Speaker 1: Drive Time with Travis Wingfield begins. Now let me check
Speaker 1: your pulse if you're not of What is up? Dolphins?
Speaker 1: And welcome to the Draft Time Podcast, part of the
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins podcast network covering your team, your Miami Dolphins.
Speaker 1: How's it going everybody? I am your host, Travis Wingfield.
Speaker 1: And on today's show, have we all turned the page yet?
Speaker 1: I think I'm getting there because you know what time
Speaker 1: it is? Man, put away the tears and the onion chopping. Man,
Speaker 1: It's Dolphins and Bills for the Division on primetime. Let's
Speaker 1: get it from the Baptist Hill Studios inside the Baptist
Speaker 1: Health Training Complex. This is the Draft Time Podcast. May
Speaker 1: guess I think we'll start this portion of the podcast
Speaker 1: differently than we usually do with the introduction, because you know,
Speaker 1: the Bills, you know the drill just a crash course.
Speaker 1: Here a team that has recently really taken construction under
Speaker 1: the traits of their quarterback and maximizing his ability to
Speaker 1: lead them to the promised lamb and done it yet
Speaker 1: hadn't even got there yet. But that said, this is
Speaker 1: a team that has really leaned on defensive play making
Speaker 1: and the ground game lately. A team that has ridden
Speaker 1: defensive splash plays, and that running game one hundred and
Speaker 1: eighteen yards to two hundred and nine yards rushed versus
Speaker 1: pass against the Chiefs, the one that really kicked off
Speaker 1: this winning streak for them, eighty five yards passing in
Speaker 1: two sixty six versus Dallas on the ground, then two
Speaker 1: thirty pass one h five versus the Chargers, but last
Speaker 1: week again one twenty seven on the ground compared to
Speaker 1: one fifty four through the air versus the Patriots. And
Speaker 1: in those games two takeaways one takeaway zero and then
Speaker 1: four in the game last they won us a game
Speaker 1: by six points with a four to one turnover margin. Gosh,
Speaker 1: if the Patches protect the football, this is probably already
Speaker 1: a rap for the division. But they've been through a
Speaker 1: crazy season. And I said this all off season long,
Speaker 1: those who were riding off the bills, Well, I think
Speaker 1: I said that it was stupid to do it, But
Speaker 1: then you looked right, So maybe I was stupid. But
Speaker 1: now they're playing better, and some folks have them ticketed
Speaker 1: for a Super Bowl run, or at least the biggest
Speaker 1: threat to Baltimore to do so. And now I find
Speaker 1: myself as the ultimate contrarian. Once again because I'm just
Speaker 1: not so sure about that. I think the performances against
Speaker 1: lesser teams can be telling. And the Bills were a
Speaker 1: third down to nine pass breakup that the guy probably
Speaker 1: should have had and he missed it by an inch
Speaker 1: against the Chargers from losing that game two weeks ago.
Speaker 1: Then they gave Bailey Zappi a shot to win the
Speaker 1: game with a ninety three yard six minute drive. He
Speaker 1: couldn't do it, obviously because he's Billy Zappy, but it
Speaker 1: was there for them. And this goes back to the
Speaker 1: off season once again, because this is where I understood
Speaker 1: the argument they wouldn't get better, but knowing the coaching
Speaker 1: staff and the quarterback and the continuity they have on defense,
Speaker 1: but they were going to be fine, right They are fine.
Speaker 1: They're going to make the playoffs most likely, most likely.
Speaker 1: But on balance, they didn't really give alan more weapons.
Speaker 1: The offensive line got better, mostly because of the health
Speaker 1: of that offensive line, but the injuries on defense. They've
Speaker 1: just kind of been decent all year long. They very
Speaker 1: easily could have lost games of the Giants, Bucks, Chargers,
Speaker 1: and the Patriots last week, which any of those losses
Speaker 1: would have made this game a one o'clock kickoff, right
Speaker 1: because the Dolphins have it all wrapped up. Or if
Speaker 1: Mammy beats the Titans, oh, just win the game because
Speaker 1: there's so many what ifs in the schedule for us.
Speaker 1: But then they also have late game dramatics and they
Speaker 1: win over the Chiefs, they roll up the Cowboys. Just
Speaker 1: a wild, wild season, and the result of it is
Speaker 1: they get to come to Miami to play a game
Speaker 1: they are favored to win. And I think that has
Speaker 1: more to do with the injuries than anything else. And
Speaker 1: I get that we're banged up and that those lines
Speaker 1: are more perception based than anything, but man, the Dolphins
Speaker 1: are seven to one in that building across the street.
Speaker 1: They are nineteen and three in their last twenty two
Speaker 1: games in that same building over that span at Home
Speaker 1: one and Ozer over Buffalo. All right, that's a slight
Speaker 1: sidetrack from where we were going. And I just walked
Speaker 1: myself into a point that annoys me because back to
Speaker 1: the Bills, They've overcome some pretty serious injuries, but they
Speaker 1: got back a huge piece in Daikwan. Jones last week
Speaker 1: made probably the best trade of the entire deadline trade
Speaker 1: deadline by acquiring Rasoul Douglas to essentially fill the void
Speaker 1: left by Trey White, and he's played better than Trey
Speaker 1: White ever was. And as the Dolphins are very banged up,
Speaker 1: they've gotten healthier. I mentioned Jones, They got Dawson knocks back,
Speaker 1: Micah Hides back in the lineup after missing some games,
Speaker 1: so they'll be at full strength. They're gonna want to
Speaker 1: win this game. They're gonna want to get a tonement
Speaker 1: for last year, and they're gonna want a toement for
Speaker 1: what's been a difficult up and down season. But as
Speaker 1: tough as it's been, either of these teams has a
Speaker 1: real real shot to put themselves in great position for
Speaker 1: a postseason run. That two seed compared to the six
Speaker 1: or seven is a major difference, not just in your competition,
Speaker 1: but obviously in the venues those games will take place.
Speaker 1: You go from potentially two home playoff games to having
Speaker 1: to win three road games just to make this Super Bowl.
Speaker 1: Let's actually bump what's at stake to this portion of
Speaker 1: the show, because I think it's important to get the
Speaker 1: scenarios out there for you guys right away. So number
Speaker 1: one off the top, the Dolphins can play the Chiefs
Speaker 1: in the wildcard round. If they lose the Bills, that's it.
Speaker 1: You lose to Buffalo, you go to KC. You can
Speaker 1: host the Bills in the wildcard round with these following scenarios.
Speaker 1: If you beat Buffalo and then Jacksonville beats Tennessee and
Speaker 1: Baltimore beats Pittsburgh, or you beat Buffalo and Tennessee beats Jacksonville,
Speaker 1: so that one flips right and Pittsburgh beats Baltimore. Like
Speaker 1: there are some funky scenarios that equate to this. So
Speaker 1: verst Buffalo if you beat them, and then the Jacksonville
Speaker 1: Tennessee result has to coincide with the Baltimore Pittsburgh result
Speaker 1: to make this happen. Now, you can play Pittsburgh at home. Ideal, right,
Speaker 1: if you beat Buffalo and if Jacksonville beats Tennessee and
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh beats Baltimore. And by the way, the line for
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Baltimore already came out. The Steelers are favored, which
Speaker 1: tells you Lamar Jackson will not play in that game.
Speaker 1: So on Saturday you're rooting for Pittsburgh, I think, And
Speaker 1: then if that happens that way, you root for Jacksonville,
Speaker 1: and if Baltimore wins, then you root for the Titans.
Speaker 1: Does that make sense? You can also play Pittsburgh at
Speaker 1: home if you beat Buffalo, Tennessee beat Jacksonville, Baltimore beats Pittsburgh,
Speaker 1: but Denver beats Las Vegas. Where the hell does that
Speaker 1: come from? I don't know that's how it works. You
Speaker 1: can host the Jaguars if you beat Buffalo. If Tennessee
Speaker 1: beats Jacksonville and Baltimore beats Pittsburgh, but Las Vegas beats Denver,
Speaker 1: that crazy? What the hell man? Crazy scenario is here?
Speaker 1: I think we all agree the best case scenario here
Speaker 1: is the two seed and seeing Pittsburgh or Jacksonville. Right,
Speaker 1: let me do it this way for you in terms
Speaker 1: of your rooting guide. So if Baltimore wins on Saturday,
Speaker 1: Tennessee must beat Jacksonville non negotiable, and then the Vegas
Speaker 1: and Denver game, two teams who don't give a hell
Speaker 1: about the rest of their season. That will decide your opponent.
Speaker 1: And in fact, this could be the dream scenario because
Speaker 1: if if you get Baltimore to win on Saturday, and
Speaker 1: I think it's a real possibility, actually I'm gonna pick
Speaker 1: the Ravens to win that game. Even with Snoop Huntley.
Speaker 1: I think their backup quarterback is better than every quarterback
Speaker 1: the Steelers have, so I wouldn't it picked them, And
Speaker 1: then you'd need Tennessee to beat Jacksonville, and that I
Speaker 1: would not feel as good about. But here's the thing.
Speaker 1: If you get those two results in those games, the
Speaker 1: Bills clinch and they clinch the sixth seed. And look,
Speaker 1: if we have to play buff in the playoffs whatever,
Speaker 1: bringing up baby, but we're looking for the ideal path, right.
Speaker 1: This would set the bracket like this case and Buffalo
Speaker 1: three to six, Houston or Indy versus Cleveland in the
Speaker 1: four to five game, and then US versus either Jacksonville
Speaker 1: or Pittsburgh depending on that freaking Raiders and Broncos game.
Speaker 1: I am going to assume Buffalo wins in case. In
Speaker 1: that event, I'll pick Miami in Casey as well, which
Speaker 1: would make for a trip to Baltimore for that six
Speaker 1: seeded team. That means, if you then beat Pittsburgh or Jacksonville,
Speaker 1: you would then draw the winner of Cleveland and in
Speaker 1: versus Houston and India or Indy. And of course, if
Speaker 1: Case won, that's who we would host. But if Buffalo wins,
Speaker 1: you would then get Jacksonville or Pittsburgh and then Cleveland,
Speaker 1: Houston or Indy. Like we've beaten those teams by double
Speaker 1: digit scores all year long, haven't we. But I think
Speaker 1: I'm picking either us or Buffalo in that game in Arrowhead,
Speaker 1: by the way, that's the dream. The other scenario is
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh wins the Saturday game, and that's probably what you
Speaker 1: want to root for, because then Jacksonville is playing for
Speaker 1: the division and will probably beat the Titans. Right most likely,
Speaker 1: I don't know, maybe not it's the NFL, but I
Speaker 1: think Baltimore beats pitt and I think jackson wins too,
Speaker 1: So that brings us to the two most likely scenarios
Speaker 1: and being the two that we probably want the least.
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh beats Baltimore, Jacksonville beats Tennessee, then we play the Steelers.
Speaker 1: But if Tennessee beats Jacksonville after pitt wins, then Buffalo
Speaker 1: turns right back around and comes here for Wildcard weekend.
Speaker 1: And all those scenarios require us winning on Sunday night,
Speaker 1: because if we lose, there's one option, a trip to KC,
Speaker 1: and in that bracket, Buffalo probably draws the winner of
Speaker 1: Houston and Indy in the two seven game, and they're
Speaker 1: gonna beat that team, and then we get KC, and
Speaker 1: then we would get to go to Baltimore in the
Speaker 1: next round unless Houston or Indy upset Buffalo in the
Speaker 1: wildcard rounds. So basically, if you lose on Saturday night,
Speaker 1: it's at CAC or on Sunday night, it's at KC
Speaker 1: at Baltimore in your first two rounds. Fun some storylines here.
Speaker 1: A division championship could be the first since two thousand
Speaker 1: and eight, fifteen years ago. Also means the first home
Speaker 1: playoff game in that same time span. Based on the results,
Speaker 1: you could eliminate Buffalo from the playoffs. That's the dream, right.
Speaker 1: Don't you want to go the next six months, seven
Speaker 1: months here talking about how you knocked the Bills out
Speaker 1: of the playoffs to win the division. I don't want
Speaker 1: to talk for the next six months to Bills fans
Speaker 1: about the three game lead to be blue. That's what
Speaker 1: I want. Your recent run against Buffalo. Every team seems
Speaker 1: to have that one team that gives them the biggest problems,
Speaker 1: and for us, it's freaking Buffalo, right. They have won
Speaker 1: nine to the last ten but the one was the
Speaker 1: last time they've visited here. It will be a night
Speaker 1: game compared to a September one pm game, so they
Speaker 1: can't blame OSHA for this one. They've won the AFC
Speaker 1: East last three years. Would love to end that streak.
Speaker 1: And if we win, it'll be the first time since
Speaker 1: eight that somebody besides New England and Buffalo won the
Speaker 1: AFC East. The Jets haven't won it since, like freaking
Speaker 1: the Reagan administration. Overcoming injuries is a big storyline here.
Speaker 1: Dolphins will be without left guard one, center one, maybe
Speaker 1: wide receiver two. We'll see about Waddell. Got some good
Speaker 1: news about him on Wednesday. We'll see if he goes
Speaker 1: cornerback one or rather cornerback two. I shouldn't say exaving
Speaker 1: Howard probably not gonna play. Outside linebackers one and two
Speaker 1: Chubbin Phillips out, and then we'll see about running back one,
Speaker 1: rahe Moster. I assume he goes Robert Hunt. Right guard
Speaker 1: one I assume he goes as well, and middle linebacker
Speaker 1: one Jerome Baker, who was injured and returned to practice
Speaker 1: on Wednesday. If they can win this game, it'll be
Speaker 1: a big feather in the cap of several key figures
Speaker 1: McDaniel his staff to I've talked about legacy games a
Speaker 1: little bit. This could potentially be a positive legacy game,
Speaker 1: even though we're gonna get a whole bunch more of
Speaker 1: them in the future down the road. All right, Oh yeah,
Speaker 1: I almost forgot whether it's supposed to be in the
Speaker 1: low sixties at kickoff, and there's a twenty five percent
Speaker 1: chance of reign but a pretty nice January South Florida.
Speaker 1: Even Let's go ahead and pick this up here before
Speaker 1: our first break and talk about the Bills lineup on
Speaker 1: defense versus the Miami offense. So the safeties, this is
Speaker 1: the first time they're gonna have these two guys in
Speaker 1: the lineup since twenty twenty one against US Jordan Poyer,
Speaker 1: Micah Hyde and then Taylor Rapp is the third safety.
Speaker 1: And my goodness to drop off in that third safety
Speaker 1: position for the Bills has been vast this year when
Speaker 1: they've not had these top two guys. But also like
Speaker 1: these guys are in their thirties now that's in It
Speaker 1: shows a little bit I think for both of them.
Speaker 1: Cornerback Rusull Douglas a ninety eight percent snap taker since
Speaker 1: the trade. He has been a boon for them. Man,
Speaker 1: I wish the Packers would not have done that for
Speaker 1: a third round draft pick. It wasn't even a third
Speaker 1: round pick. It was a three and five swap. Hey,
Speaker 1: thanks Green Bay. He had jerks. Christian Benford plays seventy
Speaker 1: five percent of the snaps, and then Dame Jackson plays
Speaker 1: forty two percent off the edge as well, and then
Speaker 1: their slot cornerback is the guy that almost never leaves
Speaker 1: the field. In fact, when he's healthy, he's played all
Speaker 1: of the snaps, but he plays eighty nine percent on
Speaker 1: balance in that slot position. On the interior, de Kwon
Speaker 1: Jones has played just thirteen percent of the snaps, but
Speaker 1: he is back after missing most of the season. At
Speaker 1: Oliver's played two thirds of the snap and he's having
Speaker 1: a breakout campaign. And Tim Settle is a nose tackle specialist.
Speaker 1: He plays thirty six percent of the snaps off the edge.
Speaker 1: Greg Russeau fifty four percent, and Leonard Floyd fifty three
Speaker 1: So those are their top edge rushers. And then they
Speaker 1: kind of have a nice little change up here because
Speaker 1: Russeau and Floyd are more speed bendy guys. And then
Speaker 1: Epanessa thirty six percent and shack loss and thirty percent
Speaker 1: are the heavy handed kind of base down run stuffing ends,
Speaker 1: if that makes sense. And then at linebacker, no Matt Milano,
Speaker 1: so Terrell Bernard has seen his workload increase in ninety
Speaker 1: two percent, with Tyrell Dotson playing fifty one percent. So
Speaker 1: there are some injuries here. Matt Milano, Trey White, Jordan
Speaker 1: Phillips are all down for the game. Taylor rap has
Speaker 1: had some injuries as well, so we'll see if he
Speaker 1: can play. But they're they're healthy, man, Like, They're as
Speaker 1: healthy as anybody is in the league right now. It
Speaker 1: feels like other personnel usage, the nickel package that was
Speaker 1: ninety eight percent used last year and back in Week
Speaker 1: four has changed, and that's probably because of the personnel
Speaker 1: issues they've had in terms of injuries, and also, like,
Speaker 1: here's why it's not really a change, because they've had
Speaker 1: all those injuries in particular Matt Milano, which along with
Speaker 1: Taron Johnson, is kind of the clue to the exclusive
Speaker 1: nickel defense they want to run. But as a result,
Speaker 1: they've just run more dime sixteen percent dime this year.
Speaker 1: So you're still at ninety six percent of the time
Speaker 1: when they are not in a base defense. Look, I
Speaker 1: think the better way to look at this first and
Speaker 1: second down they're a nickel eighty eight and eighty nine
Speaker 1: percent respectively, with forty one percent dying defense on third down,
Speaker 1: and that probably coincides with third and six plus right,
Speaker 1: like you're gonna be dying when it's third long, probably
Speaker 1: your nickel defense when it's third and short to medium.
Speaker 1: They're also in dime on eight percent of first downs
Speaker 1: and eight percent of second downs. So you can dictate
Speaker 1: some of this flow here, I think. And this is
Speaker 1: where I'm excited about the potential return of Robert Hunt
Speaker 1: and Raheem Moster and all you know, borrow coach McDaniel's
Speaker 1: crystal ball routine here, but about whether or not they return.
Speaker 1: But I keep thinking about the game of Buffalo last year,
Speaker 1: where we had all kinds of success running off the
Speaker 1: right side of the offensive line. And I think the
Speaker 1: addition of Austin Jackson, for that matter, is a much
Speaker 1: more deadly combination than Rob Hunt and Brandon Shell, which
Speaker 1: is what it was last year. Now, if you get
Speaker 1: Rob Hutt and Austin Jackson, saddle up boys. So between
Speaker 1: all of that and the inclusion of Devon a Chan,
Speaker 1: who really really stood out in that first game. I
Speaker 1: think that's one route to some offensive production. You could
Speaker 1: take a heavy dose of the run game against a
Speaker 1: defense that is just purely by the numbers of groupings
Speaker 1: inviting you to run the football, get that on early downs,
Speaker 1: staying out of third and long, staying consistent with it,
Speaker 1: and creating opportunities off the play pass game. There's a
Speaker 1: route to a good amount of points here for Miami,
Speaker 1: but they, of course, we'll have to execute for four
Speaker 1: quarters and hope the defense doesn't put you into press mode,
Speaker 1: which at this point they haven't proven they can not
Speaker 1: do that, So we'll see what happens with it. I
Speaker 1: expect us to come out and move the ball and
Speaker 1: score early, but how do we adjust, which I think
Speaker 1: has been the issue versus Baltimore, versus Tennessee versus Buffalo
Speaker 1: last time. Can we find second half offense? Can we
Speaker 1: score with the Bills if they go off again, You're
Speaker 1: gonna have to And that's where I get worried. Man,
Speaker 1: Can we hold their offense? Can we just get some
Speaker 1: Allen turnovers for once against us? Please? Because he puts
Speaker 1: them up against everybody else, can we create some of those.
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and take a break before we come
Speaker 1: back and talk about the personnel and how it matches
Speaker 1: the scheme and also the defensive side of the football
Speaker 1: as well. All that next Draft Time podcast to Travis Wingfield,
Speaker 1: brought to you by Auto Nation. All right, so we
Speaker 1: talked about the scheme, but how does the personnel for
Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills defense match that scheme? As we preview
Speaker 1: Dolphins and Bills on Sunday Night Football here, so they
Speaker 1: have Poyer and hide together for the first time since
Speaker 1: twenty one. That's hard to believe. And what does that mean.
Speaker 1: It means a defense that ranks third and split safety
Speaker 1: pre snap looks at fifty four percent, twenty eighth and
Speaker 1: single high at forty three percent. And what this allows
Speaker 1: them to do is to disguise where the help is,
Speaker 1: who's buzzing crossers, who's wheeling out and going up high
Speaker 1: when they go to those three high shells that you
Speaker 1: get from Cover three or Cover six, And ultimately they
Speaker 1: are successful at muddying the picture that buys their front
Speaker 1: four that extra half second to affect the quarterback. We
Speaker 1: saw it in the last game too, did not get
Speaker 1: moved off the spot and just shreded these guys up
Speaker 1: and layer in the game with more pressing, more passing situations,
Speaker 1: move them off the spot, cover up some of those
Speaker 1: looks with coverage looks. Beat the Dolphin banged up offensive
Speaker 1: line at that point with t Stead and Connor Williams
Speaker 1: out of the game, and get after him. It changes
Speaker 1: the course of the game. That's how they want to
Speaker 1: play it. And they're gonna span the hell out of
Speaker 1: the middle of the field, which seems to be what
Speaker 1: teams have done to us lately. Right, they'll zone turn
Speaker 1: it's all zone. They rank ninth and zone coverage at
Speaker 1: forty four percent twenty two percent. Man is twenty fourth
Speaker 1: the NFL, so one fifth at the time. They'll go
Speaker 1: to a man look and they mix it up. All
Speaker 1: defenses do that, you have to. The one element they
Speaker 1: won't have though, that is so critical is Matt Mulano
Speaker 1: and over the two years of his current Dolphins offensive makeup,
Speaker 1: the teams that have given to and this offense the
Speaker 1: most issues are the ones who have premiere off ball
Speaker 1: linebacker play. And my favorite analyst, Daniel Jeremiah on Twitter
Speaker 1: made a point about this the other day. The two
Speaker 1: current best teams in the NFL to me or San
Speaker 1: Francisco and Baltimore, which I think everyone agrees, is that
Speaker 1: invested in that position more than anybody else during an
Speaker 1: era where that position has almost been devalued. And they
Speaker 1: got Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw, and they got ro
Speaker 1: Qwan Smith and Patrick Queen. And aren't they happy they
Speaker 1: have that. We've also had this disc USh previously. The
Speaker 1: reason I prefer to a skill set any day of
Speaker 1: the week, but especially in twenty twenty three, is defensive
Speaker 1: willingness to play off and protect the deep portion of
Speaker 1: the field, which can eliminate some of the creativity and
Speaker 1: splash plays that modern quarterbacks are making, right, But rather,
Speaker 1: I'd rather be more efficient operating in this newly allotted
Speaker 1: space you have opposed to trying to big play hunt
Speaker 1: and force deep shots with your laser rocket arm, but
Speaker 1: that the one way you can do both is with
Speaker 1: incredibly rangy, instinctive, great middle linebacker play. Right. The Bills
Speaker 1: had that in Milano, but also second year linebacker Terrell
Speaker 1: Bernard has sort of stepped up into that role and
Speaker 1: become a playmaker who's really really clicked in that role.
Speaker 1: So to me, their four best players are middle of
Speaker 1: the field guys and in the back seven, in particular
Speaker 1: Bernard poyer Hyde and Tarin Johnson. They also return Daiquon
Speaker 1: Jones to rejoin at Oliver inside. So it's a defense
Speaker 1: that the teeth right down the middle is where they
Speaker 1: are strongest. So for Miami, how do you adjust? We
Speaker 1: saw a lot of success in the middle field passing
Speaker 1: game versus the Ravens last week, up and down the
Speaker 1: field the whole first half right one punt, a one
Speaker 1: handed full sprint pick from a two hundred and fifty
Speaker 1: pound player, and a drop from the best wide receiver
Speaker 1: of the National Football League takes It's at least a
Speaker 1: seven point swing right, four for the touchdown, three for
Speaker 1: a potential field goal. If Smith does not make that pick,
Speaker 1: you probably have a chance to be leading at halftime.
Speaker 1: If you don't drop a touchdown and you don't get
Speaker 1: an all world pick from a linebacker. I thought the
Speaker 1: Ravens put more bodies inside and you got that second
Speaker 1: I int as a result, So I have a hard
Speaker 1: time imagining Buffalo doing anything different than that. So the
Speaker 1: question becomes, how do you a beat that? And b
Speaker 1: get them out of it. Well. We saw Raheem Mostert
Speaker 1: last year go crazy in the game up there. We
Speaker 1: saw Devon a Chan go crazy in the game up
Speaker 1: there this year. In the October first game, we had
Speaker 1: four runs for fifty six yards off the right edge,
Speaker 1: two for twenty one off the left edge. In the
Speaker 1: game last December ten runs off right tackle or off
Speaker 1: that b gap in the right tackle for ninety two yards.
Speaker 1: That's the Hunt shell combo to get Hunt Jackson back
Speaker 1: this week. I think there's a pretty good chance you do.
Speaker 1: That would be nice, wouldn't it, Because if you get
Speaker 1: that outside running game going, that's how you put that
Speaker 1: mic linebacker in peril. That's how you prevent those safeties
Speaker 1: from false stepping and changing the pitcher by cheating to
Speaker 1: one side of the formation or towards the run of
Speaker 1: the pass, whatever it might be. Put them on their
Speaker 1: horse to the perimeter a couple of times and make
Speaker 1: them realize those false steps are actually creating passing lanes
Speaker 1: and getting you out of your defensive fits. So you
Speaker 1: really need to find a way to strike that balance
Speaker 1: of run and pass. In this game, I thought we
Speaker 1: did an awesome job in the screen game early versus Baltimore,
Speaker 1: which is another way to stress that idea. Especially early
Speaker 1: in the game. They got Michael Pierce's big butt run
Speaker 1: and laterally and it didn't wear him down towards the
Speaker 1: end because he was productive. But it's the same concept.
Speaker 1: They get those lines stretched out and those guys were
Speaker 1: taking the cheese before. They kind of adjusted and made
Speaker 1: good plays off of that. But that's a challenge for
Speaker 1: the coaching staff to find a way to adjust to
Speaker 1: the adjustment, and Buffalo probably starts that way. So maybe
Speaker 1: you start with the adjustments off the top, but the
Speaker 1: quarterback Tua was manipulating those spots. In the passing game,
Speaker 1: we spring a forty five yard run. Those are things
Speaker 1: this offense is always going to be able to get to.
Speaker 1: But when you face a team that can score, can
Speaker 1: you do it for sixty minutes? That's the key that
Speaker 1: or a stop would be nice too. I think having
Speaker 1: to run Armstead. The improved communication each week we see
Speaker 1: inside with Liam playing better with each repealy and it's
Speaker 1: kind of ironic, isn't It is ironic the right word
Speaker 1: here full circle. That first game at center against Buffalo
Speaker 1: was his first game in that position. Now here we
Speaker 1: are to finish the season in that same spot, and
Speaker 1: I think the growth there has been as good as
Speaker 1: any player this entire season. Which I was hard on
Speaker 1: lim in the beginning. It was a low bar to
Speaker 1: a middle level climb, but he's made that climb and
Speaker 1: I think he turned himself into a very productive, potential
Speaker 1: sixth interior guy. Maybe even you're starting to left guard
Speaker 1: next year. We'll find out that's down the road up
Speaker 1: front for Buffalo. They don't run a lot of games.
Speaker 1: It's mostly straight rush and with Jackson playing like he
Speaker 1: has this year, with Toron Armstead being Toron Armstead, with
Speaker 1: how I think the interior three has communicated. I like
Speaker 1: Miami's ability to keep to upright by utilizing the outside
Speaker 1: run and passing game, the quick game, and the play
Speaker 1: action passing game. And don't forget that most Dirt's return
Speaker 1: and what he does in pass Pro would be a
Speaker 1: massive boon for this offense. I also think about the
Speaker 1: options for personnel deployment, like I like Miami's fast twenty
Speaker 1: one grouping. I like their twenty one normal grouping as well.
Speaker 1: That's two backs, one tight ends, and the fast twenty
Speaker 1: one means eight chan regular twenty one means Ingold or
Speaker 1: I should say two tailbacks, not a full back. But
Speaker 1: with the defense that plays undersized by design, that's a
Speaker 1: structure that invites alec Ingold pro bowler alec Ingold to
Speaker 1: make life hell on those undersized players in that second level.
Speaker 1: Hell well, I think go thirty one personnel. Why not
Speaker 1: if waddles out, we'll find out about that. Just let
Speaker 1: Tyreek play the other one wide receiver spot with three backs,
Speaker 1: one tight end and one receiver. Just do that. Get
Speaker 1: Durham going and run most of an e chent out
Speaker 1: into the pattern into the short perimeter game, and then
Speaker 1: when you space them out, run it down their throats.
Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm just like, there's options there, man
Speaker 1: on the perimeter. Let's go ahead and talk about these
Speaker 1: guys outside, because I'm just this game confuses the crap
Speaker 1: out of me. Man. It's like they tell you not
Speaker 1: to like bet with your heart or your heart, right,
Speaker 1: but it's like my heart and my mind are so
Speaker 1: mixed up, the wires are so confused right now. I'm
Speaker 1: basically the episode of Rick and Morty when Morty and
Speaker 1: Summer get there, they're basically DNA entangled and they get
Speaker 1: themselves into a quato situation. Open your mind. If you
Speaker 1: get that, I'm glad you're here with me. If you don't,
Speaker 1: it's you're like, what the hell is this podcast? To
Speaker 1: the perimeter. Finally, for the Buffalo Bills, the rushers will
Speaker 1: inside is actually where it starts because at Oliver leads
Speaker 1: them with sixty one pressures. He and Christian Wilkins have
Speaker 1: become what they were supposed to be that year in
Speaker 1: the draft, class elite inter year defensive lineman who can
Speaker 1: also play outside, but on the actual edge. We talked
Speaker 1: about the difference in nature of the play style of
Speaker 1: Rousseau and Floyd versus Epanessa and Lawson. Was impacted by
Speaker 1: their or I should say it's reflective of their pressure numbers,
Speaker 1: because Russeau has fifty one pressures, Floyd has thirty nine,
Speaker 1: Epanessa has twenty nine, and Lawson has twenty one. So
Speaker 1: it's there's power players, there's lean players, big, strong, long,
Speaker 1: athletic get off all that stuff. And we've seen the
Speaker 1: last three games here have similar makeup in terms of
Speaker 1: the edge rushers and what that might look like. So
Speaker 1: again I thought we had a good screen game against
Speaker 1: Baltimore and Dallas. That's always a great way to kind
Speaker 1: of remove those guys from the equation that in your
Speaker 1: crack back, your outside end around action, there's always a
Speaker 1: great way to take advantage of one gap upfield hair
Speaker 1: on pass rushers in fronts, and that's with your quick game,
Speaker 1: screen game, and outside running game. Then outside on the
Speaker 1: actual perimeter. Rasul Douglas has helped turn that defense around
Speaker 1: with his playmaking and proclivity for stiffing out concepts ahead
Speaker 1: of their proper timing, with smart play ball skills and
Speaker 1: just overall instinctive nature and the length to get in
Speaker 1: those passing lanes. And that's I mean, that's how you
Speaker 1: stop this offense. So he's a good matchup for them
Speaker 1: in that regard. Then it's second year pro Christian Benfer
Speaker 1: on the other side. I really hope we have a
Speaker 1: somewhat healthy Waddle because that's a mismatch. He was a
Speaker 1: sixth round pick who beat out their first round pick
Speaker 1: kyr Elam a couple of years ago. He's playing good ball,
Speaker 1: but I mean he's Waddle, you know, like Shalen freaking
Speaker 1: Wattle or Tyreek Hill. It's a well coached defense, They're
Speaker 1: gonna be on their rules. They're extremely healthy. Outside of
Speaker 1: Matt Mlano and Douglas, I would say is playing even
Speaker 1: better than Trey White was. So it's a good group, man,
Speaker 1: Gonna have to be earned. And just to recap this
Speaker 1: whole segment once more, running backs, quick game, horizontal spacing.
Speaker 1: Those are my keys on offense. And get to those
Speaker 1: looks from similar personnel packages that allow you to be
Speaker 1: able to at the drop of a hat, you know,
Speaker 1: run a power gap scheme on one run or go
Speaker 1: vertical shot to the running back up the perimeter one
Speaker 1: run or one play. I should say we can outmatch
Speaker 1: up these guys. Maybe even some tempo that's possibly in
Speaker 1: there as well. It's tough with the way this offense
Speaker 1: is the vernacular of this offense, but might be an
Speaker 1: option as well. Let's go ahead and take our last
Speaker 1: break right there. Come back on the other side, do
Speaker 1: Bill's offense and that quarterback with a stupid face. It's
Speaker 1: the Dolphins defense that's next to Draft Time podcast. Your
Speaker 1: host Travis Wingfield, I don't like him. Brought to you
Speaker 1: by Hotto Nation. So this Bill's offense, let's talk about
Speaker 1: it here. On the third segment of the Wednesday edition
Speaker 1: of the Draft Time podcast. Josh Allen's the guy that
Speaker 1: leads the way, right. He plays every snap. I think
Speaker 1: they've gone to Barkley a few times for garbage time
Speaker 1: or whatever, but not Barkley Kyle Allen. Sorry, I forget
Speaker 1: their backup quarterback because Allen plays every damn play. Stefan
Speaker 1: digs eighty one percent of the snaps. Gabe Davis eighty seven.
Speaker 1: Is that accurate? Yeah, that's acurate. Trent Sherfield thirty one.
Speaker 1: Their primary slot guy is Khalil Shakur at fifty percent.
Speaker 1: I like his game a lot. Dawson knocks his back.
Speaker 1: He's played forty one percent of the snaps after going
Speaker 1: on IR earlier. Dalton king Kate is the rookie tight
Speaker 1: end in the first round. He plays sixty percent of
Speaker 1: the snaps. And then I put Deontay Hardy on my
Speaker 1: list too because he's played thirteen percent of the snaps
Speaker 1: and it's all inside. But they really, almost as well
Speaker 1: as anybody else in the NFL, do a good job
Speaker 1: of changing that and basically mixing up their groupings to
Speaker 1: where receivers are all over the formation. So man, it
Speaker 1: makes so much sense to me to have Ramsey traveled
Speaker 1: this week, but that's above my pay grade. But they
Speaker 1: have a group here that it's like one guy pops
Speaker 1: up here and there, and Stefan Diggs is it's kind
Speaker 1: of a feast or famine for him. This season. It's
Speaker 1: usually pretty good, but some games have been not so good.
Speaker 1: But it's not a skill group where you're like, that's
Speaker 1: one of the best in the league. It's just not.
Speaker 1: And then on the offensive line, Mitch Morse is the center,
Speaker 1: Connor McGovern's the right guard, Osiris Torreans is the left guard,
Speaker 1: Dion Dawkins is the left tackle, and Spencer Brown's the
Speaker 1: right tackle. And that group of offensive linemen have played
Speaker 1: over one thousand snaps to a man across the board.
Speaker 1: They have not lost anybody to injury. How the hell
Speaker 1: Family Friendly Podcast, Travis, How the fell does that happen? Like,
Speaker 1: do you know that toront Armstead has the second most
Speaker 1: snaps on our offensive line this year? Cool? Fun? Cool?
Speaker 1: I mean like that's not not it's just he's played
Speaker 1: nine games, you know, God, golly, running backs, you can
Speaker 1: tell how how off I am on this podcast right,
Speaker 1: Like I'm so conflicted in my own feelings and my
Speaker 1: own thoughts and everything I think that I know. I
Speaker 1: think I picked the team thirteen and four this year.
Speaker 1: I like to come within two games of that, and
Speaker 1: we've achieved that goal. Twelve and five would be prettyweet.
Speaker 1: Maybe I was twelve and five. Actually, that'd be pretty
Speaker 1: nice to land around the number. But I've been on
Speaker 1: this on the same drum be all year long, right, Like,
Speaker 1: I think that we're gonna keep We're gonna go way
Speaker 1: off script here. I had a conversation with one of
Speaker 1: the media members of the day, like a guy that
Speaker 1: I really respect. But I'm not gonna put the name
Speaker 1: on the podcast because I don't I just don't want
Speaker 1: to tell you about a private conversation, uh, specifically about
Speaker 1: who it was. But we were talking about, like, why
Speaker 1: can't the majority of football fans, at least the ones
Speaker 1: on Twitter that we interact with on a daily basis,
Speaker 1: why are they so unable to like separate emotion and logic.
Speaker 1: And I was like, reporter, how do they get through
Speaker 1: their day? Like how do they deal with any adversity?
Speaker 1: Because what I see on social is tantrums from children
Speaker 1: quite frankly, and I get it, Like I'm emotional about
Speaker 1: this team too. I've been in a bad mood all
Speaker 1: week and I'm starting to come out of it now,
Speaker 1: as you can tell a little bit. But you know,
Speaker 1: I think that I have done my best to stay
Speaker 1: directly with what I've learned about this team in this
Speaker 1: game and this league and how it works, and the
Speaker 1: knowledge that I, you know, I pour through tape every
Speaker 1: single week. I'm fortunate to be able to have this
Speaker 1: be my job to where I can put the time
Speaker 1: in to learn about this thing that I love. And
Speaker 1: I've been consistent all year long because to me, I've
Speaker 1: seen the process and I know it's good. I know
Speaker 1: it's a good football team. I know the good football
Speaker 1: teams typically bury the bad ones and compete with the
Speaker 1: good ones, and we've done that all year long until
Speaker 1: the Ravens game, really in the Buffalo game first time round.
Speaker 1: But there's context all that. But like, I'm just so
Speaker 1: off my game right now in terms of how I
Speaker 1: feel from a confidence standpoint. Maybe that's a good thing,
Speaker 1: because sometimes I when I start to doubt this team
Speaker 1: and this quarterback or whatever, like internally in my mind,
Speaker 1: that's when they play their best football. So we'll see.
Speaker 1: But anyway, let's get back to it. Bill's offense eleven
Speaker 1: personnel sixty one percent of the time, twelve personnel's twenty percent,
Speaker 1: and they have that same twenty one percent or twenty
Speaker 1: one personnel grouping seven percent of the time. They have
Speaker 1: a fullback who plays nine percent of their snap. So
Speaker 1: a few thoughts to start with here. They have bits
Speaker 1: and pieces of five other grouping. So it's a pretty
Speaker 1: vast offense in terms of how deep into the playb
Speaker 1: they can get, but most of those came from the
Speaker 1: Ken Dorsey offense. They do have multiple tight ends they use.
Speaker 1: They have the fullback, they have a mix of receivers
Speaker 1: that kind of see like role specific type of operation
Speaker 1: opposed to the one to two to three pecking order
Speaker 1: you usually get for most teams. I get the feeling
Speaker 1: they're going to operate a lot out of twelve personnel
Speaker 1: and get their run game going and then try to
Speaker 1: go after the middlefield, linebackers, middlefield players, defenders and linebackers
Speaker 1: with those tight ends. But what's our approach on Stefon Diggs,
Speaker 1: Because that's where it starts. He has one hundred and
Speaker 1: fifty one targets and the next most is eighty two
Speaker 1: on the team. That's Dalton king Kaid, their rookie tight end.
Speaker 1: Next is Gabe Davis at seventy six. We know this
Speaker 1: defense isn't one that typically assigns a shadow or traveler, right,
Speaker 1: and look at the way they adjusted versus Dallas to
Speaker 1: shut that team down for two quarters with Cede Lamb
Speaker 1: not seeing the football for two and a half quarters.
Speaker 1: Now X most likely not going to be available. Will
Speaker 1: Ramsey travel with Digs? We saw it happen against the
Speaker 1: Jets without X, and we did not see it with
Speaker 1: Digs last time when Ramsey was out. But I think
Speaker 1: Ramsey's by far are the best defensive back this team has,
Speaker 1: so it makes it different. But with X and Cator,
Speaker 1: now it'll be Ramsey and Cater so it's conceivable to
Speaker 1: think it's on the table. But we're gonna have to
Speaker 1: wait till Sunday to find out, won't we. But I
Speaker 1: mentioned the difference in the offenses here, like, okay, so
Speaker 1: Joe Brady, you know, he's the new OC there and
Speaker 1: he incorporated this RPO middlefield concepts that it's just not
Speaker 1: really Josh Allen's game man, Like he's more of a
Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson in terms of get a deep drop survey,
Speaker 1: get through your progressions, and if you can't make something
Speaker 1: happen there, then use the legs and we have the
Speaker 1: big arm to big play hunt. But he's creating off
Speaker 1: of these plays where it's just like in structure is
Speaker 1: not really happening. So for Miami, it's about finding a
Speaker 1: way to prevent what happens after the instructure stuff because
Speaker 1: they're kind of taking out off the table for themselves
Speaker 1: most of the time. And you know, Allen's the best
Speaker 1: in the world at creating and I say that acknowledge
Speaker 1: in the previous quarterback we played, but I think Josh
Speaker 1: Allen's different in the way he does it because of
Speaker 1: the physical nature he presents and that when you get him,
Speaker 1: he's like never down and he can run through tackles.
Speaker 1: It's crazy. Like I acknowledge that he's a top five
Speaker 1: quarterback in the league, no doubt about that, but I
Speaker 1: want to be clear that he's not impervious to mistakes.
Speaker 1: In fact, he's far from it. He's this top five quarterback,
Speaker 1: but he's not consistent like most of those guys are
Speaker 1: not an on the beaten path performer. It's much more
Speaker 1: of a roller coaster ride, but with these sustained highs
Speaker 1: for long periods of time, and those highs are really
Speaker 1: higher than any other quarterback in the NFL. When he's
Speaker 1: rolling and he's beating you with his feet, and he's
Speaker 1: extending plays and getting the ball to digs on broken
Speaker 1: plays and shaking off two hundred and fifty pound pass
Speaker 1: rushers in the pocket with free runs, I would take
Speaker 1: that over anybody else in the NFL when he's rolling.
Speaker 1: But when he hits the valleys, it's these miss layups,
Speaker 1: it's turnover worthy throws, it's bone headed decisions. This is
Speaker 1: why we need to not play a game where it's
Speaker 1: twenty eight points in their first four drives. You have
Speaker 1: to put him in the spot that tools in against
Speaker 1: the Ravens and make him force him into those mistakes.
Speaker 1: He puts his body unnecessarily risk me. He does this.
Speaker 1: The challenge is how do you generate the ladder and
Speaker 1: prevent the former, Because every damn time this guy plays
Speaker 1: against us, he accesses every bit of doubt that everybody
Speaker 1: has ever had in him and uncorks these berserker performances. Now,
Speaker 1: the last time we had communication issues, we did not
Speaker 1: have all of our parts. Ramsey and Deshaun were down,
Speaker 1: and that's critical two parts of the defensive backfield. We
Speaker 1: had a safety who on hard Knocks last night admitted
Speaker 1: that he was lost at first. Yeah, we knew that,
Speaker 1: but damn it. Vic is the highest paid DC in
Speaker 1: the sport, and he's facing an offensive coordinator who made
Speaker 1: his money off of utilizing one of the greatest pre
Speaker 1: snap processors to ever play the game, and incorporating RPO
Speaker 1: and gun concepts that are supposed to be for these
Speaker 1: cerebral quarterbacks and letting Joe Burrow read that thing out
Speaker 1: back at LSU and now it's Josh Allen and he
Speaker 1: ate that quarterback and it shows. So you're gonna get
Speaker 1: those misses, you're gonna get some wasted downs, and if
Speaker 1: you can slow James Cook down, they'll be in these
Speaker 1: third and longs all game long. And that's when hero
Speaker 1: ball Josh can take over. And we've and that's where
Speaker 1: those feasts and famine ideas come from. He does either
Speaker 1: takes his game to another level or he becomes a
Speaker 1: bad quarterback, literally a bad quarterback. But we've seen him
Speaker 1: do that in multiple games down here, right and We've
Speaker 1: seen him also put the ball in harm's way multiple
Speaker 1: drop picks. I remember having three takeaway chances in that
Speaker 1: twenty twenty game in the fourth quarter alone, and not
Speaker 1: a single one of them got made. Kyle Van Noyd
Speaker 1: drops a pick, Xavion Howard has a deep shop room
Speaker 1: service pick that he drops, and they throw a go
Speaker 1: ahead touchdown on the next play and we lose the game.
Speaker 1: Or in twenty twenty two, the game we did win,
Speaker 1: how many damn chances we have in that one? JP
Speaker 1: bats a pass up in the air and just couldn't
Speaker 1: quite grab it. Javon Holland has a run on a
Speaker 1: ball to the perimeter and can't make that catch. But
Speaker 1: then you had that fourth down miss too, Like you
Speaker 1: force him into these bad decisions by beating him up.
Speaker 1: I'm talking myself through this because what I see on
Speaker 1: tape is a disjointed offense. But I know, I know
Speaker 1: damn well that this guy just finds a way against us.
Speaker 1: I don't know. It's like here, I I have all
Speaker 1: this evidence in front of me, but I refuse to
Speaker 1: listen to it. It's is it that jaded Dolphins fan
Speaker 1: in me? I've scolded our fans for that mentality on
Speaker 1: this show. I've come after you for it, you know,
Speaker 1: like you know what. My family has been gone for
Speaker 1: a week now. They went back home last Thursday, So
Speaker 1: now I'm left alone with my thoughts all week. And
Speaker 1: rather than chasing a toddler around untill nine o'clock at night,
Speaker 1: I think, and you know, women, he's probably out cheating reality. No,
Speaker 1: he's asking how the Dolphins can generate four takeaways against
Speaker 1: Josh Allen and sees two of them. The biggest thing
Speaker 1: with this Bill's offense, well, the two things James Cook
Speaker 1: in his incorporation and who is the second option in
Speaker 1: the passing game to Stefan dig Let's go ahead and
Speaker 1: start with Cook because I think that his running and
Speaker 1: Allen's running two is really the second option on that
Speaker 1: offense behind Diggs, who has what was it seventy more
Speaker 1: targets than anybody else in the offense. He's averaging two
Speaker 1: point eight yards after contact. So it's not like he's
Speaker 1: a great tackle breaker, it's only sixteenth in the National
Speaker 1: Football League. But it's the speed, the vision, the shiftiness,
Speaker 1: and the ability to get to good run looks for
Speaker 1: him to utilize all of that they are a man
Speaker 1: gap scheme that mixes in some zone. So our ability
Speaker 1: to hold the point and disengage and play a physical
Speaker 1: big boy ball is the key here. And that's why
Speaker 1: I like having Wilkins and Seiler who can play both
Speaker 1: you know, five techs, three techs and shade inside of
Speaker 1: the one technique as well. In fact, as much as
Speaker 1: it stinks to not have two or fifteen anymore in
Speaker 1: this game, I think having ninety two and ninety four,
Speaker 1: if I had to pick, is the more important one
Speaker 1: because they need to keep David Long free. They need
Speaker 1: to keep Duke Riley or Jerome Baker free and really
Speaker 1: cut off those interior escape lanes. For Josh Allen, this
Speaker 1: is a quarterback who can erase perimeter pressure, is what
Speaker 1: I'm saying. But we need we need Wilkins and Sealer
Speaker 1: and even Rake one to get it done in the
Speaker 1: running game because they are a volume passing offense that
Speaker 1: will have some misses. You add that with a slowed
Speaker 1: down running game. You get him into third Long and
Speaker 1: you can beat them. Diggs. What do you do with Diggs?
Speaker 1: The best pure route runner and football aside from Justin Jefferson.
Speaker 1: For my money, I think Tyreek and Waddle probably the
Speaker 1: next couple of guys in that list. No Ramsey last time,
Speaker 1: but I wonder if he travels without actually talked about
Speaker 1: all already, because look at Diggs, like if you take
Speaker 1: him out of the offense versus the Patriots and Broncos
Speaker 1: four point eight yards per target and six point eight
Speaker 1: yards per target two games they lost against really bad
Speaker 1: football teams. Broncos are bad. I don't care what the
Speaker 1: record is. Though. He did just have two point two
Speaker 1: yards per target and it went over KC. But that
Speaker 1: was a defensive win. That Bill's offense looked like crap
Speaker 1: all game long, three point four over the Jets in
Speaker 1: that win. So really, maybe this is an in episode
Speaker 1: learning technique here. Maybe the key is more James Cook,
Speaker 1: because they've already show you they lean on the running
Speaker 1: game now. But ultimately I don't want Digs to beat
Speaker 1: me because his highest yards per target in a game
Speaker 1: this year was by five yards more than the next
Speaker 1: closest game was Week four, seventeen point one. That cannot
Speaker 1: happen obviously, and their next three most lop set of
Speaker 1: victories Cowboys, Raiders, and Commanders. Those were his third, fourth
Speaker 1: and fifth highest yards per target game. So yeah, slow
Speaker 1: down digs, slow down their offense, slow the running game,
Speaker 1: slow their offense. And this is an offense that du
Speaker 1: us put the ball in harm's way. So you've got
Speaker 1: to capitalize on those turnovers and teams avoid Jalen rams.
Speaker 1: You like the plague. So will Josh Allen do that?
Speaker 1: I don't think he will. He's gonna challenge your best player.
Speaker 1: So maybe Miami's Pro Bowl cornerback will actually get his
Speaker 1: first I and t ops since the Raider game. Allen
Speaker 1: sixteen picks a three percent I in T rate, six
Speaker 1: fumbles and James Cook has four fumbles. In fact, they
Speaker 1: have nineteen fumbles as a team, So heavy focus on digs,
Speaker 1: slow Cook, capitalize takeaway opportunities. One way you can get
Speaker 1: all of that done is winning inside tougher ask being
Speaker 1: down fifteen to two but forty three is pretty damn good.
Speaker 1: If there's one thing that has won against the Bills
Speaker 1: right tackle Spencer Brown, it's speed, and Van Ginkel has
Speaker 1: lots of this. Maybe we see a speed rush that
Speaker 1: forces Allen into a collapsing pocket, but that's a tall
Speaker 1: order because the Bills have the best offensive line health
Speaker 1: in the NFL. In fact, here's their opening day starters
Speaker 1: Pbees because they have played every damn snap. Dawkins ninety
Speaker 1: seven point three, Torrents seven flat, Morse ninety seven to seven,
Speaker 1: McGovern ninety eight one, and Spencer Brown ninety six to seven.
Speaker 1: Pretty good across the board. Brown's the only one below
Speaker 1: the proverbial Mason Dixon line or whatever, and just looking
Speaker 1: at his game by game stats, one pressure allowed in
Speaker 1: the last meeting, and we didn't have JP in that
Speaker 1: game either, But I think a lot of that is
Speaker 1: Josh Allen moving and creating. The Eagles and Jets were
Speaker 1: teams they got five pressures on him, but those are
Speaker 1: completely different defenses than we play. But Reddick and Huff
Speaker 1: are also fast get with good get off, like Van Ginkle.
Speaker 1: The key is the same as it was last week,
Speaker 1: but in a different way. You have to rush as
Speaker 1: one and there's no possible way to coordinate this, but man,
Speaker 1: you just hope that you're snaps where Ginkel wins the
Speaker 1: edge also coincide with the wins that Christian and z
Speaker 1: that get inside. Speaking of Christian, last point before the
Speaker 1: keys here and we get the he gu out of here.
Speaker 1: And this is true in the game itself and the
Speaker 1: potential rematch scenario for this game. Hit Josh Allen. Hit
Speaker 1: the hell out of him. He opens himself up to
Speaker 1: hits and he's got a sore neck. Hit him, take
Speaker 1: those hits, and Christian annoy the crap him. Do what
Speaker 1: you do best, get him, get him out of his game,
Speaker 1: get him in his head. He's a head case. Lean
Speaker 1: into that and hit him and hit him again. All right,
Speaker 1: that's probably good. I know this team well, we've been
Speaker 1: here before. I want this one so so bad, so bad.
Speaker 1: You don't want this, dew We think of what that
Speaker 1: Bill's win. Key number one. Utilize offensive flexibility playing against
Speaker 1: a nearly exclusive defensive personnel grouping, exploit the matchups and
Speaker 1: utilize the fact that you have a dual purpose tight
Speaker 1: end and running backs to mix those looks and put
Speaker 1: your playmakers in the best positions to go out and
Speaker 1: make plays. Key number two create turnovers. Buffalo is two
Speaker 1: and five in games with multiple giveaways. In the games
Speaker 1: where they only have one giveaway, they are eight and one.
Speaker 1: Create turnovers and you'll have a chance to win this game.
Speaker 1: Keenumber three takes to Von Diggs out of the game,
Speaker 1: not physically, but just remove them from the game. The
Speaker 1: target share dictates and the results that if Digs is
Speaker 1: in effective, the Buffalo offense will be as well, So
Speaker 1: take him out of the game. Areas of concern Alan
Speaker 1: scrambling digs if not approached properly, spamming the middle of
Speaker 1: the field on defense, and us not adjusting areas to
Speaker 1: exploit the perimeter in general, the run game in general,
Speaker 1: and more teams speed on offense than they have on defense.
Speaker 1: Exploit that my prediction. I'm so confused. Guys. We're the
Speaker 1: better team, We're banged up, and Alan goes god mode
Speaker 1: in these games regardless of how much he stinks Versus
Speaker 1: the Chargers of the Patriots last two weeks. If Alan
Speaker 1: accesses god mode, we'll get smoked. But I don't think
Speaker 1: that happens. But still, despite that fact, and despite the
Speaker 1: chances to turn him over, I'm just gonna go with
Speaker 1: what my head's telling me right now, and it's telling
Speaker 1: me we have one more gut punch to endure. Like
Speaker 1: I said, the tape tells me it's a good spot.
Speaker 1: So maybe I'm going with my heart here, but I'm
Speaker 1: gonna say twenty seven to twenty three bills and be
Speaker 1: very sad. That's the end of the podcast. You all
Speaker 1: please be sure to rate, review the podcast, subscribe all
Speaker 1: that fun stuff. Follow me on social at linkld NFL.
Speaker 1: The team at Miami Dolphins check out the fish Tank
Speaker 1: podcast with Seth and oj. Check out the YouTube channel
Speaker 1: for media availabilities, Dolphins a Day and so much more,
Speaker 1: and last but not least, Miami Dolphins dot com. Until
Speaker 1: next time finds up Caroline Cameron, Daddy's coming home tomorrow.
Speaker 1: I'll see you tomorrow. Mm hm