WEBVTT - Columbia's Stiglitz Doubts Direction of Fed Policy

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. This is Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Wait inside from the reporters and editors who bring you

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<v Speaker 1>America's most trusted business magazine, plus global business, finance and

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<v Speaker 1>tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week Podcast with Carol Messer

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<v Speaker 1>and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, our next guest follows the US economy, really the

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<v Speaker 2>global economy has for decades. Weigh in on the trends

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<v Speaker 2>that describe us and divide us financially, economically, and so

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<v Speaker 2>much more. Let's get to the interview this hour with

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<v Speaker 2>us as Nobel Laureate economist and Columbia professor Joseph Stieglitz.

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<v Speaker 2>He was an economic advisor to presidents, including chair of

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<v Speaker 2>the Council of Economic Advisors that was during the Clinton administration.

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<v Speaker 2>Former chief economist at the World Bank, He's written numerous

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<v Speaker 2>books and research papers. His latest book, The Road to Freedom,

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<v Speaker 2>Economics and the Good Society. He joins us here in

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<v Speaker 2>New York City. Professor Stieglitz, So great to be talking

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<v Speaker 2>with you once again. It's been a while, but great

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<v Speaker 2>to have you here, and we want to talk about

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<v Speaker 2>the book. But we would be remiss not to ask

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<v Speaker 2>you your take on today's economic environment and the stickiness

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<v Speaker 2>of inflation. What is the smart conversation that you think

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<v Speaker 2>we should all be having here at Bloomberg when it

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<v Speaker 2>comes to today's US economic environment.

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<v Speaker 3>From the point of view of economics, having two and

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<v Speaker 3>a half or even three percent inflation is not a

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<v Speaker 3>big deal. You know, the two percent target was pulled

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<v Speaker 3>out of thin air. It was not based on economic science.

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<v Speaker 3>What we want to be sure of is that we

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<v Speaker 3>don't have runaway inflation. And inflation has clearly been tamed,

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<v Speaker 3>it's been brought down, it's stable. It lectuates from month

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<v Speaker 3>to month, but it is not a major problem. We

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<v Speaker 3>should be focusing on other things, continuing economic growth, making

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<v Speaker 3>sure that all Americans share in that growth. Those are

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<v Speaker 3>the kinds of things that we ought to be thinking

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<v Speaker 3>more about.

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<v Speaker 4>So, Professor Stieglitz, should the Fed abandon the two percent

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<v Speaker 4>inflation goal? Should they have a different inflation goal, a

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<v Speaker 4>different metric that they should be held accountable to.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, I think they should. I think they should be

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<v Speaker 3>talking about keeping it within a range to maybe three,

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<v Speaker 3>three and a half four percent. You know, there's actually

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<v Speaker 3>some economic science that says, especially in a time of

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<v Speaker 3>major structural change, such as we're going through, having a

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<v Speaker 3>little higher inflation actually is helpful in reallocating resources in

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<v Speaker 3>the presence of downward nominal rigidities of wages, because what

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<v Speaker 3>guides the movement of resources from one place to another

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<v Speaker 3>is relative wages, and if some wages are sticky downward,

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<v Speaker 3>you want other wages to go up enough to move labor,

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<v Speaker 3>and that means you're going to have to have more inflation.

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<v Speaker 3>So actually a little higher inflation is actually good for

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<v Speaker 3>the economy.

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<v Speaker 2>Do you think the FEDS management of the economy has

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<v Speaker 2>been a good one in terms of policy?

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<v Speaker 3>Quite frankly no, But bluntly, let's go back to when

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<v Speaker 3>inflation broke out after the pandemic and the Russian invasion

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<v Speaker 3>of Ukraine. The question was what was the cause, the

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<v Speaker 3>primary cause of the inflation. It was unambiguous. It was

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<v Speaker 3>the pandemic and war related interruptions in supply chains and

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<v Speaker 3>rising prices caused by shortages of oil and food. It

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<v Speaker 3>was demand shifts. People wanted to live in different places,

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<v Speaker 3>and that meant housing prices went up where there was

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<v Speaker 3>a scarcity, but didn't go down as much where there

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<v Speaker 3>was where people didn't want to. Like in parts of

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<v Speaker 3>New York, raising interest rates actually impedes the ability of

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<v Speaker 3>the economy to respond to that kind of structural to

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<v Speaker 3>that kind of challenge. We needed to build more houses

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<v Speaker 3>in the places where there was a scarcity, and having

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<v Speaker 3>higher interest rates actually works makes it more difficulty. They

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<v Speaker 3>also have a model of the economy that's based on competition.

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<v Speaker 3>That might have been true some time ago, but we

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<v Speaker 3>have an economy with a lot of market power at

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<v Speaker 3>firms are trading off. If they raise their prices, they

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<v Speaker 3>get more profits today, they lose profits in the future.

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<v Speaker 3>And in that trade off, if when you raise the

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<v Speaker 3>interest rate, they value those future losses less, and they

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<v Speaker 3>were induced to raise their prices, more ms go up.

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<v Speaker 3>And a marked aspect of the inflation that we've just

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<v Speaker 3>been through is that markets have increased enormously.

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<v Speaker 4>Hey, Professor Stieglitz, I just wanted to speaking of the FED, Carol,

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<v Speaker 4>I know you would.

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<v Speaker 2>Well one one thing before we have a bigger, broader

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<v Speaker 2>cust and it's certainly been to jump in on that. Well,

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<v Speaker 2>what do you think then we should be cutting rates

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<v Speaker 2>already that were behind the curve right now?

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, I think I think the risks are asymmetric. I

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<v Speaker 3>think with Europe already slowing down in recession, we don't

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<v Speaker 3>know where China is going to be going. I think

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<v Speaker 3>uh proudents would have as uh uh going back to

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<v Speaker 3>a more normal infrast rate. The higher interest rates are

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<v Speaker 3>are really not going to be taming inflation. That that

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<v Speaker 3>model was wrong. In another way, they drammatically had said

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<v Speaker 3>that we're going to need five percent of inflation for

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<v Speaker 3>five percent unemployment for some time in order to get

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<v Speaker 3>inflation down. There were absolutely we got inflation down where

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<v Speaker 3>in a period where we kept unemployment relatively low. So

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<v Speaker 3>their analysis of the economy was just off. And meanwhile

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<v Speaker 3>they have put at risk our banking system. We had

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<v Speaker 3>a problem in Selcom Valley Bank partly because of the

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<v Speaker 3>enormous changes in terms structure which their policies led to.

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<v Speaker 3>And we're facing a deck crisis in the developing countries

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<v Speaker 3>and emerging markets. So there is enormous one sided risk.

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<v Speaker 3>I believe in the policies that they've been pursuing well.

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<v Speaker 4>On the FED, Professor Stieglitz, I got to ask you

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<v Speaker 4>about this Wall Street Journal report that broke last night

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<v Speaker 4>that said how former Trump administration officials are coming up

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<v Speaker 4>with plans to take on the independence of the Federal Reserve,

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<v Speaker 4>essentially at one end of the spectrum, even allowing if

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<v Speaker 4>President Trump gets re elected him to weigh in on

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<v Speaker 4>FED policy when it comes to interest rates. Talk a

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<v Speaker 4>little bit about your reaction to if this were to

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<v Speaker 4>come to fruition, how important the independence of the FED

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<v Speaker 4>is and if that would really put at risk the

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<v Speaker 4>model of the independence of the US financial system.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I think Trump is himself a major argument why

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<v Speaker 3>you want to have independence of the FED. You don't

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<v Speaker 3>want somebody who doesn't understand monetary policy, who would put

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<v Speaker 3>at risk the long run stability of the economy for

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<v Speaker 3>the short term electoral advantage of having a hot economy

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<v Speaker 3>right before an election. That's precisely why there is an

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<v Speaker 3>argument for independence. So, you know, I believe in the

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<v Speaker 3>accountability of the FED. It is a public institution. We

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<v Speaker 3>had previous chairman of the FED. We're very cognizant that

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<v Speaker 3>I remember Paul Voker saying Congress created us and Congress

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<v Speaker 3>can uncreate us. So there is a kind of accountability

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<v Speaker 3>that responsible to heads of the FAT understand. But we

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<v Speaker 3>certainly don't want Donald Trump to be running monetary policy.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, we do want to dig into your book

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<v Speaker 2>because you've been thinking a lot about the meaning of freedom,

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<v Speaker 2>and I think we throw the word a down a lot.

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<v Speaker 2>I think the folks who created the United States are

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<v Speaker 2>founding fathers thought about freedom a lot and the difference

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<v Speaker 2>though between what that really means, and maybe it comes

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<v Speaker 2>down to, as you think about it, the values that

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<v Speaker 2>we all have in society tell us about how we

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<v Speaker 2>need to kind of maybe redefine freedom and what it

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<v Speaker 2>means in terms of citizens more broadly and generally, as

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<v Speaker 2>well as economically in terms of their success.

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<v Speaker 3>Sure you know, I approached the issue obviously as an economist,

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<v Speaker 3>and as an economist we think of freedom is free

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<v Speaker 3>to do what you can do. What are the choices

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<v Speaker 3>that you can make. Somebody who is at the point

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<v Speaker 3>of starvation doesn't really have any freedom. He has to

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<v Speaker 3>do what he can to survive, and so expanding the

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<v Speaker 3>set of choices that an individual is available is a

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<v Speaker 3>way of saying that he has more freedom. And here

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<v Speaker 3>there are a couple of ideas I put forward in

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<v Speaker 3>my book. The first is that in our integrated urban

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<v Speaker 3>twenty percentury economy, one person does the expansion of his

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<v Speaker 3>freedom may lead to less freedom of others. Isaiah Berlin,

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<v Speaker 3>the great Oxford philosopher, put it this way. He said,

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<v Speaker 3>freedom for the woolfs has often meant death for the sheep.

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<v Speaker 3>In the context of the US, for instance, freedom to

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<v Speaker 3>carry in AK forty seven means that people will die,

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<v Speaker 3>and it means that our school children are not free

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<v Speaker 3>from fear. They have to learn what to do if

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<v Speaker 3>a gunman comes into the classroom, and teachers have to

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<v Speaker 3>go to school worried about whether they'll be attacked. Freedom

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<v Speaker 3>not to wear masks is exposed to taking away the

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<v Speaker 3>freedom of others to live. So we have to balance

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<v Speaker 3>these freedoms. There are trade offs. Many cases, those trade

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<v Speaker 3>offs are easy. Freedom to pollute takes away the freedom

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<v Speaker 3>to have somebody with asthma to even live, let alone

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<v Speaker 3>the freedom of all of us to live in our Atlanta.

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<v Speaker 3>So there, I think we have to constrain the freedom

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<v Speaker 3>of the pluters and the freedom of exploiters.

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<v Speaker 2>So we're talking with Joseph Stieglitz, Nobel Laureate Economists, Professor

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<v Speaker 2>of economics at Columbia University, and we're talking about his

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<v Speaker 2>new book, The Road to Freedom economics and the good society.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, So if wethink Professor Stieglitz the idea of freedom,

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<v Speaker 2>so it's maybe more inclusive or it's a broader definition.

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<v Speaker 2>How do we do that within society? With corporations the

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<v Speaker 2>need to be profitable for those we are in earning season.

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<v Speaker 2>We look at companies and their reports and that's how

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<v Speaker 2>we kind of measure them, grade them. What does government

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<v Speaker 2>need to do? How can we maybe be better if

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<v Speaker 2>you will for more?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, first, let me emphasize that in the world I've

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<v Speaker 3>just described, there's an important role for regulations. Corporations often

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<v Speaker 3>don't like that, but we have to remember us of

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<v Speaker 3>our economy is to improve the lives and livelihoods of

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<v Speaker 3>our citizens. It's not the other way around that the economy.

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<v Speaker 3>The economy is supposed to serve society, not the other

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<v Speaker 3>way around. There's another aspect. Regulations can't actually expand the

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<v Speaker 3>freedom of all of us. Think about stop likes. If

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<v Speaker 3>we don't have stop stop likes, we have gourdlock. None

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<v Speaker 3>of us has the freedom to move. Stop likes works

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<v Speaker 3>are a little bit of coercion, mean that I have

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<v Speaker 3>to take turns, but by taking turns, we all have

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<v Speaker 3>more freedom, and that basic idea extends much more broadly.

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<v Speaker 3>People don't like to pay taxes, that that's a they

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<v Speaker 3>often feel kind of coercion. But when those tax revenues

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<v Speaker 3>are used productively, like they were to invest in the

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<v Speaker 3>Internet and invest in the m R A platform that

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<v Speaker 3>led to the vaccine against COVID nineteen, that expands our

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<v Speaker 3>freedom to do. And so we have to look at

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<v Speaker 3>this in I would say in a little bit more

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<v Speaker 3>holistic way.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, I want to go to your taxes point, because

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<v Speaker 4>I'm curious if you could wave a magic wand or

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<v Speaker 4>implement some sort of tax policy here in the US,

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<v Speaker 4>what would it be? How could you reinvent it? Would

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<v Speaker 4>you broaden the tax space, would you lean more on

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<v Speaker 4>corporate taxes? Would you tax wealth more? What, in your

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<v Speaker 4>opinion would work?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I begin by analyzing would are some of the

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<v Speaker 3>key problems on our society basis? And one of them

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<v Speaker 3>is inequality one of the reasons. And a second problem

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<v Speaker 3>is the growth of market power, which has been enormous

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<v Speaker 3>in the last few decades, and those two are obviously linked.

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<v Speaker 3>When you have more market power, the fruits of that

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<v Speaker 3>market power go to those at the top. We also

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<v Speaker 3>have more economists called monoposity power. Firms have market power

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<v Speaker 3>over workers and have driven down their wages significantly below

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<v Speaker 3>a competitive level. So I want to have more anti

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<v Speaker 3>trust policy, more competitive labor market policies, but that can

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<v Speaker 3>take time. Meanwhile, there's a lot of monopoly rents, and

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<v Speaker 3>so part of what I would begin by doing is

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<v Speaker 3>increasing corporate confix taxes, which are not a tax on

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<v Speaker 3>return to capital. They are a tax on this monopoly profits.

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<v Speaker 3>I'd also like to have environmental taxes. Firms that are engaged,

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<v Speaker 3>including the environment, ought to pay for the damage that

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<v Speaker 3>they're doing. Remarkably, America, those at the top pay a

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<v Speaker 3>lower percentage of their taxes than those down below. Even

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<v Speaker 3>some of our richest people have commented that they think

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<v Speaker 3>they're right more wrong.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, can I ask you, like on a day when

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<v Speaker 2>we're looking at a company and forgive me, I'm just

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<v Speaker 2>singling out because it popped. Shares of Alphabet are now

0:15:20.440 --> 0:15:24.400
<v Speaker 2>a two trillion dollar market cap company this week, you know,

0:15:24.800 --> 0:15:27.520
<v Speaker 2>next week. Last week. We've been obsessed with, certainly what

0:15:27.520 --> 0:15:30.440
<v Speaker 2>we call the Magnificent seven, the big megacap technic companies.

0:15:30.760 --> 0:15:33.760
<v Speaker 2>They're very big, Amazon we talked with an author recently,

0:15:33.880 --> 0:15:37.040
<v Speaker 2>so entrenched certainly in our world, and you think about

0:15:37.080 --> 0:15:40.840
<v Speaker 2>their reach. Are these the companies, the individuals, whether it's

0:15:40.880 --> 0:15:43.720
<v Speaker 2>an Amazon, whether it's a Meta, whether it's an alphabet

0:15:43.760 --> 0:15:46.880
<v Speaker 2>that you think you talked about growth of market power?

0:15:47.080 --> 0:15:50.120
<v Speaker 2>Is it too much at this point in your view

0:15:50.600 --> 0:15:52.640
<v Speaker 2>that something needs to be done to rain them in

0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:56.720
<v Speaker 2>or do the benefits outweigh the downside here?

0:15:57.640 --> 0:16:00.320
<v Speaker 3>Well, they do give benefits, but they have a lot

0:16:00.320 --> 0:16:05.120
<v Speaker 3>of downsides. They need to be better regulated. Europe has

0:16:05.120 --> 0:16:09.880
<v Speaker 3>done a better job at regulating them. The digital harms

0:16:09.960 --> 0:16:14.920
<v Speaker 3>are are quite obvious and have been by now well documented.

0:16:15.400 --> 0:16:24.320
<v Speaker 3>But talking narrowly now about market power, I think we

0:16:24.360 --> 0:16:27.040
<v Speaker 3>ought to do what we can to limit their market power,

0:16:27.440 --> 0:16:32.040
<v Speaker 3>but tax the fruits of that market power, the revenues

0:16:32.560 --> 0:16:35.720
<v Speaker 3>that they get at a much higher rate. You know,

0:16:35.800 --> 0:16:42.760
<v Speaker 3>if you ask the question, would Jeff Bezos or the

0:16:42.840 --> 0:16:49.400
<v Speaker 3>founders of Google or Zuperbird stop working if we tax

0:16:49.480 --> 0:16:54.120
<v Speaker 3>their wealth in a way, say a three percent? You know,

0:16:54.480 --> 0:16:59.280
<v Speaker 3>so any answer is obviously they would continue to work.

0:16:59.280 --> 0:17:01.040
<v Speaker 4>But do you think that they would leave the United States?

0:17:02.880 --> 0:17:06.960
<v Speaker 3>Well, we have imposed what we call an exit tax

0:17:07.520 --> 0:17:10.200
<v Speaker 3>that those with a lot of wealth and don't feel

0:17:10.280 --> 0:17:15.200
<v Speaker 3>who don't feel loyalty at the United States can leave.

0:17:15.240 --> 0:17:18.560
<v Speaker 3>We allow them to leave, but they have to pay

0:17:18.600 --> 0:17:22.479
<v Speaker 3>a tax that represents attacks on the groups of the

0:17:22.520 --> 0:17:25.600
<v Speaker 3>wealth that they've accumulated while they've been in the United States.

0:17:26.440 --> 0:17:31.000
<v Speaker 3>And that tax is significant, and it is a deterrent.

0:17:32.080 --> 0:17:35.080
<v Speaker 3>And if it's not, it may be that we ought

0:17:35.080 --> 0:17:39.200
<v Speaker 3>to consider raising that tax. But I don't think people

0:17:39.440 --> 0:17:43.080
<v Speaker 3>like Zuckerberg Musk are going to leave the United States.

0:17:43.280 --> 0:17:47.359
<v Speaker 3>They realize the benefits of American citizenship.

0:17:47.920 --> 0:17:51.520
<v Speaker 4>We're speaking right now with Professor Joseph Stieglitz, Nobel Lauriate Economists.

0:17:51.560 --> 0:17:54.040
<v Speaker 4>He's a professor of economics at Columbia University. He's got

0:17:54.040 --> 0:17:56.320
<v Speaker 4>a new book out, The Road to Freedom, Economics and

0:17:56.359 --> 0:17:59.800
<v Speaker 4>the Good Society. Professor, as I mentioned, you are up

0:17:59.800 --> 0:18:02.000
<v Speaker 4>at Columbia. You've been there for a long time. We've

0:18:02.040 --> 0:18:04.920
<v Speaker 4>been watching everything that's been happening on the campus there,

0:18:04.920 --> 0:18:08.600
<v Speaker 4>as well as campuses including USC Yale, MI T. The

0:18:08.640 --> 0:18:11.000
<v Speaker 4>list continues to go on here in the United States,

0:18:11.040 --> 0:18:14.200
<v Speaker 4>as we've seen pro Palestinian protests and encampments take over

0:18:14.280 --> 0:18:18.720
<v Speaker 4>some of these campuses. Freedom in the academic context, how

0:18:18.760 --> 0:18:21.120
<v Speaker 4>are you looking at the protest protests and the context

0:18:21.200 --> 0:18:22.200
<v Speaker 4>of freedom of speech?

0:18:24.200 --> 0:18:26.480
<v Speaker 3>That's a good question. I mean, first of let me

0:18:26.560 --> 0:18:29.639
<v Speaker 3>comment that up where my office is, which is the

0:18:29.680 --> 0:18:36.120
<v Speaker 3>Manhattanville campus, things are very quiet at the business school.

0:18:36.640 --> 0:18:38.520
<v Speaker 3>At the Business school, quiet there.

0:18:39.080 --> 0:18:41.480
<v Speaker 2>But you've been on campus a long time and you've

0:18:41.480 --> 0:18:44.040
<v Speaker 2>seen different protests over the years, and it seemed to

0:18:44.040 --> 0:18:45.800
<v Speaker 2>be I was there when there were protests, and it

0:18:46.440 --> 0:18:49.760
<v Speaker 2>seems like that's what students are should be doing, exploring

0:18:49.840 --> 0:18:51.960
<v Speaker 2>and pushing back when they don't feel like things are right.

0:18:52.760 --> 0:18:55.080
<v Speaker 2>But what is what is the what is it those

0:18:55.119 --> 0:18:56.800
<v Speaker 2>protests in the context of freedom of speech?

0:18:57.680 --> 0:19:01.639
<v Speaker 3>So I agree with you very strongly. I'm actually happy

0:19:01.680 --> 0:19:04.919
<v Speaker 3>that the students are engaged in the world. You know,

0:19:05.000 --> 0:19:07.520
<v Speaker 3>that's one of the things I try to get them

0:19:07.520 --> 0:19:11.800
<v Speaker 3>to be interested in the world, and also to reason

0:19:12.840 --> 0:19:16.320
<v Speaker 3>about the world, to come to understand it, and to

0:19:16.400 --> 0:19:23.280
<v Speaker 3>debate how could or should things be changed. So that's

0:19:23.280 --> 0:19:27.679
<v Speaker 3>a good thing. And in my own life, protests have

0:19:27.760 --> 0:19:33.880
<v Speaker 3>played a very important role. Back in nineteen sixty three,

0:19:34.560 --> 0:19:36.840
<v Speaker 3>I was down there in the march in Washington with

0:19:36.960 --> 0:19:41.440
<v Speaker 3>Martin Luther King, and you know that speech she gave

0:19:41.560 --> 0:19:46.679
<v Speaker 3>about I have a dream has been a lifelong inspiration

0:19:46.840 --> 0:19:53.440
<v Speaker 3>to me. So even civil disobedience in certain circumstances can

0:19:53.520 --> 0:19:59.560
<v Speaker 3>be an important mechanism for social change. We have a

0:19:59.600 --> 0:20:04.160
<v Speaker 3>special responsibility, of course, to make sure on our campus

0:20:04.200 --> 0:20:08.200
<v Speaker 3>that all views get heard, that we can have civil debates,

0:20:08.920 --> 0:20:17.080
<v Speaker 3>and so on. The one end, academic freedom is really important,

0:20:17.640 --> 0:20:22.600
<v Speaker 3>and I really took offense to Speaker Johnson coming up

0:20:22.600 --> 0:20:27.080
<v Speaker 3>to our campus and calling for the resignation of our president.

0:20:27.880 --> 0:20:32.800
<v Speaker 3>I hadn't seen anything like that, maybe since the HUAC

0:20:33.640 --> 0:20:37.520
<v Speaker 3>hearings the House on American Activities Committee back with McCarthy

0:20:37.560 --> 0:20:41.080
<v Speaker 3>in the fifties. I mean, that kind of direct interference

0:20:41.720 --> 0:20:47.080
<v Speaker 3>in academia is just unheard of. And we know some

0:20:47.119 --> 0:20:51.119
<v Speaker 3>of the Republicans have been trying to undermine universities because

0:20:51.520 --> 0:20:56.640
<v Speaker 3>universities teach children how to our young our youngsters, our

0:20:56.680 --> 0:20:59.680
<v Speaker 3>young men and women how to think, and a lot

0:20:59.720 --> 0:21:02.720
<v Speaker 3>of peopleeople don't like that idea that they should be

0:21:02.760 --> 0:21:09.520
<v Speaker 3>thinking for themselves. But at the same time, we have

0:21:09.640 --> 0:21:15.960
<v Speaker 3>to create on campus a community where all voices are heard,

0:21:16.359 --> 0:21:19.280
<v Speaker 3>and I think we're actually working very much towards that.

0:21:20.240 --> 0:21:30.080
<v Speaker 3>There were only a few people raising problems and I

0:21:30.119 --> 0:21:36.760
<v Speaker 3>think having outside agitators like the speaker is not helpful.

0:21:37.840 --> 0:21:40.080
<v Speaker 2>We're going to leave it on that note. We always

0:21:40.119 --> 0:21:42.960
<v Speaker 2>appreciate hearing you talk about hearing from voices. We always

0:21:42.960 --> 0:21:45.960
<v Speaker 2>appreciate hearing from you. Professor Stieglitz, Thank you so much,

0:21:46.200 --> 0:21:50.000
<v Speaker 2>Nobell Lorid Economist Columbia Professor Joseph Stieglitz here in New

0:21:50.080 --> 0:21:53.119
<v Speaker 2>York City. Check out his book. His latest book, The

0:21:53.200 --> 0:21:57.160
<v Speaker 2>Road to Freedom, Economics and the Good Society really appreciates

0:21:57.200 --> 0:22:00.000
<v Speaker 2>spending some time with you.

0:22:00.160 --> 0:22:03.679
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:22:03.720 --> 0:22:06.960
<v Speaker 1>Live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern Listen

0:22:07.000 --> 0:22:09.159
<v Speaker 1>on Apple car Play and then Brote Auto with a

0:22:09.200 --> 0:22:13.320
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business act or wants us live on YouTube.

0:22:14.160 --> 0:22:18.000
<v Speaker 2>Intel shares folks, they are down the most in not

0:22:18.240 --> 0:22:21.399
<v Speaker 2>quite four years, but they're still down about nine and

0:22:21.440 --> 0:22:24.480
<v Speaker 2>a half percent. Here. This is after the company gave

0:22:24.520 --> 0:22:28.280
<v Speaker 2>a lot lackluster forecast for the current period and turning

0:22:28.320 --> 0:22:30.480
<v Speaker 2>this giant tim as we find out, you know, they're

0:22:30.520 --> 0:22:33.240
<v Speaker 2>in the midst of a turnaround. It's not turning out

0:22:33.280 --> 0:22:34.320
<v Speaker 2>to be so easy. Yeah.

0:22:34.359 --> 0:22:36.960
<v Speaker 4>In fact, here's Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger on the good

0:22:37.000 --> 0:22:39.399
<v Speaker 4>and the better to come. He joined Bloomberg TV and

0:22:39.480 --> 0:22:40.800
<v Speaker 4>Radio a little earlier today.

0:22:40.880 --> 0:22:41.360
<v Speaker 1>Check it out.

0:22:41.680 --> 0:22:44.600
<v Speaker 5>We delivered a solid Q one, right, we met on revenue,

0:22:44.680 --> 0:22:47.919
<v Speaker 5>we know, beat on earnings a bit tepid in the

0:22:47.960 --> 0:22:49.840
<v Speaker 5>first half, as we said, but we see a lot

0:22:49.880 --> 0:22:53.280
<v Speaker 5>of improvement as we go through the year. And with that,

0:22:53.400 --> 0:22:56.560
<v Speaker 5>obviously the foundry business, as I would say, we're going

0:22:56.640 --> 0:22:59.560
<v Speaker 5>to see progress on the foundry business every quarter from

0:22:59.600 --> 0:23:01.320
<v Speaker 5>now for the end of the decade.

0:23:01.800 --> 0:23:05.359
<v Speaker 4>That's Pat Gelsinger, Intel CEO, earlier on Bloomberg TV and

0:23:05.480 --> 0:23:07.880
<v Speaker 4>Radio with more on the company's business and plan turnaround.

0:23:07.920 --> 0:23:10.440
<v Speaker 4>Back with us as Bloomberg News US Semiconductor and Networking

0:23:10.480 --> 0:23:14.080
<v Speaker 4>reporter in our San Francisco bureau, Ian King, So, Ian

0:23:14.200 --> 0:23:18.119
<v Speaker 4>the quarter, what occupies you the most on the release

0:23:18.119 --> 0:23:20.360
<v Speaker 4>and then after the call with analysts yesterday, because as

0:23:20.359 --> 0:23:25.760
<v Speaker 4>Carol mentioned, the reaction to the report, at least when

0:23:25.760 --> 0:23:27.960
<v Speaker 4>it comes to the stock was really swift.

0:23:28.640 --> 0:23:31.720
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I think the quote you played from Pat is

0:23:32.119 --> 0:23:35.600
<v Speaker 6>relevant here. I mean, you've got a man who hasn't

0:23:35.680 --> 0:23:38.440
<v Speaker 6>been back at Intel for that long, putting a long

0:23:38.560 --> 0:23:42.800
<v Speaker 6>term plan together, trying to repair the mistakes made over

0:23:42.840 --> 0:23:47.320
<v Speaker 6>a decade. Though that plan won't pay off anytime soon,

0:23:47.880 --> 0:23:51.280
<v Speaker 6>but in the meantime, he's having to give quarterly earnings

0:23:51.320 --> 0:23:56.320
<v Speaker 6>and anything that's kind of lackluster as the forecast was yesterday,

0:23:57.000 --> 0:24:00.000
<v Speaker 6>is going to cause concern and that this long time

0:24:00.200 --> 0:24:02.399
<v Speaker 6>plan isn't going to pay off. So he's he's selling

0:24:02.440 --> 0:24:06.920
<v Speaker 6>a bright future while talking about kind of lightless their

0:24:06.960 --> 0:24:08.040
<v Speaker 6>interim period.

0:24:08.320 --> 0:24:09.960
<v Speaker 2>You know, it makes me think about like, every once

0:24:10.000 --> 0:24:12.040
<v Speaker 2>in a while, I bet a company would just be like,

0:24:12.280 --> 0:24:14.159
<v Speaker 2>can we just go public for a few years and

0:24:14.240 --> 0:24:17.399
<v Speaker 2>kind of clear things out, spend, do the reboot, and

0:24:17.440 --> 0:24:19.400
<v Speaker 2>then we'll come back to the public markets. We've seen

0:24:19.440 --> 0:24:23.520
<v Speaker 2>it before, but I almost feel like, potentially, you know, Ian,

0:24:23.560 --> 0:24:24.880
<v Speaker 2>that's what Intel needs right now.

0:24:25.920 --> 0:24:29.840
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I mean that's definitely something that's been talked about

0:24:29.920 --> 0:24:32.600
<v Speaker 6>by you know, people who sort of look at Intel

0:24:32.760 --> 0:24:35.080
<v Speaker 6>and where they are and that's you know, that's the

0:24:35.119 --> 0:24:38.600
<v Speaker 6>position they're in. As we've said that, you know, there's

0:24:38.600 --> 0:24:40.919
<v Speaker 6>going to have to be significant changes not just at

0:24:40.960 --> 0:24:44.840
<v Speaker 6>Intel but in this semiconductor industry in general for this

0:24:44.920 --> 0:24:48.600
<v Speaker 6>big plan to pay off. The analysts like the strategy,

0:24:48.720 --> 0:24:53.120
<v Speaker 6>say he's pressing the right buttons, but again, so many variables,

0:24:53.320 --> 0:24:55.879
<v Speaker 6>so many things have to go right for everything to

0:24:55.960 --> 0:24:59.000
<v Speaker 6>pay off and Intel become at the level it used

0:24:59.040 --> 0:24:59.119
<v Speaker 6>to be.

0:24:59.440 --> 0:25:01.239
<v Speaker 2>One thing I want to ask you, I mean the

0:25:01.240 --> 0:25:03.640
<v Speaker 2>foundry business. It's an expensive one, right. I just talked

0:25:03.640 --> 0:25:06.639
<v Speaker 2>with some investment folks. I was planning for a panel

0:25:06.640 --> 0:25:08.760
<v Speaker 2>that I'm going to be doing in a couple of weeks.

0:25:08.920 --> 0:25:11.200
<v Speaker 2>They have lots of money to invest, and one of

0:25:11.240 --> 0:25:13.639
<v Speaker 2>the themes that was top of mind was reshoring and

0:25:13.640 --> 0:25:16.679
<v Speaker 2>the amount of money that they need to invest. The

0:25:16.680 --> 0:25:18.280
<v Speaker 2>capital spend that we were seeing in the likes of

0:25:18.320 --> 0:25:22.080
<v Speaker 2>things like semiconductors and the industrial space as a lot

0:25:22.119 --> 0:25:24.960
<v Speaker 2>of countries, including the United States, are bringing things back home.

0:25:25.040 --> 0:25:27.000
<v Speaker 2>It's real and some of it has to do with

0:25:27.040 --> 0:25:30.040
<v Speaker 2>climate change, and you know, companies trying to kind of

0:25:30.040 --> 0:25:33.920
<v Speaker 2>clean up their supply chains and so closer manufacturers help

0:25:33.960 --> 0:25:37.360
<v Speaker 2>them do this. This foundry focus. Will it pay off

0:25:37.400 --> 0:25:39.000
<v Speaker 2>in the long run or TBD?

0:25:40.240 --> 0:25:43.040
<v Speaker 6>It's very much a TBD. I mean, as you said,

0:25:43.080 --> 0:25:45.919
<v Speaker 6>there's a geographical trend here. Intel is building plants in

0:25:45.960 --> 0:25:48.920
<v Speaker 6>the US. Well, guess what so is some guess what

0:25:49.160 --> 0:25:52.919
<v Speaker 6>so is? TSMC. If you are out in the market

0:25:52.960 --> 0:25:55.239
<v Speaker 6>for somebody to make your chips, who are you going

0:25:55.280 --> 0:25:57.800
<v Speaker 6>to go to right now? We need to remember that

0:25:57.880 --> 0:26:01.439
<v Speaker 6>Intel is giving over thiy percent of its high end

0:26:01.520 --> 0:26:05.200
<v Speaker 6>business to TSMC because its plants aren't good enough right now.

0:26:05.400 --> 0:26:08.040
<v Speaker 6>Obviously they plan to change that. Obviously they plan to

0:26:08.640 --> 0:26:11.560
<v Speaker 6>reverse that, but again that's still at the kind of

0:26:11.640 --> 0:26:16.159
<v Speaker 6>planning implementation phase. So even if you trusted Intel with

0:26:16.280 --> 0:26:18.720
<v Speaker 6>your crown jewels, why would you do that right now?

0:26:18.760 --> 0:26:20.359
<v Speaker 6>And that's the problem.

0:26:20.640 --> 0:26:22.960
<v Speaker 4>And you mentioned that the CEO, Pat Gelsinger hasn't been

0:26:23.000 --> 0:26:25.000
<v Speaker 4>back at Intel for very long you went, but he

0:26:25.040 --> 0:26:27.880
<v Speaker 4>got back there at February of twenty twenty one when

0:26:27.960 --> 0:26:31.119
<v Speaker 4>he embarked on this turnaround. I'm wondering about patients that

0:26:31.160 --> 0:26:35.119
<v Speaker 4>investors have based on the folks you talk to your sources,

0:26:35.920 --> 0:26:39.159
<v Speaker 4>What kind of patients or timeline or runway are they

0:26:39.160 --> 0:26:40.240
<v Speaker 4>giving Gelsinger here?

0:26:40.960 --> 0:26:42.600
<v Speaker 6>Well, I think you just have to look at the

0:26:42.640 --> 0:26:46.200
<v Speaker 6>stock performance. I mean this year they are second worst

0:26:46.240 --> 0:26:52.840
<v Speaker 6>performer on the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index. That's not a good recommendation.

0:26:53.000 --> 0:26:57.480
<v Speaker 6>That's not people excited about his company. And you know,

0:26:57.520 --> 0:27:00.800
<v Speaker 6>all of the reports, all of the note say exactly

0:27:00.840 --> 0:27:03.280
<v Speaker 6>the same thing, which is, why would you choose to

0:27:03.359 --> 0:27:07.160
<v Speaker 6>own Intel right now, and the answer is you probably wouldn't.

0:27:07.200 --> 0:27:10.280
<v Speaker 6>So that's a struggle that he's going to face. How

0:27:10.280 --> 0:27:13.639
<v Speaker 6>that manifests itself, how the board think about that, we

0:27:13.720 --> 0:27:14.639
<v Speaker 6>don't know yet.

0:27:14.920 --> 0:27:17.359
<v Speaker 2>All Right, it's still one hundred and thirty forums one

0:27:17.440 --> 0:27:19.800
<v Speaker 2>hundred and thirty five billion dollar market cap company, nothing

0:27:19.800 --> 0:27:23.480
<v Speaker 2>to sneeze at. So what is the value that is

0:27:23.520 --> 0:27:25.280
<v Speaker 2>Intel at this point?

0:27:25.920 --> 0:27:29.760
<v Speaker 6>Well, the value is there are an incumbent still. If

0:27:29.800 --> 0:27:33.360
<v Speaker 6>you're going to make a standard industry server, you're going

0:27:33.400 --> 0:27:35.320
<v Speaker 6>to use an Intel zon If you're going to make

0:27:35.320 --> 0:27:38.000
<v Speaker 6>a PC, more than likely you're going to use one

0:27:38.040 --> 0:27:41.600
<v Speaker 6>of their core processes. So that you know, there's still

0:27:41.680 --> 0:27:43.840
<v Speaker 6>a lot of value there. If they can get the

0:27:43.920 --> 0:27:46.840
<v Speaker 6>manufacturing back to anything like the level that they used

0:27:46.840 --> 0:27:50.160
<v Speaker 6>to be at, that's a tremendous asset. Very few companies

0:27:50.160 --> 0:27:52.159
<v Speaker 6>in the world can actually do that. So all of

0:27:52.200 --> 0:27:55.760
<v Speaker 6>these things, again, if they manifest themselves in the right direction,

0:27:56.000 --> 0:28:00.000
<v Speaker 6>are valuable. The problem is, you know, he talked yesterday

0:28:00.080 --> 0:28:02.600
<v Speaker 6>day about, oh, we're getting into the accelerated market. We're

0:28:02.600 --> 0:28:05.640
<v Speaker 6>going to have five hundred billion dollars of fresh revenue

0:28:05.760 --> 0:28:09.119
<v Speaker 6>from this new product we've gotten. Again, that's great, but

0:28:09.160 --> 0:28:11.280
<v Speaker 6>then you have to compare it to where you might

0:28:11.359 --> 0:28:13.560
<v Speaker 6>put money. AMD is going to have three and a

0:28:13.600 --> 0:28:17.560
<v Speaker 6>half billion dollars from that exact same market. And guess

0:28:17.560 --> 0:28:20.440
<v Speaker 6>what this year, if analysts are right, in video is

0:28:20.480 --> 0:28:23.639
<v Speaker 6>going to have a ninety six billion dollar market. So

0:28:23.680 --> 0:28:27.040
<v Speaker 6>that's ninety six billions versus five hundred million. Are you

0:28:27.040 --> 0:28:27.679
<v Speaker 6>going to choose?

0:28:28.080 --> 0:28:30.760
<v Speaker 2>Who do you compare Intel against? Last question?

0:28:33.440 --> 0:28:34.320
<v Speaker 6>Sorry said that against?

0:28:34.600 --> 0:28:37.400
<v Speaker 2>Who do you compare Intel against? Like? I just think

0:28:37.400 --> 0:28:39.480
<v Speaker 2>about it, like we always talk with you that there's

0:28:39.520 --> 0:28:41.239
<v Speaker 2>a lot of different names, you know, that make up

0:28:41.240 --> 0:28:43.200
<v Speaker 2>the socks in the chip space, and they're not all

0:28:43.440 --> 0:28:46.640
<v Speaker 2>the same thing. So who do you compare Intel against?

0:28:46.680 --> 0:28:47.280
<v Speaker 2>At this point?

0:28:47.360 --> 0:28:47.640
<v Speaker 3>Is it?

0:28:47.680 --> 0:28:48.240
<v Speaker 2>Is it AMD?

0:28:48.400 --> 0:28:48.560
<v Speaker 1>Is it?

0:28:48.720 --> 0:28:48.800
<v Speaker 6>Like?

0:28:48.800 --> 0:28:49.320
<v Speaker 2>Who is it?

0:28:49.840 --> 0:28:53.040
<v Speaker 6>Well, you'd have to compare them to a combination of

0:28:53.360 --> 0:28:57.960
<v Speaker 6>AMD or in video and TSMC, and by any metric

0:28:58.080 --> 0:29:00.440
<v Speaker 6>they they just don't measure up right now?

0:29:01.600 --> 0:29:04.000
<v Speaker 2>How much more time does Gelsinger have? I lied, I

0:29:04.000 --> 0:29:06.680
<v Speaker 2>had one more question for you. How much more time

0:29:06.840 --> 0:29:09.360
<v Speaker 2>ian do you think Elsinger has? And is he the

0:29:09.440 --> 0:29:10.280
<v Speaker 2>right guy to do it?

0:29:11.880 --> 0:29:15.200
<v Speaker 6>Like I say, everybody who all of the analysts say yes,

0:29:15.280 --> 0:29:17.640
<v Speaker 6>he's got the right plan. Some of them are concerned

0:29:17.640 --> 0:29:20.400
<v Speaker 6>that he was put in place too late, that things

0:29:20.400 --> 0:29:23.760
<v Speaker 6>had gone too far. According to what he's the timeline

0:29:23.800 --> 0:29:26.160
<v Speaker 6>he's setting out, Intel should be back in the lead

0:29:26.200 --> 0:29:29.240
<v Speaker 6>in manufacturing next year. That that is going to be

0:29:29.280 --> 0:29:31.719
<v Speaker 6>the real tipping point, the real point where hey, Intel

0:29:31.840 --> 0:29:34.280
<v Speaker 6>is back and things are going to start to work

0:29:34.280 --> 0:29:38.360
<v Speaker 6>in their favor. So sometime next year he's either going

0:29:38.440 --> 0:29:41.200
<v Speaker 6>to be right or we're going to be looking at

0:29:41.280 --> 0:29:43.840
<v Speaker 6>him and saying, hey, Pat, you told us and you're

0:29:43.840 --> 0:29:47.680
<v Speaker 6>not there. I think that will be a significant point

0:29:47.720 --> 0:29:50.400
<v Speaker 6>for both his tenure and also for Intel's future.

0:29:50.560 --> 0:29:53.280
<v Speaker 2>In a Son of the Times, Intel down almost ten percent.

0:29:53.320 --> 0:29:55.239
<v Speaker 2>I'm looking at the socks. It's actually up, folks, two

0:29:55.240 --> 0:29:57.000
<v Speaker 2>and a half percent today, and a lot of it is.

0:29:57.080 --> 0:29:59.480
<v Speaker 2>And Nvidia it is an outperformer. And this is on

0:29:59.600 --> 0:30:03.560
<v Speaker 2>all the AI excitement again coming off of Alphabet and Microsoft.

0:30:03.120 --> 0:30:06.160
<v Speaker 4>Until down thirty seven percent so far this year. I

0:30:06.360 --> 0:30:09.680
<v Speaker 4>King Bloomberg News US Semiconductor and networking reporter, joining us

0:30:09.720 --> 0:30:12.160
<v Speaker 4>from San Francisco. Check out all his stuff on Intel.

0:30:13.600 --> 0:30:17.480
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Listen live

0:30:17.560 --> 0:30:20.920
<v Speaker 1>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on Applecarplay and

0:30:20.920 --> 0:30:23.920
<v Speaker 1>Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also

0:30:24.000 --> 0:30:27.200
<v Speaker 1>listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York

0:30:27.240 --> 0:30:30.640
<v Speaker 1>station just say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:30:32.320 --> 0:30:34.640
<v Speaker 4>Last year in the US, start was founded exclusively by

0:30:34.640 --> 0:30:37.040
<v Speaker 4>women accounted for only two percent of all funding that

0:30:37.160 --> 0:30:39.560
<v Speaker 4>was invested in BC back startups. This according to the

0:30:39.600 --> 0:30:43.240
<v Speaker 4>World Economic Forum, citing data from Pitchbook. In Europe, Carol,

0:30:43.280 --> 0:30:45.400
<v Speaker 4>the numbers were even worse, only one point eight percent

0:30:45.400 --> 0:30:48.000
<v Speaker 4>of the capital raised went to female founded startups.

0:30:48.040 --> 0:30:49.880
<v Speaker 2>All right, so that's how things look when it comes

0:30:49.920 --> 0:30:53.160
<v Speaker 2>to venture capital. But what about earlier in the fundraising process?

0:30:53.160 --> 0:30:55.520
<v Speaker 2>How are things looking when it comes to angel investing?

0:30:55.800 --> 0:30:57.440
<v Speaker 2>Back with us to talk about it with an update.

0:30:57.480 --> 0:31:01.280
<v Speaker 2>Joe In Corkoran at Corkoran is co chief executive officer

0:31:01.360 --> 0:31:04.280
<v Speaker 2>and managing partner at Golden Seeds. Just a reminder their

0:31:04.360 --> 0:31:08.560
<v Speaker 2>network of angel investors exclusively investing in early stage women

0:31:08.640 --> 0:31:12.560
<v Speaker 2>led companies, and she is joining us from New York City. Joanne,

0:31:12.560 --> 0:31:14.960
<v Speaker 2>Good to have you back with us. It's been a

0:31:15.000 --> 0:31:16.880
<v Speaker 2>little bit of a while, one and a half years.

0:31:16.880 --> 0:31:20.120
<v Speaker 2>A lot can happen. Certainly a lot has happened. I

0:31:20.120 --> 0:31:23.120
<v Speaker 2>feel like in the market environment, the business environment, the

0:31:23.120 --> 0:31:27.200
<v Speaker 2>funding environment. Tell us what's changed since we last talked.

0:31:29.360 --> 0:31:33.040
<v Speaker 7>Okay, so let's talk about the markets overall in the

0:31:33.200 --> 0:31:37.800
<v Speaker 7>US first. So twenty twenty three was a pretty difficult

0:31:38.040 --> 0:31:43.800
<v Speaker 7>funding environment. Venture capital annual volumes were down, you know,

0:31:44.240 --> 0:31:47.880
<v Speaker 7>thirty thirty five percent from the previous year, and that

0:31:48.080 --> 0:31:52.680
<v Speaker 7>was down from the year before that. So but the

0:31:52.880 --> 0:31:55.840
<v Speaker 7>good thing is that last quarter those flows were back

0:31:56.560 --> 0:31:59.880
<v Speaker 7>close to the pace of which they were running for

0:32:00.040 --> 0:32:02.920
<v Speaker 7>a decade, you know, the pace of twenty and seventeen

0:32:03.000 --> 0:32:07.800
<v Speaker 7>eighteen before those crazy run ups. So that's good Angel volumes.

0:32:07.840 --> 0:32:11.720
<v Speaker 7>The angels were also cautious. When you think about it,

0:32:11.800 --> 0:32:16.600
<v Speaker 7>many angel investors already have investments, they already have a portfolio,

0:32:16.640 --> 0:32:19.640
<v Speaker 7>and so many of those people pulled back on investments

0:32:20.000 --> 0:32:23.960
<v Speaker 7>last year because they had to keep their powder dry.

0:32:24.000 --> 0:32:28.920
<v Speaker 7>Because angels are dependent on follow on rounds from venture

0:32:29.680 --> 0:32:35.120
<v Speaker 7>so while ventures clogged, angels have to be cautious. So

0:32:35.120 --> 0:32:38.040
<v Speaker 7>so far in this year, you know, the first quarter

0:32:38.080 --> 0:32:41.920
<v Speaker 7>of this year, we are seeing some signs that things

0:32:41.960 --> 0:32:46.360
<v Speaker 7>are improving, or maybe I should say it this way,

0:32:46.400 --> 0:32:50.240
<v Speaker 7>they're not getting any worse. So of course we have

0:32:50.320 --> 0:32:51.880
<v Speaker 7>to consider all the variables.

0:32:51.960 --> 0:32:55.360
<v Speaker 4>I'm surprised, Yeah, I'm surprised you're not saying that things

0:32:55.400 --> 0:32:57.680
<v Speaker 4>are getting better. We've seen a couple of high profile

0:32:57.760 --> 0:33:02.080
<v Speaker 4>tech IPOs in a recent ways weeks. Why do you

0:33:02.120 --> 0:33:04.560
<v Speaker 4>think things aren't necessarily getting better better from at least

0:33:04.560 --> 0:33:06.040
<v Speaker 4>an angel perspective.

0:33:06.720 --> 0:33:14.880
<v Speaker 7>Well, things just hold here. That's pretty good because for

0:33:14.920 --> 0:33:18.360
<v Speaker 7>the last two years things have been getting worse and worse.

0:33:18.760 --> 0:33:20.680
<v Speaker 7>I don't need for things to get a lot better

0:33:20.720 --> 0:33:24.400
<v Speaker 7>from here. I just need things to stabilize, right, because

0:33:24.400 --> 0:33:28.040
<v Speaker 7>then we could go back to business. If you think

0:33:28.080 --> 0:33:33.239
<v Speaker 7>about it, companies are companies. We're still telling them they

0:33:33.280 --> 0:33:38.320
<v Speaker 7>need a plan A, B and C because they can't

0:33:38.360 --> 0:33:43.520
<v Speaker 7>depend on getting an easy A round or B round

0:33:43.560 --> 0:33:48.720
<v Speaker 7>out of venture Right now. Venture still digesting losses. A

0:33:48.720 --> 0:33:51.520
<v Speaker 7>lot of venture funds are still digesting losses. So I

0:33:51.520 --> 0:33:53.840
<v Speaker 7>don't want to say it's gloomy like it was the

0:33:53.920 --> 0:33:56.520
<v Speaker 7>last couple of years, but we need a few more

0:33:56.640 --> 0:34:01.360
<v Speaker 7>quarters to feel like we're back at at a consistent

0:34:01.680 --> 0:34:02.720
<v Speaker 7>run rate of investment.

0:34:02.800 --> 0:34:05.680
<v Speaker 2>You definitely sound subdued, a little bit like and concerned.

0:34:06.600 --> 0:34:06.960
<v Speaker 3>You know.

0:34:08.520 --> 0:34:12.480
<v Speaker 2>What, what is not happening as a result of the

0:34:12.640 --> 0:34:16.640
<v Speaker 2>environment That maybe concerns you in terms of especially when

0:34:16.680 --> 0:34:20.960
<v Speaker 2>it comes to women led investments at that very very

0:34:21.000 --> 0:34:21.880
<v Speaker 2>early stage.

0:34:23.440 --> 0:34:28.200
<v Speaker 7>Well, you know, some good things have happened for women

0:34:28.280 --> 0:34:31.000
<v Speaker 7>in the angel markets. Okay, I mean the last twenty

0:34:31.080 --> 0:34:35.880
<v Speaker 7>years since Golden Seeds started has been phenomenally good for

0:34:35.960 --> 0:34:41.160
<v Speaker 7>women in the angel markets. You know, twenty years ago

0:34:41.239 --> 0:34:46.560
<v Speaker 7>women got three percent of the capital. Now women founders

0:34:46.560 --> 0:34:50.719
<v Speaker 7>and co founders get about forty percent of the angel capital.

0:34:51.239 --> 0:34:54.319
<v Speaker 7>And the most important thing is that the yield the

0:34:54.400 --> 0:34:58.480
<v Speaker 7>percentage of companies that seek funding that actually get it

0:34:58.520 --> 0:35:02.080
<v Speaker 7>is it's just about operable now for male and female

0:35:02.320 --> 0:35:07.520
<v Speaker 7>entrepreneurs in the angel market. So that's really great progress

0:35:07.560 --> 0:35:11.600
<v Speaker 7>in the angel markets. And you know why did that happen.

0:35:11.719 --> 0:35:15.279
<v Speaker 7>I think a lot of the reason for that is

0:35:15.280 --> 0:35:19.640
<v Speaker 7>that angels in the US, you know, individuals who invest

0:35:19.680 --> 0:35:23.520
<v Speaker 7>in startup companies, about forty percent of those people are

0:35:23.560 --> 0:35:27.680
<v Speaker 7>now women. And that's about I don't know, more than

0:35:27.719 --> 0:35:32.000
<v Speaker 7>ten times since when we started in two thousand and four.

0:35:32.160 --> 0:35:33.200
<v Speaker 7>So that's really great.

0:35:33.600 --> 0:35:36.239
<v Speaker 4>Hey, Joanne, I just want to jump in. We don't

0:35:36.239 --> 0:35:37.319
<v Speaker 4>have a ton of time in it, so I want

0:35:37.360 --> 0:35:41.719
<v Speaker 4>to jump in here. As I mentioned, it's Golden Seed

0:35:41.840 --> 0:35:45.440
<v Speaker 4>is a network of angel investors that exclusively invest in

0:35:45.480 --> 0:35:49.320
<v Speaker 4>early stage women led companies. I would imagine somebody listening

0:35:49.360 --> 0:35:53.320
<v Speaker 4>right now might have the question from a returns perspective,

0:35:53.360 --> 0:35:56.880
<v Speaker 4>if you're trying to maximize returns, why would you restrict

0:35:56.960 --> 0:36:00.680
<v Speaker 4>yourself in any way by the type of companies you

0:36:00.680 --> 0:36:01.359
<v Speaker 4>can invest in.

0:36:04.120 --> 0:36:08.440
<v Speaker 7>Well, there's equity issues are one thing, But there is

0:36:08.560 --> 0:36:12.760
<v Speaker 7>research that say that women are better stewards of capital.

0:36:12.840 --> 0:36:15.759
<v Speaker 7>I mean, there was a big study put together in

0:36:15.800 --> 0:36:22.880
<v Speaker 7>twenty in twenty nineteen by Boston Consulting and Mass Challenge

0:36:23.520 --> 0:36:27.920
<v Speaker 7>that said that, and that's a huge data set. It

0:36:28.040 --> 0:36:32.480
<v Speaker 7>said that women entrepreneurs generate two times the revenue per

0:36:32.560 --> 0:36:36.439
<v Speaker 7>dollar of capital invested. So there is research that say

0:36:36.440 --> 0:36:42.080
<v Speaker 7>that you want to look at diverse founders. And maybe

0:36:42.120 --> 0:36:45.360
<v Speaker 7>I don't know why that is exactly, but maybe necessity

0:36:45.440 --> 0:36:48.799
<v Speaker 7>is the mother of invention. Think about it.

0:36:48.800 --> 0:36:50.839
<v Speaker 2>That one thing I do think about when it comes

0:36:50.880 --> 0:36:53.960
<v Speaker 2>to angel investing, right. You know, you can throw a

0:36:53.960 --> 0:36:56.239
<v Speaker 2>little bit of money at a business, right and it

0:36:56.280 --> 0:36:58.400
<v Speaker 2>really can kind of get going, especially in this environment

0:36:58.400 --> 0:37:01.080
<v Speaker 2>where technology and you know, social and so on and

0:37:01.080 --> 0:37:02.840
<v Speaker 2>so forth, there's so much a part of sometimes a

0:37:02.880 --> 0:37:06.160
<v Speaker 2>business getting going. Having said that how many of the

0:37:06.400 --> 0:37:09.480
<v Speaker 2>angel investments that get made in your world, how many

0:37:09.520 --> 0:37:12.600
<v Speaker 2>of them actually turn into something that either gets sold

0:37:12.880 --> 0:37:14.880
<v Speaker 2>or is fairly profitable.

0:37:17.280 --> 0:37:22.080
<v Speaker 7>So, you know, in the angel business and the venture business,

0:37:22.400 --> 0:37:27.000
<v Speaker 7>we know that about thirty five percent of companies don't

0:37:27.000 --> 0:37:30.200
<v Speaker 7>return all the capital. We know that in venture, I've

0:37:30.200 --> 0:37:34.319
<v Speaker 7>seen studies that said it's you know, half. In our

0:37:34.640 --> 0:37:38.320
<v Speaker 7>twenty years of experience, we've had just about thirty percent

0:37:38.360 --> 0:37:43.839
<v Speaker 7>of companies who haven't returned capital. But the rest of

0:37:44.080 --> 0:37:46.799
<v Speaker 7>our companies, in fact, I looked at it just the

0:37:46.840 --> 0:37:50.480
<v Speaker 7>other day, of all the money that we've invested, one

0:37:50.560 --> 0:37:54.120
<v Speaker 7>hundred percent of it has come back in aggregate to

0:37:54.760 --> 0:37:59.239
<v Speaker 7>our investors, and there's unrealized gains in the in the

0:37:59.360 --> 0:38:07.480
<v Speaker 7>existing operating companies of about another seventy nine percent. And

0:38:07.600 --> 0:38:10.200
<v Speaker 7>on average, our companies are still only a couple of

0:38:10.320 --> 0:38:15.759
<v Speaker 7>years old. So the thing though, is that's across our

0:38:15.840 --> 0:38:20.120
<v Speaker 7>whole investor group. So I can't give you a number

0:38:20.160 --> 0:38:21.880
<v Speaker 7>for any specific investor.

0:38:22.200 --> 0:38:26.479
<v Speaker 4>Unfortunately, Joanne, we're seeing so much energy around AI right now,

0:38:26.560 --> 0:38:28.719
<v Speaker 4>and you've certainly you and the team have made some

0:38:28.760 --> 0:38:31.759
<v Speaker 4>investments in AI focused companies, certainly, but when you look

0:38:31.760 --> 0:38:34.600
<v Speaker 4>around the landscape. What's exciting to you right now?

0:38:37.320 --> 0:38:40.960
<v Speaker 7>Well, companies using machine learning and AI is that's a

0:38:41.239 --> 0:38:47.120
<v Speaker 7>that's big an angel investing, but not the large language

0:38:47.120 --> 0:38:51.160
<v Speaker 7>models that take billions to affect most of the stuff

0:38:51.200 --> 0:38:54.240
<v Speaker 7>that we see and a good you know, ten percent

0:38:54.280 --> 0:38:58.960
<v Speaker 7>of our operating companies are machine learning or AI companies.

0:38:59.120 --> 0:39:02.560
<v Speaker 7>But generally we're looking at companies that are that are

0:39:02.600 --> 0:39:08.759
<v Speaker 7>solving a very specific business problem or improving a specific

0:39:08.880 --> 0:39:13.120
<v Speaker 7>business process, and that's you know, been part of our

0:39:13.200 --> 0:39:15.440
<v Speaker 7>environment for at least five years. I can give you

0:39:15.480 --> 0:39:23.160
<v Speaker 7>a couple of cases. We have companies that do scheduling,

0:39:23.440 --> 0:39:28.040
<v Speaker 7>you know, telephone or text scheduling for real estate companies,

0:39:28.520 --> 0:39:35.920
<v Speaker 7>for healthcare providers. We have companies that do collections. We

0:39:36.040 --> 0:39:40.600
<v Speaker 7>have companies that do image creations specifically to match a brand.

0:39:41.400 --> 0:39:41.920
<v Speaker 3>We have.

0:39:43.480 --> 0:39:48.640
<v Speaker 7>Companies that use machine learning to do antibiotic resistance prediction.

0:39:48.920 --> 0:39:55.880
<v Speaker 7>So but they're they're using the company and the companies clients' data,

0:39:56.000 --> 0:39:59.160
<v Speaker 7>So it's not these things where you need billions and

0:39:59.239 --> 0:40:00.520
<v Speaker 7>billions to get going.

0:40:01.080 --> 0:40:04.200
<v Speaker 4>Joan really appreciate you joining us once again here on

0:40:04.239 --> 0:40:07.400
<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg Business Week. Joined Corcoran co Chief executive Officer and

0:40:07.440 --> 0:40:13.279
<v Speaker 4>managing partner over at Golden Seeds m Marco.

0:40:14.719 --> 0:40:15.440
<v Speaker 3>A journal.

0:40:16.440 --> 0:40:17.399
<v Speaker 2>How about you let me drive?

0:40:17.680 --> 0:40:21.080
<v Speaker 1>Oh no, no, no no, who's going to drive? Honey?

0:40:21.239 --> 0:40:23.160
<v Speaker 3>Please? Gravels.

0:40:24.200 --> 0:40:24.959
<v Speaker 2>I want to drive.

0:40:27.200 --> 0:40:28.120
<v Speaker 8>It's a good question.

0:40:28.560 --> 0:40:34.520
<v Speaker 1>God, this is the drive to the Globes.

0:40:34.040 --> 0:40:34.840
<v Speaker 8>Dot com for me.

0:40:34.880 --> 0:40:38.280
<v Speaker 1>I think we'll buy around on Bloomberg Radio.

0:40:38.680 --> 0:40:42.040
<v Speaker 2>Right, TikTok, everybody, Just about eighteen minutes left in today's

0:40:42.080 --> 0:40:44.120
<v Speaker 2>trading session, getting ready to wrap up the week that

0:40:44.440 --> 0:40:47.520
<v Speaker 2>was and definitely one where we saw a different tone

0:40:47.560 --> 0:40:50.080
<v Speaker 2>compared to what we've seen over the last three weeks. Right,

0:40:50.160 --> 0:40:53.520
<v Speaker 2>I think that we've seen stocks down on a weekly basis,

0:40:53.600 --> 0:40:55.719
<v Speaker 2>but we are on track for the S and P

0:40:55.920 --> 0:40:58.680
<v Speaker 2>to see quite a healthy gain, if you will, in

0:40:58.760 --> 0:41:00.680
<v Speaker 2>the trade, just pulling it up two point eight percent

0:41:00.719 --> 0:41:03.040
<v Speaker 2>to the episode that was after one two, three weeks

0:41:03.120 --> 0:41:06.880
<v Speaker 2>of declines Nasdaq one hundred out pacing even that on

0:41:06.960 --> 0:41:07.720
<v Speaker 2>a weekly basis.

0:41:08.200 --> 0:41:09.719
<v Speaker 4>Did you just set that up very well?

0:41:09.880 --> 0:41:10.080
<v Speaker 6>Thank you?

0:41:10.120 --> 0:41:10.920
<v Speaker 4>I just want to say thank you.

0:41:11.120 --> 0:41:12.239
<v Speaker 2>Are welcome, Okay, Well.

0:41:12.320 --> 0:41:15.280
<v Speaker 4>Katerina Semonetti is senior vice president at Morgan Stanley Private

0:41:15.360 --> 0:41:18.759
<v Speaker 4>Wealth Management. Given everything that Carol just said, Katerine, are

0:41:18.800 --> 0:41:20.279
<v Speaker 4>we we're kind of out of the woods with this

0:41:20.840 --> 0:41:22.320
<v Speaker 4>sell off that we saw in April.

0:41:23.400 --> 0:41:25.960
<v Speaker 8>Well, Tim Carroll, thank you for having me on and

0:41:26.120 --> 0:41:28.680
<v Speaker 8>Happy Friday. And it just goes to tell us that

0:41:28.920 --> 0:41:32.719
<v Speaker 8>market is always looking for a reason to stay optimistic,

0:41:33.280 --> 0:41:35.839
<v Speaker 8>even though you know, of course, when we look at

0:41:36.360 --> 0:41:39.759
<v Speaker 8>the market performance over the last three weeks, you know,

0:41:39.920 --> 0:41:43.080
<v Speaker 8>it gives us the pause at the very least as

0:41:43.160 --> 0:41:46.400
<v Speaker 8>we are entering the second quarter of earnings and as

0:41:46.480 --> 0:41:50.640
<v Speaker 8>we're questioning ourselves whether the earnings are able to sustain

0:41:50.800 --> 0:41:54.839
<v Speaker 8>and support the valuations that are so high. Market had

0:41:54.920 --> 0:41:59.840
<v Speaker 8>a tremendous increase last year, especially towards the end of

0:41:59.840 --> 0:42:02.919
<v Speaker 8>the year, on expectations that we are going to see

0:42:03.040 --> 0:42:07.920
<v Speaker 8>lower rates quite quickly, and seeing inflation not quite at

0:42:07.960 --> 0:42:11.200
<v Speaker 8>the numbers anywhere nowhere really close to the two percent

0:42:11.320 --> 0:42:15.800
<v Speaker 8>part that Federal Reserve was hoping to see. Is putting

0:42:15.840 --> 0:42:18.520
<v Speaker 8>a question whether we're going to see rate cuts, you know,

0:42:18.600 --> 0:42:19.600
<v Speaker 8>as soon as we expected.

0:42:20.160 --> 0:42:21.759
<v Speaker 2>Is it all about ray cuts? I mean, I guess

0:42:21.800 --> 0:42:23.799
<v Speaker 2>it is. We certainly play it's our favorite, as Tom

0:42:23.880 --> 0:42:25.320
<v Speaker 2>Kane likes to say in the morning, it's our favorite

0:42:25.360 --> 0:42:27.120
<v Speaker 2>parlor game, like what's the Fed.

0:42:27.040 --> 0:42:27.320
<v Speaker 1>Going to do?

0:42:27.360 --> 0:42:29.040
<v Speaker 2>What it's not going to do. But having said that,

0:42:30.160 --> 0:42:32.759
<v Speaker 2>as long as we have, I mean, we were kind

0:42:32.760 --> 0:42:35.520
<v Speaker 2>of freaked out, if you will, with a lower growth

0:42:35.680 --> 0:42:40.080
<v Speaker 2>GDP report backward looking higher inflation, get another one today

0:42:40.120 --> 0:42:42.239
<v Speaker 2>That kind of says, yep, you know, it didn't come

0:42:42.280 --> 0:42:44.480
<v Speaker 2>in higher than forecast, but it does remind us that

0:42:44.920 --> 0:42:48.040
<v Speaker 2>high for longer when it comes to inflation. Having said that,

0:42:48.960 --> 0:42:52.960
<v Speaker 2>you know, around these conversations, the economy continues to you know,

0:42:53.280 --> 0:42:56.560
<v Speaker 2>move along and survive, the IMF raising its forecast for

0:42:56.640 --> 0:42:59.399
<v Speaker 2>global growth. I don't know, is there something that says

0:42:59.520 --> 0:43:05.279
<v Speaker 2>maybe the world, certainly the public publicly traded world, is

0:43:05.520 --> 0:43:08.880
<v Speaker 2>getting is figuring out how to kind of operate in

0:43:08.960 --> 0:43:12.040
<v Speaker 2>this higher rate environment, which is still kind of more

0:43:12.440 --> 0:43:14.400
<v Speaker 2>historically in line than what we saw when it was

0:43:14.440 --> 0:43:15.480
<v Speaker 2>a zero rate environment.

0:43:18.200 --> 0:43:22.720
<v Speaker 8>You're absolutely right, and we need to switch the focus

0:43:22.840 --> 0:43:25.520
<v Speaker 8>from this mathematical you know, is FAD going to give

0:43:25.600 --> 0:43:27.680
<v Speaker 8>us one rate cuts or two rate cuts or are

0:43:27.719 --> 0:43:29.800
<v Speaker 8>we going to get five rate cuts? And we have

0:43:30.080 --> 0:43:34.320
<v Speaker 8>to look at what functioning in this higher rate environment

0:43:34.920 --> 0:43:37.920
<v Speaker 8>is going to mean for the profitability of our companies,

0:43:38.040 --> 0:43:41.560
<v Speaker 8>What is it is going to mean for consumer behavior,

0:43:41.920 --> 0:43:46.160
<v Speaker 8>who are going to be change their normal habits, you know,

0:43:46.320 --> 0:43:50.600
<v Speaker 8>normal spending patterns because of the interest rates, and we

0:43:50.760 --> 0:43:52.719
<v Speaker 8>have to look at it from every which way, and

0:43:53.000 --> 0:43:56.399
<v Speaker 8>FED absolutely has a very difficult decision in front of them.

0:43:56.520 --> 0:43:59.120
<v Speaker 8>They've set the expectations and they've said time and time

0:43:59.160 --> 0:44:01.439
<v Speaker 8>again that their next move is going to be a cut.

0:44:01.920 --> 0:44:04.279
<v Speaker 8>But you know, at the same time, you know they

0:44:04.360 --> 0:44:08.480
<v Speaker 8>also pride themselves in that data driven approach. And as

0:44:08.560 --> 0:44:11.279
<v Speaker 8>we look at the earnings, the real focus should be

0:44:11.680 --> 0:44:13.960
<v Speaker 8>whether current earnings and we're seeing them here in the

0:44:14.040 --> 0:44:17.400
<v Speaker 8>second quarter, are going to support the valuations that we

0:44:17.440 --> 0:44:20.000
<v Speaker 8>see inequities and whether our companies are going to be

0:44:20.080 --> 0:44:24.000
<v Speaker 8>able to stay profitable in this potentially higher for longer environment.

0:44:24.200 --> 0:44:26.920
<v Speaker 2>So, Katerina, as the narrative has changed a little bit,

0:44:26.920 --> 0:44:30.440
<v Speaker 2>and we'll get maybe possibly a tweak on that narrative.

0:44:31.000 --> 0:44:32.799
<v Speaker 2>We will see when we get the next FED meeting

0:44:32.840 --> 0:44:35.080
<v Speaker 2>and decision next week. Right, that is certainly a focal point.

0:44:35.120 --> 0:44:38.160
<v Speaker 2>We get a jobs report after the FED meets next Wednesday.

0:44:38.560 --> 0:44:41.840
<v Speaker 2>Having said that, you know, what is are you tweaking

0:44:41.960 --> 0:44:47.640
<v Speaker 2>at all investor portfolios client portfolios? I understand invest for

0:44:47.719 --> 0:44:49.279
<v Speaker 2>the long term, but that doesn't mean you don't do

0:44:49.360 --> 0:44:51.440
<v Speaker 2>some tweaks here and there, So what might they be

0:44:51.560 --> 0:44:52.320
<v Speaker 2>in this environment?

0:44:53.320 --> 0:44:55.640
<v Speaker 8>Well, of course, and tweaks are perfectly normal. You know,

0:44:55.719 --> 0:44:58.760
<v Speaker 8>first and foremost where of the mindset that no quarter

0:44:59.239 --> 0:45:02.120
<v Speaker 8>or no month you know, should ever be you know,

0:45:02.320 --> 0:45:07.360
<v Speaker 8>driving force behind changing the you know, the total large

0:45:07.440 --> 0:45:09.080
<v Speaker 8>picture strategy.

0:45:09.000 --> 0:45:09.160
<v Speaker 1>You know.

0:45:09.280 --> 0:45:11.560
<v Speaker 8>But with that in mind, you know, the tweaks that

0:45:11.600 --> 0:45:18.040
<v Speaker 8>we're doing is focusing to quality, you know, looking at energy, industrials, materials,

0:45:18.360 --> 0:45:20.960
<v Speaker 8>you know, making sure that not no one sector in

0:45:21.040 --> 0:45:23.200
<v Speaker 8>our portfolios is over valued, you know, if there is

0:45:23.239 --> 0:45:26.520
<v Speaker 8>a possibility to rebalance and taque profits because we have

0:45:26.760 --> 0:45:29.520
<v Speaker 8>positions and sectors that have done so well over the

0:45:29.600 --> 0:45:32.920
<v Speaker 8>last eighteen months, and this is a perfect opportunity to

0:45:33.040 --> 0:45:36.319
<v Speaker 8>take some of those games of the table and replace them,

0:45:36.400 --> 0:45:39.520
<v Speaker 8>put them into the areas that have not performed well

0:45:39.600 --> 0:45:42.840
<v Speaker 8>that are positioned to deliver these you know, good results.

0:45:43.080 --> 0:45:45.840
<v Speaker 2>So Energy, by the way, it's your second top or

0:45:45.920 --> 0:45:48.800
<v Speaker 2>best performing major industry group in the S and P

0:45:48.960 --> 0:45:51.840
<v Speaker 2>five hundred this year. There are eleven. Real Estate is

0:45:51.880 --> 0:45:53.400
<v Speaker 2>the only one that's down for the year, and that

0:45:53.440 --> 0:45:55.400
<v Speaker 2>would I would assume to some extent maybe on the

0:45:55.480 --> 0:45:58.960
<v Speaker 2>rate environment, but down about nine percent. Also concerns that continue,

0:45:59.320 --> 0:46:02.800
<v Speaker 2>certainly amongst of the office property area and commercial. But

0:46:03.040 --> 0:46:06.000
<v Speaker 2>energy is up as a group almost fifteen percent. So

0:46:06.400 --> 0:46:08.960
<v Speaker 2>I mean, is that good. That's pretty good for your

0:46:09.000 --> 0:46:10.600
<v Speaker 2>to date. And here we are at the end of April.

0:46:10.960 --> 0:46:13.400
<v Speaker 2>So you said you like energy. Do you continue to

0:46:13.440 --> 0:46:14.360
<v Speaker 2>commit to that space?

0:46:15.360 --> 0:46:18.239
<v Speaker 8>Absolutely? You know, it's one of our highest convictions. We

0:46:18.320 --> 0:46:21.400
<v Speaker 8>think that energy is well positioned, not just due to

0:46:21.560 --> 0:46:25.080
<v Speaker 8>the fact that you know, they were seeing kind current

0:46:25.200 --> 0:46:28.360
<v Speaker 8>oil prices and production levels, but also due to the

0:46:28.440 --> 0:46:32.520
<v Speaker 8>valuations and competitive positioning you know of the energy companies.

0:46:32.800 --> 0:46:34.360
<v Speaker 8>You know, we think that there is you know, some

0:46:34.480 --> 0:46:38.320
<v Speaker 8>additional growth in that sector, you know, and just the dividends.

0:46:38.360 --> 0:46:41.920
<v Speaker 8>If you look at the income generating abilities of the

0:46:42.280 --> 0:46:45.279
<v Speaker 8>energy companies, they play an essential role in the portfolios.

0:46:46.400 --> 0:46:48.120
<v Speaker 4>So where do you not want to be, Katerina?

0:46:50.400 --> 0:46:52.440
<v Speaker 8>When we look at the broad picture, you know, we

0:46:52.520 --> 0:46:55.759
<v Speaker 8>think that brave cuts are coming in general. Historically, you know,

0:46:55.840 --> 0:47:00.400
<v Speaker 8>there is a positive reaction by large caps actually the

0:47:00.440 --> 0:47:03.200
<v Speaker 8>dividend thing stocks, you know, right that immediately following the

0:47:03.280 --> 0:47:06.440
<v Speaker 8>rate cuts and about six months you know, maybe plus

0:47:06.680 --> 0:47:08.879
<v Speaker 8>you know, we also see the rest of the market

0:47:09.000 --> 0:47:11.120
<v Speaker 8>kind of like you know, coming long, you know, so

0:47:11.239 --> 0:47:15.680
<v Speaker 8>we like the shorter term positioning of the large caps,

0:47:15.880 --> 0:47:18.719
<v Speaker 8>and we like longer term positioning of small and mid cap.

0:47:18.960 --> 0:47:23.000
<v Speaker 8>We also tell investors to take advantage of the higher rates,

0:47:23.080 --> 0:47:25.600
<v Speaker 8>take advantage of the higher yields, really focus on their

0:47:25.680 --> 0:47:28.920
<v Speaker 8>fixed income portfolios and make sure that that you know,

0:47:29.000 --> 0:47:31.800
<v Speaker 8>they're well diversifying, that they are taking advantage of the

0:47:31.880 --> 0:47:36.040
<v Speaker 8>high yield of preferreds of municipals. Because rates are high

0:47:36.120 --> 0:47:38.160
<v Speaker 8>right now and we're getting very comfortable with them, but

0:47:38.239 --> 0:47:40.520
<v Speaker 8>they are not going to be here forever. And this

0:47:40.680 --> 0:47:43.120
<v Speaker 8>is a great environment. And over the last couple of

0:47:43.160 --> 0:47:46.680
<v Speaker 8>weeks we also have seen declines in the prices and

0:47:46.719 --> 0:47:49.840
<v Speaker 8>fixed income prices. So not only the yields are attractive,

0:47:49.960 --> 0:47:52.680
<v Speaker 8>but there are also some really you know, interesting buying

0:47:52.719 --> 0:47:54.920
<v Speaker 8>opportunities out there in the fixed income space.

0:47:55.160 --> 0:47:57.440
<v Speaker 2>All right, Katerina, thank you so much. Have a great weekend.

0:47:57.480 --> 0:48:00.840
<v Speaker 2>Katerina Seminetti, Senior vice President, Morgan Stanley Price but Wealth Management,

0:48:01.400 --> 0:48:03.000
<v Speaker 2>joining us there in Philadelphia.

0:48:04.080 --> 0:48:08.680
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0:48:08.880 --> 0:48:12.600
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