1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:03,440 Speaker 1: Now here's a highlight from Coast to Coast AM on 2 00:00:03,600 --> 00:00:06,880 Speaker 1: iHeart Radio and welcome back to Coast to Coast. George 3 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:10,000 Speaker 1: Norty with you, Joseph Weissberg with us his book Russia 4 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 1: Upside Down and Exit Strategy for the Second Cold War, 5 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:16,520 Speaker 1: which he believes we're in right now. And that Joseph, 6 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:19,360 Speaker 1: we were talking about Putin and how ruthless he is, 7 00:00:19,440 --> 00:00:23,520 Speaker 1: and he did have that KGB background. He's got one 8 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 1: real friend out there, and that's madev dev Right, it's 9 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 1: who madev Vedev the former president? Yes, right, Well that's 10 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 1: the guy who was, you know interesting. Putin stepped down 11 00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:37,919 Speaker 1: for a term and Medvedev took over and became president. 12 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:40,559 Speaker 1: And there's a pretty great story about how a lot 13 00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 1: of people encouraged Medvedev to stay president and to tell 14 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:47,720 Speaker 1: Putin he couldn't come back and Madden maybe he might 15 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:49,760 Speaker 1: want to do that, and then Putin apparently sat him 16 00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 1: down and said, I will be coming back, and that 17 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 1: was the end of the story. How long will Putin 18 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:59,480 Speaker 1: technically stay in office, Well, you know, he just amended 19 00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:02,040 Speaker 1: the constant Husian, so he can stay for quite a 20 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:04,840 Speaker 1: long time. I don't think anybody knows if he will, 21 00:01:04,880 --> 00:01:06,280 Speaker 1: and there are a lot of stories coming out of 22 00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 1: Russia that he's getting pretty tired, is taking quite a 23 00:01:09,560 --> 00:01:11,200 Speaker 1: toll on him. And if you look at him or 24 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:13,480 Speaker 1: listen to him, he does look like a guy who's 25 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:15,720 Speaker 1: maybe held on to his job a little too long 26 00:01:15,760 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 1: for his own good. But we'll see. But as of 27 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 1: right now, could you say comfortably that he has created 28 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:27,760 Speaker 1: a new dictatorship in Russia. I think it's complicated. You know, 29 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:29,319 Speaker 1: this is part of what I what I write about 30 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:30,960 Speaker 1: in the book, that when you think about that, you 31 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:35,200 Speaker 1: have to realize that Russia is not, and never was, 32 00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:38,680 Speaker 1: a liberal democratic state the way that we are, and 33 00:01:38,720 --> 00:01:41,360 Speaker 1: it's never you know, this history goes back, you know, 34 00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 1: for hundreds of years between people in Russia who wanted 35 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:47,240 Speaker 1: to westernize more, who wanted to have more liberal democracy, 36 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 1: and those who don't. And the pretty strong majority was 37 00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:52,920 Speaker 1: always those who don't. We were talking about the Cold War, 38 00:01:53,120 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 1: you and I remember so well, and in the United 39 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: States we've always talked about the dissidents, people like Sakarov 40 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:00,720 Speaker 1: and Sharansky who stood up to the system, and what 41 00:02:00,840 --> 00:02:03,400 Speaker 1: I never realized at the time was they weren't very popular. 42 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 1: I thought that these guys were heroes who must have 43 00:02:06,080 --> 00:02:08,600 Speaker 1: they had the support of almost the whole Soviet population, 44 00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:11,839 Speaker 1: but in fact only very small proportion of people supported them, 45 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 1: and even now they're not really looked back on very 46 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:17,400 Speaker 1: fondly by most people. So it's a different kind of 47 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:19,799 Speaker 1: country with a different history. Often, you know, much more 48 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:23,680 Speaker 1: worried about stability and much more open to strong, tough leaders. 49 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 1: So Putin is in a sense fulfilling that side of 50 00:02:27,600 --> 00:02:30,799 Speaker 1: the Russian history and and I guess the Russian destiny, 51 00:02:31,160 --> 00:02:33,960 Speaker 1: and you can call it dictatorship and autocracy, and it 52 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:36,840 Speaker 1: certainly has very strong elements of those things. But I 53 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 1: don't think it should be seen from the perspective of 54 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:43,120 Speaker 1: an autocrash who's sort of preventing his country from having 55 00:02:43,160 --> 00:02:45,680 Speaker 1: a liberal democracy, because that's not what they really want, 56 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:48,720 Speaker 1: most of them. What is their game plan, Joseph, What 57 00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:53,080 Speaker 1: do they want? I would say if you look at 58 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 1: the Russian people, you know, it's hard to generalize because 59 00:02:56,280 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: they's different in his broad based as American people. They 60 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:02,760 Speaker 1: want all kinds of different things. But overall Putin's quite popular. 61 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:05,600 Speaker 1: You know, he has approval ratings would make any American 62 00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:08,519 Speaker 1: president jealous. And what that seems to indicate is that 63 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 1: people want someone who's going to keep the country intact, 64 00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:15,680 Speaker 1: prevent chaos, you restore it to some great power status, 65 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:19,680 Speaker 1: keep the economy moving along. All really pretty understandable things. 66 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:22,919 Speaker 1: But the other questions, what has Putin himself want? And 67 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:25,639 Speaker 1: that's where I think things get really interesting, because I 68 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 1: would say that when he took over in nineteen ninety nine, 69 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:32,400 Speaker 1: it seemed that he was actually open to a pretty constructive, 70 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:35,000 Speaker 1: positive relationship with the West. I don't know if you remember, 71 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 1: but after September eleven is extremely supportive, and he let 72 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 1: us use Russian airspace and open military bases, you know, 73 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 1: on his border in Central Asia. And now all that's 74 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 1: all that's changed. Now it's pretty clear that he wants 75 00:03:48,640 --> 00:03:51,360 Speaker 1: to do whatever he can to undermine and even destroy 76 00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 1: American democracy. So what happened, and I guess I would 77 00:03:55,720 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 1: say what happened is we engage them in a back 78 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:03,200 Speaker 1: and forth battle, and we did as many difficult and 79 00:04:03,280 --> 00:04:06,000 Speaker 1: devastating things to them as they did to us, and 80 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:09,120 Speaker 1: we whipped ourselves up into the Second Cold War. But 81 00:04:09,160 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 1: the perspective I like to suggest is to realize it's 82 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 1: not all their fault. It was something we all worked 83 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:18,719 Speaker 1: on together during the World War Two. General George Patton 84 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:22,600 Speaker 1: after the war recommended we go after the Soviet Union 85 00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:26,320 Speaker 1: and annihilate them. We did not do that. Obviously, was 86 00:04:26,360 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 1: he right or wrong? He was wrong, just you know, 87 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 1: on a very basic human level, if you look at 88 00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:36,160 Speaker 1: what happened in World War Two, that country had suffered 89 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:39,640 Speaker 1: so unimaginably. You know, tens of millions of people died 90 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:42,520 Speaker 1: fighting that war. And of course we have to give 91 00:04:42,560 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 1: them credit for our side winning the war, because about 92 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 1: ninety percent, maybe a little less, maybe eighty five percent 93 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:52,200 Speaker 1: of Nazi troops were engaged fighting the Russians and the Soviets. 94 00:04:52,480 --> 00:04:55,920 Speaker 1: The Soviets defeated them, and so, you know, I don't 95 00:04:55,920 --> 00:05:00,800 Speaker 1: know in what universe that we could ever justify annihilating 96 00:05:00,920 --> 00:05:03,200 Speaker 1: other people anyway. But then now you look at it 97 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 1: as a people who just sort of played a major 98 00:05:05,480 --> 00:05:08,160 Speaker 1: role in winning your war with you, it would have 99 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 1: been it's pretty hard to imagine that. Well, at the 100 00:05:10,400 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 1: yacht set, the Nazi Germany had a peace agreement with 101 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:18,480 Speaker 1: the Soviet Union. It was the Nazis that broke him. Yeah, 102 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:21,880 Speaker 1: that's a very interesting history as well, because what we 103 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:24,280 Speaker 1: don't talk about as much here when I studied this 104 00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:28,039 Speaker 1: in college and whatnot, is that the Soviets in Stalin 105 00:05:28,279 --> 00:05:30,920 Speaker 1: really were more interested in a pact with the West 106 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 1: than with Britain, with France, but there was so much 107 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:37,480 Speaker 1: suspicion of them and so much hatred and fear of Communism. British, 108 00:05:37,839 --> 00:05:41,479 Speaker 1: for example, was as scared or more scared of Communism 109 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:44,840 Speaker 1: than they were early on of Nazism. So Stalin was 110 00:05:44,920 --> 00:05:48,159 Speaker 1: kind of robust in his efforts to have an alliance 111 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:50,440 Speaker 1: with the West. And that's when he turned to Hitler. 112 00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:53,039 Speaker 1: And I'm not saying that was okay or justifying that. 113 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 1: I'm just saying it is understandable from any country that 114 00:05:57,200 --> 00:05:58,760 Speaker 1: was in the position they were in trying to keep 115 00:05:58,760 --> 00:06:01,479 Speaker 1: themselves from being destroyed, and of course it didn't work. 116 00:06:01,640 --> 00:06:04,120 Speaker 1: Hitler turned on him anyway. Is that the same thing 117 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:06,440 Speaker 1: that happened with Fidel Castro? I mean, did he not 118 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:08,880 Speaker 1: want to turn to us for some help and we 119 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:12,120 Speaker 1: kind of shunned him, so he went directly to the Soviets. 120 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:15,440 Speaker 1: You know, I'm not as familiar with that history, but 121 00:06:15,560 --> 00:06:20,159 Speaker 1: that is my impressions. I think that that followed that 122 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:24,000 Speaker 1: storyline almost exactly. Yeah, of course we were supporting Batista, 123 00:06:24,080 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 1: who was in with a mob and everything else, and 124 00:06:26,520 --> 00:06:30,279 Speaker 1: what a disaster that was. I'd love to interview Raoul Castro. 125 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:33,120 Speaker 1: He's the only one left of the bunch. Yeah, well, 126 00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:34,680 Speaker 1: maybe he can get him on the show. That would 127 00:06:34,680 --> 00:06:37,159 Speaker 1: be amazing. I don't know does he speak English or 128 00:06:37,200 --> 00:06:39,480 Speaker 1: is it just Spanish. That's a great question. You can 129 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:42,599 Speaker 1: translator if he doesn't. So. In your book, tell me 130 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:46,080 Speaker 1: about the title Russia upside Down? What does that mean? 131 00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:51,680 Speaker 1: I started looking back at about the Silviet Union during 132 00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:54,240 Speaker 1: that first Cold War, and you know, I was really 133 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 1: with Ronald Reagan. I thought the Silvie Union was an 134 00:06:56,720 --> 00:06:59,560 Speaker 1: evil empire, and I saw everything in those kind of 135 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:02,880 Speaker 1: black and white terms. They were bad, we were good. 136 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 1: They were evil, we were virtuous, and everything about them 137 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 1: was repressed and awful, and everything about us was democratic 138 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 1: and about freedom and something to be admired. And I 139 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:15,720 Speaker 1: started thinking that I had really had It's something I 140 00:07:15,800 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 1: had it literally upside down, that the reverse of that 141 00:07:18,000 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 1: was true. What I didn't understand was that both countries 142 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:23,679 Speaker 1: are more complex than that. You know, the Soviet Union 143 00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 1: had bad things and good things about it. And we 144 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:28,600 Speaker 1: have bad things and good things about us, and that 145 00:07:28,760 --> 00:07:31,560 Speaker 1: sort of sense of them that I only knew the 146 00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:33,880 Speaker 1: bad stuff. That's all I learned. That's all I learned 147 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 1: in school. That's all I saw on the media was 148 00:07:35,480 --> 00:07:37,640 Speaker 1: everything that was wrong, and so I ended up with 149 00:07:37,680 --> 00:07:41,400 Speaker 1: a kind of upside down view of what that country was. Well, 150 00:07:41,400 --> 00:07:43,080 Speaker 1: that's a good bro. What did you think of Stalin? 151 00:07:43,440 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 1: I mean, history has labeled him as a butcher to 152 00:07:46,680 --> 00:07:50,840 Speaker 1: his own people. There's no question that that's true. You know, 153 00:07:50,880 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 1: he's one of the greatest butchers and mass murderers of 154 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:57,160 Speaker 1: his own people in all of history. The question that 155 00:07:57,240 --> 00:07:59,400 Speaker 1: I got sort of engaged with when I was writing 156 00:07:59,480 --> 00:08:03,000 Speaker 1: my book was how come he's so popular? If that's true? 157 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:04,760 Speaker 1: And by the way, that is true, So how come 158 00:08:05,040 --> 00:08:09,160 Speaker 1: popular or feared? Joseph? I think actually popular. I think 159 00:08:09,160 --> 00:08:12,520 Speaker 1: we can look back now and say, certainly feared during 160 00:08:12,520 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 1: Soviet times, but also popular. But there's no way to 161 00:08:15,640 --> 00:08:17,600 Speaker 1: fear him now because he's been dead a long time, 162 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:21,240 Speaker 1: and it's popular. It remains very high in Russia. And 163 00:08:21,320 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 1: the only way I can come understand that about somebody 164 00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 1: who kills so many of his own people is that 165 00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:30,600 Speaker 1: they look at and focus on the positive things he did, 166 00:08:30,960 --> 00:08:34,400 Speaker 1: and they find that more important than the butchering. So 167 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:37,439 Speaker 1: one example I like to give is that he's really 168 00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 1: the guy who built that country. You know, we tend 169 00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:42,400 Speaker 1: to think of Lenin as the father of Soviet Union, 170 00:08:42,400 --> 00:08:45,280 Speaker 1: but really when Lennon died, the country hadn't really come 171 00:08:45,320 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 1: together yet. It was more like a kind of a 172 00:08:46,920 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 1: skeleton or a framework for a country. In Stalin industrialized 173 00:08:50,800 --> 00:08:54,600 Speaker 1: and brought the different nationalities together more fully and asserted 174 00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:57,200 Speaker 1: federal authority, really made it a country. And you know, 175 00:08:57,280 --> 00:09:00,679 Speaker 1: people there, like everywhere, were patriotic, so they appreciated that 176 00:09:01,000 --> 00:09:03,320 Speaker 1: there were also millions of people who had been really 177 00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:07,160 Speaker 1: poverty stricken peasants who were brought up into a higher 178 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:10,120 Speaker 1: social class by Stalin, and for so many of them 179 00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:12,680 Speaker 1: and maybe their kids, that was more important than the 180 00:09:12,800 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 1: killing people. So I don't you know, I don't know that. 181 00:09:16,480 --> 00:09:18,840 Speaker 1: I think the guy was one of the horrible monsters 182 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 1: of all time. But I don't think those people who 183 00:09:22,080 --> 00:09:25,000 Speaker 1: are fans of his are crazy or evil. I just 184 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:28,079 Speaker 1: think they're focused on other sides of him. What's your 185 00:09:28,160 --> 00:09:34,920 Speaker 1: reaction to Russia pulling out of NATO? I'll tell you 186 00:09:34,960 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 1: what it makes me think about after this, when the 187 00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:41,079 Speaker 1: Soviet Union was collapsing, I mean really in its final months, 188 00:09:41,080 --> 00:09:43,280 Speaker 1: there were a lot of meetings between Gorbachof and his 189 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:46,560 Speaker 1: people and the West, and historians argue about this, but 190 00:09:46,800 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 1: more and more of them are saying that there was 191 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:52,080 Speaker 1: at least an informal promise from the West that we 192 00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:55,840 Speaker 1: would not expand NATO east towards the Soviet Union after 193 00:09:55,880 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 1: it fell. Well, what happened shortly after the Soviet Union collapse. 194 00:10:00,520 --> 00:10:04,040 Speaker 1: NATO started absorbing former members of the Warsaw Pact that 195 00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:06,520 Speaker 1: was the Soviet Defense Alliance that was NATO's twin on 196 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:10,240 Speaker 1: the other side, so started taking those countries into NATO. 197 00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:13,800 Speaker 1: And then after Putin took over, we started actually taking 198 00:10:13,880 --> 00:10:18,000 Speaker 1: former Soviet republics into NATO. Soart countries that had been 199 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:20,320 Speaker 1: part of the Soviet Union and then after the collapse 200 00:10:20,320 --> 00:10:25,720 Speaker 1: became independent countries. Well, pretty predictably, Putin and Russia and 201 00:10:25,800 --> 00:10:29,280 Speaker 1: so many in Russia started feeling encircled and threatened, just 202 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:32,520 Speaker 1: like we would feel if a defense alliance formed to 203 00:10:32,600 --> 00:10:37,160 Speaker 1: fight US. Started expanding into South America and then Central America. 204 00:10:37,280 --> 00:10:40,280 Speaker 1: So you know, it's pretty fraud. We did we did 205 00:10:40,400 --> 00:10:43,440 Speaker 1: our part to create that conflict, and I don't think 206 00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:45,800 Speaker 1: that pulling out of you know, pulling that master from 207 00:10:45,880 --> 00:10:48,000 Speaker 1: NATO and saying it's not going to have diplomatic relations 208 00:10:48,160 --> 00:10:51,920 Speaker 1: with NATO. I don't think that's a move that seemed 209 00:10:51,920 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 1: that it's so hard to understand. What would you do today, 210 00:10:54,720 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 1: Joseph Piffle, We're up to you to work out relations 211 00:10:58,160 --> 00:11:01,679 Speaker 1: with Russia. How would you approach it? I think it's 212 00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:04,720 Speaker 1: a pretty tough thing to do, because there's been such 213 00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:07,600 Speaker 1: a hit for tat going on for so long, and 214 00:11:07,600 --> 00:11:10,720 Speaker 1: the hostility is so great on both sides, and both 215 00:11:10,720 --> 00:11:13,240 Speaker 1: sides really are doing so much damage. It's very hard 216 00:11:13,280 --> 00:11:16,080 Speaker 1: to negotiate your way out of that. So what I 217 00:11:16,080 --> 00:11:17,880 Speaker 1: would do is I would try to make a few 218 00:11:18,280 --> 00:11:22,360 Speaker 1: unilateral moves to change the perception, to say to Russia, 219 00:11:22,480 --> 00:11:24,599 Speaker 1: we're actually interested in getting out of this conflict, and 220 00:11:24,640 --> 00:11:26,719 Speaker 1: we're gonna put our money where our mouth is. So, 221 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:30,200 Speaker 1: for example, I would end the sanctions. I don't think 222 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:32,440 Speaker 1: the sanctions really work. I don't think they do any good. 223 00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:35,400 Speaker 1: I think they're interfering in Russia's economy and trying to 224 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:38,320 Speaker 1: harm it. Let's stop doing it and I'm not telling you, 225 00:11:38,400 --> 00:11:42,319 Speaker 1: George that the next day the Russians would stop their 226 00:11:42,360 --> 00:11:45,040 Speaker 1: propaganda United States or anything like that, but I think 227 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:48,040 Speaker 1: it would be an opening move move to say, we 228 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:50,640 Speaker 1: don't want to be in this fight anymore, let's pull back. 229 00:11:51,240 --> 00:11:55,120 Speaker 1: Had Gorbatov stayed in office, might we have worked out 230 00:11:55,120 --> 00:11:58,199 Speaker 1: a better relationship with what would have been Russia then 231 00:11:58,240 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 1: after the Soviet Union collapsed? I think that's pretty likely. 232 00:12:03,640 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 1: You know, Gorbachev was really, in so many ways a 233 00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:09,839 Speaker 1: great man. And even though he was a devoted communist 234 00:12:09,840 --> 00:12:12,800 Speaker 1: and really believed in communism, he was also a great 235 00:12:12,920 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 1: humanist and really believed in all in freedom much more 236 00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 1: the way we do. And he wanted his people to 237 00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:22,080 Speaker 1: you know, have speech, to be able to write and 238 00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:24,640 Speaker 1: think freely and do what they wanted. So had he 239 00:12:24,679 --> 00:12:27,840 Speaker 1: continue to reform the Soviet Union in that direction, I 240 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:29,760 Speaker 1: would not be surprised if today we would have a 241 00:12:29,800 --> 00:12:32,320 Speaker 1: better relationship than we do. When you were talking about 242 00:12:32,360 --> 00:12:36,800 Speaker 1: how Putin's popularity is so high, I suspect, Joseph, that 243 00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:41,600 Speaker 1: some people who are pulled or called are afraid to 244 00:12:41,600 --> 00:12:46,760 Speaker 1: say the truth. It's an interesting question because certainly, you 245 00:12:46,760 --> 00:12:48,960 Speaker 1: know there was no there was not only polling to 246 00:12:48,960 --> 00:12:51,640 Speaker 1: anybody in the Civil Union was the KGB who had 247 00:12:51,800 --> 00:12:54,080 Speaker 1: They didn't do literally exact polling, but they had all 248 00:12:54,160 --> 00:12:55,840 Speaker 1: kinds of ways to try to figure out what the 249 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 1: population was thinking and feeling, including you know, asking people questions. 250 00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 1: But there's a there's a pretty strong consensus among people 251 00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:06,080 Speaker 1: who know more about this than I do, that the 252 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:10,360 Speaker 1: independent polling that's done in Russia is probably roughly accurate. 253 00:13:10,400 --> 00:13:14,000 Speaker 1: There's this one organization, Thelevada Center, and they are not 254 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:17,520 Speaker 1: under the state, are sometimes you know, threatened and repressed 255 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:19,400 Speaker 1: a bit by the government, but they are non undered 256 00:13:19,480 --> 00:13:23,280 Speaker 1: them at all. And I think people believe that they're 257 00:13:23,320 --> 00:13:27,240 Speaker 1: able to get fairly accurate results. I'm sure you're old 258 00:13:27,280 --> 00:13:29,400 Speaker 1: habits die hard, and I'm sure there are some people 259 00:13:29,440 --> 00:13:32,280 Speaker 1: who don't feel safe saying what they really think. But 260 00:13:32,440 --> 00:13:33,960 Speaker 1: I think there's a lot of reason to think that 261 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:37,760 Speaker 1: probably most people are responding honestly. And of course, here's 262 00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:43,080 Speaker 1: the humanitarian question. Why can't these nations China, US, Iran, 263 00:13:43,400 --> 00:13:46,560 Speaker 1: all of them, Israel? Why can't we all get along? 264 00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:50,080 Speaker 1: Why can't we get along? I don't It's it's so 265 00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:52,720 Speaker 1: puzzling to me, you know, the it's I think about 266 00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:55,760 Speaker 1: the Soviet Union and why we were so angry at 267 00:13:55,760 --> 00:13:58,719 Speaker 1: them and in such a conflict, right because they were communists, 268 00:13:58,880 --> 00:14:03,079 Speaker 1: and they were atheist and opposed religion, and they were 269 00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:05,600 Speaker 1: opposed to any kind of sort of basic freedom for 270 00:14:05,640 --> 00:14:10,040 Speaker 1: their people. Well, really that has changed significantly in just 271 00:14:10,080 --> 00:14:14,240 Speaker 1: the direction we wanted. Right. They're no longer communist in Russia, 272 00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:16,960 Speaker 1: they're no longer atheists. The state is, you know, very 273 00:14:17,040 --> 00:14:19,480 Speaker 1: involved at the Russian Orthodox Church and trying to use 274 00:14:19,560 --> 00:14:23,920 Speaker 1: Christianity to sort of gain legitimacy. They certainly aren't, you know, 275 00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:27,080 Speaker 1: they haven't embraced Western liberal freedom like us. But they're 276 00:14:27,240 --> 00:14:31,760 Speaker 1: less repressive than they were in Soviet times, meaning like crazy. 277 00:14:31,920 --> 00:14:34,320 Speaker 1: So so what is it about? It doesn't seem to 278 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:36,560 Speaker 1: me it's about much other than needing an enemy and 279 00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:41,080 Speaker 1: wanting somebody to fight with. Well, what a planet we 280 00:14:41,120 --> 00:14:45,560 Speaker 1: could all build if we didn't fight and kill It's 281 00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:48,240 Speaker 1: it's sort of it's nice to think about and kind 282 00:14:48,240 --> 00:14:50,200 Speaker 1: of sad because it doesn't seem to be much sense 283 00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:52,320 Speaker 1: we're moving in that direction? Does there? Do you see 284 00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:57,720 Speaker 1: a World War three on the horizon. I don't like 285 00:14:57,800 --> 00:15:00,160 Speaker 1: to predict much because you know, all that happens. You 286 00:15:00,200 --> 00:15:05,720 Speaker 1: predict things, you're you know, you're an insider, you know things. Well, 287 00:15:05,960 --> 00:15:08,560 Speaker 1: I don't. I don't see it around the corner, you know. 288 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:10,680 Speaker 1: I think that most of if you look at the 289 00:15:10,720 --> 00:15:12,920 Speaker 1: United States, if you look at China, if you look 290 00:15:12,920 --> 00:15:18,440 Speaker 1: at Russia, I think there's enough sober minded leadership to 291 00:15:18,520 --> 00:15:21,600 Speaker 1: keep anything like that from happening. But the problem is 292 00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:24,320 Speaker 1: that then something catches you by surprise, Then something you 293 00:15:24,320 --> 00:15:27,160 Speaker 1: weren't expecting happens, and you can go down pretty fast. 294 00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:29,920 Speaker 1: As you know. What would it take for this second 295 00:15:30,160 --> 00:15:34,520 Speaker 1: Cold War to come to an end? More than anything else? 296 00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:36,480 Speaker 1: I mean, you know I mentioned, for example, pulling back 297 00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:39,400 Speaker 1: on sanctions, but more than actions, it's going to take 298 00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:42,480 Speaker 1: a change of heart, a different perspective of looking at things. 299 00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:45,240 Speaker 1: And you know, Russia has to do that for themselves. 300 00:15:45,240 --> 00:15:47,320 Speaker 1: We're not responsible for how they look at the world, 301 00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:49,960 Speaker 1: but we are responsible for how we look at the world. 302 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:52,920 Speaker 1: So for me, the thing we can do is stop 303 00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:56,760 Speaker 1: blaming them for everything, Stop assuming that the whole conflict 304 00:15:56,840 --> 00:15:59,880 Speaker 1: is their fault, Stop thinking that they're trying to destroy 305 00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:02,840 Speaker 1: us when we're so innocent and did nothing to provoke it, 306 00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:05,560 Speaker 1: and recognize it as a two way street, and just 307 00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:08,880 Speaker 1: that change in perspective I think could help. 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