1 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:19,200 Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to this edition of fish Ology. For 2 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:21,400 Speaker 1: those of you who maybe knew he or In Fishology, 3 00:00:21,520 --> 00:00:25,079 Speaker 1: we go in depth on the Marlins in advance that 4 00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:29,280 Speaker 1: we look into deep dive into analytical status that maybe 5 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:33,640 Speaker 1: fly under the radar for most fans. And of course, 6 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 1: joining me, we have Eli Sussman and our chief phishologist, 7 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:42,239 Speaker 1: Lewis Audio Weisse. Guys, how are you feeling for this episode? 8 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:46,280 Speaker 1: Looking at the Marlins players post All Star Break comparing 9 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:48,279 Speaker 1: it to the first half of the year. 10 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:52,080 Speaker 2: I'm really optimistic that this could be our best show yet, 11 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:55,360 Speaker 2: not just for content reasons, but Lewis is dealing with 12 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:57,280 Speaker 2: a bit of a sore throat, so that's going to 13 00:00:57,320 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 2: be his biological warning when he drowning on a little 14 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 2: bit too to keep him in check, I guess, and 15 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:06,880 Speaker 2: a serious I hope you're doing well, Lois small seriousness. 16 00:01:07,160 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, this is gonna try. I'm gonna try to have 17 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:11,480 Speaker 3: my Jordan flu game tonight, so we'll see. 18 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: Uh. Well, we could start off with the Marlins version 19 00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:19,440 Speaker 1: of Michael Jordan, at least for the second half, and 20 00:01:19,440 --> 00:01:23,839 Speaker 1: that is mister Sandiel. When you look at his first half, 21 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:26,000 Speaker 1: the second half, it is just a tale of just 22 00:01:26,080 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 1: two different players, two different just just ways that he 23 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:33,600 Speaker 1: is performing. You look at the first half and one 24 00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 1: hundred and fourteen innings a four to seven to two 25 00:01:37,160 --> 00:01:41,559 Speaker 1: e R, a whip of one point two five one, 26 00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:46,399 Speaker 1: strikeouts per nine was seven. And then you look at 27 00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:48,360 Speaker 1: his second half of the year, dropping all the way 28 00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 1: down to to seven e R in fifty innings, his 29 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 1: strikeouts per nine all the way up to eight and 30 00:01:55,000 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: a half, whip even lower to a one point zero. 31 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 1: Just a completely different player than he was in the 32 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 1: first half. He's playing like the Syng Award winner last season. 33 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:07,520 Speaker 1: This is what the Marlins have hoped for for Sandy 34 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:10,600 Speaker 1: for the entire season, and now they're finally getting it 35 00:02:10,840 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 1: in the second half. Eli, Just what are the Marlins 36 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 1: getting now. 37 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:18,520 Speaker 3: With Sandy in the second half? Just how well is 38 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:19,560 Speaker 3: he performing now? 39 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:24,400 Speaker 2: This is closer to the version of himself that we expected. 40 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 2: What I want to start off with is something that 41 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:28,519 Speaker 2: Lewis spought up to me a couple of days ago, 42 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:31,360 Speaker 2: which I think is a fair way to look at this, 43 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 2: where I don't it's not necessarily black and white that 44 00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:37,200 Speaker 2: all of a sudden he's fixed, or that necessarily he 45 00:02:37,400 --> 00:02:41,799 Speaker 2: was terrible in the first half. What we've seen is 46 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:44,800 Speaker 2: that when you look at the fielder independent pitching and 47 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:48,080 Speaker 2: you look under the hood in terms of the strikeouts 48 00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 2: he's getting, the walks he's preventing, the home runs he's preventing, 49 00:02:52,360 --> 00:02:55,120 Speaker 2: there's a surprising similarities between the first half and the 50 00:02:55,160 --> 00:02:58,040 Speaker 2: second half and the first season. Overall, he is a 51 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:01,920 Speaker 2: fIF of what three point nine to six, which is 52 00:03:01,960 --> 00:03:05,079 Speaker 2: slightly better than league average. But if you look at 53 00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:07,639 Speaker 2: what he's done in these games since the break, it's 54 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:11,920 Speaker 2: now seven starts as we're recording this entering Wednesday, the 55 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:14,440 Speaker 2: fifth has actually gone up to four point two one, 56 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 2: So he's done that despite allowing mainly because he's allowing 57 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:20,680 Speaker 2: more homers. There were things he was already doing well 58 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 2: and just not getting great results in the first half. 59 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:26,520 Speaker 2: The main thing was his control was probably as good 60 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:29,160 Speaker 2: as we've seen it. Really. He's been limiting walks at 61 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:32,480 Speaker 2: an amazing rate dating back to June, so that's been 62 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:35,800 Speaker 2: a part of him even through some you know, poor 63 00:03:36,000 --> 00:03:38,520 Speaker 2: outcomes early on in the year, and that's still part 64 00:03:38,560 --> 00:03:42,000 Speaker 2: of what he's doing since then, most notably having a 65 00:03:42,040 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 2: couple of games in here where he didn't walk any 66 00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 2: batters at all. So with him, it still doesn't feel 67 00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 2: to me one hundred percent like last year in the 68 00:03:51,800 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 2: Cy Young winning campaign, the main thing being that the 69 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 2: change up is still not an amazing putaway pitch that 70 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 2: it was last year. By most measures, his change up 71 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 2: last year was as good as anybody's in terms of 72 00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 2: the overall run value. Nobody hit his change up for 73 00:04:05,760 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 2: a home run all of last year, and he's using 74 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:11,360 Speaker 2: it just as much this year, so the usage is 75 00:04:11,400 --> 00:04:14,200 Speaker 2: the same. It's just the v level on that pitch 76 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 2: is down a little bit. The location of the pitch 77 00:04:16,839 --> 00:04:19,600 Speaker 2: hasn't been quite as good, the late movement on that 78 00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:22,520 Speaker 2: pitch hasn't been quite as nasty, and that's still not 79 00:04:22,680 --> 00:04:26,039 Speaker 2: totally there, but he's worked around that. I think he 80 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:29,360 Speaker 2: has finally recognized that this deep into the year that 81 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:35,279 Speaker 2: he's that his changeup is not going to be it's 82 00:04:35,279 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 2: not going to solve all his issues for him when 83 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 2: he runs into issues with other stuff. Instead, we've seen 84 00:04:40,279 --> 00:04:43,880 Speaker 2: him really utilize his fastball, I think, in more effective 85 00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:47,000 Speaker 2: ways where he uses it both on the top of 86 00:04:47,000 --> 00:04:50,160 Speaker 2: his own uses it in the back door against right 87 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:53,240 Speaker 2: handed batters to get more cold strikes. So I think 88 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:57,599 Speaker 2: he's made some interesting adjustments, not fully returning to form, 89 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:01,080 Speaker 2: but overall, like you still see much more good than 90 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:02,359 Speaker 2: bad out of him recently. 91 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:07,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, Lewis also with Sandy, I was mentioning his strikeouts 92 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:11,080 Speaker 1: per nine. Sandy's never been really that guy to give 93 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 1: you twelve, thirteen, fourteen strikeouts a game, but just to 94 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:18,160 Speaker 1: see that number increase by a whole strikeout going from 95 00:05:18,240 --> 00:05:21,000 Speaker 1: seven to around eight and a half almost nine. Just 96 00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:24,120 Speaker 1: do you see Sandy the way he's pitching in the 97 00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 1: second half of the season maybe differently. Is he looking 98 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:29,560 Speaker 1: locating pitches differently? 99 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 3: Is he looking to get. 100 00:05:30,720 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 1: More withs more guys to strike out compared to maybe 101 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 1: it's just more weak contact and get guys out and 102 00:05:38,800 --> 00:05:41,040 Speaker 1: maybe the other traditional ways. 103 00:05:41,560 --> 00:05:45,159 Speaker 3: I don't. I mean, then the metrics may illustrate that 104 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:47,880 Speaker 3: he's pitching differently, but I still think his mo is 105 00:05:47,960 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 3: kind of just like, let's work deep into games. And 106 00:05:49,800 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 3: I think if you look since July fourteenth, which is 107 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:55,599 Speaker 3: the end, which is the start of the quote unquote 108 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:58,400 Speaker 3: second half or post All Star breaks schedule of games 109 00:05:58,440 --> 00:06:02,120 Speaker 3: that we have. As we kind of wind down there, 110 00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:05,640 Speaker 3: he he kind of continues to just do what he 111 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:09,480 Speaker 3: always does, and that's just efficiently give you innings and 112 00:06:09,560 --> 00:06:12,520 Speaker 3: like he gives you and so there, so that I 113 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:14,400 Speaker 3: did this search to them fangrabs, and I made like 114 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:17,080 Speaker 3: a little spreadsheet and I saw So there's been one 115 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:19,800 Speaker 3: hundred and forty nine pitchers since July fourteenth, that's the 116 00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:21,760 Speaker 3: first day of games in the second half of the 117 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 3: season after the All Star break, to have thrown at 118 00:06:24,480 --> 00:06:28,920 Speaker 3: least twenty innings. Al Contra and Luis Castillo, the Mariners, 119 00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:31,280 Speaker 3: are the only two pitch are the two pitchers with 120 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 3: the most innings thrown in that span. So they've each 121 00:06:33,640 --> 00:06:37,440 Speaker 3: thrown fifty innings in that span over seven over seven 122 00:06:37,560 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 3: starts each. And if you average that out, that's pretty sandy. 123 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:43,480 Speaker 3: Al Contra ish, it's like a little bit more than 124 00:06:43,560 --> 00:06:47,080 Speaker 3: seven innings to start. It's about seven point, you know one, 125 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:51,080 Speaker 3: if you really want to get pedantic about the math 126 00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:55,279 Speaker 3: of that. But he's I don't necessarily, I mean, the 127 00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:58,279 Speaker 3: approach maybe is a little more all or nothing. Like 128 00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 3: we saw that game against the Yankees where he struck 129 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:03,480 Speaker 3: out ten, but he threw one hundred and sixteen pitches 130 00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 3: and he went nine innings. He was he was still 131 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:08,359 Speaker 3: kind of you know, his usual self. You know, one 132 00:07:08,440 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 3: hundred and sixteen pitch complete game isn't like insane, but 133 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:15,400 Speaker 3: it maybe raises a few more eyebrows in this kind 134 00:07:15,400 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 3: of this era where we kind of baby baby pitchers. 135 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 3: But I mean, he's he's kind of you know, he's 136 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:26,200 Speaker 3: if he's either not striking you out or he's you know, 137 00:07:26,680 --> 00:07:28,760 Speaker 3: continuing to get brown balls at the rate that he does, 138 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 3: he's become a little bit more susceptible, as Eli alluded 139 00:07:31,480 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 3: to with the home run, and that manifested more no 140 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:38,880 Speaker 3: more than in August. So far this month where you know, 141 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:40,960 Speaker 3: two of the six games he's had in his career 142 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:43,440 Speaker 3: of allowing at least three home runs have come this 143 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:46,720 Speaker 3: month alone. And you know, one of those was the 144 00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:49,160 Speaker 3: Braves game. I understand that, or I believe the other 145 00:07:49,200 --> 00:07:51,280 Speaker 3: one was the Houston It was the game against the Rangers, 146 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 3: and he just had to start recently where he did that. 147 00:07:56,560 --> 00:07:58,880 Speaker 3: A lot of that is just because you know, like 148 00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 3: maybe it's just the same he's leaving more stuff up 149 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:03,040 Speaker 3: in the zone, he's not walking a lot of guys, 150 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 3: and he by fit he is among the luckier pictures 151 00:08:08,440 --> 00:08:12,320 Speaker 3: in this sample too. He's believed the fourteenth or fifteenth 152 00:08:12,880 --> 00:08:15,640 Speaker 3: most lucky picture when it comes to era to fit differential, 153 00:08:15,720 --> 00:08:17,960 Speaker 3: and a lot of that is just because most of 154 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:20,160 Speaker 3: his fly balls are turning it to home runs. I mean, 155 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 3: his home run to fly ball rate is twenty two. 156 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:26,520 Speaker 3: If that's not the highest in the majors during the span, 157 00:08:26,640 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 3: it's pretty much up there. But yeah, I mean, I 158 00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:33,960 Speaker 3: don't know if he's necessarily altered anything in his pitch mix. 159 00:08:34,000 --> 00:08:36,560 Speaker 3: I mean, his change up really hasn't been what it 160 00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:39,839 Speaker 3: was last year. He's still kind of sequencing similarly as 161 00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:42,920 Speaker 3: far as just the dispersal of pitches. But you know, 162 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:45,800 Speaker 3: maybe it's just you know, he's you know, the home 163 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:48,120 Speaker 3: run bites him more, but he's still kind of giving 164 00:08:48,120 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 3: you that link. It's just the results don't look the same. 165 00:08:51,920 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 3: And the way I kind of see it too, is 166 00:08:54,280 --> 00:08:56,559 Speaker 3: his fip is now more in line with his era 167 00:08:57,160 --> 00:08:59,200 Speaker 3: and that maybe, you know, we kind of set at 168 00:08:59,240 --> 00:09:00,840 Speaker 3: the outset of the season and he was getting un 169 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 3: quote unquote unlucky. Maybe just to father time is kind 170 00:09:04,600 --> 00:09:08,520 Speaker 3: of showing everything to kind of come together closely, and 171 00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:10,920 Speaker 3: maybe he's more of just a four ra pitcher for 172 00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:14,439 Speaker 3: this season than he was a guy who flirted with 173 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:16,960 Speaker 3: a you know, a sub two at parts last year, 174 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:19,600 Speaker 3: and that's just maybe more of what we're gonna see 175 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 3: because I think the differential was there and Fipp is 176 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:26,040 Speaker 3: like point what is it pointe at this point now 177 00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:28,000 Speaker 3: it's like three ninety six to four to eleven, So 178 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:30,400 Speaker 3: it's not he's not that far off. I think he's 179 00:09:30,480 --> 00:09:34,679 Speaker 3: more of you know, he's not striking guys out more, 180 00:09:35,320 --> 00:09:37,640 Speaker 3: but he is giving up more home runs and that's 181 00:09:37,679 --> 00:09:39,520 Speaker 3: just a product of maybe just the fly balls and 182 00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:42,320 Speaker 3: the bat would suggest too, it's more bad. It's more 183 00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:44,319 Speaker 3: bad luck than good luck because it's bad of his 184 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:47,040 Speaker 3: sub two sixty it's like two fifty seven eight. So 185 00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 3: I don't know. I mean, I think that this will normalize, 186 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:54,760 Speaker 3: but to be fair, yeah, he's just giving up a 187 00:09:54,760 --> 00:09:57,000 Speaker 3: little bit more home runs. This isn't something that we 188 00:09:57,080 --> 00:09:59,600 Speaker 3: normally see with him, So I don't know. It's an 189 00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 3: interesting stretch. It's like a mixed bag of success, although 190 00:10:03,800 --> 00:10:06,080 Speaker 3: it's still his standard bulk success. 191 00:10:06,360 --> 00:10:09,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, overall, I'll be encouraged when he's getting ground balls 192 00:10:09,480 --> 00:10:13,800 Speaker 2: at about sixty percent rate recently. That's going to allow 193 00:10:13,800 --> 00:10:16,800 Speaker 2: you to overperform your fit it's when most of the 194 00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:19,800 Speaker 2: contact we have is staying in the infield, whether it 195 00:10:19,880 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 2: is that's a pretty big key to me. Yeah, with him. 196 00:10:24,080 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 2: But yeah, he's still working deep into games. He's on 197 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:29,480 Speaker 2: track to potentially lead the majors in innings pitch or 198 00:10:29,480 --> 00:10:32,719 Speaker 2: finish right near the very top of that. So all 199 00:10:32,760 --> 00:10:36,880 Speaker 2: things considered, it's he's still he's not last year's version 200 00:10:36,920 --> 00:10:39,080 Speaker 2: of himself, but there's a lot of similarities to the 201 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 2: overall pitcher that we've seen the last six years overall 202 00:10:42,160 --> 00:10:42,720 Speaker 2: in Miami. 203 00:10:43,640 --> 00:10:45,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, I was going to ask you, Lewis, and you 204 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:48,720 Speaker 1: mentioned really quickly his home runs. Does that worry you 205 00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:51,000 Speaker 1: a little more to the towads that we get to 206 00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:53,439 Speaker 1: the ending of the year, because in the first half 207 00:10:53,480 --> 00:10:55,640 Speaker 1: he had eleven home runs and now he's given up 208 00:10:55,640 --> 00:10:59,080 Speaker 1: the nine home runs and how about half the innings 209 00:10:59,320 --> 00:11:02,200 Speaker 1: and about half those games played. Does not worry you 210 00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:06,560 Speaker 1: at all for Sandy going into the rest of this season. 211 00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:09,320 Speaker 1: He's giving up the nine so far since the second half. 212 00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:12,200 Speaker 1: The pritz at just eleven in that first half of 213 00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:12,640 Speaker 1: the season. 214 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:17,400 Speaker 3: I mean, he doesn't necessarily have a track record of it. 215 00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:19,960 Speaker 3: I think, you know, if the league continues to figure 216 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 3: him out, and he doesn't, you know, find a way 217 00:11:22,559 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 3: to maybe put more hitters away that he may allow 218 00:11:25,880 --> 00:11:28,360 Speaker 3: more home runs, just because his reliance is so much 219 00:11:28,400 --> 00:11:30,360 Speaker 3: on ground balls, and you know, Eli touched on the 220 00:11:30,360 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 3: ground balls. He's got like the fifth lowest ground ball 221 00:11:32,960 --> 00:11:34,880 Speaker 3: or or the fifth highest ground ball rate in the 222 00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:37,480 Speaker 3: Major is actually since the start of the second half, 223 00:11:37,480 --> 00:11:40,880 Speaker 3: So he's you know, he's kind of just it's weird. 224 00:11:40,920 --> 00:11:42,959 Speaker 3: It's like two of the three pieces that make him 225 00:11:42,960 --> 00:11:46,360 Speaker 3: successful in the three year primarily are you know, I 226 00:11:46,360 --> 00:11:48,720 Speaker 3: would say a bat average to about above average ability 227 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:51,959 Speaker 3: to put hitters away with strikeouts, the suppression of a 228 00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 3: long balls, which he's done for the majority of his career, 229 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:56,640 Speaker 3: and for the first half he had kind of kept 230 00:11:56,679 --> 00:12:00,480 Speaker 3: on par with where he was for his career, and 231 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:03,679 Speaker 3: his ability to generate ground ball is just about as 232 00:12:03,679 --> 00:12:08,440 Speaker 3: good as anybody else. The home runs being a bigger concern. 233 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:14,400 Speaker 3: Absolutely them coming with more frequency could scare you when 234 00:12:14,400 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 3: you do consider that he just doesn't put hitters away, 235 00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:18,840 Speaker 3: But then you also have to kind of remember that 236 00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:21,040 Speaker 3: the stuff is such that he can kind of maybe 237 00:12:21,160 --> 00:12:24,360 Speaker 3: work around it. And his command is very good to 238 00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:27,600 Speaker 3: where I think he can so it's a sequencing thing too, 239 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:30,720 Speaker 3: like if he you know, location is kind of key 240 00:12:30,760 --> 00:12:34,319 Speaker 3: in these instances and if he's not, you know, hitting 241 00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:36,120 Speaker 3: his spots. And we've seen him a couple of times 242 00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:37,760 Speaker 3: this year that some of the home runs he's given up. 243 00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:39,360 Speaker 3: The one that sticks up to me is the ninety 244 00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:41,800 Speaker 3: five on our sinker in that game against the Braves 245 00:12:41,840 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 3: earlier this year where he was coming with a bistenditis 246 00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:46,760 Speaker 3: and then Acunya kind of took him deep. You know, 247 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:49,280 Speaker 3: that's just maybe location. I don't know if maybe the 248 00:12:49,360 --> 00:12:53,920 Speaker 3: workload is influencing this at all, but you know, I'm 249 00:12:54,360 --> 00:12:56,600 Speaker 3: I'm concerned, but I'm not that concerned because I think 250 00:12:56,600 --> 00:12:59,560 Speaker 3: that he's done what he's done long enough where he's 251 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:02,680 Speaker 3: kind of been weird anomaly of stuff, not you know, 252 00:13:02,920 --> 00:13:06,320 Speaker 3: equaling you know, putting hitters away with the prolificacy that 253 00:13:06,320 --> 00:13:09,600 Speaker 3: we see most other power pictures do it. But I 254 00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:12,360 Speaker 3: think if this trend were to continueing to say next year, 255 00:13:12,600 --> 00:13:15,400 Speaker 3: then it would maybe be a problem. I think right now, no, 256 00:13:15,679 --> 00:13:17,520 Speaker 3: because I just think this is just one of those 257 00:13:17,600 --> 00:13:20,600 Speaker 3: years that's more kin to maybe like twenty nineteen where 258 00:13:20,679 --> 00:13:24,120 Speaker 3: he just wasn't who we have come to know and 259 00:13:24,160 --> 00:13:27,240 Speaker 3: appreciate over the last four or so years. You know, 260 00:13:27,280 --> 00:13:28,880 Speaker 3: it could just it's just a down year. It's just 261 00:13:28,920 --> 00:13:30,840 Speaker 3: a post I Young kind of blues thing. But that 262 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:32,960 Speaker 3: being said, he's still, you know what, on pace to 263 00:13:32,960 --> 00:13:35,600 Speaker 3: be about a four win picture. So for the money 264 00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:39,360 Speaker 3: you're paying him, you know you're gonna have the you know, 265 00:13:39,600 --> 00:13:41,560 Speaker 3: the concerns are there, but I don't think they're like 266 00:13:42,240 --> 00:13:44,480 Speaker 3: they're at like a three or a four right now. 267 00:13:44,800 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 3: And you know, if you know this trend of long 268 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:49,720 Speaker 3: bass continues into twenty twenty four, that's when maybe you 269 00:13:49,760 --> 00:13:51,880 Speaker 3: need to start raising some red flags about the way 270 00:13:51,920 --> 00:13:53,600 Speaker 3: he's kind of going about approaching hitters. 271 00:13:55,520 --> 00:14:00,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, So finishing off there with Sandy, eli with Sandy 272 00:14:00,600 --> 00:14:02,400 Speaker 1: going into the rest of the season, you already had 273 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:05,920 Speaker 1: a couple complete games. Well, how do you see Sandy 274 00:14:06,200 --> 00:14:08,400 Speaker 1: faring off in the rest of the schedule. Do you 275 00:14:08,440 --> 00:14:10,640 Speaker 1: see it more of the Sandy we've seen the second half, 276 00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:13,280 Speaker 1: or do you think maybe he'll he might go back 277 00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:15,000 Speaker 1: to what we see in the first half, or is 278 00:14:15,040 --> 00:14:17,199 Speaker 1: this just how Sandy's going to be for the rest 279 00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:17,720 Speaker 1: of the season. 280 00:14:18,760 --> 00:14:20,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, I would go with the boring answer that I 281 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:22,440 Speaker 2: think he's just going to play up to his season 282 00:14:22,480 --> 00:14:27,440 Speaker 2: averages moving forward with this, we just when you look 283 00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:28,800 Speaker 2: at some of the starts that he had in the 284 00:14:28,840 --> 00:14:31,960 Speaker 2: first half, a lot of it was kind of intangible 285 00:14:32,080 --> 00:14:37,040 Speaker 2: in terms of him having him clustering base runners at 286 00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:39,560 Speaker 2: the wrong time, and that led to some of the 287 00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:42,240 Speaker 2: kind of unlucky results, like when he would struggle, it 288 00:14:42,240 --> 00:14:44,600 Speaker 2: would all happen in the exact same ending right and 289 00:14:44,760 --> 00:14:47,080 Speaker 2: he would allow a crooked number right there that would 290 00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:49,360 Speaker 2: lead to more runs, and you'd ordinarily expect given the 291 00:14:49,360 --> 00:14:53,400 Speaker 2: overall quality of his outing. So that's why I don't 292 00:14:53,440 --> 00:14:55,520 Speaker 2: put a whole lot of stock into the first half 293 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:58,760 Speaker 2: run prevention struggles, because that just felt a little bit 294 00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:01,840 Speaker 2: unlucky in terms of the sequencing of when hits and 295 00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:04,200 Speaker 2: when we're happening to him. But this has been a 296 00:15:04,240 --> 00:15:07,040 Speaker 2: really extended stretch in terms of limiting the walks. That's 297 00:15:07,120 --> 00:15:10,440 Speaker 2: right up there with any three month stretch of his 298 00:15:10,480 --> 00:15:13,640 Speaker 2: career in terms of every single time it's two walks 299 00:15:13,720 --> 00:15:16,000 Speaker 2: or less, and more often it's one walk or less 300 00:15:16,040 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 2: than it starts. So I guess see, I think the 301 00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 2: second half version is a little bit more indicative of 302 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:23,880 Speaker 2: who he is than the first half. 303 00:15:24,640 --> 00:15:28,360 Speaker 1: We're gonna go transition from Sandy, someone who's had just 304 00:15:28,400 --> 00:15:31,440 Speaker 1: an amazing second half of the season, to someone who 305 00:15:31,560 --> 00:15:33,760 Speaker 1: was on the opposite end of that spectrum, had a 306 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 1: really amazing first half of the year with a three 307 00:15:37,240 --> 00:15:40,560 Speaker 1: two nine ERA a three twenty one FIP, to now 308 00:15:41,800 --> 00:15:45,640 Speaker 1: going looking at how his second half has fared. In 309 00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:48,360 Speaker 1: twenty eight innings in the second half of the season, 310 00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:52,880 Speaker 1: he Susuzardo has a seven three nine ERA in a 311 00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:57,320 Speaker 1: six seven three FIP in those twenty eight innings since the. 312 00:15:57,320 --> 00:15:58,280 Speaker 3: All Star break. 313 00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:01,560 Speaker 1: Just a completely different picture than what the Marlins have 314 00:16:01,600 --> 00:16:03,800 Speaker 1: seen in the first half. He is reaching a career 315 00:16:03,880 --> 00:16:08,280 Speaker 1: high in innings pitched this season, but this is really 316 00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:10,960 Speaker 1: a completely different picture than what the Marlins have had 317 00:16:11,160 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 1: in the first half. Lewis talked to us about Lozardo. 318 00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:17,640 Speaker 1: What is going on with him and are there any 319 00:16:17,840 --> 00:16:22,640 Speaker 1: advanced stats or analytical points that really make up a 320 00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:25,640 Speaker 1: reason to why Lozardo is struggling as much as he is. 321 00:16:26,840 --> 00:16:32,080 Speaker 3: I mean, he's getting absolutely clobbered. There's no dancing around that. 322 00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:34,280 Speaker 3: Like if you look at the opponent slash against him 323 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 3: in the second half, He's faced one hundred and thirty 324 00:16:36,720 --> 00:16:39,960 Speaker 3: five hitters and they're hitting a collective three twenty two, 325 00:16:40,120 --> 00:16:44,520 Speaker 3: three ninety three, six twenty against him. That's like MVP 326 00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:48,520 Speaker 3: level Wan Gonzalez like in the in the mid nineties, 327 00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:52,680 Speaker 3: like steroid era offensive numbers. It's Otani esque right now. 328 00:16:52,800 --> 00:16:55,640 Speaker 3: I mean, if you really want to have like more 329 00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:58,320 Speaker 3: of a modern comparison, and maybe even Acuna too, like 330 00:16:58,400 --> 00:17:02,720 Speaker 3: he's but the the oddity of that is he's just 331 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:05,040 Speaker 3: kind of continuing to do what he normally does, and 332 00:17:05,080 --> 00:17:09,440 Speaker 3: that's just miss bats. He's averaging still about ten k's 333 00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:12,600 Speaker 3: per nine, so he's and he's walking on average four 334 00:17:12,600 --> 00:17:14,560 Speaker 3: and a half batters per nine, So he's more of 335 00:17:14,560 --> 00:17:18,720 Speaker 3: that three true outcomes type of player transposed to the 336 00:17:18,760 --> 00:17:21,439 Speaker 3: mound where you're still gonna get. He's always kind of 337 00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:23,920 Speaker 3: had that suspect command because he just throws so hard 338 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:26,800 Speaker 3: and he's a lefty falling off to the side a lot. 339 00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:30,280 Speaker 3: But I don't know he you know, the bail rate's 340 00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:33,560 Speaker 3: not terrible, the hard hit rate is horrendous. I mean, 341 00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:35,479 Speaker 3: it's fourth worst of the one hundred and forty nine 342 00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:37,320 Speaker 3: pitchers with at least twenty innings in the second half. 343 00:17:37,480 --> 00:17:40,480 Speaker 3: Like it's I don't know, it could be the innings 344 00:17:40,520 --> 00:17:41,960 Speaker 3: is kind of creeping up on him because I believe, 345 00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:43,760 Speaker 3: what did he throw last year somewhat something like one 346 00:17:43,800 --> 00:17:47,520 Speaker 3: hundred innings and you know he quote unquote broke out 347 00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:50,800 Speaker 3: and for the most part he did, but he you know, 348 00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:53,399 Speaker 3: was kind of like a j Puck where he really 349 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:57,320 Speaker 3: didn't have like an extensive workload in the years preceding 350 00:17:57,359 --> 00:18:00,199 Speaker 3: that twenty twenty two, and now that he's thrown more 351 00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:02,359 Speaker 3: innings than ever, maybe that's starting to wear on them 352 00:18:02,359 --> 00:18:05,600 Speaker 3: a little bit. I mean, we spoke to him, god 353 00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:08,560 Speaker 3: was it was after his first start of this month, 354 00:18:08,560 --> 00:18:10,760 Speaker 3: and he told us that he felt fine and that 355 00:18:10,840 --> 00:18:14,200 Speaker 3: his body was in a good position position and mentally 356 00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:17,760 Speaker 3: he was okay, but the results would indicate otherwise. I mean, 357 00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:22,680 Speaker 3: he's you know, he's been bad, but you still kind 358 00:18:22,680 --> 00:18:25,480 Speaker 3: of see some things there with the continued ability to 359 00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:28,560 Speaker 3: miss bats that would suggest, all right, like there's something 360 00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:31,199 Speaker 3: here that suggests that, you know, he'll turn this around. 361 00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:34,119 Speaker 3: But to me, he's a very streaky pitcher, like he 362 00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:37,040 Speaker 3: like he had that game in Seattle, I think it 363 00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:39,359 Speaker 3: was mid June where he gave up about five or 364 00:18:39,400 --> 00:18:42,440 Speaker 3: six runs in four soow innings and then he went 365 00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:45,200 Speaker 3: on about a four start stretch where he was very good, 366 00:18:45,680 --> 00:18:48,840 Speaker 3: and you know, even more that was highlighted by those 367 00:18:48,840 --> 00:18:51,560 Speaker 3: seven innings against the Cardinals on was at the fourth 368 00:18:51,600 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 3: of July, like he was tremendous, like and then he 369 00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:56,359 Speaker 3: kind of just you know, you had three runs, your 370 00:18:56,400 --> 00:19:01,360 Speaker 3: four runs there and now it's kind of just spiraled 371 00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:06,000 Speaker 3: into this stretch where you know he's allowing you know, 372 00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:09,480 Speaker 3: hitters and ops over a thousand against him, and that's 373 00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:12,439 Speaker 3: a you know, that's six starts, Like that's about a 374 00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:14,080 Speaker 3: month's worth of games. You know, pictures can have a 375 00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:16,840 Speaker 3: bad month, whatever the case may be. But you know, 376 00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:20,359 Speaker 3: he's had really only one good start in that span 377 00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:22,920 Speaker 3: and that was that Colorado game. But other than that, 378 00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:25,760 Speaker 3: it's just been like it's been hard to watch. I mean, 379 00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:29,160 Speaker 3: his if you been on an era to fifth basis, 380 00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:32,360 Speaker 3: it's very similar to Sandy's Era is four thirteen, Fifth 381 00:19:32,440 --> 00:19:34,959 Speaker 3: is three nine three. Sandy's what four eleven to three 382 00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:37,560 Speaker 3: ninety six, So they've kind of been about the same pitcher. 383 00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:40,680 Speaker 3: Sandy's just giving you more lengths. So he sustained quote 384 00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:43,359 Speaker 3: unquote better production over a longer stretch of innings, and 385 00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:46,760 Speaker 3: he's leaving the league in batter's face. I don't know Lozar's. 386 00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:51,080 Speaker 3: Lozardo is very volatile to me because when he when 387 00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:52,720 Speaker 3: he gets in trouble. I mean what we saw a 388 00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:55,480 Speaker 3: huge against Houston. He gave up three home runs in 389 00:19:55,520 --> 00:20:00,440 Speaker 3: the first inning. You know, velocity on the mount also 390 00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:02,520 Speaker 3: equals velocity off the bat. For the most part, it's 391 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:04,480 Speaker 3: very seldom that you have a guy who throws hard 392 00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:08,040 Speaker 3: and can conge and generate consistently weak contact. And we've 393 00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:10,159 Speaker 3: seen it with him that he's getting hit. When he's 394 00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:13,680 Speaker 3: getting hit, he's getting absolutely destroyed. I mean, if the 395 00:20:13,760 --> 00:20:16,520 Speaker 3: league is slugging Bay Bruce career slugging percentage against you, 396 00:20:16,600 --> 00:20:19,600 Speaker 3: then over a month's worth of time, then like there's 397 00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:22,479 Speaker 3: a problem. And you know, I don't as far as 398 00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:25,000 Speaker 3: pitch mixicos, I mean, Eli, like, what have you seen 399 00:20:25,560 --> 00:20:27,760 Speaker 3: that leads you to believe that, like there's just something 400 00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:30,679 Speaker 3: in how he's going about hitters that's just making for 401 00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:33,000 Speaker 3: this prolonged stretch of I guess this is more of 402 00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:35,320 Speaker 3: what we saw in twenty twenty one. 403 00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:40,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, this feels more like a pretty intangible slump with him. 404 00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:43,480 Speaker 2: What I mean by that is there's no smoking gun. 405 00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:46,560 Speaker 2: He is mentioned at least in one of these postgame 406 00:20:46,600 --> 00:20:49,600 Speaker 2: pressors that just not having the feel for his slider, 407 00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:52,320 Speaker 2: and that is his most important pitch going back to 408 00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:56,639 Speaker 2: especially last year, and it continues to be. That's a 409 00:20:56,640 --> 00:20:59,359 Speaker 2: pitch where he needs it to go from balls to strike, 410 00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:01,679 Speaker 2: strike to he needs it to look like it's in 411 00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:03,399 Speaker 2: the zone and then dip out and also throw it 412 00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:06,359 Speaker 2: close enough to the zone that he gets hitters to 413 00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:09,600 Speaker 2: chase it and competitively go after it. I think you 414 00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:11,800 Speaker 2: can look at most of these starts and see that 415 00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:14,879 Speaker 2: it's just not impacting hitters the same way. He's just 416 00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:17,760 Speaker 2: not getting quite as many chases on that pitch when 417 00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:20,959 Speaker 2: it goes down and in to right handed batters and 418 00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:25,840 Speaker 2: loan way to lefties. Like it's just it's not quite 419 00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:29,600 Speaker 2: deceiving hitters the same way as it was early in 420 00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:32,760 Speaker 2: the year. Fatigue might have a role in that in 421 00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:35,080 Speaker 2: terms of just repeating his delivery and making sure that 422 00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:39,560 Speaker 2: he's in a position where the ball is deceptive coming 423 00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:41,879 Speaker 2: out of his hands. I think that is part of 424 00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:46,639 Speaker 2: it that's impacting him. Here he talked about the Astros 425 00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:50,359 Speaker 2: that one ding I wonder what sort of when we 426 00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:53,760 Speaker 2: mentioned Lozardo. I believe we did a pod mentioning him 427 00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:57,679 Speaker 2: early in the year about how he was so awful 428 00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:01,119 Speaker 2: the third time through the order, how he was a 429 00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:04,000 Speaker 2: really impressive pitcher except for that, and both him and 430 00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:06,639 Speaker 2: Sandy were struggling with it at the same time. And 431 00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:10,480 Speaker 2: that's what makes these struggles so unusual, is that it's 432 00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:12,919 Speaker 2: not well, he's having enough troubles just getting to the 433 00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:15,040 Speaker 2: third time through you or staying in the game long enough. 434 00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:18,879 Speaker 2: He's getting shelled immediately in several of these outings, which 435 00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:22,720 Speaker 2: is uncharacteristic of him. So that speaks to me about 436 00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:26,080 Speaker 2: a guy who's not his delivery, is not deceiving guys 437 00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:27,720 Speaker 2: the same way that it was early in the year. 438 00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:29,800 Speaker 2: But you could also give some credit just to the 439 00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:32,800 Speaker 2: opponents being prepared for what they're going to see and 440 00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:36,680 Speaker 2: some of the patterns potentially that he's falling into. I mean, 441 00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:39,800 Speaker 2: Astros trash can or not. You know, they have this 442 00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:42,680 Speaker 2: well earned reputation of just being a very prepared team. 443 00:22:42,760 --> 00:22:46,000 Speaker 2: It's recording this right now. They had another big first ending, 444 00:22:46,080 --> 00:22:49,160 Speaker 2: putting up several runs on an opposing team. They don't 445 00:22:49,160 --> 00:22:51,040 Speaker 2: need to see you multiple times to get a feel 446 00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:54,879 Speaker 2: for you. They're just traditionally a very prepared team coming 447 00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:58,399 Speaker 2: into it, and that can be immensely frustrating for a 448 00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:02,000 Speaker 2: picture when you feel like you're executing your pitches and 449 00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:06,679 Speaker 2: still having trouble with it. What we've seen one was 450 00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:09,639 Speaker 2: Kyle Tucker, the other left handed better I saw it, 451 00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:11,520 Speaker 2: and during the first half of the season was Altill 452 00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:14,600 Speaker 2: only allowed one homer to a lefty the entire first half. 453 00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:17,000 Speaker 2: He's already allowed a couple of those in the second half. 454 00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:19,679 Speaker 2: So Corey Seeger was the other one. So Seeger and 455 00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:24,159 Speaker 2: Kyle Tucker, like those are just amazing players though, So 456 00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:27,280 Speaker 2: I think it's a lot of things going on here, 457 00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:30,360 Speaker 2: including just the quality of the competition that he's facing 458 00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:33,399 Speaker 2: in this sample, and it's a tough spot for the 459 00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:36,120 Speaker 2: team to be in where they really can't afford to 460 00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:38,119 Speaker 2: give him a breather and take him out of the rotation, 461 00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:41,280 Speaker 2: especially when the velocity is pretty close to what you'd 462 00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:45,000 Speaker 2: normally expect from him. It's still in the high nineties 463 00:23:45,040 --> 00:23:48,600 Speaker 2: most of the time with his bastball, so there's not 464 00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:52,960 Speaker 2: like the glaring sign of wearing down that you sometimes 465 00:23:52,960 --> 00:23:55,119 Speaker 2: see with the guys that are not used to pitching 466 00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:58,440 Speaker 2: this deep into the season. Yeah, it's a frustrating one, 467 00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:00,479 Speaker 2: and the team just doesn't really he had much more 468 00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:02,560 Speaker 2: choice than to just keep running him out there and 469 00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:04,760 Speaker 2: hope that he makes adjustments. 470 00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:09,040 Speaker 3: One thing I will say too is I don't know 471 00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:12,880 Speaker 3: if this is just me reading Baseball Savan's pitch types 472 00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,400 Speaker 3: and like the results on those, but do you think 473 00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:17,119 Speaker 3: it's time that he just kind of does away with 474 00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:19,919 Speaker 3: that sinker because for the most part, he really hasn't 475 00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:23,000 Speaker 3: had a lot of prolonged success with that pitch, and 476 00:24:23,080 --> 00:24:25,440 Speaker 3: he's I mean, I know he started throwing a cutter 477 00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:28,000 Speaker 3: this season, and the sample is so small against it. 478 00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:30,639 Speaker 3: It's about only like eleven plate appearances depending on the pitch, 479 00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:33,240 Speaker 3: but he hasn't a lot of hit on it. And 480 00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:35,080 Speaker 3: then I look at the sinker and hitters are batting 481 00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:37,680 Speaker 3: almost three sixty on it, and the expected sets are 482 00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:40,320 Speaker 3: not all that much better. But like, if you look 483 00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:42,840 Speaker 3: at that pitch, it's consistently kind of been like a 484 00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:46,760 Speaker 3: sub par offering from him, And you know, I don't 485 00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:50,960 Speaker 3: know if maybe like eliminating that hurts him, but he also, 486 00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 3: like I like his changeup a lot, and he doesn't 487 00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:56,600 Speaker 3: throw it enough. I like the slider. I've you know, 488 00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:58,160 Speaker 3: a lot of the times when he's gotten hit two, 489 00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:01,080 Speaker 3: that slider has hung in the zone and it's not 490 00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:03,920 Speaker 3: And for a guy who throws ninety six to ninety eight, 491 00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:06,960 Speaker 3: it's a pretty slow slider. I mean, you want variants 492 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:09,920 Speaker 3: in pitch v lows, but it's you know, eighty three 493 00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:13,040 Speaker 3: to eighty five. It doesn't really have it. It's got 494 00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:15,560 Speaker 3: a lot of sharp bite at the end, but it's 495 00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:18,000 Speaker 3: not thrown hard enough to where you're not gonna run 496 00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:19,840 Speaker 3: into a lot of hard contact on it. But the 497 00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:22,760 Speaker 3: sinker is just like that pitch to me is like 498 00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:26,160 Speaker 3: like wow, Like, I mean it was better last year, 499 00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:29,000 Speaker 3: but this year it's like hitter, I mean, hitters are 500 00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:32,639 Speaker 3: feasting on that pitch. They have Luisa Rise's batting averagering 501 00:25:32,680 --> 00:25:34,719 Speaker 3: three fifty eight on that pitch against him. So like, 502 00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:38,760 Speaker 3: I don't know if maybe that's like something that maybe 503 00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:41,560 Speaker 3: the the ops team will look at this offseason and 504 00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 3: be like, all right, like his track record suggests that 505 00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,480 Speaker 3: this pitch may just kind of like have worn out. 506 00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:48,560 Speaker 3: It's welcome because it just doesn't look like it's an 507 00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:51,240 Speaker 3: effective offering that at this point, I. 508 00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:53,359 Speaker 2: Don't think he even used it in his last adding 509 00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:57,119 Speaker 2: from what I can see, so that's not I do 510 00:25:57,200 --> 00:25:58,840 Speaker 2: agree that that seems to be like a weak link 511 00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:00,800 Speaker 2: in it. And yet even when he kind of makes 512 00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:02,879 Speaker 2: that adjustment, even when he's now toying around with this 513 00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:06,600 Speaker 2: cutter potentially as being a part of his mix, like, 514 00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:08,119 Speaker 2: it's still not. 515 00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:09,440 Speaker 1: It didn't make a. 516 00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:12,720 Speaker 2: Difference ultimately in his most recent flop that he had, 517 00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:15,960 Speaker 2: So it is. Yeah, it is like there's a really 518 00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:19,800 Speaker 2: complicated issue that he's having right now, and he's trying 519 00:26:19,800 --> 00:26:24,960 Speaker 2: to make adjustments, and the Marlins have tried to make 520 00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:27,960 Speaker 2: him as comfortable as possible by pairing him exclusively with 521 00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:30,879 Speaker 2: Nick Vortez. He's always thrown to the same guy, the 522 00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:32,280 Speaker 2: one who had a lot of success with him of 523 00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:33,920 Speaker 2: course in the first half of the season, and from 524 00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:37,320 Speaker 2: us last year as well, So there's nothing really new 525 00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:41,840 Speaker 2: when it comes to that either. But other than that, 526 00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:44,280 Speaker 2: I mean, the next couple of matchups, what he's about 527 00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:46,920 Speaker 2: to face the Padres as we're recording this, and then 528 00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:50,280 Speaker 2: the next matchup after that would be well against the 529 00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:52,400 Speaker 2: Dot against whoever they play. 530 00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:58,000 Speaker 3: I don't know the rains, yes, the rules, yeah, I 531 00:26:58,000 --> 00:26:58,280 Speaker 3: don't know. 532 00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:01,000 Speaker 2: I'm not going to speculate too much on that with him, 533 00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:03,760 Speaker 2: but I mean, either way, as long as he just 534 00:27:04,160 --> 00:27:06,040 Speaker 2: stays available the rest of the year, this has been 535 00:27:06,520 --> 00:27:09,280 Speaker 2: an important stepping stone for him to at least be 536 00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:11,679 Speaker 2: able to make these starts every scheduled start. He's the 537 00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:14,359 Speaker 2: only guy in this rotation that has made every single 538 00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:17,880 Speaker 2: scheduled start, even Sandy got scratched one time, Braxton didn't 539 00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:20,439 Speaker 2: start the year in the rotation. For Lozardo to at 540 00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:25,320 Speaker 2: least stay in his normal routine throughout the entire year, 541 00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:28,240 Speaker 2: for a guy that had this well earned reputation for 542 00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:31,920 Speaker 2: not being durable, I mean, that's been the silver lining 543 00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:32,240 Speaker 2: to it. 544 00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:35,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, And I wanted to ask you, Lewis, as we're 545 00:27:35,800 --> 00:27:38,879 Speaker 1: finishing up on Luzarn, I'm looking up some of his 546 00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:43,040 Speaker 1: stats on Fangrafts, really looking up the second half. There 547 00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:44,960 Speaker 1: were only like two numbers that really stand out to 548 00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:47,480 Speaker 1: me in terms of just how he's been performing this 549 00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:51,920 Speaker 1: second half. You could go his walks per nine, going 550 00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:53,880 Speaker 1: from two point two to two in the. 551 00:27:53,800 --> 00:27:56,520 Speaker 3: First half to almost doubling to four. 552 00:27:56,600 --> 00:27:59,400 Speaker 1: Zero point five, just showing how many walks he's been 553 00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:02,640 Speaker 1: giving up for nine innings, and then another one will 554 00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:05,200 Speaker 1: be his babbit, the babub he's giving up the players 555 00:28:05,240 --> 00:28:08,359 Speaker 1: is three seventy, which is almost kind of like Mike 556 00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:12,960 Speaker 1: Trout esque numbers as a hitter, just when I tell 557 00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:15,720 Speaker 1: you these numbers four point five walks per nine and 558 00:28:15,760 --> 00:28:19,480 Speaker 1: his babbit as a pitcher going up these guys is 559 00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:22,439 Speaker 1: a three seven compared to three fifteen in the first half. 560 00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:25,880 Speaker 1: What does that tell you about Luzardo or maybe key 561 00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:30,200 Speaker 1: aspects of his second half pitching that have maybe faltered 562 00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:32,440 Speaker 1: to the wayside in terms of his walks per nine 563 00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:35,119 Speaker 1: and where his babbit is compared to the beginning of 564 00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:35,480 Speaker 1: the year. 565 00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:38,040 Speaker 3: I think that just kind of gets back to this idea. 566 00:28:40,040 --> 00:28:41,960 Speaker 3: I think that just gets back to this idea of 567 00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:46,280 Speaker 3: general fatigue because you look at the FIP and it's 568 00:28:46,320 --> 00:28:47,120 Speaker 3: not that much better. 569 00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:47,320 Speaker 2: Now. 570 00:28:47,360 --> 00:28:49,880 Speaker 3: I believe his ex fit may be slightly better, just 571 00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:52,480 Speaker 3: as the way that Sandy's is about a run below 572 00:28:52,520 --> 00:28:57,600 Speaker 3: what is his FIP is his actual FIP is. But again, 573 00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:00,000 Speaker 3: I just think he's just you know, when he's missed 574 00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:05,480 Speaker 3: his pit with his slider and he's kind of and listen, 575 00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:08,360 Speaker 3: maybe my hypothesis about doing away with the singer wasn't 576 00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:12,000 Speaker 3: a good thing because he like, I'm looking at his 577 00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:15,040 Speaker 3: pitch breakdown now, and he's not throwing it that much anyway, 578 00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:19,360 Speaker 3: He's still kind of getting rattled around. Yeah, I mean, 579 00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:22,640 Speaker 3: if you're allowing a three ten babbitt, you're you're either 580 00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:25,120 Speaker 3: in the midst of some bad luck or you're just 581 00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:28,440 Speaker 3: kind of just you're just struggling. And I would I 582 00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:31,200 Speaker 3: would be more concerned with him because we've seen with 583 00:29:31,280 --> 00:29:35,120 Speaker 3: Wizardo that he's had periods of his command abandoning him 584 00:29:35,760 --> 00:29:38,880 Speaker 3: and I have you know, if you look at film, 585 00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:43,760 Speaker 3: maybe that's abandoned. His mechanics have somewhat abandoned themselves. But 586 00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:46,200 Speaker 3: I don't know. I mean, like he had that bad 587 00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:50,400 Speaker 3: person against Houston and then everything else was that. I 588 00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:52,280 Speaker 3: felt like that that just felt like a culmination of 589 00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:56,680 Speaker 3: just him pitching poorly. So I can't really assess anything 590 00:29:56,720 --> 00:30:00,200 Speaker 3: beyond that. I mean, I just think that he's just 591 00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:02,520 Speaker 3: just going through one of those bad periods. And that's 592 00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:04,040 Speaker 3: coming from a guy who I thought, you know, was 593 00:30:04,040 --> 00:30:05,760 Speaker 3: saying he was gonna be like a dark horse eye 594 00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:07,960 Speaker 3: young candidate, and now he's kind of sitting here, like, 595 00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:11,560 Speaker 3: you know, flirving with a league average era And I 596 00:30:11,560 --> 00:30:14,440 Speaker 3: don't know, he it's you know, it'd be nice to 597 00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:16,600 Speaker 3: see him turn around. I mean, Blake's now to me 598 00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:19,960 Speaker 3: is literally the same pitcher that he is, although he's 599 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:23,560 Speaker 3: having a lot better results, you know, high walks and 600 00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:29,560 Speaker 3: high strikeout totals. But I'm not sure. I mean, I think, 601 00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:32,520 Speaker 3: you know, it's not encouraging that he's not pitching good 602 00:30:32,600 --> 00:30:36,720 Speaker 3: against good opponents. Although that start against the Rangers wasn't terrible. 603 00:30:36,760 --> 00:30:38,520 Speaker 3: I mean it was still six innings of three run ball. 604 00:30:38,560 --> 00:30:42,280 Speaker 3: That's not all that bad. But at the end of 605 00:30:42,320 --> 00:30:45,880 Speaker 3: the day, like when you know you haven't thrown this 606 00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:48,960 Speaker 3: many innings before and you're going up against better competition 607 00:30:49,040 --> 00:30:52,760 Speaker 3: and you're not performing, that's something that suggests that, you know, 608 00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:55,200 Speaker 3: like you know, he could be a key cog and 609 00:30:55,360 --> 00:30:57,080 Speaker 3: why they maybe don't go in the playoffs in the 610 00:30:57,080 --> 00:31:01,320 Speaker 3: second half because he's has struggled and there's been very 611 00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:04,240 Speaker 3: little light through the darkness that is that prolonged period 612 00:31:04,280 --> 00:31:05,680 Speaker 3: of poor performance. 613 00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:12,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, and with Lozardo again looking up more of his stats, 614 00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:16,360 Speaker 1: home runs per nine up from zero point nine nine 615 00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:19,120 Speaker 1: first half to two point eight nine in the second half, 616 00:31:19,160 --> 00:31:21,360 Speaker 1: and you mentioned his ex fip is x FIP on 617 00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:24,640 Speaker 1: the year is a three point seventy four, which is 618 00:31:24,800 --> 00:31:28,680 Speaker 1: just about a little higher than what his regular FIP 619 00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:34,240 Speaker 1: is and Era and Eli. When talking about Lozardo, we 620 00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:37,320 Speaker 1: mentioned Sandy and how you think he'll just return almost 621 00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:40,840 Speaker 1: kind of to form or what we expect for him 622 00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:44,320 Speaker 1: in this season, how he's been doing and with Lozardo, 623 00:31:44,360 --> 00:31:47,400 Speaker 1: do you the way how he's been performing. 624 00:31:47,040 --> 00:31:47,840 Speaker 3: The second half. 625 00:31:48,520 --> 00:31:50,400 Speaker 1: Is there a way for him to go back to 626 00:31:50,560 --> 00:31:52,840 Speaker 1: the picture we saw in the first half or is 627 00:31:52,840 --> 00:31:56,840 Speaker 1: that almost almost a lost Cops were just taking someone 628 00:31:57,080 --> 00:31:59,520 Speaker 1: who can maybe get a four ERA and everything like that. 629 00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:03,920 Speaker 2: This is now an extended period of mediocrity that he 630 00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:06,600 Speaker 2: hasn't had since late twenty twenty one. When he was 631 00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:08,760 Speaker 2: going through it. In twenty twenty one, the Marlins weren't 632 00:32:08,760 --> 00:32:11,120 Speaker 2: playing for anything, so there was just no weight on 633 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,880 Speaker 2: his shoulders, even though he was struggling at a similar 634 00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:17,240 Speaker 2: clip in August and September of that year when he 635 00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:22,680 Speaker 2: first arrived to Miami. So it's a different problem for 636 00:32:22,760 --> 00:32:26,120 Speaker 2: him to face and for him to overcome. Right here, 637 00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:27,640 Speaker 2: the only thing point to is that he has this 638 00:32:27,760 --> 00:32:33,200 Speaker 2: now pretty lengthy track record of being far above average 639 00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:37,200 Speaker 2: picture prior to this recent slump that he can fall 640 00:32:37,240 --> 00:32:41,200 Speaker 2: back on, and he's going during a period where I 641 00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:43,400 Speaker 2: guess all you can point to is that it's a 642 00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:46,280 Speaker 2: time where the Marlins have had frequent off days, so 643 00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:49,120 Speaker 2: more often than not, he's going to have extra rest 644 00:32:49,160 --> 00:32:52,400 Speaker 2: compared to what you'd ordinarily have if there is any 645 00:32:52,400 --> 00:32:56,600 Speaker 2: concern about his physical well being, I think that can 646 00:32:56,680 --> 00:32:59,360 Speaker 2: only help the fact that he'll have a little bit 647 00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:01,280 Speaker 2: more rest than he had for most of his outings 648 00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:04,480 Speaker 2: during the first half of the season. Going in between 649 00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:08,680 Speaker 2: what I mentioned before about how he's struggling from the 650 00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:11,120 Speaker 2: get go. When some of these starts, it's happening early on. 651 00:33:11,720 --> 00:33:14,360 Speaker 2: That's what makes it difficult for the team to protect him. 652 00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:16,560 Speaker 2: Like if this was an issue like early in the 653 00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:18,720 Speaker 2: year where he was running to wall the third time 654 00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:20,520 Speaker 2: through the lineup. This is the time of the year, 655 00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:22,920 Speaker 2: especially when rosters expand, where you can protect him or 656 00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:25,040 Speaker 2: you just don't need to push him deep into games. 657 00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:29,040 Speaker 2: But when he's struggling so much early on, that's I 658 00:33:29,040 --> 00:33:30,720 Speaker 2: guess the only thing you could try to do is 659 00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:33,680 Speaker 2: experiment with having an opener in front of him in 660 00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:38,720 Speaker 2: some situations as well. I don't see the team going 661 00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:43,480 Speaker 2: necessarily in that direction though, So yeah, I would. I'm 662 00:33:43,520 --> 00:33:46,400 Speaker 2: not as confident in him as I am with Sandy 663 00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:48,560 Speaker 2: in terms of what to expect moving forward, mainly just 664 00:33:48,600 --> 00:33:52,440 Speaker 2: because this is a foreign situation for him when you 665 00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:53,960 Speaker 2: take all the factors into account. 666 00:33:55,560 --> 00:33:59,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, so that's going to be that for Hayston Cizzardo. 667 00:34:00,320 --> 00:34:02,520 Speaker 1: And we're gonna go ahead and talk about another picture 668 00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:05,040 Speaker 1: from the Marlins, and this one newly acquired in the 669 00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:08,120 Speaker 1: trade deadline. So for this one, do you guys want 670 00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:11,680 Speaker 1: to go more in his post first half, second half, 671 00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:14,560 Speaker 1: or maybe his time with the Mets and compared it 672 00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:16,759 Speaker 1: to the Marlins with David Robertson, How do you guys 673 00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:19,719 Speaker 1: want to go about this one? Because it's it's kind 674 00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:22,799 Speaker 1: of tricky in terms of it. You look at his 675 00:34:23,080 --> 00:34:26,000 Speaker 1: time with the Marlins eight innings, his e ra A 676 00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:29,759 Speaker 1: is a seven point eight eight, his FIP is a 677 00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:35,840 Speaker 1: six six', four just not with The marlins wanted when trading. 678 00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:38,400 Speaker 1: HIM i Know Alex carver will talk about this forever 679 00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:41,560 Speaker 1: if he, could and those players that they traded, Away 680 00:34:41,560 --> 00:34:44,439 Speaker 1: but how would you guys like to go About David. 681 00:34:44,520 --> 00:34:46,759 Speaker 1: Robertson there's not. 682 00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:49,799 Speaker 2: A big difference between those two areas to divide, it 683 00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:53,520 Speaker 2: just because he had made four appearances between The All 684 00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:57,080 Speaker 2: Star break and the. Trade The mets weren't using him very. 685 00:34:57,120 --> 00:34:59,480 Speaker 2: OFTEN a lot of that because The mets were, terrible 686 00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:01,480 Speaker 2: and they were and the position to actually use a 687 00:35:01,520 --> 00:35:05,480 Speaker 2: closer to finish off games during that, Span so that's 688 00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:10,880 Speaker 2: part of it as. Well, yeah with, him it is 689 00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:14,479 Speaker 2: such a small sample that it's hard to really reach 690 00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:17,880 Speaker 2: any strong conclusions about. It we know there's three notable 691 00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:20,440 Speaker 2: screw ups that he. Had the one against The PHILLIES i, 692 00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:24,319 Speaker 2: think which was his second appearance with the, team and 693 00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:28,480 Speaker 2: that ended up turning A sandy win that they were 694 00:35:28,480 --> 00:35:31,760 Speaker 2: in ligned for into a heartbreaking. Loss then again against 695 00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:34,480 Speaker 2: The phillies in that same, series he allowed a go 696 00:35:34,480 --> 00:35:36,440 Speaker 2: ahead home run and the team was able to overcome 697 00:35:36,440 --> 00:35:39,800 Speaker 2: that next r. Innings and then most recently against The, 698 00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:46,040 Speaker 2: dodgers were allowing three runs in an, ending a combination 699 00:35:46,200 --> 00:35:51,160 Speaker 2: of bad control and also just balls and play going 700 00:35:51,200 --> 00:35:54,040 Speaker 2: against them in that. Aspect to reach us to this, 701 00:35:54,080 --> 00:35:56,479 Speaker 2: point but it is fair to scrutinize him just because 702 00:35:56,480 --> 00:35:58,640 Speaker 2: the standard is so. High like he was a lot 703 00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:00,680 Speaker 2: of ways you could slice. It he was maybe the 704 00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:03,960 Speaker 2: best reliever that was actually moved at the deadline in 705 00:36:04,040 --> 00:36:07,480 Speaker 2: terms of the first half performance then E ra and 706 00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:09,680 Speaker 2: the low twos and a lot of success and high leveraged, 707 00:36:09,719 --> 00:36:13,520 Speaker 2: situations especially given his long track record his career heading 708 00:36:13,560 --> 00:36:16,279 Speaker 2: into this, Year, like, yeah he helped himself to a 709 00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:18,839 Speaker 2: very high. Standard so even having a month like he 710 00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:23,120 Speaker 2: has had since then in a small, sample like that's 711 00:36:23,160 --> 00:36:26,840 Speaker 2: notable because that's kind of unusual for him to struggle 712 00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:29,919 Speaker 2: at that type of. LEVEL i, mean WHAT i would 713 00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:32,319 Speaker 2: just point to is there it does seem to be 714 00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:36,360 Speaker 2: his control is not quite as sharp as it. Was 715 00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:38,759 Speaker 2: he is getting himself into bad. Counts there have been 716 00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:42,960 Speaker 2: a couple of times where non competitive walks or extending 717 00:36:43,040 --> 00:36:47,080 Speaker 2: endings or they are just putting him in poor count 718 00:36:47,120 --> 00:36:49,719 Speaker 2: situations where it makes him a little bit more. Predictable 719 00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:53,920 Speaker 2: and THEN i do remember that very first screw. Up 720 00:36:54,120 --> 00:36:56,560 Speaker 2: it may have been against The phillies when he allowed 721 00:36:56,680 --> 00:36:59,759 Speaker 2: a game winning home run To Nick, castillanos and IT'S 722 00:37:00,239 --> 00:37:02,880 Speaker 2: i hadn't actually noticed it at the, time but he 723 00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:06,239 Speaker 2: had this like really funny reaction to this moment as, 724 00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:09,040 Speaker 2: well like he knew immediately that he had screwed, Up 725 00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:14,480 Speaker 2: like doubles over in exasperation When casiano squares up that 726 00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:17,839 Speaker 2: ball and hits it out for a game deciding home. 727 00:37:17,920 --> 00:37:22,520 Speaker 2: Run so with, him when you look at his pitch 728 00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:25,160 Speaker 2: location throughout the, year with his, slider he throws both 729 00:37:25,200 --> 00:37:29,320 Speaker 2: a curveball and a. Slider he has had some instances 730 00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:31,799 Speaker 2: this year where he leaves that slider over the middle 731 00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:34,440 Speaker 2: of the, plate and that just makes it really. Hittable 732 00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:37,880 Speaker 2: like that's not necessarily a strength of his. Game he 733 00:37:37,960 --> 00:37:40,279 Speaker 2: wants guys to chase his breaking ball below the, zone 734 00:37:40,560 --> 00:37:42,520 Speaker 2: and when he leaves it towards the middle of the, 735 00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:46,920 Speaker 2: plate it is a very hitable pitch with. Him SO 736 00:37:46,960 --> 00:37:49,960 Speaker 2: i would chalk most of this up to just getting 737 00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:52,240 Speaker 2: into bad. Counts and then even when he is throwing, 738 00:37:52,239 --> 00:37:55,680 Speaker 2: strikes his command isn't as precise as as it once, 739 00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:58,640 Speaker 2: was and that's, yeah that's leading to some pretty crucial 740 00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:03,719 Speaker 2: errors that this when it made him a negative contributor 741 00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:05,560 Speaker 2: to this team so, far despite all that they gave 742 00:38:05,640 --> 00:38:06,000 Speaker 2: up to get. 743 00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:09,080 Speaker 3: Him, yeah you kind of took the words right out 744 00:38:09,080 --> 00:38:10,879 Speaker 3: of my mouth as far as the command not being. 745 00:38:10,960 --> 00:38:14,200 Speaker 3: There and you also have to remember, too Like, robertson 746 00:38:14,200 --> 00:38:17,200 Speaker 3: as great as he has, been hasn't always even been a. 747 00:38:17,200 --> 00:38:20,640 Speaker 3: CLOSER i remember he closed in a pinch a few 748 00:38:20,640 --> 00:38:24,680 Speaker 3: times for The yankees and prior, years AND i believe 749 00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:28,960 Speaker 3: he closed primarily with The White, sox but even before, 750 00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:30,760 Speaker 3: that you, know he was kind of like a middle, 751 00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:35,680 Speaker 3: reliever seventh eighth inning. Guy and we also have to remember, 752 00:38:35,719 --> 00:38:37,719 Speaker 3: too he doesn't throw ninety. Eight he was never one 753 00:38:37,760 --> 00:38:39,920 Speaker 3: of those high octane. Guys he was always kind of 754 00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:43,880 Speaker 3: a location, first you, know good cutter guy that he 755 00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:48,080 Speaker 3: got by. With you, know he balanced command and missing, 756 00:38:48,120 --> 00:38:51,120 Speaker 3: bats and he was a very rare example that the, 757 00:38:51,160 --> 00:38:54,360 Speaker 3: bullpen especially because he doesn't didn't never necessarily had to 758 00:38:54,440 --> 00:38:59,719 Speaker 3: be overwhelming. Stuff you, know to see him, walk anybody 759 00:38:59,800 --> 00:39:02,759 Speaker 3: is range because his. Mechanics if you watch footage of 760 00:39:02,840 --> 00:39:05,400 Speaker 3: him from two thousand and eight when he, was you, 761 00:39:05,440 --> 00:39:08,000 Speaker 3: know a baby in the big, leagues and you watch him, 762 00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:11,040 Speaker 3: now his delivery is just about the. Same like he's 763 00:39:11,120 --> 00:39:14,640 Speaker 3: kind of held he's maintained a very almost Like Mario 764 00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:18,440 Speaker 3: rivera Az ca ability to be very consistent with his. 765 00:39:18,520 --> 00:39:21,840 Speaker 3: Delivery and the problem is is when you're throwing ninety 766 00:39:21,960 --> 00:39:26,919 Speaker 3: two to ninety three and you're missing and you're gonna 767 00:39:27,000 --> 00:39:28,799 Speaker 3: you know it's gonna. Hurt the funny thing, is, too 768 00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:32,839 Speaker 3: The marlins really haven't been hurt too bad by way 769 00:39:32,880 --> 00:39:35,359 Speaker 3: of him not being, great because there's six and two 770 00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:37,520 Speaker 3: in those games that he has pitched. In to be, 771 00:39:37,560 --> 00:39:39,520 Speaker 3: fair one of them was an eleven to three blowout 772 00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:40,959 Speaker 3: that he just kind of needed to get some work 773 00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:44,799 Speaker 3: in against The dodgers On. Friday but at the end 774 00:39:44,840 --> 00:39:49,520 Speaker 3: of the, day it is concerning too that as great 775 00:39:49,560 --> 00:39:53,200 Speaker 3: As robertson, is that The marlins kind of initially before 776 00:39:53,200 --> 00:39:55,880 Speaker 3: The burger And bell, acquisitions were banking on him as 777 00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:59,680 Speaker 3: like he's gonna be this savior to an inconsistent. Bullpen 778 00:40:00,040 --> 00:40:02,959 Speaker 3: and you know, what The Fernando rodney comparisons are, apt 779 00:40:03,080 --> 00:40:05,640 Speaker 3: although if you look At rodney's first eight games with The, 780 00:40:05,680 --> 00:40:08,080 Speaker 3: marlins they were actually a lot. Better he give up 781 00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:11,440 Speaker 3: about three runs in those in those, appearances And robertson's 782 00:40:11,480 --> 00:40:14,879 Speaker 3: given up about seven or eight seven earned an eight. 783 00:40:14,960 --> 00:40:19,120 Speaker 3: TOTAL i, MEAN i think he'll figure something. OUT i 784 00:40:19,360 --> 00:40:22,160 Speaker 3: do need to remind other, people, though that there was 785 00:40:22,200 --> 00:40:23,680 Speaker 3: a time a couple of years ago when he was 786 00:40:23,719 --> 00:40:26,680 Speaker 3: just about out of the big leagues entirely, so BECAUSE 787 00:40:26,680 --> 00:40:28,040 Speaker 3: i believe he signed a two year day with The. 788 00:40:28,040 --> 00:40:32,640 Speaker 3: Phillies he pitched a few, games Had Tommy john and 789 00:40:32,680 --> 00:40:34,759 Speaker 3: then he kind of went, away and everyone's, like Is 790 00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:37,919 Speaker 3: David robertson? Done and he comes back and he kind 791 00:40:37,920 --> 00:40:41,080 Speaker 3: of he's, had you, know almost like a second life of, 792 00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:43,360 Speaker 3: course revived by The, rays and then he returns to 793 00:40:43,400 --> 00:40:45,920 Speaker 3: The philly and is great the next. Year BUT i 794 00:40:45,960 --> 00:40:47,960 Speaker 3: still think there's a lot of volatility with a guy 795 00:40:48,000 --> 00:40:52,320 Speaker 3: who doesn't overpower, you and he's a guy who gets 796 00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:55,120 Speaker 3: by on guyl in. Command and the thing is is 797 00:40:55,160 --> 00:40:57,960 Speaker 3: like his right to fit is very much in that. 798 00:40:58,000 --> 00:41:00,640 Speaker 3: Ballpark you, could you, know you can serve minds that 799 00:41:00,680 --> 00:41:03,000 Speaker 3: he's his struggles are just kind of bringing his ur 800 00:41:03,200 --> 00:41:05,440 Speaker 3: closer to what HIS fipp suggests he's been for a 801 00:41:05,440 --> 00:41:07,279 Speaker 3: majority of the, year and maybe he ends more as 802 00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:10,520 Speaker 3: a three to five guy and rather than a you, 803 00:41:10,520 --> 00:41:13,040 Speaker 3: know a sub two guy that we've seen him be 804 00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:17,000 Speaker 3: at various points throughout his. Career SO i don't, know it's. 805 00:41:17,040 --> 00:41:20,240 Speaker 3: CONCERNING i don't know IF i want to change closer, 806 00:41:20,320 --> 00:41:23,279 Speaker 3: yet because Like puck and His puck has seemingly done 807 00:41:23,320 --> 00:41:27,520 Speaker 3: better in these quote unquote lower leverage, situations you, know 808 00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:30,120 Speaker 3: getting it out here to end an inning and then 809 00:41:30,239 --> 00:41:33,320 Speaker 3: starting in inning fresh and you, know the ninth. Inning you, 810 00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:36,400 Speaker 3: know the troubles of the ninth inning don't necessarily phase, 811 00:41:36,480 --> 00:41:38,560 Speaker 3: him but that just goes to show, you you, know 812 00:41:38,680 --> 00:41:41,440 Speaker 3: closing is a different. ANIMAL i, mean good, example if 813 00:41:41,440 --> 00:41:43,840 Speaker 3: you're A marlins, fan you Remember kyle Bear claw was 814 00:41:44,000 --> 00:41:46,560 Speaker 3: electric in the seventh and the eighth, inning striking out you, 815 00:41:46,560 --> 00:41:49,920 Speaker 3: know thirteen fourteen guys per. Nine but then when you 816 00:41:49,960 --> 00:41:52,040 Speaker 3: throw him into the ninth, inning and we even saw 817 00:41:52,080 --> 00:41:54,960 Speaker 3: that at early points At Sea stick, too your equilibrium 818 00:41:55,000 --> 00:41:57,319 Speaker 3: kind of gets thrown. Off it's you, know it's more 819 00:41:57,360 --> 00:42:00,920 Speaker 3: make or break than anything. Else you. Know roberson's EXPERIENCE 820 00:42:01,040 --> 00:42:04,520 Speaker 3: i think will prove maybe to be better for The 821 00:42:04,560 --> 00:42:07,359 Speaker 3: marlins than what we've got for the most part with those. 822 00:42:07,400 --> 00:42:10,759 Speaker 3: Guys BUT i still think that there is. Volatility he 823 00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:12,840 Speaker 3: also to, remember he's thirty. Eight he's been in the 824 00:42:12,880 --> 00:42:18,920 Speaker 3: big leagues, forever so there's the track, Record but then 825 00:42:18,920 --> 00:42:22,480 Speaker 3: there's also the fact that he's just so old and you, 826 00:42:22,520 --> 00:42:26,360 Speaker 3: know by baseball standards that this could this could you, 827 00:42:26,400 --> 00:42:28,920 Speaker 3: know fall and hit hit The marlins like a you, 828 00:42:28,960 --> 00:42:31,480 Speaker 3: know rake in a face kind of. Situation but you, 829 00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:33,799 Speaker 3: KNOW i think he's been so good for so long 830 00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:36,640 Speaker 3: that part of me is still holding out and thinks 831 00:42:36,680 --> 00:42:38,799 Speaker 3: that he'll Be he'll be fine in the long, run 832 00:42:38,880 --> 00:42:41,799 Speaker 3: but they do need him to be better than he 833 00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:42,520 Speaker 3: has been for. 834 00:42:42,560 --> 00:42:48,120 Speaker 1: Sure, Yeah and With robertson the way he's been, Performing 835 00:42:49,560 --> 00:42:52,239 Speaker 1: let's say he might gives another performance like he did 836 00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:57,399 Speaker 1: in his last, Outing how would you guys view him 837 00:42:57,480 --> 00:43:00,799 Speaker 1: the rest of the way or maybe how how what 838 00:43:00,960 --> 00:43:02,680 Speaker 1: the length of his lead so you have a short 839 00:43:02,719 --> 00:43:05,720 Speaker 1: lead to the relatively long once because he was traded 840 00:43:05,760 --> 00:43:07,719 Speaker 1: for and the players that they gave up for, Him 841 00:43:08,560 --> 00:43:11,719 Speaker 1: at what point is there or at any, point is 842 00:43:11,760 --> 00:43:16,120 Speaker 1: there a way to Go marlon's maybe new, closer put 843 00:43:16,200 --> 00:43:19,600 Speaker 1: someone else in, there or no matter What David robertson puts, 844 00:43:19,640 --> 00:43:21,000 Speaker 1: out he will be the closer for The. 845 00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:23,960 Speaker 2: Marlins WHAT i think is clear is that he's not 846 00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:26,480 Speaker 2: the best reliever on this, team AND i don't know 847 00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:28,280 Speaker 2: if there's a path for him to be it Unless 848 00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:32,000 Speaker 2: Tanner scott falls. Off Because scott has been amazing this 849 00:43:32,160 --> 00:43:36,400 Speaker 2: year and the reason the context behind his most Recent 850 00:43:36,480 --> 00:43:40,000 Speaker 2: robertson's most recent blown save is that he was pitching 851 00:43:40,040 --> 00:43:42,000 Speaker 2: in the eighth inning because they wanted to Use Tanner 852 00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:44,680 Speaker 2: scott against the best, hitters and The dodgers lineup in 853 00:43:44,719 --> 00:43:47,480 Speaker 2: the ninth that assuming That robertson could get through the. 854 00:43:47,560 --> 00:43:51,040 Speaker 2: Eighth so it's already clear that roberts is not number 855 00:43:51,040 --> 00:43:52,640 Speaker 2: one in this. Bullpen you can even make the case 856 00:43:52,719 --> 00:43:54,920 Speaker 2: as to whether him Or Andrew nardi is the one 857 00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:58,360 Speaker 2: you'd rather have Behind scott in the second most important. 858 00:43:58,360 --> 00:44:04,000 Speaker 2: Situations that itself is already relatively. Clear SO i am 859 00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:06,640 Speaker 2: hopeful AND i would be supportive if they've reached a 860 00:44:06,640 --> 00:44:10,400 Speaker 2: point Where scott simply is the guy that faces the 861 00:44:10,480 --> 00:44:14,399 Speaker 2: toughest hitters in those late, situations and THAT i don't 862 00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:16,919 Speaker 2: think at the moment That robertson is the full time 863 00:44:17,000 --> 00:44:19,640 Speaker 2: closer even, now that it will be a situation where 864 00:44:19,680 --> 00:44:23,800 Speaker 2: they recognize That scott has just been so terrifically consistent 865 00:44:23,840 --> 00:44:28,000 Speaker 2: throughout this year that he will be the one that 866 00:44:28,080 --> 00:44:30,239 Speaker 2: when they have an opportunity to choose between the two 867 00:44:30,560 --> 00:44:32,360 Speaker 2: in particular, matchups That scott will be the one that 868 00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:35,480 Speaker 2: simply faces the better, hitters especially if they hit from 869 00:44:35,680 --> 00:44:37,759 Speaker 2: the left. Side other than, that there's just not room 870 00:44:37,840 --> 00:44:40,440 Speaker 2: to drop him much farther in the pecking order than. 871 00:44:40,480 --> 00:44:42,960 Speaker 2: That the reason why they got him is because they 872 00:44:43,040 --> 00:44:46,040 Speaker 2: were thin on reliable right handed, relievers and they still. 873 00:44:46,080 --> 00:44:49,839 Speaker 2: Are The Jorge lopez trade has not panned out much 874 00:44:49,880 --> 00:44:53,560 Speaker 2: better than The robertson experience so. Far, Obviously Dylan flora 875 00:44:53,680 --> 00:44:56,799 Speaker 2: was traded to Get. Lopez Quasca brosabon is. Hurt we 876 00:44:56,800 --> 00:44:59,200 Speaker 2: don't know if he's coming back this. Year Matt burns is, 877 00:44:59,200 --> 00:45:03,040 Speaker 2: Out Matt barnes out for the. Year J. T shawgua 878 00:45:03,120 --> 00:45:04,799 Speaker 2: was about to come back from his, injury but he 879 00:45:04,840 --> 00:45:08,560 Speaker 2: wasn't pitching particularly well before. Then they're just they don't 880 00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:10,759 Speaker 2: have good, alternatives especially when it comes to guys from 881 00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:13,719 Speaker 2: the right. Side so With, robertson there's enough to like 882 00:45:13,760 --> 00:45:19,080 Speaker 2: about his stuff and his experience and THAT i think 883 00:45:19,080 --> 00:45:21,839 Speaker 2: he's can continue to receive important opportunities as long AS 884 00:45:21,920 --> 00:45:23,640 Speaker 2: i think everybody should be on the same page That 885 00:45:23,680 --> 00:45:26,520 Speaker 2: Tanner scott is the one who when we get super 886 00:45:26,600 --> 00:45:30,440 Speaker 2: late this year into absolutely must win game. SCENARIOS i 887 00:45:30,480 --> 00:45:34,880 Speaker 2: think Even Skip schumacher is gonna Be he's going to 888 00:45:34,920 --> 00:45:37,000 Speaker 2: go down with his very, best and his very best 889 00:45:37,040 --> 00:45:37,440 Speaker 2: Is Tanner. 890 00:45:37,440 --> 00:45:44,120 Speaker 1: Scott, yeah same question to, you lewis just how do 891 00:45:44,160 --> 00:45:47,600 Speaker 1: you View robertson now in this. Bullpen first when he 892 00:45:47,680 --> 00:45:49,439 Speaker 1: was getting when he was traded To, miami it seemed 893 00:45:49,440 --> 00:45:52,280 Speaker 1: like maybe he wasn't maybe the guy the right handed 894 00:45:53,120 --> 00:45:56,279 Speaker 1: reliever for The marlins to now where he's fallen out 895 00:45:56,280 --> 00:45:58,799 Speaker 1: almost out the pecking order for a closer compared to 896 00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:01,759 Speaker 1: The Tanner scott and Maybe Andrew. Nardi just how do 897 00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:03,440 Speaker 1: you See robertson along the? 898 00:46:03,440 --> 00:46:07,239 Speaker 3: WAY i, Mean i'll just kind of hit it back 899 00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:10,680 Speaker 3: to WHAT i said before and just kind of say 900 00:46:10,719 --> 00:46:13,960 Speaker 3: THAT i Think robertson's experience over everybody else will give 901 00:46:14,040 --> 00:46:16,359 Speaker 3: him a little bit more of a. Leash that being, 902 00:46:16,400 --> 00:46:21,000 Speaker 3: said you, know they've given how fragile the pitching staff 903 00:46:21,040 --> 00:46:23,160 Speaker 3: is as a whole right, now they don't really have 904 00:46:23,200 --> 00:46:26,200 Speaker 3: a lot of room to make. MISTAKES i think that 905 00:46:26,560 --> 00:46:31,520 Speaker 3: say tonight when recording this On, tuesday if The marlins 906 00:46:31,560 --> 00:46:32,759 Speaker 3: have a leader in the ninth he will be the 907 00:46:32,760 --> 00:46:35,440 Speaker 3: guy to get the ninth. Inning Tanner scott is your 908 00:46:35,480 --> 00:46:39,040 Speaker 3: best is your best. Reliever but even, then we remember 909 00:46:39,200 --> 00:46:42,479 Speaker 3: that he was terrible as a closer last, year and 910 00:46:42,600 --> 00:46:44,520 Speaker 3: a lot of that was because of one of the 911 00:46:44,560 --> 00:46:48,440 Speaker 3: things that is Plagued robertson in his Early marlin's, tenure 912 00:46:48,560 --> 00:46:52,000 Speaker 3: though not to the degree of that it Did, scott 913 00:46:52,080 --> 00:46:53,880 Speaker 3: who did this over a longer, sample and that's the 914 00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:57,239 Speaker 3: lack of. Command and if that abandoned, himself and we've 915 00:46:57,239 --> 00:47:00,799 Speaker 3: seen that he Has scott has been ble to, that 916 00:47:01,719 --> 00:47:04,240 Speaker 3: then you know there may need to be a. Change 917 00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:06,000 Speaker 3: the problem is is that at the beginning of the 918 00:47:06,000 --> 00:47:10,120 Speaker 3: Season skip said that the closer the role was going 919 00:47:10,200 --> 00:47:12,400 Speaker 3: to be closer by, committee and so that would suggest 920 00:47:12,400 --> 00:47:14,279 Speaker 3: a fluidity was going to be, there that there would 921 00:47:14,280 --> 00:47:17,600 Speaker 3: be a myriad of guys getting. Opportunities the only reason 922 00:47:17,600 --> 00:47:20,120 Speaker 3: we've really seen that is Because puck kind of lost 923 00:47:20,239 --> 00:47:23,399 Speaker 3: that role and Now. ROBERTSON i don't want to say 924 00:47:23,440 --> 00:47:26,919 Speaker 3: he's in danger of losing, it BUT i think they're 925 00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:30,400 Speaker 3: going to have to get creative if this doesn't somewhat 926 00:47:30,520 --> 00:47:33,480 Speaker 3: sort itself. OUT i think maybe he has two more 927 00:47:33,520 --> 00:47:37,800 Speaker 3: outings at most to put things together as A marlin 928 00:47:37,880 --> 00:47:40,839 Speaker 3: before they kind of pivot in the direction of maybe 929 00:47:40,880 --> 00:47:45,040 Speaker 3: giving somebody Like scott a shot again at least that, 930 00:47:45,080 --> 00:47:47,800 Speaker 3: closing because he hasn't really done it Under skip's. 931 00:47:47,800 --> 00:47:53,200 Speaker 1: Tenures, yeah and going From robertson really, quickly we can 932 00:47:53,280 --> 00:47:55,799 Speaker 1: mention SOME i, Know eli want to talk About Luis 933 00:47:55,920 --> 00:47:58,440 Speaker 1: arrayahs and just how he's been. PERFORMING i could tell 934 00:47:58,480 --> 00:48:01,960 Speaker 1: you really quickly his first and second, half first half 935 00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:04,160 Speaker 1: of the year three eighty, three four three, four four 936 00:48:04,280 --> 00:48:07,640 Speaker 1: seventy one for a nine to five ops to now 937 00:48:07,680 --> 00:48:09,839 Speaker 1: where he has gone down in every single one of those. 938 00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:14,080 Speaker 1: Categories obviously wasn't going to maintain a three eighty three batting, 939 00:48:14,120 --> 00:48:17,760 Speaker 1: average but still under three. Hundred maybe for What luisa 940 00:48:17,840 --> 00:48:21,000 Speaker 1: ries has to be given to The, marlins people may 941 00:48:21,320 --> 00:48:24,799 Speaker 1: expected a little more in terms of where he's at 942 00:48:24,840 --> 00:48:28,759 Speaker 1: and now two ninety seven three, nineteen four thirty five 943 00:48:28,760 --> 00:48:32,320 Speaker 1: slugging for a seven five four. Ops and probably the 944 00:48:32,360 --> 00:48:35,759 Speaker 1: most drastic number of them all in terms of how 945 00:48:35,800 --> 00:48:37,920 Speaker 1: he's fallen off in the first to second half will 946 00:48:37,960 --> 00:48:40,879 Speaker 1: be that on base percentage going from four thirty four 947 00:48:41,000 --> 00:48:44,719 Speaker 1: to a three point, nineteen just not walking as, much 948 00:48:44,800 --> 00:48:48,000 Speaker 1: striking out more than he's walking in the second, half 949 00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:50,919 Speaker 1: and just one HUNDRED i, believe one hundred and twenty 950 00:48:50,920 --> 00:48:54,120 Speaker 1: one hundred and fifteen point difference in terms of his 951 00:48:54,200 --> 00:48:58,920 Speaker 1: on base. Percentage, So, eli With larise our, eyes just 952 00:48:59,040 --> 00:49:03,520 Speaker 1: what is going on with him with the potential silver 953 00:49:03,560 --> 00:49:04,400 Speaker 1: slugger batting. 954 00:49:04,480 --> 00:49:09,239 Speaker 2: Chat, well the story Of, arise what makes him a 955 00:49:09,280 --> 00:49:12,080 Speaker 2: freak is that not only does he make incredible contact 956 00:49:12,680 --> 00:49:15,600 Speaker 2: with in terms of the frequency of his, contact but 957 00:49:15,719 --> 00:49:18,040 Speaker 2: he always finds holes in the. Defense and that's the 958 00:49:18,080 --> 00:49:20,080 Speaker 2: thing that is just not the latter part is not 959 00:49:20,120 --> 00:49:23,279 Speaker 2: happening over this last month or, so where his babbet 960 00:49:23,440 --> 00:49:26,560 Speaker 2: has gone so far down as we have a chart 961 00:49:26,600 --> 00:49:29,760 Speaker 2: on the YouTube version where it's like almost league average 962 00:49:29,840 --> 00:49:31,920 Speaker 2: over the last thirty games or so in terms of 963 00:49:31,960 --> 00:49:35,960 Speaker 2: his babbit down to three poh nine during this thirty game, 964 00:49:35,960 --> 00:49:39,120 Speaker 2: sample whereas league averages in the high two nineties with. 965 00:49:39,239 --> 00:49:42,920 Speaker 2: Him SO i don't think there's really a deep issue 966 00:49:42,960 --> 00:49:45,759 Speaker 2: here other than it's a little bit of regression to the. 967 00:49:45,880 --> 00:49:48,840 Speaker 2: Mean he was a guy that was babbitting in the 968 00:49:48,840 --> 00:49:51,440 Speaker 2: four hundreds for a good portion of this, year and 969 00:49:51,520 --> 00:49:53,680 Speaker 2: nobody really does that over the course of a qualified, 970 00:49:53,719 --> 00:49:57,000 Speaker 2: season especially if they're not hitting the ball, hard Which 971 00:49:57,120 --> 00:50:00,520 Speaker 2: arise doesn't quite. Do So, yeah this he isn't really a. 972 00:50:00,520 --> 00:50:03,360 Speaker 2: SURPRISE i think most of us saw this, coming that 973 00:50:03,640 --> 00:50:05,719 Speaker 2: he's probably gonna win a batting. Title it's just he's 974 00:50:05,719 --> 00:50:07,799 Speaker 2: not going to flirt with four hundred while he's doing 975 00:50:07,840 --> 00:50:09,839 Speaker 2: it like this could be a career year for, him 976 00:50:09,920 --> 00:50:11,399 Speaker 2: and yet it's still would. 977 00:50:11,480 --> 00:50:12,640 Speaker 1: Not he didn't really have. 978 00:50:12,680 --> 00:50:15,560 Speaker 2: A chance of maintaining what he was doing before. That 979 00:50:16,320 --> 00:50:18,640 Speaker 2: we're still getting the best version of. Himself it's just 980 00:50:19,440 --> 00:50:21,480 Speaker 2: water is kind of finding its level a little bit 981 00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:25,000 Speaker 2: with this, Approach like this approach still has a relatively 982 00:50:25,239 --> 00:50:27,640 Speaker 2: there is a ceiling on what you can accomplish with 983 00:50:27,719 --> 00:50:29,920 Speaker 2: the skill set that he. Has he just don't crush 984 00:50:29,960 --> 00:50:32,959 Speaker 2: the ball and you certainly very rarely hit the ball 985 00:50:33,000 --> 00:50:35,040 Speaker 2: over the wall in, fact BUT i do think the 986 00:50:35,080 --> 00:50:36,799 Speaker 2: longest home run that he has hit in the big 987 00:50:36,880 --> 00:50:39,680 Speaker 2: leagues that actually happened during the second half slump is 988 00:50:39,800 --> 00:50:41,560 Speaker 2: that he did show that he could still launch it 989 00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:46,239 Speaker 2: four hundred feet under very particular circumstances with, HIM i 990 00:50:46,280 --> 00:50:48,080 Speaker 2: did just want to acknowledge it on the show because 991 00:50:48,120 --> 00:50:50,439 Speaker 2: that is a, clear big split between the first half 992 00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:53,520 Speaker 2: and the second. Half and The marlins have gotten good 993 00:50:53,560 --> 00:50:56,520 Speaker 2: offense from a couple of their, bats including the new 994 00:50:56,560 --> 00:50:59,040 Speaker 2: Guys Josh bell And Jake, berger but the reason why 995 00:50:59,040 --> 00:51:02,760 Speaker 2: the offense as a whole isn't performing at a great level. 996 00:51:02,840 --> 00:51:05,160 Speaker 2: Consistently one of the big reasons why is simply That 997 00:51:05,200 --> 00:51:08,839 Speaker 2: ariz is no longer. Superhuman that he's come back. Down 998 00:51:09,160 --> 00:51:12,760 Speaker 2: SO i do expect him, to if nothing, else revert 999 00:51:12,800 --> 00:51:15,040 Speaker 2: to his career. AVERAGES i expect him to be better 1000 00:51:15,080 --> 00:51:16,680 Speaker 2: than the three hundred hitter the rest of the, year 1001 00:51:17,440 --> 00:51:19,920 Speaker 2: but there are just limitations because he is so. Aggressive 1002 00:51:20,239 --> 00:51:22,120 Speaker 2: it's not going to walk very, Much he's not going 1003 00:51:22,160 --> 00:51:23,960 Speaker 2: to hit for much, power so it's going to BE 1004 00:51:24,080 --> 00:51:25,960 Speaker 2: i think he's still a three hundred hitter the rest 1005 00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:28,600 Speaker 2: of the, year but it'll be appairly empty three hundred. 1006 00:51:28,680 --> 00:51:31,080 Speaker 2: Hitter AND i think people should just adjust their expectations, 1007 00:51:31,080 --> 00:51:35,919 Speaker 2: accordingly and you'd hope That skip manages accordingly as, well 1008 00:51:36,120 --> 00:51:38,439 Speaker 2: and you, know not relying on him to always save 1009 00:51:38,520 --> 00:51:40,640 Speaker 2: the day and to carry the offense on his. Own 1010 00:51:40,719 --> 00:51:42,600 Speaker 2: he's just not really that type of. Player if you 1011 00:51:42,640 --> 00:51:43,920 Speaker 2: look at the true talent. 1012 00:51:43,719 --> 00:51:47,359 Speaker 3: Level a three fifty season is going to look like. 1013 00:51:47,440 --> 00:51:50,399 Speaker 3: This it's going to have a two to three even 1014 00:51:50,600 --> 00:51:53,840 Speaker 3: week period even a month where a guy is hitting 1015 00:51:53,880 --> 00:51:57,000 Speaker 3: below than what below what the batting average would. Suggest 1016 00:51:57,239 --> 00:51:58,719 Speaker 3: SO i think that you kind of just have to 1017 00:51:58,760 --> 00:52:01,520 Speaker 3: bear with it and hope that he kind of snaps 1018 00:52:01,560 --> 00:52:03,160 Speaker 3: out of. IT i Mean he even had an over 1019 00:52:03,200 --> 00:52:05,960 Speaker 3: sixteen stretch at one, point and he snapped like one 1020 00:52:06,000 --> 00:52:10,000 Speaker 3: hundred and ten game or so streak of striking out 1021 00:52:10,080 --> 00:52:11,560 Speaker 3: less than two times in a, game and then he 1022 00:52:11,600 --> 00:52:14,240 Speaker 3: did that two times in like a. Week like that's gonna, 1023 00:52:14,239 --> 00:52:16,480 Speaker 3: happen even for a guy who strikes out less than 1024 00:52:16,520 --> 00:52:18,640 Speaker 3: fifty times a year most of the. Time SO i 1025 00:52:18,680 --> 00:52:22,160 Speaker 3: think you kind of just had to bear with, it you, 1026 00:52:22,200 --> 00:52:24,640 Speaker 3: know as you, Said, eli there's limitations and a guy 1027 00:52:24,680 --> 00:52:26,640 Speaker 3: who's not gonna hit you ten home runs in a, 1028 00:52:26,640 --> 00:52:30,360 Speaker 3: Season Tony winn went through periods like, this THOUGH i 1029 00:52:30,360 --> 00:52:32,960 Speaker 3: don't think he ever struck out as much and you 1030 00:52:32,960 --> 00:52:36,480 Speaker 3: know said game span as A rise. Did but you 1031 00:52:36,560 --> 00:52:38,680 Speaker 3: kind of just have to like let the guy figure it. 1032 00:52:38,680 --> 00:52:40,239 Speaker 3: OUT i think he's such a pro and he's such 1033 00:52:40,239 --> 00:52:43,919 Speaker 3: a good. Hitter he's very he's very hard on himself 1034 00:52:44,000 --> 00:52:46,080 Speaker 3: to the point where like he's almost like that What 1035 00:52:46,200 --> 00:52:48,000 Speaker 3: Joseo tube was at some point where like if he 1036 00:52:48,040 --> 00:52:49,440 Speaker 3: wasn't getting two hits in a, game it was an 1037 00:52:49,440 --> 00:52:53,520 Speaker 3: abject failure for. Him AND i think A rise, maybe you, 1038 00:52:53,560 --> 00:52:55,960 Speaker 3: know even as, fans we've come to expect that from, 1039 00:52:56,040 --> 00:52:58,040 Speaker 3: him and when he doesn't do that it's just like it's. 1040 00:52:58,080 --> 00:53:00,399 Speaker 3: Weird even when he only gets one hit and you're 1041 00:53:00,440 --> 00:53:02,200 Speaker 3: like getting a hit the big league's as hard, Anyway 1042 00:53:02,520 --> 00:53:04,640 Speaker 3: but like when he's struggling and he's still hitting two 1043 00:53:04,760 --> 00:53:07,799 Speaker 3: ninety over what a month's worth of, games, now like 1044 00:53:08,239 --> 00:53:11,040 Speaker 3: you have to be pretty good about who's playing second 1045 00:53:11,040 --> 00:53:12,920 Speaker 3: base for. You the one thing that may concern, me, 1046 00:53:13,000 --> 00:53:15,959 Speaker 3: though is there have been several times recently where he's gotten, 1047 00:53:16,040 --> 00:53:19,200 Speaker 3: hurt like experienced some injuries mid. Game like we saw 1048 00:53:19,320 --> 00:53:21,920 Speaker 3: yesterday's sliding into third base looked like he did something 1049 00:53:21,920 --> 00:53:24,040 Speaker 3: with his, thumb AND i know he was he left 1050 00:53:24,080 --> 00:53:26,520 Speaker 3: with what they described the stomach. Cramps there was even 1051 00:53:26,600 --> 00:53:30,879 Speaker 3: something at fielding the ball recently running down the, line 1052 00:53:30,960 --> 00:53:32,440 Speaker 3: it looked like he had something with a hamstring a 1053 00:53:32,480 --> 00:53:34,759 Speaker 3: couple of weeks. Ago so like he may be a 1054 00:53:34,760 --> 00:53:36,680 Speaker 3: little banged, Up like we haven't even touched on, that 1055 00:53:36,719 --> 00:53:39,640 Speaker 3: like we talked About lizardo being. Fatigued arise may just be, 1056 00:53:39,920 --> 00:53:43,160 Speaker 3: like you, know he's never played second base for this 1057 00:53:43,360 --> 00:53:45,800 Speaker 3: long over the course of the, season you, know played 1058 00:53:45,840 --> 00:53:50,520 Speaker 3: mostly first base last. Year the longer defensive load at 1059 00:53:50,680 --> 00:53:54,080 Speaker 3: more of a premium position could be kind of catching 1060 00:53:54,160 --> 00:53:56,440 Speaker 3: up with, him though it didn't, early it may be. 1061 00:53:56,600 --> 00:53:58,719 Speaker 3: Now and you, know talk about the shift in the 1062 00:53:58,760 --> 00:54:00,920 Speaker 3: outfield with guys kind of playing him a little bit more. 1063 00:54:00,960 --> 00:54:04,240 Speaker 3: Shallow you're gonna see that batting average kind of revert 1064 00:54:04,320 --> 00:54:08,040 Speaker 3: to what we've kind of come to see. More you, 1065 00:54:08,080 --> 00:54:10,080 Speaker 3: know if he hits three, thirty it's still a tremendous. 1066 00:54:10,160 --> 00:54:13,520 Speaker 3: Year it's just you, know like he even the great hitter. 1067 00:54:13,600 --> 00:54:17,000 Speaker 3: Struggle you, know he's going through, that though it's a 1068 00:54:17,040 --> 00:54:19,040 Speaker 3: lot less of a struggle than what most guys would, 1069 00:54:19,040 --> 00:54:24,320 Speaker 3: want you. Know, Yeah AND i think that's a perfect 1070 00:54:24,600 --> 00:54:25,680 Speaker 3: way to end it there With. 1071 00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:28,960 Speaker 1: Aria so talking about all these guys from their first 1072 00:54:28,960 --> 00:54:32,040 Speaker 1: half to the second, half really looking at their splits 1073 00:54:32,800 --> 00:54:36,120 Speaker 1: a lot of different, ways some, positive some, negatives but 1074 00:54:36,960 --> 00:54:38,880 Speaker 1: all that to be hopefully in better shape by the 1075 00:54:38,920 --> 00:54:41,600 Speaker 1: time this next series rolls. Around so that's gonna do 1076 00:54:41,600 --> 00:54:47,359 Speaker 1: it For, phisiology for, Myself, daniel For, eli For, lewis keep, 1077 00:54:47,400 --> 00:54:51,200 Speaker 1: watching keep. Listening we love Doing, phishology and always go 1078 00:54:51,280 --> 00:55:02,280 Speaker 1: fish