1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:16,000 Speaker 1: It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros. 2 00:00:16,320 --> 00:00:17,760 Speaker 2: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. 3 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:21,319 Speaker 1: It's v Joey p Joe Pizzapia and today it's about 4 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:23,640 Speaker 1: the divisional round of the NFL playoffs. 5 00:00:23,680 --> 00:00:25,560 Speaker 2: So Wildcard weekend was fun. 6 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:29,400 Speaker 1: Lots of exciting performances, some one sided games and some 7 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:32,840 Speaker 1: closer ones, that's for sure, just as the Raiders and Bengals. 8 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:35,560 Speaker 1: But those are all in the dust. Those are all history. 9 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 1: And Scott Bogman is going to help me break all 10 00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:40,560 Speaker 1: the games for this weekend down. We've got four games, 11 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:42,639 Speaker 1: two on Saturday, two on Sunday. 12 00:00:43,120 --> 00:00:44,640 Speaker 2: Scott Bogman, did you learn. 13 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:48,280 Speaker 1: Anything from these teams that have advanced and survived after 14 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:48,960 Speaker 1: the first round? 15 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 3: I think we learned that the Chiefs and Bills game 16 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 3: might be the highest scoring game in the history of football. 17 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 3: I mean that the Bills literally scored a touchdown every 18 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 3: single time they touched the ball, so I think it 19 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 3: was seven for seven in touchdown drives. And then the 20 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 3: last drive they had was the victory formation. So they 21 00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 3: were outstanding. And the Steelers woke the Chiefs up in 22 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:16,920 Speaker 3: the second quarter, and you know you wake up Patrick 23 00:01:16,959 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 3: Mahomes and you're gonna get a lot of points. Even 24 00:01:20,400 --> 00:01:22,800 Speaker 3: you know, Tyreek Kills a little gimpy going in again game, 25 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:26,840 Speaker 3: he looked fine. Travis Kelce was throwing touchdowns. They throw 26 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:29,479 Speaker 3: touchdowns to offensive linemen. I mean, it was an embarrassment 27 00:01:29,680 --> 00:01:32,880 Speaker 3: for my Steelers, but the Chiefs look like they're peaking 28 00:01:32,920 --> 00:01:34,600 Speaker 3: at the absolute right time right now. 29 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:36,680 Speaker 1: Well, my Patriots were equally embarrassed. 30 00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:37,280 Speaker 2: So that's okay. 31 00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 1: We can go lick our wounds for the rest of 32 00:01:38,840 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 1: the offseason. But yeah, high total on this Bill's Chiefs game, 33 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 1: and we're gonna break them all down. But we got 34 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 1: to start here with Saturday at four thirty Eastern, and 35 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:50,800 Speaker 1: it's the Cincinnati Bengals taking on the Tennessee Titans. The 36 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:53,160 Speaker 1: Bengals are three and a half point underdogs in this 37 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:55,720 Speaker 1: one heading to Tennessee, which feels about right to me. 38 00:01:56,600 --> 00:01:58,639 Speaker 1: On the money line, if you like the Cincinnati Bengals, 39 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 1: you're getting plus one fifty too. The total for this 40 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:05,400 Speaker 1: game is forty seven. So Boggs, when you're looking at 41 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:07,400 Speaker 1: this one, what's your first instinct, because I know what 42 00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 1: mine is, but I want to get your take on 43 00:02:09,200 --> 00:02:09,720 Speaker 1: this first. 44 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 4: The Bengals are peaking right now. 45 00:02:11,440 --> 00:02:14,000 Speaker 3: And I hate to say it because I despise them, 46 00:02:14,040 --> 00:02:17,880 Speaker 3: but they've been playing great football man, and Joe Burrow 47 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 3: looks unflappable right now. Jamar Chase is outstanding, Joe Mixon 48 00:02:22,120 --> 00:02:22,640 Speaker 3: is healthy. 49 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:23,240 Speaker 2: You know. 50 00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 3: In the defense, I mean, they crushed Derek Carr. This 51 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 3: pass rush is incredible. I mean, you just go back 52 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:32,640 Speaker 3: to the offseason and you think of this Trey Hendrickson 53 00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 3: signing and it was just outstanding for this team. They 54 00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 3: still need a little help in the secondary and linebackers. 55 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:40,320 Speaker 3: You can check out my mock draft to see where 56 00:02:40,320 --> 00:02:44,720 Speaker 3: I went there. But you know, I think that they're peaking. 57 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:46,959 Speaker 3: And this is the first week back for Derrick Henry 58 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:49,600 Speaker 3: and we're not as we're recording this, we're pretty sure 59 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:51,720 Speaker 3: Derek Henry is going to be back, but he could 60 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:54,839 Speaker 3: still be inactive right and AJ Brown is just back, 61 00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:57,440 Speaker 3: So we don't know what. 62 00:02:57,280 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 4: Tennessee team we're gonna get. 63 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:01,120 Speaker 3: Are we gonna get the good you know, run it 64 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:03,240 Speaker 3: down your throat forty times with Dereck Henry is going 65 00:03:03,280 --> 00:03:05,880 Speaker 3: to be used sparingly. AJ Brown's had a couple of 66 00:03:05,919 --> 00:03:08,080 Speaker 3: good games, but Ryan Tannehill's kind of been hit or 67 00:03:08,080 --> 00:03:10,359 Speaker 3: miss this year. So for me, I'm going to take 68 00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 3: the Bengals on the money line straight up to win 69 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:15,440 Speaker 3: this game on the road and go to the AFC Championship. 70 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:18,480 Speaker 3: As much as it discussed me over under, I'm a 71 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:22,440 Speaker 3: little wishy washy. I'm gonna take the under just because 72 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:25,240 Speaker 3: I think Tennessee is going to win time of possession 73 00:03:25,919 --> 00:03:28,079 Speaker 3: in this game because Derek Henry is back. I'll give 74 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:31,280 Speaker 3: them that at least so, But I just think the 75 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:34,240 Speaker 3: Bengals are too good to be beaten by Tennessee right now. 76 00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:37,200 Speaker 1: You know we did not rehearse this ahead of time. 77 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 1: I feel the exact same way. 78 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 4: Wow. 79 00:03:39,320 --> 00:03:41,600 Speaker 2: The reason why is not because of last week's game. 80 00:03:41,640 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 1: Actually, in some ways, it's in spite of it, because 81 00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 1: I did not like the fact that they let the 82 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:48,119 Speaker 1: Raiders hang around, and I did not like the fact 83 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:49,600 Speaker 1: that it got it took their foot off the gas 84 00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:50,000 Speaker 1: a little bit. 85 00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 2: They took their foot off the gas. 86 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:53,040 Speaker 1: But on top of that, Bogs, when you watch that game, 87 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 1: they also had a couple of injuries too. 88 00:03:54,520 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 2: They they they allow the Raiders. 89 00:03:57,040 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 1: To hang around, and you don't want to do that 90 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 1: with the Titans. I just want to put that out, 91 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 1: especially you don't want to do it on the road. 92 00:04:01,920 --> 00:04:03,560 Speaker 1: But I'm going back to the game a couple weeks 93 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 1: ago against the Kansas City Chiefs where I made a 94 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 1: big statement I remember on the TV show about it, 95 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:10,600 Speaker 1: which is, this is the game where you find out 96 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 1: who the Bengals are. And the Bengals showed you, and 97 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:14,880 Speaker 1: they showed you in a big way who they were 98 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:18,039 Speaker 1: against the Kansas City Chiefs, and that, to me is 99 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:20,440 Speaker 1: who the Bengals are. And I feel like they take 100 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:23,520 Speaker 1: it personally that you know, they won the division, they 101 00:04:23,560 --> 00:04:26,320 Speaker 1: won a playoff game, and they're still underdogs. I think 102 00:04:26,360 --> 00:04:28,400 Speaker 1: they take it personally. I think Joe Burrow does too, 103 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 1: and I think he is a leader in the real deal. 104 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:32,800 Speaker 1: And I think my favorite wager is, just like you, 105 00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:35,000 Speaker 1: it's the Bengals on the money line, and we all 106 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:36,720 Speaker 1: know one of these games is going to go sideways, right, 107 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:38,920 Speaker 1: one of the fielders is not going to win at 108 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:42,120 Speaker 1: least one, And looking at it, it's a hard sell 109 00:04:42,200 --> 00:04:44,320 Speaker 1: for me on the other three home teams. It just 110 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 1: is this is the one to me that's wide open. 111 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:49,159 Speaker 1: If we thought Tennessee was a paper tiger going into 112 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:52,320 Speaker 1: the playoffs anyway, even getting Derrick Henry back, There's been 113 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:53,960 Speaker 1: games where they had Dereck Henry and they lost, and 114 00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:55,560 Speaker 1: you look around each other like, how did the Titans 115 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 1: lose this game? I worry about Tannehill turn the ball 116 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:00,920 Speaker 1: over at a crucial time, and I just feel like 117 00:05:01,000 --> 00:05:03,600 Speaker 1: this is the sneaky one where you're looking at it 118 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:06,440 Speaker 1: and it's only three and a half. Right, So it's 119 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:09,799 Speaker 1: not like Vegas is confident at all, Right, Tennessee Titans 120 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:11,320 Speaker 1: going into this game where it's like, oh, it's a 121 00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 1: five and a half point spread or something like that. No, no, no, 122 00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:16,680 Speaker 1: it's basically like, eh, as little as you could possibly 123 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:19,280 Speaker 1: favor them, we will. So I'm with you on this. 124 00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:22,600 Speaker 1: I can't believe we're agreeing on the Cincinnati Bengals. My goodness, 125 00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:23,479 Speaker 1: that's exciting. 126 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:25,760 Speaker 4: But imo, they are changed. 127 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 1: The forty seven is a number that I don't care 128 00:05:27,920 --> 00:05:30,200 Speaker 1: for either. I think the best wager is the money line. 129 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:31,599 Speaker 1: And if you want to put this in a parlay 130 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 1: and do all four games, which by the way, we 131 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:37,120 Speaker 1: were one game shy. We were five or six in 132 00:05:37,160 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 1: the super parlay. Broke my heart. 133 00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 4: Sorry, boys, well in parlay, but he was six and 134 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:43,120 Speaker 4: h against the spread this week. 135 00:05:43,279 --> 00:05:46,920 Speaker 1: That's very good, very good. But yeah, Cincinnati Bengals, if 136 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:49,480 Speaker 1: you want to put him in this week, I would 137 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:51,040 Speaker 1: put him with the three and a half. But if 138 00:05:51,080 --> 00:05:52,359 Speaker 1: you want to go crazy and put them on the 139 00:05:52,360 --> 00:05:54,359 Speaker 1: money line, you can, but I'm with you. That's the 140 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:56,400 Speaker 1: wager I like in this game. Let's let's look at 141 00:05:56,400 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 1: some individual props potentially in this game too. Let's talk 142 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:02,280 Speaker 1: about past numbers here, Joe Burrow two seventy eight and 143 00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:04,600 Speaker 1: a half, Ryan Tannehill two thirty eight and a half. 144 00:06:04,640 --> 00:06:07,839 Speaker 1: If we like the Cincinnati Bengals, do we like the 145 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:09,520 Speaker 1: over here and the Joe Burrow number? 146 00:06:09,839 --> 00:06:12,479 Speaker 3: I mean I do like the over, but I'm not 147 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 3: betting that number with confidence. That's a lot of yards, 148 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:18,800 Speaker 3: so pretty had two seventy five is a lot. I 149 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:21,640 Speaker 3: think he's going to be right somewhere between two seventy 150 00:06:21,640 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 3: five and three hundred, so there's just no way I'd 151 00:06:24,480 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 3: touch it. 152 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:27,560 Speaker 1: The Chase number, to me is actually one that I 153 00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:29,440 Speaker 1: would go over on. It's seventy seven and a half. 154 00:06:29,480 --> 00:06:30,440 Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on that. 155 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:35,719 Speaker 3: One that's receiving mm hmm, Yeah, I mean I think 156 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 3: I think I would rather go over than under that number, 157 00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:42,039 Speaker 3: But I think I would rather do total yards because 158 00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:45,760 Speaker 3: we saw Chase Gate used like Deebo Samuel last week, 159 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:48,680 Speaker 3: he had four rushes, So I think I would go 160 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:51,480 Speaker 3: with a total yards number over a receiving yards only 161 00:06:51,520 --> 00:06:52,400 Speaker 3: four Chase. 162 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:55,360 Speaker 1: All right, fair enough, And right now as recording this, 163 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:57,720 Speaker 1: we still don't have a number on Derrick Henry. So 164 00:06:57,800 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 1: if that comes through, you always see this up on 165 00:06:59,760 --> 00:07:02,279 Speaker 1: Twitter and we'll answer that. What about on the passing 166 00:07:02,320 --> 00:07:04,400 Speaker 1: side for Ryan Tannehill, two thirty eight and a half 167 00:07:04,440 --> 00:07:07,240 Speaker 1: is the number? Your thoughts on that, especially getting Derek 168 00:07:07,279 --> 00:07:11,280 Speaker 1: Henry back theoretically what impact that has potentially on that number? 169 00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:13,640 Speaker 3: I think you have to go over that number, especially 170 00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:16,200 Speaker 3: if you're picking Cincinnati to win this game. Straight up, mean, 171 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 3: you know, it should mean that Tennessee is playing catch 172 00:07:19,680 --> 00:07:21,400 Speaker 3: up at some point in this game, even if it's 173 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:23,360 Speaker 3: only the fourth quarter. You know, you have put a 174 00:07:23,400 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 3: seventy yard drive together with mainly passes. You have aj 175 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 3: Brown back, you have Julio healthy finally, you know, so 176 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 3: all your pieces are there for Tennessee. There's no excuses 177 00:07:32,280 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 3: for them in this game. So I think I would 178 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 3: go over that number. If I had to pick it. 179 00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:38,360 Speaker 2: I'll tell you what. 180 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:40,559 Speaker 1: If you don't like the passing number for Joe Burrow, 181 00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 1: how about the passing tds at one and a half. 182 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:44,480 Speaker 4: That feels like an I take the over on that 183 00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 4: I crush. 184 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:47,240 Speaker 1: That seems like an easy over to me too, So 185 00:07:47,320 --> 00:07:49,200 Speaker 1: if you're having any sort of pause, that's the way 186 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 1: I would approach it. In Bogs and I agree yet again. 187 00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:53,600 Speaker 1: There all right, let's move on to the night game 188 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:56,200 Speaker 1: on Saturday night. The San Francisco forty nine Ers, who 189 00:07:56,200 --> 00:07:59,240 Speaker 1: we told you were going to upset the Dallas Cowboys, 190 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 1: and sure enough they did. The forty nine Ers, who 191 00:08:01,840 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 1: are gonna go into Green Bay. Now green Bay rested 192 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:06,840 Speaker 1: off the by Aaron Rodgers' tow has been on ice 193 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:08,640 Speaker 1: or heat or whatever the hell he's doing to his 194 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:12,360 Speaker 1: toe Co Packers. The Packers are five and a half 195 00:08:12,400 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 1: point favorites in this one. No surprise there. If that 196 00:08:14,520 --> 00:08:18,400 Speaker 1: number feels respectable, we're respecting the Packers, but we're also 197 00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:21,320 Speaker 1: respecting the strong close to the season for the forty 198 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:24,520 Speaker 1: nine ers. You have forty seven, just like the other game. 199 00:08:24,720 --> 00:08:27,960 Speaker 1: Interesting that both games on Saturday are forty seven, So 200 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:30,480 Speaker 1: the forty nine Ers defense, you know, has played relatively 201 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:34,240 Speaker 1: well here. Deebo Samuel has been fantastic. The question is, Bogs, 202 00:08:34,640 --> 00:08:37,160 Speaker 1: can they do enough here to cover this five and 203 00:08:37,200 --> 00:08:39,480 Speaker 1: a half or do you think a rested Packers team 204 00:08:39,920 --> 00:08:41,400 Speaker 1: in Green Bay rolls them. 205 00:08:41,920 --> 00:08:45,079 Speaker 3: I'm gonna take the Packers and look this game, I'm 206 00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:46,760 Speaker 3: gonna take the over too. I think I like the 207 00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:50,679 Speaker 3: over more in this game, just because the Packers have 208 00:08:50,800 --> 00:08:53,160 Speaker 3: not looked good on defense, particularly against the rush, and 209 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:55,320 Speaker 3: that's exactly what the Niners do. They run the ball 210 00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 3: down people's throats. Eli Mitchell twenty seven carries last week, 211 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 3: Deebo had ten. They look outstanding in this run game 212 00:09:03,040 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 3: and the Packer has been bad against it. But that 213 00:09:05,120 --> 00:09:08,359 Speaker 3: Niners defense, you know, Bosa is gonna play, but he's questionable. 214 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:10,560 Speaker 3: Fred Warrener's little banged up now, and the secondary has 215 00:09:10,559 --> 00:09:12,760 Speaker 3: been the issue for that team the entire year. Aaron 216 00:09:12,840 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 3: Rodgers isn't going to be stopped in this game. So 217 00:09:15,240 --> 00:09:17,000 Speaker 3: I think there's gonna be a lot of points here, 218 00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:21,000 Speaker 3: and I just am. The thing that I'm most confident 219 00:09:21,080 --> 00:09:24,960 Speaker 3: in is Jimmy g making that big boneheaded mistake third 220 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:27,800 Speaker 3: or fourth quarter and the Packers taking advantage of it. 221 00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:31,280 Speaker 3: He did it in Dallas, and Dallas just couldn't score. 222 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:33,880 Speaker 3: You know, they had too min eight penalties on offense 223 00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 3: thirteen penalties. Obviously a lot of controversy to the end 224 00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:39,960 Speaker 3: of that game and stuff. But for me, I think 225 00:09:40,000 --> 00:09:42,680 Speaker 3: I have to go with the Packers at home and 226 00:09:42,760 --> 00:09:44,440 Speaker 3: lay the five and a half. And I really like 227 00:09:44,640 --> 00:09:46,920 Speaker 3: that it moved to five and a half instead of six, 228 00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:50,080 Speaker 3: because I think six kind of makes me queezy. But 229 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:51,480 Speaker 3: five and a half I like a lot. So give 230 00:09:51,480 --> 00:09:53,760 Speaker 3: me the Packers and the over in this game, all right. 231 00:09:53,800 --> 00:09:56,920 Speaker 1: The consensus continues with Bogging and myself, I like the over, 232 00:09:56,960 --> 00:09:58,600 Speaker 1: and I also like the five and a half on 233 00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:01,240 Speaker 1: the Packers side as well. All the public money is 234 00:10:01,280 --> 00:10:04,480 Speaker 1: coming in, the vast majority of it on the Packers, 235 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:06,600 Speaker 1: and typically that's something whenever I see it, I get 236 00:10:06,640 --> 00:10:09,600 Speaker 1: a little antsy about myself. But I just I can't 237 00:10:09,840 --> 00:10:12,120 Speaker 1: do it. I'm not gonna go against Aaron Rodgers, at 238 00:10:12,200 --> 00:10:15,440 Speaker 1: least not this week. But believe me, if they end 239 00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:18,319 Speaker 1: up losing to the forty nine Ers, I'm not gonna 240 00:10:18,320 --> 00:10:19,200 Speaker 1: be sad about. 241 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:19,440 Speaker 2: It at the end. 242 00:10:20,160 --> 00:10:21,080 Speaker 1: I guess here's the question. 243 00:10:21,160 --> 00:10:22,679 Speaker 4: You and Welsh will be so happy. 244 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:28,240 Speaker 1: Well, here, here's a question for you. When you're looking 245 00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:29,760 Speaker 1: at the two coaches in this game, and you know 246 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:31,360 Speaker 1: these teams have met up before, and if you were 247 00:10:31,360 --> 00:10:32,839 Speaker 1: a call a few years ago on their path to 248 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:35,520 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, the forty nine Ers absolutely just ran 249 00:10:35,640 --> 00:10:36,680 Speaker 1: rough shot over the Packers. 250 00:10:36,760 --> 00:10:38,960 Speaker 2: Now very it feels like a different pack. 251 00:10:38,960 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 4: I think Aaron Rodgers owing three in the playoffs against 252 00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:41,720 Speaker 4: the Niners. 253 00:10:41,800 --> 00:10:44,280 Speaker 1: Well, that was my last question. Is you know all 254 00:10:44,320 --> 00:10:46,959 Speaker 1: that public money going there. It's plus two hundred on 255 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:48,679 Speaker 1: the money line for San Francisco. I don't think it's 256 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:51,720 Speaker 1: a crazy wager if you know it's not to go 257 00:10:51,760 --> 00:10:53,360 Speaker 1: ahead with the forty nine Ers. It's one of those 258 00:10:53,360 --> 00:10:54,719 Speaker 1: things where we look at and go, oh, all the 259 00:10:54,760 --> 00:10:56,920 Speaker 1: public money, it feels like a all done deal. 260 00:10:57,280 --> 00:10:57,680 Speaker 2: It's not. 261 00:10:58,400 --> 00:11:01,559 Speaker 1: I think this game has some tightness potentially in it, 262 00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:03,839 Speaker 1: and I would not be surprised that if Garoppolo does 263 00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:07,480 Speaker 1: avoid catastrophic mistakes, that the forty nine Ers can pull 264 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:09,720 Speaker 1: out a victory here, even though it's in Green Bay 265 00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:12,920 Speaker 1: and all of the other factors here. But I don't 266 00:11:12,920 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 1: think it's investable for me personally, and I just won't 267 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 1: bring that to light. 268 00:11:15,880 --> 00:11:18,040 Speaker 3: We're down to the best eight teams in the NFL, 269 00:11:18,200 --> 00:11:21,439 Speaker 3: so all these games are going to be close. And 270 00:11:22,280 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 3: would I be shocked if the Niners beat the Packers 271 00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:27,600 Speaker 3: on the road. Absolutely not. I just think that you 272 00:11:27,720 --> 00:11:30,679 Speaker 3: get a flawless Jimmy G game if he does that, 273 00:11:30,760 --> 00:11:32,160 Speaker 3: and those are rare for Jimmy G. 274 00:11:32,360 --> 00:11:34,760 Speaker 4: And I think he's you can win the Super Bowl 275 00:11:34,800 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 4: with him. 276 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:37,560 Speaker 3: I think he's a good enough quarterback, but he is 277 00:11:37,600 --> 00:11:41,959 Speaker 3: that Andy Dalton, Joe Flacco, Brad Johnson, you know line 278 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:44,920 Speaker 3: of good enough quarterback, but he is not going to 279 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:46,720 Speaker 3: will you to win many games. 280 00:11:47,120 --> 00:11:49,720 Speaker 4: So, you know, I think. 281 00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:52,679 Speaker 3: That's where the big disconnect is. And you know, I 282 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:55,240 Speaker 3: enjoy trends. I think they're good and they're fun to 283 00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:59,160 Speaker 3: look at, but I will never invest in a trend. 284 00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:01,440 Speaker 3: You know, sometimes they pay out like that, you know, 285 00:12:01,520 --> 00:12:06,080 Speaker 3: weird Jacksonville beating the Colts at home in Jacksonville since 286 00:12:06,120 --> 00:12:09,360 Speaker 3: twenty fourteen. Sometimes they pay out like that. But how 287 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:12,920 Speaker 3: different is the twenty fourteen Jaguars to the twenty twenty 288 00:12:12,960 --> 00:12:16,160 Speaker 3: one Wars Right, so unbelievable that I think that stuff 289 00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:18,480 Speaker 3: is vastly overrated. W Right, you have to live in 290 00:12:18,520 --> 00:12:22,000 Speaker 3: the now exactly, especially because rosters turnover so frequently. 291 00:12:22,280 --> 00:12:25,280 Speaker 1: Passing props here, Jimmy Garoppolo to forty three and a half, 292 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:27,680 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers to sixty five and a half, Any interest 293 00:12:27,720 --> 00:12:28,120 Speaker 1: in either of. 294 00:12:28,080 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 3: Those two numbers, Rogers over Jimmy under You're gonna win 295 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:33,400 Speaker 3: on the strength of the run game, if you The Niners. 296 00:12:33,160 --> 00:12:33,880 Speaker 2: Agreed with that. 297 00:12:34,240 --> 00:12:37,400 Speaker 1: Speaking of which, passing touchdowns Garoppolo one and a half, 298 00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:39,400 Speaker 1: Rogers two and a half. That's pretty big number there. 299 00:12:39,440 --> 00:12:42,080 Speaker 4: For Rogers two and a half, I'm gonna stay away from. 300 00:12:42,320 --> 00:12:44,600 Speaker 3: You know, I think the numbers right, and he probably 301 00:12:44,640 --> 00:12:46,320 Speaker 3: throws three touchdowns, but I'm not going to bet on 302 00:12:46,360 --> 00:12:49,800 Speaker 3: it because you know, I mean, he just DeVante Adams 303 00:12:49,800 --> 00:12:52,280 Speaker 3: steps out at the one, and here's Aaron Rodgers, Here's 304 00:12:52,800 --> 00:12:55,320 Speaker 3: aj Dillon, here's Aaron Jones. You know, they have plenty 305 00:12:55,360 --> 00:12:57,280 Speaker 3: of other ways to go, you know, bootleg to the 306 00:12:57,280 --> 00:12:59,400 Speaker 3: tight end, you know, so many different ways to go 307 00:12:59,720 --> 00:13:03,959 Speaker 3: and scenario. So that's not what I'm gonna take. Although 308 00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:06,280 Speaker 3: I did hit my I had the dak plus four 309 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:08,320 Speaker 3: hundred any time touchdown last week and I got there 310 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:08,560 Speaker 3: you go. 311 00:13:08,600 --> 00:13:09,600 Speaker 2: Also, there you go. 312 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:12,920 Speaker 1: Let's go to the receiving props here, speaking of DeVante 313 00:13:12,920 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 1: Adams his numbers ninety one and a half, Deebo Samuel's 314 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:18,120 Speaker 1: fifty four and a half, and George Kittle, who's been 315 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:20,439 Speaker 1: relatively quiet these last few weeks. On this forty nine 316 00:13:20,559 --> 00:13:23,680 Speaker 1: run just forty eight and a half. So anything tempting 317 00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:25,840 Speaker 1: on the over under forty eight Hittle for Kittle, Yeah, 318 00:13:25,840 --> 00:13:26,760 Speaker 1: that's what I was looking at. 319 00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:28,880 Speaker 3: Kittle's the one, you know, and I know I said 320 00:13:28,920 --> 00:13:31,000 Speaker 3: I'd take the under on Jimmy G's passing yards, but 321 00:13:31,880 --> 00:13:34,800 Speaker 3: he passes to different guys in different games, in different scenarios, 322 00:13:34,840 --> 00:13:37,360 Speaker 3: And last week Kittle was used mainly as a blocker. 323 00:13:37,360 --> 00:13:39,480 Speaker 3: He's probably gonna be mainly a blocker in this game too. 324 00:13:39,640 --> 00:13:42,320 Speaker 3: But if he catches three passes, he's getting over that 325 00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:44,000 Speaker 3: forty eight and a half because I think at least 326 00:13:44,040 --> 00:13:45,839 Speaker 3: two of them are going to go for twenty because 327 00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:48,440 Speaker 3: he gets the ball and then runs some mffors over. 328 00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:52,160 Speaker 3: I mean, that's what Kittle does, right, So I think 329 00:13:52,840 --> 00:13:55,080 Speaker 3: that is the most intriguing one to me of all 330 00:13:55,120 --> 00:13:55,440 Speaker 3: of them. 331 00:13:55,760 --> 00:13:58,640 Speaker 1: Here's your combo number for Deebo Samuel, ninety three and 332 00:13:58,640 --> 00:14:00,079 Speaker 1: a half over under. 333 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 3: One of the best offensive players in the league. I 334 00:14:03,160 --> 00:14:05,320 Speaker 3: think you gotta take over. If it's less than one hundred, 335 00:14:05,360 --> 00:14:07,160 Speaker 3: you got to take over on deepo every single week. 336 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:09,040 Speaker 1: The other one I think is sneaky is that one 337 00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:10,880 Speaker 1: Lazard thirty eight and a half. I would go over 338 00:14:10,960 --> 00:14:12,680 Speaker 1: on that too. It's a good trend with La Sam 339 00:14:12,760 --> 00:14:14,679 Speaker 1: vs is going to be out. That's one that I 340 00:14:14,679 --> 00:14:17,000 Speaker 1: would lock in now. I think that's a very good 341 00:14:17,080 --> 00:14:20,000 Speaker 1: That would be the biggest gimme, Like, if you're going 342 00:14:20,040 --> 00:14:22,800 Speaker 1: to try to like run up the Deebo DeVante Adams 343 00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:25,000 Speaker 1: and you need a third one, Lazard would be the 344 00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:27,160 Speaker 1: other one for me. I think that's the way I 345 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:29,400 Speaker 1: would go. All right, let's move on from Saturday to 346 00:14:29,480 --> 00:14:32,840 Speaker 1: Sunday's games. NFC matchup at three o'clock Eastern. The Los 347 00:14:32,880 --> 00:14:35,800 Speaker 1: Angeles Rams taking on the Tampa Bay Bucks and defending 348 00:14:35,880 --> 00:14:39,480 Speaker 1: rating undisputed champions of the World. Are three point favorites 349 00:14:39,480 --> 00:14:42,160 Speaker 1: in this one. Forty eight and a half is the number. 350 00:14:42,240 --> 00:14:47,120 Speaker 1: So the Rams finally showed up. So that's great. Dominated, Yeah, 351 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:49,960 Speaker 1: they dominated, But do it does it travel? That's the 352 00:14:50,080 --> 00:14:53,080 Speaker 1: question here, Bogs, that's a huge question up and can 353 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:56,240 Speaker 1: they go to Tampa and win on the road. I say, no, 354 00:14:56,400 --> 00:14:57,040 Speaker 1: what say you? 355 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:00,480 Speaker 3: There's no way I'm betting against Tom Brady. But I'll 356 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:03,160 Speaker 3: tell you what, I don't like betting this game. And 357 00:15:03,320 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 3: because right now we don't know if Tristan Wirfs or 358 00:15:05,360 --> 00:15:07,360 Speaker 3: Ryan Jensen are gonna end up playing for Tampa Bay. 359 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:10,880 Speaker 3: Losing two offensive linemen is enormous. Leonard Fournette also not 360 00:15:10,920 --> 00:15:13,040 Speaker 3: trending in the right direction, it seems like right now, 361 00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:16,600 Speaker 3: so he is a maybe in this game, it looks like. So, 362 00:15:17,760 --> 00:15:20,960 Speaker 3: you know, those are big pieces to lose for Tampa Bay. 363 00:15:21,280 --> 00:15:26,040 Speaker 3: And look, the Rams won and they were at home. 364 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:28,880 Speaker 3: You didn't have to have Matt Stafford do a bunch 365 00:15:28,880 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 3: for them to win that game. Kyler Murray more lost 366 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:33,080 Speaker 3: that than Matt Stafford would not won it. You know, 367 00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:35,640 Speaker 3: he didn't make the big mistakes that he had been making, 368 00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:39,120 Speaker 3: been handed out turnovers like their Christmas gifts, you know, 369 00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:43,000 Speaker 3: previous three weeks before that game, and it was kind 370 00:15:43,040 --> 00:15:45,560 Speaker 3: of weird to watch this offense kind of crumble in 371 00:15:45,600 --> 00:15:49,080 Speaker 3: on itself. So I'm I think you can do that 372 00:15:49,120 --> 00:15:51,880 Speaker 3: to beat the Cardinals when they're shooting themselves in the foot. 373 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:53,560 Speaker 4: You're not gonna get that from Tom Brady. 374 00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:57,360 Speaker 3: You know, so I think that Safford makes a mistake 375 00:15:57,440 --> 00:15:59,520 Speaker 3: or two in this game that cost the Rams the game, 376 00:15:59,840 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 3: and I you know, it's just impossible to bet against 377 00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:07,520 Speaker 3: Brady in the playoffs. So give me Tampa Bay and 378 00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:09,560 Speaker 3: give me the under in this game, just because that 379 00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:12,560 Speaker 3: Rams defense did look good. And we have question Offen 380 00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:14,680 Speaker 3: some line of stuff going on with Tampa Bay right now, 381 00:16:14,800 --> 00:16:17,240 Speaker 3: and Matt Stafford hasn't is not playing at his peak. 382 00:16:17,360 --> 00:16:20,640 Speaker 3: So all that adds up to me taking Tampa Bay 383 00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:21,440 Speaker 3: in the under in this game. 384 00:16:21,520 --> 00:16:23,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, the under I think is the most appealing wager 385 00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:25,280 Speaker 1: in this game to the under forty eight and a half. 386 00:16:25,880 --> 00:16:27,640 Speaker 1: I'm in locks up with you again here, and this 387 00:16:27,680 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 1: is very rare that we're, you know, both kind of 388 00:16:29,880 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 1: seeing everything. 389 00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:31,200 Speaker 2: Only one more. 390 00:16:31,120 --> 00:16:32,880 Speaker 4: Game to go. We'll differ on this one. I feel like, 391 00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:33,880 Speaker 4: I don't know. 392 00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:34,880 Speaker 2: We'll see, we'll see. 393 00:16:34,880 --> 00:16:37,000 Speaker 1: I didn't think we're gonna differ as much as I 394 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:38,880 Speaker 1: think we're gonna be in locks up so much. Excuse 395 00:16:38,920 --> 00:16:41,880 Speaker 1: me on the Cincinnati game, But I also you know, 396 00:16:42,080 --> 00:16:44,120 Speaker 1: it took a big game for Odell Beckham stepping up, 397 00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:46,560 Speaker 1: and again I don't think that's something you can look 398 00:16:46,640 --> 00:16:49,160 Speaker 1: every single week to and rely on if you're the Rams. 399 00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:51,880 Speaker 1: And I feel like the Rams felt like they accomplished 400 00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:53,760 Speaker 1: something last week, and I don't think they have yet. 401 00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:56,000 Speaker 1: I think that's the other big takeaway from watching that 402 00:16:56,040 --> 00:16:56,960 Speaker 1: game on Monday is. 403 00:16:57,080 --> 00:16:59,760 Speaker 2: They look at us, we're dominating. Look, Hey, we're the 404 00:16:59,760 --> 00:17:00,240 Speaker 2: best team. 405 00:17:00,320 --> 00:17:03,520 Speaker 3: No, well there's been you know, mcveigh's taking this team 406 00:17:03,560 --> 00:17:06,680 Speaker 3: to the super Bowl. Obviously a pretty different roster at 407 00:17:07,400 --> 00:17:10,920 Speaker 3: Patriot then. I mean, but but I mean it doesn't matter. 408 00:17:10,960 --> 00:17:14,160 Speaker 3: Tom Brady's just in this. By the way, our boy 409 00:17:14,200 --> 00:17:17,560 Speaker 3: Bubba uh broke me off this stat which I didn't 410 00:17:17,560 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 3: realize that Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers have the same 411 00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:24,119 Speaker 3: amount of victories against the NFC in the playoffs. So 412 00:17:24,800 --> 00:17:28,120 Speaker 3: uh isn't that crazy that I knew that one would 413 00:17:28,119 --> 00:17:29,200 Speaker 3: bring a big old smile. 414 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:32,960 Speaker 4: To year face. So yeah, one year in the NFC, 415 00:17:33,040 --> 00:17:36,480 Speaker 4: by the way for Brady, So all right, I guess 416 00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:37,280 Speaker 4: one and a half. 417 00:17:37,760 --> 00:17:41,280 Speaker 2: And a half. Right, yeah, all right, God, that's that's wow. 418 00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:41,920 Speaker 4: Isn't that great? 419 00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:44,240 Speaker 2: That's amazing? Alright? 420 00:17:44,280 --> 00:17:46,800 Speaker 1: Passing props here, Tom Brady to eighty six and a 421 00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:49,080 Speaker 1: half Stafford two seventy nine and a half. 422 00:17:49,680 --> 00:17:51,160 Speaker 2: I would go the under on both of. 423 00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:54,720 Speaker 4: These, Yeah, pass on both them. I I don't gun. 424 00:17:54,760 --> 00:17:58,520 Speaker 3: In my head, I'd probably take the over on Stafford 425 00:17:58,720 --> 00:18:02,359 Speaker 3: under on Brady, just because I expect the Rams to 426 00:18:02,359 --> 00:18:04,560 Speaker 3: be losing this game and playing catch up late. So 427 00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:07,440 Speaker 3: that's where you get those big chunk yards and things 428 00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:08,400 Speaker 3: from Matt Stafford. 429 00:18:09,280 --> 00:18:11,199 Speaker 4: But I would want to mess with you to one 430 00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:11,760 Speaker 4: of them. 431 00:18:11,840 --> 00:18:13,920 Speaker 1: Cooper Cup one two and a half for the passing 432 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:15,200 Speaker 1: prop your thoughts. 433 00:18:15,119 --> 00:18:19,160 Speaker 3: I mean, you just take Cooper Cup and go over 434 00:18:19,480 --> 00:18:22,600 Speaker 3: just you know, that's the one weakness Tampa Bay has, 435 00:18:22,600 --> 00:18:25,560 Speaker 3: and maybe the offensive lineman too, but the secondary has 436 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:28,480 Speaker 3: not been the best this year, so that's the one weakness. 437 00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:28,720 Speaker 3: You know. 438 00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:32,520 Speaker 4: Jamel Dean lined up on Cooper Cup, He's gonna torch him. 439 00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:35,280 Speaker 1: So well, that's my figure too, is if you get 440 00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:37,720 Speaker 1: if you can at least contain Cooper Cup, then you 441 00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:40,240 Speaker 1: force them to beachy with Odell and other guys like that. 442 00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:42,640 Speaker 1: And I'm I'm still not sold that they can. I'm 443 00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:44,960 Speaker 1: just not not And last week didn't sell me enough 444 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,200 Speaker 1: on that. I guess that's the point. There not a 445 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:49,560 Speaker 1: lot of rushing pops available for this game too, because 446 00:18:49,960 --> 00:18:52,159 Speaker 1: the Backfield's kind of in motion, so to speak, so 447 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:54,199 Speaker 1: none of them have really been released. The only one 448 00:18:54,240 --> 00:18:57,520 Speaker 1: I can find right now is actually Tom Brady, so 449 00:18:57,640 --> 00:18:59,880 Speaker 1: that's not one that we want to get too much into, 450 00:19:00,040 --> 00:19:03,080 Speaker 1: all right, last, but certainly not least if you like points, 451 00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:06,200 Speaker 1: this should be at least theoretically the game for you now. 452 00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:09,040 Speaker 1: Of course, I say should be, and oftentimes these games 453 00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:11,159 Speaker 1: can be very disappointing. What looks like a shootout on 454 00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:15,400 Speaker 1: paper between two big time offenses oftentimes disappoints. I don't 455 00:19:15,400 --> 00:19:18,080 Speaker 1: think this one's going to six thirty pm Eastern, the 456 00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:20,560 Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs are going to host the Buffalo Bills. 457 00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:23,280 Speaker 1: The Chiefs are just one and a half point favorites, 458 00:19:23,320 --> 00:19:25,560 Speaker 1: which I think they should take a little personally because 459 00:19:25,560 --> 00:19:27,240 Speaker 1: they are the team that's gone to the Super Bowl 460 00:19:27,280 --> 00:19:29,480 Speaker 1: and won a Super Bowl recently. I think they deserve 461 00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:32,040 Speaker 1: a little bit more respect than they're getting. The number 462 00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:33,960 Speaker 1: is fifty three and a half. I think this is 463 00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:36,840 Speaker 1: an over but Bogs, I've thought real long and hard 464 00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:39,679 Speaker 1: on this one, and to me, I'm siding with the 465 00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 1: side of the Chiefs here. I think there's a lot 466 00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:44,000 Speaker 1: of emotion came out of last week I think it's 467 00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:45,760 Speaker 1: gonna be a little bit of a letdown yet again 468 00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:49,760 Speaker 1: for the Buffalo Bills, where I think all the years 469 00:19:49,800 --> 00:19:52,920 Speaker 1: and years of getting beat up by the Patriots all 470 00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:56,160 Speaker 1: just kind of came out and it just kind of overflowed, 471 00:19:56,800 --> 00:19:59,720 Speaker 1: and I just wonder if you can inflate the bubble 472 00:19:59,760 --> 00:20:02,480 Speaker 1: again and do it on the road against Patrick Mahomes. 473 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:03,760 Speaker 1: I don't think at the end of the day they're 474 00:20:03,800 --> 00:20:06,399 Speaker 1: going to I really don't. I would love if the 475 00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:07,840 Speaker 1: Bills made it to the Super Bowl because they were 476 00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:10,320 Speaker 1: my pick, but I feel like this is possibly the 477 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:12,919 Speaker 1: end here for them. What are your thoughts on Bills Chiefs? 478 00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:15,480 Speaker 4: We're four for four, Joe, I can't believe it. 479 00:20:15,560 --> 00:20:18,320 Speaker 3: I thought, for sure, after watching your team get dominated 480 00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:20,359 Speaker 3: by the Bills, you're gonna pick the Bills. But I 481 00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:23,119 Speaker 3: watched my team get dominated by the Chiefs, and I'm 482 00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:25,080 Speaker 3: going to pick the Chiefs too. What I think happened 483 00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:28,800 Speaker 3: in the second half the second quarter, excuse me of 484 00:20:28,920 --> 00:20:32,000 Speaker 3: the Steelers Chiefs game, is that the Chiefs woke up. 485 00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:36,960 Speaker 3: We haven't seen Patrick Mahomes look this good in a 486 00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:42,080 Speaker 3: couple months, and he just looked out. Stanny couldn't miss 487 00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:45,440 Speaker 3: in the second half. You know, the Steelers couldn't do anything. 488 00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:48,320 Speaker 3: They couldn't stop an offensive lineman. You know, the Bills 489 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:51,480 Speaker 3: obviously are a better team than Pittsburgh, and it's gonna 490 00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:53,639 Speaker 3: make it a much closer game, which is why this 491 00:20:53,720 --> 00:20:55,240 Speaker 3: is only a point and a half. And the Bills, look, 492 00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:59,479 Speaker 3: they were literally flawless against New England. You know everything 493 00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:02,200 Speaker 3: that seven for seven touchdown, drives. 494 00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:03,879 Speaker 1: To throw a ball out of the end zone and 495 00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:05,800 Speaker 1: Dawson Knox just catches it for a touchdown. 496 00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:07,320 Speaker 2: I mean literally everything. 497 00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:09,040 Speaker 1: And you knew that game was over from the moment 498 00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:12,320 Speaker 1: Hide made that interception, that peg, that was it. 499 00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:12,760 Speaker 2: That was it. 500 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:14,560 Speaker 1: That was the moment where you go, okay. 501 00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:15,520 Speaker 4: It's such a great play. 502 00:21:15,560 --> 00:21:18,080 Speaker 3: I thought that was a good throw by Macrow, but 503 00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:19,640 Speaker 3: they were already such a great play. 504 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:21,440 Speaker 1: By anticipated it. He was the right place at the 505 00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:24,320 Speaker 1: right time POGs and I just feel like that's a 506 00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:28,640 Speaker 1: very crucial emotional moment at home for that fan base, 507 00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 1: for Josh Allen specifically too. And now you've got to 508 00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:33,280 Speaker 1: pump up the balloon again and go on the road. 509 00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:35,480 Speaker 2: That's tough. If this was in Buffalo, I might feel differently. 510 00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 3: I think I would feel differently if it was in Buffalo. 511 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:40,520 Speaker 3: But it's going to be a Kansas City. You know, 512 00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:43,919 Speaker 3: Kansas City has great home field advantage, and you know, 513 00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:46,320 Speaker 3: I mean the weather's not going to affect Buffalo at all. 514 00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:51,119 Speaker 3: Obviously coldest sitting in the NFL Buffalo. But you know, 515 00:21:51,800 --> 00:21:55,000 Speaker 3: I think that I think what you're really going to 516 00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:58,000 Speaker 3: see here is a mismatch of you know, losing Trey 517 00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:00,960 Speaker 3: White was such a big thing for Buffalo earlier this year, 518 00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:04,879 Speaker 3: and you know they've been able to withstand that. I 519 00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:07,000 Speaker 3: think it's going to be exposed here. Plus, you know, 520 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:11,320 Speaker 3: Travis Kelce versus Tremaine Edmonds or whoever. You're gonna have 521 00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:13,600 Speaker 3: to pick your poison. And that's what makes the Chiefs 522 00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:17,240 Speaker 3: so dynamic. And uh Stopper is. 523 00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:18,960 Speaker 2: Going to be back for this game, it looks like too. 524 00:22:19,040 --> 00:22:21,400 Speaker 1: So they're getting him back in help right full practice 525 00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:23,159 Speaker 1: on Wednesday. 526 00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:27,639 Speaker 3: When Patrick Mahomes gets going like that, they're damn near unsoppable. 527 00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:29,359 Speaker 3: The only team that could stop him last year was 528 00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:32,040 Speaker 3: Tampa Bay in the in the Super Bowl and they 529 00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:34,800 Speaker 3: were still like, there's still video of the Bucks going, 530 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:36,120 Speaker 3: how the hell did he do that? 531 00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:38,879 Speaker 4: You know, and they can stop the Chiefs. 532 00:22:38,880 --> 00:22:42,119 Speaker 1: The Chiefs defense, That to me is always the undoing 533 00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:45,000 Speaker 1: potentially of the Chiefs. The Chiefs defense can stop the Chiefs. 534 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:45,680 Speaker 2: That's it. 535 00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:49,040 Speaker 1: That is the biggest I think negative side of this. 536 00:22:49,920 --> 00:22:52,920 Speaker 1: I just don't think they're gonna do that in this game. 537 00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:54,480 Speaker 1: I just don't. I feel like you're right. 538 00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:56,320 Speaker 3: I think they woke the You're gonna have to have 539 00:22:56,480 --> 00:22:58,720 Speaker 3: a you know, Stefan Diggs is gonna have to do 540 00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:01,639 Speaker 3: what Jamar Chase did to the Chiefs, which is in 541 00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:04,400 Speaker 3: the realm of possibility. You know, Dawson Knox also becoming 542 00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:07,720 Speaker 3: a superstar like Travis Kelsey is, so they have It's 543 00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:09,959 Speaker 3: very similar these two teams. 544 00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:11,639 Speaker 4: But this is why they're in this spot. 545 00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:15,760 Speaker 3: I think this is definitely an over just because both 546 00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:18,919 Speaker 3: these offenses have been so they're they're both clicking on 547 00:23:18,960 --> 00:23:21,719 Speaker 3: all cylinders right now. But I just I'm not going 548 00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:23,879 Speaker 3: to bet against Mahomes, I'm not gonna bet against Brady. 549 00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:26,320 Speaker 3: I think those are pretty safe assumptions in the playoffs. 550 00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:28,840 Speaker 1: I agree with you. Let's dig a little deeper here 551 00:23:28,840 --> 00:23:31,960 Speaker 1: into some of these numbers. Player passing at yards the 552 00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:34,159 Speaker 1: props here, we got Mahomes to eighty one and a 553 00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:36,960 Speaker 1: half Josh Allen to eighty and a half. That's a 554 00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:39,720 Speaker 1: big number there for Allen. I think I would go 555 00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:41,680 Speaker 1: under on the two eighty. What are your thoughts there? 556 00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:46,080 Speaker 4: This perfect number. I wouldn't bet them, but I would 557 00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:46,960 Speaker 4: go over on both. 558 00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:49,960 Speaker 3: I just I think that both these offenses are going 559 00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:51,760 Speaker 3: to click here, So I go over on both. 560 00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:54,760 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes at two and a half for the passing touchdowns, 561 00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:56,879 Speaker 1: but Josh Allen just at one and a half. That 562 00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:59,280 Speaker 1: one I like. And I understand this variables with Singletary 563 00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:01,760 Speaker 1: and him bringing the ball, and I kind of I mean, 564 00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:04,840 Speaker 1: that's basically asking for trouble. I would take that trouble 565 00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:06,600 Speaker 1: one and a half on the Allen side. I like 566 00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:08,480 Speaker 1: that more than either of the receiving numbers that we 567 00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:10,280 Speaker 1: just talked the same excuse to be the passing numbers 568 00:24:10,280 --> 00:24:10,920 Speaker 1: we just talked about. 569 00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:14,160 Speaker 4: I agree with you on that. What is what's Josh 570 00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:15,240 Speaker 4: Allen's rushing number? 571 00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:18,679 Speaker 1: Rushing props for this game? Josh Allen numbers fifty and 572 00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:19,240 Speaker 1: a half. 573 00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:22,440 Speaker 3: Oh my god, two and a half, Okay, on a 574 00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:25,240 Speaker 3: fifty and a half is probably what he'll get. So 575 00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:27,600 Speaker 3: there's no way I bet it. If it was thirty 576 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:29,480 Speaker 3: thirty five somewhere in that range. I was going to 577 00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:33,080 Speaker 3: say hammer that, but no, I can't fifty and a 578 00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:35,520 Speaker 3: half nine and a half. So I would rather take 579 00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:39,600 Speaker 3: Singletary by a wide margin in that one. And what 580 00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:41,320 Speaker 3: do you say, Mahomes was twenty four and a half. 581 00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:44,240 Speaker 4: I'm not doing that twenty five? Yeah, nah, no thanks? 582 00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:47,360 Speaker 3: So, yeah, I remember he got he got nicked up. 583 00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:50,560 Speaker 3: I think in the Division round last year, hurt his 584 00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:54,160 Speaker 3: knee and it wasn't as mobile, you know, going into 585 00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:57,840 Speaker 3: the ACU Championship and the Super Bowl. So I don't 586 00:24:57,880 --> 00:24:59,840 Speaker 3: think I think you're trying not to run Mahomes if 587 00:24:59,840 --> 00:25:00,560 Speaker 3: you avoid it. 588 00:25:01,040 --> 00:25:03,520 Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill seventy and a half or the receiving prop 589 00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:07,200 Speaker 1: Kelsey seventy and a half, Stefan Diggs seventy two and 590 00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:09,200 Speaker 1: a half. Which of these three do you like the most? 591 00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:10,240 Speaker 4: If any Hill? 592 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:13,280 Speaker 3: I like Tyreek Hill, And you know because he'll gets 593 00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:17,119 Speaker 3: that on three catches, you know, because he's the deep 594 00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:20,439 Speaker 3: the deep threat. So if he catches four or five balls, 595 00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:24,359 Speaker 3: you know, he's almost assured to pass this. And I 596 00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:28,159 Speaker 3: just don't think really anybody in the league, maybe Jalen 597 00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:31,640 Speaker 3: one on one can stop Tyreek, but not many guys 598 00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:32,440 Speaker 3: gonna stop him. 599 00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:33,840 Speaker 2: All right, there you have it. 600 00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:36,160 Speaker 1: Make sure you check out bettingpros dot com for all 601 00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:39,240 Speaker 1: of our latest information on all the wagering and all 602 00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:41,840 Speaker 1: the lines at all the different houses there. Anywhere you 603 00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:43,159 Speaker 1: want to place your bet, you could do it at 604 00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:45,960 Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com. So go ahead and check it out today. 605 00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:49,480 Speaker 1: And Bogman, I'll be next week here yet again to 606 00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:51,879 Speaker 1: talk about the Championship games. I can't believe it. It 607 00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:55,400 Speaker 1: flies so quickly. I feels it really does fly by. 608 00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:59,200 Speaker 1: But this should be a very entertaining four games, and 609 00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:01,119 Speaker 1: I think the peak game there is going to be 610 00:26:01,160 --> 00:26:03,800 Speaker 1: that Sunday night one for sure, So look for something 611 00:26:03,840 --> 00:26:05,639 Speaker 1: strange there. But Bogmin and I are going to be 612 00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:07,400 Speaker 1: riding or dying together here. 613 00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:11,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, I know, my goodness, Just stand back. Well, I hope, 614 00:26:11,840 --> 00:26:14,240 Speaker 2: I hope we're right, Boggs. Yea, I hope we're right. 615 00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:16,880 Speaker 1: We picked that one where we feel like I think 616 00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:19,879 Speaker 1: it's gonna go sideways. Maybe Saturday gets interesting at the 617 00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:22,080 Speaker 1: end of the day, the Packers win, and then we 618 00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:23,280 Speaker 1: like the two home. 619 00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:26,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, you hope you're wrong about the Packers. I hope 620 00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:29,240 Speaker 3: I'm wrong about the Bangles, so we're going there. 621 00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:31,639 Speaker 1: We go all right, that'll do it for us, But 622 00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:33,560 Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Scott Bogman. 623 00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:36,119 Speaker 2: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids,