WEBVTT - Nvidia Earnings Expectations and Apple Vision Pro U-Turn

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<v Speaker 1>From Marhart where Innovation, Money and Power Collie in Silicon Valley, NBN.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hide and Ed Ludlow.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm Caroline Heide a Bloomberg's World headquarters in New York.

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<v Speaker 4>Ed Ludlow is off this week.

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<v Speaker 3>This is Bloomberg Technology coming up in the next hour.

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<v Speaker 3>Wall Street eagerly awaiting in videos earnings due out tomorrow,

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<v Speaker 3>will we get confirmation that shares can meet the sky

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<v Speaker 3>high expectation set by the boom in artificial intelligence? Plus

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<v Speaker 3>Apple loyalists, well, they're making a U turn on the

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<v Speaker 3>Vision pro, some returning the device to get their thirty

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<v Speaker 3>five hundred dollars back.

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<v Speaker 4>So as the headset truly the future.

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<v Speaker 3>And Bitcoin it climbs for four straight weeks, which means

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<v Speaker 3>a record high could be in sight for the largest

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<v Speaker 3>digital asset. Will have more this hour, but first it's

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<v Speaker 3>checking on these markets and look just maybe some profit

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<v Speaker 3>taking ahead of another big week when you're coming to

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<v Speaker 3>the earnings expectations. S and P five found it actually

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<v Speaker 3>below that five thousand dollar level we've had a run

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<v Speaker 3>up in February. Are we going to be selling some

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<v Speaker 3>of that fact into the second half? Nasdaq off by

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<v Speaker 3>more than a percentage point.

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<v Speaker 4>Is tech get sits the most?

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<v Speaker 3>It's interesting that I shine like some of the Chinese

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<v Speaker 3>tech stocks that traded here in the US off by

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<v Speaker 3>almost two percent. Look the riding to the rescue in

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<v Speaker 3>the mortgage area, in particular the cuts to the mortgage rates,

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<v Speaker 3>which are meant to be propping up the property sector.

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<v Speaker 3>Not enough lookewarm response, and certainly the Chinese sector in

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<v Speaker 3>terms of tech also exemplifying that.

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<v Speaker 4>Move on, have a look.

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<v Speaker 3>At so many individual movers and what's happening in crypto. Bitcoin,

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<v Speaker 3>as we said, is marched higher for four straight weeks.

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<v Speaker 3>We're up twenty one percent over the course of this

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<v Speaker 3>year alone, and it is notable that we're almost at

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<v Speaker 3>that fifty two thousand dollars level some balls some tech

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<v Speaker 3>charts when you're starting to signal that we could eclipse

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<v Speaker 3>that sixty nine thousand dollars handle we've had in the past.

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<v Speaker 3>Move on and have a little look at what's happening

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<v Speaker 3>in the world of individual movers. And as I say, well,

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<v Speaker 3>on the global founderies part, we're actually to up two

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<v Speaker 3>point eight percent. One of the tech outperformers of the day.

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<v Speaker 3>Why well, because they seem to be getting yet more

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<v Speaker 3>funding from the government, yet more movement towards supply chain

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<v Speaker 3>here in the United States and some building in Malta

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<v Speaker 3>in particular. So we're up at fifty to four dollars

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<v Speaker 3>eighty six Trade desk, pulling back on what was a

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<v Speaker 3>rampant rise on Friday. Numbers outperformed on the Thursday night.

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<v Speaker 3>We saw really earnings flourish for this particular advertising company,

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<v Speaker 3>and well they're just taking a little bit of profit today,

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<v Speaker 3>having risen more than twenty percent on Friday. In VideA

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<v Speaker 3>also sings some profit taking. In fact, chips across the board.

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<v Speaker 3>We wait and we watch what will happen tomorrow when

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<v Speaker 3>we get those earnings. I'm so pleased to say that

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<v Speaker 3>our next guest can really dive into the world of

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<v Speaker 3>those stocks, in particular when it comes to video. Let's

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<v Speaker 3>go to Multi Tetaman Global Cio Nancy Curtain. Nancy, it

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<v Speaker 3>is great to get your perspective when you've got such

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<v Speaker 3>an amount of money under assets sixty seven billion dollars

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<v Speaker 3>and you've really seen round corners when it comes to AI, are.

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<v Speaker 4>You thinking we'll sell the news tomorrow? When it comes

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<v Speaker 4>to Video.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, look, Caroline, first of all, lovely to be back again.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, there's seven hundred and seventy one companies and

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<v Speaker 1>now I've seen this week, but there's really only one

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<v Speaker 1>that matters, isn't that? And that is in Video of

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<v Speaker 1>course tomorrow after the close, and there's huge expectations built in.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, the stock is up nearly fifty percent, a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit of correction today, but the stock is nearly

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<v Speaker 1>up fifty percent, you know, nearly eighteen times over the

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<v Speaker 1>last five years. So it's been on our roll here

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<v Speaker 1>two hundred and thirty percent last year, and of course

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<v Speaker 1>last week it edged out Amazon and Alphabet in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of you know, a size at one point eight trillion,

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<v Speaker 1>expectations are high, Caroline. I think probably they'll deliver. Who knows, really,

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<v Speaker 1>I have no insight into that, but what I can

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<v Speaker 1>say is the demand for in Vidia GPU chip seems

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<v Speaker 1>insatiable at the moment, and I think it's going to

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<v Speaker 1>be more about what Jensen says about the outlook, the

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<v Speaker 1>growth and the product lineup as opposed to what he

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<v Speaker 1>actually delivers in the earning.

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<v Speaker 4>Are you anticipating that really?

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<v Speaker 3>In Video as a winners takes all kind of scenario

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<v Speaker 3>or do we see catch up with other chip makers

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<v Speaker 3>able to make inroads into GPUs.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, look, anytime you have a market that's projected to

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<v Speaker 1>grow eighteen times over the next ten years, where in

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<v Speaker 1>video's ghost margins or seventy percent, you're going to have competition.

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<v Speaker 1>And at the moment, AMD and Intel are producing chips

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<v Speaker 1>that bit rival in video, and of course Jensen calls

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<v Speaker 1>them the frenemies. Who are those Microsoft? Meta, Amazon? They're

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<v Speaker 1>all developing accelerator chips as well. But look, in Vidio

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<v Speaker 1>does not stand still. They continue actually to bring out

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of product releases. You know, we've got the

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<v Speaker 1>H two hundred, We've got the so called Blackwell code

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<v Speaker 1>name Blackwell, and of course we have the X one

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<v Speaker 1>hundred next year. And in each of these what we

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<v Speaker 1>expect is to see greater energy efficiency, more processing capability,

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<v Speaker 1>and lowering costs as well. And this is going to

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<v Speaker 1>be all about the volume story heading forward. But you know,

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<v Speaker 1>don't write off in video. They have a pretty strong

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<v Speaker 1>competitive mode face it. You know, in Vidia is more

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<v Speaker 1>than a hardware company. It's hardware and software and tools

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<v Speaker 1>and development and trainee modules. This is really important for

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<v Speaker 1>the development community Kuda. This is a very very important

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<v Speaker 1>competitive mode that they have certainly Visa AMD and Intel,

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<v Speaker 1>but also in Vidia is cloud and platform agnostics. So

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<v Speaker 1>that's important for enterprises. If you're developing your large language model,

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<v Speaker 1>may not want to be just hitched up to one

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<v Speaker 1>hyper scale or so. There's a lot of you know,

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<v Speaker 1>competitive stuff that Nvidia still has in their favorite talk about.

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<v Speaker 3>The hyperscalers and talk about what we've seen in terms

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<v Speaker 3>of alphabet for example, trying to ultimately provide from the

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<v Speaker 3>cloud perspective. But also when they have been offering the

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<v Speaker 3>competitor to Microsoft's Open AI and being searched and they're like,

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<v Speaker 3>have you been impressed with the way in which big

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<v Speaker 3>tech has been able to ensure that they're not being

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<v Speaker 3>innovated out by some of them will nimble stotups.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, I think it's really interesting, Caroline, is at the

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<v Speaker 1>foundation level, the layer, the digital infrastructure. This is the

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<v Speaker 1>home of big tech. These are billions of dollars just

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<v Speaker 1>a small tech. Yeah, they can't compete, right, But I

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<v Speaker 1>think what we're seeing is a really interesting trend, which

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<v Speaker 1>is big tech and small tech working together. The poster

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<v Speaker 1>trial for that, of course is Microsoft and open AI,

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<v Speaker 1>and then you've got Amazon and Anthropic. But remember last

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<v Speaker 1>week we saw in video reveal a whole bunch of

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<v Speaker 1>investments in small technology. What's going on there? That's because

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<v Speaker 1>they need each other. Small tech is not going to

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<v Speaker 1>have the kind of capital to build the foundation level,

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<v Speaker 1>but large tech needs the innovation coming from small tech,

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<v Speaker 1>the training of models in particular complex areas such as pharmaceuticals,

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<v Speaker 1>drug discovery, autonomous vehicles ARM. You know, this is AI

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<v Speaker 1>on the edge. This is AI and everything we carry

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<v Speaker 1>with us our phones, our tablets, the meters at home, etc.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think this trend of big tech and little

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<v Speaker 1>tech working together goes under a bit of the regulatory scrutiny,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's also a win win for both sides.

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<v Speaker 3>Finnasi as Cio. Where do you gain that exposure? You're

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<v Speaker 3>obviously going to be getting into the publicly traded stocks,

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<v Speaker 3>but where have you found alternatives when you are looking

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<v Speaker 3>at the private markets?

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<v Speaker 1>So three ways that we're looking to play this. Number one,

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<v Speaker 1>we've got passive s and P five hundred exposure, thank

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<v Speaker 1>you very much. It's very cheap so and it means

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<v Speaker 1>we don't underperform, which is a good thing lots of

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<v Speaker 1>people did last year. But the second thing is we're

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<v Speaker 1>adding a global tech manager because we think there's a divergence.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, last year was all about the Magnificent seven,

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<v Speaker 1>you had to own all of them. Take a look

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<v Speaker 1>at this year and Vidia is up nearly fifty percent,

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<v Speaker 1>Tesla's down twenty five Hello, So divergence in performance. We

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<v Speaker 1>also think there will be a broadening in the tech space.

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<v Speaker 1>We see with asml ARM, you know SAP by way

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<v Speaker 1>of example, lots of companies are going to participate as

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<v Speaker 1>they become part of the GENAI journey and opportunity ahead.

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<v Speaker 1>And we also think, you know, smart technology managers focused

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<v Speaker 1>on winners and losers can really think about areas that

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<v Speaker 1>have not been priced in. So those are two things

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<v Speaker 1>we're doing the public market. I talked about big tech

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<v Speaker 1>and little tech. We're going to play that through the

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<v Speaker 1>private markets because we get exposure to leading, leading venture

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<v Speaker 1>and growth managers that are investing in this space. And

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<v Speaker 1>we think that's a phenomenal opportunity because if we get

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<v Speaker 1>that right, those gains aren't like ten percent a year,

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<v Speaker 1>they're absolutely enormous potentially. So we think that's interesting. But

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<v Speaker 1>the final thing I'll say, Caroline is infrastructure. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>Jensen Satin Nadella. There's a trillion dollars of infrastructure spend

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<v Speaker 1>to happen in the digital space. It's not just going

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<v Speaker 1>to be data centers, you know, fiber optics, towers, edge

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<v Speaker 1>computing power, and we think infrastructure very interesting. Uncorrelated to

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<v Speaker 1>the equity markets, has a bit of an inflation hedge.

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<v Speaker 1>That's quite nice given the numbers we saw last week,

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<v Speaker 1>and we're under rutting that to about a ten to

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<v Speaker 1>twelve percent return, so we think that's pretty nice as well.

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<v Speaker 3>Talking diversification, i'll see Tinaman Global Cio Nancy.

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<v Speaker 4>Great to have you back on the show. Coming lovely

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<v Speaker 4>to be here. Thank you there.

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<v Speaker 3>Meanwhile, let's just talk about one of those Magnificent seven

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<v Speaker 3>that we talk about less in the world of ai though.

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<v Speaker 3>Apple's chief operating officer, Jeff Williams is on a reir

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<v Speaker 3>visit to Taiwan to celebrate the fiftieth anniversary of fox Conn.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a company that helped build the iPhone empire by

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<v Speaker 3>assembling those devices to exacting standards in factories across China. Bluwags,

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<v Speaker 3>Mark Gumman, Justice Now what's happening across the ball with Apple.

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<v Speaker 4>And how certain companies.

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<v Speaker 3>He wasn't the only executive to go along to this

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<v Speaker 3>ultimately quite rare event happening in Taiwan. Often executives don't

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<v Speaker 3>want to be making big, flamboyant trips like this.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, this is certainly a rare event, but like you said,

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<v Speaker 5>it's a very important occasion. This is the fifty year

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<v Speaker 5>anniversary of Apple's most important partner, and I don't even

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<v Speaker 5>think that's arguable. Fox con builds ninety plus percent of

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<v Speaker 5>the device's Apple cells, the core of the company's business,

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<v Speaker 5>and Jeff Williams, as the company's chief operating officer, he

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<v Speaker 5>really oversees that relationship, along with his top lieutenant, Sabby Kahan,

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<v Speaker 5>who's the senior vice president of operations. So the two

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<v Speaker 5>of them we've reported are in Taiwan for that fifty

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<v Speaker 5>year anniversary. Tim Cook, who really created that relationship a

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<v Speaker 5>couple of decades ago when he became Apple's head of

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<v Speaker 5>operations in the early two thousands, he is not there. Instead,

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<v Speaker 5>we're told that he sent a video message. And obviously

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<v Speaker 5>we're all well aware of the geopolitical challenges related to China,

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<v Speaker 5>and Taiwan. We're aware of the sort of the little

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<v Speaker 5>dance that Tim Cook and other Apple executives have to

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<v Speaker 5>play in terms of managing that relationship in China, and

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<v Speaker 5>perhaps Cook and Apple felt it was more proper for

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<v Speaker 5>Cook not to go to Taiwan for this event, but

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<v Speaker 5>rather send two of his top deputies.

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<v Speaker 3>And maybe he's focused in on the sales or in

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<v Speaker 3>terms of a certain new product that's hit the market

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<v Speaker 3>with Apple. You're talking about with power on this weekend.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, the Vision Pro. I mean, first of all, I

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<v Speaker 5>don't think Tim Cook is boarded up in a conference

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<v Speaker 5>room in Kupertino at Apple Park because of this. I

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<v Speaker 5>don't think Apple is at a crisis or anything with

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<v Speaker 5>the Vision Pro. But we have heard that the vision

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<v Speaker 5>Pro return rate is somewhere between average and above average,

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<v Speaker 5>depending on the store the device itself. We've had some

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<v Speaker 5>people complain about the bugginess of the operating system, the

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<v Speaker 5>battery life, and more importantly, the comfort actually being able

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<v Speaker 5>to wear it for long periods of time. So people

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<v Speaker 5>have been setting it back for that reason and why

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<v Speaker 5>that's interesting. Obviously, people buy Apple products and return them

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<v Speaker 5>all the time, but if you're buying the Vision Pro

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<v Speaker 5>at the current price. From the get go, it means

0:11:44.600 --> 0:11:47.240
<v Speaker 5>you're a very early adopter or a massive Apple fan.

0:11:47.679 --> 0:11:48.520
<v Speaker 6>Those are the.

0:11:48.440 --> 0:11:51.320
<v Speaker 5>People who typically are not returning your Apple products, and

0:11:51.360 --> 0:11:53.079
<v Speaker 5>so those are the people doing it this time. That's

0:11:53.080 --> 0:11:55.839
<v Speaker 5>why it's so interesting. In terms of me, I love it.

0:11:55.960 --> 0:11:59.120
<v Speaker 5>I'm continuing to use it. It's buggy, it gets uncomfortable from

0:11:59.160 --> 0:12:02.080
<v Speaker 5>time to time, but it's great for watching video. My

0:12:02.160 --> 0:12:04.920
<v Speaker 5>hope is that it gets better soon. I don't anticipate

0:12:05.000 --> 0:12:08.600
<v Speaker 5>the bugs really dropping into a big Vision OS update.

0:12:08.640 --> 0:12:11.520
<v Speaker 5>That's the operating system till the fall, but I am

0:12:11.559 --> 0:12:13.840
<v Speaker 5>banking on some improvements and they're not two distant future.

0:12:14.200 --> 0:12:15.040
<v Speaker 4>This is version one.

0:12:15.360 --> 0:12:17.760
<v Speaker 3>Mark Gumman, we thank you so much for bringing us

0:12:17.800 --> 0:12:19.400
<v Speaker 3>all across the board of things.

0:12:19.440 --> 0:12:19.760
<v Speaker 4>Apple.

0:12:27.640 --> 0:12:32.720
<v Speaker 7>Bitcoin is the exit strategy. It is the strongest asset.

0:12:32.800 --> 0:12:35.880
<v Speaker 7>So what we see right now is the bitcoin is

0:12:35.920 --> 0:12:39.360
<v Speaker 7>just emerged as a trillion dollar asset class, and it's

0:12:39.400 --> 0:12:43.480
<v Speaker 7>alongside names like Apple and Google and Microsoft. But the

0:12:43.520 --> 0:12:46.920
<v Speaker 7>difference between Bitcoin and the Magnificent seven is Bitcoin's an

0:12:46.920 --> 0:12:47.760
<v Speaker 7>asset class.

0:12:47.800 --> 0:12:48.880
<v Speaker 2>It's not a company.

0:12:49.400 --> 0:12:52.240
<v Speaker 7>There's not enough room in the capital structure of those

0:12:52.280 --> 0:12:55.680
<v Speaker 7>companies to hold ten trillion or one hundred trillion dollars

0:12:55.720 --> 0:12:56.560
<v Speaker 7>worth of capital.

0:12:57.480 --> 0:13:00.440
<v Speaker 3>Of course, that was micro Strategy chairman co founder Sailor

0:13:00.480 --> 0:13:03.760
<v Speaker 3>there of course pretty long bitcoin. His comments come off

0:13:03.800 --> 0:13:06.800
<v Speaker 3>Bitcoin's recent rally to fifty two thousand dollars, It's price

0:13:06.880 --> 0:13:09.360
<v Speaker 3>actually tripling since the start of twenty twenty three, and

0:13:09.440 --> 0:13:12.439
<v Speaker 3>now what Bitcoin might even retest a new record high

0:13:12.440 --> 0:13:15.319
<v Speaker 3>according to some technical analysis. Now consider this, The rally

0:13:15.360 --> 0:13:18.720
<v Speaker 3>includes four straight weeks of increases through February eighteenth, and

0:13:18.720 --> 0:13:21.920
<v Speaker 3>according to data compiled by Bloomberg, in the past five years,

0:13:22.160 --> 0:13:25.840
<v Speaker 3>the cryptocurrency has climbed on average almost fifty percent over

0:13:25.920 --> 0:13:29.040
<v Speaker 3>three months after following a four week winning run that

0:13:29.080 --> 0:13:33.840
<v Speaker 3>would take bitcoin two or seventy eight thousand dollars or thereabouts. Now,

0:13:33.920 --> 0:13:36.320
<v Speaker 3>let's move away from just price points to get a

0:13:36.320 --> 0:13:38.360
<v Speaker 3>read on where people are putting money to work in

0:13:38.440 --> 0:13:41.320
<v Speaker 3>VC and flowing into the wider crypto space. Right now,

0:13:41.400 --> 0:13:44.040
<v Speaker 3>despite last year's downturn, the crypto focused firm hack vc

0:13:44.200 --> 0:13:45.920
<v Speaker 3>is actually just managed to raise one hundred and fifty

0:13:45.960 --> 0:13:49.720
<v Speaker 3>million dollar fund dedicated to the digital asset industry. Let's

0:13:49.720 --> 0:13:52.640
<v Speaker 3>bringing Alex pack On, co founder and managing partner of

0:13:52.679 --> 0:13:55.120
<v Speaker 3>hack vc, and this isn't your first time raising money

0:13:55.160 --> 0:13:56.840
<v Speaker 3>and you've raised two hundred million in the past. This

0:13:56.880 --> 0:13:59.320
<v Speaker 3>is sort of a follow on for what part of

0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:02.320
<v Speaker 3>the ecosystem and what size of companies, what kind of

0:14:02.320 --> 0:14:04.280
<v Speaker 3>problems do you want to see fixed here?

0:14:04.960 --> 0:14:08.160
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, thank you for having me on. Yeah, it was

0:14:08.520 --> 0:14:12.960
<v Speaker 8>a bit of a challenging fundraising environment now versus prior years,

0:14:13.000 --> 0:14:18.080
<v Speaker 8>of course, but for us, we're hyper focused on early

0:14:18.120 --> 0:14:22.080
<v Speaker 8>stage Web three venture capital. I know web three also

0:14:22.200 --> 0:14:24.960
<v Speaker 8>is maybe a word that isn't as common on this

0:14:25.000 --> 0:14:27.360
<v Speaker 8>program than in the last few years. But the thing

0:14:27.400 --> 0:14:31.720
<v Speaker 8>that excites us the most is basically this sort of

0:14:31.800 --> 0:14:35.600
<v Speaker 8>duality in our industry where on the one hand, we've

0:14:35.640 --> 0:14:38.320
<v Speaker 8>been in sort of this prolonged bear market for a

0:14:38.320 --> 0:14:40.600
<v Speaker 8>couple of years, but we're starting to see all this

0:14:40.720 --> 0:14:43.880
<v Speaker 8>upswing in terms of prices and surge of interest from

0:14:44.160 --> 0:14:47.560
<v Speaker 8>the ETF inflows regulatory clarity around the world. But the

0:14:47.600 --> 0:14:52.000
<v Speaker 8>thing that excites us the most is that fundamental usage

0:14:52.080 --> 0:14:54.520
<v Speaker 8>is still growing and still doing really well. So there's

0:14:54.560 --> 0:14:58.760
<v Speaker 8>millions of people using blockchains and using Web three around

0:14:58.760 --> 0:15:03.280
<v Speaker 8>the world, and stable coins are a real killer use case,

0:15:03.440 --> 0:15:06.720
<v Speaker 8>so they're a highlight and our job is to invest

0:15:07.120 --> 0:15:10.400
<v Speaker 8>and goals to invest in sort of the infrastructure that's

0:15:10.480 --> 0:15:13.480
<v Speaker 8>being built right now that can catabult these use cases

0:15:13.480 --> 0:15:15.160
<v Speaker 8>to the mainstream over a multi year period.

0:15:15.320 --> 0:15:17.040
<v Speaker 3>Might surprise you to know that we do have the

0:15:17.080 --> 0:15:18.960
<v Speaker 3>odd person on talking Web three from time to time,

0:15:18.960 --> 0:15:21.000
<v Speaker 3>and a lot of them in your portfolios or indeed

0:15:21.040 --> 0:15:23.200
<v Speaker 3>some unicorns that you've backed in the previous ye is Alex.

0:15:23.240 --> 0:15:25.280
<v Speaker 3>The reason we turn to you is because you do

0:15:25.360 --> 0:15:27.840
<v Speaker 3>have experience, You have back some winners. I think of Avalanche,

0:15:27.880 --> 0:15:30.560
<v Speaker 3>I think of what's happening with DYDX, I think of

0:15:30.640 --> 0:15:32.880
<v Speaker 3>some of the protocols that you've been back in, and

0:15:32.920 --> 0:15:36.680
<v Speaker 3>indeed some of the intersections of Web three and crypto

0:15:36.720 --> 0:15:40.160
<v Speaker 3>and DeFi and ultimately artificial intelligence. How are you thinking

0:15:40.200 --> 0:15:43.480
<v Speaker 3>about access to compute now when you're backing companies like

0:15:44.000 --> 0:15:46.120
<v Speaker 3>crusocloud or a jasper AI.

0:15:46.160 --> 0:15:49.200
<v Speaker 4>When it comes to application of generative AI, yep.

0:15:49.600 --> 0:15:52.880
<v Speaker 8>It's a probably multi trillion dollar topic right now.

0:15:54.280 --> 0:15:56.600
<v Speaker 2>So I think broadly, where.

0:15:56.400 --> 0:15:59.080
<v Speaker 8>We are in the space is sort of like the

0:15:59.120 --> 0:16:02.120
<v Speaker 8>mid nineties equivalent of where the Internet was is where

0:16:02.120 --> 0:16:04.560
<v Speaker 8>we are in crypto today, which is to say, like

0:16:04.640 --> 0:16:07.240
<v Speaker 8>a lot of users and a lot of things happening,

0:16:07.720 --> 0:16:10.640
<v Speaker 8>but the experience of using crypto is really poor.

0:16:11.160 --> 0:16:12.600
<v Speaker 9>From an infrastructure perspective.

0:16:13.120 --> 0:16:17.840
<v Speaker 8>There are it's like slow, it's insecure, there's packs happening

0:16:17.840 --> 0:16:20.400
<v Speaker 8>all the time, and steps and things like that. And

0:16:20.480 --> 0:16:22.600
<v Speaker 8>then the one that you're the area you're talking about,

0:16:22.600 --> 0:16:25.840
<v Speaker 8>which I think is really huge too, is this question

0:16:25.920 --> 0:16:31.040
<v Speaker 8>about how web three can help support AI and the reverse.

0:16:31.760 --> 0:16:35.520
<v Speaker 8>What web three does really really well is it provides

0:16:35.760 --> 0:16:40.440
<v Speaker 8>like democratized access to when it comes to bitcoin or DeFi,

0:16:41.200 --> 0:16:44.760
<v Speaker 8>provides democratized access to financial services, and people around the

0:16:44.760 --> 0:16:47.320
<v Speaker 8>world can get access to dollars and lending and things

0:16:47.360 --> 0:16:50.360
<v Speaker 8>like that. But the other thing it does really well

0:16:50.520 --> 0:16:54.760
<v Speaker 8>is democratize access to resources, right, And so one area

0:16:54.800 --> 0:16:58.960
<v Speaker 8>that's really interesting in crypto AI specifically is this opportunity

0:16:59.040 --> 0:17:04.120
<v Speaker 8>to basically provide AI compute like GPUs, you know, hiring

0:17:04.119 --> 0:17:08.439
<v Speaker 8>the chip stack to AI startups and AI developers around

0:17:08.480 --> 0:17:11.880
<v Speaker 8>the world. That's something that blockchains are great at. There's

0:17:11.920 --> 0:17:15.760
<v Speaker 8>already several multi billion dollar companies in the blockchain industry

0:17:16.200 --> 0:17:19.480
<v Speaker 8>like Crusoe Cloud which is in our Extended Portfolio portfolio,

0:17:20.000 --> 0:17:23.280
<v Speaker 8>and core Weave a few others that are basically big.

0:17:23.440 --> 0:17:27.680
<v Speaker 8>They started as bitcoin mining companies that and they provided

0:17:27.760 --> 0:17:30.680
<v Speaker 8>cheap compute, and it was also very climate friendly. You

0:17:30.680 --> 0:17:34.639
<v Speaker 8>would get compute and entered, you would get energy from

0:17:35.080 --> 0:17:36.919
<v Speaker 8>like in a very cheap way from Exon and Chevron

0:17:36.960 --> 0:17:38.720
<v Speaker 8>that was being wasted and you would use it to

0:17:38.760 --> 0:17:43.720
<v Speaker 8>provide power that would support like the bitcoin ecosystem and mining.

0:17:44.200 --> 0:17:46.560
<v Speaker 8>But now a lot of these companies are also providing

0:17:46.600 --> 0:17:48.960
<v Speaker 8>AI compute and it's democratized, so we can live in

0:17:49.000 --> 0:17:51.880
<v Speaker 8>a world now, I hope once it's successful where it's

0:17:51.880 --> 0:17:54.520
<v Speaker 8>not just open Ai and Microsoft that hog all the

0:17:55.240 --> 0:17:58.280
<v Speaker 8>AI compute and the GPUs.

0:17:57.200 --> 0:18:00.360
<v Speaker 3>Some pivoting there and some app pivoting. Alex It's great

0:18:00.359 --> 0:18:01.600
<v Speaker 3>to have some time with you, of course, back by

0:18:01.600 --> 0:18:04.280
<v Speaker 3>Sekoe Capital Fidelity, Marc Andreesen. It's great to have some

0:18:04.320 --> 0:18:06.439
<v Speaker 3>time with you on the new fund, co founder managing

0:18:06.440 --> 0:18:09.360
<v Speaker 3>partner over at hack VC. Meanwhile, coming up that we're

0:18:09.400 --> 0:18:11.280
<v Speaker 3>going to dive into all the news coming out of

0:18:11.640 --> 0:18:14.560
<v Speaker 3>well another KEYVC player, soft Bang. Of course with the

0:18:14.600 --> 0:18:17.880
<v Speaker 3>Vision Fund, we'll get into that. Meanwhile, watching shares of Ford. Now,

0:18:18.240 --> 0:18:21.760
<v Speaker 3>keep an eye on the price points of evs. We're

0:18:21.760 --> 0:18:24.240
<v Speaker 3>talking Mac three here, we're talking about what's happening with

0:18:24.320 --> 0:18:28.560
<v Speaker 3>Ford having to cut the cost ultimately of their Mustang

0:18:28.680 --> 0:18:31.080
<v Speaker 3>version of the EV. And this is all as we

0:18:31.200 --> 0:18:33.920
<v Speaker 3>see sales really being pulled back an EV, but also

0:18:34.040 --> 0:18:37.040
<v Speaker 3>the supply really ramping up in terms of inventory, so

0:18:37.160 --> 0:18:39.760
<v Speaker 3>Ford slashing the price of its electric Mustang Mustang the

0:18:39.800 --> 0:18:41.720
<v Speaker 3>Mac E after sales plunged.

0:18:41.960 --> 0:18:43.880
<v Speaker 4>It's a bluemotechnology.

0:18:57.480 --> 0:18:59.240
<v Speaker 3>Time now for talking tech, And first up, it's a

0:18:59.240 --> 0:19:03.040
<v Speaker 3>coalition of international law enforcement agencies, including the FBI the

0:19:03.119 --> 0:19:06.000
<v Speaker 3>UK National Crime Agency that have said they have disrupted

0:19:06.040 --> 0:19:08.639
<v Speaker 3>a lot bit one of the most prolific hacker groups

0:19:08.640 --> 0:19:11.960
<v Speaker 3>of all time, including shunning down websites the organization used

0:19:12.040 --> 0:19:16.600
<v Speaker 3>for some ransomware payments. Meanwhile, EU regulators announced a formal

0:19:16.600 --> 0:19:20.399
<v Speaker 3>investigation into TikTok's alleged failure to protect miners who use

0:19:20.440 --> 0:19:22.880
<v Speaker 3>the video sharing platform, which could result in some heavy

0:19:22.920 --> 0:19:26.520
<v Speaker 3>penalties for TikTok owner bike Dance. EU Internal Market Commissioner

0:19:26.520 --> 0:19:29.520
<v Speaker 3>Tierre Breton announced that the social media platform will face

0:19:29.560 --> 0:19:31.040
<v Speaker 3>a formal investigation under the.

0:19:30.960 --> 0:19:33.440
<v Speaker 4>Blocks of Flagship Digital Services Act, which.

0:19:33.240 --> 0:19:35.560
<v Speaker 3>Empowers regulators to levy fines of as much as six

0:19:35.600 --> 0:19:38.359
<v Speaker 3>percent of annual sales or ban repeat offenders from the

0:19:38.400 --> 0:19:42.919
<v Speaker 3>EU plus SoftBank Vision Fund. America's managing partner, Lydia Jet

0:19:43.000 --> 0:19:43.960
<v Speaker 3>is leading the investment firm.

0:19:44.000 --> 0:19:44.800
<v Speaker 4>According to sources.

0:19:44.800 --> 0:19:48.040
<v Speaker 3>Now Jet has represented SoftBank on boards of we of Fanatics,

0:19:48.040 --> 0:19:51.560
<v Speaker 3>a flip Card, of Coupang, among some other companies. There's

0:19:51.560 --> 0:19:53.720
<v Speaker 3>a lot of news surrounding SoftBank at the moment, and

0:19:53.760 --> 0:19:56.040
<v Speaker 3>let's go to the parent company now. The founder, Masayoshi

0:19:56.119 --> 0:19:58.359
<v Speaker 3>Son is considering the creation of a one hundred billion

0:19:58.359 --> 0:20:02.320
<v Speaker 3>dollar chip venture that would supply AI enabling semiconductors. Interesting

0:20:02.400 --> 0:20:04.800
<v Speaker 3>thing is where he's doing this and who with bloemmegs

0:20:04.800 --> 0:20:07.439
<v Speaker 3>alex Web has a story and we should perhaps have

0:20:07.480 --> 0:20:10.359
<v Speaker 3>no surprise at SoftBank, having taken money from Saudi Arabia

0:20:10.400 --> 0:20:13.080
<v Speaker 3>into the Vision Fund, is equally willing to build a

0:20:13.119 --> 0:20:15.000
<v Speaker 3>new chip reality with the country too.

0:20:16.720 --> 0:20:21.800
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, it's obviously a huge opportunity when it comes to investments.

0:20:21.800 --> 0:20:24.600
<v Speaker 10>Saladi's are sitting on a huge amount of capital. They're

0:20:24.640 --> 0:20:27.240
<v Speaker 10>trying to, of course, diversify their economy away from oil.

0:20:27.320 --> 0:20:30.520
<v Speaker 10>This is not news. The fact is that you have

0:20:30.600 --> 0:20:33.439
<v Speaker 10>to wonder whether Saudi's are once bitten twice shy in

0:20:33.520 --> 0:20:35.760
<v Speaker 10>terms of the money they put into the Vision Fund

0:20:35.840 --> 0:20:39.560
<v Speaker 10>and that fund didn't seem to deliver quite as much

0:20:39.560 --> 0:20:41.680
<v Speaker 10>as it promised from day one. But at the same time,

0:20:41.920 --> 0:20:45.720
<v Speaker 10>we are still seeing Saldi plowerhead with efforts to bolster

0:20:45.760 --> 0:20:50.560
<v Speaker 10>their domestic manufacturing efforts. Whether this chip chip venture that

0:20:50.960 --> 0:20:54.000
<v Speaker 10>you know, Bloomberg sources report mass Yoshi Sona is exploring

0:20:54.040 --> 0:20:56.960
<v Speaker 10>with some vigor whether that forms part of it will

0:20:57.000 --> 0:21:03.080
<v Speaker 10>be fascinating given the requirements of to manufacture such a

0:21:03.119 --> 0:21:07.359
<v Speaker 10>thing in terms of intellectual resources, people, you need to

0:21:07.480 --> 0:21:09.680
<v Speaker 10>actually set up these sort of fabs.

0:21:09.880 --> 0:21:12.440
<v Speaker 4>It's interesting because we've had a lot of reporting that.

0:21:12.560 --> 0:21:15.240
<v Speaker 3>Of course, one Samultman has been going back and forth

0:21:15.240 --> 0:21:16.840
<v Speaker 3>to the Middle East and indeed to Massily or She's

0:21:16.920 --> 0:21:20.159
<v Speaker 3>un discussing the future of chip making and manufacturing.

0:21:20.200 --> 0:21:21.320
<v Speaker 4>Saudi Arabia has.

0:21:21.240 --> 0:21:23.760
<v Speaker 3>What one hundred billion dollars in terms of an investment firm.

0:21:24.280 --> 0:21:26.359
<v Speaker 3>They have a load of deals that they're announcing and

0:21:26.400 --> 0:21:28.280
<v Speaker 3>one hundred and fifty million with soft Bank is going

0:21:28.359 --> 0:21:30.760
<v Speaker 3>to be into what fully automated manufacturing. What sort of

0:21:31.320 --> 0:21:33.360
<v Speaker 3>focus can we see coming from Saudi Arabia.

0:21:34.320 --> 0:21:36.280
<v Speaker 10>So we hear talk of this, and that's what's been

0:21:36.320 --> 0:21:39.440
<v Speaker 10>announced just recently that they are building a new sort

0:21:39.480 --> 0:21:42.520
<v Speaker 10>of one hundred billion. Well, they're building a new manufacturing

0:21:42.600 --> 0:21:48.600
<v Speaker 10>and research and development conurbation. Essentially much of that is

0:21:48.720 --> 0:21:52.040
<v Speaker 10>likely to be in slightly old school manufacturing things like cars,

0:21:52.160 --> 0:21:55.920
<v Speaker 10>Lucid motors, right in the middle of Saudi's manufacturing ambitions, alex.

0:21:55.600 --> 0:21:58.399
<v Speaker 4>Web with all the inside. Such a global story. We

0:21:58.440 --> 0:21:59.920
<v Speaker 4>thank you. Email coming up.

0:22:00.000 --> 0:22:02.000
<v Speaker 3>We're going to continue to do again to what earnings

0:22:02.040 --> 0:22:08.679
<v Speaker 3>mean for more broadly the market. This is Blue meg Technology.

0:22:12.840 --> 0:22:15.040
<v Speaker 3>Welcome back to BLUEMG Technology. I'm Karen Hide in New

0:22:15.119 --> 0:22:17.280
<v Speaker 3>York and Ludlow he's off this week. Let's get a

0:22:17.320 --> 0:22:19.240
<v Speaker 3>quick check in on these markets because we're seeing a

0:22:19.280 --> 0:22:22.639
<v Speaker 3>little bit of profit taking, perhaps as we anticipate FED speak,

0:22:22.720 --> 0:22:26.040
<v Speaker 3>as we anticipate FED minutes come Wednesday, but also the

0:22:26.080 --> 0:22:28.479
<v Speaker 3>micro is becoming macro here, and we anticipating earnings from

0:22:28.560 --> 0:22:30.960
<v Speaker 3>Nvidia weight with bited breath as to where they can

0:22:31.040 --> 0:22:31.360
<v Speaker 3>live up.

0:22:31.280 --> 0:22:32.160
<v Speaker 4>To the high expectations.

0:22:32.240 --> 0:22:34.640
<v Speaker 3>NASDAK is currently off by a percentage point. Tenure yeld

0:22:34.720 --> 0:22:37.000
<v Speaker 3>just down about three basis points. We're still training in

0:22:37.000 --> 0:22:39.480
<v Speaker 3>that four point two five let's call it on the

0:22:39.520 --> 0:22:41.480
<v Speaker 3>tenure for that sort of a handle. Bitcoin actually just

0:22:41.480 --> 0:22:42.919
<v Speaker 3>coming down a little bit, but only a tiny bit,

0:22:42.920 --> 0:22:45.040
<v Speaker 3>by three tens percent. We're still near that fifty two

0:22:45.040 --> 0:22:48.240
<v Speaker 3>thousand dollars level, having exceeded it recently. Move on and

0:22:48.240 --> 0:22:50.640
<v Speaker 3>look at some of the micro pictures, because in factually,

0:22:50.800 --> 0:22:52.560
<v Speaker 3>across the board it feels that we're seeing some profit

0:22:52.680 --> 0:22:55.240
<v Speaker 3>taking today, whether it be in Nvidia as an individual

0:22:55.320 --> 0:22:57.720
<v Speaker 3>name off by five point six percent, but remember it's

0:22:57.760 --> 0:22:59.880
<v Speaker 3>tripled since the beginning of twenty twenty three in terms

0:22:59.920 --> 0:23:02.520
<v Speaker 3>of market capitalization. But the socks more broadly, of course,

0:23:02.560 --> 0:23:05.880
<v Speaker 3>the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is actually seeing its worst day

0:23:05.880 --> 0:23:07.760
<v Speaker 3>since the end of January, as we see just chip

0:23:07.800 --> 0:23:10.520
<v Speaker 3>makers fall across the board, AMDs on the downside as well.

0:23:10.680 --> 0:23:12.840
<v Speaker 3>The only one out performing is Global Founderies after its

0:23:12.840 --> 0:23:15.160
<v Speaker 3>recent deal to build more manufacturing here in the US.

0:23:15.359 --> 0:23:18.280
<v Speaker 4>But let's just talk about what micro is macro.

0:23:18.400 --> 0:23:21.040
<v Speaker 3>How much we are all focused on whether the AI

0:23:21.160 --> 0:23:23.600
<v Speaker 3>hype is real, particularly around in Vidia. I'm so please

0:23:23.600 --> 0:23:25.359
<v Speaker 3>to say Liz Young is with us so far ahead

0:23:25.359 --> 0:23:27.440
<v Speaker 3>of investment strategy, and I mean, is.

0:23:27.400 --> 0:23:28.399
<v Speaker 4>It all about in Vidia?

0:23:28.480 --> 0:23:30.760
<v Speaker 3>Do we sort of care much about the FED when

0:23:30.800 --> 0:23:32.760
<v Speaker 3>we come to more of a focus on AI right now?

0:23:34.040 --> 0:23:36.040
<v Speaker 11>Well, I think we always care about the FED, and

0:23:36.400 --> 0:23:38.919
<v Speaker 11>last week was a good indication of that. We're starting

0:23:38.920 --> 0:23:41.359
<v Speaker 11>to see the data stack up in a way that

0:23:41.440 --> 0:23:44.120
<v Speaker 11>says inflation maybe isn't solved entirely.

0:23:44.160 --> 0:23:45.480
<v Speaker 9>And now we've pushed.

0:23:45.280 --> 0:23:47.920
<v Speaker 11>That first cut back to June, so markets are trying

0:23:47.960 --> 0:23:50.680
<v Speaker 11>to grapple with the idea that the cutting cycle might

0:23:50.760 --> 0:23:54.880
<v Speaker 11>start later than we originally anticipated. But this week number one,

0:23:54.880 --> 0:23:57.400
<v Speaker 11>there isn't a whole ton of macro data, at least

0:23:57.400 --> 0:24:00.479
<v Speaker 11>not loud macro data for the market to queue off of.

0:24:00.760 --> 0:24:03.600
<v Speaker 11>And in videos, earnings are going to be the story

0:24:03.600 --> 0:24:06.639
<v Speaker 11>that we all anticipate and wait with baited breath, like

0:24:06.680 --> 0:24:09.919
<v Speaker 11>you said, to find out. The risk that I see

0:24:09.960 --> 0:24:13.119
<v Speaker 11>in this and not necessarily in the company itself, but

0:24:13.200 --> 0:24:15.159
<v Speaker 11>the risk that I see in this is that in

0:24:15.200 --> 0:24:19.399
<v Speaker 11>twenty twenty three we had such concentrated performance, and so

0:24:19.520 --> 0:24:21.400
<v Speaker 11>far in twenty twenty four, we've.

0:24:21.240 --> 0:24:22.639
<v Speaker 9>Had a lot of the same.

0:24:22.920 --> 0:24:25.320
<v Speaker 11>We've had a few fake outs of broadening out in

0:24:25.359 --> 0:24:27.879
<v Speaker 11>the market that you've got things like small caps that

0:24:27.960 --> 0:24:30.639
<v Speaker 11>can't quite get above a certain level. We've seen some

0:24:30.800 --> 0:24:34.200
<v Speaker 11>sectors broaden out, but others not participate yet. And we've

0:24:34.200 --> 0:24:37.920
<v Speaker 11>seen that Magnificent seven turn into more of the Magnificent four.

0:24:38.080 --> 0:24:42.480
<v Speaker 11>So the concentrated performance is still present. And the risk

0:24:42.520 --> 0:24:45.040
<v Speaker 11>that you have when we have so much attention on

0:24:45.040 --> 0:24:48.040
<v Speaker 11>one name is that the entire industry group or the

0:24:48.200 --> 0:24:51.520
<v Speaker 11>entire sector ends up trading just based off of what

0:24:51.640 --> 0:24:53.560
<v Speaker 11>might happen in that one name. Now, that could be

0:24:53.600 --> 0:24:56.600
<v Speaker 11>good or bad in the short term, but it does

0:24:56.760 --> 0:25:01.160
<v Speaker 11>present another type of concentrated risk to investors that are

0:25:01.160 --> 0:25:04.400
<v Speaker 11>invested in whether it's semiconductors or the AI theme.

0:25:04.840 --> 0:25:08.919
<v Speaker 3>Okay, lis So being that diversification is basically everything, do

0:25:08.960 --> 0:25:13.800
<v Speaker 3>you diversify within where AI can propel, either it's application

0:25:13.840 --> 0:25:16.680
<v Speaker 3>in different industry groups or indeed the picks and the

0:25:16.680 --> 0:25:18.760
<v Speaker 3>shovels we're talking to Nancy Curtain a little bit earlier

0:25:18.800 --> 0:25:21.119
<v Speaker 3>about ultimately the infrastructure spending that's going to happen here

0:25:21.119 --> 0:25:22.440
<v Speaker 3>in the US, or do you have to get out

0:25:22.440 --> 0:25:24.760
<v Speaker 3>of the section and just sink diversification more broadly in

0:25:24.800 --> 0:25:25.760
<v Speaker 3>other industry groups.

0:25:27.080 --> 0:25:29.360
<v Speaker 11>Well, it's a tough conversation. It's a good question because

0:25:29.400 --> 0:25:32.720
<v Speaker 11>it's a tough conversation to have with investors today when

0:25:32.920 --> 0:25:36.480
<v Speaker 11>really the experience they've had is that diversification hasn't worked

0:25:36.600 --> 0:25:39.359
<v Speaker 11>right they've had concentrated performance, and if you were in

0:25:39.440 --> 0:25:41.920
<v Speaker 11>the right names, you would have done better than if

0:25:41.960 --> 0:25:44.880
<v Speaker 11>you were in a diversified portfolio of stocks. So it's

0:25:44.880 --> 0:25:48.440
<v Speaker 11>a difficult thing to convince people of today. But when

0:25:48.640 --> 0:25:50.760
<v Speaker 11>you invest in a theme, and this is just broadly

0:25:50.800 --> 0:25:53.000
<v Speaker 11>how I approach themes and what I would say as

0:25:53.000 --> 0:25:55.560
<v Speaker 11>a principle of investing, just the way that I think

0:25:55.600 --> 0:25:58.200
<v Speaker 11>about it, When you invest in a theme, and AI

0:25:58.359 --> 0:26:01.640
<v Speaker 11>is a theme today, one you have to expect that

0:26:01.640 --> 0:26:04.320
<v Speaker 11>that theme is going to take two to five years,

0:26:04.440 --> 0:26:07.760
<v Speaker 11>maybe even longer, to really come to fruition, to really

0:26:07.800 --> 0:26:11.000
<v Speaker 11>mature into what we're expecting it to be. And over

0:26:11.040 --> 0:26:14.680
<v Speaker 11>that timeframe, things are going to change. So the way

0:26:14.720 --> 0:26:16.600
<v Speaker 11>that we see the theme today, the way that we're

0:26:16.600 --> 0:26:20.840
<v Speaker 11>expecting things to be optimistic about that particular theme today.

0:26:20.640 --> 0:26:22.000
<v Speaker 9>Are probably going to morph.

0:26:22.000 --> 0:26:24.800
<v Speaker 11>And you can compare it to something like the Internet

0:26:25.119 --> 0:26:29.040
<v Speaker 11>in the late nineties early two thousands. The original way

0:26:29.080 --> 0:26:31.880
<v Speaker 11>that we expected the Internet to be profitable and exciting

0:26:32.119 --> 0:26:33.880
<v Speaker 11>was not actually how it ended up being.

0:26:33.960 --> 0:26:36.480
<v Speaker 9>Later, or at the very least, there were other things

0:26:36.480 --> 0:26:39.040
<v Speaker 9>that were born out of that Internet boom. Right, we

0:26:39.040 --> 0:26:41.040
<v Speaker 9>didn't know that e commerce would be a big thing.

0:26:41.119 --> 0:26:43.399
<v Speaker 9>We didn't know that ad spending would be.

0:26:43.440 --> 0:26:45.800
<v Speaker 11>A big thing for all these companies, So that same

0:26:46.119 --> 0:26:49.199
<v Speaker 11>thing is likely to happen with the AI theme. So

0:26:49.760 --> 0:26:52.119
<v Speaker 11>I would suggest when you're investing in a theme, I

0:26:52.160 --> 0:26:55.479
<v Speaker 11>would suggest investing in it in a diversified way, and

0:26:55.520 --> 0:26:57.960
<v Speaker 11>then keeping in mind that the timeframe for a theme

0:26:58.359 --> 0:27:01.080
<v Speaker 11>is much longer than one year, and right now I

0:27:01.119 --> 0:27:03.680
<v Speaker 11>think we're queuing off of really short term periods.

0:27:03.880 --> 0:27:06.080
<v Speaker 3>And Liz, what's so great about having a voice on

0:27:06.240 --> 0:27:09.320
<v Speaker 3>is that we all can get very myopic about equities.

0:27:09.800 --> 0:27:12.800
<v Speaker 3>This is different asset classes that gain us exposure as well.

0:27:12.800 --> 0:27:14.840
<v Speaker 3>How many of your clients are asking you, well, what

0:27:14.880 --> 0:27:16.639
<v Speaker 3>about the bond market exposure? I can get hit what

0:27:16.680 --> 0:27:18.440
<v Speaker 3>about corporate Bod's not just US treasuries.

0:27:19.600 --> 0:27:23.680
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, that's another good thing to think about that. Obviously,

0:27:23.720 --> 0:27:26.320
<v Speaker 11>over the last three years or even just since the pandemic,

0:27:26.359 --> 0:27:28.640
<v Speaker 11>equities have taken center stage, and there's been a lot

0:27:28.640 --> 0:27:31.280
<v Speaker 11>of juicy stories about things that have happened in the

0:27:31.280 --> 0:27:35.159
<v Speaker 11>equity market, meme stocks, AI, the Magnificent seven. I mean,

0:27:35.160 --> 0:27:38.400
<v Speaker 11>the list goes on and on. But the thing that's

0:27:38.400 --> 0:27:40.840
<v Speaker 11>happened in the last year, because rates are higher than

0:27:40.840 --> 0:27:44.040
<v Speaker 11>they've been in forty years. People started to wake up

0:27:44.119 --> 0:27:46.879
<v Speaker 11>to the fact that, oh, maybe treasury bonds are not

0:27:46.960 --> 0:27:49.520
<v Speaker 11>as boring as I thought they were. Maybe it's okay

0:27:49.560 --> 0:27:52.400
<v Speaker 11>to sit in something and get paid well, I wait,

0:27:52.560 --> 0:27:55.560
<v Speaker 11>get paid a dividend, get paid a coupon, and realizing

0:27:55.600 --> 0:27:59.119
<v Speaker 11>that maybe there's even capital appreciation opportunity in some of

0:27:59.160 --> 0:28:02.080
<v Speaker 11>those spaces that seemed so boring and vanilla before.

0:28:02.720 --> 0:28:04.240
<v Speaker 9>The thing that I would warn people about.

0:28:04.280 --> 0:28:06.399
<v Speaker 11>Though, I do think that there's good opportunity in the

0:28:06.480 --> 0:28:09.000
<v Speaker 11>treasury market, particularly on the shorter end of the curve.

0:28:09.440 --> 0:28:12.280
<v Speaker 11>But I think yield volatility is here to stay for

0:28:12.359 --> 0:28:15.400
<v Speaker 11>a while, especially while we sit through this period where

0:28:15.400 --> 0:28:17.920
<v Speaker 11>we cannot figure out when the FED is going to cut,

0:28:18.160 --> 0:28:20.800
<v Speaker 11>and it continues to be more and more volatile every day.

0:28:21.000 --> 0:28:24.600
<v Speaker 11>I'd also point to some of the relationships on days,

0:28:24.640 --> 0:28:27.560
<v Speaker 11>at least in twenty twenty four. So far, the relationships

0:28:27.560 --> 0:28:30.200
<v Speaker 11>aren't working the way that we would expect today. Yields

0:28:30.200 --> 0:28:32.920
<v Speaker 11>are down, the Nasdaq is also taking it on the chin,

0:28:33.320 --> 0:28:36.439
<v Speaker 11>so are small caps. You'd usually expect the opposite, So

0:28:36.840 --> 0:28:39.840
<v Speaker 11>there is still risk out there. Investors are obviously waiting

0:28:39.880 --> 0:28:42.280
<v Speaker 11>and looking around a corner for something that might come

0:28:42.320 --> 0:28:45.480
<v Speaker 11>out of left field and shock them, and I would

0:28:45.520 --> 0:28:48.280
<v Speaker 11>tell people to invest with that mentality.

0:28:48.960 --> 0:28:50.960
<v Speaker 3>So if I head of investment strategy, so I love

0:28:50.960 --> 0:28:53.240
<v Speaker 3>having you on the show. Thank you, Lizzy Young, Thank

0:28:53.240 --> 0:28:55.160
<v Speaker 3>you a good rest of the week. Meanwhile, let's talk

0:28:55.160 --> 0:28:58.719
<v Speaker 3>about Tinder for a moment. It's expanding its identity verification program.

0:28:58.760 --> 0:29:01.200
<v Speaker 3>With crime on dating apps on the rise, and of

0:29:01.240 --> 0:29:04.360
<v Speaker 3>course artificial intelligence actually making it more and more difficult.

0:29:04.120 --> 0:29:06.440
<v Speaker 4>To figure out who's real who's fake.

0:29:06.720 --> 0:29:09.160
<v Speaker 3>The dating platform will roll out the system in the

0:29:09.240 --> 0:29:11.560
<v Speaker 3>US and the UK, Brazil and Mexico over the coming

0:29:11.600 --> 0:29:14.040
<v Speaker 3>weeks and months. It's already been testing the feature in

0:29:14.080 --> 0:29:16.960
<v Speaker 3>Australia and New Zealand, where verified users get this a

0:29:17.040 --> 0:29:21.320
<v Speaker 3>sixty seven percent increase in matches compared to those who weren't.

0:29:21.840 --> 0:29:23.680
<v Speaker 3>Coming up, we're going to discuss the latest in the

0:29:23.760 --> 0:29:26.880
<v Speaker 3>VC space. Portage partner Stephanie Chu is going to be

0:29:26.880 --> 0:29:28.440
<v Speaker 3>on with us, and in fact, she's got a real

0:29:28.560 --> 0:29:31.520
<v Speaker 3>laser focus on all things fintech. Well, here's a fintech

0:29:31.560 --> 0:29:35.040
<v Speaker 3>flavor for you. Big deal happening and it is big,

0:29:36.080 --> 0:29:39.840
<v Speaker 3>enormously moving Discover Financial. We're up fourteen percent Capital One

0:29:39.960 --> 0:29:42.800
<v Speaker 3>agreeing to buy Discover Financial Services and the thirty five

0:29:42.800 --> 0:29:44.800
<v Speaker 3>billion dollar all stock deal. It's going to create the

0:29:44.840 --> 0:29:48.120
<v Speaker 3>largest US credit card company by loan volume. And the

0:29:48.200 --> 0:29:50.800
<v Speaker 3>kicker is the CEO of Capital One, seventy three year

0:29:50.840 --> 0:29:53.520
<v Speaker 3>old Richard Fairbanks, saying this is a singular opportunity to

0:29:53.520 --> 0:29:56.640
<v Speaker 3>bring together two companies that can compete.

0:29:56.120 --> 0:29:58.880
<v Speaker 4>In the largest payment networks. This is blumbag technology.

0:30:11.240 --> 0:30:13.719
<v Speaker 3>Time to turn to the VC space, starting with and

0:30:13.800 --> 0:30:17.320
<v Speaker 3>Recent Horowitz, because well, this firm has up the anteam

0:30:17.360 --> 0:30:19.320
<v Speaker 3>when it comes to lobbying in Washington to help the

0:30:19.360 --> 0:30:22.520
<v Speaker 3>defense focused startups it invests in particular. Now, last year,

0:30:22.520 --> 0:30:25.280
<v Speaker 3>according to disclosures, the firm spent almost one million dollars

0:30:25.280 --> 0:30:28.040
<v Speaker 3>on lobbying. It's first official spending on it and easily

0:30:28.120 --> 0:30:30.600
<v Speaker 3>the most paid out by a VC firm.

0:30:30.840 --> 0:30:33.040
<v Speaker 4>Let's bring in Bloomberg's Anda Juton for more on this.

0:30:33.200 --> 0:30:35.960
<v Speaker 3>And I love your story with the zette because you

0:30:36.000 --> 0:30:38.880
<v Speaker 3>go into the details of Espresso Martini's being sipped on

0:30:39.040 --> 0:30:43.600
<v Speaker 3>branded glasses while they sort of talk with various lawmakers

0:30:43.640 --> 0:30:46.840
<v Speaker 3>and their startups and on what has and Resent Horowitz

0:30:46.880 --> 0:30:49.880
<v Speaker 3>been doing that's different from other venture Well, you know.

0:30:49.960 --> 0:30:52.480
<v Speaker 12>It's not just different than other venture affirms, but also

0:30:52.520 --> 0:30:55.240
<v Speaker 12>different than other industries and other tech companies because a

0:30:55.240 --> 0:30:57.040
<v Speaker 12>lot of industries lobby in Washington, a lot.

0:30:57.000 --> 0:30:59.040
<v Speaker 6>Of people are kind of walking in the quarridors of

0:30:59.120 --> 0:31:00.400
<v Speaker 6>power in Washington in DC.

0:31:00.880 --> 0:31:03.040
<v Speaker 12>What's different about this is that it's not just the

0:31:03.080 --> 0:31:07.000
<v Speaker 12>companies themselves that are developing their relationships with lawmakers, it's.

0:31:06.840 --> 0:31:08.160
<v Speaker 6>Their financial backers.

0:31:08.200 --> 0:31:12.160
<v Speaker 12>So you see this American dynamism practice from Andres and

0:31:12.200 --> 0:31:15.640
<v Speaker 12>Horst really trying to kind of create a culture in Washington,

0:31:15.720 --> 0:31:19.480
<v Speaker 12>d C. That is optimistic about technology that will benefit

0:31:19.520 --> 0:31:22.920
<v Speaker 12>their investments. So a really kind of interesting strategy from

0:31:23.240 --> 0:31:24.760
<v Speaker 12>these companies' financial backers.

0:31:25.040 --> 0:31:29.600
<v Speaker 3>And given the manifesto published across social media at the

0:31:29.720 --> 0:31:31.480
<v Speaker 3>end of last year by Mark Andrews, and we should

0:31:31.480 --> 0:31:35.040
<v Speaker 3>perhaps be unsurprising that he is really optimistic and probably

0:31:35.120 --> 0:31:37.880
<v Speaker 3>slightly bored of all the pulling up in front of

0:31:37.960 --> 0:31:40.240
<v Speaker 3>Congress of prior bets that he's made, particularly when it

0:31:40.240 --> 0:31:40.600
<v Speaker 3>comes to.

0:31:40.560 --> 0:31:41.560
<v Speaker 4>Social media and the like.

0:31:41.600 --> 0:31:44.440
<v Speaker 3>But ultimately, what do they want out of these government discussions.

0:31:44.520 --> 0:31:46.960
<v Speaker 3>Is it a light to touch regulation. Is it an

0:31:47.040 --> 0:31:49.400
<v Speaker 3>understanding of who the players are at this time that

0:31:49.480 --> 0:31:53.320
<v Speaker 3>can make us more competitive in a new geopolitical landscape.

0:31:54.160 --> 0:31:55.400
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, it's really a few things.

0:31:55.440 --> 0:31:57.400
<v Speaker 12>You know, they're almost, like I said, trying to create

0:31:57.440 --> 0:31:59.880
<v Speaker 12>like a new culture in Washington, d C. That's part

0:31:59.880 --> 0:32:03.120
<v Speaker 12>of about technology EU seeing the so called tech lash

0:32:03.120 --> 0:32:06.280
<v Speaker 12>where you have lawmakers of both parties really being suspicious

0:32:06.280 --> 0:32:09.719
<v Speaker 12>to some of the consumer brands like Google, Meta, Apple,

0:32:09.800 --> 0:32:10.480
<v Speaker 12>and Amazon.

0:32:10.680 --> 0:32:13.160
<v Speaker 6>But what we have now is kind of smaller.

0:32:13.480 --> 0:32:17.600
<v Speaker 12>Defense minded startups in some cases kind of you know,

0:32:17.680 --> 0:32:21.760
<v Speaker 12>advanced manufacturing and other cases companies that are actually building stuff,

0:32:21.960 --> 0:32:25.160
<v Speaker 12>that are doing things, you know, using technology, using innovation

0:32:25.480 --> 0:32:27.400
<v Speaker 12>in a way that could benefit US.

0:32:27.280 --> 0:32:29.680
<v Speaker 6>National defense and domestic economy.

0:32:29.920 --> 0:32:32.920
<v Speaker 12>So that's really where Andrews and Horowitz has focused as

0:32:32.960 --> 0:32:36.480
<v Speaker 12>American Dynamism Practice, and they're trying to kind of change

0:32:35.960 --> 0:32:40.040
<v Speaker 12>the calculation in Washington that technology is not something to

0:32:40.080 --> 0:32:43.480
<v Speaker 12>be regulated, something to be feared, something to be hauled

0:32:43.480 --> 0:32:46.040
<v Speaker 12>in to Congress, like you said, to testify in front

0:32:46.040 --> 0:32:48.560
<v Speaker 12>of committees. But it's something to be celebrated and something

0:32:48.600 --> 0:32:52.200
<v Speaker 12>to be used as a national advantage. And that's something

0:32:52.200 --> 0:32:55.560
<v Speaker 12>we see especially in relation to the competition with China

0:32:55.600 --> 0:32:57.880
<v Speaker 12>and things like AI kind of computing. You know, some

0:32:57.920 --> 0:33:01.160
<v Speaker 12>of these you know cutting edge technologies that will really

0:33:01.200 --> 0:33:04.200
<v Speaker 12>shape the economy and the geopolitics of the future.

0:33:04.840 --> 0:33:08.640
<v Speaker 3>Healthy sprinkling of space to Anna Edgerton, brilliant story.

0:33:08.720 --> 0:33:11.280
<v Speaker 4>Go read it dot com. We thank you so much.

0:33:11.680 --> 0:33:14.240
<v Speaker 3>Meanwhile, let's stick with the world of VC and perhaps

0:33:14.520 --> 0:33:16.760
<v Speaker 3>while where regulators may or may not be playing when

0:33:16.760 --> 0:33:18.280
<v Speaker 3>it comes to big M and A in the world

0:33:18.320 --> 0:33:18.760
<v Speaker 3>of fintech.

0:33:18.760 --> 0:33:19.280
<v Speaker 4>I'm please to.

0:33:19.240 --> 0:33:21.800
<v Speaker 3>Welcome to the show Stephanie Chew for today's VC Spotlight,

0:33:21.840 --> 0:33:25.120
<v Speaker 3>partner at the Fintech Focus at VC firm Portage. You've

0:33:25.120 --> 0:33:27.360
<v Speaker 3>got to have a two billion dollars in assets under management,

0:33:27.400 --> 0:33:29.080
<v Speaker 3>and boy, you must have woken up today and been

0:33:29.120 --> 0:33:33.080
<v Speaker 3>like Capital One and Discovery, this deal might get through.

0:33:33.200 --> 0:33:35.880
<v Speaker 3>How is this going to shake up fintech investing and

0:33:36.040 --> 0:33:37.560
<v Speaker 3>M and A more broadly in the space?

0:33:37.600 --> 0:33:38.080
<v Speaker 4>Do you think?

0:33:39.360 --> 0:33:41.880
<v Speaker 13>I think this is a really exciting announcement because we've

0:33:41.920 --> 0:33:44.960
<v Speaker 13>been waiting to see some big M and A news

0:33:45.040 --> 0:33:47.080
<v Speaker 13>for a little while. If this, I think this is

0:33:47.120 --> 0:33:50.480
<v Speaker 13>going to be a big question mark for antitrust and

0:33:50.520 --> 0:33:53.960
<v Speaker 13>the regulators around whether or not this deal will actually

0:33:53.960 --> 0:33:54.480
<v Speaker 13>go through.

0:33:55.000 --> 0:33:57.240
<v Speaker 9>But with the public markets.

0:33:56.880 --> 0:34:00.600
<v Speaker 13>Being fairly closed for the last couple of years, the

0:34:00.640 --> 0:34:04.320
<v Speaker 13>exit options from an IPO perspective have been pretty limited

0:34:04.320 --> 0:34:09.600
<v Speaker 13>in the fintech space, so seeing a marquee acquisition on

0:34:09.960 --> 0:34:12.719
<v Speaker 13>in the incumbent area will certainly spur I think a

0:34:12.719 --> 0:34:15.560
<v Speaker 13>lot of discussion on what the M and A opportunities

0:34:15.760 --> 0:34:18.759
<v Speaker 13>will look like for FinTechs going forward, and I hope

0:34:18.760 --> 0:34:22.400
<v Speaker 13>it'll potentially bolster the market environment. And we're seeing this

0:34:22.800 --> 0:34:25.759
<v Speaker 13>on top of a pretty good public markets run in

0:34:25.840 --> 0:34:28.399
<v Speaker 13>early twenty four and late twenty three, so we could

0:34:28.440 --> 0:34:32.080
<v Speaker 13>see multiple exit avenues open up for startups this year.

0:34:32.360 --> 0:34:35.440
<v Speaker 3>And what about also the competitive the competitive landscape and

0:34:35.480 --> 0:34:37.640
<v Speaker 3>how it changes up. When I think Capital one and Discover,

0:34:37.719 --> 0:34:39.080
<v Speaker 3>I think of, well what does that mean for Visa

0:34:39.080 --> 0:34:41.080
<v Speaker 3>and mask caard. But you must be thinking, Okay, where

0:34:41.080 --> 0:34:44.040
<v Speaker 3>do my portfolio companies gain an edge here? Where are

0:34:44.040 --> 0:34:45.440
<v Speaker 3>they going to be needed? Where are they going to

0:34:45.480 --> 0:34:48.239
<v Speaker 3>be necessary? Where can they disrupt what areas you're trying

0:34:48.280 --> 0:34:49.640
<v Speaker 3>to invest in it At the moment.

0:34:50.640 --> 0:34:53.760
<v Speaker 13>I think we've been spending a lot of time. Consumer

0:34:53.800 --> 0:34:57.640
<v Speaker 13>credit I think has been a pretty no go space

0:34:58.080 --> 0:35:01.640
<v Speaker 13>for the last little while for VC investors, just given

0:35:01.640 --> 0:35:04.200
<v Speaker 13>where the market environments have been and cost of capital

0:35:04.200 --> 0:35:06.840
<v Speaker 13>and interest rates I think that there are still really

0:35:06.920 --> 0:35:08.480
<v Speaker 13>interesting investments.

0:35:08.000 --> 0:35:09.200
<v Speaker 6>To be made in that space.

0:35:09.239 --> 0:35:13.600
<v Speaker 13>In the consumer space specifically, we've seen a number of

0:35:13.719 --> 0:35:17.120
<v Speaker 13>large rounds, like builds like Manzo get done in the

0:35:17.160 --> 0:35:20.239
<v Speaker 13>past year or in the past quarter really and so

0:35:20.320 --> 0:35:22.760
<v Speaker 13>I think that there will be hopefully some renewed interests

0:35:22.760 --> 0:35:23.960
<v Speaker 13>on the consumer side.

0:35:24.080 --> 0:35:26.359
<v Speaker 6>I think we've been talking to.

0:35:26.320 --> 0:35:29.680
<v Speaker 13>A lot of our financial services corporate clients, so banks,

0:35:29.880 --> 0:35:34.160
<v Speaker 13>wealth managers, insurance companies, many of whom service our portfolio

0:35:34.200 --> 0:35:36.400
<v Speaker 13>companies actually service, and there's been a huge amount of

0:35:36.400 --> 0:35:39.080
<v Speaker 13>interest in AI. So we're spending a lot of time

0:35:39.160 --> 0:35:42.719
<v Speaker 13>looking at the intersection of financial services and some of

0:35:42.760 --> 0:35:44.080
<v Speaker 13>the new advances in JENAI.

0:35:44.520 --> 0:35:45.880
<v Speaker 5>It's obviously very new.

0:35:46.200 --> 0:35:48.920
<v Speaker 13>We're spending time in fraud ten billion dollars of fraud,

0:35:48.920 --> 0:35:51.640
<v Speaker 13>which is a record amount of fraud lost in twenty

0:35:51.680 --> 0:35:54.480
<v Speaker 13>twenty three. Lots of new fraud vectors coming up with

0:35:54.560 --> 0:35:58.560
<v Speaker 13>JENI as well, so an evergreen space that were many

0:35:58.640 --> 0:36:01.799
<v Speaker 13>of our corporate partners interested in learning more about as well.

0:36:02.160 --> 0:36:03.440
<v Speaker 6>And then finally, in the wealth.

0:36:03.280 --> 0:36:06.960
<v Speaker 13>Management space, the democratization of alternatives is an area that

0:36:07.000 --> 0:36:09.359
<v Speaker 13>we're looking at quite a bit.

0:36:09.719 --> 0:36:13.360
<v Speaker 3>It's interesting, of course, you mentioned Monzo which is UK based.

0:36:13.440 --> 0:36:15.720
<v Speaker 3>You mentioned some of the other areas of the rounds

0:36:15.719 --> 0:36:17.880
<v Speaker 3>that built here in New York. How are you seeing

0:36:18.640 --> 0:36:21.920
<v Speaker 3>the talent growing and where it's growing from at the moment.

0:36:22.080 --> 0:36:24.440
<v Speaker 3>Has there been some sort of regulatory arbitrage ATOL that

0:36:24.480 --> 0:36:25.200
<v Speaker 3>you see globally.

0:36:26.880 --> 0:36:29.680
<v Speaker 13>I'm not sure that there's been a huge I actually

0:36:29.719 --> 0:36:35.440
<v Speaker 13>think fintech has been a generally under invested category in

0:36:35.480 --> 0:36:38.319
<v Speaker 13>the last two years. I would say there was a

0:36:38.320 --> 0:36:40.360
<v Speaker 13>big spike up and down, So I'm not sure that

0:36:40.400 --> 0:36:44.719
<v Speaker 13>there's huge differences and where talent flows are going. I

0:36:44.760 --> 0:36:47.080
<v Speaker 13>think certainly AI is the big story of the day,

0:36:47.160 --> 0:36:49.600
<v Speaker 13>and so a lot of the talent that we're seeing

0:36:50.120 --> 0:36:52.600
<v Speaker 13>want to work on problems related to AI.

0:36:53.080 --> 0:36:54.760
<v Speaker 6>I do think we will see.

0:36:54.600 --> 0:37:00.799
<v Speaker 13>Financial services oriented AI solutions where that is is I

0:37:00.840 --> 0:37:04.000
<v Speaker 13>think where we've seen a lot of really interesting new

0:37:04.120 --> 0:37:08.080
<v Speaker 13>seed companies and many of our existing portfolio companies hiring

0:37:08.719 --> 0:37:13.600
<v Speaker 13>for and or implementing new solutions in the AI space

0:37:13.800 --> 0:37:16.880
<v Speaker 13>that leverage AI with existing text acts.

0:37:17.760 --> 0:37:19.919
<v Speaker 3>We'll see how it impacts us the user as well,

0:37:20.040 --> 0:37:24.520
<v Speaker 3>rather than just in support conversations with various chatbots. Stephanie

0:37:24.560 --> 0:37:26.640
<v Speaker 3>Cho just always so great to have your expertise on

0:37:26.680 --> 0:37:37.040
<v Speaker 3>the show Thank You Partner at Portage Now, the ex

0:37:37.040 --> 0:37:40.279
<v Speaker 3>account of the widow of opposition leader Alexi Navalni in

0:37:40.360 --> 0:37:43.640
<v Speaker 3>Russia was briefly suspended a day after it was used

0:37:43.680 --> 0:37:46.560
<v Speaker 3>to help her challenge Russian President Vladimir Putin over the

0:37:46.600 --> 0:37:48.759
<v Speaker 3>death of her husband. Now In a video posted on

0:37:48.800 --> 0:37:53.240
<v Speaker 3>her account on Monday, Julia Novalnier accused Putin of killing

0:37:53.320 --> 0:37:56.200
<v Speaker 3>husband as she announced that she was taking over Navalni's

0:37:56.280 --> 0:37:59.200
<v Speaker 3>role as opposition leader after his death in a remote

0:37:59.280 --> 0:38:02.640
<v Speaker 3>Russian prison on Friday. We want to talk about the

0:38:02.719 --> 0:38:06.400
<v Speaker 3>roles and responsibilities of Elon Musk's platform right now, because

0:38:06.600 --> 0:38:09.200
<v Speaker 3>this brief suspension comes just a week after the same

0:38:09.200 --> 0:38:12.120
<v Speaker 3>platform published at full unedited interview of the Russian president

0:38:12.320 --> 0:38:14.520
<v Speaker 3>with former Fox News host Tucker Carlson.

0:38:14.880 --> 0:38:16.360
<v Speaker 4>Who else to discuss.

0:38:16.120 --> 0:38:18.719
<v Speaker 3>In our very own Kurt Wagner, whose book Battle for

0:38:18.760 --> 0:38:21.799
<v Speaker 3>the Bird, which dives deep into the social media platform,

0:38:22.040 --> 0:38:25.560
<v Speaker 3>is out today. He joins us now and Kurt. All

0:38:25.640 --> 0:38:30.000
<v Speaker 3>of this concern about the way in which x as

0:38:30.160 --> 0:38:34.280
<v Speaker 3>was Twitter gained a new leadership suddenly changed up basically.

0:38:33.880 --> 0:38:35.160
<v Speaker 4>Most of its employee base.

0:38:35.520 --> 0:38:38.480
<v Speaker 3>There were concerns about content moderation first and foremost, How

0:38:38.520 --> 0:38:41.640
<v Speaker 3>does these sorts of day to day headlines make you

0:38:41.680 --> 0:38:43.680
<v Speaker 3>think about how it's occurring over there right now?

0:38:44.480 --> 0:38:47.399
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, I mean, clearly this is something that they are

0:38:47.560 --> 0:38:50.160
<v Speaker 14>struggling with to do at scale.

0:38:50.280 --> 0:38:50.440
<v Speaker 12>Right.

0:38:50.520 --> 0:38:54.400
<v Speaker 14>I'm told that this particular suspension was done automatically, so

0:38:54.480 --> 0:38:59.160
<v Speaker 14>it's both flagged automatically, suspended automatically, and then ultimately reversed

0:38:59.200 --> 0:39:02.279
<v Speaker 14>after a human review. But again, you know, these are

0:39:02.320 --> 0:39:06.000
<v Speaker 14>the kinds of complicated sort of issues that these types

0:39:06.000 --> 0:39:08.480
<v Speaker 14>of companies deal with. And it's sort of interesting because,

0:39:08.640 --> 0:39:10.520
<v Speaker 14>of course, when Elon Musk was on the outside, this

0:39:10.640 --> 0:39:12.760
<v Speaker 14>was the exact kind of thing that he might complain about,

0:39:12.840 --> 0:39:15.120
<v Speaker 14>right that he would say, hey, Twitter is being biased

0:39:15.320 --> 0:39:18.279
<v Speaker 14>because they took this account down. And now he's on,

0:39:18.400 --> 0:39:20.040
<v Speaker 14>you know, the inside, and we're seeing that they're still

0:39:20.040 --> 0:39:21.600
<v Speaker 14>struggling with the same kind of stuff. So I think

0:39:21.600 --> 0:39:24.640
<v Speaker 14>this sort of just you know, highlights how difficult it

0:39:24.760 --> 0:39:27.000
<v Speaker 14>is to do this content moderation at scale.

0:39:27.360 --> 0:39:31.040
<v Speaker 3>I mean, your book really chronicles then Twitter's struggles with

0:39:31.120 --> 0:39:34.719
<v Speaker 3>content moderation when it came to former President Trump as well,

0:39:34.760 --> 0:39:36.880
<v Speaker 3>And I want to gauge your perspective of what you

0:39:36.960 --> 0:39:39.440
<v Speaker 3>learn through that reporting out and writing and how it

0:39:39.480 --> 0:39:42.800
<v Speaker 3>pushes us forward to potentially run off in an election

0:39:42.880 --> 0:39:43.920
<v Speaker 3>here in the United States.

0:39:44.840 --> 0:39:47.000
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, I mean, it's so interesting to think about, right,

0:39:47.080 --> 0:39:51.000
<v Speaker 14>because that was a huge portion of the company, like

0:39:51.040 --> 0:39:53.480
<v Speaker 14>a huge part of the company's history was sort of

0:39:53.480 --> 0:39:55.880
<v Speaker 14>this run up to the twenty twenty election, how they

0:39:55.920 --> 0:39:58.920
<v Speaker 14>dealt with President Trump, how he used the service to

0:39:59.160 --> 0:40:03.960
<v Speaker 14>you know, complain about the voting, complain about the election

0:40:04.120 --> 0:40:06.759
<v Speaker 14>results and things like that, and ultimately Twitter at the

0:40:06.800 --> 0:40:09.280
<v Speaker 14>time ended up banning him, as we know. But President

0:40:09.280 --> 0:40:11.320
<v Speaker 14>Trump is now back, right, and there's a new regime

0:40:11.360 --> 0:40:14.720
<v Speaker 14>at X that has been very hands off and basically

0:40:14.760 --> 0:40:17.640
<v Speaker 14>said they don't want to enforce any of those types

0:40:17.640 --> 0:40:19.759
<v Speaker 14>of things. So it'll be really interesting to see we

0:40:19.880 --> 0:40:21.799
<v Speaker 14>as we head into twenty twenty four to one, does

0:40:21.840 --> 0:40:24.799
<v Speaker 14>President Trump, former President Trump really start to use X

0:40:24.840 --> 0:40:27.759
<v Speaker 14>more regularly, And if we get to a point where

0:40:27.760 --> 0:40:29.640
<v Speaker 14>he starts to complain about the same stuff he did

0:40:29.680 --> 0:40:33.040
<v Speaker 14>in twenty twenty, right, a rigged election, for example, will

0:40:33.200 --> 0:40:35.719
<v Speaker 14>X step in and do anything about it? And we

0:40:35.920 --> 0:40:38.239
<v Speaker 14>know that was a huge deal, you know, four years ago.

0:40:38.600 --> 0:40:41.319
<v Speaker 14>I'm really fascinated to see if this is going to

0:40:41.320 --> 0:40:43.560
<v Speaker 14>sort of play on repeat again and how they're going

0:40:43.600 --> 0:40:46.080
<v Speaker 14>to handle this time around and talk.

0:40:45.920 --> 0:40:49.680
<v Speaker 3>About alternate universes here or what might have been, Because

0:40:49.680 --> 0:40:52.600
<v Speaker 3>what's so interesting is some of the really juicy details

0:40:52.640 --> 0:40:54.640
<v Speaker 3>you reveal in the book. For example, who could have

0:40:54.719 --> 0:40:57.200
<v Speaker 3>led the business other than Jack Dorsey at the time,

0:40:57.280 --> 0:40:59.000
<v Speaker 3>and before Elon Well took.

0:40:58.800 --> 0:40:59.839
<v Speaker 4>It over, who was that?

0:41:00.760 --> 0:41:02.680
<v Speaker 14>Yeah, this is one of my favorite details. That's right

0:41:02.719 --> 0:41:04.800
<v Speaker 14>at the front of the book. When Jack Dorsey returned

0:41:05.120 --> 0:41:08.720
<v Speaker 14>as CEO in twenty fifteen, the board was actually considering

0:41:08.760 --> 0:41:13.200
<v Speaker 14>another candidate, Andy Jasse, who at the time was running AWS.

0:41:13.239 --> 0:41:16.840
<v Speaker 14>We obviously all now know he's the CEO of Amazon today.

0:41:17.080 --> 0:41:19.840
<v Speaker 14>And it's just a really interesting, you know, thought process

0:41:19.960 --> 0:41:22.360
<v Speaker 14>or a thought experiment, I should say, to think about

0:41:22.360 --> 0:41:25.120
<v Speaker 14>what Twitter would have looked like had the board decided

0:41:25.160 --> 0:41:28.440
<v Speaker 14>to go with more of a business minded CEO versus

0:41:28.640 --> 0:41:30.840
<v Speaker 14>Jack Dorsey, who was a product minded CEO. And that

0:41:30.880 --> 0:41:33.799
<v Speaker 14>was ultimately the deciding factor, I'm told is that they

0:41:33.840 --> 0:41:36.880
<v Speaker 14>thought Twitter was a product a company that had a

0:41:36.880 --> 0:41:39.880
<v Speaker 14>product problem, so they just decided to go and bring

0:41:39.920 --> 0:41:43.280
<v Speaker 14>back Jack Dorsey back. But again, it's just really interesting

0:41:43.520 --> 0:41:47.319
<v Speaker 14>to think, like where would the business have been had

0:41:47.360 --> 0:41:49.040
<v Speaker 14>they brought in someone who was, you know, maybe a

0:41:49.080 --> 0:41:51.800
<v Speaker 14>little bit more traditional in terms of their their business chops.

0:41:52.280 --> 0:41:56.640
<v Speaker 3>Well, we know how much work Blood Sweiners you put

0:41:56.680 --> 0:41:59.800
<v Speaker 3>into this book, and congratulations on it going on sale today.

0:42:00.040 --> 0:42:02.239
<v Speaker 3>Appreciate all your expertise day and day out in the show.

0:42:02.239 --> 0:42:05.600
<v Speaker 3>We thank you, Bloomberg's Kirk Wagner. Go buy the book. Meanwhile,

0:42:05.880 --> 0:42:08.120
<v Speaker 3>that does it for this edition of Bloemberg Technology. You

0:42:08.160 --> 0:42:10.360
<v Speaker 3>do not want to forget to check out our podcast

0:42:10.719 --> 0:42:12.719
<v Speaker 3>that there is going to be so much to be digesting,

0:42:12.760 --> 0:42:15.160
<v Speaker 3>and you can do it on your terminal, online on Apple,

0:42:15.239 --> 0:42:18.239
<v Speaker 3>Spotify or iHeart all of this as we anticipate the

0:42:18.280 --> 0:42:21.280
<v Speaker 3>all important numbers coming from Nvidea after the bell tomorrow.

0:42:21.719 --> 0:42:24.560
<v Speaker 3>Will they live up to expectations? Will we see AI

0:42:24.640 --> 0:42:27.400
<v Speaker 3>height become a reality? Will we see that revenue continue

0:42:27.640 --> 0:42:30.560
<v Speaker 3>to double on triple We'll see this is Bloomberg Technology,