WEBVTT - 2019 Week 12 Preview 0:00:00.160 --> 0:00:03.239 Hey, everybody, the Pro Bowl Vote is here and awesome 0:00:03.240 --> 0:00:06.360 Pro Bowl starts with awesome players, and your vote help 0:00:06.400 --> 0:00:08.399 decides who gets a spot on the a f C 0:00:08.680 --> 0:00:12.160 and NFC rosters. So show your love, cast your vote, 0:00:12.160 --> 0:00:14.240 and make sure your favorite players make it to the 0:00:15.040 --> 0:00:18.160 Pro Bowl. Vote today and be entered to win exclusive 0:00:18.160 --> 0:00:22.040 prizes at NFL dot com slash Pro Bowl Vote. Be 0:00:22.239 --> 0:00:30.440 Around the NFL Podcast Doesn't Know about fantasy Football. Welcome 0:00:30.480 --> 0:00:33.639 to another edition of the Around the NFL Podcast, presented 0:00:33.680 --> 0:00:36.919 by the United States Marine Or. My name is Dan 0:00:36.960 --> 0:00:39.239 Hands as I'm joined in a room filled with heroes, 0:00:39.280 --> 0:00:43.640 Mark Sessler, Chris Westling, and Greg Rosenthal. What is up? Boys? Hey? 0:00:45.040 --> 0:00:49.120 I mean, let's be real about something. What most of 0:00:49.200 --> 0:00:53.319 us have stepped off the idea of playing fantasy football? Right? 0:00:53.560 --> 0:00:56.280 We don't play it. But if you just dropped any 0:00:56.320 --> 0:00:58.200 one of us, and I'm not trying to be a 0:00:58.240 --> 0:01:01.400 braggart here into a group of civilians and gave us 0:01:01.600 --> 0:01:04.400 time to prepare, draft and and work on a fantasy 0:01:04.520 --> 0:01:07.920 team week to week, we would incinerate individuals. That's how 0:01:07.920 --> 0:01:11.200 I feel. It doesn't feel it isn't. I'll tell you one, 0:01:11.200 --> 0:01:13.600 and I'll tell you one thing that you're showing, uh 0:01:13.680 --> 0:01:16.120 a lack of understanding of I will have a follow 0:01:16.200 --> 0:01:22.039 up to that comment. Um, you are still completely, on 0:01:22.080 --> 0:01:26.360 some level vulnerable to things that you cannot control, even 0:01:26.400 --> 0:01:29.399 if you have a great draft, like, for instance, I'll 0:01:29.440 --> 0:01:31.520 use my own team this year where I am buried 0:01:31.520 --> 0:01:35.640 in the standings, where I drafted Ben Roethlisberger and Juju 0:01:35.680 --> 0:01:40.840 Smith Schuster and uh t y Hilton and x y Z. 0:01:41.319 --> 0:01:44.480 And you know, sometimes things don't work out. You know, 0:01:44.560 --> 0:01:47.319 Carson Wentz made perfect sense as a draft pick for me. 0:01:47.880 --> 0:01:50.160 My I'm just I never talked about your fantasy team, 0:01:50.160 --> 0:01:52.360 but in this case, I'm honey. You know that you 0:01:52.400 --> 0:01:54.720 could pick a great team in August and you could 0:01:54.720 --> 0:01:57.080 supplement it with pickups during the year, but it could 0:01:57.120 --> 0:01:59.040 really haunt you where you can't have a dominant team 0:01:59.080 --> 0:02:01.600 that you and I are different. The last time I participated, 0:02:01.680 --> 0:02:04.680 I dropped an absolute mega ton bomb on nine other 0:02:05.600 --> 0:02:08.440 haughty individuals who thought that they were all that I 0:02:08.480 --> 0:02:11.400 played under the guise of my wife's identity and absolutely 0:02:11.480 --> 0:02:14.320 obliterated the competition. That was five years ago. I've not 0:02:14.400 --> 0:02:17.639 touched it since. I was gonna say do it again. Well, no, 0:02:17.800 --> 0:02:20.040 because then my then my theory would be blown to bits. 0:02:20.080 --> 0:02:22.280 I'd come in seventh place. I don't actually think it. 0:02:23.440 --> 0:02:26.400 Almost always I'm in the playoffs in competitive and that 0:02:26.520 --> 0:02:29.160 is obviously the help because of all the NFL work 0:02:29.200 --> 0:02:32.440 we do. But you're not. You're not involved, invulnerable, You're 0:02:32.480 --> 0:02:34.240 just not. I would I you know when I when 0:02:34.240 --> 0:02:37.080 we did Fantasy West, but we would often say or 0:02:37.120 --> 0:02:40.520 I would at least, you know, the most important equation, 0:02:40.520 --> 0:02:43.200 you know, part of fantasy is luck. It's just like gambling, 0:02:43.240 --> 0:02:47.080 Like sixty seventy of it is luck and the really 0:02:47.080 --> 0:02:49.760 good players you work on that other thirty percent, which 0:02:49.840 --> 0:02:53.200 over time gives you a pretty significant, you know, advantage. 0:02:53.240 --> 0:02:56.840 But in any one given season, forget about. Luck is 0:02:56.880 --> 0:02:59.400 mostly the thing. Also, one other thing we learned is 0:02:59.480 --> 0:03:03.520 that fantasy football analysts aren't really great at fantasy football, 0:03:04.639 --> 0:03:06.320 not all of them. Some are, some are good, some 0:03:06.400 --> 0:03:09.600 are bad. You can you can join an expert league 0:03:09.639 --> 0:03:14.519 and win right away if you're good at fantasy football. UM. 0:03:15.600 --> 0:03:18.040 Can't wait for the hate tweets to roll in on 0:03:18.080 --> 0:03:19.960 this one. Wait, but I thought you just said it's 0:03:19.960 --> 0:03:23.560 a luck No, that's I think it's like I'm just 0:03:23.560 --> 0:03:25.760 saying that this camp over here is sort of standing 0:03:25.760 --> 0:03:30.600 on the fact that you draft Big Ben. Well, no, 0:03:30.840 --> 0:03:32.520 Big Jen is not someone I draft to begin with. 0:03:32.560 --> 0:03:35.480 Let's start right there. What are you up to yesterday? 0:03:36.080 --> 0:03:38.160 Fired out of a cannon right now? I don't know. 0:03:39.880 --> 0:03:42.880 All right, it's gonna be an interesting show With Mark Sessler. 0:03:43.240 --> 0:03:50.840 We are at week twelve. The preview show. Tonight, Wes 0:03:51.080 --> 0:03:56.080 and Greg will be handling Thursday night football recap called Texans. 0:03:56.120 --> 0:03:58.560 After that we just did before we started to a 0:03:58.560 --> 0:04:04.880 lovely interview with Cynthia Freeland, the analytics expert UH and UM, 0:04:04.920 --> 0:04:08.360 you know, star of many NFL media programs, both on 0:04:08.480 --> 0:04:10.840 the network and digital side. So we had a nice 0:04:10.880 --> 0:04:14.320 talk with her about how UM she's built her career 0:04:14.360 --> 0:04:17.040 and also how she uses her model as it's called 0:04:17.520 --> 0:04:20.000 UH to figure out what's going on in a league 0:04:20.040 --> 0:04:22.560 that's often difficult to figure out. I feel like it 0:04:22.600 --> 0:04:26.360 was one of those, you know, Marvel movie or some 0:04:26.400 --> 0:04:28.560 sort of thing where you introduce a new character to 0:04:28.600 --> 0:04:30.960 the audience. Has got like a guest role today, but 0:04:31.000 --> 0:04:33.760 it's just it's a promise of future appearances to come. 0:04:33.800 --> 0:04:36.159 It's like, here's here's Cynthia Freeland you guys are gonna 0:04:36.160 --> 0:04:38.360 get used to her. Now get ready for her model 0:04:38.440 --> 0:04:40.800 and her computer to take over your life at some point. 0:04:41.120 --> 0:04:46.039 Skynet baby, That's that's what um alright. So, as we 0:04:46.080 --> 0:04:51.159 always do, it's a draft, it's a snake draft, and Greg, 0:04:51.880 --> 0:04:54.960 you have the first overall pick. Uh this week we 0:04:55.000 --> 0:04:58.239 have we have a thirteen games to get to. Uh, 0:04:58.320 --> 0:05:02.400 so let's do it. M hmmm, fourteen games. Excuse me? 0:05:02.880 --> 0:05:05.560 I really wish I had, uh, you know, known that 0:05:05.640 --> 0:05:10.599 going in. No. UM, let's common theme here, like, let's 0:05:10.600 --> 0:05:16.680 go Seahawks Eagles ten am on Sunday, that first big 0:05:16.680 --> 0:05:19.200 slate of games. Want to make sure I'm watching a 0:05:19.279 --> 0:05:23.640 fun one, and I'm fascinated to see this Seahawks team 0:05:23.680 --> 0:05:25.919 coming off of by and an Eagles team that you 0:05:25.960 --> 0:05:29.680 know desperately needs a win. And if they don't have 0:05:29.800 --> 0:05:32.560 Lane Johnson, who has missed practiced now for the first 0:05:32.640 --> 0:05:35.000 uh two days of this week, which usually is a 0:05:35.000 --> 0:05:38.280 pretty bad side if you're coming off a concussion. I 0:05:38.839 --> 0:05:41.000 do worry about them because to me, that was their 0:05:41.000 --> 0:05:43.560 identity running the ball on the right side of their 0:05:43.600 --> 0:05:46.320 offensive line, you know, turning into a run first team, 0:05:46.360 --> 0:05:48.040 which I don't think it is the worst strategy against 0:05:48.040 --> 0:05:51.200 the Seahawks defense, which has been having some holes. If 0:05:51.240 --> 0:05:54.719 he's out that that's where Jenevan Clowney's gonna be lining 0:05:54.800 --> 0:05:56.800 up a lot of the time. He'll be on both sides. 0:05:56.880 --> 0:06:00.600 Jason Peters isn't a hundred percent either, and Clowney as 0:06:00.640 --> 0:06:03.200 after that performance, they just he's turned into one of 0:06:03.240 --> 0:06:05.680 the most fascinating players in the league to watch snap 0:06:05.680 --> 0:06:09.640 to snap. Oh yeah, I don't know about this Eagles offense's. 0:06:09.800 --> 0:06:11.719 Is this the worst wide receiver corps in the league. 0:06:12.440 --> 0:06:14.719 I think when they're banged up. Yes, they have the 0:06:14.720 --> 0:06:19.080 second most drops and we heard Romo last week called 0:06:19.080 --> 0:06:22.839 Miles Sanders special, called him outstanding. Why are they not 0:06:23.000 --> 0:06:25.240 making him the focal point of this offense? If the 0:06:25.360 --> 0:06:29.400 receivers are so bad and he's so good, it's a 0:06:29.400 --> 0:06:32.400 good question. I mean, I I feel like the Eagles 0:06:32.520 --> 0:06:34.719 right now. They do have the Dolphins, Giants and Redskins 0:06:34.720 --> 0:06:37.560 after this game, But if you want to be taken 0:06:37.600 --> 0:06:41.000 seriously in the NFC at home, I need to see 0:06:41.000 --> 0:06:42.840 them put up a fight because they have been one 0:06:42.920 --> 0:06:46.520 of the more lackluster dullard teams. And I totally agree 0:06:46.520 --> 0:06:49.040 that Clowney in a season of trades that have worked 0:06:49.360 --> 0:06:53.640 for good teams like Minka Fitzpatrick, Marcus Peters, Laramie Tunsil Clowne. 0:06:53.640 --> 0:06:55.120 He's right at the top of the list with those 0:06:55.160 --> 0:06:57.960 guys because he has fit right into a Seahawks defense 0:06:58.000 --> 0:07:00.600 that is not great at all by but they've got 0:07:00.680 --> 0:07:03.000 some players that have been They got some pass rush 0:07:03.000 --> 0:07:05.600 going against the Niners last week. I just trust this 0:07:05.640 --> 0:07:08.320 team to go anywhere in the country and be there 0:07:08.360 --> 0:07:10.360 in the fourth quarter and win. And I think they're 0:07:10.360 --> 0:07:12.440 gonna take care of the Eagles. I mean they If 0:07:12.440 --> 0:07:15.200 I'm a Seahawks fan, I'm so excited about that performance 0:07:15.240 --> 0:07:18.000 defensively because that was their best defensive game of the season, 0:07:18.280 --> 0:07:20.960 and so can that carry over Because if this defense 0:07:21.040 --> 0:07:24.080 turns into a Peak Carroll type defense, which is at 0:07:24.120 --> 0:07:26.880 least closer to being a top ten defense, then watch out. 0:07:26.920 --> 0:07:29.400 This team has a really good chance to win a 0:07:29.440 --> 0:07:32.360 Super Bowl. And one of the things that was different 0:07:32.400 --> 0:07:35.120 that week was their addition of Quandary Diggs, who had 0:07:35.120 --> 0:07:37.760 a great game. And now their safety position, which has 0:07:37.800 --> 0:07:40.200 been a problem for much of the year, maybe is 0:07:40.240 --> 0:07:43.840 solidified with quadri Digs and McDougald together, who is now 0:07:43.840 --> 0:07:46.000 healthy again, and it's like, Okay, you're starting to fix 0:07:46.040 --> 0:07:48.800 some of the problems you had. But they the the 0:07:48.840 --> 0:07:51.440 defense worth talking about this game is Philadelphia's, which is 0:07:51.480 --> 0:07:53.400 the best in the NFL over the last three weeks, 0:07:53.720 --> 0:07:59.080 enforcing punts consistently. Almost every possession, they're forcing punts. This 0:07:59.200 --> 0:08:02.200 defense has been turned around, and I really think they're 0:08:02.200 --> 0:08:03.680 not gonna lose two games in a row at home. 0:08:03.720 --> 0:08:06.320 I really I like the Eagles in this interesting way 0:08:06.400 --> 0:08:09.040 that is that's very interesting. I mean, what do you 0:08:09.080 --> 0:08:11.840 see Because you could make this statement and you were 0:08:11.880 --> 0:08:14.400 just saying Eagles one point favorites. I think you were 0:08:14.400 --> 0:08:17.040 just saying that the uh, the wide receiver groups as 0:08:17.080 --> 0:08:19.720 bad as you get the feeling that this offense might 0:08:19.760 --> 0:08:22.520 be a little busted. I worry about their ability to 0:08:22.560 --> 0:08:25.360 score points against the Seahawks, and really anybody at this 0:08:25.440 --> 0:08:28.040 stage I agree. I think it'll be a low scoring game. 0:08:28.040 --> 0:08:29.960 But I think that the Eagles defense is the best 0:08:30.080 --> 0:08:33.000 unit in this game. Every week Carson Wentz gets the 0:08:33.000 --> 0:08:34.760 ball at the end of the game, and that it's 0:08:34.800 --> 0:08:37.120 become like a trope in Philadelphia. Now, it's like, well, 0:08:37.160 --> 0:08:40.360 here's Carson Wentz's chance to make a signature drive, like 0:08:40.440 --> 0:08:43.200 he needs that signature drive, like we need that holds 0:08:43.240 --> 0:08:45.880 onto the brake, and they haven't. They haven't had that moment. 0:08:45.920 --> 0:08:48.960 Whereas the Seahawks, like every week is the signature drive. 0:08:49.559 --> 0:08:52.000 They don't know how to do anything but win close 0:08:52.040 --> 0:08:53.959 games in the fourth quarter. That's all they do. I 0:08:54.080 --> 0:08:57.800 just say conversely, the Seahawks, who keep losing tight ends, 0:08:57.840 --> 0:09:00.960 for instance, turned Jacob Hollister in to a star player 0:09:01.000 --> 0:09:03.079 over the cause. I feel like Dan could go into 0:09:03.120 --> 0:09:06.640 the Seahawks offense and put up an eight line without 0:09:06.640 --> 0:09:10.000 any issues. And then you know, Josh Gordon showed up 0:09:10.000 --> 0:09:11.800 at the end of that Niners game and could be 0:09:11.840 --> 0:09:14.200 a factor for that team. They're adding these players at 0:09:14.240 --> 0:09:17.120 the right time. I I trust the Seahawks until they 0:09:17.160 --> 0:09:19.520 show me that they should not be trust. Tyler Lockett 0:09:19.640 --> 0:09:22.880 is uncertain for this game. Pete Carroll believes he will play, 0:09:22.960 --> 0:09:26.560 but Pete Carroll has been overly optimistic about players before. 0:09:26.640 --> 0:09:30.120 He didn't practice Wednesday. That's huge because, as West mentioned, 0:09:30.160 --> 0:09:33.640 it is a different Eagles defense since they've gotten Jurnagain back, 0:09:33.679 --> 0:09:37.679 they're better upfront, and then Ronald their cornerbacks are healthy, 0:09:37.840 --> 0:09:40.560 Mills and Darby and Darby especially played really well last 0:09:40.559 --> 0:09:44.800 week against the Patriots. Alright, uh, I thought about locking 0:09:44.880 --> 0:09:47.240 up the Seahawks. There, go for it. Kind of talk 0:09:47.320 --> 0:09:51.280 me out of it. I should do it together. I mean, 0:09:51.440 --> 0:09:54.400 don't listen. No, they were on different sides of the defenser. 0:09:54.480 --> 0:09:56.440 Don't listen to the guy that's four and seven. Let 0:09:56.559 --> 0:09:59.560 letting you talk. I'm gonna six game streak. Mark. What 0:09:59.600 --> 0:10:06.079 about the idea that the Eagles, even though they've been 0:10:06.200 --> 0:10:07.720 kind of on and off this season, they have a 0:10:07.760 --> 0:10:11.360 couple like out of nowhere big wins at Green Bay 0:10:11.400 --> 0:10:15.320 at Buffalo as another one coming. I I said that 0:10:15.360 --> 0:10:17.160 the Eagles would open six and oh, and I thought 0:10:17.160 --> 0:10:19.199 they were the most complete team in the NFC, and 0:10:19.240 --> 0:10:21.880 they just have been very underwhelming. I think that they're 0:10:21.960 --> 0:10:25.880 unpredictable and untrustworthy. It's a it's a weird lock. But 0:10:25.920 --> 0:10:29.600 if you and I went down Seahawks lock Boulevard, the 0:10:29.679 --> 0:10:31.600 one thing I say is, I just don't care if 0:10:31.600 --> 0:10:32.960 the Seahawks are on the road. I don't care if 0:10:33.000 --> 0:10:35.280 you put them in the middle of Russia. Out. Let's 0:10:35.320 --> 0:10:38.439 lock it up. Let's double lock up. There another double 0:10:38.480 --> 0:10:40.880 lock that. I feel like that is becoming a theme 0:10:40.960 --> 0:10:43.760 of the season, and it's nice. I think it's a 0:10:43.840 --> 0:10:47.560 nice thing. We're gonna win, all right, Next up, West, 0:10:47.840 --> 0:10:51.679 you have the second overall pick, West, who every time 0:10:51.920 --> 0:10:54.400 he would play in an expert league would come out 0:10:54.520 --> 0:10:58.520 with a W every time. First and the title. It's 0:10:58.559 --> 0:11:00.559 gonna a lot of part of fantasy. I'm gonna let 0:11:00.600 --> 0:11:03.480 that stand as the narrative because it's true. So, yes, 0:11:03.960 --> 0:11:07.040 we we got those those flat screens West from that 0:11:07.360 --> 0:11:09.520 I won, the league, got a flat screen. West took 0:11:09.559 --> 0:11:12.280 over the spot. The road spot got a flat screen. 0:11:12.520 --> 0:11:15.559 Still have it? You got the hardware, You're winning prizes, 0:11:15.640 --> 0:11:18.320 expensive valuable prizes. What do you get for winning it 0:11:18.440 --> 0:11:21.960 every year? Or winning it once? They won? You just 0:11:21.960 --> 0:11:24.120 had to keep passing it along the line to new 0:11:24.200 --> 0:11:26.079 road to World people because the road World people kept 0:11:26.120 --> 0:11:28.840 winning it. No, it was not a violation of company 0:11:28.880 --> 0:11:32.400 policy at road World where they didn't have rules. All right, West, 0:11:32.400 --> 0:11:34.640 you're up. I'm a little flam mixed, a little non 0:11:34.640 --> 0:11:38.000 plushed by Greg bypassing cowboys at Patriots. And the only 0:11:38.120 --> 0:11:40.760 explanation I have for it is that he's afraid of 0:11:40.800 --> 0:11:43.200 the cowboys. And does not want to watch the Patriots 0:11:43.320 --> 0:11:46.000 losing this game. You gotta learn how this game works, 0:11:46.040 --> 0:11:48.400 the picking the There's only two games in the afternoon, 0:11:48.440 --> 0:11:50.640 so it does. I'm gonna be watching it regardless. That's 0:11:50.640 --> 0:11:52.800 how you know. You gotta play the game in good 0:11:52.800 --> 0:11:56.800 faith though. That's all Okay, no, no, no, I'm saying 0:11:56.960 --> 0:11:59.520 it is. Just My point is there's a way to tritchy. 0:11:59.520 --> 0:12:01.240 I want to make sure I have the ten am 0:12:01.280 --> 0:12:04.560 games that I want because ultimately I'll work it that 0:12:04.640 --> 0:12:07.320 I'm covering this game. I miss red, Greg. He has 0:12:07.360 --> 0:12:10.280 a lot of confidence in his quarterback, who has a 0:12:10.440 --> 0:12:14.000 lower touchdown to interception ratio and passer rating than Mitchell 0:12:14.040 --> 0:12:17.440 Trabiskie and Mason Rudolph over the last seven games. Seven games. 0:12:17.480 --> 0:12:20.480 That is quite a sample size, Greg Rosenthal, and I 0:12:20.520 --> 0:12:22.920 don't think Brady is the problem. I think he's playing fine. 0:12:22.960 --> 0:12:26.520 I think it's everything else around him. Last last week, 0:12:26.559 --> 0:12:28.120 I think he was part of the problem. But that 0:12:28.160 --> 0:12:31.520 would be the first time I thought that all year 0:12:31.600 --> 0:12:33.079 that I think he had a really poor I think 0:12:33.120 --> 0:12:35.200 weather played more into that than we could see on TV, 0:12:37.120 --> 0:12:40.440 and I was I was thinking, Okay, this week, you know, 0:12:40.440 --> 0:12:42.400 maybe you get healthier, you do get Isaiah win back. 0:12:42.400 --> 0:12:45.920 He's going to be activated left tackle. Uh yeah, Isaiah 0:12:45.960 --> 0:12:49.880 Munus And that's fine. It's not really the past protection 0:12:49.920 --> 0:12:52.440 that's totally killed them. It's the running game. And to me, 0:12:52.559 --> 0:12:57.600 Burkehead is not an asset, and they need to get 0:12:57.600 --> 0:13:00.240 Sony Michelle going because he's the only one that can 0:13:00.280 --> 0:13:02.960 make people miss maybe on a running down, but the line. 0:13:03.240 --> 0:13:05.559 You know, your boy, Dante Scarnecki is having a tough 0:13:05.640 --> 0:13:07.840 year with some of these injuries that they've had, and 0:13:07.960 --> 0:13:11.760 they haven't been able to overcome it. In theory, this 0:13:11.800 --> 0:13:14.160 should be a matchup. Maybe you can run the ball 0:13:14.160 --> 0:13:16.280 a little bit. If I'm the Cowboys, I would be 0:13:16.280 --> 0:13:18.960 a little concerned that I saw both Scarborough and Jeff 0:13:19.040 --> 0:13:21.000 drisk Will be able to run it so well, especially 0:13:21.000 --> 0:13:24.040 Scarborough in the red zone. And I think what Tom 0:13:24.040 --> 0:13:26.880 Brady said about wanting to play to their defense, you 0:13:26.920 --> 0:13:28.719 need to have a running game for that. I mean 0:13:28.800 --> 0:13:31.040 you need if you want to have some longer drives 0:13:31.080 --> 0:13:33.840 like they are to one dimensional. I'm not saying that's 0:13:34.080 --> 0:13:37.480 everything they've gotten by with this. Okay running games over 0:13:37.520 --> 0:13:40.120 the years, but their thirtieth in the league and yards 0:13:40.160 --> 0:13:43.320 per carry and it's just it's hard to watch that 0:13:43.440 --> 0:13:46.640 they can't survive these second and eleven's third in in 0:13:46.640 --> 0:13:48.800 in Nines because they don't have guys on the outside 0:13:48.840 --> 0:13:51.640 who can catch and fillip their setser and Mohammed Sanu 0:13:51.760 --> 0:13:54.480 hurt his ankle that looked like a pretty serious ankle injury. 0:13:54.520 --> 0:13:58.760 I do not expect him to play multiple I mean, 0:13:59.000 --> 0:14:01.480 you're right, the Patriot, it's and you've been harping on 0:14:01.480 --> 0:14:05.560 this and I just naturally, because of we've been watching 0:14:05.559 --> 0:14:07.960 New England do this forever. I just expended expecting to 0:14:08.040 --> 0:14:10.960 round out and get through whatever known on paper issues 0:14:11.000 --> 0:14:13.199 they have. But their last four games on the ground 0:14:13.280 --> 0:14:16.680 seventy four, seventy nine, seventy four and seventy four yards, 0:14:16.840 --> 0:14:19.240 and it looks that way they they even the past, 0:14:19.280 --> 0:14:21.920 have been able at this time of year to start 0:14:21.960 --> 0:14:24.120 to pound on teams with a hundred and sixty a 0:14:24.200 --> 0:14:27.840 hundred and eighty two hundred yard performances where they dominate 0:14:27.920 --> 0:14:30.040 the time of possession, they dominate the clock, and I 0:14:30.080 --> 0:14:33.000 think that's obviously led to some of Tom Brady's issues. 0:14:33.080 --> 0:14:36.080 And you know, we can always point to Tom Brady 0:14:36.160 --> 0:14:38.280 is the guy unlike Peyton Manning back in the early 0:14:38.520 --> 0:14:40.720 two thousands that had no talent around him and still 0:14:40.760 --> 0:14:43.240 made it work. You get to a point where they 0:14:43.360 --> 0:14:46.360 their roster and their injuries and the depletion around him 0:14:46.720 --> 0:14:49.000 is is gonna put too much pressure on him to 0:14:49.040 --> 0:14:52.360 make plays that he's not making right now. Statistically, I 0:14:52.360 --> 0:14:54.920 think they can still turn it around though. And this yeah, 0:14:54.920 --> 0:14:56.880 I'm not sure if the Cowboys are an easy matchup 0:14:56.960 --> 0:14:59.200 or hard matchup on paper. You know there there, Look, 0:14:59.240 --> 0:15:01.360 they look pretty good up front to me. They certainly 0:15:01.400 --> 0:15:04.440 have a lot of talent. Defensively, it's really on their defense. 0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:06.520 The Patriots are fighting ways to win games. I do 0:15:06.560 --> 0:15:10.040 think they can get better offensively, but their defense, who 0:15:10.120 --> 0:15:13.320 we've talked a lot about this year, They're gonna be 0:15:13.360 --> 0:15:15.600 tested here in the span of five weeks, they play 0:15:15.640 --> 0:15:18.440 the Ravens, the Cowboys in the Chiefs. For my money, 0:15:18.480 --> 0:15:21.600 those are the three best offenses in the league. Kyle 0:15:21.680 --> 0:15:26.000 Vannoy is their best player up front, which is wild on. 0:15:26.000 --> 0:15:29.000 On a defense this good, they're gonna have to find 0:15:29.040 --> 0:15:31.640 a way to get pressure on Dak Prescott because there's 0:15:31.680 --> 0:15:34.040 just so many weapons. I I always trust offense in 0:15:34.040 --> 0:15:36.200 the NFL, not defense. That's why I don't I don't 0:15:36.240 --> 0:15:38.040 feel great about this game, at least not them as 0:15:38.040 --> 0:15:41.320 a heavy favorite. If you figure what Belichick usually does, 0:15:41.360 --> 0:15:43.800 I would imagine he puts Gilmore on Gallop and double 0:15:43.840 --> 0:15:46.440 teams of Marie Cooper and then says, beat me with 0:15:46.560 --> 0:15:51.520 Randall Cobb and Jason Witten. Sounds that sounds about right. Well, 0:15:51.680 --> 0:15:54.000 Zeke Elliott might beat you because you're getting up like 0:15:54.040 --> 0:15:56.680 five point two yards per carry. I think that is 0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:58.640 probably the risk they would take. You gotta try to 0:15:58.680 --> 0:16:01.160 stop this Cowboys passing attack. And I'm not saying Zeke 0:16:01.840 --> 0:16:05.000 looks bad, but he led the NFL and yards per 0:16:05.000 --> 0:16:08.040 game in his first season, is a rookie as a 0:16:08.360 --> 0:16:10.800 in his second season and in his third season, and 0:16:10.800 --> 0:16:15.760 he's nowhere nearer that this season. Second level, they're not 0:16:15.840 --> 0:16:18.040 as good a running team. They're they're a good running team. 0:16:18.080 --> 0:16:19.720 They're fine, but they're not what they used to be. 0:16:19.960 --> 0:16:23.200 And the Patriots at home, they have four held teams 0:16:23.200 --> 0:16:25.680 to fourteen points or fewer in seventh straight and it's 0:16:25.720 --> 0:16:28.040 that is legite not going to happen. I'm not sure. 0:16:28.160 --> 0:16:30.080 I mean, I I'm with you that this is a 0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:32.760 tougher matchup the most. But what they've done to quarterbacks 0:16:32.760 --> 0:16:36.120 four touchdowns to nineteen picks this season, and their defense 0:16:36.240 --> 0:16:37.840 is not the defense earlier in the year that was 0:16:37.840 --> 0:16:40.480 scoring points left and right. But I love the matchup 0:16:40.560 --> 0:16:44.480 of Kellen Moore verse, not Bill Belichick, but Kellen Moore 0:16:44.640 --> 0:16:47.600 versus Steve Belichick. This is the future of the NFL 0:16:47.640 --> 0:16:52.760 coming at us right, more vers there you go more 0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:56.200 Verse the moment, perhaps it's perhaps it's an injury, but 0:16:56.280 --> 0:16:59.640 why are we in week twelve and Zeke Elliott is 0:16:59.680 --> 0:17:03.280 still not Why is he not making people miss? Like? 0:17:03.400 --> 0:17:05.879 What what's changed right now? I don't know. That's a 0:17:05.880 --> 0:17:07.960 good question. I don't think he looks as explosive. I 0:17:07.960 --> 0:17:11.000 also think some of those linemen are not blocking a 0:17:11.080 --> 0:17:14.040 ty Tyrant Smith find as a pass blocker according to 0:17:14.080 --> 0:17:16.600 ProFootball Focus, not having a good run blocking, and he's 0:17:16.600 --> 0:17:18.919 not healthy either. Trey Flowers really beat him pretty good 0:17:19.000 --> 0:17:21.200 last week. And Lyle Collins is questionable for this game, 0:17:21.200 --> 0:17:23.600 which I think is big for the Cowboys. Yeah, last week, 0:17:23.600 --> 0:17:25.959 watching the game, I thought you gotta keep Pollard in 0:17:26.000 --> 0:17:29.120 there because you can do a few things that Zeke can't, 0:17:29.200 --> 0:17:33.560 absolutely including make people miss that easily in the open field. 0:17:33.560 --> 0:17:35.920 That is a great backfield, But you gotta keep Pollard 0:17:35.920 --> 0:17:38.600 in the mix. That see money right now. That had 0:17:38.640 --> 0:17:40.720 to be one of the takeaways from last week's Cowboys game, 0:17:40.760 --> 0:17:44.680 as Pollard is underutilized. Moving on, I am going to 0:17:44.760 --> 0:17:48.320 go with a game in the NFC South, a Dirt 0:17:48.359 --> 0:17:51.240 Knapp game for one team. They gotta win the game, 0:17:51.320 --> 0:17:54.879 and it's a really tough assignment because they got the Saints. 0:17:54.880 --> 0:18:00.160 So it's the Panthers and Saints, um matchup between were 0:18:00.160 --> 0:18:01.919 the best young running backs in the league. Oh, that 0:18:01.960 --> 0:18:04.680 was the other mistake I made. You know, in hindsight 0:18:04.800 --> 0:18:08.760 it's a mistake, but picking third, I took Alvin Kamara, 0:18:09.080 --> 0:18:12.720 picking fourth Christian McCaffrey. One guy has a high ankle sprain, 0:18:12.840 --> 0:18:15.640 doesn't do anything all year. The other guy can't. Can't 0:18:15.640 --> 0:18:17.359 beat yourself up for that one. If you got the 0:18:17.359 --> 0:18:19.959 Alvin Kamara of last week starting a week one till now, 0:18:20.040 --> 0:18:22.119 it would have been exactly He's back for the money 0:18:22.160 --> 0:18:24.640 time of the fantasy season. Um. Anyway, so you got 0:18:24.680 --> 0:18:28.720 Kamara versus McCaffrey. The problem, I guess is Drew Brees 0:18:28.800 --> 0:18:31.400 is against Kyle Allen. If you're a Panthers fan, and 0:18:31.600 --> 0:18:34.640 Kyle Allen is coming off um a game where he 0:18:34.800 --> 0:18:37.680 was not competitive. It was a twenty nine three loss 0:18:37.720 --> 0:18:42.320 to the Falcons. And I know Atlanta's revitalized on defense magically, 0:18:42.400 --> 0:18:45.919 almost suspiciously over the last two weeks. But you you 0:18:45.960 --> 0:18:50.320 wonder if if Kyle Allen this version, this slumping version 0:18:50.320 --> 0:18:52.240 of Kyle and Allen. Remember it wasn't so long ago 0:18:52.320 --> 0:18:54.359 we saw him in London. They had won five of six. 0:18:54.760 --> 0:18:57.080 He little juice to him. Maybe he wasn't, you know, 0:18:57.520 --> 0:19:00.720 playing extremely well, but he was part of a winning team. 0:19:00.920 --> 0:19:03.919 Do they have it in them to go to the 0:19:03.920 --> 0:19:06.879 Superdome and keep their season alive against the Saints? Team 0:19:07.200 --> 0:19:09.760 eight and two got back on track a little bit 0:19:09.840 --> 0:19:13.560 last week, uh in Tampa thanks to Jamis Winston a 0:19:13.600 --> 0:19:15.560 lot of help from him in that game. UH So, 0:19:15.760 --> 0:19:17.800 I think this could be a good game because one 0:19:17.800 --> 0:19:20.680 team is very desperate. Uh And we'll see how it 0:19:20.720 --> 0:19:24.840 plays out. I don't think they can the Panthers, to 0:19:24.920 --> 0:19:29.960 answer your question, because the Saints are superior in the ways, uh, 0:19:30.040 --> 0:19:33.040 like on the offensive line and the toughness of their 0:19:33.080 --> 0:19:36.080 defense and even rushing the passer. I would say that 0:19:36.119 --> 0:19:39.120 the Panthers used to be better than the Saints. These 0:19:39.160 --> 0:19:41.240 two teams have played a lot of good games over 0:19:41.280 --> 0:19:43.160 the years. They played in the playoffs a few years ago, 0:19:43.320 --> 0:19:44.960 and that was the Panther's edge was they were a 0:19:45.000 --> 0:19:49.160 little tougher, they could protect pretty well. And now it's 0:19:49.160 --> 0:19:53.000 the Saints. To me that Okay, Breeze throws those sideline 0:19:53.040 --> 0:19:56.000 creepers that uh that West said, and I gotta I 0:19:56.040 --> 0:19:58.440 gotta give West credit because there were a couple last 0:19:58.440 --> 0:20:01.560 week that back to back outs that he threw to 0:20:01.680 --> 0:20:04.560 the opposite halts that you were like, oh wow, I 0:20:04.600 --> 0:20:08.119 mean that was interesting. Uh. And they didn't try anything 0:20:08.160 --> 0:20:09.399 like that the rest of we But it sort of 0:20:09.440 --> 0:20:12.640 doesn't matter. They they have turned the ball over less 0:20:12.640 --> 0:20:14.400