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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Saturday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Diligence podcast. Will

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Speaker 2: mean bat parolt at Sports Talk Matt to follow me

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Speaker 2: on Twitter. This podcast being brought to you by Olmaha

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Speaker 2: Steaks dot Com. The promo code is Juice in the

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Speaker 2: search bar gets you a fifty percent off savings on

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Speaker 2: the anniversary packages available right now at Olmaha steaks dot com. Okay,

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Speaker 2: two in one night. Last night we get a winning night. Finally,

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Speaker 2: it's not a huge night, but to a winning night,

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Speaker 2: which is good. It gets us off the schneider and

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Speaker 2: gets us potentially heading towards a winning week if we

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Speaker 2: can do well here on a Saturday.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: Full disclosure, my UFC betting has not been good. This

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Speaker 2: is something I love to bet, but I am not

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Speaker 2: good at it. It's fun, it's enjoyable. This is allultimately entertainment, right.

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Speaker 2: It's what we're doing here, building a community, having fun,

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Speaker 2: enjoying ourselves. So I say that all knowing that I'm

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Speaker 2: down basically somewhere like one point seven units or something

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Speaker 2: like that.

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Speaker 1: For the week.

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Speaker 2: I have two parlays not great. I have two baseball

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Speaker 2: bets not great, but it's Saturday, and I want to fire.

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Speaker 2: I want to have some fun. I'll either dig us

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Speaker 2: out of the hole or I'll put myself right back

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Speaker 2: into a massive one, depending on how tonight goes. But

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Speaker 2: UFC two ninety two is in Boston, my hometown, so

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Speaker 2: I am fired up about this pay per view card.

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Speaker 2: And We've got a couple of baseball plays that I

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Speaker 2: want to get into as well.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's start with one parlay.

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Speaker 2: Okay, it is a UFC baseball parlay, cross sport parlay,

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Speaker 2: something having fun action on both. Okay, So I know

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Speaker 2: in Vegas, you guys might not be able to get

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Speaker 2: access to this, but I think a lot of you

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Speaker 2: might be able to do an alt number. Even if

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Speaker 2: you don't have the access to the four and a half,

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Speaker 2: you still have an alt number. Most of the East

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Speaker 2: Coast books have been at three and a half for

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Speaker 2: the round total between O'Malley and Sterling all day, all week.

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Speaker 2: Vegas is at four and a half, heavily juice to

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Speaker 2: the under, but you could essentially bet over three and

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Speaker 2: a half and under four and a half and middle it.

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Speaker 1: That's possible. You could do that. Here's how I think

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Speaker 1: this fight's going to go. Okay.

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Speaker 2: I do not believe that if O'Malley does not win

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Speaker 2: the fight by knockout inside the first round, that he

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Speaker 2: will be able to beat Sterling and keep him off

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Speaker 2: his back, away from his neck. I think he eventually

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Speaker 2: will find a way to submit him. If O'Malley is

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Speaker 2: going to win the fight, he could do it in

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Speaker 2: the first round, kick, punch something. If this fight goes

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Speaker 2: to the ground, it's over, Okay, finito. If O'Malley gets

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Speaker 2: a lightning strike shot, he can knock out Sterling one

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Speaker 2: hundred percent.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: I am taking the first leg of this parlay under

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Speaker 2: four and a half rounds at minus one ninety five

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Speaker 2: at Circus Sports here in Vegas.

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Speaker 1: Okay, under four and a half, you may need to go.

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Speaker 2: If you got a three and a half, you may

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Speaker 2: need to go find an alt to do this parlay.

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Speaker 1: They may not let you parlay. But this is what

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Speaker 1: we're gonna do.

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Speaker 2: Sterling under four Sterling against Romaley, no matter who winds

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Speaker 2: under four and a half rounds. Four and a half

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Speaker 2: rounds means into the fifth inning, halfway into the fifth inning,

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Speaker 2: or fifth round. Rather okay, only the last two and

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Speaker 2: a half minutes of the fight can burn us okay

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Speaker 2: if it ends in rounds one, two, three, four, or

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Speaker 2: halfway in a round five, this bet cases. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: pair it up with the Cubs and Justin Steele, who

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Speaker 2: is thirteen and three. He's won five games in a row.

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Speaker 2: He's won ten of eleven starts, dating all the way

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Speaker 2: back to the seventeenth of June for the Cubs. He's

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Speaker 2: been unbelievable the Cubs of one almost every start he

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Speaker 2: has made, only losses to the Red Sox, where he

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Speaker 2: got touched up for one run in six one earned

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Speaker 2: in six runs defense did have no favors there.

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Speaker 1: He lost that game eleven to five.

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Speaker 2: But other than that, it's been twenty to nine six

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Speaker 2: four five, four four three ten three three two four

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Speaker 2: three ten one nine one three two Okay, money line

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Speaker 2: Cubs to keep this role going against the Royals Bradiest Singer,

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Speaker 2: and I know Brady Singer has had a near no

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Speaker 2: hitter pitch really well his last time out. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: fade it though, because Steele at home has been really good.

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Speaker 2: I lean towards the over in this game, but instead

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna take money line minus one eighty one Cubs

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Speaker 2: parlayed with Sterling plus minus one ninety five for an

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Speaker 2: under four and a half round fight. That's a plus

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Speaker 2: one thirty four parlay. One unit down on that plus

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Speaker 2: one thirty four. We're jumping in Sterling under Steel Cubs

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Speaker 2: money line two legger. Now I have another two leg

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Speaker 2: parlay that I want to get into.

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Speaker 1: And this is.

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Speaker 2: Maybe a little bit of a now not maybe this

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Speaker 2: is a bet I like a lot. Okay, I was

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Speaker 2: gonna say it's it's got less of a flyer type

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Speaker 2: of mentality to it just because of what's going on.

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Speaker 2: But I am going to take both both fights Comine

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Speaker 2: and Maine to finish inside the distance. So my thought

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Speaker 2: process is with a Malli in Sterling, really is that

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Speaker 2: Amale is so long that I think when he goes

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Speaker 2: for a kick I think Sterling can get into the

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Speaker 2: inside and then drag him down. That fight not to

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Speaker 2: go to the distance is minus two twenty five at Fandel.

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Speaker 2: You can get it somewhere around like one ninety to

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Speaker 2: one to two twenty five summer the way lee Amandolimo's fight. Look,

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Speaker 2: I can't see that fight going the distance, Okay, I

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Speaker 2: just can't. The fight to not go the distance is

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Speaker 2: minus three sixty. You can bine no matter who wins

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Speaker 2: the fight not to go to the distance in the main,

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Speaker 2: the fight not to go the distance in the Comaine

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Speaker 2: that is a one to nineteen minus one to nineteen parlay.

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Speaker 2: I don't think we get decisions on either fight here.

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Speaker 2: We're going inside the distance. Itd for the Waylee Limos

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Speaker 2: fight and the O'Malley and the Sterling fight, some of

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Speaker 2: the stats are really pretty interesting. If you want to

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Speaker 2: throw Ian Gary over Neil Magni either the over or

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Speaker 2: Ian Gary to win, you can juice up your parlay

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Speaker 2: if you want to jump in.

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Speaker 1: I just don't like doing.

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Speaker 2: Three leg parlays in particular official three leg parlays, so

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Speaker 2: we're just doing a two legger here, But I mean

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Speaker 2: Sean O'Malley average fight time is nine oh one, Sterling

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Speaker 2: thirteen to thirty six. We got a no contest that

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Speaker 2: came in. But other than that you had fights have

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Speaker 2: all won against young against against other Almeda good fighters,

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Speaker 2: but not as good fighters as what we've seen here

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Speaker 2: out of Sterling. So Hudo, dillashaw yan Yan and Sandhagen

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Speaker 2: five fights five great fights, five big wins. For al

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Speaker 2: jaminer Sterling, average fight time is thirteen thirty six, but

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Speaker 2: I think his submission game is just too good. Here

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Speaker 2: average takedowns two point zero two per fifteen minutes. Takedown accuracy.

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Speaker 2: He'll keep going even if he doesn't get it. It's

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Speaker 2: only twenty four points takedown accuracy. But he will try

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Speaker 2: to submit about one or two times every fifteen minutes.

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Speaker 1: Every round. He'll try to get after it. But for

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Speaker 1: way Lee and.

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Speaker 2: Amanda Limos, I mean mentally almost average fight time is

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Speaker 2: seven to twenty five, which is a little bit, you know,

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Speaker 2: on the faster side. For a women's fighter, way Lee

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Speaker 2: is eleven zero two. Here for Limos to fight win

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Speaker 2: Street against Waterson, Gomez and Rodriguez, Asparja and Shchek. For

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Speaker 2: way Lee big fight, she lost to Rose twice but

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Speaker 2: then came back fighting for the belt. Here Wayley under

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Speaker 2: inside the distance this fight not to go to the

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Speaker 2: distance here between Waylee and Limos. That is a plus

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Speaker 2: minus one nineteen parlay for both Comaine and Maine inside

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Speaker 2: the distance parlay and minus one nineteen Okay, so similar

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Speaker 2: bet to the first one, but inside the distance gives

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Speaker 2: us the two and a half minutes or two minutes

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Speaker 2: and twenty nine seconds you get if you bet the under.

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Speaker 2: That's the only thing that can beat you with under

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Speaker 2: four and a half. This gives you the full round

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Speaker 2: except for you know, obviously ending before the final horn

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Speaker 2: sounds in this fight for Sterling into O'Malley. If this

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Speaker 2: fight goes the distance, I lose both bets. Okay, straight up,

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Speaker 2: this fight goes the distance, I lose both bets. Just

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Speaker 2: be very surprised. If Sterling O'Malley goes I'll lose two

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Speaker 2: units in a way we go here with the UFC.

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Speaker 2: Very possible that's how I end up losing. But I

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Speaker 2: don't think these fights go the distance. So either Sterling

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Speaker 2: or O'Malley wins, Waylee or Limos win. If that happens

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Speaker 2: into the distance, it's minus one nineteen one point one

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Speaker 2: to ninety's down on that. The other bet that we

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Speaker 2: talked about is a plus money wager with the Steel

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Speaker 2: lead Cubs at at minus one to eighty one to

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Speaker 2: come in and the fight to go under four and

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Speaker 2: a half rounds.

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Speaker 1: That is a one thirty four parlay for that.

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Speaker 2: Okay, Baseball bets Mariners and The Astros don't need a

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Speaker 2: huge breakdown of this because we've got two fantastic pictures.

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Speaker 2: The total is eight tier. Framber already has thrown a

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Speaker 2: no hitter at home, so we know how good he

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Speaker 2: is at home and how tough he is to face

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Speaker 2: at home. And then we've got Gilbert, who's fantastic on

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Speaker 2: the road logan Gilbert's ten and five with a three

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Speaker 2: point one eight eight zero era Bramber has just been

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Speaker 2: absolutely tremendous. But two nothing win for the Mariners last night.

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Speaker 2: The total is eight minus one fifteen to the under.

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Speaker 2: I am betting the under for the Astros and the

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Speaker 2: Mariners here under eight at minus one ten so one

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Speaker 2: point why my sorry, minus one fifteen one point one

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Speaker 2: to five units down on that. And finally I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: go back to the Orioles and the a's bet action. Okay,

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Speaker 2: don't bet pitchers here, bet action, so the bets live

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Speaker 2: no matter who is pitching, because frankly, it doesn't really

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Speaker 2: matter who is pitching here. The Orioles offense should be

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Speaker 2: able to score at will Is scored a Ton nine

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Speaker 2: to four.

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Speaker 1: The win on the run line.

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Speaker 2: In Game number one, it's Irvin against Waldachuk. Irvin's been

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Speaker 2: good enough on the road this year, not outstanding, but

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Speaker 2: good enough. His splits four point one eight is zero

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Speaker 2: and two. But I think that offense will come to

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Speaker 2: player tonight. For the Orioles. We're going with the run

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Speaker 2: line for the Orioles minus one and a half runs.

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Speaker 2: It's minus one ten one point one units down on

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Speaker 2: the Orioles up against the A's. Okay, four bets, two parlays,

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Speaker 2: little more more than four and a half units going

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Speaker 2: here on a Saturday. Let's have a good Saturday, all right,

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Speaker 2: under four and a half rounds and the Cubs money line.

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Speaker 2: That bet is plus one thirty four. We're going inside

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Speaker 2: the distance main event, inside the distance comin event. That

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Speaker 2: bet is minus one nineteen under eight Mariners Astros minus

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Speaker 2: one fifteen Orioles run line against the A'SUS one ten

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Speaker 2: for us. All right, my name is Matt Perrault. Let's

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Speaker 2: have some fun in the discord channel. Excuse me bettingpros

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Speaker 2: dot Com slash chat to join that. UFC two ninety

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Speaker 2: two should be a lot of fun baseball as well.

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Speaker 2: This podcast you find it audio video wherever you get

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Speaker 2: your podcasts. It's the Daily juice every single morning, always

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Speaker 2: being brought to you by olmah steaks dot Com, The

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Speaker 2: Spen