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Speaker 1: Now Welcome in Lakes Live.

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Speaker 2: It is Tuesday night, September thirteenth year Old Lower twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty two, brought to you as always by our friends

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Speaker 2: at Academy Sports and Outdoors.

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Speaker 1: There's something happening. You may feel it, but I don't

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Speaker 1: think a lot of you know it yet.

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Speaker 2: I do, however, think a lot of you are going

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Speaker 2: to like it. If I know our audience like I

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Speaker 2: think I do. We are jam packed high at top beautiful,

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Speaker 2: gorgeous Downtown Nashville, Tennessee. Full Week three predictions tonight. We've

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Speaker 2: got best bets tonight. I think we're rolling out five

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Speaker 2: of them. I've got a new JP pole moments from now.

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Speaker 2: Significant shake up all around the top twenty five. It's

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Speaker 2: not just a top two thing, although we may have

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Speaker 2: movement at the top.

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Speaker 1: And like I just said, something's happening.

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Speaker 2: Those of you who were around last year, pretty much

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Speaker 2: all of you. You remember how crazy that year was.

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Speaker 2: And then some of the casuals out there told you,

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Speaker 2: didn't They they said, it's all gonna be back to

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Speaker 2: normal in the Year of Our Lord twenty twenty two.

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Speaker 1: Is it? Is it?

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Speaker 2: I'm looking at the fancy screen. You don't even get

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Speaker 2: to see via our shots. But is it back to normal?

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: We will discuss Apollo Pennsylvania is tuned in Fredericktown, Missouri,

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Speaker 2: is tuned in Hartsville, South Carolina, Manhattan, Kansas. After tonight's show,

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Speaker 2: so like I don't know, an hour forty five minutes,

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Speaker 2: an hour and a half from now, I'm going to

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Speaker 2: head down to Auburn, Alabama.

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Speaker 1: We will be live. The show itself will be live

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Speaker 1: from Auburn Thursday.

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Speaker 2: Now here's what I don't know, because this is the

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Speaker 2: first time we've taken a show on the road like this.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm supposed to invite people. You know,

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Speaker 2: Big Game Dane's going to be there, so it's his

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Speaker 2: christening for Late Kick twenty twenty two. But I'll just

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Speaker 2: give you this advice. We won't be hard to find,

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Speaker 2: so search if you want to close to the stadium

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Speaker 2: Thursday night, and we'll be around. I don't even know

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Speaker 2: if I'm supposed to tell you that or not, but

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Speaker 2: it's gonna be a fun time down there. I have

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Speaker 2: been asking you guys to do two simple things. You know,

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Speaker 2: this show is free. We're always going to keep it free.

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Speaker 2: If you just do a couple of things.

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Speaker 1: And wow, you've been doing it.

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Speaker 2: Like the video, It's as easy as clicking the thumbs

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Speaker 2: up button and subscribing to the channel. We added something

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Speaker 2: like seventeen hundred subs yesterday. We had the highest traffic

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Speaker 2: in the history of the show yesterday. I don't want

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Speaker 2: to bore you with that. I just want to thank

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Speaker 2: you for it. So let's dive into the show tonight.

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Speaker 2: We got a Tuesday Night's a busy night for us.

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Speaker 2: We got a lot of predictions to make, and we

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Speaker 2: got a lot of updating to do. What's the biggest

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Speaker 2: game of this weekend?

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Speaker 1: To you?

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Speaker 2: It's an interesting slate because there's not that one top

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Speaker 2: ten versus top ten headline game. But I am telling

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Speaker 2: you right now, even though we're going to the Auburn

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Speaker 2: Penn State game, I think this Miami Texas A and

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Speaker 2: M game is so loaded. I don't care if you're

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Speaker 2: a fan of either team or not. You could be

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Speaker 2: a Colorado fan for all I care. You could be

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Speaker 2: the offensive coordinator of North Dakota State. This game has everything.

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Speaker 2: You've got a program in desperation mode already in Texas

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Speaker 2: A and M, and Wow, Like, what a drama filled

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Speaker 2: week it's been since they lost to app State. You've

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Speaker 2: got Miami somehow out of the spotlight right now, very

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Speaker 2: quietly and an ascension mode. You know, you got Mario

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Speaker 2: Chris fall Us first year there. What if they go

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Speaker 2: on the road and get that win, which would be

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Speaker 2: program defining for Mario own company, but would also coincide

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Speaker 2: with just a total and complete meltdown of biblical proportions

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Speaker 2: in College Station, because that will, of course mean we

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Speaker 2: got more of what we saw last week essentially. So boy,

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Speaker 2: in the portal era, you just look at this kind

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Speaker 2: of stuff differently. And I'm not just talking about A

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Speaker 2: and m anyone who recruits at a high level. In

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Speaker 2: the portal era, you have to always keep in the

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Speaker 2: back of your mind if a season goes sideways, especially

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Speaker 2: for a team with high expectation, You've always got to

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Speaker 2: worry about departures. That's just the name of the game.

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Speaker 2: I know no one likes to talk about it, but

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Speaker 2: all that's in play here. Also, these two, for all

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Speaker 2: we know, could be recruiting against each other for the

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Speaker 2: time being and for years to come.

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Speaker 1: Man, there's so much to talk about here. If a

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Speaker 1: and M wins.

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Speaker 2: I just want to put this out there as we

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Speaker 2: dive into the prediction. If they win, it will sort

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Speaker 2: of steady things out there. But I got to remind you, guys,

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Speaker 2: it's only September and we've seen vulnerability where in the

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Speaker 2: SEC West already, and they're undefeated in conference play, mind you,

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Speaker 2: so there's still plenty of time for A and M

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Speaker 2: to get right. Let's dive in. I've heard this sentence

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Speaker 2: a lot. I think most of.

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Speaker 1: You have probably said a version of this sentence.

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Speaker 2: It starts a little something like this, Well, if Texas

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Speaker 2: A and M plays the way they did last Saturday,

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Speaker 2: fill in the blank, Miami will beat them. Miami will

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Speaker 2: skull drag them. They won't win seven games whatever. Well,

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Speaker 2: A and M may win, they may lose this Saturday.

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Speaker 2: I will give you a pretty sure guarantee on Miam.

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Speaker 2: The last thing I expect from Texas A and M

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Speaker 2: Saturday is for them to look like they did last Saturday.

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Speaker 2: That's not guaranteeing a win, because you can look better

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Speaker 2: than you did last Saturday and still lose to a

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Speaker 2: Miami team which in their own right has some weapons

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Speaker 2: and has the ability to beat you.

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Speaker 1: In a couple of different ways.

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Speaker 2: But in college football, a lot of times you see

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Speaker 2: the best performance usually after the worst performance. And there's

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Speaker 2: a reminder of the horror story that was the A

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Speaker 2: and M app State box score from the other day.

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Speaker 2: A lot of times people predicate their next week's picks

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Speaker 2: on lifelast week's result, and when you get a bad result,

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Speaker 2: the last thing you want to do is predict a

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Speaker 2: duplicate result the following week, because there's never a higher

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Speaker 2: level of motivation to change it. And there is maximum

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Speaker 2: pressure this week on that roster, on the quarterback room.

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Speaker 2: We'll talk about it in a second, but think about

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Speaker 2: that coaching staff. Jim Bo talked about giving up play

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Speaker 2: calling duties. It is press conference yesterday, not voluntarily, mind you.

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Speaker 2: He was asked about it. What I wish they would

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Speaker 2: have asked is are you willing to change systems? No

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Speaker 2: one asked if you will to change the offense. I

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Speaker 2: digress that entire organization at A and M, for all

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Speaker 2: intents and purposes, has their season on the line this week,

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Speaker 2: so there is no motivation to do the things they

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Speaker 2: did last week because they don't want the result they

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Speaker 2: got last week. So whatever we get this week, I

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Speaker 2: think it'll look different. So with that out of the way,

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Speaker 2: what does Texas A and M need to do here?

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Speaker 2: Give you a couple of keys. I'll be watching for

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Speaker 2: each team. This thing doesn't kick off until nine eastern.

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Speaker 2: By the way, all y'all got a problem with big

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Speaker 2: noon kickoff. Nobody wants to hate on the fact that

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Speaker 2: a certain other network is starting this game at nine eastern.

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Speaker 1: Gross me maw would shudder at.

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Speaker 2: The very thought of this. Texas A and M needs

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Speaker 2: to affect Tyler Van Dyke. They didn't do a good

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Speaker 2: job of this last week. And it's not that app

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Speaker 2: State put up a bunch of points, but they couldn't

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Speaker 2: get him off the field. That's how they ran eighty

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Speaker 2: two plays to Texas A.

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Speaker 1: And M's thirty eight. They could not affect the quarterback enough.

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Speaker 2: They were disruptive on the line of scrimmage, which this

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Speaker 2: sounds kind of counterintuitive, but they did not get home.

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Speaker 2: They didn't get to the quarterback. Here's my worst case

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Speaker 2: scenario for Texas A and M Saturday. Tyler Van Dyke

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Speaker 2: and this still evolving Miami offense. They are not clicking yet,

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Speaker 2: They absolutely are not. They go in and you don't

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Speaker 2: get to him early, and he completes a couple of

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Speaker 2: big throws a la Quinn Yewers against Alabama last week,

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Speaker 2: and then all of a sudden, there it is the

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Speaker 2: Miami passing games in a rhythm. Josh Gaddis is calling

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Speaker 2: a game of the year for him. That's not what

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Speaker 2: I want if I'm A and MT affect them early, okay,

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Speaker 2: because I can be pretty sure they're.

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Speaker 1: Not going to run the ball down our throats. They're

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Speaker 1: not going to do that. Now.

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Speaker 2: The other side of that is, even if you do

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Speaker 2: affect him, you know, and even if you do set

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Speaker 2: them up in a lot of third and alongs, they

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Speaker 2: got to be able to get off the field. In Texas,

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Speaker 2: A and m This is not a poverty defense. They

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Speaker 2: absolutely have the personnel on both sides of the ball,

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Speaker 2: but especially defense, to play a whole heck of a

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Speaker 2: lot better than they did last week. That's why I

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Speaker 2: do not advise selling this team down the river yet,

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Speaker 2: Because if it was a locker room that was void

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Speaker 2: of talent, and if it was a coaching staff that

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Speaker 2: was void of the ability to develop and salvage, that'd

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Speaker 2: be one.

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Speaker 1: Thing that's not this program. This program is still capable.

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Speaker 2: This team's still capable of a whole lot, but not

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Speaker 2: many big plays last week for them on offense against

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Speaker 2: app but they could not get home defensively. They couldn't

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Speaker 2: get off the field defensively, and it cost them. So

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Speaker 2: you look at Miami. Now, what I'm saying sounds easy.

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Speaker 2: They're good in past pro. I'm blocking they got it

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Speaker 2: to do Saturday, but Miami pass pro one of the

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Speaker 2: strengths of their offensive line.

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Speaker 1: I just.

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Speaker 2: It's not impossible, but it's a challenge to take that

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Speaker 2: quarterback Tyler Van Dyke on the road. It's their first

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Speaker 2: time out on the road. Like I said, there's a

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Speaker 2: lot new offensively with Miami. They need execution from the

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Speaker 2: wide receiver position. You know, I don't know how much

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Speaker 2: you've watched them so far this year. They've been two

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Speaker 2: what should be layup games for Miami. But remember back

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Speaker 2: in spring and then remember in fall camp. One of

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Speaker 2: the themes with that Miami offense was drops from the

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Speaker 2: wide receiver position. Goes back to last year. They can't

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Speaker 2: have that crop up Saturday. Stands to reason they can't

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Speaker 2: have that. There's still a five and a half point

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Speaker 2: dog and that's what as bad as a andem looked

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Speaker 2: the other day, there is a lot of talking around

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Speaker 2: A and M right now about who's going to start

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Speaker 2: at quarterback in this game.

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Speaker 1: I was reading over on tech SAgs.

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Speaker 2: I think Billy just put up a practice report a

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Speaker 2: little bit earlier today that essentially said they're splitting reps

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Speaker 2: with the one out there. So Haines King still taking reps,

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Speaker 2: Max Johnson, the LSU transfer, taking reps with the ones.

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Speaker 2: A lot of people are abiding their time until the

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Speaker 2: Connor Wegman name enters that conversation. Doesn't sound like he's

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Speaker 2: in there right now. Who starts the game? Question number

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Speaker 2: one is that who finishes the game?

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Speaker 1: Question number two.

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Speaker 2: How many easy completions can Jimbo Fisher get his quarterback?

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Speaker 2: This is to me what separates play callers. I don't

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Speaker 2: question play calling.

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Speaker 1: I never do it.

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Speaker 2: I'm not qualified to do it, and neither are a

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Speaker 2: majority of the people who do do it. But the

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Speaker 2: one thing, from a very simple perspective, that the best

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Speaker 2: coordinators do in the college game is they find a

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Speaker 2: way to get easy completions. They find a way to

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Speaker 2: create space early. A. Sark is masterful at it, and

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Speaker 2: I'm not saying you need to be Steve Sarkisian, but

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Speaker 2: my goodness, if your mo is play calling, if you've

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Speaker 2: been in this game as long as Jimbo Fisher has,

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Speaker 2: I got a bank on you being able to do that,

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Speaker 2: and that's been one of the.

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Speaker 1: Shortcomings of his offense. It's over the last several years.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna I'm not gonna hold up the milk

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Speaker 1: jug again. That got serious run.

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Speaker 2: But I'm just saying, if you want to see a

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Speaker 2: different result, have a different start, and if you want

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Speaker 2: to have a different start, give me some easy completions. Scheme, guys.

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Speaker 2: Open that doesn't mean throw it deep. Actually is conversely

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Speaker 2: meaning work the underneath stuff and at least get some rhythm.

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Speaker 1: In the offense.

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Speaker 2: I have a feeling about this thing. I did the

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Speaker 2: moment that that app State game ended. I think for better,

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Speaker 2: not for better or for worse, but for better, you'll

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Speaker 2: see an inspired performance from A and M Saturday. We

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Speaker 2: know what history says about this game. History, if you've

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Speaker 2: watched this game, if you've observed this game, let me

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Speaker 2: put it that way. For a long time, when these

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Speaker 2: supremely talented teams put forth the effort and result they

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Speaker 2: did last week. You know what happens the next week

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Speaker 2: when they have the benefit of home crowd on their side.

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Speaker 2: You really know what happens when they're facing a first

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Speaker 2: year's staff and an offense still settling in and they

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Speaker 2: do outclass the opponent physically. You know what's supposed to happen.

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Speaker 2: A and M is supposed to make Better's look stupid

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Speaker 2: Saturday because a lot of them are.

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Speaker 1: Going to be praying on Miami. Plus the points.

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Speaker 2: Give me anyone plus points against an M and it's

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Speaker 2: supposed to be thirty to thirteen Texas. A and M

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Speaker 2: wins the ball game. That's what it's supposed to be.

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Speaker 2: I am not going to give you a margin of

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Speaker 2: victory here tonight. What I am going to do is

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Speaker 2: show you what Vegas thinks about the game, and I'm

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Speaker 2: going to show you what our model thinks about the game.

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Speaker 2: Like a lot of you, I was disgusted with what

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Speaker 2: I saw from A and M last week. Like some

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Speaker 2: of you, I am very high on Miami this year.

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Speaker 2: I think that they may very well play for the

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Speaker 2: ACC Championship game. I think is a very bad spot

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Speaker 2: for Miami Saturday for a number of reasons. I think

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Speaker 2: the game you're going to see Texas A and M

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Speaker 2: play is going to lead to them winning. It's going

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Speaker 2: to lead to them covering, and furthermore, it's going to

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Speaker 2: lead to you saying, how did this team I'm watching

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Speaker 2: today lose to app State just seven days ago? That's

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Speaker 2: what I expect to get from them Saturday. There is

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Speaker 2: a world where I'm wrong and Mario Christopaul goes in

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Speaker 2: there and does to A and M what he did

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Speaker 2: to Ohio State last year when he was an organ

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Speaker 2: and Buddy, do not miss the Sunday Show if that happens.

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Speaker 2: But I'm gonna ride historical norms in this sport, and

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna ride a lot of you know what our

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Speaker 2: model things because the model has A and M minus six.

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Speaker 2: So we're even a little bit more bullish on the

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Speaker 2: aggies than the odds makers are.

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Speaker 1: I think it's a little early for Miami. They're gonna

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Speaker 1: learn from it now.

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Speaker 2: I think they'll be better for this could still very

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Speaker 2: well accomplish all their goals this year. I'm gonna take

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Speaker 2: A and M to win. I'm gonna take A and

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Speaker 2: M to cover. I think you'll watch a much much

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Speaker 2: different looking team, same team, same group of guys, much

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Speaker 2: different looking performance.

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Speaker 1: This Saturday.

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Speaker 2: Wherever you are, I really hope you stop by Academy

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Speaker 2: Sports and Outdoors before you go to that place. You

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Speaker 2: may be tailgating in College Station. Hey, some of you

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Speaker 2: from Miami may be making your first and only trip

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Speaker 2: to College Station.

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Speaker 1: Great place. Love it.

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Speaker 2: You know, I'm frankly I'm a little tired of folks

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Speaker 2: hating on the yell leaders out there. I mean, the

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Speaker 2: dude sounded stupid. Yes, yeah, it was a horrific video.

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Speaker 2: If you don't know what I'm talking about, don't even

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Speaker 2: worry about it.

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Speaker 1: But ma'am, I love.

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Speaker 2: The traditions of day and m love them, and the

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Speaker 2: more you guys hate on them, the more that I

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Speaker 2: back into the corner with them. So if you go

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Speaker 2: out there, take it in. It's called culture. They got

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Speaker 2: a different one there than you have in ann Arbor, Michigan,

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Speaker 2: than you have in Blacksburg, Virginia. It's not supposed to

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Speaker 2: all be neatly packaged and look the same on the

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Speaker 2: shelf like the pro game. It's supposed to feel that way, Okay,

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Speaker 2: So if you go out there, enjoy it.

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Speaker 1: Soak it in.

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Speaker 2: It's not gonna remind you of South Florida, nor should it.

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Speaker 2: But you know what can look the same an Academy canopy,

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Speaker 2: one of those yetti cooler from Academy. It can look

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Speaker 2: the exact same in Coral Gables as it can in

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Speaker 2: College Station. They, being Academy Sports and Outdoors, are our

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Speaker 2: exclusive partner. They're the presenting sponsor of this show. It

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Speaker 2: is Lake Kick, brought to you by Academy Sports and Outdoors.

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Speaker 2: And if you can't get there in person, and believe me,

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Speaker 2: you're missing out if you can't. But if you can't

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Speaker 2: get there in person, Academy dot com has everything you need.

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Speaker 2: I challenge you, within reason, bring me a list of

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Speaker 2: products they don't have, I mean, because I'm going to

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Speaker 2: hit you fivefold with products they do have. So as always,

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Speaker 2: thank you guys because you go there. I mean, Turnstiles

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Speaker 2: are spending NonStop at Academy because of you. Nick are

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Speaker 2: our crack sales associate for the show.

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Speaker 1: Hit me up earlier and he said.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to read you his text so that if

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Speaker 2: we're not allowed to say this on air, he gets

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Speaker 2: in trouble and not me.

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Speaker 1: No, it's not that.

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Speaker 2: Don't worry, hr, he said, and I quote, even with inflation,

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Speaker 2: Academy stock keeps going up.

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Speaker 1: That's thanks to you.

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Speaker 2: I can't take all the credit for Academy stock being

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Speaker 2: through the roof. I'll just take like probably sixty percent

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Speaker 2: of it. And that's really on you, that's not on me,

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Speaker 2: So thank you so much for that. All Right, it's

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Speaker 2: time to make everyone mad and no one happy. Let

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Speaker 2: me straighten my mic so at least I can smile.

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Speaker 2: Jpepole Week three. These are not rankings. These are power ratings.

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Speaker 2: If they were rankings, we would have had Utah ahead

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Speaker 2: of Florida last week. Well, we would have had Florida

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Speaker 2: ahead of Utah. Colin, forget that intro. That's terrible for

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Speaker 2: the vo. Here we go, JP Pole Time Week three.

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Speaker 2: These are not rankings. These are power ratings. It is

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Speaker 2: who the model would rank and rate and then favor

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Speaker 2: above who on a neutral field tomorrow. We take this

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Speaker 2: strategy when we're moving teams up and down.

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Speaker 1: Doesn't always matter if you want.

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Speaker 2: Or lost, because it's predictive, it's future looking. But also

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Speaker 2: if I haven't used this metaphor in a while, so

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Speaker 2: I think I can use it today. If you take

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Speaker 2: a plate, these papers will be plates, but not a

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Speaker 2: paper plate. If you take a plate and you put

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Speaker 2: a drop of honey, and you put a drop of

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Speaker 2: water on the plate, and then you turn the plate sideways,

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Speaker 2: the water falls off. That's how most people react to

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Speaker 2: individual outcomes. The honey just starts slowly.

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Speaker 1: Creeping towards the bottom of the plate.

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Speaker 2: That's how a power rating system reacts because it knows

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Speaker 2: that a team does not change by six or seven

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Speaker 2: points over the span of one Saturday afternoon unless they

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Speaker 2: lose their starting quarterback. And so with that in mind,

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Speaker 2: you're probably gonna see some teams that you think are

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Speaker 2: awful right now rated higher than you think they should be.

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Speaker 2: And then those same teams will have resurrected their seasons

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Speaker 2: a month from now.

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Speaker 1: YadA, YadA, YadA.

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Speaker 2: So let's start at twenty five. We'll run through it

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Speaker 2: right quick. I will post this of course, as always

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Speaker 2: on social Florida State is rated. They didn't play last week.

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Speaker 2: You may wonder, how did that happen. Well, it's because

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Speaker 2: there was some movement elsewhere. They were already like twenty

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Speaker 2: six or twenty seven. FSU has entered the power rating

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Speaker 2: at number twenty five.

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Speaker 1: We got Baylor. They dropped several spots.

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Speaker 2: It's important to keep in mind we've got this log

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Speaker 2: jam of teams in the ten to twenty five range,

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Speaker 2: and there just isn't a big gap between the teams.

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Speaker 2: So you could fall eight spots and only fall like

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Speaker 2: two and a half points. So that's what Baylor did.

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Speaker 2: Florida is at twenty two, Cincinnati is at twenty one.

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Speaker 2: Let's take a look at this top twenty. Kentucky has

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Speaker 2: elevated I believe to number twenty. Yeah, there they are.

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Speaker 2: So the Cats are up to twenty. I know that

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Speaker 2: some of you want them higher. Understand how to interpret

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Speaker 2: that game the other night, and understand twenty is a

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Speaker 2: very very high power rating for Kentucky. Kansas State was

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Speaker 2: not power rated last week, and they're in front of

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Speaker 2: Old Miss at number eighteen. Kansas State plays Oklahoma next week.

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Speaker 2: Just keep that in mind. Potential every given Saturday tour implications.

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Speaker 2: Might I add, just keep that in mind. Miami, this

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Speaker 2: is going to be inexplicable in a lot of your minds.

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Speaker 2: Miami one last week and they're down seven spots. Miami

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Speaker 2: dropped I want to say three quarters of a point

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Speaker 2: or like one point. There's just a big logjam. I

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Speaker 2: mean little fractions of an inch or the difference here.

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Speaker 2: Michigan State is still at sixteen, top fifteen time. Texas

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Speaker 2: A and M. That's where they are. Somebody said they

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Speaker 2: shouldn't be ranked, and that's you can rank them wherever

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Speaker 2: you want to. I'm telling you a power rating system

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Speaker 2: is going to have Texas A and M still favored

404
00:17:50,440 --> 00:17:53,399
Speaker 2: over pretty much every team you saw behind them. Oklahoma

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Speaker 2: State is continuing to rise. They're up to fourteen now.

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00:17:56,480 --> 00:18:01,480
Speaker 2: They handle business. Last week Texas jumped five spots. I

407
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Speaker 2: believe they jumped half a point even in a loss.

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Speaker 2: So Texas is thirteen now. Look, it's important to note

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Speaker 2: the quarterback situation. There is very much up in the air.

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Speaker 2: They may start Charles right, Charles writes a softball legend

411
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Speaker 2: from Columbus, Georgia, but he's also the third string quarterback

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Speaker 2: at Texas and he may get the start Saturday against UTSA.

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Speaker 2: So gibe right into Austin. Here come the road Runners,

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Speaker 2: and they may be drawing the third string quarterback. And

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Speaker 2: I'm looking at that and I'm saying, like I said

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Speaker 2: with Ian Fitzsimmons and gave iicherd on Sirius Big twelve today.

417
00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:35,800
Speaker 2: I said, look, if that defense at Texas is what

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Speaker 2: they looked like they may be against Bama, they can

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Speaker 2: win that game nineteen to ten.

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Speaker 1: That defense needs to win a game for Texas Saturday.

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Speaker 2: I say all that to say Texas is up there,

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Speaker 2: assuming that Hudson cards the quarterback, and with Quinn Ewers's quarterback,

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00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:53,840
Speaker 2: we probably power rate him higher, but they don't have

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Speaker 2: him right now. So Texas is at thirteen, the most

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Speaker 2: underrated team in the country. It is criminal that they're

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Speaker 2: not ranked by It's stupid. It's not criminals, stupid. They

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00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:06,560
Speaker 2: are twelve. Mississippi State is twelfth. I told you two

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Speaker 2: weeks ago, and I got roundly chastised for it. I

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Speaker 2: told you Mississippi State is going to be a favorite

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Speaker 2: when they go to LSU. I think some of you

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Speaker 2: may believe they're only favored cause LSU lost in Week one.

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Speaker 2: That is not the case. I'm telling you. If LSU

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Speaker 2: one against Florida State, this point spread would still look.

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Speaker 1: Pretty much the same.

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Speaker 2: Maybe Mississippi State minus one instead of minus two or

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Speaker 2: two and a half. They in the eyes of odds

437
00:19:32,480 --> 00:19:36,120
Speaker 2: makers and me are looked at way differently than voters,

438
00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:38,879
Speaker 2: so we're right. Voters will be slow on the uptake.

439
00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:44,200
Speaker 2: We're right about Mississippi State. They're at twelve USC. I'm

440
00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:46,119
Speaker 2: glad the model has to do this and not me.

441
00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:48,679
Speaker 2: I don't know how to handle USC. I was watching

442
00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:50,880
Speaker 2: them on the flight home the other night, and there

443
00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:54,560
Speaker 2: are moments. They're gonna be the classic highlight team this year.

444
00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:57,680
Speaker 2: They're gonna be moments from USC games where if you

445
00:19:57,880 --> 00:20:02,200
Speaker 2: just watch the postgame highlights, they look like vintage Pete

446
00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:05,719
Speaker 2: Carroll USC. There's going to be some inconsistency. I think

447
00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:07,399
Speaker 2: they're gonna get better as the weeks go on, if

448
00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:09,840
Speaker 2: they don't have massive amounts of injuries, because there's still

449
00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:11,520
Speaker 2: so many new parts to them.

450
00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:14,760
Speaker 1: We got USC at eleven. They're real good.

451
00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:17,359
Speaker 2: They're really good and have the potential to be better

452
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:19,680
Speaker 2: than just real good. Let's go to the top ten.

453
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:26,520
Speaker 2: Now it's not dead air. Just give me a minute

454
00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:28,600
Speaker 2: if you're listening on podcasts, because I have to collect

455
00:20:28,600 --> 00:20:32,800
Speaker 2: my thoughts because we have Tennessee at number ten, and

456
00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:37,280
Speaker 2: I know sometimes you have statements, they're like fixed default

457
00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:39,159
Speaker 2: statements that you use and you say, so and so

458
00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:40,800
Speaker 2: is not a top ten team. So and so is

459
00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:44,280
Speaker 2: a number ten team. This is all relative to the

460
00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:46,520
Speaker 2: rest of the teams in the country right now. So

461
00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:50,960
Speaker 2: this year's Week three number ten team could be twenty

462
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:52,240
Speaker 2: fifteen Week three's.

463
00:20:52,040 --> 00:20:53,160
Speaker 1: Number eighteen team.

464
00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:56,399
Speaker 2: It all depends on what the current status of the

465
00:20:56,440 --> 00:21:00,600
Speaker 2: rest of the country looks like. See we got at

466
00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:03,639
Speaker 2: number ten, Penn State, we got at number nine. Are

467
00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:07,280
Speaker 2: they playing the caliber of football that you and your

468
00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:09,639
Speaker 2: mind think is top ten caliber?

469
00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:13,720
Speaker 1: Maybe? Maybe not in this particular year. So far, the

470
00:21:13,760 --> 00:21:14,720
Speaker 1: model thinks they are.

471
00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:17,760
Speaker 2: Utah, we have not really done anything with We've kept

472
00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:19,520
Speaker 2: him where we've had them all year. We've got him

473
00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:23,199
Speaker 2: at number eight. Arkansas is probably who we're higher on

474
00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:28,399
Speaker 2: than most. I have a one hundred dollars bet because

475
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:32,520
Speaker 2: he wouldn't go higher with Brandon Walker on over eight

476
00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:36,359
Speaker 2: wins with Arkansas. That was made last night, not in

477
00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:38,399
Speaker 2: the preseason. He actually let me get two games end

478
00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:41,679
Speaker 2: of the year and still gave me eight whatever.

479
00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:42,080
Speaker 1: I mean.

480
00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:46,280
Speaker 2: Look, when I come upon fools, it's not my job

481
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:48,520
Speaker 2: to teach them and educate them. It's my job to

482
00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:50,760
Speaker 2: take their money. So I will have a lot of

483
00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:52,800
Speaker 2: fun with that one hundred dollars from him in December.

484
00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:55,440
Speaker 2: Arkansas is our number seven team in the country right now,

485
00:21:55,560 --> 00:22:01,760
Speaker 2: Oklahoma number six. Oklahoma's going to Nebraska Saturday. Oklahoma. I

486
00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:05,240
Speaker 2: don't care who throws caution to the wind in Lincoln, Nebraska.

487
00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:08,600
Speaker 2: Oklahoma should take care of business as a two touchdown favorite,

488
00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:11,080
Speaker 2: and I'm very interested to see if they do. Let's

489
00:22:11,080 --> 00:22:13,000
Speaker 2: hop into the top five. There's not a lot of

490
00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:16,480
Speaker 2: movement except there is in the top five. Clemson still five,

491
00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:20,240
Speaker 2: Michigan still four, Ohio State still three. Not only did

492
00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:23,320
Speaker 2: Bama drop two and Georgia rise to one. I can

493
00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:25,520
Speaker 2: tell you right now we would favor Georgia by two

494
00:22:25,560 --> 00:22:29,160
Speaker 2: and a half against Bama if they played in Atlanta Saturday.

495
00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:34,480
Speaker 2: So that is a pretty noteworthy shift in what the

496
00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:37,000
Speaker 2: model would spit out, because I think it probably would

497
00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:40,080
Speaker 2: have been inverted or maybe even Bama minus three this

498
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:40,960
Speaker 2: time last week.

499
00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:41,960
Speaker 1: So there you go.

500
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:44,440
Speaker 2: The model does like Georgia right now as the best

501
00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:47,160
Speaker 2: team in the country. And you know what, I can't

502
00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:49,280
Speaker 2: disagree with the model, and even if I do, it's

503
00:22:49,280 --> 00:22:51,320
Speaker 2: a computer, so it can't talk back to me. Top

504
00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:54,240
Speaker 2: ten in order Georgia, Bama, Ohio State, and Michigan, Clemson,

505
00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:59,760
Speaker 2: Ohio State or Oklahoma rather Arkansas, Utah, Penn State and Tennessee.

506
00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:02,440
Speaker 2: I'm sure none of that will change at all By

507
00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:05,919
Speaker 2: this time next week they're watching us in Fort Worth, Texas,

508
00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:09,840
Speaker 2: Winder Georgia and Battle Creek, Michigan. Is that not home

509
00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:12,960
Speaker 2: to Rob van Dam, mister Monday night? I think it

510
00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:13,399
Speaker 2: is home to.

511
00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:14,119
Speaker 1: Rob van Dam.

512
00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:17,359
Speaker 2: Thank you, Jesse. Big week coming up for Jesse. By

513
00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:20,439
Speaker 2: the way, there's no I'm not going to tell you that,

514
00:23:20,440 --> 00:23:22,600
Speaker 2: never mind, just a big week coming up for Jesse.

515
00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:23,119
Speaker 1: There you go.

516
00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:25,840
Speaker 2: Keep him in your thoughts and prayers. Do you see

517
00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:29,280
Speaker 2: what's happening right now? Do you feel what's happening right now?

518
00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:29,600
Speaker 1: And see?

519
00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:31,520
Speaker 2: What do you remember? What do you guys remember about

520
00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:32,399
Speaker 2: twenty twenty one?

521
00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:34,040
Speaker 1: Let me take a a little.

522
00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:38,320
Speaker 2: Little sip of the special stuff here, really strong stuff,

523
00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:43,640
Speaker 2: non alcoholic. What do you remember about that wild year

524
00:23:43,760 --> 00:23:45,760
Speaker 2: last year? Will you remember it was wild? Of course,

525
00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:49,080
Speaker 2: you remember it was chaotic, a lot of adjectives out there,

526
00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:52,919
Speaker 2: But here's probably also what you remember. When the dust settled,

527
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:56,600
Speaker 2: you had Pitt winning the acc you had Utah winning

528
00:23:56,640 --> 00:23:59,280
Speaker 2: the pac twelve. Look at all this eye Josh footage.

529
00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:01,879
Speaker 2: This is all from last year. All this stuff happened

530
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:04,880
Speaker 2: in one renaissance season. We called it the Renaissance Tour.

531
00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:09,359
Speaker 2: Baylor won the Big twelve, Michigan won the Big Ten,

532
00:24:09,680 --> 00:24:13,880
Speaker 2: Cincinnati makes the playoff. I mean, we had spectacle after

533
00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:15,359
Speaker 2: spectacle after spectacle.

534
00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:17,320
Speaker 1: We were apart personally.

535
00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:21,399
Speaker 2: I was on the field for three field stormings. There's

536
00:24:21,520 --> 00:24:23,880
Speaker 2: a snow globe game in Michigan that we're at.

537
00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:25,280
Speaker 1: This is so long ago.

538
00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:27,720
Speaker 2: We watched Georgia beat Clemson in Week one in Kirby

539
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:29,680
Speaker 2: Smart act like a ten year old. There we are

540
00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:34,120
Speaker 2: ringing in the new year in Miami after Georgia splattered Michigan.

541
00:24:34,600 --> 00:24:35,920
Speaker 1: What an incredible year.

542
00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:40,000
Speaker 2: But do you remember as we talk about all the

543
00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:42,359
Speaker 2: chaos and we look at the Renaissance Tour from last

544
00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:44,600
Speaker 2: year and all the things we got to see, do

545
00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:47,120
Speaker 2: you remember summer of twenty twenty one?

546
00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:47,840
Speaker 1: Where were you.

547
00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:51,800
Speaker 2: During preview magazine season twenty twenty one? This boy, when

548
00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:53,760
Speaker 2: you crack those things open and you did what most

549
00:24:53,800 --> 00:24:54,679
Speaker 2: people are supposed to do.

550
00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:56,160
Speaker 1: There's our preview magazine.

551
00:24:57,280 --> 00:25:00,679
Speaker 2: Smell the pages and then we start flipping through and

552
00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:05,480
Speaker 2: we see, huh, Clemson overwhelming favorite to win the ACC,

553
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:11,120
Speaker 2: Oklahoma preseason number one, Spencer Rattler Heisman favorite. Oklahoma's gonna

554
00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:14,359
Speaker 2: run away with the Big twelve. Let's continue, Ohio State,

555
00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:16,520
Speaker 2: I mean, should they even tee it up in the

556
00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:16,920
Speaker 2: Big Ten?

557
00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:19,080
Speaker 1: Nope, Buckeyes straight to the playoff.

558
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:23,000
Speaker 2: Bama gonna run rough, shot or shot every one it

559
00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:26,320
Speaker 2: is over the SEC. Hey, we haven't had some casuals

560
00:25:26,320 --> 00:25:28,200
Speaker 2: go as far as say, why even play the games?

561
00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:31,640
Speaker 2: It's gonna be the same four teams, even though it's

562
00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:33,560
Speaker 2: never been probably never will be.

563
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:36,399
Speaker 1: And then we played the season anyway, just for the

564
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:36,800
Speaker 1: heck of it.

565
00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:40,919
Speaker 2: And Clemson not in the playoff, not even in the

566
00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:46,320
Speaker 2: ACC championship game, Oklahoma nowhere to be found, Ohio State

567
00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:51,119
Speaker 2: not in the Big Ten championship game. Bama wins, the SEC,

568
00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:54,960
Speaker 2: goes to the National Championship game. But we had Cincy

569
00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:56,720
Speaker 2: come out of nowhere. They told you a G five

570
00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:59,600
Speaker 2: team can never make the playoff. The point is what

571
00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:02,240
Speaker 2: what was to be so predictable in the summer was

572
00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:07,400
Speaker 2: anything but predictable. And then the same casuals wind up

573
00:26:07,760 --> 00:26:09,720
Speaker 2: and they had the audacity to look you and me

574
00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:13,160
Speaker 2: in the eye and say, hope you enjoyed it while

575
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:16,159
Speaker 2: you could, Simpleton, You'll never get that again. It's going

576
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:20,760
Speaker 2: to be back to normal next year, is it? This

577
00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:22,959
Speaker 2: isn't even a paper pop, this is a paper pat.

578
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:25,919
Speaker 2: Are we back to normal? Are you paying attention?

579
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:27,240
Speaker 1: I know you guys are paying attention.

580
00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:30,240
Speaker 2: I'm kind of asking maybe some newbies that just happen

581
00:26:30,280 --> 00:26:33,119
Speaker 2: to stumble upon the show, are you paying attention to

582
00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:35,959
Speaker 2: what's happening right now? I would suggest to you friends

583
00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:38,040
Speaker 2: that even though we're calling this year's tour the every

584
00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:41,399
Speaker 2: Given Saturday Tour, we could have a re renaissance season

585
00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:44,840
Speaker 2: right upon us and no one's even picking up on it.

586
00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:46,560
Speaker 1: Think about what you've seen already.

587
00:26:47,040 --> 00:26:52,040
Speaker 2: It is tonight, September thirteenth, we're just entering week three.

588
00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:55,920
Speaker 2: You've already seen Bama bleed. You've already seen Ohio State

589
00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:59,920
Speaker 2: extremely vulnerable against a bad Notre Dame team Clemson.

590
00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:03,200
Speaker 1: The results are still very incomplete with them.

591
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:05,040
Speaker 2: I mean, half the folks who are buying into them

592
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:06,760
Speaker 2: are only buying into them because they think they'll be

593
00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:10,680
Speaker 2: a quarterback switch in mid season. He included, And there's

594
00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:13,440
Speaker 2: no way that a giant is coming out of the

595
00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:15,080
Speaker 2: Pac twelve, even if usc is.

596
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:16,240
Speaker 1: What they look like right now.

597
00:27:16,840 --> 00:27:22,280
Speaker 2: Georgia, Georgia, Georgia, that's the one team that so far

598
00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:25,200
Speaker 2: has not shown a single crack in the Veneer. Oregon

599
00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:28,439
Speaker 2: couldn't get it done against them, and they splattered whoever

600
00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:31,000
Speaker 2: they played last week, and they go on the road

601
00:27:31,040 --> 00:27:33,520
Speaker 2: this week, and they are a twenty four and a

602
00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:37,959
Speaker 2: half point favorite in South Carolina. If you'll look on

603
00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:40,320
Speaker 2: the side of your screen here, if you're watching on YouTube,

604
00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:45,440
Speaker 2: producer Jesse put together some helpful trends, because we're about

605
00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:47,920
Speaker 2: nothing if we're not about trends around here. Last year,

606
00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:52,320
Speaker 2: ranked teams just losing in the first two weeks, Thirteen

607
00:27:52,359 --> 00:27:53,360
Speaker 2: of them lost in.

608
00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:54,480
Speaker 1: Weeks one and two. Last year.

609
00:27:54,560 --> 00:27:57,440
Speaker 2: We've already had eleven lose in the first two weeks

610
00:27:57,440 --> 00:28:01,280
Speaker 2: this year. Top ten upsets to un ranked foes last year,

611
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:03,359
Speaker 2: we've already had more.

612
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:06,240
Speaker 1: We've had three of them this year than we had

613
00:28:06,320 --> 00:28:06,800
Speaker 1: last year.

614
00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:11,840
Speaker 2: One we continue five of the top twelve teams, and

615
00:28:11,880 --> 00:28:14,160
Speaker 2: the preseason college football playoff odds have.

616
00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:18,120
Speaker 1: Already lost a lot of churn. The Renaissance Tour.

617
00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:20,560
Speaker 2: By the way, last year we saw five one possession

618
00:28:20,600 --> 00:28:21,399
Speaker 2: games in person.

619
00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:23,600
Speaker 1: We're two for two this year so far.

620
00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:26,480
Speaker 2: And I can almost guarantee you will make it three

621
00:28:26,520 --> 00:28:30,159
Speaker 2: for three this Saturday. Because hoops amongst Penn State and

622
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:32,959
Speaker 2: Auburn is about to win a double digit game this weekend.

623
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:35,680
Speaker 1: I don't see it happening. My point is.

624
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:40,040
Speaker 2: This is already going to be another renaissance season. I

625
00:28:40,080 --> 00:28:42,760
Speaker 2: think even if Georgia does what they did last year

626
00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:45,880
Speaker 2: and they just death marched their way to Atlanta. But man,

627
00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 2: you really want to know what it will make it

628
00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:50,360
Speaker 2: feel like anyone's ball game is if Georgia gets staggered,

629
00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:53,200
Speaker 2: they don't have to lose. If Georgia just gets staggered. Now,

630
00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:54,640
Speaker 2: I'm telling you it'll be this way even if they

631
00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:55,440
Speaker 2: don't get staggered.

632
00:28:55,840 --> 00:28:58,840
Speaker 1: This is wide open. I don't think people realize how

633
00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:01,640
Speaker 1: wide open it is because it's so early. But Bama's

634
00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:02,560
Speaker 1: Bama's not.

635
00:29:03,040 --> 00:29:07,240
Speaker 2: Some impenetrable machine that maybe they were expected to be,

636
00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 2: or at least they're not right now.

637
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:10,720
Speaker 1: Didoh for Ohio State.

638
00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:13,680
Speaker 2: Now, I am a believer that some of these teams

639
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:16,320
Speaker 2: are going to round in the form because it's September

640
00:29:16,560 --> 00:29:18,760
Speaker 2: and God made October and November for a reason.

641
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:21,240
Speaker 1: But right now it's wide open.

642
00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:23,720
Speaker 2: And that's also why, for the second time tonight, I'm

643
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:26,120
Speaker 2: going to tell you be careful writing these teams off.

644
00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:28,760
Speaker 2: And I'm talking about Texas, A and M, talking about

645
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:32,160
Speaker 2: NC State, Penn State. Like some of these teams have lost,

646
00:29:32,200 --> 00:29:35,560
Speaker 2: some of them haven't lost. I'm just saying, be careful

647
00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:39,400
Speaker 2: writing a team off just because they look bad in September.

648
00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:42,440
Speaker 2: Every year teams round in the form, several of them

649
00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:43,080
Speaker 2: around in the form.

650
00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:44,360
Speaker 1: It'll be no different this year.

651
00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:47,000
Speaker 2: You don't know who it's going to be, but someone

652
00:29:47,320 --> 00:29:49,480
Speaker 2: or multiple someone's out there are going to be a

653
00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:52,880
Speaker 2: much different product and version of themselves in November than

654
00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:55,920
Speaker 2: they are right now. How wide open is the playoff

655
00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:58,440
Speaker 2: picture and the conference championship picture going to be at

656
00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:01,600
Speaker 2: that point? I think pretty we open and we, like

657
00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:05,600
Speaker 2: I said, we haven't even entered Week three. So Renaissance

658
00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:08,720
Speaker 2: season two point zero. Dare I say an encore for

659
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:12,680
Speaker 2: the Renaissance season? I think so, and you should be

660
00:30:12,760 --> 00:30:16,880
Speaker 2: very excited about that. We are going to be an

661
00:30:16,920 --> 00:30:21,560
Speaker 2: Auburn Alabama Saturday. The every given Saturday tour is headed

662
00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:24,480
Speaker 2: to Lee County, Alabama, and we are going there because

663
00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:27,720
Speaker 2: Penn State is playing Auburn. Penn State is a three

664
00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:29,960
Speaker 2: or two and a half point favorite, depending on what

665
00:30:30,040 --> 00:30:32,720
Speaker 2: time of day you check your odds board. This is

666
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:34,280
Speaker 2: going to be fun. We were at this game last

667
00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:36,880
Speaker 2: year wide out in Happy Valley. One of the best

668
00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:41,000
Speaker 2: experiences I've ever had in my college football life. It was,

669
00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:43,920
Speaker 2: like I described it, a pro wrestling event in a

670
00:30:43,960 --> 00:30:47,360
Speaker 2: football stadium. What an environment and what a game. Twenty

671
00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:49,640
Speaker 2: eight to twenty was the final last year Penn State

672
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:51,640
Speaker 2: gets the better of Auburn. That was once upon a

673
00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:55,400
Speaker 2: time when Bo Nicks played quarterback for the Auburn Tigers.

674
00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:58,240
Speaker 2: It's still Clifford at Penn State. Could be the title

675
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:01,600
Speaker 2: of a book now, it's still Clifford. I was thinking

676
00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:05,760
Speaker 2: about something today because I know that if you've watched

677
00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:08,360
Speaker 2: Auburn so far this year, they've looked bad, I mean

678
00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:09,840
Speaker 2: bad offensively.

679
00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:12,040
Speaker 1: If you figure out what they're doing, let me know.

680
00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:16,400
Speaker 2: But the point is, like I just said, don't be

681
00:31:16,440 --> 00:31:19,800
Speaker 2: selling teams down the river, especially ones with talent rosters

682
00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:22,440
Speaker 2: as good as Auburn's. Bud puts out that blue chip

683
00:31:22,520 --> 00:31:25,160
Speaker 2: ratio every year there's Auburn just kind of hovering in

684
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:28,480
Speaker 2: that ten to fifteen seventeen range better than you think.

685
00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:30,440
Speaker 2: They are, more talented than you think they are. They

686
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:33,760
Speaker 2: got home field at their back Saturday, and pretty much

687
00:31:33,800 --> 00:31:36,760
Speaker 2: the entire country picking against them. So I told Jesse,

688
00:31:37,680 --> 00:31:40,920
Speaker 2: who is Penn State through and through? I asked Jesse, Hey,

689
00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:43,920
Speaker 2: give me something, you know, find me something for the

690
00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 2: audience to chew on, Like what would jump out to people,

691
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:49,120
Speaker 2: cause a lot of folks cannot get it.

692
00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:51,520
Speaker 1: Through their minds that Auburn could win this game Saturday.

693
00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:54,200
Speaker 2: You think it'll be competitive, You think it'll be a

694
00:31:54,320 --> 00:31:57,360
Speaker 2: nice hostile environment. Good test for Penn State that you

695
00:31:57,400 --> 00:32:01,240
Speaker 2: trust Penn State's offense more, you they trust their defense more.

696
00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:03,920
Speaker 2: You just think they have more game changers. And you

697
00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:06,960
Speaker 2: know what, You're not wrong. Penn State's a better team

698
00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:09,320
Speaker 2: than Auburn. I think they got a better talent roster

699
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:11,080
Speaker 2: than Auburn. And you know what, I don't know if

700
00:32:11,080 --> 00:32:15,000
Speaker 2: everyone realizes that, but they do. But I want you

701
00:32:15,040 --> 00:32:17,400
Speaker 2: to listen to this little stat here. First off, you

702
00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:20,640
Speaker 2: may think James Franklin when he was at Vandy played

703
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:22,880
Speaker 2: a game at Auburn. He did not. He played against them.

704
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:24,960
Speaker 2: He did not play at Auburn. So he's never been

705
00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:26,760
Speaker 2: in there. It's a new environment for all of them.

706
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:30,840
Speaker 2: James Franklin's been at Penn State quite a while. He

707
00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:34,440
Speaker 2: has played thirty seven games on the road at Penn State.

708
00:32:35,760 --> 00:32:38,640
Speaker 1: If you had to guess, what would you say?

709
00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:42,640
Speaker 2: James Franklin's road record as head coach of Penn State

710
00:32:42,760 --> 00:32:45,680
Speaker 2: is play the Jeopardy music in the background if you

711
00:32:45,680 --> 00:32:47,480
Speaker 2: want to, I'm gonna give you about seven or eight

712
00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:53,240
Speaker 2: more seconds. James Franklin on the road at Penn State.

713
00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:57,920
Speaker 2: I said twenty four and thirteen I think is what

714
00:32:58,000 --> 00:33:02,160
Speaker 2: I guessed. He's nineteen in eighteen, he's barely above five

715
00:33:02,280 --> 00:33:04,680
Speaker 2: hundred on the road. Just tuck it in the back

716
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:06,800
Speaker 2: of your mind. It may matter Saturday, it may not.

717
00:33:07,280 --> 00:33:09,880
Speaker 2: Which Penn State offense do you think will show up here?

718
00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:12,800
Speaker 2: Because I would talk to pretty much any Penn State

719
00:33:12,840 --> 00:33:15,920
Speaker 2: buddy I got, and you'll probably start by saying, if

720
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,760
Speaker 2: we run the ball well, ellipses.

721
00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:21,120
Speaker 1: Well, let me finish the sentence for you. If you

722
00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:23,320
Speaker 1: run the ball well, you'll win. Yeah. Most people can.

723
00:33:23,240 --> 00:33:25,920
Speaker 2: Say that, what is well? Because I look at their

724
00:33:26,000 --> 00:33:28,560
Speaker 2: rushing totals last year they were bad. Okay, so then

725
00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:32,280
Speaker 2: it was emphasized all spring all summer. They went to

726
00:33:32,320 --> 00:33:36,200
Speaker 2: Purdue in Week one and their longest run was twelve

727
00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:40,520
Speaker 2: yards and they won the game. But I think they

728
00:33:40,640 --> 00:33:42,640
Speaker 2: averaged three point one yards per carry.

729
00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:45,800
Speaker 1: Would that get the job done? Saturday? I can't say no.

730
00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:47,280
Speaker 1: I definitely can't say yes.

731
00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:50,200
Speaker 2: Now, last week they played Ohio, played a really good game,

732
00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:53,080
Speaker 2: really complete game for Penn State, which you probably didn't

733
00:33:53,080 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 2: pay attention to because it was Ohio, but you didn't

734
00:33:55,280 --> 00:33:57,360
Speaker 2: have to watch it. I did for you nearly seven

735
00:33:57,440 --> 00:34:00,640
Speaker 2: yards per carry. Now, if you get that, Saturday, I

736
00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:03,080
Speaker 2: feel pretty good that you're winning the game and probably

737
00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:05,960
Speaker 2: running away with the game. This time last year when

738
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:09,280
Speaker 2: we were going into this contest, Penn State had eighty

739
00:34:09,320 --> 00:34:13,320
Speaker 2: four rush yards two point five yards per carry. Still

740
00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:16,239
Speaker 2: found a way to win the game. But I'm asking you,

741
00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:17,480
Speaker 2: do those numbers work for you?

742
00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:19,120
Speaker 1: Saturday? What do you have to be at? And then

743
00:34:19,239 --> 00:34:21,279
Speaker 1: little side note, how many points do you think you

744
00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:23,920
Speaker 1: need to score? Jesse said twenty four. I think it

745
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:24,839
Speaker 1: may be even lower than.

746
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:28,680
Speaker 2: That, which Auburn offense shows up. What is the Auburn offense?

747
00:34:28,719 --> 00:34:30,279
Speaker 2: While we're at it, could anyone tell me what the

748
00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:34,759
Speaker 2: Auburn offense is? Last year it was Tank Bigsby with

749
00:34:34,840 --> 00:34:38,080
Speaker 2: a little splash of bow knicks, but Bigsby will Auburn

750
00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:39,919
Speaker 2: in general ran for one hundred and eighty two yards

751
00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:42,520
Speaker 2: last year, four point six yards per carry. I think

752
00:34:42,560 --> 00:34:45,160
Speaker 2: they need to be at least at that level, if

753
00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:47,400
Speaker 2: not probably a little better in terms of yards per

754
00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:51,080
Speaker 2: carry this year. Because there is not whether it's reality

755
00:34:51,160 --> 00:34:54,800
Speaker 2: or not, there is not any fear on the Manny

756
00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:58,399
Speaker 2: Diaz Penn State defensive side of things when it comes

757
00:34:58,440 --> 00:34:59,439
Speaker 2: to Auburn throwing the ball.

758
00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:01,600
Speaker 1: Finley can throw the ball a mile.

759
00:35:02,600 --> 00:35:04,840
Speaker 2: I'm not sure that they necessarily trust him to be

760
00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:08,880
Speaker 2: doing that. This is a very incomplete quarterack picture at

761
00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:11,960
Speaker 2: Auburn right now. Finley is getting better as a quarterback.

762
00:35:12,440 --> 00:35:16,520
Speaker 2: He is not a remotely in the category that you

763
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:19,279
Speaker 2: would need him to be. Where Brian Harson and his

764
00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:21,520
Speaker 2: staf say, all right, TJ, go win us the game.

765
00:35:21,640 --> 00:35:22,239
Speaker 1: That's not it.

766
00:35:22,600 --> 00:35:26,120
Speaker 2: Unfortunately, they're really good at tailback and deep so they

767
00:35:26,239 --> 00:35:27,200
Speaker 2: got players there.

768
00:35:28,200 --> 00:35:30,000
Speaker 1: But man, I know it.

769
00:35:30,320 --> 00:35:32,440
Speaker 2: I know they know it at Penn State, and you

770
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:34,720
Speaker 2: can afford the key on it. I don't know if

771
00:35:34,760 --> 00:35:36,800
Speaker 2: you're key in on that run game with a defense

772
00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:38,920
Speaker 2: like Penn State's I don't know that you're putting up

773
00:35:39,440 --> 00:35:41,400
Speaker 2: four four and a half five yards per carry it.

774
00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:43,759
Speaker 2: I just don't know that they're getting there. So then

775
00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:46,400
Speaker 2: the next thing you ask is, well, okay, can they

776
00:35:46,440 --> 00:35:48,839
Speaker 2: loosen that box up? Can Auburn do a little more

777
00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:50,920
Speaker 2: than I expect him to in the past game. I

778
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:54,040
Speaker 2: don't expect him to do anything. You know why. Javarius

779
00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:57,960
Speaker 2: Johnson seven catches on the season for one hundred and

780
00:35:57,960 --> 00:36:01,600
Speaker 2: fifty eight yards. Shaker has five catches for sixty four yards.

781
00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:04,560
Speaker 2: Chedrick Jackson five catches sixty four yards.

782
00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:05,880
Speaker 1: This is season.

783
00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:08,239
Speaker 2: Now, they played two games and both of them were

784
00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:12,880
Speaker 2: layup games. Their leading receiver has seven receptions one hundred

785
00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:13,960
Speaker 2: and fifty eight total yards.

786
00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:16,680
Speaker 1: I think they're getting a guy back this week. There's

787
00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:17,960
Speaker 1: just not a lot there.

788
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:22,239
Speaker 2: And so if Manny Diaz watches Auburn beat him through

789
00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:24,520
Speaker 2: the air, at some point you got to tip your

790
00:36:24,560 --> 00:36:25,200
Speaker 2: cap to someone.

791
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:27,120
Speaker 1: But there is no way they're.

792
00:36:26,920 --> 00:36:29,920
Speaker 2: About to let Tank Bigsby an Auburn's run game beat

793
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:32,399
Speaker 2: them and not sell out to stop it. So then

794
00:36:32,440 --> 00:36:34,319
Speaker 2: the next question, if you're trying to kind of paint

795
00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:37,280
Speaker 2: the scenario where Auburn wins this thing is, well.

796
00:36:37,120 --> 00:36:40,239
Speaker 1: What about hidden yardge what about special teams? They're in

797
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:41,080
Speaker 1: lies one of.

798
00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:44,200
Speaker 2: The secret weapons that Penn State has, because as good

799
00:36:44,200 --> 00:36:48,480
Speaker 2: as Auburn is at placekicker, Penn State has a punter.

800
00:36:48,840 --> 00:36:50,880
Speaker 2: We're not going to get deep into the special teams

801
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:53,680
Speaker 2: game here tonight, but he's pinned him inside the five

802
00:36:53,840 --> 00:36:58,400
Speaker 2: like forty times already this year. Seemingly they will probably

803
00:36:58,520 --> 00:37:02,520
Speaker 2: have a disproportionate control field position Saturday night, which may

804
00:37:02,600 --> 00:37:04,240
Speaker 2: very well be the difference in this kind of game.

805
00:37:04,680 --> 00:37:07,680
Speaker 2: So the other thing, now I'm kind of it sounds

806
00:37:07,719 --> 00:37:09,719
Speaker 2: like I'm leaning Penn State there. The other thing I

807
00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:12,000
Speaker 2: want to talk about is, remember Franklin's.

808
00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:12,160
Speaker 1: Record on the road.

809
00:37:12,680 --> 00:37:16,359
Speaker 2: Also, turnoverlock week to week is very random. So far,

810
00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:18,840
Speaker 2: Auburn's minus four turnovers on the year, Penn State is

811
00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:20,560
Speaker 2: plus in turnovers on the year.

812
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:22,880
Speaker 1: If that statistic flips.

813
00:37:22,520 --> 00:37:26,280
Speaker 2: Any one evening, one afternoon, as it were this Saturday,

814
00:37:26,760 --> 00:37:32,200
Speaker 2: that's enough in a close, limited possession game, low scoring game.

815
00:37:32,080 --> 00:37:33,560
Speaker 1: That's enough to change the outcome.

816
00:37:34,160 --> 00:37:36,880
Speaker 2: Here we go. Let's take a look at what Vegas thinks.

817
00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:40,120
Speaker 2: Let's take a look at what the model thinks. This

818
00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:43,680
Speaker 2: was tough, This was a really tough one. I arrived

819
00:37:43,719 --> 00:37:47,080
Speaker 2: at my prediction, Colin, would you say, about fifteen minutes

820
00:37:47,080 --> 00:37:49,680
Speaker 2: before airtime? And we worked on it a long time.

821
00:37:49,760 --> 00:37:52,880
Speaker 2: I just couldn't make my mind up. Okay, so the

822
00:37:52,920 --> 00:37:56,759
Speaker 2: Penn State line right now is Nitney Lions minus three.

823
00:37:57,440 --> 00:38:03,120
Speaker 2: The model agrees we've got Penn State three. And I

824
00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:06,400
Speaker 2: went back and forth so much. I'm thinking to myself,

825
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:11,160
Speaker 2: I've been over there so many times before. I've watched

826
00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:15,600
Speaker 2: lesser Auburn teams upset much better teams than this Penn

827
00:38:15,640 --> 00:38:18,880
Speaker 2: State squad even and I've never been able to explain it.

828
00:38:19,200 --> 00:38:22,920
Speaker 2: I've not been able to explain it. After the game happens.

829
00:38:23,239 --> 00:38:26,040
Speaker 2: There is a path Saturday where Penn State goes down

830
00:38:26,040 --> 00:38:29,440
Speaker 2: there and they lose, And even afterwards you're saying, how

831
00:38:30,160 --> 00:38:34,440
Speaker 2: the box score doesn't suggest we lost. I felt good

832
00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:36,040
Speaker 2: like I didn't feel like we were losing.

833
00:38:36,080 --> 00:38:36,960
Speaker 1: Then we just lost.

834
00:38:38,200 --> 00:38:41,000
Speaker 2: I can't explain it to you. There's just some crazy

835
00:38:41,040 --> 00:38:43,120
Speaker 2: stuff that happens down there. Most of you have never

836
00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:45,960
Speaker 2: been there before, and you probably think to yourself, Oh,

837
00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:48,319
Speaker 2: we played it. We played at the Big House, we've

838
00:38:48,320 --> 00:38:51,120
Speaker 2: played at the Horseshoe, We've played in Kennick Stadium. That

839
00:38:51,160 --> 00:38:53,000
Speaker 2: place is an't going to be anything. We haven't seen.

840
00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:57,080
Speaker 1: Stuff happens, Stuff just happens there.

841
00:38:57,160 --> 00:38:59,480
Speaker 2: The closest parallel you guys have in the Big Ten

842
00:38:59,840 --> 00:39:04,040
Speaker 2: is Kennick Stadium at night, where it doesn't set the

843
00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:08,440
Speaker 2: most people in the world. It's just different. Weird stuff happens.

844
00:39:08,760 --> 00:39:10,520
Speaker 2: And I've been at Auburn too many times and seen

845
00:39:10,560 --> 00:39:14,240
Speaker 2: it happen. And I've watched these teams that are told

846
00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:18,200
Speaker 2: by literally everyone. Even though the line's only three. Now

847
00:39:18,200 --> 00:39:20,680
Speaker 2: i'll take Penn State in that game. I'm not doing it.

848
00:39:21,000 --> 00:39:23,919
Speaker 2: I'm taking Auburn to win and obviously taking Auburn to cover.

849
00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:27,120
Speaker 2: I think Penn State's better than them. I think they're

850
00:39:27,160 --> 00:39:30,440
Speaker 2: more talented. I like Penn State's odds better later in

851
00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:33,120
Speaker 2: the year. I just think Auburn's gonna find a way

852
00:39:33,320 --> 00:39:36,239
Speaker 2: against not all odds, but against odds to win this

853
00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:39,960
Speaker 2: game Saturday, even though I just said that, I think

854
00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:41,359
Speaker 2: Penn State folks are gonna have a lot of fun

855
00:39:41,400 --> 00:39:43,799
Speaker 2: down there. It's a great place, wonderful place. You'll get

856
00:39:43,840 --> 00:39:45,839
Speaker 2: a really good atmosphere because it's still early in the year.

857
00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:49,920
Speaker 2: Auburn's undefeated, and I look forward to seeing it in person.

858
00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:52,480
Speaker 2: Saw this game last year in person, and I knew

859
00:39:52,680 --> 00:39:54,400
Speaker 2: the moment they were walking out of there, and it

860
00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:56,080
Speaker 2: was a good experience for the Auburn folks who went

861
00:39:56,160 --> 00:39:58,320
Speaker 2: up there. I know they're going to return the favor.

862
00:39:58,719 --> 00:40:01,040
Speaker 2: It's not gonna be favorable, but I know it's gonna

863
00:40:01,040 --> 00:40:03,880
Speaker 2: be favorable in terms of a memorable environment that you

864
00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:06,359
Speaker 2: get to experience. I'm taking Auburn to win. I don't

865
00:40:06,400 --> 00:40:08,279
Speaker 2: know what to say. I'm taking Auburn to win. They're

866
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:12,719
Speaker 2: booing in my ear as we speak, very unprofessional, but you.

867
00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:16,160
Speaker 1: Know what, I'm gonna be the bigger man. Please like

868
00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:18,920
Speaker 1: the video and subscribe to the channel. That's all of that.

869
00:40:19,480 --> 00:40:22,200
Speaker 2: It's time for best bets now. You can tell who

870
00:40:22,280 --> 00:40:24,719
Speaker 2: the regulars are around here, and you can tell who

871
00:40:24,719 --> 00:40:26,960
Speaker 2: the newbies are. And I love that you guys are

872
00:40:27,000 --> 00:40:30,400
Speaker 2: new here. We have I guess hundreds.

873
00:40:30,120 --> 00:40:32,200
Speaker 1: Of thousands that we have hundreds of thousands of new

874
00:40:32,200 --> 00:40:34,799
Speaker 1: people on the show. Thank you for being here.

875
00:40:35,960 --> 00:40:39,080
Speaker 2: You've probably watched us pick games the first two weeks

876
00:40:39,080 --> 00:40:41,120
Speaker 2: and thought they have no clue how to pick games

877
00:40:41,120 --> 00:40:41,840
Speaker 2: against the spread.

878
00:40:42,080 --> 00:40:45,360
Speaker 1: We do, we do. We're sub five hundred, right now

879
00:40:45,600 --> 00:40:47,640
Speaker 1: we won't be at the end of the year that

880
00:40:47,680 --> 00:40:49,759
Speaker 1: model calibrates every week. Will be fine.

881
00:40:49,800 --> 00:40:51,560
Speaker 2: It's not the first time we've started a little slow.

882
00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:54,560
Speaker 2: But what we're not gonna do is back off our picks.

883
00:40:54,840 --> 00:40:56,080
Speaker 2: And those of you who have been here for a

884
00:40:56,080 --> 00:40:59,319
Speaker 2: while you get how this works, so you know it's

885
00:40:59,360 --> 00:41:02,520
Speaker 2: probably time for us to click. Actually, we're already down

886
00:41:02,600 --> 00:41:04,120
Speaker 2: on Perdue minus one and a half.

887
00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:05,680
Speaker 1: This week they play at Syracuse.

888
00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:09,000
Speaker 2: I got four more of them for you, So let's

889
00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:11,359
Speaker 2: go and buddy, you're gonna have to hold your nose

890
00:41:11,360 --> 00:41:14,120
Speaker 2: for some of these. Akron plus forty seven and a

891
00:41:14,160 --> 00:41:17,560
Speaker 2: half they play at Tennessee. There is no interest in

892
00:41:17,640 --> 00:41:19,080
Speaker 2: Knoxville a stretch in this game.

893
00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:20,279
Speaker 1: This week they just.

894
00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:23,320
Speaker 2: Came from pitt They got Florida in their next week

895
00:41:23,600 --> 00:41:27,279
Speaker 2: they have this game should be in the thirty five

896
00:41:27,320 --> 00:41:29,560
Speaker 2: to forty two range. That's probably about where they should

897
00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:31,640
Speaker 2: end in terms of margin. Forty seven and a half

898
00:41:31,640 --> 00:41:34,080
Speaker 2: too many points right now. Akron plus forty seven and

899
00:41:34,120 --> 00:41:36,839
Speaker 2: a half. Next up, Colin, I'm just gonna follow you.

900
00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:40,160
Speaker 2: Texas Tech plus ten they play NC State.

901
00:41:40,520 --> 00:41:42,799
Speaker 1: In Raleigh Saturday.

902
00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:45,880
Speaker 2: We had the model thinks Texas Tech has an outside

903
00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:48,160
Speaker 2: shot of an upset. I'm not gonna go that far,

904
00:41:48,200 --> 00:41:49,960
Speaker 2: but I am gonna take them plus the points Texas

905
00:41:50,000 --> 00:41:50,719
Speaker 2: Tech plus ten.

906
00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:53,200
Speaker 1: Next up just gets better and better.

907
00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:55,520
Speaker 2: You're giving me three and a half points when Michigan State,

908
00:41:55,600 --> 00:41:57,239
Speaker 2: huh okay, I'll take it. I think they're gonna win

909
00:41:57,280 --> 00:41:59,960
Speaker 2: out right at Washington, and I'm a little higher on

910
00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:02,279
Speaker 2: Washington to some people too. But Michigan State's gonna go

911
00:42:02,320 --> 00:42:04,200
Speaker 2: on the road. We are gonna take the three and

912
00:42:04,200 --> 00:42:06,520
Speaker 2: a half. I think it may even be a square number.

913
00:42:06,520 --> 00:42:07,960
Speaker 2: I think the public will be with us.

914
00:42:08,000 --> 00:42:08,400
Speaker 1: I don't care.

915
00:42:08,440 --> 00:42:11,879
Speaker 2: I think we're gonna win the game. And lastly, put

916
00:42:11,880 --> 00:42:14,880
Speaker 2: that closepin on the nose. Ole Miss goes to Atlanta

917
00:42:15,080 --> 00:42:18,520
Speaker 2: to play Georgia Tech. The model says ole Miss wins

918
00:42:18,560 --> 00:42:21,840
Speaker 2: this by eleven. They're giving us sixteen and a half

919
00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:24,200
Speaker 2: with Tech. I don't think the program's mailed it in.

920
00:42:25,360 --> 00:42:29,040
Speaker 2: I conversely don't think we've seen Ole Miss play anything.

921
00:42:28,760 --> 00:42:29,320
Speaker 1: With a pulse.

922
00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:32,439
Speaker 2: We watched Georgia Tech in week one, and we saw

923
00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:34,800
Speaker 2: them competitive with clubs in through three and a half quarters,

924
00:42:35,120 --> 00:42:37,920
Speaker 2: and then the score got lopsided, which is in our

925
00:42:37,960 --> 00:42:40,640
Speaker 2: favor because most people just look back at final scores.

926
00:42:40,680 --> 00:42:42,799
Speaker 2: They don't look at games. A couple of plays go

927
00:42:42,840 --> 00:42:45,759
Speaker 2: different in that game. It's down to the wire, and

928
00:42:46,200 --> 00:42:48,440
Speaker 2: I think they'll have a little easier time of it

929
00:42:48,440 --> 00:42:51,719
Speaker 2: against Ole Miss's defense. So we're gonna take Georgia Tech

930
00:42:51,719 --> 00:42:54,320
Speaker 2: plus sixteen and a half, Michigan State plus three and

931
00:42:54,320 --> 00:42:57,160
Speaker 2: a half, Texas Tech plus ten, Akron plus forty seven

932
00:42:57,200 --> 00:42:59,279
Speaker 2: and a half, Perdue minus one and a half. A

933
00:42:59,280 --> 00:43:04,239
Speaker 2: fair warning you all, we're not done. So we got

934
00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:06,720
Speaker 2: a Thursday night show still to come live from Auburn,

935
00:43:06,800 --> 00:43:08,200
Speaker 2: probably tackle on some more there.

936
00:43:08,840 --> 00:43:10,719
Speaker 1: Friday Night Lines is coming up.

937
00:43:10,800 --> 00:43:13,279
Speaker 2: I added two games last week on Friday Night Lines

938
00:43:13,280 --> 00:43:15,399
Speaker 2: because we got some line movement in our favor. I mean,

939
00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:18,640
Speaker 2: do you realize we were on Georgia Southern against Nebraska.

940
00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:21,120
Speaker 2: I didn't move on it until Friday night because the

941
00:43:21,160 --> 00:43:23,319
Speaker 2: line kept going up and up and up. Turns out

942
00:43:23,360 --> 00:43:26,359
Speaker 2: we didn't need the points. My point is, don't miss

943
00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:28,200
Speaker 2: a show. Don't miss a show because we're about to

944
00:43:28,200 --> 00:43:30,360
Speaker 2: get on a roll here in one of these weeks,

945
00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:31,719
Speaker 2: and you don't want to miss it when we do.

946
00:43:32,239 --> 00:43:34,960
Speaker 1: Also, I want to thank you guys.

947
00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:38,840
Speaker 2: Had a really positive talk with management today about a

948
00:43:38,920 --> 00:43:41,400
Speaker 2: number of things related to the show, and some of

949
00:43:41,400 --> 00:43:43,080
Speaker 2: you complained when I go in detail about this, I

950
00:43:43,080 --> 00:43:44,840
Speaker 2: don't know why, but it's your show, that's why I

951
00:43:44,880 --> 00:43:47,040
Speaker 2: do it. Anyway, I'll save you all the details. Some

952
00:43:47,080 --> 00:43:49,680
Speaker 2: really good stuff's happening for us. This road trip we're

953
00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:50,400
Speaker 2: taking Thursday.

954
00:43:50,880 --> 00:43:51,520
Speaker 1: That's cause of you.

955
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:56,080
Speaker 2: That's cause someone came in and said, here, take our money,

956
00:43:56,400 --> 00:43:57,040
Speaker 2: go on the road.

957
00:43:57,040 --> 00:43:59,480
Speaker 1: Do whatever you want to do. Don't fly private yet,

958
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:01,760
Speaker 1: but do it whatever you want to do. Appreciate you, guys.

959
00:44:02,040 --> 00:44:04,359
Speaker 2: I mean, we did this independently for a long time.

960
00:44:04,960 --> 00:44:06,600
Speaker 2: One of these days, since we have so many new

961
00:44:06,600 --> 00:44:09,680
Speaker 2: people around and we've got some time, I'll retell the

962
00:44:09,719 --> 00:44:10,239
Speaker 2: story of the.

963
00:44:10,239 --> 00:44:12,480
Speaker 1: Show and how I got here. It's a great story.

964
00:44:12,840 --> 00:44:16,480
Speaker 2: It's a great story, to quote Mary Chapin Carpenter. Everything

965
00:44:16,520 --> 00:44:19,359
Speaker 2: we got the hard way, what handed to us, and

966
00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:21,120
Speaker 2: it's a blessing that it was done that way. So

967
00:44:21,120 --> 00:44:24,080
Speaker 2: I appreciate you guys so much. For producer Jesse, for

968
00:44:24,200 --> 00:44:27,279
Speaker 2: director Colin. Like the video, subscribe to the channel. We'll

969
00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:29,160
Speaker 2: see it back your same time Thursday night. Take care

970
00:44:29,320 --> 00:44:36,359
Speaker 2: and God bless