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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podas all.

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Speaker 2: Right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty twenty five

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Speaker 1: fifty and the kick as block the college football.

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Speaker 3: World studdy, Oh.

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Speaker 2: My goodness, he's stumbled and football the lateral turn, the

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Speaker 2: counter up the inside, don't you believe?

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Speaker 4: Not tap them off the field to night.

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Speaker 2: It's not the sides of the dog in the fight,

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Speaker 2: it's the size of the fight in the hall.

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Speaker 4: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 4: on Campus Podcast presented by bet NGM. This is the

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Speaker 4: ACC College Football betting Preview. I'm stucky and joining me

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Speaker 4: as always my BBOC co host Colin Wilson. If you're

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Speaker 4: watching on YouTube on our new BBOC channel, appreciate you.

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Speaker 4: Make sure you hit that subscribe button. Really helps us

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Speaker 4: out as we try to build that channel up. Going

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Speaker 4: to have all of our podcasts a bit early on

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Speaker 4: the YouTube channel of live shows, live streams, interviews with athletes, etc. Etc.

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Speaker 4: So make sure you hit that subscribe button. If you're

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Speaker 4: listening the old fashioned method, Welcome, It's good to be back.

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Speaker 4: Colinie excited to talk some cal and Stanford.

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Speaker 2: In the asues some serious road travel going on for

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Speaker 2: those two teo. Think there's a Miami Cow game. I'm

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Speaker 2: so sure the distance on the miles off that's gonna

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Speaker 2: win the season for that. Now, I had to get

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Speaker 2: the green lights on. Today we're talking Notre Dame included

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Speaker 2: in this podcast. We've already recorded the big twelve half

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Speaker 2: that league can win the title. It is a much

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Speaker 2: different dynamic in this conference.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, let's dive right in because there are seventeen teams

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Speaker 4: to get to seventeen in the ACC. The new teams

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Speaker 4: are Cal, Stanford and SMU. I'm gonna break this out.

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Speaker 4: I mean, going through seventeen teams is it's a messive tackle.

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Speaker 4: So it's and these conferences are only gonna get bigger.

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Speaker 4: We might have twenty team conferences soon. This sucks and

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Speaker 4: it's horseshit, but I'm too polite to say anything because

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Speaker 4: I'm a class act. So I'm gonna break this out,

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Speaker 4: starting with Notre Dame season long stuff.

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Speaker 5: Oh downie boy, the pipes pipe sock from Land.

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna share most of my thoughts for week one

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Speaker 4: pod because I like Texas A and M against Notre Dame.

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Speaker 4: You like the opposite, So we'll be arguing about that.

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Speaker 4: But I want to get your thoughts on Notre Dame

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Speaker 4: season long schedule. They'll be it's a coin flip bat

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Speaker 4: text A and M to start the year. Schedule though,

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Speaker 4: sets up really nicely for them to make the cultural

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Speaker 4: playf there minus one seventy to make it twenty two

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Speaker 4: to one to win the national title. Win total ten

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Speaker 4: and a half, heavily juice to the under very favorable schedule.

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Speaker 4: You know, you get Army and Navy, you host FSU

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Speaker 4: in a really good spot, you play USC on the road,

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Speaker 4: which is one of your tougher games. At the end

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Speaker 4: of the season, you host Louisville in a big revenge spot,

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Speaker 4: and there's just a bunch of easy wins on paper.

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Speaker 4: Other than that, any thoughts on Notre Dame season long

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Speaker 4: stuff and the team in general with Riley Leonard at

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Speaker 4: the hell taken over for Sam Hartman.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and Mike Denbrock comes back. The LSU offensive coordinator

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Speaker 2: that was has no issues getting points up on the

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Speaker 2: board as fast as possible. He's gonna have a heavier

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Speaker 2: tendency to run here. With Jeremiah love Engineering Price, all

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Speaker 2: the young inexperienced wide receivers that they had last year,

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Speaker 2: like Jaden great House. They're all a year older now.

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Speaker 2: I remember true freshman all over this roster last year

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Speaker 2: and thinking how are we going to get the ball

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Speaker 2: thrown around? They're all older. Both calling comes over a

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Speaker 2: little bit of a problem separating when he's targeted and

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Speaker 2: getting open. So we'll see how that works out. And

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Speaker 2: the offensive line, for the first time in a few

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Speaker 2: years of Notre Dame, it's full of unproven names. That's

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Speaker 2: not to say that they don't have a lot of talent.

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame also has always has horses in the trench,

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Speaker 2: so we'll see how that works out. For Riley Leonard,

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Speaker 2: who needs to stay healthy after what happened to Duke

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Speaker 2: last year. Al Golden got all his big playmakers back.

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Speaker 2: On defense. I can't believe the Notre Dame got these

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Speaker 2: guys at the Howard Cross at defensive tackle, Riley Mills,

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Speaker 2: Jack Heiser at linebacker, and safety Xavier Watts had I

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Speaker 2: think eight PBUs and then Rod Hurd transfers in from

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Speaker 2: the Northwestern secondary, and you know, the Northwestern secondary was

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Speaker 2: nasty last year under David Brawn, So there's only three

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Speaker 2: games on the schedule that Notre Dame could lose in

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Speaker 2: my opinion texts A and M, Florida State, and USC.

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame is going to be off a bye when

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Speaker 2: they play Florida State. I like that for them getting

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Speaker 2: extra rest, to me for them to go under their

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Speaker 2: win total, which I project them directly on ten. They've

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Speaker 2: got to lose all three of those games A and M,

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Speaker 2: Florida State, and USC. I don't think they will could

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Speaker 2: be a push. I think the better bet to make,

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Speaker 2: and it's juiced out now. One of the first bets

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Speaker 2: I made this college football season was Notre Dame to

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Speaker 2: make the playoff at minus one ten. I think that

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Speaker 2: still has value in the market at minus one seventy.

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Speaker 2: You can't tell me a nine win Notre Dame team

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Speaker 2: is not in the top twelve of the final college

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Speaker 2: football playoff rankings. The committee will salivate over having a

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Speaker 2: home game in South Bend. The scenery of having a

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Speaker 2: home playoff game there would trump everybody else that's in

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Speaker 2: contention of hosting a game. They can't get one of

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Speaker 2: the top four buys because they don't can't win a

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Speaker 2: conference championship. I think you know, for Notre Dame, the

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Speaker 2: ceiling is always going to be hosting a home game,

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Speaker 2: and then can they go farther and win the national championship. Well,

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Speaker 2: the se answer to the second one is no. The

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Speaker 2: answer to the first one is absolutely. With this schedule,

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Speaker 2: at worst their nine win team. At best they're an

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Speaker 2: eleven win team. Either way, they're going to the playoff

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Speaker 2: with that record minus one seventy. I like it to

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Speaker 2: make the playoff.

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Speaker 4: Is worth mentioning. Yeah, you mentioned the second. The pieces

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Speaker 4: on d d should be's fantastic. But Benjamin Morrison, him

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Speaker 4: and Watts one of the best cornerback safety doers in

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Speaker 4: the country when healthy. Will Morrison be healthy, that's the question.

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Speaker 4: He was hurt in the spring, something to keep an

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Speaker 4: eye on. Having him as a lockdown corner definitely increases

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Speaker 4: the ceiling of this defense.

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Speaker 1: The acc more than just Clemson.

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Speaker 4: So I'm gonna break this out into different tiers like

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Speaker 4: I will do for all of the bigger conferences. I

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Speaker 4: think it's natural to break this out starting with Tier one,

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Speaker 4: which is the top three teams Clemson, Florida State, and

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Speaker 4: Miami to make the playoff. Florida State's around plus one

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Speaker 4: sixty Clemson to Miami around two to one to win

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Speaker 4: the conference. Florida State's a favorite of plus two seventy

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Speaker 4: Clemson around four to one. Mimmy a little bit behind there.

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Speaker 4: Let's start with Clemson. Their win total over eight and

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Speaker 4: a half, heavily, heavily juiced to the over basically nine.

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Speaker 4: This this is it for them. I think like, if

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Speaker 4: they're not going to make the College Ball Playoff, they're

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Speaker 4: not gonna make noise in the ACC. I think that

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Speaker 4: they're going to start to fall behind a bit because

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Speaker 4: Miami's coming. I mean, look at what they're the talent

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Speaker 4: that they're infusing. Florida State might take a slight step

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Speaker 4: back this year compared to last year just because of

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Speaker 4: all they lost. We'll talk about them in just a second,

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Speaker 4: but they're coming to Norbelle's building up that program and

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Speaker 4: what Clemson isn't doing in the transfer portal. They have

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Speaker 4: to make noise this year. It's year two of Garrett Riley,

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Speaker 4: your two of k Klubnik. You know, you had a

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Speaker 4: lot of freshmen that contributed last year, so I feel

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Speaker 4: like they have to make some noise this year. What

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Speaker 4: are your thoughts on the Tigers.

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Speaker 2: Is this a bad year? Is this a yeah?

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Speaker 1: And it's my responsibility, take on responsibility for it. But

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Speaker 1: all this crap you're thinking, all these narratives you read. Listen, man,

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Speaker 1: you can have your opinion all you want, and you

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Speaker 1: can apply for the job.

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Speaker 2: I actually really like them this year. But I am

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Speaker 2: with you. We are at the end of the line,

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Speaker 2: Dabosweeney said this week. I believe in acc media Day,

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Speaker 2: he said, it's not that I'm anti portal, It's that

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Speaker 2: I'm pro player, player development, getting them in here at

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Speaker 2: eighteen years old. It's all about developing the student athlete.

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Speaker 1: It used to be the funds in the winning.

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Speaker 6: Now even when you win, people like you complain and

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Speaker 6: criticize the coaches, people like you who just love to

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Speaker 6: destroy people with your comments.

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Speaker 1: I'm sure you've never made any bad decisions. I'm sure

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Speaker 1: you've lived a perfect life.

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Speaker 2: And you know not to It sounded to me like

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Speaker 2: it's just a boatload of work that I don't want

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Speaker 2: to deal with and with in terms of the transfer portal,

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Speaker 2: and that is going to bite Clemson at some point.

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Speaker 2: You can't recruit all these five and four stars, develop

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Speaker 2: them and then lose twenty five percent of that to

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Speaker 2: the transfer portal and just be able to replace that

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Speaker 2: production over a span of four years. I agree with you, Stuck,

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Speaker 2: that we're getting to the end here. Now. We do

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Speaker 2: have a lot of talent on this squad. We return

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Speaker 2: about eighty percent on offense and fifty six percent on defense.

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Speaker 2: And starting on offense with Garrett Riley, what a what

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Speaker 2: a hangover? Right? I mean that TCU National Championship offense

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Speaker 2: with Max Duggan and all those flashy characters. You know

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Speaker 2: that we didn't have any of that last year. Cad

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Speaker 2: Plubnick with mistakes, but they do return a lot here.

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Speaker 2: Running back Phil MafA is back. He is absolutely fantastic

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Speaker 2: in yards after contact. The offensive line is loaded with

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Speaker 2: guys that are going to win all team acc Blake

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Speaker 2: Miller attackle Walker Parks at guard. Antonio Williams is still

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Speaker 2: there on the outside, and I think Jake Brinningstool is

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Speaker 2: really Cade club Nick's most favorite target. But this team

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Speaker 2: was one hundred and twenty fifth and standard downs explosives,

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Speaker 2: wide receivers could not get separation last year, they couldn't

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Speaker 2: get downfield and club Nick made a lot of mistakes.

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Speaker 2: You want to call that youth you want to call

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Speaker 2: that first time in the game. They did finish top

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Speaker 2: twenty in on target, right. That tells me that club

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Speaker 2: Nick is accurate when he gets there, so just keep

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Speaker 2: him clean. Let's see if he takes that next step.

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Speaker 2: We see a lot of guys year two, year three

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Speaker 2: have very good numbers and pressured pockets going up, so

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Speaker 2: we'll see there. The defense is loaded. I think this

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Speaker 2: might be the best defense in the ACC at definitely

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Speaker 2: the best linebacker, defensive back Combo from a back seven perspective,

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Speaker 2: linebacker Barrett Carter's back, he'll be the leader. Cornerback avi

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Speaker 2: On Tarrell and safety rate RJ. Mickens that. I mean,

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Speaker 2: this is some of the best in the league. But

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Speaker 2: you know, you go to the schedule stuck and you project.

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Speaker 2: I project Georgia to beat him by about sixteen, So

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Speaker 2: I'm sure I'll be on Clemson here. I'm sorry, I'll

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Speaker 2: be on Georgia here to start the season off, depending

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Speaker 2: on how many suspensions they have between now and opening kick.

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Speaker 2: But then after that, Clemson is double digit favorites in

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Speaker 2: eight games. There's a short TD or less or faves

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Speaker 2: versus Louisville and on the road against Virginia Tech, so

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Speaker 2: you try to find the losses here. I project them

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Speaker 2: to finish up at nine point three. There's no Miami

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Speaker 2: on this schedule. Their opener with n C State is

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Speaker 2: going to be off of a buy In terms of

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Speaker 2: the ACC, I have a short favorite s part against Louisville.

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Speaker 2: That's advantageous for Clemson because they're gonna be fresh off

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Speaker 2: of bye week there too, and the Cardinals come in

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Speaker 2: on back to back travel. I do project Florida State

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Speaker 2: to beat them by six on October fifth. That's a

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Speaker 2: that's a monster game. But they could lose that game

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Speaker 2: and still have all of their goals in front of them.

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Speaker 2: But when you look at the futures market on Clemson,

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Speaker 2: what is the best value. They're plus one ninety to

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Speaker 2: make the playoff, but they're plus one twenty to make

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Speaker 2: the ACC championship game. It's much better for I don't care,

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Speaker 2: it's seventy cents less. It's much easier to make the

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Speaker 2: a SEC title game than it is going to be

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Speaker 2: to make the playoffs. So I like that bat better,

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Speaker 2: but I'm not sure a real A bad loss kicks

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Speaker 2: them out of the playoff and I'm not sure that

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Speaker 2: there's enough on the ACC schedule to keep them out

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Speaker 2: of the championship game. The better number here is plus

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Speaker 2: three ninety on the conference. By far, I see one

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Speaker 2: loss on the conference schedule that gets that's gonna get

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Speaker 2: them in. I don't know if it's gonna be Miami

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Speaker 2: Florida State. We'll talk about the direction I think they're going,

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Speaker 2: but this is a one loss conference schedule, and I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna take plus three ninety because I think they're going

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Speaker 2: to be in the game, and plus, if they've played

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Speaker 2: place face Florida State, that's the only chance Clemson will

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Speaker 2: be a dog. I don't think Florida State would be

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Speaker 2: more than minus two hundred to minus two to fifty

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Speaker 2: in the championship game, which gives this ticket worth even

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Speaker 2: more value at plus three ninety as a money line

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Speaker 2: going into that game.

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Speaker 1: There you go, see there, great great conversation. I'd like

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Speaker 1: some time out. I'd like to take a nap. I

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Speaker 1: never had a pascifire though, so I don't know how

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Speaker 1: that work out.

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Speaker 4: I agree, I'm gonna play some MACC. I'm going to

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Speaker 4: actually play some to make the College Football Playoff two.

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Speaker 4: I had them as a touchdown favored or more in

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Speaker 4: ten games. There's there's some disagreement in the market about

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Speaker 4: like how ranked the top of the about Florida State,

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Speaker 4: Miami and Clemson. I have all three in my top fifteen,

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Speaker 4: and I have them like like this, like they're all close.

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Speaker 4: I think the key to the offense you mentioned last

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Speaker 4: year there was no explosiveness club Nick does have to

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Speaker 4: take the next step. The talent is there. I think

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Speaker 4: year two of Riley, the offense is going to improve.

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Speaker 4: Last year there were so many injuries on the offensive line,

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Speaker 4: at wide receiver. We didn't even met the two stud

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Speaker 4: freshmen they bring in in westco and Moore, who I

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Speaker 4: think can really unlock the potential of this offense. I

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Speaker 4: think the key the key to the offense though, is

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Speaker 4: Linthicum hitting at center, Like that's the one the one

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Speaker 4: question on the offensive line. Kicker too, does worry me.

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Speaker 4: I hated their kicker last year. He missed all the

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Speaker 4: kicks I needed him to make, and then he made

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Speaker 4: all the ones I need him to miss. That Florida

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Speaker 4: State game still haunts me. They did lose all four

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Speaker 4: starting defensive linemen, but they're loaded. I think they have

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Speaker 4: some true freshmen who were awesome last year, and that's

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Speaker 4: that's one of the things I'm excited about this team.

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Speaker 4: They had six true freshmen that started three plus games

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Speaker 4: last year, so a lot of those guys flashed. But

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Speaker 4: Riley year two better offensive line health. I love the

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Speaker 4: hire of Matt Luke as the offensive line coach. I

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Speaker 4: also love the higher of their of Chris Trump, their

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Speaker 4: defensive line coach. And you know you mentioned bringing school

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Speaker 4: positive red zone regression. I just would like to see

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Speaker 4: take it to like Oregon. Right, Oregon loaded transfer classes

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Speaker 4: tons of four and five stars everywhere, obviously lost some

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Speaker 4: guys to the draft, like Clemson did. What do they do?

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Speaker 4: They went out to the transfer portal and brought in

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Speaker 4: some extremely reliable, really good, proven players, and like that's

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Speaker 4: that's just something that's missing from Clemson. So I don't

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Speaker 4: think that this team has national title ceiling, but I

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Speaker 4: do think that they can certainly win the ACC or

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Speaker 4: a bit and are a bit undervalued this year because

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Speaker 4: I think some of the other teams are a bit overvalued.

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Speaker 4: Para State, I don't think should be that much of

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Speaker 4: a favorite compared to Clemson in Miami, and I do

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Speaker 4: have some questions about the second tier teams and about

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Speaker 4: their potential ceiling, which we'll talk about. So I agree

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Speaker 4: with you. I'll be in on Clemson futures, but not

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Speaker 4: all the way in as far as national title. Would

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Speaker 4: you agree there?

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Speaker 2: Absolutely agree that is this for them to I think

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Speaker 2: it's the ceiling. Is eleven wins not going to be

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Speaker 2: Georgia ACC Championship, move on to the quarters. That's probably

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Speaker 2: it for you. And you know that comes down to

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Speaker 2: depth too. You'd have to win three in a row.

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Speaker 2: And Clemson, if they're not going to acknowledge the transfer portal,

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Speaker 2: you're not going to win three rounds in the college

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Speaker 2: football playoffs.

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Speaker 4: I wouldn't say they could. They can't beat Georgia. I mean,

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Speaker 4: you see how many players Georgia keeps out of jail

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Speaker 4: before that game starts. I mean, I'm just I'm just

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Speaker 4: telling you, man, that's what it's all about. A couple

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Speaker 4: of polarizing teams at the top. All right, let's start

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Speaker 4: with Florida State. Florida State obviously went undefeated last year

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Speaker 4: and didn't make the College Football Playoff, which made my

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Speaker 4: Walid happy.

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Speaker 2: Welcome aboard slugger uh.

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Speaker 4: This year, they are close to outside the top one

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Speaker 4: hundred in returning production. They lose a ton. They lost

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Speaker 4: ten to the NFL. You know, basically all of their

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Speaker 4: skill position players and two starting offensive linemen, all their

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Speaker 4: scope position players, and their quarterback went to the NFL. Jordan, Travis, Benson,

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Speaker 4: Wilson and Coleman, and a receiver bell at tight end.

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Speaker 4: They had twelve defenders receive all ACC honors. Seven are gone.

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Speaker 4: You know, Fisk Verse love it to loachoon. Both their linebackers,

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Speaker 4: three defensive backs are gone. So they lose a lot

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Speaker 4: they do. They did hit the Porter portal well, think

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Speaker 4: Novell does a good job there. And I would say

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Speaker 4: they have a very easy start to the schedule. It

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Speaker 4: is a weird start. They played Georgia Tech and Dublin

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Speaker 4: and they come back and played Boston College on a Monday.

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Speaker 4: Just a bizarre start, but it's a pretty easy start.

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Speaker 4: Memphis at home, Call at home before you go to SMU,

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Speaker 4: which is going to be a tough game, and then

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Speaker 4: host Clemson. But at least those four games give you

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Speaker 4: a little bit of a runway with all of the

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Speaker 4: turnover on the roster, the you know what I do

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Speaker 4: have some questions about this defense at wide receiver, I'm

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Speaker 4: not completely sold on. I don't think that this team

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Speaker 4: has national title ceiling like Clemson. Uh. I think Clemson's

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Speaker 4: in the same boat. And then the quarterback is dj U.

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Speaker 4: I I just don't see it with him, and I

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Speaker 4: think that he has a very limited ceiling, and I

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Speaker 4: think that's ultimately what's going to hold this game back.

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Speaker 4: They have on If you look at their their schedule,

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Speaker 4: they have four point flipfish games right Clemson at Miami,

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Speaker 4: at Notre Dame and at SMU, which you know, if

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Speaker 4: you look at that SMU spot, SMU is going to

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Speaker 4: be hyped for that and not huge. With Clemson on deck,

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Speaker 4: then you have Notre Dame who's coming off When you

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Speaker 4: go to South Bend, Notre Dame is coming off the bye,

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Speaker 4: so it's a trickier schedule. I think that they're over

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Speaker 4: unders nine and a half plus one oh four to

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Speaker 4: the over fighting that where this team ends up probably

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Speaker 4: nine and three. I had to guess, what are your

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Speaker 4: thoughts on the Seminoles.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, win total projected just a little bit over nine

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Speaker 2: and a half. I got a conference win total at

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Speaker 2: six point six. They're both in line with the market

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Speaker 2: from a juice perspective, so I couldn't find any angles

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Speaker 2: from that perspective. I do love the offensive line here.

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Speaker 2: This should be the best offensive line in the ACC.

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Speaker 2: That's good for dj Uyungalily, but you have to look

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Speaker 2: at the advanced metrics. They were top ten and pass

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Speaker 2: blocking they were one hundred and fifteenth and offensive line yards,

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Speaker 2: which means they just did not help out their running

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Speaker 2: backs whatsoever. Most of the running backs, Roydale Williams, he

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Speaker 2: might have to create his own space and get his

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Speaker 2: own yards pretty early here, so we'll see how that

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Speaker 2: works out. Sinner Maurice Smith is back. He's one of

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Speaker 2: the best offensive linemen all the a SEC and tackle

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Speaker 2: Darius Washington, so I have no you know, they have

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Speaker 2: the pieces to run the ball, but their lineyards last

369
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Speaker 2: year were absolutely horrific and they did protect really well,

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Speaker 2: and that should help dj Uyongaliley, who you know, it

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Speaker 2: comes and goes with him when he gets pressure about

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Speaker 2: how many turnover worthy plays. He had an excellent season

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Speaker 2: with Oregon State last year. But you know everybody with

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Speaker 2: Oregon State, you're going to get home run play action

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Speaker 2: passes because they were such a heavy rush unit, heavier

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Speaker 2: than just anybody outside of service academies. So does that

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Speaker 2: still fly this year with a with a lower run rate.

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Speaker 2: Last year Florida State fifty point five percent rush rate,

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Speaker 2: So it was very even, very balanced. On defense, the

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Speaker 2: defensive backs will be the number one unit in the conference.

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Speaker 2: I think the weak part may be the linebackers. They

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Speaker 2: fall back a little bit, but the second best defensive

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Speaker 2: line in there with Patrick Payton coming in a defensive end.

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Speaker 2: Shyan Brown, the safety is a stud. He's going to

385
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Speaker 2: be great back there for and I think he's one

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Speaker 2: of the reasons this is the best defensive back unit

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Speaker 2: in all of the ACC. The defense was fifteenth and

388
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Speaker 2: finishing drives last year and sixth then quality drives. You

389
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Speaker 2: could not get a drive to have multiple first downs.

390
00:20:00,840 --> 00:20:02,320
Speaker 2: You couldn't get it to the last three minutes, you

391
00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:05,119
Speaker 2: couldn't cross the fifty. They didn't get into scoring position

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Speaker 2: when they did. Florida State really put their foot down

393
00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:10,800
Speaker 2: and stop people from scoring. From a schedule perspective, I

394
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Speaker 2: have them as double digit favorites in eight games, short

395
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Speaker 2: faves over Clemson at home, but there are three other

396
00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:19,719
Speaker 2: scheduling spots that just do not benefit Florida State whatsoever.

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Speaker 2: On this schedule. They're going to be short favorites over SMU,

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Speaker 2: but that I mean Florida State is overlooking to Clemson.

399
00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:26,960
Speaker 2: Florida State's going to be a short favorite against Miami,

400
00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:29,040
Speaker 2: but the seminals are on back to back travel there

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00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:31,400
Speaker 2: and we already mentioned Notre Dame on November ninth. Now,

402
00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:34,560
Speaker 2: like I said, mathematically stuck, I make the win totals correct,

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Speaker 2: it's only twenty percent. My projective is twenty percent to

404
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:40,200
Speaker 2: win the ACC that should fetch five to one. That's

405
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Speaker 2: not what the market is, so you can count me

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Speaker 2: out on those numbers. Two The best number I can

407
00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:46,679
Speaker 2: find is I make Florida State an eighteen point favorite

408
00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:48,840
Speaker 2: over Georgia Tech in the first game of the season

409
00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:52,320
Speaker 2: in Week one. Georgia Tech is going to have serious

410
00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:55,760
Speaker 2: issues on defense. I am not confident that they have

411
00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,920
Speaker 2: the defensive line to stop the run game of Florida State.

412
00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:00,800
Speaker 2: I'm not sure they have the second The secondary is better,

413
00:21:00,800 --> 00:21:02,640
Speaker 2: but I don't think they could stop that either. So

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Speaker 2: I like Florida State in Week one. There's some minus

415
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Speaker 2: twelve and a halfs out there, a little bit of

416
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Speaker 2: a couple of shops went up to thirteen I think

417
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Speaker 2: this weekend, so you can count me in on Week

418
00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:15,359
Speaker 2: one against George attack. But I don't like the season

419
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Speaker 2: numbers on Florida State at all.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I project around nine point three, so would lean under.

421
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Speaker 4: But I'd rather attack with like Clemson and we'll get

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Speaker 4: to some other teams. Clemson to win the conference, make

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Speaker 4: the College Football Playoff. All right, Let's move on to

424
00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:49,080
Speaker 4: a very polarizing team, the Miami Hurricanes. They are plus

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Speaker 4: around plus four forty to win the ACC over nine

426
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Speaker 4: and a half. Yeah, de win Tittles nine to half.

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00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:59,720
Speaker 4: Choice to the under. If you look at what Crystal

428
00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:03,600
Speaker 4: Ball done for all his transgressions, and look, here's the

429
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Speaker 4: thing with crystal Ball. He is most of the time

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00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:11,360
Speaker 4: so conservative and too conservative to a fall. But then

431
00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:14,600
Speaker 4: he doesn't take knees when he should. Wouldn't this You

432
00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:16,880
Speaker 4: don't have to be that conservative to do it. It's

433
00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:22,200
Speaker 4: happened twice. Happened when he was at Oregon, which is

434
00:22:22,280 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 4: one of my worst beats of all time, and then

435
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:29,920
Speaker 4: it happened last year against Georgia Tech. Infamously, Georgia Tech's

436
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:32,000
Speaker 4: had a timeouts with seventy two seconds to go.

437
00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:33,080
Speaker 2: You're good, like you.

438
00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:35,920
Speaker 1: Should not be handing this football off, right, I don't

439
00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:40,600
Speaker 1: know what Miami is doing. And here's Cheney tack Gold

440
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:44,160
Speaker 1: and the ball popped out. He read the clock. Georgia

441
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,280
Speaker 1: Tech has it with twenty six seconds left.

442
00:22:46,359 --> 00:22:47,840
Speaker 2: You should be taken a knee.

443
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:50,040
Speaker 1: You don't need to be doing this, and you certainly

444
00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:51,879
Speaker 1: don't need to be fighting.

445
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:52,479
Speaker 2: For extra yards.

446
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:55,879
Speaker 4: But he's supposed to be so conservative, like the most conservative.

447
00:22:55,920 --> 00:22:57,680
Speaker 4: Take the knees. It's like that's the easiest thing you

448
00:22:57,720 --> 00:23:01,639
Speaker 4: could do. Anyway, this team is loaded from a talent perspective.

449
00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:06,160
Speaker 4: I think that from a pure on paper roster, they

450
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:10,080
Speaker 4: have the most talented roster in the ACC. And as

451
00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:13,600
Speaker 4: I said, I have them right on par with Clemson

452
00:23:14,280 --> 00:23:16,919
Speaker 4: with Florida State. So I actually make them like a

453
00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:21,520
Speaker 4: really really small favorite against Florida State when they play,

454
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:24,720
Speaker 4: which is definitely which is off market for sure. But

455
00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:28,640
Speaker 4: last year they went seven and five then lost their

456
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:31,800
Speaker 4: bowl game. They were two and four and one possession games,

457
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:33,560
Speaker 4: including that Jordia Techa, and they did go too and

458
00:23:33,640 --> 00:23:36,119
Speaker 4: zero in overtime for what it's worth, and they just

459
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:39,440
Speaker 4: didn't live up to expectations. But their recruiting classes. Their

460
00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:44,920
Speaker 4: transfer classes over the past two years have been absolutely dynamite.

461
00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:50,359
Speaker 4: They are going to be loaded in the trenches. Cam

462
00:23:50,520 --> 00:23:54,600
Speaker 4: Ward comes in at quarterback, Damian Martinez at running back.

463
00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 4: I really like Sam Brown from Houston, familiar with this system.

464
00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:00,159
Speaker 4: They do lose their center, Matt Lead, but they and

465
00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:04,800
Speaker 4: Zach Carpenter from Indiana, and they the defensive line that

466
00:24:04,840 --> 00:24:08,320
Speaker 4: they brought in, the five Stars, the transfers Clark Barrel,

467
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:13,040
Speaker 4: Alston Barron. It's a loaded team for sure. There are

468
00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:16,760
Speaker 4: some questions in the secondary that I do have, but

469
00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:20,840
Speaker 4: this team is a ton of returning production added via

470
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:24,720
Speaker 4: recruiting and the transfer portal. They also have elite special teams.

471
00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:28,639
Speaker 4: They have an easier schedule than Clemson and Florida State.

472
00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:37,399
Speaker 4: I project them at nine point seven wins, so would

473
00:24:38,600 --> 00:24:44,119
Speaker 4: definitely lean over. I also have them, believe it or not,

474
00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:45,600
Speaker 4: I don't know how many you do. I have them

475
00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:48,960
Speaker 4: favorite in every game, just because I have them tiny

476
00:24:48,960 --> 00:24:51,959
Speaker 4: favorites against Florida State and then they're obviously small favorites

477
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:57,800
Speaker 4: against Florida, so a couple point flips in there, but

478
00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:01,159
Speaker 4: I do have them favorite in every game. My issue

479
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:04,159
Speaker 4: is I am not the biggest cam Ward fan. He

480
00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:07,520
Speaker 4: knows the system. When he's on, he could be really good.

481
00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:10,920
Speaker 4: Just I've seen him be very inconsistent and have just

482
00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:15,679
Speaker 4: clunkers of games. And can you trust Christoball to not

483
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:20,159
Speaker 4: blow a couple of games? Yeah, Like this roster's been

484
00:25:20,160 --> 00:25:22,760
Speaker 4: so talented. He's twelve and thirteen over his first two years.

485
00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:26,919
Speaker 4: So the way that I think that I think about

486
00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:30,480
Speaker 4: betting on Miami is I think he want to bet

487
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:32,080
Speaker 4: they're the I think they're the only team in the

488
00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:35,840
Speaker 4: ACCY that is national title upside, just with their if

489
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:39,119
Speaker 4: Ward hits, the amount of talent that they have on

490
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:42,520
Speaker 4: their roster, how good they are in the trenches, Like

491
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:48,840
Speaker 4: I would trust them over Clemson and Florida State's roster

492
00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:53,119
Speaker 4: going up against the elites. So what I'm trying to

493
00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:54,960
Speaker 4: figure out, So I think that how you want to

494
00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:58,000
Speaker 4: invest in Miami is trying to buy the high high

495
00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:02,960
Speaker 4: upside if you like them so big futures. Now, my

496
00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:06,399
Speaker 4: question is they're a small favorite at Florida. That numbers

497
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:09,879
Speaker 4: I think continues to come down. Do I want to

498
00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:12,080
Speaker 4: potentially wait and see what I see if they lose

499
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:16,720
Speaker 4: that game, then maybe invest in them to like win

500
00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:19,240
Speaker 4: the national title by the dip go to the collegewell

501
00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:21,800
Speaker 4: playoff because they could still win the ACC. Like I said,

502
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:24,159
Speaker 4: all of them favored the rest of their games, you know,

503
00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:26,760
Speaker 4: basically coin filp against Florida State. What are your thoughts

504
00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:29,000
Speaker 4: on the Hurricanes and how to invest in this team?

505
00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:31,879
Speaker 2: Well, Florida was three for like a half second in

506
00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:33,600
Speaker 2: the market before it got scooped up. But I would

507
00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:35,639
Speaker 2: definitely circle that number. That's what I want in that

508
00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:39,320
Speaker 2: opening game with the Gators and the Hurricanes. Your boy,

509
00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:41,840
Speaker 2: I haven't said his name out yet. We got that

510
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:42,560
Speaker 2: podcast to go.

511
00:26:43,280 --> 00:26:44,760
Speaker 4: Scared money, don't make money.

512
00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 2: You know, there's a huge discrepancy between Miami and Florida State.

513
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:50,959
Speaker 2: And the reason I like flight Miami better than Florida

514
00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:53,720
Speaker 2: State is what I pointed out the offensive line. With

515
00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:57,160
Speaker 2: Florida State, they are only halfway good when it comes

516
00:26:57,200 --> 00:27:01,040
Speaker 2: to run blocking versus pass blocking. Here with Miami, they

517
00:27:01,040 --> 00:27:03,080
Speaker 2: are excellent at both. And you were gonna have to

518
00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:05,320
Speaker 2: have that when you've got cam Ward at quarterback, considering

519
00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:09,840
Speaker 2: he's just a walking havoc, you know, ball over the field,

520
00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:11,760
Speaker 2: We're gonna throw it to the I mean, he could

521
00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:14,560
Speaker 2: have six turnover worthy plays in a game before halftime,

522
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:17,080
Speaker 2: and I think that was the one hesitation. But he

523
00:27:17,080 --> 00:27:20,360
Speaker 2: can also create some of the most explosive highlight reels

524
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:22,080
Speaker 2: you're going to see, you know, late at night. So

525
00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:24,800
Speaker 2: this is the second best offensive line, It's the best

526
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:29,200
Speaker 2: set of wide receivers. The tackles here, Jalen Rivers, Francis Wagua.

527
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:30,879
Speaker 2: I mean, these are two of the best in the

528
00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:34,280
Speaker 2: ACC garden as Cooper and then Damien Martinez comes in

529
00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:36,800
Speaker 2: from Oregon State. He was just an absolute horse there.

530
00:27:37,119 --> 00:27:40,640
Speaker 2: So and Xavier Rostreppo is like three yards per route run,

531
00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:43,080
Speaker 2: so I mean one of the most explosive targets that

532
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:44,560
Speaker 2: are all in all of the a SEC. So I

533
00:27:44,600 --> 00:27:47,280
Speaker 2: have trust in this offense because the offensive line was

534
00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:50,080
Speaker 2: tenth and pass blocking and twenty first in line yards

535
00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:51,920
Speaker 2: for running the ball, which means they can do both.

536
00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:55,679
Speaker 2: So does yeah, And I trust their trench way more.

537
00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:56,720
Speaker 2: And you go to the defensive line. They have the

538
00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:59,600
Speaker 2: number one defensive line in the conference. Also with Sime

539
00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:03,800
Speaker 2: and Bar the defensive interior, you know, ruben Bain playing

540
00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:06,119
Speaker 2: playing it on the edge. I mean, they're havoc makers

541
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:07,960
Speaker 2: all the way. And last year they were twenty fifth

542
00:28:07,960 --> 00:28:10,800
Speaker 2: and Havoc I expect that to improve. You are right there.

543
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:13,120
Speaker 2: It's coin flips. There's two coin flips on the schedule,

544
00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:17,520
Speaker 2: Florida Louisville. I got eight spots as double digit favorites

545
00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:20,679
Speaker 2: here for the Hurricanes, Louisville, Florida State. Those games are

546
00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:22,879
Speaker 2: going to determine whether Miami makes it to the ACC

547
00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:27,960
Speaker 2: Championship Game. I don't believe Tyler Shug or Djueungalleiley can

548
00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:31,080
Speaker 2: challenge the weakest part of this Miami Hurricanes defense, and

549
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:34,360
Speaker 2: that's the secondary. I can't believe the number to make

550
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:38,120
Speaker 2: the AEC Championship Game is plus two hundred two to one.

551
00:28:38,360 --> 00:28:40,320
Speaker 2: In my opinion, there's only three teams that can make

552
00:28:40,320 --> 00:28:43,239
Speaker 2: it to the AEC Championship Game. I look at their

553
00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:45,840
Speaker 2: win total. I'm at nine point four. Sign me up

554
00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:49,120
Speaker 2: AEC Championship Game appearance two to one. The hedge spot

555
00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 2: is Florida State at home on November second. A couple

556
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 2: of books out there have a Game of the Year line.

557
00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:53,720
Speaker 2: They make it a pick.

558
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:55,360
Speaker 4: I make Miami favorite slightly.

559
00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:57,200
Speaker 2: You make Miami favorite. I mean you could go out

560
00:28:57,240 --> 00:28:58,920
Speaker 2: there right now and you could lay a bet on

561
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:02,160
Speaker 2: ACC Tchichampionship game plus two hundred, and then you can

562
00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:04,360
Speaker 2: turn around and take Florida State at a pick and

563
00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:06,160
Speaker 2: then that's it, right. I mean you're kind of like

564
00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:08,240
Speaker 2: pretty much free rolling that bet to go into the

565
00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:09,360
Speaker 2: ACC Championship game.

566
00:29:09,600 --> 00:29:11,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, I make Miami minus two in that game.

567
00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:15,440
Speaker 3: This podcast is presented by BETMGM. Use bonus code action

568
00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 3: when signing up to get up to fifteen hundred dollars

569
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:20,360
Speaker 3: back in bonus bets if your first bet does not win.

570
00:29:20,520 --> 00:29:27,400
Speaker 3: For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

571
00:29:27,440 --> 00:29:32,120
Speaker 3: New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia,

572
00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:34,960
Speaker 3: and Wyoming. Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one

573
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:38,120
Speaker 3: plus gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler.

574
00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:46,240
Speaker 4: All right, let's move on the second tier of teams.

575
00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:48,520
Speaker 4: I think there's four teams that are in that second

576
00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:50,240
Speaker 4: tier that if you wanted to make a case for

577
00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:54,920
Speaker 4: a viable sleeper, I think that these four make the

578
00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:57,760
Speaker 4: most sense. And from a market perspective, they're all between

579
00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:01,040
Speaker 4: six to one and fifteen to one. You have a

580
00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:05,960
Speaker 4: bigger drop off to unc cale. Syracuse talked about SMU,

581
00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:10,520
Speaker 4: Virginia Tech, Louisville, and NC State. Let's start with SMU,

582
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:15,080
Speaker 4: who is a new member of the ACC. They're fifteen

583
00:30:15,120 --> 00:30:18,440
Speaker 4: to one to win the league over eight and a

584
00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:22,720
Speaker 4: half plus one oh four, and I'll kind of group

585
00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:26,880
Speaker 4: SMU and Virginia Tech together. Virginia Tech's ten to one

586
00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:31,440
Speaker 4: because they there's two similarities between these two teams. They

587
00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:35,440
Speaker 4: bring back a ton of production. I have SMU tenth

588
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:40,280
Speaker 4: Virginia Tech I have fifth in returning production, and they

589
00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:44,160
Speaker 4: have easy schedules as far as winning the ACC lottery.

590
00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:49,160
Speaker 4: That's a very good thing for SMU. Their strength of

591
00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:53,680
Speaker 4: schedule for an ACC team, it's extremely easy, but it's

592
00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:58,040
Speaker 4: tougher than last year. Coming from the AAC. There's a

593
00:30:58,080 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 4: really good chance they're gonna be four and oh hosts

594
00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:05,080
Speaker 4: FSU in a hype spot, so this team could get

595
00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:07,160
Speaker 4: off to a fast start. They bring back a ton

596
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:11,200
Speaker 4: led by quarterback Preston Stone, who is recovering from an injury.

597
00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:15,280
Speaker 4: They're very difficult to project because they have been bringing

598
00:31:15,320 --> 00:31:18,000
Speaker 4: in right. So you're going from the AAC to the ACC,

599
00:31:19,160 --> 00:31:21,520
Speaker 4: and you would think that's a big transition, which I

600
00:31:21,560 --> 00:31:25,680
Speaker 4: agree with, but they have been like bringing in Power

601
00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:28,400
Speaker 4: five type players over the past couple of years, so

602
00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:31,000
Speaker 4: they're a little bit more prepared to make the leap

603
00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:32,480
Speaker 4: than some of the teams, Like say, they went to

604
00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:36,880
Speaker 4: the Big twelve last year, but last year they went

605
00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:39,320
Speaker 4: one in well, last year they went zero to three

606
00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:43,640
Speaker 4: against Power Conference teams. They lost twenty eight to eleven

607
00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 4: to Oklahoma thirty although that game was pretty even, thirty

608
00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:49,320
Speaker 4: four to seventeen to TCU, who wasn't that good last year,

609
00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:52,240
Speaker 4: and twenty three to fourteen to bc Stone didn't play

610
00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:54,440
Speaker 4: in that game, but Stone in the other two games

611
00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:58,480
Speaker 4: against Oklahoma and TCU fifty percent completion rate, one touchdown,

612
00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:07,320
Speaker 4: three interceptions. Welcome to the Stone Age.

613
00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:10,680
Speaker 2: I like it.

614
00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:14,760
Speaker 4: So this play definitely dropped way off. They dominated all

615
00:32:14,760 --> 00:32:16,880
Speaker 4: the opponents that they should have, and they're one to

616
00:32:17,040 --> 00:32:20,640
Speaker 4: nine over their past ten games against Power four teams

617
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:24,640
Speaker 4: and this year they have ten on their schedule. Last

618
00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:26,560
Speaker 4: year they only had two and then lost another one

619
00:32:26,560 --> 00:32:28,920
Speaker 4: in the Bowl to Boston College, who they will host

620
00:32:29,400 --> 00:32:32,280
Speaker 4: in a quasi revenge spot. But against those three Power

621
00:32:32,320 --> 00:32:35,040
Speaker 4: four teams, they only averaged fourteen points per game and

622
00:32:35,080 --> 00:32:37,920
Speaker 4: went zero to three, they were eleven to zero against

623
00:32:37,960 --> 00:32:40,160
Speaker 4: all the other teams on their schedule and averaged forty

624
00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:42,840
Speaker 4: five and a half points per game. So the question

625
00:32:43,040 --> 00:32:47,560
Speaker 4: is can they make the leap? What are your thoughts

626
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:48,760
Speaker 4: on the Mustangs?

627
00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:52,560
Speaker 2: Absolutely love the Mustangs. They've been preparing for two years

628
00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:55,520
Speaker 2: in the portal. Red Lashley has been hitting the recruiting

629
00:32:55,520 --> 00:32:59,080
Speaker 2: hard to get ready to compete in the ACC. It's

630
00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:01,440
Speaker 2: just a matter of are the horses and the pieces

631
00:33:01,440 --> 00:33:03,560
Speaker 2: that you got ready to translate because their defense was

632
00:33:03,600 --> 00:33:06,440
Speaker 2: absolutely insane last year. Now you turn around on offense,

633
00:33:06,960 --> 00:33:10,040
Speaker 2: prescion Stone gets another year. You have the best center

634
00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:13,000
Speaker 2: and all the ACC and justin Osbourne you have an

635
00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:15,160
Speaker 2: elite group of targets that you can hit. And the

636
00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:17,600
Speaker 2: offensive line and the running backs are probably top five

637
00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:20,160
Speaker 2: units and all the conference. Just below the upper tier

638
00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:23,360
Speaker 2: that we talked about. Jalen Knighton's getting a couple of

639
00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:26,280
Speaker 2: fresh faces in the offensive line from them, are Miami

640
00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:28,240
Speaker 2: Oklahoma a couple of players from there. They're going to

641
00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:31,520
Speaker 2: be around Justin Osbourne on the offensive line.

642
00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:33,840
Speaker 4: You know that out of eight Power four transfers on

643
00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:36,080
Speaker 4: defense to to just bulk up that unit.

644
00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:38,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, and they It's not like their defensive line and

645
00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:42,080
Speaker 2: their and their linebacker level didn't have, you know, enough talent.

646
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:45,720
Speaker 2: They're already they were. Yeah, they were top five and

647
00:33:45,800 --> 00:33:49,200
Speaker 2: defensive passing success rate and pass rush and in quality

648
00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:52,920
Speaker 2: drives nationally, and so that that's an impressive thing your

649
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:54,840
Speaker 2: first year when you're stepping up to a new conference.

650
00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:59,200
Speaker 2: So I got them double digit favorites in nine games.

651
00:34:00,200 --> 00:34:04,440
Speaker 4: D Clemson, Miami, NC State, VOTEC, and host Florida State

652
00:34:04,840 --> 00:34:07,360
Speaker 4: in a good spot. Plus they play each of the

653
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:10,000
Speaker 4: four bottom teams in the league.

654
00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:12,400
Speaker 2: They won the lot They won the lottery. When it

655
00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:14,960
Speaker 2: comes to the scheduling, I got them as TD faves

656
00:34:14,960 --> 00:34:16,640
Speaker 2: against cal I got him as a short home dog

657
00:34:16,680 --> 00:34:19,680
Speaker 2: against Florida State. Florida State's got Overlood to Clemson. Such

658
00:34:19,680 --> 00:34:22,440
Speaker 2: a great game there and a little short number there

659
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:25,279
Speaker 2: against Louisville. The best bet on this team is the

660
00:34:25,280 --> 00:34:27,319
Speaker 2: first bet that I made this season. I believe back

661
00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:29,680
Speaker 2: in February, which I made over seven and a half

662
00:34:29,719 --> 00:34:31,680
Speaker 2: it was minus one twenty five. That number is up

663
00:34:31,680 --> 00:34:35,400
Speaker 2: to eight. I project them at nine point five wins.

664
00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:38,040
Speaker 2: I think there is tons of room to run with

665
00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:40,600
Speaker 2: this win total. I would hit eight. I would hit

666
00:34:40,680 --> 00:34:42,840
Speaker 2: eight and a half. I'd even go hit an alternate

667
00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:44,960
Speaker 2: over nine and just find a way to hedge it

668
00:34:45,000 --> 00:34:47,359
Speaker 2: towards the end of the schedule. Got cal there at

669
00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:49,360
Speaker 2: the end. I mean they're gonna have any problems with Virginia,

670
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:53,200
Speaker 2: Boston College and Pitt. That November schedule is ripe for

671
00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:56,440
Speaker 2: them to get rested up and make a run. It's

672
00:34:56,440 --> 00:34:59,000
Speaker 2: a really good schedule. So you know, I project eight

673
00:34:59,040 --> 00:35:01,640
Speaker 2: point four percent to win the conference. That comes out

674
00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:03,800
Speaker 2: to about to eleven to one. There are some shops

675
00:35:03,800 --> 00:35:06,360
Speaker 2: out there that got SMU at twenty to one, twenty

676
00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:08,799
Speaker 2: five to one. I kind of floated this around with

677
00:35:08,840 --> 00:35:11,240
Speaker 2: a few people that I texted without in the desert,

678
00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:14,480
Speaker 2: and the feeling is the trenches on both sides of

679
00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:16,400
Speaker 2: the ball are not ready to compete with say a

680
00:35:16,480 --> 00:35:19,760
Speaker 2: Clemson or a Miami. Could be true, but the number

681
00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:21,960
Speaker 2: is not right. Anything higher than eleven to one on

682
00:35:22,080 --> 00:35:25,799
Speaker 2: SMU has value one hundred percent because eight that's it's

683
00:35:25,800 --> 00:35:28,399
Speaker 2: what eight point four percent is. So I don't blame

684
00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:30,120
Speaker 2: anybody taking a twenty to one on SMU to win

685
00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:30,680
Speaker 2: this conference.

686
00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:34,959
Speaker 4: I echo those sentiments fully in that it's the only

687
00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:39,160
Speaker 4: the next tier of teams that we're gonna talk about, SMU, Bobtach, Louisville,

688
00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:42,279
Speaker 4: NC State, the only one like NC State is my

689
00:35:42,280 --> 00:35:44,440
Speaker 4: favorite of the bunch, which we'll get to, but I can't.

690
00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:47,800
Speaker 4: It's six to one. I just can't get there. SMU

691
00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:50,200
Speaker 4: would be my choice. I project the nine point three wins,

692
00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:52,520
Speaker 4: but you know, because of the schedule. So say, I

693
00:35:52,560 --> 00:35:56,319
Speaker 4: have questions about the corners. Right picture this, I'm gonna

694
00:35:56,400 --> 00:36:00,520
Speaker 4: name teams. You picture they're passing attack, Okay, so picture

695
00:36:00,520 --> 00:36:06,120
Speaker 4: their quarterback and their receivers. Nevada, Houston Christian BYU, TCU,

696
00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:13,320
Speaker 4: Florida State, Louisville, Stanford, Duke Pitt, Boston College, Virginia cal

697
00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:15,840
Speaker 4: Like those are the teams they face, Like this corner

698
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:18,440
Speaker 4: are going to end up really burning them that bad.

699
00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:23,040
Speaker 2: I don't think Bailey's appys at Houston Christian anymore. Such

700
00:36:23,040 --> 00:36:23,760
Speaker 2: a great schedule.

701
00:36:25,880 --> 00:36:28,200
Speaker 4: That's moon the Virginia Tech another team that brings back

702
00:36:28,239 --> 00:36:31,560
Speaker 4: a ton. Nobody in the country brings more on offense.

703
00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:35,520
Speaker 4: Their top five and returning production. Last year they went

704
00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:39,120
Speaker 4: six and six and then won their bowl game despite

705
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:42,080
Speaker 4: going zero to three and one possession games. This is

706
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:46,480
Speaker 4: Brent pride year three third year coordinators. They finished strong

707
00:36:47,080 --> 00:36:50,600
Speaker 4: and now they're super experienced. They really came on strong

708
00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:53,920
Speaker 4: because of the quarterback change. Drones took over, and what

709
00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:55,719
Speaker 4: did they start doing. They started running the ball a

710
00:36:55,719 --> 00:36:59,040
Speaker 4: ton sixty percent run rate over the final nine games,

711
00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:02,280
Speaker 4: averaged four one hundred and twenty yards per game total

712
00:37:02,640 --> 00:37:05,920
Speaker 4: offense and he run.

713
00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:06,279
Speaker 2: Look.

714
00:37:06,440 --> 00:37:09,000
Speaker 4: Jerones ran for eight eighty one. He had seventeen touchdowns,

715
00:37:09,040 --> 00:37:13,840
Speaker 4: three interceptions. But there is a button look all five off.

716
00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:15,960
Speaker 4: It's a linerback. You bring in Cunningham as well, who

717
00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:18,759
Speaker 4: I like. All three wide receivers are back. Jennings is

718
00:37:18,800 --> 00:37:23,360
Speaker 4: also back from injury. Everyone's back. On defense, you do

719
00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:26,360
Speaker 4: lose defensive tackles, but you address that in the portal

720
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:30,319
Speaker 4: to this aggressive, blitzing defense. I love their cornerbacks. Their

721
00:37:30,360 --> 00:37:33,960
Speaker 4: cornerbacks are elite. One of the safety spots. Linebacker is

722
00:37:33,960 --> 00:37:37,320
Speaker 4: still a question to me. But I'm gonna give you

723
00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:39,040
Speaker 4: the butt. I'm going to give you the Devil's advocate

724
00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:40,840
Speaker 4: case because I hear all I hear is hype with

725
00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:42,840
Speaker 4: this Virginia Tech team, which is number two in experience

726
00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:46,640
Speaker 4: in NFBS. They also have good special teams. Last year

727
00:37:46,640 --> 00:37:48,759
Speaker 4: they lost at Florida State, Louisville and NC State one

728
00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:53,520
Speaker 4: hundred and eight to forty eight. They beat pitt Wake, Hues,

729
00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:59,560
Speaker 4: bc UVA, then a two lane courts in the Bowl,

730
00:37:59,800 --> 00:38:03,600
Speaker 4: So I think that people are jumping the gun a

731
00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:07,200
Speaker 4: little bit. I'm still not a drones guy. He's limited

732
00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:11,319
Speaker 4: as a passer. He I think he got a bit

733
00:38:11,440 --> 00:38:16,200
Speaker 4: fortunate with his touchdown interception ratio. His deep ball is

734
00:38:16,239 --> 00:38:19,600
Speaker 4: not there, and I don't think I can't see him

735
00:38:20,239 --> 00:38:24,600
Speaker 4: beating the elites in this league that once they take

736
00:38:24,640 --> 00:38:27,160
Speaker 4: away the run, and that's basically what happens against the

737
00:38:27,160 --> 00:38:28,680
Speaker 4: good teams last year. I don't think that he's a

738
00:38:29,040 --> 00:38:33,640
Speaker 4: capable enough passer against these good teams that can limit

739
00:38:33,680 --> 00:38:36,680
Speaker 4: their rushing attack, which should be really good. The offensive

740
00:38:36,680 --> 00:38:39,040
Speaker 4: line still has questions. I know it's super experienced, but

741
00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:43,400
Speaker 4: it wasn't like an elite unit. The schedule is easy.

742
00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:46,480
Speaker 4: They avoid SMU, Florida State, Louisville, n C State, and

743
00:38:46,520 --> 00:38:51,479
Speaker 4: they host Clemson. So they struggled against the elites last year. Luckily,

744
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:53,600
Speaker 4: they don't face many elites right right. They go to

745
00:38:53,719 --> 00:39:00,719
Speaker 4: Miami and then they host Clemson, but the rest is

746
00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:03,560
Speaker 4: pretty easy. They face six of the bottom eight teams,

747
00:39:03,560 --> 00:39:05,000
Speaker 4: and like I said, they host Clemson and then they

748
00:39:05,040 --> 00:39:09,320
Speaker 4: go to Miami. Favored in ten of twelve with Shesam,

749
00:39:09,360 --> 00:39:11,239
Speaker 4: you should be favored in ten at twelve as well

750
00:39:11,640 --> 00:39:14,960
Speaker 4: over under eight and a half ten to one to

751
00:39:15,000 --> 00:39:19,160
Speaker 4: win the league. I project them right around eight and

752
00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:23,279
Speaker 4: a half. I'm not so nothing from a win total perspective,

753
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:25,840
Speaker 4: but I'm not drinking the kool aid as far as

754
00:39:26,280 --> 00:39:27,960
Speaker 4: a future. What are your thoughts on the Hokies.

755
00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:30,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I make them eight point three conference wins. I

756
00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:34,000
Speaker 2: make them five point five very high marks and tarp

757
00:39:34,120 --> 00:39:36,040
Speaker 2: that really got their power rating up a little bit.

758
00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:38,319
Speaker 2: But I'm as Hesitan as you. I don't think that

759
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:41,520
Speaker 2: they can contend for this. There is one stat that

760
00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:44,719
Speaker 2: really stands out. I know there's so much love on

761
00:39:44,760 --> 00:39:46,799
Speaker 2: the Hookies, and I get it, but at the same time,

762
00:39:46,840 --> 00:39:48,880
Speaker 2: this team finished one hundred and twenty eighth in defensive

763
00:39:48,920 --> 00:39:51,759
Speaker 2: finishing drives. That's not a fluke. They were that bad.

764
00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:54,239
Speaker 2: Everybody that got inside the forty yard line pretty much

765
00:39:54,239 --> 00:39:56,840
Speaker 2: got a touchdown. The pass defense was eighty fifth, and

766
00:39:56,880 --> 00:39:59,640
Speaker 2: coverage grading and there's a lot there's stats worse than that.

767
00:40:00,200 --> 00:40:03,440
Speaker 2: Tackling I still have a little bit of problems with

768
00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:05,520
Speaker 2: this defense. The linebacker group will be the best out

769
00:40:05,560 --> 00:40:07,279
Speaker 2: of them, but they still are not as good as

770
00:40:07,280 --> 00:40:09,480
Speaker 2: some of the upper tier teams that we've already talked about.

771
00:40:10,360 --> 00:40:12,799
Speaker 2: Kyron Jones is back as center, Caden Moore's back. Two

772
00:40:12,840 --> 00:40:15,000
Speaker 2: of the best. The offense was one hundred and eighth

773
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:17,680
Speaker 2: and third down conversion. So there are certain things that

774
00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:21,359
Speaker 2: you have to have to compete challenge, and you know,

775
00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:24,440
Speaker 2: one of them third down conversions on offense. The other

776
00:40:24,480 --> 00:40:27,520
Speaker 2: one is defensive finishing drives. They didn't have either of those,

777
00:40:27,960 --> 00:40:30,040
Speaker 2: So that seven and a half that opened up, it

778
00:40:30,080 --> 00:40:32,279
Speaker 2: was heavily juiced. It's been bumped up eight and a

779
00:40:32,320 --> 00:40:34,600
Speaker 2: half now. I think it's price correctly five and a

780
00:40:34,600 --> 00:40:38,480
Speaker 2: half conference wins, It's priced correctly the floor with this schedule,

781
00:40:38,520 --> 00:40:40,960
Speaker 2: I mean, this schedule is so soft. TD favor more

782
00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:44,160
Speaker 2: in eight games, a short favorite off Rutgers. By the way,

783
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:46,200
Speaker 2: Rutgers is off of bye. That's a tough game. And

784
00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:48,439
Speaker 2: they're gonna be a short favorite against Syracuse. We'll see.

785
00:40:48,480 --> 00:40:49,920
Speaker 2: We'll talk about them here in a little bit and

786
00:40:49,960 --> 00:40:52,160
Speaker 2: the whole new coaching staff and the new look that

787
00:40:52,200 --> 00:40:54,120
Speaker 2: they are. But They're gonna be seven to ten point

788
00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:56,759
Speaker 2: dogs against Clemson to Miami. So it's a very I mean,

789
00:40:56,800 --> 00:41:01,040
Speaker 2: it's very clear. The floor is eight win, the ceiling

790
00:41:01,120 --> 00:41:01,439
Speaker 2: is ten.

791
00:41:02,000 --> 00:41:04,160
Speaker 4: Yeah. The one thing I will say when you're handicapping

792
00:41:04,200 --> 00:41:07,040
Speaker 4: this team, I worry about their run dy, their past.

793
00:41:07,080 --> 00:41:08,800
Speaker 4: He is gonna be good and then get after the passer.

794
00:41:09,080 --> 00:41:10,799
Speaker 4: But I worry about their rundy. So that could be

795
00:41:10,800 --> 00:41:14,200
Speaker 4: problematic against Rutgers, right for sure, you know, but then

796
00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:15,560
Speaker 4: you look at the and you look at the rest

797
00:41:15,600 --> 00:41:18,040
Speaker 4: of the schedule, and you know, besides the elite teams

798
00:41:18,040 --> 00:41:20,040
Speaker 4: that they face, it might not be that big of

799
00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:22,080
Speaker 4: an issue. So there's some tricky spots on the schedule,

800
00:41:22,200 --> 00:41:26,120
Speaker 4: but I think they're priced about right. Let's move on

801
00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:28,839
Speaker 4: continue in that second tier. Let's move on to Louisville.

802
00:41:29,160 --> 00:41:32,880
Speaker 4: Louisville under eight and a half win totals eight and

803
00:41:32,920 --> 00:41:35,280
Speaker 4: a half juice to the under plus seven point fifty

804
00:41:35,960 --> 00:41:39,920
Speaker 4: to win the league, you're gonna get. The defense brings

805
00:41:39,960 --> 00:41:43,440
Speaker 4: back a lot of production. Jelati at d End is

806
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:46,840
Speaker 4: their stud you know, and Quincy Riley's a really good cornerback.

807
00:41:46,880 --> 00:41:49,359
Speaker 4: So that those are the two pieces that they build

808
00:41:49,400 --> 00:41:51,480
Speaker 4: off of. But their debits, which is really good last year,

809
00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:54,640
Speaker 4: brings back a lot of production. The offense loses a ton,

810
00:41:55,000 --> 00:41:57,120
Speaker 4: so both of your stud running backs are gone to

811
00:41:57,160 --> 00:41:59,920
Speaker 4: the NFL. You lose Plumber, but you bring in Tyler.

812
00:42:00,640 --> 00:42:03,359
Speaker 4: I think that's an upgrade. But the question is can

813
00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:07,680
Speaker 4: he stay healthy, which is I don't know, and.

814
00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:10,319
Speaker 2: He doesn't have the benefit of knowing Brom's offense from

815
00:42:10,360 --> 00:42:12,200
Speaker 2: years past two that's I mean, that was a big

816
00:42:12,239 --> 00:42:12,960
Speaker 2: help last year.

817
00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:16,799
Speaker 4: Yep, Brash has gone at wide receiver. You lose three

818
00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:18,920
Speaker 4: offensive line starters, led by your center Hudson. They do

819
00:42:18,960 --> 00:42:22,600
Speaker 4: bring in Brooks and Lacey at wide receiver. I'm a

820
00:42:22,640 --> 00:42:26,040
Speaker 4: big fan of Redmond Brooks and Lacey Man. I do

821
00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:28,280
Speaker 4: think that this offense is going to look dramatically different.

822
00:42:28,360 --> 00:42:30,319
Speaker 4: Last year it was not a Brom offense. It was,

823
00:42:30,800 --> 00:42:32,880
Speaker 4: but Plumber was kind of limited. They just ran the

824
00:42:32,960 --> 00:42:36,120
Speaker 4: ball Jordan Lorendo, they just handed the ball off and

825
00:42:36,560 --> 00:42:41,080
Speaker 4: grinded teams down because he had some limitations. Now you

826
00:42:41,120 --> 00:42:43,680
Speaker 4: have Redman at tight end, your running backs aren't as good.

827
00:42:44,080 --> 00:42:45,799
Speaker 4: I think that you're gonna see you're gonna try to

828
00:42:45,840 --> 00:42:47,759
Speaker 4: Brum's gonna try to spread this out more. It's gonna

829
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:53,160
Speaker 4: be a more pass happy offense. The defense was really good.

830
00:42:53,200 --> 00:42:55,279
Speaker 4: There could be some potential looming regression in the red

831
00:42:55,360 --> 00:42:58,160
Speaker 4: zone third downs. They did lose some key defenders they

832
00:42:58,160 --> 00:43:00,520
Speaker 4: thought they were going to have In the spring. The

833
00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:02,600
Speaker 4: schedule gets much tougher. You gotta remember last year, their

834
00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:07,200
Speaker 4: schedule was extremely easy. I, you know, unlike these other

835
00:43:07,200 --> 00:43:11,200
Speaker 4: teams we just talked about, votech SMU, NC State, I

836
00:43:11,239 --> 00:43:13,279
Speaker 4: have them all favored in ten games. Louisville I only

837
00:43:13,280 --> 00:43:16,680
Speaker 4: have been favored in eight, and there's downside with Shuck.

838
00:43:17,600 --> 00:43:21,719
Speaker 4: I don't see any value in their future. I you know,

839
00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:23,759
Speaker 4: on their schedule, they get Miami SMU at home, They

840
00:43:23,760 --> 00:43:27,960
Speaker 4: avoid Florida State, bow Tech and NC State, but they

841
00:43:28,160 --> 00:43:31,680
Speaker 4: you know, remember they also go to Kentucky, they go

842
00:43:31,920 --> 00:43:35,239
Speaker 4: to Clemson, and they go to Notre Dame. It was

843
00:43:35,440 --> 00:43:39,120
Speaker 4: major revenge. So the schedule is not easy. It's significantly

844
00:43:39,160 --> 00:43:43,120
Speaker 4: harder than last year. I project them closer to seven

845
00:43:43,120 --> 00:43:46,799
Speaker 4: and a half wins. I like the under, and if

846
00:43:46,840 --> 00:43:49,719
Speaker 4: Shuck gets hurt, which he usually does, it's gonna go

847
00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:53,520
Speaker 4: downhill even faster. So this is one of my favorite

848
00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:57,239
Speaker 4: win totals. Louisville under eight and a half. What are

849
00:43:57,239 --> 00:43:58,320
Speaker 4: your thoughts on the Cardinals.

850
00:43:58,520 --> 00:44:01,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean we just talked about us in Virginia Tech.

851
00:44:01,520 --> 00:44:04,560
Speaker 2: We're talking strength of schedule around seventy fifth to eightieth,

852
00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:07,239
Speaker 2: Louisville thirty fourth, and strength of schedule this year. I

853
00:44:07,280 --> 00:44:10,640
Speaker 2: mean you just ripped all. Yeah, rip the teams off

854
00:44:10,640 --> 00:44:14,200
Speaker 2: the schedule here. I mean Notre Dame, SMU, Miami, Clemson.

855
00:44:14,520 --> 00:44:17,240
Speaker 2: These are not easy w's. These are probably not even w's.

856
00:44:17,320 --> 00:44:19,680
Speaker 4: You know, Georgia twn Virginia by the way, trappy ass

857
00:44:19,760 --> 00:44:21,240
Speaker 4: game between SMU and Miami.

858
00:44:21,600 --> 00:44:23,960
Speaker 2: Very much. The offense is going to be an upgrade

859
00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:26,480
Speaker 2: from a passing perspective. They were fifty seven percent rush

860
00:44:26,520 --> 00:44:28,400
Speaker 2: rate last year. Expect that to come down with Tyler

861
00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:32,480
Speaker 2: Shook thrown to Colin Lacey probably of their one big explosive.

862
00:44:32,880 --> 00:44:36,640
Speaker 2: On defense, their units are all around top five, fifth,

863
00:44:36,719 --> 00:44:40,560
Speaker 2: sixth ranked inside of the ACC. They have, you know,

864
00:44:40,560 --> 00:44:42,760
Speaker 2: they have really good players at every level, from defensive

865
00:44:42,800 --> 00:44:46,439
Speaker 2: end Ashton Guilloty to corner Quincy Riley and safety Devin Neil.

866
00:44:47,040 --> 00:44:48,920
Speaker 2: But seven games. I agree with you on the on

867
00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:51,480
Speaker 2: the favorite part. They have seven games as double digit favorites.

868
00:44:51,840 --> 00:44:54,239
Speaker 2: They're going to be a TD plus underdog to Notre Dame.

869
00:44:54,560 --> 00:44:57,400
Speaker 2: There'll be a short favorite to SMU, and a coin

870
00:44:57,400 --> 00:44:59,520
Speaker 2: flip really with Miami, although Miami I think will be

871
00:44:59,520 --> 00:45:01,279
Speaker 2: favored by or in the market. They're going to have

872
00:45:01,320 --> 00:45:03,520
Speaker 2: back to back road games versus cleansing off of a bye.

873
00:45:03,560 --> 00:45:06,160
Speaker 2: That's a really bad spot for Louisville. And then again

874
00:45:06,239 --> 00:45:08,120
Speaker 2: you have the coin flip against Kentucky at the end

875
00:45:08,120 --> 00:45:10,960
Speaker 2: of the year, which seems to serve every season for

876
00:45:10,960 --> 00:45:13,160
Speaker 2: both Louisville and Kentucky as a way to hedge out

877
00:45:13,200 --> 00:45:15,880
Speaker 2: of your wind totals because the spreads usually within a touchdown.

878
00:45:16,239 --> 00:45:18,799
Speaker 2: I know you like the under. Mathematically I have it

879
00:45:18,840 --> 00:45:21,040
Speaker 2: right at eight and a half. There's plus money on

880
00:45:21,080 --> 00:45:23,000
Speaker 2: the over there. I think the five and a half

881
00:45:23,040 --> 00:45:26,200
Speaker 2: wins is pretty much spot on, So I'm not touching Louisville.

882
00:45:26,360 --> 00:45:28,279
Speaker 2: The same thing that we thought about Jalen Daniels with

883
00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:30,319
Speaker 2: Kansas is what I think here about Tyler Shook with

884
00:45:30,320 --> 00:45:34,320
Speaker 2: the health. If that player is gone, the offense is defunct.

885
00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:36,840
Speaker 2: They're not even home for a month October nineteenth to

886
00:45:36,960 --> 00:45:39,640
Speaker 2: November twenty third on the road. So I don't blame

887
00:45:39,640 --> 00:45:42,440
Speaker 2: you for going under here. All right.

888
00:45:42,480 --> 00:45:45,359
Speaker 4: Let's move on to the final team in Tier two,

889
00:45:45,640 --> 00:45:52,080
Speaker 4: and that is the NC State wolf Pack six to

890
00:45:52,200 --> 00:45:55,160
Speaker 4: one to win the ACC. I love this team. At

891
00:45:55,200 --> 00:45:58,719
Speaker 4: six to one, you can't get there. No over eight

892
00:45:58,800 --> 00:46:02,160
Speaker 4: and a half slightly just a bit to the over,

893
00:46:03,000 --> 00:46:05,200
Speaker 4: which I like. I like this over. I have them

894
00:46:05,239 --> 00:46:08,640
Speaker 4: favored in ten games, seven by double digits. I like

895
00:46:08,680 --> 00:46:10,880
Speaker 4: the structure of their schedule, like I don't like the

896
00:46:10,920 --> 00:46:13,800
Speaker 4: structure of Louisvill's, but I like the structure of their schedule.

897
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:16,080
Speaker 4: For example, like that bye before the final two games

898
00:46:16,080 --> 00:46:18,800
Speaker 4: at Georgia Tech and at North Carolina. You got a

899
00:46:19,120 --> 00:46:23,640
Speaker 4: uh you know, I just after big games, before big

900
00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:25,279
Speaker 4: games who they have. I just like the way that

901
00:46:25,280 --> 00:46:27,960
Speaker 4: their schedule breaks big news. But NC stayed. As they

902
00:46:27,960 --> 00:46:32,480
Speaker 4: bring in Grayson McCall, this offense should look significantly better.

903
00:46:33,080 --> 00:46:35,200
Speaker 4: You'll have a running game with Jordan Waters who comes

904
00:46:35,200 --> 00:46:38,080
Speaker 4: in from Duke. You'll have some guys to throw to,

905
00:46:39,120 --> 00:46:42,960
Speaker 4: Justin Jolly from Yukon. He flashed a lot there despite

906
00:46:43,000 --> 00:46:47,279
Speaker 4: not having a quarterback. You have rogers who you bring in,

907
00:46:47,360 --> 00:46:49,480
Speaker 4: concepts you own who I love. Think he's going to

908
00:46:49,520 --> 00:46:51,880
Speaker 4: take the next step. So this offense is going to

909
00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:55,040
Speaker 4: look a lot better under Robert and I, who I

910
00:46:55,040 --> 00:46:58,960
Speaker 4: think we both like, and the defense has more questions.

911
00:47:00,080 --> 00:47:03,000
Speaker 4: They lost a lot led by Peyton Wilson, but they're

912
00:47:03,080 --> 00:47:07,840
Speaker 4: kind of like built in the same mold as Clemson

913
00:47:07,840 --> 00:47:10,759
Speaker 4: in that you really just trust Tony Gibson and you

914
00:47:10,760 --> 00:47:13,600
Speaker 4: trust that defense. But I think that they might take

915
00:47:14,120 --> 00:47:19,280
Speaker 4: a step back. There are some potential holes here, especially

916
00:47:19,320 --> 00:47:22,239
Speaker 4: in just the back end of the d I'm particularly

917
00:47:22,320 --> 00:47:26,640
Speaker 4: worried about. So I think that that would will probably

918
00:47:26,719 --> 00:47:30,240
Speaker 4: limit them from competing with the top of this league

919
00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:33,080
Speaker 4: to win the ACC title. But I think this team,

920
00:47:33,520 --> 00:47:38,680
Speaker 4: with Grayson McCall and a significantly better offense, do you have

921
00:47:38,719 --> 00:47:42,280
Speaker 4: to replace a good kicker and long snapper? Worth mentioning

922
00:47:42,280 --> 00:47:44,920
Speaker 4: because their special teams were great last year. But I

923
00:47:44,960 --> 00:47:50,359
Speaker 4: think that this team wins nine or ten games only

924
00:47:50,360 --> 00:47:52,959
Speaker 4: phase two of the top eight, but both on the road,

925
00:47:52,960 --> 00:47:55,759
Speaker 4: which might also limit their upside. But they do have

926
00:47:55,800 --> 00:48:00,880
Speaker 4: six here their their home games Western Carolina, NU, Wake,

927
00:48:01,120 --> 00:48:07,640
Speaker 4: hust Stanford, and Duke very high floor. So I like

928
00:48:07,719 --> 00:48:11,840
Speaker 4: this over I project them about a half win higher

929
00:48:11,960 --> 00:48:15,640
Speaker 4: so and I like the schedule. I like McCall. What

930
00:48:15,680 --> 00:48:16,720
Speaker 4: are your thoughts on the pack?

931
00:48:17,400 --> 00:48:20,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, there is a big contrast in what the market

932
00:48:20,080 --> 00:48:22,360
Speaker 2: is offering on a win total versus what they're offering

933
00:48:22,480 --> 00:48:24,759
Speaker 2: on a conference win total. Because the win total has

934
00:48:24,800 --> 00:48:27,239
Speaker 2: been getting steamed and hit. The conference futures have been

935
00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:30,200
Speaker 2: getting steamed and hit. There's a lot of players out

936
00:48:30,200 --> 00:48:33,239
Speaker 2: there that love themselves the wolf Pack this preseason, I

937
00:48:33,239 --> 00:48:35,160
Speaker 2: think the one thing I'll say about the offense, I

938
00:48:35,200 --> 00:48:37,279
Speaker 2: do like Robert and Ay he's going to do much

939
00:48:37,320 --> 00:48:40,279
Speaker 2: better without his own Virginia quarterback and Brendan Armstrong here.

940
00:48:40,520 --> 00:48:44,160
Speaker 2: Grayson McCall one of the best in the nation in

941
00:48:44,280 --> 00:48:47,399
Speaker 2: calling a pro style offense. He is so fantastic at

942
00:48:47,400 --> 00:48:50,799
Speaker 2: decision making and just overall success rate that he had

943
00:48:50,840 --> 00:48:53,680
Speaker 2: at Coastal Carolina, and he can do it all. And

944
00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:56,840
Speaker 2: his chemistry with Kevin Concepcion is going to be just

945
00:48:57,000 --> 00:48:59,600
Speaker 2: tremendous here. Jordan Waters is going to benefit from that.

946
00:49:00,000 --> 00:49:01,920
Speaker 2: I expect the fifty seven percent rush rate to come

947
00:49:01,920 --> 00:49:04,320
Speaker 2: down a little bit flash on the Grayson McCall's features.

948
00:49:04,960 --> 00:49:06,480
Speaker 2: And then when you flip to the other side. This

949
00:49:06,520 --> 00:49:08,840
Speaker 2: is a Tony Gibson podcast. It always has been. With

950
00:49:08,840 --> 00:49:11,520
Speaker 2: the three three five cornerback Aiden White is going to

951
00:49:11,520 --> 00:49:13,560
Speaker 2: be the guy to look for, and then their linebacker

952
00:49:13,640 --> 00:49:16,279
Speaker 2: Caden Ford him he's also the man in the middle

953
00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:18,320
Speaker 2: here that we've got to look at. The defense finished

954
00:49:18,320 --> 00:49:21,040
Speaker 2: third and fbs and third downs. That gives me confidence

955
00:49:21,080 --> 00:49:23,279
Speaker 2: in Then they finished sixth in tackling. That goes back

956
00:49:23,280 --> 00:49:25,880
Speaker 2: to Tony Gibson. That's tackling fundamentals by one of the

957
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:27,080
Speaker 2: best coordinators in the nation.

958
00:49:27,520 --> 00:49:30,960
Speaker 4: And they were eight to tackle and confuse opposing young quarterbacks,

959
00:49:30,960 --> 00:49:34,279
Speaker 4: which is something worth mentioning. They played Tennessee and Charlotte

960
00:49:35,040 --> 00:49:36,799
Speaker 4: in Week two and by the way, they don't play

961
00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:39,600
Speaker 4: outside of the Carolinas until October nineteenth at cow.

962
00:49:40,160 --> 00:49:42,520
Speaker 2: I think the conference win total up at five and

963
00:49:42,520 --> 00:49:46,400
Speaker 2: a half is way too high. I have them projected

964
00:49:46,440 --> 00:49:48,400
Speaker 2: at four and a half wins in the conference. This

965
00:49:48,520 --> 00:49:50,359
Speaker 2: is a full game, so you got to go and look.

966
00:49:50,400 --> 00:49:51,960
Speaker 2: They got to go six and two in conference to

967
00:49:52,000 --> 00:49:55,120
Speaker 2: get over this number. Inside inside of ACC play, they're

968
00:49:55,120 --> 00:49:57,040
Speaker 2: going to be a two touchdown underdog in the first

969
00:49:57,040 --> 00:49:59,160
Speaker 2: game against Clemson, so after that they're going to have

970
00:49:59,200 --> 00:50:01,400
Speaker 2: to go six and one. They got coin flips in

971
00:50:01,400 --> 00:50:03,480
Speaker 2: both games on the road to end the season against

972
00:50:03,520 --> 00:50:05,759
Speaker 2: Georgia Tech against U n C By the way, the

973
00:50:05,800 --> 00:50:07,600
Speaker 2: Yellow Jackets will be off of a buy there, so

974
00:50:07,640 --> 00:50:10,000
Speaker 2: there are ways to get out of this. But I

975
00:50:10,000 --> 00:50:11,680
Speaker 2: don't think they have any chance to be Clemson and

976
00:50:11,680 --> 00:50:14,000
Speaker 2: then they pretty much got to win almost every single

977
00:50:14,000 --> 00:50:16,120
Speaker 2: one after that. I don't think that's going to be

978
00:50:16,120 --> 00:50:16,560
Speaker 2: as easy.

979
00:50:16,880 --> 00:50:19,240
Speaker 4: NC State. I don't see any die in the futures.

980
00:50:19,440 --> 00:50:20,719
Speaker 4: But they're gonna be a team we're going to talk

981
00:50:20,719 --> 00:50:23,359
Speaker 4: about early because while their schedule is easy, they play

982
00:50:23,640 --> 00:50:25,719
Speaker 4: they'll be dogs in two of their first four. They're

983
00:50:25,719 --> 00:50:27,880
Speaker 4: gonna be a team I'm gonna look for. I'm so

984
00:50:27,960 --> 00:50:29,480
Speaker 4: curious the odds makers going to price to make the

985
00:50:29,480 --> 00:50:31,759
Speaker 4: playoff market all year. They're a team that I might

986
00:50:31,840 --> 00:50:34,279
Speaker 4: invest in depending on what I see, because if they

987
00:50:34,280 --> 00:50:37,759
Speaker 4: lose to Tennessee and Clemson but they look really good,

988
00:50:37,800 --> 00:50:39,960
Speaker 4: I'm not going to really change my tune on them.

989
00:50:40,239 --> 00:50:42,200
Speaker 4: If the market goes too far the other way, I

990
00:50:42,280 --> 00:50:45,000
Speaker 4: might look to buy in season to make the college

991
00:50:45,000 --> 00:50:45,720
Speaker 4: football playoff.

992
00:50:45,760 --> 00:50:47,759
Speaker 2: As long as your conference futures are alive with non

993
00:50:47,800 --> 00:50:50,040
Speaker 2: conference losses, you have playoff odds.

994
00:50:51,880 --> 00:50:55,920
Speaker 4: All right, let's move on to the We'll call it

995
00:50:55,960 --> 00:50:59,600
Speaker 4: the third tier of teams because I think if you

996
00:50:59,640 --> 00:51:05,279
Speaker 4: look we're gonna talk about unc AL Georgia Tech, and

997
00:51:05,280 --> 00:51:07,759
Speaker 4: then we'll get to the bottom seven kind of group

998
00:51:07,800 --> 00:51:10,120
Speaker 4: all them together because they're all like from a power

999
00:51:10,160 --> 00:51:13,319
Speaker 4: ratings perspective, they're all clumped pretty closely, and depending on

1000
00:51:13,320 --> 00:51:17,920
Speaker 4: how you value transfer classes quarterbacks coaches, you could shuffle

1001
00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:20,919
Speaker 4: a lot of those teams with each other. But North

1002
00:51:20,960 --> 00:51:26,600
Speaker 4: Carolina quarterback battle here with Drake may gone, Connor Harrell

1003
00:51:26,800 --> 00:51:30,480
Speaker 4: is an LSU transfer, Max Johnson, Jacoby Criswell's getting your boy.

1004
00:51:30,480 --> 00:51:34,080
Speaker 2: From Arkansas originally guitar Heil.

1005
00:51:34,600 --> 00:51:37,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're saying that he's he might be in the mix.

1006
00:51:37,520 --> 00:51:41,319
Speaker 4: New coordinators here for MATC. Brown who were under seven

1007
00:51:41,360 --> 00:51:43,239
Speaker 4: and a half Jews slightly to the over thirty three

1008
00:51:43,280 --> 00:51:46,680
Speaker 4: to one to win the ACC seems right around one

1009
00:51:46,719 --> 00:51:49,040
Speaker 4: hundredth in returning production. So do lose a lot of

1010
00:51:49,120 --> 00:51:51,360
Speaker 4: Mario Hampton his back at running back after a fifteen

1011
00:51:51,560 --> 00:51:55,959
Speaker 4: hundred plus yard season. Bringing Barlow from UFC to add

1012
00:51:55,960 --> 00:51:57,799
Speaker 4: some depth there. So they should have a pretty good

1013
00:51:57,880 --> 00:52:01,360
Speaker 4: running game. The offensive line is it can They do

1014
00:52:01,400 --> 00:52:03,759
Speaker 4: have great size, especially at tackle. I'm curious to see

1015
00:52:03,760 --> 00:52:07,000
Speaker 4: how that all comes together. Jeff Collins hired as the

1016
00:52:07,120 --> 00:52:10,640
Speaker 4: DC JIFP. Lindsay is the OC. I like the collins Hire.

1017
00:52:11,360 --> 00:52:15,719
Speaker 4: They just try to simplify things for this defense. But

1018
00:52:15,800 --> 00:52:18,520
Speaker 4: there's definitely some questions on that side of the ball.

1019
00:52:18,880 --> 00:52:22,880
Speaker 4: How much of a bump can Collins provide, will the

1020
00:52:22,920 --> 00:52:26,239
Speaker 4: offensive line come together, and will they find the right quarterback?

1021
00:52:26,680 --> 00:52:30,759
Speaker 4: I think those are the big questions for this team,

1022
00:52:30,800 --> 00:52:33,480
Speaker 4: which also has some questions up the middle that the

1023
00:52:33,960 --> 00:52:38,959
Speaker 4: just interior linebacker depth as well. Special teams could be

1024
00:52:39,440 --> 00:52:44,200
Speaker 4: a big concern as well, which it's going to be

1025
00:52:44,560 --> 00:52:48,799
Speaker 4: some coin flip games at Duke at BC, at Virginia

1026
00:52:49,480 --> 00:52:51,880
Speaker 4: Georgia Tech. These are games are going to be pretty close.

1027
00:52:53,080 --> 00:52:55,640
Speaker 4: Special teams could be a deciding factor. They do only

1028
00:52:55,680 --> 00:52:59,400
Speaker 4: face two of the top ACC teams, pretty easy schedule,

1029
00:53:00,000 --> 00:53:03,040
Speaker 4: they're at many and they almost start the year, so

1030
00:53:03,040 --> 00:53:04,680
Speaker 4: you had time to prepare that. Then you almost still

1031
00:53:04,840 --> 00:53:08,080
Speaker 4: travel at all for two months, just all in the

1032
00:53:08,320 --> 00:53:14,640
Speaker 4: Carolina regions. I project him right around seven and a half.

1033
00:53:14,680 --> 00:53:17,240
Speaker 4: I do have him favored in nine games. There's a

1034
00:53:17,239 --> 00:53:22,279
Speaker 4: couple that are really close to coin flips. I you know,

1035
00:53:22,280 --> 00:53:24,080
Speaker 4: there's a lot of un certain of this team. That

1036
00:53:24,160 --> 00:53:25,680
Speaker 4: Minnesota game I think is going to go a long

1037
00:53:25,719 --> 00:53:28,759
Speaker 4: way determining their win total. This is a pass for me.

1038
00:53:28,800 --> 00:53:31,560
Speaker 4: What are your thoughts on guitorials?

1039
00:53:31,760 --> 00:53:34,880
Speaker 2: Well, poor Max Johnson quarterback transferr. And he's formerly of

1040
00:53:34,960 --> 00:53:36,839
Speaker 2: LSU in Texas, A and M. The guy has never

1041
00:53:36,920 --> 00:53:39,200
Speaker 2: had an offensive line protect him in his history of

1042
00:53:39,200 --> 00:53:41,600
Speaker 2: college football. Candy, how many years he been here? He

1043
00:53:42,360 --> 00:53:46,600
Speaker 2: is the most pressured man in the history since the pandemic.

1044
00:53:47,360 --> 00:53:49,880
Speaker 2: And so he's got a new center from Georgia, Austin Blaski.

1045
00:53:50,000 --> 00:53:52,160
Speaker 2: So you know in right guard Willie lankin there, he's

1046
00:53:52,200 --> 00:53:53,640
Speaker 2: one of the best that's returning to this line.

1047
00:53:53,760 --> 00:53:56,360
Speaker 4: Lakin is e Lee. He's undersized, but he is. E

1048
00:53:56,480 --> 00:53:58,200
Speaker 4: Lee's footwork is impeccable.

1049
00:53:59,000 --> 00:54:01,480
Speaker 2: They need to protect. They were fifteenth in line yards

1050
00:54:01,560 --> 00:54:04,120
Speaker 2: last year. They were fifty first. Some pass blocking that

1051
00:54:04,160 --> 00:54:05,640
Speaker 2: has got to get a little bit better if Max

1052
00:54:05,680 --> 00:54:08,719
Speaker 2: Johnson wins this job. Running back wise and Mario Hampton,

1053
00:54:08,760 --> 00:54:10,000
Speaker 2: I don't think you're going to get any better in

1054
00:54:10,000 --> 00:54:12,759
Speaker 2: the acc We've brought Bryson as a bit of tight

1055
00:54:12,840 --> 00:54:14,879
Speaker 2: end that's going to be a big weapon for Max

1056
00:54:14,920 --> 00:54:17,520
Speaker 2: Johnson or whoever wins the quarterback battle. The defense, I

1057
00:54:17,560 --> 00:54:20,080
Speaker 2: get a little bit worried about the linebacking unit kind

1058
00:54:20,120 --> 00:54:21,839
Speaker 2: of falls back to the middle of the pack, even

1059
00:54:21,960 --> 00:54:23,600
Speaker 2: closer to the bottom of the pack when it comes

1060
00:54:23,680 --> 00:54:26,960
Speaker 2: to the acc and then last year they just I

1061
00:54:27,000 --> 00:54:28,880
Speaker 2: think Jeff Collins was brought in for one reason. They

1062
00:54:28,880 --> 00:54:32,120
Speaker 2: were ninety eighth in a havoc last season. On defense,

1063
00:54:32,120 --> 00:54:34,959
Speaker 2: they were one hundred and fifteenth in defensive passing down

1064
00:54:34,960 --> 00:54:36,919
Speaker 2: success rate. If you got into a third and long,

1065
00:54:36,960 --> 00:54:39,200
Speaker 2: a second and long, you were easily converting first downs

1066
00:54:39,239 --> 00:54:42,360
Speaker 2: against North Carolina. The defense has been atrocious for years

1067
00:54:42,360 --> 00:54:44,719
Speaker 2: for this team, and Jeff Collins is here to try

1068
00:54:44,760 --> 00:54:46,920
Speaker 2: to try to bring that back. We'll see if he

1069
00:54:47,000 --> 00:54:49,439
Speaker 2: actually can because it was a problem at Georgia Tech

1070
00:54:49,600 --> 00:54:52,120
Speaker 2: and it was you know, he didn't ever get it solved.

1071
00:54:52,600 --> 00:54:54,799
Speaker 2: Scheduling wise, they're going to be favored in their first

1072
00:54:54,800 --> 00:54:57,440
Speaker 2: eight games. You mentioned the heavy Carolina flavor, there were

1073
00:54:57,480 --> 00:55:00,879
Speaker 2: the location about where they're going to be ten overall games.

1074
00:55:00,920 --> 00:55:03,399
Speaker 2: I've got them favored in two coin flips, the big

1075
00:55:03,440 --> 00:55:07,080
Speaker 2: underdog spot against Florida State. The offensive line should not

1076
00:55:07,239 --> 00:55:10,040
Speaker 2: have issues with the Minnesota defensive line. In the opener.

1077
00:55:10,200 --> 00:55:11,920
Speaker 2: You just look at those two teams on paper and

1078
00:55:11,920 --> 00:55:15,080
Speaker 2: what units they bring back I would expect North Carolina

1079
00:55:15,160 --> 00:55:18,080
Speaker 2: to win that game. I've got them projected as small

1080
00:55:18,400 --> 00:55:21,120
Speaker 2: one and a half point favorites there. I just think they're.

1081
00:55:20,960 --> 00:55:23,120
Speaker 4: Dogs now, they're dogs in the market out Minnesota's patch

1082
00:55:23,160 --> 00:55:23,560
Speaker 4: of money.

1083
00:55:23,840 --> 00:55:24,680
Speaker 2: I would buy that that'll be.

1084
00:55:24,760 --> 00:55:28,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're coin flip and then a coin flip or favorite.

1085
00:55:28,680 --> 00:55:32,000
Speaker 4: And I have also in their first eight games before

1086
00:55:32,000 --> 00:55:32,920
Speaker 4: they go to FSU.

1087
00:55:33,280 --> 00:55:35,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, and their conference win total is four and a half,

1088
00:55:35,440 --> 00:55:37,040
Speaker 2: and the question is can they go five and three

1089
00:55:37,040 --> 00:55:38,760
Speaker 2: in the conference. They're going to be a TD plus

1090
00:55:38,800 --> 00:55:44,560
Speaker 2: favorite at Duke Pitt, Georgia Tech, UVA, Wake, and BC.

1091
00:55:44,920 --> 00:55:47,400
Speaker 2: That's six teams that I have them favored by at

1092
00:55:47,520 --> 00:55:51,080
Speaker 2: least seven points or more. Duke Pitt, Georgia Tech, Virginia Wake,

1093
00:55:51,160 --> 00:55:54,239
Speaker 2: and BC. The win totals over five and a half

1094
00:55:54,239 --> 00:55:56,640
Speaker 2: in the ACC. I think that is an extremely bad

1095
00:55:56,719 --> 00:55:58,920
Speaker 2: number and I will take that all day. Over four

1096
00:55:58,920 --> 00:56:00,840
Speaker 2: and a half ACC WINSNUS one fifteen.

1097
00:56:01,680 --> 00:56:03,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, I can't quite get there. I don't have them

1098
00:56:03,400 --> 00:56:07,239
Speaker 4: quite that high at Virginia, Duke in BC. But I'm

1099
00:56:07,280 --> 00:56:10,400
Speaker 4: neutral on North Carolina these tap they have big, big tackles.

1100
00:56:10,440 --> 00:56:13,960
Speaker 4: Their offensive line comes together with this schedule they could

1101
00:56:14,000 --> 00:56:15,600
Speaker 4: be those offenses.

1102
00:56:16,280 --> 00:56:18,839
Speaker 2: Those offenses can't take advantage of this defense, though not

1103
00:56:18,920 --> 00:56:20,240
Speaker 2: like some of the other teams in the ACC.

1104
00:56:20,840 --> 00:56:31,759
Speaker 4: Yep, let's move on to Cal, who obviously enters the

1105
00:56:31,800 --> 00:56:38,520
Speaker 4: ACC as a new member. They are eighty eighty five

1106
00:56:38,600 --> 00:56:42,760
Speaker 4: to one over six and a half plus one forty five,

1107
00:56:42,800 --> 00:56:44,840
Speaker 4: so the win total six and a half juice to

1108
00:56:45,080 --> 00:56:49,040
Speaker 4: the under I project six point two wins. So don't

1109
00:56:49,040 --> 00:56:51,440
Speaker 4: see much. Guy. If i'd a guess, they'd probably go

1110
00:56:51,520 --> 00:56:55,520
Speaker 4: six and six. They have a pretty tough first eight

1111
00:56:55,640 --> 00:56:59,080
Speaker 4: games phase four of the top six in the ACC.

1112
00:57:00,000 --> 00:57:04,520
Speaker 4: They also go to Auburn. There's travel here as well,

1113
00:57:04,560 --> 00:57:06,560
Speaker 4: and that could work both ways, Like there's gonna be

1114
00:57:06,600 --> 00:57:08,160
Speaker 4: some teams that have to go out to Cal. But

1115
00:57:08,680 --> 00:57:11,520
Speaker 4: you know Cale, obviously he's doing it more often than

1116
00:57:12,200 --> 00:57:17,080
Speaker 4: team's doing it one time per year. They you know

1117
00:57:17,160 --> 00:57:20,200
Speaker 4: the quarterback. There's a quarterback battle here as well. You're

1118
00:57:20,200 --> 00:57:23,480
Speaker 4: either gonna have Mendoza who shined as a freshman, or

1119
00:57:24,080 --> 00:57:26,000
Speaker 4: Chandler Rogers who comes in from North Texas who I

1120
00:57:26,080 --> 00:57:28,960
Speaker 4: really like and he knows the offense. Not sure it's

1121
00:57:29,000 --> 00:57:31,520
Speaker 4: gonna end up winning that battle. Then you obviously have

1122
00:57:31,560 --> 00:57:36,280
Speaker 4: Jade now a running back who's extremely talented, who's your

1123
00:57:36,360 --> 00:57:38,800
Speaker 4: number one receiver. But you bring in Merriweather from Notre Dame,

1124
00:57:38,800 --> 00:57:42,160
Speaker 4: Matthews from Utah. Nah, bring in some other guys as well,

1125
00:57:42,200 --> 00:57:45,360
Speaker 4: disch as I'd like from Maryland. The offensive line rotation

1126
00:57:45,440 --> 00:57:47,360
Speaker 4: needs to be addressed. I still have some questions there,

1127
00:57:47,400 --> 00:57:52,320
Speaker 4: specifically at left tackle. The defense has just been falling

1128
00:57:52,320 --> 00:57:54,520
Speaker 4: off a cliff under Wilcox over the past two years.

1129
00:57:54,560 --> 00:57:57,280
Speaker 4: They were outside the top one hundred and twentieth in

1130
00:57:57,400 --> 00:58:01,400
Speaker 4: success rate. Last year they led the fbs and takeaways

1131
00:58:01,400 --> 00:58:04,800
Speaker 4: to that defense. There could be some aggression there. You know,

1132
00:58:04,840 --> 00:58:06,720
Speaker 4: the DA did have a ton of injuries last year.

1133
00:58:06,760 --> 00:58:11,200
Speaker 4: The secondary should be better, and the offense was significally

1134
00:58:11,240 --> 00:58:13,440
Speaker 4: better after Mendoza took over. They're still going to run

1135
00:58:13,480 --> 00:58:16,640
Speaker 4: the air raid, even after losing their offensive coordinator. But

1136
00:58:16,880 --> 00:58:19,720
Speaker 4: I'm around six. I think they probably go six and six.

1137
00:58:20,080 --> 00:58:22,920
Speaker 4: This is a stay away from me. Do you see

1138
00:58:22,920 --> 00:58:23,400
Speaker 4: anything with.

1139
00:58:23,360 --> 00:58:26,840
Speaker 2: Cal Yeah, I'm really interested in them saying they're going

1140
00:58:26,880 --> 00:58:28,920
Speaker 2: to stay with the ARA because Mike Blosch was the

1141
00:58:28,960 --> 00:58:31,240
Speaker 2: offensive line coach and run game coordinator and he's been

1142
00:58:31,280 --> 00:58:34,160
Speaker 2: elevated to OC. That would make me think they're going

1143
00:58:34,160 --> 00:58:36,439
Speaker 2: to increase their fifty three percent rush rate. That would

1144
00:58:36,480 --> 00:58:38,640
Speaker 2: make me think that their tempo of twenty four seconds

1145
00:58:38,680 --> 00:58:40,560
Speaker 2: per play, which is really fast, I think eighth in

1146
00:58:40,600 --> 00:58:43,960
Speaker 2: the country, that that's going to come down. So we'll

1147
00:58:44,000 --> 00:58:45,800
Speaker 2: have to see. I'd keep your eyes on some totals

1148
00:58:45,800 --> 00:58:47,600
Speaker 2: with some cow games here. I know they're already up

1149
00:58:48,120 --> 00:58:51,560
Speaker 2: in most places. Quarterback perspective, no matter who wins the job,

1150
00:58:51,600 --> 00:58:53,160
Speaker 2: it's it's not going to be, you know, one of

1151
00:58:53,160 --> 00:58:56,000
Speaker 2: the top ten quarterbacks in the league. But they do

1152
00:58:56,040 --> 00:58:58,120
Speaker 2: have one of the best running backs in Jayden Ott.

1153
00:58:58,840 --> 00:59:01,240
Speaker 2: I would suspect with the offensive line coach and the

1154
00:59:01,320 --> 00:59:03,480
Speaker 2: run game coordinator calling the plays that Jade Not could

1155
00:59:03,520 --> 00:59:06,120
Speaker 2: have better stats than he's had before. And this is

1156
00:59:06,120 --> 00:59:08,800
Speaker 2: a California offense that was eleventh in line yards last year.

1157
00:59:08,800 --> 00:59:11,560
Speaker 2: They can absolutely rush the ball. We'll see what they

1158
00:59:11,560 --> 00:59:14,160
Speaker 2: do here. One hundred and twelve starts come back. Comes

1159
00:59:14,200 --> 00:59:17,000
Speaker 2: back to the offensive line. They really do have to

1160
00:59:17,040 --> 00:59:20,640
Speaker 2: figure out who's starting. It goes too deep with experience

1161
00:59:20,760 --> 00:59:23,320
Speaker 2: because of the injuries that they had, so they have bodies,

1162
00:59:23,360 --> 00:59:26,600
Speaker 2: they just don't It's kind of like a Merraga around.

1163
00:59:26,640 --> 00:59:29,920
Speaker 2: We don't know where everybody's playing the defense, they're going

1164
00:59:30,000 --> 00:59:31,760
Speaker 2: to be outside the top ten and every unit from

1165
00:59:31,760 --> 00:59:34,360
Speaker 2: every level, from the defensive line, the linebacker and the

1166
00:59:34,440 --> 00:59:37,600
Speaker 2: d backs. The d was horrific when opponents got into

1167
00:59:37,640 --> 00:59:40,080
Speaker 2: scoring position. They were one hundred and twenty second defensive

1168
00:59:40,080 --> 00:59:43,200
Speaker 2: finishing drives. Peter Sermon is still there as a defensive corridiator.

1169
00:59:43,200 --> 00:59:45,760
Speaker 2: He's been with will Cox the whole time. We'll see

1170
00:59:45,800 --> 00:59:48,080
Speaker 2: what happens there. They did bring in first team FCS

1171
00:59:48,120 --> 00:59:51,680
Speaker 2: All American Marcus Harrison from Idaho try to improve on

1172
00:59:51,720 --> 00:59:53,560
Speaker 2: a rank of one hundred and twenty third and on

1173
00:59:53,760 --> 00:59:56,800
Speaker 2: target allowed. On target allowed means are you hitting your

1174
00:59:56,840 --> 00:59:59,480
Speaker 2: receivers in strident? Are they taking off? Well? Cal was letting.

1175
00:59:59,560 --> 01:00:02,760
Speaker 2: Everybody did a target in stride and taking off, so.

1176
01:00:02,880 --> 01:00:04,760
Speaker 4: And they can't They need to fight a way to

1177
01:00:04,800 --> 01:00:09,480
Speaker 4: generate pressure. They're allowing all that and they can't get pressure.

1178
01:00:09,520 --> 01:00:10,480
Speaker 4: That's not a good combo.

1179
01:00:10,920 --> 01:00:14,080
Speaker 2: No, not at all. The finishing drives is so bad

1180
01:00:14,080 --> 01:00:16,800
Speaker 2: outside the top one hundred passing success rate on defense.

1181
01:00:17,640 --> 01:00:19,120
Speaker 2: We haven't talked about it, but they were one hundred

1182
01:00:19,120 --> 01:00:21,800
Speaker 2: and twenty ninth and special teams last year also, and

1183
01:00:21,840 --> 01:00:26,480
Speaker 2: they project, yeah, they project fifteenth in the ACC and

1184
01:00:26,560 --> 01:00:28,880
Speaker 2: special teams this year, so that's not any better either.

1185
01:00:29,600 --> 01:00:32,440
Speaker 2: Scheduling wise, I got them favorites in three non CONSVERSU

1186
01:00:32,520 --> 01:00:36,240
Speaker 2: UC Davis, San Diego State, Oregon State. Oregon State could

1187
01:00:36,480 --> 01:00:39,480
Speaker 2: beat them given the day. There'll be a dog at Auburn,

1188
01:00:39,880 --> 01:00:41,520
Speaker 2: Florida State's going to be a heavy favorite in the

1189
01:00:41,560 --> 01:00:44,919
Speaker 2: ACC opener, but then Miami goes across country catch Cal

1190
01:00:45,000 --> 01:00:47,240
Speaker 2: at home off of a by. It's tricky spot for Miami.

1191
01:00:47,240 --> 01:00:48,720
Speaker 2: That would be a big upset if they could pull

1192
01:00:48,760 --> 01:00:51,160
Speaker 2: that off. They're gonna be favoring the next six ACC

1193
01:00:51,240 --> 01:00:53,720
Speaker 2: games on the schedule. NC State's closer to a flip,

1194
01:00:53,720 --> 01:00:56,160
Speaker 2: but I do make them around five points. They're gonna

1195
01:00:56,160 --> 01:01:00,440
Speaker 2: be an underdog to SMU, and then at pit Wake,

1196
01:01:00,520 --> 01:01:02,880
Speaker 2: Syracuse Stanford, they're going to be a TD or better.

1197
01:01:02,960 --> 01:01:04,920
Speaker 2: I've got ACC wins over three and a half. I

1198
01:01:04,960 --> 01:01:07,520
Speaker 2: project them in four wins in ACC, so I do

1199
01:01:07,640 --> 01:01:09,440
Speaker 2: like them to dominate the part of the schedule that

1200
01:01:09,480 --> 01:01:13,640
Speaker 2: includes pitt Wake, Syracuse Stanford. I have favored them by

1201
01:01:13,640 --> 01:01:15,120
Speaker 2: a TD or better and that's enough for me to

1202
01:01:15,160 --> 01:01:16,920
Speaker 2: get over three and a half. That's four wins right there.

1203
01:01:17,800 --> 01:01:20,919
Speaker 4: Yeah, I can't get there. I mean you're super low

1204
01:01:20,920 --> 01:01:24,320
Speaker 4: on pitt which we'll get to. Yeah in me and look,

1205
01:01:24,360 --> 01:01:26,080
Speaker 4: you had an account for the travel. It's after the

1206
01:01:26,120 --> 01:01:29,160
Speaker 4: Miami game, which is in Florida State. I can't get there.

1207
01:01:29,200 --> 01:01:32,800
Speaker 4: I think I think this team probably finishes at six

1208
01:01:32,840 --> 01:01:34,520
Speaker 4: and six, which is right around where I have them.

1209
01:01:34,760 --> 01:01:37,080
Speaker 2: They got four separate trips to the Eastern time zone

1210
01:01:37,120 --> 01:01:38,840
Speaker 2: on this schedule. Interesting.

1211
01:01:40,880 --> 01:01:44,080
Speaker 4: Let's move on to the third team in this Tier three,

1212
01:01:44,240 --> 01:01:48,800
Speaker 4: which inside unc CAL Georgia Tech, which I think I

1213
01:01:48,800 --> 01:01:51,600
Speaker 4: have them around the same power ratings wise. I don't

1214
01:01:51,600 --> 01:01:53,120
Speaker 4: think they're good enough to be in Tier two where

1215
01:01:53,160 --> 01:01:55,120
Speaker 4: you consider them as a long shot to win the league.

1216
01:01:55,160 --> 01:01:58,200
Speaker 4: But they're not quite in the bottom. Georgia Tech. The

1217
01:01:58,200 --> 01:01:59,480
Speaker 4: reason I have them here, they're not in the bottoms

1218
01:01:59,480 --> 01:02:05,280
Speaker 4: because they're off love Buster Faulkner just runs an amazing offense.

1219
01:02:05,360 --> 01:02:07,960
Speaker 4: In this year. Their offense, I think is going to

1220
01:02:08,000 --> 01:02:14,240
Speaker 4: be even better. They are top ten in returning production

1221
01:02:14,320 --> 01:02:16,960
Speaker 4: on the offensive side of the ball. Haines King back quarterback,

1222
01:02:17,000 --> 01:02:20,400
Speaker 4: Haines back at running back, they have much more They're

1223
01:02:20,520 --> 01:02:24,840
Speaker 4: much more experience at wide receiver. This offense is going

1224
01:02:24,840 --> 01:02:27,200
Speaker 4: to be very good. The offensive line I think is

1225
01:02:27,240 --> 01:02:30,200
Speaker 4: going to be really good. One hundred and thirty is

1226
01:02:30,320 --> 01:02:34,600
Speaker 4: starts there. The offense is going to hum and but

1227
01:02:34,680 --> 01:02:38,000
Speaker 4: the question is on defense. I think as long as

1228
01:02:38,040 --> 01:02:39,480
Speaker 4: they figure out right guard, it's the only question I

1229
01:02:39,520 --> 01:02:42,880
Speaker 4: really have on this offense. The defense has questions all over.

1230
01:02:46,280 --> 01:02:51,480
Speaker 4: And then the schedule they played. I mean, this schedule

1231
01:02:51,600 --> 01:02:56,400
Speaker 4: is just they play seven top thirty teams. They only

1232
01:02:56,440 --> 01:02:58,080
Speaker 4: have five true home games.

1233
01:02:58,120 --> 01:03:01,040
Speaker 2: They play six of it, yeah, nin ninth. At the

1234
01:03:01,040 --> 01:03:01,920
Speaker 2: schedule in the nation.

1235
01:03:02,960 --> 01:03:07,720
Speaker 4: I have them fifth, sixth uh six of the top

1236
01:03:07,760 --> 01:03:13,480
Speaker 4: eight in the ACC plus Notre Dame in Georgia. I

1237
01:03:13,480 --> 01:03:16,840
Speaker 4: mean I have them favored in only three games with

1238
01:03:16,920 --> 01:03:22,200
Speaker 4: a coin flip, which is at Syracuse. I project their

1239
01:03:22,240 --> 01:03:25,439
Speaker 4: win totals over four and a half minus one forty two.

1240
01:03:25,600 --> 01:03:27,440
Speaker 4: Last year they did win six games. Then they won

1241
01:03:27,480 --> 01:03:29,320
Speaker 4: the Bowl, but they should have lost on Miami if

1242
01:03:29,360 --> 01:03:32,720
Speaker 4: schristal Ball takes a knee, So I think that they

1243
01:03:32,760 --> 01:03:35,680
Speaker 4: were maybe a bit Fortunately, even though they only went

1244
01:03:35,680 --> 01:03:37,800
Speaker 4: they went to and two in one possession games plus

1245
01:03:37,840 --> 01:03:41,240
Speaker 4: four turnover margin. The schedule is just so difficult. They

1246
01:03:41,280 --> 01:03:44,040
Speaker 4: start with Florida State in Dublin, come over Georgia State

1247
01:03:44,200 --> 01:03:47,320
Speaker 4: go to Syracuse. It's not gonna easy game. It's coin

1248
01:03:47,320 --> 01:03:50,280
Speaker 4: fliptish to me. Your wins are Georgia State at home,

1249
01:03:50,560 --> 01:03:54,440
Speaker 4: VM I duke, and then you know you should be

1250
01:03:54,600 --> 01:03:58,480
Speaker 4: duke at home and then other than that.

1251
01:03:58,520 --> 01:03:59,920
Speaker 2: Like maybe Q.

1252
01:04:01,440 --> 01:04:04,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, maybe the coin flip. So I protect four point four.

1253
01:04:04,840 --> 01:04:07,200
Speaker 4: I think this has come down a bit. I would

1254
01:04:08,120 --> 01:04:11,880
Speaker 4: lean under at plus money at four and a half still,

1255
01:04:12,720 --> 01:04:15,720
Speaker 4: but I'm probably staying away here. What are your thoughts

1256
01:04:15,760 --> 01:04:16,840
Speaker 4: on Deella Jackets?

1257
01:04:16,880 --> 01:04:18,920
Speaker 2: Well, I have one undercent agree with you. They're going

1258
01:04:19,000 --> 01:04:21,920
Speaker 2: to snipe somebody. It could be Florida State in the

1259
01:04:22,000 --> 01:04:24,480
Speaker 2: very first game in weeks zero. I mean Georgia Tech.

1260
01:04:24,560 --> 01:04:28,360
Speaker 2: This offense, Jamal Haynes and Haines King are going to

1261
01:04:28,400 --> 01:04:30,000
Speaker 2: get an offensive line in front of him last year

1262
01:04:30,040 --> 01:04:32,440
Speaker 2: that ranked sixth in line yards twenty top twenty five

1263
01:04:32,480 --> 01:04:35,960
Speaker 2: and rushing success rate. How is Buster Faulkner still here right?

1264
01:04:36,040 --> 01:04:37,960
Speaker 2: I figured he would be scooped up immediately, and I

1265
01:04:37,960 --> 01:04:40,440
Speaker 2: don't you know, it was great that Brent Key got

1266
01:04:40,480 --> 01:04:44,280
Speaker 2: him to come down to midtown in Atlanta. Anyways, I

1267
01:04:44,400 --> 01:04:46,480
Speaker 2: tackle George Williams on the offensive line. He's definitely the

1268
01:04:46,480 --> 01:04:49,800
Speaker 2: best one. He will protect Haines King there. It's going

1269
01:04:49,840 --> 01:04:52,000
Speaker 2: to be a great offense. Offensive line returns one hundred

1270
01:04:52,000 --> 01:04:55,400
Speaker 2: and twenty eight starts. I would keep my eyes out

1271
01:04:55,560 --> 01:04:58,040
Speaker 2: for teams that cannot defend the rush and teams that

1272
01:04:58,080 --> 01:05:01,120
Speaker 2: cannot stop explosive plays. Georgia Tech's going to be able

1273
01:05:01,160 --> 01:05:01,720
Speaker 2: to hang with them.

1274
01:05:01,720 --> 01:05:01,880
Speaker 5: Now.

1275
01:05:01,880 --> 01:05:05,000
Speaker 2: On defense, I have a little bit of a problem

1276
01:05:05,040 --> 01:05:07,320
Speaker 2: for it. Their defensive line might be the worst in

1277
01:05:07,360 --> 01:05:10,240
Speaker 2: the ACC. Their linebackers, I think are the worst in

1278
01:05:10,280 --> 01:05:12,680
Speaker 2: the ACC. This is a team that finished near dead

1279
01:05:12,720 --> 01:05:15,040
Speaker 2: last and defending the rush one hundred and twenty eighth

1280
01:05:15,080 --> 01:05:17,160
Speaker 2: in the line yards. On defense, they were outside the

1281
01:05:17,200 --> 01:05:20,560
Speaker 2: top one hundred and defensive quality drives, meaning everybody got

1282
01:05:20,560 --> 01:05:23,440
Speaker 2: into scoring position. So in their third down d was

1283
01:05:23,480 --> 01:05:25,440
Speaker 2: one hundred and eighth. I didn't see anything in the

1284
01:05:25,440 --> 01:05:28,160
Speaker 2: portal or returning experience that says they're going to get

1285
01:05:28,160 --> 01:05:30,120
Speaker 2: this together now. Their new defensive coordinators.

1286
01:05:30,200 --> 01:05:33,600
Speaker 4: The secondary too, it's not like the second Yeah.

1287
01:05:32,680 --> 01:05:34,640
Speaker 2: Well, their new coordinator, I think they're going in the

1288
01:05:34,680 --> 01:05:36,800
Speaker 2: right direction with who they hire. They got Tyler Santucci,

1289
01:05:36,800 --> 01:05:38,560
Speaker 2: who's fresh out of Duke, but he was at Texas

1290
01:05:38,600 --> 01:05:40,920
Speaker 2: A and M. He's Mike Elcho's guy. So you're going

1291
01:05:41,000 --> 01:05:42,960
Speaker 2: to see the four two five. You're going to see

1292
01:05:42,960 --> 01:05:45,120
Speaker 2: a lot of Elco stuff, a lot of Clark Lee stuff,

1293
01:05:45,160 --> 01:05:46,800
Speaker 2: a lot of old Notre Dame stuff. You're going to

1294
01:05:46,800 --> 01:05:48,880
Speaker 2: see now at Georgia Tech. I think that was the

1295
01:05:48,960 --> 01:05:50,480
Speaker 2: right move. It's the right place to go, but I

1296
01:05:50,480 --> 01:05:52,080
Speaker 2: don't think you have the personnel to stop some of

1297
01:05:52,120 --> 01:05:54,520
Speaker 2: the big boys in the ACC. The win total cracks

1298
01:05:54,560 --> 01:05:56,640
Speaker 2: me up. It just it completely cracks me up. It's

1299
01:05:56,680 --> 01:05:59,000
Speaker 2: sitting at five. I projected four point four, but it's

1300
01:05:59,000 --> 01:06:02,200
Speaker 2: at five. In the mark it. I have seven teams

1301
01:06:03,320 --> 01:06:06,680
Speaker 2: at least touchdown favorites against Georgia Tech. And I love

1302
01:06:06,720 --> 01:06:08,800
Speaker 2: Georgia Tech. I don't know how you're going over a

1303
01:06:08,840 --> 01:06:10,280
Speaker 2: win total of five when I have you as a

1304
01:06:10,280 --> 01:06:12,560
Speaker 2: double digit dog in seven. This is a three to

1305
01:06:12,600 --> 01:06:14,920
Speaker 2: five win season. They're gonna pop somebody that's in the

1306
01:06:14,960 --> 01:06:16,840
Speaker 2: AP top twenty five and they're gonna say where does

1307
01:06:16,840 --> 01:06:18,480
Speaker 2: this come from? And you know it's gonna be a

1308
01:06:18,480 --> 01:06:20,320
Speaker 2: one game thing with Haines King and Jamal Haynes. But

1309
01:06:20,720 --> 01:06:22,920
Speaker 2: I love them. But under.

1310
01:06:24,280 --> 01:06:28,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm at four point four as well. All right,

1311
01:06:28,680 --> 01:06:31,959
Speaker 4: let's move on to your beloved Pitt Panthers. We're gonna

1312
01:06:31,960 --> 01:06:35,280
Speaker 4: start the final tier, will go a bit faster for

1313
01:06:35,320 --> 01:06:40,520
Speaker 4: these remaining seven teams, which I don't like looking at

1314
01:06:40,560 --> 01:06:45,400
Speaker 4: your power ratings Pitt, Q, Swake, BC, Virginia, Stanford Duke, Like,

1315
01:06:45,720 --> 01:06:48,280
Speaker 4: can't you see how there would be disagreement and where

1316
01:06:48,280 --> 01:06:48,960
Speaker 4: you would rank them?

1317
01:06:49,040 --> 01:06:49,160
Speaker 2: Right?

1318
01:06:49,200 --> 01:06:52,440
Speaker 4: Like, not too far apart from the bottom seven teams,

1319
01:06:52,440 --> 01:06:54,720
Speaker 4: although you probably have pit down by like UMass from

1320
01:06:54,720 --> 01:06:59,240
Speaker 4: everything I've heard right so far? So can't went three

1321
01:06:59,280 --> 01:07:03,640
Speaker 4: and nine? Last year? Bad year for Nardoozi.

1322
01:07:03,840 --> 01:07:05,600
Speaker 2: Watch out for Pat Nardoozi.

1323
01:07:06,200 --> 01:07:08,080
Speaker 4: What did he do? He went and hired cade Bell

1324
01:07:08,560 --> 01:07:12,760
Speaker 4: offensive coordinator from Western Carolina. We saw Dardoozy dow this before.

1325
01:07:12,800 --> 01:07:15,040
Speaker 4: I'm not sure this marriage is gonna work. But cave Bell,

1326
01:07:15,240 --> 01:07:18,439
Speaker 4: who he had, he was a wizard of Valdosta State,

1327
01:07:18,480 --> 01:07:20,560
Speaker 4: Western Carolina, said all kinds of records.

1328
01:07:20,720 --> 01:07:21,080
Speaker 2: This is a.

1329
01:07:21,120 --> 01:07:28,320
Speaker 4: Spread, no huddle, tempo, fast offense. He brought read with him.

1330
01:07:28,440 --> 01:07:31,240
Speaker 4: That's running back in lee from Western Carolina. You're gonna

1331
01:07:31,240 --> 01:07:33,840
Speaker 4: see a lot of like motion shotgun pistol zone run

1332
01:07:34,240 --> 01:07:36,440
Speaker 4: and a lot of speed. But that's if Nardoozy lets him,

1333
01:07:36,560 --> 01:07:38,680
Speaker 4: which is the whole argument they're outside the top one

1334
01:07:38,720 --> 01:07:41,960
Speaker 4: hundred experience, they don't bring anything back on the defense.

1335
01:07:42,000 --> 01:07:45,760
Speaker 4: They got crushed in the portal defensively, and the quarterback

1336
01:07:45,880 --> 01:07:49,840
Speaker 4: is a major question. Nate Yarnell was named the starter,

1337
01:07:50,560 --> 01:07:53,320
Speaker 4: although some say like Holstein could end up being in

1338
01:07:53,360 --> 01:07:56,680
Speaker 4: the Alabama transfer. I think might be the future. They

1339
01:07:56,720 --> 01:08:00,520
Speaker 4: were unlucky last year with injuries on offense, different offensive

1340
01:08:00,520 --> 01:08:03,120
Speaker 4: line rotations every other week, it seemed like. But the

1341
01:08:03,200 --> 01:08:05,840
Speaker 4: D losses are huge, and last year they took a

1342
01:08:05,840 --> 01:08:08,400
Speaker 4: big step back in generating pressure, which I think is

1343
01:08:08,400 --> 01:08:10,760
Speaker 4: going to be a problem this year again. And they

1344
01:08:10,760 --> 01:08:13,040
Speaker 4: also lost a really good defensive line coach. And what

1345
01:08:13,080 --> 01:08:15,080
Speaker 4: does that mean if you can't generate pressu which Pitt

1346
01:08:15,120 --> 01:08:17,439
Speaker 4: was always elite right. Pitt was like the Steelers. They

1347
01:08:17,520 --> 01:08:20,240
Speaker 4: used to always be like top five sacks pressure right

1348
01:08:20,280 --> 01:08:24,360
Speaker 4: every year. But if you can't get pressure the D

1349
01:08:24,439 --> 01:08:27,160
Speaker 4: that they run, they leave their corners on islands. They

1350
01:08:27,160 --> 01:08:30,080
Speaker 4: couldn't stop exposive passes last year. Because you can't get pressure,

1351
01:08:30,280 --> 01:08:32,840
Speaker 4: corners can't hold up forever. So I'm worried about the D.

1352
01:08:33,600 --> 01:08:36,439
Speaker 4: I have them favored in only three games. I project

1353
01:08:36,479 --> 01:08:39,719
Speaker 4: them at four point eight total, five and a half,

1354
01:08:40,200 --> 01:08:42,800
Speaker 4: I would lean under here. So, like, if you're building

1355
01:08:42,840 --> 01:08:44,400
Speaker 4: the bullish case, like they start four to oh with

1356
01:08:44,439 --> 01:08:46,160
Speaker 4: his new offense, you've got to win two his dogs,

1357
01:08:46,200 --> 01:08:48,439
Speaker 4: but then they're probably going to go over. I don't

1358
01:08:48,439 --> 01:08:51,439
Speaker 4: see them starting four now. But then the schedule definitely

1359
01:08:51,439 --> 01:08:54,160
Speaker 4: gets a lot tougher. Part of stacc schedule. You hate

1360
01:08:54,160 --> 01:08:54,920
Speaker 4: this team, tell me.

1361
01:08:54,880 --> 01:08:59,519
Speaker 2: Why where do I start? I talked exclusively on the

1362
01:08:59,560 --> 01:09:02,080
Speaker 2: Big Twelve podcasts about how much I like West Virginia

1363
01:09:02,120 --> 01:09:04,200
Speaker 2: in the Game of the year matchup against Pitt, So,

1364
01:09:04,760 --> 01:09:06,639
Speaker 2: you know, just to wrap up that defense, I agree

1365
01:09:06,680 --> 01:09:08,479
Speaker 2: with you. I don't see anything on that side, especially

1366
01:09:08,560 --> 01:09:10,760
Speaker 2: on the defensive line. They're one hundred and twentieth in

1367
01:09:10,760 --> 01:09:13,519
Speaker 2: allowing ground explosives. That needs to get cleaned up. Their

1368
01:09:13,560 --> 01:09:16,240
Speaker 2: new defensive line. They got portal players from Nebraska Kansas

1369
01:09:16,240 --> 01:09:19,040
Speaker 2: State at the edge position. Both interior players were in

1370
01:09:19,080 --> 01:09:21,720
Speaker 2: reserve roles in the last two years. I don't like

1371
01:09:21,760 --> 01:09:25,120
Speaker 2: anything on this defense whatsoever, but the offense. I was

1372
01:09:25,160 --> 01:09:29,639
Speaker 2: saving my whole handicap against West Virginia. When it comes

1373
01:09:29,680 --> 01:09:33,360
Speaker 2: to the offense with Pitt, can Pat Nardoozi pick a

1374
01:09:33,560 --> 01:09:39,080
Speaker 2: damn style that he wants? All right? Let's review offense. That,

1375
01:09:39,160 --> 01:09:42,880
Speaker 2: let's review offensive coordinators right twenty eighteen, Sean Watson Pro styles?

1376
01:09:43,240 --> 01:09:46,679
Speaker 2: Who comes in next? Mark Whipple Spread tempo? Who comes

1377
01:09:46,720 --> 01:09:49,200
Speaker 2: in after that? Frank Signetti pro style?

1378
01:09:49,400 --> 01:09:49,719
Speaker 4: Slow?

1379
01:09:49,920 --> 01:09:53,160
Speaker 2: Now, which way are we going? K Bell? Western Carolina

1380
01:09:53,320 --> 01:09:55,799
Speaker 2: up tempo? I WoT? What are we doing here?

1381
01:09:56,280 --> 01:09:57,760
Speaker 4: What are we we know? He is? You know what,

1382
01:09:57,880 --> 01:10:04,320
Speaker 4: nardouzi Iss. He's the the girl that loves and she

1383
01:10:04,520 --> 01:10:10,080
Speaker 4: just loves dating bad guys, right, the trouble guys. So

1384
01:10:10,479 --> 01:10:13,920
Speaker 4: she dates a bad guy, it doesn't work out, and

1385
01:10:14,360 --> 01:10:19,200
Speaker 4: she says, you know what, I gotta try dating a

1386
01:10:19,560 --> 01:10:23,040
Speaker 4: nice guy. And she does, and then she says, I

1387
01:10:23,120 --> 01:10:26,080
Speaker 4: hate this, I gotta go back, and she dumps him.

1388
01:10:26,160 --> 01:10:28,040
Speaker 4: And then she goes and dates a bad guy again,

1389
01:10:28,479 --> 01:10:31,800
Speaker 4: and the bad guy leaves there. That's Nardoozy. Nardoozy will say,

1390
01:10:32,000 --> 01:10:34,639
Speaker 4: you know what, I gotta try this spread. It's probably

1391
01:10:34,880 --> 01:10:36,800
Speaker 4: good for me. And then he says, I hate this, No,

1392
01:10:37,000 --> 01:10:38,080
Speaker 4: don't do this, I gotta go.

1393
01:10:40,160 --> 01:10:44,040
Speaker 2: I mean he literally neutered Whipple. He neutered Whipple from

1394
01:10:44,040 --> 01:10:46,719
Speaker 2: calling the offense. What are we doing here? Are you neutering?

1395
01:10:46,800 --> 01:10:50,160
Speaker 2: K Bell? Well, we'll find out. None of their units that's.

1396
01:10:50,000 --> 01:10:52,200
Speaker 4: The nice guy. She just controls them and dumps them.

1397
01:10:52,400 --> 01:10:55,599
Speaker 2: Yep, absolutely, listen. None of their units on offense are

1398
01:10:55,600 --> 01:10:57,000
Speaker 2: going to be in the top ten in the ACC.

1399
01:10:57,320 --> 01:10:59,240
Speaker 2: They got some good players, cannot a month field out

1400
01:10:59,280 --> 01:11:02,200
Speaker 2: there wide receiver and Branson Taylor it tackle. But you know,

1401
01:11:02,280 --> 01:11:04,519
Speaker 2: is Nate Yarnell good enough to last the whole season

1402
01:11:04,560 --> 01:11:07,120
Speaker 2: not be injured. Eli Holstein comes from Alabama through the

1403
01:11:07,120 --> 01:11:09,200
Speaker 2: portal after sitting a year, not really sure what we're

1404
01:11:09,240 --> 01:11:12,639
Speaker 2: going to get there. It was dead last in quality drives.

1405
01:11:12,800 --> 01:11:14,960
Speaker 2: They can't get across fifty, they can't have a drive

1406
01:11:14,960 --> 01:11:17,599
Speaker 2: past three minutes, they can't get into scoring position, they

1407
01:11:17,600 --> 01:11:20,519
Speaker 2: can't have ten plus play drives either. There's so many

1408
01:11:20,560 --> 01:11:23,320
Speaker 2: problems with this offense, and now we're switching. I understand

1409
01:11:23,320 --> 01:11:28,000
Speaker 2: what Kate Bell has done in the past. I'm saying

1410
01:11:28,040 --> 01:11:30,719
Speaker 2: the track record with Nardoozi and these offensive coordinators tells

1411
01:11:30,760 --> 01:11:32,479
Speaker 2: me that Cad Bell is going to be limited in

1412
01:11:32,520 --> 01:11:34,320
Speaker 2: what he wants to call. I've got them as TV

1413
01:11:34,360 --> 01:11:37,320
Speaker 2: plus underdogs in seven, but like you said, my power

1414
01:11:37,439 --> 01:11:39,519
Speaker 2: ratings don't like them. I don't like them. I've got

1415
01:11:39,640 --> 01:11:41,439
Speaker 2: under five and a half. I've got a projection of

1416
01:11:41,479 --> 01:11:44,240
Speaker 2: four wins total. If they win all four and then

1417
01:11:44,280 --> 01:11:46,720
Speaker 2: don't win again, you know that's it. Under five and

1418
01:11:46,720 --> 01:11:48,880
Speaker 2: a half minus one twenty for Colin Wilson here.

1419
01:11:49,760 --> 01:11:52,400
Speaker 4: I don't hate it either. I'm at four point eight.

1420
01:11:53,439 --> 01:11:56,400
Speaker 4: All right, let's be going to Syracuse. This is an

1421
01:11:56,439 --> 01:11:58,920
Speaker 4: under I like, I'm curious to get your thoughts on it.

1422
01:11:59,320 --> 01:12:03,880
Speaker 4: It's time to my Syracuse fans, very passionate fan base.

1423
01:12:04,240 --> 01:12:06,960
Speaker 4: A lot of hype about Syracuse Saw season. I'm here

1424
01:12:07,000 --> 01:12:09,840
Speaker 4: to kind of squash that hype. But I will say

1425
01:12:10,479 --> 01:12:13,479
Speaker 4: I like to hire fran Brown. I think they're heading

1426
01:12:13,560 --> 01:12:15,719
Speaker 4: the right direction talent wise. Right, this is the first

1427
01:12:15,560 --> 01:12:17,960
Speaker 4: the first a top fifty recruiting class, first time in

1428
01:12:18,000 --> 01:12:21,760
Speaker 4: swentsand and seven A top twenty five. Uh, and they

1429
01:12:21,760 --> 01:12:23,760
Speaker 4: were I think they are well they I don't know

1430
01:12:23,760 --> 01:12:26,720
Speaker 4: if they were. They probably were top forty, but top

1431
01:12:26,760 --> 01:12:32,240
Speaker 4: twenty five portal class. This team has. What fran Brown's

1432
01:12:32,240 --> 01:12:36,760
Speaker 4: gonna do is he's going to infuse this team with talent. Now,

1433
01:12:36,840 --> 01:12:39,559
Speaker 4: there's a lot of change on the staff, right, new

1434
01:12:39,560 --> 01:12:42,840
Speaker 4: head coach, new coordinators. You bring in Elijah Robinson from

1435
01:12:42,920 --> 01:12:44,360
Speaker 4: Texas A and M. That means you're going to move

1436
01:12:44,400 --> 01:12:47,960
Speaker 4: from the three three five, which has been at Cues

1437
01:12:48,360 --> 01:12:49,920
Speaker 4: for a bit, and you're going to move to a

1438
01:12:49,920 --> 01:12:53,840
Speaker 4: four three four two five new offensive coordinator Jeff Nickson.

1439
01:12:53,880 --> 01:12:56,800
Speaker 4: They're both first first time coordinators and you have a

1440
01:12:56,800 --> 01:13:00,000
Speaker 4: first time head coach as well. So I am worried

1441
01:13:00,120 --> 01:13:04,519
Speaker 4: the talent is getting them. I think has potential to

1442
01:13:04,560 --> 01:13:08,200
Speaker 4: get out of where they've been and improve as a

1443
01:13:08,240 --> 01:13:10,000
Speaker 4: program over the next couple of years. But I think

1444
01:13:10,040 --> 01:13:13,519
Speaker 4: it's too early this year. And you know, the schedule

1445
01:13:13,600 --> 01:13:15,519
Speaker 4: is pretty easy. That's what everyone was talking about last year.

1446
01:13:15,520 --> 01:13:17,080
Speaker 4: They're talking about now. They only face three at the

1447
01:13:17,080 --> 01:13:19,360
Speaker 4: top eight. They're non con You can't get any easier

1448
01:13:19,360 --> 01:13:24,439
Speaker 4: for an ACC team. You play Ohio holy Cross at UNLV,

1449
01:13:24,920 --> 01:13:25,679
Speaker 4: which I make a pick.

1450
01:13:25,720 --> 01:13:29,680
Speaker 2: I think they a depleted holy Cross like everybody's gone.

1451
01:13:29,560 --> 01:13:32,639
Speaker 4: And then Yukon at home. I mean, that's a joke

1452
01:13:32,840 --> 01:13:37,679
Speaker 4: those four games, and then you know you avoid Clemson,

1453
01:13:37,840 --> 01:13:40,360
Speaker 4: NC State in Florida State, who they used to always see.

1454
01:13:40,439 --> 01:13:44,720
Speaker 4: So the schedule sets up well, I am. You know,

1455
01:13:45,240 --> 01:13:47,759
Speaker 4: there's some concerns on the secondary. The defensive line loses

1456
01:13:47,800 --> 01:13:50,320
Speaker 4: a lot, and they're moving to a four man front.

1457
01:13:50,880 --> 01:13:52,680
Speaker 4: Digs will help from Texas A and M. He's a

1458
01:13:52,720 --> 01:13:55,760
Speaker 4: stud when I look at their schedule though, I mean

1459
01:13:55,800 --> 01:14:00,840
Speaker 4: I have them favored in only four games, and I

1460
01:14:00,880 --> 01:14:06,000
Speaker 4: had four like true true coin flip games like cross

1461
01:14:06,000 --> 01:14:07,680
Speaker 4: a coin up in the air, and then there'll be

1462
01:14:07,720 --> 01:14:11,519
Speaker 4: dogs at NC State at cal Miami and Virginia Tech

1463
01:14:11,560 --> 01:14:13,479
Speaker 4: at home if you do at least get those two

1464
01:14:13,479 --> 01:14:18,280
Speaker 4: teams at home. But I only project six three five

1465
01:14:18,640 --> 01:14:22,840
Speaker 4: around six three sixty four total win total seven and

1466
01:14:22,840 --> 01:14:25,320
Speaker 4: a half. I think the hype's too high here. Not

1467
01:14:25,360 --> 01:14:28,439
Speaker 4: really sold on Kyle McCord at quarterback. Will definitely be

1468
01:14:28,439 --> 01:14:31,160
Speaker 4: an improvement from what they had last year. I mean

1469
01:14:31,200 --> 01:14:32,800
Speaker 4: they were at times they were at a tight end

1470
01:14:32,840 --> 01:14:35,559
Speaker 4: running wildcat and the dude, do you have two you know,

1471
01:14:35,560 --> 01:14:37,120
Speaker 4: good tight ends? They can run a lot of two

1472
01:14:37,200 --> 01:14:39,840
Speaker 4: tight end sets. Lauri comes back, we'll move the tight

1473
01:14:39,920 --> 01:14:42,120
Speaker 4: end Gatson, who's basically like a wide receiver. Though, but

1474
01:14:43,560 --> 01:14:46,360
Speaker 4: you know they add two receivers from Georgia, Ross Simmons

1475
01:14:46,400 --> 01:14:49,360
Speaker 4: from Colorado State. You get Gats in back, you get

1476
01:14:49,400 --> 01:14:51,639
Speaker 4: your slot paying your back. So there's some talent here.

1477
01:14:52,439 --> 01:14:56,080
Speaker 4: The offensive line has some experience, but still a major

1478
01:14:56,200 --> 01:14:58,599
Speaker 4: question mark. I just can't get here. On this number,

1479
01:14:58,640 --> 01:15:01,040
Speaker 4: I think it's a year too soon. Fn q's if

1480
01:15:01,040 --> 01:15:03,360
Speaker 4: they win all of their coin flip games, I'll tip

1481
01:15:03,360 --> 01:15:05,040
Speaker 4: my app But I got to go under seven in

1482
01:15:05,080 --> 01:15:05,519
Speaker 4: a half year.

1483
01:15:06,600 --> 01:15:09,040
Speaker 2: One hundred percent agree. It's amazing. I think the first

1484
01:15:09,040 --> 01:15:11,040
Speaker 2: time I saw this win total earlier this year was

1485
01:15:11,080 --> 01:15:12,320
Speaker 2: at six and a half. And I don't know if

1486
01:15:12,320 --> 01:15:13,920
Speaker 2: there are some sixes out there, but this thing has

1487
01:15:13,960 --> 01:15:17,760
Speaker 2: taken nothing but steam on the over and you know

1488
01:15:17,800 --> 01:15:19,720
Speaker 2: I don't agree with it. I don't like first year

1489
01:15:19,760 --> 01:15:22,920
Speaker 2: coaches in bad situations like this trying to turn things around,

1490
01:15:22,960 --> 01:15:25,640
Speaker 2: especially when you have problems on the offensive line. This

1491
01:15:25,680 --> 01:15:28,160
Speaker 2: Syracuse team finished one hundred and eighth and havoc allowed

1492
01:15:28,240 --> 01:15:30,120
Speaker 2: last year. That's not going to be good enough to

1493
01:15:30,120 --> 01:15:33,400
Speaker 2: protect Kyle McCord here, who can play decent quarterback. There's

1494
01:15:33,439 --> 01:15:36,920
Speaker 2: too many expectations at Ohio State. He does have Aronde

1495
01:15:37,000 --> 01:15:38,559
Speaker 2: gadst in a tight end, one of the best in

1496
01:15:38,680 --> 01:15:40,840
Speaker 2: all of the ACC is a target in Laquent Allen

1497
01:15:40,840 --> 01:15:42,920
Speaker 2: as a running back is good too, but got to

1498
01:15:42,960 --> 01:15:45,040
Speaker 2: get more from this offensive line. It just did not

1499
01:15:45,160 --> 01:15:48,679
Speaker 2: do enough last year. Ninety eighth and rushing success rate

1500
01:15:49,080 --> 01:15:51,960
Speaker 2: sixty first in line yards so they've got to improve

1501
01:15:52,000 --> 01:15:53,479
Speaker 2: on some of these numbers here, and I don't think

1502
01:15:53,520 --> 01:15:55,800
Speaker 2: they can get it done in your one. Defensively, they

1503
01:15:55,960 --> 01:15:57,600
Speaker 2: I don't think they have a unit that's within the

1504
01:15:57,640 --> 01:16:01,120
Speaker 2: top ten of anybody in the A from a defensive line.

1505
01:16:02,280 --> 01:16:06,839
Speaker 2: Maybe yeah, Marlo Wax and Baron, Yeah, but the defense

1506
01:16:06,880 --> 01:16:08,840
Speaker 2: provided no pass rush at all. They were one hundred

1507
01:16:08,840 --> 01:16:10,879
Speaker 2: and twenty fourth and pass rush even with these linebackers

1508
01:16:10,960 --> 01:16:13,479
Speaker 2: last year, so that's got to change. I think the

1509
01:16:13,520 --> 01:16:16,080
Speaker 2: wind total is laughable too. I have five spreads. We

1510
01:16:16,120 --> 01:16:18,479
Speaker 2: talk about coin flips. People define coin flip is within

1511
01:16:18,520 --> 01:16:22,040
Speaker 2: three points. I have five spreads on this schedule that

1512
01:16:22,080 --> 01:16:24,679
Speaker 2: are within six points plus minus six points. And it's

1513
01:16:24,720 --> 01:16:27,720
Speaker 2: not good for Syracuse if you think about it. Georgia Tech,

1514
01:16:28,400 --> 01:16:32,080
Speaker 2: Stanford at UNLV, at Pitt at BC. Those are the

1515
01:16:32,120 --> 01:16:34,799
Speaker 2: five games that I've got within six points plus minus.

1516
01:16:35,000 --> 01:16:39,320
Speaker 2: I have those within two. Now here's here's what's bad.

1517
01:16:39,600 --> 01:16:42,920
Speaker 2: Syracuse has to face Stanford, Pitt, and BC. All three

1518
01:16:42,920 --> 01:16:44,479
Speaker 2: of those teams are coming off a bye week with

1519
01:16:44,520 --> 01:16:47,959
Speaker 2: extra rest. I'm not a fan of this schedule whatsoever.

1520
01:16:48,960 --> 01:16:51,000
Speaker 2: There is a seven, there is a under seven plus

1521
01:16:51,080 --> 01:16:54,800
Speaker 2: one hundred out there there's no way in hell this

1522
01:16:54,880 --> 01:16:57,680
Speaker 2: team is getting to eight wins. I would mess with

1523
01:16:57,680 --> 01:16:58,880
Speaker 2: the seven and half of the Jews. I would just

1524
01:16:58,920 --> 01:17:02,120
Speaker 2: go down and take the seven, go play one ed worse.

1525
01:17:02,160 --> 01:17:03,640
Speaker 2: It pushes and I don't even think it does that.

1526
01:17:03,800 --> 01:17:06,519
Speaker 2: So under seven for me. Here, there's too many holes

1527
01:17:06,560 --> 01:17:09,120
Speaker 2: for fran Brown to try to fix. His offensive coordinator

1528
01:17:09,160 --> 01:17:11,360
Speaker 2: is the running back coach assistant at New York Giants.

1529
01:17:11,520 --> 01:17:14,799
Speaker 2: Elijah Robinson is joined on defense by Robert Wright from Buffalo.

1530
01:17:15,000 --> 01:17:17,200
Speaker 2: They have a lot of work for them to do,

1531
01:17:17,280 --> 01:17:21,400
Speaker 2: scheme changes, new quarterbacks. Offensive lines aren't ready to prepare,

1532
01:17:21,800 --> 01:17:24,560
Speaker 2: are ready to protect Kyle McCord. I'm gonna take it

1533
01:17:24,640 --> 01:17:25,120
Speaker 2: under here.

1534
01:17:26,200 --> 01:17:27,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, I prefer the seven and F juice for what

1535
01:17:27,800 --> 01:17:31,000
Speaker 4: it's worth. You know, there's a lot of returning production.

1536
01:17:31,160 --> 01:17:33,240
Speaker 4: They infuse the roster with talent, but I think the

1537
01:17:33,320 --> 01:17:35,400
Speaker 4: number is too high. And here's the key. We just

1538
01:17:35,400 --> 01:17:38,840
Speaker 4: mentioned the staff. It's all new with all those coin flips, right.

1539
01:17:38,920 --> 01:17:43,519
Speaker 4: Georgia Tech, we like their staff. UNLV we like their staff. Oh.

1540
01:17:43,800 --> 01:17:47,360
Speaker 4: I think in some of these coin flip games they're

1541
01:17:47,360 --> 01:17:50,160
Speaker 4: gonna get out coached from x's and o's adjustments and

1542
01:17:50,200 --> 01:17:51,040
Speaker 4: scheme perspective, and.

1543
01:17:51,040 --> 01:17:53,519
Speaker 2: A Troy that's Troy, that's Troy. That's a Troy Taylor

1544
01:17:53,560 --> 01:17:56,080
Speaker 2: special too. That guy can whip up an offense. It'll

1545
01:17:56,120 --> 01:17:58,120
Speaker 2: have you dizzy. So it's it's none of this, and

1546
01:17:58,200 --> 01:17:59,960
Speaker 2: you're giving them two weeks to prepare an offense too.

1547
01:18:00,040 --> 01:18:01,240
Speaker 2: So I don't like any of this.

1548
01:18:02,160 --> 01:18:05,920
Speaker 4: And hopefully the Nardozzi when is he'll love and Arduzi

1549
01:18:05,960 --> 01:18:09,920
Speaker 4: special that week. The one thing I'll say about Pitt,

1550
01:18:09,920 --> 01:18:12,559
Speaker 4: Pitt will going back to Pitt. They'll win, They'll lose

1551
01:18:12,600 --> 01:18:14,840
Speaker 4: some random game that they shouldn't when we're projecting them,

1552
01:18:14,800 --> 01:18:17,280
Speaker 4: and then they'll win. They'll beat somebody he always does

1553
01:18:17,960 --> 01:18:21,639
Speaker 4: that they shouldn't on paper. God, it's gonna be Clemson,

1554
01:18:21,720 --> 01:18:25,599
Speaker 4: isn't it? At home? Let's move on to the next

1555
01:18:25,600 --> 01:18:28,760
Speaker 4: team in this bottom seven, wake Forest over four and

1556
01:18:28,800 --> 01:18:31,680
Speaker 4: a half minus one fifties win totals juice to the over.

1557
01:18:31,800 --> 01:18:35,840
Speaker 4: Last year they went four and eight. They don't bring

1558
01:18:35,880 --> 01:18:38,360
Speaker 4: a ton back, but they are hoping to get better

1559
01:18:38,479 --> 01:18:42,880
Speaker 4: quarterback play. They bring in Hank Bachmayer, who didn't really

1560
01:18:42,920 --> 01:18:46,439
Speaker 4: work out at Louisiana Tech. Kern is still there. This

1561
01:18:46,479 --> 01:18:51,240
Speaker 4: freshman heck Lensky is in the mix as well. I

1562
01:18:51,280 --> 01:18:55,000
Speaker 4: think their receivers should be better with Green back from injury.

1563
01:18:55,520 --> 01:19:00,880
Speaker 4: Taylor's yeah, more in his back as well. There's you know,

1564
01:19:01,080 --> 01:19:03,360
Speaker 4: there's questions on the offensive line for sure. They have

1565
01:19:03,439 --> 01:19:05,240
Speaker 4: to find continue they have to find the right mix.

1566
01:19:05,280 --> 01:19:07,640
Speaker 4: They lose both guards, one to the NFL, the other

1567
01:19:07,720 --> 01:19:09,920
Speaker 4: three or back. They did a bad injury luck last year.

1568
01:19:09,920 --> 01:19:13,280
Speaker 4: They were probably moving guys around trying to find the

1569
01:19:13,400 --> 01:19:17,679
Speaker 4: right mix. This year, the defensive line should be really good,

1570
01:19:19,080 --> 01:19:20,840
Speaker 4: but the rest of the day is a major question.

1571
01:19:20,880 --> 01:19:24,519
Speaker 4: They lost two pros in the secondary, Mustafa in Carson.

1572
01:19:25,160 --> 01:19:29,400
Speaker 4: That hurts, you know. I project four point eight. I

1573
01:19:29,439 --> 01:19:33,559
Speaker 4: have them favored in five games, but three of them

1574
01:19:33,560 --> 01:19:38,040
Speaker 4: are you know, basically coin flips. I so I'm right

1575
01:19:38,080 --> 01:19:41,639
Speaker 4: on the number. I wanted to buy Wake just because

1576
01:19:41,640 --> 01:19:44,360
Speaker 4: I trust claws In too, like he just always seems

1577
01:19:44,360 --> 01:19:45,920
Speaker 4: to bounce back. The win total I was on the

1578
01:19:46,000 --> 01:19:47,800
Speaker 4: under last year was six and a half. Last year

1579
01:19:48,080 --> 01:19:49,920
Speaker 4: I was on the under. Now it's four and a half.

1580
01:19:50,160 --> 01:19:54,280
Speaker 4: Brandon's to the over. There's you know, some positive potential

1581
01:19:54,320 --> 01:20:01,120
Speaker 4: regression on this defense, turnover regression. I I just can't

1582
01:20:01,200 --> 01:20:03,160
Speaker 4: quite get there. As far as the schedule, that five

1583
01:20:03,200 --> 01:20:04,960
Speaker 4: of their first six are at home. They don't leave

1584
01:20:05,040 --> 01:20:08,680
Speaker 4: North Carolina until like mid October. You only leave the

1585
01:20:08,680 --> 01:20:12,920
Speaker 4: state three times, but four opponents are off of buy

1586
01:20:13,000 --> 01:20:17,680
Speaker 4: in the final six. So I'm a little bullish on

1587
01:20:17,720 --> 01:20:21,559
Speaker 4: this team compared to market. Just numbers wise, I'm right there,

1588
01:20:21,600 --> 01:20:23,680
Speaker 4: but I just trust Clawsing to get it Fune. If

1589
01:20:23,720 --> 01:20:25,840
Speaker 4: I had a bet it, I would bet Over, but

1590
01:20:26,120 --> 01:20:28,040
Speaker 4: from a numbers perspective, I can't get there. And then

1591
01:20:28,080 --> 01:20:31,680
Speaker 4: the quarterbacks just the big question like Bachmeyer, he's he's

1592
01:20:31,720 --> 01:20:33,439
Speaker 4: gonna be running is Blackmar're gonna be running this like

1593
01:20:33,439 --> 01:20:34,840
Speaker 4: slow match? She's gonna get killed?

1594
01:20:35,280 --> 01:20:35,400
Speaker 5: Ye.

1595
01:20:36,520 --> 01:20:40,000
Speaker 4: So yeah, they had horrible turnover red zone luck on

1596
01:20:40,040 --> 01:20:43,360
Speaker 4: offense last year as well. They had no explosive passing

1597
01:20:43,360 --> 01:20:45,799
Speaker 4: and they allowed a ton like that's not a good combo.

1598
01:20:46,479 --> 01:20:50,519
Speaker 4: And now you still have questions at quarterback and defensive back,

1599
01:20:50,600 --> 01:20:52,439
Speaker 4: so maybe those issues won't be solved. So A big

1600
01:20:52,439 --> 01:20:56,760
Speaker 4: fan of Boston and his ability to bounce back. So

1601
01:20:56,840 --> 01:20:59,960
Speaker 4: I wanted to bet this over, couldn't quite get there.

1602
01:21:00,240 --> 01:21:00,880
Speaker 4: What are your folks on?

1603
01:21:02,000 --> 01:21:05,599
Speaker 2: Well? Pausin has been with Warren Rugierra, the offensive coordinator.

1604
01:21:05,640 --> 01:21:07,760
Speaker 2: They've been together since two thousand and nine at Bowling Green,

1605
01:21:07,840 --> 01:21:11,400
Speaker 2: and it might be time to pull the plug and

1606
01:21:11,400 --> 01:21:13,479
Speaker 2: think about doing something different now that you know we're

1607
01:21:13,600 --> 01:21:16,400
Speaker 2: kind of through the whole Sam Hartman phase and the

1608
01:21:16,439 --> 01:21:18,599
Speaker 2: mesh arpo because there's not gonna work here. Hank Bachmeier

1609
01:21:20,120 --> 01:21:23,240
Speaker 2: had no protection at Louisiana Tech. He had some very

1610
01:21:23,280 --> 01:21:26,320
Speaker 2: poor numbers at Boise when he has pressure put on him,

1611
01:21:26,320 --> 01:21:28,479
Speaker 2: and now he steps into an offensive line that finished

1612
01:21:28,479 --> 01:21:30,760
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty eighth and havoc allowed last year.

1613
01:21:31,560 --> 01:21:33,920
Speaker 2: I mean, essentially the offensive line is just letting guys.

1614
01:21:33,920 --> 01:21:37,960
Speaker 2: There's olaying guys through the line. Wake Forest also finished

1615
01:21:37,960 --> 01:21:40,040
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty eighth in quality drives, a one

1616
01:21:40,080 --> 01:21:42,240
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty second and finishing drives. I don't put

1617
01:21:42,240 --> 01:21:44,200
Speaker 2: that all on the players. I put that on scheme too.

1618
01:21:44,280 --> 01:21:47,000
Speaker 2: I mean, that is pretty horrific for a head coach

1619
01:21:47,360 --> 01:21:49,400
Speaker 2: and an offensive coordinator that have been together for the

1620
01:21:49,400 --> 01:21:52,559
Speaker 2: good span of fifteen years. I just don't understand why

1621
01:21:52,600 --> 01:21:54,360
Speaker 2: the numbers are that low, bottom ten in the nation

1622
01:21:54,439 --> 01:21:57,519
Speaker 2: in those areas. So I don't see it getting turned

1623
01:21:57,560 --> 01:22:00,800
Speaker 2: around on offense. Can't protect a quarterback, can't get in

1624
01:22:00,840 --> 01:22:02,880
Speaker 2: the scoring position, can't score when you do, I don't

1625
01:22:02,880 --> 01:22:05,000
Speaker 2: think that's changing, especially with an offensive line that's at

1626
01:22:05,040 --> 01:22:07,559
Speaker 2: the bottom of the ACC. Go to the defensive side

1627
01:22:07,600 --> 01:22:09,479
Speaker 2: of the ball, they were one hundred and twentieth an

1628
01:22:09,479 --> 01:22:14,240
Speaker 2: opponent pass EPA. Explosives are happening allos everywhere. And now

1629
01:22:14,280 --> 01:22:17,040
Speaker 2: the defensive backs I believe or what sixteenth out of

1630
01:22:17,080 --> 01:22:19,000
Speaker 2: seventeenth teams projected in this conference.

1631
01:22:20,000 --> 01:22:22,240
Speaker 4: Two those are two bests that were really good. And

1632
01:22:22,240 --> 01:22:24,719
Speaker 4: they were that bad. And it's defending explosive passes.

1633
01:22:24,960 --> 01:22:27,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, and boy, it's this is going it's gonna be

1634
01:22:27,960 --> 01:22:30,280
Speaker 2: a rough season for these guys. And so you know,

1635
01:22:30,320 --> 01:22:32,760
Speaker 2: if you can't protect explosives down the field, if you

1636
01:22:32,760 --> 01:22:35,000
Speaker 2: can't get any kind of pass rush, if you can't

1637
01:22:35,040 --> 01:22:37,880
Speaker 2: stop from a success rate standpoint, they were one hundred

1638
01:22:37,880 --> 01:22:40,840
Speaker 2: and twenty fourth and passing down success rate. So I mean,

1639
01:22:40,880 --> 01:22:42,880
Speaker 2: they just they can't stop the chains of being movement.

1640
01:22:42,880 --> 01:22:46,880
Speaker 2: They can't stop explosive plays. This conference schedule, I looked

1641
01:22:46,880 --> 01:22:48,320
Speaker 2: at two and a half wins in the ACC and

1642
01:22:48,360 --> 01:22:49,639
Speaker 2: I tried to make a case to try to get

1643
01:22:49,640 --> 01:22:51,360
Speaker 2: over this because I project them at four point one

1644
01:22:51,400 --> 01:22:53,920
Speaker 2: the wins on the season. I couldn't make a case

1645
01:22:53,920 --> 01:22:56,519
Speaker 2: they're gonna win three games in the ACC. Why I

1646
01:22:56,560 --> 01:22:59,640
Speaker 2: don't have Wake favored by three points or more on anybody,

1647
01:23:00,080 --> 01:23:01,360
Speaker 2: anybody on this schedule.

1648
01:23:01,720 --> 01:23:03,880
Speaker 4: I have them favored by like right around a field

1649
01:23:03,920 --> 01:23:08,759
Speaker 4: goal against Virginia at home against Louisiana not more than three,

1650
01:23:09,320 --> 01:23:12,120
Speaker 4: and then Duke at home in the finale. But now

1651
01:23:12,120 --> 01:23:13,559
Speaker 4: I'm not all of them favored by more than a

1652
01:23:13,560 --> 01:23:16,479
Speaker 4: field goal. After NCAA and C, I can't.

1653
01:23:16,280 --> 01:23:18,080
Speaker 2: Make a case that they're winning three games in the ACC.

1654
01:23:18,200 --> 01:23:20,040
Speaker 2: I got under two and a half minus one ten

1655
01:23:20,200 --> 01:23:21,600
Speaker 2: on ACC wins.

1656
01:23:23,920 --> 01:23:28,320
Speaker 4: Speaking of Virginia win total sitting at four and a half.

1657
01:23:28,920 --> 01:23:31,920
Speaker 4: Last year they went three and nine, but they did

1658
01:23:31,960 --> 01:23:33,960
Speaker 4: go two and five in one possession games. They were

1659
01:23:33,960 --> 01:23:38,479
Speaker 4: close to winning a few more. They are top ten

1660
01:23:38,520 --> 01:23:42,000
Speaker 4: in returning production, so they bring a ton back. Theay

1661
01:23:42,000 --> 01:23:45,679
Speaker 4: better because recruiting has been bad. Like I mentioned, four

1662
01:23:45,760 --> 01:23:48,280
Speaker 4: losses by three or fewer points last year, so they

1663
01:23:48,320 --> 01:23:52,719
Speaker 4: were super close last year. Calandrian Musket come back at quarterback.

1664
01:23:54,360 --> 01:23:56,600
Speaker 4: What are they gonna do? That's the question. Caalandra is

1665
01:23:56,600 --> 01:24:00,880
Speaker 4: like your gun slinger, Musket's the more boring option. The

1666
01:24:01,000 --> 01:24:04,719
Speaker 4: run game has been non existent because the offensive line

1667
01:24:04,760 --> 01:24:07,679
Speaker 4: has been really bad. They also lose Washington, their best receiver.

1668
01:24:08,520 --> 01:24:11,880
Speaker 4: They do add Green from UNC and Tiree from Notre

1669
01:24:12,000 --> 01:24:15,120
Speaker 4: Dame Harris from Kent State too, so they bring in

1670
01:24:15,160 --> 01:24:17,320
Speaker 4: some options. Kobe Pace back at running back, but the

1671
01:24:17,360 --> 01:24:19,639
Speaker 4: offensive line just has to be better. Everyone's back, but

1672
01:24:19,760 --> 01:24:23,160
Speaker 4: it has to be better. That is the question on

1673
01:24:23,200 --> 01:24:24,640
Speaker 4: what is going to unlock this offense and then what

1674
01:24:24,640 --> 01:24:28,120
Speaker 4: are they going to do at quarterback? And for what

1675
01:24:28,200 --> 01:24:30,160
Speaker 4: it's worth, those five one score losses this year ot

1676
01:24:30,280 --> 01:24:32,439
Speaker 4: to Miami and four blown leads, and they also had

1677
01:24:32,479 --> 01:24:35,400
Speaker 4: bad ruds unlock. Their defensive injuries were killer and they

1678
01:24:35,439 --> 01:24:37,400
Speaker 4: were so young on that side of the ball. So

1679
01:24:37,720 --> 01:24:40,639
Speaker 4: there might be some hope for this defense that had

1680
01:24:41,080 --> 01:24:44,320
Speaker 4: close to fifteen hundred snaps from freshmen last year due

1681
01:24:44,360 --> 01:24:49,679
Speaker 4: to all the injuries. So there's lots of you know, six,

1682
01:24:49,760 --> 01:24:51,799
Speaker 4: there's lots of experience, and then there's lots of freshmen

1683
01:24:51,800 --> 01:24:53,960
Speaker 4: who got experienced last year. So there's some hope for

1684
01:24:54,000 --> 01:24:57,600
Speaker 4: this defense to be a bit better. The problem is

1685
01:24:57,640 --> 01:25:05,000
Speaker 4: the schedule is extremely difficult. Look, they are I have

1686
01:25:05,080 --> 01:25:07,439
Speaker 4: a top fifteen hardest schedule for the final six aer

1687
01:25:07,479 --> 01:25:09,280
Speaker 4: on the road against really good competition, Like, look at

1688
01:25:09,320 --> 01:25:11,200
Speaker 4: their final six games, this is all gonna come out.

1689
01:25:11,200 --> 01:25:13,360
Speaker 4: What can they do in the first six? Four of

1690
01:25:13,439 --> 01:25:21,000
Speaker 4: their final six games are at Clemson, at Notre Dame,

1691
01:25:21,960 --> 01:25:27,360
Speaker 4: at Virginia Tech, and SMU at home double digitals and

1692
01:25:27,400 --> 01:25:29,439
Speaker 4: all of them. Then you gotta go at pitt which

1693
01:25:29,479 --> 01:25:30,640
Speaker 4: is like in between all of that, and then you

1694
01:25:30,720 --> 01:25:33,639
Speaker 4: got North Carolina at home. Like that is a brutal

1695
01:25:33,680 --> 01:25:37,200
Speaker 4: final six that comes after Louisville at home, which'll be

1696
01:25:37,880 --> 01:25:43,200
Speaker 4: I'll probably touchdown doggish. So what can you do? Can

1697
01:25:43,240 --> 01:25:45,160
Speaker 4: you win? Can you beat BC at home? Can you

1698
01:25:45,200 --> 01:25:49,120
Speaker 4: win at Wake? Can you beat Maryland at home? Can

1699
01:25:49,160 --> 01:25:50,160
Speaker 4: you win at Coastal?

1700
01:25:50,880 --> 01:25:50,960
Speaker 2: Like?

1701
01:25:51,040 --> 01:25:53,000
Speaker 4: So there's a lot of like coin flip games early

1702
01:25:53,600 --> 01:25:55,680
Speaker 4: year in the year that that's that's probably what's going

1703
01:25:55,720 --> 01:25:58,120
Speaker 4: to decide their win total. I'm at I wanted to

1704
01:25:58,120 --> 01:26:01,720
Speaker 4: buy them. I just couldn't get there at four three ish.

1705
01:26:01,960 --> 01:26:03,040
Speaker 4: What are your thoughts?

1706
01:26:03,280 --> 01:26:07,000
Speaker 2: Well as far as Kobe Pace coming in from Clemson

1707
01:26:07,000 --> 01:26:09,840
Speaker 2: as the running back transfer, we both like film MafA.

1708
01:26:09,920 --> 01:26:12,439
Speaker 2: There's a reason there's an a looseness and breakaway factor

1709
01:26:12,479 --> 01:26:15,200
Speaker 2: that pil MafA has that Kobe Payce does not. Now,

1710
01:26:15,280 --> 01:26:17,800
Speaker 2: how does that apply here to Virginia. Virginia was dead

1711
01:26:17,880 --> 01:26:20,280
Speaker 2: last and creating broken tackles last year. I don't think

1712
01:26:20,320 --> 01:26:22,479
Speaker 2: they improved any of that with getting Kobe Paist through

1713
01:26:22,479 --> 01:26:25,800
Speaker 2: the transfer portal. I do like Calandria only because it

1714
01:26:25,840 --> 01:26:27,960
Speaker 2: was great. It was eye candy on TV seeing him

1715
01:26:27,960 --> 01:26:29,760
Speaker 2: throw fifty yard bombs all the time. But you know,

1716
01:26:29,800 --> 01:26:31,760
Speaker 2: they obviously have to be a little bit more successful

1717
01:26:31,800 --> 01:26:35,000
Speaker 2: with the offense again one hundred and thirty first and

1718
01:26:35,240 --> 01:26:37,960
Speaker 2: pass blocking. This offensive line didn't do anything to protect

1719
01:26:38,000 --> 01:26:40,920
Speaker 2: anybody that was under center last year. Their running backs

1720
01:26:40,920 --> 01:26:43,960
Speaker 2: are projected to be maybe possibly the worst in the SEC.

1721
01:26:44,200 --> 01:26:44,680
Speaker 2: I'm sorry the a.

1722
01:26:44,680 --> 01:26:47,720
Speaker 4: SEC pace was there last year. You have by the way,

1723
01:26:47,880 --> 01:26:51,200
Speaker 4: I'm sorry, he three y three yards per carry. It's

1724
01:26:51,240 --> 01:26:52,160
Speaker 4: nothing there.

1725
01:26:52,080 --> 01:26:55,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, there's nothing there. It's it's like we're not really

1726
01:26:55,280 --> 01:26:57,559
Speaker 2: getting more than a replacement player here with Kobe pace

1727
01:26:57,600 --> 01:27:00,400
Speaker 2: and and it shows them the numbers. He couldn't create

1728
01:27:00,439 --> 01:27:03,120
Speaker 2: a broken tackle whatsoever. Then on defense, they don't have

1729
01:27:03,160 --> 01:27:04,880
Speaker 2: a single unit's in the top ten in the ACC.

1730
01:27:05,280 --> 01:27:07,439
Speaker 2: Their safety Jonah Sanker, though he is first team all

1731
01:27:07,479 --> 01:27:09,559
Speaker 2: a SEC, so he'll be good and line.

1732
01:27:09,400 --> 01:27:11,160
Speaker 4: Back three starters out there.

1733
01:27:11,280 --> 01:27:14,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's that's terrible. But you know they're near they're.

1734
01:27:14,680 --> 01:27:16,320
Speaker 4: Relying on the guy I told you about their recruiting,

1735
01:27:16,320 --> 01:27:18,519
Speaker 4: like they just don't have the money, the resources, lose

1736
01:27:18,520 --> 01:27:23,679
Speaker 4: two starters. They're bringing in guys from Akron, Eastern Michigan.

1737
01:27:25,120 --> 01:27:27,160
Speaker 4: It's is not a great defense ball field.

1738
01:27:27,760 --> 01:27:30,000
Speaker 2: No, they're near dead last one producing a pass rush.

1739
01:27:30,000 --> 01:27:33,400
Speaker 2: On defense, they're outside the top one hundred defensive rushing efficiency,

1740
01:27:33,600 --> 01:27:37,599
Speaker 2: havoc and lineyards. These are things that I mean, even

1741
01:27:37,640 --> 01:27:39,519
Speaker 2: if you've got a great coordinator, you've got great players,

1742
01:27:39,520 --> 01:27:41,400
Speaker 2: you'd be happy to just to cut those ranks in half.

1743
01:27:41,400 --> 01:27:43,320
Speaker 2: And I'm not sure that they've got any of that now.

1744
01:27:43,320 --> 01:27:47,280
Speaker 2: They're going to be favorites over Richmond and Coastal. After that,

1745
01:27:47,400 --> 01:27:49,880
Speaker 2: we got problems because I got you as a heavy

1746
01:27:49,880 --> 01:27:52,680
Speaker 2: dog in six games, and by the way that Louisville, Clemson, U,

1747
01:27:52,680 --> 01:27:54,479
Speaker 2: and C stretch those are all back to back to back.

1748
01:27:55,080 --> 01:27:57,400
Speaker 2: Then Notre Dame, then SMU, then VA Tech. That's a

1749
01:27:57,439 --> 01:27:59,720
Speaker 2: heavy underdog in six games. And then I've got you

1750
01:27:59,760 --> 01:28:03,719
Speaker 2: as small dog against Wake, Maryland, BC and pitt under

1751
01:28:03,720 --> 01:28:05,479
Speaker 2: four and a half minus one twenty. I mean I

1752
01:28:05,479 --> 01:28:08,280
Speaker 2: project them four point one, but I have you as

1753
01:28:08,280 --> 01:28:11,040
Speaker 2: an underdog in ten. Only four of those are short.

1754
01:28:11,280 --> 01:28:13,439
Speaker 2: That makes your ceiling at six, and I doubt you

1755
01:28:13,479 --> 01:28:15,080
Speaker 2: can get there because you're gonna be an underdog in

1756
01:28:15,120 --> 01:28:18,440
Speaker 2: four of those six games, so I'm not there on them.

1757
01:28:18,520 --> 01:28:20,080
Speaker 2: I'm sorry, virgin You're gonna need another year.

1758
01:28:21,920 --> 01:28:25,040
Speaker 4: Let's talk BC over four and a half minus one fifty.

1759
01:28:25,760 --> 01:28:27,920
Speaker 4: Bill O'Brien comes in as a new head coach with

1760
01:28:28,040 --> 01:28:31,320
Speaker 4: new assistants. Strange defensive coordinator Higher. I think you'll see

1761
01:28:31,320 --> 01:28:34,840
Speaker 4: more of the three man fronts, but very strange Higher.

1762
01:28:35,320 --> 01:28:37,040
Speaker 4: Hopefully you can get a pass rush. They could not

1763
01:28:37,080 --> 01:28:39,160
Speaker 4: get a pass rush to save their life last year,

1764
01:28:39,840 --> 01:28:42,400
Speaker 4: and Jones is a huge loss at cornerback. He was

1765
01:28:42,439 --> 01:28:45,400
Speaker 4: he ended up getting suspended, their past decraded at after

1766
01:28:45,439 --> 01:28:49,120
Speaker 4: he went out. I'm also not sold on the linebacker group,

1767
01:28:49,560 --> 01:28:52,680
Speaker 4: so they can't get a pass rush. Transfer reliant on

1768
01:28:52,720 --> 01:28:55,479
Speaker 4: the back end. Curious to see what this new DC

1769
01:28:55,640 --> 01:28:59,720
Speaker 4: can do the offensive questions. It'suck. They bring in some

1770
01:28:59,720 --> 01:29:02,160
Speaker 4: more out to guys at receiver. You know you have

1771
01:29:02,200 --> 01:29:04,479
Speaker 4: Bond back, You had Bradley from Texas Tech, who I like.

1772
01:29:04,560 --> 01:29:07,160
Speaker 4: You had McGowan from vand you as some potential. You

1773
01:29:07,320 --> 01:29:10,960
Speaker 4: also add Trey Shawn Ward are running back and Costianos

1774
01:29:11,040 --> 01:29:13,880
Speaker 4: is back at quarterback. The question is, says he fit

1775
01:29:14,000 --> 01:29:16,680
Speaker 4: O'Brien's system right? If the answer to that is no,

1776
01:29:17,320 --> 01:29:19,839
Speaker 4: he's very limited as a passer. It's a great runner.

1777
01:29:21,160 --> 01:29:24,720
Speaker 4: Oh is Bob going to be stubborn here? That's a

1778
01:29:24,760 --> 01:29:29,280
Speaker 4: big concern of mine. The offensive line is experienced, but

1779
01:29:29,320 --> 01:29:31,920
Speaker 4: they lost two really good guards, so I think it

1780
01:29:32,000 --> 01:29:35,519
Speaker 4: might take a slight step back. Uh, they have they do.

1781
01:29:35,600 --> 01:29:37,920
Speaker 4: If I look at their schedule, I think it's pretty tricky.

1782
01:29:37,960 --> 01:29:40,719
Speaker 4: There's you know, tough early road games at FSU, Missouri,

1783
01:29:41,600 --> 01:29:47,120
Speaker 4: Vo Tech, and SMU, Like those are losses. I they

1784
01:29:47,200 --> 01:29:51,519
Speaker 4: do on paper have like seven winnable home games, right

1785
01:29:51,600 --> 01:29:55,760
Speaker 4: like whether it going to be either favored or a

1786
01:29:55,800 --> 01:30:03,480
Speaker 4: dog of touchdown or less, Ducane, Michigan State, Western Kentucky, Louisville, Syracuse,

1787
01:30:03,880 --> 01:30:06,919
Speaker 4: U n C Hit. So there's a lot of winnable

1788
01:30:06,920 --> 01:30:12,640
Speaker 4: home games. I project four point six five. They have

1789
01:30:12,720 --> 01:30:14,800
Speaker 4: six coin flippish games, like they play a lot of

1790
01:30:14,840 --> 01:30:17,040
Speaker 4: these teams in the bottom of the acc Like, I'd

1791
01:30:17,120 --> 01:30:20,320
Speaker 4: rather just wait to see what O'Brien's doing with Costianos.

1792
01:30:20,720 --> 01:30:24,760
Speaker 4: See how this defense looks and then bet them in

1793
01:30:24,800 --> 01:30:28,439
Speaker 4: some of these coin flip spots. So they were pretty

1794
01:30:28,520 --> 01:30:30,519
Speaker 4: lucky last year. I was lucky to win that win total,

1795
01:30:30,800 --> 01:30:32,759
Speaker 4: to win six games, and they obviously won the Bowl.

1796
01:30:34,160 --> 01:30:36,000
Speaker 4: I wanted to sell them. I would lean under if

1797
01:30:36,040 --> 01:30:39,920
Speaker 4: I had to bet it, but I'm gonna wait and

1798
01:30:40,000 --> 01:30:42,639
Speaker 4: just bet them a lot to watch here, like, how's

1799
01:30:42,640 --> 01:30:45,200
Speaker 4: this defense gonna look, how's O'Brien the O'Brien and Costiana's

1800
01:30:45,240 --> 01:30:50,360
Speaker 4: marriage gonna work? But uh, definitely, you know, despite seven,

1801
01:30:50,520 --> 01:30:52,400
Speaker 4: you know you had at least your winnable games are

1802
01:30:52,400 --> 01:30:56,240
Speaker 4: all at home. You're probably not gonna beat SMUVA Tech,

1803
01:30:56,240 --> 01:31:00,400
Speaker 4: Missouri in Florida State on the road. Could be just

1804
01:31:00,439 --> 01:31:03,439
Speaker 4: some swing games early. It's like Michigan State, Western Kentucky

1805
01:31:03,520 --> 01:31:07,720
Speaker 4: at home at Virginia. What they do were semi early

1806
01:31:07,760 --> 01:31:10,040
Speaker 4: in the season. That's gonna that's going to decide to

1807
01:31:10,080 --> 01:31:12,120
Speaker 4: win to What are your thoughts on Eagles?

1808
01:31:12,400 --> 01:31:14,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have very some extremely interesting hires here for

1809
01:31:14,880 --> 01:31:17,320
Speaker 2: Bill O'Brien, Will Longing comes in from the Patriots staff

1810
01:31:17,360 --> 01:31:20,479
Speaker 2: to run the offense. You would expect pro style, two

1811
01:31:20,560 --> 01:31:23,200
Speaker 2: tights and play action pass. I'm not sure if that's

1812
01:31:23,240 --> 01:31:26,240
Speaker 2: what Thomas caslonas is best at the offensive line does

1813
01:31:26,240 --> 01:31:28,559
Speaker 2: return three. They were top thirty and havoc allowed, but

1814
01:31:28,600 --> 01:31:30,960
Speaker 2: as you mentioned, they do lose some do loose some

1815
01:31:31,040 --> 01:31:32,760
Speaker 2: juice off the offensive line. We'll see if they can

1816
01:31:32,840 --> 01:31:35,320
Speaker 2: protect as well as they did last year. Defense. I

1817
01:31:36,360 --> 01:31:40,320
Speaker 2: someone like Tim Lewis hasn't been in college since, hasn't

1818
01:31:40,360 --> 01:31:42,760
Speaker 2: coached in college since nineteen ninety four. Let's go through

1819
01:31:42,760 --> 01:31:47,440
Speaker 2: his recent resume. Arlington Renegades, Houston Gambler, Saint Louis BattleHawks,

1820
01:31:47,479 --> 01:31:52,240
Speaker 2: Birmingham Iron, Pine Crest, Pine Crest. Yeah, so I'm having

1821
01:31:52,280 --> 01:31:57,240
Speaker 2: a problem finding run Again's day was stout. You guys,

1822
01:31:57,240 --> 01:31:58,840
Speaker 2: everyone will have to excuse me if I don't know

1823
01:31:58,880 --> 01:32:01,160
Speaker 2: the scheme, personnel, and rates that are coming out of

1824
01:32:01,200 --> 01:32:03,880
Speaker 2: Tim Lewis here, hasn't been at college since nineteen ninety four.

1825
01:32:04,800 --> 01:32:06,840
Speaker 2: It's gonna be interesting. They do have Cam Horseley coming

1826
01:32:06,880 --> 01:32:09,280
Speaker 2: back to the defensive interior. That's good, but they were

1827
01:32:09,280 --> 01:32:11,280
Speaker 2: dead last in pass rush. They're one hundred and thirty

1828
01:32:11,280 --> 01:32:13,439
Speaker 2: first and creating havoc, and they were one hundred and

1829
01:32:13,479 --> 01:32:16,599
Speaker 2: twentieth in defensive finishing drive. So I just don't see

1830
01:32:16,640 --> 01:32:19,880
Speaker 2: a lot of improvement here. I have fifty seven percent

1831
01:32:19,920 --> 01:32:22,439
Speaker 2: returning on the defensive side, per Tarp, so it's not

1832
01:32:22,479 --> 01:32:25,720
Speaker 2: like they were able to replenish what they lost. I

1833
01:32:25,720 --> 01:32:28,000
Speaker 2: got them as heavy underdogs against Florida State, A, Missouri,

1834
01:32:28,120 --> 01:32:30,840
Speaker 2: Virginia Tech, Louisville SMU, and U n C. They're win

1835
01:32:30,960 --> 01:32:34,000
Speaker 2: totals at five. I've got them as major underdogs to

1836
01:32:34,080 --> 01:32:36,719
Speaker 2: those six teams. And when your wind total is a five,

1837
01:32:37,120 --> 01:32:38,960
Speaker 2: it's going to be hard to get over. So I'm

1838
01:32:39,000 --> 01:32:41,519
Speaker 2: going under five project them like you at four point six.

1839
01:32:41,920 --> 01:32:44,760
Speaker 2: It's minus one thirty. It's properly almost properly priced, a

1840
01:32:44,760 --> 01:32:46,439
Speaker 2: little bit of value left on it. But under five

1841
01:32:46,439 --> 01:32:47,560
Speaker 2: minus one thirty.

1842
01:32:47,840 --> 01:32:49,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, I have them only favored easily in one game.

1843
01:32:49,960 --> 01:32:54,760
Speaker 4: It Stukaine, let's be going to Stanford went three to

1844
01:32:54,840 --> 01:32:58,880
Speaker 4: nine last year. It was basically year zero for Troy Taylor.

1845
01:32:58,920 --> 01:33:01,519
Speaker 4: We based like the russ there was raided before the year.

1846
01:33:02,400 --> 01:33:04,679
Speaker 4: They had the fifth most snaps in the country by freshmen,

1847
01:33:05,479 --> 01:33:09,640
Speaker 4: so it definitely bounce back. Candidate their top ten in experience,

1848
01:33:10,400 --> 01:33:13,080
Speaker 4: top ten of both offense and defense in returning production.

1849
01:33:14,840 --> 01:33:17,320
Speaker 4: Daniels is back at quarterback, but Elijah Brown, He's an

1850
01:33:17,320 --> 01:33:21,280
Speaker 4: interesting freshman that could get some looks. Wouldn't be surprised

1851
01:33:21,280 --> 01:33:24,960
Speaker 4: that they both get looks. Running back, they lose their

1852
01:33:25,000 --> 01:33:28,519
Speaker 4: top two not a really big deal. Wide receiver they lose,

1853
01:33:28,760 --> 01:33:30,760
Speaker 4: you're sick their tight end, but their top three wide

1854
01:33:30,760 --> 01:33:34,680
Speaker 4: receivers are back. Iom minor is every time I say

1855
01:33:34,680 --> 01:33:38,000
Speaker 4: his name, I say it wrong, Io Manor, Io Manor,

1856
01:33:38,760 --> 01:33:40,720
Speaker 4: and Bachmeyer back. That's the strength of the team their

1857
01:33:40,720 --> 01:33:43,080
Speaker 4: wide receiver. This is going to come down their offensive line,

1858
01:33:43,080 --> 01:33:45,800
Speaker 4: Like call five are back. Nine of eleven who started

1859
01:33:45,800 --> 01:33:49,840
Speaker 4: the game last year. They had three starting freshmen last year.

1860
01:33:49,880 --> 01:33:52,760
Speaker 4: They all return. Then the offensive line take the next step.

1861
01:33:52,760 --> 01:33:56,240
Speaker 4: That's the key to their offense. The defense obviously needs

1862
01:33:56,240 --> 01:33:59,280
Speaker 4: to be better in the trenches as well, and that experience.

1863
01:33:59,280 --> 01:34:01,439
Speaker 4: They got to just find a way to generate more pressure.

1864
01:34:01,840 --> 01:34:08,559
Speaker 4: I like their linebackers. Their defensive backfield was is all gone,

1865
01:34:08,680 --> 01:34:11,200
Speaker 4: but they were bottom five past last year. I don't

1866
01:34:11,200 --> 01:34:13,800
Speaker 4: know how big of a deal that is. So they

1867
01:34:13,800 --> 01:34:16,280
Speaker 4: do have They do have a bunch who started at

1868
01:34:16,360 --> 01:34:19,479
Speaker 4: least last year. They had a Washington transfer. They do

1869
01:34:19,560 --> 01:34:22,080
Speaker 4: have to replace their stud kicker as well. So while

1870
01:34:22,080 --> 01:34:24,719
Speaker 4: their top ten and you know experience, you think, hey,

1871
01:34:25,400 --> 01:34:28,639
Speaker 4: this team you like their coach headed in the right direction.

1872
01:34:29,160 --> 01:34:32,240
Speaker 4: They do have a brutal schedule. I have one of

1873
01:34:32,280 --> 01:34:34,040
Speaker 4: the ten hardest in the country. You face five of

1874
01:34:34,080 --> 01:34:37,520
Speaker 4: the top six in the ACC, plus Notre Dame and TCU.

1875
01:34:37,720 --> 01:34:39,800
Speaker 4: They're one of only two teams in the country to

1876
01:34:39,800 --> 01:34:43,120
Speaker 4: play five teams off of Buys Louisiana being the other.

1877
01:34:43,439 --> 01:34:45,599
Speaker 4: And you have to add in the travel that they're

1878
01:34:45,600 --> 01:34:48,559
Speaker 4: gonna make. You're going to Syracuse, You're going to tend

1879
01:34:48,560 --> 01:34:52,160
Speaker 4: to Clemson, You're going to Notre Dame, You're going too

1880
01:34:52,320 --> 01:34:55,280
Speaker 4: NC State. At least you know you have you go

1881
01:34:55,280 --> 01:34:57,240
Speaker 4: to cal and San Jose State as your final two

1882
01:34:57,320 --> 01:35:00,040
Speaker 4: road games, but they might be even tougher. Callen to

1883
01:35:00,040 --> 01:35:01,479
Speaker 4: say at the end of the schedule, but after the

1884
01:35:01,520 --> 01:35:04,559
Speaker 4: gauntlet that you have to go through travel wise and

1885
01:35:04,600 --> 01:35:07,679
Speaker 4: schedule wise, what do you What are your thoughts on Stanford?

1886
01:35:07,680 --> 01:35:10,160
Speaker 4: Are you buying a year or two of Taylor? I

1887
01:35:10,200 --> 01:35:12,320
Speaker 4: think we might just be a year or two early.

1888
01:35:12,760 --> 01:35:14,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I love Let's just make make it sure. I

1889
01:35:14,800 --> 01:35:17,080
Speaker 2: love Troy Taylor the second they hide him from Sacramento State,

1890
01:35:17,120 --> 01:35:21,560
Speaker 2: though those be those offenses that they had were absolutely fantastic,

1891
01:35:21,680 --> 01:35:24,559
Speaker 2: And you know, Bobby April is the DC here, but

1892
01:35:24,600 --> 01:35:26,880
Speaker 2: Troy Taylor calls his own plays. They have special titles

1893
01:35:26,880 --> 01:35:28,640
Speaker 2: for everybody, but he is the play caller. He is

1894
01:35:28,640 --> 01:35:31,719
Speaker 2: the offensive coordinator. And it is a beautiful thing to watch.

1895
01:35:31,760 --> 01:35:33,479
Speaker 2: There's a lot of pre snap motion. There's a lot

1896
01:35:33,479 --> 01:35:36,360
Speaker 2: of guys going in different directions, and I you know,

1897
01:35:36,400 --> 01:35:38,960
Speaker 2: Ashton Daniels looked good in it at times. But if

1898
01:35:39,000 --> 01:35:40,640
Speaker 2: you don't have the grasp of this offense, it can

1899
01:35:40,680 --> 01:35:43,519
Speaker 2: look real bad too. Titan Sam Rausch is gonna have

1900
01:35:43,520 --> 01:35:46,519
Speaker 2: to step up here. Ben Youasek was was their best weapon.

1901
01:35:47,400 --> 01:35:49,960
Speaker 2: He got scooped up. He is out from the portal.

1902
01:35:50,120 --> 01:35:52,000
Speaker 2: The offensive line, you said, has to step up. They

1903
01:35:52,000 --> 01:35:54,919
Speaker 2: were one hundred and thirty first and pass blocking Stanford

1904
01:35:54,920 --> 01:35:56,680
Speaker 2: as a whole was one hundred and twenty third and

1905
01:35:56,760 --> 01:36:00,919
Speaker 2: havoc allowed just problems everywhere with tackles for loss, protecting

1906
01:36:00,960 --> 01:36:03,960
Speaker 2: the ball. It was on the carpet, way too much defense.

1907
01:36:04,080 --> 01:36:07,320
Speaker 2: The linebackers are about mid pack, but the secondary is

1908
01:36:07,360 --> 01:36:10,600
Speaker 2: projected to be the worst in the ACC. There is

1909
01:36:10,600 --> 01:36:13,640
Speaker 2: a new special teams coordinator. They're also projected to be

1910
01:36:13,640 --> 01:36:14,920
Speaker 2: the worst in the SCACC.

1911
01:36:15,160 --> 01:36:18,160
Speaker 4: Also, Carty is a huge loss GUARDI party.

1912
01:36:19,680 --> 01:36:21,599
Speaker 2: They have some of the worst defensive numbers in FBS

1913
01:36:21,640 --> 01:36:24,880
Speaker 2: football bottom ten and almost every single stat category that

1914
01:36:24,920 --> 01:36:27,640
Speaker 2: we pay attention to. Now. Cal Poly is obviously going

1915
01:36:27,720 --> 01:36:31,559
Speaker 2: to be a heavy win wake and at San Jose

1916
01:36:31,720 --> 01:36:33,439
Speaker 2: is probably their best shot to get to three wins.

1917
01:36:33,520 --> 01:36:35,519
Speaker 2: They got to find a fourth on this schedule. The

1918
01:36:35,560 --> 01:36:38,799
Speaker 2: best potential is the opener against TCU minus nine. I'm

1919
01:36:39,040 --> 01:36:42,840
Speaker 2: not warm on them whatsoever. The market is minus nine

1920
01:36:43,120 --> 01:36:45,439
Speaker 2: for TCU. I actually make the game Stanford plus four,

1921
01:36:45,600 --> 01:36:48,080
Speaker 2: so I probably will be playing Stanford. I think if

1922
01:36:48,120 --> 01:36:50,120
Speaker 2: you're gonna go under three and a half, which I

1923
01:36:50,280 --> 01:36:52,479
Speaker 2: have on the app because I project this at three

1924
01:36:52,520 --> 01:36:54,160
Speaker 2: and a half and I didn't see a fourth win

1925
01:36:54,240 --> 01:36:56,120
Speaker 2: on the schedule, you're gonna play the under three and

1926
01:36:56,120 --> 01:36:57,400
Speaker 2: a half, but you're gonna come back and buy the

1927
01:36:57,400 --> 01:37:00,400
Speaker 2: money line on TCU or the other potential game, which

1928
01:37:00,439 --> 01:37:02,479
Speaker 2: is Syracuse, which projects around five and a half, but

1929
01:37:02,520 --> 01:37:04,920
Speaker 2: Syracuse comes off of buy. The one spot that you

1930
01:37:04,960 --> 01:37:07,080
Speaker 2: need to hedge is the very first game of the season,

1931
01:37:07,120 --> 01:37:09,920
Speaker 2: and that is taking the money line with Stanford against

1932
01:37:09,920 --> 01:37:11,760
Speaker 2: TCU along with your under three and a half on

1933
01:37:11,800 --> 01:37:12,200
Speaker 2: the season.

1934
01:37:12,880 --> 01:37:15,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, I kind of like Stanford in that Week one

1935
01:37:15,080 --> 01:37:17,639
Speaker 4: game as well. It might be playing and stay away

1936
01:37:17,680 --> 01:37:17,960
Speaker 4: from me.

1937
01:37:18,520 --> 01:37:22,120
Speaker 2: New defensive team for Andy Avolos, Yeah, Troy Taylor will

1938
01:37:22,160 --> 01:37:23,559
Speaker 2: dominate that head cold that matchup.

1939
01:37:25,880 --> 01:37:27,880
Speaker 4: The final team we'll get to in the ACC the

1940
01:37:27,960 --> 01:37:31,360
Speaker 4: Duke Blue Devils over under set of five and a

1941
01:37:31,400 --> 01:37:33,400
Speaker 4: half juice to the under over five and a half

1942
01:37:33,439 --> 01:37:36,400
Speaker 4: plus one forty, I think is what you can find

1943
01:37:36,400 --> 01:37:40,080
Speaker 4: out there. It's a lot of change here. They are

1944
01:37:40,120 --> 01:37:42,920
Speaker 4: below the national average of returning production. New head coach,

1945
01:37:43,240 --> 01:37:46,320
Speaker 4: third new staff in four years. Manny Diaz comes in.

1946
01:37:46,560 --> 01:37:51,240
Speaker 4: It's not the most experienced staff. What can you expect

1947
01:37:51,800 --> 01:37:54,200
Speaker 4: from this new staff? He brings in Jonathan Brewers as OC.

1948
01:37:54,720 --> 01:37:58,120
Speaker 4: It's Smu Lashly Trees. I think you're gonna go to

1949
01:37:58,160 --> 01:38:02,160
Speaker 4: like a more wide open passing air raid style. The

1950
01:38:02,280 --> 01:38:05,479
Speaker 4: Deed's dias it's going to be aggressive. And he brought

1951
01:38:05,479 --> 01:38:09,240
Speaker 4: in defensive coordinator from Texas State who was a gambler, Like, yeah,

1952
01:38:09,320 --> 01:38:11,240
Speaker 4: this is going to be an aggressive d blitzing all

1953
01:38:11,280 --> 01:38:15,160
Speaker 4: over the problem with the D's they lost three to

1954
01:38:15,200 --> 01:38:17,679
Speaker 4: the NFL and four to Power for Schools. The only

1955
01:38:17,800 --> 01:38:21,400
Speaker 4: known commodity on defense is like linebacker, you're safer Stinson,

1956
01:38:22,200 --> 01:38:26,000
Speaker 4: uh and Williams up front too like not a lot

1957
01:38:26,040 --> 01:38:31,040
Speaker 4: of known commodities offensive line, major question just the trenches

1958
01:38:31,080 --> 01:38:33,599
Speaker 4: on both sides of the ball. You brought an eight

1959
01:38:33,600 --> 01:38:36,439
Speaker 4: transfer offensiving five from the FCS level. Can they figure

1960
01:38:36,479 --> 01:38:41,160
Speaker 4: that out? It's a complete rebuilt on both trenches. Quarterback

1961
01:38:41,880 --> 01:38:46,759
Speaker 4: Riley Leonard is gone. It's Grayson Loftus's back or Malik

1962
01:38:46,840 --> 01:38:51,640
Speaker 4: Murphy the Texas transfer quarterback battle there. You know you

1963
01:38:51,640 --> 01:38:57,200
Speaker 4: have some interesting skill pecision talent. Jordan Moore slight drop

1964
01:38:57,240 --> 01:39:01,960
Speaker 4: off from Waters if you lost Calhoun, but you have

1965
01:39:02,040 --> 01:39:04,200
Speaker 4: more back Panic will come back from injury, a decent

1966
01:39:04,240 --> 01:39:06,400
Speaker 4: tight end. But it's just all about there's a lot

1967
01:39:06,479 --> 01:39:09,000
Speaker 4: of change here, new staff. You lost a lot of

1968
01:39:09,000 --> 01:39:12,160
Speaker 4: your best players. The trenches wearing me on both sides

1969
01:39:12,160 --> 01:39:16,360
Speaker 4: of the ball. They have the toughest acc schedule as well.

1970
01:39:17,680 --> 01:39:21,680
Speaker 4: It's all about. This is similar to what we just

1971
01:39:21,760 --> 01:39:25,479
Speaker 4: talked about with some of these other teams in the bottom.

1972
01:39:25,800 --> 01:39:28,559
Speaker 4: What can they do in their first five or six

1973
01:39:28,600 --> 01:39:32,200
Speaker 4: games with all this change. It's gonna make it difficult

1974
01:39:32,280 --> 01:39:37,400
Speaker 4: because here are their final seven games at Georgia Tech,

1975
01:39:38,880 --> 01:39:45,559
Speaker 4: Florida State, SMU, at Miami, at NC State Va Tech

1976
01:39:46,479 --> 01:39:49,360
Speaker 4: and then at Wake Forest your breaks in there at

1977
01:39:49,360 --> 01:39:51,599
Speaker 4: what at Wake Forest and at Georgia Tech? You gotta

1978
01:39:51,600 --> 01:39:54,479
Speaker 4: do both of them on the road. That is a

1979
01:39:54,880 --> 01:39:59,439
Speaker 4: ridiculous schedule. At what you should beat Yukon, you should

1980
01:39:59,439 --> 01:40:03,720
Speaker 4: be the you have coin fotish games Home gets North

1981
01:40:03,760 --> 01:40:08,760
Speaker 4: Carolina at Northwestern? Can Duke win those games? It's probably

1982
01:40:08,800 --> 01:40:14,280
Speaker 4: going to decide their win total. I project a little

1983
01:40:14,320 --> 01:40:17,519
Speaker 4: over five lean under just all this change. I don't

1984
01:40:17,520 --> 01:40:22,840
Speaker 4: trust the trenches of the worst projected nine ACC teams.

1985
01:40:22,880 --> 01:40:25,479
Speaker 4: The only play two both of them are on the road.

1986
01:40:25,680 --> 01:40:29,559
Speaker 4: Waken Job, Georgia Tech. That's it's brutal. What are your

1987
01:40:29,560 --> 01:40:29,920
Speaker 4: thoughts on.

1988
01:40:29,960 --> 01:40:34,160
Speaker 2: Think Well, I think one liability we haven't really mentioned

1989
01:40:34,280 --> 01:40:37,840
Speaker 2: is Manny Diaz as a head coach, elite defensive coordinator,

1990
01:40:38,640 --> 01:40:42,080
Speaker 2: unmitigated disaster at Miami as a head coach, and you

1991
01:40:42,120 --> 01:40:45,240
Speaker 2: know we love him. He's aggressive when he's a defensive coordinator,

1992
01:40:45,240 --> 01:40:46,640
Speaker 2: and you can expect a lot of that. I'm not

1993
01:40:46,640 --> 01:40:49,280
Speaker 2: sure that helps this offense out. This offensive line is

1994
01:40:49,280 --> 01:40:51,719
Speaker 2: the worst in the ACC. The offensive line is thirty

1995
01:40:51,760 --> 01:40:54,839
Speaker 2: seven career starts. Usually you want to have over one hundred.

1996
01:40:55,120 --> 01:40:57,200
Speaker 2: The defense you mentioned the defensive line is going to

1997
01:40:57,280 --> 01:40:59,920
Speaker 2: be around fourteenth out of seventeen teams. They're going to

1998
01:40:59,960 --> 01:41:03,160
Speaker 2: be highly aggressive. That's gonna pay off in a few

1999
01:41:03,160 --> 01:41:05,320
Speaker 2: blitz attempts and sacks, but it's also gonna pay off

2000
01:41:05,320 --> 01:41:07,479
Speaker 2: in explosive plays. I can't tell you how many many

2001
01:41:07,520 --> 01:41:10,240
Speaker 2: Dias defenses I've seen get burned a couple times in

2002
01:41:10,280 --> 01:41:12,120
Speaker 2: a game, and that's bad when you don't have an

2003
01:41:12,120 --> 01:41:14,439
Speaker 2: offense that can answer. Now, the wins on this schedule

2004
01:41:14,600 --> 01:41:17,080
Speaker 2: the where I went with my bet on Duke. The

2005
01:41:17,160 --> 01:41:20,639
Speaker 2: wins on the schedule are elon yukon Middle Tennessee. Right,

2006
01:41:21,000 --> 01:41:22,960
Speaker 2: Duke's going to be a dog in every single a

2007
01:41:23,000 --> 01:41:25,800
Speaker 2: SEC game that I have power rated, except for maybe

2008
01:41:25,800 --> 01:41:27,320
Speaker 2: a coin flip with Wake at the end of the year.

2009
01:41:27,360 --> 01:41:30,160
Speaker 2: Could float either way. The number is two and a

2010
01:41:30,200 --> 01:41:34,080
Speaker 2: half ACC wins, where I don't know where oddsmakers come

2011
01:41:34,160 --> 01:41:36,599
Speaker 2: up with these conference win totals because they're bad. Give

2012
01:41:36,600 --> 01:41:38,439
Speaker 2: me under two and a half ACC wins. It's minus

2013
01:41:38,439 --> 01:41:39,559
Speaker 2: one thirty on the juice.

2014
01:41:39,920 --> 01:41:41,519
Speaker 4: Yeah, you gotta got it, and you gotta beat North

2015
01:41:41,520 --> 01:41:45,920
Speaker 4: Carolina and Wake. Yeah no, I like that as well. Yeah,

2016
01:41:47,080 --> 01:41:49,400
Speaker 4: all right, good stuff there. Before we get out of here.

2017
01:41:49,479 --> 01:41:53,240
Speaker 4: Let's wrap up the ACC just quick high level thoughts

2018
01:41:53,240 --> 01:41:57,880
Speaker 4: on your favorite bets. I like Clemson ACC futures. I

2019
01:41:58,040 --> 01:42:01,000
Speaker 4: like investing in the Miami up. If you want to

2020
01:42:01,040 --> 01:42:03,240
Speaker 4: bet on Miami. I think they're the only team in

2021
01:42:03,280 --> 01:42:05,679
Speaker 4: the ACC that can win the national title if Crista

2022
01:42:05,680 --> 01:42:07,559
Speaker 4: Ball doesn't mess it up and all of his talent

2023
01:42:07,600 --> 01:42:10,800
Speaker 4: comes together and Cam Moored hits at quarterback. I like

2024
01:42:10,840 --> 01:42:13,280
Speaker 4: the NC State over and will look to bet them

2025
01:42:13,479 --> 01:42:15,439
Speaker 4: to make the Collegewall playoff if they drop one or

2026
01:42:15,479 --> 01:42:21,280
Speaker 4: both of their first four games against Tennessee and Clemson.

2027
01:42:21,920 --> 01:42:25,880
Speaker 4: My favorite unders are Louisville, Syracuse, and pitt How about

2028
01:42:25,880 --> 01:42:26,800
Speaker 4: your summary.

2029
01:42:26,960 --> 01:42:29,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, climb with you. Clemson plus three ninety is out there.

2030
01:42:29,560 --> 01:42:31,679
Speaker 2: There are some shops at about three to one three fifty.

2031
01:42:31,680 --> 01:42:34,679
Speaker 2: There are is one that is nationally widely available plus

2032
01:42:34,720 --> 01:42:37,320
Speaker 2: three ninety. I do like that number on Clemson. I

2033
01:42:37,400 --> 01:42:39,720
Speaker 2: like everything SMU. I think that total has room to

2034
01:42:39,800 --> 01:42:41,559
Speaker 2: run up to nine. I would take it at eight

2035
01:42:41,600 --> 01:42:43,759
Speaker 2: eight and a half. I'd even take an alternate at nine.

2036
01:42:44,280 --> 01:42:46,479
Speaker 2: Love them from the over. Virginia Tech has a little

2037
01:42:46,479 --> 01:42:49,519
Speaker 2: bit more room if you can find an eight, you know,

2038
01:42:49,640 --> 01:42:52,160
Speaker 2: I wouldn't take anything else. They are one hundred percent.

2039
01:42:52,520 --> 01:42:55,120
Speaker 2: Wins are going to fall between eight and ten. Miami,

2040
01:42:55,160 --> 01:42:56,880
Speaker 2: on the other hand, I'm not going to mess with

2041
01:42:56,920 --> 01:42:59,240
Speaker 2: a win total considering what Mario Christoval does at the

2042
01:42:59,360 --> 01:43:01,400
Speaker 2: end of games, and they are listened to two to

2043
01:43:01,400 --> 01:43:03,120
Speaker 2: one to make the AC Championship game, I think it's

2044
01:43:03,120 --> 01:43:06,080
Speaker 2: Miami and Clemson after that. We just talked about the

2045
01:43:06,160 --> 01:43:08,599
Speaker 2: Duke under two and a half and the ACC wins.

2046
01:43:08,640 --> 01:43:10,840
Speaker 2: I love that. The wake Forest under two and a

2047
01:43:10,840 --> 01:43:14,000
Speaker 2: half ACC wins? Are you kidding me? And Pitt We've

2048
01:43:14,040 --> 01:43:15,800
Speaker 2: talked about that. I'll take every game of the year

2049
01:43:15,840 --> 01:43:17,639
Speaker 2: against them. I'll take them under five and a half

2050
01:43:17,680 --> 01:43:19,840
Speaker 2: minus one twenty like that too, and then the last

2051
01:43:19,840 --> 01:43:22,800
Speaker 2: one I'll close out with. If you like Stanford under

2052
01:43:23,080 --> 01:43:24,880
Speaker 2: three and a half, you need to compliment it with

2053
01:43:24,960 --> 01:43:28,280
Speaker 2: the TCU money line, regardless if you're playing at Stanford

2054
01:43:28,360 --> 01:43:31,360
Speaker 2: Future or not. I think Stanford money line Week one

2055
01:43:31,400 --> 01:43:33,320
Speaker 2: that's going to be an our round Robin. I don't

2056
01:43:33,360 --> 01:43:35,559
Speaker 2: even have to. I might as well go pull up

2057
01:43:35,600 --> 01:43:37,640
Speaker 2: the script and put it in there now because I

2058
01:43:37,720 --> 01:43:39,000
Speaker 2: love Stanford against DCU.

2059
01:43:39,560 --> 01:43:42,880
Speaker 4: All right, that'll do it for us. Covered all seventeen

2060
01:43:43,040 --> 01:43:46,760
Speaker 4: ACC teams and an eighteenth and Notre Dame. It's right

2061
01:43:46,800 --> 01:43:48,720
Speaker 4: back to work. It's a beautiful time of the year.

2062
01:43:48,800 --> 01:43:50,360
Speaker 4: Thanks for tuning in, Thanks to Calm for joining me.

2063
01:43:50,400 --> 01:43:52,160
Speaker 4: Thank Star Frusts in the back end. If you're watching

2064
01:43:52,200 --> 01:43:54,479
Speaker 4: on YouTube, appreciate you. Welcome to the new channel. If

2065
01:43:54,479 --> 01:43:56,600
Speaker 4: you haven't yet, just go to the YouTube channel hit

2066
01:43:56,680 --> 01:43:58,439
Speaker 4: subscribe for us. It really helps us out. Thanks for

2067
01:43:58,479 --> 01:44:01,000
Speaker 4: tuning in. Catch you all wait at two Please out.

2068
01:44:09,680 --> 01:44:14,240
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2069
01:44:14,240 --> 01:44:17,040
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2070
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