1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:04,320 Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:04,400 --> 00:00:06,720 Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey p Joe Pi Zapia, 3 00:00:06,800 --> 00:00:10,360 Speaker 1: and this is BP Live. It's me, It's Andrew Rickson. 4 00:00:10,440 --> 00:00:13,400 Speaker 1: We're talking about the super Bowl. We are here just 5 00:00:13,480 --> 00:00:16,959 Speaker 1: days away. Finally, we're not a radio row. We're just 6 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:20,160 Speaker 1: in our respective houses. So we are here hanging out 7 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:21,959 Speaker 1: talking a little super Bowl. We just did the Best 8 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:24,479 Speaker 1: Bets show that'll be up very soon. Make sure you 9 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:26,960 Speaker 1: go check that out. Subscribe to the channel, and of 10 00:00:27,000 --> 00:00:29,280 Speaker 1: course the podcast wherever you get your podcasts, and ring 11 00:00:29,280 --> 00:00:30,840 Speaker 1: the belt till it goes dating for notification so you 12 00:00:30,840 --> 00:00:33,479 Speaker 1: don't miss the live streams. We've got Sunday live streams 13 00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 1: for the super Bowl. We got everything, and if you 14 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:37,640 Speaker 1: missed yesterday's live stream, you can go back and watch 15 00:00:37,680 --> 00:00:39,720 Speaker 1: it on the YouTube channel. Matt Barlton, I had a 16 00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 1: very stirring conversation, and I assume I will have another 17 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 1: stirring conversation with the Undertaker himself Andrew Rickson in just 18 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:49,919 Speaker 1: a moment before we begin free stuff. Everybody in Nick 19 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:53,440 Speaker 1: Chubb Brown's helmet is not gonna give itself away, so 20 00:00:53,840 --> 00:00:56,280 Speaker 1: you better get it the winner of the Dak Prescott 21 00:00:56,400 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 1: helmet that's already done, so now we're giving away the 22 00:00:58,560 --> 00:01:00,639 Speaker 1: Nick Chubb one here. So if you want to get 23 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 1: involved in this, thanks to our friends at Pristine Auction 24 00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 1: and win the Nick Chubb Brown's helmet for free. All 25 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:06,760 Speaker 1: you need to do is head over to Bettingpros dot 26 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:09,640 Speaker 1: com slash contest, complete the format, either download the Betting 27 00:01:09,640 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 1: Pros app, leave a review of the Betting Pros podcast, 28 00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:14,319 Speaker 1: or subscribe to our social media channels at Betting Pros 29 00:01:14,480 --> 00:01:18,040 Speaker 1: on x and TikTok Betting Pros NFL on Instagram. The 30 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:20,560 Speaker 1: more actions you complete, the more entries you'll receive, and 31 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 1: we'll be announcing the winner right here on the channel. 32 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:24,319 Speaker 1: So make sure you turn on those notifications like I 33 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:26,399 Speaker 1: told you before, so you can be alerted when new 34 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:30,200 Speaker 1: episodes are up and you can claim your prize. Andrew Erickson, 35 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 1: here we go, baby, and thanks to everybody who's hanging 36 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:35,679 Speaker 1: out with us today. I see you all. We're happy 37 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:37,920 Speaker 1: to have you give us your questions if you got them. 38 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:43,319 Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson. The biggest enemy of good Super Bowl betting 39 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:46,200 Speaker 1: is time. I feel like the longer we wait for 40 00:01:46,240 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 1: the game, the more we have the paralysis by analysis, 41 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 1: the more we overthink, rethink, rethink again, it starts to 42 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 1: take its toll on all of us. So I have 43 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 1: done my best to not do any of that, avoid 44 00:01:58,480 --> 00:02:01,000 Speaker 1: the noise. I'm still on the chief I was on 45 00:02:01,080 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 1: the Chiefs on two Sunday nights ago. I'm still on 46 00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 1: the Chiefs right now. I've heard some interesting fun stats 47 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:10,800 Speaker 1: here and there. I think the Eagles are a more talented, younger, 48 00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 1: faster football team. I just don't think they've got the 49 00:02:13,880 --> 00:02:15,760 Speaker 1: coach in the quarterback that compares at the end of 50 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 1: the day, and that, my friends, along with execution, wins 51 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:23,600 Speaker 1: you Super Bowls. Andrew Erickson, you're a longtime fan of 52 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:26,280 Speaker 1: the New England Patriots. You know what dynasties are all about. 53 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:30,240 Speaker 1: You think the Chiefs dynasty continues on on Sunday night. 54 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 2: I do, because I think that the public is sick 55 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:36,080 Speaker 2: of the Chiefs. Chiefs fatigue. 56 00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 3: We want anything but the Chiefs. 57 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:40,640 Speaker 2: They even asked Travis Kelsey, I think somebody asked him 58 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 2: at Radio Row. They said, if you could ask the 59 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:45,959 Speaker 2: media question, what would you ask? And he said, oh, well, 60 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:48,720 Speaker 2: why are you guys getting us on the refs? Like, 61 00:02:48,760 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 2: why is this coming on to us? So I think 62 00:02:51,520 --> 00:02:53,960 Speaker 2: that the Chiefs are ready for this game, like they're 63 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 2: ready to go, and I am too. 64 00:02:56,639 --> 00:02:57,640 Speaker 3: I'm on the Chiefs side too. 65 00:02:57,680 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 2: And it's funny because I think you could give ninety 66 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:01,840 Speaker 2: nine reasons why the Eagles are a better team, but 67 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:04,520 Speaker 2: then the one reason that they're not at the quarterback 68 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:07,240 Speaker 2: position and the head coach might be the only reason 69 00:03:07,240 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 2: that matters at the end of the day. So I 70 00:03:10,160 --> 00:03:12,799 Speaker 2: felt similar to this in previous chief Super Bowls, where 71 00:03:13,000 --> 00:03:15,240 Speaker 2: I felt that, okay, maybe the forty nine Ers team 72 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:17,280 Speaker 2: overall is a little bit better. I mean, the public 73 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 2: was on the forty Niners were favored last year against 74 00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:21,079 Speaker 2: the Chiefs and they were underdogs and were like, what's 75 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:21,440 Speaker 2: going on? 76 00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:23,240 Speaker 3: They have mahomes this year, the. 77 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:25,639 Speaker 1: Which I thought, and we though, look just to be fair. 78 00:03:26,120 --> 00:03:27,960 Speaker 1: Last year, if you were watching the shows, we bet 79 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:30,240 Speaker 1: mahomes in every underdog situation to playoff. We won money 80 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:32,239 Speaker 1: every single time. And the Super Bowl, we were looking 81 00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:34,600 Speaker 1: at each other going, you can't you gotta be messing 82 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:36,120 Speaker 1: with me. There's no way you can make them the 83 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:38,720 Speaker 1: underdog in the Super Bowl against a Kyle shadahand team. 84 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 2: But they did, ye, and I think that the markets 85 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:43,160 Speaker 2: adjusted that and like, well, we can't make Mames an 86 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:44,880 Speaker 2: underdog even if the other team is better. 87 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 3: So we're gonna make them a point, pushing. 88 00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:48,880 Speaker 1: It as close as they can, though, aren't they well 89 00:03:49,080 --> 00:03:49,560 Speaker 1: one point? 90 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:52,520 Speaker 2: Damn it, I haven't heard you where you know, we 91 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 2: could see more money come on the Eagles like closer 92 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:56,600 Speaker 2: to kickoff, and then the Eagles end up closing as 93 00:03:56,640 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 2: favorites because there's so much overwhelming evidence that the Eagles 94 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:03,000 Speaker 2: are the better team from. 95 00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 3: The fifty two guys. 96 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 2: But that last player, the fifty third player, Patrick Mahomes, 97 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 2: is better than Hurts and it matters a lot, so it. 98 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:12,520 Speaker 1: Hurts isn't bad in these playoff games. Like you know, 99 00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:14,280 Speaker 1: Heurts has had some good playoff moments here. I don't 100 00:04:14,280 --> 00:04:16,400 Speaker 1: want to. I don't want to disparage the Eagles because 101 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:18,120 Speaker 1: I think they are a very worthy foe. I think 102 00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:21,520 Speaker 1: they they were absolutely clearly the best overall team in 103 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 1: the NFC. The Lions again just got a little too 104 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:28,280 Speaker 1: full of themselves where they just were believing their own 105 00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: press clippings a little bit. And for a team that's 106 00:04:30,520 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 1: won nothing, got to know super Bowls that's on the 107 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:36,000 Speaker 1: coach at the end of the day for not getting 108 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:39,520 Speaker 1: them to focus enough and being prepared for a Washington 109 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:41,120 Speaker 1: team that came in there, and let's be honest, straight 110 00:04:41,160 --> 00:04:42,520 Speaker 1: up kick their ass. I mean, I don't want to 111 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:45,280 Speaker 1: sugarcoat it. They did. They straight up kick their ass, period, 112 00:04:45,360 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 1: end of story. 113 00:04:46,080 --> 00:04:48,760 Speaker 2: Well, the Lions had a lot of injuries, especially on defense. 114 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 2: I mean when you think about like what, like what 115 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:52,560 Speaker 2: injuries have the Eagles had, they haven't had. 116 00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:53,840 Speaker 3: They've been very healthy this year. 117 00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 2: And again that's also goes into like who wins Super Bowl, 118 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:57,360 Speaker 2: it's usually the team that's say A. J. 119 00:04:57,440 --> 00:04:58,880 Speaker 1: Brown got a paper cut a couple of weeks ago 120 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:00,600 Speaker 1: when he was reading on the side. But other than that, 121 00:05:00,640 --> 00:05:01,720 Speaker 1: I think they okay. 122 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:03,120 Speaker 2: I think two with the Eagles too, Like they've had 123 00:05:03,160 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 2: guys miss time, like ag Brown missed a couple games, 124 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:07,080 Speaker 2: Smith missed a couple of games, Got miss a couple 125 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:08,800 Speaker 2: of games, but it was never at the same time. 126 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:10,880 Speaker 2: So when one of the missed, the other guys just eat. 127 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:13,839 Speaker 2: And then of course Saquon Barkley somehow some way stayed 128 00:05:13,839 --> 00:05:17,400 Speaker 2: healthy the entire season. You know, again between all the receivers, 129 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:19,680 Speaker 2: running backs and tight ends and quarterbacks, even hurts miss 130 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:21,839 Speaker 2: the game or two. But yeah, I mean they're all 131 00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:24,120 Speaker 2: healthy now, and that's why the totals as high as 132 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:26,320 Speaker 2: it is at forty eight and a half points between 133 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 2: two teams that really haven't been playing in shootouts all year. 134 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:31,400 Speaker 1: All right, let's let's take a look at some of 135 00:05:31,440 --> 00:05:34,240 Speaker 1: the players stuff, because yesterday we talked a lot about 136 00:05:34,880 --> 00:05:36,760 Speaker 1: the game itself, and of course if we want to 137 00:05:36,760 --> 00:05:38,160 Speaker 1: hear Andrews takes of the game, he can listen to 138 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:39,760 Speaker 1: the podcast. So I want to get a little bit 139 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:41,240 Speaker 1: more on the props today. We're gonna get their prop 140 00:05:41,240 --> 00:05:43,159 Speaker 1: show tomorrow, so maybe he's a little preview. I gonna 141 00:05:43,160 --> 00:05:44,960 Speaker 1: throw some stuff at Andrew see if he's got an 142 00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:48,520 Speaker 1: they feelings about any of these things. Here. Let's start 143 00:05:48,520 --> 00:05:53,160 Speaker 1: with Saquon Barkley props. Here, one eleven and a half 144 00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:56,719 Speaker 1: is the rushing total and twenty one and a half 145 00:05:56,800 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 1: rushing attempts. I think you can still go over there 146 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:03,320 Speaker 1: and still lose. I do think there's a threshold where 147 00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:06,039 Speaker 1: if it gets over that one forty one to fifty range, 148 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:08,520 Speaker 1: I do start to get a little concern that maybe, 149 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:11,120 Speaker 1: just maybe things have broken right for the Eagles. So 150 00:06:11,760 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 1: to me, there is a window where Saquon eats, but 151 00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:19,520 Speaker 1: he doesn't overwhelm the entire game. I think overwhelming the 152 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:22,279 Speaker 1: entire game is when he gets over that one thirty 153 00:06:22,279 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 1: five forty ish range. That's when things get a little dicey. 154 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:27,039 Speaker 1: I think for me personally, where do you stand with 155 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:29,320 Speaker 1: the Saquon props? Here? Is it too high? Free to bad? 156 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 1: Is it right? I mean I'm going over anyway, but 157 00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:34,160 Speaker 1: I know it's a high number. Where are you at 158 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:34,440 Speaker 1: with it? 159 00:06:34,600 --> 00:06:34,800 Speaker 3: Yeah? 160 00:06:34,839 --> 00:06:36,720 Speaker 2: The Saquon things are because this is the conversation of 161 00:06:36,760 --> 00:06:39,840 Speaker 2: Tacon every week, right, a prop opens up man as 162 00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:41,680 Speaker 2: some ridiculous number, and it's like, well, were. 163 00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 1: Than seventy four? Can he go over it? Well, he's 164 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:45,800 Speaker 1: playing the Rams this week. I'm gonna say yes. I'm 165 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:46,839 Speaker 1: gonna just go to yes. 166 00:06:46,880 --> 00:06:49,960 Speaker 2: So an interesting stat again, this actually works in favor 167 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:51,479 Speaker 2: of the Chiefs, where a lot of these stats are 168 00:06:51,520 --> 00:06:53,680 Speaker 2: actually favoring the Eagles side. So the Chiefs have been 169 00:06:53,720 --> 00:06:56,520 Speaker 2: the number one defense this year in terms of mistackle rate, 170 00:06:56,800 --> 00:06:59,599 Speaker 2: so they have missed the fewest amount of tackles of 171 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:02,600 Speaker 2: any NFL team this season. You look at Saquon Barkley 172 00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:06,480 Speaker 2: and games are he's forced less than four miss tackles, 173 00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 2: he's only averaged one hundred, only averaged one hundred rushing 174 00:07:10,080 --> 00:07:10,720 Speaker 2: yards per game. 175 00:07:10,880 --> 00:07:13,720 Speaker 3: Because that all, yes, that's that's all a loser. 176 00:07:13,880 --> 00:07:16,240 Speaker 2: So to your point where you talked about how you 177 00:07:16,320 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 2: don't think that Barkley overwhelms here in this spot, I'm 178 00:07:20,360 --> 00:07:22,440 Speaker 2: not sure I'm really touching a lot of his props. 179 00:07:22,440 --> 00:07:24,520 Speaker 2: If anything, I think I would be looking at not 180 00:07:24,760 --> 00:07:28,040 Speaker 2: the player props per se in terms of his skill. Besides, 181 00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:30,360 Speaker 2: I did like the longest rush earlier in the week, 182 00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:32,720 Speaker 2: but it's been bet up so much already. It was 183 00:07:32,760 --> 00:07:33,960 Speaker 2: at twenty three and a half. I think it's up 184 00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:35,320 Speaker 2: to like twenty five and a half now, And that's 185 00:07:35,320 --> 00:07:37,760 Speaker 2: a number he's only hit half the time. So you're 186 00:07:37,760 --> 00:07:39,800 Speaker 2: looking at a running back who's basically had the best 187 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:42,640 Speaker 2: season of all time, and they found a prop that 188 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:45,200 Speaker 2: he's only hit fifty to fifty. So I don't like 189 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:47,520 Speaker 2: that nearly as much as the number continues to grow. 190 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:50,600 Speaker 2: For me, it would be the under on the attempts 191 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 2: and that you're going to get a game script where 192 00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:56,920 Speaker 2: the Eagles are throwing more because well, they're underdogs. So 193 00:07:57,040 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 2: if they're trailing, they can't just feed Saquon Barkley times. 194 00:08:00,280 --> 00:08:02,720 Speaker 2: And Sequon's good because he can break tackles and rip 195 00:08:02,760 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 2: off big plays, not that he needs twenty carries to 196 00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 2: get there. 197 00:08:06,760 --> 00:08:08,280 Speaker 3: He can get there on fifteen carries. 198 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:10,200 Speaker 2: I don't think they need to force the narrative, Oh, 199 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:12,360 Speaker 2: we need to get Saquon Barkley twenty two carries. So 200 00:08:12,560 --> 00:08:15,400 Speaker 2: that's probably I would approach it with Saquon Barkley going 201 00:08:15,520 --> 00:08:18,680 Speaker 2: under his rushing attempts in a game script where maybe 202 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 2: Hurts throws a little bit more than most people would anticipate. 203 00:08:22,840 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, franzois here in the chat saying cook head eighty nine. 204 00:08:25,840 --> 00:08:29,160 Speaker 1: So Saquon's gonna eat. He is gonna eat. Look, Saquon 205 00:08:29,520 --> 00:08:31,360 Speaker 1: is going to get his It's just a matter of 206 00:08:31,400 --> 00:08:35,280 Speaker 1: can you stop that one big major play. And if 207 00:08:35,320 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 1: you do, if you don't allow him to get that 208 00:08:37,160 --> 00:08:40,760 Speaker 1: one forty fifty yard run, then you have a real 209 00:08:40,840 --> 00:08:43,440 Speaker 1: chance of handing it to the Eagles. When he gets 210 00:08:43,440 --> 00:08:45,440 Speaker 1: those big way it takes the air out of the defense, 211 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:49,080 Speaker 1: It swings the mojo out. The earlier it happens, the 212 00:08:49,120 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 1: better it is for the Eagles. I think just to 213 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:56,480 Speaker 1: kind of establish that. But again, you know, for a 214 00:08:57,040 --> 00:08:58,800 Speaker 1: what's tricky about this one is Spagnolo two is some 215 00:08:58,840 --> 00:09:01,000 Speaker 1: guy who really likes to bring the pressure right when 216 00:09:01,000 --> 00:09:03,320 Speaker 1: the top five teams in terms of blitz right, But 217 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:05,480 Speaker 1: because it's Barkley, you gotta be a little bit more 218 00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 1: pick and choose. So it's gonna makes back Nola have 219 00:09:08,040 --> 00:09:09,440 Speaker 1: to make a couple of hard choices there. I think 220 00:09:09,480 --> 00:09:11,000 Speaker 1: whenever you get to the third longs you gonna see 221 00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 1: a lot of that blitz and stuff there. But the 222 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:14,679 Speaker 1: key for the Eagles here is keeping things in short yardage. 223 00:09:14,800 --> 00:09:17,040 Speaker 1: You know, get those second and you know second and 224 00:09:17,040 --> 00:09:19,520 Speaker 1: force is what you're looking for. Third and two's is 225 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:21,200 Speaker 1: what you're looking for if you're the Eagles here to 226 00:09:21,240 --> 00:09:23,040 Speaker 1: try to you know, take some of that away. What 227 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:23,800 Speaker 1: do you think about that? 228 00:09:24,000 --> 00:09:24,640 Speaker 3: I agree with that. 229 00:09:24,800 --> 00:09:27,240 Speaker 2: I do have another question for you, Joe when it 230 00:09:27,240 --> 00:09:29,320 Speaker 2: comes to so I know you we talked about it 231 00:09:29,320 --> 00:09:32,200 Speaker 2: on the Best Bet Show, Super Bowl MVP, right. I 232 00:09:32,200 --> 00:09:36,000 Speaker 2: feel like the Eagles you want to get Barkley, I have. 233 00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:39,320 Speaker 2: I definitely agree with you earlier in the week thinking 234 00:09:39,320 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 2: about that, as I thought about it more, well, who's 235 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:44,760 Speaker 2: more likely to score double digit touchdowns. Isn't it hurts 236 00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:47,480 Speaker 2: and not say if it hurts scores three? Probably if 237 00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:49,760 Speaker 2: hurtscorse three rushing touchdowns and the Eagles win, he's not 238 00:09:49,800 --> 00:09:50,360 Speaker 2: going to get it. 239 00:09:50,760 --> 00:09:52,640 Speaker 1: Well. Terrell said it on the show, and I think 240 00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:56,280 Speaker 1: he's right. It's hurts. Is it hurts? Anytime touchdown prop 241 00:09:56,360 --> 00:09:59,840 Speaker 1: is absurdly wrong. It should be well into the minus. Yeah, 242 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,160 Speaker 1: it should be a minus one fifty if you're asking, like, 243 00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:03,960 Speaker 1: that's what I would say to that, and it's not. 244 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:07,120 Speaker 1: It's right there. It's right for the taking. So you know, 245 00:10:07,240 --> 00:10:08,800 Speaker 1: we'll see, we'll see how that all shakes out. What 246 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:11,359 Speaker 1: about Barkley in the passing side two and a half receptions, 247 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:13,079 Speaker 1: thirteen and a half receiving yards an interested in on 248 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:13,520 Speaker 1: any of those. 249 00:10:13,640 --> 00:10:15,960 Speaker 2: I haven't looked at enough of his receiving stuff to 250 00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:18,600 Speaker 2: be confident of taking unders or overs on it. I 251 00:10:18,600 --> 00:10:20,960 Speaker 2: guess I would probably lean towards taking some of the overs, 252 00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:22,839 Speaker 2: just because I think that this is a game script 253 00:10:22,840 --> 00:10:25,360 Speaker 2: where we're gonna see Hurts have to throw more than 254 00:10:25,400 --> 00:10:28,360 Speaker 2: he usually would, because this isn't a game where the 255 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:30,920 Speaker 2: Eagles may be winning, like they could be down ten 256 00:10:30,960 --> 00:10:33,240 Speaker 2: nothing and it's like oh, well, we have to throw 257 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:36,400 Speaker 2: the ball, and Barkley obviously hasn't really been used in 258 00:10:36,400 --> 00:10:39,559 Speaker 2: that role a lot this year, but we know obviously 259 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:41,480 Speaker 2: from his time spent in New York like he can 260 00:10:41,520 --> 00:10:43,040 Speaker 2: clearly catch pass out of the backfield. 261 00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:44,440 Speaker 3: He looks really good, And maybe that's. 262 00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:46,079 Speaker 2: Kind of and that would be a really interesting way 263 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:48,520 Speaker 2: for him to win MVP right where he does it 264 00:10:48,559 --> 00:10:50,840 Speaker 2: as an amazing receiver out of the backfield, so something 265 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 2: that he didn't really highlight a ton during his basically 266 00:10:54,280 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 2: historic run as one of the best running back seasons 267 00:10:57,280 --> 00:10:59,480 Speaker 2: we've ever seen. And in the Super Bowl he ties 268 00:10:59,520 --> 00:11:01,880 Speaker 2: a bow on it with an amazing receiving game where 269 00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:04,400 Speaker 2: he goes for over one hundred receiving yards or something 270 00:11:04,400 --> 00:11:06,240 Speaker 2: like that. So maybe that's an alternive way to approach 271 00:11:06,280 --> 00:11:09,640 Speaker 2: Saquon Barkley, where hey, everyone's betting the rushing yards. Everyone 272 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:12,000 Speaker 2: loves the rushing yards. Well, if Hurts is throwing more, 273 00:11:12,160 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 2: maybe Barkley rips off a big reception like his longest 274 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:17,480 Speaker 2: reception problem. Maybe that's another way to look at it, 275 00:11:17,520 --> 00:11:20,839 Speaker 2: because you're still capitalizing on his big playability, but it's 276 00:11:20,840 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 2: just a matter of how he actually got the ball. 277 00:11:22,679 --> 00:11:24,360 Speaker 3: He caught a pass instead of got a handoff. 278 00:11:25,320 --> 00:11:28,199 Speaker 1: I want to talk about one of the deficits of 279 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:30,880 Speaker 1: the Chiefs defense with you for a second here before 280 00:11:30,880 --> 00:11:34,160 Speaker 1: we do a quick reminder. Today is a stream is 281 00:11:34,160 --> 00:11:36,360 Speaker 1: brought to you by smash Up Sports, and if you're 282 00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:39,960 Speaker 1: already missing free fantasy football, good news. 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There's a tight end in 317 00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:14,679 Speaker 1: Dallas Goddard, who has some props out there who is intriguing. 318 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:17,439 Speaker 1: I believe fifty one and a half receiving yards four 319 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:21,640 Speaker 1: and a half receptions. Also, what's interesting about Goddard plus 320 00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:25,920 Speaker 1: three to twenty on the anytime touchdown prop for Goddard. 321 00:13:26,320 --> 00:13:30,040 Speaker 1: I'm intrigued because that is one weakness of that defense 322 00:13:30,040 --> 00:13:32,360 Speaker 1: for the Chiefs, and he loved for Dallas Goddard in. 323 00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:35,280 Speaker 2: This game, So I don't have a play on the yardage. 324 00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:38,640 Speaker 2: It's been the most heavily bet prop over the last 325 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:41,160 Speaker 2: two weeks because to your point, everybody knows the stuff. 326 00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:43,719 Speaker 2: Everyone knows the Chiefs give a ton of wohites to 327 00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:45,960 Speaker 2: tight ends and Godd's been on fire the last couple 328 00:13:45,960 --> 00:13:49,840 Speaker 2: of weeks. So the way I'm playing it is under 329 00:13:49,880 --> 00:13:53,160 Speaker 2: on his receptions. You can get that at plus money. 330 00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:56,040 Speaker 2: And when you look at what he's actually done, he's 331 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:58,360 Speaker 2: got under four and a half receptions nine of his 332 00:13:58,440 --> 00:14:00,079 Speaker 2: last fourteen games when A. J. 333 00:14:00,160 --> 00:14:01,439 Speaker 3: Brown DeVonta Smith have been healthy. 334 00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:04,760 Speaker 2: During this hot streak that he has been on, He's 335 00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:06,959 Speaker 2: gotten under four and a half receptions in five of 336 00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:09,720 Speaker 2: his last six games. When you're looking at the box score, 337 00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:11,839 Speaker 2: you know the games where he's actually gotten four and 338 00:14:11,880 --> 00:14:14,880 Speaker 2: a half receptions or more against the same opponent against 339 00:14:14,880 --> 00:14:18,080 Speaker 2: the Washington Commanders. So he's had the commander's number. They've 340 00:14:18,120 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 2: identified that as a matchup that he's been able to 341 00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:24,120 Speaker 2: exploit in these matchups against the division rival commanders. I 342 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 2: don't know if it's gonna be as easy against the Chiefs. 343 00:14:26,320 --> 00:14:28,200 Speaker 2: You know, we see the Chiefs defense take away your 344 00:14:28,240 --> 00:14:30,280 Speaker 2: best weapon, and they've been watching the games the last 345 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:32,800 Speaker 2: couple of weeks, it's like they see Jalen Hurts clearly 346 00:14:32,880 --> 00:14:35,600 Speaker 2: leaning on Dallas Godder. The other thing to point out 347 00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:38,120 Speaker 2: with the yardage is he's done it a lot of 348 00:14:38,160 --> 00:14:39,880 Speaker 2: it after the catch. And what do we just talked 349 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:41,600 Speaker 2: about earlier, who's the number one team in terms of 350 00:14:41,760 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 2: fewest misstackles. It's the Kansas City Chiefs. So I don't 351 00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:46,880 Speaker 2: know if we're gonna see as much Dallas Goddard just 352 00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:49,960 Speaker 2: running wild picking up fifty yards after the catch if 353 00:14:50,520 --> 00:14:54,040 Speaker 2: Chiefs are breaking down the tackle, getting him down before 354 00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:55,440 Speaker 2: he's able to get up a lot of yardage. So 355 00:14:56,040 --> 00:14:59,200 Speaker 2: I like the more contrarian approach on Goddard, probably staying 356 00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:01,360 Speaker 2: away from the yardage, but I like the under on 357 00:15:01,440 --> 00:15:02,320 Speaker 2: his receptions. 358 00:15:02,880 --> 00:15:05,080 Speaker 1: All Right, a couple more Eagles props and we'll go 359 00:15:05,080 --> 00:15:08,200 Speaker 1: over to the Chiefs here. Jalen Hurts two thirteen passing yards. 360 00:15:08,240 --> 00:15:11,200 Speaker 1: I don't want it. It's too close. Point five interceptions 361 00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:14,880 Speaker 1: is a plus money over plus one thirty. Kind of 362 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:16,720 Speaker 1: intrigued by that one. I mean just to throw a pick. 363 00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:19,960 Speaker 1: I mean picks can be incidental, they can be accidental, 364 00:15:20,080 --> 00:15:21,920 Speaker 1: so that one's actually really intriguing to me. And then 365 00:15:21,920 --> 00:15:24,120 Speaker 1: the rushing yards thirty six and a half over minus 366 00:15:24,120 --> 00:15:27,360 Speaker 1: one ten. That's where I land. Any Hurts props stand 367 00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:29,520 Speaker 1: out to you specifically that you like obviously any time 368 00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:31,200 Speaker 1: touchdown was when we touched on that earlier. 369 00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:35,080 Speaker 2: Well, I'm really just more opening my mind to he's 370 00:15:35,160 --> 00:15:37,720 Speaker 2: going to throw more in this game. And I think 371 00:15:37,760 --> 00:15:39,880 Speaker 2: that you're getting good value on a lot of his 372 00:15:40,080 --> 00:15:42,040 Speaker 2: number because he just hasn't attempted to pass it all 373 00:15:42,120 --> 00:15:45,040 Speaker 2: year Loan, but that's based on the Eagle season where 374 00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:47,760 Speaker 2: they're always winning games. So I think that you can 375 00:15:47,800 --> 00:15:50,400 Speaker 2: get again if you're doing it some type of same 376 00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:53,640 Speaker 2: game parlay where're trying to get some correlation. It's over 377 00:15:53,680 --> 00:15:57,960 Speaker 2: on Jalen Hurts yards, attempts, completions where they just fallow 378 00:15:57,960 --> 00:15:59,440 Speaker 2: in a game script where they have to throw more, 379 00:15:59,560 --> 00:16:01,680 Speaker 2: and I think you're getting suppressed numbers because of that 380 00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:03,840 Speaker 2: because we've seen Jalen Hurts throw the ball in tons 381 00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:05,960 Speaker 2: of games and this matchup two years ago, Yes it 382 00:16:06,000 --> 00:16:08,080 Speaker 2: was a little bit different, but it's not like Jalen 383 00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:10,600 Speaker 2: Hurts isn't capable of dropping back to throw forty times. 384 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:12,960 Speaker 2: Like he's more in the capable of doing it, especially 385 00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:14,960 Speaker 2: if the game script calls for it. So that's an 386 00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:18,000 Speaker 2: approach I like. And this is not exactly a player 387 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:21,720 Speaker 2: proper se, but looking at the Chiefs and their sack total, 388 00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:24,920 Speaker 2: that's something I'm interested in because Hurts just loves to 389 00:16:24,960 --> 00:16:27,360 Speaker 2: hold onto the ball like there's a reason why he 390 00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 2: doesn't throw interceptions because he just eats it. He just 391 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:33,080 Speaker 2: eats the ball. It just takes a sack. So I 392 00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:34,560 Speaker 2: think that's the number you can get. I think I 393 00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:36,880 Speaker 2: saw it at Chiefs over three and a half sacks. 394 00:16:36,960 --> 00:16:40,720 Speaker 2: It's a plus money. So that's another interesting prop to 395 00:16:40,760 --> 00:16:42,760 Speaker 2: look at. If you're expecting, like me, a lot of 396 00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:45,640 Speaker 2: dropbacks from Jalen Hurts, maybe that sack number goes up 397 00:16:45,640 --> 00:16:46,480 Speaker 2: for Casey. 398 00:16:46,840 --> 00:16:49,160 Speaker 1: Any love for aning the receivers? Aj Brown about to spith, 399 00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:50,880 Speaker 1: I know a lot of people love the Smith props. 400 00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:53,720 Speaker 1: Here four and a half receptions, fifty receiving yards A Ye. 401 00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 1: Brown's at five and a half, at seventy and a half, 402 00:16:56,200 --> 00:16:59,720 Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm just I'm out. I'm out of 403 00:16:59,760 --> 00:17:02,160 Speaker 1: both of them. There Again, I think they're decent numbers, 404 00:17:02,160 --> 00:17:03,800 Speaker 1: but I don't. I just don't have a feel for it. 405 00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:06,840 Speaker 2: So a lot of the advanced metrics will point out A. J. 406 00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:08,760 Speaker 2: Brown is really good against man coverage, and the Chiefs 407 00:17:08,800 --> 00:17:10,640 Speaker 2: run a lot of man coverage, especially in the playoffs, 408 00:17:10,680 --> 00:17:13,520 Speaker 2: so he's going to have his opportunities to see one 409 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:14,439 Speaker 2: on one matchups. 410 00:17:14,600 --> 00:17:16,320 Speaker 3: I think that that's going to be a case for 411 00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:17,640 Speaker 3: both Smith and A J. Brown. 412 00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:20,360 Speaker 2: I know on the Fantasy Pros prediction show, I talked 413 00:17:20,359 --> 00:17:23,840 Speaker 2: about DeVonta Smith going over his receiving yards prop I 414 00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:27,520 Speaker 2: actually prefer that more than receptions. When he's faced the Chiefs. 415 00:17:27,600 --> 00:17:30,240 Speaker 2: Last three times he's faced his defense, he's averaged over 416 00:17:30,280 --> 00:17:33,000 Speaker 2: one hundred receiving yards per game in three matchups against 417 00:17:33,200 --> 00:17:35,199 Speaker 2: Kansas City. So I think we're going to see some 418 00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:38,600 Speaker 2: of that Smith marquee sideline work that we traditionally see 419 00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 2: that he's so good at just knowing where he is. 420 00:17:40,560 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 3: It's it's the. 421 00:17:41,040 --> 00:17:43,320 Speaker 2: Complete opposite of all the Chiefs receivers who have no 422 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:45,880 Speaker 2: idea where the out of balance marker is. 423 00:17:46,080 --> 00:17:47,199 Speaker 3: The Eagles are not like that. 424 00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:50,000 Speaker 2: I think that we could see one of these marquee, 425 00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:54,520 Speaker 2: you know, Julio Jones David Tyree catches from either a J. 426 00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:57,199 Speaker 2: Brown or Devonte Smith on the sideline and it can 427 00:17:57,240 --> 00:17:59,080 Speaker 2: be like, oh, that's the catch, that's the catch, that's 428 00:17:59,160 --> 00:18:01,680 Speaker 2: we all remembered what Tamas has made that catch. The 429 00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:05,000 Speaker 2: Eagles have the upset, so I think, like, I don't 430 00:18:05,040 --> 00:18:06,960 Speaker 2: need to beat a dead horse, but I think that 431 00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:09,879 Speaker 2: these Eagles receivers are undervalued when it comes to some 432 00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:12,200 Speaker 2: of their numbers, and again, their office has been run 433 00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:15,080 Speaker 2: heavy all year long. If they dial up passes, so 434 00:18:15,240 --> 00:18:17,040 Speaker 2: I prefer the Smith when it is a lower number, 435 00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:19,439 Speaker 2: and they usually see pretty similar target shares, so I 436 00:18:19,520 --> 00:18:21,320 Speaker 2: like them on to smith a decent amount of this game. 437 00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:24,680 Speaker 1: Let's look at the weapons here. For the Chiefs XAVI, 438 00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:27,280 Speaker 1: you're worthy five and a half receptions, fifty four and 439 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:31,120 Speaker 1: a half receiving yards, Koreem Hunt eleven rushes for forty 440 00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:33,200 Speaker 1: five and a half. That's what you're looking for him 441 00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:35,919 Speaker 1: and the Checko five and a half rush attempts twenty 442 00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:38,000 Speaker 1: two and a half. Any of these three pop out 443 00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:40,639 Speaker 1: to you. I'm on the Worthy one personally, like especially 444 00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:43,440 Speaker 1: the yardage because again, Worthy's got that explosiveness. You need 445 00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:46,560 Speaker 1: that one play and no matter how good the corners are, 446 00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:49,159 Speaker 1: I mean, nobody can run with Worthy. If he gets loose, 447 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:51,080 Speaker 1: that's it at the end of the day. Plus, I 448 00:18:51,119 --> 00:18:53,119 Speaker 1: feel like they want to get him the football and 449 00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:54,879 Speaker 1: that's been something you've seen here down the stretch. 450 00:18:55,160 --> 00:18:57,840 Speaker 2: I am so happy that Worthy turned it around in 451 00:18:57,840 --> 00:19:00,920 Speaker 2: the second half, and I I mean came out in 452 00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:03,520 Speaker 2: the first half of the season, had a monster first 453 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:05,000 Speaker 2: game and they're like, oh, let's. 454 00:19:04,840 --> 00:19:06,800 Speaker 3: Go baby, we're cooking, and then he kind of fell 455 00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:09,040 Speaker 3: off and we're like, oh no, is he a bost 456 00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:10,200 Speaker 3: like what happened? 457 00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:14,400 Speaker 2: But he's really gotten into that comfortable I would say, 458 00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:17,080 Speaker 2: in that Rashie Rice role that he's taken over. So 459 00:19:17,119 --> 00:19:19,440 Speaker 2: they're finding every which way to get him the ball. 460 00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:22,560 Speaker 2: He's super talented. And to talk about something we mentioned, 461 00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:25,399 Speaker 2: I think on the Look Ahead show Joe where Worthy 462 00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:27,880 Speaker 2: doesn't have a super Bowl ring, like, he's never won 463 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:31,760 Speaker 2: a super Bowl before, so this is potentially again the 464 00:19:31,840 --> 00:19:34,800 Speaker 2: Chief's been there, done that for the most part, most 465 00:19:34,800 --> 00:19:36,320 Speaker 2: of them have been there and done that, but not 466 00:19:36,359 --> 00:19:38,520 Speaker 2: all of them. So this is his chance to kind 467 00:19:38,560 --> 00:19:41,239 Speaker 2: of put his stamp on. How is I part of 468 00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:43,359 Speaker 2: this Chief's dynasty. I was the leading receiver as a 469 00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:46,080 Speaker 2: rookie my first year when Rossie Rice was on injured reserve. 470 00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:48,120 Speaker 2: I stepped up when the team needed me the most. 471 00:19:48,280 --> 00:19:50,520 Speaker 2: The team has a ton of confidence and Xavier are Worthy. 472 00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:52,160 Speaker 2: We know that he can take it to the house 473 00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:54,720 Speaker 2: on one play. They like getting me involved in jet sweeps, 474 00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:57,120 Speaker 2: and I just loved his profile coming out of Texas 475 00:19:57,119 --> 00:20:00,159 Speaker 2: and I'm just so happy to see him flourishing in 476 00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:01,520 Speaker 2: the biggest stage. I think he's gonna make a lot 477 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:03,560 Speaker 2: of big plays. So I'm with you with Worthy. 478 00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:06,240 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to the tight end here. Travis 479 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:09,280 Speaker 1: Kelcey sixty one and a half receiving yards. Travis Kelcey 480 00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:12,480 Speaker 1: receptions six and a half. You're getting plus money in 481 00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:15,960 Speaker 1: the over at plus one twenty three. You know these 482 00:20:16,040 --> 00:20:18,800 Speaker 1: numbers are pretty good for Kelsey. I know everyone's at 483 00:20:18,800 --> 00:20:21,480 Speaker 1: appointed last time out right, the streak was broken there, 484 00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:24,000 Speaker 1: But it does feel like in these big games and 485 00:20:24,040 --> 00:20:26,920 Speaker 1: these big moments that that's where Patrick Mahomes wants to 486 00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:28,639 Speaker 1: go with the football, and he's looking for Kelsey in 487 00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:31,640 Speaker 1: the big spots. I'm an under on both of them, though. 488 00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:33,560 Speaker 1: I just don't think Kelsey is the same guy he 489 00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:36,000 Speaker 1: was even last year, to tell you the truth. I 490 00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:39,200 Speaker 1: just think that the father time is set in and 491 00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:41,399 Speaker 1: this is his swan song. I think we'll have a 492 00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:43,160 Speaker 1: big moment or two in this game, and I think 493 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:45,040 Speaker 1: he's going to walk off into the sunset after it, 494 00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:48,280 Speaker 1: after they win. That's the script I'm writing for Hollywood. 495 00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:50,000 Speaker 1: But what are you writing for Kelsey on Sunday? 496 00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:52,000 Speaker 3: I think, and I'm part of this. 497 00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:54,680 Speaker 2: I think we got carried away by the Texans game 498 00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:59,480 Speaker 2: where he basically was running untouched from like fifty yards 499 00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:00,600 Speaker 2: and then we all. 500 00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:02,520 Speaker 1: Remember, well, in all fairness, because that everybody else was 501 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:05,000 Speaker 1: in the backfield almost killing Mahomes the entire game, So 502 00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:07,960 Speaker 1: there was nobody left to guard Travis Kelce because everybody 503 00:21:08,040 --> 00:21:08,480 Speaker 1: was in the back. 504 00:21:08,800 --> 00:21:10,600 Speaker 2: So we got to carried away because then we all remembered, 505 00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:13,080 Speaker 2: oh my god, the streak, the seventy yard streak, and 506 00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:15,680 Speaker 2: we all just bought into that and we got over 507 00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:17,920 Speaker 2: our skis with it. And then last week we saw, Okay, 508 00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:20,680 Speaker 2: this is really more realistic of what to expect from 509 00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:23,199 Speaker 2: Travis Kelcey on a week week basis. I think if 510 00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:27,080 Speaker 2: you're betting over props on it would be touchdowns for me, Like, 511 00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:29,280 Speaker 2: that's what I would do. That's where Mahomes is going 512 00:21:29,320 --> 00:21:31,200 Speaker 2: to look for him the most. That's his number one, 513 00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:34,080 Speaker 2: most trusted receiver would be in the red zone. And 514 00:21:34,480 --> 00:21:36,159 Speaker 2: you don't need to be you can be slow and 515 00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:39,160 Speaker 2: still score touchdown and following the ends, he's. 516 00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:41,600 Speaker 1: Still getting plus money on that one for him. Before 517 00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:43,840 Speaker 1: we get to the Mahomes props too, I just want 518 00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:46,520 Speaker 1: to remind everybody if you're looking to bet props again, 519 00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:48,120 Speaker 1: you got to be using the tools. Use the prop 520 00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:50,359 Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet. Maximize your prop betting success with the 521 00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:53,680 Speaker 1: Betting Pros prop bet cheat sheet instantly compare sportsbook lines 522 00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:56,080 Speaker 1: with expert projections to find the best value, and you 523 00:21:56,080 --> 00:21:59,760 Speaker 1: can customize your bets filtering by props, match up bet type, 524 00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:02,960 Speaker 1: and basically you get tailed recommendations and you can track 525 00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:06,240 Speaker 1: winning trends with ease using the comprehensive tool. Take your 526 00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:08,800 Speaker 1: prop betting to the next level at Bettingpros dot Com, 527 00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:12,280 Speaker 1: slash props or just down the Betting Pros app right 528 00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:14,680 Speaker 1: now today and seek your sports books for free. Let's 529 00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:18,280 Speaker 1: get to Patty Mahomes Mapatty Cakes. Two fifty one and 530 00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:20,800 Speaker 1: a half. I think that's about spot on. I'm good 531 00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:23,240 Speaker 1: with that number. I'm not touching it. You might be 532 00:22:23,280 --> 00:22:24,720 Speaker 1: on the under because you're on the under on the game. 533 00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:27,159 Speaker 1: So I'm curious about that one and a half passing touchdowns. 534 00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:29,760 Speaker 1: The over is very heavily juiced. It's not really fun. 535 00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:32,280 Speaker 1: The point five interceptions, though, is even money. That's where 536 00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:33,879 Speaker 1: I'd like to live. I like that one. I think 537 00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:35,760 Speaker 1: he does throw a pick in this game. He has 538 00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:38,359 Speaker 1: thrown picks some Super Bowls before. He is going to 539 00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:40,360 Speaker 1: go out there and try to make some play sometimes 540 00:22:40,359 --> 00:22:42,680 Speaker 1: and sometimes you know, you get picked off when that happens. 541 00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:45,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, if anyone's going I mean, it's gonna be Homes 542 00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:46,919 Speaker 2: that probably throws a pick and not hurts. 543 00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:49,520 Speaker 3: He's gonna be able to force the narrative. I expect 544 00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:50,800 Speaker 3: he could. 545 00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:53,200 Speaker 2: He's going to go over fifty dropbacks in this game, 546 00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:56,000 Speaker 2: because I think it's pretty easy to see a scenario 547 00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:58,639 Speaker 2: where the Chiefs can't run the ball whatsoever. 548 00:22:58,920 --> 00:22:59,080 Speaker 1: You know. 549 00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:02,200 Speaker 2: With Kareem Hunt with Isaiaha Checko who just looks totally 550 00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:05,000 Speaker 2: different coming back from this injury, and you really kind 551 00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:06,520 Speaker 2: of think about, what have you not gotten hurt? What 552 00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:09,320 Speaker 2: could this running game be? Cream Hunt has been good 553 00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:11,120 Speaker 2: enough essentially, but. 554 00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:14,000 Speaker 1: He's given it everything, Yes, every. 555 00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:15,919 Speaker 2: Single carry, it seems like he's given it everything he 556 00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:18,800 Speaker 2: has that's left in the tank. So yes, there's gonna 557 00:23:18,800 --> 00:23:20,639 Speaker 2: be a lot of pass attempts for Mahomes and for 558 00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:21,920 Speaker 2: when to get picked off. I think that makes a 559 00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:23,960 Speaker 2: lot of sense. I know that you talked about on 560 00:23:24,040 --> 00:23:25,760 Speaker 2: the Best Bets Show, and this is something I didn't 561 00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:27,480 Speaker 2: look at enough even when I was putting mine in 562 00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:30,520 Speaker 2: that I didn't put Patrick Mahomes a super Bowl MVP 563 00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:32,000 Speaker 2: that you can get. I think you said it was 564 00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:34,399 Speaker 2: at plus one ten and that makes a lot of 565 00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:36,280 Speaker 2: sense to me, because like, well, I think the Chiefs 566 00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:37,600 Speaker 2: are going to win anyway. I have a bet on 567 00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:39,080 Speaker 2: the Chiefs to win that I bet in the off 568 00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:42,280 Speaker 2: season at whatever five to one or six to one odds, 569 00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:46,560 Speaker 2: similar to what you have. So I think that that's 570 00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:49,080 Speaker 2: a play I want to go on, is Patrick Mahomes 571 00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:52,000 Speaker 2: to win Super Bowl MVP at plus money because I'm 572 00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:54,520 Speaker 2: on the chief side here, but I'm curious as your 573 00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:57,720 Speaker 2: thoughts on You know, Tom Brady didn't win MVP every 574 00:23:57,720 --> 00:23:59,520 Speaker 2: single time in the Super Bowl, like there were certain 575 00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:03,359 Speaker 2: scenarios where his receivers did win. And looking back, I 576 00:24:03,359 --> 00:24:05,920 Speaker 2: remember last year I was very much into Travis Kelcey 577 00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:08,320 Speaker 2: winning Super Bowl MVP because when I looked, four of 578 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:10,600 Speaker 2: the last five unders and Super Bowls when the game 579 00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:13,200 Speaker 2: has gone under the total, the quarterback has not won 580 00:24:13,280 --> 00:24:14,080 Speaker 2: the Super Bowl MVP. 581 00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:16,600 Speaker 1: Interesting. Well, I don't think it's going to go under 582 00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:19,119 Speaker 1: the total. I'm the minority there, so I do think 583 00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:19,720 Speaker 1: it's Mahomes. 584 00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:21,720 Speaker 2: But last year the streak did break because it was 585 00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:24,560 Speaker 2: four and zero towards a quarterback not winning. Last year 586 00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:28,280 Speaker 2: it went under and Mahomes still won. If it weren't Mahomes, 587 00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:30,280 Speaker 2: who would it be on the Chiefs if they win? 588 00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:31,919 Speaker 2: In your would it just be Kelsey or do you 589 00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:34,200 Speaker 2: think that it would be Worthy has a monster game? 590 00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:36,639 Speaker 3: Or is it just two? Is it my stretching two 591 00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:37,359 Speaker 3: thing where it's. 592 00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:39,720 Speaker 1: Like I think Rookie Worthy has a monster game and 593 00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:40,919 Speaker 1: it comes back to Mahomes. 594 00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:42,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's it's tough. 595 00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:45,760 Speaker 1: Kelsey's interesting because Kelsey is such a visible player for 596 00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:47,240 Speaker 1: the NFL. Too, and I like. 597 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:49,359 Speaker 3: Last year and it obviously didn't work out. 598 00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:52,560 Speaker 1: Yeah I remember that. Yeah, No, I didn't. I see 599 00:24:52,560 --> 00:24:54,680 Speaker 1: the tree. You're barking up, and you ain't wrong. It's 600 00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:56,679 Speaker 1: a good question. I just think that at the end 601 00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:58,639 Speaker 1: of the day, it's it's mahomes And if you like 602 00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:00,879 Speaker 1: the Eagles, is what I keep saying, don't bet the 603 00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:02,760 Speaker 1: Eagles too. Went on the money line bet Seguon Barkley 604 00:25:02,760 --> 00:25:05,720 Speaker 1: to an MVP, because I don't think there's a scenario 605 00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:09,639 Speaker 1: where Saquon Barkley is not the MVP necessarily. If the 606 00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:12,359 Speaker 1: Eagles do hit the upset here and beat the Chiefs, 607 00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:14,639 Speaker 1: I think it's because Saquon has an otherworldly, you know, 608 00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:17,240 Speaker 1: transformative game. It's just the Saquon Barkley year, and that 609 00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:19,879 Speaker 1: happens sometimes where it's just a guy and it's his 610 00:25:20,000 --> 00:25:22,360 Speaker 1: year and he's unstoppable for a train. And that might 611 00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:24,320 Speaker 1: still be the case. So if you like the Eagles, 612 00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:26,240 Speaker 1: you're getting more than two to one on Saguon Barkley 613 00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:28,240 Speaker 1: to MVP. You're getting what plus two eighty on or 614 00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:30,520 Speaker 1: whatever it might be. By the way, I see Jack 615 00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:33,879 Speaker 1: Jack Owen the chat. Jack check out the podcast. I 616 00:25:33,920 --> 00:25:36,320 Speaker 1: mentioned your tweet to me at the end of the 617 00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:39,560 Speaker 1: show on best Bets, So little easter egg for you, Jack, 618 00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:43,479 Speaker 1: if you're watching right now. Also, Patrick Mahomes twenty nine 619 00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:45,800 Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards. I like the over end. 620 00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:48,639 Speaker 1: I love Mahomes to score a touchdown plus four hundred. 621 00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:51,760 Speaker 1: That is a very good bet for me. I think 622 00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:53,760 Speaker 1: when you have that pressure coming up the middle and 623 00:25:53,800 --> 00:25:56,560 Speaker 1: you have those good cornerbacks, it means Mahomes is not 624 00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:58,200 Speaker 1: gonna have a lot of opportunities to get rid of 625 00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:01,040 Speaker 1: football's quickly necessarily, which means he's gonna have to get 626 00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:02,919 Speaker 1: rid of himself quickly from that pocket. What do you 627 00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:04,400 Speaker 1: think about those two props. 628 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:06,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, we all know that Mahomes is going to be 629 00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:08,959 Speaker 2: running around. We all know that his numbers get boosted 630 00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:11,720 Speaker 2: in the playoffs. So I like the attempts more than 631 00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:15,360 Speaker 2: the yardage. I do have concerns about if they take 632 00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:18,040 Speaker 2: he has kneels where he loses like six or seven yards, 633 00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:20,520 Speaker 2: So like that's my biggest Like, I feel great that 634 00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:23,080 Speaker 2: they're gonna win the game. And then I see Mahomes 635 00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:25,560 Speaker 2: take a snap and then run back six yards and 636 00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:27,359 Speaker 2: then kneel the ball and then and then I lose. 637 00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:29,480 Speaker 2: I just don't want to be on the bad side 638 00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:32,320 Speaker 2: of that type of bets. So maybe staying away from 639 00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:35,040 Speaker 2: the yardage but in the touchdown was okay. Again, I'm 640 00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:36,920 Speaker 2: thinking back to because again Chiefs are in the Super 641 00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:38,639 Speaker 2: Bowl every year, so I did look back at some 642 00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:40,480 Speaker 2: of the bets I made last year with you know, 643 00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:42,639 Speaker 2: some of this narrative stuff, and I remember I was 644 00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:44,479 Speaker 2: very much on a home scoring a touchdown last year 645 00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:47,800 Speaker 2: in the Super Bowl, and that was wrong. So maybe 646 00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:50,720 Speaker 2: you'll have better luck. He's obviously scored more touchdowns this year, so. 647 00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:53,359 Speaker 1: Yeah, I just I just look. I think it's also 648 00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:55,840 Speaker 1: the matchup too, different kind of pressure and different kind 649 00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:58,400 Speaker 1: of cornerback play. You know, you don't have wide receivers 650 00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:01,520 Speaker 1: that create separation right now except Worthy, and it's it's 651 00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:03,840 Speaker 1: a different kind of separation as speed separation. So you 652 00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:05,440 Speaker 1: need a little bit more time and if you're your 653 00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:07,520 Speaker 1: time in the pocket is limited. I just think it's 654 00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:09,480 Speaker 1: gonna be some tucking and running. I think that could 655 00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:11,639 Speaker 1: be a big part of this game. All right, So 656 00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:14,240 Speaker 1: final predictions here for the Super Bowl. I don't know 657 00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:16,400 Speaker 1: if you've got one or not with the score all 658 00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:19,080 Speaker 1: locked in, but I'm going twenty six to twenty four. 659 00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:22,720 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes MVP, Chiefs hit the three p give me 660 00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:24,080 Speaker 1: your score and your MVP. 661 00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:29,040 Speaker 2: Twenty four twenty one Chiefs win, Patrick Mahomes is MVP 662 00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:30,480 Speaker 2: and the the underhits. 663 00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:32,639 Speaker 1: You know, it's never clean scores, dude, it's always like 664 00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:33,120 Speaker 1: weird Now. 665 00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:35,000 Speaker 2: Now because there's going to be a missed extra point. 666 00:27:35,119 --> 00:27:37,920 Speaker 2: Someone's going to go for two, which has Firman laid out. 667 00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:40,720 Speaker 2: Go for two is plus one hundred, which I mean 668 00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:43,000 Speaker 2: I liked a lot of Furman's bets. 669 00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:45,080 Speaker 3: I was very much. I was like, man, these are 670 00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:47,320 Speaker 3: these aren't really good. I'm like coming out with these 671 00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:49,680 Speaker 3: first drive. This guy's gonna catch out. 672 00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:51,960 Speaker 1: That show tomorrow. Yeah, it's coming out. It's a hot one. 673 00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:54,280 Speaker 1: And remember also check out betting pros dot com because 674 00:27:54,280 --> 00:27:57,000 Speaker 1: we've got a ton of articles up there to twenty 675 00:27:57,000 --> 00:28:00,560 Speaker 1: five plus articles about just the Super Bowl, and twenty 676 00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:02,520 Speaker 1: of them are written by trell I'm pretty sure. 677 00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:06,560 Speaker 3: And then trailbot AI. 678 00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:09,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, that that Trellbot's working out. Man, it's really working 679 00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:11,719 Speaker 1: out for us. It's very good. All right, Everybody, make 680 00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:13,720 Speaker 1: sure you download the VP app, make sure you subscribe 681 00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:15,520 Speaker 1: to the channel. We got more betting content with the 682 00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:18,760 Speaker 1: Super Bowl for NBA, for MLB and of course NFL 683 00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:20,600 Speaker 1: all over again and everything you can bet on in 684 00:28:20,600 --> 00:28:23,240 Speaker 1: the world to sport, So subscribe to the channel, ring 685 00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:24,920 Speaker 1: the bells of the ghost ding, and of course drop 686 00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:26,800 Speaker 1: your comments below. We love hearing from all of you 687 00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:29,120 Speaker 1: out there in the VP world. What are your predictions 688 00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:30,919 Speaker 1: for the Super Bowl? Give me our Super Bowl, MVP, 689 00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:33,320 Speaker 1: give me the score, drop it to the comments below. 690 00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:34,840 Speaker 1: That'll do it for us, But the story of the 691 00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:37,600 Speaker 1: game goes on. For Andrew ericson, I'm Joey p. We'll 692 00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:39,240 Speaker 1: see you next time. Kids. 693 00:28:40,320 --> 00:28:42,960 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 694 00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:45,360 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 695 00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:47,240 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on. 696 00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:48,800 Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 697 00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:51,720 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 698 00:28:51,800 --> 00:28:55,480 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 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