WEBVTT - U.S. To Ship Pfizer Shots Globally

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovick. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio, or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. Well. President Biden says donated

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<v Speaker 1>viser shots will start to ship globally. In August, he

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<v Speaker 1>announced that the US will begin shipping a half billion

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<v Speaker 1>donated doses of viser coronavirus vaccines to countries in quote

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<v Speaker 1>dire need. In August that making good on a promise

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<v Speaker 1>to lead the global campaign against the pandemic. Joining US

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<v Speaker 1>now on this and more is Dr Amish Adalga, Senior

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<v Speaker 1>scholar and infectious disease physician at the Center for Health

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<v Speaker 1>Security at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

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<v Speaker 1>He joins us on the phone from Pittsburgh. Dr Adulge,

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<v Speaker 1>it is great to have you back on the show.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to start with this half a billion donated

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<v Speaker 1>doses of Visor vaccine. It sounds like a lot, and

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<v Speaker 1>to be sure, it is a massive number. But given

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<v Speaker 1>that the the globe needs billions to get past this pandemic,

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<v Speaker 1>isn't it still just somewhat I don't want to say,

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<v Speaker 1>a drop in the bucket, but not quite enough. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's a step in the right direction, and there

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<v Speaker 1>are going to be more donations, more purchases of vaccines

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<v Speaker 1>by the developing world, the Kovacs program, other organizations getting

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines into people. But the more the more vaccines, even

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<v Speaker 1>if it's not enough, the more that are getting into

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<v Speaker 1>people's arms, the better the global trajectory of the pandemic looks,

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<v Speaker 1>especially if you're trying to vaccinate healthcare workers, high risk individuals.

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<v Speaker 1>I think this is a significant a significant donation, and

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<v Speaker 1>it is something that would be very welcome in those countries.

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<v Speaker 1>Availability of vaccine is certainly one thing, but the administration

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<v Speaker 1>of vaccine, especially of vaccine, that has to be stored

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<v Speaker 1>in a way that the Visor m R and a

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine has to be stored is a completely different thing.

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<v Speaker 1>What do these countries need to be doing ahead of

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<v Speaker 1>time to make sure that they can actually have a

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<v Speaker 1>campaign that effectively can administer this vaccine. The first thing

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<v Speaker 1>they have to do is make sure that they can

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<v Speaker 1>ensure the coal chain. The visor vaccine has, as you said,

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<v Speaker 1>really owner restorage requirements. They have to make sure that

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<v Speaker 1>they can actually handle that vaccine. Then it's about logistically

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<v Speaker 1>figuring out where you're going to vaccinate people. Is this

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<v Speaker 1>going to be a vaccine centers? Are they're going to

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<v Speaker 1>be Is it going to be a healthcare centers? There

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<v Speaker 1>are there going to be other places where this vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>is going to be available. You also have to think

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<v Speaker 1>do you have enough syringes, do you have enough needles,

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<v Speaker 1>do you have the alcohol swabs? Do you have enough

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<v Speaker 1>personnel to actually administer the shots. All of that planning

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<v Speaker 1>has to be put into place when you're planning something

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<v Speaker 1>like this, and that's going to be really important for

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<v Speaker 1>those countries to to pre to kind of pre position

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<v Speaker 1>and be ready to go when they get the vaccine. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>i'm i'm. We've talked to you a lot in the

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<v Speaker 1>past here on Bloomberg Radio and on quick Take about

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<v Speaker 1>variants of concern that have upped around the world, and

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<v Speaker 1>one narrative that has emerged over the last few months

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<v Speaker 1>as the US has been vaccinated increasingly but other countries

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<v Speaker 1>have not, is the idea that we're not on the

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<v Speaker 1>other side of this pandemic until the entire world is.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's not just an economic story, but it's also

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<v Speaker 1>a story of public health, and the concern worst case

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<v Speaker 1>scenario was that some sort of variant develops and it

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<v Speaker 1>goes kind of unchecked in a country that is not

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<v Speaker 1>completely vaccinated or does not have a high level of vaccine,

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<v Speaker 1>and that variant then can get past the vaccines that

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<v Speaker 1>have been approved for emergency use authorization in certain countries.

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<v Speaker 1>And I wonder if there's any evidence at this point

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<v Speaker 1>here we are June tenth, that that could still happen,

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<v Speaker 1>or that that has happened. There's no evidence in any

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<v Speaker 1>of what we would call variants of high consequence, ones

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<v Speaker 1>that are able to cause serious disease and fully vaccinated

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<v Speaker 1>people have emerged. And it's it's a very hard thing

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<v Speaker 1>for a virus to do, because it's not just that

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<v Speaker 1>they have to evade the antibodies generated by the vaccine.

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<v Speaker 1>It's also the T cell immunity, and it seems that

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<v Speaker 1>T sell immunity, which is a whole different arm of

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<v Speaker 1>your immune system, is very robust and when faced with

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<v Speaker 1>the variant, even if it can get around the antibodies,

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<v Speaker 1>the T cells prevent the infection from progressing to serious

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<v Speaker 1>illness or needing hospitalization. And I think that's almost like

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<v Speaker 1>a biological fact that it's going to be a very

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<v Speaker 1>hard constraint for that virus to get around. Yes, it's

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<v Speaker 1>biologically plausible, But do I think it's going to happen. No.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think the other point is is that even

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<v Speaker 1>from an individual perspective, we have a significant proportion of

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<v Speaker 1>the US population that is not vaccinated, and those variants

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<v Speaker 1>are going to be able to uh to infect them.

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<v Speaker 1>Those variants are going to be able to cause serious disease.

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<v Speaker 1>Even if hospitals aren't in crisis, there's still an individual

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<v Speaker 1>threat to health from COVID nineteen. So that's why we

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<v Speaker 1>want to get vaccine vaccine rates as high as possible,

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<v Speaker 1>even when the public health emergency aspect of this pandemic

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<v Speaker 1>is over in his country. But President Biden has the goal,

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<v Speaker 1>and he laid out this goal weeks ago to have

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<v Speaker 1>of American adults have received one shot since the fourth

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<v Speaker 1>of a live we're just over right now. Do you

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<v Speaker 1>think we're gonna make it? It's going to be very challenging.

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<v Speaker 1>It's very difficult to now find people who want to

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<v Speaker 1>be vaccinated. We've kind of gone through everybody that wants

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<v Speaker 1>to be vaccinated. We've made it very convenient. You can

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<v Speaker 1>get vaccinated in the subway in New York City. You

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<v Speaker 1>can get vaccinated at strip bars in Las Vegas. You

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<v Speaker 1>can get vaccinated on the beach. You get free beer,

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<v Speaker 1>free donuts, you get lottery tickets so you get bonds.

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<v Speaker 1>In West Virginia, a lot of incentives are there. So

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<v Speaker 1>it's becoming hard. I don't know that we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>actually reach that goal, but to me, I think it's

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<v Speaker 1>important to strive for it and to continue even if

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<v Speaker 1>we don't meet that goal fourth of July, to still

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<v Speaker 1>continue to push forward with vaccines because the more this

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<v Speaker 1>population and in our country is vaccinated, the more resilient

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to be, the less disruptive COVID nineteen is

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<v Speaker 1>going to be, and the quicker we can kind of

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<v Speaker 1>put all of this behind us. In addition to those prizes,

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<v Speaker 1>in some places, you also do get protection from something

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<v Speaker 1>that a lot of people really don't want. Uh. I wonder,

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Adulter, just in the last minute we have and

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<v Speaker 1>then you're gonna come back with us after we do

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<v Speaker 1>some news. What from a public health perspective messaging perspective,

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<v Speaker 1>seems to be working to get those people who have

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<v Speaker 1>held out in the last thirty seconds. The best The

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<v Speaker 1>best message is the fact that these vaccines improve your

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<v Speaker 1>personal Like just as you said that this protects you

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<v Speaker 1>from a serious infectious disease. It makes you no longer

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<v Speaker 1>a threat to others, and it makes the virus no

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<v Speaker 1>longer a threat to you, and it allows you to

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<v Speaker 1>get your your life back. And I think that's the

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<v Speaker 1>best way to message this. And it took some time

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<v Speaker 1>for the CDC to actually get on board with that message,

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<v Speaker 1>but that's the true one and that's the correct Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like I'm a superhero. I've said this before,

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<v Speaker 1>but you know, I feel totally comfortable doing things that

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<v Speaker 1>for the last fourteen months I was not comfortable doing.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's get right back to dr Amish Adulga, Senior scholar

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<v Speaker 1>an infectious disease physician at the Center for Health Security,

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<v Speaker 1>I think JOHNS Hopkins, Bloomberg School of Public Health. He

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<v Speaker 1>joins us on the phone from Pittsburgh. We just heard

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<v Speaker 1>from your colleague, Dr Jennifer Nuso about how important it

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<v Speaker 1>is to get those vaccines in arms as soon as possible,

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Adlga. And one reason that we like to talk

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<v Speaker 1>to you each and every week and as much as possible,

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<v Speaker 1>really is that you're out there each week on the

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<v Speaker 1>front lines still and you have been throughout the pandemic

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<v Speaker 1>visiting patients, and we've been able to get updates from

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<v Speaker 1>you about what it's been like throughout the pandemic. And

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<v Speaker 1>I wonder now what you're seeing with the coronavirus, but

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<v Speaker 1>also with other types of viruses that could be flaring

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<v Speaker 1>up right now. So with coronavirus right now, it's very

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<v Speaker 1>low and I work clinically in the Pittsburgh area and

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<v Speaker 1>the hospitals are in good shape, and the people that

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<v Speaker 1>we are seeing come in with coronavirus are those who

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<v Speaker 1>are unvaccinated. It's largely become a disease of the unvaccinated

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<v Speaker 1>now and it's not something where we see I see

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<v Speaker 1>you is kind of busting at the seams or very

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<v Speaker 1>many patients at all. UH. So it's a really good

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<v Speaker 1>situation we're in with COVID, But what we are starting

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<v Speaker 1>to see our other respiratory viruses kicked back up. Other

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<v Speaker 1>coronavirus is not COVID nineteen, but others r s V.

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<v Speaker 1>The CDC just released a health alert about rs V

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<v Speaker 1>increasing in the South. That's a childhood viral illness. So

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<v Speaker 1>we are seeing some normalcy returning to our to the

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<v Speaker 1>kind of viral ecology. Whereas people stop social distancing, as

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<v Speaker 1>people put away their masks for good, for good reasons,

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<v Speaker 1>because they're fully vaccinated, you're going to start seeing some

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<v Speaker 1>of our other old, you know, well known pathogens starting

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<v Speaker 1>to come back, and we have to be prepared for

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<v Speaker 1>those as well. Remind me, rs V is that something

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<v Speaker 1>that kids can get vaccinated against. No. Rs V is

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<v Speaker 1>not something kids can get vaccinated against. This is something

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<v Speaker 1>that puts a lot of babies in the hospital, lots

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<v Speaker 1>of young kids. It's often for older people that might

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<v Speaker 1>be more of a bronchitis type of UH symptoms, but

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<v Speaker 1>it's something that kind of plagues children every year. But

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<v Speaker 1>we're starting to see that kick back up, and and

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<v Speaker 1>I suspect you're going to start seeing cold people have

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<v Speaker 1>been going a year without having any colds. Those are

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<v Speaker 1>going to start coming back. And I've increasingly seen people

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<v Speaker 1>who have viruses who have symptoms that you know, six

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<v Speaker 1>months ago I thought would definitely be COVID, but they're

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<v Speaker 1>testing negative for COVID because they're likely other viruses now

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<v Speaker 1>that are just uh way chomping at the bit basically

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<v Speaker 1>to get back to the work that they do every year. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's it's interesting. It's not it's not good news

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<v Speaker 1>by any means, but it is one measure of return

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<v Speaker 1>to normalcy, right. Yeah. I don't think it's it's not

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<v Speaker 1>good news, obviously, we don't. These are disruptive things. People

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<v Speaker 1>get hospitalized with them, but it's something that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>in the past, we it was very hard to even

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<v Speaker 1>see any other viruses, which because COVID was so dominant

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<v Speaker 1>and dominating the whole viral landscape that I think I

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<v Speaker 1>took care of one flu influenza patient during this whole

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<v Speaker 1>uh this pandemic. That's very very rare. So this tells

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<v Speaker 1>you that you know, COVID is receiving that. This is

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<v Speaker 1>a real signal that we're seeing with cases dropping and

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<v Speaker 1>people getting back to life. And part of getting back

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<v Speaker 1>to life is dealing with the respiratory viruses that we

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<v Speaker 1>deal with every year, and eventually COVID is going to

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<v Speaker 1>be one of those respiratory viruses that we deal with

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<v Speaker 1>every year. Yeah, that's that's what we do. Keep hearing

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<v Speaker 1>from experts like yourself, Dr Dlja. You you you mentioned

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<v Speaker 1>what kids are are you what kids are being infected with?

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<v Speaker 1>What you're seeing when you do your rounds. I'm I'm

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<v Speaker 1>wondering back to coronavirus about how we should be thinking

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<v Speaker 1>about vaccinating kids, especially those under twelve as we as

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<v Speaker 1>we do know, there are trials happening in the United

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<v Speaker 1>States to test the efvocacy and safe d of coronavirus

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines and kids. Do you expect that that those will

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<v Speaker 1>get approved for emergency use authorization? I do expect that

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<v Speaker 1>they will get approved, likely at a lower dose. What's

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<v Speaker 1>going on right now is that the clinical clinical trials,

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<v Speaker 1>there will be data coming from there on both safety

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<v Speaker 1>and efficacy, and I suspect that the FDA and the

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<v Speaker 1>CDC will will recommend that for children. I think, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's important to remember that you have to do trials

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<v Speaker 1>in different age groups because as you get to those

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<v Speaker 1>younger age groups, the risk of severe disease from COVID

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen becomes very very small, and the risk of transmission

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<v Speaker 1>of COVID nineteen from small children is also low. So

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<v Speaker 1>there is the benefits of the vaccine are more blunted

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<v Speaker 1>in a six year old than they are in a

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<v Speaker 1>sixty year old. So that's why we have to do

0:10:41.800 --> 0:10:43.920
<v Speaker 1>special trials. We have to have special discussions about the

0:10:43.960 --> 0:10:45.760
<v Speaker 1>dosing and all of that. And I think it's going

0:10:45.800 --> 0:10:48.360
<v Speaker 1>to progress, and I think we'll get there eventually. Uh,

0:10:48.440 --> 0:10:51.079
<v Speaker 1>the impact is going to be more so on getting

0:10:51.120 --> 0:10:53.959
<v Speaker 1>children back into activities in a safer manner because mostly

0:10:53.960 --> 0:10:57.280
<v Speaker 1>because of the adults being kind of fearful of COVID nineteen,

0:10:57.360 --> 0:11:00.080
<v Speaker 1>rather than actually like a huge epidemiological impact or going

0:11:00.120 --> 0:11:02.120
<v Speaker 1>to see when we vaccinate below the age of twelve.

0:11:02.600 --> 0:11:04.240
<v Speaker 1>When do you expect a date that we'll start to

0:11:04.240 --> 0:11:08.360
<v Speaker 1>see this? Just in the last ten seconds, I've heard

0:11:08.440 --> 0:11:11.440
<v Speaker 1>rumors that this likely will be before Thanksgiving. When when

0:11:11.440 --> 0:11:14.600
<v Speaker 1>we'll see that? Dr Amischadales, Senior scholar, an infectious disease

0:11:14.600 --> 0:11:16.880
<v Speaker 1>physician at the Center for Health Security the Johns Hopkins

0:11:16.920 --> 0:11:19.400
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg School of Public Health. He joins us on the

0:11:19.400 --> 0:11:22.400
<v Speaker 1>phone from Pittsburgh, the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public

0:11:22.400 --> 0:11:24.520
<v Speaker 1>Health that is supported by Michael R. Bloomberg, founder of

0:11:24.520 --> 0:11:29.520
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg LP and Bloomberg Philanthropies. This is Bloomberg Business Week

0:11:29.679 --> 0:11:33.600
<v Speaker 1>with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on

0:11:33.760 --> 0:11:36.400
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. Well. A story in the new issue of

0:11:36.440 --> 0:11:40.079
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week magazine required national correspondent Josh Green to

0:11:40.360 --> 0:11:42.880
<v Speaker 1>head south to Florida, where he spoke to many of

0:11:42.920 --> 0:11:46.800
<v Speaker 1>those who have been lured south by sunshine, golf and money.

0:11:46.840 --> 0:11:49.079
<v Speaker 1>A lot of them the former president's allies and hanger on,

0:11:49.320 --> 0:11:51.880
<v Speaker 1>and they've formed an alternate universe that revolves around none

0:11:51.920 --> 0:11:55.040
<v Speaker 1>other than Mara Lago. Joining me now is Josh Green,

0:11:55.120 --> 0:11:58.080
<v Speaker 1>National correspondent at Bloomberg Business Week. He joins us on

0:11:58.080 --> 0:12:00.640
<v Speaker 1>the phone from Washington, d C. All of Joel Webber,

0:12:00.800 --> 0:12:02.719
<v Speaker 1>editor of Bloomberg Business Week. He's here with me in

0:12:02.760 --> 0:12:07.280
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio. Joel. There was the question

0:12:07.320 --> 0:12:10.679
<v Speaker 1>of what the post Trump president post presidency Trump would

0:12:10.720 --> 0:12:13.960
<v Speaker 1>look like. And it turns out that he's still very

0:12:14.040 --> 0:12:17.200
<v Speaker 1>much active in a kingmaker. I kind of don't think

0:12:17.280 --> 0:12:22.600
<v Speaker 1>anybody saw what's what what what this now looks like coming? Um,

0:12:22.640 --> 0:12:25.680
<v Speaker 1>And that's why when Josh mentioned that he wanted to

0:12:25.720 --> 0:12:28.800
<v Speaker 1>do this story, uh, we were like, yes, yes, get

0:12:28.800 --> 0:12:30.480
<v Speaker 1>on a plane. And he goes, I'm not vaccinated. I

0:12:30.559 --> 0:12:32.960
<v Speaker 1>can't do it yet. And this was obviously months ago,

0:12:33.240 --> 0:12:35.200
<v Speaker 1>and we were like, get vaccinated as quickly as you can.

0:12:35.320 --> 0:12:37.959
<v Speaker 1>He was like, I'm trying. And when he finally got vaccinated,

0:12:38.040 --> 0:12:40.320
<v Speaker 1>it all worked out and we got him down there. Um, Josh,

0:12:40.360 --> 0:12:43.840
<v Speaker 1>tell us about what you found in South Florida. Yeah, well,

0:12:43.960 --> 0:12:45.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean basically I went down to kind of solve

0:12:46.280 --> 0:12:48.120
<v Speaker 1>a mystery that a lot of people have wondered about,

0:12:48.160 --> 0:12:50.480
<v Speaker 1>which was, you know, after after January six, a lot

0:12:50.520 --> 0:12:53.160
<v Speaker 1>of people wondered, will Trump maintain his grip on the

0:12:53.160 --> 0:12:55.680
<v Speaker 1>party or will he kind of dwindle into insignificance. A

0:12:55.679 --> 0:12:58.000
<v Speaker 1>lot of Republicans I talked to you back then, I

0:12:58.080 --> 0:12:59.680
<v Speaker 1>thought he was just going to kind of go away

0:12:59.720 --> 0:13:02.120
<v Speaker 1>and be forgotten about. But he hasn't been. And so

0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:04.920
<v Speaker 1>I went down to Florida. To kind of investigator his world.

0:13:05.000 --> 0:13:08.240
<v Speaker 1>What I found was, um, you know, Trump isn't like

0:13:08.360 --> 0:13:11.720
<v Speaker 1>any typical ex president. He he really lives down in

0:13:11.760 --> 0:13:13.839
<v Speaker 1>Mori Lago, kind of like I describe him as a

0:13:13.920 --> 0:13:17.760
<v Speaker 1>foreign monarch cast into exile, because not only is Trump

0:13:17.840 --> 0:13:20.880
<v Speaker 1>down in more Lago, but a big contingent of the

0:13:20.880 --> 0:13:25.439
<v Speaker 1>Republican Party, including his own family and kind of ancillary

0:13:25.520 --> 0:13:29.160
<v Speaker 1>Fox News figures, have moved down there with him. So

0:13:29.240 --> 0:13:31.880
<v Speaker 1>it's sort of like, you know, an administration out of

0:13:31.920 --> 0:13:35.880
<v Speaker 1>tower that has nonetheless managed to tighten its grip on

0:13:35.920 --> 0:13:38.199
<v Speaker 1>the Republican Party at the time, and many people thought

0:13:38.240 --> 0:13:41.520
<v Speaker 1>after the riots and the deadly violence on the Capitol

0:13:41.600 --> 0:13:44.000
<v Speaker 1>that the party might move on from Trump. Yeah, well,

0:13:44.040 --> 0:13:46.240
<v Speaker 1>I think there's probably no better example of the party

0:13:46.240 --> 0:13:49.080
<v Speaker 1>not moving on from Trump than the physical moving of

0:13:49.200 --> 0:13:52.760
<v Speaker 1>people from parts of Florida to other parts of Florida.

0:13:53.000 --> 0:13:55.960
<v Speaker 1>You spoke to Eddie Vale, a Democratic strategist, who said,

0:13:55.960 --> 0:13:58.520
<v Speaker 1>think about how bizarre that is, referring to Ivanka Trump,

0:13:58.520 --> 0:14:01.960
<v Speaker 1>Sean Hannity, Neil Cavudo, Kevin Carthy, all people who have

0:14:02.120 --> 0:14:04.840
<v Speaker 1>made their way down to this part of Florida. He said,

0:14:04.840 --> 0:14:07.440
<v Speaker 1>it's like if Rachel Maddow and the Pod Save America

0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:10.520
<v Speaker 1>guys all bought condos in Chicago because they wanted to

0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:13.240
<v Speaker 1>be close to Barack Obama. How does this represent the

0:14:13.280 --> 0:14:16.960
<v Speaker 1>future of the of the Republican Party. I mean, I

0:14:16.960 --> 0:14:20.840
<v Speaker 1>think what it shows symbolically is that Trump is still

0:14:20.880 --> 0:14:23.000
<v Speaker 1>the center of gravity, and then he isn't going to

0:14:23.120 --> 0:14:25.960
<v Speaker 1>see the spotlight. I mean. One of the remarkable things

0:14:26.000 --> 0:14:29.480
<v Speaker 1>about Trump's post presidency that I think we don't really

0:14:29.520 --> 0:14:32.880
<v Speaker 1>step back and think about is that if you look

0:14:32.920 --> 0:14:35.880
<v Speaker 1>at the last to one term presidents, you know, Jimmy Carter,

0:14:36.880 --> 0:14:41.480
<v Speaker 1>George H. W. Bush, they were immediately branded as losers

0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:44.080
<v Speaker 1>by their own party, which which was eager to move

0:14:44.120 --> 0:14:46.640
<v Speaker 1>on from them and did so. And yet Trump, even

0:14:46.640 --> 0:14:51.200
<v Speaker 1>though lost reelection by seven million votes, has managed to

0:14:51.240 --> 0:14:53.720
<v Speaker 1>maintain a grip not just on the party, I mean,

0:14:53.720 --> 0:14:57.360
<v Speaker 1>not just on kind of the institutional party, um, but

0:14:57.480 --> 0:15:01.640
<v Speaker 1>on right wing media, on the hearts and minds of activists. UM.

0:15:01.720 --> 0:15:03.160
<v Speaker 1>You know, all you have to do is look at

0:15:03.200 --> 0:15:07.240
<v Speaker 1>House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, who criticized Trump in the

0:15:07.280 --> 0:15:11.760
<v Speaker 1>wake of the insurrection, going back uh two weeks later

0:15:11.880 --> 0:15:14.800
<v Speaker 1>tomorrow Lago to visit and try to raise money and

0:15:14.880 --> 0:15:17.680
<v Speaker 1>kind of bend the knee to Trump to see that.

0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:20.920
<v Speaker 1>You know, Republican politicians they're not going to stand up

0:15:20.920 --> 0:15:23.000
<v Speaker 1>for him to him, and not only that, if you

0:15:23.040 --> 0:15:26.360
<v Speaker 1>look at the direction of Republican policy, you know across

0:15:26.440 --> 0:15:29.640
<v Speaker 1>the country and states across the country, there are new

0:15:29.760 --> 0:15:33.240
<v Speaker 1>voter restriction laws in the works. All of this is

0:15:33.240 --> 0:15:37.440
<v Speaker 1>a reflection of Trump's influence continuing influence on the party. Josh,

0:15:37.480 --> 0:15:41.200
<v Speaker 1>you spoke to, uh, almost everybody I I could think

0:15:41.240 --> 0:15:43.520
<v Speaker 1>of that you could that you could have quoted in

0:15:43.520 --> 0:15:45.960
<v Speaker 1>the story you did. And I'm just wondering, you know,

0:15:46.040 --> 0:15:49.480
<v Speaker 1>everybody from from Sean Spicer who's down there, like on

0:15:49.600 --> 0:15:52.440
<v Speaker 1>down who is your most favorite person to speak to?

0:15:52.880 --> 0:15:57.080
<v Speaker 1>Who gave you your most favorite insight? You know, I

0:15:57.440 --> 0:15:59.320
<v Speaker 1>I think that the guy I like most and he

0:15:59.440 --> 0:16:02.160
<v Speaker 1>is a key character with a memorable scene in the

0:16:02.200 --> 0:16:05.520
<v Speaker 1>piece as a former White House spokesman named Hogan Gidley

0:16:05.600 --> 0:16:10.720
<v Speaker 1>who was hanging out shirtless pool side at one of

0:16:10.720 --> 0:16:13.760
<v Speaker 1>the hot Trump hotels down there. Uh. You know, Hogan

0:16:13.800 --> 0:16:15.840
<v Speaker 1>had done a swing through there to raise money for

0:16:15.880 --> 0:16:19.120
<v Speaker 1>a pro Trump group that he started. But he really

0:16:19.160 --> 0:16:23.440
<v Speaker 1>explained the kind of sociology and taxonomy of the extended

0:16:23.480 --> 0:16:26.800
<v Speaker 1>Trump universe. And I came away understanding that it isn't

0:16:26.840 --> 0:16:29.680
<v Speaker 1>just that politicians are afraid of Trump. It's that the

0:16:29.840 --> 0:16:33.840
<v Speaker 1>entire Republican consulting infrastructure, at least a large part of it,

0:16:33.880 --> 0:16:37.440
<v Speaker 1>remains dependent on Trump for their livelihood. They can't go

0:16:37.480 --> 0:16:40.880
<v Speaker 1>and get jobs at Uber and Amazon like Obama administration

0:16:40.920 --> 0:16:43.800
<v Speaker 1>officials did. They're they're sort of considered radioactive, I think,

0:16:43.880 --> 0:16:47.600
<v Speaker 1>especially after January six, and so they've gone out and

0:16:47.720 --> 0:16:52.440
<v Speaker 1>started conservative groups to push things like voter restrictions. Um,

0:16:52.480 --> 0:16:55.440
<v Speaker 1>they are very Trumpian and in doing so it kind

0:16:55.440 --> 0:16:58.520
<v Speaker 1>of created a very real power structure that allows Trump

0:16:58.560 --> 0:17:01.280
<v Speaker 1>to maintain his hold over the party. Uh and as I,

0:17:01.480 --> 0:17:04.199
<v Speaker 1>as I say in the piece, position himself as the

0:17:04.200 --> 0:17:08.320
<v Speaker 1>front runner in that's what he designs to do. The

0:17:08.320 --> 0:17:12.360
<v Speaker 1>the line that Gidley gave gave you while uh while

0:17:12.400 --> 0:17:15.959
<v Speaker 1>drinking what beverage? What beverage was not rush virgin virgin

0:17:16.040 --> 0:17:19.199
<v Speaker 1>Barry spritzer. It sounds like soda. He wanted to emphasize

0:17:19.240 --> 0:17:21.560
<v Speaker 1>it was virgin, not alcoholic, because it was like a

0:17:21.640 --> 0:17:24.080
<v Speaker 1>ten in the morning. Um, So, so let the record

0:17:24.119 --> 0:17:27.400
<v Speaker 1>show that that Gidley wasn't drinking alcohol. Um, but it's

0:17:27.440 --> 0:17:30.639
<v Speaker 1>a very delicious sixteen dollar version, very spriss. But the

0:17:31.280 --> 0:17:33.560
<v Speaker 1>line I just the or the quote that he gave

0:17:33.600 --> 0:17:35.920
<v Speaker 1>you was so memorable to me. But you never take

0:17:35.960 --> 0:17:38.040
<v Speaker 1>your line out of the water while the fish are

0:17:38.080 --> 0:17:40.560
<v Speaker 1>still biting. And I just like, I got it, I

0:17:40.640 --> 0:17:42.720
<v Speaker 1>got it when you when you did that so so

0:17:43.000 --> 0:17:45.119
<v Speaker 1>and it really sums it up. That's that's that's what

0:17:45.200 --> 0:17:47.800
<v Speaker 1>all the that's what all these Republicans consultants are doing.

0:17:47.800 --> 0:17:51.280
<v Speaker 1>They understand that their livelihood still flows from Trump, and

0:17:51.359 --> 0:17:56.000
<v Speaker 1>so they're they're response accordingly, what is this portend for two?

0:17:56.040 --> 0:18:01.680
<v Speaker 1>And then well for too? It's clear. You know, when

0:18:01.680 --> 0:18:03.720
<v Speaker 1>I was down there, I spoke to everybody, from former

0:18:03.800 --> 0:18:09.600
<v Speaker 1>staffers to big billionaire Trump donors to consultants, and everyone

0:18:09.640 --> 0:18:13.480
<v Speaker 1>for their own parochial reason is really depending on Trump

0:18:13.560 --> 0:18:17.000
<v Speaker 1>to bring out the Republican vote in twenty two. They

0:18:17.040 --> 0:18:18.800
<v Speaker 1>all want to, They all want Republicans to win back

0:18:18.840 --> 0:18:21.560
<v Speaker 1>the House of Representatives, which I think is quite likely,

0:18:21.600 --> 0:18:24.640
<v Speaker 1>but they understand, um, they need Trump to pull out

0:18:24.680 --> 0:18:26.800
<v Speaker 1>as voters. So they have a kind of an instrumental

0:18:26.960 --> 0:18:29.200
<v Speaker 1>youth for Trump that I think helps keep them front

0:18:29.240 --> 0:18:32.320
<v Speaker 1>and center. The interesting dilemma for them is most of

0:18:32.359 --> 0:18:34.879
<v Speaker 1>these people I think did not do not want Trump

0:18:34.960 --> 0:18:38.440
<v Speaker 1>to run in four because they don't think he can win,

0:18:38.920 --> 0:18:41.919
<v Speaker 1>and they're sort of stuck because nobody really has a

0:18:41.920 --> 0:18:45.320
<v Speaker 1>convincing story for how they can use him next year. Uh,

0:18:45.320 --> 0:18:47.560
<v Speaker 1>and then get rid of them before four. Well. It

0:18:47.600 --> 0:18:50.639
<v Speaker 1>is a fantastic feature. That is any new issue of

0:18:50.640 --> 0:18:54.320
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week magazine. It's also Today's Bloomberg Big Take story.

0:18:54.359 --> 0:18:56.480
<v Speaker 1>You can read more at Bloomberg dot Com slash of

0:18:56.560 --> 0:18:59.840
<v Speaker 1>business Week. That's Josh Green, national correspondent at Bloomberg Business

0:18:59.880 --> 0:19:02.600
<v Speaker 1>we and Joel Webber, Editor of Bloomberg Business Week, with

0:19:02.640 --> 0:19:06.439
<v Speaker 1>me in the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio. This is Bloomberg

0:19:06.480 --> 0:19:10.160
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

0:19:10.200 --> 0:19:14.600
<v Speaker 1>Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Well, in the fomo economy, everyone

0:19:15.000 --> 0:19:19.960
<v Speaker 1>is making money, but you, whether you're into memestocks, crypto

0:19:20.119 --> 0:19:23.000
<v Speaker 1>or real estate, buying seems driven by as much by

0:19:23.040 --> 0:19:26.840
<v Speaker 1>anxiety by hope. Even professional investors who know better can't

0:19:26.840 --> 0:19:30.520
<v Speaker 1>resist getting in on the action. It's the cover story

0:19:30.600 --> 0:19:33.040
<v Speaker 1>for the international cover of the new issue of Bloomberg

0:19:33.080 --> 0:19:35.320
<v Speaker 1>Business Week magazine. And you can read it at Bloomberg

0:19:35.320 --> 0:19:37.960
<v Speaker 1>dot com. Slash of Business Week. Joining me now from

0:19:38.119 --> 0:19:42.640
<v Speaker 1>Paris is Leonel Laurent, columnist at Bloomberg Opinion. Leonol, it's

0:19:42.640 --> 0:19:45.280
<v Speaker 1>so great to have you back with us. What is

0:19:45.320 --> 0:19:50.520
<v Speaker 1>the fomo economy? So essentially, obviously the ingredient is the

0:19:50.640 --> 0:19:54.679
<v Speaker 1>third missing out. Yes, psychological belief that we are missing

0:19:54.680 --> 0:19:56.880
<v Speaker 1>out on something. Everyone's getting work are past from us.

0:19:57.200 --> 0:19:59.040
<v Speaker 1>But it's becoming to kill it because it is known

0:19:59.040 --> 0:20:02.840
<v Speaker 1>a little bit just for sure to specific markets by cryptocurrencies.

0:20:02.880 --> 0:20:06.880
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there are investors who are flipping homes. If

0:20:06.920 --> 0:20:10.160
<v Speaker 1>you speak to bankers and executives, they're able to if

0:20:10.160 --> 0:20:12.560
<v Speaker 1>they have a company, they're able to list it at

0:20:12.560 --> 0:20:15.159
<v Speaker 1>a huge valuation with my revenue, and that is rippling

0:20:15.200 --> 0:20:17.480
<v Speaker 1>out as their advisors, who are supposed to be the

0:20:17.520 --> 0:20:20.360
<v Speaker 1>experts who have studied hard and worked hard to tell

0:20:20.400 --> 0:20:22.919
<v Speaker 1>people how to run businesses and are completely at a

0:20:22.960 --> 0:20:25.840
<v Speaker 1>loss as to explain what works, what is the business

0:20:25.880 --> 0:20:27.760
<v Speaker 1>model that works, and how do you make money? So

0:20:28.280 --> 0:20:31.200
<v Speaker 1>the result is that everyone is down to the same

0:20:31.280 --> 0:20:33.520
<v Speaker 1>tune and it is it's all about the stories that

0:20:33.560 --> 0:20:36.240
<v Speaker 1>we tell each other. I'm getting rich, How are you

0:20:36.240 --> 0:20:39.399
<v Speaker 1>getting rich. Let's all trade. So it's a kind of

0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:43.440
<v Speaker 1>weird contagion that's happening with a lot of different ingredients,

0:20:43.480 --> 0:20:47.440
<v Speaker 1>and it's sweeping New world economy. Yeah, those ingredients include cryptocurrency,

0:20:47.440 --> 0:20:49.439
<v Speaker 1>it's the way you open your piece. It also includes

0:20:49.520 --> 0:20:53.640
<v Speaker 1>meme stock such as AMC, game Stop, Wendy's GEO group.

0:20:53.720 --> 0:20:56.320
<v Speaker 1>The list goes on depending on the day, and then

0:20:56.359 --> 0:20:59.560
<v Speaker 1>also even housing. I mean, reading through this this story,

0:20:59.720 --> 0:21:02.800
<v Speaker 1>this column, I always thinking to myself, this sounds exactly

0:21:02.800 --> 0:21:05.120
<v Speaker 1>like conversations that I've been having with my friends over

0:21:05.160 --> 0:21:07.520
<v Speaker 1>the last few months when they say, Hey, should I

0:21:07.560 --> 0:21:10.080
<v Speaker 1>buy bitcoin? Should I get in on meme stocks? And

0:21:10.119 --> 0:21:12.000
<v Speaker 1>what is going on with the housing market. Of course

0:21:12.000 --> 0:21:13.879
<v Speaker 1>I can't offer them any advice, and I have no

0:21:13.960 --> 0:21:16.840
<v Speaker 1>idea what's going to happen. But what do you find

0:21:16.880 --> 0:21:19.280
<v Speaker 1>about what's going to happen if there are signs of

0:21:19.440 --> 0:21:21.560
<v Speaker 1>any sort of asset bubbles here that have been similar

0:21:21.600 --> 0:21:25.560
<v Speaker 1>asset bubbles in times past. So there's there's a couple

0:21:25.560 --> 0:21:27.919
<v Speaker 1>of things happening on the housing I think it really

0:21:28.040 --> 0:21:31.399
<v Speaker 1>is that kind of anxiety that says, um, I am

0:21:31.440 --> 0:21:33.640
<v Speaker 1>always going to miss out on housing every time there

0:21:33.680 --> 0:21:36.680
<v Speaker 1>is a supposed opportunity. The prices keep going up and

0:21:36.840 --> 0:21:38.960
<v Speaker 1>if I don't buy now, I will be priced out.

0:21:39.160 --> 0:21:42.479
<v Speaker 1>There is anxiety, there is greed as well. In New

0:21:42.560 --> 0:21:45.800
<v Speaker 1>Zealand of all countries, there are people who already owned

0:21:45.880 --> 0:21:48.840
<v Speaker 1>homes world or two who are now buying three, four

0:21:48.960 --> 0:21:52.040
<v Speaker 1>or five. There is just this needs to keep accumulating

0:21:52.040 --> 0:21:53.880
<v Speaker 1>because it is seen as a bet that can only

0:21:53.920 --> 0:21:56.280
<v Speaker 1>work out in the long run. Remember that young people

0:21:56.320 --> 0:21:59.080
<v Speaker 1>as well, coming into the job market they see only

0:21:59.119 --> 0:22:01.680
<v Speaker 1>a long future or ahead of them, are not convinced

0:22:01.680 --> 0:22:04.159
<v Speaker 1>at all. But if they study and work hard, they

0:22:04.160 --> 0:22:07.719
<v Speaker 1>will get a normal any normal retirement. So they are

0:22:08.160 --> 0:22:12.120
<v Speaker 1>they are swept along too. And housing is the most

0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:14.520
<v Speaker 1>basic need, a roof over your head. It's what we

0:22:14.560 --> 0:22:16.800
<v Speaker 1>all drew off in retirement. So all of these things

0:22:16.800 --> 0:22:19.480
<v Speaker 1>have been compressed in a world of low rates and

0:22:19.560 --> 0:22:24.399
<v Speaker 1>excess savings and posts reopening euphoria. It is it is

0:22:24.400 --> 0:22:26.719
<v Speaker 1>affecting everything, And how is it is deactly part of it?

0:22:26.840 --> 0:22:32.480
<v Speaker 1>How does it end? Very good questions. So there's a

0:22:32.480 --> 0:22:34.800
<v Speaker 1>couple of possibilities round I mean use the word bubble.

0:22:36.040 --> 0:22:37.959
<v Speaker 1>I see what's happening now as more of a more

0:22:38.000 --> 0:22:40.800
<v Speaker 1>of a cycle. So We've seen gold rushes in the past,

0:22:40.840 --> 0:22:44.399
<v Speaker 1>We've seen dot com boobs um. These things can have

0:22:44.560 --> 0:22:48.320
<v Speaker 1>a long time lad before they change. Some people think

0:22:48.400 --> 0:22:50.720
<v Speaker 1>there is a genuine turn in the for example, the

0:22:50.760 --> 0:22:54.320
<v Speaker 1>inflation cycle. If yields start to rise, then all these

0:22:54.359 --> 0:22:57.760
<v Speaker 1>moonshot investments don't start to look so great in the

0:22:57.840 --> 0:23:02.240
<v Speaker 1>same uniform way. Otherwise, I'm afraid it really has to

0:23:02.280 --> 0:23:04.680
<v Speaker 1>be a question of trying to find that middle ground

0:23:04.840 --> 0:23:10.040
<v Speaker 1>between the really extreme stories of getting rich, and maybe

0:23:10.080 --> 0:23:12.320
<v Speaker 1>the story would seem boring today, Like if I said

0:23:12.320 --> 0:23:15.000
<v Speaker 1>to you just put a little money aside every month

0:23:15.400 --> 0:23:17.720
<v Speaker 1>and put it in a mutual fund, you may have

0:23:17.840 --> 0:23:21.720
<v Speaker 1>to reassess think yourself about your own life and think, well,

0:23:22.080 --> 0:23:24.359
<v Speaker 1>if I build my entire life around fomo, it's just

0:23:24.400 --> 0:23:26.360
<v Speaker 1>how sustainable about it is. So I would say it's

0:23:26.359 --> 0:23:30.840
<v Speaker 1>a mix of natural cycles, the you know, the growth

0:23:30.880 --> 0:23:33.040
<v Speaker 1>of the economy and how it performs sort of fundamental

0:23:33.440 --> 0:23:36.640
<v Speaker 1>but also human psychology. Just just how contagious are those

0:23:36.680 --> 0:23:38.760
<v Speaker 1>stories going to be? Yeah, And as you point out,

0:23:38.760 --> 0:23:41.400
<v Speaker 1>which I love in your piece, you say, incidentally, actual

0:23:41.520 --> 0:23:45.920
<v Speaker 1>lottery tickets have also grown in popularity during this time.

0:23:46.119 --> 0:23:48.240
<v Speaker 1>I wonder about wealth management because it's something that you

0:23:48.280 --> 0:23:51.119
<v Speaker 1>touch on the experts, the advisors, the people who used

0:23:51.160 --> 0:23:53.679
<v Speaker 1>to march into two boardrooms and know exactly how a

0:23:53.680 --> 0:23:56.119
<v Speaker 1>company should spend their money. They don't necessarily have all

0:23:56.119 --> 0:23:59.639
<v Speaker 1>the answers like they used to. No, and and this

0:23:59.800 --> 0:24:02.840
<v Speaker 1>is why it is an economic phenomenon because it is

0:24:02.960 --> 0:24:07.760
<v Speaker 1>it is touching all of these industries that sort of

0:24:08.200 --> 0:24:12.760
<v Speaker 1>might have been seem to be permanent or immutable or

0:24:12.840 --> 0:24:15.520
<v Speaker 1>long term. And this is why it was so interesting

0:24:15.600 --> 0:24:18.600
<v Speaker 1>to write the story because you're speaking to professionals. You're

0:24:18.640 --> 0:24:20.480
<v Speaker 1>not speaking to day trade as you're not speaking for

0:24:20.520 --> 0:24:23.800
<v Speaker 1>the retail crowd. You're speaking to people who have qualifications

0:24:23.800 --> 0:24:25.639
<v Speaker 1>and who are supposed to know what to say. And

0:24:25.720 --> 0:24:29.520
<v Speaker 1>all they can say is, well, just wait and see

0:24:29.640 --> 0:24:34.119
<v Speaker 1>the cycle may turn. Try and build a constructive portfolio.

0:24:34.240 --> 0:24:36.919
<v Speaker 1>But you just have again on the FOMO front, you

0:24:36.920 --> 0:24:39.720
<v Speaker 1>do not want to appear dumb in front of your client,

0:24:39.800 --> 0:24:42.800
<v Speaker 1>and that, unafraid, is what a lot of these advisors

0:24:42.840 --> 0:24:46.880
<v Speaker 1>are worried they are looking like today, which is dumb

0:24:46.920 --> 0:24:50.000
<v Speaker 1>in front of this reality of the market. Just intense

0:24:50.040 --> 0:24:56.040
<v Speaker 1>seconds advice. If you have FOMA, try and find something

0:24:56.080 --> 0:25:00.880
<v Speaker 1>else to the balancing. However, you can maybe get outside

0:25:01.040 --> 0:25:02.639
<v Speaker 1>and go for a run, although that could cause you

0:25:02.680 --> 0:25:04.480
<v Speaker 1>to think about what you're missing out on. Leon O

0:25:04.560 --> 0:25:07.080
<v Speaker 1>laurent Is, columnist at Bloomberg Opinion, joining us on the

0:25:07.080 --> 0:25:09.919
<v Speaker 1>phone from Paris. Lenal stories the international cover of the

0:25:09.960 --> 0:25:12.280
<v Speaker 1>new issue of Bloomberg Business Week magazine. You can read

0:25:12.320 --> 0:25:17.680
<v Speaker 1>it at Bloomberg dot com slash business Week. I'm bromm

0:25:20.119 --> 0:25:23.600
<v Speaker 1>a journal Yeah, but you let me drive. Oh no,

0:25:23.600 --> 0:25:29.320
<v Speaker 1>no, no no, no, honey, please, I'll do the riding drivels.

0:25:29.800 --> 0:25:38.720
<v Speaker 1>I want to drive, Just drive, baby, good question, trying.

0:25:45.200 --> 0:25:48.480
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the clobe. Give me thanks.

0:25:48.520 --> 0:25:52.760
<v Speaker 1>We'll drying us on Bloomberg Radio. It's the drive to

0:25:52.800 --> 0:25:55.040
<v Speaker 1>the clothes. We are just a little over ten minutes

0:25:55.040 --> 0:25:58.119
<v Speaker 1>away from the close of equity markets here on this Thursday,

0:25:58.320 --> 0:26:01.440
<v Speaker 1>June tenth. Joining is always Hillo Kramer, President and Chief

0:26:01.480 --> 0:26:04.640
<v Speaker 1>investment Officer at A and G Capital Research. She's also

0:26:04.680 --> 0:26:07.400
<v Speaker 1>the author of Game Changer Investing, How to Profit from

0:26:07.440 --> 0:26:10.840
<v Speaker 1>Tomorrow's billion dollar Trends. She joins us on the phone

0:26:10.880 --> 0:26:13.119
<v Speaker 1>from Florida. Hillary, it's great to have you back with us.

0:26:13.119 --> 0:26:17.639
<v Speaker 1>How are you, Damn, I'm very good. It's really exciting

0:26:17.680 --> 0:26:20.960
<v Speaker 1>that COVID seems to be behind us here in Florida.

0:26:21.040 --> 0:26:24.680
<v Speaker 1>Let's just hope that delta variant doesn't hit. Yeah, look,

0:26:25.280 --> 0:26:27.120
<v Speaker 1>I hear you, and it certainly is a different story

0:26:27.119 --> 0:26:28.600
<v Speaker 1>playing out in the rest of the world, but we

0:26:28.640 --> 0:26:30.560
<v Speaker 1>are starting to feel a lot different here in New

0:26:30.640 --> 0:26:33.200
<v Speaker 1>York as well. Hillary. I want to start just by

0:26:33.200 --> 0:26:35.400
<v Speaker 1>talking about inflation, and then I do want to get

0:26:35.440 --> 0:26:37.960
<v Speaker 1>to the many stocks that that that you want to

0:26:38.000 --> 0:26:41.159
<v Speaker 1>talk about. But we can't ignore the CPI data that

0:26:41.200 --> 0:26:43.800
<v Speaker 1>we got earlier today. And I find it just fascinating

0:26:43.920 --> 0:26:45.919
<v Speaker 1>that both the equity market in the bond market really

0:26:45.960 --> 0:26:49.360
<v Speaker 1>shrugging off the idea that this could be permanent inflation.

0:26:51.119 --> 0:26:55.720
<v Speaker 1>The market was simply because of that, because the stock

0:26:55.760 --> 0:26:57.920
<v Speaker 1>market loved at the bond market, as you say, Jim,

0:26:58.240 --> 0:27:02.000
<v Speaker 1>really didn't freak out. It's just felt like that was normal.

0:27:02.119 --> 0:27:05.040
<v Speaker 1>It was priced in. But I think that there's been

0:27:05.080 --> 0:27:09.399
<v Speaker 1>some second thoughts because here later in the day, industrials, materials,

0:27:09.440 --> 0:27:14.440
<v Speaker 1>financials started to lag. So this may start to register

0:27:14.600 --> 0:27:19.480
<v Speaker 1>and the wage inflation is a significant problem for the

0:27:19.600 --> 0:27:23.840
<v Speaker 1>margins on so many companies. We may see some major rotations.

0:27:24.359 --> 0:27:27.879
<v Speaker 1>UH companies like Walmart, which are great portfolio staples but

0:27:28.040 --> 0:27:31.880
<v Speaker 1>have one percent razor thin margins as long as they're

0:27:31.920 --> 0:27:35.000
<v Speaker 1>paying people seventeen dollars an hour to stack shelves, which

0:27:35.119 --> 0:27:38.280
<v Speaker 1>I think is great because people should make money and

0:27:38.320 --> 0:27:42.240
<v Speaker 1>shouldn't be working and like starving and making and meat.

0:27:42.760 --> 0:27:47.000
<v Speaker 1>But it's going to impact the stock price because the

0:27:47.040 --> 0:27:50.040
<v Speaker 1>earnings are going to be impacted. And uh and it's

0:27:50.080 --> 0:27:52.399
<v Speaker 1>just a tough time in the stock market to find

0:27:52.480 --> 0:27:54.720
<v Speaker 1>good opportunities. Well, where are you finding some of those

0:27:54.720 --> 0:27:56.920
<v Speaker 1>good opportunities, Hilary. I want to talk and to start

0:27:56.960 --> 0:28:01.240
<v Speaker 1>with Chewy because they're reporting after the bell today. Chiwi

0:28:01.480 --> 0:28:05.639
<v Speaker 1>is a great company. It had a year, you know,

0:28:05.680 --> 0:28:08.000
<v Speaker 1>I was on top of Chili starting at twenty two

0:28:08.000 --> 0:28:12.280
<v Speaker 1>dollars um and there's stock now at one point above

0:28:12.280 --> 0:28:15.840
<v Speaker 1>a hundred and we could see a big jump today

0:28:16.040 --> 0:28:19.840
<v Speaker 1>upwards to we's still doing great. The humanization of pets,

0:28:19.960 --> 0:28:23.000
<v Speaker 1>there's been losses. We're not going to see um orneyes

0:28:23.040 --> 0:28:25.480
<v Speaker 1>for share positive until the fourth quarter of this year.

0:28:26.040 --> 0:28:30.840
<v Speaker 1>And uh. And it's very similar to the story you know, rotates,

0:28:31.000 --> 0:28:33.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, settling now you know, then a story becomes

0:28:33.640 --> 0:28:37.760
<v Speaker 1>especially on the Reddit trades. UH. Stocks like the st season,

0:28:37.800 --> 0:28:42.480
<v Speaker 1>the Chewie's um have been us decide. But I am

0:28:42.520 --> 0:28:46.960
<v Speaker 1>finding opportunities and I'm trying to find small caps but

0:28:47.040 --> 0:28:50.720
<v Speaker 1>that our value plays. We found one company, Tennant. We've

0:28:50.720 --> 0:28:54.040
<v Speaker 1>done a lot of work on TNC. It's scrubbers that

0:28:54.120 --> 0:28:59.400
<v Speaker 1>scrubbers for the floor, not for the internet, scrubbers, vacuum

0:29:00.000 --> 0:29:04.680
<v Speaker 1>as six dollar pieces of equipment for arenas and stadiums

0:29:04.680 --> 0:29:08.640
<v Speaker 1>and Walmart and Costco and Sam's Club and Tennants filter

0:29:08.760 --> 0:29:12.160
<v Speaker 1>replacement parts been around for over a hundred years. One

0:29:12.200 --> 0:29:14.000
<v Speaker 1>point one percent give it in yield. And what I'm

0:29:14.000 --> 0:29:16.240
<v Speaker 1>waiting for is at one point one billion dollar company

0:29:16.480 --> 0:29:19.040
<v Speaker 1>from middle market private equity fund is going to start

0:29:19.080 --> 0:29:21.400
<v Speaker 1>buying this thing up and we'll probably take it out,

0:29:21.440 --> 0:29:23.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, because that's what they're all looking for. Everyone's

0:29:23.440 --> 0:29:27.320
<v Speaker 1>searching for any opportunity where and at this point if

0:29:27.320 --> 0:29:29.080
<v Speaker 1>they can make a double and there's so many private

0:29:29.120 --> 0:29:32.960
<v Speaker 1>equity spinoff funds where to some funds, this might be

0:29:33.040 --> 0:29:35.640
<v Speaker 1>nothing one point one billion to another it might be

0:29:36.080 --> 0:29:38.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, the King's feast. Yeah, look, you make a hillar.

0:29:38.920 --> 0:29:40.720
<v Speaker 1>You make a really good point. Because I did see

0:29:40.760 --> 0:29:42.640
<v Speaker 1>and I mentioned this before, I saw tweet in recent

0:29:42.640 --> 0:29:44.120
<v Speaker 1>weeks that said it's a really good time to be

0:29:44.160 --> 0:29:46.400
<v Speaker 1>selling something because there is so much money out there.

0:29:46.520 --> 0:29:48.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm wondering, though, what that tells you about where we

0:29:48.320 --> 0:29:53.640
<v Speaker 1>are potentially in the market cycle. We're overstretched. We are

0:29:55.320 --> 0:29:58.760
<v Speaker 1>as long as they said, doesn't you know, start to

0:29:58.800 --> 0:30:00.920
<v Speaker 1>do what they need to do to con role inflation,

0:30:01.880 --> 0:30:05.840
<v Speaker 1>raising rates. We're going to be fine. But there's going

0:30:05.880 --> 0:30:08.640
<v Speaker 1>to be a tipping point something and we never know

0:30:08.680 --> 0:30:10.920
<v Speaker 1>what it is, but we know it's coming. It's going

0:30:11.000 --> 0:30:13.560
<v Speaker 1>to bring this market down. And there's so many traders

0:30:13.600 --> 0:30:16.720
<v Speaker 1>on margin out there, there's so many individual retail traders.

0:30:17.000 --> 0:30:21.200
<v Speaker 1>We could see like a math exodus and some trampling.

0:30:21.640 --> 0:30:24.040
<v Speaker 1>That could be really bad. So everyone should keep their

0:30:24.040 --> 0:30:26.800
<v Speaker 1>powder dry and get ready for the market to go

0:30:26.880 --> 0:30:29.760
<v Speaker 1>down and look at it a buying opportunity. When when

0:30:29.760 --> 0:30:32.120
<v Speaker 1>when is it realistic? Look, nobody has a crystal ball.

0:30:32.160 --> 0:30:37.400
<v Speaker 1>If if anyone did, that would be game changing. But um,

0:30:37.440 --> 0:30:39.920
<v Speaker 1>what is the realistic timeline that you're thinking of one

0:30:39.920 --> 0:30:41.760
<v Speaker 1>of these downturns where you could take advantage of the

0:30:41.840 --> 0:30:48.560
<v Speaker 1>dry powder. It could happen when tax legislation actually is enacted.

0:30:48.880 --> 0:30:51.880
<v Speaker 1>That could be the major tipping points that starts some

0:30:52.000 --> 0:30:56.480
<v Speaker 1>funds or some people selling it could be something geopolitical,

0:30:56.840 --> 0:30:59.120
<v Speaker 1>or as we started this conversation, it could be this

0:30:59.240 --> 0:31:02.440
<v Speaker 1>delta very that's closing down one third of the ports

0:31:02.480 --> 0:31:05.600
<v Speaker 1>in China and which we're gonna see more of a

0:31:05.680 --> 0:31:09.040
<v Speaker 1>hold up in semiconductors and all sorts of exports which

0:31:09.040 --> 0:31:11.400
<v Speaker 1>are gonna make which you're going to make equipment and

0:31:11.480 --> 0:31:16.880
<v Speaker 1>manufacturing a lot more difficult to fulfill and um. But

0:31:17.120 --> 0:31:20.360
<v Speaker 1>but I still think that again him, there are opportunities,

0:31:20.680 --> 0:31:23.840
<v Speaker 1>like in biotech, for example, ASCO, which is the big

0:31:23.880 --> 0:31:26.800
<v Speaker 1>oncology meeting that happens once a year, was last week

0:31:26.920 --> 0:31:32.200
<v Speaker 1>virtual and ASCO had some really incredible oncology news that

0:31:32.280 --> 0:31:34.920
<v Speaker 1>came out of it, and oncology has really been on

0:31:34.920 --> 0:31:38.760
<v Speaker 1>the oncology biotex box have relatively been ignored. The one

0:31:38.800 --> 0:31:41.760
<v Speaker 1>that came out that's the biggest favorite is io Vance

0:31:41.840 --> 0:31:44.400
<v Speaker 1>io b A that has some really solid data on

0:31:44.480 --> 0:31:49.720
<v Speaker 1>melanoma immunotherapy and there's finally could be true true you know,

0:31:49.920 --> 0:31:53.880
<v Speaker 1>large scale applicability instead of chemotherapy to do this turning

0:31:54.000 --> 0:31:57.959
<v Speaker 1>cells against the bad selves and your body fighting your

0:31:57.960 --> 0:32:00.959
<v Speaker 1>own war. But we think io vance, like Goldman Facts,

0:32:01.000 --> 0:32:04.200
<v Speaker 1>that it's going to be more than three increase in

0:32:04.240 --> 0:32:08.000
<v Speaker 1>the next twelve months. Now for an analyst to say that,

0:32:08.280 --> 0:32:10.560
<v Speaker 1>there's got to be some real conviction around it. But

0:32:10.720 --> 0:32:13.680
<v Speaker 1>the stock, uh you know, in the twenties has been

0:32:13.720 --> 0:32:16.200
<v Speaker 1>over a hundred dollars a share, and that's the way

0:32:16.280 --> 0:32:18.680
<v Speaker 1>biotech can go. But either are going to go off

0:32:18.720 --> 0:32:23.840
<v Speaker 1>of uh you know, away from the vaccine stocks. Another one,

0:32:24.840 --> 0:32:28.720
<v Speaker 1>rx O p r X. That's one right, um, you know,

0:32:28.880 --> 0:32:33.040
<v Speaker 1>that's the one that spends the messages for pharmaceuticals and

0:32:33.200 --> 0:32:36.200
<v Speaker 1>for scripture. We only have a couple of minutes left,

0:32:36.200 --> 0:32:37.680
<v Speaker 1>so I wanted to make sure to touch on fintech

0:32:37.720 --> 0:32:40.239
<v Speaker 1>because it's a category that is is incredibly hot right now.

0:32:40.280 --> 0:32:42.640
<v Speaker 1>I feel like I'm seeing ads for fintech companies that

0:32:42.680 --> 0:32:45.880
<v Speaker 1>I've never even heard of, that have multibillion dollar valuations

0:32:45.920 --> 0:32:48.680
<v Speaker 1>at least by venture capitalists. Um, where are you see

0:32:48.680 --> 0:32:53.600
<v Speaker 1>the opportunities with publicly traded companies fin tech? The best

0:32:53.640 --> 0:32:57.360
<v Speaker 1>way to go would be keep it simple, don't go

0:32:57.400 --> 0:33:00.280
<v Speaker 1>into any complexly you're better off with the pay pals

0:33:00.360 --> 0:33:03.800
<v Speaker 1>of the world, and let them enter into the fintech arena.

0:33:04.040 --> 0:33:06.840
<v Speaker 1>They have Zoom, they have Venmo, they have the power

0:33:07.040 --> 0:33:10.840
<v Speaker 1>three fifteen billion dollar market cap pu y p L

0:33:11.240 --> 0:33:15.520
<v Speaker 1>and continuing to grow. Fintech is just a word that

0:33:15.640 --> 0:33:19.200
<v Speaker 1>everybody's chasing after. In many ways, I think fin tech

0:33:19.280 --> 0:33:22.880
<v Speaker 1>is no different than Google already has um you know,

0:33:23.040 --> 0:33:26.440
<v Speaker 1>the Google free and people able to make changes on

0:33:26.480 --> 0:33:29.800
<v Speaker 1>a document on the Google system. So in many ways

0:33:29.800 --> 0:33:32.880
<v Speaker 1>it's overrated. Look at how fast everyone was able to

0:33:32.880 --> 0:33:35.040
<v Speaker 1>adjust when we had only a few days to close

0:33:35.120 --> 0:33:38.720
<v Speaker 1>down states in the entire country. Uh, and we didn't

0:33:38.720 --> 0:33:42.160
<v Speaker 1>need these spin tech companies to do it. Hillary Kramer

0:33:42.480 --> 0:33:45.400
<v Speaker 1>is the president and chief investment officer at a n

0:33:45.480 --> 0:33:48.960
<v Speaker 1>G Capital Research. She's also the author of Game Changer Investing,

0:33:49.240 --> 0:33:52.560
<v Speaker 1>How to Profit from Tomorrow's billion dollar Trends. She joins

0:33:52.640 --> 0:33:54.840
<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from Florida. Hillary, thank you so

0:33:54.920 --> 0:33:56.720
<v Speaker 1>much for joining us again, and it's always great to

0:33:56.760 --> 0:34:00.400
<v Speaker 1>have you. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Busines this week.

0:34:00.480 --> 0:34:04.080
<v Speaker 1>Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com,

0:34:04.120 --> 0:34:05.800
<v Speaker 1>and you can also listen to our radio show at

0:34:05.800 --> 0:34:08.880
<v Speaker 1>two pm Eastern on Bloomberg Radio or watch us on YouTube.

0:34:09.000 --> 0:34:10.480
<v Speaker 1>Search to Bloomberg Global News