1 00:00:01,360 --> 00:02:58,680 Speaker 1: USA, USA, USA, USA, USUS. 2 00:03:42,920 --> 00:03:47,000 Speaker 2: And good morning everybody on this momentous February twenty eighth, 3 00:03:47,240 --> 00:03:50,680 Speaker 2: twenty twenty six, please be joined by my friends Malcolm Nance, 4 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:54,440 Speaker 2: black Man Spy, and of course Ken Harbaugh of the 5 00:03:54,520 --> 00:03:59,120 Speaker 2: Ken Harbaugh Show, both veterans of the United States Navy 6 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:04,280 Speaker 2: Senior Chief Malcolm Nance and Ken Harbaugh. 7 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 3: A naval aviator. 8 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:12,520 Speaker 2: We talked not too many days ago about this moment. 9 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:17,040 Speaker 2: We didn't know when all of us were sure that 10 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 2: it was going to happen. I thought it was going 11 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:24,680 Speaker 2: to happen earlier in the week. I think you guys 12 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 2: did too. But alas here we are by weeks in 13 00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:32,239 Speaker 2: the United States is at war and just to get 14 00:04:32,279 --> 00:04:40,800 Speaker 2: started and to set a base. Maybe someday people will 15 00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:44,040 Speaker 2: look back at this and they can use it as 16 00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 2: an evidence of what was happening in the country that, 17 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:57,240 Speaker 2: unless I missed it, there was no debate about America 18 00:04:57,360 --> 00:04:58,200 Speaker 2: going to war. 19 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 3: There were no hearings, there were no. 20 00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:07,880 Speaker 2: Speeches on the floors of either the House or the Senate, 21 00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:15,840 Speaker 2: and there was no public outcry about any of it. 22 00:05:16,839 --> 00:05:22,240 Speaker 2: And so with a whimper of descent and a mountain 23 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:31,279 Speaker 2: of indifference, America is attacking Iran, and for the third 24 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:36,080 Speaker 2: time in the twenty first century, a new war has 25 00:05:36,160 --> 00:05:39,719 Speaker 2: begun in the Middle East. Ken Harbaugh, how are you 26 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 2: feeling this morning? 27 00:05:42,600 --> 00:05:45,200 Speaker 4: Well, the fact that we had to endure the longest 28 00:05:45,400 --> 00:05:48,600 Speaker 4: State of the Union speech in history, where the President 29 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 4: had the opportunity to explain to the American people the 30 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:56,039 Speaker 4: most momentous decision a president can make, the commitment of 31 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:59,680 Speaker 4: American lives to an endeavor like this, and chose to 32 00:05:59,720 --> 00:06:04,280 Speaker 4: have the subject almost entirely is a damning indictment of 33 00:06:05,360 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 4: where this man puts his priorities. Let's not forget that 34 00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:12,400 Speaker 4: none of his family members have ever had skin in 35 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 4: the game, one of the only families in the history 36 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:19,560 Speaker 4: of the presidency to literally have zero connection to the military. 37 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:23,320 Speaker 4: We know about his disdain for the military itself, the 38 00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:27,920 Speaker 4: suckers and losers comments, which is absolutely verifiable, and then 39 00:06:27,960 --> 00:06:31,040 Speaker 4: you have him talking about from behind the Presidential seal 40 00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:34,640 Speaker 4: the fact that lives might be lost as cavalierly as 41 00:06:34,640 --> 00:06:37,599 Speaker 4: he did. I took that as a slap in the 42 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:40,359 Speaker 4: face and hopefully another wake up call to the American 43 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:44,920 Speaker 4: people that this president has absolutely all the wrong priorities. 44 00:06:45,839 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 4: And look, I think You only need to consider the 45 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:52,240 Speaker 4: fact that the timing of this was built around stock 46 00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:57,159 Speaker 4: market openings, not around tactical or strategic considerations. The number 47 00:06:57,160 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 4: one timing issue was making sure it happened at a 48 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:04,120 Speaker 4: period in the news cycle, at a time when the 49 00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:09,680 Speaker 4: markets wouldn't react to negatively, and as a result, lives 50 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:13,200 Speaker 4: are going to be lost. Of course, the hypocrisy, which 51 00:07:13,200 --> 00:07:16,520 Speaker 4: I'm sure we'll get to, is riven throughout this decision. 52 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 4: He accused Obama how many times of planning a war 53 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 4: with Iran to save his presidency, and yet that is 54 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:25,360 Speaker 4: exactly what he is doing. 55 00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:30,440 Speaker 2: Malcolm, Nance in the early hours of this is anything 56 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 2: that you're seeing surprising you in the execution of the attack? 57 00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:39,040 Speaker 5: Well, yeah, I've been going at. 58 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:41,160 Speaker 3: This since about Malcolm. We don't have sound from you. 59 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:44,720 Speaker 5: Oh that's a surprise, can you not hear me? 60 00:07:44,920 --> 00:07:49,640 Speaker 2: We'll let Malcolm troubleshoot that for a second. Ken, we 61 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 2: were talking about the spike that's registerable in prediction market 62 00:07:57,520 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 2: betting in the moments before the attack commences, and this 63 00:08:03,680 --> 00:08:07,040 Speaker 2: is something that we've spoken about casually before. But what 64 00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:10,800 Speaker 2: did you notice there? And comment, if you will, on 65 00:08:10,880 --> 00:08:15,040 Speaker 2: the implications of that that there might be open air betting, 66 00:08:15,640 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 2: like at the Bizarre in the moments before US military attack, 67 00:08:22,360 --> 00:08:26,600 Speaker 2: where there's clear fore knowledge that the attack is imminent. 68 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:30,160 Speaker 2: What are your observations about all of all of that. 69 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:33,520 Speaker 4: It's that part of it that should be most alarming. 70 00:08:33,520 --> 00:08:36,720 Speaker 4: There are always going to be people betting on horrible 71 00:08:36,760 --> 00:08:39,959 Speaker 4: things happening, and the markets I'm looking mostly at Polymarket 72 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:43,640 Speaker 4: and Kalshi. They have odds, have had odds for a 73 00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:46,400 Speaker 4: long time on US going to war with Iran. But 74 00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:51,040 Speaker 4: in the hours and minutes before the strikes, you saw 75 00:08:51,200 --> 00:08:56,080 Speaker 4: a massive spike, like thousands of percent increases in the 76 00:08:56,920 --> 00:08:59,680 Speaker 4: volume of betting that America was about to go to war. 77 00:08:59,840 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 4: That's an indication of insider trading. And if this were 78 00:09:03,280 --> 00:09:07,680 Speaker 4: happening on Wall Street, the investigations would start tomorrow. But 79 00:09:07,720 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 4: the fact that it's happening with the lives of Americans 80 00:09:12,040 --> 00:09:16,280 Speaker 4: and Iranians as the chips, as the pieces on this board, 81 00:09:17,040 --> 00:09:20,000 Speaker 4: and I don't know if we'll ever get to the 82 00:09:20,040 --> 00:09:22,760 Speaker 4: bottom of it, but I would I would bet my 83 00:09:22,920 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 4: life that people inside the White House and close to 84 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:29,600 Speaker 4: Trump are making a fortune on committing Americans to war. 85 00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:32,920 Speaker 4: When you look at the timing of these bets, the 86 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:36,600 Speaker 4: returns on these bets. In literally the hours and minutes 87 00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:38,920 Speaker 4: before we're going to war, you have a massive spike 88 00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:42,800 Speaker 4: in wagers on whether America is going to go to war. 89 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:46,199 Speaker 4: I would be shocked if these weren't coming from people 90 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:49,520 Speaker 4: who knew the American war machine was about to be 91 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:51,560 Speaker 4: propelled into action by Donald Trump. 92 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:57,440 Speaker 2: Extraordinary, extraordinary corruption to fathom. Malcolm, are you with Can 93 00:09:57,480 --> 00:09:58,000 Speaker 2: you hear me now? 94 00:09:58,600 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 3: I can hear you? 95 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:04,400 Speaker 2: Anything surprising to you about the early hours of the 96 00:10:04,440 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 2: execution of the attack. 97 00:10:07,679 --> 00:10:11,160 Speaker 5: Yeah, like I said earlier, which you couldn't hear, I've 98 00:10:11,200 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 5: been up since three am watching this. As soon as 99 00:10:16,120 --> 00:10:19,600 Speaker 5: the President made his pre recorded speech, it was pretty 100 00:10:19,600 --> 00:10:23,240 Speaker 5: clear that the fight was on. Now. The first thing 101 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:25,600 Speaker 5: that I want to call your attention to is the 102 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:28,840 Speaker 5: very fact that I've spelled this out. I just did 103 00:10:28,880 --> 00:10:33,560 Speaker 5: a substack for two hours. We are at war with Iran. 104 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:38,320 Speaker 5: This is the US Israel Iranian war. But make no 105 00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:42,400 Speaker 5: bones about it, it is the Donald Trump US versus 106 00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 5: Iran war. He made that very clear. The primary reason 107 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:53,720 Speaker 5: he gave was regime change. He expects the United States 108 00:10:53,760 --> 00:10:59,520 Speaker 5: somehow to use its air power to kill individuals in 109 00:10:59,559 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 5: the regime enough that the Iranian people can rise up 110 00:11:05,120 --> 00:11:08,840 Speaker 5: and take over the country. That is a pie in 111 00:11:08,880 --> 00:11:12,000 Speaker 5: the sky that I've been hearing since my first deployment 112 00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:17,680 Speaker 5: over there in nineteen eighty five, forty years ago. This 113 00:11:17,920 --> 00:11:21,079 Speaker 5: belief that we can just bomb our way into getting 114 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:24,240 Speaker 5: people to side with us is a fantasy, and it 115 00:11:24,440 --> 00:11:28,680 Speaker 5: costs maybe as many as ten to fifteen thousand people 116 00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:33,040 Speaker 5: of their lives last month. Yes, things are difficult in 117 00:11:33,040 --> 00:11:36,319 Speaker 5: Iran in some sectors, but as a country of ninety 118 00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:41,960 Speaker 5: three million people, it is four times bigger than all 119 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:45,280 Speaker 5: of Iraq. It takes forever. I mean, you start at 120 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:48,880 Speaker 5: the bottom of the Arabian Gulf Persian Gulf and steam 121 00:11:49,200 --> 00:11:53,640 Speaker 5: from you know, Bandorabas all the way up to Bandar 122 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:57,560 Speaker 5: Kamani near the Iran Iraq border. That takes a day 123 00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:01,080 Speaker 5: and a half of non stop moving. I mean, it 124 00:12:01,200 --> 00:12:05,240 Speaker 5: is an enormous country. Missiles take a long time to 125 00:12:05,320 --> 00:12:10,000 Speaker 5: fly across it. But the second reason Trump allegedly gave 126 00:12:10,840 --> 00:12:14,640 Speaker 5: was that this was supposed to get rid of Iran's 127 00:12:14,679 --> 00:12:20,600 Speaker 5: ballistic missile capability reduce the nuclear weapons stockpiles that they 128 00:12:20,640 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 5: claimed last year were obliterated. We all know here. I mean, 129 00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:28,120 Speaker 5: I'm an intelligence professional. None of that was obliterated. We 130 00:12:28,240 --> 00:12:32,199 Speaker 5: just blew up the facilities and they got them nuclear materials. 131 00:12:32,200 --> 00:12:35,360 Speaker 2: And he said again, he said again in his state 132 00:12:35,360 --> 00:12:40,880 Speaker 2: of union, Malcolm that the nuclear weapons program was obliterated, 133 00:12:40,920 --> 00:12:43,440 Speaker 2: if I if I heard that correctly. So we're just 134 00:12:43,559 --> 00:12:48,479 Speaker 2: days on from him now again obliterated to we're attacking 135 00:12:48,559 --> 00:12:50,160 Speaker 2: something that was obliterated. 136 00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:53,720 Speaker 5: So he also said that he was out to destroy 137 00:12:53,760 --> 00:12:59,240 Speaker 5: the ballistic missile production capability, the sheet Shaheed missile production capability, 138 00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:03,360 Speaker 5: drone cape ability, the ability of Iran to wage war, 139 00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:05,600 Speaker 5: and that the US Navy was going to do what 140 00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:08,200 Speaker 5: we have been waiting for since I fought them in 141 00:13:08,280 --> 00:13:15,160 Speaker 5: nineteen eighty eight. We're gonna savage the Iranian Navy. Great aspirational, wonderful, 142 00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:18,640 Speaker 5: but you cannot do this in a very short period 143 00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:21,960 Speaker 5: of time. Initially he said it was a multi day war. 144 00:13:22,600 --> 00:13:26,079 Speaker 5: Now he is referring to it as a campaign, which 145 00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:29,320 Speaker 5: means that this is not going to go a week. 146 00:13:29,360 --> 00:13:33,360 Speaker 5: I believe the technical term he used was several days, right, 147 00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:39,040 Speaker 5: this is likely going to be several months. The Iranians 148 00:13:39,080 --> 00:13:41,680 Speaker 5: are going to drag this out, and they played it 149 00:13:41,720 --> 00:13:45,679 Speaker 5: out first thing this morning. Within an hour of the strikes, 150 00:13:46,120 --> 00:13:51,200 Speaker 5: they had already prepositioned and launched ballistic missiles into the 151 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:55,760 Speaker 5: following countries. They launched them into Israel, which included hits 152 00:13:56,559 --> 00:14:00,200 Speaker 5: in the vicinity of Haifa, Tel Aviv and Demona. In 153 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 5: the south, they attacked a US base in Jordan, and 154 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:08,000 Speaker 5: there's reports that ballistic missiles had multiple hits on that base. 155 00:14:08,320 --> 00:14:13,000 Speaker 5: They attacked US forces in Iraq. They attacked US bases 156 00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:16,680 Speaker 5: in Kuwait, including Ali ol Selam Air Base and the 157 00:14:16,840 --> 00:14:22,320 Speaker 5: US Army Central Command Forward Headquarters near Juffra. They attacked 158 00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:26,720 Speaker 5: the US Navy headquarters and Manama, Bahrain with a shahe 159 00:14:27,120 --> 00:14:31,840 Speaker 5: drone and got direct hits on that base. There's a 160 00:14:31,920 --> 00:14:37,120 Speaker 5: video showing the headquarters communications center blowing up with very 161 00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 5: close video and now the oil storage facilities and repair 162 00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:44,880 Speaker 5: facilities there are burning from stem to stern. As we 163 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:47,840 Speaker 5: say in the Navy that base. I lived on that 164 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:52,160 Speaker 5: base for almost a year. That base was vital to US, 165 00:14:52,160 --> 00:14:55,640 Speaker 5: but Fifth Fleet Headquarters moved to a ship and is 166 00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:59,320 Speaker 5: probably commanding from one of the amphibious ships in the 167 00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:04,000 Speaker 5: Northern Indian Ocean. They then hit Doha, Qatar. US bases 168 00:15:04,040 --> 00:15:07,240 Speaker 5: in Doha, and in one video, the reason they were 169 00:15:07,280 --> 00:15:12,080 Speaker 5: reporting explosions in Doha is the interceptors were blasting the 170 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:16,120 Speaker 5: boosters and the boosters are now coming down in the city, 171 00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:23,360 Speaker 5: exploding and releasing sulfuric gas as debris into the city. 172 00:15:23,400 --> 00:15:26,080 Speaker 5: I've seen at least two videos of that. Then they 173 00:15:26,160 --> 00:15:30,440 Speaker 5: hit Abu Dhabi, where I lived for ten years, and 174 00:15:30,520 --> 00:15:35,200 Speaker 5: they hit the Aldafra airbase just south of the city 175 00:15:35,200 --> 00:15:39,880 Speaker 5: of Abu Dhabi, but the Amidis did not intercept most 176 00:15:39,920 --> 00:15:43,840 Speaker 5: of those shots. Initially, the second wave they are hitting 177 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:48,480 Speaker 5: and intercepting missiles coming in and debris is falling all 178 00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:52,760 Speaker 5: over the city. I've seen debris and from Sadiyat Island, 179 00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:56,840 Speaker 5: Yas Island, f One Marina, all of these places around 180 00:15:56,840 --> 00:16:00,920 Speaker 5: the city. The only Saudi Arabia Rya has been hit 181 00:16:01,040 --> 00:16:04,640 Speaker 5: with several ballistic missiles, and the only country thus far 182 00:16:04,800 --> 00:16:08,400 Speaker 5: that has not been hit with missiles is Syria, which 183 00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:11,520 Speaker 5: is not in the fight, and Oman, which is the 184 00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:15,800 Speaker 5: Switzerland of the Arabian Gulf area. So we are now 185 00:16:15,840 --> 00:16:18,880 Speaker 5: in a regional war. But Steve, you asked a very 186 00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:22,560 Speaker 5: specific question, what was the most surprising thing to me? 187 00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:26,360 Speaker 5: Simply that this attack did not occur at three point 188 00:16:26,360 --> 00:16:29,440 Speaker 5: thirty yesterday afternoon, as I was waiting for it, which 189 00:16:29,720 --> 00:16:32,600 Speaker 5: would have been one thirty in the morning. It occurred 190 00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:39,400 Speaker 5: at high noon Saturday, which is market day in Tehran. 191 00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:44,080 Speaker 5: Twelve noon is when the first strike started hitting in Iran. 192 00:16:45,160 --> 00:16:47,240 Speaker 5: The purpose of this is what we would call a 193 00:16:47,400 --> 00:16:51,400 Speaker 5: demonstration attack. One, we felt that we could attack that 194 00:16:51,480 --> 00:16:56,480 Speaker 5: country during daylight on a weekend with impunity. Two those 195 00:16:56,800 --> 00:17:00,920 Speaker 5: mushroom clouds and clouds of the Ayatolas house blowing up 196 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:05,760 Speaker 5: would give the Iranian people a visual that the United 197 00:17:05,800 --> 00:17:10,600 Speaker 5: States was attacking in their in support of their I 198 00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:12,160 Speaker 5: don't know if you want to call it a revolution, 199 00:17:12,280 --> 00:17:17,280 Speaker 5: but whatever their protests were. Last month, Donald Trump himself 200 00:17:17,280 --> 00:17:19,560 Speaker 5: said it that the United States is intending to send 201 00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:26,680 Speaker 5: human humanitarian aid to Iran. Surprising word, so I think 202 00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:30,960 Speaker 5: he assumes that these air strikes are humanitarian operation. But 203 00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:33,639 Speaker 5: what we are getting into now is going to be 204 00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:38,320 Speaker 5: an extended asymmetric war where Iran is going to show 205 00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:41,480 Speaker 5: us they don't need ballistic missiles to make things burn. 206 00:17:43,800 --> 00:17:44,119 Speaker 3: Ken. 207 00:17:44,280 --> 00:17:48,320 Speaker 2: Do you know if we have control over the Iranian 208 00:17:48,359 --> 00:17:49,720 Speaker 2: airspace at. 209 00:17:49,520 --> 00:17:50,320 Speaker 3: This hour. 210 00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:53,800 Speaker 4: At this hour, I don't know, but we will soon. 211 00:17:54,119 --> 00:18:00,080 Speaker 4: And look, I think the nuance in Malcolm's analysis is everything. 212 00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:04,240 Speaker 4: Because we will dominate the Iranian military does not mean 213 00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:06,680 Speaker 4: we're going to win this thing. I mean, look at 214 00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:11,400 Speaker 4: our performance in Afghanistan. That military didn't last very long 215 00:18:11,440 --> 00:18:14,480 Speaker 4: and it didn't ultimately matter. We left the country with 216 00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:17,520 Speaker 4: our tail between our legs. We are going to defeat 217 00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:25,160 Speaker 4: the Iranian military conventionally, we are going to achieve air 218 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:29,159 Speaker 4: superiority and air dominance, but the Iranians are going to 219 00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:33,000 Speaker 4: wage asymmetric warfare. The Iranians are not going to play 220 00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:38,040 Speaker 4: by our rules and they don't need the same kind 221 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 4: of wins that we do. If they get their hands 222 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:46,240 Speaker 4: on one or two American service members, the game changes entirely. 223 00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:51,240 Speaker 4: If we hit a school with forty Iranian school kids 224 00:18:51,280 --> 00:18:54,200 Speaker 4: in it and there are going to be innocent Iranians 225 00:18:54,240 --> 00:18:58,919 Speaker 4: killed by American American bombs, the game changes entirely. This 226 00:18:59,080 --> 00:19:04,439 Speaker 4: idea is that you can force regime change through airpower, is, 227 00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:08,959 Speaker 4: as Malcolm said, a complete fantasy. It has never worked. 228 00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:11,920 Speaker 4: It has always required boots on the grounds grounds. And 229 00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:14,879 Speaker 4: if we had a Pentagon and a White House that 230 00:19:15,040 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 4: had any appreciation of the history of regime change, and 231 00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:22,280 Speaker 4: how it actually happens. If they studied Syria, if they 232 00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:26,320 Speaker 4: studied Algeria, if they studied a rock in Afghanistan, they 233 00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:29,080 Speaker 4: would know that bombs don't do it. It takes something 234 00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:35,639 Speaker 4: much more subtle and much more intensive than a multi 235 00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:38,960 Speaker 4: day air campaign. This is not going to achieve the 236 00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:40,440 Speaker 4: ends that Trump is laid out. 237 00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:45,200 Speaker 5: Yeah, and two of the things you just predicted just happened. 238 00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:49,080 Speaker 5: One we've just seen video that's about forty five minutes 239 00:19:49,119 --> 00:19:52,720 Speaker 5: old of an Iranian Air Force mid twenty nine doing 240 00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:56,480 Speaker 5: a confidence pass over the capitol, which means it was 241 00:19:56,480 --> 00:20:00,119 Speaker 5: flying at low altitude, probably not avoiding missiles, yet it 242 00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:02,359 Speaker 5: was flying low altitude to show the Iranian people at 243 00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:05,640 Speaker 5: the Iranian Air Force is in the air. This, by 244 00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:08,040 Speaker 5: the way, is an Iraqi mid twenty nine that they 245 00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:12,800 Speaker 5: recovered that they evacuated in nineteen ninety one. But they 246 00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:16,000 Speaker 5: are flying. The Iranian Air Force is airborne. And you're right, 247 00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:20,560 Speaker 5: we will shoot them down. We will have total aerial dominance. 248 00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:23,000 Speaker 5: But that doesn't mean that we are not going to 249 00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:26,320 Speaker 5: lose aircraft. We can have a flock of birds fly 250 00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:31,000 Speaker 5: into it. We've already seen some asymmetric dominance already we've 251 00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:34,879 Speaker 5: seen a Predator drone, a Reaper drone flying over Shiraz. Well, 252 00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:38,119 Speaker 5: there's an F four Phantom base there near Shiraz. We 253 00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 5: could be striking Iranian aircraft with hellfire missiles right now. 254 00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:47,240 Speaker 5: That being said, that can all be wiped away with 255 00:20:47,280 --> 00:20:50,840 Speaker 5: an event that's already happened in southern Iran. There is 256 00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:55,560 Speaker 5: video coming out right now that a school was struck 257 00:20:55,640 --> 00:21:00,439 Speaker 5: by accident. Today is Saturday. A lot of events occur 258 00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:02,000 Speaker 5: in schools. I don't know if you've lived in the 259 00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:04,639 Speaker 5: Middle East. I spent decades in the Middle East. A 260 00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:06,960 Speaker 5: lot of school events happen on weekends. They do have 261 00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:11,560 Speaker 5: a girl Scouts in Iran. This school was supposedly hit 262 00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:14,600 Speaker 5: and there is video of bodies being brought out. Look, 263 00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:17,640 Speaker 5: this is not like nineteen eighty eight where people came 264 00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:20,639 Speaker 5: out when we shot down the Iranian civil airliner around 265 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:23,200 Speaker 5: Air six five to five and killed two hundred and 266 00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:27,080 Speaker 5: ninety civilians. First thing that was said was the Iranians 267 00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:29,399 Speaker 5: killed them and put the bodies on the airplane and 268 00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:32,880 Speaker 5: let us shoot it down. We make mistakes because it's 269 00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:36,880 Speaker 5: a war, and in war, a US cruise missile that's 270 00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:40,320 Speaker 5: intercepted or goes off course or just comes apart in 271 00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:43,280 Speaker 5: the air, could drop its payload and blow up a 272 00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:45,639 Speaker 5: city block, and the majority of that block could be 273 00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:50,960 Speaker 5: a girls school. So or bad target teering where our 274 00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:57,280 Speaker 5: intelligence people just are told that building was a ballistic 275 00:21:57,359 --> 00:22:02,680 Speaker 5: missile storage facility. One I captured a facility in Desert 276 00:22:02,720 --> 00:22:07,080 Speaker 5: Storm that had was a girls technical school, and it 277 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:11,720 Speaker 5: did was filled with ten silkworm anti ship missiles. This 278 00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:14,679 Speaker 5: could just be bad targeteering, But now they're saying forty 279 00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:19,080 Speaker 5: two women girls are been killed in this. If it's verified, 280 00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:23,280 Speaker 5: and it's all over Al Jazeera right now, then a 281 00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:26,760 Speaker 5: lot of these things will put America off because you 282 00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:31,639 Speaker 5: can guarantee Donald Trump will take a harsh, callous view 283 00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:35,840 Speaker 5: towards Iranian people. He doesn't care about them. This is 284 00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:41,520 Speaker 5: about safeguarding Israel from ballistic missiles. Worthy goal. This is 285 00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:44,760 Speaker 5: about safeguarding America's allies, who he has gotten a lot 286 00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:48,879 Speaker 5: of money from from Iran's ballistic missiles. Worthy goal. This 287 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:51,520 Speaker 5: is about raising the price of oil over one hundred 288 00:22:51,560 --> 00:22:54,679 Speaker 5: dollars a barrel. That's going to happen by tomorrow morning, 289 00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:59,760 Speaker 5: and that, by the way, saves Russia. So this is 290 00:22:59,800 --> 00:23:04,320 Speaker 5: a out money and about changing this fantasy in his 291 00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:07,880 Speaker 5: head from Miss tom Clancy novel that he's been reading 292 00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:10,280 Speaker 5: over and over again, or has been told by Benjamin 293 00:23:10,320 --> 00:23:14,439 Speaker 5: Netanyahu that he can overthrow the regime from air power. 294 00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:18,239 Speaker 5: I mean, Jimmy Doolittle is pulling his hair out and 295 00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:20,040 Speaker 5: rolling over in his grave at the same time. 296 00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:22,600 Speaker 2: When let me ask let me ask this question, Ken, 297 00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:27,679 Speaker 2: will you talked about asymmetrical warfare? Some questions coming in? 298 00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:31,760 Speaker 2: What does that mean? How should people understand that that. 299 00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:36,119 Speaker 4: Phrase asymmetrical warfare is the kind of warfare we're not 300 00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:39,920 Speaker 4: good at. Asymmetrical warfare is what got us kicked out 301 00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:43,720 Speaker 4: of Vietnam, It's what got us kicked out of Afghanistan. 302 00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:46,840 Speaker 4: We are great at the technical stuff. We are great 303 00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:54,359 Speaker 4: at controlling the skies and bringing combined arms to a 304 00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:57,159 Speaker 4: fight in a place like Fallujah. But the minute they 305 00:23:57,240 --> 00:24:02,480 Speaker 4: start sending kids with suicide vests into marketplaces, the American 306 00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:06,120 Speaker 4: military is not great at dealing with that kind of thing. 307 00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:12,439 Speaker 4: The minute Iran starts using ships that or boats that 308 00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:17,359 Speaker 4: look like civilian craft to approach American warships, we're going 309 00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:19,879 Speaker 4: to have holes in the sides of American warships like 310 00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:24,840 Speaker 4: we saw in Yemen with the uss coal Our military 311 00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:31,080 Speaker 4: is great at that hypothetical confrontation with a near peer adversary, 312 00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:34,240 Speaker 4: taking on a Chinese fleet in the blue water of 313 00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:38,440 Speaker 4: the Pacific, taking on the Russians, but taking on a 314 00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:43,160 Speaker 4: tugboat in an odden We're going to lose that fight. 315 00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:46,080 Speaker 4: We're going to lose that fight, especially if you have 316 00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:50,440 Speaker 4: the Iranian people committed to it. And that's the other 317 00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:53,760 Speaker 4: big danger here, which no one seems to be talking about. 318 00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:57,080 Speaker 4: If you want, if you want to do anything to 319 00:24:57,119 --> 00:25:02,080 Speaker 4: solidify the regime in Iran, you give them an excuse 320 00:25:02,119 --> 00:25:06,840 Speaker 4: to marshal the support of their people. And Malcolm, my 321 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:10,680 Speaker 4: heart is breaking at this report that you just shared. 322 00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:12,960 Speaker 4: I'm going to do my own research on it. But 323 00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:16,200 Speaker 4: even if this one doesn't turn out to be true, 324 00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:19,399 Speaker 4: American bombs are going to kill linison Iranians. And I 325 00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:22,960 Speaker 4: know how I would era act as an American if 326 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:27,800 Speaker 4: another country came into my community and killed my neighbors. 327 00:25:28,280 --> 00:25:32,080 Speaker 4: I think there is a very strong likelihood here that 328 00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:35,439 Speaker 4: this strengthens the Iranian regime instead of undermines it. 329 00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:40,520 Speaker 5: There's another factor of asymmetry that Iran has and has 330 00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:44,119 Speaker 5: had for a very very long time. It took twenty 331 00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:46,480 Speaker 5: two months, but my memoir was just cleared by the 332 00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:50,520 Speaker 5: Pentagon and went through five different agencies and organizations to 333 00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:52,600 Speaker 5: get cleared. So I can tell you this story now. 334 00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:56,480 Speaker 5: In nineteen eighty seven September nineteen eighty seven, Iran almost 335 00:25:56,560 --> 00:26:01,280 Speaker 5: carried out a massive asymmetric warfare attack against the Gulf States. 336 00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:05,240 Speaker 5: The United States was siding with Iran in the Iran 337 00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:09,880 Speaker 5: Iraq War Operation ernest Will, where we were escorting tankers 338 00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:12,680 Speaker 5: that have been reflagged as the United States was having 339 00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:16,040 Speaker 5: an effect on the on the war and their war revenues, 340 00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:19,280 Speaker 5: and at one point they got so angry about it 341 00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:24,480 Speaker 5: they planned a commando written not a raid, an invasion 342 00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:30,000 Speaker 5: of Kuwait, Saudi Arabia's offshore and coastal oil fields from 343 00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:34,720 Speaker 5: all the way from ros Kalaya in Kuwait all the 344 00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:38,760 Speaker 5: way down to Demm, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain. And they 345 00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:43,399 Speaker 5: had dedicated three thousand Bashji commandos. This is you know, 346 00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:48,719 Speaker 5: Iranian Revolutionary Guard commandos came out in small boats and 347 00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:53,400 Speaker 5: were en route to carry out these these attacks on 348 00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:56,439 Speaker 5: the oil fields. It was only because we had about 349 00:26:56,480 --> 00:26:59,439 Speaker 5: three days warning of a full color copy of the 350 00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:04,120 Speaker 5: invasion plan that the Saudi Navy, the Kwadian Navy, everybody mobilized, 351 00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:07,080 Speaker 5: and we made it clear to the Iranians, we knew 352 00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:10,240 Speaker 5: that you were doing this. We're gonna sink every damn boat. 353 00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:11,439 Speaker 3: I mean. 354 00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:14,600 Speaker 5: The Saudis bought every ship from the Red Sea Fleet 355 00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:18,160 Speaker 5: to the Persian Gulf over a day period to try 356 00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:22,479 Speaker 5: to head this off, and the Iranians held off and 357 00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:25,399 Speaker 5: claimed that it was an exercise. It wasn't an exercise. 358 00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:28,760 Speaker 5: They were en route to do it. That could happen tonight. 359 00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:31,760 Speaker 5: And let me tell you something, based on the tech 360 00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:37,600 Speaker 5: what I'm seeing out of Qatar, Bahrain, Uae, they're not 361 00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:42,480 Speaker 5: prepared for five hundred Iranian small craft to come across 362 00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:46,000 Speaker 5: the gulf, landed every goddamn oil field and start having 363 00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 5: running gun battles with their cops and blow up the 364 00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:52,239 Speaker 5: oil fields and de mom. They're not because it is 365 00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:56,040 Speaker 5: beyond their ability to believe that it's possible. They could 366 00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:58,200 Speaker 5: sink a lot of boats with air power, they could 367 00:27:58,240 --> 00:27:59,960 Speaker 5: do all sorts of stuff. But if they want to 368 00:28:00,200 --> 00:28:04,080 Speaker 5: put five thousand troops across the gulf tonight, they could 369 00:28:04,119 --> 00:28:06,760 Speaker 5: do it and this war could go the price of 370 00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:08,760 Speaker 5: oil will go to one hundred and fifty dollars a barrel, 371 00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:11,719 Speaker 5: which is where Osama bin Laden always said it should be. 372 00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:16,480 Speaker 5: This could spin out of control at any point, and 373 00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:21,479 Speaker 5: that's the real asymmetric power. Iran has ninety three million people. 374 00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:26,240 Speaker 5: They have the ability to put I mean technically, they 375 00:28:26,320 --> 00:28:29,560 Speaker 5: could mobilize over the next few weeks and invade Kuwait 376 00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:32,680 Speaker 5: from the north through Iraq with the Iraqis helping them. 377 00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:37,280 Speaker 5: Who knows. 378 00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:42,640 Speaker 2: When you evaluate what's happening in these in these early hours, 379 00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:46,520 Speaker 2: and we'll start to wrap it up just a couple 380 00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:50,360 Speaker 2: observations from my part, and then I'll. 381 00:28:50,080 --> 00:28:51,520 Speaker 3: Let you to close it out. 382 00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:57,360 Speaker 2: But never ever in American history, and I mean never ever, 383 00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:03,880 Speaker 2: has there been a more unfit group of people who 384 00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:11,760 Speaker 2: have initiated combat operations. Never never ever, uh morally unfit, 385 00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:20,240 Speaker 2: spiritually unfit, uh patriotically unfit, just just as unfit intellectually 386 00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:24,440 Speaker 2: as any group of people could could ever be. 387 00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:31,200 Speaker 3: Uh. Pete Heggseeth is preposterous. Donald Trump is preposterous. Uh. 388 00:29:31,440 --> 00:29:37,040 Speaker 2: The the the total lack of moral authority to start 389 00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:42,360 Speaker 2: an endeavor like this is is terrible. The the Republic 390 00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:48,640 Speaker 2: cannot be said to exist really at a functional level. 391 00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:54,920 Speaker 2: This morning, we've seen a war be initiated with uh 392 00:29:55,200 --> 00:30:01,280 Speaker 2: no debate, no checks and balances whatsoever. Uh an imperial 393 00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:06,680 Speaker 2: decree if you wish. That has locked the nation now 394 00:30:06,840 --> 00:30:12,320 Speaker 2: into this. The Trump promise that he would not engage 395 00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:18,720 Speaker 2: in any more foreign wars is now the most famous 396 00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:25,440 Speaker 2: broken promise in American political political history, bar none. The 397 00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:30,719 Speaker 2: strategy of this it seems very clear to me at 398 00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:38,440 Speaker 2: the early hours, which is Iran, which is the inferior force, 399 00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:44,760 Speaker 2: the smaller foe against the United States in the way 400 00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:48,520 Speaker 2: that it is covered. But then again, the war isn't 401 00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:51,400 Speaker 2: being fought in the United States. The war is being 402 00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:56,280 Speaker 2: fought next to Iran. And because that is so, Iran 403 00:30:56,680 --> 00:31:02,200 Speaker 2: is stronger there than our battle fleet is in its 404 00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:07,120 Speaker 2: entirety when you consider that wars are not one from 405 00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:11,040 Speaker 2: the from the air alone. So what so what Iran 406 00:31:11,200 --> 00:31:15,560 Speaker 2: has done in these early hours is try to expand 407 00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:20,000 Speaker 2: the war to not being primarily a war where they 408 00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:24,360 Speaker 2: are absorbing blows from the United States and from Israel, 409 00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:29,120 Speaker 2: but instead where they are delivering blows and causing as 410 00:31:29,200 --> 00:31:36,280 Speaker 2: much instability across a vast geographic footprint around the Middle East, 411 00:31:36,880 --> 00:31:42,040 Speaker 2: which will put pressure on the Europeans and across the 412 00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:48,400 Speaker 2: world economically for the fighting to cease. Trump is fighting 413 00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:55,160 Speaker 2: alone without allies. Unbearable pressure will start to build and 414 00:31:55,240 --> 00:31:59,480 Speaker 2: he will have not achieved the objectives of regime change, 415 00:32:00,040 --> 00:32:05,280 Speaker 2: which are not achievable absent in an American commitment to boots 416 00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:09,800 Speaker 2: on the ground. So, as Malcolm predicted, is Ken predicted, 417 00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:13,440 Speaker 2: this is going to go on for some time unless 418 00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:18,080 Speaker 2: Donald Trump goes out and he says that the bombing 419 00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:22,600 Speaker 2: has stopped. We've achieved something that in fact we have 420 00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:25,480 Speaker 2: not achieved that refutes what he said we were doing 421 00:32:25,520 --> 00:32:29,640 Speaker 2: this for a few days ago. That will be packaged 422 00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:32,240 Speaker 2: with a ribbon on it as some great victory by 423 00:32:32,280 --> 00:32:36,680 Speaker 2: people like Tony Dakoople at CBS News and Barry Weiss. 424 00:32:36,840 --> 00:32:39,680 Speaker 2: But it's not real and I don't think we're going 425 00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:42,840 Speaker 2: to get out of it as simply as that. We'll 426 00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:48,120 Speaker 2: continue to talk about this unfolding event as the days 427 00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:51,479 Speaker 2: and hours roll on. But over to you, Ken, just 428 00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:55,280 Speaker 2: to wrap it up, any observations that you have in 429 00:32:55,320 --> 00:32:59,920 Speaker 2: the early hours of another American war in the Middle East, 430 00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:02,840 Speaker 2: know that it's easy to start these wars and very 431 00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:05,920 Speaker 2: very difficult to end them. So here we go again. 432 00:33:06,080 --> 00:33:10,720 Speaker 2: Any thoughts here at the beginning, you know, for posterity's sake, 433 00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 2: if nothing else, just to put down how it is 434 00:33:15,120 --> 00:33:16,000 Speaker 2: that we're here. 435 00:33:16,920 --> 00:33:17,440 Speaker 3: Well, Steve it. 436 00:33:17,640 --> 00:33:21,520 Speaker 4: I think it bears remembering that we couldn't even affect 437 00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:25,360 Speaker 4: regime change in Venezuela. In our own backyard, the Maduro 438 00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:29,720 Speaker 4: regime is still in power there. Anything the White House 439 00:33:29,840 --> 00:33:33,000 Speaker 4: proclaims after the first few days of this is going 440 00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:36,480 Speaker 4: to likely be a lie. They lie like they breathe, 441 00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:39,520 Speaker 4: And I think it gets to the fundamental question, which 442 00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:43,320 Speaker 4: is the Trumpian psychology behind this. I think when you 443 00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:46,920 Speaker 4: look at the motivating factors, it is probably less about 444 00:33:46,960 --> 00:33:51,000 Speaker 4: defending Israel from ballistic missile attacks or rising the raising 445 00:33:51,040 --> 00:33:54,400 Speaker 4: the price of oil, or whatever the state of strategic 446 00:33:54,440 --> 00:33:58,480 Speaker 4: objectives are. Then the fact that Donald Trump has one 447 00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:02,200 Speaker 4: thing left he can control. He can't control inflation, he 448 00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:05,240 Speaker 4: can't control the release of the Epstein files. He can't 449 00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:10,440 Speaker 4: control the increasing pushback from Democrats in Congress or the iire, 450 00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:13,720 Speaker 4: the disdain of the American people that is rising like bile. 451 00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:17,239 Speaker 4: What he can control is American military might. And I 452 00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:22,640 Speaker 4: feel like that Toddler instinct of his to lash out 453 00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:25,640 Speaker 4: when he's under threat is what we're seeing now and 454 00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:27,120 Speaker 4: it's costing lives. 455 00:34:28,040 --> 00:34:34,160 Speaker 5: Yeah, Malcolm, Well, I'm sorry to have to bring this 456 00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:37,360 Speaker 5: to your attention, and he mentioned it in his speech. 457 00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:41,920 Speaker 5: American service members will die in this operation. They may 458 00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:44,839 Speaker 5: not die being shot down. They may be shot down, 459 00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:47,520 Speaker 5: they may have You know what we call ken knows 460 00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:50,719 Speaker 5: better than anybody the golden bebe right. It is that 461 00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:53,480 Speaker 5: one bullet, that stone that's fired into the air that 462 00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:57,120 Speaker 5: you think cannot hit you, that through some change in 463 00:34:57,200 --> 00:35:00,799 Speaker 5: physics or lift of the air, hits you you and 464 00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:05,239 Speaker 5: brings you down right. Fad knocks out your engine. Could 465 00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:07,319 Speaker 5: be a flock of seagulls that goes through a B 466 00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:12,239 Speaker 5: two bomber, who knows what it is. Sailors will fall 467 00:35:12,280 --> 00:35:15,960 Speaker 5: off of ships on air operations. I've worked on the 468 00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:19,040 Speaker 5: flight deck from when I was a CE cadet. When 469 00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:21,799 Speaker 5: I was fifteen, I worked on an aircraft carrier flight deck. 470 00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:23,719 Speaker 5: You can be blown off a flight deck in high 471 00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:27,520 Speaker 5: intensity operations. You could be a marine training you're a 472 00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:31,600 Speaker 5: tactical shooting and fall over the side. A aircraft could 473 00:35:31,600 --> 00:35:33,839 Speaker 5: go off the end of a catapult cold cat and 474 00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:39,360 Speaker 5: crash or you could be over Iran as a Special 475 00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:42,279 Speaker 5: Operations soldier. By the way, there are American boots on 476 00:35:42,320 --> 00:35:47,040 Speaker 5: the ground right now. No, we have Special Operations teams 477 00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:52,080 Speaker 5: there that are preparing this combat search and rescue mission. 478 00:35:52,600 --> 00:35:56,880 Speaker 5: We probably have prepositioned helicopters and aircraft, you know, vertical 479 00:35:56,880 --> 00:36:01,640 Speaker 5: takeoff aircraft there. We have CIA powermilllitaries are definitely their 480 00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:06,919 Speaker 5: CIA clandestine officers who are supporting some of these air 481 00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:10,160 Speaker 5: strikes along with the Israelis. But we have an entire 482 00:36:10,200 --> 00:36:15,120 Speaker 5: structure in place. Special Operations Command was born in the 483 00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:19,000 Speaker 5: desert of Iran in nineteen seventy nine, and they have 484 00:36:19,080 --> 00:36:21,680 Speaker 5: been itching to get feedback on the ground there and 485 00:36:21,760 --> 00:36:24,680 Speaker 5: they are on the ground. I am dead certain without 486 00:36:24,719 --> 00:36:29,080 Speaker 5: any question. Seals are already carrying out operations along the 487 00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:33,960 Speaker 5: Iranian coast against any ship missile batteries and where these 488 00:36:33,960 --> 00:36:38,759 Speaker 5: small craft storage facilities are in the naval bases that 489 00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:42,120 Speaker 5: are there. We are not hearing about them yet because 490 00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:45,400 Speaker 5: social media and the videos haven't caught up to this, 491 00:36:45,640 --> 00:36:49,880 Speaker 5: and they will as ship sink as we start blasting things. 492 00:36:49,920 --> 00:36:53,520 Speaker 5: As videos start coming in from Iranians like we're seeing, 493 00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:55,160 Speaker 5: we're going to be seeing a lot more of the 494 00:36:55,200 --> 00:37:01,120 Speaker 5: kinetic war. But Iran is huge. It is its exceptionally long, 495 00:37:01,640 --> 00:37:05,520 Speaker 5: large country. This will take a very very long time. 496 00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:10,360 Speaker 5: The Iranian's asymmetric capability, more than anything, is very simple. 497 00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:14,960 Speaker 5: They have a very low bar kill an American capture 498 00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:20,480 Speaker 5: American service members, capture people that they believe are cooperating 499 00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:23,080 Speaker 5: with the CIA, like they did with the Israelis, and 500 00:37:23,160 --> 00:37:27,120 Speaker 5: string them up in public. The Iranian regime is not 501 00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:31,839 Speaker 5: going to fall unless there is a color revolution where 502 00:37:32,000 --> 00:37:35,879 Speaker 5: fifty percent of that ninety three million people rise up 503 00:37:36,040 --> 00:37:39,799 Speaker 5: in people power and overthrow the regime. And then it 504 00:37:39,840 --> 00:37:42,640 Speaker 5: turns into a blood revolution where they get the guns 505 00:37:42,640 --> 00:37:45,120 Speaker 5: from the cops and they start shooting their way through 506 00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:48,160 Speaker 5: the regime. This mission is just going to be about 507 00:37:48,200 --> 00:37:52,799 Speaker 5: Donald Trump risking American service members' lives for whatever it 508 00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:55,520 Speaker 5: is in his head. He thinks he's the great Caesar 509 00:37:55,560 --> 00:38:00,919 Speaker 5: here carrying out a major campaign in Germania. Uh, We've 510 00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:05,480 Speaker 5: I think he's he's just nero fiddling as the country burned. 511 00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:08,120 Speaker 4: Yep, we've seen this movie before. 512 00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:11,160 Speaker 5: Yeah, it's glad, It'll. 513 00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:13,120 Speaker 2: Be will be a lot to there'll be a lot 514 00:38:13,160 --> 00:38:15,719 Speaker 2: to talk about this. Also, this is a terrible day 515 00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:22,480 Speaker 2: for for the State of Israel, the any person who 516 00:38:22,520 --> 00:38:27,120 Speaker 2: cares about Israel, israel sovereignty and security in the Middle East. 517 00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:32,280 Speaker 2: The destruction of the affection between Israel and the United 518 00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:36,000 Speaker 2: States that has happened under net and Yahoo is just 519 00:38:36,080 --> 00:38:39,520 Speaker 2: a just a just a tragic thing. And there's enormous, 520 00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:44,920 Speaker 2: enormous political implications attached to that that that are a 521 00:38:44,960 --> 00:38:48,080 Speaker 2: lot of conversations will be will be talking about in 522 00:38:48,120 --> 00:38:54,080 Speaker 2: the near future. But we'll watch this unfold. Pay attention, 523 00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:59,480 Speaker 2: everybody to the lies. Uh nobody speaking to you on 524 00:38:59,640 --> 00:39:02,600 Speaker 2: behalf of the government of the United States. I say 525 00:39:02,640 --> 00:39:08,160 Speaker 2: this sadly, but with precision and accuracy. None of them 526 00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:11,759 Speaker 2: can be trusted. Do not trust a word, do not 527 00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:17,239 Speaker 2: believe a sentence. All of these people are liared. They 528 00:39:17,280 --> 00:39:22,360 Speaker 2: are as unfit as a group as any American leadership 529 00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:25,919 Speaker 2: has ever been that has taken this country to war. 530 00:39:26,000 --> 00:39:27,440 Speaker 3: They lack moral authority. 531 00:39:28,640 --> 00:39:32,520 Speaker 2: They have not debated this, they have no plan, they 532 00:39:32,560 --> 00:39:35,560 Speaker 2: have no vision for how it ends, and so we 533 00:39:35,640 --> 00:39:39,440 Speaker 2: are in dangerous hours. One thing that I've always said 534 00:39:39,480 --> 00:39:46,400 Speaker 2: about fascism is that inevitably fascists start wars will promising peace, 535 00:39:46,680 --> 00:39:51,360 Speaker 2: and so Nobody should be surprised that Donald Trump didn't 536 00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:55,959 Speaker 2: mean it. His coalition has every potential to fracture over 537 00:39:56,040 --> 00:39:59,239 Speaker 2: this because some of those voters. Though I think their 538 00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:03,160 Speaker 2: view of this foolish, they in fact had believe that 539 00:40:03,239 --> 00:40:07,600 Speaker 2: he meant it when he was awarded the FIFA Peace 540 00:40:07,680 --> 00:40:11,319 Speaker 2: Prize that a lot of us laughed at. But here 541 00:40:11,360 --> 00:40:15,200 Speaker 2: we are, and here we go. Dangerous days ahead, Steve 542 00:40:15,239 --> 00:40:20,040 Speaker 2: Schmidt with the warning Malcolm Nance black Man, Spy Ken Harbaugh, 543 00:40:20,520 --> 00:40:24,880 Speaker 2: the Ken Harbaugh Show, President of the Valor Media Network, 544 00:40:25,280 --> 00:40:27,399 Speaker 2: and cash us if you, of course, if you can 545 00:40:27,920 --> 00:40:32,520 Speaker 2: at the Save America movement channel as well. Thank you everybody, 546 00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:36,560 Speaker 2: Thank you for getting on this morning. Keep paying attention. 547 00:40:37,640 --> 00:40:40,840 Speaker 2: The fun, as they say, is just beginning. 548 00:40:43,080 --> 00:40:43,760 Speaker 4: Thank you, Stiff. 549 00:40:44,160 --> 00:41:02,200 Speaker 3: Thanks good U