1 00:00:02,759 --> 00:00:06,080 Speaker 1: From the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers Studios. This is Bloomberg day 2 00:00:06,080 --> 00:00:07,800 Speaker 1: Break for Tuesday, May thirtieth. 3 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:11,160 Speaker 2: Coming up today, President Biden and Speaker McCarthy worked the 4 00:00:11,200 --> 00:00:13,400 Speaker 2: phones in support of their debt ceialing deal. 5 00:00:13,760 --> 00:00:16,759 Speaker 1: Elon Musk Lands in Beijing for his first visit to 6 00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:18,200 Speaker 1: China in three years. 7 00:00:18,440 --> 00:00:21,560 Speaker 2: Jamie Diamond is also headed to Asia for JP Morgan 8 00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 2: Chase's China summit. 9 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:25,840 Speaker 1: And Wall Street gears up for this week's JOMPS report. 10 00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 3: Memorial Day parades took place across the nation, including in 11 00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 3: New York City, plus another wave of attacks as Russia 12 00:00:32,240 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 3: pummeled Ukraine's capital. I'm Michael Barher Moore Ahead, I'm. 13 00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:38,280 Speaker 4: Don Sta Sharon Sports. The Yankees began their roachip with 14 00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:41,520 Speaker 4: the winn in Seattle. NBA Playoffs, Miami won Game seven 15 00:00:41,560 --> 00:00:42,159 Speaker 4: in Boston. 16 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 5: That's all straight ahead on Bloomberg day Break, The Business 17 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:49,640 Speaker 5: news you need to sturn your day in just one 18 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:54,200 Speaker 5: fifteen minute podcast each morning on Apples, Spotify, the Bloomberg 19 00:00:54,240 --> 00:00:56,920 Speaker 5: Business app, and everywhere you get your podcasts. 20 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:01,280 Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan. 21 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:04,000 Speaker 1: Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're 22 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:04,840 Speaker 1: following today. 23 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:08,479 Speaker 2: Karen adeel is in place to avert a potential US 24 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:11,839 Speaker 2: default as soon as next week. Now, the real work 25 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:15,639 Speaker 2: begins for President Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy getting 26 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 2: their members to vote for it. The President says he's 27 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 2: been on the phone personally with lawmakers to try to 28 00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:21,720 Speaker 2: win their support. 29 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:24,319 Speaker 6: We know I never stay. I'm confident with the conrect 30 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:24,759 Speaker 6: from here. 31 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 3: I feel very good about it. 32 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 6: I've spoken and numbered a member, I've spoke to McConnell, 33 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:31,199 Speaker 6: and it feels good. 34 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:32,559 Speaker 7: We'll see when the boat start. 35 00:01:32,800 --> 00:01:32,959 Speaker 5: Now. 36 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 2: The first test for President Biden and that deal comes 37 00:01:35,560 --> 00:01:38,480 Speaker 2: this afternoon when the House Rules Committee takes up the bill. 38 00:01:38,520 --> 00:01:40,960 Speaker 2: If it passes there, the agreement could head for a 39 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 2: vote on the House floor by tomorrow. 40 00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:46,759 Speaker 1: Well Nathan in political news outside the country, new signs 41 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 1: of tension between the US and China, with another request 42 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:53,560 Speaker 1: to meet with Defense Secretary in Lloyd Austin rebuffed by Beijing, 43 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 1: and Bloomberg's Ed Baxter has the story. 44 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:58,120 Speaker 8: The US had been waiting for an answer and it 45 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:02,880 Speaker 8: comes back no, says very concerning. China had demanded the 46 00:02:02,880 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 8: sanctions that are in effect on Austin's counterpart, Lei Shang Fu. 47 00:02:06,520 --> 00:02:09,240 Speaker 8: To be lifted so they would be on equal footing. 48 00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:12,200 Speaker 8: Now that has not happened. The Pentagon says it is 49 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 8: very concerned because it feels there need to be open 50 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:18,679 Speaker 8: lines of communication. The meeting would have happened in Singapore. 51 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:22,600 Speaker 8: This week in San Francisco, I'm at Baxter Bloomberg Daybreak. 52 00:02:22,639 --> 00:02:23,120 Speaker 2: All right, ed? 53 00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:23,400 Speaker 5: Thanks? 54 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:25,800 Speaker 2: So a couple top CEOs in the US are in 55 00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:29,280 Speaker 2: China this week. Jamie Diamond takes center stage tomorrow at 56 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 2: the JP Morgan Chase China's Summit. We get the story 57 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:33,840 Speaker 2: from Bloomberg's Lisa Mateo. 58 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 9: This will be the first major event held by a 59 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:39,640 Speaker 9: global bank in mainland China since the country exited its 60 00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 9: zero COVID policy. After three years of virtual events, more 61 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:45,960 Speaker 9: than twenty six hundred bankers and clients will gather for 62 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:49,080 Speaker 9: two days at a hotel in the finance hub of Shanghai. 63 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:52,800 Speaker 9: Diamond will be confronting a business landscape that looks vastly 64 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:56,120 Speaker 9: different from his visit four years ago. Back in twenty nineteen, 65 00:02:56,320 --> 00:02:58,920 Speaker 9: the last time the flagship event was held in person, 66 00:02:59,120 --> 00:03:01,880 Speaker 9: the US bank and Wall Street peers were gearing up 67 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:04,919 Speaker 9: to cash in on China's long awaited opening of its 68 00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:08,440 Speaker 9: sixty trillion dollar financial sector this year. The conference is 69 00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:11,600 Speaker 9: being held against the backdrop of a US China relationship 70 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 9: that's at its worst in decades. Lisa Matteo, Bloomberg Daybreak. 71 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:17,440 Speaker 2: All right, Lisa, thanks, We're going to bring you an 72 00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 2: interview with JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Diamond tomorrow morning, 73 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 2: right here on Bloomberg Daybreak at five am Wall Street Time. 74 00:03:24,760 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 1: Well, Nathan Elon Musk is in China his private jet 75 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:30,040 Speaker 1: and landed in Beijing a few hours ago. This is 76 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:33,040 Speaker 1: the billionaire's first trip to the country in three years. 77 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 1: Bloomberg News has learned Musk is expected to meet a 78 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:40,000 Speaker 1: senior Chinese officials and visit Tesla's Shanghai factory. Sources say 79 00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:43,680 Speaker 1: he will potentially meet Premier Lee Chiong to discuss automated 80 00:03:43,760 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 1: driving technology that Tesla is seeking to introduce in China. 81 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 2: Turning to the Chinese economy, Karen two new surveys suggests 82 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 2: the country's manufacturing sector improved or at least stabilized. 83 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:54,760 Speaker 5: In May. 84 00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:59,000 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Daybreak Asia anchor Brian Curtis has more from Hong Kong, China. 85 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 10: Beise book says it's a show manufacturing up notably from April. 86 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 11: It said. 87 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:08,000 Speaker 10: Domestic and foreign orders also picked up separately. Goldman Sachs 88 00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:11,840 Speaker 10: sided gains in the PMI for emerging industries. Now, one 89 00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:14,600 Speaker 10: might surmise that data would spruce up sentiment a little 90 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 10: after a rough recent period, but markets paid little heed still. China, 91 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:22,960 Speaker 10: beij Book said revenue and profit margins for Chinese manufacturers 92 00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:26,799 Speaker 10: increased in May, and so did the service and retail sectors. 93 00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:30,600 Speaker 10: The official PMI comes out tomorrow in Hong Kong. Brian 94 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:31,840 Speaker 10: Curtis Bloomberg day break. 95 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 1: All right, Brian, thank you well. In Europe, Spanish inflation 96 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:38,200 Speaker 1: slowed by more than anticipated. May's reading moderated to two 97 00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:41,159 Speaker 1: point nine percent. That's the least in almost two years, 98 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 1: as fuel costs fell and the growth on food price 99 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:47,800 Speaker 1: is eased. The result follows April's uptick to three point 100 00:04:47,880 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 1: eight percent. 101 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:50,120 Speaker 2: Here in the US, Karen, it's going to be a 102 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:52,279 Speaker 2: shortened trading week, but we get a slew of key 103 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:56,839 Speaker 2: economic reports, culminating with Friday's jobs report. The median forecast 104 00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:58,799 Speaker 2: is for a gain of one hundred and ninety thousand 105 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:02,719 Speaker 2: non farm payroll Sarah House is senior economist at Wells Fargo. 106 00:05:02,920 --> 00:05:05,960 Speaker 11: I think what we should expect is a continued moderation 107 00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:09,760 Speaker 11: in job growth. So over the past three months pails 108 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:11,840 Speaker 11: of average to game it's two undred twenty two thousand, 109 00:05:11,920 --> 00:05:14,520 Speaker 11: so I think we'll probably see some moderates fully there, 110 00:05:14,560 --> 00:05:16,200 Speaker 11: maybe something around two hundred jobs. 111 00:05:16,520 --> 00:05:19,240 Speaker 2: Wells Fargo senior economist Sarah Housays should be watching for 112 00:05:19,320 --> 00:05:21,800 Speaker 2: other data this week to inform that forecast, including the 113 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:25,359 Speaker 2: ISM manufacturing survey and Jolt's job openings. 114 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:27,159 Speaker 1: Well Nathan wall Street. We'll also see a number of 115 00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:29,719 Speaker 1: tech companies report quarterly earnings this week. We get a 116 00:05:29,720 --> 00:05:31,800 Speaker 1: preview from Bloomberg's Terlie Pellett. 117 00:05:32,080 --> 00:05:37,880 Speaker 7: Among those tech names Broadcom, Dell Technologies, Salesforce, VMware, and HP. 118 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 7: It comes amid what many are calling better than feared 119 00:05:41,400 --> 00:05:46,239 Speaker 7: quarterly earnings. Monamahajan is senior investment strategist at Edward Jones. 120 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:49,840 Speaker 12: Although earnings growth this past quarter did exceed expectations, we're 121 00:05:49,839 --> 00:05:52,919 Speaker 12: still looking at negative earnings growth and really now three 122 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:56,440 Speaker 12: back to back negative earning supporters, so valuation is expanding. 123 00:05:56,760 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 12: Breath has been narrow. 124 00:05:58,040 --> 00:06:00,839 Speaker 7: Also this week, more insight has the strength of the 125 00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:05,479 Speaker 7: consumer with reports from Lulu Lemon, Athletica and Dollar General 126 00:06:05,839 --> 00:06:08,680 Speaker 7: in New York. Charlie Pellett Bloomberg Daybreak. 127 00:06:08,400 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 2: All Right, Charlie, Thanks, in a new Bloomberg pole says 128 00:06:10,839 --> 00:06:14,040 Speaker 2: this year's Big Tech Rally will continue. Forty one percent 129 00:06:14,080 --> 00:06:17,000 Speaker 2: of nearly five hundred participants in Our Market's Live Pulse 130 00:06:17,040 --> 00:06:19,640 Speaker 2: survey say the highest returns this year would come from 131 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:23,680 Speaker 2: buying quality stocks focused on profitability. That includes taking long 132 00:06:23,720 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 2: physicians and companies like Apple and Microsoft, which have surged 133 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:31,080 Speaker 2: as markets embraced growth and shy away from economically sensitive industries. 134 00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 2: And for a look at some of the other stories 135 00:06:36,400 --> 00:06:38,480 Speaker 2: making news in New York and around the world. Were 136 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 2: joined by Bloomberg's Michael Barr, Good Morning, Michael. 137 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:44,599 Speaker 3: Good Morning, Nathan. Memorial Day parades took place across the 138 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:47,039 Speaker 3: country to hontor the memory of the people who have 139 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:50,680 Speaker 3: died for our country. In New York, Mayor Eric Adams 140 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:54,440 Speaker 3: attendant a wreathlaying ceremony at the Intrepid Museum. The Mayor 141 00:06:54,520 --> 00:06:57,920 Speaker 3: also took part in ceremonies at the Soldiers and Sailor's 142 00:06:58,000 --> 00:07:06,039 Speaker 3: Monument along Riverside Drive in Chappaqua, New York. Former President 143 00:07:06,040 --> 00:07:09,479 Speaker 3: Bill Clinton and former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton 144 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:13,040 Speaker 3: marched in a parade in Matouche in New Jersey. A 145 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 3: family is getting the remains of their loved one who 146 00:07:16,560 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 3: died during World War II. Staff Sergeant Michael Uran was 147 00:07:20,400 --> 00:07:22,680 Speaker 3: a twenty one year old gunner when his group of 148 00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:25,880 Speaker 3: bombers came under heavy attack by Germany. His plane went 149 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 3: down and he was buried in Germany. Urn's nephew, Michael 150 00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:30,240 Speaker 3: Joseph Urhan. 151 00:07:30,560 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 13: But the army contacted me and said, oh, would you 152 00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:37,720 Speaker 13: like to have him buried in Arlington? And I said, 153 00:07:38,760 --> 00:07:40,720 Speaker 13: you know, I really like to have him buried in 154 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:43,080 Speaker 13: Mttouche and his whole families here. 155 00:07:43,960 --> 00:07:46,800 Speaker 3: Uran says his uncle's remains were found after a German 156 00:07:46,840 --> 00:07:50,600 Speaker 3: family remembered where the American soldier had been buried after 157 00:07:50,640 --> 00:07:54,280 Speaker 3: his plane crashed. It was a violent Memorial Day on 158 00:07:54,320 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 3: a Hollywood floor to each nine people, including three children, 159 00:07:57,480 --> 00:08:01,080 Speaker 3: were shot. All are said to be in stable condition. Hollywood, 160 00:08:01,120 --> 00:08:03,320 Speaker 3: Florida Police Chief Chris O'Brien. 161 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:06,440 Speaker 14: It's unfortunate when we have law biting citizens come to 162 00:08:06,480 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 14: our beach to enjoy the day that gets disrupted by 163 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:12,320 Speaker 14: a group of criminals who engage in this type of 164 00:08:12,480 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 14: violent activity. 165 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:16,440 Speaker 3: Chief O'Brian says at least one person has been detained. 166 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:20,200 Speaker 3: In Chicago, forty four people were shot, nine fatally in 167 00:08:20,320 --> 00:08:24,400 Speaker 3: Memorial Day weekend gun violence. Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson, we 168 00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 3: have a. 169 00:08:24,720 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 7: Lot of work to do in the city. Poverty didn't 170 00:08:28,040 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 7: go away over the weekend. 171 00:08:30,000 --> 00:08:32,960 Speaker 6: Like we understand that when the communities have been disinvested 172 00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:36,400 Speaker 6: in and traumatize that you're seeing the manifestation of that. 173 00:08:36,520 --> 00:08:40,120 Speaker 3: Trind Mayor Johnson and activists are calling on gun owners 174 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:43,840 Speaker 3: to keep locks on weapons to protect children. Drones damaged 175 00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:48,720 Speaker 3: several residential buildings in Moscow early today as Russia pummeled 176 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:51,760 Speaker 3: Ukraine's capital with a new wave of air strikes. The 177 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:54,520 Speaker 3: drone attack was the biggest on the Russian capital since 178 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:58,959 Speaker 3: President Vladimir Putin ordered last year's invasion of Ukraine. Global 179 00:08:59,000 --> 00:09:01,520 Speaker 3: News twenty four hours a day, powered by more than 180 00:09:01,600 --> 00:09:04,680 Speaker 3: twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts in over one hundred 181 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:07,800 Speaker 3: and twenty countries. Michael Lebarr, this is Bloomberg, Nathan. 182 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 2: Thanks Michael, time out for our Bloomberg Sports update, and 183 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:16,440 Speaker 2: for that we bring in John Sasha. 184 00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:17,160 Speaker 3: Thanks Nathan. 185 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:19,679 Speaker 4: The Celtics just did something only three teams had ever 186 00:09:19,760 --> 00:09:22,400 Speaker 4: done in NBA history, win three times, went down three 187 00:09:22,360 --> 00:09:25,120 Speaker 4: to nothing in the series, but still no team has 188 00:09:25,160 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 4: come all the way back to Miami. Heat prevented that 189 00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:30,280 Speaker 4: from happening by holding the Celtics to thirty nine percent shooting, 190 00:09:30,720 --> 00:09:33,720 Speaker 4: winning Game seven going away in Boston one O three 191 00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:36,560 Speaker 4: to eighty four. Jimmy Butler scored twenty eight points. 192 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:38,800 Speaker 15: Just confident. I know the work that we all put 193 00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:41,560 Speaker 15: into it, so I know what we're capable of. But 194 00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:45,520 Speaker 15: nobody satisfied we haven't done anything. We don't play just 195 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:47,720 Speaker 15: to win. The Eastern Conference who played to win the 196 00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:48,079 Speaker 15: whole time? 197 00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:50,439 Speaker 4: The Heat avenge a Game seven lost to Boston and 198 00:09:50,520 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 4: last year's East Final that was the series where the 199 00:09:52,559 --> 00:09:54,960 Speaker 4: road team went five and two. Same thing happened in 200 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:58,800 Speaker 4: this series. The NBA Finals again Thursday, Miami at Denver. 201 00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:02,560 Speaker 4: Stanley Cup Final begin on Saturday, Florida at Vegas. Golden Knights, 202 00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:04,760 Speaker 4: who liked the Heat, were up three to nothing, saw 203 00:10:04,800 --> 00:10:06,880 Speaker 4: that lead cut to three to two, but Vegas won 204 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:10,240 Speaker 4: Game six in Dallas six to nothing. Yankees in Seattle, 205 00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:12,240 Speaker 4: big night for Aaron Judge two run homer off the 206 00:10:12,280 --> 00:10:14,839 Speaker 4: foul pole and a double, then another home run. He's 207 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:18,000 Speaker 4: up to seventeen and judge captain by going over the 208 00:10:18,040 --> 00:10:19,079 Speaker 4: wall to take a home run. 209 00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:19,400 Speaker 3: Away. 210 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:22,080 Speaker 4: Yanks, with eighteen hits, beat the Mariners ten to four. 211 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:25,280 Speaker 4: The win did Domingo Hermann, who returned from his suspension 212 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:27,160 Speaker 4: Mets for off the host to Phillies. Tonight, the X 213 00:10:27,240 --> 00:10:30,800 Speaker 4: met Marcus Strowman for the complete game, one hit shutout 214 00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:32,880 Speaker 4: for the Cubs, a one nothing win over Tampa Bay. 215 00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:35,679 Speaker 4: Notre Dame won the NCAA and Lacrosse title for the 216 00:10:35,720 --> 00:10:38,440 Speaker 4: first time, beat Duke of the Final, Novak Djokovics first 217 00:10:38,520 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 4: round win at the French Open. The second seed, daneil 218 00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 4: Medvedet plays this morning in Paris, so does the women's tough. 219 00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:47,000 Speaker 8: Seed IGAs Schwietek John Stashew. 220 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:48,439 Speaker 4: We're in Bloomberg Sports. 221 00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:53,960 Speaker 16: From coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, 222 00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:58,920 Speaker 16: Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Syrias Exam, the Bloomberg 223 00:10:58,960 --> 00:11:04,800 Speaker 16: Business Appen bloom dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, 224 00:11:04,800 --> 00:11:05,640 Speaker 16: I'm Nathan Hager. 225 00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:08,800 Speaker 2: With six days to go till a potential default, both 226 00:11:08,840 --> 00:11:11,480 Speaker 2: President Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy are trying to 227 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:14,760 Speaker 2: sell their deal to raise the debt ceiling to lawmakers 228 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:16,800 Speaker 2: on both sides of the isle, land to the public 229 00:11:16,920 --> 00:11:20,679 Speaker 2: President's brushing aside criticism that he hasn't been fully engaged 230 00:11:20,720 --> 00:11:21,719 Speaker 2: in the negotiations. 231 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:24,960 Speaker 6: One of the things that I share some of these 232 00:11:24,960 --> 00:11:27,760 Speaker 6: guys saying is why didn't Biden say what a big 233 00:11:27,800 --> 00:11:30,559 Speaker 6: dealer is? Why would Biden to sad what a good 234 00:11:30,600 --> 00:11:32,760 Speaker 6: dealer before the vote is? Think that's going to help 235 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:33,400 Speaker 6: me get a path? 236 00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:37,480 Speaker 2: Oh that was the President before he left Washington yesterday 237 00:11:37,480 --> 00:11:40,600 Speaker 2: for Delaware. We're expecting him to be back in Washington, 238 00:11:40,679 --> 00:11:43,720 Speaker 2: DC later today. Joining us now from the nation's capital. 239 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:47,839 Speaker 2: Greg Valiere, chief US policy strategist at AGF Investments. Greg, 240 00:11:47,840 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 2: I want to talk to you about the politics surrounding 241 00:11:50,000 --> 00:11:54,640 Speaker 2: this long negotiation. But before that, how do you see 242 00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:57,000 Speaker 2: the whip count right now? From what we understand, both 243 00:11:57,040 --> 00:11:59,840 Speaker 2: the President and the Speaker have been working the phones 244 00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:02,680 Speaker 2: through the long holiday weekend. Do you think they've got 245 00:12:02,840 --> 00:12:05,720 Speaker 2: enough support to get this deal passed next week? 246 00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:09,320 Speaker 17: I think so, Nathan, good morning. First of all, the 247 00:12:09,320 --> 00:12:11,760 Speaker 17: great irony here is that Kevin McCarthy is going to 248 00:12:11,760 --> 00:12:14,960 Speaker 17: have to get about one hundred Democrats in the House 249 00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:17,320 Speaker 17: to go along with him, because there are so many 250 00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:21,600 Speaker 17: defections among conservative Republicans in the House. But I think 251 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:24,800 Speaker 17: you'll get that and then we move. Well, today, we 252 00:12:24,880 --> 00:12:27,160 Speaker 17: have a big fight in the Rules Committee that has 253 00:12:27,200 --> 00:12:30,720 Speaker 17: to get done. But the final big fight comes early 254 00:12:30,800 --> 00:12:34,080 Speaker 17: next week in the Senate, where Lindsey Graham and other 255 00:12:34,120 --> 00:12:37,840 Speaker 17: Hawks are saying this is not sufficient for defense spending. 256 00:12:38,040 --> 00:12:40,920 Speaker 17: So there are still some possible potholes in the next 257 00:12:40,920 --> 00:12:41,480 Speaker 17: few days. 258 00:12:41,679 --> 00:12:43,959 Speaker 2: All right, well, let's go through some of those potholes 259 00:12:44,000 --> 00:12:47,000 Speaker 2: one by one. You mentioned the House Rules Committee. That 260 00:12:47,760 --> 00:12:51,200 Speaker 2: hurdle comes up later on this afternoon. We're already hearing 261 00:12:51,240 --> 00:12:55,280 Speaker 2: from some members, some conservative members in that committee, saying 262 00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:58,240 Speaker 2: that they might put some roadblocks up for this. Could 263 00:12:58,320 --> 00:13:02,120 Speaker 2: we see a potential issue even in the Rules Committee 264 00:13:02,160 --> 00:13:03,560 Speaker 2: later today, it's. 265 00:13:03,480 --> 00:13:07,000 Speaker 17: Not out of the question. You may recall Kevin McCarthy 266 00:13:07,280 --> 00:13:10,240 Speaker 17: made lots of promises a few months ago to become Speaker, 267 00:13:10,520 --> 00:13:13,720 Speaker 17: and one of them was to put three very conservative 268 00:13:13,760 --> 00:13:17,559 Speaker 17: Republicans on the Rules Committee. All three will vote against 269 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:21,840 Speaker 17: this bill, but there's another Republican who's probably going to 270 00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:25,640 Speaker 17: vote for it, and if necessary, maybe even Democrats would 271 00:13:25,679 --> 00:13:27,760 Speaker 17: vote for it, So it's a close call, but I 272 00:13:27,760 --> 00:13:29,839 Speaker 17: think it makes it through the Rules. 273 00:13:29,559 --> 00:13:32,400 Speaker 2: Committee, and then it gets to the full House, where 274 00:13:32,400 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 2: I would imagine that some of those same dynamics are 275 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:35,480 Speaker 2: in play. 276 00:13:36,080 --> 00:13:40,960 Speaker 17: Yeah, exactly, and I think McCarthy will have enough votes 277 00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 17: from Democrats, So I do think it makes it through 278 00:13:43,640 --> 00:13:44,079 Speaker 17: the House. 279 00:13:44,720 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 2: And when it comes to the House to have a 280 00:13:47,400 --> 00:13:49,959 Speaker 2: lot of Democrats coming out in support of this, does 281 00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 2: that potentially put his speakership at risk? 282 00:13:53,160 --> 00:13:55,560 Speaker 17: It could. That could be a story later this summer. 283 00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:59,080 Speaker 17: It's not a story for it this week. I think 284 00:13:59,120 --> 00:14:02,960 Speaker 17: they're fairly pleased with the work he's done, but it 285 00:14:03,040 --> 00:14:05,720 Speaker 17: only takes a handful of votes to perhaps oust him. 286 00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:08,440 Speaker 17: What he's got going for him, Nathan, is that there's 287 00:14:08,480 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 17: no logical successor. 288 00:14:11,040 --> 00:14:14,760 Speaker 2: Moving on to the Senate. You mentioned some potential hurdles there, 289 00:14:14,800 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 2: with particularly defense hawks on the Republican side coming out 290 00:14:19,400 --> 00:14:22,640 Speaker 2: against this. We've also heard as well from Utah Senator 291 00:14:22,680 --> 00:14:25,640 Speaker 2: Mike Lee a few days ago tweeted that he'd put 292 00:14:25,720 --> 00:14:30,480 Speaker 2: up every procedural hurdle at his disposal to delay this bill. 293 00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:34,200 Speaker 2: Could that raise a risk that we get potentially to 294 00:14:34,280 --> 00:14:38,080 Speaker 2: June fifth and maybe don't have this thing passed in time. 295 00:14:38,760 --> 00:14:41,520 Speaker 17: That is a risk. I think that the Treasury Department 296 00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:45,720 Speaker 17: probably would do something extraordinary. Maybe they'd sell assets in 297 00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:48,880 Speaker 17: the Highway Trust Fund or the Social Security Trust Fund 298 00:14:48,960 --> 00:14:51,840 Speaker 17: and they put the money back in later in the spring. 299 00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:55,080 Speaker 17: But I do think that there is a chance that 300 00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:58,120 Speaker 17: Lindsey Graham and others could drag this out to a 301 00:14:58,160 --> 00:15:01,480 Speaker 17: point where default rem mains as a real concern. 302 00:15:02,040 --> 00:15:05,880 Speaker 2: And one other potential concern is a lot of the 303 00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:09,320 Speaker 2: for lack of a better word, pork that could be 304 00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:11,240 Speaker 2: included in this bill as well, if you want to 305 00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:14,000 Speaker 2: interpret it that way. We know that Senator Manchin in 306 00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 2: particular got a provision where he's going to have a 307 00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:20,800 Speaker 2: pipeline that he's been pushing for included in this bill 308 00:15:20,880 --> 00:15:24,520 Speaker 2: as well. What about some of the provisions that are 309 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:27,720 Speaker 2: included in this bill. It's obviously not a clean debt 310 00:15:27,760 --> 00:15:29,760 Speaker 2: ceiling bill that President Biden wanted. 311 00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:32,880 Speaker 17: No, it's not. And a lot of these provisions I 312 00:15:32,920 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 17: think have been watered down the Republicans on issue after issue, 313 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:40,080 Speaker 17: cut way back on what they wanted. And I think 314 00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:42,600 Speaker 17: because of that, I don't see this as a real 315 00:15:42,680 --> 00:15:45,440 Speaker 17: headwind for the economy. I'd prefer to call it a 316 00:15:45,560 --> 00:15:48,240 Speaker 17: light breeze for the economy. It's not going to be 317 00:15:48,240 --> 00:15:52,840 Speaker 17: that damaging. Because you're one trillion in cuts over ten years. 318 00:15:53,200 --> 00:15:55,400 Speaker 17: Well you divide that by tim That's not a lot 319 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:57,160 Speaker 17: of money by Washington standards. 320 00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:02,800 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Today, your morning brief on the 321 00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:06,240 Speaker 2: stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 322 00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:09,320 Speaker 1: Look for us on your podcast feed at six am 323 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:13,040 Speaker 1: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you 324 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:14,280 Speaker 1: get your podcasts. 325 00:16:14,400 --> 00:16:17,080 Speaker 2: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 326 00:16:17,160 --> 00:16:19,720 Speaker 2: am Wall Street time, on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 327 00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:22,680 Speaker 2: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 328 00:16:22,720 --> 00:16:25,600 Speaker 2: Bloomberg one oh six to one in Boston, and Bloomberg 329 00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:27,360 Speaker 2: nine sixty in San Francisco. 330 00:16:27,760 --> 00:16:30,920 Speaker 1: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 331 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:36,400 Speaker 1: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty plus. 332 00:16:36,400 --> 00:16:39,400 Speaker 2: Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app, serious 333 00:16:39,560 --> 00:16:43,520 Speaker 2: XM Channel one nineteen, the iHeartRadio app, and on Bloomberg 334 00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:44,200 Speaker 2: dot Com. 335 00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:47,320 Speaker 1: I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Join us again 336 00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:50,120 Speaker 1: tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start 337 00:16:50,160 --> 00:17:06,840 Speaker 1: your day, right here on Bloomberg Daybreak