42,400 --> 00:18:47,880
Speaker 3: And I remember how we first Oh you know what

349
00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:51,440
Speaker 3: I think I do remember that it was Tom Lead,

350
00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:53,840
Speaker 3: the program director of.

351
00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:58,880
Speaker 2: Fox Radio. He was the first program director.

352
00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:02,879
Speaker 3: He'd done a show in Seattle kJ R, and he

353
00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:07,200
Speaker 3: went there and we were talking about you know where

354
00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:09,080
Speaker 3: he think I did a good fit and he thought

355
00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:13,399
Speaker 3: JT and introduced me with JZ And twenty years later,

356
00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:15,840
Speaker 3: twenty one years later, I've still went on with JTS.

357
00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:16,080
Speaker 2: Brec.

358
00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:20,680
Speaker 1: Do you think you've done more radio interviews than any

359
00:19:20,760 --> 00:19:24,359
Speaker 1: other person in the sports gambling sector from an expert

360
00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:27,880
Speaker 1: in a perspective, because now this is twenty plus years here, right,

361
00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:30,520
Speaker 1: every show in America's got somebody on now, but you're

362
00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:34,520
Speaker 1: one of g's here I think to be on. That's

363
00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:38,000
Speaker 1: very true. Yes, you maintained that, right, that's a very

364
00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:40,440
Speaker 1: big feather for you, I think.

365
00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:45,120
Speaker 3: So I probably what Richie's the first come ten twelve years,

366
00:19:45,160 --> 00:19:47,240
Speaker 3: I've been twenty twenty five shows, and then I will

367
00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:50,879
Speaker 3: get calls and there's some shows that being I mean,

368
00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:52,600
Speaker 3: I do that well on don't get a whole lot

369
00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:55,320
Speaker 3: of clients, but I just have a work with a

370
00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:58,040
Speaker 3: host and it's like we're having a conversation and then

371
00:19:59,760 --> 00:20:03,680
Speaker 3: just grow. And now between forty five and fifty shows.

372
00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:09,879
Speaker 3: I start on Thursday morning and I go into Saturday right.

373
00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:15,119
Speaker 2: Before kickoffs Saturday football. So it's uh, it's it's it's

374
00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:16,880
Speaker 2: been a wild journey.

375
00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:21,040
Speaker 1: For love in terms of your your own personal betting

376
00:20:21,080 --> 00:20:24,639
Speaker 1: and how you have changed over the years. What has

377
00:20:24,680 --> 00:20:28,240
Speaker 1: it been like to see so much of the legalization

378
00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:32,240
Speaker 1: come through and and the different companies come on board.

379
00:20:32,280 --> 00:20:34,160
Speaker 1: Where you know in two thousand, when you and.

380
00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:46,320
Speaker 4: I start talking for folks, your own just interchange.

381
00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:47,920
Speaker 2: Well at first you did.

382
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:49,800
Speaker 3: I think Cambers didn't know that they were going to

383
00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:55,600
Speaker 3: get paid, and so almost everyone build the locals then

384
00:20:56,560 --> 00:21:00,080
Speaker 3: mainstream and it got out through the internet once in

385
00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:04,520
Speaker 3: that really took hold and people could check and go

386
00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:07,600
Speaker 3: online and see what the rating is on this company,

387
00:21:07,640 --> 00:21:13,080
Speaker 3: and then different websites like VRX, dot com, what else,

388
00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:18,120
Speaker 3: eog Major Wager just to some of the name.

389
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:22,159
Speaker 2: A few people would look up these these companies and

390
00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:24,639
Speaker 2: see if they paid. And you know what, there was

391
00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:25,439
Speaker 2: someone went out.

392
00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:29,720
Speaker 3: Of business and people you know, figured out whoere the

393
00:21:29,760 --> 00:21:30,480
Speaker 3: good wines were.

394
00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:33,960
Speaker 2: And then now we've got you know, twenty some.

395
00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:39,520
Speaker 3: Odd states that have legalized. The difference though in the

396
00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:46,840
Speaker 3: legalized states like Mississippi, it's legalized, but they don't have

397
00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:50,120
Speaker 3: the Act. And if you don't have the Act, you're

398
00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 3: you're gonna do no numbers at all. Yeah, Jersey has

399
00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:54,320
Speaker 3: the app. You got to go down and you've got

400
00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:59,080
Speaker 3: to register online. But once you register, i mean New Jersey,

401
00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:06,600
Speaker 3: some once their number are better than than than the.

402
00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:02,159
Speaker 1: Bout and.

403
00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:05,879
Speaker 2: They're doing a pretty good job with it. And I

404
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:08,679
Speaker 2: think eventually, I mean the states that we did not

405
00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:10,000
Speaker 2: think Utah has never.

406
00:22:09,920 --> 00:22:15,879
Speaker 3: Coming in looks like but lates like Washington, California probably

407
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:20,320
Speaker 3: a year, maybe a year or two away. Florida, which

408
00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:24,080
Speaker 3: everyone fought no way, they're getting close. They're probably a

409
00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:27,320
Speaker 3: year or two away. I think for probably two years,

410
00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:27,800
Speaker 3: not this.

411
00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:32,280
Speaker 5: Football season, I would say two years from this football season,

412
00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:35,760
Speaker 5: I would guess that forty four forty five states will

413
00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:38,520
Speaker 5: be legal and probably thirty five to forty will have

414
00:22:38,560 --> 00:22:41,439
Speaker 5: a mobile lap and the where we go?

415
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:45,280
Speaker 1: Lee, You're one of the guys who really has done,

416
00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:48,920
Speaker 1: I think, an incredible job with the handicapping of college football.

417
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:51,080
Speaker 1: And you mentioned you played college football in the NFL.

418
00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:53,560
Speaker 1: The lines are so sharp you can also find angles.

419
00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:57,280
Speaker 1: You know, with the lower level FBS tide programs are

420
00:22:57,359 --> 00:22:59,879
Speaker 1: not Power five you know, MATC action on a Tuesday

421
00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:02,480
Speaker 1: night or whatnot. Given the fact that we are down

422
00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:05,800
Speaker 1: to three power conferences playing this coming fall, and there's

423
00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:07,520
Speaker 1: a question that whatnot, they're going to play it all

424
00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:10,760
Speaker 1: for you, what's this college football prep year been like

425
00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:11,359
Speaker 1: for the fiment?

426
00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:13,320
Speaker 2: Well, I think I'm going to do real well.

427
00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:16,359
Speaker 3: And now one aspect has been taken away from me.

428
00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:18,639
Speaker 3: I used to go to spring games and I used

429
00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:20,000
Speaker 3: to be able to get an edge and watch all

430
00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:23,520
Speaker 3: these stapes and great every player in a spring game

431
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:24,600
Speaker 3: and really.

432
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:27,879
Speaker 2: Scour the internet. But so that is for me.

433
00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:30,359
Speaker 3: But what I'm going to do, and what I'm doing

434
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:35,200
Speaker 3: this year is I've watched tape. Now there's I think

435
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:39,240
Speaker 3: seventy six teams playing, and we're looking at watch tape

436
00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:44,320
Speaker 3: on forty four of a seventy six Any junior college

437
00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:48,040
Speaker 3: player that has projected to start at quarterback, mind back,

438
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:51,720
Speaker 3: and receiver, I've watched the game tape on at least one,

439
00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:53,200
Speaker 3: maybe two or three games.

440
00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:57,320
Speaker 2: So the average person, even the sportsbook.

441
00:23:56,840 --> 00:23:58,400
Speaker 3: Director, is not going to have time to do something

442
00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:01,320
Speaker 3: like that, and especially early a.

443
00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:01,879
Speaker 2: Lot of people.

444
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:05,560
Speaker 3: We're only gonna have ten eleven weeks for most team football.

445
00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:07,760
Speaker 2: So I'm going to hit the ground and running. Let

446
00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:08,640
Speaker 2: me give you an example.

447
00:24:08,760 --> 00:24:11,280
Speaker 3: So there's a game the first week I think it's

448
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:14,320
Speaker 3: the September fourth through sixth week, and there's five games

449
00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:18,760
Speaker 3: or sixteen. So one of the games is SMU against

450
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:19,720
Speaker 3: Texas Ctate.

451
00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:23,560
Speaker 2: My old Amamano used to be tough of Sexas State played.

452
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:28,080
Speaker 3: Last year in SNU with Chaine Bouchelle new quarterback.

453
00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:31,840
Speaker 2: They they were I think lane seventeen to have eighteen points.

454
00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:34,160
Speaker 2: They went forty seven to seventeen. East.

455
00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:40,160
Speaker 3: Now some people will look at it the line, they'll think, okay,

456
00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:44,159
Speaker 3: they're won by thirty. That SNU it's probably going to

457
00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:46,679
Speaker 3: be a sixteen seventeen point line. Line hasn't come out

458
00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:50,200
Speaker 3: of yet, but I'm already projecting the lines and I

459
00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:51,800
Speaker 3: think it's gonna be in that range.

460
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:57,000
Speaker 2: So here's a couple angles why I like SMU. So

461
00:24:57,600 --> 00:24:59,520
Speaker 2: Texas has one.

462
00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:04,720
Speaker 3: Other two point back's coming back. I rated them nine

463
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:06,919
Speaker 3: their quarterbacks out of one hundred and thirty.

464
00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:07,440
Speaker 2: Team last year.

465
00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:09,359
Speaker 1: Whoa I think coming back?

466
00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:15,760
Speaker 3: Eleven touchdowns, eighteen interceptions, the kid who is a transfer

467
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:18,360
Speaker 3: trying to beat him out. Looks like they're running neck

468
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:23,520
Speaker 3: and neck. The guy was awful. The starter, he ain't better.

469
00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:26,639
Speaker 3: They running real trouble and this guy has no warm

470
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:28,840
Speaker 3: He had trouble reading defenses.

471
00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:31,040
Speaker 2: And I'm talking about linebackers in the middle of the field.

472
00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:36,639
Speaker 2: SMU is probably gonna play with the league now. It

473
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:38,080
Speaker 2: would be a little different offense.

474
00:25:38,119 --> 00:25:42,880
Speaker 3: They had the kid kid running back last year, Zandier Jones.

475
00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:47,720
Speaker 3: Kid gained twelve hundred and seventy six yards. They lose him,

476
00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:50,760
Speaker 3: but they have Reggie robertson back.

477
00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:51,359
Speaker 2: He missed.

478
00:25:51,440 --> 00:25:54,320
Speaker 3: I think after week eight he was gone. But I'm

479
00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:58,640
Speaker 3: watching take for this kid. They got named Danny grig six.

480
00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:01,760
Speaker 3: Kid played a picket.

481
00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:05,359
Speaker 2: I mean blend junior college watch shelf games on this kid.

482
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:11,480
Speaker 2: This kid is I mean sprinter speed, good hands, moves.

483
00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:15,120
Speaker 2: He's gonna be better, I think than Robertson.

484
00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:17,159
Speaker 3: So they've got two guys plus the tight end that

485
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:23,640
Speaker 3: caught you know, like forty to fifty balls, so they're

486
00:26:23,640 --> 00:26:25,280
Speaker 3: gonna throw a ball be a little bit different.

487
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:28,159
Speaker 2: So they're gonna be playing with probably the lead that

488
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:30,720
Speaker 2: Texas State. Texas State is probably only gonna have it

489
00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:31,320
Speaker 2: the whole.

490
00:26:31,080 --> 00:26:35,120
Speaker 3: Thirty thousand, maybe six seven thousand fans at the game.

491
00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:38,320
Speaker 2: And they're gonna have to throw.

492
00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:41,040
Speaker 3: They're gonna have to play from behind, and Texas State

493
00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:45,520
Speaker 3: can't throw the football, and it's just a great match up.

494
00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:48,800
Speaker 2: Texas State doesn't get after the quarterback. Yeah, I think

495
00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:51,240
Speaker 2: they had like twelve to fifteen sacks.

496
00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:55,639
Speaker 3: Sna Use offensive lineman allowed seventeen sacks.

497
00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:58,480
Speaker 2: And here's the clincher.

498
00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:04,400
Speaker 3: Seventy is off getting destroyed in their bowl game against

499
00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:08,480
Speaker 3: FAU And yeah, they had some injuries in the game,

500
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:09,520
Speaker 3: but everything went wrong.

501
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:12,720
Speaker 2: I like teams coming off getting destroying bowl games, but

502
00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:16,600
Speaker 2: are good teams. And then they also got two defensive linemen.

503
00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:20,080
Speaker 2: I transfer from Stanford, so I.

504
00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:22,600
Speaker 3: Think I gonna return six on defense. Defense wasn't very good.

505
00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:25,680
Speaker 3: Offense average forty one point, defense gave up thirty three.

506
00:27:26,320 --> 00:27:29,240
Speaker 3: But defensive line south of Rhine and get after the quarterback.

507
00:27:29,240 --> 00:27:31,359
Speaker 3: I think get a kid that had almost thirty starts

508
00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:36,200
Speaker 3: transfer from Stanford. I don't know why transfer. This wasn't

509
00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:39,000
Speaker 3: the last week or so. And then at a junior

510
00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:42,600
Speaker 3: college kid won the top twenty to junior college players

511
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:43,320
Speaker 3: defensive line.

512
00:27:43,560 --> 00:27:46,560
Speaker 2: So great matchup. A lot of factors going.

513
00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:50,040
Speaker 3: If the lines are under seventeen points, I'll play it

514
00:27:50,600 --> 00:27:51,200
Speaker 3: real strong.

515
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,120
Speaker 2: Above them, it will still be a play if it's

516
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:53,720
Speaker 2: under twenty.

517
00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:58,800
Speaker 1: So when you look at the ACC and the SEC

518
00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:03,119
Speaker 1: and some of the these big rivalry games, what do

519
00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:04,760
Speaker 1: you do with fans or no fans?

520
00:28:04,760 --> 00:28:05,640
Speaker 2: I mean, college.

521
00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:08,760
Speaker 1: Football is so much about pageantry and the whole advantage.

522
00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:10,600
Speaker 1: I mean, how how is that going to affect it

523
00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:12,760
Speaker 1: in when it's these are eighteen year old, nine year

524
00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:13,600
Speaker 1: old kids playing.

525
00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:18,080
Speaker 3: It's it's gonna be a little bit like the bubble.

526
00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:20,800
Speaker 3: The first couple of weeks were crazy. We have been

527
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:22,840
Speaker 3: trying to trying to figure that out. I mean there

528
00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:25,000
Speaker 3: was who would think the phoenix would go on the

529
00:28:25,040 --> 00:28:28,480
Speaker 3: feet right, So it's not a home game, it's not

530
00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:29,400
Speaker 3: a rogue game.

531
00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:32,119
Speaker 2: It's something different. I think you got a look at

532
00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:32,960
Speaker 2: coaching staffs.

533
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:36,240
Speaker 3: I think teams that maybe there's a couple of teams

534
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:41,240
Speaker 3: that have eleven twelve spring practices. That's an advantage, quarterbacks,

535
00:28:41,320 --> 00:28:44,920
Speaker 3: coming back systems, offensive coordinators.

536
00:28:45,520 --> 00:28:48,640
Speaker 2: You're putting if you didn't have a spring practice practice.

537
00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:50,880
Speaker 3: At all, and you've got a new quarter back, you've

538
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:53,080
Speaker 3: got a new offensive or game, a new head coach.

539
00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:56,640
Speaker 2: You're a trump first couple of weeks. So those are

540
00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:59,600
Speaker 2: some of the things I think will be magnified more

541
00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:04,920
Speaker 2: than rule. And then you're gonna look at the situational thing.

542
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:08,000
Speaker 3: You know, there was some people are like, oh, you

543
00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:10,160
Speaker 3: know Nick saving, he must be tough to figure out

544
00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:10,920
Speaker 3: Nick sings.

545
00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:13,520
Speaker 2: With the Easts when he I loved it when he

546
00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:15,280
Speaker 2: played like the Louisiana Monros.

547
00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:18,000
Speaker 3: There might be a head coach of Louisian Monroe, but

548
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:22,200
Speaker 3: was on his set and he's playing Auburn the week after.

549
00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:24,720
Speaker 2: I think he cares about the score, absolutely not.

550
00:29:25,560 --> 00:29:29,320
Speaker 3: The record is horrible in record games like that, so

551
00:29:29,560 --> 00:29:32,640
Speaker 3: you can jump on most years and you might be

552
00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:36,400
Speaker 3: able to even the first game. Let's say Alabama is

553
00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:39,600
Speaker 3: a tough second game, because they might be a thirty

554
00:29:39,640 --> 00:29:41,640
Speaker 3: five point favorite and he's probably gonna win the game

555
00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:42,360
Speaker 3: thirty one three.

556
00:29:43,560 --> 00:29:46,480
Speaker 1: What do you make of if you see Clemson in

557
00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:49,800
Speaker 1: the ACC? I mean, it's just a runaway again for them,

558
00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:53,120
Speaker 1: and it's gonna be Clemson back into time before if

559
00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:57,160
Speaker 1: we have a championship. Anybody in that conference do you

560
00:29:57,240 --> 00:29:59,080
Speaker 1: see as a legitimate contender to Clemson.

561
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:01,959
Speaker 3: I think line is better, but I think there may

562
00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:04,800
Speaker 3: be a little overhyped. You know, everything went right and

563
00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:08,080
Speaker 3: they're recruited and they got a quarterback. Two most important

564
00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:10,680
Speaker 3: positions to be a quarterback because they control the ball

565
00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:14,000
Speaker 3: every playing offense, and believe it or not, not less

566
00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:19,280
Speaker 3: tackle because it's defensive tackle live because they stopped to run.

567
00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:22,240
Speaker 3: You have to get the pressure up the middle. In

568
00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:26,040
Speaker 3: the pocket, you find offensive ends. Russian passer of college

569
00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:28,880
Speaker 3: football kids. You know, outside linebackers, there's a bunch of

570
00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:32,200
Speaker 3: kids that are six two two twenty five six five

571
00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:35,160
Speaker 3: two forty. But if you can find two guys, they

572
00:30:35,240 --> 00:30:38,640
Speaker 3: can stop the run and get after the quarterback. Why

573
00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:42,640
Speaker 3: was Mini so great in the eighties, nineties, early two thousands.

574
00:30:43,440 --> 00:30:46,040
Speaker 3: Look at those guys that play, you know, Russell Maryland,

575
00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:48,520
Speaker 3: you know, the list goes on and on. They had

576
00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:50,960
Speaker 3: eight or ten guys play in the NFL for a

577
00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:53,800
Speaker 3: dozen years or long. They don't have anyone now, So

578
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:56,480
Speaker 3: a lot of people don't look at that. Clemson is

579
00:30:56,560 --> 00:31:00,560
Speaker 3: clearly number one. North Carolina's doing better, but they were

580
00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:02,080
Speaker 3: the hunter last year.

581
00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:03,480
Speaker 2: This year they'll be the hunter.

582
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:09,800
Speaker 3: They'll be hunted sec Everyone you know is talking about

583
00:31:10,280 --> 00:31:14,680
Speaker 3: obviously Alabama again coming back, but I think Texas A

584
00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 3: and M might might be the surprise team. Return a

585
00:31:18,360 --> 00:31:22,600
Speaker 3: stars on offense, eight on defense. Jimbo year three, they

586
00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:24,520
Speaker 3: had a couple of injuries. They had a great tight end,

587
00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:26,640
Speaker 3: it was injured in fall camp, a couple other guys.

588
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:30,000
Speaker 3: The running game, they had a couple of injuries at

589
00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:33,720
Speaker 3: running back. Guy ended up getting hurt middle of the season,

590
00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:35,560
Speaker 3: so they couldn't develop the running game.

591
00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:38,320
Speaker 2: Look what he did at Florida State year three, national title.

592
00:31:39,040 --> 00:31:43,880
Speaker 3: So you're looking for a surprise team, that's that's that's

593
00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:45,160
Speaker 3: the surprise team.

594
00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 2: I think there. I think that Florida also getting better

595
00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:49,920
Speaker 2: and better recruiting real.

596
00:31:49,840 --> 00:31:53,840
Speaker 1: Well, yeah, and then think it's scoring points, defense and points.

597
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:58,160
Speaker 1: But what about the Big Twelve here and the fact

598
00:31:58,200 --> 00:32:02,400
Speaker 1: that you've got pumping out pro quarterbacks like crazy in

599
00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:05,600
Speaker 1: Oklahoma and and just you know their their leg up

600
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:07,800
Speaker 1: that they may have on the Big Twelve conference because

601
00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:08,560
Speaker 1: of their connunity.

602
00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:14,040
Speaker 2: I don't love you know, everyone's talking about you know,

603
00:32:14,280 --> 00:32:15,920
Speaker 2: it looks like a special round. It might be the

604
00:32:15,960 --> 00:32:20,120
Speaker 2: start a lot of promise. But I think he's got

605
00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:23,040
Speaker 2: kinson headed. I don't think he's all there.

606
00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:29,080
Speaker 3: And they just had great circumstance of finding transfer quarterbacks

607
00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:31,560
Speaker 3: that were incredible good.

608
00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:36,120
Speaker 2: Quarterback coach, I don't think he's the guy. If Texas

609
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:40,320
Speaker 2: could have a shot there, team I life is Iowa

610
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 2: State is in Oklahoma State.

611
00:32:43,720 --> 00:32:45,640
Speaker 3: I mean, if Oklahoma State could have played defense in

612
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:47,600
Speaker 3: the last ten years, they might have won two or

613
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:50,680
Speaker 3: three championships. But I always say, you have a really

614
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:53,320
Speaker 3: good head coach in Campbell turning quarterback.

615
00:32:53,320 --> 00:32:54,560
Speaker 2: I think Rock Party is going to go in the

616
00:32:54,600 --> 00:32:59,520
Speaker 2: top two rounds NFL drafts. Wow, Yeah, he's he's I mean.

617
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:03,200
Speaker 3: If he keeps developing, Uh, they put the weapons around

618
00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:06,200
Speaker 3: him and then maybe even Texas Tech. Texas Tech as

619
00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:11,480
Speaker 3: a team that I hol was injured last year. Second year,

620
00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:14,320
Speaker 3: they might put things together. They actually play a little

621
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:18,840
Speaker 3: bit of defense out in Texas Tech, whereas in Kingsberry's.

622
00:33:18,280 --> 00:33:21,560
Speaker 2: There you know, uh, you know, it's lay. They let

623
00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:24,320
Speaker 2: everyone just score so they can get the ball back.

624
00:33:25,280 --> 00:33:28,760
Speaker 3: So I would say that Texas Tech might be surprised

625
00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:31,200
Speaker 3: as there something's going wrong at UH.

626
00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:35,040
Speaker 2: At TCU, you know, the quarterback Dugan may not be

627
00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:35,680
Speaker 2: able to play.

628
00:33:36,240 --> 00:33:39,600
Speaker 3: They're not getting their recruits they got in the pass,

629
00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:43,640
Speaker 3: So TCU might might be in the middle of the packer.

630
00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:45,719
Speaker 1: Best All right, Lee, what we like to do here

631
00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:47,760
Speaker 1: at the podcast at the end, and we like to

632
00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:51,000
Speaker 1: talk about betty strategies and tips for people who like you,

633
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:53,920
Speaker 1: in the betting world for the first time or just

634
00:33:54,040 --> 00:33:56,880
Speaker 1: relatively new into it. So with college football this year,

635
00:33:57,000 --> 00:33:59,600
Speaker 1: what's your recommendation as to how to bet on college

636
00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:01,760
Speaker 1: football given where we are with all the uncertainty.

637
00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:05,240
Speaker 2: Okay, so the King college football. Never buy points. College

638
00:34:05,720 --> 00:34:11,120
Speaker 2: points are cheap. Teams go for two and miss more

639
00:34:11,239 --> 00:34:14,759
Speaker 2: extra points. Don't buy, don't ever buy a point in

640
00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:18,040
Speaker 2: college able. I think I've done it maybe once, and

641
00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:21,000
Speaker 2: college is completely different.

642
00:34:20,680 --> 00:34:23,680
Speaker 3: From the NFL. You have to separate that mindset. In

643
00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:25,840
Speaker 3: the NFL, we see a last four is you know,

644
00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:28,759
Speaker 3: twenty fourteen one. You can buy a half a point

645
00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:29,919
Speaker 3: on or off the number three.

646
00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:36,120
Speaker 2: But look for solid coaching, sash Nick Staban's not going

647
00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:38,720
Speaker 2: three to eight against the spread.

648
00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:39,520
Speaker 3: It's not going to happen.

649
00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:41,600
Speaker 2: Look for.

650
00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:46,600
Speaker 3: Coordinators and quarterbacks, especially early in the season, that have

651
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:49,400
Speaker 3: worked together, and don't just base your decisions on the

652
00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:52,600
Speaker 3: first game. Most improve them from the first to the

653
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:54,719
Speaker 3: second game. And you'll see a bunch of teams are

654
00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:57,439
Speaker 3: playing first games and then they have a week off

655
00:34:57,560 --> 00:34:59,120
Speaker 3: except for the SEC.

656
00:35:00,520 --> 00:35:02,400
Speaker 2: So we'll play that game and they'll go back to

657
00:35:02,520 --> 00:35:04,560
Speaker 2: the drawing board, and that's where a team to get better.

658
00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:08,680
Speaker 3: People bet most of the time the first thing that

659
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:11,640
Speaker 3: they see and stays in their head almost the whole season.

660
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:14,719
Speaker 3: So you got to clear your head and look at

661
00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:18,320
Speaker 3: the individual matchup and then look at the situational matchup.

662
00:35:18,040 --> 00:35:22,759
Speaker 2: Like you know, Auburn could be you know, six and

663
00:35:22,920 --> 00:35:25,719
Speaker 2: four going into the Alabama on game in Alabama's ten

664
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:27,480
Speaker 2: and zero. It's rival every game.

665
00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:30,040
Speaker 3: You got to know the situation and you got to

666
00:35:30,120 --> 00:35:35,239
Speaker 3: know how that coach and how that offense does consistently.

667
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:35,919
Speaker 2: Against that defense, don't.

668
00:35:36,120 --> 00:35:39,080
Speaker 3: I don't like to play first on first year coaches,

669
00:35:39,160 --> 00:35:42,480
Speaker 3: first year coaches, or just you play on first year coaches,

670
00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:44,480
Speaker 3: you bet on them, you're probably going to the pourhouse.

671
00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:48,200
Speaker 2: So I'd rather I see a game early in the

672
00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:49,560
Speaker 2: year two first year coaches.

673
00:35:49,600 --> 00:35:51,160
Speaker 3: A lot of times I don't see anything right off

674
00:35:51,200 --> 00:35:53,960
Speaker 3: the bat where I do my power range for four

675
00:35:53,960 --> 00:35:56,799
Speaker 3: the year sultans, not three or more points off.

676
00:35:57,160 --> 00:35:58,279
Speaker 2: I just passed into one.

677
00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:03,560
Speaker 1: The college football season, I'm curious how the book maker

678
00:36:03,600 --> 00:36:05,719
Speaker 1: they're going to be able to because it is not

679
00:36:06,239 --> 00:36:08,400
Speaker 1: you know, the whole board. Every game they have to

680
00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:11,000
Speaker 1: hang a number. Well, there's gonna be fewer games this

681
00:36:11,160 --> 00:36:12,359
Speaker 1: year than in years past.

682
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:15,800
Speaker 2: Quick, I'm waiting. I mean, we haven't seen there's no

683
00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:18,279
Speaker 2: lines yet right find that full week one.

684
00:36:19,560 --> 00:36:19,680
Speaker 3: Uh.

685
00:36:20,239 --> 00:36:24,800
Speaker 2: I think that they're going to be cautious and I

686
00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:26,800
Speaker 2: think they're going to go with traditional teams.

687
00:36:26,840 --> 00:36:29,719
Speaker 3: I think, you know, if you just want to bet

688
00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:33,040
Speaker 3: the Oklahomas, like I said, I don't think the score

689
00:36:33,080 --> 00:36:35,839
Speaker 3: needs to be that good, and you know, we'll look

690
00:36:35,840 --> 00:36:38,360
Speaker 3: at what they're doing and and who they're playing.

691
00:36:38,440 --> 00:36:42,040
Speaker 2: If they play you know someone and they're they're on

692
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:42,600
Speaker 2: the road.

693
00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:46,160
Speaker 3: Uh, first year quarterbacks struns the rapid fi's a quarterback

694
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:48,440
Speaker 3: and that first road game, that's that's.

695
00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:51,560
Speaker 2: Probably a good opportunity maybe to go against it and

696
00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:56,040
Speaker 2: establish team. So they're going to hang numbers. They want teams.

697
00:36:56,200 --> 00:36:59,480
Speaker 2: They want you to bet on teams you're familiar with and.

698
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:05,120
Speaker 3: Teams that are popular, you know, and the Oklahomas, the Alabama's,

699
00:37:05,200 --> 00:37:07,880
Speaker 3: the LSUS, Georgia's, Florida's.

700
00:37:09,880 --> 00:37:11,520
Speaker 2: If Florida plays Ole.

701
00:37:11,440 --> 00:37:17,680
Speaker 3: Miss and the line is seventeen, and they're gonna get

702
00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:20,560
Speaker 3: seventy five to eighty percent the action they know on

703
00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:24,120
Speaker 3: Florida consistently. So they're got to figure out what's that number?

704
00:37:24,560 --> 00:37:26,279
Speaker 3: What number can they get to where they can get

705
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:27,799
Speaker 3: some action on Ole Miss?

706
00:37:29,000 --> 00:37:32,720
Speaker 1: So does that benefit early dog? Take the dogs early

707
00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:34,040
Speaker 1: and we've won about the rash.

708
00:37:34,480 --> 00:37:38,160
Speaker 3: Well, actually want maybe early dogs, but in some in

709
00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:42,360
Speaker 3: some cases, but a lot of times dogs. Like I

710
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:46,360
Speaker 3: put out my recommendations, my wagers to my clients in

711
00:37:46,480 --> 00:37:48,160
Speaker 3: the morning on Saturday.

712
00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:51,400
Speaker 2: Mornings, sometimes I just can't play a game because the

713
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:52,200
Speaker 2: line is no good.

714
00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:55,800
Speaker 3: There are some lines on three to five minutes before

715
00:37:55,800 --> 00:37:59,360
Speaker 3: the game starts. Let's say Ole Miss is playing Florida

716
00:37:59,600 --> 00:38:04,040
Speaker 3: and whole miss. But you know, the line set at sixteen,

717
00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:07,480
Speaker 3: sixteen and a half, sometimes three five minutes, four game times,

718
00:38:07,520 --> 00:38:11,000
Speaker 3: it goes up to seventeen, seventeen and a half, eighteen points,

719
00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:11,880
Speaker 3: and that's.

720
00:38:11,719 --> 00:38:12,800
Speaker 2: Where I hit it. I can't get it to my

721
00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:15,680
Speaker 2: clients because I can't get it from quick enough. But

722
00:38:16,840 --> 00:38:19,320
Speaker 2: sometimes you don't see a good line what I do.

723
00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:23,319
Speaker 2: It's like pass there's always more games, there's always another day.

724
00:38:24,040 --> 00:38:25,560
Speaker 1: Yeah. That's a beautiful thing about what we have on

725
00:38:25,640 --> 00:38:27,279
Speaker 1: our side of the counter is we don't have to bet.

726
00:38:27,440 --> 00:38:29,000
Speaker 1: They got to hang numbers. We don't have to bet it.

727
00:38:29,200 --> 00:38:31,279
Speaker 1: We don't want to hang it or bet the numbers

728
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:34,000
Speaker 1: that they've hung. In terms of future wagers though with

729
00:38:34,080 --> 00:38:35,839
Speaker 1: win totals, but I know we haven't seen a lot

730
00:38:35,880 --> 00:38:37,640
Speaker 1: of here. We're still waiting for the books to come out.

731
00:38:38,040 --> 00:38:40,040
Speaker 1: Are you going to get involved in all in that market?

732
00:38:40,120 --> 00:38:42,520
Speaker 1: And do you recommend folks you know doing win totals?

733
00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:44,880
Speaker 3: Well, maybe a little bit in the NFL, you know

734
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:47,279
Speaker 3: the NFL, I mean going probably the NFL. As you

735
00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:49,960
Speaker 3: could have a team get fifteen or twenty players, get

736
00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:52,879
Speaker 3: sit for a quarterback, Yeah, and you're done.

737
00:38:53,400 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 1: And so I.

738
00:38:55,000 --> 00:38:57,600
Speaker 3: Probably played the less song for futures and I have

739
00:38:57,760 --> 00:38:59,600
Speaker 3: ever a win totals in the NFL.

740
00:39:00,239 --> 00:39:02,319
Speaker 2: But there's some games like I like in Week one,

741
00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:04,719
Speaker 2: I think there's a couple of undervalue teams. Let me

742
00:39:05,000 --> 00:39:08,240
Speaker 2: give you an example. Detroit Lions not gonna be great,

743
00:39:08,640 --> 00:39:10,239
Speaker 2: but I don't tag was any good at all.

744
00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:14,040
Speaker 3: And Detroit Towy starts off four and three, four and two,

745
00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:18,160
Speaker 3: and then they'll lose the things. Old Stafford was injured

746
00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:22,160
Speaker 3: late last year, and they had a group of bum quarterbacks.

747
00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:23,800
Speaker 2: I mean they couldn't get the ball receives.

748
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:27,359
Speaker 3: They don't have a Julio Jones, but they got two

749
00:39:27,400 --> 00:39:29,480
Speaker 3: receivers that are top twenty twenty five in the late

750
00:39:29,560 --> 00:39:33,879
Speaker 3: as far as power. So they have some good tight ends.

751
00:39:34,080 --> 00:39:36,600
Speaker 3: They now have two good running backs and Swift from

752
00:39:36,680 --> 00:39:42,120
Speaker 3: Georgia so and they got some really good Carver cornerbacks,

753
00:39:42,200 --> 00:39:44,600
Speaker 3: so they're gonna I think they're cut down on those

754
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:48,080
Speaker 3: big plays allowed. So they're like plus one and a

755
00:39:48,120 --> 00:39:51,360
Speaker 3: half at home against Chicago the first week. You know,

756
00:39:51,600 --> 00:39:55,919
Speaker 3: I think they might end up the favorite in that game.

757
00:39:56,080 --> 00:40:00,080
Speaker 2: So I got on early. Another one is Carolina in

758
00:40:00,760 --> 00:40:03,880
Speaker 2: Week one, Week one. Now why say that. I love

759
00:40:03,960 --> 00:40:04,520
Speaker 2: Joe Brady.

760
00:40:04,680 --> 00:40:06,160
Speaker 3: Think it's gonna be one of the best four Gators

761
00:40:06,200 --> 00:40:08,000
Speaker 3: we've ever seen great college football.

762
00:40:08,040 --> 00:40:08,600
Speaker 2: Look what he did?

763
00:40:08,920 --> 00:40:13,360
Speaker 3: They all shoot, they don't know the Raiders from going

764
00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:19,120
Speaker 3: across country. They've got a quarterback situation going there hitting Bridgewater.

765
00:40:19,880 --> 00:40:22,959
Speaker 2: Not gonna win a whole lot of games, I think.

766
00:40:22,960 --> 00:40:25,200
Speaker 3: Not a whole lot of talent, but the week the

767
00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:27,960
Speaker 3: biggest weakness is in the defensive secondary.

768
00:40:28,640 --> 00:40:30,120
Speaker 2: I don't know if the Raiders is gonna exploit that

769
00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:35,040
Speaker 2: Jakes a really good running back. But you like Alabama,

770
00:40:35,160 --> 00:40:36,080
Speaker 2: you know what Ruggs was.

771
00:40:36,719 --> 00:40:40,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, So the situation is they don't know what what

772
00:40:41,040 --> 00:40:43,400
Speaker 3: Brady's gonna employ the games.

773
00:40:43,840 --> 00:40:46,040
Speaker 2: So I don't think Caroline is gonna be good.

774
00:40:46,040 --> 00:40:48,040
Speaker 3: I don't think they'll win more than four games, but

775
00:40:48,120 --> 00:40:49,800
Speaker 3: I like them in Week one against Raiders.

776
00:40:50,560 --> 00:40:53,920
Speaker 1: Interesting, Yeah, very cool? All right? Lever, for folks that

777
00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:55,560
Speaker 1: want to find you, where can they find you? How

778
00:40:55,600 --> 00:40:56,279
Speaker 1: can they get in touch?

779
00:40:57,000 --> 00:40:59,120
Speaker 2: Website is Paramount sports dot Com.

780
00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:07,040
Speaker 3: Twitter, always on Twitter during these games and also talking

781
00:41:07,080 --> 00:41:11,120
Speaker 3: to the people who like to follow football and basketball

782
00:41:11,239 --> 00:41:14,360
Speaker 3: at Hermount Sports and want to speak to me personally.

783
00:41:14,520 --> 00:41:15,840
Speaker 2: Eight hundred, four hundred.

784
00:41:15,560 --> 00:41:19,520
Speaker 1: And nine seven, Lee, thank you, my friend, forcient your time. Okay,

785
00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:22,800
Speaker 1: thanks Matt, thank you for listening. My name is Matt Parolt.

786
00:41:22,840 --> 00:41:25,680
Speaker 1: You can always follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

787
00:41:25,760 --> 00:41:28,440
Speaker 1: We start a new week and we're getting ready to

788
00:41:28,520 --> 00:41:32,240
Speaker 1: launch a new NFL podcast, by the way, so that's

789
00:41:32,320 --> 00:41:34,440
Speaker 1: going to drop this week, so begin to look out

790
00:41:34,520 --> 00:41:37,600
Speaker 1: for that. The editor in chief himself, Dan Harris, and

791
00:41:37,680 --> 00:41:40,399
Speaker 1: I are going to be doing a fun podcast during

792
00:41:40,480 --> 00:41:42,560
Speaker 1: football season, and we've got some news to tell you

793
00:41:42,600 --> 00:41:45,080
Speaker 1: about as to what we're doing this football season. We're

794
00:41:45,120 --> 00:41:48,439
Speaker 1: in a football contest together, So really cool stuff coming

795
00:41:48,480 --> 00:41:51,080
Speaker 1: down the pike this week with Betting Pros as we

796
00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:54,360
Speaker 1: are rapidly approaching the start to the NFL season. On

797
00:41:54,520 --> 00:41:57,400
Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. My name is Matt Parolt.

798
00:41:57,600 --> 00:42:00,200
Speaker 1: We're back tomorrow for a Tuesday Morning for the Ale

799
00:42:00,320 --> 00:42:08,000
Speaker 1: Juice here off Betting Pros dot com. M m m hmm.