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Slash NFL The Action Network Podcast, 13 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 1: I'm just. 14 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 2: About that action also. 15 00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:52,080 Speaker 1: All right, here we go from throwing your job, we're 16 00:00:52,120 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 1: sitting it to cash. 17 00:00:54,760 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 2: We see most gambles when they go to gamble, they 18 00:00:57,760 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 2: go swim. 19 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 3: That's in'readible being bank, small bank. 20 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 2: I like to make money. 21 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 1: All right. 22 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 2: This is the ultimate combining and you want to be 23 00:01:09,880 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 2: and we are underway. 24 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:18,200 Speaker 1: Welcome into the Action Network Podcast presented by BETTMGM. I'm 25 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:21,280 Speaker 1: your host, Brendan glass Sheen. Today's episode NFL Week four 26 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 1: Best Bets. Joining us this week our usual guests. We 27 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:30,120 Speaker 1: have Luke swayin Vegas Refund, Brandon Anderson also alongside, and 28 00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:34,240 Speaker 1: we've got Anthony Dbundo back in the rotating third chair. 29 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: Don't forget. You can find each of these guys in 30 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:39,960 Speaker 1: the Action Network app free to download award winning Action 31 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 1: Network app for their bets they give out today and 32 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:44,959 Speaker 1: anything else that they might be on for the coming 33 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:47,680 Speaker 1: weekend in the National Football League. Also, if you haven't 34 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:51,400 Speaker 1: done so already, please leave a five star review. If 35 00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:55,720 Speaker 1: you are also inclined, we appreciate any feedback. Speaking of reviews, 36 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 1: we did get one from this past week that is 37 00:01:58,560 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 1: recapping our record so far in the year, So through 38 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 1: three weeks we'll be transparent. Twelve and seventeen is a 39 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:08,799 Speaker 1: show and that includes Brandon Anderson's look ahead lines. He's 40 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 1: got a couple more of those to wrap up the 41 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 1: pod today, so that's. 42 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:14,640 Speaker 2: Just be transparent. Well, we'll maybe sure to do that. 43 00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:16,960 Speaker 1: Going forward, but anything else you might have, any feedback 44 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:19,239 Speaker 1: is a good feedback, So Dubundo. With all that being said, 45 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:21,959 Speaker 1: we'll let you go first with the perfect record to 46 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 1: set up Week four Best bets. 47 00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:23,799 Speaker 2: What did you got? 48 00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:25,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, the past, the past. 49 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:26,840 Speaker 4: We're on to the present and the only thing that 50 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 4: matters is your next bet. And my next bet is 51 00:02:29,560 --> 00:02:31,400 Speaker 4: going to be the Tampa Bay Buccaneers plus three and 52 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 4: a half in this divisional matchup against the Saints. Second 53 00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:36,959 Speaker 4: time I've been on the show. Second time I'm fading 54 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:39,520 Speaker 4: New Orleans. And what I think is the most average 55 00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 4: NFL team you could possibly imagine, And that's what we've 56 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:44,840 Speaker 4: seen from the Saints thus far. There's seventeenth in defensive 57 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:49,040 Speaker 4: efficiency and EPA per play. They are fourteenth in offensive efficiency. 58 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:51,840 Speaker 4: And Derek Carr I don't expect him to play in 59 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 4: this game. I do think it is a marginal downgrade 60 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:56,480 Speaker 4: to Jamis Winston. You know, we all remember the Jamis 61 00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 4: you know, famous Jamis season when he went thirty thirty 62 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:01,480 Speaker 4: and he had, you know, some real explosiveness. But we 63 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:04,200 Speaker 4: haven't really seen that from Jamis at all, even in 64 00:03:04,320 --> 00:03:06,520 Speaker 4: limited time he did play for the Saints in the 65 00:03:06,560 --> 00:03:08,640 Speaker 4: last couple of years when he hasn't been injured or 66 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 4: the backup, and so it's been much more cautious and 67 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:13,800 Speaker 4: underneath and not really pushing the ball down the field. 68 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:16,919 Speaker 4: Jamis and look, the Bucks were overmatched in the trenches 69 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:19,960 Speaker 4: on Monday night against Philly and they really couldn't, you know, 70 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:22,960 Speaker 4: block the Eagles front at all. But I think this 71 00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:25,680 Speaker 4: is a significantly less imposing front if you look at 72 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:28,160 Speaker 4: just pass rush win rate. I don't think Mayfield's going 73 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:29,679 Speaker 4: to be under a ton of trouble. The Saints pass 74 00:03:29,760 --> 00:03:32,760 Speaker 4: rush has been pretty average thus far this year, and 75 00:03:33,280 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 4: you know, in Mayfield when he's had time to throw 76 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 4: versus when he hasn't, has been a very different quarterback 77 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:40,440 Speaker 4: this year. And so I do think that the Bucks 78 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 4: will keep this game tight. It'll be a very low 79 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:45,000 Speaker 4: scoring affair. The overtok some money and went from thirty 80 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 4: nine and a half to forty one and then immediately 81 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:49,400 Speaker 4: got back down to the thirty nine and a half. Now, 82 00:03:49,440 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 4: if it does get back to forty one, I also 83 00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:53,600 Speaker 4: like the under, but anything over a field goal here 84 00:03:53,680 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 4: is good for me. With the Tampa Bay on the road, 85 00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:57,680 Speaker 4: I know it's a short week, but I really don't 86 00:03:57,680 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 4: trust this Saints offense. They haven't really been effective through 87 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 4: the air with Card and so I don't really think 88 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 4: it's gonna be much better without him. Keep in mind, 89 00:04:05,440 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 4: yes they got to seventeen points last week, but they 90 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 4: did get a touchdown on a putt return from Rashid Chihed. 91 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 4: So it hasn't really been a good offensive showing from 92 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:16,800 Speaker 4: the Saints yet this season. I mean, their best game 93 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:19,880 Speaker 4: was probably Carolina in Week two, where they struggled to 94 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:22,840 Speaker 4: get to twenty, and that's against the Carolina defense that 95 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:25,720 Speaker 4: got torched just last week so and has a ton 96 00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 4: of injuries. So I'm pretty down on the Saints team. 97 00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:30,080 Speaker 4: I think they're very average, so catching over that key 98 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:32,560 Speaker 4: field goal, I like the Bucks plus three and a 99 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:33,800 Speaker 4: half in Week four. 100 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:36,520 Speaker 1: Okay, very good, Brandon. Let's go to you on this 101 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:41,480 Speaker 1: one because you brought up this game as your look 102 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:45,359 Speaker 1: ahead spot and this didn't even factor in Jamis Winston. 103 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:47,640 Speaker 1: And now you've got Jamis, so you're probably feeling pretty 104 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:49,320 Speaker 1: good about getting that three and a half. There are 105 00:04:49,320 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 1: a lot of threes out there as well, so you 106 00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:53,040 Speaker 1: probably feel good about getting the three and a half. 107 00:04:53,320 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, this is my first pick as well. 108 00:04:54,800 --> 00:04:56,560 Speaker 5: I like the Bucks plus three and a half all 109 00:04:56,600 --> 00:04:58,160 Speaker 5: the reasons we've talked about already. 110 00:04:58,600 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 2: Look, Alvin Kamara is back. 111 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 5: He's really not been that good against the Bucks in 112 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:04,279 Speaker 5: his past under forty five yards a game in eleven 113 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:06,520 Speaker 5: games for his career, so that's not going to move 114 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:09,160 Speaker 5: the needle too much for me. I think these teams 115 00:05:09,160 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 5: are relatively similar. Both defenses are pretty good, but not 116 00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:14,520 Speaker 5: quite as good as they have been in recent years. 117 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:17,240 Speaker 5: Saints run defense is beatable, but the Buck's not gonna 118 00:05:17,279 --> 00:05:19,560 Speaker 5: run them anyway. But for me, it just comes back 119 00:05:19,600 --> 00:05:21,560 Speaker 5: to the same old thing with the Saints, like you know, 120 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:24,680 Speaker 5: you know, like the lebron meme Dennis Allen, Derek Carr, 121 00:05:24,839 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 5: Jamis Winston, Like I don't care put whoever from the Saints. 122 00:05:27,680 --> 00:05:30,039 Speaker 5: I'm fading them. I'm just gonna keep fading the Saints. 123 00:05:30,279 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 5: Here's the numbers. Dennis Allen four and ten against the 124 00:05:33,520 --> 00:05:36,719 Speaker 5: spread as a favorite, twenty nine percent one in six 125 00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:39,720 Speaker 5: in the division as a favorite. Jamis we get him 126 00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:42,200 Speaker 5: instead of Car eight eighteen and a one against the 127 00:05:42,160 --> 00:05:44,960 Speaker 5: spread as a favorite, including when he's a favorite of 128 00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:48,760 Speaker 5: three or more three eleven and a one ats, He's 129 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:51,200 Speaker 5: only eight and seven straight up in those games. So 130 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:54,440 Speaker 5: Jameis Winston when he's the better team by a bunch 131 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 5: a field goaler more, is basically a five hundred quarterback, 132 00:05:57,640 --> 00:06:01,239 Speaker 5: which yeah, that checks out what we've seen from Jamis 133 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 5: for the last decade of Jamis ball, So I like 134 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:06,760 Speaker 5: this line. I certainly like the three and a half 135 00:06:06,880 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 5: when we're at a low total like Debuno talked about, 136 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:12,599 Speaker 5: so that helps us as well. And yeah, I'll just 137 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 5: play it. Play the Bucks plus three and a half 138 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:17,720 Speaker 5: underdogs of four or less when the totals forty two 139 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:20,240 Speaker 5: or below eighty two to forty seven and two against 140 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:22,920 Speaker 5: the spread last five year sixty three percent, So that's 141 00:06:22,920 --> 00:06:24,360 Speaker 5: a good spot for the Bucks as well. 142 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 1: And these teams don't meet again till week seventeen, so 143 00:06:27,880 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 1: it's a kind of a swing game here. I mean, 144 00:06:29,880 --> 00:06:32,000 Speaker 1: who knows the Falcons are in the mix as well, 145 00:06:32,040 --> 00:06:33,720 Speaker 1: But this is a kind of a big game considering 146 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:36,120 Speaker 1: it is a divisional game head to head. But yeah, 147 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:39,000 Speaker 1: look it's looking like it's Jamis not Derek Carr this week, 148 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:42,760 Speaker 1: and both of these guys like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 149 00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 1: to cover. Luke, what's your first one for Week four? 150 00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:47,599 Speaker 6: So I'm gonna go with the Ravens plus three right 151 00:06:47,640 --> 00:06:51,000 Speaker 6: now on the road at Cleveland against the Browns, which 152 00:06:51,760 --> 00:06:54,719 Speaker 6: this one really is like AFC North, Like I do 153 00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:56,919 Speaker 6: feel like if you just bet every underdog in an 154 00:06:56,960 --> 00:06:59,360 Speaker 6: AFC North Divisional game that it is at least three 155 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 6: you'd probably come out ahead at the end of the 156 00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:04,240 Speaker 6: year that at least this year where this is a 157 00:07:04,279 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 6: Browns team, that their defense is setting records right now 158 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:11,480 Speaker 6: in terms of success rates through the first three weeks, 159 00:07:11,520 --> 00:07:14,680 Speaker 6: and they are fantastic, they are so improved. 160 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:15,520 Speaker 2: But I do think we. 161 00:07:15,520 --> 00:07:20,280 Speaker 6: Have to temper expectations somewhat to the degree that this 162 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:22,400 Speaker 6: is just a different beast in terms of who they 163 00:07:22,440 --> 00:07:25,880 Speaker 6: have played. Deshaun, like we said last week on the pod, 164 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 6: looked great, like it was his coming out party almost 165 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:31,160 Speaker 6: for this year against the Titans, but that was the 166 00:07:31,200 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 6: Titans defense. That was the secondary that everyone is going 167 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:37,640 Speaker 6: to rip up every single week. And then going back 168 00:07:37,680 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 6: to the Ravens, their defense is equally if not I 169 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:44,880 Speaker 6: wouldn't say better, but their defense is not far behind. 170 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:47,360 Speaker 6: So this is definitely a step up in class for 171 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:51,000 Speaker 6: Deshaun and then Ravens' offensive line injuries, this is the key. 172 00:07:51,360 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 6: Linderbaum and Staley haven't didn't play last week, and Lamar 173 00:07:55,960 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 6: really looked like the Lamar of his rookie first couple 174 00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:02,680 Speaker 6: of years running the ball designed runs where they couldn't 175 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 6: really accomplish the offense that they want to without those 176 00:08:06,400 --> 00:08:08,920 Speaker 6: two main pieces. And they did practice yesterday, so the 177 00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:12,280 Speaker 6: expectation is they're going to play this week, which is 178 00:08:12,320 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 6: big again, especially against this Cleveland defense. And plus three 179 00:08:16,440 --> 00:08:19,640 Speaker 6: you're selling the Browns and buying the Ravens, who just 180 00:08:19,760 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 6: lost the Cults in a divisional game on the road. 181 00:08:22,680 --> 00:08:23,480 Speaker 2: And the Ravens. 182 00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 6: I think Omar is like eleven and zero is an 183 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:29,640 Speaker 6: underdog in the regular season, and the Ravens are just 184 00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 6: one of the better underdog teams that you want to 185 00:08:31,160 --> 00:08:32,720 Speaker 6: bet on overall as well. 186 00:08:32,760 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 2: So Ravens plus three. 187 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 1: Two teams top ten in DVOA through a couple of weeks. 188 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:40,480 Speaker 1: And I think Brandon's likes the Ravens this week in 189 00:08:40,520 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 1: week four as well. How do you feel this Todd 190 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:47,120 Speaker 1: Munkin led pass attack has gone so far? I mean, 191 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:50,079 Speaker 1: having guys out as Luke benched is a big factor 192 00:08:50,120 --> 00:08:53,960 Speaker 1: and installing that and getting progress. So where are you 193 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:56,080 Speaker 1: at here with the Ravens if you're into them as well? 194 00:08:56,280 --> 00:08:58,880 Speaker 5: Yeah, So Ravens plus three is my second pick. The 195 00:08:58,920 --> 00:09:02,320 Speaker 5: monk in question is a good and to me watching 196 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:04,720 Speaker 5: the games, I don't love the eye test. 197 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:06,640 Speaker 2: I don't exactly love what I'm seeing. 198 00:09:06,640 --> 00:09:09,280 Speaker 5: And what I wanted the spread attack to be is 199 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:12,880 Speaker 5: spread it out horizontal, spread it out a vertical and 200 00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:15,360 Speaker 5: now what are you gonna do about Lamar run in 201 00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:17,480 Speaker 5: all of that space? And I haven't really seen the 202 00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:19,719 Speaker 5: vertical a whole lot here. I've seen a lot of 203 00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 5: like two yard passes as a flowers, and Lamar is 204 00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:25,520 Speaker 5: getting the ball out fast, way faster than he has 205 00:09:25,520 --> 00:09:27,360 Speaker 5: in the past, and they're just like, get the ball 206 00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:28,120 Speaker 5: to the playmakers. 207 00:09:28,160 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 2: Well, Lamar is the playmaker. 208 00:09:29,760 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 5: I kind of want to see more of that long term, 209 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:35,360 Speaker 5: short term that looks pretty good for this game because 210 00:09:35,640 --> 00:09:37,360 Speaker 5: if I don't know if I trust the Ravens offensive 211 00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 5: line and we know how good Cleveland is rushing the passer, hey, 212 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:42,280 Speaker 5: what do I want? Hey, Lamar, get the ball out, 213 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:44,760 Speaker 5: get the ball to the playmakers, let them do the thing. 214 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:47,160 Speaker 5: So that's actually part of the cap why I like 215 00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:49,840 Speaker 5: them here is even though I'm not totally sold on 216 00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:51,920 Speaker 5: it long term and I think they're just kind of 217 00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:55,160 Speaker 5: figuring it out still, I like the quick passes and 218 00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:56,520 Speaker 5: I like how they get that out here. 219 00:09:57,080 --> 00:09:59,960 Speaker 2: I agree with Luke I don't trust the Browns offense. Here. 220 00:10:00,640 --> 00:10:02,680 Speaker 5: The Ravens line we talk about, but the Browns are 221 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:05,040 Speaker 5: missing their right tackle. Their line Chris really has not 222 00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:07,200 Speaker 5: lived up to what it's supposed to be. You know, 223 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:09,480 Speaker 5: top three in the league hasn't played like that this year. 224 00:10:09,920 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 5: No Nick Chubb, So that's gonna new to the run 225 00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:15,599 Speaker 5: game a little bit. And look Deshaun Watson against a 226 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:18,959 Speaker 5: real defense. Like Luke said, there's not Tennessee here anymore. 227 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:23,280 Speaker 5: Tennessee bleeds passing yards. Ravens are top five defensive DBOA 228 00:10:23,760 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 5: and like I think the. 229 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:26,360 Speaker 2: Browns are better on defense. 230 00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:30,120 Speaker 5: The numbers are incredible, but we're hearing a lot of 231 00:10:30,120 --> 00:10:32,680 Speaker 5: talk this week about ah, it's a historic defense. It's 232 00:10:32,679 --> 00:10:35,079 Speaker 5: one of those like Super Bowl on their own defenses, 233 00:10:35,120 --> 00:10:38,080 Speaker 5: and as possible, they look really good. But we're three 234 00:10:38,120 --> 00:10:41,760 Speaker 5: weeks in which one's more likely either that we already 235 00:10:41,800 --> 00:10:45,600 Speaker 5: have historic defense or that we have three outlier weeks. 236 00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:48,720 Speaker 5: One and bad weather against injured Burrow, one against the 237 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:51,400 Speaker 5: worst offense in the league, the Steelers so far, one 238 00:10:51,440 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 5: against the worst line in the league, the Titans, and 239 00:10:54,280 --> 00:10:57,079 Speaker 5: we're gonna get some regression and come back toward even 240 00:10:57,120 --> 00:11:01,280 Speaker 5: still maybe number one, but not like crazy historical number one, 241 00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:04,319 Speaker 5: So to me, it's just like a kind of playing 242 00:11:04,360 --> 00:11:06,960 Speaker 5: the regression angle a little bit. And then yeah, I 243 00:11:07,000 --> 00:11:08,840 Speaker 5: got some of the numbers that Luke mentioned here. So 244 00:11:08,880 --> 00:11:11,520 Speaker 5: you talk about the division underdog thing, that's a thing 245 00:11:11,520 --> 00:11:14,680 Speaker 5: in the AFC nor since two thousand and nine underdogs 246 00:11:14,800 --> 00:11:17,800 Speaker 5: under four points in the division fifty one twenty nine 247 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:20,920 Speaker 5: and four against the spread sixty three percent, So that's 248 00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:23,839 Speaker 5: a thing we know, Like Ravens Steelers next week, already 249 00:11:23,880 --> 00:11:25,680 Speaker 5: got my eye on that one. It's gonna be another 250 00:11:25,679 --> 00:11:27,760 Speaker 5: one of the spots like you play the short dogs 251 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:31,400 Speaker 5: in this division. Lamar's eleven and one ats as an underdog, 252 00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:33,800 Speaker 5: but eight and four straight up, so I think it 253 00:11:33,880 --> 00:11:36,680 Speaker 5: was a good spot there as well. John Harbot sixty 254 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:40,800 Speaker 5: percent against the spread as an underdog, Watson not grey 255 00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:44,040 Speaker 5: as a favorite forty one percent, Stefanski's thirty seven percent, 256 00:11:44,120 --> 00:11:46,520 Speaker 5: two and eight in the division as a favorite. So 257 00:11:46,559 --> 00:11:48,679 Speaker 5: it's a lot of trends here, and I think it's 258 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:51,560 Speaker 5: just kind of a by low ish on the Ravens 259 00:11:51,720 --> 00:11:54,840 Speaker 5: after they lost an overtime. Again, they really should have won, frankly, 260 00:11:54,880 --> 00:11:57,199 Speaker 5: if the refs had done their job and sell a 261 00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:59,560 Speaker 5: little bit eye on Cleveland, so I'll take the Ravens 262 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:02,920 Speaker 5: plus three. Definitely want the three, so I would not 263 00:12:02,960 --> 00:12:04,960 Speaker 5: wait around on that. I don't think this gets past 264 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:07,520 Speaker 5: the three. This is probably a good teaser leg if 265 00:12:07,559 --> 00:12:09,440 Speaker 5: you're looking for a teaser for later as well. 266 00:12:09,679 --> 00:12:11,360 Speaker 2: But give me the Ravens plus three. 267 00:12:11,480 --> 00:12:15,520 Speaker 3: It's Baltimore, gentlemen, the gods will not save you. 268 00:12:15,600 --> 00:12:18,840 Speaker 1: Keep an eye on that Baltimore. I mean, Brandon brought 269 00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:21,600 Speaker 1: up good points on the Brown's injury front with their line. 270 00:12:21,640 --> 00:12:25,040 Speaker 1: But keep an eye on that Raven's injury report because 271 00:12:25,520 --> 00:12:27,040 Speaker 1: if guys maybe get ruled out, maybe you do get 272 00:12:27,040 --> 00:12:29,560 Speaker 1: a better number two. But Brandon and Luke brought up 273 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:32,040 Speaker 1: points as to why they are by and low by 274 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 1: low spot on the Baltimore Ravens. Before we get to 275 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:39,400 Speaker 1: Dubundo's second pick, let's talk about our new sponsor, Factor, 276 00:12:39,520 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 1: America's number one ready to eat meal kit. Factor hooks 277 00:12:43,200 --> 00:12:46,600 Speaker 1: you up with delicious, chef prepared, ready to eat meals 278 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:49,560 Speaker 1: delivered straight to your house. 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Just head to factormeals dot 287 00:13:14,120 --> 00:13:19,600 Speaker 1: com Slash Action Network Pod fifty and use Code Action 288 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:23,520 Speaker 1: Network Pod fifty. That's five zero to get fifty percent off. 289 00:13:23,559 --> 00:13:27,960 Speaker 1: That's Code Action Network Pod fifty at Factor Meals dot 290 00:13:28,000 --> 00:13:32,280 Speaker 1: Com Slash Action Network Pod fifty to get fifty percent off. 291 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:34,640 Speaker 1: Second pick for dubundo, What do you got? 292 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:38,320 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm going with the Cincinnati Bengals and the Tennessee 293 00:13:38,360 --> 00:13:43,600 Speaker 4: Titans under at forty one here for my second best bet. 294 00:13:44,160 --> 00:13:48,400 Speaker 4: And look, I understand that the Titans defense got pretty 295 00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:50,959 Speaker 4: well annihilated down the field last week, but I'm not 296 00:13:51,120 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 4: so sure that Joe Burrow is capable of that at 297 00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:56,280 Speaker 4: the current moment. And so through the first three weeks 298 00:13:56,320 --> 00:13:59,440 Speaker 4: of the NFL season, Burrow is dead last in completion 299 00:13:59,520 --> 00:14:03,560 Speaker 4: percentage above expected that cpoe over expected, so he has 300 00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:05,800 Speaker 4: been the least accurate passer in the NFL, and clearly 301 00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:06,679 Speaker 4: he's playing on one leg. 302 00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:07,720 Speaker 3: He's not one hundred percent. 303 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 4: He hasn't quite set it, but he's basically acknowledged it 304 00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:12,840 Speaker 4: post game on Monday night as well. 305 00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:15,400 Speaker 3: And what has that done for this offense. 306 00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:17,400 Speaker 4: It's essentially put a ceiling on how much they're able 307 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:20,160 Speaker 4: to do the down the field isolation routes that made 308 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:22,640 Speaker 4: this offense so good because they have receivers that are 309 00:14:22,680 --> 00:14:25,360 Speaker 4: excellent one on one with Higgins and Chase and Burrow's 310 00:14:25,360 --> 00:14:28,680 Speaker 4: precision and timing and accuracy outside the numbers is what 311 00:14:28,960 --> 00:14:31,440 Speaker 4: powered this offense to being really good. They have not 312 00:14:31,560 --> 00:14:34,120 Speaker 4: been able to run the ball whatsoever, and they are 313 00:14:34,160 --> 00:14:35,320 Speaker 4: not going to be able to run the ball on 314 00:14:35,320 --> 00:14:37,920 Speaker 4: this Tennessee defense, which is excellent front that gets a 315 00:14:37,920 --> 00:14:40,120 Speaker 4: lot of pressure as well. So I think the Bengals 316 00:14:40,160 --> 00:14:41,240 Speaker 4: are going to have to do a lot of long, 317 00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:43,160 Speaker 4: methodical drives similar. 318 00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:44,520 Speaker 3: To what we saw on Monday night. 319 00:14:44,760 --> 00:14:47,040 Speaker 4: And how many times did they have a ten play 320 00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:48,880 Speaker 4: field goal drive that ended in a fifty yard field 321 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:51,760 Speaker 4: goal by McPherson. So I think that this Bengals offense 322 00:14:51,840 --> 00:14:53,680 Speaker 4: is nowhere close to its best and will not be 323 00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:55,720 Speaker 4: there for a long time this year. I think you know, 324 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 4: we have to monitor Burrow and if we start seeing 325 00:14:57,520 --> 00:14:59,360 Speaker 4: positive signs, we can adjust them upward. 326 00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:01,080 Speaker 3: But not really seeing much there. 327 00:15:01,560 --> 00:15:04,480 Speaker 4: And this Bengals defensive line continues to be a pretty 328 00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:06,760 Speaker 4: good unit that should get a ton of pressure on Tannehill. 329 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:09,360 Speaker 4: The offensive line for the Titans, you know, Brandon mentioned 330 00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:11,120 Speaker 4: it has not been a good unit this year. 331 00:15:11,160 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 3: He came in. 332 00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:13,280 Speaker 4: I think he had them bottom five in the league, 333 00:15:13,920 --> 00:15:15,920 Speaker 4: so and they have not lived up to the expectation. 334 00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:17,800 Speaker 4: Their left tackle play has been really bad. And we 335 00:15:17,880 --> 00:15:20,280 Speaker 4: just saw what bad left tackle play did for the 336 00:15:20,360 --> 00:15:22,920 Speaker 4: Rams on Monday night in the similar situation. So I 337 00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:25,680 Speaker 4: think the Titans, with their lack of explosiveness down the 338 00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:29,680 Speaker 4: field and Tannehill kind of showing signs of decline, these 339 00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:32,840 Speaker 4: two offenses continue to be very overvalued. And so I'm 340 00:15:32,840 --> 00:15:35,200 Speaker 4: going to take under forty one here in this game. 341 00:15:35,520 --> 00:15:37,560 Speaker 6: What do you think it would be like we had 342 00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:39,800 Speaker 6: a healthy Burrow? Like, what would you make this total? 343 00:15:40,520 --> 00:15:43,520 Speaker 4: Probably another three points, because I mean it's a sent 344 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:46,360 Speaker 4: Like if you think Burrow is worth about six to 345 00:15:46,400 --> 00:15:49,440 Speaker 4: seven points to the spread, you have to have him 346 00:15:49,440 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 4: at like twenty five thirty percent of that. So you're 347 00:15:51,720 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 4: you're taking you know, four points off the Bengals number 348 00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:58,080 Speaker 4: probably per game, just based on his injury and just 349 00:15:58,080 --> 00:16:00,400 Speaker 4: the way it dramatically changes how they have to play. 350 00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:02,000 Speaker 4: It's not like this team can run the ball. They're 351 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:05,040 Speaker 4: not hitting explosives. Even against the Ravens that they had 352 00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:07,120 Speaker 4: one big passing play and that was Week two, that 353 00:16:07,120 --> 00:16:08,760 Speaker 4: was before he reinjured the calf at the end of 354 00:16:08,800 --> 00:16:11,880 Speaker 4: the game. So yeah, I think that there's real concerns here. 355 00:16:11,880 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 4: And look, this Rams defense couldn't stop anybody the week 356 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:17,600 Speaker 4: before against the Niners and whatnot, and so has not. 357 00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:20,320 Speaker 4: I come pretty down on the Rams defense, and they 358 00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 4: pretty much kept Burrow and checked the whole game and 359 00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:25,600 Speaker 4: forced him into you know, a negative EPA per play. 360 00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:27,920 Speaker 3: So down on these defenses. I think Tennessee is a 361 00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 3: great teaser spot. You could tease them with the Ravens. 362 00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:32,520 Speaker 4: I think that's a great teaser with two low totals 363 00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:34,240 Speaker 4: and should be tight games as well. 364 00:16:34,400 --> 00:16:37,640 Speaker 1: When these teams met in Nashville last year, Bengals won 365 00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:41,960 Speaker 1: twenty sixteen. Jamar Chase didn't play Joe Burrow thirty seven 366 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:45,440 Speaker 1: pass attempts, they five completion two undred and seventy yards, 367 00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:48,880 Speaker 1: they did, so maybe it's that much. It's not you know, 368 00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:50,680 Speaker 1: you're not playing the t You're not playing the Titans 369 00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:54,360 Speaker 1: on a side, but it fulfills the Mike Vrabel underdog 370 00:16:54,520 --> 00:16:57,360 Speaker 1: spot at home thing, even if I was. 371 00:16:57,320 --> 00:16:59,640 Speaker 4: Playing aside here at one hundred percent take Tennessee at home. 372 00:17:00,720 --> 00:17:03,240 Speaker 4: I think that the Titans defense, like I know, they've 373 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:06,280 Speaker 4: gotten dice deep a lot this year, but they have 374 00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:09,720 Speaker 4: consistently performed expectations in the town on the field for 375 00:17:09,760 --> 00:17:12,080 Speaker 4: multiple years. So I'm not gonna let like one really 376 00:17:12,080 --> 00:17:14,239 Speaker 4: good Deshaun Watson game change my opinion on that. 377 00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:16,520 Speaker 3: And I still think this is a very good defense. 378 00:17:17,760 --> 00:17:19,400 Speaker 1: Brandon, I feel like you might have something to say 379 00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:19,720 Speaker 1: about that. 380 00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:24,280 Speaker 5: So I'm gonna agree with pretty much everything to Bundo 381 00:17:24,480 --> 00:17:27,200 Speaker 5: just said, except I'm gonna interpret the data a little differently. 382 00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:29,399 Speaker 5: And the one thing I'm gonna do differently is I'm 383 00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:31,600 Speaker 5: gonna play the Bengals here minus two. I'm gonna thread 384 00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:35,200 Speaker 5: the needle because I'll tell you right now, I will 385 00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:37,480 Speaker 5: not feel comfortable with this bet. I think it's gonna 386 00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 5: be a sticky, ugly bet, and I'm gonna hope to 387 00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:42,760 Speaker 5: get like probably a three or four point win. 388 00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:44,919 Speaker 2: So tell you right now this gets to three, I 389 00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:47,960 Speaker 2: don't want it. Yeah, it's close. 390 00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:49,920 Speaker 5: I don't mind if you rather play the money line 391 00:17:49,960 --> 00:17:52,199 Speaker 5: here and cover your one or two point one. 392 00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:54,040 Speaker 2: I think it's going to be a tight one. 393 00:17:54,080 --> 00:17:56,280 Speaker 5: But I do think for a lot of the reasons 394 00:17:56,359 --> 00:17:58,000 Speaker 5: Dubundi you just said, I think this kind of lines 395 00:17:58,080 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 5: up like a repeat of what we just watched Monday night, 396 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:02,760 Speaker 5: which can we stop with the Monday night double headers? 397 00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:05,960 Speaker 5: Like we're getting two bad games simultaneous, and it's like, 398 00:18:06,000 --> 00:18:07,880 Speaker 5: what do we I do want to listen to Peyton 399 00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:09,960 Speaker 5: and Eli. Can we just listen to them talk about 400 00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:13,600 Speaker 5: stuff and have some good football? But the line, Debando 401 00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:16,359 Speaker 5: this is this was my dead last line. Tennessee is 402 00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:21,040 Speaker 5: for the league and their right tackle still out suspended Scoronski, 403 00:18:21,119 --> 00:18:23,320 Speaker 5: the rookie who I think is probably their best lineman, 404 00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:27,199 Speaker 5: he's out, he's injured. And we just saw the Rams 405 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:30,400 Speaker 5: line could not hold up. We saw Cincinnati effectively win 406 00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:32,760 Speaker 5: the game with their defensive line like Trey Hendrickston and 407 00:18:32,800 --> 00:18:35,800 Speaker 5: the rest of the guys just dominated. So to me, 408 00:18:37,240 --> 00:18:39,720 Speaker 5: I really don't have anything to disagree with on the 409 00:18:39,720 --> 00:18:42,560 Speaker 5: Burrow critiques. He has not been good. He's clearly not right. 410 00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:46,680 Speaker 5: We're on Burrow watch. But I just trust the rest 411 00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:49,640 Speaker 5: of Cincinnati enough in a spot where like you're still 412 00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:52,200 Speaker 5: playing for your season here effectively, you got to get 413 00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:56,200 Speaker 5: a win like this, and Tennessee, I just don't think 414 00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:59,480 Speaker 5: that they're very good that last week we had the 415 00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:02,080 Speaker 5: Charger against the Titans, and it was like a classic 416 00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:06,240 Speaker 5: setup spot. Sorry, not the Chargers, the Browns right against 417 00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:10,879 Speaker 5: the Titans, the classic Rabel underdog spot, and all my 418 00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:13,119 Speaker 5: trends liked it, and I just couldn't quite get there. 419 00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:15,119 Speaker 5: And then we saw the result, Like the Titans couldn't 420 00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:16,000 Speaker 5: quite get there either. 421 00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:17,680 Speaker 2: Their line got dominated. 422 00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:19,840 Speaker 5: It was a great spot where you know, the Browns 423 00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:21,760 Speaker 5: are supposed to be a bad rundy and Derrick Henry 424 00:19:21,800 --> 00:19:24,760 Speaker 5: did absolutely nothing. This is again the Bengals rundy has 425 00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:26,720 Speaker 5: not been great so far this year, so it sets 426 00:19:26,800 --> 00:19:29,920 Speaker 5: up well. But Derrick Henry like he's not even getting 427 00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:33,560 Speaker 5: the workhorse touches anymore like he has been. So Yeah, 428 00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:36,600 Speaker 5: the Titans run defense. We've said this before, it's a 429 00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:39,480 Speaker 5: pass funnel. So I think that sets up well for Burrow. 430 00:19:40,040 --> 00:19:42,159 Speaker 5: I think that's the spot where I'm not betting on 431 00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:44,680 Speaker 5: Burrow necessarily, I just want him to get the ball 432 00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:46,920 Speaker 5: out to Chase and Higgins, let them do the work, 433 00:19:47,000 --> 00:19:48,359 Speaker 5: let the defense do the work. 434 00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:49,920 Speaker 2: Basically, just get us home. 435 00:19:50,040 --> 00:19:54,280 Speaker 5: So yeah, there's one stat here, Bengals our own three 436 00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:58,920 Speaker 5: against the spread Sunday's October one from October forward, when 437 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,880 Speaker 5: you are twenty percent lower ATS against a team that's 438 00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:04,679 Speaker 5: sixty percent or higher ATS. So it's kind of like 439 00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:06,600 Speaker 5: our luck ranking sort of thing, right, It's the team 440 00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:09,680 Speaker 5: that's not doing their job against teams that are. You're 441 00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:12,639 Speaker 5: covering sixty five percent of the time. So that's a 442 00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:15,639 Speaker 5: good spot here for the Bengals. Goes against the rable 443 00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:19,480 Speaker 5: underdog thing. It goes against that underdog low totals trend. 444 00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:23,040 Speaker 5: So it's not my favorite spot in the world. I'm 445 00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:26,199 Speaker 5: just trusting on the Bengals having to get over the 446 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:27,600 Speaker 5: line and getting the job done here. 447 00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:28,720 Speaker 2: So I'll take the minus two. 448 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:33,679 Speaker 1: Okay, So Bengals minus two. Brandon's third pick. I think 449 00:20:33,680 --> 00:20:35,160 Speaker 1: we got to go back to Luke, though. Lukes still 450 00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:36,600 Speaker 1: get a second one that he's got to give out 451 00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:39,480 Speaker 1: for us. So Luke's got two more, Dubundo one more, Luke, 452 00:20:39,520 --> 00:20:40,440 Speaker 1: what's your second. 453 00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:43,639 Speaker 6: One, I go Bill's minus two and a half hosting 454 00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:48,320 Speaker 6: the red hot Dolphins, which Dolphins are probably peak height 455 00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:51,320 Speaker 6: in terms of expectation of like the public procession of 456 00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:53,040 Speaker 6: like the hottest teams in the leages. They just put 457 00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:56,879 Speaker 6: up seventy, like everyone saw that, and without Waddle, you 458 00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,639 Speaker 6: don't want to right and like you do look for 459 00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:01,000 Speaker 6: like the high teams and you kind of want to 460 00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:04,120 Speaker 6: fade them sometimes. And it's a lot easier when they're 461 00:21:04,119 --> 00:21:06,960 Speaker 6: going against an divisional opponent that is equally as good 462 00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:10,440 Speaker 6: on paper, where this Dolphins team like they're going to score, 463 00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:13,520 Speaker 6: no one is going to stop this offense intula. But 464 00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:16,320 Speaker 6: the defenses that they've gone against so far in a 465 00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:20,520 Speaker 6: small sample sizer the Chargers and the Broncos who are 466 00:21:21,280 --> 00:21:25,200 Speaker 6: towards the end of the league in terms of secondaries 467 00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:29,199 Speaker 6: and success rates for their defense, excuse me. And then 468 00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,000 Speaker 6: they had the Patriots, who they put up I think 469 00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:33,719 Speaker 6: twenty four to twenty seven against the Patriots, which was 470 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:35,919 Speaker 6: the majority of it was in the first quarter, and 471 00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:38,400 Speaker 6: then they kind of Belichick might to figure something out, 472 00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:41,880 Speaker 6: but the breaks got slammed and the past some almost 473 00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:44,840 Speaker 6: covered the spread on the last drive, and then You've 474 00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:48,640 Speaker 6: got a Bill's defense who is very capable. They've given 475 00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:51,560 Speaker 6: up two touchdowns so far this year twenty nine total points. 476 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:55,240 Speaker 6: And then you have a Bill's offense who I think 477 00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:57,639 Speaker 6: everyone is still thinking about that Josh Allen game against 478 00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:00,159 Speaker 6: the Jets, and honestly, that's like when I think the 479 00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:02,840 Speaker 6: Bills this year, That's the game I'm thinking of. But 480 00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:05,040 Speaker 6: I think it's safe to just consider to the Jets 481 00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:08,680 Speaker 6: Josh Allen's kryptonite. Since that game, they are red hot. 482 00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:12,639 Speaker 6: Josh Allen's only game against Fangio defense, I think it 483 00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:14,640 Speaker 6: was two years ago when he put up three hundred 484 00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:17,680 Speaker 6: and sixty yards through for four touchdowns and scored forty 485 00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:18,480 Speaker 6: eight points total. 486 00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:21,040 Speaker 2: So this is just somewhat of a cell high. 487 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:24,240 Speaker 6: And I don't want to say buy well, but I 488 00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:27,560 Speaker 6: think this Dolphins defense is lasting success rate in the 489 00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:30,399 Speaker 6: league and it can be exposed by Josh Allen and 490 00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:32,960 Speaker 6: the Dolphins are gonna score. But I think the Bills 491 00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:36,840 Speaker 6: defense is very capable of bending and not totally breaking. 492 00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:38,520 Speaker 2: So Bill's minus ton half. 493 00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:41,560 Speaker 1: Think I think one of you. I think Stubundo, you 494 00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:43,159 Speaker 1: want to weigh in on this one too. You're in 495 00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:44,879 Speaker 1: agreement with Luke yep. 496 00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:48,399 Speaker 4: This game was played in December of last year, on 497 00:22:48,800 --> 00:22:49,560 Speaker 4: December seventeenth. 498 00:22:49,600 --> 00:22:50,600 Speaker 3: It was a Saturday night game. 499 00:22:50,680 --> 00:22:53,159 Speaker 4: It was kind of in the snow, but the Bills 500 00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:54,800 Speaker 4: closed minus seven. 501 00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:57,320 Speaker 3: And I wrote about this in my Better Pass column. 502 00:22:57,640 --> 00:22:59,120 Speaker 3: How much has materially. 503 00:22:58,800 --> 00:23:00,920 Speaker 4: Changed between these two teams, because of course you have 504 00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:03,720 Speaker 4: to upgrade Miami based off of their first three games 505 00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:06,200 Speaker 4: this season to a being fully healthy you or whatever, 506 00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:09,399 Speaker 4: five flying offense. Nobody will ever stop them, ever, greatest 507 00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:11,840 Speaker 4: team of all time. We've all declared them the champions 508 00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:12,440 Speaker 4: of September. 509 00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:14,800 Speaker 3: But the Bills are better too. 510 00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:17,240 Speaker 4: They're healthier on defense, so I think their defense needs 511 00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:18,840 Speaker 4: to be upgraded almost as much. 512 00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:21,359 Speaker 3: I would make this north of three, and I think 513 00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:22,240 Speaker 3: this should be three and a half. 514 00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:23,840 Speaker 4: And so the fact that we're getting under a field 515 00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:25,760 Speaker 4: goal here makes me want to take the Bills at 516 00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:28,560 Speaker 4: home because the Bills defense has taken a real step forward, 517 00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:31,879 Speaker 4: and they did an excellent job stopping this Miami offense 518 00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:35,480 Speaker 4: twice last year. Now we have seen last year Staley 519 00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:38,640 Speaker 4: and the Chargers completely shut down McDaniel's offense, and McDaniel 520 00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:41,880 Speaker 4: found the counter and destroyed them in the first week 521 00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:43,320 Speaker 4: of the season. So I'm not going to say that 522 00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:45,800 Speaker 4: Mike McDaniel, who's clearly a great offensive mine, won't have 523 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:49,000 Speaker 4: something cooked up for Sunday. But people just you know, 524 00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:52,040 Speaker 4: like you mentioned Luke with that Monday night game where 525 00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:55,320 Speaker 4: Alan just handed the game to the Jets. The Bills, 526 00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,920 Speaker 4: if they don't have those dumb turnovers one, two, three 527 00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:02,960 Speaker 4: plays in a whole season, they're a dominant three and 528 00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:07,359 Speaker 4: zero team with three commanding victories by double digits. Whereas 529 00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:08,960 Speaker 4: you know, I know the Jets pull off this miracle, 530 00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:12,119 Speaker 4: but we've seen Josh Allen struggle with the Jets before. 531 00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:14,960 Speaker 4: We've also seen Josh Allen destroy and dominate this Dolphins 532 00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:16,959 Speaker 4: defense because you get it in both meetings last year. 533 00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:19,119 Speaker 4: And I don't think the Dolphins defense is all that 534 00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:21,399 Speaker 4: much better right now. So I think I've got the 535 00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:23,280 Speaker 4: better quarterback, I've got the better. 536 00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:25,439 Speaker 3: Defense, and I'm at home. I'm gonna have to lay 537 00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:26,720 Speaker 3: two and a half. I'm gonna do it. 538 00:24:26,840 --> 00:24:29,159 Speaker 6: Yeah, And the Dolphins of this exact same story our 539 00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:31,800 Speaker 6: class year. It's not the same because two got hurt 540 00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:34,160 Speaker 6: and I kind of derailed everything. But they were red 541 00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:37,320 Speaker 6: hot to start the season last year, and like the Dolphins, 542 00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:39,119 Speaker 6: Like I think it's like eighty percent of the plays. 543 00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:42,040 Speaker 6: Mcdanos has guys in motions where you see that for 544 00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:44,360 Speaker 6: the first time, you're gonna get slapped in the face 545 00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:46,159 Speaker 6: by the Dolphins. But when you start getting film and 546 00:24:46,200 --> 00:24:48,200 Speaker 6: the later we get it's gonna be easier to prepare 547 00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:48,880 Speaker 6: for this offense. 548 00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:50,200 Speaker 3: I mean, Belichick that it could. 549 00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:53,399 Speaker 4: The Dolphins offense was not good in that game, but 550 00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:55,280 Speaker 4: we see it like they won and that's because the 551 00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:57,080 Speaker 4: Patriots offense was worse. 552 00:24:57,600 --> 00:25:00,480 Speaker 3: But the three high from Belichick, that was really interesting. 553 00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:03,679 Speaker 4: I'm excited to see if if the Bills do some 554 00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:05,640 Speaker 4: of that this week because they would be really fat. 555 00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:08,840 Speaker 4: We've never seen really any three high right, and it 556 00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:10,280 Speaker 4: takes away the middle of the field, it takes away 557 00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:13,520 Speaker 4: the deep shot. 558 00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:13,040 Speaker 2: Like the Broncos. 559 00:25:13,119 --> 00:25:16,160 Speaker 6: Like the Broncos defense wasn't capable of doing something like that. 560 00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:19,080 Speaker 6: We're like, the Bills are so like if they just 561 00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:23,320 Speaker 6: take the blueprint from that, Belichick, I guess exposed hopefully 562 00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:28,280 Speaker 6: like they can. We're like Chargers, easy to score Broncos. 563 00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:30,160 Speaker 6: That was like, I think the four of us could 564 00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:31,560 Speaker 6: have scored a touchdown on them last week. 565 00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:35,320 Speaker 3: But yeah, I definitely could have broken a tackle. 566 00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:38,000 Speaker 6: Yeah, guys just flailing around. 567 00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:39,160 Speaker 3: It was really bad. 568 00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:40,240 Speaker 1: Brandon, come on, jump in. 569 00:25:40,280 --> 00:25:40,919 Speaker 2: You got something too. 570 00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:43,280 Speaker 5: If you're on the Bills here and I'm with you, 571 00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:44,920 Speaker 5: I think this is a great spot for the Bills. 572 00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:46,399 Speaker 5: I agree with everything you said. I think this is 573 00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:48,920 Speaker 5: the best team in football. I think week one that 574 00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:51,680 Speaker 5: you're right that Aaron Rodgers spot threw us off the 575 00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:53,399 Speaker 5: cent a little bit. It's the game we're still like 576 00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:55,800 Speaker 5: anchoring to. This is the team you want, and I 577 00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:57,679 Speaker 5: think if you like them, if you agree with us, 578 00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:00,920 Speaker 5: pick this is a huge leverage spot. Buffalo Miami play 579 00:26:00,920 --> 00:26:03,360 Speaker 5: Week eighteen, so we probably don't even get this game 580 00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:05,840 Speaker 5: again really because one team maybe is resting by then. 581 00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:10,000 Speaker 5: If Buffalo wins, they kind of retake control in the division, 582 00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:13,280 Speaker 5: retake control in the AFC one seed race. This is 583 00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:15,320 Speaker 5: the time right now to buy a Bill's futures. Here's 584 00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:16,640 Speaker 5: the schedule after this game. 585 00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:17,200 Speaker 2: You get the win. 586 00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:22,159 Speaker 5: Jaguars now as good as we thought, Giants, Patriots, Bucks, Bengals, 587 00:26:22,359 --> 00:26:26,800 Speaker 5: Burrows still hurt, Broncos, Jets without Rogers. You get this win, 588 00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:29,959 Speaker 5: you're suddenly like nine to two and we're in November 589 00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:33,080 Speaker 5: and Josh Allen is maybe the MVP favorite or the 590 00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:35,920 Speaker 5: Bills are the one seed favorite over ten and a half. 591 00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:39,120 Speaker 5: I like plus five fifty to win the AFC ten 592 00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:41,399 Speaker 5: to one to win the Super Bowl. The odds right 593 00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:43,040 Speaker 5: now for who's going to win the Super Bowl has 594 00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:46,960 Speaker 5: Buffalo eighteen percent second best. That's a shorter number, like 595 00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:49,760 Speaker 5: a better advantage than the AFC odds, and that's his 596 00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:52,880 Speaker 5: Super Bowl odds. So I'm in on the Bills. We'll 597 00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:54,960 Speaker 5: do a family pick on the Bills. But I think 598 00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:57,320 Speaker 5: if you like this, this is your chance to buy 599 00:26:57,320 --> 00:27:00,520 Speaker 5: the futures too, because this is the by low spot 600 00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:03,280 Speaker 5: you're gonna get if they win, and this will one 601 00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:05,399 Speaker 5: hundred percent if you go into the action apping on 602 00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:07,000 Speaker 5: to the picks tab like, this will probably be the 603 00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:09,800 Speaker 5: most lopsided game in terms of pick tracking. 604 00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:09,959 Speaker 6: Right. 605 00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:10,560 Speaker 2: It's gonna be. 606 00:27:10,520 --> 00:27:14,160 Speaker 6: Like every expert is gonna be on the Bills and 607 00:27:14,200 --> 00:27:16,359 Speaker 6: no one's gonna want to touch the Dolphins, which is 608 00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:19,359 Speaker 6: fine and it's fair, which makes me happy. 609 00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:21,120 Speaker 4: Ten ten to one not good enough for me. Super 610 00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:22,800 Speaker 4: Bowl good because I don't trust Josh Allen. 611 00:27:22,800 --> 00:27:23,680 Speaker 3: He's two turnover prone. 612 00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:26,520 Speaker 4: But in terms of regular season team, I think they're 613 00:27:26,520 --> 00:27:29,639 Speaker 4: an absolute consistent regular season juggernaut, although they will inevitably 614 00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:31,880 Speaker 4: lose a dumb game because they do that every year. 615 00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:35,240 Speaker 1: Okay, go ahead, Luke, last one. 616 00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:36,440 Speaker 2: So my last ones. This one will be quick. 617 00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:38,440 Speaker 6: It's gonna be the Giants money line, which I think 618 00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:41,000 Speaker 6: is like minus one twenty right now, Monday Night Football 619 00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:44,200 Speaker 6: hosting the Seahawks, and it's really just a spot. You 620 00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:48,200 Speaker 6: got Seahawks going cross country, going against a Giants team 621 00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:52,040 Speaker 6: who has played the Niners and the Cowboys or two 622 00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:55,040 Speaker 6: of the last three games, which are arguably probably two 623 00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:57,080 Speaker 6: of the three maybe four best teams in the league, 624 00:27:57,080 --> 00:28:00,760 Speaker 6: and they've got destroyed. Now they get extra rest at 625 00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:05,560 Speaker 6: home on Primetime TV, getting healthier. Saquon's questionable. I don't 626 00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:07,840 Speaker 6: expect much out of him. But if there's a spot 627 00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:11,640 Speaker 6: for this team to win and play like I think 628 00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:14,760 Speaker 6: we expected them to this year, it will be the 629 00:28:14,800 --> 00:28:16,960 Speaker 6: spot where the Seahawks defense is just so bad. 630 00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:18,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, just awfully. 631 00:28:18,320 --> 00:28:20,680 Speaker 6: The Panthers just put up twenty seven on them, which 632 00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:24,639 Speaker 6: was led by Andy Dalton, where the Seahawks won, but 633 00:28:24,680 --> 00:28:27,840 Speaker 6: the Panthers were in that game for the majority of it, 634 00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:30,000 Speaker 6: and then the Seahaks kind of just pulled away towards 635 00:28:30,040 --> 00:28:31,920 Speaker 6: the end after a couple of false star penalties on 636 00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:35,280 Speaker 6: the Panthers that just pulled them out of going for it. 637 00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:39,400 Speaker 6: Range So Giants money line at home on night football? 638 00:28:39,760 --> 00:28:42,040 Speaker 2: This is it? Or yeah or blacklisted? 639 00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:44,960 Speaker 1: Honestly, yeah, you could allow, you can live with allowing 640 00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:47,560 Speaker 1: thirty to the Lions. But the Rams and I know 641 00:28:47,640 --> 00:28:49,680 Speaker 1: like they've they've got some nice pieces. It looks like 642 00:28:49,760 --> 00:28:54,400 Speaker 1: for your fantasy team with Cooper Cup out, But yeah, 643 00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:57,600 Speaker 1: the defense in Seattle. By the way, folks, go check 644 00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:00,680 Speaker 1: out Brandon Anderson's power rankings from this week. He gives 645 00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:03,360 Speaker 1: the Dolphins. I'll chime in now too. He's got the 646 00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:08,600 Speaker 1: Golden State Warriors comparison for the Miami Dolphins, going right now, 647 00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:13,080 Speaker 1: Love it. 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Our friends at Ticketmaster 657 00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:45,680 Speaker 1: have you covered, the official marketplace of the NFL. Ticketmaster 658 00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:48,200 Speaker 1: gives you more ways to find your perfect seat. Their 659 00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:51,240 Speaker 1: interactive seat map gives you three hundred and sixty degree 660 00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:53,560 Speaker 1: previews of your section to make sure you have the 661 00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:56,320 Speaker 1: best view of those pivotal plays and if your plans change. 662 00:29:56,680 --> 00:30:01,120 Speaker 1: Ticketmaster gives you more flexibility to sell or transfer your tickets. 663 00:30:01,400 --> 00:30:04,480 Speaker 1: Plus mobile tickets make getting in on game day breeze, 664 00:30:04,520 --> 00:30:07,600 Speaker 1: and you can even customize your Ticketmaster app to rep 665 00:30:07,600 --> 00:30:10,960 Speaker 1: your team's colors. Find tickets today at ticketmaster dot com 666 00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:15,800 Speaker 1: slash NFL. I almost forgot look ahead for Week five? Brandon, 667 00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:17,200 Speaker 1: what do you got for Week five? 668 00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:19,000 Speaker 2: Look Ahead? You're two and oh? I think we're two 669 00:30:19,040 --> 00:30:22,360 Speaker 2: and zer right now, because like a couple of weeks behind. 670 00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:23,080 Speaker 2: Got it? 671 00:30:23,200 --> 00:30:25,680 Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm gonna count my inner, Al Davis this week, 672 00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:28,200 Speaker 5: I'm gonna go with the just win baby teaser. So 673 00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:30,480 Speaker 5: give me the Chiefs, give me the Bengals. Let's tease 674 00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:32,960 Speaker 5: them down and get them in. Chiefs minus six against 675 00:30:33,000 --> 00:30:35,680 Speaker 5: the Vikings. I think the Chiefs run up Sunday night 676 00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:38,000 Speaker 5: in front of Taylor's swift, in front of all the 677 00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:41,200 Speaker 5: national audience on the Jets. Vikings may not even be 678 00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:43,440 Speaker 5: at the Panthers, Let's be honest. So I think this 679 00:30:43,560 --> 00:30:46,960 Speaker 5: line goes up. Mahomes is gonna be facing Brian Floors 680 00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:49,480 Speaker 5: blitzing all game. Yeah, that's not gonna go well for 681 00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:52,800 Speaker 5: Brian Floor's and the Vikings defense. So Chiefs win easy. 682 00:30:53,240 --> 00:30:56,360 Speaker 5: Bengals minus seven of the Cardinals. Again, we talked about 683 00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:59,520 Speaker 5: the Joe Burrows stuff. Cardinals don't have that much on defense, 684 00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:03,600 Speaker 5: even what they've done well has been mostly offensive. The Bengals. 685 00:31:03,600 --> 00:31:05,560 Speaker 5: They take care of the Titans like I expect them to. 686 00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:09,400 Speaker 5: Colonels are fourteen point dogs against the Niners. They get 687 00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:12,120 Speaker 5: blown out. The Bengals win. I think both these lines 688 00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:15,440 Speaker 5: rise to like nine or ten. You tease a right now, 689 00:31:15,480 --> 00:31:17,000 Speaker 5: you get the Chiefs as a pick them, you get 690 00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:18,200 Speaker 5: the Bengals minus one. 691 00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:19,600 Speaker 2: Just win baby. 692 00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:22,440 Speaker 5: This is a spot where I normally wouldn't tease like 693 00:31:22,520 --> 00:31:25,360 Speaker 5: a minus seven on the road, But I think these 694 00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:29,040 Speaker 5: lines rise to like nine or ten by kickoffs specifically 695 00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:31,520 Speaker 5: so that we can't tease them, like that's why the 696 00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:34,000 Speaker 5: numbers get there, so we can't, so we can. We're 697 00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:36,320 Speaker 5: doing it now. We're teasing. Give me the Chiefs, give 698 00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:36,960 Speaker 5: me the Bengals. 699 00:31:37,040 --> 00:31:39,520 Speaker 2: Just win baby, good stuff excellent. 700 00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:43,680 Speaker 1: So to recap four Week four Best Bets, Buffalo minus 701 00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:45,920 Speaker 1: two and a half, Tampa plus three and a half, 702 00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:51,959 Speaker 1: Ravens plus three, Dubundo is targeting Cincinnati, Tennessee under forty 703 00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:55,280 Speaker 1: and a half, Brandon's on Bengals minus two, and the 704 00:31:55,360 --> 00:31:58,800 Speaker 1: last one from Luke is Giants money line. On Monday Night, 705 00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:01,480 Speaker 1: Brandon's got the look Ahead tea that is going to 706 00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:01,840 Speaker 1: do it. 707 00:32:01,880 --> 00:32:03,120 Speaker 3: For the Action Network. 708 00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:06,440 Speaker 1: Podcast NFL Week four Best Bets episode, we are presented 709 00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:10,400 Speaker 1: by bet MGM. Full betting preview available on the podcast 710 00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:13,760 Speaker 1: from Stucky and Raybond as well. You can tune into that. 711 00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:17,400 Speaker 1: We'll also have our weekly recap episode coming your way 712 00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:21,400 Speaker 1: early Monday morning with Joe Gallant and our Director of Research, 713 00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:25,200 Speaker 1: Evan Abrams. Don't forget to download the app to follow Luke, 714 00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:28,920 Speaker 1: Dbundo and Brandon in the app. Thanks for those guys, 715 00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:31,600 Speaker 1: As always, Brendan Glasheen signing off We'll catch you next 716 00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:34,520 Speaker 1: week for our week five Best bets, Thanks for listening, everybody, 717 00:32:34,840 --> 00:32:48,440 Speaker 1: and best at work. 718 00:32:51,600 --> 00:32:56,120 Speaker 4: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 719 00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:58,920 Speaker 4: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 720 00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:02,040 Speaker 4: available twenty four over seven at one eight hundred gambler