1 00:00:03,440 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg surveillance. Some we have it. We have 2 00:00:06,840 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: to ad direct what happened to do it the Brexit 3 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:11,760 Speaker 1: and that is always the stelling, weakness and downside. And 4 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 1: it's not until I start raising rates that you're gonna 5 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:17,960 Speaker 1: see the your dollar curve accepting more of the fifth rate. 6 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 1: Guidance of the Fed, I think has made clear that 7 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:23,320 Speaker 1: we should expect a couple of interest rate increases this year, 8 00:00:23,360 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 1: and I don't think it's going to affect the real 9 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 1: economy very much at the stage. Bloomberg Surveillance your link 10 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 1: to the world of economics, finance, and investment on Bloomberg Radio. 11 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:36,320 Speaker 1: Good burning everyone, Michael McKee and Tom Keeve Bloomberg Surveillance 12 00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:40,880 Speaker 1: Coast to coast, worldwide, soorldier with US no economics, finance, investment, 13 00:00:41,720 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 1: international relations, a touch of politics or excuse me, what 14 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:51,200 Speaker 1: will be policy as we move forward with our politics soon? 15 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:54,240 Speaker 1: Right now? The Forex Brief, let's look at for an 16 00:00:54,240 --> 00:00:57,320 Speaker 1: exchange with sterling really moving. The Forex Brief brought you 17 00:00:57,320 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: by Interactive Broker's winner of f X Weeks two thousand 18 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:04,760 Speaker 1: fifteen award for the best Retail four X trading platform, 19 00:01:04,880 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 1: visit ib at I b k R dot com, Slash 20 00:01:08,080 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 1: four x zero six Sterling stronger off Carney comments on Bromain. 21 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:20,520 Speaker 1: I'm Brexit hider, carbon currencies weaker with oil finally getting 22 00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:26,600 Speaker 1: a bit in the last hour ugly before then, Looney, 23 00:01:26,760 --> 00:01:28,959 Speaker 1: we say good morning to David Rosenberg and thank him 24 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:32,360 Speaker 1: for his reason comments moments ago. I'm Bloomberg surveillant's look 25 00:01:32,360 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 1: for that on our podcasts out on iTunes. We'll do that, 26 00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:37,680 Speaker 1: get those out to you in an hour or two 27 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:41,039 Speaker 1: hours or so. That's been hugely popular. Thank you for 28 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 1: listening to our podcasts, including with David Rosenberg and Mariannaicacha Lakota, 29 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: which is a good thing. The end one EU a 30 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 1: week or maybe the big country headline one eleven fifty 31 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 1: eight euros sinking. Michael, is there any talk of euro 32 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 1: to parody? I would say no, no. I only hear 33 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 1: people talking in a while weaker euros that that week. 34 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 1: I did not know David Wilson that best Buy has 35 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:09,680 Speaker 1: a hundred and twenty five thousand employees, and never would 36 00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:13,240 Speaker 1: have guessed that. Well, now you know it's a big company. 37 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:17,399 Speaker 1: It is, and they lead your they lead yours, they 38 00:02:17,440 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 1: do the largest US consumer electronics retailer, and trouble is 39 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 1: that they expect the fiscal second quarter earnings to be 40 00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:27,160 Speaker 1: lower than analysts average estimate in the Bloomberg servey. Beyond that, 41 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 1: chief financial officer and chief administrative officers Sharon McCollum's stepped 42 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:34,720 Speaker 1: down effective next month. That she had come in not 43 00:02:34,880 --> 00:02:37,959 Speaker 1: long after chief executive who bear Jo Lee, who turned 44 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 1: around best Buy in the prospect of her leaving in 45 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:47,160 Speaker 1: a short I haven't seen it yet. Stocks down four 46 00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 1: and a half percent early trading, though I've seen that 47 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:52,840 Speaker 1: another retailer. It's lower. Auto Zone down one percent. The 48 00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:55,480 Speaker 1: auto parts chains profit and revenue for the fiscal third 49 00:02:55,520 --> 00:02:58,680 Speaker 1: quarter trailed estimates, so analyst calls him Note Deers up 50 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 1: one percent. The Pharmer Evan maker was raised the equivalent 51 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:04,280 Speaker 1: by from Hold of BMO Capital Markets. The firm increased 52 00:03:04,280 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 1: its twelve month pricess but to ninety six hours, the 53 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:10,320 Speaker 1: highest among eighteen in a listen of Bloomberg Survey. Western 54 00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:12,640 Speaker 1: Digitals up two and a half percent. The disk drive 55 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:15,680 Speaker 1: maker was raised the equivalent of buy from Hold accountant 56 00:03:16,160 --> 00:03:19,000 Speaker 1: Twitter down half a percent because of a call from 57 00:03:19,200 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 1: a couple of analysts that you just talked to recently, 58 00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:25,320 Speaker 1: Craig Moffatt and Michael Nathanson. Nipson actually covers Twitter for 59 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:29,240 Speaker 1: Nathanson and cut the rating on the stock to sell 60 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 1: from neutral because he sees a takeover as less likely. 61 00:03:33,280 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 1: Back on the erniess Ron Tall Brothers up three and 62 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:38,240 Speaker 1: a half percent. The biggest US builder of luxury homes 63 00:03:38,360 --> 00:03:41,520 Speaker 1: posted fiscal second quarter revenue and profit that beat projections. 64 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 1: The number of homes Told Brothers delivered in the quarter 65 00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:47,880 Speaker 1: rose nine percent and the average selling price climbed twenty percent. 66 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 1: Then you have ds W down ten percent. The discounts 67 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:54,880 Speaker 1: shoe seller's fiscal first quarter arnies and sales trail estimates. 68 00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:57,600 Speaker 1: D s W cut full your forecast and now expects 69 00:03:57,600 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 1: sales to fall its stores open more than a year. 70 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:03,040 Speaker 1: There is a retailer stock that's higher, though, problem is 71 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:06,000 Speaker 1: it has nothing to do with their performance. I'm referring 72 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:09,280 Speaker 1: to chicos f A s SO Women's apparel Change shares 73 00:04:09,280 --> 00:04:13,200 Speaker 1: are up five percent. The activist investor Barrington Capital began 74 00:04:13,240 --> 00:04:16,719 Speaker 1: a proxy fight for two board seats. Barrington disclosed it 75 00:04:16,720 --> 00:04:19,400 Speaker 1: owns a one point four percent steak, more than double 76 00:04:19,400 --> 00:04:21,160 Speaker 1: it's holding at the end of March are a couple 77 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:25,480 Speaker 1: more for you. Share sales Booze Ammal Alan Hamilton down 78 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:28,400 Speaker 1: three percent, the consultants selling three hundred and sixty seven 79 00:04:28,480 --> 00:04:32,000 Speaker 1: million dollars of stock on behalf of its largest shareholder, 80 00:04:32,160 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 1: private equity firm Carlisle Group. We're talking about thirteen million shares. 81 00:04:35,400 --> 00:04:38,119 Speaker 1: Are an eight point eight percent steak, and c Span 82 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:41,200 Speaker 1: Downtown a half percent to say a container ship owner. 83 00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:43,960 Speaker 1: They're selling five million shares and that's equivalent to about 84 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:45,800 Speaker 1: a five percent stick and you use the money to 85 00:04:45,839 --> 00:04:49,080 Speaker 1: redeem couple of birds stock. That's it. That's it. David Wilson, 86 00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:52,160 Speaker 1: thank you so much on bess By. Greatly appreciated. Mike. 87 00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 1: As you know, once a week we need to speak 88 00:04:54,080 --> 00:04:56,600 Speaker 1: to someone who worked for the Worcester Telegram years ago. 89 00:04:56,880 --> 00:05:00,960 Speaker 1: It's always one of our mandates. Nathaniel Wexels with Bloomberg BNA, 90 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:04,440 Speaker 1: the Bureau of National Affairs. I've read them for years, 91 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:07,760 Speaker 1: like for decades, Nathaniel, you weren't even born and I 92 00:05:07,800 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 1: was reading b N. A material thrilled down. Nathaniel Wexel 93 00:05:11,960 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 1: with us on the Affordable Care Act and the idea 94 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:19,240 Speaker 1: there could be a replacement Nathaniel, I've got a trenchant 95 00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:22,919 Speaker 1: question before Mike piles into this. What's a white paper? 96 00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:27,039 Speaker 1: A white paper is really just a set of ideas 97 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:30,920 Speaker 1: that's put out, so it doesn't really mean anything. It's 98 00:05:30,920 --> 00:05:32,520 Speaker 1: sort of the thing that sink tanks would like to 99 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:34,599 Speaker 1: play out. So if I'm at the Palm restaurant in 100 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:38,360 Speaker 1: Washington and I come up with four ideas to make 101 00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 1: the Washington Capitals winning hockey, I can write a white 102 00:05:41,320 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 1: paper on the Washington Washington Capitals and put it out, 103 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:49,599 Speaker 1: and it appears you would have as much luck getting 104 00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 1: the capital as a Stanley Cup as the Republicans have 105 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:57,680 Speaker 1: of repealing the Affordable Care Act. Um this the legislation 106 00:05:57,680 --> 00:06:01,080 Speaker 1: you're writing about today. Uh, it appears to be a 107 00:06:01,120 --> 00:06:03,279 Speaker 1: case of trying to have your cake and eat it too. 108 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:07,919 Speaker 1: To Republican lawmakers. Unveiling bill intended to be an alternative 109 00:06:07,960 --> 00:06:11,680 Speaker 1: to the Affordable Care Act, but in a difference in 110 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: strategy from what the Republicans have been up to for 111 00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:16,599 Speaker 1: the last couple of years, they don't want to repeal 112 00:06:16,880 --> 00:06:21,000 Speaker 1: the whole thing, right, They just want to tweet tweak it, 113 00:06:22,320 --> 00:06:26,360 Speaker 1: tweak it somewhat. Mainly what they have planned at least 114 00:06:26,360 --> 00:06:29,200 Speaker 1: in this legislation is almost sort of a parallel version 115 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 1: of it. So they're going to repeal the big issue. 116 00:06:32,960 --> 00:06:35,320 Speaker 1: They're going to repeal them mandates, the the issue that 117 00:06:35,360 --> 00:06:38,120 Speaker 1: you have to have insurance and that your employer has 118 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:40,560 Speaker 1: to provide you with insurance. So those the two things 119 00:06:40,560 --> 00:06:42,320 Speaker 1: that they want to get rid of. But they seem 120 00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:45,280 Speaker 1: to want to keep everything that raises money, so that's 121 00:06:45,279 --> 00:06:49,080 Speaker 1: how they're going to pay for it. But the mandate 122 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:53,240 Speaker 1: is considered the key to the whole thing. If you 123 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:57,440 Speaker 1: don't have to buy insurance, then uh, you know, it 124 00:06:57,520 --> 00:07:01,120 Speaker 1: doesn't matter how you raise the money, it won't be there. Right, 125 00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 1: So they call it the free market alternative to the 126 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 1: Affordable Care Act. So if you want to have insurance, 127 00:07:07,040 --> 00:07:10,520 Speaker 1: you can go onto what they call the world's greatest 128 00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 1: health care plan. Or if you don't want to have insurance, 129 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:15,920 Speaker 1: you don't have to have insurance, Or if you're previously 130 00:07:15,960 --> 00:07:18,320 Speaker 1: covered under the Affordable Care Act, you can keep that 131 00:07:18,360 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 1: insurance with all the associated penalties. What about the people 132 00:07:22,600 --> 00:07:26,640 Speaker 1: that the Act was really intended to cover, the poor, 133 00:07:26,880 --> 00:07:31,320 Speaker 1: people who can't afford or whose companies don't offer health insurance. 134 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:35,000 Speaker 1: How do they get insurance onto this bill. So the 135 00:07:35,880 --> 00:07:39,600 Speaker 1: main part of this bill is a tax credit, and 136 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:42,320 Speaker 1: that is coming to you if you decide to be 137 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:44,720 Speaker 1: a part of this plan. So it's you can do 138 00:07:44,840 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 1: with that money whatever you want. So you get this, 139 00:07:48,200 --> 00:07:50,040 Speaker 1: you can put it into a health saving his account, 140 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:53,280 Speaker 1: you can give it to your employer for to essentially 141 00:07:53,320 --> 00:07:56,840 Speaker 1: buy coverage from your employer. But unlike the Affordable Care Act, 142 00:07:56,880 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 1: where the tax credits are adjustable by in come, this 143 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 1: is not. So it's just flats. And then if you 144 00:08:04,040 --> 00:08:07,240 Speaker 1: have dependence, I think you can get a credit in 145 00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:09,680 Speaker 1: addition to that. But really it's just you get this 146 00:08:09,760 --> 00:08:11,360 Speaker 1: money and you can decide what to do with it. 147 00:08:12,040 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 1: What is the feasibility of this? I congratulate in Nathan 148 00:08:15,240 --> 00:08:20,840 Speaker 1: wexilon clarity within your report on the likelihood of this. 149 00:08:20,960 --> 00:08:23,560 Speaker 1: Usually we you know, nobody talks about the ability to 150 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 1: actually get something done. As they say, the stars have 151 00:08:27,520 --> 00:08:31,880 Speaker 1: to align for the various shades of Republicans, don't they 152 00:08:32,280 --> 00:08:34,679 Speaker 1: They have to align for Republicans, that have to align 153 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 1: even for some Democrats too, because in the Senate you're 154 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:39,559 Speaker 1: not gonna be able to get anything done without some 155 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 1: democratic cooperation. So right now they have to have at 156 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 1: least sixty Republicans or some Democrats in the Senate who 157 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:50,320 Speaker 1: wanted they need to keep the House and they need 158 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:54,320 Speaker 1: a Republican president in order to completely repeal this law. Uh, 159 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:57,800 Speaker 1: that's clearly not going to happen immediately. So this is 160 00:08:57,840 --> 00:09:01,760 Speaker 1: sort of aimed at stincase there's a Republican president. Pew 161 00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:04,640 Speaker 1: very quickly her Pew has a new survey out of 162 00:09:04,640 --> 00:09:06,960 Speaker 1: a month ago, three or four weeks ago, I should say, 163 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:11,200 Speaker 1: showing more Americans disapprove than approve of the healthcare law. 164 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:15,360 Speaker 1: Why did that occur? Why do people disapprove of that? 165 00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 1: I can't speak to other people's polls, but I think 166 00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:22,440 Speaker 1: maybe it's just the political realities right now. What do 167 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:24,959 Speaker 1: you suggest this will be for the campaign? I mean, 168 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:27,600 Speaker 1: will this be front and center for the campaign or 169 00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:31,800 Speaker 1: I mean does it resonate now? Right now? Both Hillary 170 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:34,959 Speaker 1: Clinton and Donald Trump, the presumptive front runners of either party, 171 00:09:35,840 --> 00:09:38,640 Speaker 1: haven't really done a whole lot of de deal on healthcare, 172 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:42,079 Speaker 1: so it could be there, but you know, right now, 173 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:44,560 Speaker 1: both have sort of gotten pretty far. Without being very specific. 174 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:47,200 Speaker 1: We look forward to having you on again. This has 175 00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:49,959 Speaker 1: been very good. Nathan Wexwell, Thank you so much. He 176 00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:54,200 Speaker 1: is a Bloomberg b NA, which is basically um like 177 00:09:54,400 --> 00:10:00,320 Speaker 1: a hugely productive thinker group. They write terrific rep worts. 178 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 1: I read them word for word on text policy in 179 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:09,160 Speaker 1: another life a few years ago be at a dot 180 00:10:09,240 --> 00:10:13,400 Speaker 1: com and uh, you can see being a Bloomberg being 181 00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:15,920 Speaker 1: a Nathan. That was very good. I don't, Mike, I 182 00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:19,440 Speaker 1: I don't hear any residents on a c A either way. 183 00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:22,040 Speaker 1: I just don't hear it being discussed. Maybe that will change. 184 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:24,600 Speaker 1: It will be a big issue in the presidential campaign, 185 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:28,920 Speaker 1: just because just because there it is, just because futures 186 00:10:28,960 --> 00:10:31,600 Speaker 1: up eleven death, futures up ninety four. Again, you're a weaker, 187 00:10:32,160 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 1: really now getting my attention. One eleven fifty nine, a 188 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:38,360 Speaker 1: few days in a row of weakness, and of course 189 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:41,840 Speaker 1: that pushes us dollar modestly higher. You're a more weak 190 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 1: than the dollar is strong. Gold twelve forty one the ounce. 191 00:10:52,040 --> 00:10:53,400 Speaker 1: Let's check out with like a bar and get the 192 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:56,120 Speaker 1: latest world and national headlines. Mike, Mike, Tom, thank you 193 00:10:56,200 --> 00:10:58,880 Speaker 1: very much. Family members are the victims of Egypt Air 194 00:10:58,920 --> 00:11:01,880 Speaker 1: flight eight oh or have begun arriving at a more 195 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:06,120 Speaker 1: forensics department in Cairo to give DNA samples that will 196 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:09,880 Speaker 1: help identify their loved ones. Meanwhile, a senior Egyptian forensics 197 00:11:09,920 --> 00:11:13,280 Speaker 1: official is telling Associated Press human remains that have been 198 00:11:13,360 --> 00:11:16,679 Speaker 1: recovered from the crash site have burns on them and 199 00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:20,160 Speaker 1: are very tiny, suggesting that an explosion may have taken 200 00:11:20,160 --> 00:11:23,000 Speaker 1: place on board. A statement in Middle East News Agency 201 00:11:23,040 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 1: says though the report is not true. A senior Afghan 202 00:11:26,520 --> 00:11:29,800 Speaker 1: Taliban figure says the death of the group's leader mala 203 00:11:29,920 --> 00:11:33,640 Speaker 1: Aktar Mansour in the U s drone strike last week 204 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:37,000 Speaker 1: could make the movement stronger and unify its ranks, and 205 00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:40,199 Speaker 1: Sir was killed Saturday in the strike in southwestern Pakistan. 206 00:11:40,600 --> 00:11:43,160 Speaker 1: Global News twenty four hours a day, powered by our 207 00:11:43,280 --> 00:11:45,960 Speaker 1: twenty four hundred journalists and more than a hundred fifty 208 00:11:45,960 --> 00:11:49,160 Speaker 1: news bureaus around the world. How Michael bar Mica Fishers 209 00:11:49,240 --> 00:11:52,400 Speaker 1: Up twelve, dug up nine fixed trading before the open. 210 00:11:52,400 --> 00:11:54,959 Speaker 1: The fix does better as you'd expect. A lower statistic 211 00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:59,960 Speaker 1: fifteen point four six in point three six points Michael 212 00:12:00,120 --> 00:12:06,559 Speaker 1: Key and Tom Keane Worldwide Bloomberg Surveillance Market Driver is 213 00:12:06,559 --> 00:12:08,400 Speaker 1: brought to you by S S and C more experienced, 214 00:12:08,440 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 1: superior technology, independence and expertise that's how SS and C 215 00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:14,640 Speaker 1: drives the future of fund administration. As SS and C, 216 00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:20,200 Speaker 1: they are the future of fund administration. Boom