WEBVTT - Cliff Notes: HOW FAR WILL THE STOCK MARKET FALL?

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<v Speaker 2>All right, let's talk about the S ANDP. Five hundred,

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<v Speaker 2>down almost a thousand points from its high fifty two

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<v Speaker 2>week low at thirty nine hundred. You know, some people

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<v Speaker 2>I was watching CNBC. Some people say thirty eight hundred

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<v Speaker 2>is a good is a good level? Yeah, it's been falling.

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<v Speaker 2>The stock market as whole has been falling. But the

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<v Speaker 2>S and P is probably the best judge of the

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<v Speaker 2>stock market because it's five hundred companies from all different areas.

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<v Speaker 2>So it's a very broad range, you know, perspective on

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<v Speaker 2>the stock market, where the dal Jones is a lot

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<v Speaker 2>more narrow and the Nasdaq is even more specific because

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<v Speaker 2>it's just for tech companies. So all right, S and

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<v Speaker 2>P five hundred, will it continue to keep falling?

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<v Speaker 3>Absolutely? Unequivocally I feel like Tia today. Yes, because there's

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<v Speaker 3>no reason to. I know, in a podcast I should

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<v Speaker 3>probably elaborate, right you hear it?

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<v Speaker 2>Words know.

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<v Speaker 3>If quantitative easting has went away and all the easy

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<v Speaker 3>wins are now gone. That's why I told everyone last

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<v Speaker 3>year study twenty fifteen, two thousand and eight, nineteen ninety,

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<v Speaker 3>nineteen ninety one, to see what those conditions were like

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<v Speaker 3>when higher interest rates were there. For those of you

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<v Speaker 3>that did the homework and studied the past seven recessions,

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<v Speaker 3>how long due to interest rates going up? How long

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<v Speaker 3>should we be in the bear market? You should know

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<v Speaker 3>the number of days then, not a guess, it's a

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<v Speaker 3>range that we will be in so until so even

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<v Speaker 3>with a chip shortage that will end roughly summer of

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<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty three.

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<v Speaker 4>We'll see some relief.

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<v Speaker 3>There probably by fall of this year September, we'll start

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<v Speaker 3>to push back up and stabilize. But yeah, for the

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<v Speaker 3>next through the summer, it's gonna be a little bit treacherous.

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<v Speaker 3>But if you want to know what this market is

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<v Speaker 3>going to be like, look at twenty fifteen, in twenty ten,

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<v Speaker 3>two thousand and nine. It'll tell you if you study

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<v Speaker 3>what the market is going to look like for sure.

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<v Speaker 4>Is there something that could single maybe not even a reversal,

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<v Speaker 4>but some sort of up trend maybe? I mean obviously

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<v Speaker 4>with China be in lockdown right now to Corona, if

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<v Speaker 4>we saw something like China reopening on a global scale,

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<v Speaker 4>could that be like one of those signs that there

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<v Speaker 4>could be a nice tick up or nice with the rebound.

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<v Speaker 3>That would definitely help end companies that are MidCap companies

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<v Speaker 3>like the Rust of two thousands to start to go up,

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<v Speaker 3>because without Apple and Microsoft, who would be in a

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<v Speaker 3>big bear, big ass bear market. Luckily we have those Now.

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<v Speaker 3>As far as to what the S and P is

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<v Speaker 3>gonna go, yeah, we should go to thirty seven h three.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, there you have it. Yeah, and a lot. I've

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<v Speaker 4>seen a lot of analysts. Even with the SMP being

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<v Speaker 4>at a fifty two weeks though, I watched a lot

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<v Speaker 4>of analysts today. They're still keeping their price soccer for

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<v Speaker 4>the year at fifty one hundred some people out of

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<v Speaker 4>the fifty two hundred. No budget on that. So we

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<v Speaker 4>will see, hopefully, not even hopefully, we shall see if

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<v Speaker 4>they're right.

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<v Speaker 3>We shall see, I hope. So, but it's looking scary.

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<v Speaker 3>It does look scary. It does look scary.

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<v Speaker 2>It could get worse, definitely, that's that's well, they go

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<v Speaker 2>definitely no, no, no, no, no, I got a play before

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<v Speaker 2>we die. Okay, oh yes, it could definitely. Well, first

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<v Speaker 2>of all, sixty dollars of people on YouTube, hit the

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<v Speaker 2>like button. Please hit the like button. Appreciate it absolutely

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<v Speaker 2>can get worse because we're not technically in a recession yet.

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<v Speaker 2>The only only index out of those major three that's

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<v Speaker 2>actually in recession, well bear market territory is NASA. NASA

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<v Speaker 2>like twenty five percent. Neither the dal Jones or S

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<v Speaker 2>and P has reached twenty percent pullback.

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<v Speaker 4>Yet, Yeah, I think at fifteen percent, so it's.

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<v Speaker 2>Still not a bear market technically, and we're still not

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<v Speaker 2>The economy itself can get a lot worse. There's still

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<v Speaker 2>a lot more room for the economy to get worse.

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<v Speaker 2>So if the economy can get worse, then obviously the

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<v Speaker 2>stock market can get worse.

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<v Speaker 4>We won't used to say like, wait, the market, it

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<v Speaker 4>doesn't match the economy. Remember when during the pandemic, we're like,

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<v Speaker 4>wait with this jobless teams and all these things happening

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<v Speaker 4>and earners, what's up.

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<v Speaker 1>You just realized your business needed to hire someone yesterday.

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<v Speaker 1>How can you find amazing candidates fast? Easy. Just use Indeed.

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<v Speaker 1>Stop struggling to get your job posts seen on other

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<v Speaker 1>Indeed data, sponsored jobs posted directly on Indeed have forty

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<v Speaker 1>dollars sponsored job credit to get your jobs more visibility

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<v Speaker 1>and support our show by saying you heard about Indeed

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<v Speaker 1>all you need.

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<v Speaker 4>Economy, We're like, wait, why is the market still going up?

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<v Speaker 4>And it finally I feel like we're at a point

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<v Speaker 4>now where it's like the economy and the market are massing.

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<v Speaker 4>They're matching each other now right like, as it's just happening, inflation,

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<v Speaker 4>interest rates going up, marketing.

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<v Speaker 3>This is what happens when you cheat. Now, I never

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<v Speaker 3>will want to sit in that fetch your position. But

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<v Speaker 3>when you have quantitative easing for so long opposed to

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<v Speaker 3>just letting things settle out and fall apart, this is

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<v Speaker 3>what happens when you go on to twelve year run

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<v Speaker 3>and you don't have any pullbacks and you don't let

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<v Speaker 3>things settle. A lot of funded went to companies that

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<v Speaker 3>were terrible companies. Like remember the era after like fifty

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<v Speaker 3>and then it was like uh D four l rest

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<v Speaker 3>in low but not his version.

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<v Speaker 4>It's like laffy.

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<v Speaker 3>We're in a laughy taffy era of investing all the

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<v Speaker 3>companies of the trash. Let them get washed out. Then

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<v Speaker 3>companies that are really good adventure, companies that are good

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<v Speaker 3>at angel companies that are strong will invest in better technology.

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<v Speaker 3>We're in twenty twenty two. As a kid, we don't

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<v Speaker 3>have any flying cars, great healthcare, great tech company, and

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<v Speaker 3>we have a whole bunch of social media apps that

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<v Speaker 3>are remixes of black Plannet and instant Messenger. What we

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<v Speaker 3>expect as a country we've produced some of the shittiest

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<v Speaker 3>companies in the last twenty years.

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<v Speaker 4>What do we expect?

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<v Speaker 2>We're des tracking.

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<v Speaker 3>When Paul Rosenberg is.

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<v Speaker 4>Up there, shout, shout Rosenberg.

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<v Speaker 6>Er, Yeah, I know, so Okay, should don't be mad

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<v Speaker 6>at me, you know, so Fayorball legend, legend.

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<v Speaker 2>So jay Z, one of the greatest rappers of all time,

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<v Speaker 2>has one of the greatest lyrics of all time. It

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<v Speaker 2>was actually the lyrics we named our second podcast ever

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<v Speaker 2>this lyric where he said, and anticipation for precipitation stat

0:10:30.800 --> 0:10:35.360
<v Speaker 2>chips for a rainy day, very important, very important. Cash

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<v Speaker 2>is still king, and in times of uncertainty, it's okay

0:10:39.800 --> 0:10:44.000
<v Speaker 2>to be in cash until you're actually certain. The dollar

0:10:44.080 --> 0:10:47.920
<v Speaker 2>is actually strengthen, very strong right now. I think a

0:10:47.960 --> 0:10:51.240
<v Speaker 2>fifteen years high for the strength of the dollar right now.

0:10:51.880 --> 0:10:55.400
<v Speaker 2>Dollars in a good place right now. Nothing wrong with

0:10:55.520 --> 0:11:01.560
<v Speaker 2>having money on the sideline until you're comfortable. I think

0:11:01.600 --> 0:11:03.720
<v Speaker 2>that there's still some more room for the market to

0:11:03.760 --> 0:11:09.360
<v Speaker 2>go down. Be patient, be patient, have money waiting, and

0:11:10.360 --> 0:11:13.319
<v Speaker 2>get in at good prices and just write it up.

0:11:13.760 --> 0:11:15.920
<v Speaker 4>I said, we're gonna play Belichick. Man, We're gonna win

0:11:16.000 --> 0:11:18.959
<v Speaker 4>rings from the sideline. We're gonna watch the game, We're

0:11:18.960 --> 0:11:21.280
<v Speaker 4>gonna make moves at the right time. We're gonna play Belichick.

0:11:21.440 --> 0:11:24.319
<v Speaker 4>Shout out to the Patriots fans. But that's that I mean,

0:11:24.320 --> 0:11:27.200
<v Speaker 4>he's right right, if we know, if we've seen the

0:11:27.280 --> 0:11:31.040
<v Speaker 4>market pull back, there's no need for us to keep

0:11:31.120 --> 0:11:33.320
<v Speaker 4>investing in large sums of money. We're gonna watch it,

0:11:34.160 --> 0:11:37.200
<v Speaker 4>keep our cash as king and when we can make moves,

0:11:37.240 --> 0:11:39.080
<v Speaker 4>we will.

0:11:39.160 --> 0:11:46.400
<v Speaker 2>And that song is from Rainna's first single, not her

0:11:46.440 --> 0:11:49.120
<v Speaker 2>first single, the first big single.

0:11:49.320 --> 0:11:52.560
<v Speaker 4>Relays her first plays, the first first one and her

0:11:52.559 --> 0:11:53.080
<v Speaker 4>first single.

0:11:53.160 --> 0:11:55.920
<v Speaker 2>But that wasn't number one, first number on my first

0:11:55.960 --> 0:11:56.679
<v Speaker 2>number one record.

0:11:56.800 --> 0:11:58.520
<v Speaker 4>It might not even be our first one record, but

0:11:58.760 --> 0:12:02.839
<v Speaker 4>definitely a big record, big record, Yeah, big record twenty one.

0:12:02.880 --> 0:12:06.600
<v Speaker 3>What was like the football era when like everybody got

0:12:06.600 --> 0:12:10.000
<v Speaker 3>participation in trophies? Right now, it's nineteen seven, hard nose,

0:12:10.040 --> 0:12:13.040
<v Speaker 3>helmet to helmet, bust your ass football.

0:12:14.920 --> 0:12:19.960
<v Speaker 2>My graduates from my school being forced back. Drop bag,

0:12:20.080 --> 0:12:23.559
<v Speaker 2>drop my drop bag, drop drop.

0:12:34.800 --> 0:12:38.720
<v Speaker 1>You just realized your business needed to hire someone yesterday.

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<v Speaker 1>at indeed dot com, slash po d kat z thirteen.

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<v Speaker 1>Just go to indeed dot com slash pod kat z

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<v Speaker 1>thirteen right now and support our show by saying you

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