WEBVTT - NFL: NFC Preview (Ep. 96) 0:00:00.240 --> 0:00:15.160 It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros. 0:00:15.720 --> 0:00:18.400 Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's me, Joey p 0:00:18.640 --> 0:00:22.040 Joe Zapia and today, Oh Baby, we're gonna have our 0:00:22.239 --> 0:00:25.000 NFC preview. Last week, in case you missed it, we 0:00:25.079 --> 0:00:27.800 had arial epstem from Sports Grid takeing us to the AFC. 0:00:27.960 --> 0:00:30.920 And today it's one of my favorite people, one of 0:00:30.960 --> 0:00:33.959 my members of Team Black book himself. You can check 0:00:34.000 --> 0:00:36.240 him out on the Action Network and Rodoviz and a 0:00:36.240 --> 0:00:38.479 whole lot of other places. He is always working and 0:00:38.479 --> 0:00:40.640 that's why I love him so much because he reminds 0:00:40.680 --> 0:00:43.040 me of me. He's the one, the only Mike Randall. 0:00:43.080 --> 0:00:45.880 You can follow him on Twitter at Randall Rant. Mikey, 0:00:45.960 --> 0:00:48.280 it is so nice to see you. I'm so used 0:00:48.320 --> 0:00:50.600 to in the years gone by, doing shows with you 0:00:50.680 --> 0:00:53.360 every week. Now we don't get to do that. So this, 0:00:53.479 --> 0:00:56.120 my friend, is a special treat to spend some quality 0:00:56.120 --> 0:00:57.480 time with you. Joey. 0:00:57.520 --> 0:01:00.319 It's about special moments, and this is certainly one of them. 0:01:00.320 --> 0:01:02.440 I am honored to be here. You and I have 0:01:02.480 --> 0:01:04.880 done great work together. Now we're doing on a video. 0:01:04.959 --> 0:01:08.039 We're gonna talk NFC Football's around the corner. Let's get 0:01:08.040 --> 0:01:08.400 after it. 0:01:08.600 --> 0:01:10.880 Let's get after a baby. So today we're gonna talk 0:01:10.880 --> 0:01:13.160 about those divisions, how they're set up, and of course 0:01:13.160 --> 0:01:15.199 they're gonna be using Betting Pros. And if you haven't already, 0:01:15.280 --> 0:01:17.520 make sure you go over to Betting Pros and don't 0:01:17.520 --> 0:01:19.520 forget about our apps and everything that we offer here 0:01:19.440 --> 0:01:21.240 a Fantasy Pros too, that we can get all the 0:01:21.319 --> 0:01:23.600 updates on things that are going on when lines are moving. 0:01:23.840 --> 0:01:26.280 But betting Pros gives you that consensus, and if you're 0:01:26.319 --> 0:01:28.560 new to wagering, it's a great place because if there's 0:01:28.600 --> 0:01:30.720 wagers you like, you can always move over and find 0:01:30.760 --> 0:01:32.919 the betting house that you think have the best odds 0:01:32.959 --> 0:01:34.960 for that wager if you're really hot on it, and 0:01:35.000 --> 0:01:37.920 take advantage of it. So basically, it's like calling all 0:01:37.959 --> 0:01:40.880 the houses, having all of them one time, one stop 0:01:40.920 --> 0:01:43.240 shop and makes life a lot easier. And I like that. 0:01:43.520 --> 0:01:46.039 I like them. A busy guy, I need efficiency and 0:01:46.080 --> 0:01:47.640 that's what Betting Pros is going to give you. And 0:01:47.720 --> 0:01:52.800 let's start here with the NFC East. Oh, everybody's favorite division, Mike, 0:01:52.880 --> 0:01:55.840 because you know, it was so exciting to watch no 0:01:55.960 --> 0:01:58.760 team with a five hundred record in this division last year. 0:01:58.800 --> 0:02:01.320 But you know what, that Washington fotball team plucky. I 0:02:01.440 --> 0:02:03.880 enjoyed them. I was rooting for them. It was them 0:02:03.920 --> 0:02:06.320 against the world. With that incredible defense, One can only 0:02:06.400 --> 0:02:09.359 imagine that defense will be better. Ryan Fitzpatrick comes into 0:02:09.440 --> 0:02:13.040 that division. The Cowboys hopefully will have Dak Prescott healthy 0:02:13.080 --> 0:02:15.160 and ready to rock in Week one. Then there's the 0:02:15.160 --> 0:02:17.680 Giants and the Eagles. The Cowboys, though, are the favorite. 0:02:17.680 --> 0:02:20.160 Of course they are because they're the public team. Plus 0:02:20.200 --> 0:02:23.040 one forty five on the Cowboys, the Washington football team 0:02:23.040 --> 0:02:25.960 plus two thirty the Giants at plus three seventy five, 0:02:26.120 --> 0:02:28.840 and plus five hundred for the Philadelphia Eagles, And again 0:02:28.880 --> 0:02:31.560 these are the consensus betting pros numbers. So when you 0:02:31.720 --> 0:02:35.079 look at the East, Mike, obviously, every time you look 0:02:35.120 --> 0:02:37.560 at the Cowboys the Yankees teams like that, there's always 0:02:37.600 --> 0:02:39.919 that big public money and that kind of influences the spread. 0:02:39.960 --> 0:02:42.120 But is this plus one forty five actually a pretty 0:02:42.160 --> 0:02:45.000 good number on a Cowboys team that has an offense 0:02:45.040 --> 0:02:47.440 that is really just ready to rock and roll. 0:02:47.520 --> 0:02:50.960 It's a decent number, But I have questions about the Cowboys. 0:02:51.120 --> 0:02:54.120 Their defense was so bad last year that they spent 0:02:54.200 --> 0:02:57.639 the first six picks in the NFL draft on defense. 0:02:58.040 --> 0:03:01.119 Dak has returned and the offense was exploding when he 0:03:01.280 --> 0:03:04.360 was there and healthy last year over thirty points per game. 0:03:04.639 --> 0:03:07.360 But my problem, Joe is the offensive line isn't quite 0:03:07.400 --> 0:03:09.920 as elite as it used to be and the defense 0:03:10.000 --> 0:03:14.079 is revamped in comes dan Quinn Listen. Dan Quinn struggled 0:03:14.080 --> 0:03:16.240 in Atlanta, had the peak moment with the Super Bowl 0:03:16.240 --> 0:03:19.200 went downhill. I don't know if he's the defensive guru 0:03:19.320 --> 0:03:22.240 to solve the problem. So I like plus money with Dallas, 0:03:22.639 --> 0:03:24.640 but I don't think they're going to win the division. 0:03:24.639 --> 0:03:26.519 I'm going to go in a different direction. And as 0:03:26.560 --> 0:03:29.440 you said, America backs the Cowboys. That's always going to 0:03:29.440 --> 0:03:30.559 inflate that number. 0:03:30.400 --> 0:03:32.320 All right, So who do you like, Harey? Is it 0:03:32.320 --> 0:03:35.560 the Washington football team defense with an actual quarterback, because 0:03:35.720 --> 0:03:38.400 last year, I mean the quarterback play was let's just 0:03:38.440 --> 0:03:40.560 say MESSI is that? Is that a kind way of 0:03:40.560 --> 0:03:40.960 putting it? 0:03:41.480 --> 0:03:45.360 Seven and nine with Alex Smith, Dwayne Haskins, and Kyle 0:03:45.400 --> 0:03:49.640 Allen at quarterback. Their defense last year third in defensive DVOA, 0:03:49.840 --> 0:03:52.480 second against the pass. I like to look, Joe, in 0:03:52.560 --> 0:03:55.520 these divisions at the most reliable unit, and that unit 0:03:55.680 --> 0:03:57.160 is the Washington defense. 0:03:57.240 --> 0:03:58.080 In this division. 0:03:58.400 --> 0:04:01.160 There's no chance that Iron Vera defense is going to 0:04:01.200 --> 0:04:03.760 come in and not be elite. So they bring in 0:04:03.840 --> 0:04:07.080 Ryan Fitzpatrick. That's going to be better quarterback play. Their 0:04:07.120 --> 0:04:09.800 offensive line should be better, and they won the division 0:04:09.880 --> 0:04:14.720 last year with that limited quarterback production. Antonio Gibson, by 0:04:14.760 --> 0:04:16.760 the way, he used to be a wide receiver. Now 0:04:16.760 --> 0:04:20.920 they're finally using him in the passing game. So many weapons, consistency, 0:04:21.000 --> 0:04:23.520 and they almost won a playoff game with Taylor Heineke. 0:04:23.960 --> 0:04:26.120 My favorite is Washington. I think they should be a 0:04:26.120 --> 0:04:28.040 favorite on the board. I like him here to win 0:04:28.080 --> 0:04:30.800 the division once again. You and I see eye to eye, 0:04:30.839 --> 0:04:31.520 and that's why I. 0:04:31.520 --> 0:04:34.320 Enjoy doing shows of you. Sometimes there's debate, but I'm 0:04:34.320 --> 0:04:36.800 with you, man, I think Washington might just win this out. 0:04:36.800 --> 0:04:40.279 You're right. This is the best unit there defensively by far. 0:04:40.520 --> 0:04:43.400 And also if they could just get enough offense. And 0:04:43.440 --> 0:04:46.320 there's already some talk about Antonio Gibson getting a CMC 0:04:46.600 --> 0:04:49.520 like workload. Ooh, baby, sign me up for that in fantasy. 0:04:49.520 --> 0:04:50.600 I don't know if that's possible. 0:04:50.680 --> 0:04:52.960 What's funny Joe is. They've said that about JD. 0:04:53.160 --> 0:04:56.320 Mcizzick and Antonio Gibson and all the running backs there. 0:04:56.520 --> 0:04:58.640 But the big key to me is the one set 0:04:58.680 --> 0:05:00.600 I like to look at is the re result in 0:05:00.680 --> 0:05:04.120 close games, one score games. Last year, Washington was three 0:05:04.120 --> 0:05:06.799 and five oho and three in games decided by three points, 0:05:07.000 --> 0:05:10.800 that usually regresses. I'll take last year's division champion. 0:05:10.480 --> 0:05:11.920 With a little bit of positive regression. 0:05:12.200 --> 0:05:14.880 I love that. The positive regression. I like to be positive. 0:05:14.880 --> 0:05:17.400 All right, let's move on to the north. Here, the 0:05:17.400 --> 0:05:20.640 Packers are at the top heavy favorites minus one seventy seven. 0:05:20.720 --> 0:05:22.640 That's the consensus betting pro's number. Then you have the 0:05:22.720 --> 0:05:25.320 Vikings at plus three hundred, the Bears at plus five 0:05:25.320 --> 0:05:28.240 point fifty, the Lions at plus twenty five hundred. God 0:05:28.279 --> 0:05:30.480 bless them, they're so sweet, the Lions, right, So let's 0:05:30.560 --> 0:05:32.920 leave them out of it. You know, justin Fields gave 0:05:32.960 --> 0:05:36.160 some people something to think about, certainly some excitement in 0:05:36.200 --> 0:05:39.440 that first preseason game, running around making some plays. The 0:05:39.520 --> 0:05:43.040 Vikings defense seems on paper to be going in the 0:05:43.080 --> 0:05:46.560 right direction, although my goodness, Mike Zimmer was none too 0:05:46.560 --> 0:05:49.680 happy with his defense against the Broncos last week and 0:05:49.760 --> 0:05:52.400 their performance. Is this just a foregone conclusion you stay 0:05:52.400 --> 0:05:55.040 away from this division because the Packers and Aaron Rodgers 0:05:55.160 --> 0:05:56.200 kind of have something to prove. 0:05:56.240 --> 0:05:57.800 Yet again, no, it's not. 0:05:58.040 --> 0:06:00.320 And I'm going with the Vikings and I love that 0:06:00.360 --> 0:06:03.679 performance because it's going to sync the number. The key question, 0:06:03.720 --> 0:06:06.200 and you and Ariel talked about that last week, is 0:06:06.279 --> 0:06:09.800 the Vikings defense at home. First off, they were affected 0:06:09.800 --> 0:06:12.240 by no crowd noise. You talked about that in Minnesota. 0:06:12.400 --> 0:06:15.640 That's going to return last year? No, Danielle Hunter, he 0:06:15.720 --> 0:06:18.480 was fifth and sacks in twenty nineteen, Anthony Barr, Eric 0:06:18.560 --> 0:06:22.680 Kendrix linebackers combined miss nineteen games, and defensive tackle run 0:06:22.720 --> 0:06:26.120 stopper Michael Pierce he opted out because of COVID. They 0:06:26.160 --> 0:06:29.760 signed Patrick Peterson, They signed Bashad brielin. I think the 0:06:29.800 --> 0:06:33.039 defense returns again. I bank on Mike Zimmer at home. 0:06:33.200 --> 0:06:35.200 He has a great number against the spread and they're 0:06:35.320 --> 0:06:37.279 very tough to beat. And by the way, in the 0:06:37.360 --> 0:06:40.080 last nine games between the Packers and the Vikings, because 0:06:40.120 --> 0:06:42.040 if you're going to win this division, you have to 0:06:42.080 --> 0:06:45.640 be able to beat Green Bay Minnesota five three and one. 0:06:45.800 --> 0:06:47.960 I look for a bounce back in the vikings. I 0:06:48.080 --> 0:06:50.480 like the number of plus three hundred. I grabbed it earlier. 0:06:50.680 --> 0:06:53.240 Now that Rogers is back, I think the money and 0:06:53.320 --> 0:06:55.560 the public sentiment is going too far in the Packers' way. 0:06:55.600 --> 0:06:57.120 I like the vikings here in the NFC North. 0:06:57.600 --> 0:07:00.200 You know, I'm not the biggest Aaron Rodgers fan. I 0:07:00.200 --> 0:07:02.880 have great respect for Aaron Rodgers, so this kind of 0:07:02.920 --> 0:07:05.240 warms the cockles of my heart when you say things 0:07:05.279 --> 0:07:07.560 like that. And I remember last year too, they went 0:07:07.640 --> 0:07:09.159 in there to Green Bay and they put a whooping 0:07:09.200 --> 0:07:11.440 on them. That was a fun game. Not if you're 0:07:11.440 --> 0:07:13.080 a Packers fan, but if you're a football fan. That 0:07:13.120 --> 0:07:15.880 was kind of a fun game last season. Always weird 0:07:15.920 --> 0:07:18.000 not to see people in lambeau Field for that game, 0:07:18.040 --> 0:07:20.400 but still a great stat there with the head to head. 0:07:20.400 --> 0:07:21.960 Because you're right, it is gonna come down to them. 0:07:21.960 --> 0:07:24.280 I don't think the Bears are quite ready yet, but 0:07:24.560 --> 0:07:27.480 certainly keep a team to keep our eyes on. Let's 0:07:27.560 --> 0:07:30.920 move over to the South. Ear very different South, I 0:07:30.920 --> 0:07:33.720 think year over year because Drew Brees is gone. The 0:07:33.720 --> 0:07:38.560 Buccaneers the defending, reigning undisputed champs minus two hundred, but 0:07:38.600 --> 0:07:41.440 the Saints at plus three point fifty, the Falcons plus 0:07:41.480 --> 0:07:46.320 eight hundred, the Panthers at plus one thousand. Now you know, 0:07:46.400 --> 0:07:49.520 I'm I'm a Tom Brady guy. That's that's well known 0:07:49.520 --> 0:07:54.160 here in the course, well documented, well revered, but justified, justified. 0:07:54.320 --> 0:07:56.160 This is to me is the Bucks again that defense 0:07:56.240 --> 0:07:58.920 so good, Tom Brady, so good, having fun, loving life. 0:07:59.000 --> 0:08:00.760 The only thing that could stop the Bucks for me, 0:08:01.440 --> 0:08:04.600 from winning this division is just a rash of injuries, 0:08:04.600 --> 0:08:07.480 including maybe even Brady. That's the only thing that I 0:08:07.480 --> 0:08:09.800 think can hold them back. Because even if they have 0:08:09.840 --> 0:08:11.960 an injury to say a Fournett or Ronald Jones, well, 0:08:12.000 --> 0:08:14.000 you still got running back depth here on the team. 0:08:14.120 --> 0:08:15.880 You have wide receiver depth on the team. You have 0:08:15.920 --> 0:08:18.240 some young guys too who can fill in and step up. 0:08:18.240 --> 0:08:20.560 We saw that even last year at times happen. But 0:08:20.680 --> 0:08:22.520 I mean when you look at ab and Chris Evans 0:08:22.520 --> 0:08:24.800 and Godwin, and you look at the Saints and what's 0:08:24.840 --> 0:08:27.440 become of them now between no Drew Brees and the 0:08:27.480 --> 0:08:30.360 Michael Thomas drama that's unfolding in front of us here 0:08:30.400 --> 0:08:32.280 with his injury and whether or not he ever comes 0:08:32.320 --> 0:08:34.480 back and plays it down for them, I mean, the 0:08:34.520 --> 0:08:36.760 Falcons are gonna rebuild. Is this a hard stay away 0:08:36.800 --> 0:08:38.920 for you? And when you're look at it at this South. 0:08:39.240 --> 0:08:42.520 It's the Bucks and there's no competition here. Once Michael 0:08:42.520 --> 0:08:45.280 Thomas went down the changeover in quarterback, I can't go 0:08:45.360 --> 0:08:47.680 with the Saints Santsa with a great defense. We're certainly 0:08:47.679 --> 0:08:49.480 not going with the Falcons with a first year head 0:08:49.480 --> 0:08:50.680 coach and the Panthers. 0:08:50.720 --> 0:08:50.760 No. 0:08:50.920 --> 0:08:53.480 However, I don't mind minus two hundred going with the 0:08:53.480 --> 0:08:56.280 Bucks because I think they're the clear division favorite. I 0:08:56.280 --> 0:08:58.600 think they're one of the strongest favorites in the entire NFL. 0:08:58.840 --> 0:09:01.559 But another area I want to look at is Carolina's 0:09:01.600 --> 0:09:04.160 over under number. I'm taking the Panthers over seven and 0:09:04.160 --> 0:09:07.120 a half. I think that number is too low. I 0:09:07.120 --> 0:09:09.080 think it's a second year. Now we're talking about the 0:09:09.080 --> 0:09:12.440 coaching staff, Matt Rules. Second year Sam Darnald comes in. 0:09:12.920 --> 0:09:13.280 Joe. 0:09:13.440 --> 0:09:16.880 Sam Darnald's reputation went down the drain because we heard 0:09:16.960 --> 0:09:19.640 him say the phrase I'm seeing ghosts. 0:09:19.920 --> 0:09:21.199 If there was no mic. 0:09:21.120 --> 0:09:23.640 And that did not happen, we would not be thinking 0:09:23.679 --> 0:09:27.120 so low about Sam Darnald. He's had terrible offensive line play. 0:09:27.400 --> 0:09:29.800 Carolina should provide that a little bit better than he 0:09:29.840 --> 0:09:32.679 has in the past, and most importantly, Carolina's strength. The 0:09:32.720 --> 0:09:36.640 schedule thirteenth overall, but they get off to a great start. 0:09:36.760 --> 0:09:37.880 Listen to the teams. 0:09:37.559 --> 0:09:41.120 Carolina plays to start home Jets at Houston home Philly. 0:09:41.360 --> 0:09:44.160 That's four home games in the first six weeks. 0:09:44.400 --> 0:09:46.160 They were three and eight one score games. 0:09:46.240 --> 0:09:48.280 They were zero and three in games decided by three 0:09:48.280 --> 0:09:52.079 points or less. They played Tampa Bay in weeks sixteen 0:09:52.200 --> 0:09:54.680 and eighteen, which means Tampa Bay could be resting because 0:09:54.679 --> 0:09:57.120 they could have locked up division. So I'm all in 0:09:57.160 --> 0:09:59.040 on the Bucks. There is no challenge here from the 0:09:59.080 --> 0:10:02.240 Saints or anyone else. But I also like Carolina is over, 0:10:02.400 --> 0:10:03.560 which is seven and a half. 0:10:03.800 --> 0:10:06.160 Week eighteen still sounds weird to me when you say it. 0:10:06.480 --> 0:10:08.840 I just I still gotta still gotta wrap my mind 0:10:08.880 --> 0:10:11.840 around week eighteen. But I'm with you, man, I think 0:10:11.840 --> 0:10:14.280 that Sam Darnold can really turn things around here. Joe 0:10:14.280 --> 0:10:16.280 Brady one of the best play callers in my opinion, 0:10:16.559 --> 0:10:19.320 the soon to be head coach of the Cincinnati Bengals 0:10:19.360 --> 0:10:22.440 in a year from now. That's that's what I think. Anyway, 0:10:22.520 --> 0:10:24.280 we'll see if I'm right. Is there money I can 0:10:24.280 --> 0:10:26.800 put on that somewhere because I'd like to Randall if 0:10:26.800 --> 0:10:28.280 I could, I'd like to put money on possible. 0:10:28.360 --> 0:10:30.839 The Bengals don't like to pay for coaches though that 0:10:30.840 --> 0:10:33.160 that aren't there, so I might have no choice. 0:10:33.360 --> 0:10:36.160 I have no choice with with the with the crowd 0:10:36.200 --> 0:10:38.880 they're putting together, with Burrow and jamar Chas and those guys, 0:10:39.280 --> 0:10:42.280 it just feels like the right fit. But I'm with 0:10:42.320 --> 0:10:44.400 you one hundred percent. I do like that Panther's number 0:10:44.440 --> 0:10:46.320 as well on the over because you get that healthy 0:10:46.320 --> 0:10:49.600 CMC back Donald with something to prove, a lot of 0:10:49.600 --> 0:10:52.280 good stuff there and some winnable games. You know, the Saints. 0:10:52.679 --> 0:10:54.680 You know, the Saints got old. The Saints kind of 0:10:54.679 --> 0:10:56.880 had their window and it's kind of stopped. And I 0:10:56.920 --> 0:10:59.160 don't know, man Taysom Hill, Teddy Bridgewater, I mean to 0:10:59.360 --> 0:11:03.120 Taysom Hill and James Winston. It's just the lack of 0:11:03.200 --> 0:11:05.800 decision here on that really just kind of puts me 0:11:05.800 --> 0:11:07.280 in a tough spot when it comes to the Saints. 0:11:07.559 --> 0:11:10.760 Yeah, I agree, Marcus Calloy listen great for fantasy with 0:11:10.880 --> 0:11:13.480 the options and the value he has, not great that 0:11:13.520 --> 0:11:16.320 he's your top wide receiver for at least Joe seven 0:11:16.400 --> 0:11:19.200 to eight games and maybe longer this year for New Orleans. 0:11:19.320 --> 0:11:22.640 All right, let's go over to the very competitive division here, 0:11:22.880 --> 0:11:24.880 which is the West. You got the Rams of plus 0:11:24.920 --> 0:11:27.720 two hundred, the forty nine Ers can send his number 0:11:27.760 --> 0:11:30.240 plus two hundred, then the Seahawks plus two seventy five, 0:11:30.440 --> 0:11:33.800 and the Cardinals at plus six hundred. So look, I 0:11:33.880 --> 0:11:35.920 like the Cardinals. I like Kyler Murray. I think they're 0:11:35.960 --> 0:11:38.480 going to be fun to watch. The play calling still 0:11:38.600 --> 0:11:43.120 sometimes is questionable, but I think it's a three team division. 0:11:43.480 --> 0:11:46.120 How do you see this one working out? Because I'm curious, 0:11:46.160 --> 0:11:48.679 this is very tight. You have Russell Wilson, you have 0:11:48.720 --> 0:11:51.600 Matt Stafford now in town, and who knows, Trey Lance 0:11:51.600 --> 0:11:53.520 could even be the Week one starter. I still think 0:11:53.520 --> 0:11:56.640 it's unlikely, But will a Jimmy Garoppolo gets hurt. It 0:11:56.720 --> 0:11:59.040 might be sooner than later, just because whether they like 0:11:59.120 --> 0:12:01.880 it or not. How do you see the West here unfolding? 0:12:01.920 --> 0:12:04.800 From a wagering perspective? With these teams so close plus 0:12:04.840 --> 0:12:07.120 two hundred Rams, plus two hundred nine Ers and plus 0:12:07.160 --> 0:12:08.920 two seventy five Seahawks. 0:12:08.600 --> 0:12:11.559 I'm gonna call Coolio because this is a better's Paradise 0:12:11.600 --> 0:12:15.080 the NFC West, it's between the Rams in San Francisco. 0:12:15.160 --> 0:12:18.360 For me, I'm gonna toss Seattle out. Their offensive line 0:12:18.400 --> 0:12:21.240 is always in shambles, and sure the book has been 0:12:21.240 --> 0:12:23.720 on Russell Wilson that he starts slow and he's like 0:12:23.720 --> 0:12:26.160 a quarterback fought fourteen in fantasy and then he has 0:12:26.160 --> 0:12:27.120 a miraculous finish. 0:12:27.440 --> 0:12:28.680 Last year it was reverse. 0:12:28.720 --> 0:12:31.720 We're talking about Russell Wilson, no doubt MVP, and then 0:12:31.760 --> 0:12:34.800 things slow down. I know Pete Carroll gets a defense together. 0:12:35.040 --> 0:12:37.160 I'm gonna put them a notch below. It's the Rams 0:12:37.160 --> 0:12:39.720 of San Francisco, and I'm gonna go with San Francisco 0:12:39.840 --> 0:12:43.080 for three reasons. First is the rushing attack. Center Alex 0:12:43.200 --> 0:12:45.839 Mack is now back with Kyle Shanahan, and that should 0:12:45.880 --> 0:12:47.840 be huge for their offensive line. If we can just 0:12:47.880 --> 0:12:50.240 get his sweating problems done, Joe, he's having a lot 0:12:50.280 --> 0:12:52.360 of sweating problems on the exchange with the ball to 0:12:52.440 --> 0:12:54.959 the quarterback. Everything should be fine. Maybe he's just excited 0:12:55.000 --> 0:12:57.800 to be there. But that offensive line with Trent Williams, 0:12:57.800 --> 0:13:00.680 who's the highest graded tackle per PFF, is going to 0:13:00.679 --> 0:13:03.600 be solid. Let's talk about their running backs. Raheem Moster, 0:13:03.920 --> 0:13:06.720 Trey Sermon, of course, is shooting up fantasy draft boards. 0:13:06.800 --> 0:13:09.880 Jamichael Hasty impressed in Week one. They have a litany 0:13:10.000 --> 0:13:13.400 of running backs that are impressive. Second reason is the schedule. 0:13:13.600 --> 0:13:17.040 They get the AFC South along with the Falcons, Bengals, Eagles, 0:13:17.040 --> 0:13:19.839 and Lions. They have the easiest strength of schedule per 0:13:19.880 --> 0:13:23.000 Warren Sharp in the league, and it's not close. Lastly, 0:13:23.240 --> 0:13:26.240 the Niners just need some injury regression. Last year they 0:13:26.280 --> 0:13:29.920 won six and ten. Jimmy Garoppolo out for ten games, 0:13:30.040 --> 0:13:33.320 Deebo Samuel nine, Nick Bosa, d Ford miss time, and 0:13:33.360 --> 0:13:36.000 Moster was out for eight. When they were healthy, was 0:13:36.040 --> 0:13:39.120 only two games. What happened Week six and seven? Beat 0:13:39.160 --> 0:13:42.400 the Rams and one at New England. Give me Kyle Shanahan, 0:13:42.440 --> 0:13:45.040 give me some average quarterback play, and I think they 0:13:45.040 --> 0:13:46.800 should go over their win total, which is ten and 0:13:46.800 --> 0:13:49.960 a half. People think that's high. There's a reason it's high, folks. 0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:51.959 I like the forty nine ers in the NFC West. 0:13:52.200 --> 0:13:53.679 I think this is gonna be competitive. I think it's 0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:55.719 gonna be down the wire. But I'm gonna take the 0:13:55.840 --> 0:13:57.400 Rams in this one. And here's why. 0:13:57.800 --> 0:14:01.520 I think Matthew Stafford unleashed now is going to be 0:14:02.000 --> 0:14:04.880 very different. Matt Stafford, You're basically taking one of the 0:14:04.880 --> 0:14:08.240 more underrated quarterbacks in the game and taking possibly one 0:14:08.280 --> 0:14:10.720 of the worst places you could possibly be and dropping 0:14:10.760 --> 0:14:13.040 him one of them the best offensive mines in football 0:14:13.040 --> 0:14:15.559 and Sean McVay. You've got a bunch of wide receivers 0:14:15.559 --> 0:14:17.680 to throw the football. You've got a really good tight 0:14:17.760 --> 0:14:20.440 end in Tyler Higbee. I do think the cam Akers 0:14:20.520 --> 0:14:22.640 injury does hurt them. I'm still curious to see if 0:14:22.640 --> 0:14:24.640 they pick up somebody else, but hey, maybe they do 0:14:24.760 --> 0:14:26.520 like the kids that they have, Maybe Jones and Funker 0:14:26.560 --> 0:14:29.280 guys that they like. We'll see, But I don't know, man, 0:14:29.360 --> 0:14:31.720 it feels to me like Aaron Donald in this defense. 0:14:32.160 --> 0:14:35.160 What this team was really lacking was, you know, the 0:14:35.240 --> 0:14:37.640 quarterback play. Jared Goff just could not get it done 0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:39.920 in the big spots. I think Matthew Stafford will and 0:14:39.960 --> 0:14:42.120 I think as much as I love Trey Lance, and 0:14:42.200 --> 0:14:44.640 I do, I am mister Trey Lance at the end 0:14:44.680 --> 0:14:47.240 of the day, I just have a hard time thinking 0:14:47.240 --> 0:14:49.240 that the rookie can take Hi past Matt Stafford. This 0:14:49.240 --> 0:14:51.320 is gonna be a fascinating division I think it's fun 0:14:51.320 --> 0:14:53.160 that neither of us went Seahawks in it, even though 0:14:53.160 --> 0:14:53.920 that's the best number. 0:14:54.200 --> 0:14:55.360 Yeah, and I have no problem. 0:14:55.400 --> 0:14:57.800 I think Stafford's gonna have a monster year, and I 0:14:57.840 --> 0:14:59.800 think the injury to camp Akers means he's going to 0:15:00.360 --> 0:15:02.840 even more. I'm just a little headstand with the Rams 0:15:02.840 --> 0:15:06.360 offensive line a little bit old. The defense is certainly solid. 0:15:06.440 --> 0:15:08.400 I have no problem with that at all. I think 0:15:08.440 --> 0:15:10.240 it's a coin flit between those two teams. I do 0:15:10.280 --> 0:15:12.680 put seat a little bit behind these other two. All right, 0:15:12.720 --> 0:15:16.080 let's take a look now at the NFC. The winners. 0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:19.640 Potentially we have the Bucks at plus three hundred. Here 0:15:19.920 --> 0:15:22.560 the favorites, of course, Actually the three to one actually 0:15:22.600 --> 0:15:24.440 have a better number than I thought you'd get on the Bucks. 0:15:24.480 --> 0:15:27.000 If you can find anything above that, get on there 0:15:27.040 --> 0:15:30.080 and take it. Because I know it's boring. I know 0:15:30.160 --> 0:15:33.400 it's frustrating, folks. I know you hate Tom Brady, but 0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:36.440 this is a really complete football team, and it's got continuity, 0:15:36.480 --> 0:15:38.280 and that is a tough thing to break. It's the 0:15:38.320 --> 0:15:41.200 continuity year over year, the fact that these guys really 0:15:41.280 --> 0:15:44.080 enjoy each other's company that goes a long way. Like 0:15:44.120 --> 0:15:47.160 this whole good vibes thing. It's not something to overrate. 0:15:47.400 --> 0:15:50.760 It's something that actually is investible in a lot of ways. 0:15:50.880 --> 0:15:53.640 Plus three hundred there for the Buccaneers, the Packers at 0:15:53.640 --> 0:15:56.160 plus five point fifty, your forty nine ers. That's why 0:15:56.200 --> 0:15:57.720 I'm gonna call them your forty nine ers out plus 0:15:57.800 --> 0:16:00.320 six fifty, and of course the Rams at that same number, 0:16:00.360 --> 0:16:03.840 plus six fifty. So of the favorites. To me, Mike, 0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:05.760 when I look at this board, I see the Bucks 0:16:05.800 --> 0:16:08.040 and I see the Rams. Those are the two teams 0:16:08.040 --> 0:16:10.080 I could see coming out of the NFC. I just 0:16:10.120 --> 0:16:11.840 have a hard time. Aaron Rodgers, you know, in the 0:16:11.840 --> 0:16:14.520 big spot, just always comes up short, just what history 0:16:14.520 --> 0:16:17.720 has taught us. And you know, the forty nine ers again, 0:16:17.920 --> 0:16:19.960 you gotta get past Brady, you gotta get past Stafford 0:16:19.960 --> 0:16:22.640 the playoffs and on and Aaron Rodgers or some combination. 0:16:22.720 --> 0:16:25.320 I find that a little hard to believe. But for you, 0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:28.120 is there certain place or places you would want to 0:16:28.200 --> 0:16:28.880 place bets? 0:16:29.200 --> 0:16:31.280 Yeah, for the favorites, those are fine, and I think 0:16:31.320 --> 0:16:33.640 plus three hundred for Tampa Bay is very strong, given 0:16:33.680 --> 0:16:36.600 that they're probably gonna have home field advantage. Well coached, 0:16:36.720 --> 0:16:38.440 as long as there's no major injuries. You said, I 0:16:38.440 --> 0:16:40.360 think they should be fine. I have concerns with the 0:16:40.360 --> 0:16:43.600 Packers the offensive line. Corey Lindsay is now with the Chargers. 0:16:43.680 --> 0:16:46.800 Rick Wagner now with the Ravens. They have David Bactiari, 0:16:46.880 --> 0:16:50.080 of course, the master Chugger from my Milwaukee Bucks title 0:16:50.160 --> 0:16:51.360 run there in the Fiord. 0:16:51.560 --> 0:16:53.840 When did you become a Bucks fan? What did that know? Oh? 0:16:53.960 --> 0:16:55.320 Yes, I've been a Bucks fan. I have a good 0:16:55.320 --> 0:16:57.160 friend that works for the Bucks. Here fear the deer 0:16:57.280 --> 0:17:00.640 Bucks and six of course Joe. Okay, but they reputation 0:17:00.720 --> 0:17:04.680 of the Packers defense to me is still soft per PFF. 0:17:04.720 --> 0:17:07.199 They were ranked twenty first and twenty seventh in pressure 0:17:07.280 --> 0:17:09.760 rate the last two years. Their secondary, by the way, 0:17:09.800 --> 0:17:13.119 is a little overrated. Jay R Alexander fantastic all pro. 0:17:13.400 --> 0:17:16.520 But everyone else I'm not sure about that. I don't 0:17:16.600 --> 0:17:18.640 like the Packers there. I would roll with the Niners 0:17:18.680 --> 0:17:20.679 as well. I think the Niners, like I said, injury 0:17:20.720 --> 0:17:22.800 regression is going to make a big, big difference, so 0:17:22.840 --> 0:17:25.119 with the favorites for me, if you want to go Bucks, 0:17:25.119 --> 0:17:25.760 I'm fine with it. 0:17:25.800 --> 0:17:27.920 Also like the Niners of plus six fifty. 0:17:27.880 --> 0:17:29.560 All right, did anybody ever tell you you look like 0:17:29.600 --> 0:17:31.560 you could be a head coach, especially with the with 0:17:31.600 --> 0:17:34.199 the hat and the outfit today. You really I mean, 0:17:34.520 --> 0:17:36.399 I'm sitting here on the show here, and of course 0:17:36.520 --> 0:17:38.480 you can always watch us over on Betting Pros on 0:17:38.520 --> 0:17:41.359