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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Sunday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Peralta. Guys can follow me across all socials at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt. Following a very big Saturday, we were

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Speaker 1: due for one of those, guys. We've had a pretty

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Speaker 1: rough couple of weeks. We were due for a six

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Speaker 1: and zero. Like everything hit everything that I recommended hitting.

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Speaker 1: The only thing that didn't hit was durned by submission.

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Speaker 1: But I bet durned by decision. I bet durned by moneyline,

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Speaker 1: I bet durned by decision money line, and I bet

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Speaker 1: the submission. All three went two and one. There. The

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Speaker 1: rest of the bets came in Team USA under points

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Speaker 1: Puerto Rico to cover both fights in the UFC came

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Speaker 1: in with durned by decision and we got Figaraedo by decision.

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Speaker 1: Both baseball bets came in very good Day three and

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Speaker 1: OH officially, which puts us into a place where if

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Speaker 1: we have a two in one, three and OH or

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Speaker 1: a one in two week, we have a winning week.

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Speaker 1: We go zero in three today or own four. I guess,

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Speaker 1: because there's four bets, I think we'll probably wind up

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Speaker 1: a little bit up, but maybe down. I gotta do

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Speaker 1: the math on that. But winning day to day is

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Speaker 1: a winning week for US here to August. So those

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Speaker 1: are one of those days that don't get tracked on

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Speaker 1: the official scorecard, right like some of you crazy nuts

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Speaker 1: parlay them all. I saw a fifty five to one,

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Speaker 1: I saw a fifty to one, I saw a twenty

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Speaker 1: nine to one. Parlay all came in for you, guys.

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Speaker 1: If you parlay those things, please don't do that. Please

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Speaker 1: don't parlay my bets. I get it. I mean you're

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Speaker 1: doing it for free rolls or you're doing it for

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Speaker 1: five dollars. I get it. But like I mean, come on, guys,

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Speaker 1: we don't bet parlays like that. Not six teamers, not

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Speaker 1: five teamers, none of this crap. Okay, but hey, congrats

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Speaker 1: if you did it, it's a nice hit. Six and

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Speaker 1: oh is six and oh so that's nice, good day,

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Speaker 1: good week going. Let's continue here to today, all right,

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Speaker 1: So women's basketball golf will be decided tonight here for

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Speaker 1: the Olympics. Tom Kim at four to one for US

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Speaker 1: is lurking. He's tied for sixth. He's gonna tee off

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Speaker 1: at about three thirty Eastern times six point thirty sorry,

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Speaker 1: three six thirty Eastern time, three thirty Pacific time. So

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Speaker 1: I might be able to get up and catch the

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Speaker 1: end of his round. Most likely he'll be done when

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Speaker 1: I wake up on Sunday morning. But we'll see what

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Speaker 1: Tom Kim does all of a sudden, John Rahm, I

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Speaker 1: mean Hogards got nine under. I mean there are some

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Speaker 1: really low rounds out there, So hopefully Tom Kim can

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Speaker 1: do something special. Callin Markkawa. Probably's not coming in the

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Speaker 1: top five, give me where he is off the pace,

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Speaker 1: but Tom Kim is right there. So let's see what

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Speaker 1: Tom Kim puts together on a Sunday at the Olympics

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Speaker 1: to get us potentially a four to one cash there

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Speaker 1: on that half a unit bet that we've got going

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Speaker 1: on with Tom Kim. So we will monitor that the

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Speaker 1: Team USA plays Germany today. All right, Team USA is

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Speaker 1: two and oh. So is Germany. They're two and oh.

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Speaker 1: Germany has legitimate WNBA bigs, like three of them. This

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Speaker 1: is gonna be a tough game for Asia Wilson. I

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Speaker 1: don't think Age is gonna have just she just got

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Speaker 1: over her point prop for us the last two times.

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Speaker 1: Really we bet over twenty and a half, she scored

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Speaker 1: twenty four. We bet over twenty one and a half,

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Speaker 1: she scored twenty three. This number is twenty one and

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Speaker 1: a half, and I think we got to go under.

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Speaker 1: I think we have to bet under on this. You're

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Speaker 1: gonna bet under twenty one and a half points even

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Speaker 1: money on this. Look around, shop around, find the best

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Speaker 1: prices on all of this for you when it comes

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Speaker 1: to this. But I mean, this is gonna be a

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Speaker 1: lot of fun. I mean, I'm excited to watch this game.

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Speaker 1: It's an early start on the West coast, morning start

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Speaker 1: on the east coast of eleven fifteen for this. But

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Speaker 1: Germany is not gonna be afraid. Okay, they're twenty point

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Speaker 1: dogs and I don't think they're gonna be afraid in Asia.

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Speaker 1: I mean under twenty one and a half points at

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Speaker 1: even money. I think she's these two teams played. She

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Speaker 1: scored nineteen points when they played an exhibition tm USA

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Speaker 1: won in a route. But Germany, I think is gonna

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Speaker 1: give Team USA some issues. I think the size of Germany.

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Speaker 1: This is a big game, big measuring stick game for Germany.

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Speaker 1: I think Tmusa wins, but I don't know if they

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Speaker 1: win going away, I'm gonna take the other half a

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Speaker 1: unit and I'm gonna bet plus twenty at minus one ten.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the dog here. I'm gonna take Germany

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Speaker 1: plus twenty. We took Puerto Rico yesterday. I'm gonna take

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Speaker 1: Germany here to keep this game relatively close. To think

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Speaker 1: TM USA, I mean backdoor cover I think could be

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Speaker 1: open on this team will say this is you know,

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Speaker 1: they just need to win this game. They win this game,

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Speaker 1: they win their division, they win their bracket, they win

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Speaker 1: their group, and they move on here to the knockout round.

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Speaker 1: So for Germany this is far more important. This is

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Speaker 1: a bigger game for Germany. That is for Team USA,

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Speaker 1: I don't know how focus they're going to be to

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Speaker 1: really lay the wood and destroy Germany here. I mean,

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Speaker 1: you know, I think give a chance. If you want

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Speaker 1: to look at team total points, if you want for Germany,

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Speaker 1: there's seventy and a half team total points. I don't

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Speaker 1: mind betting over on that. USA is ninety and a half.

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Speaker 1: I don't mind betting under on that. But I'm just

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Speaker 1: going to take the Germany plus twenty bet to win

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Speaker 1: a half a unit and minus one ten. Asia Wilson

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Speaker 1: under twenty one and a half points at even money

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Speaker 1: and Germany plus twenty at minus one ten. Both those

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Speaker 1: bets are half a unit plays for US here on

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Speaker 1: the Olympics. So we've got women's basketball and golf that

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Speaker 1: were watching on the Olympics here for us on a Sunday. Now,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna violate my own rule here, I say I

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Speaker 1: don't bet baseball on Sundays. But there's two games I like,

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Speaker 1: Arizona against the Pirates. It's Schiens Day on a Sunday.

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Speaker 1: Ryan Ryan Nelson is pitching for the Diamondbacks. He's from Henderson, Nevada,

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Speaker 1: the little suburb of Vegas. This dude on the road

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Speaker 1: has been pretty darn good. His road era is three

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Speaker 1: point eight three's four and three when the posing batting

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Speaker 1: average of two sixty one, twenty four earn runs and

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Speaker 1: fifty six and a third innings worth of work. The

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Speaker 1: underhit yesterday for US with the Pirates and the Diamondbacks. Now,

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Speaker 1: Nelson's last road start six innings, four earned runs, eight

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Speaker 1: six wins against the Royals not great, but before that

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Speaker 1: five and two thirds against the Cubs one earned run,

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Speaker 1: a six and two thirds one earned run performance against

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Speaker 1: the Padres, a seven innings to earn run performance against

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Speaker 1: the against the Nationals, A three and a third inning,

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Speaker 1: five earned runs back on the eighth of June. So

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Speaker 1: if you go back and just cut out that eighth

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Speaker 1: of June, White Sox two earned runs, Dodgers one Aron run,

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Speaker 1: Padres one Aron run, Cubs one Aron run, and they

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Speaker 1: did get touched up against the Royals. But for the

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Speaker 1: last five starts have been very good for this guy.

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Speaker 1: The Pirates don't score a lot of runs. They scored

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Speaker 1: four runs yesterday. In Paul Skins. It's Paul bleeping Skiings. Okay,

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Speaker 1: what does Paul Skins do here today? On the road,

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Speaker 1: Paul Skins has been absolutely dominant. It's not like he's

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Speaker 1: been bad at home. Okay, I'm not trying to say that,

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Speaker 1: but he's been better on the road. He has a

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Speaker 1: two seven ERA, a three and one record, and opposing

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Speaker 1: batting average of two thirty three, thirteen earned runs and

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Speaker 1: forty three and a third innings worth of work for

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Speaker 1: Paul Skeens. He has a sub one ERA on the road.

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Speaker 1: Last time out at home lost to the Cardinals two

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Speaker 1: to one. He went eight in a third two earned runs,

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Speaker 1: and they lost after And that was the last start

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Speaker 1: at home for the All Star break, for the All

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Speaker 1: Star break before the All Star Break against the Mets

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Speaker 1: at home, seven innings, two earned runs against the Raised

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Speaker 1: at home seven innings, one earned run against the Reds

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Speaker 1: six innings, one earned run. You get the picture here.

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Speaker 1: For Paul Skeens at home, we're going under eight minus

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Speaker 1: one twenty Skeens and the Diamondbacks Nelson versus Skeens. Let's

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Speaker 1: hope the Pirates bullpen doesn't make me really get angry

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Speaker 1: at not going first five. If you want to avoid

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Speaker 1: the bullpens, I don't blame you for one bit, but

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Speaker 1: I am just a little bit concerned, just a touch here,

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Speaker 1: concerned at what might happen from a pitching perspective in

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Speaker 1: the first five. Just not like jumping up and down

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Speaker 1: to come in here and go, yeah, let's go ahead

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Speaker 1: and go under four and a half. You can do that,

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Speaker 1: don't mind it. I want the full. I'm gonna go

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Speaker 1: under eight for Paul Skins and for the Diamondbacks under

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Speaker 1: eight and minus one. Twenty second bet it's a rinse

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Speaker 1: and repeat play. Gavin Williams is facing the Baltimore Orioles.

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Speaker 1: The Guardians over yesterday total is eight seven two four

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Speaker 1: ERA at home for Gavin Williams, opposing batting average of

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Speaker 1: three to twenty two, eleven earned runs in thirteen and

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Speaker 1: two third innings worth of work. He's gonna go through

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Speaker 1: the lineup twice basically last time at home six innings,

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Speaker 1: three earned runs and a three nothing loss to Detroit,

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Speaker 1: lost seven nothing to the Padres. He went three and

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Speaker 1: two thirds gave up three earned runs there. The Guardians, well,

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Speaker 1: their score and their offense is tremendous. They've been hitting,

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Speaker 1: they've been scoring against Orioles pitching. Orioles won the game

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Speaker 1: seven to four yesterday. They won the first game ten

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Speaker 1: to three, second game eight to four. This is the

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Speaker 1: Orioles trying to avoid being swept here in this one.

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Speaker 1: The Orioles are gonna go encounter with Corbyn Burns, who's

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Speaker 1: tremendous their best pitcher eleven and four two point four

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Speaker 1: to seven ERA roadierra of two point eight nine five

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Speaker 1: and two record a one eighty five holding batting average,

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Speaker 1: twenty one earn runs in sixty five in a third

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Speaker 1: innings worth of work for Corbyn Burns on the road

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Speaker 1: for him, though seven and seven and a third innings

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Speaker 1: worth of work at Miami, three earned runs in a

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Speaker 1: seven to six win. He a nine to one win

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Speaker 1: against Texas six innings, one earned run, but they scored

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Speaker 1: nine runs the Orioles did for the game to go over.

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Speaker 1: I just again, the Orioles are on a ridiculous pace.

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Speaker 1: I keep on harping on this, we keep on betting this,

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Speaker 1: we keep on cashing on this. Again. Going back to

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Speaker 1: the twenty third of July nine to nine, thirteen, ten, thirteen, fourteen, sixteen, twelve, eight, fourteen, thirteen, twelve,

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Speaker 1: eleven runs scoring games involving the Orioles, the total was eight.

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Speaker 1: We were betting over over eight Guardians and the Orioles

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Speaker 1: miss one ten. There one point one units down, all right,

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Speaker 1: So four bets a little over three zero point two

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Speaker 1: units in play here for us on a Sunday, Asia

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Speaker 1: Wilson under twenty one and a half points even money

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Speaker 1: Germany plus twenty miss one ten. Both those bets are

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Speaker 1: a half a unit to win a half unit. Pirates

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Speaker 1: under eight at minus one twenty and the Orioles and

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Speaker 1: the Guardians over eight at minus one ten. Let's have

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Speaker 1: a good Sunday. It's been a good week. Let's keep

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Speaker 1: it rolling. My name is Matt Parolt, following me across

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Speaker 1: all socials at Sports Talk Matt. Every morning, the dili

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Speaker 1: Jus Podcast be brought to you by bettingpros dot com