WEBVTT - JP Morgan Staffing, Bridgewater Cuts 

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the

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<v Speaker 2>JP Morgan planning step back to office five days.

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<v Speaker 3>A week in the brown.

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<v Speaker 4>New office building, Yes on Parka.

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<v Speaker 3>Exactly, waiting for this headline for four years.

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<v Speaker 2>Exactly right, so JP Morgan? And how quickly will the

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<v Speaker 2>others follow?

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<v Speaker 3>Very quickly?

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<v Speaker 2>That's what I'm kind of thinking here.

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<v Speaker 3>Five days a week. But you have to have a question.

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<v Speaker 5>You have to wonder will there be some flexibility, Like

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<v Speaker 5>if you're like, hey, I need to work at home

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<v Speaker 5>a couple of days, Like.

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<v Speaker 3>Is that more genuinely accepted?

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<v Speaker 2>I think what it's going to be is you're going

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<v Speaker 2>to be more willing to ask for it, and I

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<v Speaker 2>think the manager will be more willing to give it.

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<v Speaker 2>But it's like I need a day here, maybe two

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<v Speaker 2>or three months later I need another day there, Whereas

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<v Speaker 2>before maybe I wouldn't have asked for that flexibility, and

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<v Speaker 2>as a manager, I may not have given that flexibility. Now,

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<v Speaker 2>I think that flexibility is kind of there.

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<v Speaker 4>But now you get to work in the death store, though,

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<v Speaker 4>which is what everybody seems.

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<v Speaker 3>It's calling it.

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<v Speaker 5>Oh that's funny, it looks it looks very cool. Let's

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<v Speaker 5>say on All Street for a second. So the other

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<v Speaker 5>news of the morning, one of the top read stories

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<v Speaker 5>on the Bloomberg terminal is Bridgewater, that company cutting seven

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<v Speaker 5>percent of a staff and efforts to remain nimble. Michael Moore,

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<v Speaker 5>managing editor for Finance in The America's joins us. But

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<v Speaker 5>hang on a second, J. P. Morgan five days a week,

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<v Speaker 5>you're surprised, Uh.

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<v Speaker 6>No, not really. I mean the majority of their staff

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<v Speaker 6>was already doing that, but this is the this would

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<v Speaker 6>be the rest of the staff. So we've seen some

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<v Speaker 6>firms move in that direction. Others, you know, have used

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<v Speaker 6>the flexibility as a recruiting tool.

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<v Speaker 2>City.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, City has stuck with three days a week for

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<v Speaker 6>a good portion of its staff. So I think we

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<v Speaker 6>will see a difference among the firms. Some of the

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<v Speaker 6>European firms have used it as a recruiting tool. So,

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<v Speaker 6>but you know, Jamie Diamond has been very vocal about

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<v Speaker 6>his views that you know, people work better in the

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<v Speaker 6>office together, it helps develop talent. So you know, I

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<v Speaker 6>think it will be kind of, you know, leader by leader,

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<v Speaker 6>kind of setting the agenda.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know. I mean, the fact is it does

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<v Speaker 2>work from home, So that does work. Let's get people back,

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<v Speaker 2>so we'll see how goes Bridge Rotter Associates huge hedge

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<v Speaker 2>fund cutting staff. Is this just the normal culling of

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<v Speaker 2>people or something different going on here?

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, it's an unusual one for just for the reason

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<v Speaker 6>that they are coming off their best year in many

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<v Speaker 6>years for the Flagship Fund. You know, I think the

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<v Speaker 6>new CEO is definitely trying to shake things up a

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<v Speaker 6>little bit. He has, you know, replaced some of the

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<v Speaker 6>top management. They've brought some people from the outside, which

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<v Speaker 6>they had historically done under Ray Dalio. So I think this,

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<v Speaker 6>you know that the stated goal here is there are

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<v Speaker 6>some areas where they want to hire. They don't want

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<v Speaker 6>headcount to get too crazy. This kind of brings them

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<v Speaker 6>back to where they were, you know, a little over

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<v Speaker 6>a year ago in terms of headcount and allows them

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<v Speaker 6>to kind of be a little more selective.

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<v Speaker 5>Did they over hire or something, or do they just

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<v Speaker 5>want to like just move focus or something like that.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 6>I think you know, you have seen them, you know,

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<v Speaker 6>announced some you know, efforts on the AI front. They

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<v Speaker 6>may want to do some more hiring there, but we

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<v Speaker 6>have seen some of the hedge funds more broadly do

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<v Speaker 6>some over hiring. You know, there has been a talent war,

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<v Speaker 6>so this could be a bit of a correction there.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a unique place to work, isn't It's what's yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>I've heard that. What makes it unique at Bridgewater.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, they have a you know, they have this you know,

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<v Speaker 6>they've long had this culture of radical transparency, of being

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<v Speaker 6>very blunt with each other. A lot of the senior

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<v Speaker 6>people have been there since they were in their early twenties,

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<v Speaker 6>have grown up there, haven't worked elsewhere, So there is

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<v Speaker 6>a bit of an insular culture there. I think near Bardea,

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<v Speaker 6>you know, has came in a little bit later in

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<v Speaker 6>his career, so it brings a different perspective than Dalio,

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<v Speaker 6>who built this place, you know, around his principles. So

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<v Speaker 6>I think you could see a bit of a relaxing

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<v Speaker 6>of that culture while still you know, being kind of

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<v Speaker 6>a unique beast out in Connecticut.

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<v Speaker 5>Going back to JP Morgan for a second, not about

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<v Speaker 5>the five days, but JP Morgan. The latest bank to

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<v Speaker 5>quit the Climate Finance Group is Fall City pauls Baba.

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<v Speaker 5>How are we understanding it? Is this like a complete

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<v Speaker 5>backlash against climate and DEI for example, or is this

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<v Speaker 5>just sort of like we're going to move to the

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<v Speaker 5>middle or we just rebranding it.

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's a bit of rebranding.

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<v Speaker 6>I think they were getting a lot of heat from

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<v Speaker 6>some politicians over some of these pledges.

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<v Speaker 4>They wanted something with.

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<v Speaker 5>Pledges like we're not going to lend money to oil

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<v Speaker 5>and gas kind of thing.

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<v Speaker 4>That's how they were perceived.

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<v Speaker 6>They weren't always written that way, but that's how they

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<v Speaker 6>were perceived that. You know, they got the CEO's when

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<v Speaker 6>they were in front of Congress a.

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<v Speaker 4>Little over a year ago.

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<v Speaker 6>Jd Vance made a big point on this. So I

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<v Speaker 6>think they thought we can we can do this in

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<v Speaker 6>ways of lending to renewable energy without taking such a

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<v Speaker 6>public stance that will get us a lot of political backlash.

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<v Speaker 6>So I think you'll still see efforts on this, but

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<v Speaker 6>they won't be as grand as this climate pledge that

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<v Speaker 6>they had all signed up to.

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<v Speaker 4>What is this?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, the timing is not a coincidence. Time assuming

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<v Speaker 2>given the new administration coming in. Is that how it's

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<v Speaker 2>being read or is that are they saying anything about

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<v Speaker 2>that the timing?

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<v Speaker 6>I think yeah, I don't think it's a coincidence. I

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<v Speaker 6>think the political winds have shifted on this, and in general,

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<v Speaker 6>I think there is you know, these always these pledges

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<v Speaker 6>always kind of came with an understanding of, Okay, we

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<v Speaker 6>need to help our oil and gas clients transition to

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<v Speaker 6>this new world. So it's not going to be you know,

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<v Speaker 6>cutting ties with the big oil companies. But I think

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<v Speaker 6>they're being more cautious than that.

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<v Speaker 3>And it's not just you know, banks.

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<v Speaker 5>You should point at McDonald's today, the piece coming out

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<v Speaker 5>saying that it's walking back its DEI goals, saying it's

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<v Speaker 5>changing its approach to diversity, equity inclusion, no longer setting

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<v Speaker 5>quote aspirational representation goals, instead focusing on embedding inclusion.

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<v Speaker 3>Practices into its daily business.

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<v Speaker 5>I don't know what that difference is, but that's why

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<v Speaker 5>I wonder if it's just a rebrand like now you

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<v Speaker 5>don't want to say ESG, but if you still have

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<v Speaker 5>some sort of like net zero goals, maybe that terminology

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<v Speaker 5>is more okay. It's just sort of a branding and

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<v Speaker 5>moving away from something extreme.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 6>I think it's not wanting to be seen as taking

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<v Speaker 6>a political stance more taking a This is good for

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<v Speaker 6>our risk perspective.

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<v Speaker 2>I feel like it's been you know, across the economy,

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<v Speaker 2>maybe peak woke at some point or peak DEI whatever.

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<v Speaker 2>The pendulum, as you say, yes, say the pendulum just

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<v Speaker 2>swinging back a little bit. Sorry enough to stay on

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<v Speaker 2>top of that. Michael Moore, thank you so much. We

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<v Speaker 2>appreciate that. Michael Moore as a managing editor for Finance

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<v Speaker 2>in the America's Bloomberg News, joining us here in our

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio looking at that story Bridgewater, big

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<v Speaker 2>big hedge fund, cutting about seven percent of its workforce

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<v Speaker 2>and an effort to remain quote nimble. So there you go.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>And now it's also I think when you look at

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<v Speaker 2>some of these hedge funds, you know they're starting. We've

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<v Speaker 2>seen some hedge funds return capital to investors because they're

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<v Speaker 2>just getting too big and they can't find the opportunities

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<v Speaker 2>to invest the capital and generate their returns they want,

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<v Speaker 2>so let's just give it back. And that's what we've

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<v Speaker 2>seen in that. I think in a hedge fund business

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<v Speaker 2>over the last twenty years has been the funds. More

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<v Speaker 2>and more money's going to fewer and fewer big funds,

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<v Speaker 2>and they're just getting bigger, whether it's Point seventy two

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<v Speaker 2>or Citadel or some of those types of.

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<v Speaker 5>People on flip side. Not every hedge fund is doing well.

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<v Speaker 5>Hedge fund Derek Jupiter has suffered its worst ever losing.

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<v Speaker 5>The street got a thirty two point seven percent decline

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<v Speaker 5>last year. This follows a forty three point three percent

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<v Speaker 5>plunge in twenty twenty three.

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<v Speaker 3>Yikes.

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<v Speaker 5>Assets at the firm has fallen to around eight hundred

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<v Speaker 5>and eighteen million five years.

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<v Speaker 3>Two years ago it was five billion.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's not good.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch the program

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<v Speaker 1>Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

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<v Speaker 2>The ISM Services Index data came out looks so better

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<v Speaker 2>than expected, and we want to get right to that

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<v Speaker 2>ISM data because that's something that's kind of moving the

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<v Speaker 2>markets here.

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<v Speaker 4>Yields popped a little bit.

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<v Speaker 2>Higher here on the back of some of that economic

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<v Speaker 2>data we got the ten year treasury Now I'll put

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<v Speaker 2>about five bass points four point sixty seven on the news.

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<v Speaker 2>Stocks pulled back, also sp down. Just Actually Steve Miller

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<v Speaker 2>joints us he's the chairman at that's the Institute for

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<v Speaker 2>Supply Management, Hasty, you've talked to us about this ism data.

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<v Speaker 2>Alex and I are looking at this and looks really

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<v Speaker 2>strong across the board. What are you seeing?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, same thing. You know.

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<v Speaker 7>What drove the increase this month was business activity and

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<v Speaker 7>supplier deliveries kind of offsetting that a little bit. We're

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<v Speaker 7>seeing a continued draw down in backlog of orders, but

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<v Speaker 7>with a lower disruption and supply chains that we've seen

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<v Speaker 7>in the month, it kind of makes sense.

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<v Speaker 5>Any of this related to the potential of tariffs coming

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<v Speaker 5>on in twenty twenty five or twenty twenty six, Well.

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<v Speaker 7>Some of the inventory activity seems to be a result

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<v Speaker 7>of concerns over tariffs. By far, the commentary that came

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<v Speaker 7>through from the respondents was concerns over what tariff impacts

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<v Speaker 7>might have and I think we saw some of that

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<v Speaker 7>in the sentiment around pricings pricing.

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<v Speaker 4>We saw quite a lift month over month.

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<v Speaker 2>Im services prices paid came in well above the forecast,

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<v Speaker 2>well above last period.

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<v Speaker 4>How do we interpret that?

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I would directly relate that to some of the

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<v Speaker 7>pricing activity that's coming in for next year's contracts. There

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<v Speaker 7>is risk management around tariff impacts, and we saw some

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<v Speaker 7>of the commentary talking about price increases in anticipation of

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<v Speaker 7>what impacts there might be from the terrace. And it

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<v Speaker 7>was across almost it was fourteen of the eighteen industries

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<v Speaker 7>had commentary around potential negative impact from terrace.

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<v Speaker 3>So is the could this be the peak then for services?

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<v Speaker 3>Like how will that feed through?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 7>I think that we'll see based on the supplier the

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<v Speaker 7>supplier deliveries number impact, we'll see that drop down again

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<v Speaker 7>in January, assuming there's no port strike, and that'll give

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<v Speaker 7>a little bit negative pressure on the overall PMI. But

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<v Speaker 7>this quarter is the strongest quarter we've had in a while,

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<v Speaker 7>and I believe it since the beginning of twenty twenty three.

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<v Speaker 7>I feel really strongly about where the number is. It's

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<v Speaker 7>really solid, solid growth.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, Steve Miller, thank you so much. We appreciate

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<v Speaker 2>that's Steve Miller he's a chairman of Institute for Supplying Management.

0:11:18.360 --> 0:11:20.240
<v Speaker 2>That's IM with some strong numbers.

0:11:20.520 --> 0:11:25.600
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live

0:11:25.679 --> 0:11:28.800
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Coarcklay and Android

0:11:28.800 --> 0:11:32.120
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever

0:11:32.160 --> 0:11:35.680
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:11:36.400 --> 0:11:39.400
<v Speaker 5>Alex youil here alongside Paul Sweeney. This a Bloomberg Intelligence Radio.

0:11:39.400 --> 0:11:41.760
<v Speaker 5>We bring you all the top news in business, economics,

0:11:41.800 --> 0:11:44.200
<v Speaker 5>and finance through a lens of our Bloomberg Intelligence folks.

0:11:44.200 --> 0:11:46.640
<v Speaker 5>They cover two thousand companies one hundred and thirty industries

0:11:46.679 --> 0:11:49.440
<v Speaker 5>around the world. We also tap a vast network of

0:11:49.480 --> 0:11:51.319
<v Speaker 5>resources outside of Bloomberg as well.

0:11:51.360 --> 0:11:52.480
<v Speaker 3>Mike Summers is one of them.

0:11:52.520 --> 0:11:58.120
<v Speaker 5>He's API, American Petroleum Institute President and CEO. Talks to

0:11:58.320 --> 0:12:02.160
<v Speaker 5>Washington about what to do about energy and Mike your

0:12:02.200 --> 0:12:03.280
<v Speaker 5>claim to fame. Right.

0:12:03.320 --> 0:12:05.080
<v Speaker 3>The second in this radio studio is.

0:12:05.080 --> 0:12:09.520
<v Speaker 5>Actually Landman on Paramount because Paul, my co anchor, is

0:12:09.520 --> 0:12:12.160
<v Speaker 5>watching it and now he loves it and he thinks

0:12:12.280 --> 0:12:13.520
<v Speaker 5>you knows everything about oil.

0:12:13.320 --> 0:12:15.920
<v Speaker 3>And gas and he's all over it. So you're right.

0:12:16.000 --> 0:12:19.880
<v Speaker 3>API is one of the sponsors, so perfect day. Good

0:12:19.920 --> 0:12:21.480
<v Speaker 3>to see him, Mike. What's day one?

0:12:21.559 --> 0:12:23.839
<v Speaker 4>Great show, and I appreciate being with you today.

0:12:24.720 --> 0:12:27.440
<v Speaker 5>What's day one for you guys under a president of administration?

0:12:28.559 --> 0:12:31.480
<v Speaker 8>Well, we've laid out an API five point policy roadmap.

0:12:31.520 --> 0:12:33.400
<v Speaker 8>You can find it at API dot org of the

0:12:33.400 --> 0:12:35.600
<v Speaker 8>things that we're asking this president in this Congress to

0:12:35.640 --> 0:12:38.720
<v Speaker 8>do during the first six months of the administration, but

0:12:38.760 --> 0:12:41.040
<v Speaker 8>there are some things that they can get done early

0:12:41.080 --> 0:12:44.440
<v Speaker 8>in the administration, really on day one. So one of

0:12:44.440 --> 0:12:48.319
<v Speaker 8>those things is lifting the LNG export pause. We're excited

0:12:48.360 --> 0:12:50.400
<v Speaker 8>that we have a new president that's focused on that

0:12:50.440 --> 0:12:53.000
<v Speaker 8>and he's committed to lifting it on day one. So

0:12:53.080 --> 0:12:55.000
<v Speaker 8>that's one thing we think that they can get done

0:12:55.200 --> 0:12:57.559
<v Speaker 8>very quickly. The second thing that we think they can

0:12:57.600 --> 0:12:59.920
<v Speaker 8>do is they can authorize a new five year lease

0:13:00.240 --> 0:13:03.560
<v Speaker 8>plan in the offshore Golf of Mexico. We need a

0:13:03.600 --> 0:13:06.600
<v Speaker 8>five year releasing plan that prioritizes new leases in the

0:13:06.600 --> 0:13:09.080
<v Speaker 8>Golf of Mexico, which continues to be a prolific region

0:13:09.320 --> 0:13:11.880
<v Speaker 8>for the American oil and gas industry. About fourteen percent

0:13:11.920 --> 0:13:14.760
<v Speaker 8>of American oil comes from the Golf of Mexico, which

0:13:14.800 --> 0:13:19.160
<v Speaker 8>is why what President Biden did just yesterday in setting

0:13:19.160 --> 0:13:22.000
<v Speaker 8>aside a new acreage that we will not be able

0:13:22.040 --> 0:13:24.240
<v Speaker 8>to develop with so concerning and so disappointing.

0:13:24.559 --> 0:13:26.040
<v Speaker 4>Another big thing that we're focused on.

0:13:26.000 --> 0:13:30.280
<v Speaker 8>Is repealing the EPA tailpipe mandate, the ev mandate that

0:13:30.320 --> 0:13:33.000
<v Speaker 8>they put in place early in the Biden administration, and

0:13:33.000 --> 0:13:35.319
<v Speaker 8>we'll work with the Trump administration to get that repealed

0:13:35.559 --> 0:13:38.959
<v Speaker 8>and replace the cafe standards that our draconian and US

0:13:39.000 --> 0:13:41.680
<v Speaker 8>automakers can't meet. So those are three of the key

0:13:41.679 --> 0:13:44.560
<v Speaker 8>priorities that we want to focus on early in the administration.

0:13:44.800 --> 0:13:46.760
<v Speaker 8>And then in addition to that, we need to get

0:13:46.760 --> 0:13:48.599
<v Speaker 8>a new tax bill in place before the end of

0:13:48.679 --> 0:13:53.640
<v Speaker 8>twenty twenty five. We're prioritizing things like the corporate tax rate,

0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:57.280
<v Speaker 8>of course, and then really focusing on how we continue

0:13:57.280 --> 0:14:02.040
<v Speaker 8>to build American geopolitical strength and energy trade throughout the world.

0:14:02.679 --> 0:14:06.440
<v Speaker 2>Green energy, How does green energy work with traditional energy?

0:14:06.520 --> 0:14:08.720
<v Speaker 2>I'm not sure what the preferred term is for oil

0:14:08.760 --> 0:14:11.439
<v Speaker 2>and gas, but how does green energy work with oil

0:14:11.480 --> 0:14:13.120
<v Speaker 2>and gas and traditional energy sources.

0:14:13.800 --> 0:14:15.400
<v Speaker 8>Well, the truth of the matter is is that we

0:14:15.440 --> 0:14:16.920
<v Speaker 8>know that we're going to need all sorts.

0:14:16.679 --> 0:14:18.800
<v Speaker 4>Of energy to meet the energy needs of the future.

0:14:19.160 --> 0:14:21.040
<v Speaker 8>If golden sas is right, and we're going to need

0:14:21.080 --> 0:14:23.600
<v Speaker 8>ten percent more energy for the next ten years to

0:14:23.640 --> 0:14:26.000
<v Speaker 8>support data centers and AI growth.

0:14:26.560 --> 0:14:28.400
<v Speaker 4>We're going to need all sources.

0:14:27.920 --> 0:14:29.880
<v Speaker 8>Of new energy, which is why it's important that we

0:14:29.920 --> 0:14:31.640
<v Speaker 8>get a new permitting bill in place that we can

0:14:31.640 --> 0:14:34.360
<v Speaker 8>build out not just oil and gas pipelines, but new

0:14:34.360 --> 0:14:38.560
<v Speaker 8>transmission lines for those new energy sources as well. The

0:14:38.600 --> 0:14:40.840
<v Speaker 8>great thing about natural gas in particular is that it

0:14:40.880 --> 0:14:45.520
<v Speaker 8>can support these alternative energy sources as well. Because we

0:14:45.560 --> 0:14:47.320
<v Speaker 8>know that the wind isn't always blowing and the sun

0:14:47.360 --> 0:14:49.320
<v Speaker 8>isn't always shining, you're going to need something to back

0:14:49.360 --> 0:14:53.320
<v Speaker 8>that up. And natural gas is almost always the preferred

0:14:53.760 --> 0:14:56.520
<v Speaker 8>energy of choice when backing up those sources.

0:14:56.840 --> 0:14:58.960
<v Speaker 4>So we know that we're going to need more energy.

0:14:59.000 --> 0:15:01.160
<v Speaker 8>We don't just need all of the above, but more

0:15:01.240 --> 0:15:04.440
<v Speaker 8>of all if we're going to be successful in leading

0:15:04.480 --> 0:15:05.359
<v Speaker 8>the future.

0:15:05.280 --> 0:15:06.920
<v Speaker 4>Particularly when it comes to AI.

0:15:07.520 --> 0:15:10.120
<v Speaker 8>So we want to work with our partners in the

0:15:10.160 --> 0:15:13.720
<v Speaker 8>other energy system to make sure that we can continue

0:15:13.760 --> 0:15:14.360
<v Speaker 8>to expand.

0:15:14.680 --> 0:15:17.680
<v Speaker 5>So Mike also, yeah, I would say a popular talking

0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:20.800
<v Speaker 5>point for Republicans was that we need to get rid

0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:22.880
<v Speaker 5>of the Inflation Reduction Act. But if you dig into

0:15:22.880 --> 0:15:24.360
<v Speaker 5>a lot of the details, a lot of the oil

0:15:24.360 --> 0:15:27.240
<v Speaker 5>guys and natural gas guys like the Inflation Reduction Act

0:15:27.280 --> 0:15:30.160
<v Speaker 5>in things like carbon capture credits right forty five Q.

0:15:30.880 --> 0:15:33.840
<v Speaker 5>New rules on the hydrogen tax credit forty five V

0:15:34.000 --> 0:15:36.320
<v Speaker 5>were unveiled that people were pretty happy with because it

0:15:36.400 --> 0:15:39.120
<v Speaker 5>had a broader swath of the energy that you could

0:15:39.240 --> 0:15:40.960
<v Speaker 5>use to make hydrogen.

0:15:41.520 --> 0:15:43.560
<v Speaker 3>Are you guys happy with those things right now?

0:15:44.560 --> 0:15:46.880
<v Speaker 8>I actually feel pretty good about our ability to defend

0:15:46.920 --> 0:15:49.680
<v Speaker 8>the forty five tax credits Q and V are the

0:15:49.680 --> 0:15:52.160
<v Speaker 8>ones that are most important to us for carbon.

0:15:51.920 --> 0:15:53.120
<v Speaker 4>Capture and hydrogen.

0:15:53.160 --> 0:15:55.800
<v Speaker 8>We were pleased with the Biden administration rules, though we

0:15:55.800 --> 0:15:58.320
<v Speaker 8>think they could be improved under President Trump on both

0:15:58.600 --> 0:16:01.840
<v Speaker 8>ccs and HIGH, so we'll work with the Trump administration

0:16:01.880 --> 0:16:04.400
<v Speaker 8>to improve those. But there are provisions I think that

0:16:04.880 --> 0:16:08.280
<v Speaker 8>under the Inflation Reduction Act that are vulnerable, particularly the

0:16:08.440 --> 0:16:11.320
<v Speaker 8>funds from the Loan Program Office, which has just become

0:16:11.360 --> 0:16:15.640
<v Speaker 8>a giant slush fund for favored industries under the Biden administration.

0:16:16.120 --> 0:16:18.880
<v Speaker 8>So I do think the funds that haven't been obligated

0:16:18.920 --> 0:16:23.000
<v Speaker 8>yet under the Loan Program Office are very vulnerable. As

0:16:23.040 --> 0:16:26.800
<v Speaker 8>Congress that looks towards towards reconciliation, so that's where I

0:16:26.840 --> 0:16:28.160
<v Speaker 8>think most of the purpose will be.

0:16:28.320 --> 0:16:30.200
<v Speaker 5>But some of the money from the Department of Loan

0:16:30.560 --> 0:16:34.320
<v Speaker 5>Office is going to like companies that produce a nuclear

0:16:34.600 --> 0:16:38.800
<v Speaker 5>or have natural gas. It's not just like Rando green technology.

0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:41.200
<v Speaker 5>How are you going to distinguish that? Because if you

0:16:41.200 --> 0:16:43.520
<v Speaker 5>need the loan in order to say, restart a nuclear

0:16:43.560 --> 0:16:48.560
<v Speaker 5>plan or work into small modular reactors, for example, what

0:16:48.600 --> 0:16:49.280
<v Speaker 5>do you think about that?

0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:51.880
<v Speaker 8>Well, I think that's going to be something that Congress

0:16:51.920 --> 0:16:54.200
<v Speaker 8>is going to have to sort out and the administration

0:16:54.280 --> 0:16:56.040
<v Speaker 8>is going to have to sort out. I'm pretty sure

0:16:56.080 --> 0:16:58.000
<v Speaker 8>that at the beginning of the administration what they're going

0:16:58.040 --> 0:16:59.920
<v Speaker 8>to do is they're going to freeze all new funds

0:17:00.280 --> 0:17:02.960
<v Speaker 8>coming from the Loan Program Office until they get a

0:17:02.960 --> 0:17:05.040
<v Speaker 8>better sense as to what to leave in and what

0:17:05.119 --> 0:17:06.920
<v Speaker 8>to leave out. And that'll be up to the new

0:17:07.000 --> 0:17:10.159
<v Speaker 8>Energy Secretary, Chris Right And you know, I'm confident that

0:17:10.200 --> 0:17:13.280
<v Speaker 8>they'll be able to figure out what they should what

0:17:13.280 --> 0:17:15.640
<v Speaker 8>they should focus on, and the things that they need

0:17:15.680 --> 0:17:16.640
<v Speaker 8>to leave behind.

0:17:17.320 --> 0:17:18.800
<v Speaker 4>But that'll be up to the administration.

0:17:19.080 --> 0:17:20.800
<v Speaker 8>You know, our focus is going to be on advancing

0:17:20.840 --> 0:17:24.919
<v Speaker 8>a reconciliation bill that supports American energy that means new

0:17:25.000 --> 0:17:28.800
<v Speaker 8>leases in the offshore, new leases on shore reopening Alaska,

0:17:28.840 --> 0:17:32.800
<v Speaker 8>which President Biden has taken a particularly focus on in

0:17:32.880 --> 0:17:36.080
<v Speaker 8>terms of cutting off the amount of oil and.

0:17:36.000 --> 0:17:38.040
<v Speaker 4>Gas that we can produce in the state of Alaska.

0:17:38.200 --> 0:17:40.240
<v Speaker 8>So we're confident that we're going to be able to

0:17:40.240 --> 0:17:43.199
<v Speaker 8>prevail on the administration and the Congress to advance new

0:17:43.280 --> 0:17:46.880
<v Speaker 8>leasing priorities as they get that big new reconciliation bill.

0:17:47.000 --> 0:17:48.320
<v Speaker 4>On what do we have you heard?

0:17:48.400 --> 0:17:50.719
<v Speaker 2>What have been I guess maybe any rubblings coming out

0:17:50.760 --> 0:17:54.080
<v Speaker 2>of this new Trump administration about how aggressive they planned

0:17:54.119 --> 0:17:55.960
<v Speaker 2>to be as a related to oil and gas.

0:17:56.640 --> 0:17:58.120
<v Speaker 4>I think they plan to be very aggressive.

0:17:58.160 --> 0:18:00.880
<v Speaker 8>I mean, as you know, the President has really focused

0:18:00.880 --> 0:18:05.000
<v Speaker 8>on how do we continue to grow this tremendous American resource.

0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:06.800
<v Speaker 4>We're producing about thirteen.

0:18:06.480 --> 0:18:09.160
<v Speaker 8>Point four million barrels of oil everying a single day,

0:18:09.200 --> 0:18:13.000
<v Speaker 8>which is a record. We're producing records amounts of natural gas.

0:18:13.200 --> 0:18:15.719
<v Speaker 8>But we also see record demand for these products, not

0:18:15.760 --> 0:18:17.600
<v Speaker 8>just record demand for oil and gas, but also record

0:18:17.600 --> 0:18:20.360
<v Speaker 8>demand for coal and other sources as well. And that's

0:18:20.359 --> 0:18:24.040
<v Speaker 8>because we're starting to see this demand continue to increase.

0:18:24.400 --> 0:18:26.320
<v Speaker 8>This we're in a different era than we were during

0:18:26.320 --> 0:18:29.720
<v Speaker 8>the first Trump administration, where energy demand was relatively stable

0:18:30.119 --> 0:18:33.440
<v Speaker 8>during the first Trump administration. Everything's changed in the last

0:18:33.440 --> 0:18:37.040
<v Speaker 8>eight years where you have new sources of demand, growing

0:18:37.240 --> 0:18:39.760
<v Speaker 8>data centers of course AI more things.

0:18:39.520 --> 0:18:41.000
<v Speaker 4>Being plugged into the electric grid.

0:18:41.160 --> 0:18:43.800
<v Speaker 8>So I think what President Trump understands is that we're

0:18:43.800 --> 0:18:46.199
<v Speaker 8>going to need a lot of energy going forward if

0:18:46.200 --> 0:18:48.040
<v Speaker 8>we're going to win the energy security race.

0:18:48.359 --> 0:18:50.359
<v Speaker 3>Hey, Mike, it's always going to catch up. So many

0:18:50.359 --> 0:18:52.560
<v Speaker 3>more things to talk about. We'll get you back.

0:18:52.600 --> 0:18:55.320
<v Speaker 5>We'll go through them also, and like really questioning how

0:18:55.320 --> 0:18:57.040
<v Speaker 5>we're going to get pipelines built, So next time we'll

0:18:57.040 --> 0:19:01.200
<v Speaker 5>tackle that. Mike Summer's API president and CEO, and I

0:19:01.200 --> 0:19:05.400
<v Speaker 5>should point out also the sponsor of land Fans Paramount

0:19:05.400 --> 0:19:08.000
<v Speaker 5>plus well not mine, but the API that feels important

0:19:08.000 --> 0:19:08.280
<v Speaker 5>to say.

0:19:09.960 --> 0:19:13.680
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live

0:19:13.760 --> 0:19:16.840
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple Coarclay, and Android

0:19:16.840 --> 0:19:20.160
<v Speaker 1>Otto with the Bloomberg Business Up. Listen on demand wherever

0:19:20.200 --> 0:19:23.760
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:19:25.400 --> 0:19:29.280
<v Speaker 5>In the meantime, we're seeing ramped up pressure on Chinese

0:19:29.280 --> 0:19:33.760
<v Speaker 5>companies and their relationship to the US. There's a growing

0:19:33.920 --> 0:19:38.359
<v Speaker 5>backlist of those Chinese tech giants, and it's happening pretty

0:19:38.440 --> 0:19:41.119
<v Speaker 5>quickly and the current as Bloomberg Global Economy Reporter, we

0:19:41.160 --> 0:19:43.160
<v Speaker 5>got news about ten Cent just in the last twenty

0:19:43.200 --> 0:19:45.760
<v Speaker 5>four hours. Where do we stand today versus where we

0:19:45.800 --> 0:19:47.240
<v Speaker 5>stood like six months ago.

0:19:48.440 --> 0:19:51.520
<v Speaker 9>So it's another day, another series of companies being added

0:19:51.600 --> 0:19:54.280
<v Speaker 9>to this list. As you mentioned, Alex, it's basically list

0:19:54.359 --> 0:19:57.760
<v Speaker 9>by the US government. DOT says these Chinese companies are

0:19:57.800 --> 0:20:01.399
<v Speaker 9>working in collaboration with the Chinese mili and although it

0:20:01.400 --> 0:20:04.359
<v Speaker 9>doesn't apply sanctions on those companies, it will make it

0:20:04.359 --> 0:20:06.560
<v Speaker 9>awkward for US companies to do business with them. And

0:20:06.640 --> 0:20:10.560
<v Speaker 9>as you mentioned, we've had some new editions. Ten Cent

0:20:11.119 --> 0:20:13.560
<v Speaker 9>probably one of the best known internet companies in China,

0:20:13.680 --> 0:20:15.920
<v Speaker 9>best known for its apps and it's gaming for example,

0:20:16.040 --> 0:20:19.200
<v Speaker 9>not known to be in the military civil fusion space,

0:20:19.240 --> 0:20:21.359
<v Speaker 9>but has been added to the list. Nonetheless than some

0:20:21.400 --> 0:20:23.000
<v Speaker 9>of the hawks in DC have been calling for it

0:20:23.080 --> 0:20:25.960
<v Speaker 9>to happen. CATL which makes the batteries for the big

0:20:26.240 --> 0:20:29.560
<v Speaker 9>EV car makers, including Tesla, that's gone on the list,

0:20:29.680 --> 0:20:32.680
<v Speaker 9>with potential ramifications for the supply chain story there. There's

0:20:32.720 --> 0:20:35.960
<v Speaker 9>also a shipping company Costco, and some other big well

0:20:35.960 --> 0:20:39.359
<v Speaker 9>known Chinese companies as well, And of course the Chinese

0:20:40.040 --> 0:20:42.919
<v Speaker 9>authorities in Beijing have responded. They say they hope the

0:20:43.000 --> 0:20:45.960
<v Speaker 9>US will undo this wrongdoing, and of course we know

0:20:46.080 --> 0:20:48.639
<v Speaker 9>China has options of retaliation of its own. They've been

0:20:48.720 --> 0:20:51.320
<v Speaker 9>expanding their own their own kind of so called anty

0:20:51.359 --> 0:20:53.520
<v Speaker 9>lists as well. So it's just another example of the

0:20:53.520 --> 0:20:56.520
<v Speaker 9>ongoing tensions between both and the tit for tap between

0:20:56.560 --> 0:20:57.600
<v Speaker 9>both governments as well.

0:20:57.760 --> 0:21:00.679
<v Speaker 3>I mean, we all the government undo this snjen Ey twentieth.

0:21:02.480 --> 0:21:04.639
<v Speaker 9>Well, it's a tricky one because you would assume the

0:21:04.720 --> 0:21:08.480
<v Speaker 9>incoming Trumpe administration are as hawkish as the Biden administration,

0:21:08.560 --> 0:21:11.000
<v Speaker 9>if not more holkish. You know, everyone's trying to i't

0:21:11.000 --> 0:21:13.800
<v Speaker 9>hook each other on China at the moment, Alex, So

0:21:14.160 --> 0:21:16.080
<v Speaker 9>I don't know whether or not there will be a reversal.

0:21:16.160 --> 0:21:19.600
<v Speaker 9>Obviously there's a complication there with CAATL being so critical

0:21:20.280 --> 0:21:22.600
<v Speaker 9>to the Tesla supply chain, so that will be one

0:21:22.680 --> 0:21:23.959
<v Speaker 9>worth keeping a close one.

0:21:24.119 --> 0:21:26.080
<v Speaker 4>But broadly speaking of though, you'd.

0:21:25.800 --> 0:21:28.840
<v Speaker 9>Have to say the direction of travel when it comes

0:21:28.880 --> 0:21:33.879
<v Speaker 9>to export controls or investment restrictions or potentially tariffs on

0:21:33.960 --> 0:21:36.359
<v Speaker 9>goods made in China coming from China into the US

0:21:36.640 --> 0:21:39.359
<v Speaker 9>and curbs and doing business and people flowing the like.

0:21:39.560 --> 0:21:42.080
<v Speaker 9>That's all been going in one direction. So the Biden

0:21:42.119 --> 0:21:45.280
<v Speaker 9>administration seems to be cementing its own hawkish legacy, putting

0:21:45.280 --> 0:21:47.600
<v Speaker 9>its own stamp on this before they finish up. And

0:21:47.920 --> 0:21:49.480
<v Speaker 9>it's kind of hard to imagine too much it is

0:21:49.480 --> 0:21:51.000
<v Speaker 9>being online by the Trumpet administration.

0:21:51.520 --> 0:21:53.520
<v Speaker 5>So I guess then the obvious question is who's next?

0:21:53.560 --> 0:21:55.240
<v Speaker 5>And I don't know if we know that right, Like

0:21:55.280 --> 0:21:57.359
<v Speaker 5>you mentioned Tencent, like that was kind of a surprise

0:21:57.440 --> 0:22:01.000
<v Speaker 5>over the last twenty four hours. But sector why, company wise,

0:22:01.160 --> 0:22:02.000
<v Speaker 5>market cap wise?

0:22:02.000 --> 0:22:03.920
<v Speaker 3>Who do we think might be next?

0:22:04.760 --> 0:22:06.360
<v Speaker 9>It is hard to say, Alex because, like you say,

0:22:06.359 --> 0:22:09.520
<v Speaker 9>we've gone now from you might say maybe obvious companies

0:22:09.520 --> 0:22:12.040
<v Speaker 9>who you could say are clearly aiding or were the

0:22:12.119 --> 0:22:17.200
<v Speaker 9>US does month to aid China's technology aspirations. It's CHIP aspirations,

0:22:17.200 --> 0:22:20.439
<v Speaker 9>it's AI aspirations, companies that aren't necessarily in that space.

0:22:20.520 --> 0:22:22.760
<v Speaker 9>So certainly it's been broadened. Now that list looks like

0:22:22.760 --> 0:22:25.440
<v Speaker 9>it's been broadened, So you know, we could go anywhere

0:22:25.480 --> 0:22:28.280
<v Speaker 9>from here. But the real question is when the Trump

0:22:28.280 --> 0:22:30.360
<v Speaker 9>administration comes in a couple of weeks time, what will

0:22:30.400 --> 0:22:33.119
<v Speaker 9>their initial focus be. Will it be on goods trade.

0:22:33.119 --> 0:22:36.159
<v Speaker 9>Will they go hard with the tariffs which the President

0:22:36.160 --> 0:22:38.520
<v Speaker 9>elect Trump has obviously spoken about so many times, or

0:22:38.560 --> 0:22:40.880
<v Speaker 9>will they get off to to an early start also

0:22:40.920 --> 0:22:44.520
<v Speaker 9>with ongoing investment restrictions, expert controls, restrictions.

0:22:44.040 --> 0:22:45.080
<v Speaker 4>On technology and the like.

0:22:45.080 --> 0:22:47.080
<v Speaker 9>And if it's that, then that's where we will see

0:22:47.080 --> 0:22:48.840
<v Speaker 9>this list coming onder more scrutiny again in terms of

0:22:48.880 --> 0:22:49.800
<v Speaker 9>where they do go with it.

0:22:50.600 --> 0:22:53.360
<v Speaker 5>Any response from China in terms of how they retaliate

0:22:53.359 --> 0:22:54.960
<v Speaker 5>in this particular kind of instance.

0:22:55.760 --> 0:22:58.080
<v Speaker 9>They had, well, they the firm industry over and I

0:22:58.119 --> 0:23:00.719
<v Speaker 9>didn't respond to say that. Look, they obviously disagree with this,

0:23:01.040 --> 0:23:02.439
<v Speaker 9>They want the US to want to do it. They

0:23:02.480 --> 0:23:05.080
<v Speaker 9>refer to it as wrongdoing. But we know that China

0:23:05.160 --> 0:23:08.320
<v Speaker 9>does have options through Italiate, they've developed something of an

0:23:08.359 --> 0:23:11.480
<v Speaker 9>anty list of their own ALEX where they're putting US

0:23:11.560 --> 0:23:13.639
<v Speaker 9>companies on their list, where they're making it harder to

0:23:13.640 --> 0:23:16.600
<v Speaker 9>do business with Chinese companies, putting restrictions on the flow

0:23:16.640 --> 0:23:19.679
<v Speaker 9>of say, critical minerals resources, that kind of thing that

0:23:19.840 --> 0:23:23.160
<v Speaker 9>US companies might need. So China has options respond where

0:23:23.160 --> 0:23:25.720
<v Speaker 9>they are in this space. But as also though, there's

0:23:25.720 --> 0:23:27.720
<v Speaker 9>also been some mixed mood music coming out of Beijing,

0:23:27.720 --> 0:23:30.240
<v Speaker 9>they've been saying that when it comes to goods trade

0:23:30.280 --> 0:23:33.000
<v Speaker 9>at least that you know, they're open to listening. There

0:23:33.040 --> 0:23:35.440
<v Speaker 9>could be some negotiation or deeds to be done and

0:23:35.720 --> 0:23:37.520
<v Speaker 9>on that side of things. And I think that's why

0:23:37.720 --> 0:23:40.040
<v Speaker 9>this China US trade story is going to be very

0:23:40.119 --> 0:23:43.240
<v Speaker 9>much an evolving one as the new new administration gets.

0:23:43.119 --> 0:23:43.639
<v Speaker 4>Up and running.

0:23:44.680 --> 0:23:47.760
<v Speaker 5>When you take a look then at how that does evolve.

0:23:48.119 --> 0:23:51.320
<v Speaker 5>Does China then wind up shipping more stuff to say,

0:23:51.320 --> 0:23:53.840
<v Speaker 5>other g Seven countries and then it winds up having

0:23:53.920 --> 0:23:57.480
<v Speaker 5>this weird supply glut elsewhere, and then how that affects

0:23:57.560 --> 0:23:59.879
<v Speaker 5>trade dynamics within the US.

0:24:01.200 --> 0:24:04.000
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, the trade anmaks are definitely being up ended at

0:24:04.000 --> 0:24:06.080
<v Speaker 9>the moment. As you say, you know, even if China

0:24:06.160 --> 0:24:09.399
<v Speaker 9>comes under tariffs or export controls or restrictions with the US,

0:24:10.040 --> 0:24:13.160
<v Speaker 9>they either their a final new markets to your point,

0:24:13.920 --> 0:24:15.960
<v Speaker 9>or they you know, they shift them of that production

0:24:16.160 --> 0:24:18.560
<v Speaker 9>over to third party countries and then from there they

0:24:18.600 --> 0:24:21.560
<v Speaker 9>ship the US and kind of scared these controls. That's

0:24:21.600 --> 0:24:23.919
<v Speaker 9>been an ongoing issue and that's probably one that's going

0:24:23.920 --> 0:24:26.720
<v Speaker 9>to come under scrutiny. I think when the new administrator

0:24:26.720 --> 0:24:30.080
<v Speaker 9>comes in and that's partly why some people think universal

0:24:30.200 --> 0:24:32.760
<v Speaker 9>tariffs are being talked about this time around, in terms

0:24:32.800 --> 0:24:36.040
<v Speaker 9>of trying to make sure China doesn't come through those loopholes. So,

0:24:36.560 --> 0:24:38.960
<v Speaker 9>you know, if you think back at the first Triple administration,

0:24:39.760 --> 0:24:42.399
<v Speaker 9>those tariffs were kind of broad brush. They were continued

0:24:42.440 --> 0:24:44.960
<v Speaker 9>by by the administration. But there's a feeling that this

0:24:45.000 --> 0:24:46.600
<v Speaker 9>time we're going to have to be more surgical and

0:24:46.640 --> 0:24:48.240
<v Speaker 9>make sure that those loopholes are closed.

0:24:48.320 --> 0:24:49.720
<v Speaker 3>All right, and I always good to catch up.

0:24:49.760 --> 0:24:52.760
<v Speaker 5>Thanks a lot and the current Bloomberg Global Economy reporter

0:24:52.920 --> 0:24:53.920
<v Speaker 5>joining us there.

0:24:54.400 --> 0:24:56.440
<v Speaker 3>Speaking of eleven o'clock, I.

0:24:56.359 --> 0:24:57.919
<v Speaker 5>Mean, we'll take bets on whether or not that as

0:24:57.960 --> 0:25:00.240
<v Speaker 5>actually as eleven we're going to have a president like

0:25:00.320 --> 0:25:02.920
<v Speaker 5>Trump remarks from our lago in Pombee, Florida, So I'll

0:25:02.920 --> 0:25:05.720
<v Speaker 5>bring that to you. I'm at around eleven thirty, we'll

0:25:05.720 --> 0:25:09.399
<v Speaker 5>have Jensen Wang of Nvidia speaking to Ed Ludlow. We

0:25:09.480 --> 0:25:13.119
<v Speaker 5>will also be updating you on those headlines as well.

0:25:13.960 --> 0:25:18.679
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