Speaker 1: It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros.
Speaker 2: Welcome in everybody to betting pros.
Speaker 1: It's v Joey p Joe Pizzapia and today it's about
Speaker 1: the divisional round of the NFL playoffs.
Speaker 2: So Wildcard weekend was fun.
Speaker 1: Lots of exciting performances, some one sided games and some
Speaker 1: closer ones, that's for sure, just as the Raiders and Bengals.
Speaker 1: But those are all in the dust. Those are all history.
Speaker 1: And Scott Bogman is going to help me break all
Speaker 1: the games for this weekend down. We've got four games,
Speaker 1: two on Saturday, two on Sunday.
Speaker 2: Scott Bogman, did you learn.
Speaker 1: Anything from these teams that have advanced and survived after
Speaker 1: the first round?
Speaker 3: I think we learned that the Chiefs and Bills game
Speaker 3: might be the highest scoring game in the history of football.
Speaker 3: I mean that the Bills literally scored a touchdown every
Speaker 3: single time they touched the ball, so I think it
Speaker 3: was seven for seven in touchdown drives. And then the
Speaker 3: last drive they had was the victory formation. So they
Speaker 3: were outstanding. And the Steelers woke the Chiefs up in
Speaker 3: the second quarter, and you know you wake up Patrick
Speaker 3: Mahomes and you're gonna get a lot of points. Even
Speaker 3: you know, Tyreek Kills a little gimpy going in again game,
Speaker 3: he looked fine. Travis Kelce was throwing touchdowns. They throw
Speaker 3: touchdowns to offensive linemen. I mean, it was an embarrassment
Speaker 3: for my Steelers, but the Chiefs look like they're peaking
Speaker 3: at the absolute right time right now.
Speaker 1: Well, my Patriots were equally embarrassed.
Speaker 2: So that's okay.
Speaker 1: We can go lick our wounds for the rest of
Speaker 1: the offseason. But yeah, high total on this Bill's Chiefs game,
Speaker 1: and we're gonna break them all down. But we got
Speaker 1: to start here with Saturday at four thirty Eastern, and
Speaker 1: it's the Cincinnati Bengals taking on the Tennessee Titans. The
Speaker 1: Bengals are three and a half point underdogs in this
Speaker 1: one heading to Tennessee, which feels about right to me.
Speaker 1: On the money line, if you like the Cincinnati Bengals,
Speaker 1: you're getting plus one fifty too. The total for this
Speaker 1: game is forty seven. So Boggs, when you're looking at
Speaker 1: this one, what's your first instinct, because I know what
Speaker 1: mine is, but I want to get your take on
Speaker 1: this first.
Speaker 4: The Bengals are peaking right now.
Speaker 3: And I hate to say it because I despise them,
Speaker 3: but they've been playing great football man, and Joe Burrow
Speaker 3: looks unflappable right now. Jamar Chase is outstanding, Joe Mixon
Speaker 3: is healthy.
Speaker 2: You know.
Speaker 3: In the defense, I mean, they crushed Derek Carr. This
Speaker 3: pass rush is incredible. I mean, you just go back
Speaker 3: to the offseason and you think of this Trey Hendrickson
Speaker 3: signing and it was just outstanding for this team. They
Speaker 3: still need a little help in the secondary and linebackers.
Speaker 3: You can check out my mock draft to see where
Speaker 3: I went there. But you know, I think that they're peaking.
Speaker 3: And this is the first week back for Derrick Henry
Speaker 3: and we're not as we're recording this, we're pretty sure
Speaker 3: Derek Henry is going to be back, but he could
Speaker 3: still be inactive right and AJ Brown is just back,
Speaker 3: So we don't know what.
Speaker 4: Tennessee team we're gonna get.
Speaker 3: Are we gonna get the good you know, run it
Speaker 3: down your throat forty times with Dereck Henry is going
Speaker 3: to be used sparingly. AJ Brown's had a couple of
Speaker 3: good games, but Ryan Tannehill's kind of been hit or
Speaker 3: miss this year. So for me, I'm going to take
Speaker 3: the Bengals on the money line straight up to win
Speaker 3: this game on the road and go to the AFC Championship.
Speaker 3: As much as it discussed me over under, I'm a
Speaker 3: little wishy washy. I'm gonna take the under just because
Speaker 3: I think Tennessee is going to win time of possession
Speaker 3: in this game because Derek Henry is back. I'll give
Speaker 3: them that at least so, But I just think the
Speaker 3: Bengals are too good to be beaten by Tennessee right now.
Speaker 1: You know we did not rehearse this ahead of time.
Speaker 1: I feel the exact same way.
Speaker 4: Wow.
Speaker 2: The reason why is not because of last week's game.
Speaker 1: Actually, in some ways, it's in spite of it, because
Speaker 1: I did not like the fact that they let the
Speaker 1: Raiders hang around, and I did not like the fact
Speaker 1: that it got it took their foot off the gas
Speaker 1: a little bit.
Speaker 2: They took their foot off the gas.
Speaker 1: But on top of that, Bogs, when you watch that game,
Speaker 1: they also had a couple of injuries too.
Speaker 2: They they they allow the Raiders.
Speaker 1: To hang around, and you don't want to do that
Speaker 1: with the Titans. I just want to put that out,
Speaker 1: especially you don't want to do it on the road.
Speaker 1: But I'm going back to the game a couple weeks
Speaker 1: ago against the Kansas City Chiefs where I made a
Speaker 1: big statement I remember on the TV show about it,
Speaker 1: which is, this is the game where you find out
Speaker 1: who the Bengals are. And the Bengals showed you, and
Speaker 1: they showed you in a big way who they were
Speaker 1: against the Kansas City Chiefs, and that, to me is
Speaker 1: who the Bengals are. And I feel like they take
Speaker 1: it personally that you know, they won the division, they
Speaker 1: won a playoff game, and they're still underdogs. I think
Speaker 1: they take it personally. I think Joe Burrow does too,
Speaker 1: and I think he is a leader in the real deal.
Speaker 1: And I think my favorite wager is, just like you,
Speaker 1: it's the Bengals on the money line, and we all
Speaker 1: know one of these games is going to go sideways, right,
Speaker 1: one of the fielders is not going to win at
Speaker 1: least one, And looking at it, it's a hard sell
Speaker 1: for me on the other three home teams. It just
Speaker 1: is this is the one to me that's wide open.
Speaker 1: If we thought Tennessee was a paper tiger going into
Speaker 1: the playoffs anyway, even getting Derrick Henry back, There's been
Speaker 1: games where they had Dereck Henry and they lost, and
Speaker 1: you look around each other like, how did the Titans
Speaker 1: lose this game? I worry about Tannehill turn the ball
Speaker 1: over at a crucial time, and I just feel like
Speaker 1: this is the sneaky one where you're looking at it
Speaker 1: and it's only three and a half. Right, So it's
Speaker 1: not like Vegas is confident at all, Right, Tennessee Titans
Speaker 1: going into this game where it's like, oh, it's a
Speaker 1: five and a half point spread or something like that. No, no, no,
Speaker 1: it's basically like, eh, as little as you could possibly
Speaker 1: favor them, we will. So I'm with you on this.
Speaker 1: I can't believe we're agreeing on the Cincinnati Bengals. My goodness,
Speaker 1: that's exciting.
Speaker 4: But imo, they are changed.
Speaker 1: The forty seven is a number that I don't care
Speaker 1: for either. I think the best wager is the money line.
Speaker 1: And if you want to put this in a parlay
Speaker 1: and do all four games, which by the way, we
Speaker 1: were one game shy. We were five or six in
Speaker 1: the super parlay. Broke my heart.
Speaker 4: Sorry, boys, well in parlay, but he was six and
Speaker 4: h against the spread this week.
Speaker 1: That's very good, very good. But yeah, Cincinnati Bengals, if
Speaker 1: you want to put him in this week, I would
Speaker 1: put him with the three and a half. But if
Speaker 1: you want to go crazy and put them on the
Speaker 1: money line, you can, but I'm with you. That's the
Speaker 1: wager I like in this game. Let's let's look at
Speaker 1: some individual props potentially in this game too. Let's talk
Speaker 1: about past numbers here, Joe Burrow two seventy eight and
Speaker 1: a half, Ryan Tannehill two thirty eight and a half.
Speaker 1: If we like the Cincinnati Bengals, do we like the
Speaker 1: over here and the Joe Burrow number?
Speaker 3: I mean I do like the over, but I'm not
Speaker 3: betting that number with confidence. That's a lot of yards,
Speaker 3: so pretty had two seventy five is a lot. I
Speaker 3: think he's going to be right somewhere between two seventy
Speaker 3: five and three hundred, so there's just no way I'd
Speaker 3: touch it.
Speaker 1: The Chase number, to me is actually one that I
Speaker 1: would go over on. It's seventy seven and a half.
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on that.
Speaker 3: One that's receiving mm hmm, Yeah, I mean I think
Speaker 3: I think I would rather go over than under that number,
Speaker 3: But I think I would rather do total yards because
Speaker 3: we saw Chase Gate used like Deebo Samuel last week,
Speaker 3: he had four rushes, So I think I would go
Speaker 3: with a total yards number over a receiving yards only
Speaker 3: four Chase.
Speaker 1: All right, fair enough, And right now as recording this,
Speaker 1: we still don't have a number on Derrick Henry. So
Speaker 1: if that comes through, you always see this up on
Speaker 1: Twitter and we'll answer that. What about on the passing
Speaker 1: side for Ryan Tannehill, two thirty eight and a half
Speaker 1: is the number? Your thoughts on that, especially getting Derek
Speaker 1: Henry back theoretically what impact that has potentially on that number?
Speaker 3: I think you have to go over that number, especially
Speaker 3: if you're picking Cincinnati to win this game. Straight up, mean,
Speaker 3: you know, it should mean that Tennessee is playing catch
Speaker 3: up at some point in this game, even if it's
Speaker 3: only the fourth quarter. You know, you have put a
Speaker 3: seventy yard drive together with mainly passes. You have aj
Speaker 3: Brown back, you have Julio healthy finally, you know, so
Speaker 3: all your pieces are there for Tennessee. There's no excuses
Speaker 3: for them in this game. So I think I would
Speaker 3: go over that number. If I had to pick it.
Speaker 2: I'll tell you what.
Speaker 1: If you don't like the passing number for Joe Burrow,
Speaker 1: how about the passing tds at one and a half.
Speaker 4: That feels like an I take the over on that
Speaker 4: I crush.
Speaker 1: That seems like an easy over to me too, So
Speaker 1: if you're having any sort of pause, that's the way
Speaker 1: I would approach it. In Bogs and I agree yet again.
Speaker 1: There all right, let's move on to the night game
Speaker 1: on Saturday night. The San Francisco forty nine Ers, who
Speaker 1: we told you were going to upset the Dallas Cowboys,
Speaker 1: and sure enough they did. The forty nine Ers, who
Speaker 1: are gonna go into Green Bay. Now green Bay rested
Speaker 1: off the by Aaron Rodgers' tow has been on ice
Speaker 1: or heat or whatever the hell he's doing to his
Speaker 1: toe Co Packers. The Packers are five and a half
Speaker 1: point favorites in this one. No surprise there. If that
Speaker 1: number feels respectable, we're respecting the Packers, but we're also
Speaker 1: respecting the strong close to the season for the forty
Speaker 1: nine ers. You have forty seven, just like the other game.
Speaker 1: Interesting that both games on Saturday are forty seven, So
Speaker 1: the forty nine Ers defense, you know, has played relatively
Speaker 1: well here. Deebo Samuel has been fantastic. The question is, Bogs,
Speaker 1: can they do enough here to cover this five and
Speaker 1: a half or do you think a rested Packers team
Speaker 1: in Green Bay rolls them.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take the Packers and look this game, I'm
Speaker 3: gonna take the over too. I think I like the
Speaker 3: over more in this game, just because the Packers have
Speaker 3: not looked good on defense, particularly against the rush, and
Speaker 3: that's exactly what the Niners do. They run the ball
Speaker 3: down people's throats. Eli Mitchell twenty seven carries last week,
Speaker 3: Deebo had ten. They look outstanding in this run game
Speaker 3: and the Packer has been bad against it. But that
Speaker 3: Niners defense, you know, Bosa is gonna play, but he's questionable.
Speaker 3: Fred Warrener's little banged up now, and the secondary has
Speaker 3: been the issue for that team the entire year. Aaron
Speaker 3: Rodgers isn't going to be stopped in this game. So
Speaker 3: I think there's gonna be a lot of points here,
Speaker 3: and I just am. The thing that I'm most confident
Speaker 3: in is Jimmy g making that big boneheaded mistake third
Speaker 3: or fourth quarter and the Packers taking advantage of it.
Speaker 3: He did it in Dallas, and Dallas just couldn't score.
Speaker 3: You know, they had too min eight penalties on offense
Speaker 3: thirteen penalties. Obviously a lot of controversy to the end
Speaker 3: of that game and stuff. But for me, I think
Speaker 3: I have to go with the Packers at home and
Speaker 3: lay the five and a half. And I really like
Speaker 3: that it moved to five and a half instead of six,
Speaker 3: because I think six kind of makes me queezy. But
Speaker 3: five and a half I like a lot. So give
Speaker 3: me the Packers and the over in this game, all right.
Speaker 1: The consensus continues with Bogging and myself, I like the over,
Speaker 1: and I also like the five and a half on
Speaker 1: the Packers side as well. All the public money is
Speaker 1: coming in, the vast majority of it on the Packers,
Speaker 1: and typically that's something whenever I see it, I get
Speaker 1: a little antsy about myself. But I just I can't
Speaker 1: do it. I'm not gonna go against Aaron Rodgers, at
Speaker 1: least not this week. But believe me, if they end
Speaker 1: up losing to the forty nine Ers, I'm not gonna
Speaker 1: be sad about.
Speaker 2: It at the end.
Speaker 1: I guess here's the question.
Speaker 4: You and Welsh will be so happy.
Speaker 1: Well, here, here's a question for you. When you're looking
Speaker 1: at the two coaches in this game, and you know
Speaker 1: these teams have met up before, and if you were
Speaker 1: a call a few years ago on their path to
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, the forty nine Ers absolutely just ran
Speaker 1: rough shot over the Packers.
Speaker 2: Now very it feels like a different pack.
Speaker 4: I think Aaron Rodgers owing three in the playoffs against
Speaker 4: the Niners.
Speaker 1: Well, that was my last question. Is you know all
Speaker 1: that public money going there. It's plus two hundred on
Speaker 1: the money line for San Francisco. I don't think it's
Speaker 1: a crazy wager if you know it's not to go
Speaker 1: ahead with the forty nine Ers. It's one of those
Speaker 1: things where we look at and go, oh, all the
Speaker 1: public money, it feels like a all done deal.
Speaker 2: It's not.
Speaker 1: I think this game has some tightness potentially in it,
Speaker 1: and I would not be surprised that if Garoppolo does
Speaker 1: avoid catastrophic mistakes, that the forty nine Ers can pull
Speaker 1: out a victory here, even though it's in Green Bay
Speaker 1: and all of the other factors here. But I don't
Speaker 1: think it's investable for me personally, and I just won't
Speaker 1: bring that to light.
Speaker 3: We're down to the best eight teams in the NFL,
Speaker 3: so all these games are going to be close. And
Speaker 3: would I be shocked if the Niners beat the Packers
Speaker 3: on the road. Absolutely not. I just think that you
Speaker 3: get a flawless Jimmy G game if he does that,
Speaker 3: and those are rare for Jimmy G.
Speaker 4: And I think he's you can win the Super Bowl
Speaker 4: with him.
Speaker 3: I think he's a good enough quarterback, but he is
Speaker 3: that Andy Dalton, Joe Flacco, Brad Johnson, you know line
Speaker 3: of good enough quarterback, but he is not going to
Speaker 3: will you to win many games.
Speaker 4: So, you know, I think.
Speaker 3: That's where the big disconnect is. And you know, I
Speaker 3: enjoy trends. I think they're good and they're fun to
Speaker 3: look at, but I will never invest in a trend.
Speaker 3: You know, sometimes they pay out like that, you know,
Speaker 3: weird Jacksonville beating the Colts at home in Jacksonville since
Speaker 3: twenty fourteen. Sometimes they pay out like that. But how
Speaker 3: different is the twenty fourteen Jaguars to the twenty twenty
Speaker 3: one Wars Right, so unbelievable that I think that stuff
Speaker 3: is vastly overrated. W Right, you have to live in
Speaker 3: the now exactly, especially because rosters turnover so frequently.
Speaker 1: Passing props here, Jimmy Garoppolo to forty three and a half,
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers to sixty five and a half, Any interest
Speaker 1: in either of.
Speaker 3: Those two numbers, Rogers over Jimmy under You're gonna win
Speaker 3: on the strength of the run game, if you The Niners.
Speaker 2: Agreed with that.
Speaker 1: Speaking of which, passing touchdowns Garoppolo one and a half,
Speaker 1: Rogers two and a half. That's pretty big number there.
Speaker 4: For Rogers two and a half, I'm gonna stay away from.
Speaker 3: You know, I think the numbers right, and he probably
Speaker 3: throws three touchdowns, but I'm not going to bet on
Speaker 3: it because you know, I mean, he just DeVante Adams
Speaker 3: steps out at the one, and here's Aaron Rodgers, Here's
Speaker 3: aj Dillon, here's Aaron Jones. You know, they have plenty
Speaker 3: of other ways to go, you know, bootleg to the
Speaker 3: tight end, you know, so many different ways to go
Speaker 3: and scenario. So that's not what I'm gonna take. Although
Speaker 3: I did hit my I had the dak plus four
Speaker 3: hundred any time touchdown last week and I got there
Speaker 3: you go.
Speaker 2: Also, there you go.
Speaker 1: Let's go to the receiving props here, speaking of DeVante
Speaker 1: Adams his numbers ninety one and a half, Deebo Samuel's
Speaker 1: fifty four and a half, and George Kittle, who's been
Speaker 1: relatively quiet these last few weeks. On this forty nine
Speaker 1: run just forty eight and a half. So anything tempting
Speaker 1: on the over under forty eight Hittle for Kittle, Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's what I was looking at.
Speaker 3: Kittle's the one, you know, and I know I said
Speaker 3: I'd take the under on Jimmy G's passing yards, but
Speaker 3: he passes to different guys in different games, in different scenarios,
Speaker 3: And last week Kittle was used mainly as a blocker.
Speaker 3: He's probably gonna be mainly a blocker in this game too.
Speaker 3: But if he catches three passes, he's getting over that
Speaker 3: forty eight and a half because I think at least
Speaker 3: two of them are going to go for twenty because
Speaker 3: he gets the ball and then runs some mffors over.
Speaker 3: I mean, that's what Kittle does, right, So I think
Speaker 3: that is the most intriguing one to me of all
Speaker 3: of them.
Speaker 1: Here's your combo number for Deebo Samuel, ninety three and
Speaker 1: a half over under.
Speaker 3: One of the best offensive players in the league. I
Speaker 3: think you gotta take over. If it's less than one hundred,
Speaker 3: you got to take over on deepo every single week.
Speaker 1: The other one I think is sneaky is that one
Speaker 1: Lazard thirty eight and a half. I would go over
Speaker 1: on that too. It's a good trend with La Sam
Speaker 1: vs is going to be out. That's one that I
Speaker 1: would lock in now. I think that's a very good
Speaker 1: That would be the biggest gimme, Like, if you're going
Speaker 1: to try to like run up the Deebo DeVante Adams
Speaker 1: and you need a third one, Lazard would be the
Speaker 1: other one for me. I think that's the way I
Speaker 1: would go. All right, let's move on from Saturday to
Speaker 1: Sunday's games. NFC matchup at three o'clock Eastern. The Los
Speaker 1: Angeles Rams taking on the Tampa Bay Bucks and defending
Speaker 1: rating undisputed champions of the World. Are three point favorites
Speaker 1: in this one. Forty eight and a half is the number.
Speaker 1: So the Rams finally showed up. So that's great. Dominated, Yeah,
Speaker 1: they dominated, But do it does it travel? That's the
Speaker 1: question here, Bogs, that's a huge question up and can
Speaker 1: they go to Tampa and win on the road. I say, no,
Speaker 1: what say you?
Speaker 3: There's no way I'm betting against Tom Brady. But I'll
Speaker 3: tell you what, I don't like betting this game. And
Speaker 3: because right now we don't know if Tristan Wirfs or
Speaker 3: Ryan Jensen are gonna end up playing for Tampa Bay.
Speaker 3: Losing two offensive linemen is enormous. Leonard Fournette also not
Speaker 3: trending in the right direction, it seems like right now,
Speaker 3: so he is a maybe in this game, it looks like. So,
Speaker 3: you know, those are big pieces to lose for Tampa Bay.
Speaker 3: And look, the Rams won and they were at home.
Speaker 3: You didn't have to have Matt Stafford do a bunch
Speaker 3: for them to win that game. Kyler Murray more lost
Speaker 3: that than Matt Stafford would not won it. You know,
Speaker 3: he didn't make the big mistakes that he had been making,
Speaker 3: been handed out turnovers like their Christmas gifts, you know,
Speaker 3: previous three weeks before that game, and it was kind
Speaker 3: of weird to watch this offense kind of crumble in
Speaker 3: on itself. So I'm I think you can do that
Speaker 3: to beat the Cardinals when they're shooting themselves in the foot.
Speaker 4: You're not gonna get that from Tom Brady.
Speaker 3: You know, so I think that Safford makes a mistake
Speaker 3: or two in this game that cost the Rams the game,
Speaker 3: and I you know, it's just impossible to bet against
Speaker 3: Brady in the playoffs. So give me Tampa Bay and
Speaker 3: give me the under in this game, just because that
Speaker 3: Rams defense did look good. And we have question Offen
Speaker 3: some line of stuff going on with Tampa Bay right now,
Speaker 3: and Matt Stafford hasn't is not playing at his peak.
Speaker 3: So all that adds up to me taking Tampa Bay
Speaker 3: in the under in this game.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the under I think is the most appealing wager
Speaker 1: in this game to the under forty eight and a half.
Speaker 1: I'm in locks up with you again here, and this
Speaker 1: is very rare that we're, you know, both kind of
Speaker 1: seeing everything.
Speaker 2: Only one more.
Speaker 4: Game to go. We'll differ on this one. I feel like,
Speaker 4: I don't know.
Speaker 2: We'll see, we'll see.
Speaker 1: I didn't think we're gonna differ as much as I
Speaker 1: think we're gonna be in locks up so much. Excuse
Speaker 1: me on the Cincinnati game, But I also you know,
Speaker 1: it took a big game for Odell Beckham stepping up,
Speaker 1: and again I don't think that's something you can look
Speaker 1: every single week to and rely on if you're the Rams.
Speaker 1: And I feel like the Rams felt like they accomplished
Speaker 1: something last week, and I don't think they have yet.
Speaker 1: I think that's the other big takeaway from watching that
Speaker 1: game on Monday is.
Speaker 2: They look at us, we're dominating. Look, Hey, we're the
Speaker 2: best team.
Speaker 3: No, well there's been you know, mcveigh's taking this team
Speaker 3: to the super Bowl. Obviously a pretty different roster at
Speaker 3: Patriot then. I mean, but but I mean it doesn't matter.
Speaker 3: Tom Brady's just in this. By the way, our boy
Speaker 3: Bubba uh broke me off this stat which I didn't
Speaker 3: realize that Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers have the same
Speaker 3: amount of victories against the NFC in the playoffs. So
Speaker 3: uh isn't that crazy that I knew that one would
Speaker 3: bring a big old smile.
Speaker 4: To year face. So yeah, one year in the NFC,
Speaker 4: by the way for Brady, So all right, I guess
Speaker 4: one and a half.
Speaker 2: And a half. Right, yeah, all right, God, that's that's wow.
Speaker 4: Isn't that great?
Speaker 2: That's amazing? Alright?
Speaker 1: Passing props here, Tom Brady to eighty six and a
Speaker 1: half Stafford two seventy nine and a half.
Speaker 2: I would go the under on both of.
Speaker 4: These, Yeah, pass on both them. I I don't gun.
Speaker 3: In my head, I'd probably take the over on Stafford
Speaker 3: under on Brady, just because I expect the Rams to
Speaker 3: be losing this game and playing catch up late. So
Speaker 3: that's where you get those big chunk yards and things
Speaker 3: from Matt Stafford.
Speaker 4: But I would want to mess with you to one
Speaker 4: of them.
Speaker 1: Cooper Cup one two and a half for the passing
Speaker 1: prop your thoughts.
Speaker 3: I mean, you just take Cooper Cup and go over
Speaker 3: just you know, that's the one weakness Tampa Bay has,
Speaker 3: and maybe the offensive lineman too, but the secondary has
Speaker 3: not been the best this year, so that's the one weakness.
Speaker 3: You know.
Speaker 4: Jamel Dean lined up on Cooper Cup, He's gonna torch him.
Speaker 1: So well, that's my figure too, is if you get
Speaker 1: if you can at least contain Cooper Cup, then you
Speaker 1: force them to beachy with Odell and other guys like that.
Speaker 1: And I'm I'm still not sold that they can. I'm
Speaker 1: just not not And last week didn't sell me enough
Speaker 1: on that. I guess that's the point. There not a
Speaker 1: lot of rushing pops available for this game too, because
Speaker 1: the Backfield's kind of in motion, so to speak, so
Speaker 1: none of them have really been released. The only one
Speaker 1: I can find right now is actually Tom Brady, so
Speaker 1: that's not one that we want to get too much into,
Speaker 1: all right, last, but certainly not least if you like points,
Speaker 1: this should be at least theoretically the game for you now.
Speaker 1: Of course, I say should be, and oftentimes these games
Speaker 1: can be very disappointing. What looks like a shootout on
Speaker 1: paper between two big time offenses oftentimes disappoints. I don't
Speaker 1: think this one's going to six thirty pm Eastern, the
Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs are going to host the Buffalo Bills.
Speaker 1: The Chiefs are just one and a half point favorites,
Speaker 1: which I think they should take a little personally because
Speaker 1: they are the team that's gone to the Super Bowl
Speaker 1: and won a Super Bowl recently. I think they deserve
Speaker 1: a little bit more respect than they're getting. The number
Speaker 1: is fifty three and a half. I think this is
Speaker 1: an over but Bogs, I've thought real long and hard
Speaker 1: on this one, and to me, I'm siding with the
Speaker 1: side of the Chiefs here. I think there's a lot
Speaker 1: of emotion came out of last week I think it's
Speaker 1: gonna be a little bit of a letdown yet again
Speaker 1: for the Buffalo Bills, where I think all the years
Speaker 1: and years of getting beat up by the Patriots all
Speaker 1: just kind of came out and it just kind of overflowed,
Speaker 1: and I just wonder if you can inflate the bubble
Speaker 1: again and do it on the road against Patrick Mahomes.
Speaker 1: I don't think at the end of the day they're
Speaker 1: going to I really don't. I would love if the
Speaker 1: Bills made it to the Super Bowl because they were
Speaker 1: my pick, but I feel like this is possibly the
Speaker 1: end here for them. What are your thoughts on Bills Chiefs?
Speaker 4: We're four for four, Joe, I can't believe it.
Speaker 3: I thought, for sure, after watching your team get dominated
Speaker 3: by the Bills, you're gonna pick the Bills. But I
Speaker 3: watched my team get dominated by the Chiefs, and I'm
Speaker 3: going to pick the Chiefs too. What I think happened
Speaker 3: in the second half the second quarter, excuse me of
Speaker 3: the Steelers Chiefs game, is that the Chiefs woke up.
Speaker 3: We haven't seen Patrick Mahomes look this good in a
Speaker 3: couple months, and he just looked out. Stanny couldn't miss
Speaker 3: in the second half. You know, the Steelers couldn't do anything.
Speaker 3: They couldn't stop an offensive lineman. You know, the Bills
Speaker 3: obviously are a better team than Pittsburgh, and it's gonna
Speaker 3: make it a much closer game, which is why this
Speaker 3: is only a point and a half. And the Bills, look,
Speaker 3: they were literally flawless against New England. You know everything
Speaker 3: that seven for seven touchdown, drives.
Speaker 1: To throw a ball out of the end zone and
Speaker 1: Dawson Knox just catches it for a touchdown.
Speaker 2: I mean literally everything.
Speaker 1: And you knew that game was over from the moment
Speaker 1: Hide made that interception, that peg, that was it.
Speaker 2: That was it.
Speaker 1: That was the moment where you go, okay.
Speaker 4: It's such a great play.
Speaker 3: I thought that was a good throw by Macrow, but
Speaker 3: they were already such a great play.
Speaker 1: By anticipated it. He was the right place at the
Speaker 1: right time POGs and I just feel like that's a
Speaker 1: very crucial emotional moment at home for that fan base,
Speaker 1: for Josh Allen specifically too. And now you've got to
Speaker 1: pump up the balloon again and go on the road.
Speaker 2: That's tough. If this was in Buffalo, I might feel differently.
Speaker 3: I think I would feel differently if it was in Buffalo.
Speaker 3: But it's going to be a Kansas City. You know,
Speaker 3: Kansas City has great home field advantage, and you know,
Speaker 3: I mean the weather's not going to affect Buffalo at all.
Speaker 3: Obviously coldest sitting in the NFL Buffalo. But you know,
Speaker 3: I think that I think what you're really going to
Speaker 3: see here is a mismatch of you know, losing Trey
Speaker 3: White was such a big thing for Buffalo earlier this year,
Speaker 3: and you know they've been able to withstand that. I
Speaker 3: think it's going to be exposed here. Plus, you know,
Speaker 3: Travis Kelce versus Tremaine Edmonds or whoever. You're gonna have
Speaker 3: to pick your poison. And that's what makes the Chiefs
Speaker 3: so dynamic. And uh Stopper is.
Speaker 2: Going to be back for this game, it looks like too.
Speaker 1: So they're getting him back in help right full practice
Speaker 1: on Wednesday.
Speaker 3: When Patrick Mahomes gets going like that, they're damn near unsoppable.
Speaker 3: The only team that could stop him last year was
Speaker 3: Tampa Bay in the in the Super Bowl and they
Speaker 3: were still like, there's still video of the Bucks going,
Speaker 3: how the hell did he do that?
Speaker 4: You know, and they can stop the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: The Chiefs defense, That to me is always the undoing
Speaker 1: potentially of the Chiefs. The Chiefs defense can stop the Chiefs.
Speaker 2: That's it.
Speaker 1: That is the biggest I think negative side of this.
Speaker 1: I just don't think they're gonna do that in this game.
Speaker 1: I just don't. I feel like you're right.
Speaker 3: I think they woke the You're gonna have to have
Speaker 3: a you know, Stefan Diggs is gonna have to do
Speaker 3: what Jamar Chase did to the Chiefs, which is in
Speaker 3: the realm of possibility. You know, Dawson Knox also becoming
Speaker 3: a superstar like Travis Kelsey is, so they have It's
Speaker 3: very similar these two teams.
Speaker 4: But this is why they're in this spot.
Speaker 3: I think this is definitely an over just because both
Speaker 3: these offenses have been so they're they're both clicking on
Speaker 3: all cylinders right now. But I just I'm not going
Speaker 3: to bet against Mahomes, I'm not gonna bet against Brady.
Speaker 3: I think those are pretty safe assumptions in the playoffs.
Speaker 1: I agree with you. Let's dig a little deeper here
Speaker 1: into some of these numbers. Player passing at yards the
Speaker 1: props here, we got Mahomes to eighty one and a
Speaker 1: half Josh Allen to eighty and a half. That's a
Speaker 1: big number there for Allen. I think I would go
Speaker 1: under on the two eighty. What are your thoughts there?
Speaker 4: This perfect number. I wouldn't bet them, but I would
Speaker 4: go over on both.
Speaker 3: I just I think that both these offenses are going
Speaker 3: to click here, So I go over on both.
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes at two and a half for the passing touchdowns,
Speaker 1: but Josh Allen just at one and a half. That
Speaker 1: one I like. And I understand this variables with Singletary
Speaker 1: and him bringing the ball, and I kind of I mean,
Speaker 1: that's basically asking for trouble. I would take that trouble
Speaker 1: one and a half on the Allen side. I like
Speaker 1: that more than either of the receiving numbers that we
Speaker 1: just talked the same excuse to be the passing numbers
Speaker 1: we just talked about.
Speaker 4: I agree with you on that. What is what's Josh
Speaker 4: Allen's rushing number?
Speaker 1: Rushing props for this game? Josh Allen numbers fifty and
Speaker 1: a half.
Speaker 3: Oh my god, two and a half, Okay, on a
Speaker 3: fifty and a half is probably what he'll get. So
Speaker 3: there's no way I bet it. If it was thirty
Speaker 3: thirty five somewhere in that range. I was going to
Speaker 3: say hammer that, but no, I can't fifty and a
Speaker 3: half nine and a half. So I would rather take
Speaker 3: Singletary by a wide margin in that one. And what
Speaker 3: do you say, Mahomes was twenty four and a half.
Speaker 4: I'm not doing that twenty five? Yeah, nah, no thanks?
Speaker 3: So, yeah, I remember he got he got nicked up.
Speaker 3: I think in the Division round last year, hurt his
Speaker 3: knee and it wasn't as mobile, you know, going into
Speaker 3: the ACU Championship and the Super Bowl. So I don't
Speaker 3: think I think you're trying not to run Mahomes if
Speaker 3: you avoid it.
Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill seventy and a half or the receiving prop
Speaker 1: Kelsey seventy and a half, Stefan Diggs seventy two and
Speaker 1: a half. Which of these three do you like the most?
Speaker 4: If any Hill?
Speaker 3: I like Tyreek Hill, And you know because he'll gets
Speaker 3: that on three catches, you know, because he's the deep
Speaker 3: the deep threat. So if he catches four or five balls,
Speaker 3: you know, he's almost assured to pass this. And I
Speaker 3: just don't think really anybody in the league, maybe Jalen
Speaker 3: one on one can stop Tyreek, but not many guys
Speaker 3: gonna stop him.
Speaker 2: All right, there you have it.
Speaker 1: Make sure you check out bettingpros dot com for all
Speaker 1: of our latest information on all the wagering and all
Speaker 1: the lines at all the different houses there. Anywhere you
Speaker 1: want to place your bet, you could do it at
Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com. So go ahead and check it out today.
Speaker 1: And Bogman, I'll be next week here yet again to
Speaker 1: talk about the Championship games. I can't believe it. It
Speaker 1: flies so quickly. I feels it really does fly by.
Speaker 1: But this should be a very entertaining four games, and
Speaker 1: I think the peak game there is going to be
Speaker 1: that Sunday night one for sure, So look for something
Speaker 1: strange there. But Bogmin and I are going to be
Speaker 1: riding or dying together here.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I know, my goodness, Just stand back. Well, I hope,
Speaker 2: I hope we're right, Boggs. Yea, I hope we're right.
Speaker 1: We picked that one where we feel like I think
Speaker 1: it's gonna go sideways. Maybe Saturday gets interesting at the
Speaker 1: end of the day, the Packers win, and then we
Speaker 1: like the two home.
Speaker 3: Yeah, you hope you're wrong about the Packers. I hope
Speaker 3: I'm wrong about the Bangles, so we're going there.
Speaker 1: We go all right, that'll do it for us, But
Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Scott Bogman.
Speaker 2: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids,