WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2018 NFL MegaPod Week 14 Preview 0:00:03.400 --> 0:00:12.400 Check it down, Man Down Now Thursday morning, except for 0:00:12.520 --> 0:00:16.040 six twenty eight teens defeating the Book podcast Kill Alexander 0:00:16.600 --> 0:00:22.079 Megapod time Week fourteen in the National Football League. As always, 0:00:22.120 --> 0:00:24.000 the show brought to you by the score X T 0:00:24.239 --> 0:00:28.040 A T S C O r e X dot com. 0:00:28.200 --> 0:00:31.680 Four weeks left before Marco and as we have a 0:00:31.760 --> 0:00:34.919 guest on the wild Card megapod because of course, if 0:00:34.960 --> 0:00:37.520 you signed up at the score x with the promo 0:00:37.600 --> 0:00:39.960 code guilt, you were entered into the beating the book 0:00:40.000 --> 0:00:42.879 pool of score xers. That's the old stock market thing 0:00:42.880 --> 0:00:44.880 that I've been talking about, stock market football thing that 0:00:44.920 --> 0:00:47.320 I've been talking about for years and years on the show. 0:00:47.720 --> 0:00:51.760 Right now, in the lead, Profitable, Profitable is in the lead, 0:00:51.800 --> 0:00:54.960 and Profitable let me just say this, Profitable has extended 0:00:55.000 --> 0:00:57.720 his lead. I assume it's a him. I shouldn't assume 0:00:57.760 --> 0:00:59.920 that could be a she. I don't know what profitable is. 0:01:00.560 --> 0:01:04.000 But Profitable is in the lead over thirty three percent 0:01:04.560 --> 0:01:08.280 of a portfolio gain for Profitable at the score x 0:01:08.360 --> 0:01:10.720 dot com. Congratulations, and it's a big lead at this 0:01:10.760 --> 0:01:16.679 point is the next closest portfolio gain. So the lead 0:01:16.680 --> 0:01:19.920 has extended. Profitable the Man Debate or the Woman Debate 0:01:20.440 --> 0:01:23.560 over at the score x dot com. Check it out. 0:01:24.040 --> 0:01:27.760 Great vehicle for sports spending on the show today, of course, 0:01:27.920 --> 0:01:30.480 is always the pillars of the show. Thirty nine years 0:01:30.480 --> 0:01:33.440 in the business. Marco d Angelo from Wager Talk. Good 0:01:33.480 --> 0:01:35.720 morning Marco, Good morning, Gil. How are you today? I'm 0:01:35.760 --> 0:01:39.200 doing very well, Marco. Here's the story. I get texts 0:01:39.800 --> 0:01:43.480 from buddies of ours texting me the food you're eating 0:01:43.560 --> 0:01:48.400 before the megapod. Hey, this is a very tough show. 0:01:48.600 --> 0:01:52.880 You know. We gotta go Monday night, Sunday night, best 0:01:52.960 --> 0:01:56.080 that upset who I don't want to play, and then 0:01:56.200 --> 0:01:58.120 Thursday night and we do all that in an hour. 0:01:58.640 --> 0:02:02.400 I need to be properly Field, Yeah, good little where'd 0:02:02.440 --> 0:02:04.560 you go today? Was the restaurant of his restaurant, shoutout 0:02:05.040 --> 0:02:10.880 pigs glorified ham and eggs. Pigs glorified ham and eggs. 0:02:11.600 --> 0:02:15.320 All right, never been but hey, it's so good, Gil. 0:02:15.320 --> 0:02:18.000 It's so good that Mark and I I didn't know 0:02:18.360 --> 0:02:20.720 the other one was going there, and we both were there. 0:02:21.200 --> 0:02:23.720 He was leaving as I was coming. Oh that wasn't planned. 0:02:24.560 --> 0:02:27.079 That was not planned. No, al right, by the way, 0:02:27.120 --> 0:02:29.280 because I you could tell I was searching frantically for 0:02:29.320 --> 0:02:31.960 the score X contest Danny's, which disappeared from my screen 0:02:32.000 --> 0:02:34.160 as we were talking. But Profitable is up thirty three 0:02:34.160 --> 0:02:37.040 point one percent, Dio the Greek up twenty six percent, 0:02:37.280 --> 0:02:40.840 Top sch Left up seven percent, the Wick up twenty 0:02:40.919 --> 0:02:43.520 three point three percent, Liam Converse in fifth, up twenty 0:02:43.560 --> 0:02:46.200 two point five percent. So Profitable well in the lead 0:02:46.280 --> 0:02:49.480 on my left, out of the sports betting diaspora, Ladies 0:02:49.480 --> 0:02:53.200 and gentlemen as taste. All right, thanks for having me, brother. 0:02:53.760 --> 0:02:56.400 You got another win last week, did you not? No, no, 0:02:56.400 --> 0:03:01.160 no no. I gave up Atlanta Atlanta yesterday, blunt weight. 0:03:01.200 --> 0:03:04.000 I'm sorry. Fortunately we agreed on Atlanta, but they did 0:03:04.040 --> 0:03:05.919 not come through. They did not come through. I was 0:03:05.960 --> 0:03:08.720 on them as well. Uh yeah, that was not good. 0:03:09.120 --> 0:03:12.359 Lamar Jackson and the Ravens getting themselves another win again. 0:03:12.400 --> 0:03:15.119 The conversation that's taking place between John Harbaugh and Joe 0:03:15.120 --> 0:03:17.880 Flacco goes a little something like this, Hey, Coach Harbaugh, 0:03:18.240 --> 0:03:21.239 my hips fine, Uh no, it's not, Joe. You know, seriously, 0:03:21.240 --> 0:03:23.919 I'm ready to play. Actually, I think your hip still hurts. 0:03:23.919 --> 0:03:25.600 We're gonna go with Lamar this week and on the 0:03:25.639 --> 0:03:28.640 show for the first time ever. He hosts a podcast 0:03:28.680 --> 0:03:31.680 called The Better Life, and of course that's spelled b 0:03:31.840 --> 0:03:34.080 E T T O R. We'll get an explanation from 0:03:34.160 --> 0:03:36.920 him just on what that's about. Specifically, ladies and gentlemen, 0:03:37.320 --> 0:03:40.800 I present to you Tim Lawson. Good morning, Tim, Hello Gil. 0:03:40.840 --> 0:03:43.800 Thank you so much for for thinking of me. It's 0:03:43.840 --> 0:03:46.440 it's exciting after listening to the show for so long 0:03:46.520 --> 0:03:48.920 to now be a contributing member. So yeah, I do 0:03:48.960 --> 0:03:51.680 appreciate the opportunity. Yes, and Tim for for those who 0:03:52.000 --> 0:03:54.480 didn't don't know. Off air, just before the show, he 0:03:54.560 --> 0:03:58.560 was like, oh my god, my self is so excited 0:03:58.640 --> 0:04:00.680 right now. And I'm like, oh, it's so like your 0:04:00.720 --> 0:04:03.120 current self doesn't really give And he's like, well, just 0:04:03.280 --> 0:04:05.520 just a little different, is what he was saying. It's yeah, 0:04:05.520 --> 0:04:07.960 it's a little different. What's the Better Life about? So? 0:04:08.120 --> 0:04:12.640 The Better Life launched just under a year ago as 0:04:12.680 --> 0:04:18.080 a podcast about gambling and more more uh more, specifically 0:04:18.440 --> 0:04:21.680 the betters that are that are living this life as gamblers, 0:04:21.720 --> 0:04:25.600 and uh we learned about a gamblers sort of how 0:04:25.640 --> 0:04:28.800 they were first exposed to gambling, their for their the 0:04:28.839 --> 0:04:30.800 first bets they may have may knew their first visit 0:04:30.880 --> 0:04:34.800 to casino whatever their games of choice are, whether it's sports, betting, poker, 0:04:34.880 --> 0:04:38.040 table games, whatever it may be, slots, video poker, um. 0:04:38.120 --> 0:04:40.520 And then sort of learned about like how their family responded, 0:04:40.600 --> 0:04:42.920 what their what their approach to playing is now, and 0:04:43.320 --> 0:04:45.000 um and and and in the midst of all that, 0:04:45.040 --> 0:04:47.440 we still have conversations with sort of in general about 0:04:47.480 --> 0:04:50.640 about gambling, but the real focus of the show is 0:04:50.680 --> 0:04:54.600 to learn about the stories of gamblers, how they've developed 0:04:54.600 --> 0:04:57.520 as a gambler in uh, sort of just enjoying that 0:04:57.560 --> 0:05:01.000 discussion of recreational gambling that so much so many of 0:05:01.040 --> 0:05:03.760 us enjoy like it. You do have somebody on the 0:05:03.800 --> 0:05:06.120 show coming up this weekend though, right, that's right. I 0:05:06.520 --> 0:05:09.320 was just before you hit record, I just mentioned that 0:05:09.440 --> 0:05:13.279 it's uh, this is really good timing on on on 0:05:13.440 --> 0:05:17.240 my my appearance here on the megapod, because in the 0:05:17.240 --> 0:05:20.279 next twenty four hours I will be releasing an interview 0:05:20.320 --> 0:05:22.839 that I did with with your with our own VR. 0:05:22.960 --> 0:05:26.920 So this is this is like you uncensored on this 0:05:26.960 --> 0:05:29.720 show a pretty much. I yeah, it was a little 0:05:29.720 --> 0:05:31.960 while back. We did it, you know, but I had 0:05:32.000 --> 0:05:33.839 a lot of fun, you know me. I love talking 0:05:33.880 --> 0:05:37.040 this sports betting. Okay, yeah, so it was. It's the 0:05:37.279 --> 0:05:41.440 interview we recorded a little while back November. Got a 0:05:41.440 --> 0:05:43.880 little little busy formula. It actually worked out on sort 0:05:43.880 --> 0:05:45.480 of the timing and when it's gonna be released really 0:05:45.480 --> 0:05:47.120 excite a lot of people looking forward to that interview. 0:05:47.680 --> 0:05:50.159 And I think I think it's one of the um 0:05:50.400 --> 0:05:52.560 you know we got. We got a lot of unique 0:05:52.560 --> 0:05:54.599 perspectives from people, but I think this is one that 0:05:54.680 --> 0:05:56.000 not a lot of This is a perspective that not 0:05:56.040 --> 0:05:58.240 a lot of people have heard about a person that 0:05:58.279 --> 0:06:01.960 a lot of people know. I like, yeah, I like it, Marco, 0:06:02.080 --> 0:06:03.880 You and me should tune into. Maybe we're gonna learn 0:06:03.880 --> 0:06:08.279 some about a said we didn't know. Also, the Better Life, 0:06:08.520 --> 0:06:10.760 Ace is not only a man of mystery now Aces everywhere. 0:06:10.839 --> 0:06:12.560 Just I just want to point that out. We've already 0:06:12.560 --> 0:06:15.440 sort of hinted at where as is Aces on Goalie 0:06:15.440 --> 0:06:19.200 can Wingo. Ace got some UFC thing coming up big time, 0:06:19.279 --> 0:06:21.600 so we're very excited for him. So we'll check out 0:06:21.680 --> 0:06:23.719 the episode of the Better Life with haste this weekend, 0:06:23.720 --> 0:06:26.720 available where all podcasts are distributed. Let us begin with 0:06:26.760 --> 0:06:29.760 the Monday night game Gentlemen Minnesota at Seattle. This is 0:06:29.760 --> 0:06:32.640 a big game. Minnesota six five of one, Seattle is 0:06:32.680 --> 0:06:34.480 seven and five right now. If the playoffs were to 0:06:34.480 --> 0:06:37.040 start in the NFC, Seattle be the number one wild card, 0:06:37.040 --> 0:06:38.840 Minnesota be the number two. So this has big time 0:06:38.880 --> 0:06:42.480 implications Seattle right now, A let's call the three point 0:06:42.520 --> 0:06:45.560 favorite across the board. Yeah, that's about right, three point favorite. 0:06:45.600 --> 0:06:49.560 Extra juice total in this game is forty five. Vikings 0:06:49.600 --> 0:06:52.880 coming off a loss, a fourteen point loss, I believe 0:06:52.880 --> 0:06:55.599 it was to the New England Patriots. Minnesota could not 0:06:55.720 --> 0:06:58.160 get the win. They could not get the cover. Typical 0:06:58.520 --> 0:07:01.880 Kirk Cousins through a up the late picks. Uh, it's 0:07:01.960 --> 0:07:04.840 kind of what he does, some bad decision making, perhaps 0:07:04.880 --> 0:07:06.960 late not all his fault for sure. Uh. It is 0:07:07.000 --> 0:07:09.320 at New England, and those things happen when you face 0:07:09.400 --> 0:07:12.120 the Patriots. But Minnesota now in a year where they 0:07:12.160 --> 0:07:15.360 were expected to do oh so much, six five and one. 0:07:15.400 --> 0:07:17.520 It should be noted that case Kingdom no longer the 0:07:17.560 --> 0:07:20.280 Vikings quarterback six and six over in never not much 0:07:20.280 --> 0:07:23.040 of a difference. And then there's Seattle. Seattle crushes the 0:07:23.120 --> 0:07:26.600 Niners last week, crushes them, and Russell Wilson just the 0:07:26.760 --> 0:07:31.000 model of efficiency eleven of seventeen for four touchdowns. Note 0:07:31.000 --> 0:07:33.280 picks in the first half. I just want to point 0:07:33.320 --> 0:07:36.640 this out. First half last week four completions, three for 0:07:36.760 --> 0:07:40.520 touchdowns sports Radar sport Radar, I should say Wilson throwing 0:07:40.560 --> 0:07:43.320 three touchdowns on four completions made for the fewest touchdowns 0:07:43.320 --> 0:07:46.960 per completion in a first half dating back to when 0:07:46.960 --> 0:07:49.600 they first are able to get these stats. The previous 0:07:49.640 --> 0:07:52.560 low was six completions for three touchdowns. So this is 0:07:52.600 --> 0:07:54.960 just off the charts what he did last week. And 0:07:54.960 --> 0:07:57.240 that's just kind of how his season has been. Seattle 0:07:57.280 --> 0:08:01.160 favored by three total forty five tim your thoughts, well, uh, 0:08:01.360 --> 0:08:05.920 Gil I I originally prevail from the the Great Pacific Northwest, 0:08:06.040 --> 0:08:09.280 and uh and I am a huge Seahawks fan. It's 0:08:09.280 --> 0:08:11.280 the one thing that I that I have kept with 0:08:11.320 --> 0:08:13.760 me and all of my travels and moving stuff like that. 0:08:13.800 --> 0:08:16.560 I've always been a Seahawks fan. And um, you know, 0:08:16.640 --> 0:08:19.200 going into this season, Seahawks fans in general, we were 0:08:19.200 --> 0:08:21.880 sort of we also, uh, we're sort of we're we 0:08:21.880 --> 0:08:24.400 weren't sort of agreeing with the narrative, but we accepted 0:08:24.440 --> 0:08:26.560 the narrative that the Seahawks probably weren't gonna be much 0:08:26.600 --> 0:08:29.120 this year, that this was gonna be a rebuilding year, uh, 0:08:29.160 --> 0:08:30.680 and that they were going to be they got written 0:08:30.680 --> 0:08:32.560 off really early in the season, like this is gonna 0:08:32.559 --> 0:08:34.079 be a competitive team, that we're not going to see 0:08:34.120 --> 0:08:36.000 them in the playoffs. And then I think they've shocked 0:08:36.000 --> 0:08:38.960 everybody and how competitive they've been in their their ability 0:08:39.040 --> 0:08:42.640 to to be playoff to have a potential playoffs spot 0:08:42.880 --> 0:08:44.760 while being in a division that was clearly going to 0:08:44.800 --> 0:08:47.880 get be dominated by by the Rams Minnesota coming off 0:08:47.880 --> 0:08:51.040 that tough loss against our disappointing loss, I guess, or 0:08:51.120 --> 0:08:53.040 to say against the Patriots have to go all the 0:08:53.040 --> 0:08:55.440 way across the country to kind of go into Seattle 0:08:55.920 --> 0:08:59.840 and compete with a Seahawks team that is pumped about 0:09:00.000 --> 0:09:02.760 where they are on their opportunity to really get one 0:09:02.800 --> 0:09:08.600 step further towards landing a wild card seed. All that said, though, uh, 0:09:08.720 --> 0:09:11.319 I don't know if I like either side enough to 0:09:11.320 --> 0:09:14.120 to to make a wager, but I am actually gonna 0:09:14.120 --> 0:09:16.640 be looking at some player props if you don't mind 0:09:16.640 --> 0:09:20.880 me taking that angle. Yes, so the Seattle defense is 0:09:20.920 --> 0:09:24.440 pretty uh, it's it's it's efficient enough on running that 0:09:24.800 --> 0:09:27.040 are probably not gonna look towards anything on that, but 0:09:27.120 --> 0:09:29.480 they leave a little bit to be desired on their 0:09:29.480 --> 0:09:33.599 passing defense, and where they especially have tough difficulty is 0:09:33.640 --> 0:09:38.040 with the wide receiver one position. And so Adam Feeling 0:09:38.280 --> 0:09:40.800 was on fire for the first half of the season. 0:09:40.880 --> 0:09:44.760 He has been uh since not quite as as potent 0:09:44.840 --> 0:09:47.480 as he has been, But I will be looking UH 0:09:47.559 --> 0:09:52.000 towards some Adam Feeling player props, specifically over under on 0:09:52.120 --> 0:09:57.120 receptions and over under on yards. Earlier, we've been seeing 0:09:57.160 --> 0:10:01.240 a lot of UH one five yards over under on 0:10:01.400 --> 0:10:04.240 on Adam Feeland. It's slowly going down as he UH 0:10:04.360 --> 0:10:06.520 as he's had a twenty eight yard game sixty six, 0:10:06.559 --> 0:10:08.920 twenty two. A lot of that because the Stefon Diggs 0:10:08.960 --> 0:10:11.680 coming back and taking some of those targets. But um, 0:10:11.760 --> 0:10:14.920 I'm gonna be looking both at Adam Feeling and UH 0:10:15.000 --> 0:10:18.440 and Stefon Diggs on both receptions and yards, and I'm 0:10:18.440 --> 0:10:21.840 gonna see where the lines are gonna give, which players 0:10:21.800 --> 0:10:23.400 are going to give the most benefits, and try to 0:10:23.400 --> 0:10:26.120 take advantage of of taking an over on Adam Feeland 0:10:26.120 --> 0:10:29.000 on both receptions and yards. If if it if if 0:10:29.040 --> 0:10:30.920 the if the line's right, Tim by the way, wasn't 0:10:30.920 --> 0:10:32.800 that easy? Wasn't that good? Eight years in the making, 0:10:33.080 --> 0:10:36.040 your first capsule on the show? Well done. It's like 0:10:36.120 --> 0:10:38.760 it's like you've been here the whole time, even adding 0:10:38.760 --> 0:10:43.520 a prop, Yeah, we was. I guess you'd say I'm 0:10:43.559 --> 0:10:45.839 looking towards Adam Feeling in the sense that I think 0:10:45.880 --> 0:10:48.640 Stefon Diggs was already gonna have too exaggerated a line 0:10:48.679 --> 0:10:51.280 because he is Stefon Diggs, and because theeland is coming 0:10:51.320 --> 0:10:54.480 off of three or four games that have been under 0:10:54.880 --> 0:10:58.040 sixty seven yards. So I think Feeling is probably where 0:10:58.040 --> 0:11:00.480 we're gonna not only get some value on the line, 0:11:00.480 --> 0:11:02.760 but also have the opportunity to maybe break away. I 0:11:02.760 --> 0:11:04.600 mean his yards after catchers on real right, So, and 0:11:04.640 --> 0:11:06.360 I think the Seahawks may have a difficult than me 0:11:06.800 --> 0:11:08.920 a challenge containing that. So that he's the way I'm 0:11:08.920 --> 0:11:11.480 looking on on that. Valen stats are certainly that of 0:11:11.520 --> 0:11:13.600 a wide receiver one that's for sure. This year it's 0:11:13.640 --> 0:11:17.240 just been unbelievable. A little bit less in recent weeks, 0:11:17.240 --> 0:11:21.240 but um, just an amazing season for Feeling. Kirk Cousins 0:11:21.320 --> 0:11:23.720 last weekend defeat by the Way thirty two or two 0:11:23.760 --> 0:11:27.120 oh one one touchdown, two picks, sacked twice. Against the Patriots, 0:11:27.600 --> 0:11:31.360 the Vikings were three for twelve on third downs. That 0:11:31.520 --> 0:11:33.920 was their achilles CeAl in that game against Patriots. Minnesota 0:11:33.960 --> 0:11:36.720 now has lost two of its past three. They entered 0:11:36.720 --> 0:11:39.079 that game against New England allowing the third fewest rushing 0:11:39.160 --> 0:11:41.200 yards in the league ninety three point six yards per game, 0:11:41.240 --> 0:11:45.040 and then New England spread him out rushed for one sixty. Meanwhile, 0:11:45.040 --> 0:11:47.880 the Seahawks again against the Niners, they're just killing it 0:11:48.160 --> 0:11:51.480 and Bobby Wagner capping the blowout with a ninety eight 0:11:51.520 --> 0:11:55.120 yard interception return first to his career longest and franchise history. 0:11:55.160 --> 0:11:57.840 In that game, they held the Niners in check. Obviously, 0:11:58.120 --> 0:12:01.400 Seahawks have been on fire, Marco. They have just had 0:12:01.440 --> 0:12:06.280 an amazing run here against a really tough midseason schedule. 0:12:06.840 --> 0:12:08.840 Here they get a break here down the stretch where 0:12:08.840 --> 0:12:11.320 they get the Niners without Garoppolo a couple of times, 0:12:11.320 --> 0:12:14.600 but Minnesota sandwiched in between here, good Monday night game. 0:12:14.679 --> 0:12:17.240 What you got it is a good Monday night game. 0:12:17.280 --> 0:12:20.880 But I'm gonna disagree with one thing you said. They're yeah, 0:12:20.960 --> 0:12:24.400 they're hot, but you talk about a tough schedule. Well, 0:12:24.679 --> 0:12:28.480 the tough schedule was the Rams, the Chargers, and the Rams, 0:12:28.679 --> 0:12:31.199 and they lost all three of those games. They lost 0:12:31.200 --> 0:12:35.400 them all. Okay, the teams they've beaten, the only team 0:12:35.440 --> 0:12:38.800 that they've beaten in this seven and three run was 0:12:38.920 --> 0:12:41.840 Dallas and that was the third week of September, when 0:12:41.920 --> 0:12:45.520 Dallas's offense was non existent. May interrupt you, may interrupt you. 0:12:45.920 --> 0:12:47.960 They played the Packers, They played the Packers when the 0:12:47.960 --> 0:12:51.120 Packers are still viable. They they played the Panthers. Your casual, 0:12:51.320 --> 0:12:54.920 you're casually going past the Packers have a winning record. 0:12:55.080 --> 0:12:57.640 Oh now, we're only talking about teams with winning records. Now, 0:12:57.920 --> 0:13:01.320 Oh got you? I believe you just out of that ahead. 0:13:01.360 --> 0:13:05.240 I'm sorry they did. But the fact is green Bay's 0:13:05.320 --> 0:13:07.600 four and six and Caroline is six and six. Not 0:13:07.679 --> 0:13:10.240 a winning record. They haven't beaten. The only team they've 0:13:10.320 --> 0:13:13.120 beaten the No. Seven right now that has a winning 0:13:13.120 --> 0:13:17.960 record is Dallas. That's the fact. I'm sorry. And for 0:13:18.000 --> 0:13:20.240 a numbers guy, don't you have a show that's you 0:13:20.280 --> 0:13:27.120 know something about numbers? Okay, alright, alright, well remembers don't 0:13:27.160 --> 0:13:29.760 mean anything, I guess. All right, but I'm looking at 0:13:29.760 --> 0:13:32.719 Minnesota here and I'm not sold on Seattle. And believe me, 0:13:33.040 --> 0:13:36.240 I think Pete Carroll, with what he's had talent wise 0:13:36.320 --> 0:13:39.440 this year, you know, has done Coach of the Year 0:13:39.679 --> 0:13:42.960 type performance. But there's a couple other guys that are 0:13:42.960 --> 0:13:46.360 gonna overshadow him for sure. But he's done and I 0:13:46.400 --> 0:13:49.760 think one of his best coaching jobs this year getting 0:13:49.760 --> 0:13:51.840 the most out of the least because I mean, you 0:13:51.880 --> 0:13:54.000 look at that offense on paper, what they had at 0:13:54.000 --> 0:13:56.480 the beginning of the season, and go back to what 0:13:56.520 --> 0:14:00.000 they lost on defense. Uh, this is a team that's 0:14:00.280 --> 0:14:04.719 definitely overachieved. Now we look at Minnesota and again the 0:14:05.200 --> 0:14:08.160 Sharks lined up on him against New England last week 0:14:08.240 --> 0:14:12.120 and Brady and uh Belichick did what they always do. 0:14:12.200 --> 0:14:15.640 But that game, once again was a kai game late 0:14:15.679 --> 0:14:18.320 in the third quarter, and then New England did what 0:14:18.360 --> 0:14:21.720 they did. They got two scores. Kirk Cousins, you know, 0:14:21.880 --> 0:14:24.720 has his you know turnover. You can always count on 0:14:24.800 --> 0:14:27.400 him at least one bad one a game and they 0:14:27.440 --> 0:14:29.680 lose the game. But I look at this one here, 0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:33.280 and although both teams are in the playoffs right now, 0:14:34.000 --> 0:14:38.000 if Minnesota loses this one, the season is over as 0:14:38.000 --> 0:14:40.640 far as any hope for the division UM and it's 0:14:40.680 --> 0:14:43.000 a it was a slim shot as it was, but 0:14:43.120 --> 0:14:45.960 they do get Chicago at home the final game of 0:14:46.000 --> 0:14:48.920 the season. They still had hope there. But if they 0:14:48.920 --> 0:14:51.840 lose this one, it's done. Not only that, but then 0:14:51.880 --> 0:14:55.640 they fall into that big pief of teams trying to 0:14:55.640 --> 0:14:58.640 get that last wild card spot and they don't have 0:14:58.720 --> 0:15:01.400 the tiebreaker against some of them. This is a spot 0:15:01.440 --> 0:15:05.200 where I'm looking for Minnesota and Kirk Cousins to finally 0:15:05.680 --> 0:15:10.720 deliver a big game performance in a big game. That's 0:15:10.800 --> 0:15:12.960 the one thing we haven't seen from Kirk Cousins, and 0:15:13.000 --> 0:15:15.120 that's the knock on them. But this is still a 0:15:15.200 --> 0:15:18.160 top defense. They're not what they were last year, but 0:15:18.200 --> 0:15:21.560 there are number seven defense and yards per play UH, 0:15:21.720 --> 0:15:27.120 number five in UM, yards per rush, UH, number seven, 0:15:27.160 --> 0:15:29.800 I believe in total yards rushing. And the reason why 0:15:29.800 --> 0:15:32.880 I keep honing in on the rushing is FICTI to 0:15:33.000 --> 0:15:35.520 Seattle has been when they get the running game going, 0:15:35.600 --> 0:15:38.120 look at this, As you said last week, the pass 0:15:38.240 --> 0:15:40.720 is just to complement the running game. They have been 0:15:40.720 --> 0:15:43.520 putting up big numbers on the ground. If they don't 0:15:43.600 --> 0:15:46.440 do that this week against this Minnesota defense, I think 0:15:46.440 --> 0:15:50.200 you're gonna see the Seattle offense bogged out. I like Minnesota. 0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:52.600 I'm gonna go with the old adage take the better 0:15:53.200 --> 0:15:56.480 defense getting and I'll take the Vikings. And they're still 0:15:56.480 --> 0:15:58.680 are three and a half out there that I think, 0:15:58.720 --> 0:16:01.000 if you what Minnesota it, you need to grab it 0:16:01.080 --> 0:16:03.960 now because I think Monday it's gonna be solid threes. 0:16:04.240 --> 0:16:07.080 When the season first started, though, I often talked about 0:16:07.080 --> 0:16:09.640 the Giants first seven games of the season being a gauntlet, 0:16:09.680 --> 0:16:11.160 and in fact, that's what it was, and the Giants 0:16:11.160 --> 0:16:13.640 went one in six in those first seven games. The 0:16:13.680 --> 0:16:15.600 other team that we talked about was at the end 0:16:15.640 --> 0:16:19.760 of the season that the Seahawks last nine games were 0:16:19.760 --> 0:16:22.440 the gauntlet that they absolutely we're gonna get crush because 0:16:22.480 --> 0:16:24.480 think about this before the season, here's what, here's what. 0:16:24.520 --> 0:16:27.840 Their last nine games was home Chargers at Rams, home 0:16:27.960 --> 0:16:33.360 Packers at Panthers, home Niners, Garoppolo home Vikings at Niners, 0:16:33.440 --> 0:16:37.360 Garoppolo home Chiefs before ending with the Cardinals. So really 0:16:37.400 --> 0:16:40.480 eight out of their last nine. But the Garoppolo injury 0:16:40.520 --> 0:16:43.400 happened all of a sudden, those two games got far easier, 0:16:43.920 --> 0:16:46.400 to say the least, and then they started they loose 0:16:46.440 --> 0:16:47.880 to the Charges, and they loose to the Rams, but 0:16:47.960 --> 0:16:50.960 then they beat a four four and one Packers. They 0:16:51.120 --> 0:16:55.360 beat the Panthers on that ridiculous end of game sequence 0:16:55.360 --> 0:16:57.880 where the Panthers just couldn't get it done and Russell 0:16:57.880 --> 0:17:01.560 Wilson just made an unbelievable worth down past. So that's 0:17:01.760 --> 0:17:05.240 really I mean, you talk about having this ridiculously hard 0:17:05.280 --> 0:17:07.960 schedule and things not only breaking your way in terms 0:17:08.000 --> 0:17:10.920 of opponent injuries, but then winning a couple of those 0:17:10.920 --> 0:17:13.520 in dramatic fashion. And remember the refs helped out in 0:17:13.560 --> 0:17:16.239 that Packers game, like how Bobby Wagner wasn't whistled for 0:17:16.280 --> 0:17:20.480 a clothesline pass interference and like Toryo was like, yeah, 0:17:20.480 --> 0:17:22.359 you can't call that. I'm like, in what world can't 0:17:22.400 --> 0:17:24.760 you call that? Like what are you talking about? But anyway, 0:17:25.080 --> 0:17:28.119 Russell Wilson, the genius, the magic of Russell Wilson's an 0:17:28.040 --> 0:17:31.080 amazing season I think for the Seahawks. But you'll take 0:17:31.080 --> 0:17:32.959 the three and a half with the Vikings for all 0:17:33.000 --> 0:17:35.480 the reasons you stated ace all right, well, it's pretty 0:17:35.520 --> 0:17:38.119 simple why Seattle is so good this year against the spread. 0:17:38.160 --> 0:17:40.679 If you remember, coming into this season, both these teams 0:17:40.680 --> 0:17:43.399 are surprising us. And what I mean by that is 0:17:43.640 --> 0:17:47.280 Minnesota got bet over if you remember that season win 0:17:47.400 --> 0:17:49.200 total open nine and a half got bet up to 0:17:49.359 --> 0:17:52.440 ten over. So there was a lot of anticipation for 0:17:52.520 --> 0:17:56.560 Minnesota to take over that division and you know, represent 0:17:56.680 --> 0:17:59.280 them in the playoffs. And on the flip side of that, 0:17:59.320 --> 0:18:01.480 you look at sea Attle. Not only did they come 0:18:01.520 --> 0:18:04.919 out with the eight under favored, but it got that 0:18:05.119 --> 0:18:08.040 down the seven and a half under favor. This is 0:18:08.040 --> 0:18:10.199 a team that wasn't even expected to be, you know, 0:18:10.280 --> 0:18:12.800 an eight and eight football team with Seattle, and the 0:18:12.840 --> 0:18:15.560 fact that they're getting it done is impressive. But I mean, 0:18:15.680 --> 0:18:18.040 we know that in the NFL. We see that a 0:18:18.040 --> 0:18:21.600 lot of the reason the Rams are a one lost 0:18:21.640 --> 0:18:24.359 team and so good against this so not good against 0:18:24.400 --> 0:18:27.680 the spread, where Kansas City is pretty much the same 0:18:27.800 --> 0:18:31.000 one loss more um but did so well against the 0:18:31.040 --> 0:18:33.359 spread because we saw one coming, we didn't see the 0:18:33.400 --> 0:18:36.480 other coming. So I mean, I think that's why Seattle 0:18:36.480 --> 0:18:39.879 has been so impressive, at least spread wise. Now with 0:18:40.040 --> 0:18:42.600 that said, um our listeners are in for a tree 0:18:42.640 --> 0:18:45.840 because I absolutely love these primetime games this week Saturday, 0:18:45.880 --> 0:18:50.280 Sunday Night and Monday Night football, and yeah, you gotta 0:18:50.359 --> 0:18:54.399 come out double fisted all on both these games. I 0:18:54.520 --> 0:18:57.680 love Minnesota in this spot against Seattle, and I'm gonna 0:18:57.760 --> 0:19:01.680 continue right off for what Marco said, because nailed it. Um. 0:19:01.680 --> 0:19:04.640 With Minnesota, it's pretty simple, you run the football. If 0:19:04.640 --> 0:19:07.200 they could run the football, they're gonna have success. And 0:19:07.240 --> 0:19:10.800 they just don't run enough. But against the Seattle defense, 0:19:10.840 --> 0:19:12.879 here's the defense you could run the football against. I 0:19:12.960 --> 0:19:17.480 mean home they allow five point six yards per rushing 0:19:17.480 --> 0:19:21.680 attempt and five point one overall. UM. So I mean 0:19:21.680 --> 0:19:23.720 this is a team you could easily run on it. 0:19:23.880 --> 0:19:26.840 And then you look at Seattle, and Marco nailed it again. 0:19:26.960 --> 0:19:29.359 For Seattle to have success, they have to run the 0:19:29.400 --> 0:19:32.159 football and that's what they've done, running it for thirty 0:19:32.200 --> 0:19:35.520 plus time in five of the last seven games. And 0:19:35.560 --> 0:19:38.600 more importantly, that's allowed them to protect the football. They 0:19:38.640 --> 0:19:42.240 only have three turnovers in their last seven games. Um. 0:19:42.359 --> 0:19:45.280 Never had more than one in any of those. Where 0:19:45.359 --> 0:19:48.800 you look at Minnesota, it's turnovers has been costly for them. 0:19:48.840 --> 0:19:51.160 This is a team that's had two or more turnovers 0:19:51.440 --> 0:19:53.679 in five of their last seven games. So they just 0:19:53.720 --> 0:19:56.600 haven't been protecting the football. So we're gonna do on 0:19:56.720 --> 0:19:59.840 Monday night. I think they will listen, shut down this 0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:03.160 Seattle running game a little bit and forced them to throw. 0:20:03.200 --> 0:20:06.280 They're gonna be in some trouble, especially against a Minnesota 0:20:06.440 --> 0:20:09.800 defense which doesn't allow quarterbacks to do all that much. 0:20:09.840 --> 0:20:12.040 I mean, I look over to the last seven ten games. 0:20:12.240 --> 0:20:15.080 Other than New England putting up three hundred against them, 0:20:15.280 --> 0:20:17.600 Arizona put up two hundred. No one else even broke 0:20:17.640 --> 0:20:21.359 two hundred in their last seven games. Um So, for me, 0:20:21.560 --> 0:20:25.000 I think they're gonna give some troubles to that Seattle offense. 0:20:25.119 --> 0:20:28.080 I love the three and a half. I like the 0:20:28.119 --> 0:20:32.000 three and I think this has money line sprinkle written 0:20:32.000 --> 0:20:39.480 all over it. I don't think you're gonna eat points 0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:43.360 at all. Just take Minnesota to get that win in Seattle. 0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:45.399