WEBVTT - James Carville Calls for Democratic Party Unity

0:00:15.396 --> 0:00:34.036
<v Speaker 1>Pushkin Pushkin from Pushkin Industries. This is Deep Background, the

0:00:34.116 --> 0:00:37.356
<v Speaker 1>show where we explored the stories behind the stories in

0:00:37.396 --> 0:00:41.076
<v Speaker 1>the news. The biggest stories in this part of twenty

0:00:41.196 --> 0:00:45.476
<v Speaker 1>twenty one are really stories of politics. There were the

0:00:45.556 --> 0:00:50.436
<v Speaker 1>offseason gubernatorial elections in which the Democratic governor of Virginia was,

0:00:50.476 --> 0:00:54.156
<v Speaker 1>surprisingly to everybody, defeated, and the Democratic governor of New

0:00:54.236 --> 0:00:58.476
<v Speaker 1>Jersey barely scraped by, despite the fact that in New Jersey,

0:00:58.516 --> 0:01:02.916
<v Speaker 1>as indeed in Virginia, Joe Biden had defeated Donald Trump handily.

0:01:03.716 --> 0:01:06.956
<v Speaker 1>These issues themselves playing to the question of what Joe

0:01:06.956 --> 0:01:09.556
<v Speaker 1>Biden's national accomplishments are and whether any and he knows

0:01:09.596 --> 0:01:12.876
<v Speaker 1>about them. And then the deeper and more sustained political

0:01:12.876 --> 0:01:16.076
<v Speaker 1>issues about the depth of polarization in our politics, the

0:01:16.236 --> 0:01:20.876
<v Speaker 1>rise of violence, and the long term future of politics

0:01:21.076 --> 0:01:24.156
<v Speaker 1>in the United States. What kind of a guest, you

0:01:24.196 --> 0:01:26.916
<v Speaker 1>may be wondering, would be eager to talk and share

0:01:27.196 --> 0:01:31.676
<v Speaker 1>views about every single element of these if a most unrestrained,

0:01:31.996 --> 0:01:36.636
<v Speaker 1>direct and colorful way possible, Who, indeed but James Carville,

0:01:37.076 --> 0:01:38.916
<v Speaker 1>the man who became known is one of the great

0:01:38.916 --> 0:01:43.036
<v Speaker 1>political strategists of the modern era. After crafting Bill Clinton's

0:01:43.076 --> 0:01:47.636
<v Speaker 1>nineteen ninety two presidential victory. James started working in politics

0:01:47.636 --> 0:01:51.316
<v Speaker 1>long before that, and he continued working in politics long after.

0:01:51.836 --> 0:01:56.436
<v Speaker 1>He's a sought after commentator, an analyst, a political adviser, and,

0:01:56.876 --> 0:02:00.516
<v Speaker 1>in the deepest and most positive sense, a character. He

0:02:00.556 --> 0:02:03.476
<v Speaker 1>says what's on his mind without fear or favor, and

0:02:03.556 --> 0:02:07.356
<v Speaker 1>that makes him about the most entertaining podcast guest you

0:02:07.396 --> 0:02:10.916
<v Speaker 1>could begin to imagine, in addition to having things to

0:02:10.956 --> 0:02:15.756
<v Speaker 1>say that are potentially deeply significant and insightful for where

0:02:15.796 --> 0:02:21.316
<v Speaker 1>we are and where we're going. James, thank you so

0:02:21.396 --> 0:02:23.796
<v Speaker 1>much for being here. I want to get into the

0:02:23.876 --> 0:02:27.436
<v Speaker 1>deep trends that are facing changing political life and in

0:02:27.476 --> 0:02:29.556
<v Speaker 1>our country today, but I want to start off with

0:02:29.596 --> 0:02:34.076
<v Speaker 1>something more local, which is the gubernatorial races, both in

0:02:34.156 --> 0:02:38.196
<v Speaker 1>New Jersey where Democrat Film Murphy barely survived and then

0:02:38.436 --> 0:02:41.996
<v Speaker 1>Virginia where Terry mccaugh the Democrat, went down. And I

0:02:42.036 --> 0:02:47.156
<v Speaker 1>want to ask you what your interpretation is of those results. Well,

0:02:47.796 --> 0:02:53.476
<v Speaker 1>I think it speaks to a large issue for reasons

0:02:53.756 --> 0:02:56.596
<v Speaker 1>that are complex, and I don't quite understand, people have

0:02:56.676 --> 0:03:03.156
<v Speaker 1>become willing to believe anything about Democrats. We are immunocompromise

0:03:03.516 --> 0:03:08.436
<v Speaker 1>where people are willing to believe the most outlanderous things

0:03:08.476 --> 0:03:14.156
<v Speaker 1>because a small segment of people who associated to Democratic

0:03:14.196 --> 0:03:20.196
<v Speaker 1>Party come up with these crazy ass ideas that gained currency,

0:03:20.516 --> 0:03:23.516
<v Speaker 1>and we dive into that because I have two part

0:03:23.516 --> 0:03:26.916
<v Speaker 1>answer to that. The first is Donald Trump. He taught

0:03:26.956 --> 0:03:30.156
<v Speaker 1>everybody that you can assert anything and people who want

0:03:30.156 --> 0:03:32.476
<v Speaker 1>to be on your side will listen to you. But

0:03:32.516 --> 0:03:34.196
<v Speaker 1>that's not going to be enough here because a lot

0:03:34.196 --> 0:03:36.596
<v Speaker 1>of those voters in the places you just mentioned who

0:03:36.596 --> 0:03:43.116
<v Speaker 1>went Republican themselves were anti Trump, So that's not quite enough.

0:03:44.036 --> 0:03:45.596
<v Speaker 1>The other element has got to have something to do

0:03:45.596 --> 0:03:50.196
<v Speaker 1>with the internal politics of at least the publicly facing discussion,

0:03:50.996 --> 0:03:54.556
<v Speaker 1>where I do think that what's happened is that super prominent,

0:03:54.676 --> 0:03:57.476
<v Speaker 1>especially younger voices on the left side of the party,

0:03:58.036 --> 0:04:02.596
<v Speaker 1>have tremendous sway in the public conversation, as more moderate

0:04:02.636 --> 0:04:06.436
<v Speaker 1>voices just say okay, I hear you, but don't stand

0:04:06.476 --> 0:04:08.916
<v Speaker 1>up and argue against that side of the party because

0:04:08.916 --> 0:04:11.436
<v Speaker 1>they think, well, we have the votes anyway, we have

0:04:11.516 --> 0:04:13.356
<v Speaker 1>the power in the party anyway, there's no point in

0:04:13.396 --> 0:04:17.436
<v Speaker 1>wasting our energy in fighting with you publicly. And what's more,

0:04:17.436 --> 0:04:19.116
<v Speaker 1>you'll bring us down. So we're just not going to

0:04:19.196 --> 0:04:21.836
<v Speaker 1>do that. And then when a Republican goes out and

0:04:21.876 --> 0:04:23.756
<v Speaker 1>says you have to believe this about the Democrats, the

0:04:23.796 --> 0:04:26.556
<v Speaker 1>public says, Okay, I guess we do believe because you

0:04:26.596 --> 0:04:28.916
<v Speaker 1>haven't been we don't visibly see you fighting with the

0:04:28.996 --> 0:04:32.836
<v Speaker 1>left wing of your party. So, by the way, I'm

0:04:32.836 --> 0:04:35.356
<v Speaker 1>not a modern Democrat. I'm allible Democrat. And I take

0:04:35.396 --> 0:04:38.596
<v Speaker 1>all of these little exams online, you know, Yeah, there's

0:04:38.636 --> 0:04:40.676
<v Speaker 1>a thousand of them. Then I always come out like

0:04:40.716 --> 0:04:43.076
<v Speaker 1>an eight point two or something. All right, But what

0:04:43.156 --> 0:04:46.316
<v Speaker 1>I'm not is a leftist. But you got to understand it.

0:04:46.396 --> 0:04:51.156
<v Speaker 1>That is part of the Democratic coalition. It's not a

0:04:51.156 --> 0:04:54.836
<v Speaker 1>big part at all, all right, not at all. I

0:04:54.876 --> 0:04:58.836
<v Speaker 1>could fight you election after the election in Manhattan, in

0:04:58.996 --> 0:05:02.276
<v Speaker 1>New York City, in Cleveland and New Orleans and anywhere

0:05:02.276 --> 0:05:05.356
<v Speaker 1>you want to look, and they are in my view,

0:05:05.436 --> 0:05:07.756
<v Speaker 1>and you have a lot of it in academia. To me,

0:05:07.796 --> 0:05:12.116
<v Speaker 1>they're kind of silly, all right. They're not evil. They're

0:05:12.156 --> 0:05:16.596
<v Speaker 1>just I think, silly and try to change the language,

0:05:16.596 --> 0:05:19.156
<v Speaker 1>and people just resist and don't want to talk about

0:05:19.716 --> 0:05:23.756
<v Speaker 1>the significant part of their party is out now evil

0:05:24.596 --> 0:05:26.356
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I mean, I mean, none of it in

0:05:26.436 --> 0:05:32.076
<v Speaker 1>a fruitcake. Yeah, yes, yes, yeah. Supposed you have a

0:05:32.116 --> 0:05:34.716
<v Speaker 1>grandchild of a niece, a nephew and they come to

0:05:34.756 --> 0:05:37.756
<v Speaker 1>you and they say, I'm gonna I'm gonna work in

0:05:37.796 --> 0:05:41.036
<v Speaker 1>the LC's office. It will be the deputy communications person.

0:05:41.116 --> 0:05:43.716
<v Speaker 1>You would your reaction would be, well, that's fine, you're

0:05:43.756 --> 0:05:45.916
<v Speaker 1>gonna meet some interesting people or probably some of the

0:05:45.956 --> 0:05:48.236
<v Speaker 1>things that you have Kate and I can't go along with,

0:05:48.396 --> 0:05:50.436
<v Speaker 1>but there'll be a hell of an experience. Please do it.

0:05:51.036 --> 0:05:53.196
<v Speaker 1>If your niece, your grandchild comes you and says I'm

0:05:53.236 --> 0:05:56.036
<v Speaker 1>going to work from Martrey Taylor Green, you jump off

0:05:56.036 --> 0:05:59.796
<v Speaker 1>the bridge. Your life is open. It's not a comparable event.

0:06:00.236 --> 0:06:04.236
<v Speaker 1>They're not comparable people. But the thing is it gives

0:06:04.276 --> 0:06:08.436
<v Speaker 1>a it gives the equivalence caucus. Well, yeah, you got them,

0:06:08.636 --> 0:06:10.836
<v Speaker 1>but we've got that. Yeah, you got some silly people,

0:06:10.916 --> 0:06:14.916
<v Speaker 1>we got some criminals. Okay, that's a difference between all

0:06:14.996 --> 0:06:20.516
<v Speaker 1>right having a silly idea and Sam in the goddamn capital. Okay,

0:06:20.516 --> 0:06:22.956
<v Speaker 1>it's too different. I could not agree with you more

0:06:22.996 --> 0:06:25.756
<v Speaker 1>that we're talking about radically different things. One thing it

0:06:25.756 --> 0:06:27.716
<v Speaker 1>really strikes me is that, you know, when I was

0:06:27.756 --> 0:06:30.836
<v Speaker 1>first learning about politics, the Republican Party was self presenting

0:06:30.836 --> 0:06:33.876
<v Speaker 1>itself as moral. They called themselves moral. They had a

0:06:33.916 --> 0:06:36.836
<v Speaker 1>group called the Moral Majority, and Democrats were the party

0:06:36.876 --> 0:06:38.876
<v Speaker 1>of liberalism, which was a party of tolerance, where we

0:06:38.876 --> 0:06:40.676
<v Speaker 1>didn't preach that we were moral. On the other side

0:06:40.716 --> 0:06:43.596
<v Speaker 1>was not moral, that said. A lot of the most

0:06:43.636 --> 0:06:46.716
<v Speaker 1>deeply committed activists on the left of the Democratic Party,

0:06:46.796 --> 0:06:50.516
<v Speaker 1>or some of them called themselves democratic socialists, are highly

0:06:50.556 --> 0:06:53.636
<v Speaker 1>focused on a politics of morality. They think that supporters

0:06:53.676 --> 0:06:55.916
<v Speaker 1>on the other side are not just wrong, but are bad,

0:06:56.356 --> 0:07:00.516
<v Speaker 1>and that worldviews that they disagree with are not just wrong,

0:07:00.556 --> 0:07:05.076
<v Speaker 1>but our evil, our racist or grounded in racism, or

0:07:05.796 --> 0:07:08.556
<v Speaker 1>our capitalist in a way that's not excusable. And that

0:07:08.636 --> 0:07:11.676
<v Speaker 1>seems to me to drive a lot of the debate

0:07:11.716 --> 0:07:15.036
<v Speaker 1>in which liberal Democrats or moderate Democrats don't want to

0:07:15.076 --> 0:07:17.276
<v Speaker 1>get into it. They don't want to fight over these questions.

0:07:17.676 --> 0:07:21.836
<v Speaker 1>But I understand that. Okay, it's a small part of

0:07:21.876 --> 0:07:26.396
<v Speaker 1>the Democratic Party. Agreed. Agreed, They're a big part of

0:07:26.436 --> 0:07:30.876
<v Speaker 1>the culture, and they're given a much bigger megaphone than

0:07:31.276 --> 0:07:34.556
<v Speaker 1>their votes deserve. They lose every freaking election. The only

0:07:34.596 --> 0:07:38.476
<v Speaker 1>election that can never win is primary in some poor

0:07:38.556 --> 0:07:43.476
<v Speaker 1>old Democrat in a plus Cook plus PBI forty district.

0:07:43.556 --> 0:07:45.996
<v Speaker 1>They don't run against Republicans. All they run is in Mouth,

0:07:46.796 --> 0:07:51.556
<v Speaker 1>all right, that's what they experts at and in people

0:07:51.756 --> 0:07:54.916
<v Speaker 1>don't want to live like that. So when people live

0:07:54.956 --> 0:08:00.276
<v Speaker 1>in fear, they just don't do it. And I was

0:08:00.276 --> 0:08:02.756
<v Speaker 1>steaching two lane, and I said, look, the only reason

0:08:03.556 --> 0:08:05.956
<v Speaker 1>that I'm not inviting David Duke to speak to this

0:08:05.996 --> 0:08:08.596
<v Speaker 1>class because I just don't want the president university crap

0:08:08.596 --> 0:08:12.156
<v Speaker 1>of pineapp apple. And you know i'd call it, but philosophically,

0:08:12.636 --> 0:08:15.956
<v Speaker 1>I'm an old liberal, like even Bernie Sanders. As much

0:08:15.996 --> 0:08:18.916
<v Speaker 1>as I tussle with Bernie, he's the same way. And

0:08:19.076 --> 0:08:23.436
<v Speaker 1>a lot of old line a clu Ada Democrats that are.

0:08:24.076 --> 0:08:25.996
<v Speaker 1>And I'm bored to come bore out of the Southern

0:08:26.076 --> 0:08:29.436
<v Speaker 1>Democratic tradition. But this shit makes me uncomfortable at some level.

0:08:30.076 --> 0:08:32.996
<v Speaker 1>But I'm not uncomfortable enough to challenge it because it'll

0:08:33.076 --> 0:08:37.916
<v Speaker 1>just scream it out. I haven't gotten any significant pushback

0:08:37.956 --> 0:08:42.516
<v Speaker 1>from a democratic strategist, opportunites, consultant, whatever you want to

0:08:42.516 --> 0:08:47.156
<v Speaker 1>call them, saying your misdiagnosis, James. No, yep, they're just that.

0:08:47.396 --> 0:08:51.236
<v Speaker 1>No one, no one believes that. But I'm gonna draw

0:08:51.316 --> 0:08:54.036
<v Speaker 1>back a little bit because I'm tired of fighting with

0:08:54.156 --> 0:08:57.036
<v Speaker 1>other Democrats because I think the country's on the go

0:08:57.116 --> 0:08:58.956
<v Speaker 1>the wrong fucking way here. All right, this is not

0:09:00.076 --> 0:09:02.756
<v Speaker 1>that was gonna be. That was gonna be my next question, Um,

0:09:03.116 --> 0:09:06.596
<v Speaker 1>what is your assessment of the odds of genuine disaster

0:09:06.716 --> 0:09:11.076
<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty two and twenty twenty four to Yeah,

0:09:11.196 --> 0:09:13.356
<v Speaker 1>if you go in and you're having a medical test,

0:09:14.116 --> 0:09:16.996
<v Speaker 1>all right, and what's the odd that you say, fuck this,

0:09:17.116 --> 0:09:20.316
<v Speaker 1>I don't want it. It's way hard that Okay, if

0:09:20.396 --> 0:09:23.316
<v Speaker 1>that's going in and doing a heart cast or something

0:09:23.436 --> 0:09:25.596
<v Speaker 1>in the dodge that I was gonna die, age highs

0:09:25.596 --> 0:09:29.116
<v Speaker 1>that we have a genuine catastrophe in I say, I

0:09:29.196 --> 0:09:31.036
<v Speaker 1>should I just die of a heart attack? Man to

0:09:31.116 --> 0:09:34.276
<v Speaker 1>stay away from me. Yeah, I can't put a number

0:09:34.316 --> 0:09:37.516
<v Speaker 1>on it, but it's unbelievably for the fear that people

0:09:37.556 --> 0:09:39.316
<v Speaker 1>like me have, We're not We're not. It's not crazy

0:09:39.316 --> 0:09:44.236
<v Speaker 1>to be that a fred And it's not crazy for

0:09:45.516 --> 0:09:49.196
<v Speaker 1>people to say at some point we're such a danger.

0:09:49.676 --> 0:09:52.196
<v Speaker 1>We just got to stop fighting with each other, all right.

0:09:52.196 --> 0:09:55.916
<v Speaker 1>And I'll be the first. I've always been willing to criticize,

0:09:56.036 --> 0:09:59.076
<v Speaker 1>and I think justifiably, don't get me wrong, but sometimes

0:09:59.076 --> 0:10:01.196
<v Speaker 1>you got to subjugate, which you really think for the

0:10:01.276 --> 0:10:03.476
<v Speaker 1>greater good of the country. And I think we're entering

0:10:03.516 --> 0:10:06.076
<v Speaker 1>a period like that. I really do. Well, let me

0:10:06.076 --> 0:10:08.276
<v Speaker 1>ask you about that, because I like to say that too.

0:10:08.316 --> 0:10:10.036
<v Speaker 1>I always say, you know, and things get bad enough,

0:10:10.076 --> 0:10:12.316
<v Speaker 1>we reach and recognize that we have enough in common

0:10:12.316 --> 0:10:15.476
<v Speaker 1>that we have to pull together. But you know, pandemic,

0:10:15.956 --> 0:10:20.356
<v Speaker 1>national shutdown, economy through the floor, that all just happened,

0:10:20.756 --> 0:10:22.756
<v Speaker 1>and it did not pull us together. It did not

0:10:22.836 --> 0:10:26.716
<v Speaker 1>produce any kind of unification. And what's more, in some way,

0:10:26.916 --> 0:10:28.436
<v Speaker 1>we got through it. I mean, I'm not saying we're

0:10:28.436 --> 0:10:30.076
<v Speaker 1>all the way through it. We're not. I'm not saying

0:10:30.076 --> 0:10:33.116
<v Speaker 1>we're not through it without consequences. There are consequences. But

0:10:33.476 --> 0:10:34.956
<v Speaker 1>we did get through it. And so that sort of

0:10:34.996 --> 0:10:37.356
<v Speaker 1>makes me wonder what did it take. What would it

0:10:37.396 --> 0:10:39.836
<v Speaker 1>take for us to actually say we got to pull together.

0:10:40.516 --> 0:10:44.196
<v Speaker 1>I don't think we saw it all right. I mean,

0:10:44.556 --> 0:10:48.956
<v Speaker 1>we exist, and you know, the Kenya treasury is still

0:10:49.036 --> 0:10:52.436
<v Speaker 1>with the benchmark of the world. But I'm not sure

0:10:52.516 --> 0:10:55.876
<v Speaker 1>that we food yesh. I mean, we had a insurrection,

0:10:55.916 --> 0:10:59.876
<v Speaker 1>which is one of the great criminal acts, political criminal acts,

0:10:59.876 --> 0:11:06.796
<v Speaker 1>and since what's something and we're still dealing with it.

0:11:07.356 --> 0:11:09.716
<v Speaker 1>I don't think we threw it at all. In the

0:11:09.796 --> 0:11:14.036
<v Speaker 1>aftermath of that insurrection. We've had a total breakdown in

0:11:14.076 --> 0:11:17.436
<v Speaker 1>the capacity of our institutions to blame anybody for it.

0:11:18.156 --> 0:11:22.596
<v Speaker 1>And you know, we've got centure that has no effect

0:11:22.636 --> 0:11:26.236
<v Speaker 1>on members of the House who are centured money off

0:11:26.276 --> 0:11:28.076
<v Speaker 1>of it. Yeah, exactly, they turn around and raise money

0:11:28.116 --> 0:11:30.956
<v Speaker 1>off it the next day. Forty three percent of this

0:11:31.156 --> 0:11:34.556
<v Speaker 1>country doesn't want it to get better, and I'm afraid

0:11:34.636 --> 0:11:39.516
<v Speaker 1>another eight percent have just checked out. Yeah. So if

0:11:39.556 --> 0:11:41.996
<v Speaker 1>that's the case, I'm not clear on what it takes

0:11:42.036 --> 0:11:45.236
<v Speaker 1>to so that the kind of the grand talk that

0:11:45.316 --> 0:11:48.356
<v Speaker 1>I believe in of being able to find our way

0:11:48.356 --> 0:11:50.596
<v Speaker 1>back to the middle. I'm I worry that I'm wrong.

0:11:51.636 --> 0:11:55.796
<v Speaker 1>I'll do too. I'm worried at you all wrong. Yeah, Okay, Yeah,

0:11:56.036 --> 0:12:01.436
<v Speaker 1>I mean I'm really worried. I'm not saying that is

0:12:01.476 --> 0:12:03.636
<v Speaker 1>going to end poorly, but I'm saying the odds of

0:12:03.636 --> 0:12:06.996
<v Speaker 1>that happening are way too high. One thing that made

0:12:07.076 --> 0:12:10.116
<v Speaker 1>me optimistic is too strong, but made me makes me

0:12:10.156 --> 0:12:13.716
<v Speaker 1>feel positive is looking at Stacey Abrams and what she

0:12:13.756 --> 0:12:18.316
<v Speaker 1>accomplished in Georgia using turnout in twenty twenty, and I

0:12:18.356 --> 0:12:21.156
<v Speaker 1>was really curious to hear your view about that. I mean,

0:12:21.196 --> 0:12:23.836
<v Speaker 1>she in her case, it's a multi year strategy with

0:12:23.916 --> 0:12:26.716
<v Speaker 1>a theory, an operation to try to bring it about

0:12:26.876 --> 0:12:30.756
<v Speaker 1>and at least under those election conditions, really impressive results

0:12:31.276 --> 0:12:34.636
<v Speaker 1>on presidential election and then both Senate seats. I worry

0:12:34.636 --> 0:12:36.756
<v Speaker 1>a little bit we're too dependent on those Senate seats.

0:12:37.076 --> 0:12:39.156
<v Speaker 1>But but I want to hear what you think about that,

0:12:39.596 --> 0:12:42.156
<v Speaker 1>the Stacey Abrams strategy and how it's been executed. So

0:12:42.316 --> 0:12:44.476
<v Speaker 1>I have a lot of thoughts about that. First of all,

0:12:44.276 --> 0:12:48.156
<v Speaker 1>we p to Peacia academic research, the lead research. I

0:12:48.236 --> 0:12:51.596
<v Speaker 1>want to say to Stoppel, who's at hard news data

0:12:51.716 --> 0:12:57.476
<v Speaker 1>from the ninth and it basically compared Stacy in Georgia. Shoot,

0:12:57.516 --> 0:13:00.836
<v Speaker 1>I think it was Reverend Barba North Carolina. Wait, in,

0:13:00.956 --> 0:13:03.916
<v Speaker 1>this is my real issue with these left issues. They

0:13:03.956 --> 0:13:05.996
<v Speaker 1>don't want to engage in politics. They think it's like

0:13:06.116 --> 0:13:10.916
<v Speaker 1>a dirty business. If you're not willing to engage in politics,

0:13:10.996 --> 0:13:14.836
<v Speaker 1>you're just full of shit, all right. Reverend Barbara North Carolina,

0:13:14.996 --> 0:13:19.716
<v Speaker 1>he organized around idealism and Stacy organized around politics, and

0:13:19.916 --> 0:13:25.116
<v Speaker 1>like went out campaign for like like Democrats brought up bills, etcetera, etcetera.

0:13:26.236 --> 0:13:30.116
<v Speaker 1>Georgia's voted blue in twenty twenty and North Carolina didn't.

0:13:30.236 --> 0:13:34.116
<v Speaker 1>And it's it's a very compelling piece of research, and

0:13:34.196 --> 0:13:36.676
<v Speaker 1>it's a compelling piece of political science. I recommend it

0:13:36.716 --> 0:13:39.436
<v Speaker 1>to everybody. You have to get your hands dirty, and

0:13:39.596 --> 0:13:41.876
<v Speaker 1>you've got to compromise, and you gotta push, and you

0:13:41.956 --> 0:13:45.276
<v Speaker 1>gotta do this. And once you start thinking that you

0:13:45.396 --> 0:13:48.476
<v Speaker 1>have to wear a condom anytime you're around politics, you've

0:13:48.556 --> 0:13:52.276
<v Speaker 1>lost the game. And I think that is in her

0:13:52.396 --> 0:13:57.236
<v Speaker 1>cohorts research showed that very demonstravely. I have a very

0:13:57.316 --> 0:14:02.356
<v Speaker 1>high opinion of politics. But I do think the problem

0:14:02.596 --> 0:14:05.596
<v Speaker 1>is one side, I go back to my central thesis,

0:14:05.836 --> 0:14:11.556
<v Speaker 1>is out of their goddamn minds, literally accepted of criminality,

0:14:13.196 --> 0:14:16.556
<v Speaker 1>and the other side is caught up in what I

0:14:16.596 --> 0:14:22.476
<v Speaker 1>would say is not particularly productive, almost theological view of

0:14:22.556 --> 0:14:27.436
<v Speaker 1>the world, a zealous thing that they called the dictatorship

0:14:27.476 --> 0:14:31.556
<v Speaker 1>of the politarium. This is the dictatorship of overwhelmingly over

0:14:31.796 --> 0:14:35.316
<v Speaker 1>educated whites trying to dictate to the rest of the

0:14:35.396 --> 0:14:40.436
<v Speaker 1>country's something that they're not interested in buying. When you

0:14:40.676 --> 0:14:43.396
<v Speaker 1>investigate this to few people, and they're very good. They did,

0:14:43.436 --> 0:14:48.236
<v Speaker 1>like a four thousand sample divide America into nine different

0:14:48.316 --> 0:14:54.476
<v Speaker 1>subgroups for Democratic, for Republican, one independently. In the Democratic Party,

0:14:54.956 --> 0:14:59.636
<v Speaker 1>the extreme left was like eleven percent of the party.

0:14:59.996 --> 0:15:03.116
<v Speaker 1>It was the only majority white part of our coalition.

0:15:03.876 --> 0:15:06.316
<v Speaker 1>That'll tell you something. Somebody's got a call this for

0:15:06.436 --> 0:15:10.076
<v Speaker 1>what it is, right, Yeah, and that is I mean

0:15:10.116 --> 0:15:12.116
<v Speaker 1>that also fits into the stay Abrams approach. I mean

0:15:12.196 --> 0:15:14.836
<v Speaker 1>she won over and got turned out from black voters,

0:15:14.996 --> 0:15:17.476
<v Speaker 1>not by running to the left of the of the party,

0:15:17.556 --> 0:15:20.796
<v Speaker 1>but running things back towards the center right. And she

0:15:20.916 --> 0:15:23.636
<v Speaker 1>did also a little better around the state with the whites,

0:15:24.396 --> 0:15:28.076
<v Speaker 1>you know, particularly in like northern you know, some of

0:15:28.196 --> 0:15:31.116
<v Speaker 1>these areas not not great. You know, we had a

0:15:31.196 --> 0:15:34.716
<v Speaker 1>theory in twenty twenty. We've spent ninety million dollars and

0:15:34.836 --> 0:15:40.676
<v Speaker 1>seventy seven counties in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, and we

0:15:40.716 --> 0:15:45.276
<v Speaker 1>actually changed the boat those counties by somewhere between three

0:15:45.356 --> 0:15:49.436
<v Speaker 1>and six. That changes sea level. Yep, that changes sea level.

0:15:50.436 --> 0:15:54.876
<v Speaker 1>Once they have this sort of urban strategy that we're

0:15:54.916 --> 0:15:57.716
<v Speaker 1>gonna have educated whites and by park it's at the

0:15:57.756 --> 0:16:02.636
<v Speaker 1>ADI just not enough because they're not enough. They're not

0:16:02.876 --> 0:16:05.316
<v Speaker 1>enough white people. They're not enough white people of that

0:16:06.236 --> 0:16:10.036
<v Speaker 1>very strategic and located. And by the way, the black

0:16:10.116 --> 0:16:14.916
<v Speaker 1>indigenous people of color becoming, if anything, slightly less democratic.

0:16:15.796 --> 0:16:18.236
<v Speaker 1>In eighteen percent of the people in this country elect

0:16:18.316 --> 0:16:21.716
<v Speaker 1>fifty two senators. Right, So unless you're willing to just

0:16:21.836 --> 0:16:26.236
<v Speaker 1>throw the unless the Senate doesn't count, your strategy is stupid.

0:16:27.236 --> 0:16:29.996
<v Speaker 1>It's not gonna happen. Yeah, what about those proposals that

0:16:30.076 --> 0:16:33.876
<v Speaker 1>I think of frankly is crazy to break up big

0:16:34.276 --> 0:16:37.636
<v Speaker 1>democratic states and create more states, which obviously the Republicans

0:16:37.676 --> 0:16:40.876
<v Speaker 1>could retaliate with Texas at least. But when you hear

0:16:40.916 --> 0:16:42.996
<v Speaker 1>that kind of thing, when I hear it, I just

0:16:43.076 --> 0:16:45.876
<v Speaker 1>think crazy talk. Don't waste my time. It should I

0:16:45.956 --> 0:16:49.036
<v Speaker 1>be more realistic about that. Yeah, you should be more.

0:16:49.116 --> 0:16:53.556
<v Speaker 1>You should be worried. In Batterygees where I grew up,

0:16:54.156 --> 0:16:56.276
<v Speaker 1>Corville was twenty miles south of bat Rage. I went

0:16:56.316 --> 0:16:58.556
<v Speaker 1>to college, and they just have this thing where it's

0:16:58.596 --> 0:17:02.836
<v Speaker 1>just kind of white part of South batter Rouge wants

0:17:02.836 --> 0:17:05.156
<v Speaker 1>to break off from the parish because they don't want

0:17:05.196 --> 0:17:08.396
<v Speaker 1>to support schools in non white districts. I mean, it's

0:17:08.396 --> 0:17:12.276
<v Speaker 1>a pretty clear what the motivation is. It's very popular,

0:17:12.796 --> 0:17:15.116
<v Speaker 1>and you can just see as you see these polls

0:17:15.196 --> 0:17:19.036
<v Speaker 1>and you're started to dimiss them, like thirty eight percent succession,

0:17:20.516 --> 0:17:24.316
<v Speaker 1>really succession? You can wait a minute. You know, urban areas.

0:17:25.116 --> 0:17:27.436
<v Speaker 1>You know, I grew up in Louisiana, though all in

0:17:27.556 --> 0:17:29.236
<v Speaker 1>versus the rest of the state. I cut my teeth

0:17:29.236 --> 0:17:33.196
<v Speaker 1>in Pennsylvania politics, it's always Philadelphia versus the rest of

0:17:33.236 --> 0:17:38.156
<v Speaker 1>the state. And boy, if you look at Texas ship

0:17:38.516 --> 0:17:41.636
<v Speaker 1>eighty percent of the growth in Texas is all in quote,

0:17:41.756 --> 0:17:46.396
<v Speaker 1>democratic rural counties unquote. I mean, it's all in Harris

0:17:46.476 --> 0:17:51.556
<v Speaker 1>and Dallas and Tarrant and Travis and Bayer and there's

0:17:51.596 --> 0:17:56.556
<v Speaker 1>everything else. And so that this is a it's a dangerous,

0:17:56.996 --> 0:17:59.436
<v Speaker 1>dangerous idea that's taken more hold than I would like.

0:18:01.436 --> 0:18:12.916
<v Speaker 1>We'll be right back, James. Another topic I wanted to

0:18:12.956 --> 0:18:15.756
<v Speaker 1>ask you about, which is only obliquely related to this,

0:18:16.036 --> 0:18:20.796
<v Speaker 1>is executive privilege. So you've got Steve Bannon, who's you know,

0:18:20.916 --> 0:18:24.236
<v Speaker 1>about as unpleasant a person as you can imagine, just

0:18:24.396 --> 0:18:28.036
<v Speaker 1>been federally charged for contempt of Congress for asserting that

0:18:28.196 --> 0:18:32.836
<v Speaker 1>executive privilege would protect him from having to testify with

0:18:32.956 --> 0:18:35.636
<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump telling him so, and you know, as a

0:18:35.716 --> 0:18:40.196
<v Speaker 1>matter of existing law, he is wrong, and presumably if

0:18:40.236 --> 0:18:43.116
<v Speaker 1>it gets to a jury, he'll be convicted. But it

0:18:43.236 --> 0:18:46.596
<v Speaker 1>does raise an underlying question, which is, and you've had

0:18:46.636 --> 0:18:49.476
<v Speaker 1>this experience yourself of being a close advisor of presidents.

0:18:49.676 --> 0:18:54.596
<v Speaker 1>So how much should communications between the president and senior

0:18:54.636 --> 0:18:58.396
<v Speaker 1>advisors continue to be protected even when the next president

0:18:58.476 --> 0:19:01.676
<v Speaker 1>says I waive the privilege. I'm happy for the information

0:19:01.796 --> 0:19:06.156
<v Speaker 1>to come out. Well, I mean it should be protected

0:19:06.476 --> 0:19:12.316
<v Speaker 1>pretty vigorously. Okay, Now if he should not be protected, right, Okay,

0:19:12.676 --> 0:19:15.756
<v Speaker 1>that's the bright line. That's that's the bright line. You know,

0:19:15.796 --> 0:19:18.756
<v Speaker 1>if you say, look, if we negotiate this, or you know,

0:19:18.916 --> 0:19:22.356
<v Speaker 1>this guy wants a postmaster and Shoeboygan, and so we

0:19:22.436 --> 0:19:24.756
<v Speaker 1>can give him a postmaster ship and Seboygan and we

0:19:24.796 --> 0:19:27.596
<v Speaker 1>can get his vote on that, that that obviously should

0:19:27.636 --> 0:19:32.796
<v Speaker 1>be protected. To the Instagram. Yeah, I think executive privilege

0:19:32.916 --> 0:19:37.516
<v Speaker 1>does have a pretty solid place in the law. But

0:19:37.956 --> 0:19:39.916
<v Speaker 1>by the way, I think if any if he goes

0:19:39.996 --> 0:19:42.636
<v Speaker 1>to jail to be his cellmate, you could make a

0:19:42.716 --> 0:19:45.756
<v Speaker 1>good Eighth Amendment Cruel and unusual punishment. Can you mand

0:19:45.836 --> 0:19:48.076
<v Speaker 1>what he smells? Like, oh my God, you had to

0:19:48.116 --> 0:19:52.716
<v Speaker 1>said his name. Sell that Jesus, he'd have people looking

0:19:52.876 --> 0:19:56.436
<v Speaker 1>looking for the gas chamber. I'm not I'm ever going

0:19:56.516 --> 0:19:59.036
<v Speaker 1>to touch that one, although I'd be very surprised if

0:19:59.036 --> 0:20:01.836
<v Speaker 1>he sees the inside of a prison, very very surprised,

0:20:01.876 --> 0:20:04.036
<v Speaker 1>but not impossible. Do you think, by the way, speaking

0:20:04.076 --> 0:20:06.396
<v Speaker 1>of Bennon, do you think that as a kind of

0:20:06.636 --> 0:20:09.036
<v Speaker 1>intellectual father of Trump is um because you know, tru

0:20:09.316 --> 0:20:11.316
<v Speaker 1>himself did not invent Trump. Isn't that much as clear

0:20:11.396 --> 0:20:14.196
<v Speaker 1>And although success as a thousand fathers, it's clear that

0:20:14.276 --> 0:20:19.076
<v Speaker 1>Bennon is one of them. Is he someone whose political insights,

0:20:19.196 --> 0:20:22.756
<v Speaker 1>in your view, were powerful? I mean they're bad. I

0:20:22.796 --> 0:20:24.996
<v Speaker 1>don't think there's any question about that. They're very bad.

0:20:25.556 --> 0:20:28.556
<v Speaker 1>But what is he someone you put in the kind

0:20:28.596 --> 0:20:32.276
<v Speaker 1>of short list of people who, like you, have the

0:20:32.356 --> 0:20:34.596
<v Speaker 1>kind of political clarity and vision to see what's coming

0:20:34.636 --> 0:20:37.076
<v Speaker 1>down the road? I mean Karl Rove, whose politics I

0:20:37.156 --> 0:20:39.716
<v Speaker 1>don't particularly care for, and neither do you. I think

0:20:39.756 --> 0:20:43.116
<v Speaker 1>he clearly does fall into that category. But does Steve

0:20:43.196 --> 0:20:47.876
<v Speaker 1>Bannon fit in that category? I think Bannon's genius was

0:20:47.996 --> 0:20:53.916
<v Speaker 1>he saw a dormant narrating that people would just really

0:20:54.156 --> 0:20:58.356
<v Speaker 1>ready to respond to. And I hate to say it.

0:20:59.516 --> 0:21:04.516
<v Speaker 1>I hope that Bennonism's crushed, But again, I don't know.

0:21:04.676 --> 0:21:06.516
<v Speaker 1>He could. He could be one of the more relevant

0:21:06.556 --> 0:21:12.116
<v Speaker 1>people in next not American consulting. Yeah, I hate giving

0:21:12.156 --> 0:21:17.796
<v Speaker 1>a guy. Clearly, you have this kind of Thanksgiving Day table,

0:21:18.036 --> 0:21:21.836
<v Speaker 1>you know, Uncle Joe spouting shit off. It was a

0:21:21.916 --> 0:21:27.036
<v Speaker 1>lot more popular than you didn't We would have liked. Yeah, yeah,

0:21:27.476 --> 0:21:29.796
<v Speaker 1>what do you think explains it having been dormant for

0:21:29.876 --> 0:21:31.756
<v Speaker 1>as long as it was, Because that's one thing that's

0:21:31.756 --> 0:21:34.436
<v Speaker 1>fascinating about it. Like you said, it's not really that

0:21:34.676 --> 0:21:37.356
<v Speaker 1>new and narrative in its essence. That's why you call

0:21:37.396 --> 0:21:40.876
<v Speaker 1>it dormant. It was there all along. We just people

0:21:40.956 --> 0:21:43.396
<v Speaker 1>like like us thought to ourselves, Yeah, there's Uncle Joe,

0:21:43.876 --> 0:21:45.876
<v Speaker 1>but that's not how you win elections in the United States.

0:21:45.916 --> 0:21:47.756
<v Speaker 1>There's certain things that you can't say, even if you're

0:21:47.756 --> 0:21:49.996
<v Speaker 1>the Republican candidate running for president. You can have a

0:21:50.036 --> 0:21:53.196
<v Speaker 1>whistle dog whistle to racism, but you can't overtly be

0:21:53.276 --> 0:21:55.916
<v Speaker 1>a racist. Turns out not true, right, You can say

0:21:55.916 --> 0:21:58.716
<v Speaker 1>a lot of things openly that we thought you couldn't say,

0:21:58.716 --> 0:22:00.636
<v Speaker 1>and not just we, but everyone in the political game

0:22:00.996 --> 0:22:03.956
<v Speaker 1>thought you couldn't say it openly, So why why was that?

0:22:04.156 --> 0:22:06.236
<v Speaker 1>Why don't we get as long a period in which

0:22:06.316 --> 0:22:08.956
<v Speaker 1>these things were inappropriate to say or believed to mean

0:22:08.996 --> 0:22:11.676
<v Speaker 1>a rope to say politically as we actually got said.

0:22:11.916 --> 0:22:14.116
<v Speaker 1>It kind of started the obligation kind of started with

0:22:14.236 --> 0:22:15.996
<v Speaker 1>Lee at Water. He said, you know, you used to

0:22:16.036 --> 0:22:17.916
<v Speaker 1>be able to stand up and say blah blah blah,

0:22:18.036 --> 0:22:22.436
<v Speaker 1>but now you got to say busting of urban you

0:22:22.556 --> 0:22:27.076
<v Speaker 1>from And what the balance of the world said is no,

0:22:27.356 --> 0:22:31.596
<v Speaker 1>you don't. You just go you go right for the jugular.

0:22:32.476 --> 0:22:37.436
<v Speaker 1>And you know, the Republican Party for a long time

0:22:37.676 --> 0:22:42.436
<v Speaker 1>was sort of more interested in service and capitalism's needs.

0:22:42.876 --> 0:22:47.076
<v Speaker 1>But again, yeah, I think that we we don't speak

0:22:47.116 --> 0:22:50.476
<v Speaker 1>in coded languages so much anymore. And I actually kind

0:22:50.476 --> 0:22:54.516
<v Speaker 1>of like coded languages. That's the kind of language is dangerous.

0:22:55.876 --> 0:22:58.956
<v Speaker 1>It is really dangerous because dangerous people hear it and

0:22:59.036 --> 0:23:02.916
<v Speaker 1>believe it. That's a danger and that something does And look,

0:23:03.916 --> 0:23:07.356
<v Speaker 1>you could go a long way in America feeling to

0:23:07.436 --> 0:23:12.596
<v Speaker 1>people's prejudices and fears, and it's really a if you

0:23:12.636 --> 0:23:15.956
<v Speaker 1>stop and you think about it, product, there have an

0:23:16.076 --> 0:23:19.556
<v Speaker 1>idea that they and I hear this all the time.

0:23:19.756 --> 0:23:22.076
<v Speaker 1>I hear from family members, I hear from people I

0:23:22.196 --> 0:23:23.836
<v Speaker 1>grew up with. You know, James, this is not the

0:23:23.876 --> 0:23:26.236
<v Speaker 1>same country we grew up in. I said, of course

0:23:26.276 --> 0:23:29.876
<v Speaker 1>it's not. It's not going to be just named country.

0:23:30.716 --> 0:23:36.196
<v Speaker 1>And there's some idea that there's some restoration. And you're right,

0:23:36.276 --> 0:23:41.116
<v Speaker 1>if you're a white male, your status in American society

0:23:41.236 --> 0:23:45.276
<v Speaker 1>has been severely disminished. Yeah, people like you and I

0:23:45.996 --> 0:23:49.036
<v Speaker 1>are not particularly distressed about the changes that are coming

0:23:49.036 --> 0:23:50.556
<v Speaker 1>to the country. We think we bring a lot of

0:23:50.596 --> 0:23:52.596
<v Speaker 1>people to the table that wouldn't be there before, and

0:23:52.676 --> 0:23:56.316
<v Speaker 1>as opposed to relying on a talent pool of just

0:23:56.996 --> 0:23:59.876
<v Speaker 1>college educated white males, we have this drawing on this

0:24:00.276 --> 0:24:05.836
<v Speaker 1>enormously vast and increased talent book. Right, But you gotta

0:24:05.916 --> 0:24:10.356
<v Speaker 1>understand that people are very fearful of that, sure, and

0:24:10.516 --> 0:24:13.596
<v Speaker 1>they think there's a way that we can go back

0:24:14.316 --> 0:24:16.636
<v Speaker 1>to the old ways. That's that's what's really at work

0:24:16.756 --> 0:24:20.796
<v Speaker 1>at American politics is that people like us are kind

0:24:20.836 --> 0:24:24.076
<v Speaker 1>of enthusiastic about the kind of demographic changes that are

0:24:24.116 --> 0:24:26.716
<v Speaker 1>happening in the United States. But there are a lot

0:24:26.796 --> 0:24:29.036
<v Speaker 1>of people that are very fearful of these changes, and

0:24:29.716 --> 0:24:32.836
<v Speaker 1>they are abstracting a price at to voting boom is

0:24:32.916 --> 0:24:35.156
<v Speaker 1>that this is my last sort of big picture question,

0:24:35.956 --> 0:24:38.596
<v Speaker 1>is that what's behind the polarization that we see at

0:24:38.636 --> 0:24:41.196
<v Speaker 1>the deepest level, you know, is the polarization a story

0:24:41.276 --> 0:24:45.276
<v Speaker 1>of the gradual rise of recognition by white men and

0:24:45.316 --> 0:24:47.516
<v Speaker 1>a lot of white men that they're losing and things

0:24:47.556 --> 0:24:50.836
<v Speaker 1>have changed, in which case this polarization is not going

0:24:50.916 --> 0:24:53.076
<v Speaker 1>to go away for a long time, or are there

0:24:53.196 --> 0:24:57.836
<v Speaker 1>some other factors going into the partisan polarization that might

0:24:57.956 --> 0:25:01.836
<v Speaker 1>be reversible without a kind of Dottle royale where white

0:25:01.876 --> 0:25:06.956
<v Speaker 1>men finally accept that things have changed, you know, configured Vane,

0:25:07.116 --> 0:25:11.476
<v Speaker 1>Max close are the best theoretical fit. Physics is not

0:25:11.716 --> 0:25:18.156
<v Speaker 1>named Einstein. Yeah, Max. He said, science does not triumph

0:25:18.236 --> 0:25:22.876
<v Speaker 1>because it convinces its opponents. Science triumphs because its opponents

0:25:22.956 --> 0:25:27.436
<v Speaker 1>eventually die. Science advances one funeral at the time, Okay,

0:25:28.596 --> 0:25:32.876
<v Speaker 1>which I think is a pretty Yeah. That's a depressing

0:25:32.956 --> 0:25:39.196
<v Speaker 1>thing for a guy seventy seven, not, I hear. But

0:25:39.396 --> 0:25:42.636
<v Speaker 1>the truth of the matter is, if you are a

0:25:42.716 --> 0:25:45.516
<v Speaker 1>white male, particularly an old white male, you're such a

0:25:45.596 --> 0:25:49.436
<v Speaker 1>loss is real. And by the way, it's not just

0:25:49.796 --> 0:25:52.276
<v Speaker 1>economic class, it's cultural lass. There used to be TV

0:25:52.356 --> 0:25:54.596
<v Speaker 1>shows made about you. There used to be movies made

0:25:54.596 --> 0:25:58.236
<v Speaker 1>about you. You're contund being told that you mattered. Yeah, right,

0:25:58.396 --> 0:26:00.836
<v Speaker 1>and it's a dangerous problem. But you know, we're a

0:26:00.916 --> 0:26:05.116
<v Speaker 1>race with the actually er tables right now. Do you

0:26:05.156 --> 0:26:08.156
<v Speaker 1>think that if the Court, as it seems very plausibly

0:26:08.236 --> 0:26:11.916
<v Speaker 1>likely to do, overturns rov. Wade, that that's going to

0:26:12.036 --> 0:26:16.676
<v Speaker 1>generate meaningful organizational support for Democratic candidates in a way

0:26:16.716 --> 0:26:20.076
<v Speaker 1>that has any meaningful long term success, Because they're obviously

0:26:20.156 --> 0:26:23.716
<v Speaker 1>the justices are thinking about that, and it's part of

0:26:23.756 --> 0:26:26.756
<v Speaker 1>their strategic calculus. You know, if they think that they're

0:26:26.876 --> 0:26:28.916
<v Speaker 1>gonna that there's going to be court packing after they

0:26:29.036 --> 0:26:31.156
<v Speaker 1>do that, that's going to give them pause. But if

0:26:31.196 --> 0:26:33.436
<v Speaker 1>they think that the Democrats won't get the kind of

0:26:33.476 --> 0:26:35.796
<v Speaker 1>bump out of that, then they're going to vote their conscience,

0:26:35.876 --> 0:26:38.956
<v Speaker 1>and in the case of more than five justices, their

0:26:38.996 --> 0:26:42.556
<v Speaker 1>conscience is that Roe v. Wade should be overturned. So

0:26:44.156 --> 0:26:47.596
<v Speaker 1>I think this, and I've thought it for some time,

0:26:47.636 --> 0:26:50.916
<v Speaker 1>and I've become more convinced. The most significant moment and

0:26:51.076 --> 0:26:54.716
<v Speaker 1>my American history was Bush Gore and the region it

0:26:54.796 --> 0:26:56.516
<v Speaker 1>was they told them they could fucking get away with

0:26:56.556 --> 0:26:59.636
<v Speaker 1>anything you wanted to do. All right, they're just went

0:26:59.876 --> 0:27:02.636
<v Speaker 1>end and just stole an election right in front of you.

0:27:03.476 --> 0:27:06.676
<v Speaker 1>And they did it. But like an opinion and Scottish

0:27:06.836 --> 0:27:10.316
<v Speaker 1>and blah blah blah and put in the Democrats. What

0:27:10.396 --> 0:27:13.916
<v Speaker 1>did the country Doah? Well, you can see the times

0:27:13.956 --> 0:27:16.796
<v Speaker 1>in the post and everybody. Well, the justices have spoken,

0:27:16.876 --> 0:27:22.156
<v Speaker 1>and ye Gore to be applauded for recognizing the official

0:27:22.236 --> 0:27:24.316
<v Speaker 1>transfer of power, although there have been a lot of

0:27:24.876 --> 0:27:27.356
<v Speaker 1>recounts of those votes that suggested that actually it was

0:27:27.396 --> 0:27:30.476
<v Speaker 1>going to be really close that in the counties that

0:27:30.756 --> 0:27:34.116
<v Speaker 1>that that Gore asked for, but the Florida Supreme Court

0:27:34.276 --> 0:27:37.316
<v Speaker 1>was getting ready to have a statewide recount which would

0:27:37.316 --> 0:27:40.596
<v Speaker 1>have not been close. And they knew it. Yeah. No,

0:27:40.676 --> 0:27:42.556
<v Speaker 1>Look I was there. I was a baby lawyer working

0:27:42.556 --> 0:27:44.516
<v Speaker 1>for the Gore campaign. We felt we were we had

0:27:44.556 --> 0:27:47.436
<v Speaker 1>it stolen from us, no question. Well, you did the

0:27:47.596 --> 0:27:53.316
<v Speaker 1>logic cases they suffered no political consequence. You're right, No,

0:27:53.436 --> 0:27:56.876
<v Speaker 1>they didn't and they and they said they. But you

0:27:56.876 --> 0:27:59.036
<v Speaker 1>don't think that there is a counter argument that the

0:27:59.236 --> 0:28:02.676
<v Speaker 1>right to choose is so much more visceral, immediate, and

0:28:02.836 --> 0:28:06.716
<v Speaker 1>powerful than a presidential campidated al Gore, whom, let's be blunt,

0:28:06.796 --> 0:28:08.956
<v Speaker 1>not too many people were super enthusiastic about to be

0:28:09.156 --> 0:28:12.076
<v Speaker 1>in with George. George W. Bush was not the George W.

0:28:12.236 --> 0:28:14.276
<v Speaker 1>Bush that he came to be seen by later. Then

0:28:14.356 --> 0:28:17.516
<v Speaker 1>he was the compassionate conservative. You know, it didn't seem

0:28:17.636 --> 0:28:19.356
<v Speaker 1>like the end of the world to a lot of people,

0:28:19.836 --> 0:28:21.756
<v Speaker 1>and this I think would seem like the end of

0:28:21.796 --> 0:28:24.236
<v Speaker 1>the world to a lot of young people. It did

0:28:24.316 --> 0:28:25.836
<v Speaker 1>not seem like the end of the world. But it

0:28:25.956 --> 0:28:30.476
<v Speaker 1>kind of was. I hear you, Okay, events happened in

0:28:30.636 --> 0:28:34.996
<v Speaker 1>history that are not recognizing it was. It was. But

0:28:35.156 --> 0:28:39.836
<v Speaker 1>but what they would say is they never the allis

0:28:39.956 --> 0:28:44.596
<v Speaker 1>bluster and talk we've done nothing to when they're getting

0:28:44.636 --> 0:28:46.796
<v Speaker 1>and they're getting and decide if fuck these guys ain't

0:28:46.796 --> 0:28:48.756
<v Speaker 1>gonna do anything about I did just kind of screaming, yeah,

0:28:48.876 --> 0:28:51.356
<v Speaker 1>when you know, we're just going and we'll enforce our

0:28:51.516 --> 0:28:57.316
<v Speaker 1>view of corporatocracy in America and you know, whatever it

0:28:57.476 --> 0:29:01.596
<v Speaker 1>is they do, and it's not an unreasonable view for

0:29:01.676 --> 0:29:04.196
<v Speaker 1>them to have. And when people, when people do, when

0:29:04.196 --> 0:29:06.236
<v Speaker 1>the Democrats do go out there, if and when this

0:29:06.356 --> 0:29:09.636
<v Speaker 1>happens and try to motivate the base by saying and women,

0:29:09.756 --> 0:29:13.116
<v Speaker 1>especially by saying we have to win back the Congress

0:29:13.276 --> 0:29:15.836
<v Speaker 1>because we got out and the presidency because we got

0:29:15.916 --> 0:29:18.036
<v Speaker 1>to pack the court, which is where we're headed. They're

0:29:18.036 --> 0:29:20.836
<v Speaker 1>going to have to argue for that. Do you think

0:29:20.916 --> 0:29:22.916
<v Speaker 1>it has any legs or does it have doesn't have

0:29:22.956 --> 0:29:27.356
<v Speaker 1>any legs where it takes an election to do that. No,

0:29:27.516 --> 0:29:29.236
<v Speaker 1>that's what I'm saying. I think if this happens, it

0:29:29.236 --> 0:29:32.876
<v Speaker 1>will happen next summer, and so it's four elections, but

0:29:32.956 --> 0:29:34.876
<v Speaker 1>you have you have to win the election in which

0:29:34.876 --> 0:29:37.356
<v Speaker 1>you have to run on. Is people's views on a

0:29:37.436 --> 0:29:41.196
<v Speaker 1>Washington conflict, you know where they're not conflicted? Or Row? Yeah,

0:29:41.436 --> 0:29:44.516
<v Speaker 1>all right, Row is a seventy three percent deal. So

0:29:44.636 --> 0:29:47.636
<v Speaker 1>if they overturn Row, which there's a real probability that

0:29:47.716 --> 0:29:52.316
<v Speaker 1>they will this summer, then it depends on the strength

0:29:52.356 --> 0:29:56.876
<v Speaker 1>of organizing and people what kind of appeals are going

0:29:56.916 --> 0:29:59.476
<v Speaker 1>to make. But I do think if you if if

0:29:59.556 --> 0:30:04.036
<v Speaker 1>a court imposes a solution, it has twenty five percent

0:30:04.196 --> 0:30:07.316
<v Speaker 1>support in the country. The question is the depth of

0:30:07.436 --> 0:30:10.756
<v Speaker 1>how much people are willing to support rope. Is it

0:30:10.916 --> 0:30:13.836
<v Speaker 1>one of these things about rich people can get around it?

0:30:13.956 --> 0:30:16.396
<v Speaker 1>And I don't know the answer to that. But they've

0:30:16.516 --> 0:30:20.476
<v Speaker 1>gotten away with a lot, and the response from people

0:30:20.556 --> 0:30:23.996
<v Speaker 1>like us has been feeble, all right, it just has.

0:30:24.916 --> 0:30:30.596
<v Speaker 1>And I think that I actually think that twenty twenty

0:30:30.676 --> 0:30:34.276
<v Speaker 1>one is one of the most significant years in American history.

0:30:35.196 --> 0:30:37.356
<v Speaker 1>I think people have a viewed that, well, it's just

0:30:37.476 --> 0:30:41.716
<v Speaker 1>I'll ball down in partisanship and ship nothing happens. Man's

0:30:41.716 --> 0:30:44.236
<v Speaker 1>a lot of shit happened in twenty twenty one, and

0:30:44.716 --> 0:30:47.996
<v Speaker 1>no one has done a very good job, myself included,

0:30:49.036 --> 0:30:52.236
<v Speaker 1>because I can go get a headline attacking these goofy leftists,

0:30:52.836 --> 0:30:56.596
<v Speaker 1>all right, and everybody wants to have that conversation. But

0:30:56.996 --> 0:31:00.076
<v Speaker 1>the country really doesn't know. This has been a pretty transformation.

0:31:00.596 --> 0:31:03.796
<v Speaker 1>You know. People that noticed shit tell me this that

0:31:03.956 --> 0:31:07.276
<v Speaker 1>this corporate minimum tax. I had never thought anything like

0:31:07.356 --> 0:31:10.676
<v Speaker 1>that could have happened in this substantial it's substanti substantio.

0:31:11.876 --> 0:31:14.716
<v Speaker 1>It comes in so far are very meaningful accomplishments. The

0:31:14.836 --> 0:31:18.116
<v Speaker 1>question is is anybody hearing that or is anybody noticing that?

0:31:19.876 --> 0:31:23.636
<v Speaker 1>The larger question is anybody telling people that no one

0:31:23.756 --> 0:31:26.076
<v Speaker 1>wants to be in sales, all right, everybody wants to

0:31:26.116 --> 0:31:29.956
<v Speaker 1>be in policy. Everybody wants to be a theoretician. No

0:31:30.076 --> 0:31:32.156
<v Speaker 1>one wants to go door to door with the pots

0:31:32.236 --> 0:31:35.276
<v Speaker 1>and pants. Okay, give me a door to door a

0:31:35.356 --> 0:31:38.556
<v Speaker 1>knife salesman from nineteen No One, But Stacy Abrams she's

0:31:38.596 --> 0:31:42.156
<v Speaker 1>willing to go toter door again. I'll go back to data.

0:31:42.676 --> 0:31:46.236
<v Speaker 1>You show she went out and organized, She traveled to

0:31:46.396 --> 0:31:50.716
<v Speaker 1>all of these places, and she she got her hands dirty.

0:31:51.596 --> 0:31:54.196
<v Speaker 1>And you know, we got cabinet members that are so

0:31:54.316 --> 0:31:57.276
<v Speaker 1>good as stunning. Try miss Andrew. Miss Andrew is the

0:31:57.316 --> 0:31:59.996
<v Speaker 1>best communicator I've seen my wife not named Bill Clinton.

0:32:00.036 --> 0:32:01.996
<v Speaker 1>I'll promise you I'm not just saying that because I

0:32:03.796 --> 0:32:08.676
<v Speaker 1>try Gena romalto to the commerce is incredible. She is amazing.

0:32:09.316 --> 0:32:12.876
<v Speaker 1>Jennifer Grennell, take every person in that cabinet that is

0:32:12.916 --> 0:32:15.556
<v Speaker 1>evil runs the statewide office. I'm saying, I want your

0:32:15.636 --> 0:32:19.276
<v Speaker 1>ass out there on television. We'll get some bureaucrat to

0:32:19.476 --> 0:32:22.996
<v Speaker 1>run the details. Get out there himself. He's got really,

0:32:23.396 --> 0:32:26.516
<v Speaker 1>he's got cabinet people and people in his administration that

0:32:26.676 --> 0:32:32.116
<v Speaker 1>have world class skills. Get them out there. Yeah, I

0:32:32.116 --> 0:32:33.916
<v Speaker 1>don't I don't know. They're not using because they're worried

0:32:33.916 --> 0:32:36.356
<v Speaker 1>about what if Biden can't run In twenty twenty four

0:32:36.396 --> 0:32:40.156
<v Speaker 1>and Kala Harrison has sees them as competition cares. We

0:32:40.156 --> 0:32:42.196
<v Speaker 1>don't know, we're gonna be here in twenty twenty four.

0:32:42.436 --> 0:32:45.596
<v Speaker 1>Fair and fair, I mean, just get get out there

0:32:46.276 --> 0:32:50.796
<v Speaker 1>and sell. Yeah. You know, my mother she sawd World

0:32:50.836 --> 0:32:53.636
<v Speaker 1>book Encyclopedias, but she never called him Encyclopedias. She called

0:32:53.676 --> 0:32:56.596
<v Speaker 1>him education and materials. And so she would put me

0:32:56.636 --> 0:32:58.716
<v Speaker 1>out that'd be like thirteen years old, and we'd ride

0:32:58.756 --> 0:33:00.756
<v Speaker 1>around south of young and she says, ball, we're gonna

0:33:00.756 --> 0:33:03.156
<v Speaker 1>look for two things, a bass boat and a bicycle,

0:33:03.756 --> 0:33:06.556
<v Speaker 1>because that tells us two things. This house has disposable

0:33:06.636 --> 0:33:10.116
<v Speaker 1>income and they have a child. Yep, said knock on

0:33:10.236 --> 0:33:13.436
<v Speaker 1>the door. This is late nineteen fifties, Louisianelade, come in,

0:33:13.516 --> 0:33:16.236
<v Speaker 1>miss Carhood. Are you doing. She started talking about these

0:33:16.356 --> 0:33:18.156
<v Speaker 1>educators and said, James, this is a capital of Vermada,

0:33:18.196 --> 0:33:20.556
<v Speaker 1>say mont Pillion, Oh god, And she gonna, what's the

0:33:20.556 --> 0:33:22.356
<v Speaker 1>capital of art and said, oh shit, is a genius.

0:33:22.396 --> 0:33:25.236
<v Speaker 1>But how did he ever notice? But he bought these

0:33:26.356 --> 0:33:30.756
<v Speaker 1>educational materials. Said then they would inevitably bring the man

0:33:30.836 --> 0:33:32.956
<v Speaker 1>of the house in because that was the way it was.

0:33:33.076 --> 0:33:35.596
<v Speaker 1>And you know that she made up pitch and the

0:33:35.636 --> 0:33:38.556
<v Speaker 1>guy would say, well, almost card. It seemed like it's

0:33:38.636 --> 0:33:40.116
<v Speaker 1>very good, but you know we've got school voting, and

0:33:40.196 --> 0:33:42.116
<v Speaker 1>don't you come back? And four months and she said,

0:33:42.156 --> 0:33:44.476
<v Speaker 1>you know, sir, I find it interesting that you can

0:33:44.636 --> 0:33:48.356
<v Speaker 1>afford a basketboat for yourself, which can't afford educational materials

0:33:48.396 --> 0:33:50.636
<v Speaker 1>for your children. That was just like a pile of

0:33:50.716 --> 0:33:56.516
<v Speaker 1>fucking soul. Okay, he was signing anything eighty one years.

0:33:57.396 --> 0:33:59.436
<v Speaker 1>He just wanted to get out of there because he'd

0:33:59.476 --> 0:34:03.156
<v Speaker 1>been so humiliated in that kind of pitch. You know

0:34:03.236 --> 0:34:06.596
<v Speaker 1>that that kind of pitch always stuck with me. Yeah,

0:34:07.316 --> 0:34:09.796
<v Speaker 1>all right, I thought there was. By the way, if

0:34:09.836 --> 0:34:12.356
<v Speaker 1>thought World Book was a good product, I know it is.

0:34:12.476 --> 0:34:14.156
<v Speaker 1>She was doing good. She was selling a good product,

0:34:14.836 --> 0:34:16.556
<v Speaker 1>good to people if they and if they opened it,

0:34:16.636 --> 0:34:21.996
<v Speaker 1>they learned. Yes, and there's nothing wrong being a pitch man.

0:34:22.916 --> 0:34:25.516
<v Speaker 1>Thank you very much for pitching for all these years,

0:34:25.556 --> 0:34:27.876
<v Speaker 1>for analyzing, for pitching, for calling it like it is,

0:34:28.116 --> 0:34:30.916
<v Speaker 1>and for sharing your inimitable perspective. Thank you so much.

0:34:30.996 --> 0:34:33.156
<v Speaker 1>All Right, we'll proud for good. Look to you. Thank you, Jordan.

0:34:34.516 --> 0:34:46.796
<v Speaker 1>We'll be right back when you talk to James Carville.

0:34:47.276 --> 0:34:50.556
<v Speaker 1>You can't possibly agree with everything the man says, But

0:34:50.716 --> 0:34:52.836
<v Speaker 1>you do realize that you have to take everything he

0:34:52.916 --> 0:34:57.076
<v Speaker 1>says seriously, even and in fact, especially when you may

0:34:57.156 --> 0:35:01.836
<v Speaker 1>not exactly agree with it. James Carville's assessment of where

0:35:01.916 --> 0:35:04.756
<v Speaker 1>we are right now in American politics is in a

0:35:04.876 --> 0:35:08.756
<v Speaker 1>sense a story of contradictions. On the one hand, he believes,

0:35:08.796 --> 0:35:11.796
<v Speaker 1>I think with good reason the Joe Biden's accomplishments in

0:35:11.876 --> 0:35:15.996
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty one have been meaningful, significant, and potentially long

0:35:16.156 --> 0:35:19.236
<v Speaker 1>lasting in terms of their policy effects. At the same time,

0:35:19.316 --> 0:35:22.036
<v Speaker 1>he believes that the Democratic Party, the party he loves

0:35:22.076 --> 0:35:25.756
<v Speaker 1>and supports, the Party of Coalition, is doing a terrible

0:35:25.876 --> 0:35:30.476
<v Speaker 1>job of going out and selling its ideas. He holds

0:35:30.476 --> 0:35:33.596
<v Speaker 1>out Stacey Abrams, whom regular listeners of the podcasts know,

0:35:33.756 --> 0:35:35.516
<v Speaker 1>has been with us as a guest on the podcast,

0:35:35.876 --> 0:35:40.036
<v Speaker 1>as the model of what good, real political engagement looks like.

0:35:40.356 --> 0:35:42.396
<v Speaker 1>If we do more of what Stacy is doing, he

0:35:42.516 --> 0:35:46.916
<v Speaker 1>thinks Democrats can have future successes. Yet, the threats to

0:35:46.996 --> 0:35:51.476
<v Speaker 1>the fundamental structure of democracy he considers to be real

0:35:51.636 --> 0:35:57.556
<v Speaker 1>ones Trumpism, beyond just Donald Trump, he sees as a genuine, serious,

0:35:57.796 --> 0:36:01.316
<v Speaker 1>fundamental threat to the capacity of the American political system

0:36:01.356 --> 0:36:04.396
<v Speaker 1>to operate he sees it as growing out of white

0:36:04.476 --> 0:36:08.756
<v Speaker 1>male frustration at decline in social status, in power, and

0:36:09.196 --> 0:36:12.876
<v Speaker 1>the share of economic life. And he says that the

0:36:12.956 --> 0:36:16.996
<v Speaker 1>combination of partisan gerrymandering the structure of the Senate where

0:36:17.036 --> 0:36:19.436
<v Speaker 1>fifty two seats can be chosen by eighteen percent of

0:36:19.476 --> 0:36:22.916
<v Speaker 1>the party plus the electoral college, means we do face

0:36:22.996 --> 0:36:27.236
<v Speaker 1>the genuine possibility that a relatively small number of Americans

0:36:27.476 --> 0:36:31.676
<v Speaker 1>with Trump's political sympathies can hijack the political process and

0:36:31.916 --> 0:36:34.876
<v Speaker 1>block the access to a fair share of political power

0:36:35.196 --> 0:36:40.316
<v Speaker 1>deserved by everybody else. Last, but very much not least,

0:36:40.476 --> 0:36:43.276
<v Speaker 1>James has been an outspoken critic of the left wing

0:36:43.356 --> 0:36:46.876
<v Speaker 1>of the Democratic Party for the specifics of its cultural politics,

0:36:47.196 --> 0:36:51.476
<v Speaker 1>which he believes lose the party votes nationally. That's of

0:36:51.556 --> 0:36:55.876
<v Speaker 1>a piece with his preference for pragmatism, coalition, and compromise,

0:36:56.596 --> 0:37:00.436
<v Speaker 1>all of which inevitably mean giving up on a more

0:37:00.556 --> 0:37:05.116
<v Speaker 1>moralized narrative of doing the right thing in American politics.

0:37:06.356 --> 0:37:09.596
<v Speaker 1>In this sphere, we know the Democratic part is just

0:37:09.796 --> 0:37:13.956
<v Speaker 1>beginning to enter a period of deep introspection. What comes

0:37:13.996 --> 0:37:16.556
<v Speaker 1>out of that introspection is going to have a major

0:37:16.636 --> 0:37:19.676
<v Speaker 1>impact on the politics of the national election in twenty

0:37:19.716 --> 0:37:24.436
<v Speaker 1>two and in the presidential election of twenty twenty four. Beyond,

0:37:25.516 --> 0:37:28.316
<v Speaker 1>James Carville wants to be a profit of pragmatic possibility,

0:37:28.676 --> 0:37:31.076
<v Speaker 1>not a profit of doom. But there were moments in

0:37:31.116 --> 0:37:34.676
<v Speaker 1>this conversation where it's sometimes sounded like he felt we

0:37:34.756 --> 0:37:39.236
<v Speaker 1>should be honest about recognizing that things could go terribly

0:37:39.316 --> 0:37:42.836
<v Speaker 1>wrong in the years ahead. Until the next time I

0:37:42.916 --> 0:37:47.236
<v Speaker 1>speak to you, Breathe deep, think, deep thoughts, and if

0:37:47.276 --> 0:37:51.836
<v Speaker 1>you have any hope left, have a little fun. If

0:37:51.876 --> 0:37:54.916
<v Speaker 1>you're a regular listener, you know I love communicating with

0:37:55.036 --> 0:37:58.156
<v Speaker 1>you here on Deep Background. I also really want that

0:37:58.236 --> 0:38:01.196
<v Speaker 1>communication to run both ways. I want to know what

0:38:01.396 --> 0:38:03.956
<v Speaker 1>you think are the most important stories of the moment,

0:38:04.356 --> 0:38:06.156
<v Speaker 1>and what kinds of guests you think you would be

0:38:06.236 --> 0:38:09.396
<v Speaker 1>useful to hear from. More So, I'm opening a new

0:38:09.476 --> 0:38:12.876
<v Speaker 1>channel of communication. To access it, just go to my

0:38:12.956 --> 0:38:16.556
<v Speaker 1>website Noahdashfeldman dot com. You can sign up from my

0:38:16.636 --> 0:38:20.316
<v Speaker 1>newsletter and you can tell me exactly what's on your mind,

0:38:21.036 --> 0:38:24.036
<v Speaker 1>something that would be really valuable to me and I

0:38:24.196 --> 0:38:28.036
<v Speaker 1>hope to you too. Deep Background is brought to you

0:38:28.196 --> 0:38:32.396
<v Speaker 1>by Pushkin Industries. Our producer is Mo Labor. Our engineer

0:38:32.516 --> 0:38:35.796
<v Speaker 1>is Ben Taliday and our showrunner is Sophie Crane mckibbon.

0:38:36.516 --> 0:38:40.676
<v Speaker 1>Editorial support from noahm Osband. Theme music by Luis Guerra

0:38:41.356 --> 0:38:45.476
<v Speaker 1>at Pushkin. Thanks to Mia Lobell, Julia Barton, Lydia, Jane Coott,

0:38:45.756 --> 0:38:50.716
<v Speaker 1>Heather Faine, Carlie mcgliori, Maggie Taylor, Eric Sandler, and Jacob Weisberg.

0:38:51.316 --> 0:38:53.636
<v Speaker 1>You can find me on Twitter at Noah R. Felder.

0:38:54.196 --> 0:38:56.476
<v Speaker 1>I also write a column for Bloomberg Opinion, which you

0:38:56.556 --> 0:39:00.356
<v Speaker 1>can find at Bloomberg dot com slash Feldmer. To discover

0:39:00.476 --> 0:39:04.116
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg's original slate of podcasts, go to Bloomberg dot com

0:39:04.596 --> 0:39:07.876
<v Speaker 1>slash podcasts, and if you liked what you heard today,

0:39:08.276 --> 0:39:10.756
<v Speaker 1>please write a review you or tell a friend. This

0:39:11.316 --> 0:39:23.596
<v Speaker 1>is deep background h