1 00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:21,319 Speaker 1: Hey everybody, thanks for tuning into a new episode of 2 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:24,960 Speaker 1: fish Bites on the Fish Stripes podcast. This is Elive Susman. 3 00:00:24,960 --> 00:00:27,440 Speaker 1: I'm your managing editor at fish Stripes. If you go 4 00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 1: to the website fishtripes dot com, our social media accounts 5 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:34,360 Speaker 1: on Twitter, Facebook, Instagram at fish Stripes, well that's me. 6 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:38,000 Speaker 1: That's me overseeing it, our staff of really talented writers 7 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:41,199 Speaker 1: and podcasters and trying to build together what is the 8 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:45,560 Speaker 1: most passionate and informed Miami Marlin's community anywhere. So we're 9 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:48,960 Speaker 1: covering the franchise from all angles, including with this expanded podcast. 10 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:52,239 Speaker 1: As you may notice, I am not Danny Martinez, and 11 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:54,840 Speaker 1: that's where I have bad news, good news, and even 12 00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:57,240 Speaker 1: more good news for you. The bad news is that 13 00:00:57,280 --> 00:00:59,880 Speaker 1: Danny's not here. He's unavailable to host this week's episode. 14 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:02,319 Speaker 1: It's the first time this entire Marlin season that he's 15 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:04,720 Speaker 1: not recording Fish Bites. The good news is that he 16 00:01:04,760 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 1: has a very valid excuse for it. It's his wedding weekend. 17 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 1: He's been waiting a long time for that. All the 18 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:13,120 Speaker 1: in laws are in town, so congratulations to everybody over there. 19 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 1: I hope he's enjoying it and soaking in the big 20 00:01:16,200 --> 00:01:18,960 Speaker 1: milestone in his life. More good news is that I 21 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:21,280 Speaker 1: was not invited to the wedding, so that means that 22 00:01:21,360 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 1: I'm available to record in his absence, and it's a 23 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:26,560 Speaker 1: pleasure to do that in addition to everything else I 24 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:28,839 Speaker 1: do over seeing fish Stripes. So I hope you enjoy. 25 00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:32,360 Speaker 1: We have very different styles, somewhat slightly different outlooks on 26 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:35,120 Speaker 1: the direction of the Marlins franchise and where they are 27 00:01:35,160 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 1: at the moment, but I hope you enjoy this separate 28 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 1: perspective on it, and it's very big moments for the 29 00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:44,600 Speaker 1: Marlins franchise. Here in the middle of July twenty nineteen, 30 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:48,520 Speaker 1: this is going to be our MLB trade deadline special 31 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 1: that's coming up. The deadline will be on the afternoon 32 00:01:51,480 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 1: of July thirty first, a couple weeks away. We're going 33 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:56,760 Speaker 1: to go through basically all the major trade candidates on 34 00:01:56,800 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 1: the Marlins. And when I say trade candidates, I mean 35 00:01:59,400 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 1: just the really pragmatic, viable ones. We're not gonna list 36 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 1: through every single player. Trust me, I've done the hard work. 37 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 1: I've gone through the entire roster. I've vetted the entire 38 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 1: league for trade fits. The reality is it's gonna be 39 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:14,120 Speaker 1: somewhat of a quiet deadline for the Marlins, kind of 40 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:17,600 Speaker 1: like last year, and that again, they're just looking for 41 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 1: fits that make sense for them, trying to sell guys 42 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:23,360 Speaker 1: at relatively high value when possible, and they're not going 43 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 1: to rush into anything that doesn't make sense, that doesn't 44 00:02:25,600 --> 00:02:29,480 Speaker 1: make their farm system significantly better. But we're gonna look 45 00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 1: at really a handful of interest and candidates, some that 46 00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:35,680 Speaker 1: are having really big years, others that are on expiring deals, 47 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 1: and for one reason or another, all of them are 48 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:39,960 Speaker 1: going to be on the trading block at the deadline, 49 00:02:39,960 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 1: and I assume I'm going to make some predictions about 50 00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:44,240 Speaker 1: which of those guys are actually going to get dealt. 51 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 1: And then at the very end of the podcast, we're 52 00:02:46,040 --> 00:02:47,800 Speaker 1: going to go through some of some of the ones 53 00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:51,320 Speaker 1: who are snubbed from being featured in episode, those that 54 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:54,080 Speaker 1: I believe very wholeheartedly will not be moved, and the 55 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:58,080 Speaker 1: reasons for that. Before we get into that, we're dropping 56 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:00,760 Speaker 1: into another very exciting topic, which which was all this 57 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:04,080 Speaker 1: young talent that is finally stepping into Marlins Park for 58 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:07,600 Speaker 1: the first time, not as major leaguers, but finally as professionals. 59 00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:11,520 Speaker 1: This month of July has been a pretty landmark month 60 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 1: for the Marlins franchise, even without all these trades, simply 61 00:03:14,720 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 1: with signing amateur talent through the MLB Draft and through 62 00:03:18,360 --> 00:03:22,040 Speaker 1: international free agency. This past Friday was the deadline for 63 00:03:22,160 --> 00:03:25,600 Speaker 1: signing twenty nineteen MLB Draft picks, and the Marlins kicked 64 00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:27,160 Speaker 1: it out of the park. If you've been listening to 65 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:29,680 Speaker 1: the episode, you know that when they originally selected these 66 00:03:29,720 --> 00:03:31,920 Speaker 1: players in June, it was one of the most talented 67 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 1: draft classes in franchise history, and frankly, you can't make 68 00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:38,480 Speaker 1: an argument for any of the other years if you 69 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 1: just look at the sheer talent that they've gotten, both 70 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 1: at the top of the draft and some sneaky pickups 71 00:03:43,360 --> 00:03:46,320 Speaker 1: in the middle rounds. There's so much upside and so 72 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 1: many players that could have very large roles in the 73 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:51,840 Speaker 1: major leagues. Eventually, the big question was how many of 74 00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 1: these players would actually get signed to contracts have pretty 75 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 1: strict limits in Major League Baseball now when it comes 76 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 1: to how much money you can spend on these players, 77 00:04:00,640 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 1: some of them understandably don't want to take a discount 78 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:07,360 Speaker 1: and what could be what is their first big payday 79 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: of their careers, and what could be their only payday 80 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 1: if for whatever reason, their correct careers don't go as planned. 81 00:04:13,120 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 1: The Marlins signed thirty one players out of their forty 82 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:19,520 Speaker 1: one picks, which is a relatively low number, but everybody 83 00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 1: that has potential big league impacts signed. The three big 84 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:25,799 Speaker 1: names that came in on Friday, JJ Buldet to alfielder 85 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:28,880 Speaker 1: out of Vanderbilt selected in the first rounds, Cameron Meisner 86 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 1: the thirty fifth overall pick out of Missouri in the 87 00:04:31,800 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 1: competitive balance rounds, and then right hander Chris Machma in 88 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:38,160 Speaker 1: the twelfth round of high school pitcher out of Michigan. 89 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:40,680 Speaker 1: All three of them signed. All three of them got 90 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:43,200 Speaker 1: up what you call above slot value, and that the 91 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:46,240 Speaker 1: Marlins gave them more money than they necessarily had to. 92 00:04:46,640 --> 00:04:48,600 Speaker 1: Somehow they got it done. They took care of all 93 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:52,320 Speaker 1: these guys and again overslot value for all three of 94 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:55,360 Speaker 1: them to keep them relatively happy. Bledet and Meisner were 95 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:59,080 Speaker 1: already introduced at Marlins Park, signing their official contracts, taking 96 00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:02,679 Speaker 1: batting practice with the team, meeting with reporters. They seem 97 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:06,000 Speaker 1: like really mature guys. They look like very mature guys, 98 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:08,240 Speaker 1: filled out, giving you a lot of optimism that they're 99 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 1: going to progress through the minor league system a lot 100 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 1: quicker than the typical draft pick in order to impact 101 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:16,279 Speaker 1: the organization that they're building. Within just a couple of years, potentially, 102 00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:19,120 Speaker 1: assuming no injuries and no setbacks, hopefully they'll start playing 103 00:05:19,160 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 1: professional games very soon. We'll have all that coverage for 104 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:24,440 Speaker 1: you on earning their stripes our Prospects covered show with 105 00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:28,280 Speaker 1: Danny Ean and Ethan. So looking forward to seeing them 106 00:05:28,279 --> 00:05:30,000 Speaker 1: on the fields in the Gulf Coast League and then 107 00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 1: eventually in full season ball. Over All, the Marlins committed 108 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:37,479 Speaker 1: more than fifteen million dollars to this draft class. When 109 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 1: you think of it that way, it's like a big 110 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 1: free agent signing, except you split it among a handful 111 00:05:42,120 --> 00:05:45,040 Speaker 1: of different players. And that is the most expensive draft 112 00:05:45,040 --> 00:05:47,919 Speaker 1: class in franchise history. So if you're wondering about whether 113 00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:51,040 Speaker 1: this ownership group is committed to spending, that's one way 114 00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:54,800 Speaker 1: they're doing it that's not necessarily pushed in your face 115 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:56,320 Speaker 1: all the time. That's not a figure that a lot 116 00:05:56,320 --> 00:05:58,600 Speaker 1: of people pay attention to, you know, how much money 117 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 1: they spend on the amateur draft, but it matters, and 118 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:04,640 Speaker 1: it adds up. And these players, if just a couple 119 00:06:04,680 --> 00:06:08,000 Speaker 1: of them breakthrough to be regular Major leaguers. It turns 120 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:10,000 Speaker 1: out to be a great value for the organization and 121 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 1: a very critical step to fill a couple holes. We know, 122 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:16,919 Speaker 1: especially on the offensive side, this organization desperately needed help 123 00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:19,280 Speaker 1: a couple of guys with very high upside, and they 124 00:06:19,320 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 1: got it also on Saturday, a couple of their big 125 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:26,600 Speaker 1: international signings who committed on July second, shortstop Jose Salas 126 00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:29,440 Speaker 1: and shortstop Ian Lewis. Both of them were in the 127 00:06:29,440 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 1: ballpark at the same time as Meisner going through the 128 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:34,080 Speaker 1: same drills. Those guys that are much farther away than 129 00:06:34,640 --> 00:06:36,760 Speaker 1: being in the major leagues and having that impact sixteen 130 00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 1: years old, a lot of things could go wrong for them, 131 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 1: a lot of things can go right, and they can 132 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 1: exceed expectations. Both of them great athletes, and you could 133 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:46,919 Speaker 1: see that just by looking at batting practice. Both of 134 00:06:46,960 --> 00:06:49,400 Speaker 1: those guys got very significant bonuses, a couple of the 135 00:06:49,480 --> 00:06:53,440 Speaker 1: largest ones in the entire international signing period. Their progress, 136 00:06:53,520 --> 00:06:55,240 Speaker 1: like I said, is going to be a lot more gradual. 137 00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:58,040 Speaker 1: They'll be playing short season ball this year and perhaps 138 00:06:58,160 --> 00:07:00,599 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty as well before really moving on to 139 00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:04,039 Speaker 1: the serious levels. But very high upside great athletes, a 140 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:06,720 Speaker 1: good all around game. They start as shortstops, maybe they 141 00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 1: drop off into a lower priority defensive position. Eventually, you 142 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:15,240 Speaker 1: just don't know. But it's just a really big step. 143 00:07:15,520 --> 00:07:17,520 Speaker 1: They spread around the international money in a way they 144 00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:20,240 Speaker 1: didn't do last year. Remember the previous signing period, they 145 00:07:20,280 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 1: went all in on the Meser brothers and impact they'll have. 146 00:07:23,000 --> 00:07:25,400 Speaker 1: We'll see how that turns out. It's a much different 147 00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 1: approach this year and one that will take years to 148 00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:30,720 Speaker 1: pay off. But that's the whole part of this rebuild 149 00:07:30,800 --> 00:07:33,960 Speaker 1: is just being patient, just being patient to see how 150 00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:36,560 Speaker 1: it all works out. With that being said, this is 151 00:07:36,560 --> 00:07:39,320 Speaker 1: where we transition to the MLB trade deadline, barely two 152 00:07:39,360 --> 00:07:41,800 Speaker 1: weeks away from this huge milestone on the baseball calendar. 153 00:07:42,080 --> 00:07:44,720 Speaker 1: For President of Baseball Operations Michael Hill, this is a 154 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:48,240 Speaker 1: pretty critical moment in his entire career. He's been with 155 00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:51,200 Speaker 1: the Marlins organization for what seems like almost two decades 156 00:07:51,240 --> 00:07:53,560 Speaker 1: in a variety of roles, and he is one of 157 00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:57,240 Speaker 1: the lone holdovers from the old ownership, the old administration 158 00:07:57,720 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 1: that received a lot of grief for how they handle 159 00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:03,800 Speaker 1: the transactions in the front office and how they processed information, 160 00:08:04,280 --> 00:08:06,240 Speaker 1: whether or not, they actually got good value out of 161 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:09,480 Speaker 1: the players that they sent away or acquired in the 162 00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:11,760 Speaker 1: timing of which they made those kind of moves, and 163 00:08:11,840 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 1: we just. 164 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:15,080 Speaker 2: Didn't have that upper level depth. We didn't have depth anywhere. 165 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:18,000 Speaker 2: We talked so much about layering the talent and having talent, 166 00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 2: you know, from the low miners all the way up 167 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 2: to the big leagues. It's imperative, you know, you don't 168 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:26,360 Speaker 2: have a sustainable product unless you have layers and waves 169 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:29,120 Speaker 2: of talent coming. And that's something that we've been able 170 00:08:29,160 --> 00:08:32,320 Speaker 2: to accomplish and you know, in pretty short order, and 171 00:08:32,400 --> 00:08:35,480 Speaker 2: excited with all the young players, some of them who 172 00:08:35,520 --> 00:08:38,440 Speaker 2: we see on display here in the big leagues now. 173 00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:42,040 Speaker 1: Although this is very different people that he's reporting to 174 00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:45,200 Speaker 1: these days, and we generally like to separate the two 175 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:48,600 Speaker 1: eras of this Marlins franchise. He was in a position 176 00:08:48,640 --> 00:08:51,600 Speaker 1: of power for several years under Jeffrey Laurier, you go 177 00:08:51,640 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 1: all the way back to the twenty fourteen trade deadline. 178 00:08:54,400 --> 00:08:56,680 Speaker 1: That was the first time he was in a general 179 00:08:56,720 --> 00:09:00,120 Speaker 1: manager role, and you can say he was overruled by 180 00:09:00,440 --> 00:09:03,599 Speaker 1: ownership at certain times, that he was pushed in certain directions, 181 00:09:03,760 --> 00:09:06,080 Speaker 1: that he was swayed against his better judgment, but he 182 00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:08,680 Speaker 1: needs to be held at least partially accountable for being 183 00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:12,559 Speaker 1: in his position back then being there now, and it's 184 00:09:12,600 --> 00:09:15,960 Speaker 1: not all bad. Frankly, we should just be reviewing his 185 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 1: record a little bit and see what exactly that tells 186 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:23,120 Speaker 1: us about how they might proceed in twenty nineteen moving forward, 187 00:09:23,520 --> 00:09:26,439 Speaker 1: and what he could possibly do this year that justifies 188 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:30,680 Speaker 1: keeping his current job any longer. His current contract reportedly 189 00:09:31,000 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 1: goes through the end of next season twenty twenty, but 190 00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 1: it's not uncommon for executives and other leadership positions in 191 00:09:38,040 --> 00:09:41,760 Speaker 1: baseball to be tested really the year before contract ends. 192 00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:44,080 Speaker 1: There's no doubt that this is a very important trade 193 00:09:44,120 --> 00:10:06,640 Speaker 1: deadline for him to prove himself. The Marlins have a 194 00:10:06,679 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 1: handful of guys that they'll be actively shopping, looking to 195 00:10:09,440 --> 00:10:13,040 Speaker 1: find new homes for flipping for younger, more controllable talent. 196 00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:15,320 Speaker 1: There will also be several that they don't want to trade, 197 00:10:15,480 --> 00:10:18,079 Speaker 1: but that other contending teams will be asking about. This 198 00:10:18,120 --> 00:10:20,800 Speaker 1: is a weird situation with the Marlins team where many 199 00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:22,400 Speaker 1: of their best players are the ones that are under 200 00:10:22,400 --> 00:10:25,760 Speaker 1: the longest term control. Danny has talked about that excessively 201 00:10:25,800 --> 00:10:28,400 Speaker 1: and consistently throughout the season so far. How it's really 202 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:30,600 Speaker 1: the young core guys that are playing the best, and 203 00:10:30,679 --> 00:10:32,480 Speaker 1: if they're playing best at the major league level for 204 00:10:32,480 --> 00:10:34,880 Speaker 1: a team that's not contending, the contending teams will be 205 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:37,880 Speaker 1: asking whether they're available to help them right now. So 206 00:10:37,920 --> 00:10:40,480 Speaker 1: those are going to be some very interesting conversations. I'm 207 00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:43,559 Speaker 1: not expecting anything too bold, but we'll find out. We're 208 00:10:43,559 --> 00:10:46,040 Speaker 1: going to go through these players alphabetically by last name, 209 00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:49,320 Speaker 1: one by one, the ones that I think are really 210 00:10:49,600 --> 00:10:52,600 Speaker 1: have any reasonable chance of being traded, those that don't 211 00:10:52,600 --> 00:10:54,920 Speaker 1: help you mentioning at the end, But we want to 212 00:10:54,960 --> 00:10:57,240 Speaker 1: go through the guys that are going to be involved 213 00:10:57,280 --> 00:11:00,319 Speaker 1: in most of the rumors over these next few weeks 214 00:10:59,800 --> 00:11:03,520 Speaker 1: and the cases for and against moving them. First up 215 00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:06,800 Speaker 1: is right hand or Austin Bryce age twenty seven, Season one, 216 00:11:06,920 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 1: eight eight ERA A three seven to two fielder independent pitching, 217 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:14,360 Speaker 1: zero point three fangrafts wins above replacement, and that's in 218 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:16,480 Speaker 1: thirty eight in a third innings. This has been a 219 00:11:16,480 --> 00:11:18,680 Speaker 1: breakout year for Bryce. You can read all about that 220 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:21,079 Speaker 1: on fish drives dot com. One of our new writers, 221 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:23,559 Speaker 1: Daniel Toll, took a great look at him in our 222 00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:27,280 Speaker 1: fishy or for real analysis series, testing whether what he's 223 00:11:27,320 --> 00:11:30,720 Speaker 1: doing right now is sustainable. Why exactly he's performing that well, 224 00:11:30,960 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 1: because if you look at his career up until now 225 00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:35,160 Speaker 1: with both the Marlins and then in the Reds, over 226 00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:38,080 Speaker 1: the past couple of years, he's been a really mediocre reliever, 227 00:11:38,600 --> 00:11:41,040 Speaker 1: a guy that you wouldn't test in any like high 228 00:11:41,120 --> 00:11:44,439 Speaker 1: leverage situations, someone who was struggling to miss a lot 229 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:47,200 Speaker 1: of bats and relying a lot on his defense. He 230 00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:50,040 Speaker 1: was just a very ordinary player. The Marlins were able 231 00:11:50,120 --> 00:11:53,240 Speaker 1: to get him in February by claiming him off waivers 232 00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:56,320 Speaker 1: from at that time in the Baltimore Orioles. Bryce has 233 00:11:56,360 --> 00:11:59,400 Speaker 1: the longest scoreless ending streak of any Marlins reliever this season. 234 00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:01,360 Speaker 1: It's an act to streak dating back to the middle 235 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:04,520 Speaker 1: of June. The key for him, as Daniel pointed out 236 00:12:04,520 --> 00:12:07,320 Speaker 1: in the article, is his curveball usage. It's been his 237 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:10,000 Speaker 1: best pitch really throughout his major league career, and now 238 00:12:10,040 --> 00:12:13,080 Speaker 1: he's finally actually treating it like that. It's something that 239 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:15,760 Speaker 1: he relies on more than either of his fastballs or 240 00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:19,040 Speaker 1: any of his other secondary stuff, throwing it nearly half 241 00:12:19,120 --> 00:12:22,360 Speaker 1: the time, nearly half of these pitches are curveballs, and 242 00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 1: he throws it to left handers and right handers. He 243 00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:26,480 Speaker 1: throws it to all parts of the strike zone, even 244 00:12:26,520 --> 00:12:29,160 Speaker 1: outside the strike zone to get chases. It's been a 245 00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:32,120 Speaker 1: really effective weapon for him. It's made a huge difference. 246 00:12:32,320 --> 00:12:35,520 Speaker 1: It's not an overpowering pitch, and his fastball velocity is 247 00:12:35,640 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 1: very ordinary by reliever standards, actually a tick below average 248 00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:41,400 Speaker 1: by Major league reliever standards. But this is how he's 249 00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:44,000 Speaker 1: able to compensate for that. So it's been really interesting 250 00:12:44,320 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 1: and exciting development. What do the Marlins want to do 251 00:12:47,160 --> 00:12:49,760 Speaker 1: with him? Because he's under long term control for a while, 252 00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:53,200 Speaker 1: he is relatively cheap, earning about the league minimum this season. 253 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:56,120 Speaker 1: He doesn't have much of a track record of success 254 00:12:56,240 --> 00:12:58,839 Speaker 1: prior to twenty nineteen. If you look at his minor 255 00:12:58,960 --> 00:13:02,000 Speaker 1: league numbers, they were relatively run of the mill too, 256 00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:04,440 Speaker 1: nothing to get too excited about. He was never on 257 00:13:04,520 --> 00:13:07,760 Speaker 1: any top prospect lists. What is his value really on 258 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:10,360 Speaker 1: the market. That's something that's pretty tough to gauge. This 259 00:13:10,440 --> 00:13:12,880 Speaker 1: is an environment in Major League Baseball where teams are 260 00:13:12,920 --> 00:13:15,560 Speaker 1: able to read more information in small sample sizes than 261 00:13:15,600 --> 00:13:17,960 Speaker 1: they used to be able to and there are a 262 00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:20,880 Speaker 1: lot of peripheral stats that they look at aside from 263 00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:25,120 Speaker 1: the era that troubling factor that his FIP is nearly 264 00:13:25,160 --> 00:13:27,720 Speaker 1: doubled to ra that suggests that there is some good 265 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:31,400 Speaker 1: look going on here on balls and play, it's not 266 00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:34,080 Speaker 1: he's even though he's been striking out a lot more 267 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:36,079 Speaker 1: guys this year than he has in years past, it's 268 00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:40,280 Speaker 1: still not outstanding for the major league reliever standard. But 269 00:13:40,640 --> 00:13:43,760 Speaker 1: he's been arguably their best reliever this season, and this 270 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:45,960 Speaker 1: is the time of year where hopefully they learn from 271 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:48,760 Speaker 1: twenty eighteen that when you hold onto your relievers at 272 00:13:48,760 --> 00:13:50,800 Speaker 1: their peak of their value, they're going to come down 273 00:13:50,800 --> 00:13:54,360 Speaker 1: in value and you can't necessarily trust them to replicate 274 00:13:54,360 --> 00:13:57,640 Speaker 1: their success. If I was to guess, I'd say that 275 00:13:57,840 --> 00:14:00,640 Speaker 1: Bryce does not get traded at the deadline. It's going 276 00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:02,880 Speaker 1: to be some contending teams that are curious, of course, 277 00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:06,720 Speaker 1: but ultimately very reluctant because of his mixed track record 278 00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:09,280 Speaker 1: at the major league level and relatively short track record 279 00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:12,960 Speaker 1: of success. I don't advocate for the Marlins holding onto 280 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:15,760 Speaker 1: these guys, knowing that how much other pitching talent they've 281 00:14:15,760 --> 00:14:18,319 Speaker 1: coming up through the pipeline. But I do understand both 282 00:14:18,320 --> 00:14:20,400 Speaker 1: sides of it. They need to get some significant value 283 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:24,600 Speaker 1: in return, and that's not necessarily there at this very moment. 284 00:14:24,640 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 1: Maybe it will be in the off season if Bryce 285 00:14:26,440 --> 00:14:28,920 Speaker 1: keeps us up. Either way, it's a nice turn of 286 00:14:28,920 --> 00:14:31,239 Speaker 1: events for the Marlins to get somebody as a waiverclaim 287 00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:35,200 Speaker 1: and have them now as a legitimate trade asset. Next 288 00:14:35,280 --> 00:14:38,080 Speaker 1: up is a much more recognizable name. It's second baseman 289 00:14:38,160 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 1: Starlin Castro, age twenty nine season a two forty eight 290 00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:44,480 Speaker 1: batting average, two seventy four on base percentage, three forty 291 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:48,280 Speaker 1: three slugging, sixty three winned runs created plus league average 292 00:14:48,280 --> 00:14:51,480 Speaker 1: is one hundred. Because that's sixty three yikes, a negative 293 00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:54,880 Speaker 1: zero point seven Fangraft wins above replacement in three hundred 294 00:14:54,920 --> 00:14:58,880 Speaker 1: and seventy nine played appearances this season. Until very recently, 295 00:14:59,080 --> 00:15:02,640 Speaker 1: Castro was the the worst qualified hitter in Major League Baseball, 296 00:15:03,320 --> 00:15:05,400 Speaker 1: which is a stunning turn of events for a guy 297 00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:08,120 Speaker 1: that is a multiple time All Star with both the 298 00:15:08,160 --> 00:15:10,480 Speaker 1: Cubs and the Yankees, who was a very solid player 299 00:15:10,480 --> 00:15:13,240 Speaker 1: for them last season. And it's hard to really explain 300 00:15:13,320 --> 00:15:16,280 Speaker 1: what happened, man, I mean, he's fallen off a cliff 301 00:15:16,560 --> 00:15:19,800 Speaker 1: with it. Offensively, He's been the slightly worst defensively I've 302 00:15:19,800 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 1: found this year compared to last year as well. He's 303 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:25,040 Speaker 1: just hitting everything on the ground. That's not a formula 304 00:15:25,080 --> 00:15:28,600 Speaker 1: first success in major League baseball in twenty nineteen. Understanding 305 00:15:28,680 --> 00:15:32,080 Speaker 1: what Marlins Park is, how it plays unnecessarily large and 306 00:15:32,120 --> 00:15:33,800 Speaker 1: all that, you got to hit the ball in the 307 00:15:33,800 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 1: air sometimes, if not flyballs, then line drives, and he's 308 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:39,920 Speaker 1: not doing that. Castro is on a contract extension that 309 00:15:39,920 --> 00:15:41,880 Speaker 1: he's signed very early in his career with the Cubs. 310 00:15:42,160 --> 00:15:43,760 Speaker 1: They thought at the time would be a very team 311 00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:47,120 Speaker 1: friendly deal. Ultimately, he could say it's been a positive 312 00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:49,200 Speaker 1: for the teams that have had him, but certainly not 313 00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:52,280 Speaker 1: this year. He's again below replacement level. If they had 314 00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:55,080 Speaker 1: called up any ordinary prospect in the minor leagues, and 315 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:57,400 Speaker 1: in the Marlins case where they have a great second 316 00:15:57,440 --> 00:16:00,520 Speaker 1: base prospect in Isan Diez, had they called him up, 317 00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:02,720 Speaker 1: they'd be winning more games than they are with someone 318 00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:05,360 Speaker 1: like Starlin Castro right now. Because of his lack of hitting, 319 00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:09,280 Speaker 1: he is lack of defensive versatility. Although through his career 320 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:12,160 Speaker 1: he's been somewhat of an adequate defensive second baseman, he 321 00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:15,600 Speaker 1: doesn't have the skills to play anything else, and versatility 322 00:16:15,640 --> 00:16:18,800 Speaker 1: is such a huge component to value these days, considering 323 00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:21,000 Speaker 1: that benches are shorter than they used to be. On 324 00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 1: your active roster, Castro is earning eleven point eighty six 325 00:16:24,760 --> 00:16:27,600 Speaker 1: million dollars this season, which he'll have a hard time 326 00:16:27,680 --> 00:16:30,440 Speaker 1: justifying unless he has an explosive second half of the season. 327 00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:32,800 Speaker 1: That also comes with a twenty twenty team option in 328 00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:35,920 Speaker 1: his contract for sixteen million dollars in a one million 329 00:16:36,000 --> 00:16:39,600 Speaker 1: dollar buyout. You can absolutely guarantee that, whether the Marlins 330 00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:41,920 Speaker 1: are stuck with him or whether they're able to unload him, 331 00:16:42,160 --> 00:16:44,400 Speaker 1: whichever team has his rights is going to buy out 332 00:16:44,440 --> 00:16:47,040 Speaker 1: his contracts because players like him are just not that 333 00:16:47,160 --> 00:16:50,720 Speaker 1: valuable in the game anymore, especially when they're not hitting 334 00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:53,720 Speaker 1: for any power like he is right now. He's someone 335 00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 1: that if he was in the free agent market, there's 336 00:16:56,040 --> 00:16:58,160 Speaker 1: no way in hell he'd get his sixteen million dollar 337 00:16:58,280 --> 00:17:01,960 Speaker 1: contractantee het at least maybe with options, it would get 338 00:17:02,040 --> 00:17:05,399 Speaker 1: up there. But he's gonna be Yeah, he's gonna be 339 00:17:05,440 --> 00:17:07,440 Speaker 1: a free agent this offseason. You could pretty much wrestle 340 00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:09,879 Speaker 1: assured the team said the Marlins are gonna be talking 341 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:12,440 Speaker 1: with him about at the deadline they're gonna be looking 342 00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:14,680 Speaker 1: at him strictly as a rental. They see that he's 343 00:17:14,680 --> 00:17:18,000 Speaker 1: playing a lot better in July. That is true. The 344 00:17:18,040 --> 00:17:20,240 Speaker 1: extra base hits are coming a little bit more frequently, 345 00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:23,160 Speaker 1: and just generally the batting average on balls and play 346 00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:25,000 Speaker 1: that's been a little unlucky for him this year, that's 347 00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:27,280 Speaker 1: starting to even out. He does look more like the 348 00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:30,960 Speaker 1: old Starlin Castro recently, but that's a very small sample size. 349 00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:33,199 Speaker 1: The big sample size the entire first half of the 350 00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:36,680 Speaker 1: season says that Starlin is a bad player, and it's 351 00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:39,880 Speaker 1: hard to move a bad player who's making eight figures 352 00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:42,399 Speaker 1: this year and again has that option for twenty twenty. 353 00:17:42,720 --> 00:17:45,200 Speaker 1: It makes more sense, frankly, for the Marlins to pay 354 00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:47,879 Speaker 1: him to play for somebody else than does to keep 355 00:17:47,960 --> 00:17:51,520 Speaker 1: him here for any reason, because his usefulness is run 356 00:17:51,520 --> 00:17:54,280 Speaker 1: his course here in the Marlins. Disappointed as they may 357 00:17:54,280 --> 00:17:56,240 Speaker 1: be and what happens, I don't blame them at all 358 00:17:56,359 --> 00:17:59,040 Speaker 1: for entering this season with him as their starting second baseman. 359 00:17:59,320 --> 00:17:59,679 Speaker 3: He was. 360 00:18:00,040 --> 00:18:01,680 Speaker 1: It's a lot of sense as a placeholder, and it 361 00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:04,720 Speaker 1: simply hasn't worked out. So they'll hope to salvage anything 362 00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:07,119 Speaker 1: they possibly can for him at the trade deadline. I 363 00:18:07,119 --> 00:18:08,840 Speaker 1: don't think they'll be able to get a deal done 364 00:18:08,960 --> 00:18:11,760 Speaker 1: unless they actually pick up the money owed to him, 365 00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:14,840 Speaker 1: most of it, pretty much all of it, in my opinion, 366 00:18:15,080 --> 00:18:18,520 Speaker 1: just knowing the economy around baseball right now, you pick 367 00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:21,800 Speaker 1: up that money to make sure that the player goes 368 00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:25,280 Speaker 1: somewhere and get any sort of young compensation in return. 369 00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:28,080 Speaker 1: If I was to make a prediction, I think they 370 00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:30,040 Speaker 1: do find a way to get him off the roster 371 00:18:30,160 --> 00:18:33,200 Speaker 1: before July thirty first into trade. If not, they may 372 00:18:33,240 --> 00:18:35,879 Speaker 1: have to just wind up releasing him, which is going 373 00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:38,239 Speaker 1: to be a tough pill to swallow, but one that 374 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:41,440 Speaker 1: makes a lot of sense given the direction of the organization. 375 00:18:41,920 --> 00:18:44,600 Speaker 1: I guess there'll be some fond memories of Stalin as 376 00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:47,800 Speaker 1: a marlin, some of the clutches he had in twenty eighteen, 377 00:18:48,119 --> 00:18:49,840 Speaker 1: and at least some of the funny antics he had 378 00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:50,439 Speaker 1: on the field. 379 00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:53,760 Speaker 3: There's two outs, it's extra innings. How would you describe 380 00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:55,640 Speaker 3: the focus that you have to have in that at 381 00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:57,840 Speaker 3: bat to make sure that you put together are good 382 00:18:57,880 --> 00:18:58,160 Speaker 3: at bat? 383 00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:00,680 Speaker 4: I think it's pretty good, you know, forty, really good 384 00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:03,359 Speaker 4: about because that guy is really good. You know, he 385 00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:05,920 Speaker 4: make really good pitches. You know, and the like I say, 386 00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:07,679 Speaker 4: I just look at pitches that I can drive, and 387 00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:10,239 Speaker 4: they finally he let me want me to hang, and 388 00:19:10,320 --> 00:19:11,120 Speaker 4: finally I can drive. 389 00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:15,040 Speaker 3: Every win feels good, but a win like this, where 390 00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:17,439 Speaker 3: you get it in extra innings, you really have to 391 00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:19,879 Speaker 3: grind it out. The whole game is a little bit 392 00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:20,760 Speaker 3: more satisfying. 393 00:19:20,840 --> 00:19:22,320 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's fun. It's fun. 394 00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:22,760 Speaker 2: It's fun. 395 00:19:22,840 --> 00:19:25,840 Speaker 4: Like you say, we come a here, we play against 396 00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:28,639 Speaker 4: a really good thing in our division. So we just 397 00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:30,560 Speaker 4: try to comment there every day and try to compete 398 00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:32,480 Speaker 4: and try to win again, you know, and just not 399 00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:36,120 Speaker 4: only me. I think the whole team get a really 400 00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:37,040 Speaker 4: good about today. 401 00:19:37,320 --> 00:19:40,200 Speaker 1: By all counts. He's been a good citizen in the clubhouse. 402 00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:43,400 Speaker 1: Simply hasn't worked out this year, and it's it's hard 403 00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:46,240 Speaker 1: to find anybody to blame, really, but they need to 404 00:19:46,560 --> 00:19:53,280 Speaker 1: wrap this up one way or another. Now we go 405 00:19:53,320 --> 00:19:56,720 Speaker 1: to left hander Harblan Garcia age twenty six, season A 406 00:19:56,760 --> 00:20:00,680 Speaker 1: two nine six ERA three H two FIP zero point 407 00:20:00,680 --> 00:20:03,320 Speaker 1: three war and that's in twenty seven and the third 408 00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:05,919 Speaker 1: innings this season. It's been a huge bounce back this 409 00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:08,359 Speaker 1: year for Harlan, looking a lot more like the rookie 410 00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:10,480 Speaker 1: version of himself in twenty seventeen that had a lot 411 00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:13,240 Speaker 1: of people excited. He's missing way more bets at about 412 00:20:13,280 --> 00:20:15,960 Speaker 1: a league average rate. He's generating some more ground balls 413 00:20:16,000 --> 00:20:18,639 Speaker 1: instead of serving up Homer's, so his peripherals have come 414 00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:20,920 Speaker 1: all the way down to his ZRA. That's really refreshing 415 00:20:20,960 --> 00:20:23,600 Speaker 1: to see. Believes it could be a little bit more sustainable. 416 00:20:23,840 --> 00:20:26,480 Speaker 1: He is just like Austin Brice. He's someone that's under 417 00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:28,960 Speaker 1: control for a long time, earning pretty close to the 418 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:30,879 Speaker 1: league minimum this year, so there's going to be a 419 00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:33,520 Speaker 1: lot of teams interested in seeing him as an upgrade. 420 00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:36,320 Speaker 1: He can get out both lefties and righty's. That's one 421 00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:39,280 Speaker 1: thing that's very unusual. I guess about Don Mattingley's bullpen 422 00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:42,399 Speaker 1: usage that he doesn't do a lot of platoon matchups whatsoever. 423 00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:44,560 Speaker 1: He has a lot of his lefties facing righties and 424 00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:47,400 Speaker 1: vice versa. It's like Harlan has shown that he could 425 00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:49,960 Speaker 1: pitch multiple innings. Of course, with that background as a starter, 426 00:20:50,320 --> 00:20:52,360 Speaker 1: with all the endings that he pitched last year, there's 427 00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:54,240 Speaker 1: really no restrictions on the kind of role that he 428 00:20:54,280 --> 00:20:57,080 Speaker 1: could have down the stretch for a contender, And as 429 00:20:57,119 --> 00:20:59,680 Speaker 1: we mentioned previously, with Austin Brice. They have all this 430 00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:02,600 Speaker 1: pitch talent coming up through the season, the more starting 431 00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:06,120 Speaker 1: pitching prospects than they have rotation spots forward. So there's 432 00:21:06,119 --> 00:21:08,080 Speaker 1: gonna be some of these guys that are gonna transition 433 00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:11,240 Speaker 1: into a relief role at the major league level. The 434 00:21:11,320 --> 00:21:13,640 Speaker 1: guys that they have in those roles right now are 435 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:16,640 Speaker 1: more expendable the relievers that historically get traded for huge 436 00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:18,560 Speaker 1: hales at the trade deadline. They have a lot more 437 00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:21,600 Speaker 1: swing and missing this game. They fit the prototype for 438 00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:24,159 Speaker 1: like a shutdown, late ending arm. And Harlan is not 439 00:21:24,240 --> 00:21:27,159 Speaker 1: that he's not a shutdown guy. He's just a comfortably 440 00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:30,280 Speaker 1: above average option for contending teams. He makes a lot 441 00:21:30,280 --> 00:21:32,960 Speaker 1: of these bullpens better, especially someone like the Red Sox 442 00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:37,000 Speaker 1: who've been scrambling for relief depth this entire season. You 443 00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:39,680 Speaker 1: probably name a few others. A lot of contenders really 444 00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:42,200 Speaker 1: outside of the New York Yankees, I'd say could use 445 00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:44,800 Speaker 1: other options in the later endings, just to give them 446 00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:48,120 Speaker 1: separate looks. At this time of year, almost every contender 447 00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:51,280 Speaker 1: could use some relief depth in their bullpen, even if 448 00:21:51,280 --> 00:21:54,159 Speaker 1: they're gonna limit Harlan to matching up lefty on lefty 449 00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:56,560 Speaker 1: that's still something that's useful down the stretch of the 450 00:21:56,600 --> 00:22:00,119 Speaker 1: regular season that could help teams in the postseason. He 451 00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:04,520 Speaker 1: would bring back potentially multiple prospects in return, but probably 452 00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:07,119 Speaker 1: not anyone that's going to crack the Marlins Top twenty 453 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:09,880 Speaker 1: prospect list. Guys that could have usefulness in the major 454 00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:13,120 Speaker 1: leagues down the road, but certainly nobody that has big, 455 00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:15,880 Speaker 1: big upside is gonna be attained in this kind of deal. 456 00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:18,840 Speaker 1: There's a pretty good chance this happens. He's someone that 457 00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:26,080 Speaker 1: should definitely be shopped aggressively if you're the Marlins. We 458 00:22:26,119 --> 00:22:28,359 Speaker 1: move on to a very sneaky trade candidate, one that 459 00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:30,679 Speaker 1: I can almost guarantee you weren't thinking about when you 460 00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:33,720 Speaker 1: turn it on this episode, and that is catcher Brian Holiday, 461 00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:36,840 Speaker 1: age thirty one season. He's betting three eleven, a four 462 00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:39,720 Speaker 1: or four on base percentage, four eighty nine slugging, one 463 00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:42,920 Speaker 1: thirty eight weighted runs created plus Remember that one hundred 464 00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:46,160 Speaker 1: is a league average zero point one war and fifty 465 00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:49,399 Speaker 1: three played appearances. Tiny, tiny sample size. You don't want 466 00:22:49,400 --> 00:22:50,520 Speaker 1: to overreact. 467 00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:53,479 Speaker 5: To that one and one to Holiday ground ball up 468 00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:56,840 Speaker 5: the middle ins of pace, bet another walk off win 469 00:22:57,000 --> 00:23:00,800 Speaker 5: for the Marlins Brian Holiday comes through. Oh bet it's 470 00:23:00,840 --> 00:23:03,080 Speaker 5: a four to three Marlin's win. 471 00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:09,800 Speaker 6: Yeah, there haven't been too many times this season where 472 00:23:09,800 --> 00:23:14,960 Speaker 6: the Marlins lengths yet the victory that is the case tonight. 473 00:23:16,200 --> 00:23:19,440 Speaker 1: Considered that in twenty eighteen, Marlins backup catcher that year 474 00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:23,320 Speaker 1: behind JT. Real Muto, and he was almost an automatic 475 00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:27,000 Speaker 1: out at the plate, offering no power whatsoever. Average together 476 00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:28,840 Speaker 1: those two seasons, which I think is the best way 477 00:23:28,840 --> 00:23:31,240 Speaker 1: of doing it, twenty eighteen and twenty nineteen, he is 478 00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:35,000 Speaker 1: surely a below average hitter, even for the catcher position. 479 00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,760 Speaker 1: It's just the reality of the situation. Doesn't generate much power, 480 00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:40,440 Speaker 1: certainly doesn't run very well on the bases. His plate 481 00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:43,679 Speaker 1: discipline is alright, nothing special. Wherever he really makes an 482 00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:46,840 Speaker 1: impact for you is in the clubhouse and defensively. He's 483 00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:49,119 Speaker 1: also just a very good value someone that is earning 484 00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:51,520 Speaker 1: signed a minor league deal with the Marlins. He's someone 485 00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:54,399 Speaker 1: that is a good backup catcher. He's better than a 486 00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:57,000 Speaker 1: lot of backup catchers around the league. The reason why 487 00:23:57,080 --> 00:23:59,720 Speaker 1: I have him as a trade candidate is because of 488 00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:02,520 Speaker 1: some of a roster jam that's coming up. Chad Wallack 489 00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:04,600 Speaker 1: has been on the sixty day injury list with a 490 00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:07,080 Speaker 1: concussion for now almost two months. We're coming up on 491 00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:10,560 Speaker 1: the point where he is almost eligible to return. He's 492 00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:13,199 Speaker 1: actively on a rehab assignment in Triple A New Orleans. 493 00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:15,520 Speaker 1: Wallack is someone that the Marlins picked out of spring 494 00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:18,400 Speaker 1: training to be their preferred backup catcher for Jorge Altharo. 495 00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:20,480 Speaker 1: So now that he's coming back, are you going to 496 00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:22,840 Speaker 1: keep him blocked in Triple A just because Holliday has 497 00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,000 Speaker 1: impressed in the small sample size, or are you gonna 498 00:24:25,359 --> 00:24:28,480 Speaker 1: kind of go with your first instinct on that. Understanding 499 00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:30,680 Speaker 1: that Wallack has a few more years of control ahead 500 00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:33,040 Speaker 1: of him than Holiday does, and that he does a 501 00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:35,199 Speaker 1: lot of the same things early in the season, at 502 00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:37,679 Speaker 1: least in that small sample size, I would think that 503 00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:40,560 Speaker 1: this is a sneaky one that actually happens. There's a 504 00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:44,160 Speaker 1: very strong chance that Brian Holliday gets traded. The Marlins 505 00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:46,600 Speaker 1: do have additional catching depth even if there is an 506 00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:49,520 Speaker 1: injury down the stretch. Even if they do trade Holiday, 507 00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:53,360 Speaker 1: but he's someone that can help contending teams as a backup. 508 00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,919 Speaker 1: You're not gonna get anything of significance in return, probably 509 00:24:56,960 --> 00:24:59,480 Speaker 1: just one player to be named later, or just a 510 00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:02,760 Speaker 1: lottery ticket prospect that has a lot of question marks 511 00:25:02,840 --> 00:25:06,399 Speaker 1: around him. That's just the reality of trading a backup 512 00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:10,119 Speaker 1: at a position, someone that, if you look at postseason history, 513 00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:12,399 Speaker 1: backup catchers really don't play much at all. He has 514 00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:14,640 Speaker 1: someone wants to help reinforce you for the stretch run, 515 00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:18,920 Speaker 1: and he'll remain under arbitration eligibility in twenty twenty if 516 00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:21,680 Speaker 1: his contending team really likes a fit. But this is 517 00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:23,080 Speaker 1: the one I'm going to go out on a limb 518 00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:25,760 Speaker 1: and say the Marlins do get a deal done trading 519 00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:29,080 Speaker 1: Brian Holiday to a contending team before July thirty first. 520 00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:35,000 Speaker 1: Flipping back to the pitching side of things, second year 521 00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:38,400 Speaker 1: right hander Trevor Richards age twenty sixth season a four 522 00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:41,240 Speaker 1: point one to eight EER, a four point sixty five FIP, 523 00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 1: one point zero wins above replacement in ninety nine innings 524 00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:47,560 Speaker 1: pitch this season. You know about his amazing backstory. Former 525 00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:50,520 Speaker 1: undrafted free agent at at Drew University. He wants to 526 00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:53,840 Speaker 1: play independent ball. He very nearly came to the point 527 00:25:53,840 --> 00:25:55,760 Speaker 1: of turning the page on his baseball career and doing 528 00:25:55,760 --> 00:25:57,959 Speaker 1: something else until the Marlin spotted him and gave him 529 00:25:57,960 --> 00:25:59,240 Speaker 1: a shot in their minor league system. 530 00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:04,760 Speaker 7: Unbelievable, went to college undrafted independently couple of years and 531 00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:07,879 Speaker 7: then the Marlins signument and less than two years later, Terry, 532 00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:10,200 Speaker 7: he's in the major leagues and you're watching your son 533 00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:12,000 Speaker 7: here start. 534 00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:12,560 Speaker 2: What's it like. 535 00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:15,520 Speaker 8: It's unbelievable. He's worked hard, he deserves everything. He got 536 00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:19,439 Speaker 8: a lot of family and friends supporting him. It's been awesome. 537 00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:23,520 Speaker 7: So it's always nerve wracking to watch your son. I'm sure, pitch, 538 00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:26,399 Speaker 7: I mean probably no matter what level. But what about 539 00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:27,680 Speaker 7: what's different about this one? 540 00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:29,480 Speaker 6: This is the big show. 541 00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:33,040 Speaker 4: That's great, that's awesome. Yeah, that's great. 542 00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:36,440 Speaker 7: Confidence that he had Terry to go the root he did. 543 00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:39,960 Speaker 7: Is unusual to get to the big leagues this quickly, 544 00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:41,399 Speaker 7: if you will, I put that quote because I know 545 00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:41,840 Speaker 7: it's been. 546 00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:43,119 Speaker 2: A long rope. That definitely is. 547 00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:46,200 Speaker 8: But if you knew Trevor, there is no, never, any 548 00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:47,679 Speaker 8: doubt in his mind that he's gonna do it. So 549 00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:51,320 Speaker 8: he's an unbelievable kid, and he's worked hard and he 550 00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:51,880 Speaker 8: deserves it. 551 00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:54,960 Speaker 1: He rocketed it up through the system extremely quickly and 552 00:26:55,040 --> 00:26:58,879 Speaker 1: spent most of twenty eighteen in the rotation. Richards has 553 00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:01,679 Speaker 1: an amazing changeup, one of the sexiest pitches in baseball. 554 00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:03,960 Speaker 1: When it's on so much vertical drop on the pitch, 555 00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:05,720 Speaker 1: when he's setting it up the right way, when he's 556 00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:09,760 Speaker 1: commanding it, it's virtually unhittable. Unfortunately, he's just not a 557 00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:12,439 Speaker 1: complete pitcher, and he hasn't been a very consistent pitcher, 558 00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:15,119 Speaker 1: although he's been in the rotation throughout the twenty nineteen season. 559 00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:17,800 Speaker 1: Done some interesting things with his fastball, throwing it more 560 00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:19,520 Speaker 1: up in the zone to get swings and misses, and 561 00:27:19,520 --> 00:27:21,919 Speaker 1: that's been working. But at the same time batters have 562 00:27:21,960 --> 00:27:24,200 Speaker 1: adjusted to the change up a little bit. He's giving 563 00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:27,080 Speaker 1: it more home runs against the pitch. There's just less 564 00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:30,040 Speaker 1: of a domination factor with him than you see with 565 00:27:30,080 --> 00:27:32,840 Speaker 1: some of these other high upside starting pitching prospects coming 566 00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:35,119 Speaker 1: up through the Marlins system. If you're only going to 567 00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:37,560 Speaker 1: have five starting rotation spots in the major leagues at 568 00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:40,280 Speaker 1: most six, I just don't know if he's going to 569 00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:43,280 Speaker 1: be one of those guys for this Marlins organization when 570 00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:45,600 Speaker 1: this team turns the corner, someone that could have some 571 00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:48,080 Speaker 1: value in the bullpen as a fastball changeup guy. Just 572 00:27:48,080 --> 00:27:51,639 Speaker 1: focus on those two pitches with him and creates some 573 00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:54,200 Speaker 1: deception to it. But he might have more value on 574 00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:56,840 Speaker 1: a contending team, one that does not have the same 575 00:27:56,920 --> 00:27:59,639 Speaker 1: pitching depth that the Marlins have, one that'd be willing 576 00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:02,359 Speaker 1: to look with his inconsistency in the rotation. It might 577 00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:04,480 Speaker 1: have some suggestions with what he can do with his 578 00:28:04,520 --> 00:28:06,600 Speaker 1: breaking ball to get more value out of it. The 579 00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:09,080 Speaker 1: Marlins are in no hurry to move Richards at all, 580 00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:12,119 Speaker 1: considering this sug just his second year, he's earning a 581 00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:15,960 Speaker 1: league minimum, He's controllable for at least four more years 582 00:28:15,960 --> 00:28:19,119 Speaker 1: beyond this year before getting to free agency. They've playing 583 00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:21,919 Speaker 1: a time to make this decision. My expectation is the 584 00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:25,520 Speaker 1: Marlins won't be trading from their legit starting pitching depth 585 00:28:25,600 --> 00:28:27,440 Speaker 1: right now at this deadline. The timing just seems a 586 00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:29,719 Speaker 1: little bit awkward. You want to give more time to 587 00:28:29,760 --> 00:28:32,560 Speaker 1: evaluate internally who your best options are going to be 588 00:28:32,560 --> 00:28:36,080 Speaker 1: moving forward, and he's someone that, although he is fairly 589 00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:39,000 Speaker 1: stretched out dating back to last year, he's never been 590 00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:41,560 Speaker 1: in a major league rotation for an entire season, so 591 00:28:41,600 --> 00:28:43,360 Speaker 1: this would be a bit of an unknown for whatever 592 00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:45,960 Speaker 1: team is acquiring him. You don't want to be too 593 00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:48,840 Speaker 1: quick to dismiss somebody as having a certain ceiling in 594 00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:51,600 Speaker 1: the majors, especially when they've had some level of success. 595 00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:54,440 Speaker 1: My expectation is long term, he's not going to have 596 00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:57,560 Speaker 1: this kind of big role on a successful Marlins team. 597 00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:00,680 Speaker 1: But for the Marlins, it makes the most since just 598 00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:02,920 Speaker 1: to hold on Srichards for the time being, unless they 599 00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:06,680 Speaker 1: get totally overwhelmed by a team that sees more potential 600 00:29:06,720 --> 00:29:10,200 Speaker 1: in him than they do. The next trade candidate is 601 00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:12,239 Speaker 1: a pretty emotional one if you're a Marlins fan. It's 602 00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:16,240 Speaker 1: shortstop Miguel Rojas. Age thirty season. He's slashing two eighty 603 00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:19,040 Speaker 1: eight three forty four three sixty five. That's a ninety 604 00:29:19,080 --> 00:29:22,120 Speaker 1: two weighted runs created plus one point five wins above 605 00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:25,640 Speaker 1: replacement in three hundred and forty six played appearances. He's 606 00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:28,360 Speaker 1: been arguably the MVP of the Marlins so far this season. 607 00:29:28,680 --> 00:29:30,960 Speaker 1: The contact hitting skills that you've grown accustomed to over 608 00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:33,280 Speaker 1: the years, they're actually yielding more base hits than they 609 00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:33,960 Speaker 1: have in the past. 610 00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:39,000 Speaker 9: Row ball through for a base hit. They're in a 611 00:29:39,080 --> 00:29:42,240 Speaker 9: wave around al Farrow. Here comes a crow from Foller. 612 00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:45,640 Speaker 9: It is not in time and Miguel ross up the 613 00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:49,120 Speaker 9: second after an RBI that ties the game with two 614 00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:49,960 Speaker 9: outs in the eight. 615 00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:53,320 Speaker 6: Time and time and time again, with two strikes. We 616 00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:56,520 Speaker 6: see Mickey Road go the other way, finds the whole, 617 00:29:56,680 --> 00:29:57,840 Speaker 6: finds green grass. 618 00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:01,440 Speaker 1: He brings plus defense at multiple positions in twenty nineteen, 619 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:05,080 Speaker 1: He's been focused exclusively at shortstop since mid April, has 620 00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:07,720 Speaker 1: been playing there virtually every single day, and he's brought 621 00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:10,120 Speaker 1: so much value at that position. If you want to 622 00:30:10,120 --> 00:30:12,200 Speaker 1: look at a reason why the Marlins young pitching has 623 00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:14,920 Speaker 1: been so successful right away, a big factor in that 624 00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:17,880 Speaker 1: is the infield defense being played behind them, and nobody 625 00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:20,720 Speaker 1: individually is having a bigger impact on that part of 626 00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:22,880 Speaker 1: the game than Rojas's. 627 00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:25,720 Speaker 9: To Anderson off his glove. 628 00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:27,680 Speaker 5: Rojas gets to it and look. 629 00:30:29,600 --> 00:30:34,360 Speaker 9: Robas right place, right time, takes the deflection shovel pass 630 00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:38,400 Speaker 9: to Anderson, who somehow found Alby's and. 631 00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:42,200 Speaker 6: They get out number three, who said baseball isn't a 632 00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:44,680 Speaker 6: team sport, Brian Anderson kind of lining. 633 00:30:44,520 --> 00:30:45,120 Speaker 10: Up his feet. 634 00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:48,120 Speaker 6: Rojas does a fantastic job. 635 00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:50,560 Speaker 1: Ob I think some of the saber metrics overstate the 636 00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:52,800 Speaker 1: kind of impact he has on the field. They don't 637 00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:56,000 Speaker 1: necessarily take into the account how many rallies he kills 638 00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:58,320 Speaker 1: by grounding into double plays where he's among the league 639 00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:01,400 Speaker 1: leaders and grounding into double plays, and in today's day 640 00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:03,800 Speaker 1: and age, where so much run scoring is dependent on 641 00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:06,360 Speaker 1: actually hitting home runs, he just does not have the 642 00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:08,760 Speaker 1: capacity to hit a ball over the wall. I was 643 00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:10,800 Speaker 1: as shocked as anybody when he actually did it once 644 00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:13,320 Speaker 1: right before the All Star break. It's a big limitation 645 00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:15,960 Speaker 1: in his game, and it makes him pretty reliant on 646 00:31:16,040 --> 00:31:18,880 Speaker 1: other teammates in his lineup in order to actually get 647 00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:23,080 Speaker 1: runs across. So that's a pretty significant knock against him. 648 00:31:23,360 --> 00:31:25,920 Speaker 1: This year, he's earning a three point one six million 649 00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:28,640 Speaker 1: dollar salary, and he's going to be arbitration eligible one 650 00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:30,920 Speaker 1: more time in twenty twenty, where you'd expect him to 651 00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:33,040 Speaker 1: get a pretty significant raise, but it's not a skill 652 00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:36,959 Speaker 1: set that actually gets richly rewarded in arbitration. Regardless, if 653 00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:38,920 Speaker 1: he goes to a team that values him as an 654 00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,239 Speaker 1: everyday player the same way that Marlins do, he's going 655 00:31:41,280 --> 00:31:43,360 Speaker 1: to be a good value for them when it comes 656 00:31:43,400 --> 00:31:46,640 Speaker 1: to financials. As I mentioned at the top of the episode, 657 00:31:46,640 --> 00:31:48,520 Speaker 1: when you're a good player on a team that is 658 00:31:48,520 --> 00:31:50,320 Speaker 1: selling out the trade deadline, your name is going to 659 00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:53,520 Speaker 1: come up in those trade negotiations. The Marlins may not 660 00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:56,640 Speaker 1: be pushing all that aggressively to get him moved, but 661 00:31:56,680 --> 00:31:58,800 Speaker 1: you can be sure that other teams are curious about him, 662 00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:01,680 Speaker 1: knowing that versatility that he brings when he's not a shortstop. 663 00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:03,760 Speaker 1: Some may see a lot of value in him, even 664 00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:05,760 Speaker 1: though it's just a part time player, because of all 665 00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:08,120 Speaker 1: the high character things that he does off the fields 666 00:32:08,120 --> 00:32:10,920 Speaker 1: and in the clubhouse. He's someone that makes a lot 667 00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:15,320 Speaker 1: of teams better and can fit very flexibly into pretty 668 00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:17,800 Speaker 1: much any roster that you move him in on. He 669 00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:20,719 Speaker 1: just has a lot of intangible value to the Marlins 670 00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:24,160 Speaker 1: organization as someone that they got as initially in the 671 00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:26,959 Speaker 1: de Gordon trade almost five years ago. They got him 672 00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:29,680 Speaker 1: and he was a total afterthought, someone that at his 673 00:32:29,840 --> 00:32:31,880 Speaker 1: very best maybe could stick at the edge of the 674 00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:34,760 Speaker 1: roster as the utility man. So he's exceeded those expectations 675 00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:36,560 Speaker 1: and he's one of the most popular players to the 676 00:32:36,600 --> 00:32:39,600 Speaker 1: fan base, so from that aspect, that would deter them 677 00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:41,920 Speaker 1: from trying to trade him. At the same time, we've 678 00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:43,480 Speaker 1: gone through the list so far. There are a few 679 00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:46,080 Speaker 1: more names coming up, but none of these guys are 680 00:32:46,240 --> 00:32:49,200 Speaker 1: likely going to bring back a huge haul in trades, 681 00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:51,600 Speaker 1: and if the Marlins don't yet see themselves as having 682 00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:56,440 Speaker 1: enough talent internally to build a full on, sustainable contender, 683 00:32:56,840 --> 00:32:59,360 Speaker 1: they need to make some tough decisions when it comes 684 00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:03,440 Speaker 1: to who to flip for younger, more controllable talent. Ultimately, 685 00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:06,040 Speaker 1: I do not expect Rojas to get traded. This is 686 00:33:06,080 --> 00:33:07,520 Speaker 1: the peak of his value. If you are going to 687 00:33:07,560 --> 00:33:09,960 Speaker 1: trade him at any point, it would be now. But 688 00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:12,920 Speaker 1: given the value that he had on the field so 689 00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:15,640 Speaker 1: far this season and what he means to the fan 690 00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:18,040 Speaker 1: base and the team off the field, the fact that 691 00:33:18,360 --> 00:33:21,120 Speaker 1: I think he's really a better candidate for an extension 692 00:33:21,120 --> 00:33:23,920 Speaker 1: than he is to get traded, someone that you could 693 00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:28,080 Speaker 1: see aging fairly gracefully in a limited role, maybe not 694 00:33:28,080 --> 00:33:29,720 Speaker 1: going to be in every day shortstop when this team 695 00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:32,480 Speaker 1: turns the corner. They have a couple nice prospects just 696 00:33:32,480 --> 00:33:34,920 Speaker 1: added to the farm system that are more likely to 697 00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:37,600 Speaker 1: have that role than he is. But he has value 698 00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:40,480 Speaker 1: with this team. He's someone that, in a short time, 699 00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:43,440 Speaker 1: is one of the more impactful players that the organization 700 00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:47,840 Speaker 1: has had, especially since they started this rebuild, but someone 701 00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:50,640 Speaker 1: that is so universally liked by both his teammates and 702 00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:54,600 Speaker 1: his competitors. I think he stays. The oldest picture on 703 00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:57,240 Speaker 1: the Marlins is also their most obvious trade candidate. That 704 00:33:57,400 --> 00:34:01,760 Speaker 1: is right hander Sergio Romo, age thirty six season a 705 00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:04,400 Speaker 1: four point one to three eer a four point three 706 00:34:04,480 --> 00:34:07,360 Speaker 1: four fifth zero point one wins, a buff replacement in 707 00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:10,200 Speaker 1: thirty two and two thirds nings pitch. He's been nearly 708 00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:14,480 Speaker 1: perfect in save opportunities this season and limited almost exclusively 709 00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:15,760 Speaker 1: to working as a closer. 710 00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:17,800 Speaker 9: So Matt Waiters. 711 00:34:19,120 --> 00:34:23,839 Speaker 5: Will hit Flarity is picked off a show. He said 712 00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:30,080 Speaker 5: that selling ends. Oh my wow, the mnch runner is 713 00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:33,000 Speaker 5: picked off. It's Marlin's win. 714 00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:38,479 Speaker 6: Oh they got him napping. He was looking somewhere other 715 00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:42,239 Speaker 6: than Sergio Romo. Watch this backpack, Clarity's talking, He's not 716 00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:45,600 Speaker 6: even looking. Rivera sneaks in, comes up with the tag. Yeah, 717 00:34:45,640 --> 00:34:47,719 Speaker 6: he's got him. That arm is not there. 718 00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:51,399 Speaker 5: Wow, what a way to end this ball game. 719 00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:55,000 Speaker 1: The Marlin signs him at the beginning of spring training 720 00:34:55,040 --> 00:34:57,759 Speaker 1: and they really drums up his versatility. He's coming off 721 00:34:57,760 --> 00:34:59,880 Speaker 1: the season with the Tampa Bay Rays that he was 722 00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:03,279 Speaker 1: frequently an opener for them, starting the game and going 723 00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:05,680 Speaker 1: usually just one ending. At the beginning of games it 724 00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:08,680 Speaker 1: was highly unconventional and a little bit controversial, and he 725 00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:11,960 Speaker 1: really embraced that versatility from the get go. This year 726 00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:14,280 Speaker 1: with the Marlins, he was saying he was ready for anything, 727 00:35:14,520 --> 00:35:17,359 Speaker 1: to handle whatever role this all fit, and yet they 728 00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:21,720 Speaker 1: have him limited into this highly specific role where frankly, 729 00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:23,640 Speaker 1: he hasn't been able to impact the game as much 730 00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:25,840 Speaker 1: as you would like for someone that has been fairly 731 00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:28,759 Speaker 1: consistent for them this season. As we've mentioned with several 732 00:35:28,760 --> 00:35:31,000 Speaker 1: of these other players already, he's been a star in 733 00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:33,239 Speaker 1: the clubhouse. He's been very personal to the media. The 734 00:35:33,320 --> 00:35:36,200 Speaker 1: kind of energy that he shows on the fields really 735 00:35:36,200 --> 00:35:38,560 Speaker 1: resonates with fans, whether they were watching from the ballparker 736 00:35:38,600 --> 00:35:41,960 Speaker 1: at home. He's popular. But he's also a pending free agent. 737 00:35:42,280 --> 00:35:44,640 Speaker 1: A two point five million dollar contracts brought him in 738 00:35:44,719 --> 00:35:46,480 Speaker 1: this offseason. There's gonna be less than a million of 739 00:35:46,520 --> 00:35:49,359 Speaker 1: that remaining down the stretch after the trade deadline, So 740 00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:52,600 Speaker 1: that's a number easily to absorb if you're a contending team, 741 00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:54,319 Speaker 1: even if you have a lot of other commitments on 742 00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:57,400 Speaker 1: your books. Other teams probably wouldn't value him as a closer. 743 00:35:58,000 --> 00:36:01,600 Speaker 1: As effective as he's been this year. It's often been 744 00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:04,440 Speaker 1: very adventurous. He is more reliant on his defense and 745 00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:07,040 Speaker 1: he used to be. The strikeout rate is certainly down 746 00:36:07,120 --> 00:36:10,120 Speaker 1: from his prime. What he brings is a very interesting 747 00:36:10,200 --> 00:36:13,400 Speaker 1: contrast in styles compared to the typical reliever today. He 748 00:36:13,480 --> 00:36:16,760 Speaker 1: is some of the lowest average fastball velocity in baseball, 749 00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:19,719 Speaker 1: and he doesn't even throw his fastball often anymore. It's 750 00:36:19,840 --> 00:36:22,640 Speaker 1: very reliant on that frisbee slider that has so much 751 00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:24,920 Speaker 1: horizontal movement. If you're able to time it up as 752 00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:26,640 Speaker 1: a batter, you could drive it a long way, but 753 00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:29,920 Speaker 1: the majority of batters aren't able to really know track 754 00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:32,600 Speaker 1: exactly where that pitch is going and get goodwood on it. 755 00:36:32,920 --> 00:36:37,880 Speaker 1: So overall, he's been probably exactly what the Marlins were expecting. 756 00:36:38,080 --> 00:36:41,160 Speaker 1: He hasn't exceeded those expectations, but he's been perfectly fine 757 00:36:41,200 --> 00:36:43,640 Speaker 1: for them, and they'll have a role with a contending team. 758 00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:47,319 Speaker 1: He's almost a lock to get traded at this deadline, 759 00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:49,759 Speaker 1: but prior to July thirty first, he's not going to 760 00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:51,879 Speaker 1: bring you back much in return at all. I don't 761 00:36:51,880 --> 00:36:53,960 Speaker 1: even think it would be a top thirty Marlins prospect 762 00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:57,000 Speaker 1: they get in return, just because of the bottom line 763 00:36:57,040 --> 00:36:59,640 Speaker 1: results and the fact that he has a lesser value 764 00:36:59,640 --> 00:37:02,040 Speaker 1: to whatever team is acquiring him then he had too 765 00:37:02,080 --> 00:37:05,120 Speaker 1: the Marlins in the first place. But I'd like to 766 00:37:05,120 --> 00:37:07,359 Speaker 1: be the first one to thank Sergio for his great 767 00:37:07,400 --> 00:37:11,279 Speaker 1: contributions to the Marlins this season and really representing the 768 00:37:11,320 --> 00:37:15,000 Speaker 1: franchise very proudly. It'll be fun during that final throwback 769 00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:17,480 Speaker 1: weekend to see him in the old Marlins uniforms. Hopefully 770 00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:19,279 Speaker 1: this goes down to the deadline so we get to 771 00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:22,400 Speaker 1: enjoy a couple more weeks of him in the Marlins uniform, 772 00:37:22,640 --> 00:37:28,759 Speaker 1: but he's as good as gone. Next up is a 773 00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:32,359 Speaker 1: very unlikely trade candidate, but an enormously important one. That's 774 00:37:32,440 --> 00:37:35,759 Speaker 1: left hander Caleb Smith, age twenty seven season, about to 775 00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:38,160 Speaker 1: turn twenty eight years old. A three point four to 776 00:37:38,239 --> 00:37:41,600 Speaker 1: six ERA, four point three to three five, A zero 777 00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:44,399 Speaker 1: point nine wins above replacement in seventy eight endings pitch. 778 00:37:45,080 --> 00:37:47,040 Speaker 1: During the first quarter of the season, Caleb had one 779 00:37:47,080 --> 00:37:50,000 Speaker 1: of the most dominant stretches of starting pitching by any 780 00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:53,040 Speaker 1: Marlin in franchise history, easily the best run we've seen 781 00:37:53,320 --> 00:37:56,359 Speaker 1: by a starter since the late great Jose Fernandez, and 782 00:37:56,440 --> 00:37:58,960 Speaker 1: somehow I think he's become a little underrated since then. 783 00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:01,440 Speaker 1: He missed nearly a month the major league action due 784 00:38:01,480 --> 00:38:05,400 Speaker 1: to left hip inflammation. He has been giving up a 785 00:38:05,440 --> 00:38:07,800 Speaker 1: lot more home run since he returned from the injured 786 00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:10,600 Speaker 1: list than he did during that first quarter of the season. 787 00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:12,960 Speaker 1: There's not much of a track record at the major 788 00:38:13,040 --> 00:38:16,200 Speaker 1: league level because his first extended opportunity as a starter 789 00:38:16,320 --> 00:38:19,400 Speaker 1: came last year prior to suffering that lat injury that 790 00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:21,719 Speaker 1: led the season ending surgery. He hasn't pitched the full 791 00:38:21,760 --> 00:38:24,560 Speaker 1: major league season, as has been pointed out pretty repeatedly. 792 00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:27,799 Speaker 1: Now that he's coming off that surgery, endings are being 793 00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:30,400 Speaker 1: monitored a little bit by the Marlins this season, they 794 00:38:30,400 --> 00:38:33,080 Speaker 1: probably would not leave him in the starting rotation every 795 00:38:33,160 --> 00:38:35,880 Speaker 1: fifth day the rest of the year, especially not for 796 00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:37,799 Speaker 1: a team that would be going to the postseason. That's 797 00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:40,640 Speaker 1: a consideration for any team that's interested in him is 798 00:38:40,680 --> 00:38:43,040 Speaker 1: that it's more of a long term play with Caleb. 799 00:38:43,360 --> 00:38:46,000 Speaker 1: He is earning about the league minimum this year. He's 800 00:38:46,520 --> 00:38:49,040 Speaker 1: under control for a similar price next year, and only 801 00:38:49,080 --> 00:38:51,279 Speaker 1: then does he get to arbitration. So it's this year 802 00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:53,920 Speaker 1: and at least four more beyond that of team control. 803 00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:56,520 Speaker 1: For a guy that at times has been absolutely dominant, 804 00:38:56,680 --> 00:38:59,640 Speaker 1: He's got three pitches that he controls very well and 805 00:38:59,719 --> 00:39:02,040 Speaker 1: that he could get swings and missus with that fastball, 806 00:39:02,200 --> 00:39:04,440 Speaker 1: the slider, the change up. They work very well with 807 00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:07,239 Speaker 1: each other. He's found a way, too, at times be 808 00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:12,719 Speaker 1: that dominant pitcher, even without having overwhelming velocity. It's the 809 00:39:12,800 --> 00:39:15,399 Speaker 1: key has been a spin rate and his command. Those 810 00:39:15,400 --> 00:39:18,080 Speaker 1: are nice building blocks to have. He's in a strange 811 00:39:18,080 --> 00:39:20,480 Speaker 1: situation because he is older than a lot of other 812 00:39:20,520 --> 00:39:23,880 Speaker 1: pictures would be with his same amount of major league experience, 813 00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:26,000 Speaker 1: So you don't know if he's actually going to get 814 00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:28,400 Speaker 1: much better than what he is right now. And of 815 00:39:28,440 --> 00:39:31,520 Speaker 1: course this recent stretch that he's been on where he 816 00:39:31,960 --> 00:39:34,120 Speaker 1: has not had quite the same command that he used 817 00:39:34,120 --> 00:39:36,600 Speaker 1: to and where opponents seem to be adjusting a little 818 00:39:36,640 --> 00:39:38,520 Speaker 1: bit to him, it gives you a little bit of 819 00:39:38,560 --> 00:39:41,520 Speaker 1: concern if your team that wants to get better right now. 820 00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:44,560 Speaker 1: Also tricky to find comparable cases to Caleb that actually 821 00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:47,000 Speaker 1: get moved to the trade deadline at this state in 822 00:39:47,040 --> 00:39:49,319 Speaker 1: their career. The closest one I could come up with 823 00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:52,160 Speaker 1: was lefty Drew Pomeranz three years ago when he went 824 00:39:52,160 --> 00:39:54,399 Speaker 1: from the Padres to the Red Sox and then return 825 00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:56,759 Speaker 1: to the Padres only got one prospect in return, but 826 00:39:56,920 --> 00:39:59,959 Speaker 1: it was a consensus top fifty prospect in Anderson espino 827 00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:02,239 Speaker 1: If you want to play the results, that has not 828 00:40:02,320 --> 00:40:05,120 Speaker 1: worked out very well by limiting themselves to just one prospect. 829 00:40:05,160 --> 00:40:08,600 Speaker 1: They really went all in on Espinosa, and he has 830 00:40:08,640 --> 00:40:10,760 Speaker 1: not pitched since the end of the twenty sixteen season 831 00:40:10,840 --> 00:40:12,920 Speaker 1: due to elbow injuries. So that's the kind of risk 832 00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:14,640 Speaker 1: that you take when you settle for just one guy 833 00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:17,200 Speaker 1: instead of a bigger package. I feel the same way 834 00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:19,399 Speaker 1: with Caleb this year that if they were to trade 835 00:40:19,480 --> 00:40:21,680 Speaker 1: him and look for a high upside guy, they would 836 00:40:21,800 --> 00:40:23,799 Speaker 1: basically be making a one for one. The only way 837 00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:26,480 Speaker 1: that you're going to get a signific multiple players in 838 00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:29,200 Speaker 1: the package for him right now is if you kind 839 00:40:29,200 --> 00:40:32,320 Speaker 1: of lower the upside on the centerpiece of that package. 840 00:40:32,640 --> 00:40:35,640 Speaker 1: And maybe that's not super attractive for a team that 841 00:40:36,040 --> 00:40:38,680 Speaker 1: right now has been hunting for those impact players rather 842 00:40:38,719 --> 00:40:41,560 Speaker 1: than worrying about depth. Now that they have depth, they're 843 00:40:41,640 --> 00:40:43,719 Speaker 1: kind of looking for the high upside and I'm not 844 00:40:43,960 --> 00:40:47,000 Speaker 1: sure that you get that with Caleb at this very moment. 845 00:40:47,040 --> 00:40:49,080 Speaker 1: It depends how his next few starts go. He has 846 00:40:49,160 --> 00:40:52,319 Speaker 1: three more starts between now and the July thirty first 847 00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:54,879 Speaker 1: trade deadline, and he has not had one of those 848 00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:57,880 Speaker 1: single dominant starts since that first quarter of the season. 849 00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:00,799 Speaker 1: So I'm throwing his name out there the assumption that 850 00:41:00,840 --> 00:41:02,840 Speaker 1: he has at least one of those great outings between 851 00:41:02,840 --> 00:41:05,600 Speaker 1: now and the deadline to reassure teams that he can 852 00:41:05,640 --> 00:41:09,040 Speaker 1: have a big impact for them in twenty nineteen. But overall, 853 00:41:09,120 --> 00:41:11,320 Speaker 1: it's just there's a lot of complications going on here, 854 00:41:11,480 --> 00:41:14,040 Speaker 1: the biggest one being that he had that shoulder injury, 855 00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:16,240 Speaker 1: and he has that limited track record in the major leagues, 856 00:41:16,680 --> 00:41:19,800 Speaker 1: and as we mentioned with Trevor Richards, it's not that 857 00:41:20,000 --> 00:41:22,680 Speaker 1: kind of timing quite yet where the Marlins are looking 858 00:41:22,680 --> 00:41:25,680 Speaker 1: to unload their pitching depth. That's certainly an option for them. 859 00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:28,480 Speaker 1: Maybe they do get overwhelmed by somebody willing to give 860 00:41:28,560 --> 00:41:31,080 Speaker 1: up multiple big impact prospects that are close to the 861 00:41:31,080 --> 00:41:35,160 Speaker 1: major leagues because they really trust Smith's spin rate and 862 00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:37,719 Speaker 1: they see him somehow getting even better than he was 863 00:41:38,080 --> 00:41:40,439 Speaker 1: during the first quarter of the season. I don't want 864 00:41:40,440 --> 00:41:43,160 Speaker 1: to totally discount that, but the odds are that he's 865 00:41:43,200 --> 00:41:44,960 Speaker 1: staying with the Marlins at least through the rest of 866 00:41:45,000 --> 00:41:47,359 Speaker 1: this year and then they reevaluate things with their pitching 867 00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:50,680 Speaker 1: staff over the winter. The last player we'll touch on 868 00:41:50,760 --> 00:41:53,440 Speaker 1: here and the main trade candidate section of the episode, 869 00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:56,880 Speaker 1: is first baseman Neil Walker, age thirty three. Season a 870 00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:59,640 Speaker 1: two to seventy batting average three forty six on base, 871 00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:03,160 Speaker 1: row two, slugging one o four winned runs created, plus 872 00:42:03,440 --> 00:42:06,400 Speaker 1: zero point two wins above replacement in two hundred and 873 00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:10,560 Speaker 1: eleven played appearances for the Marlins this season. He was 874 00:42:10,640 --> 00:42:12,560 Speaker 1: their best hitter early in the season, at the same 875 00:42:12,600 --> 00:42:16,040 Speaker 1: time that Caleb was the ace of the rotation. He 876 00:42:16,320 --> 00:42:18,360 Speaker 1: was like the most trustworthy bat in the middle of 877 00:42:18,400 --> 00:42:21,239 Speaker 1: the lineup. Not a guy that showed huge power at 878 00:42:21,280 --> 00:42:23,880 Speaker 1: any point, but just such a consistent on base machine 879 00:42:23,880 --> 00:42:26,640 Speaker 1: and a good situational hitter, someone that has a very 880 00:42:26,680 --> 00:42:28,120 Speaker 1: long track record in this league. 881 00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:30,439 Speaker 8: When you're in the lineup at that point, does hitting 882 00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:31,759 Speaker 8: just kind of become contagious. 883 00:42:31,880 --> 00:42:34,200 Speaker 10: It is contagious, There's no doubt about that. And you 884 00:42:34,239 --> 00:42:36,080 Speaker 10: could you get sense in the dugout that we felt 885 00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:38,480 Speaker 10: good about the bats we were putting together early in 886 00:42:38,480 --> 00:42:40,960 Speaker 10: the game, and we just didn't really get rewarded for it. 887 00:42:41,080 --> 00:42:44,640 Speaker 10: So nobody panic. Nobody said everybody stayed calm and you 888 00:42:44,640 --> 00:42:46,719 Speaker 10: know that ending. We just took what the picture was 889 00:42:46,719 --> 00:42:49,040 Speaker 10: given us and did a good job of taking the 890 00:42:49,200 --> 00:42:50,399 Speaker 10: bats and moving along. 891 00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:52,680 Speaker 3: Like you mentioned, no one panic throughout the game, even 892 00:42:52,719 --> 00:42:54,919 Speaker 3: though you guys were down until the seventh ending. 893 00:42:54,920 --> 00:42:56,359 Speaker 2: What impressed you most about this one? 894 00:42:57,360 --> 00:42:58,759 Speaker 10: Yeah, I mean, that's the type base so we have 895 00:42:58,840 --> 00:43:01,120 Speaker 10: to play right there. You know, we're or obviously a 896 00:43:01,120 --> 00:43:02,759 Speaker 10: team that doesn't sit back and wait for the three 897 00:43:02,840 --> 00:43:05,280 Speaker 10: run homer in games, so we have to put together 898 00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:06,720 Speaker 10: good at bats. We got to use the whole field, 899 00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:09,320 Speaker 10: you know, guy's got to go first to third, score 900 00:43:09,560 --> 00:43:11,960 Speaker 10: on singles, things like that, and we did all that today. 901 00:43:11,960 --> 00:43:14,239 Speaker 10: It just took several runnings to get to that point. 902 00:43:14,400 --> 00:43:16,799 Speaker 1: It's really Walker and Romo on this roster that stick 903 00:43:16,840 --> 00:43:19,080 Speaker 1: out for how long they've been in the majors and 904 00:43:19,120 --> 00:43:22,120 Speaker 1: how pretty steady they've been a positive impact on the 905 00:43:22,120 --> 00:43:24,320 Speaker 1: teams that they've had. Walker, of course, used to be 906 00:43:24,360 --> 00:43:26,640 Speaker 1: a second baseman for most of his career with the 907 00:43:26,680 --> 00:43:30,040 Speaker 1: Pirates and then with the Mets, but over the past 908 00:43:30,040 --> 00:43:31,440 Speaker 1: couple of years he's had to move into more of 909 00:43:31,480 --> 00:43:34,080 Speaker 1: a utility role. I called him a first baseman. He 910 00:43:34,080 --> 00:43:36,560 Speaker 1: wouldn't necessarily be a first baseman for a contending team. 911 00:43:36,760 --> 00:43:39,080 Speaker 1: He'd have to show a lot of that defensive versatility. 912 00:43:39,320 --> 00:43:41,560 Speaker 1: And the problem with him is that although he has 913 00:43:41,560 --> 00:43:44,640 Speaker 1: that willingness to play other positions, something that like Starlin 914 00:43:44,719 --> 00:43:47,880 Speaker 1: Cashro doesn't have, he's not really that good defensively at 915 00:43:47,880 --> 00:43:50,440 Speaker 1: any position at this stage of his career. He is 916 00:43:50,520 --> 00:43:52,680 Speaker 1: not a quick guy. He has good hands, and that's 917 00:43:52,719 --> 00:43:54,319 Speaker 1: pretty much all. The only thing he could say is 918 00:43:54,320 --> 00:43:57,080 Speaker 1: he's got those really sure hands and he'll make a 919 00:43:57,080 --> 00:43:59,520 Speaker 1: lot of the plays that are hytorically at him, and 920 00:43:59,560 --> 00:44:01,720 Speaker 1: if he has some time to make a play, he'll 921 00:44:01,760 --> 00:44:04,239 Speaker 1: be precise with it. He's not gonna make a lot 922 00:44:04,239 --> 00:44:09,200 Speaker 1: of conventional defensive errors quote unquote errors, but he's someone 923 00:44:09,239 --> 00:44:12,920 Speaker 1: that has limitations defensively. Since coming back from an injury, 924 00:44:12,960 --> 00:44:15,239 Speaker 1: he missed I think more than a month on the 925 00:44:15,239 --> 00:44:17,680 Speaker 1: injured list before finally returning to the lineup, and he 926 00:44:17,719 --> 00:44:19,880 Speaker 1: has not had the same impact at the plate since then. 927 00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:21,759 Speaker 1: That's a big concern. If he was the guy he 928 00:44:21,920 --> 00:44:24,680 Speaker 1: was before his injury, someone that was fifteen to twenty 929 00:44:24,719 --> 00:44:26,960 Speaker 1: percent better than the league average hitter, then I think 930 00:44:26,960 --> 00:44:28,920 Speaker 1: you could find a lot of roles for him. And 931 00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:33,920 Speaker 1: maybe yet he shows that stuff over the next couple weeks. Otherwise, 932 00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:36,360 Speaker 1: I don't know what the kind of big interest is 933 00:44:36,400 --> 00:44:38,600 Speaker 1: gonna be in Neil Walker. There's not a single team 934 00:44:38,640 --> 00:44:40,799 Speaker 1: out there that needs a player like him. If he's 935 00:44:40,800 --> 00:44:44,600 Speaker 1: gonna be simply a league average hitter on an expiring contract, 936 00:44:45,160 --> 00:44:47,560 Speaker 1: a cheap contract just like Sergio Romo, that he could 937 00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:50,760 Speaker 1: absorb pretty easily down the stretch, it's hard to see 938 00:44:50,960 --> 00:44:53,439 Speaker 1: him as a high priority for any one team at 939 00:44:53,680 --> 00:44:57,000 Speaker 1: You're gonna get maybe one player back for him. The 940 00:44:57,080 --> 00:44:59,399 Speaker 1: Marlins may even consider eating some of the money still 941 00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:02,000 Speaker 1: owed to him to sweeten the return they get back. 942 00:45:02,360 --> 00:45:05,840 Speaker 1: I do think, like Romo, he will get moved somehow, 943 00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:09,280 Speaker 1: some way prior to the deadline. Maybe the Red Sox 944 00:45:09,360 --> 00:45:11,520 Speaker 1: find him useful if Mitch Morelands can't get back on 945 00:45:11,560 --> 00:45:14,160 Speaker 1: the field, he as a regular first baseman, the Rockies 946 00:45:14,200 --> 00:45:17,040 Speaker 1: could use some more role players in a part time role, 947 00:45:17,400 --> 00:45:20,160 Speaker 1: although Walker and Daniel Murphy are kind of redundant on 948 00:45:20,200 --> 00:45:23,040 Speaker 1: that roster. I just don't see him being a need 949 00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:25,600 Speaker 1: for anybody. But the bottom line is, I think you 950 00:45:25,640 --> 00:45:28,080 Speaker 1: can get something for him if you're the Marlins, and 951 00:45:27,520 --> 00:45:30,120 Speaker 1: that's better than nothing. And it opens up some roster 952 00:45:30,200 --> 00:45:32,920 Speaker 1: spots that you can use on your homegrown player down 953 00:45:32,960 --> 00:45:35,560 Speaker 1: the stretch to get a closer look at pieces of 954 00:45:35,560 --> 00:45:37,719 Speaker 1: your future. Walker is not going to be one of 955 00:45:37,719 --> 00:45:40,240 Speaker 1: those pieces of the future, so better to get something 956 00:45:40,280 --> 00:45:46,040 Speaker 1: than nothing. Yes, they're going to be a seller at 957 00:45:46,080 --> 00:45:49,760 Speaker 1: the trade deadline. Yes they're not committed to winning games 958 00:45:49,800 --> 00:45:52,560 Speaker 1: down the stretch so much. But a lot of the 959 00:45:52,560 --> 00:45:55,719 Speaker 1: members of their current active roster have potential long term 960 00:45:55,840 --> 00:45:58,719 Speaker 1: roles in the success of the organization. Not all of 961 00:45:58,760 --> 00:46:00,600 Speaker 1: them are going to be flipped for you younger talent 962 00:46:00,640 --> 00:46:02,479 Speaker 1: That does not do much good for the fan base 963 00:46:02,840 --> 00:46:05,800 Speaker 1: or really for the health of the organization right now. 964 00:46:06,000 --> 00:46:07,279 Speaker 1: They need to hold on to a lot of the 965 00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:09,759 Speaker 1: talent they have and give them an opportunity to prove 966 00:46:09,800 --> 00:46:11,759 Speaker 1: themselves in the Major league. So timing is not right 967 00:46:11,960 --> 00:46:14,800 Speaker 1: for most of these guys to move. One notable omission 968 00:46:14,840 --> 00:46:17,200 Speaker 1: that we had circled heading into the regular season, who 969 00:46:17,440 --> 00:46:19,000 Speaker 1: I can assure you is not going to be traded 970 00:46:19,200 --> 00:46:22,640 Speaker 1: at the deadline is Jose Erna, the opening day starter 971 00:46:22,920 --> 00:46:25,200 Speaker 1: who is out on the injured list with a herniated disk, 972 00:46:25,280 --> 00:46:27,319 Speaker 1: and he has been for about a month and a half. 973 00:46:27,400 --> 00:46:30,279 Speaker 1: Now and with no firm times able to return yet 974 00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:32,680 Speaker 1: that was a big setback. He was not having a 975 00:46:32,680 --> 00:46:35,600 Speaker 1: great season as it is. He had some inconsistency in 976 00:46:35,600 --> 00:46:38,000 Speaker 1: his past, as you guys are well aware of, so 977 00:46:38,080 --> 00:46:40,879 Speaker 1: it would probably not have been a huge return regardless, 978 00:46:41,040 --> 00:46:43,880 Speaker 1: but someone that would have definitely drawn interest in the 979 00:46:43,880 --> 00:46:46,960 Speaker 1: same way that maybe Trevor Richards does, except with Arna, 980 00:46:47,080 --> 00:46:49,920 Speaker 1: he's a lot closer to free agency. We've given a 981 00:46:49,960 --> 00:46:52,799 Speaker 1: lot more of an opportunity to prove himself as a 982 00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:55,680 Speaker 1: reliable top of the rotation guy, and he simply hasn't 983 00:46:55,719 --> 00:46:58,040 Speaker 1: reached that kind of potential yet for the Marlins. So 984 00:46:58,080 --> 00:47:00,279 Speaker 1: he is someone that would have been actively marketed if 985 00:47:00,280 --> 00:47:03,000 Speaker 1: he was healthy. We'll see what happens with him should 986 00:47:03,040 --> 00:47:04,719 Speaker 1: he come back from the injured list this season and 987 00:47:05,000 --> 00:47:08,680 Speaker 1: kind of rebuild that value heading into the winter. One 988 00:47:08,760 --> 00:47:11,080 Speaker 1: Marlins trade candidate that I am sure you did not 989 00:47:11,120 --> 00:47:13,360 Speaker 1: think about it all to this point is right hander 990 00:47:13,400 --> 00:47:16,160 Speaker 1: Hector Noac. He hasn't pitched at all for the Marlins 991 00:47:16,160 --> 00:47:18,080 Speaker 1: and the major leagues this year. He's not even all 992 00:47:18,120 --> 00:47:20,279 Speaker 1: the Marlins roster, and that's kind of why I see 993 00:47:20,360 --> 00:47:22,800 Speaker 1: him as a trade candidate, because his path is blocked 994 00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:25,520 Speaker 1: from making any impact in the major leagues considering all 995 00:47:25,520 --> 00:47:27,839 Speaker 1: the starting pitching depth that they have. There are other 996 00:47:27,880 --> 00:47:29,920 Speaker 1: contending teams that do not have the same kind of depth, 997 00:47:30,040 --> 00:47:32,920 Speaker 1: and they could use somebody like Noa c if not 998 00:47:33,040 --> 00:47:35,080 Speaker 1: in their rotation, then at least as a long man 999 00:47:35,120 --> 00:47:37,319 Speaker 1: in their bullpen. He's among the league leaders in the 1000 00:47:37,320 --> 00:47:40,759 Speaker 1: Pacific Coast League this season in ennings pitched and strikeouts 1001 00:47:40,920 --> 00:47:43,719 Speaker 1: with an era in the low threes, which is remarkable 1002 00:47:43,719 --> 00:47:46,719 Speaker 1: considering how hit or friendly that environment is. He had 1003 00:47:46,760 --> 00:47:49,600 Speaker 1: pitched for several years in Korea before coming back to 1004 00:47:49,640 --> 00:47:54,120 Speaker 1: affiliated baseball this year. One interesting note about him is 1005 00:47:54,120 --> 00:47:56,440 Speaker 1: that because he's on a minor league contract and not 1006 00:47:56,480 --> 00:47:59,680 Speaker 1: on the Marlins active roster, he remains trade eligible even 1007 00:47:59,760 --> 00:48:02,840 Speaker 1: after July thirty first. This is the first year that 1008 00:48:02,960 --> 00:48:05,480 Speaker 1: Major League Baseball has that single trade deadline, but it 1009 00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:08,440 Speaker 1: does not apply to him because he's a minor leaguer. 1010 00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:10,960 Speaker 1: And with all due respect to some of the veterans 1011 00:48:10,960 --> 00:48:14,920 Speaker 1: on this Marlins roster Curis Granderson, Martine, Prado, Way, and Chin, 1012 00:48:15,640 --> 00:48:18,080 Speaker 1: they are all negative assets at this point. You could 1013 00:48:18,120 --> 00:48:20,480 Speaker 1: eat every CeNSE still owe to them on their contracts 1014 00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:22,520 Speaker 1: and you're not gonna get anything in return. You're not 1015 00:48:22,560 --> 00:48:24,640 Speaker 1: even going to get a team to accept them on 1016 00:48:24,680 --> 00:48:28,120 Speaker 1: their roster for free. Basically for free. It's not gonna 1017 00:48:28,120 --> 00:48:31,279 Speaker 1: work out. They're perceived as being washed up, and the 1018 00:48:31,320 --> 00:48:34,520 Speaker 1: Marlins can either enjoy their intangibles in the clubhouse or 1019 00:48:34,560 --> 00:48:36,600 Speaker 1: they can simply release them and open up those roster 1020 00:48:36,640 --> 00:48:38,960 Speaker 1: spots for younger players that are ready to take that 1021 00:48:39,000 --> 00:48:42,759 Speaker 1: next step. Once again, my name is Eli Seusman. Thank 1022 00:48:42,800 --> 00:48:45,200 Speaker 1: you so much for listening. Even if you don't hear 1023 00:48:45,280 --> 00:48:47,440 Speaker 1: me directly on Fish Stripes or Mander of the Season, 1024 00:48:47,440 --> 00:48:50,440 Speaker 1: you could still feel my impact on the website fishtripes 1025 00:48:50,480 --> 00:48:54,320 Speaker 1: dot com, on social media at fish Stripes on Twitter, Facebook, 1026 00:48:54,360 --> 00:48:57,160 Speaker 1: and Instagram. If you subscribe to the fish Stripes podcast 1027 00:48:57,160 --> 00:49:00,000 Speaker 1: wherever podcasts are available, you listen to us on Slow 1028 00:49:00,040 --> 00:49:03,480 Speaker 1: LAMB Radio, Serious XM one. I'm the one that produces 1029 00:49:03,560 --> 00:49:05,760 Speaker 1: most of these episodes, so you can enjoy that work 1030 00:49:06,000 --> 00:49:08,439 Speaker 1: and be sure I'm the first one to bring any 1031 00:49:08,440 --> 00:49:11,319 Speaker 1: criticism to if you see anything that you like to 1032 00:49:11,640 --> 00:49:14,000 Speaker 1: improve upon with Fish Stripes. In our coverage of the 1033 00:49:14,000 --> 00:49:16,600 Speaker 1: Marlins and their minor league system, we're always looking to 1034 00:49:16,640 --> 00:49:19,840 Speaker 1: get better, always looking to expand our coverage of the 1035 00:49:19,840 --> 00:49:23,000 Speaker 1: Marlins as well. Very excited to find out how this 1036 00:49:23,040 --> 00:49:25,600 Speaker 1: trade deadline actually plays out. We hope you all joined 1037 00:49:25,640 --> 00:49:27,480 Speaker 1: us on the ride and we'll have coverage of it 1038 00:49:27,640 --> 00:49:41,479 Speaker 1: every step of the way. Go Fish