1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:04,040 Speaker 1: You're listening to Taking Stock with Kathleen Hayes and Pim 2 00:00:04,120 --> 00:00:08,280 Speaker 1: Fox on Bloomberg Radio. Deutsche Bank. The shares of Deutsche 3 00:00:08,320 --> 00:00:11,960 Speaker 1: Bank have fallen by more than forty eight percent this year. 4 00:00:12,560 --> 00:00:16,160 Speaker 1: Many investors are concerned that the lender faces a hefty 5 00:00:16,239 --> 00:00:19,840 Speaker 1: fine from the US Justice Department. But could there be 6 00:00:19,920 --> 00:00:23,279 Speaker 1: more to worry about in Deutsche Bank. Vernon Silver is 7 00:00:23,320 --> 00:00:26,640 Speaker 1: our projects and investigations reporter for Bloomberg News and our 8 00:00:26,760 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: Rome Bureau, and he joins us now to tell us more. 9 00:00:29,840 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 1: Vernon tell us about miss marking deals and is thirty seven? 10 00:00:35,960 --> 00:00:39,840 Speaker 1: Is thirty seven deals? Is that considered to be well, 11 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:42,280 Speaker 1: you go ahead and tell the story because this involves 12 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:45,920 Speaker 1: a lot of money. Yeah, Here's here's what's interesting here 13 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:48,640 Speaker 1: Here in Italy, there's a well known scandal, which is 14 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:53,160 Speaker 1: how the oldest bank in the world, Montaski, allegedly used 15 00:00:53,159 --> 00:00:57,280 Speaker 1: a transaction to conceal hundreds of millions of losses. But 16 00:00:57,360 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: on the other end of that trade with Deutsche Bank, 17 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:03,720 Speaker 1: and the investigations into that led to open a door 18 00:01:03,920 --> 00:01:07,480 Speaker 1: cannon worms into a whole bunch of other transactions in 19 00:01:07,520 --> 00:01:10,840 Speaker 1: the range of almost twelve billion dollars worth in which 20 00:01:11,360 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 1: the accounting by Deutsche Bank on its side of the 21 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:16,760 Speaker 1: deal was similar to what they did with Monty Passkey. 22 00:01:16,880 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 1: Now there is no covering up of of losses the 23 00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:22,560 Speaker 1: way they did with Passkey. But what's interesting about Deutsche 24 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:25,759 Speaker 1: Bank's own accounting is they they lent all this money out, 25 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 1: but they didn't put it on their balance sheet um. 26 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:33,280 Speaker 1: And and that's where the the auditors found something of interest. 27 00:01:33,319 --> 00:01:36,880 Speaker 1: And that's where Deutsche Bank already has had to restate 28 00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 1: the way that it accounts for these billions of loans um. 29 00:01:40,160 --> 00:01:43,039 Speaker 1: It's not material, it's not anything that more than a 30 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 1: trillion dollars an assets. You know, it's not going to 31 00:01:45,360 --> 00:01:48,880 Speaker 1: tip the scales about their their financial health. But analysts 32 00:01:48,880 --> 00:01:52,440 Speaker 1: they're saying that this is indicative of the complexity behind 33 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:57,280 Speaker 1: the real numbers of Germany's largest banks. Well, let's just 34 00:01:57,280 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 1: just just take us little bit further to really break 35 00:01:59,280 --> 00:02:02,120 Speaker 1: it down for us in terms of what they did 36 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 1: and why will they say, oh, we were it's a 37 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:09,600 Speaker 1: complex transaction and we did exactly what we were supposed 38 00:02:09,600 --> 00:02:12,320 Speaker 1: to do with it. That's why it's not there. Will 39 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:14,560 Speaker 1: this be a case will they'll eventually be charged with 40 00:02:14,639 --> 00:02:17,080 Speaker 1: and have to admit to out and out fraud. What 41 00:02:17,600 --> 00:02:21,120 Speaker 1: specifically is this going to turn on, because quite apart 42 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:25,680 Speaker 1: from you know, losing money, there's a whole question of 43 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 1: credibility of behavior that it sounds like the crossed way 44 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:35,560 Speaker 1: over the line. Absolutely, this is a question of reputational risk. 45 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: And this is what the auditors point out. There's nothing 46 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:42,480 Speaker 1: in here to indicate that anybody committed any crime um 47 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:44,840 Speaker 1: and there was a justification for the way that they 48 00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 1: accounted for these loans without actually making them look like 49 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 1: there were loans on their balance sheet. So what happens 50 00:02:50,639 --> 00:02:54,160 Speaker 1: the accountant the auditors uh came in and said, now 51 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:56,960 Speaker 1: if you can't, you can't do it this way. And 52 00:02:57,040 --> 00:03:00,720 Speaker 1: it wasn't a mistake. The papers that we've that about 53 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:03,960 Speaker 1: the way that the Mounti Pasky deal was constructed showed 54 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 1: that it was really important that they account for these 55 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 1: off of the balance sheet because the more the more 56 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:13,680 Speaker 1: of these deals you can do without it impacting uh, 57 00:03:13,840 --> 00:03:16,399 Speaker 1: you know, your own finances, the better. Is the way 58 00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:18,200 Speaker 1: that that the endless who are trying to understand that 59 00:03:18,240 --> 00:03:21,200 Speaker 1: they're saying, vernon do we also need to be concerned 60 00:03:21,240 --> 00:03:26,080 Speaker 1: about derivatives because in the twenty fifteen annual report, Deutsche 61 00:03:26,120 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 1: Banks said that it's exposure to derivatives was nearly forty 62 00:03:32,440 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 1: seven trillion dollars. Now I understand, I know this is 63 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 1: the notional value. So uh, it's not as if it's 64 00:03:40,880 --> 00:03:46,160 Speaker 1: gonna oversee all of their counterparty transactions and clearings. But 65 00:03:46,920 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 1: forty seven trillion dollars to put to put this in 66 00:03:51,600 --> 00:03:54,480 Speaker 1: context as a political issue, because like we're in Europe 67 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 1: and there's you know, put the politics are swarming all 68 00:03:57,560 --> 00:04:00,640 Speaker 1: around this. Here in Rome, the Prime minists to Renzy 69 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:02,640 Speaker 1: when asked, you know, hey, aren't you going to clean 70 00:04:02,720 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 1: up the Italian banks and Monty Pasky? Are you gonna 71 00:04:05,160 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 1: have to bail them out? One of his biggest and 72 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 1: strongest responses is to say, you know what, me, worry 73 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:13,440 Speaker 1: look at Deutsche Bank and the derivatives. They've got a 74 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:16,160 Speaker 1: look at the German banks. Um. So that's that's part 75 00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:19,039 Speaker 1: of what you brought up. Is exactly what the Italian 76 00:04:19,080 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 1: political response to this is. And it will be interesting 77 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 1: to see as both Deutsche Bank and Monty Pasky coincidentally 78 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:28,159 Speaker 1: or not the two banks involved in in the deal 79 00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:31,480 Speaker 1: that sparked all this, If either of them gets closer 80 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 1: to the brink um if it becomes a political issue, 81 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:36,840 Speaker 1: if you know, will clean up ours if you clean 82 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 1: up yours? You know. Also, this seems to be the 83 00:04:41,000 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 1: potential perallel of UH to the two thousand, two thousand 84 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:49,760 Speaker 1: nine banking crisis in the United States. Ben Bernaki said 85 00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:53,160 Speaker 1: he hated beating out those banks, right, but he had 86 00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:56,400 Speaker 1: to to support the financial system. Now, if I'm Nzy, 87 00:04:56,440 --> 00:04:59,680 Speaker 1: if I'm the Italian regulators and government, maybe I say, look, 88 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:03,480 Speaker 1: uh we can maybe I could. They could kick out managers, 89 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:05,280 Speaker 1: they can take that f d I C like kind 90 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:07,599 Speaker 1: of step. But they might say, no, we cannot let 91 00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:11,760 Speaker 1: big institutions like this go down. Yeah. Absolutely, I mean 92 00:05:11,760 --> 00:05:14,320 Speaker 1: that's the case with multi Passky, which you know, some 93 00:05:14,400 --> 00:05:16,920 Speaker 1: of the you know, the investors have and and even 94 00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:19,919 Speaker 1: political figures have pointed out as possible spark of some 95 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 1: kind of systemic risk. Um. That's why there is such 96 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:26,480 Speaker 1: an urgent need on the part of the Italian government 97 00:05:26,560 --> 00:05:29,719 Speaker 1: to make sure that it sells off its bad loans 98 00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:33,680 Speaker 1: and that it gets UH new new investors. But what 99 00:05:33,720 --> 00:05:36,719 Speaker 1: we're seeing with with the Stoutsche Bank transaction and the 100 00:05:36,760 --> 00:05:40,159 Speaker 1: fact that there was there was accounting around the world 101 00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:43,839 Speaker 1: that was that was constructed to not show exactly the 102 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 1: way things really were. Is the question of this is 103 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:51,640 Speaker 1: a whole way that you do business have to be changed? Um, 104 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:54,960 Speaker 1: do we really know what the risks are and are 105 00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:59,400 Speaker 1: there incentives or disincentive for for this kind of financial engineering? 106 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 1: Burnon Silver Triffic Reporting, Thank you so very much for 107 00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:08,320 Speaker 1: joining us. He is Bloomberg News Investigations reporter in Rome. 108 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 1: His story today Deutsche Bank miss mark thirty seven deals 109 00:06:13,040 --> 00:06:18,000 Speaker 1: like Pesky's. The audit says, very important story, very important 110 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:23,200 Speaker 1: development for European banks and the European financial system. I'm 111 00:06:23,279 --> 00:06:26,680 Speaker 1: Kathleen Hayes along with P M. Fox. We're gonna be 112 00:06:26,760 --> 00:06:30,120 Speaker 1: turning our attention to financial advisors. Is one of the 113 00:06:30,160 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 1: top women advisors in the country. This is Bloomberg