WEBVTT - Musk's Tesla Factory Closures, X Possibly Going Public

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Wait inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 1>global business finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>So let's talk a bit about Tesla at its highest today,

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<v Speaker 2>shares up about one point six percent, stuck pretty much

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<v Speaker 2>unchanged on the day, but there was a flurry of

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<v Speaker 2>news on the company decliners. Sorry, it's up point zero

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<v Speaker 2>four percent. You can always hope we still have one

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<v Speaker 2>about half an hour ago. Never Tesla, all right. So

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<v Speaker 2>among the stories on Tesla and Elon, Tesla deliveries sliding.

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<v Speaker 2>Bill Ackman telling CNBC today he would be interested in

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<v Speaker 2>a deal to take Elon Musk's ex Corp public, but

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<v Speaker 2>he said he hasn't talked to Elon yet. And then

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<v Speaker 2>there's you know, maybe he wasn't watching the Jet Chiefs

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<v Speaker 2>game and looking at for Taylor shift. Maybe he was

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<v Speaker 2>doing something else last night.

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<v Speaker 3>Tim, Yeah, he livestream himself playing through Diablo Dungeon late

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<v Speaker 3>last night. It's a test of his social network's ability

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<v Speaker 3>to handle game streaming. Did it go better than his

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<v Speaker 3>visit to the border last week.

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<v Speaker 2>Good question, good question, All right, So what does it

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<v Speaker 2>all mean for the company and the priorities of its

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<v Speaker 2>ever evolving and news generating leader. With that, returned to

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg News EV reporter Sean o'caine on the phone out

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<v Speaker 2>there in Austin, Texas, and then right here in our

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<v Speaker 2>interactive broker studio, Bloomberg Business Wee columnist Max Chapkin. Let's

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<v Speaker 2>get to the kind of news news, and that is

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<v Speaker 2>the Tesla deliveries. Sean, what can you tell us about

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<v Speaker 2>the news? And I thought Tesla had telegraphed.

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<v Speaker 4>A lot of this, and I think the question was

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<v Speaker 4>really just, you know, how big of a slowdown were

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<v Speaker 4>they going to encounter? And I think, you know, we

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<v Speaker 4>just we really saw that impact today. They did a

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<v Speaker 4>pretty big changeover in China by getting that facility ready

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<v Speaker 4>to produce what is not a dramatically new version of

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<v Speaker 4>the Model three, but certainly something that required some downtime

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<v Speaker 4>to get new tooling in. And they've also had some

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<v Speaker 4>downtime here in Austin as they have been getting things

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<v Speaker 4>ready to start production of the cyber truck. So you know,

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<v Speaker 4>I think you're right they telegraphed it. I think it

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<v Speaker 4>was just a little bit of surprise to Wall Street,

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<v Speaker 4>maybe not to Tesla. How much of a miss it

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<v Speaker 4>was sewn?

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<v Speaker 3>You said cyber truck. So I got to ask you

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<v Speaker 3>about the cyber truck. Sure, this thing was unveiled years ago.

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<v Speaker 3>Is it actually going to start production in the fourth

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<v Speaker 3>quarter this year?

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<v Speaker 4>We well, I mean, you never know what Tesla, right,

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<v Speaker 4>but yeah, I think we're probably going to see some

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<v Speaker 4>limited production. I mean, even Elon Musk has said that

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<v Speaker 4>they're not going to start They're not going to be

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<v Speaker 4>in volume production for this thing until next year at

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<v Speaker 4>some point. But we're seeing a lot of signs that

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<v Speaker 4>they're actually getting close to that. There are some, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>people who follow the company really closely, investors or fans

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<v Speaker 4>who have been flying drones over the factory here in

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<v Speaker 4>Austin who have seen some crash tested cyber trucks. We've

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<v Speaker 4>seen some sort of you know, what they call release candidates,

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<v Speaker 4>which is pretty close to production quality driving out in

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<v Speaker 4>the wild. So that they're doing crash tests is a

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<v Speaker 4>pretty good sign that they feel comfortable with the level

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<v Speaker 4>that they're at and they're ready to start maybe shipping

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<v Speaker 4>some of them soon, even if they are missing the

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<v Speaker 4>third quarter target that they the most recent headline they've

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<v Speaker 4>given themselves.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, not to shame on toddlers, but sometimes it

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<v Speaker 2>feels like watching Elon is like watching a toddler. He's

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<v Speaker 2>the kind of all over the place. So Max Chafkin,

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<v Speaker 2>come on in on here. We've got you know, the

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<v Speaker 2>delivery news. We've got Bill Ackman out there on CNBC.

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<v Speaker 2>Maybe I don't know regarding X. And then you've got

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<v Speaker 2>Elon Musk late last night streaming. How do you think

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<v Speaker 2>about him?

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<v Speaker 5>Well, so I am not a Diablo expert. All I

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<v Speaker 5>can say is that you know, for months Twitter now,

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<v Speaker 5>the company now known as X, has been you know,

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<v Speaker 5>trying to find ways to justify itself, trying to find

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<v Speaker 5>ways to essentially turn the company around, turn perceptions about

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<v Speaker 5>the company around, both among advertisers and users. And I

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<v Speaker 5>think that is the most important asset that the company

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<v Speaker 5>has is Elon muh skin, Elon Musk's own feed and

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<v Speaker 5>so logging on to X to live stream a video

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<v Speaker 5>game as he did the other night, or going to

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<v Speaker 5>the border in Texas as he did on for I

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<v Speaker 5>believe he's on Friday and sort of trying to, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>do kind of like a weird political magazine things. It's

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<v Speaker 5>all about just finding ways to again, to change the

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<v Speaker 5>narrative here. I don't think it's totally clear that it's working,

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<v Speaker 5>although the company definitely wants to. We have Linda Yakarino

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<v Speaker 5>set to meet with bankers later in the week, and

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<v Speaker 5>of course this kind of long running question about how

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<v Speaker 5>long it's going to take for advertisers to to sort

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<v Speaker 5>of come back in big numbers.

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<v Speaker 3>But Max, is there any indication that he's built a

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<v Speaker 3>viable business now that he's let so many people go

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<v Speaker 3>and change the product so much since he took it private.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, I think it's possible. You know, the other day,

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<v Speaker 5>like are.

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<v Speaker 3>We putting the cart before the horse here with talking

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<v Speaker 3>about taking this company public.

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<v Speaker 5>The most important asset that, as I said, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>the most important asset this company has is Elon Musk's following.

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<v Speaker 5>As we know, you know, Elon Musk is amazing at

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<v Speaker 5>getting public market investors to put money into speculative investments.

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<v Speaker 5>Here we are talking about the cyber truck, this thing that,

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<v Speaker 5>as you said, is years years delayed, and investors are

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<v Speaker 5>still sort of you know okay with it. So from

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<v Speaker 5>from Bill Ackman's point of view. From Acman, of course,

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<v Speaker 5>is basically has this investment vehicle that's a lot like

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<v Speaker 5>an IPO. He needs a candidate company. If he were

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<v Speaker 5>somehow able to persuade Elon Musk to you know, work

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<v Speaker 5>with him on a on a spark deal, it's called

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<v Speaker 5>a spark. It's basically a lot like an IPO or

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<v Speaker 5>somewhere between an IPO and a spack. And if you

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<v Speaker 5>were able to persuade Elon Musk to stay as CEO,

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<v Speaker 5>that would probably you know, go over well with with

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<v Speaker 5>public market shareholders. There still are a lot of right.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, yeah, Hey, Sean, I do wonder too in terms

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<v Speaker 2>of there's always I feel like when we talk about

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<v Speaker 2>Elon that he's got his hands into many pots. Although

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<v Speaker 2>he's seems to do well with it, but there is

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<v Speaker 2>always that point when there's maybe some concerns it's like, well,

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<v Speaker 2>wait a minute, maybe he's just doing too much. What

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<v Speaker 2>are investors, you know, thinking about how Tesla kind of

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<v Speaker 2>longer term in terms of where it's going is it's

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<v Speaker 2>still on track.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, I think there's always questions from some investors

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<v Speaker 4>about succession planning and sort of the roadmap. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>I think it'll be really interesting to see if those

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<v Speaker 4>questions resurface in any sort of tangible way on this

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<v Speaker 4>call later this month, as they had discussed the third

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<v Speaker 4>quarter results, because this is going to be the first

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<v Speaker 4>one since we find out that the CFO, Zach Kirkhorn,

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<v Speaker 4>is leaving, and that's one of the big sort of

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<v Speaker 4>questions hanging over the company right now and over the

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<v Speaker 4>last couple of weeks, is what are the circumstances of

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<v Speaker 4>that departure. Zach is someone who was making promises that,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, Chris Margins were going to stay at a

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<v Speaker 4>certain level and that you know, all the price cuts

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<v Speaker 4>earlier this year really weren't going to eat into the business,

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<v Speaker 4>and then that wound up actually not being exactly the case,

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<v Speaker 4>and then a couple months later he's out saying he's

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<v Speaker 4>out the door. So I think there are you know,

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<v Speaker 4>maybe more than recently, over the last couple of months

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<v Speaker 4>or a year or so, we're probably going to hear

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<v Speaker 4>more of those questions about it. But you know, broadly,

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<v Speaker 4>I don't think we see too much too much doubt

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<v Speaker 4>in the in the outlook for them, because they the

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<v Speaker 4>stock still sort of holds, and they've been able to

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<v Speaker 4>deliver the vehicles that they have on the road in

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<v Speaker 4>pretty pretty sizable numbers, right especially this year.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, hey, Sean, give me like thirty seconds on the

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<v Speaker 3>cyber truck here, because this thing is really important for Tesla,

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<v Speaker 3>and it's entering a market that's dominated by Ford and

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<v Speaker 3>GM that you know, Japanese automakers have tried to enter

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<v Speaker 3>and dominate and they've failed.

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<v Speaker 4>It's it's really a great unknown. I mean, there clearly

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<v Speaker 4>seems to be a lot of interest. How much of

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<v Speaker 4>that is just people liking to joke about how they

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<v Speaker 4>have a pre order in for it or not is

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<v Speaker 4>kind of hard to tell. But there's so much that

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<v Speaker 4>we don't know about it. We don't really know the

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<v Speaker 4>final base price because that's obviously going to be going

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<v Speaker 4>up by the company's owned admission. We don't know, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>how well it's going to perform in these crash tests.

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<v Speaker 4>Deal is pretty heavy and pretty rigid compared to the

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<v Speaker 4>cars that we're used to these days that crumple up

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<v Speaker 4>pretty easily. To be able to displace all that energy,

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<v Speaker 4>I'm sure Elon Musk would say, hey, look, we've got

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<v Speaker 4>autopilot and maybe full self driving down the road, We're

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<v Speaker 4>not going to need that, but I think there's just

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<v Speaker 4>a lot we need to know. And that's one of

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<v Speaker 4>the reasons that this delivery event, whenever it happens, is

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<v Speaker 4>going to be so key to watch. How much more

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<v Speaker 4>information do we get?

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<v Speaker 2>Got about thirty five?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, and there's also the question of demand. I mean,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, going back six months or so, we were

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<v Speaker 5>talking a lot about our Tesla buyers getting tired of

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<v Speaker 5>Elon's antics. Is there is there demand for these things?

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<v Speaker 5>Price cuts, these these massive price cuts on the Model

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<v Speaker 5>three and Model Y in particular, have clearly helped address

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<v Speaker 5>that problem, if it even was a problem. But the

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<v Speaker 5>cyber truck presents, you know, a new challenge, right. This

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<v Speaker 5>is a very very different looking car, a very different

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<v Speaker 5>car from what the average truck buyer is into. And

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<v Speaker 5>it's not clear that the combination of video games and

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<v Speaker 5>weighing in on immigration policy is necessarily the best way

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<v Speaker 5>to reach you know, the average.

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<v Speaker 2>Truck buyer, but it's pretty normal for you, you.

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<v Speaker 5>Look, definitely the best way to reach you on FAM

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<v Speaker 5>all right.

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<v Speaker 2>Gotta leave it there. Our thanks to Sean Okay in

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg News EV reporter and of course, Bloomberg Business Wee

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<v Speaker 2>columnist Max Shaftin.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

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<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern Listen on

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<v Speaker 2>All right, So, Tim, we've been talking a lot about

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<v Speaker 2>this conversation that Jamie Diamond had with Bloomberg originals Emily

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<v Speaker 2>Chang that over the next generation, AI, artificial intelligence is

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<v Speaker 2>going to have a profound impact not just on the

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<v Speaker 2>way we work, but also in a big way on

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<v Speaker 2>our health.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, here's what he said. Your children are going to

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<v Speaker 3>live to one hundred and not have cancer because of technology,

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<v Speaker 3>and literally they'll probably be working three and a half

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<v Speaker 3>days a week, lived to one hundred, a world without cancer,

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<v Speaker 3>three and a half day work weeks.

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<v Speaker 2>Sign me up.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah sounds pretty great, right.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, So let's see what our next guest has

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<v Speaker 2>to say about the role AI will play in our health.

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<v Speaker 2>Michael Dolling back with US president and CEO at Northwell Health,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, the largest healthcare provider in New York. The

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<v Speaker 2>Northwell System, treating over two million New Yorkers each year

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<v Speaker 2>at twenty one hospitals eight hundred and ninety outpatient facilities.

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<v Speaker 2>Michael Dowling joining us on the phone from Long Island

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<v Speaker 2>this afternoon. Michael, it is great to be talking with

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<v Speaker 2>you and not necessarily focused on the pandemic. So nice

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<v Speaker 2>to be back with you once again. AI. You guys

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<v Speaker 2>are hosting your annual Constellations forum that focuses on AI

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<v Speaker 2>and healthcare Constellation Forum, I should say, And you are

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<v Speaker 2>focusing on AI and healthcare. How are you guys and

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<v Speaker 2>putting this together? Thinking about artificial intelligence, which is not

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<v Speaker 2>a new science. You're actually on Zoom, so good to

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<v Speaker 2>see you on camera. Yeah, tell us a little bit

0:10:55.679 --> 0:10:56.120
<v Speaker 2>about well.

0:10:56.120 --> 0:10:58.600
<v Speaker 6>I mean, as you just mentioned, is not new.

0:10:59.200 --> 0:11:04.280
<v Speaker 7>The ability of it, the accelerated capability of it has

0:11:04.320 --> 0:11:06.880
<v Speaker 7>been enhanced dramatically over the last couple of years, and

0:11:06.920 --> 0:11:09.920
<v Speaker 7>that will continue and it's going to be an integral

0:11:09.920 --> 0:11:12.000
<v Speaker 7>part of whatever everything that.

0:11:11.920 --> 0:11:15.040
<v Speaker 6>We do going forward. So we have to decide. The

0:11:15.080 --> 0:11:17.520
<v Speaker 6>big decision point for me is deciding what is it

0:11:17.559 --> 0:11:20.440
<v Speaker 6>good for and what is it not so good for?

0:11:20.920 --> 0:11:23.160
<v Speaker 6>And I think we will be going through that analysis

0:11:23.160 --> 0:11:27.120
<v Speaker 6>for quite a time because it provides extraordinary opportunity to

0:11:27.200 --> 0:11:33.000
<v Speaker 6>improve clinical care, improve diagnosis, analyze data. But it also

0:11:33.120 --> 0:11:37.080
<v Speaker 6>brings with it some potential dangers. You don't want the

0:11:37.280 --> 0:11:41.640
<v Speaker 6>machine brain to outpace the human brain so that the

0:11:41.760 --> 0:11:44.240
<v Speaker 6>human brain can't figure out what the machine brain is

0:11:44.280 --> 0:11:46.880
<v Speaker 6>doing to you. Okay, is something we have to be very,

0:11:46.960 --> 0:11:47.480
<v Speaker 6>very careful.

0:11:47.559 --> 0:11:50.600
<v Speaker 3>Let's talk about the pluses before we get into the

0:11:50.600 --> 0:11:53.440
<v Speaker 3>potential dark side here, which sounds like, you know, something

0:11:53.480 --> 0:11:55.480
<v Speaker 3>out of a sci fi movie. What do you make

0:11:55.520 --> 0:11:58.360
<v Speaker 3>of what what Jamie Diamond said earlier today? Your children

0:11:58.400 --> 0:11:59.760
<v Speaker 3>are going to lift to one hundred and not have

0:11:59.800 --> 0:12:03.640
<v Speaker 3>care answer because of AI technology. Is that is that true?

0:12:03.800 --> 0:12:05.760
<v Speaker 6>I want I want to live to be one hundred, folks.

0:12:06.080 --> 0:12:06.720
<v Speaker 3>That's what we were.

0:12:06.600 --> 0:12:09.760
<v Speaker 2>Talking about earlier, me too here here, But is that

0:12:09.800 --> 0:12:10.280
<v Speaker 2>where we are?

0:12:10.360 --> 0:12:10.520
<v Speaker 1>Is that?

0:12:10.600 --> 0:12:11.640
<v Speaker 3>Is that an accurate thing to say?

0:12:11.640 --> 0:12:13.040
<v Speaker 2>Do you think we're getting nothing class?

0:12:14.000 --> 0:12:16.560
<v Speaker 6>And I think we just got to be careful not

0:12:16.679 --> 0:12:21.160
<v Speaker 6>to over exaggerate. I think it can have wonderful potential

0:12:21.200 --> 0:12:26.280
<v Speaker 6>to allow us to identify the diseases earlier on, especially

0:12:26.320 --> 0:12:31.559
<v Speaker 6>with the genome sequencing. When you combine them the results

0:12:31.559 --> 0:12:34.480
<v Speaker 6>of the mapping of the human genome. With AI, we

0:12:34.520 --> 0:12:37.240
<v Speaker 6>will be able to predetermine way, way in advance, what

0:12:37.360 --> 0:12:40.560
<v Speaker 6>you potentially could end up having problems with.

0:12:40.720 --> 0:12:43.280
<v Speaker 3>Okay, so then what would you do about it to intervene?

0:12:43.520 --> 0:12:45.360
<v Speaker 3>What would you do about that if you noticed somebody

0:12:45.440 --> 0:12:46.680
<v Speaker 3>was set to get cancer.

0:12:47.440 --> 0:12:50.880
<v Speaker 6>Well, then I think that you've got to determine. The

0:12:50.960 --> 0:12:54.640
<v Speaker 6>clinical leadership has the determine how you intervene, how you

0:12:55.840 --> 0:12:59.040
<v Speaker 6>how you change behavior, saw people act differently, What kind

0:12:59.080 --> 0:13:03.080
<v Speaker 6>of clinical treatment that you have to engage in to

0:13:03.160 --> 0:13:06.280
<v Speaker 6>allow people to live longer a member, In the last

0:13:06.960 --> 0:13:09.840
<v Speaker 6>fifty years or sixty years, we've added about thirty years

0:13:09.840 --> 0:13:14.080
<v Speaker 6>to life as life expectancy back in the nineteen thirties

0:13:14.160 --> 0:13:16.280
<v Speaker 6>was around forty seven to fifty today's were in the

0:13:16.280 --> 0:13:19.040
<v Speaker 6>seventies and eighties, so we've had major progress.

0:13:19.080 --> 0:13:20.400
<v Speaker 3>I do want to push back on this a little

0:13:20.400 --> 0:13:22.199
<v Speaker 3>bit because in recent years we've also seen it come

0:13:22.240 --> 0:13:24.880
<v Speaker 3>down as a result of COVID and drug overdoses.

0:13:25.760 --> 0:13:28.680
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, but that's a temporary thing. I mean that happens.

0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:31.880
<v Speaker 6>You look at the long term trend, not the short terment.

0:13:32.440 --> 0:13:36.400
<v Speaker 6>You know, births in a statistic, it's the long term trend.

0:13:36.920 --> 0:13:39.079
<v Speaker 6>And sure when you have a thing that COVID is

0:13:39.080 --> 0:13:41.040
<v Speaker 6>an increase of mortality, and it does come down a

0:13:41.080 --> 0:13:43.920
<v Speaker 6>little bit, But I don't think that's something that will

0:13:43.960 --> 0:13:45.280
<v Speaker 6>set a prediction for the future.

0:13:45.960 --> 0:13:49.960
<v Speaker 2>What do you believe will be the most significant changes

0:13:50.640 --> 0:13:56.440
<v Speaker 2>in healthcare that helps patients live longer and live a

0:13:56.480 --> 0:14:01.920
<v Speaker 2>better longer life. Watching aging parents, grandparents, it isn't always

0:14:01.960 --> 0:14:04.520
<v Speaker 2>pretty and it's often very difficult. So I would live

0:14:04.559 --> 0:14:06.760
<v Speaker 2>to two hundred as long as I know I'm healthy

0:14:06.800 --> 0:14:08.080
<v Speaker 2>and I can get around.

0:14:08.160 --> 0:14:09.760
<v Speaker 3>Some of your friends were living at two hundred two.

0:14:10.160 --> 0:14:13.640
<v Speaker 2>That would be kind. So how do we how are

0:14:13.720 --> 0:14:14.640
<v Speaker 2>you thinking about that?

0:14:15.160 --> 0:14:18.160
<v Speaker 6>The biggest change in my view, to make those results

0:14:18.800 --> 0:14:22.200
<v Speaker 6>a reality. It goes beyond the delivery of medical care.

0:14:22.920 --> 0:14:26.840
<v Speaker 6>It has to do with lifestyle and behavior, so all

0:14:26.840 --> 0:14:30.240
<v Speaker 6>of the social determinants of health. It has to deal

0:14:30.280 --> 0:14:33.560
<v Speaker 6>with some of the societal issues. I mean, we do

0:14:34.360 --> 0:14:37.040
<v Speaker 6>a great job of taking care of you after you

0:14:37.120 --> 0:14:39.600
<v Speaker 6>get sick, but we have to do a much better

0:14:39.680 --> 0:14:41.440
<v Speaker 6>job of taking care of you before you get sick,

0:14:41.480 --> 0:14:46.040
<v Speaker 6>so you can prolong life. But that involves finding ways

0:14:46.080 --> 0:14:49.160
<v Speaker 6>to get people to improve their own health, but prove

0:14:49.200 --> 0:14:52.560
<v Speaker 6>their own lifestyle. And that's just where AI can also

0:14:52.600 --> 0:14:55.680
<v Speaker 6>be very very helpful to be able to do the

0:14:55.720 --> 0:14:58.080
<v Speaker 6>analytics right, to be able to tell you what people

0:14:58.080 --> 0:15:00.680
<v Speaker 6>should be doing to improve their own cas situations and

0:15:00.800 --> 0:15:02.360
<v Speaker 6>not dependent upon all those old times.

0:15:02.360 --> 0:15:04.640
<v Speaker 2>We'll go back to that idea of genetic mapping, and

0:15:04.800 --> 0:15:07.360
<v Speaker 2>you know, we're born, we get a map and we

0:15:07.480 --> 0:15:10.960
<v Speaker 2>can already see what might be the potential problems. Maybe

0:15:11.000 --> 0:15:13.000
<v Speaker 2>it's hard problems, So then maybe we know from the

0:15:13.080 --> 0:15:15.760
<v Speaker 2>get go that we have an awareness. I think about

0:15:15.840 --> 0:15:18.480
<v Speaker 2>kids who are born, you know, who have you know,

0:15:18.880 --> 0:15:22.600
<v Speaker 2>diabetes from a young age or or different issues if

0:15:22.640 --> 0:15:26.280
<v Speaker 2>you will, you know, from a young age, they that's

0:15:26.320 --> 0:15:31.400
<v Speaker 2>their life and they grow into or grow with that

0:15:31.560 --> 0:15:34.600
<v Speaker 2>problem and just from the get go look at life

0:15:34.600 --> 0:15:36.280
<v Speaker 2>differently in terms of what they eat and what they

0:15:36.320 --> 0:15:38.400
<v Speaker 2>need to do. And I do wonder if we have

0:15:38.520 --> 0:15:42.440
<v Speaker 2>that map from the get go, whether it's removing organs,

0:15:42.520 --> 0:15:45.400
<v Speaker 2>treating things differently, like, I just wonder, can we do

0:15:45.440 --> 0:15:47.720
<v Speaker 2>it better at a much earlier stage.

0:15:47.920 --> 0:15:52.120
<v Speaker 6>Absolutely, I think that you'll be doing genome sequencing of

0:15:52.200 --> 0:15:55.640
<v Speaker 6>all kids within a couple of years in most children's hospitals.

0:15:55.840 --> 0:15:59.360
<v Speaker 6>We are investigating that possibility right now. We have it

0:15:59.480 --> 0:16:03.480
<v Speaker 6>not well as part of our children's hospital, So I

0:16:03.680 --> 0:16:06.280
<v Speaker 6>think that that's where it will start, mostly with children,

0:16:06.720 --> 0:16:08.840
<v Speaker 6>and then I think it will expand to be doing

0:16:08.920 --> 0:16:14.440
<v Speaker 6>genome sequencing with adults. But let's let's be cautious here

0:16:14.560 --> 0:16:18.880
<v Speaker 6>because while it offers wonderful, wonderful potential, we don't fully

0:16:19.000 --> 0:16:22.160
<v Speaker 6>know all of the implications yet, and we don't fully

0:16:22.240 --> 0:16:27.400
<v Speaker 6>understand all of the ethical issues involved. So, you know,

0:16:27.520 --> 0:16:30.920
<v Speaker 6>you find out something about somebody or some family member,

0:16:31.440 --> 0:16:33.840
<v Speaker 6>to what extent do you disclose it, what extent do

0:16:33.880 --> 0:16:37.040
<v Speaker 6>you share it, How should it be shared, and when

0:16:37.040 --> 0:16:39.160
<v Speaker 6>should it be shared? All of these issues have to

0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:42.160
<v Speaker 6>be worked out very very carefully over the next couple

0:16:42.160 --> 0:16:45.200
<v Speaker 6>of years. So the enormous potential is here with the

0:16:45.240 --> 0:16:48.760
<v Speaker 6>combination of genome secuencing and AI, but I think we're

0:16:48.800 --> 0:16:50.840
<v Speaker 6>going to a process over the next couple of years

0:16:50.840 --> 0:16:53.800
<v Speaker 6>to figure out how to make use of it as

0:16:53.800 --> 0:16:58.240
<v Speaker 6>appropriately as we possibly can and not over react, not

0:16:58.280 --> 0:17:00.720
<v Speaker 6>on the react either, but not overreach. A little bit

0:17:00.760 --> 0:17:04.680
<v Speaker 6>of caution is important here here, especially given the situations

0:17:04.720 --> 0:17:08.399
<v Speaker 6>you're seeing with chat chipec, where it produces lots of

0:17:09.200 --> 0:17:12.359
<v Speaker 6>controversial information that's not correct. You cannot be doing that

0:17:12.440 --> 0:17:14.760
<v Speaker 6>in the healthcare sphere. It's just too dangerous.

0:17:14.840 --> 0:17:17.400
<v Speaker 3>But there's something kind of strange happening here where we're

0:17:17.400 --> 0:17:20.560
<v Speaker 3>talking about AI, Carol and what it can do in

0:17:20.600 --> 0:17:22.919
<v Speaker 3>the future, because you know, there's this article in the

0:17:22.920 --> 0:17:26.280
<v Speaker 3>current edition of Bloomberg BusinessWeek about a moxicillin shortage here

0:17:26.280 --> 0:17:27.680
<v Speaker 3>in the US. I mean, we're talking about a drug

0:17:27.680 --> 0:17:30.080
<v Speaker 3>that was discovered more than fifty years ago. And I

0:17:30.160 --> 0:17:34.080
<v Speaker 3>lived this nightmare on Friday when my son was diagnosed

0:17:34.080 --> 0:17:37.200
<v Speaker 3>with an ear infection and the doctor had to spend

0:17:37.400 --> 0:17:41.200
<v Speaker 3>a half hour of her time calling different pharmacies around

0:17:41.240 --> 0:17:45.320
<v Speaker 3>Brooklyn trying to find a ten day supply of antibiotics

0:17:45.359 --> 0:17:48.600
<v Speaker 3>a maxicillan that ended up costing me three dollars and

0:17:48.680 --> 0:17:52.560
<v Speaker 3>sixteen cents when she finally found it. Michael, she wasted

0:17:52.600 --> 0:17:54.480
<v Speaker 3>so much time doing this. How are we talking about

0:17:54.560 --> 0:17:57.520
<v Speaker 3>world where AI helps us live to one hundred but

0:17:57.560 --> 0:17:58.760
<v Speaker 3>we can't get a moxicillin.

0:18:00.440 --> 0:18:02.760
<v Speaker 6>Well, But that's why you've got to be This is

0:18:02.760 --> 0:18:04.399
<v Speaker 6>why you've got to be a little bit cautious. As

0:18:04.440 --> 0:18:07.080
<v Speaker 6>I said, this is why you can automatically assume that

0:18:07.160 --> 0:18:10.119
<v Speaker 6>there's a new technology coming into play that is going

0:18:10.160 --> 0:18:12.640
<v Speaker 6>to just solve everything immediately. There's a lot of other

0:18:12.720 --> 0:18:15.679
<v Speaker 6>issues involved. I mean, one of the biggest changes in

0:18:15.760 --> 0:18:18.080
<v Speaker 6>healthcare is moving more and more health care out into

0:18:18.080 --> 0:18:23.000
<v Speaker 6>the community, expanding ambulatory care, moving stuff out of the hospital,

0:18:23.119 --> 0:18:27.199
<v Speaker 6>be less hospital centric, the whole supply chain issues, the

0:18:27.240 --> 0:18:30.880
<v Speaker 6>whole labor cost issues, all of these things are all

0:18:30.920 --> 0:18:33.479
<v Speaker 6>part of the complete package that you've got to deal with.

0:18:33.720 --> 0:18:37.840
<v Speaker 6>There is no one magic and pure all just because

0:18:37.840 --> 0:18:39.800
<v Speaker 6>you have a new technology, it's how we used it

0:18:39.920 --> 0:18:43.199
<v Speaker 6>that technology in the context of the whole environment that

0:18:43.359 --> 0:18:47.000
<v Speaker 6>makes If we do it right, we'll improve everything. But again,

0:18:47.280 --> 0:18:50.160
<v Speaker 6>things are complicated. Health Care is not a simple business.

0:18:50.160 --> 0:18:54.760
<v Speaker 6>It's much more complex than other businesses. And you know

0:18:55.080 --> 0:18:58.480
<v Speaker 6>there is these days, there is, especially COVID. There's a

0:18:58.520 --> 0:19:02.240
<v Speaker 6>growing mistrust of science. Got it, Michael, We've got to

0:19:02.280 --> 0:19:05.719
<v Speaker 6>rebuild that trust at Michael, we've got to the discovery's work.

0:19:05.960 --> 0:19:08.040
<v Speaker 2>We've got to run. Michael Dowling, of course, CEO at

0:19:08.080 --> 0:19:10.760
<v Speaker 2>Northwell Health, joining us right here on Bloomberg.

0:19:11.960 --> 0:19:15.520
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:19:15.560 --> 0:19:19.680
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Easter on Bloomberg Radio,

0:19:19.800 --> 0:19:23.080
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business app and YouTube. You can also listen

0:19:23.160 --> 0:19:26.280
<v Speaker 1>live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station,

0:19:26.720 --> 0:19:31.840
<v Speaker 1>Just Say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty from the pandemic.

0:19:31.520 --> 0:19:33.919
<v Speaker 2>Pause on student loan payments that lasted for more than

0:19:33.960 --> 0:19:36.440
<v Speaker 2>three years. It has come to an end, so Tim,

0:19:36.480 --> 0:19:39.360
<v Speaker 2>starting this month, forty million people with outstanding student loan

0:19:39.359 --> 0:19:42.800
<v Speaker 2>payments that collectively exceed more than one point six trillion dollars,

0:19:42.960 --> 0:19:44.479
<v Speaker 2>They're going to have to start repaying them.

0:19:44.680 --> 0:19:47.760
<v Speaker 3>There's a reason our market's guests keep talking about this effectingly.

0:19:47.880 --> 0:19:51.240
<v Speaker 3>Zoomer spending well. Melissa Burn is executive director of We

0:19:51.400 --> 0:19:53.800
<v Speaker 3>the forty five Million. It's a nonprofit organization. It says

0:19:53.840 --> 0:19:56.399
<v Speaker 3>it represents student loan borrowers here in the US. The

0:19:56.440 --> 0:19:59.400
<v Speaker 3>group wants to cancel all student alone debt. Melissa joins

0:19:59.440 --> 0:20:01.800
<v Speaker 3>us on zoom from Washington, d C. What's it good

0:20:01.800 --> 0:20:02.359
<v Speaker 3>to have you with us?

0:20:02.359 --> 0:20:05.240
<v Speaker 1>How are you? I've been better.

0:20:05.320 --> 0:20:07.400
<v Speaker 8>It's a sad day knowing that the loans are turned

0:20:07.440 --> 0:20:09.400
<v Speaker 8>back on, but you know, as it.

0:20:09.320 --> 0:20:12.440
<v Speaker 3>Goes, I mean, was this did you expect this? We

0:20:12.520 --> 0:20:13.480
<v Speaker 3>knew this was going to happen.

0:20:14.880 --> 0:20:18.080
<v Speaker 8>I mean, I guess I had faith in you know,

0:20:18.119 --> 0:20:20.960
<v Speaker 8>I probably is a little naive to think that once

0:20:21.320 --> 0:20:24.440
<v Speaker 8>we got the president to do the loan relief back

0:20:24.440 --> 0:20:28.800
<v Speaker 8>in August of twenty twenty two, that we would get

0:20:28.800 --> 0:20:30.960
<v Speaker 8>that done and then we would have an ease and

0:20:31.080 --> 0:20:36.119
<v Speaker 8>to repayment for the remaining twenty million people. The you know,

0:20:36.160 --> 0:20:38.879
<v Speaker 8>the right wing dark money groups going all in to

0:20:39.040 --> 0:20:42.840
<v Speaker 8>kill loan relief was you know, a kick in the gut.

0:20:42.880 --> 0:20:46.679
<v Speaker 8>And then Kevin McCarthy basically saying, we'll crash the global

0:20:46.720 --> 0:20:52.080
<v Speaker 8>economy if we don't do return to repayment. You know,

0:20:52.160 --> 0:20:55.160
<v Speaker 8>it's a lot, and I think in both circumstances, it's

0:20:55.200 --> 0:20:57.600
<v Speaker 8>people with loans who weren't seen as fully human.

0:20:58.000 --> 0:21:00.359
<v Speaker 2>Melissa help me out here, and we took about this

0:21:00.400 --> 0:21:02.199
<v Speaker 2>a lot in the newsroom, and I've had individuals who

0:21:02.280 --> 0:21:05.600
<v Speaker 2>come up to me and say, you took a loan out,

0:21:05.720 --> 0:21:08.400
<v Speaker 2>You've got to repayment and repay it. And one individual

0:21:08.440 --> 0:21:10.360
<v Speaker 2>in particular said, you know, I chose not to go

0:21:10.400 --> 0:21:14.520
<v Speaker 2>to college because I saw, you know, my siblings and

0:21:14.560 --> 0:21:16.800
<v Speaker 2>the debt that they took on. I took a different route,

0:21:16.800 --> 0:21:20.159
<v Speaker 2>but I was concerned about repayment. You know, what do

0:21:20.200 --> 0:21:21.800
<v Speaker 2>you say to that argument?

0:21:23.520 --> 0:21:25.560
<v Speaker 8>I think, what I mean, one thing that I say

0:21:25.800 --> 0:21:29.800
<v Speaker 8>is that it is really terrible that back in the eighties,

0:21:30.520 --> 0:21:33.160
<v Speaker 8>our governments, both at the state level and federal level

0:21:33.520 --> 0:21:36.760
<v Speaker 8>quit funding higher education and they made a choice to

0:21:37.440 --> 0:21:39.239
<v Speaker 8>move funding of it. If you're going to if you're

0:21:39.320 --> 0:21:42.520
<v Speaker 8>poor or working class or for generation college student, you

0:21:42.560 --> 0:21:44.800
<v Speaker 8>have to choose between you know, getting education or going

0:21:44.800 --> 0:21:48.760
<v Speaker 8>into debt. And you know, that's not a fair situation.

0:21:48.880 --> 0:21:52.879
<v Speaker 8>Like if you're eighteen or nineteen, you don't have savings,

0:21:52.920 --> 0:21:56.160
<v Speaker 8>and the idea that in our country that if your

0:21:56.200 --> 0:21:59.520
<v Speaker 8>parents are wealthy, they get to give you tax free,

0:21:59.720 --> 0:22:02.720
<v Speaker 8>you know, hundred thousand dollars to pay for your college.

0:22:03.240 --> 0:22:05.119
<v Speaker 8>And if you don't come from that kind of family,

0:22:05.200 --> 0:22:09.159
<v Speaker 8>your option is debt or no college, or it's you know,

0:22:09.240 --> 0:22:10.159
<v Speaker 8>working through jobs.

0:22:10.280 --> 0:22:13.800
<v Speaker 2>Is the bigger issue. I mean, I took on student debt,

0:22:14.080 --> 0:22:16.439
<v Speaker 2>you know, and my parents kicked in what they could

0:22:16.480 --> 0:22:20.520
<v Speaker 2>and got an award from the school and then took

0:22:20.560 --> 0:22:23.280
<v Speaker 2>on some debt and I paid back that college debt.

0:22:23.600 --> 0:22:27.760
<v Speaker 2>The bigger issue I think many would argue is that

0:22:28.040 --> 0:22:32.040
<v Speaker 2>the cost of higher education has just gotten out of

0:22:32.119 --> 0:22:35.240
<v Speaker 2>control many times over right, the rate of inflation. We've

0:22:35.240 --> 0:22:39.720
<v Speaker 2>all done the stories. Is that the bigger issue yeah.

0:22:39.720 --> 0:22:42.159
<v Speaker 8>I mean that's the part I when I first started

0:22:42.200 --> 0:22:45.240
<v Speaker 8>working on this back in I think it was twenty ten,

0:22:45.280 --> 0:22:47.080
<v Speaker 8>and I come at this from being a borrower, from

0:22:47.119 --> 0:22:49.159
<v Speaker 8>being a first nursion college students. I come at this

0:22:49.240 --> 0:22:54.320
<v Speaker 8>as like an impacted person who's experienced this whole system

0:22:54.400 --> 0:22:56.240
<v Speaker 8>and the shame that came from it. It took me a

0:22:56.240 --> 0:22:59.160
<v Speaker 8>long time to get over my shame of having debt.

0:23:00.520 --> 0:23:03.000
<v Speaker 8>I thought we would win free college first, and then

0:23:03.040 --> 0:23:05.760
<v Speaker 8>it would be a cleanup round to help the folks

0:23:05.800 --> 0:23:09.000
<v Speaker 8>that are struggling. But because of the pandemic in the

0:23:09.040 --> 0:23:12.440
<v Speaker 8>ability to do the pause and then try to do

0:23:12.640 --> 0:23:16.320
<v Speaker 8>a cleanup after the pause via a first round of

0:23:16.320 --> 0:23:20.000
<v Speaker 8>a very mod like we want full cancelation, but we didn't,

0:23:20.119 --> 0:23:22.400
<v Speaker 8>you know, whine and complain that we just got ten

0:23:22.480 --> 0:23:25.200
<v Speaker 8>k or twenty k. We were good, you know, we

0:23:25.280 --> 0:23:27.840
<v Speaker 8>saw that it helps real people, but twenty million people,

0:23:28.560 --> 0:23:31.320
<v Speaker 8>and that you don't say no and you don't complain

0:23:31.880 --> 0:23:33.800
<v Speaker 8>when twenty million people have a chance to have a

0:23:33.800 --> 0:23:34.600
<v Speaker 8>decent life.

0:23:36.359 --> 0:23:39.760
<v Speaker 3>So what's the solution here? Because the part that I

0:23:39.800 --> 0:23:42.359
<v Speaker 3>have a trouble understanding is if we cancel all student

0:23:42.480 --> 0:23:45.200
<v Speaker 3>loan debt, but we don't address the cost of college.

0:23:45.320 --> 0:23:47.680
<v Speaker 3>Then we're going to end up in the next generation

0:23:47.760 --> 0:23:49.480
<v Speaker 3>with the same exact issue, and it could even.

0:23:49.359 --> 0:23:51.679
<v Speaker 8>Be worse, right, which is why we need to have

0:23:51.720 --> 0:23:53.760
<v Speaker 8>free public college. We need to fix the way graduate

0:23:53.800 --> 0:23:57.160
<v Speaker 8>programs work. Right now, a lot of universities will offer

0:23:57.240 --> 0:24:00.879
<v Speaker 8>these master's programs that are basically used to help fund

0:24:00.920 --> 0:24:05.040
<v Speaker 8>the whole university or going into you know, for example,

0:24:05.160 --> 0:24:08.640
<v Speaker 8>see like these like random policy degree programs or what

0:24:08.680 --> 0:24:11.360
<v Speaker 8>you're seeing now on a whole growth of They're called

0:24:11.400 --> 0:24:15.640
<v Speaker 8>online program managers, which are these online master's programs at university.

0:24:15.680 --> 0:24:17.040
<v Speaker 8>So you'll see them in social.

0:24:16.760 --> 0:24:18.080
<v Speaker 9>Work or.

0:24:19.640 --> 0:24:21.920
<v Speaker 8>Other kinds of programs like that. So people are going

0:24:21.920 --> 0:24:24.679
<v Speaker 8>into like two hundred grand of debt to get this

0:24:24.760 --> 0:24:29.240
<v Speaker 8>online degree. USC in California had a big scandal around this,

0:24:30.200 --> 0:24:32.480
<v Speaker 8>and then the money from that goes into just the

0:24:32.520 --> 0:24:35.560
<v Speaker 8>general funds because it doesn't cost that much money to

0:24:35.640 --> 0:24:38.080
<v Speaker 8>you know, educate somebody online. And so I think that

0:24:38.119 --> 0:24:40.080
<v Speaker 8>these are things to look forward to. Look at what

0:24:40.119 --> 0:24:43.520
<v Speaker 8>the administration did. I think it was last week in

0:24:43.600 --> 0:24:46.960
<v Speaker 8>terms of the gainful employment regulations and to have that

0:24:47.040 --> 0:24:49.320
<v Speaker 8>also apply to graduate schools. But I think it really

0:24:49.920 --> 0:24:52.439
<v Speaker 8>it all goes back to a value is like should

0:24:52.480 --> 0:24:55.160
<v Speaker 8>people when they hit eighteen or whatever age they want

0:24:55.160 --> 0:24:58.640
<v Speaker 8>in education, should they have should it be paywalled? Whether

0:24:58.680 --> 0:25:01.359
<v Speaker 8>you want to become a welder or you want to

0:25:01.440 --> 0:25:04.280
<v Speaker 8>care cancer, so you need to get a go go

0:25:04.400 --> 0:25:08.200
<v Speaker 8>from like undergrad to med school, Like, should that be paywalled?

0:25:08.840 --> 0:25:11.880
<v Speaker 8>And should we have it where we're subsidizing rich families

0:25:11.920 --> 0:25:14.080
<v Speaker 8>three via five to nine programs to say, for their

0:25:14.280 --> 0:25:17.280
<v Speaker 8>kids college, but not making a path for kids that

0:25:17.320 --> 0:25:20.040
<v Speaker 8>are working class or middle class to be able to

0:25:20.040 --> 0:25:21.960
<v Speaker 8>go on and get that education. So and they become like,

0:25:22.119 --> 0:25:25.720
<v Speaker 8>you know, functional contributing numbers of society, whatever that education is.

0:25:25.720 --> 0:25:27.800
<v Speaker 8>If it's getting the education because you want to work

0:25:27.840 --> 0:25:31.320
<v Speaker 8>at a hospital and draw blood and do that work.

0:25:31.600 --> 0:25:34.040
<v Speaker 2>Melissa years. So we just have about a minute left

0:25:34.080 --> 0:25:36.040
<v Speaker 2>here if I could just pop in because I'm curious.

0:25:36.760 --> 0:25:39.560
<v Speaker 2>Many would argue that the top end of the income

0:25:39.600 --> 0:25:42.240
<v Speaker 2>strata and the lower end they're taken care of. Either

0:25:42.480 --> 0:25:44.600
<v Speaker 2>families can afford it and they can do the college

0:25:44.640 --> 0:25:49.600
<v Speaker 2>savings plans, or at the lower end that's where schools provide,

0:25:49.800 --> 0:25:51.679
<v Speaker 2>you know, often pay for a big bulk of the tuition.

0:25:51.880 --> 0:25:55.360
<v Speaker 2>You're talking about the middle income I'm assuming, like, who

0:25:55.359 --> 0:25:56.480
<v Speaker 2>are the forty five million in.

0:25:56.520 --> 0:25:59.520
<v Speaker 8>The middle and lower? Yeah, it's the middle and the lower.

0:25:59.520 --> 0:26:02.040
<v Speaker 8>I mean, you know, outside of Harvard and Yale and Princeton,

0:26:02.520 --> 0:26:04.159
<v Speaker 8>folks who come from you know, if you're going to

0:26:04.200 --> 0:26:06.240
<v Speaker 8>a state school, because there's been so much the funding,

0:26:06.680 --> 0:26:09.560
<v Speaker 8>you're mostly going to have some debt if you even

0:26:09.560 --> 0:26:12.720
<v Speaker 8>if you're on PAL, because unfortunately PAL isn't pagged to

0:26:12.720 --> 0:26:13.600
<v Speaker 8>the cost of college.

0:26:15.760 --> 0:26:18.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's a tricky situation, you know, And I'm playing

0:26:18.720 --> 0:26:21.520
<v Speaker 2>Devil's advocate a little bit because there are those who say, listen,

0:26:21.640 --> 0:26:24.880
<v Speaker 2>you know, how do you forgive when other people are

0:26:24.880 --> 0:26:27.919
<v Speaker 2>paying back their loans? And I feel like it to

0:26:28.080 --> 0:26:29.879
<v Speaker 2>many would argue that it gets to that bigger issue

0:26:29.880 --> 0:26:31.800
<v Speaker 2>of just how expensive it's all become.

0:26:32.320 --> 0:26:32.840
<v Speaker 6>State school.

0:26:32.960 --> 0:26:35.679
<v Speaker 3>Not all jobs are created equal when you graduate, absolutely,

0:26:35.760 --> 0:26:37.439
<v Speaker 3>and I think that's a real issue because there's this

0:26:37.560 --> 0:26:40.560
<v Speaker 3>you know, we're taught follow your passion, and oftentimes passions

0:26:40.560 --> 0:26:43.080
<v Speaker 3>don't pay. That's an issue. I mean, I could talk

0:26:43.080 --> 0:26:44.000
<v Speaker 3>about this for five minutes, but.

0:26:43.920 --> 0:26:45.960
<v Speaker 2>Didn't Present Obama get into this, like trying to get

0:26:46.000 --> 0:26:48.480
<v Speaker 2>colleges to say, you come out with this degree. Yeah,

0:26:48.560 --> 0:26:51.240
<v Speaker 2>here's what you're likely to make with that kind of degree,

0:26:51.280 --> 0:26:54.120
<v Speaker 2>like to give people some transparency to say, go ahead

0:26:54.359 --> 0:26:54.920
<v Speaker 2>and study this.

0:26:55.119 --> 0:26:57.560
<v Speaker 3>But a lot of these people graduated before Obama was

0:26:57.600 --> 0:26:59.760
<v Speaker 3>president still still paying back student loan debt. I mean

0:26:59.760 --> 0:27:01.399
<v Speaker 3>people who are graduated in two thousand and two are

0:27:01.400 --> 0:27:01.840
<v Speaker 3>paying bucks.

0:27:01.960 --> 0:27:05.400
<v Speaker 2>I would argue it's just gotten way in terms of

0:27:05.440 --> 0:27:08.560
<v Speaker 2>how expensive it is and making you almost impossible for

0:27:08.640 --> 0:27:11.359
<v Speaker 2>many to pay back those loans in an easy way

0:27:11.440 --> 0:27:15.119
<v Speaker 2>or manageable way. Melissa Burn, executive director of We the

0:27:15.119 --> 0:27:17.359
<v Speaker 2>forty five million. As you can tell, it's a hot topic.

0:27:17.600 --> 0:27:18.400
<v Speaker 10>This is Bloomberg.

0:27:21.200 --> 0:27:24.800
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:27:24.840 --> 0:27:28.840
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern on Bloomberg Radio,

0:27:29.040 --> 0:27:32.320
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business App, and YouTube. You can also listen

0:27:32.440 --> 0:27:35.520
<v Speaker 1>live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station.

0:27:35.960 --> 0:27:42.040
<v Speaker 1>Just say Alexa, play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:27:42.280 --> 0:27:44.440
<v Speaker 5>Send yours guns and money.

0:27:47.080 --> 0:27:49.600
<v Speaker 10>Dead, Get me out out of this God.

0:27:49.680 --> 0:27:53.399
<v Speaker 2>Certainly on the docket for the new US Supreme Court

0:27:53.840 --> 0:27:56.080
<v Speaker 2>new I mean opening up a new term today ten.

0:27:56.600 --> 0:27:58.640
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and the lawyers will certainly be involved.

0:27:58.280 --> 0:28:01.240
<v Speaker 2>Also, yeah, all right, Well, the Court, the nation's highest

0:28:01.280 --> 0:28:04.399
<v Speaker 2>court thinking about where its conservative revolution should go next.

0:28:04.640 --> 0:28:07.720
<v Speaker 2>One federal appeals Court already has lots of ideas.

0:28:07.960 --> 0:28:09.840
<v Speaker 3>In the next nine months, an outside share of the

0:28:09.920 --> 0:28:13.199
<v Speaker 3>High Court's biggest cases will come from the ultra conservative

0:28:13.280 --> 0:28:16.879
<v Speaker 3>Fifth US Circuit Court of Appeals. Those far reaching rulings

0:28:16.880 --> 0:28:20.359
<v Speaker 3>are providing impossible, are proving impossible for the Supreme Court

0:28:20.359 --> 0:28:23.919
<v Speaker 3>to ignore. Cases involving federal regulatory power, guns and probably

0:28:23.960 --> 0:28:26.760
<v Speaker 3>abortion in social media regulation are going to test Carrol

0:28:26.960 --> 0:28:29.679
<v Speaker 3>just how far the Supreme Court's conservative majority wants to

0:28:29.680 --> 0:28:32.080
<v Speaker 3>go in remaking the nation's legal landscape.

0:28:32.080 --> 0:28:35.520
<v Speaker 2>We're all watching closely. Greg Stores, Bloomberg News Supreme Court reporter,

0:28:35.600 --> 0:28:38.640
<v Speaker 2>writes for Bloomberg BusinessWeek about the conservative Fifth Circuit and

0:28:38.680 --> 0:28:42.000
<v Speaker 2>the key decisions that could come in the Justice's next terms.

0:28:42.040 --> 0:28:45.040
<v Speaker 2>He joins us from Washington, DC. Also here, the editor

0:28:45.000 --> 0:28:48.560
<v Speaker 2>of Bloomberg Business Week, jol Weber, with us at Bloomberg Headquarters.

0:28:48.560 --> 0:28:50.320
<v Speaker 2>The story, by the way, in the upcoming issue of

0:28:50.320 --> 0:28:52.840
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Business Week, out on newstands later this week, but

0:28:53.200 --> 0:28:56.080
<v Speaker 2>find this story also online at Bloomberg dot com, slash BusinessWeek,

0:28:56.080 --> 0:28:58.200
<v Speaker 2>and of course, on the Bloomberg terminal. I feel like

0:28:58.240 --> 0:28:59.920
<v Speaker 2>the fourth quarter is a big one on so many

0:29:00.040 --> 0:29:03.200
<v Speaker 2>different levels, Joel, but definitely for the nation's highest court.

0:29:04.000 --> 0:29:06.760
<v Speaker 10>So this is the beginning of a new term for

0:29:06.800 --> 0:29:11.600
<v Speaker 10>the Supreme Court, and Greg has become indispensable in writing

0:29:12.320 --> 0:29:15.120
<v Speaker 10>sort of these walk ups and helping us make sense

0:29:15.120 --> 0:29:19.960
<v Speaker 10>of these moments. Obviously, the Supreme Court has made a

0:29:20.040 --> 0:29:24.440
<v Speaker 10>number of interesting and controversial and headline making decisions within

0:29:24.480 --> 0:29:28.240
<v Speaker 10>the last couple of years. What he flagged heading into

0:29:28.320 --> 0:29:31.840
<v Speaker 10>this one is that the Fifth Circuit is an area

0:29:31.840 --> 0:29:36.320
<v Speaker 10>of the country that is basically an appellate court that

0:29:36.440 --> 0:29:40.200
<v Speaker 10>has a lot of very conservative judges, and this term

0:29:40.320 --> 0:29:44.960
<v Speaker 10>in particular has a number of cases that originate with

0:29:45.000 --> 0:29:47.280
<v Speaker 10>that appellate court. So, Greg, what does it all mean

0:29:47.320 --> 0:29:48.800
<v Speaker 10>and help us make sense of it all?

0:29:49.840 --> 0:29:55.120
<v Speaker 11>Well, it means a number of things. It starts in

0:29:55.560 --> 0:29:57.920
<v Speaker 11>starts off with some big cases involving the power of

0:29:57.960 --> 0:30:01.280
<v Speaker 11>federal regulatory agencies. There's a case that the Court's going

0:30:01.320 --> 0:30:04.360
<v Speaker 11>to be hearing tomorrow involving the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.

0:30:04.360 --> 0:30:08.720
<v Speaker 11>That's the entity that regulates things like mortgages and auto

0:30:08.800 --> 0:30:11.640
<v Speaker 11>loans set up after the two thousand and eight financial collapse.

0:30:12.040 --> 0:30:16.200
<v Speaker 11>And then it's got cases involving guns and almost certainly

0:30:16.240 --> 0:30:18.240
<v Speaker 11>abortion and coming up later on in the term, and

0:30:18.280 --> 0:30:21.320
<v Speaker 11>they're really going to shape how far the Supreme Court's

0:30:21.360 --> 0:30:22.160
<v Speaker 11>going to go this term.

0:30:23.400 --> 0:30:27.080
<v Speaker 10>Okay, so the Fifth Circuit talk to us about what

0:30:27.160 --> 0:30:33.600
<v Speaker 10>they oversee and their jurisdiction and also what makes this

0:30:33.720 --> 0:30:35.120
<v Speaker 10>time so different.

0:30:35.880 --> 0:30:40.080
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, So this is a court that has twelve Republican

0:30:40.120 --> 0:30:44.360
<v Speaker 11>appointed judges and just for Democratic appointed just judges, and

0:30:44.520 --> 0:30:48.520
<v Speaker 11>six of the Republican appointed just judges are Trump appointees.

0:30:49.480 --> 0:30:53.600
<v Speaker 11>And the individual personalities on the court are also very

0:30:53.880 --> 0:30:56.440
<v Speaker 11>distinctive and very outspoken. So just to name one, there's

0:30:56.480 --> 0:30:59.560
<v Speaker 11>a judge named James ho who, even while on the bench,

0:30:59.560 --> 0:31:01.960
<v Speaker 11>has written and that abortion is a moral tragedy and

0:31:02.440 --> 0:31:05.440
<v Speaker 11>said that if there's too much money in politics, it's

0:31:05.480 --> 0:31:12.280
<v Speaker 11>because there's too much government. And these conservative litigants in

0:31:12.320 --> 0:31:15.040
<v Speaker 11>many cases, like the State of Texas which is part

0:31:15.040 --> 0:31:17.680
<v Speaker 11>of the Circuit, like to get their cases before this

0:31:17.800 --> 0:31:21.200
<v Speaker 11>court because very very often they get good results. And

0:31:21.920 --> 0:31:23.760
<v Speaker 11>with a number of these cases this term, what has

0:31:23.800 --> 0:31:27.880
<v Speaker 11>happened is that this Circuit has struck down an administration

0:31:28.000 --> 0:31:32.320
<v Speaker 11>policy or said that it administrative agency has to change

0:31:32.360 --> 0:31:35.360
<v Speaker 11>the way it's doing something. And the Biden Administration has

0:31:35.400 --> 0:31:38.880
<v Speaker 11>gone to the Supreme Court saying, hey, that this circuit's

0:31:38.880 --> 0:31:41.600
<v Speaker 11>gone too far. So it's kind of testing just how

0:31:41.640 --> 0:31:43.480
<v Speaker 11>conservative the US Supreme Court is.

0:31:43.720 --> 0:31:46.720
<v Speaker 2>Well, it sounds like it's a list that they will

0:31:46.760 --> 0:31:49.480
<v Speaker 2>be dealing with with some very very important issues. It's

0:31:49.480 --> 0:31:51.520
<v Speaker 2>hard to pick out, like what's the most significant? But

0:31:51.760 --> 0:31:54.560
<v Speaker 2>where shall we begin in terms of cases that you,

0:31:54.600 --> 0:31:57.040
<v Speaker 2>as someone who's followed the US Supreme Court like really

0:31:57.080 --> 0:31:58.640
<v Speaker 2>is kind of front and center and you're thinking about

0:31:58.680 --> 0:31:59.520
<v Speaker 2>this one in a big way.

0:32:00.400 --> 0:32:03.320
<v Speaker 11>Well, certainly the gun case that they're going to hear

0:32:03.440 --> 0:32:07.680
<v Speaker 11>arguments on November seventh is one that's going to get

0:32:07.720 --> 0:32:11.680
<v Speaker 11>a lot of attention. This is a case involving whether

0:32:11.840 --> 0:32:14.960
<v Speaker 11>somebody who is subject to a domestic violence restraining order

0:32:15.360 --> 0:32:20.120
<v Speaker 11>still has his or her full Second Amendment rights. The

0:32:20.200 --> 0:32:23.320
<v Speaker 11>Supreme Court back a year and a half ago, in

0:32:23.360 --> 0:32:26.240
<v Speaker 11>a case called Bruin, that the way we test whether

0:32:26.280 --> 0:32:29.680
<v Speaker 11>a gun restriction is constitutional is to look back into

0:32:29.800 --> 0:32:31.880
<v Speaker 11>history and see if we can find a historic analog

0:32:32.000 --> 0:32:35.120
<v Speaker 11>to the current restriction. And in this case, the Fifth

0:32:35.120 --> 0:32:37.640
<v Speaker 11>Circuit said, you know, we look back at seventeen eighty

0:32:37.720 --> 0:32:41.400
<v Speaker 11>nine and we didn't see any laws that restricted gun

0:32:41.400 --> 0:32:45.960
<v Speaker 11>possession by somebody who has a domestic violence restraining order

0:32:46.000 --> 0:32:49.040
<v Speaker 11>and therefore the Second Amendment doesn't allow this sort of restriction.

0:32:49.440 --> 0:32:51.080
<v Speaker 11>So this is going to be a real test whether

0:32:51.120 --> 0:32:53.400
<v Speaker 11>the Supreme Court's history test that had set up a

0:32:53.440 --> 0:32:57.200
<v Speaker 11>couple of years ago means what it seems like it means.

0:32:57.240 --> 0:32:59.920
<v Speaker 11>And if it does, then that means it's going to

0:32:59.920 --> 0:33:03.880
<v Speaker 11>be really hard to argue in favor of all these

0:33:03.920 --> 0:33:06.080
<v Speaker 11>other gun restrictions around the country.

0:33:06.440 --> 0:33:10.200
<v Speaker 3>So what does that mean for the federal ban on

0:33:10.280 --> 0:33:13.200
<v Speaker 3>bump stocks? If we're continuing with the firearms theme, what

0:33:13.720 --> 0:33:16.800
<v Speaker 3>would this court potentially do in that context and explain

0:33:16.840 --> 0:33:18.280
<v Speaker 3>what bump stocks are actually? I think a lot of

0:33:18.320 --> 0:33:20.640
<v Speaker 3>people might remember them, I think in the wake of

0:33:20.680 --> 0:33:22.880
<v Speaker 3>the Las Vegas shooting years ago.

0:33:23.760 --> 0:33:26.040
<v Speaker 11>Right right, there's a Las Vegas shooting. Basically, it's a

0:33:26.040 --> 0:33:29.320
<v Speaker 11>device that turns a semi automatic weapon, which is legal,

0:33:29.560 --> 0:33:33.280
<v Speaker 11>into a machine gun, which is illegal. And the question

0:33:33.320 --> 0:33:35.480
<v Speaker 11>this is actually a very different legal question than the

0:33:35.480 --> 0:33:39.520
<v Speaker 11>case involving the domestic violence restraining orders. This is actually

0:33:39.520 --> 0:33:41.640
<v Speaker 11>a question of administrative law and not a question of

0:33:41.720 --> 0:33:43.960
<v Speaker 11>the Second Amendment. The question is whether the Bureau of

0:33:44.000 --> 0:33:48.760
<v Speaker 11>Alcohol and Tobacco and firearms when it banned those, and

0:33:48.840 --> 0:33:51.640
<v Speaker 11>this actually was under the Trump administration, whether it had

0:33:51.680 --> 0:33:55.400
<v Speaker 11>authority to do that. Essentially, what ATF did was to

0:33:55.440 --> 0:34:00.280
<v Speaker 11>say that a bump stock is akin to a machine gun,

0:34:00.640 --> 0:34:03.200
<v Speaker 11>which is illegal, and therefore we're going to say the

0:34:03.200 --> 0:34:06.680
<v Speaker 11>bump stocks are illegal too. So this one actually goes

0:34:06.720 --> 0:34:08.520
<v Speaker 11>to one of those questions of how much power do

0:34:08.600 --> 0:34:12.200
<v Speaker 11>federal regulatory agencies do. It just happens to be one

0:34:12.239 --> 0:34:16.040
<v Speaker 11>that also coincides with this big fight over gun rights.

0:34:17.680 --> 0:34:21.480
<v Speaker 10>Greg, let's bring it back to core Bloomberg competencies. Two

0:34:21.560 --> 0:34:24.640
<v Speaker 10>other areas that will be of great interest the Consumer

0:34:24.760 --> 0:34:29.239
<v Speaker 10>Financial Protection Bureau, as was the Securities Exchange Commission. What

0:34:30.080 --> 0:34:31.719
<v Speaker 10>might be in the balance here?

0:34:31.840 --> 0:34:34.279
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's like barely a decade old, I think the CFPP.

0:34:35.960 --> 0:34:39.480
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, yeah, just slightly more than that. You're right, And

0:34:39.520 --> 0:34:41.400
<v Speaker 11>this is actually the second time we've had a CFPB

0:34:41.880 --> 0:34:44.800
<v Speaker 11>case at the Supreme Court. This is a Fifth Circuit

0:34:44.920 --> 0:34:47.360
<v Speaker 11>ruling in some ways came out of nowhere. This was

0:34:47.400 --> 0:34:50.280
<v Speaker 11>not like an argument people have been raising for years.

0:34:50.800 --> 0:34:53.719
<v Speaker 11>But the Fifth Circuit said, there's a constitutional provision that

0:34:53.800 --> 0:34:58.680
<v Speaker 11>says you can't spend money without a congressional appropriation and

0:34:58.800 --> 0:35:01.680
<v Speaker 11>the way CFPB is set up, it gets its money

0:35:01.680 --> 0:35:04.319
<v Speaker 11>from the Federal Reserve, it doesn't not subject to the

0:35:04.360 --> 0:35:09.200
<v Speaker 11>year to year congressional appropriation process, and the Fifth Circuit said, up,

0:35:09.320 --> 0:35:13.400
<v Speaker 11>that's unconstitutional. The way it's set up, and it struck

0:35:13.440 --> 0:35:16.560
<v Speaker 11>down is paid a lending rule that never actually took effect,

0:35:16.840 --> 0:35:20.680
<v Speaker 11>but it cast a cloud over basically everything the CFPB

0:35:20.840 --> 0:35:23.120
<v Speaker 11>had done. Because if everything it's been doing all this

0:35:23.200 --> 0:35:26.439
<v Speaker 11>time has been using money that it wasn't supposed to have,

0:35:26.760 --> 0:35:30.320
<v Speaker 11>maybe there are questions about whether those past actions can stand.

0:35:30.640 --> 0:35:32.520
<v Speaker 11>So there's a lot of concern, and there's a brief

0:35:32.560 --> 0:35:36.320
<v Speaker 11>buy like the mortgage industry saying, hey, we're really concerned

0:35:36.320 --> 0:35:39.080
<v Speaker 11>that this might unsettle the mortgage industry if the Supreme

0:35:39.120 --> 0:35:42.120
<v Speaker 11>Court adopts in a full threaded way what the Fifth

0:35:42.120 --> 0:35:45.560
<v Speaker 11>Circuit did. So big stakes for this agency. There's an

0:35:45.560 --> 0:35:48.720
<v Speaker 11>agency that has been very active in a lot of fronts,

0:35:48.719 --> 0:35:52.440
<v Speaker 11>both the banking world and the non banking world. So

0:35:52.480 --> 0:35:55.160
<v Speaker 11>the business community is going to be watching this one

0:35:55.239 --> 0:35:55.800
<v Speaker 11>very closely.

0:35:56.320 --> 0:35:59.759
<v Speaker 2>You know, I do wonder too, Greg, I think about

0:35:59.760 --> 0:36:04.880
<v Speaker 2>our audience, right, And obviously Supreme Court justices can Supreme

0:36:04.880 --> 0:36:08.400
<v Speaker 2>Court decisions excuse me, will impact different parts of the

0:36:08.480 --> 0:36:12.279
<v Speaker 2>US population. But I think about the investment world and

0:36:12.360 --> 0:36:15.520
<v Speaker 2>the business world, and I think about certainly the CFPB

0:36:15.640 --> 0:36:17.040
<v Speaker 2>they're going to be following that. But what do you

0:36:17.080 --> 0:36:20.320
<v Speaker 2>think is top of mind for like the Bloomberg audience.

0:36:22.800 --> 0:36:28.160
<v Speaker 11>Certainly, all these cases about regulatory agencies are really really important,

0:36:28.280 --> 0:36:31.919
<v Speaker 11>and the business community kind of has an ambivalent relationship

0:36:32.200 --> 0:36:35.759
<v Speaker 11>with them, So they don't like a lot of the regulation,

0:36:36.120 --> 0:36:40.480
<v Speaker 11>but they do like stability, and the CFPB case sort

0:36:40.480 --> 0:36:43.279
<v Speaker 11>of threatens some of that stability. There's another big case

0:36:43.320 --> 0:36:48.880
<v Speaker 11>involving another big case involving it's a little technical, but

0:36:49.040 --> 0:36:53.280
<v Speaker 11>really really important, how much authority agencies have to interpret

0:36:53.320 --> 0:36:58.359
<v Speaker 11>ambiguous federal statutes. And that's another case where to give

0:36:58.400 --> 0:37:01.080
<v Speaker 11>the agency more power, which is tradition what they've had

0:37:01.440 --> 0:37:04.759
<v Speaker 11>that at least ensures some stability in terms of the regulations.

0:37:05.040 --> 0:37:07.600
<v Speaker 11>So that is a big thing. So far this term,

0:37:07.640 --> 0:37:10.120
<v Speaker 11>we don't have any of the major business fight if

0:37:10.200 --> 0:37:13.440
<v Speaker 11>nothing else like punitive damages or class actions, none of

0:37:13.480 --> 0:37:16.600
<v Speaker 11>the kind of traditional fights that the Chamber of Commerce

0:37:16.640 --> 0:37:21.520
<v Speaker 11>has been pushing. The biggest action is probably going to

0:37:21.520 --> 0:37:24.960
<v Speaker 11>be in these administrative law questions.

0:37:25.400 --> 0:37:29.359
<v Speaker 10>Which also raises the interesting observation I suppose that, I mean,

0:37:29.400 --> 0:37:31.400
<v Speaker 10>of all the courts that you could bring some of

0:37:31.440 --> 0:37:37.040
<v Speaker 10>these conversations to, this Supreme Court is one that has been,

0:37:37.400 --> 0:37:40.800
<v Speaker 10>you know, willing to wag into controversies before that. Prior

0:37:40.840 --> 0:37:44.239
<v Speaker 10>Supreme courts have not. So what's the current kind of

0:37:44.320 --> 0:37:47.200
<v Speaker 10>chatter about why they picked what they picked and and

0:37:47.280 --> 0:37:49.320
<v Speaker 10>the you know, the read of the Supreme Court on

0:37:49.760 --> 0:37:50.960
<v Speaker 10>these particular cases.

0:37:51.560 --> 0:37:55.200
<v Speaker 11>So what's interesting about this term is that a lot

0:37:55.239 --> 0:37:57.759
<v Speaker 11>of these cases, the ones we've been talking about, we're

0:37:57.840 --> 0:37:59.960
<v Speaker 11>kind of ones the Supreme Court didn't have any choice.

0:38:00.040 --> 0:38:04.400
<v Speaker 11>But here traditionally, if a lower court strikes down a

0:38:04.400 --> 0:38:10.920
<v Speaker 11>federal statute, blocks a regulation, and if the Solicitor General,

0:38:10.920 --> 0:38:14.920
<v Speaker 11>who's the top government supreme court lawyer, asks the Supreme

0:38:14.920 --> 0:38:19.600
<v Speaker 11>Court to hear an appeal, the Supreme Court almost always will.

0:38:20.000 --> 0:38:23.240
<v Speaker 11>And that is that there are a number of cases

0:38:23.280 --> 0:38:27.080
<v Speaker 11>both granted already in cases that probably will be granted soon.

0:38:27.400 --> 0:38:30.640
<v Speaker 11>Where that's what's going on. Where so it's less the

0:38:30.719 --> 0:38:33.879
<v Speaker 11>case so far this term that we can say, oh,

0:38:34.000 --> 0:38:36.920
<v Speaker 11>the Supreme Court is really interested in affirmative action, and

0:38:37.239 --> 0:38:40.560
<v Speaker 11>you may want to consider outlawing affirmative action like we

0:38:40.640 --> 0:38:43.880
<v Speaker 11>had less term, or overturning the constitutional right to abortion

0:38:44.000 --> 0:38:46.360
<v Speaker 11>like we had the term before. There are fewer cases

0:38:46.760 --> 0:38:48.840
<v Speaker 11>like that and more cases where a court like the

0:38:48.840 --> 0:38:52.120
<v Speaker 11>Fifth Circuit is saying, hey, Supreme Court, do you want

0:38:52.160 --> 0:38:54.480
<v Speaker 11>to go this far? And the Supreme Court is sort

0:38:54.480 --> 0:38:56.760
<v Speaker 11>of forced to grapple with whether it really does.

0:38:57.880 --> 0:39:00.000
<v Speaker 2>Hey, one thing I wanted to ask you the Fifth

0:39:00.080 --> 0:39:03.320
<v Speaker 2>Circuit and then the Supreme Court picking up these cases,

0:39:03.640 --> 0:39:06.120
<v Speaker 2>not all of them go the way of the conservatives, right.

0:39:06.160 --> 0:39:07.200
<v Speaker 2>We've seen that in the past.

0:39:08.800 --> 0:39:12.480
<v Speaker 11>Yes, that is absolutely the case, Carol. Last term, for example,

0:39:13.239 --> 0:39:17.200
<v Speaker 11>the Fifth Circuit lost at least a significant amount of

0:39:17.239 --> 0:39:19.800
<v Speaker 11>the case. The Supreme Court reverse the Fifth Circuit and

0:39:19.840 --> 0:39:22.759
<v Speaker 11>significant part in seven of the nine cases they have,

0:39:23.000 --> 0:39:26.440
<v Speaker 11>So that court has not been doing all that well lately,

0:39:26.640 --> 0:39:30.560
<v Speaker 11>and it is very much an open question. I'm sure

0:39:30.640 --> 0:39:33.040
<v Speaker 11>the Supreme Court. I think highly likely the Supreme Court

0:39:33.200 --> 0:39:35.840
<v Speaker 11>will uphold the Fifth Circuit in some of these cases,

0:39:36.600 --> 0:39:39.400
<v Speaker 11>but probably not all of them, and which one is

0:39:39.480 --> 0:39:40.240
<v Speaker 11>very hard to say.

0:39:40.480 --> 0:39:42.640
<v Speaker 3>The story that we're discussing Supreme Court has pile of

0:39:42.680 --> 0:39:46.200
<v Speaker 3>cases from conservative Fifth Circuit is in the upcoming issue

0:39:46.320 --> 0:39:48.719
<v Speaker 3>of BusinessWeek magazines. But you can read it now on

0:39:48.760 --> 0:39:51.399
<v Speaker 3>the Bloomberg terminal and at Bloomberg dot com. Hey, we're

0:39:51.400 --> 0:39:54.200
<v Speaker 3>talking with Greg Store, Bloomberg News Supreme Court reporter.

0:39:55.239 --> 0:39:55.520
<v Speaker 1>Greg.

0:39:55.640 --> 0:39:57.560
<v Speaker 3>If we I'd be remiss if I didn't ask you

0:39:57.640 --> 0:40:00.800
<v Speaker 3>right now about the news today from just Clarence Thomas,

0:40:00.840 --> 0:40:05.440
<v Speaker 3>who's issued a rare recusal in January sixth Trump lawyer appeal.

0:40:06.000 --> 0:40:06.839
<v Speaker 3>What's going on here?

0:40:07.920 --> 0:40:10.560
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, So Justice Thomas did not give us any explanation

0:40:10.640 --> 0:40:13.960
<v Speaker 11>for this refusal. So to some degree, you know, all

0:40:14.000 --> 0:40:15.840
<v Speaker 11>we can do is speculate. But I'll tell you what

0:40:15.880 --> 0:40:19.000
<v Speaker 11>the case is about. It is this lawyer, John Eastman,

0:40:19.360 --> 0:40:23.200
<v Speaker 11>a law professor who has been a lawyer for Trump,

0:40:23.880 --> 0:40:28.800
<v Speaker 11>advising him on the election issues. He is one of

0:40:28.800 --> 0:40:31.240
<v Speaker 11>the people who's under indicted named Georgia in that case.

0:40:31.800 --> 0:40:36.759
<v Speaker 11>And this was a case involving the House committee looking

0:40:36.800 --> 0:40:40.319
<v Speaker 11>into the January sixth attack, trying to get access to

0:40:40.360 --> 0:40:45.600
<v Speaker 11>his emails. The Supreme Court turned away John Easton's petition

0:40:45.760 --> 0:40:49.720
<v Speaker 11>today and Clarence Thomas, without any explanation, said I'm recusing myself.

0:40:49.719 --> 0:40:51.680
<v Speaker 11>I'm not taking part in this case. So this is

0:40:52.000 --> 0:40:55.359
<v Speaker 11>the first time in a January sixth related case that

0:40:56.040 --> 0:41:00.719
<v Speaker 11>he has recused. What exactly the reason is? You know

0:41:01.400 --> 0:41:04.200
<v Speaker 11>there there was a report in Politico about a year

0:41:04.239 --> 0:41:07.319
<v Speaker 11>ago that indicated that some of these emails that we're

0:41:07.360 --> 0:41:12.720
<v Speaker 11>talking about reference Justice Thomas and had Johnny's been saying

0:41:13.680 --> 0:41:16.840
<v Speaker 11>he is our best hope for overturning the election results.

0:41:17.200 --> 0:41:19.440
<v Speaker 11>And so that might be what it is, that that

0:41:20.080 --> 0:41:23.719
<v Speaker 11>Justice Thomas is aware of the there's substance he's in

0:41:23.760 --> 0:41:27.880
<v Speaker 11>there substantively. It may be something else. Again, the justices

0:41:27.920 --> 0:41:31.080
<v Speaker 11>are required to although some justices do give an explanation

0:41:31.120 --> 0:41:33.080
<v Speaker 11>as to why they we recused, he did not.

0:41:34.040 --> 0:41:36.799
<v Speaker 2>Interesting times. We are living no doubt about it, guys.

0:41:36.800 --> 0:41:40.080
<v Speaker 2>Thank you so much. Greig Store, Bloomberg News Supreme Court Reporter.

0:41:40.239 --> 0:41:42.680
<v Speaker 2>His story is in the upcoming issue of Bloomberg Business

0:41:42.680 --> 0:41:45.239
<v Speaker 2>Week on newsstands later on this week. Find it online

0:41:45.239 --> 0:41:47.440
<v Speaker 2>at Bloomberg dot com, slash Business Weekend on the Bloomberg

0:41:47.480 --> 0:41:49.520
<v Speaker 2>And if I can just give a little shout out

0:41:50.280 --> 0:41:52.960
<v Speaker 2>his wife, Kimberly Ekins Store on a podcast called Sisters

0:41:52.960 --> 0:41:56.799
<v Speaker 2>in Law. I love it. It's I love it. I'm

0:41:56.800 --> 0:41:57.640
<v Speaker 2>obsessed with it.

0:41:58.400 --> 0:41:59.799
<v Speaker 3>And also we had a connection to.

0:42:00.800 --> 0:42:03.400
<v Speaker 2>I didn't know initially and then I'm like, oh, but

0:42:03.440 --> 0:42:05.040
<v Speaker 2>it's really fun. They just go through all of the

0:42:05.120 --> 0:42:07.399
<v Speaker 2>legal cases and of course our thanks to the editor

0:42:07.400 --> 0:42:11.200
<v Speaker 2>of Bloomberg business Week, Jil Webber, joining us from Bloomberg headquarters. Yeah,

0:42:11.200 --> 0:42:14.440
<v Speaker 2>it's a great podcast. It's four prominent lawyers, all women,

0:42:14.600 --> 0:42:17.439
<v Speaker 2>sisters in law, but they're all involved in the legal

0:42:17.560 --> 0:42:19.640
<v Speaker 2>universe and just whatsever front and center. A lot of

0:42:19.640 --> 0:42:22.360
<v Speaker 2>it has been on Trump cases, as you would imagine,

0:42:22.360 --> 0:42:25.000
<v Speaker 2>as we talked about earlier, but just goes in and

0:42:25.040 --> 0:42:27.520
<v Speaker 2>out of different things. They've talked on things with legal

0:42:27.560 --> 0:42:29.360
<v Speaker 2>issues with Elon Musk and Tesla.

0:42:29.520 --> 0:42:30.399
<v Speaker 3>We should come on the show.

0:42:30.600 --> 0:42:34.319
<v Speaker 2>It's I would love. It's really really fun and kind

0:42:34.360 --> 0:42:36.560
<v Speaker 2>of a must listen, just like we are. This is

0:42:36.600 --> 0:42:37.400
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Radio.

0:42:39.800 --> 0:42:41.439
<v Speaker 6>Brother Mark.

0:42:43.200 --> 0:42:45.879
<v Speaker 1>A journal How about you let me drive?

0:42:46.400 --> 0:42:51.600
<v Speaker 10>No no, no, drive, honey please, I'll do the riding gravels.

0:42:52.680 --> 0:42:56.560
<v Speaker 6>I want to try it. It's a good question.

0:43:00.360 --> 0:43:07.760
<v Speaker 1>This is the Drive to the Globe on Bloomberg Radio.

0:43:07.800 --> 0:43:09.200
<v Speaker 2>Believe it's October already.

0:43:10.560 --> 0:43:13.680
<v Speaker 3>I didn't even realize it snuck up on me. I mean,

0:43:13.760 --> 0:43:15.080
<v Speaker 3>we got to buy our plane tickets.

0:43:15.280 --> 0:43:15.920
<v Speaker 6>I haven't done it.

0:43:16.040 --> 0:43:18.359
<v Speaker 3>That's what that's what makes me think of. And I'm

0:43:18.400 --> 0:43:21.960
<v Speaker 3>not talking for Thanksgiving or you know, Christmas holiday. I'm

0:43:21.960 --> 0:43:24.080
<v Speaker 3>talking like we got a trip coming up next week,

0:43:24.200 --> 0:43:26.319
<v Speaker 3>next week tickets yet. So that's how it's snuck up

0:43:26.360 --> 0:43:26.560
<v Speaker 3>on me.

0:43:26.960 --> 0:43:29.400
<v Speaker 2>All right, a lot of things sneaking up on us,

0:43:29.400 --> 0:43:31.799
<v Speaker 2>including earnings just a couple of weeks away. Let's get

0:43:31.800 --> 0:43:35.560
<v Speaker 2>to our next guest. She's senior VPN uh. Lisa Erickson

0:43:35.640 --> 0:43:37.960
<v Speaker 2>is also head of the Public Markets Group over at

0:43:38.040 --> 0:43:41.520
<v Speaker 2>US Bank Wealth Management. She's on Zoom in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Uh,

0:43:41.719 --> 0:43:43.400
<v Speaker 2>it is nice to have you back with us, Lisa.

0:43:43.920 --> 0:43:48.360
<v Speaker 2>This market environment the fourth quarter, what are you thinking

0:43:48.440 --> 0:43:51.479
<v Speaker 2>might ultimately be the major themes or is it hard

0:43:51.520 --> 0:43:53.120
<v Speaker 2>to kind of figure that out right now?

0:43:54.840 --> 0:43:58.200
<v Speaker 9>Well, we're going into this fourth quarter a little bit cautious,

0:43:58.239 --> 0:44:00.080
<v Speaker 9>and the reason why is when you look at the

0:44:00.160 --> 0:44:03.160
<v Speaker 9>balance of risk and reward, what you really see is

0:44:03.280 --> 0:44:08.840
<v Speaker 9>pretty even stack on both sides. Certainly on the positive side,

0:44:08.960 --> 0:44:13.480
<v Speaker 9>we've had corporate earnings remain relatively resilient and beating expectations

0:44:13.480 --> 0:44:16.279
<v Speaker 9>for most of the year. In addition, the consumer really

0:44:16.280 --> 0:44:20.120
<v Speaker 9>has held in there with their spending despite multiple headwinds,

0:44:20.520 --> 0:44:24.360
<v Speaker 9>and certainly when we look at monetary policy, we're certainly

0:44:24.440 --> 0:44:27.960
<v Speaker 9>closer to the end of a hiking cycle, although the

0:44:28.040 --> 0:44:31.320
<v Speaker 9>exacting is yet to be unknown. But on the other hand,

0:44:31.480 --> 0:44:34.640
<v Speaker 9>when we just look at overall economic activity, it certainly

0:44:34.719 --> 0:44:38.040
<v Speaker 9>is slowing and not just tier in the US. And again,

0:44:38.120 --> 0:44:43.200
<v Speaker 9>as we talk about monetary policy, it's unclear how long higher,

0:44:43.239 --> 0:44:45.600
<v Speaker 9>for longer it's going to last. So that really leads

0:44:45.680 --> 0:44:49.280
<v Speaker 9>us more at a neutral position, just recommending that clients

0:44:49.320 --> 0:44:52.879
<v Speaker 9>would stay at their strategic weight, whatever that typically would be.

0:44:53.040 --> 0:44:55.120
<v Speaker 3>So does that mean a recession is coming, a recession

0:44:55.160 --> 0:44:56.160
<v Speaker 3>is imminent? What does that mean?

0:44:57.640 --> 0:45:00.719
<v Speaker 9>Well, right now, our US Bank economics team really is

0:45:00.840 --> 0:45:04.759
<v Speaker 9>on the soft landing side of it, although again the

0:45:04.920 --> 0:45:07.880
<v Speaker 9>chances are pretty near fifty to fifty. And the reason

0:45:07.920 --> 0:45:10.440
<v Speaker 9>why again is if you look at the underlying driver

0:45:10.560 --> 0:45:13.880
<v Speaker 9>of the US economy, the consumer, they have really hung

0:45:13.920 --> 0:45:16.880
<v Speaker 9>in there in terms of being able to continue to

0:45:16.920 --> 0:45:20.839
<v Speaker 9>spend both on experiences and goods. But again we've got

0:45:20.840 --> 0:45:23.680
<v Speaker 9>that continued challenge where inflation hasn't come all the way

0:45:23.719 --> 0:45:28.080
<v Speaker 9>down and as well, as a result, the Federal Reserve

0:45:28.160 --> 0:45:30.560
<v Speaker 9>is still keeping that tighter monetary policy.

0:45:31.239 --> 0:45:35.720
<v Speaker 2>How much risk or how much risk are investors at

0:45:35.760 --> 0:45:40.120
<v Speaker 2>at this point, especially if ultimately we are going to

0:45:40.280 --> 0:45:43.359
<v Speaker 2>continue to take out key levels. When it comes to

0:45:44.080 --> 0:45:47.319
<v Speaker 2>the treasury trade and yield in particular, you know ten

0:45:47.400 --> 0:45:51.400
<v Speaker 2>year yields, we talk five percent, that's the easy part.

0:45:51.719 --> 0:45:56.000
<v Speaker 2>Six percent, seven percent that people have floated around, that's

0:45:56.040 --> 0:45:57.200
<v Speaker 2>that's a different environment.

0:45:59.080 --> 0:46:01.880
<v Speaker 9>Do your point care? That really is what's keeping us

0:46:01.920 --> 0:46:05.520
<v Speaker 9>again on the more cautious side of neutral, And it's

0:46:05.560 --> 0:46:08.520
<v Speaker 9>really the fact that you've had this relentless rise and

0:46:08.560 --> 0:46:11.520
<v Speaker 9>treasury yields, both on the back of what's going on

0:46:11.640 --> 0:46:16.799
<v Speaker 9>with federal reserve policy, but also simply because investors are concerned.

0:46:17.200 --> 0:46:19.719
<v Speaker 9>It's kind of a good news is bad news scenario.

0:46:19.840 --> 0:46:23.959
<v Speaker 9>As we continue to get some nice economic readings, they're

0:46:24.040 --> 0:46:27.000
<v Speaker 9>just concerned again what that means for rates staying higher,

0:46:27.040 --> 0:46:29.560
<v Speaker 9>and eventually that does have to impact the consumer.

0:46:30.400 --> 0:46:32.360
<v Speaker 3>When do you think it starts to actually impact the consumer,

0:46:32.400 --> 0:46:35.600
<v Speaker 3>because you did say that, you know, the consumer has

0:46:35.680 --> 0:46:38.120
<v Speaker 3>hung in there. The consumer has hung in there for

0:46:39.360 --> 0:46:42.160
<v Speaker 3>quite a while. But you know, gas prices are going up,

0:46:42.840 --> 0:46:43.920
<v Speaker 3>We got oil prices.

0:46:44.080 --> 0:46:45.839
<v Speaker 2>Talking about hustle balance sheets for.

0:46:45.880 --> 0:46:48.800
<v Speaker 3>Hustle balance sheets are done with that excess cash except

0:46:48.800 --> 0:46:52.239
<v Speaker 3>for the wealthiest of people. And then of course you

0:46:52.280 --> 0:46:54.319
<v Speaker 3>have the autoworker strike as well, and then student loan

0:46:54.360 --> 0:46:57.600
<v Speaker 3>repayments starting up again for forty five million Americans.

0:46:59.239 --> 0:47:02.160
<v Speaker 9>Well, really, that that's our big question, Tim, is really

0:47:02.200 --> 0:47:05.600
<v Speaker 9>how long can that consumer continue to spend at the

0:47:05.680 --> 0:47:08.520
<v Speaker 9>levels they have been And all the signs are pointing

0:47:08.520 --> 0:47:13.000
<v Speaker 9>to those headwinds that you've talked about continuing on through

0:47:13.000 --> 0:47:15.640
<v Speaker 9>the fourth quarter, and so really it's that rate of

0:47:15.760 --> 0:47:19.040
<v Speaker 9>change game between again, how quickly can some of those

0:47:19.040 --> 0:47:23.799
<v Speaker 9>inflation pressures come down Hopefully we get some eventual of

0:47:23.880 --> 0:47:27.880
<v Speaker 9>relief on the rate front, besides the fact that you know,

0:47:27.920 --> 0:47:31.439
<v Speaker 9>they are being able to consumer wise continue to hang

0:47:31.480 --> 0:47:33.640
<v Speaker 9>in there with some of the excess savings that they

0:47:33.640 --> 0:47:37.799
<v Speaker 9>still had from the pandemic spending, as well as the

0:47:37.840 --> 0:47:41.680
<v Speaker 9>fact that the labor market is still relatively strong. And

0:47:41.719 --> 0:47:43.840
<v Speaker 9>so that really is some of the key data that

0:47:43.880 --> 0:47:46.040
<v Speaker 9>we're going to be looking at as we continue to

0:47:46.080 --> 0:47:47.600
<v Speaker 9>move in through this fourth quarter.

0:47:47.760 --> 0:47:50.480
<v Speaker 2>All right, so big macro talk, we've got your macro perspective.

0:47:50.520 --> 0:47:52.359
<v Speaker 2>What does it mean in terms of what investors should

0:47:52.400 --> 0:47:54.120
<v Speaker 2>do either on the equity side of things or on

0:47:54.160 --> 0:47:56.080
<v Speaker 2>the fixed income side of things. On a day where

0:47:56.080 --> 0:47:58.880
<v Speaker 2>we see the rustle, which is a great indicator of

0:47:58.960 --> 0:48:03.480
<v Speaker 2>kind of our local and US domestic economy goes negative

0:48:03.800 --> 0:48:04.359
<v Speaker 2>for the year.

0:48:06.480 --> 0:48:09.920
<v Speaker 9>We are really recommending that clients right now stay neutral

0:48:10.000 --> 0:48:12.920
<v Speaker 9>on the big asset classes. So again, whatever with their

0:48:13.040 --> 0:48:13.359
<v Speaker 9>it does.

0:48:13.320 --> 0:48:17.400
<v Speaker 2>New typical long term you still have yeah, go ahead.

0:48:17.680 --> 0:48:20.719
<v Speaker 9>Correct, So whatever their typical long term weight would be

0:48:20.840 --> 0:48:24.319
<v Speaker 9>on an asset allocation basis to equities, fixed income, and

0:48:24.360 --> 0:48:27.399
<v Speaker 9>real assets, that they just stay at that weight as

0:48:27.400 --> 0:48:31.640
<v Speaker 9>opposed to overweighting or underweighting while we continue to monitor

0:48:31.719 --> 0:48:34.879
<v Speaker 9>the data. Now, certainly within those markets there may be

0:48:34.880 --> 0:48:37.279
<v Speaker 9>some areas where you can skewed to and four, But

0:48:37.400 --> 0:48:41.000
<v Speaker 9>within the US equity market, we really just believe having

0:48:41.040 --> 0:48:45.280
<v Speaker 9>that broader exposure at this point certainly just makes sense. Again,

0:48:45.400 --> 0:48:47.520
<v Speaker 9>at whatever your long term weight would.

0:48:47.280 --> 0:48:51.080
<v Speaker 2>Be, Okay, so does that mean more interest in the

0:48:51.120 --> 0:48:54.680
<v Speaker 2>market weighted performers or how do you see that?

0:48:56.120 --> 0:49:00.680
<v Speaker 9>Well, right now, we just recommend broader exposure to market,

0:49:00.760 --> 0:49:05.319
<v Speaker 9>but certainly for clients who have a shorter term time

0:49:05.360 --> 0:49:10.359
<v Speaker 9>horizon in terms of any liquidity or current investment objectives.

0:49:10.760 --> 0:49:14.319
<v Speaker 9>Our favoritism within the US equity market actually would be

0:49:14.360 --> 0:49:17.920
<v Speaker 9>to some of those sectors that offer above average dividend

0:49:17.920 --> 0:49:21.840
<v Speaker 9>growth and yields, And really the reason why is again,

0:49:21.880 --> 0:49:24.560
<v Speaker 9>with some of this uncertainty in the economy right now

0:49:25.360 --> 0:49:29.240
<v Speaker 9>and the potential volatility that we've seen, having that income cushion,

0:49:29.320 --> 0:49:30.520
<v Speaker 9>we think really makes a difference.

0:49:30.520 --> 0:49:32.720
<v Speaker 2>You're the second person, since I did a show earlier

0:49:33.080 --> 0:49:36.440
<v Speaker 2>on Bloomberg Radio and on our YouTube channel with Bailly

0:49:36.480 --> 0:49:40.600
<v Speaker 2>Lipshealtz second person, Tim, who talked about dividends and looking

0:49:40.600 --> 0:49:42.080
<v Speaker 2>at dividend paying stocks in this stay.

0:49:42.480 --> 0:49:43.680
<v Speaker 3>So is that where we are in the cycle?

0:49:43.760 --> 0:49:48.960
<v Speaker 9>Lisa, Well, certainly, we think again, with the lack of clarity,

0:49:49.160 --> 0:49:52.440
<v Speaker 9>having that cash in hand certainly is attractive now for

0:49:52.560 --> 0:49:56.759
<v Speaker 9>clients with longer term horizon. We do see some opportunity

0:49:56.920 --> 0:49:59.719
<v Speaker 9>again in those secular growth sectors. There's a lot of

0:50:00.760 --> 0:50:06.160
<v Speaker 9>ongoing trends towards AI, machine learning, just use of the cloud, anytime, anywhere,

0:50:06.200 --> 0:50:09.480
<v Speaker 9>spending that should benefit those companies. But again, given the

0:50:09.520 --> 0:50:13.000
<v Speaker 9>run up that they've had really over the last few months,

0:50:13.040 --> 0:50:15.960
<v Speaker 9>and as well as the fact that their valuations are

0:50:15.960 --> 0:50:20.680
<v Speaker 9>relatively more rich, we would advise looking for those on

0:50:20.719 --> 0:50:21.960
<v Speaker 9>a longer term basis.

0:50:22.000 --> 0:50:23.879
<v Speaker 2>All right, we're gonna run, Hey, listen, Thanks so much,

0:50:24.160 --> 0:50:26.960
<v Speaker 2>Lisa ericson Senior VP and Head of the Public Markets

0:50:26.960 --> 0:50:30.080
<v Speaker 2>Group over at US Bank Wealth Management on zoom in Minneapolis.

0:50:30.680 --> 0:50:35.319
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